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HomeMy WebLinkAboutItem No. 11 Attachment 2 - Resolution No. 2021-57; Exhibits A-DFinal Environmental Impact Report A Community Development Project of the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians San Bernardino, California Lead Agency City of San Bernardino 201 North E Street, 3rd Floor San Bernardino, CA 92401 CEQA Consultant T&B Planning, Inc. 3200 El Camino Real, Suite 100 Irvine, CA 92602 Project Applicant San Manuel Band of Mission Indians 26569 Community Center Drive Highland, CA 92346 Lead Agency Discretionary Permits General Plan Amendment No. 20-02 Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment No. 20-03 Specific Plan Amendment No. 20-01 Development Plan No. 20-02 Date: January 28, 2021 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Table of Contents Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page i TABLE OF CONTENTS Page F.0 Final Environmental Impact Report ................................................................................ F-1 F.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ F-1 F.2 Responses to Draft EIR Comments ........................................................................................ F-1 F.2.1 CEQA Requirements Regarding Comments and Responses ..................................... F-3 F.2.2 Responses to Comments on the Draft EIR ................................................................ F-4 F.3 Additions, Corrections, and Revisions to the DEIR ........................................................... F-135 F.4 No Recirculation of Draft EIR Required ............................................................................ F-143 Tables F-1 Agencies, Organizations, and Persons that Commented on the Draft EIR ......................................... F-2 F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR ................................... F-135 Attachments Attachment 1 – Substantively Revised Pages of the Draft EIR Attachment 2 – CalEEMod Outputs Calculating Potential Hauling Emissions Attachment 3 – Potential Regional Criteria Pollutant Emissions from TRUs Associated with the Project Including Totals Reported in the Draft EIR Attachment 4 – Exhibits Attached to Comment Letter E The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-1 F.0 FINAL ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT REPORT F.1 INTRODUCTION This Final Environmental Impact Report (FEIR) prepared for The Landing by San Manuel project (hereafter, the “Project” or “proposed Project”) was prepared in accordance with the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) as amended (Public Resources Code § 21000 et seq.) and CEQA Guidelines (Title 14, California Code of Regulations, § 15000 et seq.). The proposed Project consists of applications for a General Plan Amendment (GPA 20-02), Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment (DCA 20-063), an amendment to the San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan (SPA 20-01), and Development Permit Type-D (DP-D 20- 02) to allow for future development of a proposed 1,153,644 s.f. warehouse building and associated site improvements. According to CEQA Guidelines § 15132, the FEIR shall consist of: a. The Draft (EIR) or revision of the draft; b. Comments and recommendations received on the DEIR either verbatim or in summary; c. A list of persons, organizations, and public agencies commenting on the DEIR; d. The responses of the Lead Agency to significant environmental points raising in the review and consultation process; and e. Any other information added by the Lead Agency. This Section contains responses to comments received on the Draft Environmental Impact Report (DEIR) for the proposed Project, and also provides a summary of revisions made to the DEIR in response to public comments. These comments were received during the public review period for the DEIR, which commenced on November 23, 2020 and concluded on January 6, 2021. This FEIR document was prepared in accordance with CEQA and the CEQA Guidelines and represents the independent judgement of the CEQA Lead Agency (City of San Bernardino). This FEIR and the DEIR comprise the Final Environmental Impact Report for the proposed Project, in accordance with CEQA Guidelines § 15132. F.2 RESPONSES TO DRAFT EIR COMMENTS CEQA Guidelines § 15088 requires the Lead Agency (City of San Bernardino) to evaluate comments on environmental issues received from public agencies and interested parties who reviewed the DEIR. This FEIR provides all comments received on the DEIR and the City’s responses to each comment. A list of agencies, organizations, and persons that submitted comments on the DEIR during the public review period is presented in Table F-1, Agencies, Organizations, and Persons that Commented on the Draft EIR. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-2 Table F-1 Agencies, Organizations, and Persons that Commented on the Draft EIR COMMENT LETTER COMMENTING ORGANIZATION, PERSON, OR PUBLIC AGENCY DATE A California Air Resources Board January 5, 2021 B San Bernardino County Department of Public Works October 27, 2020 C San Bernardino International Airport Authority December 30, 2020 D Inland Empire Biking Alliance November 20, 2020 E Cool World Institute December 31, 2020 F CREED LA November 18, 2020 G Earthjustice January 6, 2021 H1 Blum Collins and Golden State Environmental Justice Alliance January 4, 2021 H2 Adam Salcido January 5, 2001 I Robert Patterson December 7, 2020 J Warehouse Worker Resource Center January 6, 2021 J1 Rocio Aguayo January 6, 2021 J2 Anthony Victoria January 6, 2021 J3 Samuel Rodriguez January 6, 2021 J4 Roxana Barrera January 6, 2021 J5 Darby Osnaya January 6, 2021 J6 Mike Chavez January 6, 2021 J7 Paul Venegas January 6, 2021 J8 Anysia Aguirre January 6, 2021 J9 Alondra Zaragoza January 6, 2021 J10 Guadalupe Dolan January 6, 2021 J11 Leonardo Penaloza January 6, 2021 J12 Michael Rivera January 6, 2021 J13 James Kilbane January 6, 2021 J14 Daisy Lopez January 6, 2021 J15 Maria D. Ortiz January 6, 2021 J16 Lety Escobar January 6, 2021 J17 Salley I. Sukdol January 6, 2021 J18 Kristina M. Montańo January 6, 2021 J19 Socorro Anchondo January 6, 2021 J20 Yvonne Miranda January 6, 2021 J21 Alexandra G. Beltran January 6, 2021 J22 Ada Trujillo January 6, 2021 J23 Catherine Gudis January 6, 2021 J24 Angie Balderas January 6, 2021 J25 Phillip Hubbard III January 6, 2021 J26 Breanna Hall January 6, 2021 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-3 J27 Martha Romero January 6, 2021 J28 Anette (no last name provided) January 6, 2021 J29 Abigail Medina Rosales January 6, 2021 J30 Felipe Avila January 6, 2021 J31 Peter Mendoza January 6, 2021 J32 Ellen Reese January 6, 2021 J33 Maria Luisa Ramirez January 6, 2021 J34 Jennifer Cheek January 6, 2021 J35 Ann Kaneko January 6, 2021 J36 Janette Mckaig January 6, 2021 J37 Athena Tan January 6, 2021 J38 Jody Isenberg January 6, 2021 J39 Julia Vega January 6, 2021 J40 Andrea Vidauree January 6, 2021 K Jim Brown January 18, 2021* * Received after the close of the public review period. F.2.1 CEQA REQUIREMENTS REGARDING COMMENTS AND RESPONSES CEQA Guidelines § 15024(a) outlines parameters for submitting comments, and notes the focus of review and comment of EIRs should be: …on the sufficiency of the document in identifying and analyzing possible impacts on the environment and ways in which the significant effects of the project might be avoided or mitigated. Comments are most helpful when they suggest additional specific alternatives or mitigation measures that would provide better ways to avoid or mitigate the significant environmental effects. At the same time, reviewers should be aware that the adequacy of an EIR is determined in terms of what is reasonably feasible…CEQA does not require a lead agency to conduct every test or perform all research, study, and experimentation recommended or suggested by commenters. When responding to comments, lead agencies need only respond to significant environmental issues and do not need to provide all information requested by reviewers, as long as a good faith effort at full disclosure is made in the EIR. CEQA Guidelines § 15204(c) further advises that, “Reviewers should explain the basis for their comments, and should submit data or references offering facts, reasonable assumptions based on facts, or expert opinion supported by facts in support of the comments. Pursuant to CEQA Guidelines § 15064, “an effect shall not be considered significant in the absence of substantial evidence.” CEQA Guidelines § 15204(d) also notes that, “Each responsible agency and trustee agency shall focus its comments on environmental information germane to that agency’s statutory responsibility.” CEQA Guidelines § 15204(e) states that, “This section shall not be used to restrict the ability of reviewers to comment on the general adequacy of a document or of the lead agency to reject comments not focused as recommended by [CEQA Guidelines § 15204].” The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-4 Pursuant to CEQA Guidelines § 15088(b), the City of San Bernardino will provide copies of the written responses to commenting public agencies and other interested parties at least ten (10) days prior to certifying the FEIR. The responses will be provided along with an electronic copy of this FEIR, as permitted by CEQA, and conform to the legal standards established for response to comments on DEIRs. F.2.2 RESPONSES TO COMMENTS ON THE DRAFT EIR CEQA Guidelines § 15088 requires the Lead Agency (City of San Bernardino) to evaluate comments on environmental issues received from public agencies and interested parties who review the DEIR and to provide written response to any substantive comments received. Eleven comment letters are included and responded to as part of this FEIR. Comment Letter B was a comment letter on the DEIR’s Notice of Preparation (NOP) but was inadvertently not listed in the DEIR, so Letter B is herein treated as a comment letter to the FEIR. Comment Letter J was received in a single e-mail that requested that each signatory be treated as an individual commenter; thus, Comment Letters J-1 through J-40 are listed in Table F-1. Comment Letter K was received after the close of the DEIR public comment period, but is nonetheless included and responded to herein. On the following pages is a copy of each comment letter with bracketed comment numbers in the right margin, followed by the City’s response to each comment as indexed by the bracketed comment number in the letter. Comment letters and specific comments are given letters and numbers for reference purposes. Page F-5 Comment Letter A A-1 A-2 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report January 5, 2021 Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez Associate Planner City of San Bernardino -Planning Division 290 North D Street San Bernardino , California 91764 Submitted via email : Mora-Rodriguez_El@sbcity.org Dear Elizabeth Mora -Rodriguez: Gavin Newsom, Governor Jared Blumenfeld, Cal EPA Secretary Liane M. Randolph, Chair Thank you for providing the California Air Resources Board (CARB) with the opportunity to comment on the Landing by San Manuel Project (Project) Draft Environmental Impact Report (DEIR), State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 . The Project would allow for the construction and operation of 1 ,153 ,644 square feet of warehouse building space on approximately 53 acres of land . Once in operation, the Project would introduce 2 ,458 daily vehicle trips , including 582 daily heavy-duty truck trips , along local roadways . The Project is located within the City of San Bernardino (City), California, which is the lead agency for Californ ia Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) purposes . Freight facilities , like the one proposed in the Project, can result in high vo lumes of heavy-duty diesel trucks and operation of on-site equipment (e.g., forklifts and yard tractors) that em it tox ic diesel emissions , and contribute to regional air pollution and global climate change .1 CARB has reviewed the DEIR and is concerned about the air pollution and health risk impacts that would result should the City approve the Project. I. The Project Would Increase Exposure to Air Pollution in Disadvantaged Communities The Project , if approved , will expose nearby disadvantaged communities to elevated levels of air pollution. Residences are located north of the Project with the closest residences located approx imately 100 feet from the Project's northern boundary. In addition , six schools (Indian Springs High School , Lankershim Elementary School , Cypress Elementary School, Cole Elementary School , Saint Adelaide School , and Thompson Elementary School) are located w ith in two miles of the Project. The commun ities near the Project are exposed to existing toxic diesel particulate matter (diesel PM) emissions from existing industrial facilities , vehicular 1· With regard to greenhouse gas em issions from this project, CARB has been clear that loca l governments and project proponen ts have a responsibility to properly miti gate these impacts. CARB's guidance, set ou t in detail in the Scoping Plan issued in 20 17, makes clear that in CAR B's expert view, local mitigation is critical to achieving climate goals and red ucing greenhouse gases below levels of significance . arb .ca.g ov 1001 I Str ee t• P.O. Box 281 5 • Sacramento, California 95812 (800) 242-4450 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-6 Comment Letter A A-3 A-4 A-5 A-2(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez January 5, 2021 Page 2 traffic along State Route 210 (SR-210), and aircraft operations at the San Bernardino International Airport . Due to the Project's proximity to residences and schools already burdened by air pollution , CARB is concerned with the potential cumulative health impacts associated with the construction and operation of the Project. The State of Californ ia has placed additional emphasis on protecting local communities from the harmful effects of air pollution through the passage of Assembly Bill (AB) 617 (Garcia , Chapter 136, Statutes of 2017 ). AB 617 is a significant piece of air quality legislation that highlights the need for further emission reductions in commun ities with high exposure burdens , like those in which the Project is located . Diesel PM emissions generated during the construction and operation of the Project would negatively impact the community , which is already disproportionally impacted by air pollution from existing industrial facilities, vehicular traffic along State Route 210 (SR-210), and aircraft operations at the San Bernardino International Airport . Through its authority under Health and Safety Code section 39711 , the California Env ironmental Protection Agency (Ca l EPA) is charged with the duty to identify disadvantaged communities . CalEPA bases its identification of these communities on geographic , socioeconomic , public health , and environmental hazard criteria (Health and Safety Code , section 39711 , subsection (a)). In this capac ity , CalEPA currently defines a disadvantaged community , from an environmental hazard and socioeconomic standpoint , as a community that scores w ithin the top 25 percent of the census tracts , as analyzed by the California Communities Environmental Health Screen ing Tool Version 3 .0 (CalEnviroScreen). CalEnviroScreen uses a screening methodology to help identify California communities currently disproportionately burdened by multiple sources of pollution . The census tract containing the Project is within the top 5 percent for Pollu t ion Burden 2 and is considered a disadvantaged community ; therefore , CARB urges the City to ensure that the Proj ect does not adversely impact neighboring disadvantaged communities . II. The DEIR Did Not Account for All Air Pollutant Emissions from Heavy-Duty Trucks During the Project 's On-site Grading Construction Phase The DEIR did not account for mobile air pollutant emissions emitted during the transport of soil during the Project's construction grading phase . According to the DEIR , it was assumed that 8 ,000 cubic yards would be imported/exported from the Project site during its grading construction phase . It was also assumed 100 tons of demolished material would need to be removed from the Project site during the site preparation construction phase . Based on CARB 's review of the California Emissions Estimator Model (CalEEMod) outputs found in Appendix B1 (Air Quality Impact Analysis) of the DEIR , the City and applicant assumed a total 2· Pollution Burden repre sents the potential exposure to pollutants and the adverse environmenta l conditions caused by pollutio n. J J Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-7 Comment Letter A A-6 A-7 A-8 A-5(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez January 5, 2021 Page 3 of 10 one-way heavy-duty truck trucks trips would be required during the Project's combined site preparation/grad ing construction phase. Although the total 10 one-way heavy-duty truck trips account for the 100 tons of demolished material that wou ld be removed from the Project , it does not account for the 8 ,000 cubic yards of soil imported/exported from the Project s ite . Assuming each heavy-duty truck has a capacity of 16 cubic yards , the Project would require a total of 1,000 one-way heavy-duty truck trips to import/export 8 ,000 cubic yards to /from the Project s ite. To account for all of the air pollutant emissions emitted during the Project's construction activities , GARB urges the City and applicant to account for air pollutant emissions from heavy-duty trucks importing/exporting 8,000 cubic yards of soil to the Project site in the Final Environmental I mpact Report (FEIR). Ill. The Health Risk Assessment Used Inappropriate Assumptions When Modeling the Project 's Health Risk Impacts Chapter 3 (Project Description ) of the DEIR states that approximately 384 ,548 square feet of the proposed warehouse bu ilding space would be used for cold storage . Warehouses containing cold storage are serviced by trucks with transport refrigeration units (TRU) to transport frozen goods to and from the facility. 3 Based on CARB 's research , TRUs on trucks and trailers can emit large quantities of diesel exhaust while operating within a facility. Res idences and other sensitive receptors (e .g., daycare fac ilit ies , senior care facilities , and schools) located near the Project wou ld be exposed to diesel exhaust emiss ions that would result in sign ificant cancer risk . GARB has reviewed the Project's HRA and has concerns regarding the assumptions used to estimate the Project's health impacts. The HRA assumed all heavy-duty trucks w ith TRUs visiting the Project site would not idle longer than 30 m inutes . Data ob tained by GARB indicates that trucks with TRUs can operate for as long as two hours per visit , wh ich is well above the 30-minute duration assumed in the HRA. Unless the applicant and City restrict on -site TRU idling to less than 30 minutes, the Project's HRA should be revised . The HRA assumed 79 of the Project's 582 total daily heavy-duty truck traffic (approx imately 14 percent) would consist of trucks equipped with TRUs . It is unclear in the HRA how th is estimate was derived . Due to t he large size of the proposed warehouse development, GARB is concerned that the number of TRUs visiting the Project site may be underestimated in the HRA . GARB urges the City and applicant to provide substantial evidence to support this assumption. The HRA states that diesel PM emissions from on and off-site TRU activities were accounted for in the Project's air dispersion modeling . To estimate the emissions from Project-related TR Us , the HRA assumed 60 percent of the TRUs accessing the Project si te would have a 3· TR Us are refrige rati on systems powe red by in tegral diesel engines tha t protect perishab le goods during tra nsport in an insulated truck and trailer vans , rai l cars , and domestic shipping containers . Final EIR ] l Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-8 Comment Letter A A-9 A-10 A-8(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez January 5, 2021 Page4 power rating of 34 horsepower (hp) and the other 40 percent would have a power rat ing of 23 hp. Based on this mix, the City calculated the average idling emission factor of Project-related TRUs to be 0.62 grams per brake horsepower-hour (g/bhp-hr). Table 2-2 of the HRA summarizes the combined diesel PM emission rates from on and off-site heavy-duty trucks and TRUs for the year 2022 . However, the footnote of each table states the assumed time each TRU will be within the Project site , but does not provide the assumed time each TRU will operate off-site. Therefore , it is unclear how the 0.62 g/bhp-hr TRU-emission factor was used to calculate the diesel PM emiss ion rates presented in the tables . Due to the lack of clarity , CARB urges the City and applicant to revise the HRA to include spec ific details of the assumptions used to calculate the cancer risk impacts , supported by substantial evidence . IV. The DEIR Does Not Analyze Potential Air Quality Impacts from the Project's Transport Refrigeration Units Although the HRA prepared for the Project evaluated cancer risks from the operation of on-site and off-s ite TRUs , the City and applican t d id not model and report air pollutant emissions from TRUs in the DEIR. The air pollutant emission estimates , found in Table 4 .1-10 (Peak Operational Emissions Summary) of the DEIR , were modeled using CalEEMod. Although CalEEMod can estimate air pollu tant emissions from area , energy , and mobile sources , the current version of CalEEMod does not account for air pollutant emissions from TRUs. Since a port ion of the Project will be used for cold storage , CARB urges the City and appl icant to model and report the Project's air pollution emissions from TRUs using CARB's latest emission factors. The City and applicant should assume that a conservative percentage of the Project's truck fleet is equipped with TRUs , as well as a conservative idling duration for each TRU . V. Recommend Mitigation Measures The DEIR includes a list of nine mit igation measures (4.1 -1 through 4.1-9) to reduce the Project's significant impact on air quality. These mitigation measures include : requiring large off-road equipment that is equipped with Tier 4 engines , or Tier 3 or cleaner engines where Tier 4 equipment is not available during Project construction ; restricting truck idling times to 5 minutes ; requiring all indoor and outdoor cargo handling equipment to be electric or non-diesel fueled ; and including the minimum number of automobile electric vehicle charging states required by Title 24 of the California Code of Regulations . Although these mitigation measures would reduce the Project's air pollutant emissions , the DEIR concludes that the Project's impact on air quality would remain significant after mitigation . Even where impacts w ill remain significant and unavoidable after mitigation , CEQA requires that all feasible mitigation measures be incorporated (see California Public Resources Code§ 2108 1; 14 CCR§ 15126.2(b)). To meet this requirement , CARB urges the City and applicant to add the applicable emission reduction measures listed in Attachment A of this letter in the Final Environmental Impact Report (FEIR). Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-9 Comment Letter A A-11 A-12 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez January 5, 2021 Page 5 VI. Conclusion CARB is concerned about the potential public health impacts should the City approve the Project. The cancer risk impacts presented in the HRA should be based on realistic on-site idling time for TRUs . The HRA should also assume a conservative percentage of the trucks visiting the Project site are equipped with TRUs and report the findings in the FEIR. The Project's air quality impact analysis does not account for air pollutant emissions from the operation of on -site and off-site TRUs. The FEIR should account for mobile air pollutant emissions emitted during the transport of soil during the Project's construction grading phase . Lastly , the revised FEIR analysis presented in the FEIR should include all feasible mitigation measures listed in Attachment A of this letter to reduce the Project's significant and unavoidable impact on air quality. Given the breadth and scope of projects subject to CEQA review throughout California that have air quality and greenhouse gas impacts coupled with CARB 's limited staff resources to substantively respond to all issues associated with a project , CARB must prioritize its substantive comments here based on staff time , resources , and its assessment of impacts . CARB 's deliberate decision to substantively comment on some issues does not constitute an admission or concession that it substantively agrees with the lead agency's findings and conclusions on any issues on which CARB does not substantively submit comments. CARB appreciates the opportunity to comment on the DEIR for the Project and can provide assistance on zero-emission technologies and emission reduction strategies , as needed . If you have questions , please contact Stanley Armstrong , Air Pollution Specialist, at stanley .armstrong@arb .ca .gov . Sincerely, Heather Arias , Chief Transportation and Toxics Division Attachment cc: See next page . Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-10 Comment Letter A A-12(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez January 5, 2021 Page 6 cc : State Clearinghouse state.clearinghouse@opr.ca.gov Carlo De La Cruz Senior Campaign Representative Sierra Club carlo .delacruz@sierraclub.org Lijin Sun Program Supervisor CEQA Intergovernmental Review South Coast Air Quality Management District lsun@aqmd.gov Morgan Capilla NEPA Reviewer U .S . Environmental Protection Agency Air Division , Region 9 capilla.morgan@epa.gov Taylor Thomas Research and Policy Analyst East Yard Communities for Environmental Justice tbt homas@eycej .org Andrea Vidaurre Policy Analyst Center for Community Action and Environmental Justice andrea .v@ccaej .org Stanley Armstrong Air Pollution Specialist Exposure Reduction Section Transportation and Toxics Division stanley.armstrong@arb .ca .gov Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino Final EIR SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-11 Comment Letter A A-14 A-17 A-15 A-18 A-16 A-13 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report ATTACHMENT A Recommended Air Pollution Emission Reduction Measures for Warehouses and Distribution Centers The California Air Resources Board (CARB) recommends developers and government planners use all existing and emerging zero to near-zero emission technologies during project construction and operation to minimize public exposure to air pollution . Below are some measures, currently recommended by CARB , specific to warehouse and distribution center projects. These recommendations are subject to change as new zero-emission technologies become available . Recommended Construction Measures 1. Ensure the cleanest possible construction practices and equipment are used. This includes eliminating the idling of diesel -powered equipment and providing the necessary infrastructure (e .g ., electrical hookups) to support zero and near-zero equipment and tools. 2 . Implement, and plan accordingly for, the necessary infrastruct ure to support the zero and near-zero emission technology vehicles and equipment that will be operating on site. Necessary infrastructure may include the physical (e .g., needed footprint), energy , and fueling infrastructure for construction equipment, on-site vehicles and equipment, and medium-heavy and heavy-heavy duty trucks . 3 . In construction contracts , include language that requires all off-road diesel-powered equipment used during construction to be equipped with Tier 4 or cleaner engines , except for specialized construction equipment in which Tier 4 engines are not available . In place of T ier 4 engines , off-road equipment can incorporate retrofits , such that , emission reductions achieved equal or exceed that of a Tier 4 engine . 4. In construction contracts, include language that requires all off-road equipment with a power rating below 19 kilowatts (e.g., plate compactors , pressure washers) used during project construction be battery powered. 5. In construction contracts , include language that requires all heavy-duty trucks entering the construction site , during the grading and building construction phases be model year 2014 or later. All heavy-duty haul trucks should also meet CARB 's lowest optional low-oxides of nitrogen (NO x) standard starting in the year 2022 .1 '-In 20 13, CARB adopted optional low-NO, em ission standards for on-road heavy-d uty engines . CARB encourages e ngi ne manufa cturers to introduce new technologies to reduce NOx emissions below th e curre nt mand atory on -road heavy-duty diesel engine em iss ion sta nd ards fo r model -year 20 10 and later. CARB 's optio nal low-NO J emis sion sta ndard is avail able at: https://www.arb.ca .gov/msprog /onroad/optionnox/optionno x.htm . Attachment -1 Final EIR J J ] Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-12 Comment Letter A A-19 A-20 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report 6 . In construction contracts, include language that requires all construction equipment and fleets to be in compliance with all current air quality regulations . CARB is available to assist in implementing this recommendation . Recommended Operation Measures 1. Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements that requires tenants to use the cleanest technologies available , and to provide the necessary infrastructure to support zero-emission vehicles and equipment that will be operating on site . 2 . Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements that requires all loading/unloading docks and trailer spaces be equipped with electrical hookups for trucks with transport refrigeration units (TRU) or auxiliary power units . This requirement will substantially decrease the amount of time that a TRU powered by a fossil-fueled internal combustion engine can operate at the project site . Use of zero-emission all-electric plug-in TRUs , hydrogen fuel cell transport refrigeration , and cryogenic transport refrigeration are encouraged and can also be included in lease agreements .2 3 . Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements that requires all TRUs entering the project site be plug-in capable. 4 . Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements that requires future tenants to exclusively use zero-em ission light and medium-duty delivery trucks and vans . 5 . Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements requiring all TRUs , trucks , and cars entering the project site be zero-emission. 6. Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements that requires all service equipment (e.g ., yard hostlers, yard equipment, forklifts , and pallet jacks) used within the project site to be zero -emission. This equipment is widely available. 7. Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements that requires all heavy-duty trucks entering or on the project site to be model year 2014 or later, expedite a transition to zero-emission vehicles , and be fully zero-emiss ion beginning in 2030. 2• CARB 's tech nology assessme nt for transpo rt refrigerato rs provides informa tion on the c urre nt and projected develo pmen t of TR Us, in cl udi ng curren t and anti cipa ted costs . The as sess ment is avail able at: https://www.arb.ca .gov/msprog /tech /techreport/tru_07292015 .pdf. Attachment -2 Final EIR J Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-13 Comment Letter A A-21 A-23 A-24 A-25 A-22 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report 8 . Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements that requires t he tenant be in , and monitor compliance with , all current air quality regulations for on -road trucks including CARB 's Heavy-Duty (Tractor-Trailer) Greenhouse Gas Regulation ,3 Periodic Smoke Inspection Program (PSIP),4 and the Statewide Truck and Bus Regulation .5 9 . Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements restricting trucks and support equipment from idling longer than five minutes while on site. 1 O. Include contractual language in tenant lease agreements that limits on-site TRU diesel engine runt ime to no longer than 15 minutes. If no cold storage operations are planned , include contractual language and permit conditions that prohibit cold storage operations unless a hea lt h risk assessment is conducted , and the hea lth impacts fully mitigated . 11 . Include rooftop solar panels fo r each proposed warehouse to the extent feasible , with a capac ity that matches the maximum allowed for distributed solar connections to the grid . 12 . Including language in tenant lease agreements , requ iring the installing of vegetative walls 6 or other effective barriers that separate loading docks and people living or working nearby. '· In Decem ber 2008 . CARS adopted a regulation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by im proving the fuel efficiency of heavy-duty tractors that pull 53-foot or longer box-type tra ilers. The regu lation applies primarily to owners of 53-foot or longer box-type trail ers , inclu ding both dry-va n and refrigerated-van trailers , and owners of the heavy-duty tractors that pu ll them on California highways . CARB 's Hea vy -Duty (T ractor-Trailer) Greenho use Gas Regulation is available at: https:l/www.arb .ca .gov /cc/hdghgl hdghg . htm . 4· The PSIP program requires that diese l and bus fleet owners conduct annual smoke opacity ins pe ctio ns of their vehicles and repa ir those wit h excessive smoke em issions to ensure compliance . CARB 's PS IP program is ava il ab le at: https:l/www.arb .ca .gov /enflhdvipl hdvip .htm . 5 The regu lation req uires that newer heavier trucks and buses must meet particu late matte r fi lt er requi rements begi nning January 1, 2012 . Lighter a nd older heavier trucks must be re placed starting Janua ry 1, 2015 . By January 1, 2023 , nearly all trucks and buses will need to have 2010 mode l-year engines or equivale nt. CARB's Statewide Truck and Bus Regulatio n is available at: https:l/www.arb .ca .gov/msprogl onrdiesell onrdiesel .htm . •· Effectiveness of Sound Wall-Vegetation Combinati on Barriers as Near-Road way Pollutant Miti gation Strateg ies (2017) is available at : https :l/ww2 .arb. ca.govlsites/defaulUfiles /c lassic/l resea rchl aprl pasU13-306.pdf. Attachment -3 ] J ] J J Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-14 RESPONSES TO COMMENT LETTER A A-1 This introductory comment describes information from the Project Description presented in the DEIR, factually notes that diesel-fueled trucks and equipment emit diesel emissions, and expresses CARB’s general concern about air pollution and health risks. A-2 The commenter states that the Project will expose disadvantaged communities and school sites to air pollution. The commenter does not note the context of the Project Site, being located on property that was the former location of Norton Air Force Base, located immediately north of the San Bernardino International Airport, and located immediately east and west of other industrial developments and northwest of resource extraction operations. These nearby land uses do not house a resident population or a school population. The residential uses and school sites to which the commenter refers are located north of the Project Site and north of 3rd Street. DEIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, and DEIR Technical Appendix B1, Air Quality Impact Analysis, and Technical Appendix B2, Health Risk Assessment (HRA), evaluate the Project’s air pollutant emissions and associated risks to human health during Project construction and operation. As concluded in these studies and summarized on DEIR Pages 4.1-32 through 34, the Project would have a less than significant impact to all residential land uses and all school sites using the significance criteria promogulated by the SCAQMD for carcinogenic risk of 10 in one million. The SCAQMD is the agency charged with bringing air quality levels in the South Coast Air Basin to acceptable levels. Non-cancer risks were also evaluated and determined to be far below the SCAQMD non-cancer health risk index threshold of 1.0. A-3 The commenter expresses a general concern about air pollution burden and cumulative impacts. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. Refer to Response A-2, above. Also, DEIR Subsection 4.1(D)(1), Regional Air Quality, Pages 4.1-5 to 4.2-13 and Technical Appendix B1 document the substantial improvement in air quality that has occurred across the South Coast Air Basin over the past several decades, and the improvement trend that is projected to continue as a result of increasingly stringent federal and State regulations that have been put in place to reduce air pollution concurrently with population and business growth. A-4 The commenter notes the passage of AB 617 (2017) “Community Air Monitoring” and denotes the surrounding area as disadvantaged per CalEPA’s CalEnviroScreen mapping tool. CalEviroScreen is a general mapping tool developed by the California Office of Environmental Health Hazard (OEHHA) to help identify California communities that are affected by sources of air pollution. CalEviroScreen 3.0 indeed shows the vicinity of the Project Site as having a high pollution burden. The commenter also is correct that the Project Site and its immediately surrounding area is designated by CalEPA as being part of a disadvantaged community. SB 535 targets disadvantaged communities in California for investment of proceeds from the State’s cap-and-trade program to improve public health, quality of life and economic opportunity in California’s most burdened communities while at the same time reducing pollution. The proposed Project entails the development of one warehouse building that would bring jobs and other economic opportunities to the local area without State assistance and investment. As explained in Response A-2, the Project’s health risk impacts associated with air pollution were calculated in DEIR Technical Appendix B2 and determined to be less than significant compared to SCAQMD significance criteria. The environmental effects of the proposed Project are The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-15 fully evaluated in the DEIR and feasible mitigation measures are identified for significant impacts that are within the City of San Bernardino’s jurisdictional authority to impose and enforce as required by the State CEQA Statute and Guidelines. A-5 The commenter notes that the Project has the potential to require up to 8,000 cubic yards of soil import or export. As stated in the DEIR and underlying Technical Appendix B1, the Project’s grading operation is expected to balance; however, the DEIR notes that up to 8,000 cubic yards of soil import/export is conservatively estimated, which if needed would be available from areas approved for disturbance on the adjacent San Bernardino International Airport (SBIA) property or immediate area. Notwithstanding the fact that earthwork is expected to balance on-site, for disclosure purposes, the potential emissions that could occur from the hauling of up to 8,000 cubic yards of soil (1,000 two-way haul truck trips traveling to the adjacent SBIA or immediate area) have been calculated in the table below. It should be noted that the commenter is not correct in stating 8,000 cubic yards of import/export assuming 16 cubic yards of soil capacity equals 1,000 one-way truck trips. 8,000 cubic yards ÷ 16 cubic yards per truck = 500 truckloads (one-way) or 1,000 two-way hauling truck trips. As shown in the table below, the addition of these emissions would be negligible and would not change the findings and conclusions of the DEIR. The additional CalEEmod outputs calculating the potential hauling emissions are included as Attachment 2 to these response to comments. PEAK CONSTRUCTION EMISSIONS SUMMARY WITH ADDITIONAL HAULING EMISSIONS Emissions (lbs/day) VOC NOX CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 Maximum Daily Emissions Total from DEIR (Table 4.1-13) 50.09 94.00 109.61 0.31 18.38 6.84 Emissions Estimates from potential Soil Hauling 0.04 1.87 0.26 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 Maximum Daily Emissions 50.13 95.87 109.87 0.31 18.38 6.84 SCAQMD Regional Threshold 75 100 550 150 150 55 Threshold Exceeded? NO NO NO NO NO NO Source: Urban Crossroads, Inc (2021) A-6 The commenter acknowledges that the DEIR and its technical analyses assumed that up to 33% of the proposed building (up to 384,582 square feet of building space) could be used for cold storage, and expresses a general and broad concern about the assumption. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. Additionally, the 15-minute idling period utilized in the Project’s analysis was appropriate – and conservative – as CARB’s anti-idling rules prohibit idling for more than 5- minutes. Further, as noted above, the DEIR includes a mitigation measure that requires loading docks for trailers with TRUs to be outfitted with electrical hook-ups that can be used to power TRUs during loading/unloading activities to minimize pollutant emissions from TRU operations. Based on the foregoing, no revisions to the DEIR or its supporting technical air quality analyses are warranted. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-16 A-7 The commenter asks for clarification on how the HRA arrived at the assumption of 79 trucks with TRUs of the 582 truck trips. First, as summarized in the DEIR (see Table 4.8-1, Page 4.8-17) it should be noted that the 582 represents two-way truck trips (291 trucks inbound and 291 trucks outbound) which are associated with the total Project. The total truck trips associated with the 384,548 square feet of High-Cube Cold Storage Space are assumed to be 288 two-way truck trips (144 trucks inbound and 144 trucks outbound). The 288 two-way truck trips are further disaggregated by 2, 3, and 4+-axle trucks, and includes 100 2-axle truck trips, 32 3-axle truck trips, and 156 4+-axle truck trips. For analytical purposes, it was conservatively assumed that all 156 4+-axle truck trips include a potential refrigerated TRU. The 79 trucks with TRU number is representative of one-way trips, as stated in Technical Appendix B2, page 14. Therefore, the analysis conservatively assumes that all 156 4+-axle truck trips would include TRUs. As such, the modeling in the HRA is correct and consistent with the assumptions for the High-Cube Cold Storage Warehouse use. No revision to the DEIR is required. A-8 The commenter asks how the TRU emissions factor was used to calculate diesel particulate matter (DPM) emissions. The assumptions utilized in the DEIR and Technical Appendix B2, Health Risk Assessment are consistent with the industry standard for warehouse distribution facilities. The average horsepower rating of 34 horsepower (HP) is a reasonable estimate and consistent with CARB’s regulatory requirements for TRUs. In fact, based on CARB-published data, the majority of TRUs are already greater than 25 HP and, as such, the assumption used in the Project’s analysis was appropriate. Lastly, it is appropriate to consider emissions from the TRUs as it relates to on-site usage because the majority of the emissions are a function of the on-site idling and travel activity. DPM TRU emissions from both on-site idling/travel and off-site travel along the modeled routes were included in the HRA. Based on the foregoing, no revisions to the DEIR or its supporting air quality analyses are warranted. A-9 The commenter correctly summarizes that CalEEMod does not separately account for emissions associated with TRUs. However, the Project’s Health Risk Assessment attached to the DEIR as Technical Appendix B2 accounts for the potential diesel exhaust and associated impacts from the operation of TRUs and therefore impacts from TRUs are accounted for in the DEIR. Emissions from TRUs can be estimated based on the operation of 156 two-way trucks with TRUs (the total trucks presumed to accommodate refrigerated space) per day. For criteria pollutants, the aggregated Instate Trailer TRU emission rates were generated from the CARB’s OFFROAD2017, Version 1.0.1 emissions estimator model. Potential regional criteria pollutant emissions from TRUs associated with the Project are summarized in the table below. Refer to Attachment 3 of these response to comments, which includes the totals from the DEIR: As shown by the Table below compared to Attachment 3 to these responses to comments, the addition of potential TRU-related criteria pollutant emissions would be negligible when added to the operational emissions estimates presented in the DEIR and would therefore not affect the findings and conclusions presented in the DEIR. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-17 PEAK OPERATIONAL EMISSIONS INCLUDING ADDITIONAL EMISSIONS FROM TRUS Emissions (lbs/day) VOC NOX CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 Maximum Daily Emissions Total from DEIR (Table 4.1-10) 37.31 161.32 126.64 0.87 46.37 14.14 Emissions Estimates from TRUs 0.65 5.24 8.02 <0.01 0.08 0.08 Maximum Daily Emissions 37.96 166.56 134.66 0.87 46.45 14.22 SCAQMD Regional Threshold 55 55 550 150 150 55 Threshold Exceeded? NO YES NO NO NO NO Source: Urban Crossroads, Inc (2021) A-10 The commenter notes the DEIR’s conclusion that after application of the nine mitigation measures listed in the DEIR to address air pollutant emissions, impacts would still be significant and unavoidable. The commenter asks the City to consider additional mitigation measures suggested in an attachment to the comment letter. Refer to Responses A-13 to A-25, below, which address each mitigation measures suggested by the commenter. A-11 The commenter summarizes its comments and concerns. Refer to Responses A-2 through A-10, above, for responses to those comments. A-12 The commenter provides closing comments and offers assistance to the Lead Agency as needed. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. A-13 The commenter requests that the City consider additional mitigation measures to address air pollution emissions. Responses to the specific items suggested by the commenter are provided in Responses A- 14 to A-25, below. A-14 The commenter requests that the City consider mitigation measures that require the cleanest possible construction practices and to provide necessary infrastructure to support zero- and near-zero emission construction equipment and tools. First, please note that as shown on DEIR Table 4.1-13 (DEIR p. 4.1-41), the data for which is supported by substantial evidence contained in Technical Appendix B1, Project-related air pollutant emissions during construction would be less than significant after the application of mitigation measures for NOx specified in the DEIR (Mitigation Measures MM 4.1-1 through 4.1-3). The general request to incorporate a mitigation measure requiring “the cleanest possible construction practices” is too vague to be enforceable, and the City is not obligated to consider and evaluate the feasibility of every conceivable measure. Notwithstanding, The DEIR already addresses the commenter’s request in part. As noted on DEIR Pages 4.1-37 through 4.1-38, the Project is required to comply with SCAQMD Rule 403 for dust control, Rule 1186 for less polluting street sweepers, and Rule 1113 for low VOC architectural coatings. Pursuant to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-1, CARB Tier IV construction equipment must be used unless it cannot be reasonably acquired. Pursuant to Mitigation Measure 4.1-2, heavy-duty trucks with a gross vehicle weight over 14,000 pounds must be The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-18 2010 or newer or be equipped with a particulate trap, as available. Also, pursuant to Mitigation Measure 4.1-3, all construction equipment must comply with applicable CARB regulations. In relation to the commenter’s general suggestion to provide infrastructure to support zero- and near- zero emission construction equipment and tools (aka “electric”), the City finds that it is not feasible, practical, or safe to string temporary overhead powerlines across a large construction site to deliver power for electric equipment. However, the City finds that it is indeed feasible to designate an area of the construction site, either near the construction trailer or another area of the construction site identified by the construction contractor, where electric or non-diesel equipment and tools can be fueled or charged. Accordingly, the following mitigation measure has been added to the FEIR. MM 4.1-3A: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify a designated area of the construction site where electric or non-diesel vehicles, equipment, and tools can be fueled or charged. The provision of temporary electric infrastructure for such purpose shall be approved by the utility provider, Southern California Edison (SCE). If SCE will not approve the installation of temporary power for this purpose, the establishment of a temporary electric charging area will not be required. If electric equipment will not be used on the construction site because the construction contractor(s) does not have such equipment in its fleet (as specified in Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3B), the establishment of a temporary electric charging area also will not be required. If electric-powered equipment is in the contractor(s) equipment fleet, and SCE approval is secured, the temporary charging location is required to be established upon issuance of grading permits and building permits. A-15 The commenter requests that the City consider a mitigation measure that requires the installation of necessary infrastructure to support zero- and near-zero emission construction equipment, including but not limited to equipment, vehicles, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks. Refer to Response A-14, above, and the addition of Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3A. In response to this comment, an additional mitigation measure has been added to the FEIR to require construction contractors to use electric or non-diesel construction support equipment if such equipment is available. MM 4.1-3B: If electric or non-diesel off-road trucks and construction support equipment, including but not limited to hand tools, forklifts, aerial lifts, materials lifts, hoists, pressure washers, plate compactors, and air compressors are available in the construction contractor’s equipment fleet and can fulfill the Project’s construction requirements during the building construction, paving, and architectural coating phases of Project construction, such equipment shall be used during Project construction. This requirement shall be noted on plans submitted for building permit issuance. A-16 The commenter suggests that CARB Tier 4 or cleaner construction equipment be utilized. Pursuant to DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-1, CARB Tier 4 construction equipment must be used if it can reasonably be acquired. Because this suggestion was already a mitigation measure specified by the DEIR, no revisions to the FEIR are warranted. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-19 A-17 The commenter suggests that all off-road construction equipment with a power-rating below 19 kilowatts be battery powered. Please refer to Response A-15, above, and added Mitigation Measure 4.1-3B, which addresses this suggestion. A-18 The commenter suggests that the City require construction contractor on-road trucks to have 2014 or newer engines. The City rejects this suggestion for impracticality because regulating and enforcing the types of vehicles sold and permitted to operate on public roads in the State of California (and therefore access the Project site) falls outside of the jurisdictional authority of the City of San Bernardino. The City has no ability or capacity to exclude vehicles that are permitted to be driven on public roads from accessing the Project site. It is the responsibility of federal and State agencies to regulate the types of vehicles sold and driven in California. If CARB’s desire is to limit permitted engine types to 2014 or newer, it is within CARB’s ability to do so. At present, compliance with CARB’s Truck and Bus Regulation is required, which has phase-in timelines required by State regulation to ensure that any heavy truck serving the Project would meet 2010 model year engine requirements or equivalent by January 1, 2023. In June, 2020, CARB adopted a new Rule (Advanced Clean Trucks Regulation) that is the strictest in the United States, requiring truck manufacturers to transition from diesel trucks and vans to electric zero-emission trucks beginning in 2024. A-19 The commenter suggests that the City require construction contracts to require compliance with current air quality regulations. Because compliance with governing laws is mandatory, there is no reason to involve the City in specifying legal mandates in private construction contracts. However, to assist in complying with CARB’s anti-idling regulations on the construction site, the following mitigation measure has been added to the FEIR. MM 4.1-3C: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify the locations where anti-idling signs will be located. Signs shall be placed on the construction site where medium and heavy-duty trucks and other heavy equipment will stage, identifying applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include: 1) instructions to shut off engines when equipment is not in use; and 2) instructions to restrict idling to no more than five (5) minutes. A-20 The commenter suggests that seven items be included in tenant lease agreements for the Project’s building in an effort to reduce air pollutant emissions during Project operation. As a practical matter, the City of San Bernardino has no involvement in private lease negotiations among and between private building owners and building tenants. Nonetheless, a response is provided below for each of the seven items recommended by the commenter. 1. The commenter suggests that building lease agreements require tenants to use the cleanest technologies possible and provide infrastructure to support zero-emission vehicles and equipment. The general request to use “the cleanest technologies possible” is too vague to be enforceable, particularly in light of the fact that zero-emission technologies are rapidly and dynamically advancing in the marketplace. In regards to zero-emission vehicle and equipment infrastructure, DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 already requires that the Project Applicant or successor in interest provide documentation to the City demonstrating that the Project is designed to meet or The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-20 exceed CALGreen Tier 2 standards in effect at the time of building permit application. These standards include but are not limited to the provision of referential parking locations for carpool, vanpool, EVs and CNG vehicles and the installation passenger vehicle EV charging stations required by Title 24, and the installation of conduit at a minimum of five percent of the Project’s total number of automobile parking spaces to accommodate the future installation of EV charging infrastructure. To accommodate charging of battery-powered trucks, the Project’s design includes a truck staging area in the southwest portion of the property, where EV charging stations for trucks are planned to be accommodated. MM 4.4-1 requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels that may be needed to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site at this location. The San Manuel Band of Mission Indians is the Project Applicant and is voluntarily actively engaged with solar and electric vehicle industry leaders, such as Tesla, to advance the accommodation of EV vehicles. To this end, the Project’s building specifications include electrical switchgear and the truck staging area is designed to accept a technologically advanced electrical charging system to meet prospective building user requirements for EV truck charging. As a speculative development, it is not possible to forecast what an actual future user of the building may need or require in terms of EV truck charging, as the needs vary widely among building users and the technology is rapidly advancing. The Project’s EV charging facilities for trucks will be tailored to the needs of the building user, because committing to a system too early and then needing to retrofit it to meet building user specifications is technologically and cost prohibitive. The Project Applicant’s commitment to energy sensitive design is appreciated by the City, and is viewed as environmentally responsible. 2. The commenter suggests building lease agreements require dock doors to be equipped with electrical hookups for auxiliary power units installed on Transport Refrigeration Units (TRUs). This suggestion relates to a building permit item and not a leasing item. In response to this comment, the following mitigation measure has been added to the FEIR. MM 4.4-2: Prior to the issuance of a building permit for warehouse building space that contains refrigerated or freezer storage, an electrical hookup shall be provided at all loading dock doors that are designated for the loading/unloading of trailers holding refrigerated/frozen goods, for the purpose of plugging the refrigeration units installed on such trailers into the building’s electrical system. If refrigerated/freezer warehouse space is not proposed, electrical hookups at dock doors will not be required. 3. The commenter suggests that building lease agreements require all TRUs entering the Project Site to be plug-in capable. Please refer to Response A-20(2), above, and the addition of Mitigation Measure 4.4-2 to the Final EIR. DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-4 already requires that signs be placed at truck access gates, loading docks, and truck parking areas that identify the applicable CARB anti-idling regulations, which limit idling to 5 minutes or less. Therefore, TRUs will require auxiliary power units with chargeable batteries in order to keep the trailer cool. With Mitigation Measures MM 4.1-4 and MM 4.4-2 in place, trucks carrying trailers with TRUs will need to have plug-in capability auxiliary power units to effectively keep the trailer refrigerated. Therefore, the commenter’s objective is achieved. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-21 4. The commenter requests that building lease agreements require building tenants to exclusively use zero-emission light- and medium-duty delivery trucks and vans. The City rejects this suggestion for impracticality because regulating and enforcing the types of vehicles sold and permitted to operate on public roads in the State of California (and therefore access the Project Site) falls outside of the jurisdictional authority of the City of San Bernardino. The City has no ability, capacity, or enforcement mechanism to exclude vehicles that are permitted to be driven on public roads from accessing the Project Site. It is the responsibility of federal and State agencies to regulate the types of vehicles sold and driven in California. Notwithstanding, the Project’s design includes a truck staging area in the southwest corner of the property where electric truck charging stations are intended to be accommodated. DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 encourages the use of zero- emission vehicles and on-site charging facilities by ensuring that the building’s electrical room is sized to accommodate panels that may be needed to serve future truck charging needs and requiring that conduit be installed from where the panel would be located to the southwest corner of the Development Site where the charging facilities are planned be located and where electric-powered trucks would park and connect to charging facilities. 5. The commenter suggests that building lease agreements require all TRUs, trucks, and cars entering the Project Site to be zero-emission. For the reasons summarized in Response A-20(4), above, the City determines this request to be infeasible and no changes have been made to the DEIR. 6. The commenter suggests that tenant lease agreements require all service equipment to be zero- emission. DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-7 requires that all outdoor cargo handling equipment (e.g., yard trucks, hostlers, yard goats, pallet jacks, forklifts) be non-diesel-powered, which the City finds sufficient as a practical means to reduce air pollutant emissions associated with such equipment. Although the commercial availability of zero-emission equipment is increasing as technology advances, there is still uncertainty in the marketplace regarding the supply and demand for such equipment and therefore the City rejects the commenter’s suggestion. As an example, the Port of Long Beach, which has an exponentially larger fleet of service equipment than would the proposed Project, just put zero-emission top handlers into use in early 2020 as a “test” as part of the Port’s Off-Road Technology Demonstration Project.1 The size, scale, and funding of Port projects are massive in scale compared to the proposed Project and are funded by millions of dollars annually to test, pilot, and demonstrate new technologies, which are continually emerging and advancing such as those recommended in this comment. For these reasons, the City finds that MM 4.1-7 as written is sufficient. 7. The commenter suggests that tenant lease agreements require 2014 or newer truck engines and an expedited transition to zero-emission vehicles. The City rejects this suggestion for impracticality because regulating and enforcing the types of vehicles sold and permitted to operate on public roads in the State of California (and therefore access the Project Site) falls outside of the jurisdictional authority of the City. The City has no ability or capacity to exclude vehicles that are 1 https://www.polb.com/port-info/news-and-press/zero-emissions-yard-equipment-enters-port-service-02-25-2020/ The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-22 permitted to be driven on public roads from accessing the Project Site. It is the responsibility of federal and State agencies to regulate the types of vehicles sold and driven in California. If CARB’s desire is to limit permitted engine types to 2014 or newer, or zero-emission only, it is within CARB’s ability to do so. At present, compliance with CARB’s Truck and Bus Regulation is in place, which will require the Project’s future building user(s) to comply with the applicable phase-in timeline required by State regulation to ensure that any heavy trucks serving the Project would meet 2010 model year engine requirements or equivalent by January 1, 2023. In June, 2020, CARB adopted a new Rule (Advanced Clean Trucks Regulation) that is the strictest in the United States, requiring truck manufacturers to transition from diesel trucks and vans to electric zero- emission trucks beginning in 2024. By 2045, every new truck sold in California will be required to be zero-emission. When commercial availability of electric-powered long-haul trucks is more readily available in the future, it is expected that such trucks will be part of the Project’s normal course of operation. The Project Applicant and City of San Bernardino have applied forethought in developing the Project’s design features and mitigation measures to assist in advancing the use of zero-emission vehicles at the Project Site, as explained in Response A-20(4), above. Also refer to Response G-3, below. A-21 The commenter suggests that the City require building lease agreements to require compliance with current air quality regulations. Because compliance with governing laws is mandatory, there is no reason to involve the City in specifying legal mandates in private lease agreements. The City makes the reasonable assumption that all private businesses that may operate on the Project Site will comply with all applicable State programs and regulations related to air pollution control. Further, CEQA does not require that mitigation measures duplicate the provisions of mandatory regulatory requirements that must be complied with as a matter of law. A-22 The commenter suggests that the City require building lease agreements to restrict truck and equipment idling longer than 5 minutes. Compliance with CARB’s anti-idling regulations are mandated by State law. The City has applied Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-4, which requires the Project developer and all successors in interest to install and maintain signs at truck access gates, loading docks, and truck parking areas that identify applicable CARB anti-idling regulations. As such, the commenter’s objective is accomplished. A-23 The commenter suggests that the City require building lease agreements to limit idling of TRU diesel engines to no longer than 15 minutes. Refer to Responses A-20(2) and A-20(3), above. The commenter also asks for a preparation of a health risk assessment (HRA) if cold storage warehouse uses are planned. Refer to Comment A-6, wherein CARB acknowledges that DEIR and its technical analyses assumed that up to 33% of the proposed building (up to 384,582 square feet of building space) could be used for cold storage. The Project’s HRA, inclusive of analysis of cold storage uses, is included as Technical Appendix B2 to the DEIR. A-24 The commenter suggests that the Project’s building include rooftop solar panels. Refer to Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(d), which requires that the building’s roof be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential future construction of photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays. In response to this comment, Mitigation Measure 4.4-1 has been expanded in the Final EIR to include the following. The The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-23 City is not requiring more than a 24 KV system as part of the shell building for an indeterminate tenant because committing to a system too early and then needing to retrofit it to meet building user specifications is technologically and cost prohibitive. MM 4.4-1(d): As part of shell building permit issuance, and subject to the approval of the Federal Aviation Administration for the installation of rooftop solar panels near an airport, the applicant shall be required to install a rooftop photovoltaic system providing a minimum of 24,000 watts (24 KW) of power per year…. A-25 The commenter suggests that the City require building lease agreements to require the installation of a vegetative wall or other barrier between loading docks and sensitive off-site uses. This request is accommodated as part of the Project’s design. As discussed in DEIR Section 3.0, Project Description, Page 3-6 and Figure 3-10 (Page 3-21, Preliminary Landscape Plan), and as further detailed on the Project’s application materials on file with the City of San Bernardino, the Development Site’s frontage along 3rd Street would include 10-14’ high tilt-up screen wall panels in an artistic, thematic design with modern wall features including tile art elements. Landscaping would occur between the wall and the sidewalk along 3rd Street. Page F-24 Comment L etter B B-1 B-3 B-2 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Main Office -825 East Thi rd Street, San Bernardino , CA 924 15-0835 I Phone : 909 .387 .79 10 Fax : 909.387 .7911 Department of Public Works • Floo d Control • Operations • Solid Waste Ma nage ment • Sp ec ial Di st ricts • Surveyor • Transportatio n October 27 , 2020 City of San Bernardino , Planning Div ision , Clo Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez 290 North D Street San Bernardino , CA 92401 Mora -Rodriguez El@sbcity .org . Transmitted Via Email www.SBCounty.gov Brendon Biggs, M.S., P.E. Director David Doublet, M.S ., P.E. Assistant Di rector File : 1 0(ENV)-4.01 RE: CEQA-NOTICE OF PREPARATION OF A DRAFT ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT REPORT FOR THE LANDING BY SAN MANUEL PROJECT Dear Ms. Mora-Rodriquez: Thank you for allowing the San Bernardino County Department of Public Works the opportunity to comment J on the above-referenced project . We received this request on October 05 , 2020 and pursuant to our review , we have the following comments: Flood Control Planning & Water Resources Division (Michael Fam, Chief, 909-387-8120): The Project's northern border is part of the Comprehens ive Storm Drain Plan (CSDP) #6 . 1. We are aware there may be storm drains in and around the site that may be affected by the proposed Project. When planning for or altering existing or future storm drains , be advised that the Project is subject to the Comprehensive Storm Drain Plan No . 6, dated August 31 , 2001 . It is to be used as a guideline for drainage in the area and is available at the San Bernardino County Department of Public Works-Flood Control Planning Section . Any revision to the drainage should be reviewed and approved by the jurisdictional agency in which the revision occurs . Should construction of new, or alterations to existing storm drains be necessary as part of the Proposed Project , their imp acts and any required mitigation should be discussed within the EIR before the document is adopted by the Lead Agency . 2 . According to the most recent FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM), Panels 06071C8701 J (dated ] September 2, 2016) and 06071C8702H (dated August 28 , 2008), the Project lies w ithin Zones A, X- shaded (500-yr. floodplain), X-unshaded, and the Regulatory Floodway. This occurrence and any potential impact of the proposed projects location within Regulatory Floodway should be included in the DEIR prior to adoption and certification. BOARll OF SUPLRVISORS R OBERT A LOVI NGOOD )ANICE R UTHERFORD D AWN R owE CURT H AGMAN )OSIE GONZALES First Dis t rict Second District Third D1str1ct Chairman. Fou rt h District Vice C hair. Fifth Dist rict Leonard X. Hernandez Chief bec:uhve Officer Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-25 Comment L etter B B-4 B-5 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report City of San Bernardino October 27 , 2020 Page 2 of 2 Permits/Operations Support Division (Sameh Basta, Chief, 909-387-7995): 1. The proposed Project is adjacent to a San Bernardino County Flood Control District (SBCFCD) facility ] and right-of-way City Creek Channel (2-603-IA). Be advised that any encroachments includ ing but not limited to access and utility crossings on SBCFCD's facilities or right-of-way will require a permit from the SBCFCD prior to start of the project. The necessity for such a permit , and any impacts associated with the permit , should be addressed in the DEIR prior to adoption and cert ification . We respectfully request to be included on the circulation list for all project notices , publ ic reviews , or public ] hearings. In closing , I would like to thank you again for allowing the San Bernardino County Department of Public Works the opportun ity to comment on the above-referenced project. Should you have any questions or need additional c larification, please contact the individuals who provided the specific comment , as listed above . Sincerely, ~A 7 MICHAEL R. PERRY Supervising Planner Environmental Management MP :AJ :nl Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-26 RESPONSES TO COMMENT LETTER B B-1 This comment letter was received by the City in response to the DEIR’s Notice of Preparation (NOP). Because the City inadvertently did not list the letter in DEIR Table 1-1, it is hereby treated as a comment letter on the DEIR. B-2 The commenter asks for clarifications about the Project’s storm drain improvements subject to Comprehensive Storm Drain Plan #6. Alterations to the existing storm facilities within Victoria Avenue and W Street will be limited to relocation of existing curb inlets and pipe extensions as a result of the proposed W Street widening. The physical impacts associated with these improvements are considered part of the Project evaluated in the DEIR. B-3 The commenter provides information about Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) floodplain maps and requests that potential floodplain impacts be evaluated. The DEIR addresses floodplains on DEIR Page 2-14 under Subsection 2.5.6, Hydrology, and in DEIR Subsection 4.5, Hydrology and Water Quality. Impacts are determined to be less than significant. B-4 The commenter advises that any encroachments into San Bernardino County Flood Control District (SBFCD) right of way will require a permit. Project-related improvements within the SBCFCD’s easement and above the existing flood control facility is limited to grading operations only. The existing ground elevation will increase by approximately two feet in this area. The physical impacts associated with these improvements are considered part of the Project evaluated in the DEIR. The SBFCD is listed as a Responsible Agency for the Project on DEIR Page 1-4. B-5 The commenter requests to be included on notification lists for the Project. The City of San Bernardino will include the County of San Bernardino County Department of Public Works on all future public notices concerning the proposed Project. Page F-27 Comment Letter C C-1 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report ~F/SBO 'nt; rn I i December 30, 2020 City of San Bernardino c/o Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez 290 North D Street San Bernardino , CA 92401 Dear Ms . Mora-Rodriguez : San Bernardino International Airport Authority 1601 E . Th ird Street, San Bernardino, CA 92408 (909) 382-4100 phone I (909) 382-4106 fax Subsequent to previous correspondence , the San Bernardino International Airport (SBIA or Airport) in coordination with our environmental consultant, Tom Dodson and Associates , have reviewed the Draft Environmental Impact Report (DEIR) prepared for The Landing by San Manuel and submits the following comments to the City of San Bernardino . This project includes an approximately 1,153,644 square foot warehouse building and support facilities (proposed project) that will involve a total of about 62.49 acres located within the boundary of former Norton Air Force Base . As you are aware , the SBIA is a responsible agency under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). The San Bernardino International Airport Authority (SBIAA) operates the Airport, a commercial airport certificated by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) which is proximate to the proposed project. The Airport is a 24-hour operation serving various types of aeronautical activities including air cargo , law enforcement air support , and essential US Forest Service aerial fire responses . These comments are submitted in furtherance of the proposed project and in compliance with SBIA's FAA requirements and applicable Airport rules and regulations . For ease of understanding and convenience, SBIAA has consolidated the comments in the attached document which has been annotated and cross-referenced for the benefit of the applicant and the City. The Airport appreciates the opportun ity to submit these comments with the goal of producing the highest quality DEIR to support approval of the proposed project's entitlements and any future second- tier environmental approvals . Should you have any questions or require any further information from the Airport , please do not hesitate to contact my office at (909) 382-4100 . rrows Chief Executive Officer San Bernardino International Airport Authority info@sbdairport.com 1.www .sbdairport.com Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-28 Comment Letter C C-2 C-3 C-13 C-4 C-5 C-6 C-7 C-9 C-12 C-10 C-8 C-11 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report COMMENTS ON THE LANDING DEIR , November 2020 Chapter 1 p.1-2 p.1-5 p.1-11 Chapter 2 p.2-1 p.2-5 Chapter 3 p.3-5 p.3-8 p.3-10 Chapter4 -SPA 20-01 para , line 3 : insert "on " between "l ocated " and "the " -Second para , last line : insert "and " between "NOP" and "the" -Para coming on page: suggest incorporating in this text that the location where the referenced document can be accessed be added to this section -The Specific Plan area has been expanded by approximately 9 acres, located in the City of San Bernardino , i.e., 194 acres -Bottom para : there is no loca l feature called "Highland Creek" -it sounds like a reference to the City Creek Bypass -Figure 2-3 : probably needs a legend to prevent confusion regarding areas bordered by red lines -Para 2 , bottom : It is not clear whether the driveway along the eastern boundary will be fenced for A irport access only ; please clarify . Who will man the security gate; Airport personnel or warehouse security? Will any project-related construction be required on Airport property? -Under heading "B": As worded , it is not clear whether the existing features to be demolished consist of 100 tons of material or not; please clarify. -I nstallat ion of secondary access to Airport SW corner; please ensure that the Airport property line is properly controlled/secured per Airport requirements . -Table 3-3 : Project Approvals/Permits; include SBIAA review and approval of utility service and connection agreements and airport-owned street improvement permits. Proper fair share contributions for mitigation of impacts to Airport properties (airport roadways , sewer, stormdrains , etc) must be payable by applicant directly to the Airport and should be included in any conditions of approval issued by the City of San Bernardino for the proposed project. p.4 .1-5 -0 3 is not a directly emitted pollutant; suggest deleting from th is statement or revise statement. p.4 .1-10 -First para, line 4: text is garbled ; please correct re : decrease. 5 J J J J J J J Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-29 Comment Letter C C-23 C-14 C-17 C-18 C-21 C-24 C-22 C-20 C-15 C-19 C-16 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report p.4 .1-26 -The total square feet increased by over 100 ,000 sf due to the change in total acreage to IL and the FAR; suggest including these points in this paragraph p.4 .1-33 -Para 2 , last sentence : this sentence contains a leap of logic regarding cumulative impacts that is not substantiated ; no data has been presented regarding cumulative trips and background concentrations ; need to expand p.4 .1-34 -Para 1, the question arises -whether the school TAC evaluation should be based on the project site or distance to the nearest roadway carrying substantial truck traffic p.4 .1-36 -Cumu lative analysis does not include a discussion ofTACs and cumulative projects 2nd para on page -Para 5 continues this train of thought p.4 .1-40 -Mitigation measure 4 .1-7 recommends including hydrogen fueling as a specific alternative -Bottom of page: why not include solar at facility to affect both NOx and CO 2 emissions from electricity and Natural gas use? Possibly require phase in of electric trucks as available? Bio Resources 14.2) p. 4.2-4 -Aside from the area not functioning as a W ildlife movement corridor, the site does not connect to any habitat to the North , South, East or West; nearest corridors are City Creek and Santa Ana River channe ls and maybe the City Creek Bypass Greenhouse Gas (4 .4) p.4.4-31 -Table 4.4-5 consistency Summary-most findings indicate no conflict w ith prescribed action ; however, is no conflict the correct measure of consistency? Hydrology and Water Quality 14 .5) p.4 .5-2 p.4 .5-7 p.4 .5-8 -Para 1, line 5 : "700 miles" should this be 70 miles for the river itself or does this include all the various tributaries? -First para on page , line 11 : change "floor" to "flood " -At several locations on this page the statement is made: "the Project would not involve the storage of potential pollutants outside of the proposed building." How will this requirement be enforced? Who w ill be responsib le for ensuring that all polluting materials are stored inside and not left outside exposed to flood hazards? -Threshold b, line 1 1: previous statements indicated no pollutants wou ld be stored outside . Here the statement is that "uncontained storage" would not be allowed . Please clar ify which circumstance is correct and if the latter, please clearly define what the term "unconfined " means . J J J J J J J J Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-30 Comment Letter C C-36 C-34 C-26 C-28 C-25 C-32 C-27 C-31 C-38 C-35 C-37 C-29 C-33 C-30 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Land Use & Plann ing (4 .6) p.4 .6-2 First para , line 7 : change "670 " to "679"; also, there is no "Highland Creek" only City Creek Bypass -Line 10: change (±185) to (±194 ) -Bottom of para : refer to attached aerial showing location and partners in the 5th Street Improvements p. 4.6-4 -Bottom of first para : should "mode' be "component" or "element"? -SCAQMD last line : should "Subsection 4.8" be "Subsection 4.6 "? Also , it would seem appropriate to provide the finding of the analysis in Subchapter 4 .1, i.e., inconsistent with the AQMP p.4 .6-8 -Bottom para : where or how did the City reach a conclusion regarding potential conflicts w ith the Natural Resources & Conservation Element based on unavoidable s ignificant impacts under the Air Quality issue? p.4 .6-9 -Municipal Code para : please reference where the City Staff's review and determination conclusions can be independently reviewed . p.4 .6-10 -Top of page: How does project integrate transfer network with land use patterns, etc. This section inappropriately references 10,000 tons threshold when the threshold used is 3 ,900 tons; correct reference . Might explain how referencing EIR disclosure prevents conflicts with SCAG RTP/SCS . -Table 4.6-1 , item 5: the project cannot claim to reduce GHG & improved Air Quality; misleading . Same for item 6 ; need to reference TAC studies in Air Quality subchapter p.4 .6-13 -Cumu lative impact conclusion not well supported Noise {4 .7) p.4 .7-21 -Recommend running through City noise ordinance standards to fully demonst rate - substantive conclusion -finding p.4 .7-29 -Horizon Year (2040), para 1, line 5 : change "segment is " to "segments are " p.4 .7-31 -Operational-related Vibration Impacts , lines 3 and 4 : change "vibration " to "vibrations" -Bottom para : The analysis and conclusion regarding offsite truck traffic is limited . Under present conditions , 5th and 3rd Streets are well paved east of Victoria , but roadways like Central and Lankersh im are not. Also , the analysis would have better supported general data conclusions with some background field measurements . J :J J :J J J J J J :J J :J J ] Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-31 Comment Letter C C-48 C-40 C-45 C-47 C-42 C-43 C-39 C-44 C-50 C-51 C-46 C-41 C-49 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report p.4 .7-32 -Para 2 : suggest providing updates for the recent Eastgate project at the airport (most or all exterior construction is complete and will not overlap with The Landing ; the AGSP has no potential to be fully implemented by 2022; however, some warehouse projects have been constructed in the general project area by others (one on 6th Street, one on 5th Street, and two east of Palm & 5th ) these should be referenced as part of the existing cumulative projects related to this project . Transportation (4.8) p.4 .8-6 -A. para 2, line 3: suggest deleting "with " -Para 3: suggest identifying closest "major transit stop " and/or the nearest high quality transit corridor existing stop -Last para , line 1: suggest "identifies" to "identify" p.4 .8-9 -Please refer to comments on Land Use consistency, including the RTP-SCS p.4 .8-10 -Para 3 : The finding of consistency suffers f rom a flawed assumption regarding payment of DIF . Fair-share funding is deemed adequate mitigation for cumulative impacts, such a traffic (1 5130(a)(3)). However, this finding ignores the failure of Lead Agencies to fund and install circulation system improvements in a timely manner. Thus , a required cumulative circulation improvement may not be installed before a project in itiates its trips and an actual significant im pact result. p.4 .8-11 -Policy 6 .5.4 , line 7 : insert "no " between "to" and "more" p.4 .8-12 -Threshold c, para 2 , line 8: please provide a definition or basis for concluding the truck staging area is "ample" -Line 12: change "existing " to "e xiting " p.4 .8-13 -Section 4.8.9 , para 2 , line 2: delete "under" p.4 .8-14 -Section 4.8.10 , line 1: again , note potential for disconnect of project operations beginning prior to cumulative improvements be installed p.4 .8-15 -Next to last sentence on page suggests qualifying conclusion in this sentence by stating enhanced jobs-housing balance may reduce VMT by some unquantifiable amount p.4 .8-18 -Tables 4 .8-2 and 4.8-3 ; there is some confusion because there is a Cumulative 2040 analysis under Table 4.8-2. Do the data in Table 4.8-3 eliminate the cumulative impact finding in Table 4 .8-2 , or is it a different cumulative impact finding? Seems like a discussion of this seeming disparity shou ld be provided or referenced . After looking at the maps , did the document discuss the freeway system effects and if so , where? ;J J ;J ;J J J ] Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-32 Comment Letter C C-55 C-56 C-57 C-58 C-59 C-60 C-61 C-52 C-53 C-54 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Chapte r 5 p.5-4 p .5-1 8 p.5-24 Cha pter6 p.6-5 p .6-8 p.6-10 p.6-11 p.6-13 -Para 3 , bottom sentence : There has been no substant ia t ion to support the conclus ion that most new employees at The Landing already live in the project area . Cons ide r provi ding substantiation for this concl usion or reassess the issue . -First para , last sentence: was the updated Phase 1 prepared? Didn 't see a reference to th is report . -Bottom para : The County Fire HMO handles business plans and hazardous material issues , not County EHS . -Threshold e : Does the draft WQMP include sampling runoff discharged to the A irport runoff system to ensure it does not violate discharge requirements of the A irport 's industrial permit? Please clarify as sampling should be included to protect the Airport and the owner. Are proper on-site stormwater monitoring po ints included in desion of the orooosed oroiect? -Para 1: Who determines infeasibi lity to construct and operate? -A lternative sites: ignores SBMI property across 3rd as an alternative -Hydro: discussion conveniently did not discuss Dam failure hazard - A ir Quality: througho ut the DE IR, the document claims that there is not additional feasible mitigation to reduce NOx emissions . In fact, there are several measures , such as: solar systems to reduce energy consumption and electrica l vehicle at a certa i n percentage of all vehicles to further red uce NOx . The EIR does not address feasibility related to this issue , and should . -Greenhouse Gas: Solar and electrical vehicles are likely feas ible mitigation measures to substantially reduce GHG emissions . -Transportation : I believe the term "Vehic le Miles Traveled " is already plural , so the acronym should be "VMT' not "VMTs" J J J ] ;J ;J ;J J J J Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-33 RESPONSES TO COMMENT LETTER C C-1 The commenter identifies themselves as a Responsible Agency under CEQA. The City acknowledges that the San Bernardino International Airport Authority (SBIAA) is a Responsible Agency for the proposed Project, and appreciates the SBIAA’s comments on the DEIR. Please refer to the individual responses to the comments raised in the attachment to this comment letter. C-2 The commenter points out a typographical error. This minor text revision has been incorporated into the FEIR, as indicated in Table F-2. C-3 The commenter points out a typographical error. This minor text revision has been incorporated into the FEIR, as indicated in Table F-2. C-4 The commenter asks where the DEIR technical appendices are found. No revision is needed pursuant to this comment. The location where the DEIR and technical appendices are available for review is included in the last paragraph on DEIR Page 1-12. C-5 The commenter clarifies the acreage of the proposed Airport Gateway Specific Plan. The description of the size of the Airport Gateway Specific Plan (AGSP) has been corrected in the FEIR on Page 2-1. C-6 The commenter points out a typographical error. The reference to the City Creek Bypass has been corrected in the FEIR on Page 2-1. C-7 The commenter asks for clarification of the red lines on DEIR Figure 2-3. No revision has been made to Figure 2-3. Figure 2-3 depicts the Project’s location on the USGS Topographic Map. Areas outlined in red on Figure 2-3 are labeled on the USGS map as “US Mil Res” which refers to United States Military Reserves. C-8 The commenter asks about the purpose of the proposed driveway in the eastern portion of the Development Site. The driveway proposed paralleling the eastern boundary of the Development Site is for SBIA use and access only. The road is intended to be used and maintained by SBIA-authorized personnel only. Security of the road will be provided by a remote access key pad and electric gate operator. As part of the proposed Project, access will be provided from this road to W Street across SBIA property as shown in the Project’s application materials and on DEIR Figure 3-11. C-9 The commenter asks for clarification regarding the amount of demolition debris. No revision is required pursuant to this comment. As indicated on DEIR Page 3-5, demolition of the existing water tower would result in 300 tons of demolished concrete footing material while the physical building construction activities associated with the relocated or replaced water tower would result in 100 tons of demolished material. C-10 The commenter recommends securing the easterly proposed driveway. Refer to Response C-7. No changes to the SBIA property line are proposed in the southwest corner of the Development Site. W Street will be maintained on the western side of the Development Site to ensure continued access to the businesses on leased airport land located on the southern side of W Street. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-34 C-11 The commenter asks for the SBIAA to be named on DEIR Table 3-3. Table 3-3 has been revised in the FEIR to indicate that the SBIAA would be responsible for approving utility service and connection agreements, and would be responsible for approving airport-related street improvement permits. The City acknowledges that fair share fee payments made by the Applicant for improvements to airport- owned roads would be paid to the SBIAA. C-12 The commenter states that O3 is not directly emitted. The text on DEIR Page 4.1-5 has been corrected so as not to imply that O3 is a directly emitted pollutant. C-13 The commenter points out a typographical error. The text has been revised accordingly on DEIR Page 4.1-10, as summarized in Table F-2. C-14 The commenter requests a numerical correction. The text under the analysis of Consistency Criterion No. 2 has been revised in the FEIR to disclose the increase in building area for “Industrial Light (IL)” land uses. C-15 The commenter questions the DEIR’s air quality cumulative impact analysis. The City disagrees with the commenter’s assertion that the conclusion of cumulative significance is not substantiated. As indicated in the Project’s Health Risk Assessment (“HRA”; EIR Technical Appendix B2): The AQMD has published a report on how to address cumulative impacts from air pollution: White Paper on Potential Control Strategies to Address Cumulative Impacts from Air Pollution. In this report the AQMD states (Page D-3): “…the AQMD uses the same significance thresholds for project specific and cumulative impacts for all environmental topics analyzed in an Environmental Assessment or EIR. The only case where the significance thresholds for project specific and cumulative impacts differ is the Hazard Index (HI) significance threshold for toxic air contaminant (TAC) emissions. The project specific (project increment) significance threshold is HI > 1.0 while the cumulative (facility-wide) is HI > 3.0. It should be noted that the HI is only one of three TAC emission significance thresholds considered (when applicable) in a CEQA analysis. The other two are the maximum individual cancer risk (MICR) and the cancer burden, both of which use the same significance thresholds (MICR of 10 in 1 million and cancer burden of 0.5) for project specific and cumulative impacts. Projects that exceed the project-specific significance thresholds are considered by the SCAQMD to be cumulatively considerable. This is the reason project-specific and cumulative significance thresholds are the same. Conversely, projects that do not exceed the project- specific thresholds are generally not considered to be cumulatively significant.” The analysis presented for the Project’s Operational Health Risk Assessment demonstrates that the maximum incremental cancer risk attributable to the DPM emissions from Project-related trucks traveling to/from the Development Site is calculated to be 7.04 in one million, which would not exceed the SCAQMD cancer risk threshold of 10 in one million for a project. The DEIR also discloses that the non-cancer health risk index would be 0.003, which would not exceed the SCAQMD non-cancer health risk index threshold of 1.0 for a project. Therefore, because the Project would not exceed the applicable thresholds, and based on SCAQMD guidance, the Project’s cancer and non-cancer risks The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-35 would be less-than-cumulatively considerable. No revisions to the DEIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. C-16 The commenter asks if evaluation of school site health risks was based on the Project’s on-site operational activities or off-site traffic distribution. The modeling used to estimate cancer and non- cancer risks at the nearest school accounts for Project-related truck traffic along roadway segments in the Project vicinity. As explained in subsection 2.2.1 of the Project’s HRA (EIR Technical Appendix B2) and depicted on Exhibit 2-A of the Project’s HRA, roadways that would accommodate substantial Project-related truck traffic were modeled as line sources, and the “…DPM emission rate for each volume source was calculated by multiplying the emission factor (based on the average travel speed along the roadway) by the number of trips and the distance traveled along each roadway segment and dividing the result by the number of volume sources along that roadway…” (HRA at Page 11). No revision to the DEIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. C-17 The commenter questions the DEIR’s air quality cumulative impact analysis. Please refer to the response to Comment C-15. As indicated, the SCAQMD thresholds of significance are used to determine both Project-specific and cumulatively-considerable health risk impacts. Because the Project would not exceed the SCAQMD cancer risk threshold of 10 in one million or the SCAQMD non-cancer health risk index threshold of 1.0, the Project’s health risk impacts would be less than significant on both a direct and cumulatively-considerable basis. Accordingly, no revisions to the DEIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. C-18 The commenter asks about alternative energy sources for on-site operations related to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-7. No revision to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-7 is warranted pursuant to this comment. The mitigation specifies that all indoor and outdoor forklifts and all outdoor cargo-handling equipment shall be electric or non-diesel fueled. Use of hydrogen fueling would be allowed under Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-7 as a “non-diesel” fuel. C-19 The commenter asks if the Project can incorporate a solar facility and accommodates for EV truck charging. Refer to Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(d) which requires that the building’s roof be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential future construction of photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays. In response to this comment, Mitigation Measure 4.4-1(d) has been expanded in the Final EIR to include the following. The City is not requiring more than a 24 KV system as part of the shell building for an indeterminate tenant because committing to a system too early and then needing to retrofit it to meet building user specifications is technologically and cost prohibitive. MM 4.4-1(d): As part of shell building permit issuance, and subject to the approval of the Federal Aviation Administration for the installation of rooftop solar panels near an airport, the applicant shall be required to install a rooftop photovoltaic system providing a minimum of 24,000 watts (24 KW) of power per year…. In addition, Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(e) requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels that may be needed in the future to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site. The Project’s design includes a truck The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-36 staging area in the southwest portion of the property, where EV charging stations for trucks are planned to be accommodated. C-20 The commenter notes that the Project site is not located near any wildlife corridors. Additional text has been added to DEIR Page 4.2-4 to further substantiate that the Project Site does not serve as a component of any wildlife linkages or corridors. C-21 The commenter asks why DEIR Table 4.4-5 uses the term “no conflict” instead of “consistent”. As indicated in DEIR Subsection 4.4.3, the applicable threshold of significance pursuant to Appendix G to the CEQA Guidelines is whether a project would “conflict with an applicable plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases.” EIR Table 4.4-5 demonstrates that the Project would not conflict with any components of the Scoping Plan. Furthermore, a number of the Scoping Plan measures are not applicable at the project level, as indicated in Table 4.4-5. Because the analysis in Table 4.4-5 addresses the threshold question included in Appendix G to the CEQA Guidelines, no revisions are warranted pursuant to this comment. C-22 The commenter points out a typographical error. The text on Page 4.5-2 has been modified to clarify that the Santa Ana River flows for over 100 miles, and that the total length of the Santa Ana River and its major tributaries is approximately 700 miles. C-23 The commenter points out a typographical error. The text on Page 4.5-7 has been revised to change “floor” to “flood.” C-24 The commenter asks for clarification about the potential for hazardous solid, liquid or gas storage. While the building is a speculative development and the building’s occupant/tenant is undetermined at this time, the building owner can and typically does impose restrictions on what types and quantities of hazardous materials may be stored/used, as well as the manner in which they are stored. This is routinely done as part of lease agreement language that incorporates references to current legal statutes requiring the proper storage of hazardous materials as well as response actions in the event of an inadvertent release. Additionally, a Hazardous Materials Management Plan (HMMP, aka; a "Business Plan") must be prepared pursuant to State requirements with oversight by the County Fire Department. The Hazardous Materials Division of the San Bernardino County Fire Department is designated by the State Secretary for Environmental Protection as the Certified Unified Program Agency or "CUPA" for the County of San Bernardino. The requirement to prepare and adhere to a HMMP is applicable to the storage of more than 55-gallons of liquid hazardous material, 200 cubic feet of gas, or 500-pounds of solid material, which must be detailed in the HMMP, with the HMMP updated at least annually (or more frequently in the event of a change in quantity) and submitted to the County Fire Department. If a HMMP is required, the HMMP details the types and quantities of materials and where they are stored on the property. With the mandated preparation of a HMMP with oversight by the San Bernardino County Fire Department for the storage of more than 55-gallons of liquid hazardous material, 200 cubic feet of gas, or 500-pounds of solid material, potential impacts would be less than significant through regulatory compliance. C-25 The commenter points out an acreage correction and a typographical error. The acreage of the Airport Gateway Specific Plan (AGSP) and the reference to the City Creek Bypass has been corrected have been corrected on DEIR Page 4.6-2. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-37 C-26 The commenter points out an acreage correction. The text has been revised to refer to the portion of the AGSP within the limits of the City of San Bernardino as +/- 194 acres. C-27 The commenter asks for additional details about the 5th Street improvement project. No revision is warranted pursuant to this comment, as the specific location and partners in the 5th Street Improvements are not relevant to the Project’s potential impacts to land use and planning. C-28 The commenter asks for a minor wording change. Text on DEIR Page 4.6-4 has been revised to change the word “mode” to “component.” C-29 The commenter points out a typographical error and asks that an analysis conclusion be repeated. The text on DEIR Page 4.6-4 has been revised to correctly refer to EIR Subsection 4.6. The conclusion regarding consistency with the SCAQMD’s AQMP is provided in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, and does not require repetition in Subsection 4.6. Nonetheless, DEIR Page 4.6-4 has been revised to reference the conclusion reached in Subsection 4.1. C-30 The commenter asks for clarification of the General Plan consistency conclusion. The text on DEIR Page 4.6-4 has been revised to include a reference to the conclusion reached in EIR Subsection 4.1 that the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts to air quality. As with potential noise impacts, because impacts to air quality were fully disclosed in EIR Subsection 4.1, no additional impacts due to General Plan policy consistency related to air quality are identified in EIR Subsection 4.6. As stated on DEIR Page 4.6-8, there are no significant environmental impacts that would result as a specific consequence of the proposed changes to the Project Site’s General Plan land use designation. The Project entails changing the land use designation of 4.97 acres from Industrial Light (IL) to Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF) and changing the land use designation of 12.89 acres from PF to IL. The net result is a change of 7.92 acres from PF to IL, whereas the significant environmental impacts disclosed in the DEIR would result from the development of a proposed industrial warehouse building on a larger 52.97-acre area. C-31 The commenter asks where records can be found confirming that the City has reviewed the Project for consistency with the City’s Municipal Code. The text on DEIR Pages 4.6-9 and 4.6-10 has been revised to indicate where the public may view City departmental comments on the Project’s application materials, and the Project Applicant’s responses thereto. C-32 The commenter asks for a specific clarification regarding consistency with the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG’s) 2020-2045 Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy (“RTP/SCS”; hereafter, “Connect SoCal”). The text on DEIR Page 4.6-10 has been modified to clarify that because the Project would entail the development of a light industrial warehouse building within an area that is already developed with similar uses, the Project would be consistent with the Connect SoCal provisions related to land use integration. The text also was modified to correctly refer to the threshold of significance used for the analysis of impacts due to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in DEIR Subsection 4.4. Text also was added to clarify the Project’s GHG impacts are fully disclosed in DEIR Subsection 4.4. C-33 The commenter questions the Project’s consistency with SCAG’s Connect SoCal goal related to the reduction of GHG emissions and the improvement of air quality. This goal does not preclude The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-38 development projects, such as the proposed Project, that may have significant and unavoidable impacts under CEQA. Rather, the Connect SoCal strategies for reducing regional GHG and air quality emissions rely on compact development patterns and investments in transportation facilities throughout the SCAG region. The Project would be consistent with the Connect SoCal strategies for compact land use patterns through the development of warehouse uses in an area with similar uses and with direct access to the San Bernardino International Airport. Furthermore, and as noted in EIR Table 4.6-1, the Project incorporates mitigation measures to reduce air quality impacts and GHG emissions to the maximum feasible extent. Although the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts to air quality and due to GHG emissions, as fully disclosed in EIR Subsections 4.1, Air Quality, and 4.4, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, there are no components of the proposed Project that would result in a conflict with the Connect SoCal goals or strategies related to air quality and GHG emissions. A revision has been made in DEIR Table 4.6-1 to the discussion of Goal 6 to reference the conclusion reached in EIR Subsection 4.1 that the Project would not result in any localized air quality impacts affecting sensitive receptors. C-34 The commenter suggests that the conclusion made for cumulative land use and planning impact needs more support. The City disagrees with the commenter’s assertion that the cumulative impact conclusion is not well supported. The analysis of the Project’s cumulatively-considerable impacts to land use and planning concludes that because the Project would result in less-than-significant impacts due to a conflict with any land use plan, policy or regulation adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect, the Project also would not result in cumulatively-considerable impacts due to such a conflict. There is no evidence in this comment letter or in the Project’s administrative record demonstrating that the Project would have cumulatively-considerable impacts due to a conflict with any land use plan, policy or regulation adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect. Accordingly, no revision to the DEIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. C-35 The commenter suggests that more support be provided to conclude that the Project’s construction will be consistent with the City’s Noise Ordinance. DEIR Subsection 4.7.4 presents the thresholds of significance used to evaluate potential construction-related noise impacts, which are summarized in DEIR Table 4.7-6, Significance Criteria Summary. As indicated, the City’s Noise Ordinance establishes hours of the day (between 7:00 a.m. and 8:00 p.m.) during which construction-related noise is considered exempt from restrictions. Because the City’s Noise Ordinance does not establish a numerical level at which construction noise during daytime hours would be considered significant, a threshold of significance of 80 dBA Leq was established for analysis in the DEIR, based on the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Transit Noise and Vibration Impact Assessment Manual (2018). Impacts were found to be less than significant. As such, Project-related construction activities would not conflict with the City’s Noise Ordinance, and no revisions to the DEIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. C-36 The commenter points out a typographical error. The discussion on DEIR Page 4.7-29 has been revised to state “segments are” instead of “segment is.” C-37 The commenter points out a typographical error. The reference to “vibration” has been changed to “vibrations” on DEIR Page 4.7-31. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-39 C-38 The commenter suggests that more support be provided for the assumed distribution of Project-related truck traffic and for vibration analysis. All roadways that would accommodate Project-related truck traffic consist of paved roadways that are regularly maintained by the City of San Bernardino and/or the City of Highland. None of the roadways that are assumed to accommodate Project-related truck traffic exhibit frequent potholes in the road or other physical deterrents to truck travel. Also, designated truck routes were considered in the directional distribution assumptions. The analysis presented at the bottom of DEIR Page 4.7-31 relies upon the FTA Transit Noise and Vibration Impact Assessment Manual (2018), which indicates that rubber-tired traffic is rarely perceptible on smooth roadways, and would not create vibration that exceeds 70 VdB; thus, Project-related truck traffic would not exceed the identified vibration significance criteria of 78 VdB for daytime hours or 72 VdB for nighttime hours. Therefore, the City finds that there is substantial evidence presented in the DEIR demonstrating that vibration effects associated with Project truck traffic would be less than significant. No revisions to the DEIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. C-39 The commenter supplies information about the Eastgate Building 1 project to the west, which was considered in the DEIR’s cumulative impact assessments. This comment provides additional support to the DEIR’s conclusion that cumulatively-considerable construction-related noise impacts would be less than significant. While it is acknowledged that most construction activities at the Eastgate Building 1 project are complete, the analysis nonetheless demonstrates that in the unlikely event construction activities would overlap, the resulting noise levels experienced at nearby sensitive receptors would be below the identified thresholds of significance. Further, and as noted by this comment, there is no potential that the AGSP project would be under construction at the same time as the proposed Project, particularly in consideration of the fact that the AGSP project is not yet approved and the NOP for the AGSP EIR is not yet released for public review. Furthermore, for the warehouse projects referenced in the latter part of this comment, construction activities have been completed; thus, these developments would not be under construction at the same time as the proposed Project, and there is no potential for cumulatively-considerable noise impacts associated with these developments. Accordingly, no revision to the DEIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. C-40 The commenter points out a typographical error. The term “with” has been deleted on DEIR Page 4.8- 6. C-41 The commenter asks for clarification about transit classification locations. Revisions have been made on DEIR Page 4.8-6 to explain why the bus routes in the local area do not meet the definitions for a “major transit stop” or “high-quality transit corridor.” C-42 The commenter points out a typographical error. The term “identifies” has been changed to “identify” on DEIR Page 4.8-7. C-43 The commenter refers to Comments C-25 through C-34. Please refer to the responses to Comments C-25 through C-34, above. No revisions to the DEIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. C-44 The commenter suggests that the City may have erred in determining that the use of DIF fees will mitigate roadway level of service (LOS) deficiencies. The City disagrees with the commenter’s assertion that the Project would result in significant near-term impacts to transportation due to the timing of identified improvements funded by DIF fees. The Project Applicant would be conditioned The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-40 to pay DIF fees and fair-share fees to address the Project’s contribution to Level of Service (LOS) deficiencies, in conformance with City requirements. The improvements identified in EIR Subsection 4.18 would achieve an acceptable LOS in conformance with the LOS standards identified by the City’s General Plan. The commenter is correct that certain needed transportation improvements may not be in place at the time of Project occupancy, and that certain study area facilities may not achieve the desired LOS as identified by the City’s General Plan in the near term. However, pursuant to Senate Bill 743 and CEQA Guidelines Section 15064.3(a), “…a project’s effect on automobile delay [i.e., LOS] shall not constitute a significant environmental impact.” Therefore, any near-term LOS deficiencies at study area intersections would not represent a significant impact under CEQA, including any deficiencies that may result from the delayed implementation of needed improvements. Furthermore, the timing of required improvements to the transportation network would be determined by City of San Bernardino and/or City of Highland staff, and is not within the control of the Project Applicant. Further, any delay in implementation of required transportation improvements would not be caused by Project implementation, as the Project Applicant would contribute fair-share and DIF fees toward the cost of required improvements. Accordingly, no revisions to the DEIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. C-45 The commenter points out a typographical error. The text on DEIR Page 4.8-11 has been revised as requested by this comment. C-46 The commenter asks about capacity of the Project’s proposed truck staging area. The text on DEIR Page 4.8-12 has been modified to more clearly explain that parking areas in the southwestern portion of the Development Site would serve as a truck staging area that would preclude the need for trucks to queue on public streets. C-47 The commenter points out a typographical error. The term “existing” has been changed to “exiting” on DEIR Page 4.8-13. C-48 The commenter points out a typographical error. The term “under” has been deleted under subsection 4.8.9 on DEIR Page 4.8-13. C-49 The commenter repeats Comment C-44. Please refer to the response to Comment C-44, above. As indicated, pursuant to Senate Bill 743 and CEQA Guidelines Section 15064.3(a), deficient LOS is not considered a significant environmental impact under CEQA. Because the Project would contribute DIF fees and fair share contributions for improvements that would achieve an acceptable LOS at study area facilities, the Project would not conflict with General Plan policies related to LOS, and therefore Project impacts would be less than significant on both a direct and cumulatively-considerable basis. No revisions are warranted pursuant to this comment. C-50 The commenter suggests that the Project would achieve some amount of VMT reduction by approving the local jobs to housing balance. The text on EIR Page 4.8-16 has been supplemented with an explanation that although the Project would improve the local jobs-housing balance, the reduction in VMT associated with expanded employment opportunities on site cannot be quantified. C-51 The commenter asks for clarification of the cumulative impact conclusion for VMT impacts, and also asks if the freeway system was analyzed. The freeway system level of service was not analyzed The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-41 because the Project would contribute fewer than 50 peak hour trips to State Highway System facilities, and the significance analysis methodology is based on VMT. Pertaining to VMT, please refer to DEIR Subsection 4.8.4 which explains the City’s methodology for calculating VMT impacts. As explained therein, the City uses two measures for evaluating the significance of impacts due to VMT. The first is an assessment of VMT that would be generated by a development project, and the second is an assessment of a project’s effect on VMT within the City. The data presented in DEIR Table 4.8-2 provides an assessment of Project-generated VMT and discloses the Project-generated VMT per service population (i.e., Project-related employees). Per the City Guidelines for VMT, the Project’s ratio of VMT per service population must be conducted for both the baseline year and for General Plan Buildout, and then compared to the estimated VMT per service population that would result from buildout of the City’s General Plan. Under the City’s methodology, VMT impacts would be significant if a project’s VMT per service population were to exceed the City of San Bernardino General Plan buildout VMT per service population. As indicated in Table 4.8-2, the Project would exceed the General Plan buildout VMT per service population under both the Baseline (2020) and Cumulative (2040) scenarios, thereby resulting in a significant impact. The data presented in DEIR Table 4.8-3 shows the Project’s net effect on VMT per service population within the City of San Bernardino. Whereas the data presented in Table 4.8-2 discloses the ratio of Project-related VMT to the Project’s service population, the data in Table 4.8-3 discloses the ratio of total VMT within the City to the City- wide service population (i.e., residents and employees). As shown in Table 4.8-3, the Project and other cumulative developments would result in a net reduction in the ratio of Citywide VMT per service population, which pursuant to the City Guidelines represents a less-than-significant impact. However, because the Project-generated VMT assessment (DEIR Table 4.8-2) shows that the Project’s VMT per service population would exceed the City’s threshold of significance, impacts due to VMT are disclosed as a significant impact. No revision to the DEIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. C-52 The commenter asks for substantiation of the DEIR’s statement that the Project’s employees will live in the local area. The text on DEIR Page 5-4 has been revised to provide additional discussion to support the EIR’s determination that a majority of Project-generated jobs would be filled by existing or future residents of the local area. Specifically, the City supplies a relatively high number of housing units when compared to the number of jobs provided in the City. Thus, it can be concluded that there is a sufficient local labor pool from which Project-generated employment opportunities can be filled. In addition, as of November 2020, the unemployment rate in the Riverside-San Bernardino region is 7.9 percent as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Statistics 2 and in the City of Highland is 13.4 percent. Due to the size of the local labor pool and the local unemployment rates, Project-generated jobs likely would be filled by existing or planned residents, and therefore the Project is unlikely to result in substantial growth in the area. C-53 The commenter asks if an updated Phase I Environmental Site Assessment (ESA) was prepared for the Development Site. The text on DEIR Page 5-18 has been revised to incorporate the findings of the Project’s updated Phase I ESA, which was appended as DEIR Technical Appendix H. As noted in the 2 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, November 2020 Unemployment Rate for Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario CA found at https://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.ca_riverside_msa.htm. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-42 revisions, the updated Phase I ESA demonstrates that the Development Site does not contain any Recognized Environmental Conditions (RECs), consistent with the findings of the 2004 Phase I ESA report. C-54 The commenter clarifies the authoritative agency for HMMPs. The text on DEIR Page 5-18 has been corrected to identify the Hazardous Materials Division of the San Bernardino County Fire Department as the regulating agency for hazardous materials within the City. C-55 The commenter asks if water discharge sampling will be conducted for water discharged to the SBIAA’s runoff system. Sampling is not required at this phase of the entitlement process because the Development Site does not directly drain to a water of the United States.3 Pursuant to the Project’s WQMP included as DEIR Technical Appendix I1, all of the Development Site’s runoff will be treated on-site prior to discharge. Sampling will occur as part of the construction permit’s Stormwater Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP), which is required by City of San Bernardino Municipal Code Chapter 8.80 (Storm Water Drainage System), discussed on DEIR Pages 5-16, 5-21, and 5-22. C-56 The commenter asks for clarification about the decision-making process for alternative feasibility. The text on DEIR Pages 6-4 and 6-5 has been modified to indicate that the City evaluated the feasibility of alternatives as part of the DEIR’s deliberative preparation process. The text also was revised to explain the reasons why alternatives to the proposed Project may be infeasible to construct or operate. C-57 The commenter asks if property owned by the Project Applicant north of 3rd Street was considered as an alternative site for the proposed Project. As indicated in DEIR Subsection 6.2, alternatives were rejected from consideration if they could not achieve the Project’s objectives, would not have resulted in a reduction of significant adverse environmental impacts, or if the alternative was determined to be infeasible. While it is correct that the Project Applicant owns property north of 3rd Street, the sizes of such properties are too small (about half as small) to accommodate the proposed Project. Also, many of those properties are designated and zoned for residential use and could not accommodate the proposed Project absent legislative actions to change the land use and zoning designations to industrial designations and replace the reduction in planned residential housing units pursuant to SB 330, the Housing Crisis Act of 2019. In addition, development of the proposed Project on an alternative site north of 3rd Street would not reduce the Project’s adverse environmental effects. The development would still generate traffic and vehicle miles traveled, would still generate air quality pollutant emissions and greenhouse gas emissions, and would still generate traffic noise, regardless if the building were located in its currently proposed location south of 3rd Street or in another nearby location north of 3rd Street. As explained in DEIR Subsection 6.2.1, development of the Project at an alternative location would not reduce the Project’s significant and unavoidable impacts to air quality, due to greenhouse gas emissions, due to Project-related traffic noise, or due to VMT. No revision to the DEIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. C-58 The commenter notes that the DEIR text did not address dam inundation hazards. Text has been added on DEIR Page 6-8 to disclose that the No Development Alternative (NDA) would result in reduced 3 Communication from David Evans Associates to T&B Planning, Inc., via e-mail January 13, 2021. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-43 impacts associated with inundation due to potential failure of the Seven Oaks Dam, because no development would be located on the Development Site that could be affected by inundation. C-59 The commenter suggests that additional feasible mitigation is available to address NOx emissions, generally mentioning the use of solar systems and electric powered vehicles (EV). Both of these measures are already included in the DEIR. Refer to Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(d) and the addition thereto presented in Response C-19, which requires that the shell building include a PV system providing a minimum of 24 KW of power per year, and that the remainder of the building’s roof be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential future construction of photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays. In addition, Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(e) requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels that may be needed in the future to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site. The Project’s design includes a truck staging area in the southwest portion of the property, where EV charging stations for trucks are planned to be accommodated. Additionally, the Project is required to comply with the California Green Building Standards Code (CALGreen), which requires that a certain number of EV charging stations for passenger vehicles be installed. C-60 The commenter suggests that additional feasible mitigation is available to address GHG emissions, generally mentioning the use of solar systems, purchase of offsets, and uses of electric powered vehicles (EV). Solar and EV accommodations are already addressed in the DEIR. Refer to Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(d), which requires that the building’s roof be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential future construction of photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays, and the addition to MM 4.4-1(d) described in Response C-19, above. In addition, Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(e) requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels that may be needed in the future to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site. The Project’s design includes a truck staging area in the southwest portion of the property, where EV charging stations for trucks are planned to be accommodated. Additionally, the Project is required to comply with the California Green Building Standards Code (CALGreen), which requires that a certain number of EV charging stations for passenger vehicles be installed. C-61 The commenter points out a typographical error. The DEIR has been corrected throughout to use the term “VMT” in lieu of “VMTs.” Page F-44 C omment Letter D D-1 D-2 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report ~ INLAND EMPIRE Y BIKING ALLIANCE 29 November 2020 Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez City of San Bernardino, Planning Division 290 North D Street San Bernardino, CA 92401 Re : The Landing by San Manual Draft Environmental Impact Report SCH No. 20200100067 Dear Elizabeth, I am writing on behalf of the Inland Empire Biking Alliance , a local nonprofit dedicated to ensuring that cycling is an accessible activity for people from all rolls of life . This letter is in response to the Draft Environmental Impact Report ("DEIR") which has been prepared for the The Landing by San Manuel project ("Project") that is available for public review and comment. After a close inspection of the documents, we are providing the following comments in response to the DEIR. By farour biggest concern remains the provision of the City Creek Trail ("Trail ") which is planned to run alon g the drainage channel which fronts the Project site along grd Street and then crosses to the north side approximately 600 feet east of the intersection with Victoria A venue . In our previous comment letter dated October 6, 2020, we provided the evidence that the Trail has been en visioned on planning documents for the C ity of San Bernardino, the San Bernardino County Transportation Authority, and the City of Highland for more than a decade. While the Traffic Analysis ("TIA ") prepared by Urban Crossroads and dated November 4 ,202 does now at least acknowledge the existence of this prior planning which had been overlooked in the Traffic Analysis which was prepared for the Initial Study for the Project , we maintain th,at the provided remedies and mitigations do not adequately address the issue of the Project cutting off the location for the Trail as is mapped on those documents. In section 4.8.8 Impact Analysis of the DEIR, it states that "[n]ear the Victoria Avenue and 3rd Street intersection , the planned trail is designed to cross to the north side of 3rd Street north of the Development Site. Other than at the 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue intersection where the planned crossing is to occur, and where the Project Applicant plans to enhance the pavement markings to denote the bike crossing , the planned City Creek Trail is not planned to occur within or abut the Development Site boundaries." However, this statement cannot possibly be true for a number of reasons . First , while no project-level planning has been done for the Trail , it is evident from both the maps provided by the cities and SBCT A as well as the physical realities of the existing conditions that the intended and most logical path would be for the Trail to cross 3 rd Street at the same location as the P.O. BOX 9266 Redlands, CA 92375 www.iebike.org 909.800.4322 Final EIR Lead Agenc y : C ity o f San Be rn ardino SCH No . 202010006 7 Page F-45 C omment Letter D D-3 D-4 D-5 D-2(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report ~ INLAND EMPIRE Y BIKING ALLIANCE City Creek itself which is located approximately 600 feet east of the intersection of 3 rd Street and Victoria Avenue and continue on the path the Creek travels . If the Trail were to follow the City Creek as planned , it would obviously abut the Project site along 3rd Street to that location because that is precisely what the City Creek does, in direct contradiction to what is asserted in the DEIR. Additionally, a site visit to the area on December 12 , 2020 confirmed that there are currently a number of structures located on the north side of3 rd Street east of Victoria Avenue which constrains the ability for the Trail to be placed on the north side of 3rd Street , yet no additional information is provided about how that oversight would be remedied. It also again begs the question of why the Trail would be shifted to the north side of 3rd Street which is not where the City Creek is given that doing so would present significant hurdles to completion via a need to potentially remove structures and/or present many more driveway conflicts. Thus , we strongly dispute the assertion that the impacts to the Trail by the Project would be "less than significant" as the DEIR currently states. In fact , the Project as currently planned woul d present a significant impact to the Trail by causing it to be broken without adequate connection from the intersection of 3rd Street and Victoria A venue to what should be the future intersection of 3 rd Street and the Trail . This is in direct violation of Policies 8.3 .1, 8.3.2, 8.3 .3, 8.3.4, 8 .3.9, 8.3 .11 , and 8.4.4 of City of San Bernardino General Plan which together make it clear that it is the intention of the City that the trail network and facilities be constructed as part of other ongoing development when that occurs . Additionally, the DEIR presents MM 4.8-2 which states that "[a]s part of street improvement plans for the 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue intersection and with concurrence of the City of Highland , the developer to enhance the intersection pavement markings to demark bike lane crossings across 3rd Street at the intersection" (p. 4.8-15), but this does precisely nothing to connect the Trail from the point where the City Creek meets 3rd Street to the intersection with Victoria Avenue. While it is true that sidewalks and Class II bike lanes currently exist in that area, neither of those meet the standards for trails which are set forth by either the City of Highland or the City of San Bernardino. Thus , the failure of providing an actual trail facility for the Trail is a significant impact that as currently p lanned , remains unmitigated. In section 6.5 Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis section of the TIA , it is stated that no additional signals are warranted in the 2022 condition. However, as detailed above , the appropriate path for the Trail to take is to follow the City Creek along 3rd Street from the intersection of Victoria Avenue to where it crosses to the north side of3 rd Street . While trail crossings are sometimes considered to be "mid block " locations and thus face a desire to shift them to be concurrent with existing intersections (e .g. as MM 4 .8-2 proposes), the CA MUTCD standard only recommends that they be further than 300 feet from a nearby intersection. The location where the Trail would cross 3rd Street is located approximately 600 feet from the intersection with Victoria A venue to the west. P.O. BOX 9266 Redlands, CA 92375 www.iebike.org 909.800.4322 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-46 C omment Letter D D-6 D-7 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report ~ INLAND EMPIRE Y BIKING ALLIANCE Per the CA MUTCD Section 4C.05 Warrant 4, Pedestrian Volume , it is highly likel y that the point where the Trail would cross 3'd Street would indeed meet the warrant for a full signal (which in conjunction with bicycle signal faces , would be an ideal option for a trail crossing) based on Figure 4C-6. Warrant 4 , Pedestrian Four-Hour Volume (70% Factor) and would certainly meet the warrant for a pedestrian hybrid beacon ("PHB ") per Section 4F.0l Application of Pedestrian Hybrid Beacons , Figure 4F-2. Guidelines for Installation of Pedestrian Hybrid Beacons on High-Speed Roadways. (Based on the existing speed limit on 3'd Street as well as the forecast traffic counts shown in Exhibit 6-4: EAPC [2022] Traffic Volumes [In PCE], it is appropriate to use the 70% factor and high -speed roadways warrants in this instance.) This is a vio lation of Policy 6.2 .7 of the City of San Bernardino 's General Plan and an oversight which is in need of additional study to remedy. The same oversight and violation of Policy 6:2.7 is repeated in section 7.5 Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis where though the need for additional traffic signals is found to be warranted in the 2040 horizon yea r, the analysis fails to include the intersection of the Trail and 3rd Street for study. Accordingly, this again needs to be planned for inclusion because as detailed in Ex hibit 7-4: Horizon Year (2040) With Project Traffic Volumes (In PCE) the vo lume s forecast for 3rd Street clearly exceed the same warrants from Figure 4C-6. Warrant 4 , Pedestrian Four-H our Volume (70% Factor) and Figure 4F-2. Guidelines for Installation of Ped estrian Hybrid Beacons on High-Speed Roadways that are already forecast to be met by the EAPC (2022) conditions. In summary , though the DEI R ha s at least improved on the NOP and 1;1ow acknowledges the fact that the Trail has been envisioned and planned for years, it does no t adequately miti gate the impacts which the Project would have on its completion . We remain concerned that this Project will cause irreparable harm to the Trail which will not only be a step backwards for bic yclists and other users, but also hamper the ability forthe Project to achieve targets for VMT and GHG re duction s which would be easier to accomplish with additional investment to create low-stress facilities linkin g the Project with the region. Sincerely, Marven E . Norman , Exec utive Direct or CC: CityofHighland ,City of San Bernardino , Assemblymember James Ramos , SenatorRosilicie Ochoa Bogh P.O. BOX 9266 Redlands, CA 92375 www.iebike.org 909.800.4322 Final EIR Lead Agen c y : C ity of San Be rn ardino SCH No . 202010006 7 Page F-47 C omment Letter D •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report ~ INLAND EMPIRE Y BIKING ALLIANCE References California Department of Transportation . (2017). Part 4: Highway Traffic Signals. In California Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (CAMUTCD). Retrieved online from https://dot.ca.gov/-/media/dot-media/programs/safety-programs/documents/ca-mutcd /rev- 5/camutcd2014-part4-rev5 .pd f. City of Highland. (2006). Chapter 5: Conservation and Open Space Element. In City of Highland General Plan. Retrieved online from https ://www .cityofhigh land. org/DocumentCenterN iew /148/Conservation -and-Open-Space- Element-PDF. City of San Bernardino. (2005). City of San Bernardino General Plan . Retrieved online from http ://sbcity.org/civicax/filebank/blobd load .aspx?b lobid =26199. City of San Bernardino. (2020). Draft Environmenta l Impact Report SCH No. 20200 I 0006 7: The Landing by San Manue l. Retrieved on line from http ://sbcity.org/civicax/filebank/blobdload.aspx?b lobid=29072. Urban Crossroads fo r City of San Bernardino . (2020). The Landing by San Manue l Traffic Impact Analysis. Retrieved online from http ://www .s bcity .org/civicax/filebank/b lob d load .aspx?b lobid=29088 . P.O. BOX 9266 Redlands, CA 92375 www.iebike.org 909.800.4322 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-48 RESPONSES TO COMMENT LETTER D D-1 The commenter expresses concern about the planned alignment of the City Creek Trail bike crossing of 3rd Street and suggests that the Project accommodate the crossing approximately 600 feet east of the intersection of 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue. The City Creek Trail is identified as a Class I bike trail in the San Bernardino County Active Transportation Plan (2020) developed by the San Bernardino County Transportation Authority (SBCTA) and in the City of Highland Active Transportation Plan (2020) which was published in December 2020 after the DEIR was released for public review. In the vicinity of the Project Site, the City Creek Class I Trail is planned to run in the southwesterly direction along the City Creek Drainage Channel north of the Project Site, cross 3rd Street, and continue west along the south side of 3rd Street. A general illustration was provided in Exhibit 3-6 of Project’s Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) attached as Technical Appendix K-2 to the DEIR. Class II bike lanes already exist on both sides of 3rd Street along the Project Site frontage. The proposed Project includes the enhancement of pavement markings for a bike crossing at the 3rd Street/Victoria Avenue intersection to assist in bicycle safety at the present time, as the City Creek Trail is a planned trail and not an existing trail and implementation of the Trail by the City of Highland is shown in the City of Highland’s Active Transportation Plan (2020) on Page 166, as having a priority score of 20 (out of 65) which indicates it is on the lowest tier of projects for the City of Highland. The City of San Bernardino expects that a technical alignment study will be prepared by the involved agencies (such as the Cities of San Bernardino, Highland and SBCTA) as required to determine final trail alignment, roadway crossing locations, merging locations with city streets and all traffic control devices. The installation of pedestrian beacons or other traffic control devices at this time, when final trail alignment or preferred crossing locations are not known, is not recommended without approved technical studies by all responsible agencies. The author of the City of Highland’s Active Transportation Plan was contacted and indicated that “while there are typically design guidelines for trails, there needs to be additional planning, design, and engineering for any of the trails projects.”4 Regardless, the implementation of the proposed Project will not preclude the future installation of the Class I trail segment planned on the south side of 3rd Street between Victoria Avenue and the location of the City Creek Channel. As shown on the below exhibit, the Project’s design plans that would be approved by the City of San Bernardino as part of the proposed Project allocate a 10-foot width of land available for a trail along the south side of 3rd Street along the Development Site’s frontage between Victoria Avenue and the City Creek Trail drainage channel. The Project Applicant is not proposing to construct the trail segment or a mid-block crossing because at present time there has not yet been a technical study prepared by the involved agencies as noted in the preceding paragraph. 4 E-mail communication from Samuel Zneimer, Senior Planner, Alta Planning+Design, to Tracy Zinn, Principal, T&B Planning, dated January 20, 2021. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-49 Source: David Evans & Associates, 2021 For conceptual purposes only, the below exhibit shows how a 10-foot-wide trail could be positioned between the back of the existing sidewalk and the Development Site, between the intersection of 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue and the location of the existing drainage channel. Source: David Evans & Associates, 2021 D-2 The commenter provides additional information advocating that the planned alignment of the City Creek Trail bike crossing of 3rd Street is to be located approximately 600 feet east of the intersection of 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue. As indicated in Response D-1 above, the proposed Project accommodates area for a future trail will not preclude the future establishment of the trail or the crossing. D-3 The commenter opines that the Project’s impacts to the planned trail should be deemed a significant impact. This topic of applicable circulation system plans is discussed in the DEIR under Subsection 4.8, Threshold a), but the planned City Creek Trail was not discussed because it is a planned trail by The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-50 the City of Highland and County of San Bernardino, whereas the Project Site is located in the City of San Bernardino and subject to the City of San Bernardino’s General Plan, which is less specific on the trail location. Nonetheless, as explained in Response D-1, the Project’s design makes spacing accommodation for the future trail and will not preclude the establishment of the trail in its currently planned location. As such, impacts are less than significant. D-4 The commenter accurately notes that the proposed Project does not include provisions for a mid-block crossing of 3rd Street by the City Creek Trail. As indicated in Response D-1 above, the proposed Project will not preclude the future establishment of the trail or the crossing. D-5 The commenter advocates for a planned bike crossing for the City Creek Trail across 3rd Street mid- block approximately 600 feet west of the Victoria Avenue/3rd Street intersection. As indicated in Response D-1 above, the proposed Project will not preclude the future establishment of the trail or the crossing. D-6 The commenter provides a closing comment that advocates for a planned bike crossing for the City Creek Trail across 3rd Street mid-block approximately 600 feet west of the Victoria Avenue/3rd Street intersection, with a traffic signal. As indicated in Response D-1 above, the proposed Project allocates a 10-foot-wide area for the future implementation of the trail. As such, the Project will not preclude the future establishment of the trail or the crossing and is consistent with, and not in conflict with, the General Plan pertaining to the planned trail. Page F-51 C omment Letter e E-1 E-2 E-3 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report December 3 1, 2020 City of San Bernardino Community & Economic Development Plan n ing Div ision 290 North D St reet San Bernardino, CA 92401 Via U.S . M ail and ema il to mora -rodriguez_e ls@sbc ity.o rg Re: Comments o n The Landing by San Manue l EIR Dea r City Planner: COOL --- WORLD -- INSTITUTE --- Cool W orld In st itute, a project of Advocates for the Envi ro nme nt , subm its the co mm e nts in this letter regarding the proposed Land ing by San Ma nuel Project (the Project) and the Draft En vironmental Impact Repo rt t he City approved for this Project (the EI R). Cool W orld Institute is part of a no n-profit env ironme nta l law f irm and advocacy organ iz ation w it h a focus on fighting cl imate change in Californ ia. Cool World Institute submits t hese comments to public agencies in order to e ncou rage them to co nsider climate-change effects throughout their work, reduce gree nh o use-gas emiss io ns in their proj ects , and improve thei r own ana lyse s of g ree nh o us e-g as im p acts in C EQA documents. The Project wo uld redevelop a forme r A ir-Fo rce base into a major industria l center within the City of Sa n Bernardino . It would involve the co nst ruction of a large warehouse on t he site with approxima tely 218 load in g bays for large ind ust ria l trucks. Th e project site occupies approximate ly 62.49 acres within t he City of San Be rn ardino. Climate Change Clim at e change is th e change in the average long-t erm weather con dit ions across th e Earth. Wh ile t he Ea rth 's climate natural ly cha nges so mewhat over time, the re have bee n extremely ra pid and unusua l changes over the last ce ntu ry. The Earth's tempe ra t ure has inc re ased 2.0° Fa h re nhe it since 1880, and the twenty wa rmest yea rs in our Earth's history have all occ u rred sin ce 1998. Climate change ca uses extreme wea t he r, droughts, ris in g sea levels, more acidic oceans, health threats, increase d wil d life ext inction risks, air pol lution, and mo re. Specifically, in Californ ia, there have been record-b reaking high temperatures t his past year, increased wi ldfi res, hea lt h im p acts from extreme heat and smoke from fi res, declining wa t er supply, reduced ag ricultu ral impacts, e ros io n in coastal areas, and more t ha t ca n all be linked t o t he increasing effect s of climate change. 10211 Su nl and Blvd ., Shadow Hills, CA USA +l {818) 650-0030 XlOl dw@aenv .org Final EIR ] Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-52 C omment Letter e E-4 E-5 E-6 E-3(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report CEQA Comment Letter: The Landing by San M anuel D raft EI R December 3 1, 2020 Page 2 G reen house-gas (G HG) e mi ssi ons generat ed by h uman activity, incl ud in g com bu stion of fossi l fu els such as na t u ral gas, are a lea d ing ca use o f cl imate cha nge. The Project Would Have Huge Climate Impacts The EIR concl udes t hat Proj ect's G HG emi ss ions wou ld const itute a sig ni ficant cum u lat ive im p act under CEQA (EIR pp. 4 .4-27, 4 .4 -33.) It adopt s a sign ificance thresho ld of 3,000 MTCO2e p er yea r. (EIR p . 4.4-2 1.) The Proj ect's estima t ed em issions of 23,51 4.1 5 MTCO2e/year (EIR p . 4 .4-28) excee d th is th reshold by a factor of more than e ight . Th e largest sha re of the Pro ject's G HG e m issio ns co me fro m mobil e sou rces (ca rs and tru cks), b ut t he Pro j ect's d irect energy usage , for heating, coo ling, l ightin g, etc., est ima t ed as 7,020.44 MTCO2 e, by its e lf is more t han t wice t he t hres ho ld amount. It appears t hat the 23,5 14.15 MTCO2e est imate is th e EI R's est imate for t he Project's G HG em iss io ns, t aking into acco unt the m it igatio n measures and ap p licable reg u latio ns list ed in the EIR . 23,5 14 MTCO2e is a huge amo unt . Em itting G HGs is, in econom ic t erms, an ext e rn al it y, a cost of the Project that t he applica nt d oes not p ay b ut, inst ead, imposes on t he wo rl d at lar g e . Usi ng t he U.S. $86/t on ne socia l cost of ca rbon fro m a 201 8 article in N atu re Climate Cha nge,1 the project wo u ld impose 23,514 X $86 = j ust over $2 m il lion in cost s p er year on others, for t he life of th e Pro j ect . The Proj ect's sha re of wor ld-wide G HG emissio ns m ay be sma l l, but t hose e m iss io ns affect every o ne of t he 7 b illio n in habita nts o f th is pla net. The EIR Mistakenly Cla ims the Project is Consistent with the CARS 2017 Scoping Plan The EIR correctly co ncludes that the Project's em issions are sig n ifica nt unde r Thresho ld a, but wrong ly concludes, u nder Th res ho ld b , t ha t t he Project is consist ent wit h t he CA RB 2017 Sco p ing Plan, whi ch is attached to t his letter as Exhi bit 1. 2 The EIR, in Tab le 4.4 -5, on pages 4.4-28 -4 .4-32, lists ways t hat t he Proj ect is com p atib le with the CARB 2017 Scopi ng Plan, but fa ils to pro p e rly ana lyze in cons iste nc ies . T he re are ma ny incons iste ncies , in cl ud ing the fo llowi ng: • Th e Sco p ing Plan st at es t hat VMT red uctions w ill b e necessary to ac hieve its goals (p. 75), b ut t he Proj ec t great ly inc reases VMT. The Pro j ect w il l resul t in a net inc rease of 2,458 actua l ve hicu lar t rips per day and 3,432 passenger car equ iva le nt (PCE) veh icu la r trips per d ay. (D EIR Table 4.8-1.) The Project's VMT per serv ice popu lat ion values wou ld excee d the City's adopted th res ho ld by 33% for basel in e (202 0) cond it io ns and 25 .9% for cum ulative (20 40) cond iti o ns. (D EIR Tab le 4 .8-2 .) Th is add iti on of a la rge amo un t of t raffic is not consist en t wi t h the 1 Kat hari ne Ricke, Laurent Dr ouet , Ken Caldeira, an d Massi mo Tavo ni, Co untry-level social cos t of carbo n, Nature Climat e Chan ge, avai lab le at < https://doi.org/10 .1 0 38/s41558-018-02 82-y l > 2 For the hard-co py versi on of this le tter, sent t o t he City vi a USPS ma il , t he Exhi bit s are on a CD i ncl uded wi th the letter. Please incl ud e th em in t he re cord fo r this ca se. 10211 Su nland Blvd ., Shadow Hil ls, CA USA +1 (818) 650-0030 XlOl dw@aenv.org Final EIR J Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-53 C omment Letter e E-7 E-8 E-10 E-9 E-11 E-6(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report CEQA Comment Letter: The Landing by San M anuel Draft EI R December 3 1, 2020 sta t ew ide goals outl ined in t he 20 17 Scop ing Plan t o red uce t raffic by approx imate ly 30 % Page 3 • The Sco pi ng Plan estab lishes st atewide G HG e miss io ns target s of 6 MTCO2e /ca p ita b y 2030 and 2 MTCO2e /capita by 20 50 (p. 99.) Fo r a ware ho use proj ect with no one l ivi ng on-site a "per serv ice p opu lat ion" metric is more appropriat e t han a "pe r capita" t arget, bu t the Project 's huge levels of GHG emiss io ns g uarantee it will exceed any re aso nable service -popu lat ion metric . The El R's incorrect analysis of the Pro j ect's cons iste ncy with t he CARB 2017 Sco p ing Pla n vio lates C EOA by fai lin g to p rovide co rrect info rmatio n t o t he pu b lic and t he d ec ision-ma ke rs. Failure to Require Mitigation for the Project's GHG Impacts CEQA requi res all feasib le mi t iga t ion for si g nificant impacts . A ll m itigat ion measures t hat d o not re nder t he p roject im p ract ica l or unprof itable are feas ib le . The EIR concl udes, in t wo sente nces, cit ing no support ing information , th at no add it io nal miti gation m eas ures are feas ib le : No other mit igati on measu res ar e ava ilable tha t are feas ible for t he City of Sa n Bernard ino to enforce that have a pro p ortional nex us to t he Pro j ect's leve l of imp act. According ly, t he Ci t y of Sa n Berna rdi no f inds tha t t he Proj ect 's GHG emi ss ions represen t a sig nifican t an d unavoidable cum ulat ively -co nsiderab le impact for wh ich no add it iona l feas ible m itigation is ava ilab le. (EI R p . 4.4-35 .) There are many meas u res the City co u ld requ ire th at wo uld m itigat e t he Project's GHG im pacts, fo r example: • Requi ring sola r p anels t hat ge nerate at least as muc h e lectri ca l energy as t he Project consu mes (i.e. net zero ); • Requi ring t he insta llation of a large number of elect ri c-ve hicl e charg ing stat ions o n-s ite; • Inst al lin g e lect ri c-ve h icle charg in g sta t ions in appro priate loca t io ns off-s ite; • Requi ring t he applicant to retrofit energy-inefficie nt b ui ld ings off-site in San Berna rd ino Cou nty; • Requ iring t he p urchase of offsets; • Requi ring su b sidiz ies for the p urchase of e lectric bu ses to be operat ed by p ub lic agencies in t he area. The CA RB 201 7 Scopi ng Pl an recommen d s t hat loca l agencies pri oritize loca l G HG mit igation: Reg ionally, add itiona l GHG reductions ca n be ac hi eved t hro ug h direct investme nt in loca l b ui ld ing re t rofit prog rams t hat can pay for coo l roofs , solar p anels, sola r wa t er heate rs, smart met ers, energy efficient lighting, ene rgy effi cie nt ap p liances, ene rgy efficient w ind ows, insu la t ion , and water co nservation measures for homes within th e geogra ph ic area of t he proj ect. These invest me nts generate rea l dema nd side be nefit s and local j obs, wh ile cre ating t he ma rket signa ls for energy efficient products, some of whic h are prod uce d in Ca lifo rn ia. Other examp les of loca l di rect inves t ments incl ude 10211 Su nl and Blvd ., Shadow Hills, CA USA +l (818) 650-0030 XlOl dw@aenv .org Final EIR J Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-54 C omment Letter e E-12 E-13 E-11(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report CEQA Comment Letter: The Landing by San M anuel D raft EI R December 3 1, 2020 Page 4 fi nancing ins t al lation of regiona l electri c veh icl e (EV) charg ing stat io ns, pay ing for elect rifi cat io n of public sc hool buses , and invest ing in loca l u rb an fo rests. (p . 102 .) I have attached, as Ex hibit 2 to th is letter, a document co ntai n ing se lections from t he Gree nh o use Gas Emissions Tec hn ical Report prepare d for the large Newhall Ranch proj ect. The El Rs fo r t hat proj ect origi nall y co ncl uded t ha t the GHG emiss io ns from the largest mixed-use deve lopment project eve r approve d in Ca li fo rn ia would not be significa nt under CEQA. After th e Ca lifo rni a Sup reme Court invalidated th e El Rs, N ewha ll Ranch d ec ided on the net-zero approac h outl in ed in t he atta c hed Tech nical Report. Th e mitigatio n measu res fi nally adopted for N ewhal l Ranch are a templat e showing how G HG emiss io ns ca n b e m itigat ed t o zero. Many of t hem wo u ld b e feasib le fo r t his Project. T his is t he approach we u rge the City of Sa n Berna rd ino to ad o pt for t he Landi ng by Sa n Man uel Proj ect. Conclusion Fo r t he reasons g iven in t his letter, the City sho uld deny ap proval o f t he EI R and work w ith t he A pplica nt to identify appropriat e m it igation measures t hat ca n reduce the Project's G HG emissions to net-ze ro. Since re ly, ~w~ Dea n W all raff, Executive D irecto r Coo l Wo rld Inst itute 10211 Su nland Blvd ., Shadow Hil ls, CA USA +l (818) 650-0030 XlOl dw@aenv.org Final EIR J J Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-55 RESPONSES TO COMMENT LETTER E E-1 This comment introduces the commenter as being part of a non-profit law firm and advocacy organization. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. E-2 This comment provides Project summary information. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. For clarification, the Project Site comprises only a portion of the much larger former Norton Air Force Base (AFB) which has been redeveloping into an industrial center since the AFB was closed in 1994. E-3 The commenter provides a general description of climate change. Climate change is discussed in DEIR Subsection 4.4 on Pages 4.4-1 through 4.4-8 and in the Project’s Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Analysis appended to the DEIR as Technical Appendix G. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. E-4 The commenter summarizes the DEIR’s conclusion that the Project would result in a significant and unavoidable GHG emissions impact and then characterizes the impact as “huge” and impactful to every person on planet Earth. The City is aware that climate change is a global phenomenon. As acknowledged in DEIR Subsection 4.4, Page 4.4-1, the text factually states that an individual project like the proposed Project cannot generate enough GHG emissions to affect a discernible change in global climate. However, the proposed Project has the potential to make an incremental contribution of GHGs combined with the cumulative increase of all other sources of GHGs worldwide, which when taken together constitute potential influences on climate change. DEIR Table 4.4.2 supplies numerical data on GHG emissions contributed by top GHG producing countries in the world. The Project’s 23,514 MTCO2e would represent approximately 3.64 one-hundred-thousand of one percent (0.000364%) of the total 6,456,718 gigagrams of GHG emissions produced in United States annually as reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (DEIR Page 4.4-7). E-5 The commenter questions the DEIR’s conclusion that the Project does not conflict with CARB’s 2017 Scoping Plan. The purpose of illustrating consistency with the 2017 Scoping Plan is to identify the Project’s lack of conflict with, or lack of obstruction to, the State’s ability to realize the Statewide goals of the 2017 Scoping Plan. The intent is not to demonstrate consistency on a Project-specific level with each and every Scoping Plan measure. Several of the 2017 Scoping Plan measures are regional or Statewide measures and are not applicable to development projects such as the proposed Project on a project-specific level. Refer to DEIR Table 4.4-5 on Pages 4.4-28 through 4.4-32 for a discussion of the Project’s relationship to the 2017 Scoping Plan. E-6 The commenter broadly and generally claims that the Project is not consistent with CARB’s 2017 Scoping Plan because the Project will increase vehicle miles traveled (VMT), and that VMT reductions are needed [Statewide] to meet CARB’s goals. While it is true that the Project will increase VMT and result in a significant and unavoidable impact based on the City’s threshold of significance for VMT, there is no information in the Project’s administrative record or offered by the commenter to suggest that the Project’s VMT would render the Project in conflict with the entire Scoping Plan. Refer to Response E-5 above, which explains that it is not necessary to demonstrate consistency with each and every goal of the Scoping Plan in order to deem that a project does not conflict with the Plan. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-56 E-7 The commenter differentiates between “service population” and “per capita” in term of analyses metrics for GHG emissions (however these terms are generally used interchangeably and represent an efficiency metric), notwithstanding, the commenter agrees with the DEIR’s conclusion that the Project would result in a significant and unavoidable GHG impact regardless of whether a service population or per capita threshold were to be used. The fact that the Project will have a significant and unavoidable GHG impact, however, does not automatically render the Project in conflict with the 2017 Scoping Plan. Also refer to Response E-5 above. E-8 The commenter claims that the DEIR should have determined the Project in conflict with CARB’s 2017 Scoping Plan and as such, provided incorrect information. The City disagrees with the commenter and determined for the reasons set forth in DEIR Subsections 4.1 and 4.4 and supported by Technical Appendix B1 and Technical Appendix G and the citations provided therein, that the Project does not conflict with the Scoping Plan. Also, refer to Comment Letter A from CARB, in which they do not assert that the Project is in conflict with their Scoping Plan. E-9 The commenter suggests that additional feasible mitigation measures are available to reduce the Project’s GHG impact. CEQA does not require adoption of every imaginable mitigation measure. CEQA’s requirement applies only to feasible mitigation that will “substantially lessen” a project’s significant effects. (Public Resources Code, § 21002.) As explained by one court: A lead agency's “duty to condition project approval on incorporation of feasible mitigation measures only exists when such measures would [avoid or] ‘substantially lessen’ a significant environmental effect.” (San Franciscans for Reasonable Growth v. City and County of San Francisco (1989) 209 Cal.App.3d 1502, 1519.) “Thus, the agency need not, under CEQA, adopt every nickel and dime mitigation scheme brought to its attention or proposed in the project EIR.” (Ibid.) Rather, an EIR should focus on mitigation measures that are feasible, practical, and effective. (Napa Citizens for Honest Government v. Napa County Board of Supervisors (2001) 91 Cal.App.4th 342, 365.) Refer to Response E-10 for responses to the commenter’s specific suggestions. E-10 The commenter suggests six mitigation measures for the City to consider to reduce the Project’s GHG impacts. 1. The commenter’s first suggestion is to require solar panels that generate as much energy as the Project consumes. The City finds this suggestion infeasible because the Project is being entitled as a speculative building and it is not possible to calculate how much energy the indeterminate building occupant will use, whether there is enough area on the building roof to accommodate the extent of EV panels to generate that amount of electricity, and whether the utility provider, SCE, will approve the metering system. Further, the Development Site is located in close proximity to the San Bernardino International Airport, and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) requires a formal review of any solar panel installations to ensure that resulting glare will not interfere with aircraft operations, and it is unknown how much solar coverage if any the FAA would approve. Regardless, DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(d) and the addition thereto presented in Response C-19, requires that the shell building include a PV system to provide a minimum of 24 KW of power per year (subject to FAA approval), and that the remainder of the building’s roof be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential future construction of additional photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays. The City is not requiring more than a 24 KV system as part of the shell building for The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-57 an indeterminate tenant because committing to a system too early and then needing to retrofit it to meet building user specifications is technologically and cost prohibitive. Since every prospective building occupant will have a specific electrical power requirement, a speculative project cannot prespecify an electrical system. Nonetheless, the proposed building will be properly designed to maximize the use of alternative power generation systems. 2. The commenter’s second suggestion is to install EV charging stations on-site. The City agrees, and this is already accounted for by the Project design and DEIR mitigation measures. The Project’s design includes a truck staging area in the southwest portion of the property, where EV charging stations for trucks are planned to be accommodated. MM 4.4-1 requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site at this location. The San Manuel Band of Mission Indians is the Project Applicant and is voluntarily actively engaged with solar and electric vehicle industry leaders, such as Tesla, to advance the accommodation of EV vehicles. To this end, the Project’s building specifications include electrical switchgear and the truck staging area is designed to accept a technologically advanced electrical charging system to meet prospective building user requirements for EV truck charging. As a speculative development, it is not possible to forecast what an actual future user of the building may need or require in terms of EV truck charging, as the needs vary widely among building users and the technology is rapidly advancing. The Project’s EV charging facilities for trucks will be tailored to the needs of the building user, because committing to a system too early and then needing to retrofit it to meet building user specifications is technologically and cost prohibitive. The Project Applicant’s commitment to energy sensitive design is appreciated by the City, and is viewed as environmentally responsible. The Project also will include EV charging facilities for passenger vehicles. The proposed warehouse building is required by law to comply with CALGreen. DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 requires that the Project Applicant provide documentation to the City demonstrating that the Project is designed to meet or exceed CALGreen Tier 2 standards in effect at the time of building permit application. These standards include but are not limited to the provision of referential parking locations for carpool, vanpool, EVs and CNG vehicles, the installation of passenger vehicle EV charging stations, and the installation of conduit at a minimum of five percent of the Project’s total number of automobile parking spaces to accommodate the future installation of additional EV charging infrastructure. 3. The commenter’s third suggestion is to install EV charging stations off-site. This suggestion is rejected by the City because it is beyond the scope of the Project and Project Site. 4. The commenter’s fourth suggestion is to retrofit energy-inefficient buildings elsewhere in the County. This suggestion is rejected by the City because it is beyond the scope of the Project and Project Site and outside of the ability of the City to enforce or control. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-58 5. The commenter’s fifth suggestion is to require the purchase of GHG offsets. The City rejects this suggestion because the primary market for offset purchases in California is Cap-and-Trade. This means that the vast majority of offsets in California are specifically designed for “Compliance Offsets,” which are not available for CEQA mitigation because they are all allocated towards the State’s Cap-and-Trade program.5 To meet the additionality requirements of CEQA, GHG offsets must come from a voluntary offset program, and there are not sufficient voluntary offset programs in California to meet CEQA mitigation requirements Statewide. Also, there is a lack of performance standards in voluntary programs to ensure that the mitigation would actually be accomplished. In addition, as explained in a Court of Appeal decision, the use of out-of-state carbon offsets is generally not an effective way to mitigate GHG impacts, in part because of the inability to take enforcement action if an offset is false, fails, or otherwise is inadequate. (See Golden Door Properties, LLC v. County of San Diego (2020) 50 Cal.App.5th 467, 510, 562.) 6. The commenter’s sixth suggestion is to require the Project Applicant to subsidize the purchase of electric buses for public agencies. This suggestion is rejected by the City because it is beyond the scope of the Project and Project Site and because the purchasing, deployment, and operation of public transit agency busses is beyond the control of the Project Applicant and the City. The City is unaware of any fee payment program in San Bernardino County that has been established by public transit agencies for the mitigation of GHG impacts by private development projects. E-11 The commenter states that CARB’s 2017 Scoping Plan recommends prioritization of local GHG mitigation, and goes on to list several general examples of items that reduce GHG emissions on a regional level such as retrofit programs for existing buildings. The proposed Project does not involve an existing building that could be retrofitted, and no specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. Construction of the Project is required by law to comply with the California Building Standards Code (CALGreen) and DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 requires that the Project Applicant or successor in interest provide documentation to the City demonstrating that the Project is designed to meet or exceed CALGreen Tier 2 standards in effect at the time of building permit application. CALGreen was the first building code in the United States to mandate reductions in GHG emissions through building design and associated code compliance.6 Compliance by the Project will reduce GHG emissions as intended by the State of California. E-12 The commenter attaches exhibits from a GHG technical report prepared for the Landmark Village (Newhall Ranch) project in Valencia (northwest Los Angeles County) California (2016), claiming it is applicable to the proposed Project. The commenter’s attachment is attached as Attachment 4 to this FEIR. Newhall Ranch is a mixed-use project that proposed 1,444 residential homes, over 1,000,000 square feet of commercial retail/office space, an elementary school, community park, fire station, and other mixed uses. Given the character of Newhall Ranch, the City finds that it is not directly comparable to the proposed Project, which is a different land use (industrial warehouse), is one building 5 California Air Resources Board website, “Compliance Offset Program.” https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/our- work/programs/compliance-offset-program 6 https://www.dgs.ca.gov/BSC/Resources/Page-Content/Building-Standards-Commission-Resources-List-Folder/CALGreen The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-59 as compared to well over 1,500 buildings proposed by Newhall Ranch, and located in a different county (San Bernardino County). The capabilities and feasibility of mitigating GHG impacts for Newhall Ranch are vastly different than those for the proposed Project. E-13 The commenter suggests that the City not certify the EIR unless additional mitigation measures for GHG emissions are included. The commenter’s opinion is noted. Please refer to four mitigation measures added in response to Comments A-14, A-15, A-19, and A-20(1). Page F-60 Comment L etter F F-1 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report November 18, 2020 Via Email and U.S. Mail City of San Bernardino Attn : Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez 290 North D St. San Bernardino, CA 92301 mora-rodri guez iii,s bc il\.org CREEDLA i RE: Public Records Act Request and Request for Mailed Notice of Public Hearings and Actions -Victoria Ave and E 3rd St Highland CA 92346 Dear Ms. Mora-Rodriguez, CREED LA is writing to request a copy of any and all records related to the Landing by San Manuel at Victoria Avenue and East 3rd Street in San Bernardino. The project will be the construction of a 1,153,700 sf warehouse building and associated site improvements. We are also writing to request copies of all communications and mailed notice of any and all hearings and/or actions related to the Project. Our request for mailed notice of all hearings includes hearings, study sessions and community meetings related to the Project, certification of the MND (or recirculated DEIR), and approval of any Project entitlements. This request is made purs uan t to Public Resources Code Sections 21092 .2, 21080.4, 21083.9, 21092, 21108 and 21152 and Government Code Section 65092, which require local agencies to mail such notices to any person who has filed a written request for them with the clerk of the agency's governing body. Our request includes notice to any City actions, hearings or other proceedings regarding the Project, Project approvals and any actions taken , or additional documents released pursuant to the California Environmental Quality Act. Our request for all records related to the Project is made pursuant to the California Public Records Act. (Government Code § 6250 et seq.) This request is also made pursuant to Article I, section 3(b) of the California Constitution, which provides a constitutional right of access to information concerning the conduct of government. Article I, section 3(b) provides that any statutory right to information shall be broadly construed to provide the greatest access to government information and further requires that any statute that limits the right of access to information shall be narrowly construed. We will pay for any direct costs of duplication associated with filling this request yp to $200. However, please contact me at (877) 810-7473 with a cost estimate before copying/scanning the materials. 50, Shatto, (877) Su ,le 'lO, ~~ Angel cree~I 1@cree 002 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-61 Comment L etter F F-1(cont) • • The Landing by San Manuel • D Final Environmental Impact Report Pursuant to Government Code Section 6253.9, if the requ ested documents are in electronic format and are 10 MB or le ss (or can be easily broken into sections of 10 MB or les s), please email them to me as attachments . My contact information is: U.S.Mail Jeff Modrzejewsk.i CREED LA 50 l Shatto Place, Suite 200 Los Angeles, CA. 90020 Email crccc\liiJcrcc dl · c m Please call me if you have any questions . Thank you for your assistance with this matter. Sincerely, Jeff Modrzejewski Executive Director 301 no Pl ;J Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino , s Ange les. )(1 Final EIR SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-62 RESPONSE TO COMMENT LETTER F F-1 The commenter requests a copy of the City’s records pertaining to the proposed Project. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. Page F-63 Comment Letter G G-1 G-2 G-3 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report C, EARTHJUSTICE January 6, 2021 Via E-Mail Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez Associate Planner City of San Bernardino -Plannin g Di vision 290 North D Street San Bernardino, CA 91764 Email: Mora-Rodriguez_ El @ sbcity.org ALASKA CALIFOR NI A FL ORIDA MIO-PACIFIC NOR THEAS T NORTHERN ROCK IE S NORTHWEST ROCKY MOUNTA I N WAS H INGTO N, O.C. I NTERNATIONA L RE: The Landing Project Draft Environmental Impact Report (State Clearinghouse 20200100067) Dear Ms . Mora-Rodriguez : I respectfully submit the following comments to the Draft Environmental Impact Report ("DEIR") for the Landing Project ("Landing" or "Project"). This development will bring additional pollution and impacts to an already overburdened community. Because of this , it is vital to properly disclose the environmental consequences of the proposed action and to ide ntify an d adopt all feasible mitigation measures , and alternatives . Unfortunately , the DECR fails in its duty to comply with the California Environmenta l Quality Act ("CEQA"). As such, the City cannot rely on the document as a form of environmental impact review for the purpose of Project approval , and must engage in a ne w Draft Environmental Impact Report ("DEIR") to allow the public an d decision-makers an opportunity for meaningful review of the Project's impacts. I. The Greenhouse Gas ("GHG") and Air Quality Emissions Ana lysis Are Unlawful. Seeking to obfuscate the full impacts from this Project, the DEIR reduces the GHG emissions in a manner that contradicts the core ofCEQA. In particular, the construction emissions analysis for both criteria and GHG pollutants omits many trips that should be considered as outlined in the letter from the California Air Resources Board. Moreover, the significant air quality and GHG impacts have not been mitigated usin g all feasible mitigation measures. II. Requiring the Usage of Zero-Emission Class 7 and 8 trucks at the Project Site is a Feasible Mitigation Measure nnder CEQA for the Project's Significant GHG and Air Quality Impacts Under CEQA, potential mitigation measures cannot be properly lab ell ed miti ga ti on measures unless they are at least partially effective in reducing the significance of the impacts at issue . 1 Here, the Project 's two relevant impacts are GHG and air quality impacts, due largely to 1 Sierra Club v. Co un ty ofFresno, 431 P.3d 1151 , 11 66 (Cal. 20 I 8). LOS ANGELES OFF I CE 7 0 7 W I LSH I RE BLV D .. SU I TE 4300 LOS ANGE LES. CA 90017 T : 415 .2 17 .2 000 F : 41 5.2 17 .2 040 CAOFF ICE @ EARTH J UST I CE .ORG WWW .EART HJ USTICE .ORG Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-64 Comment Letter G G-3(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report the increased amount of diesel-fueled semi-truck trips associated with the Project. The DEIR indicates that the air quality impacts associated with the construction and operation of the Project will not be mitigated to a level of insignificance. Thus, the Project as currently proposed has both significant GHG and air quality impacts. Requiring the usage ofzero-emission Class 7 and 8 semi-trucks in lieu of diesel semi-trucks is therefore an effective miti gation meas ure under CEQA because these vehicles have no tailpipe emissions , and much lower life-cycle GHG emissions . According to the Union of Concerned Scientists, battery-electric Class 7 and 8 trucks have lower life cycle GHG emissions than diesel trucks no matter the operating characteristics of the vehicle or the electric grid . 2 While battery-electric vehicles do not have tailpipe GHG emissions like diesel vehicles, there are still GHG emissions associated with the generation of the electricity used to power the vehicle. With the current mix of electricity generation sources in the United States, the Un ion of Concerned Scientists found that a battery-electric semi -truck operating locally offers 65% life cycle GHG reductions compared its diesel collllterpart. 3 Battery-electric semi-trucks operating on hi g hways offer 50% GHG reductions compared to diesel semi-trucks .4 These reductions are likely even higher in California, since California has a larger proportion of renewable electricity generation sources than the national average. 5 Further, the GHG reductions associated with operating battery-electric semi-trucks will on ly increase as California moves closer to its goal of ending its dependence on fossil fue ls for electricity ge neration. Thus, requiring battery -electric C lass 7 and 8 semi-trucks in lieu of semi-trucks fueled by diesel would significantly reduce the amollllt of GHG emissions associated with the Project, making it effective mitigation under CEQA for the Project's significant GHG impacts. Zero-emission vehic les , including Class 7 and 8 battery-electric semi-trucks, also cause significantly less air pollution than diesel semi-trucks . Diesel semi-trucks are a major source of both Particulate Matter2.5 , and well as Nitrogen Oxides ("NOx''), a precursor for ozone.6 These air po ll utants have serious health consequences, as exposure to them is associated with asthma, bronchitis , increased cancer risk, increased hospitalization, and even premature death. 7 Battery- e lectric semi-trucks have no tailpipe emiss ions. 8 The only significant air pollutant associated with the operation of battery-electric semi-trucks is the Particulate Matter emitted from brake wear. 9 However, according to CARB, zero emission vehicles produce 50% le ss Particulate 2 Union of Concerned Citizens , Ready f or Work : Now is th e Tim e for Heavy Duty Electric Vehicles , at 6 (Dec . 11 , 20 19) https ://www .uc susa.org/sites/defaul t/files /20 19-1 2/ReadyforWorkFullReport .pdf. 3 Id. at 7. 4 Id. 5 Nuclear Energy Institute, State Elec tricity Generation Fu el Shares https://www .nei.o rg/resources/statistics/state-e lectricity-generatio n-fu el-sha res . 6 Union of Concerned Scientists, supra note 14 at 2. 7 Id. 8 California Air Resources Board , Updated Costs and Ben efits Analysis for th e Prop osed Advanced Clean Tru ck Regulation , at 3 (A pril 28, 2020) http s ://ww3 .arb.ca .gov/regac t/20 I 9/act20 I 9/30dayattc .pdf. 9 Id. 2 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-65 Comment Letter G G-3(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Matter from brake wear when compared to diesel vehicles. 10 This is because zero emission vehicles utilize "regenerative braking", which reduces brake usage.11 Thus , requiring zero emission Class 7 and 8 semi-trucks in lieu of diesel semi-trucks would greatly reduce the significant air quality impacts associated with the Project, and is therefore effective mitigation underCEQA. 1. Requ iring the Usage of Class 7 and 8 Zero-Emission Trucks at the Project Site is a Feasible Mitigation Measure under CEQA Under CEQA, a public agency cannot approve a project as proposed if there are "feasible mitigation measures which substantially lessen the significant environmental effects " of the project.12 Feasibility is defined under CEQA as , "capable of being accomplished in a successful manner within a reasonable period of time, taking into account economic, environmental , social , and technological factors".13 The CEQA Guidelines add "le ga l" factors to this definition .14 Public agencies have the power and duty to assess the adequacy of miti gation measures, subject on ly to judicial re v iew for abuse of discretion. 15 A determination on the feasibility of a particular mitigation meas ure will be uphe ld by a reviewin g court if a "fair argument" can be made to s upport the public agency's conclusion. 16 Requirin g the usage of Class 7 and 8 battery-electric site at the Project site is a feasible mitigation measure under CEQA for a multitude of factors . First, numerous studies show that the current total cost of ownership for a large battery-electric semi-truck is less than a diesel equivalent. As the decade pro gresses , the cost of battery-electric semi-trucks will drop even lower, whereas diese l trucks are expected to increase in cost, or remain stagnant. Second, the two largest technological barriers to widespread usage of battery-electric semi-trucks, which are the existence of cheap batteries that can sustain long range freight movement, and sufficient charging infrastructure to support battery-electric semi-trucks , have been overcome with immense public and private investment. Third, there are currently numerous Class 7 and 8 battery-electric truck models available for purchase, and many freight facilities have already committed to utilizing these trucks. Finally, government agencies in California are aggressively pushing for widespread usage of large battery-electric semi-trucks , through regulatory mandates, grant programs, and financial incentives. A. Th e Current Total Cos t of Ownership of Battery-Electric Semi-Trucks is less than Diesel Semi-Trucks io Id. II Id. 12 CAL. PUB . RE s. COD E § 2 1002 (Wes t. 2020). 13 CAL. P UB . REs. COD E§ 2 I 06.1 (West. 2020) 14 CAL . COD E REGS. tit. 14, § 15364 {2020). 15 City of Marina v. Board of Trustees of Cal ifornia State Uni vers ity, 13 8 P.3d 692 , 705 (Cal. 2006). 16 CAL. COD E REG . tit. 14, § 153 84 (2020). 3 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-66 Comment Letter G G-3(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Numerous studies have compared battery-electric semi-trucks with their diesel and natural gas counterparts using a Total Cost of Ownership ("TCO") analysis. A T CO analysis attempts to capture the total cost of purchasing and operating a vehicle throu ghout its entire life. While each study has slightl y varied methodology, each TCO analysis generally consists of vehicle purchase cost, li fe time fuel and maintenance costs, and necessary infrastrncture costs. Some studies analyze additional factors , including California 's available financial incentives, the charging infrastructure investments made by California 's utilities, and the environmental externalities associated wi th C las s 7 and 8 se mi-trncks. Multiple comprehensive studies show that, w ith financial incentives, electric semi-trucks currently ha ve a lower, TCO than both diesel and natural gas semi-trncks. Fu.rther , these studies indicate that the cost of battery-electric C las s 7 and 8 semi-trucks wi II continue to decrease as the 2020s progress, whereas the cost of diesel trucks will either increase or remain stagnant. CARB undertook a TCO analysis that compared battery-electric and diesel C lass 8 Day Cab semi-trncks.17 Day Cabs are a type of truck generally used for day trips less than 250 miles , and are also known as regional-haul or s hort-haul trucks . The study compared the TCO of this type of semi-truck in three different scenarios : if the vehicle is purchased in 2018 , 2024, and 2030. 18 The study concluded that the TCO for a battery-electric C lass 8 Day Cab purchased in 20 18 is about $200,000 more than its diesel counterpa.rt .19 The TCO for a battery-electric truck purchased in 2024 is about $100,000 less than a diesel truck.20 For 2030, the TCO is about $150,000 le ss than a diesel truck.21 A study done by the International Council on Clean Transportation ("ICCT") has s imilar results .22 The ICCT study compares the TCO of Class 8 long-haul battery-e lectric an d diesel semi-trucks in three scenarios: if the vehicle is purchased in 2020, 2025 , and 2030. 23 In 2020, the study indicates the TCO of a battery-electric lon g-haul truck is about $150,000 more than a diesel equivalent. 24 In 2025 , the TCO for a battery-e lectric truck is about $50,000 more than a diesel truck ; in 2030, battery-electric trucks have a favorable TCO, which is about $20,000 less than a diesel truck. 25 Both of these studies indicate the current TCO of a battery electric semi-trnck is significantly more than a diesel equivalent, but that b attery-electric semi-trucks will have a 17 Ca lifornia Air Resourced Board, Draft Advanced Clean Tru cks Total Cos t of Ownership Discussion Docum ent (Oct. 22 , 2019) https://ww3.arb .ca.go v/rcgact/20I9/act20 19/apph.pdf. 18 Id. at I. 19 i d. at 2. 20 Id. 21 Id. 22 The International Co uncil on Clean Transportation , Es timating th e i nfrastructure Needs and Cos ts for th e Launch of Zero-Emiss ion Trucks (A ug. 9, 20 19) https ://theicct.or g/s ites/defaul t/file s/publicatio ns /TCCT EV HDV s Infr as tructu re 20190809.pdf. 23 Id. at 20. 24 Id. 2, Id. 4 Final EIR Lead Agen c y : C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 202010006 7 Page F-67 Comment Letter G G-3(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report favorable TCO sometime within the next decade. However, these conclusions are misleading. The ICCT study does not take into account the financial incentives available in California, and the CARB study only considers the Low Carbon Fuel Standard. California has many more incentives available, with the most prominent being the Hybrid and Zero-Emission Truck and Bus Voucher Ince ntive Project ("HVTP"). 26 For certain Class 7 battery-electric trucks , this HVIP program provides $95 ,000 as a voucher to offset some of the purchase price. 27 For certain Class 8 battery-electric trucks, the voucher amount is $150,000 .2 8 Further, in their respective analyses of charging infrastn1cture costs, neither study incorporates the hundreds of million s of dollars which California utilities have already committed to support the development heavy-duty charging infrastrucn1re. 29 A study conducted by !CF finds that, when the HVIP program and the utilities ' charging infrastrucnrre investments are incorporated into a TCO analysis , battery-electric semi-trucks currently have a favorable TCO compared to d ieset.30 ICF's study compares the TCO ofbattery- electric and diesel Class 8 short-haul semi-trucks and Class 8 long-haul semi-trucks purchased in 2019 and 2030. 31 For battery-electric short-haul trucks purchased in 20 19, the TCO is about $150,000 less than a diesel equivalent. 32 For battery-electric short-haul trucks purchased in 2030, the TCO is about $200,000 less than a diesel equivalent.33 For battery-electric long-haul trucks purchased in 2019, the TCO is about $200 ,000 less than a diesel truck. 34 For battery-electric trucks purchased in 2030, the TCO is about $300,000 less than an equivalent diesel truck.35 This study finds that, when HVIP incenti ves , and the cumulative hundreds of millions California util ities have in vested to build charging infrastructure are included in a TCO analysis , large battery-electric semi-trucks currently have a favorab le TCO compared to diesel. Further, consistent with the findings ofCARB and ICCT, ICF indicates that battery-electric trucks should be able to compete without HVIP incentives on a TCO basis by 2030.36 In addition to financial incentives and uti lity charging infrastructure investment, when the environmental externalities of air pollution and GHG emissions are monetized and incorporated 26 California Hybrid and Zero-Emission Truck and Bus Voucher Program https ://www.cal iforniah vip.orf!/. 27 See generally , Ca liforn ia HV[P Eligible Vehicle Catalog https ://www.califomi ahvip.orf!/how-to- participate/#Eligib le-Vehicle -Cata log . 2s Id. 29 California Pub lic Utilities Commission , Transportation Electrification Activities Pursuant LO Senate Bill 350 https ://www.cpuc.ca.gov/sb3 50te/. 30 !CF, Comparison of Medium and H eavy-Duty Technolog ies in California, Part Two: Total Cost of Ownership Analysis (December 20 19) https ://cal etc .com/wp-content/upl oa ds/2019 /12/IC F-Truck- Report Final Decem be r-20 19.p df. 31 Id. at 32 Id. at 20. 33 Id. 34 Id. at 19 . 3s Id. 36 ld. at 32. 5 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-68 Comment Letter G G-3(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report into a TCO ana lysis, battery-electric trucks are even cheaper compared to diesel. A study done by the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory ("LBNL") monetizes the reductions in GHG emissions and air pollution associated with battery-electric trucking in three different scenarios : when electricity comes from 90% renewab le sources and I 0% gas , when it comes from I 00% gas , and when it comes from I 00% coal. 37 The study found that , when battery-electric trucks are fueled by electricity generated with 90% renewables and I 0% gas , these trucks save $0 .28 per mile compared to diesel.38 When battery-electric trucks are powered by electrici ty generated with 100% gas , these trucks save $0.20 per mi le compared to diesel.39 California 's elec tricity generation mix is somewhere in between these two extremes of 100 % gas and 90% renewable . 40 Therefore, battery-electric trucks operating within California would likely save somewhere between $0.20 and $0.28 per mile in GHG and air pollution costs compared to a diesel truck operating in California. Further, even without the monetization of environmental externalities, the LBNL study concludes that the current TCO of a Class 8 semi-truck with a 400-mile range is about 20% less than a diese l equivalent.4 1 When analyzed cumu lati vely , these studies show that battery-electric Class 7 and 8 semi- trucks are curren tly an economically feasible alternative to diesel and natural gas semi-trucks. If incentive programs like the HVIP and LCFS , as well as the significant investment made by California utilities in charging infrastructure are incorporated into a TCO analysis , battery- electric trucks are currently cheaper than diesel equivalents. As the 2020s progress , battery- e lectric trucks will become even cheaper, as diese l trucks become more expensive. Further, by 2030, battery-electric semi-trucks are expected to compete with diesel semi-trucks on a TCO bas is without any financia l incenti ves . A. The Most Significant Technological Barriers to Widespread Us age of Battery-Eleclric Semi-Trucks Have Been Overcome with immense Public and Pri vate inves tm ent 1. Battery Pack Prices are Expected to Continue Declining Significantly, and Battery Technology has Advanced to Support Long Range Freight Movement According to CARB , the co st of battery packs is the most important factor in the price of a battery-electric semi-truck. 42 The price of battery packs for se mi -trucks, and all heavy-d uty vehicles , has significantly declined over the past decade, and is expected to continue declinin g over the next decade . Between 20 IO and 2018, battery pack prices declined approximately 80 percent. 43 A report conducted by the Rock y Mountain Institute indicates that the cost of 37 Lawrence Berkel ey National Laboratory, Long-Hau / Ba1te1 y Jilectric 1i't,cks are Technically Feasible and Economically Co mp ellin g, at IO https ://eta - pub li catio ns.lbl.gov/sites/defa ul t/files/wo rking paper 005 batter y electric trucks 906 0.pdf. 3s i d. 39 id. 40 Nuclear Energy institute, supra not e 17 . 41 Lawrence Berk eley, supra not e 49 at 3. 42 California Air Resourc es Board , Clean Tru ck Total Cos t of Ownership Discuss ion, supra note 17 at 6. 43 i d. 6 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-69 Comment Letter G G-4 G-3(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report manufacturing battery capacity wi ll drop 50% between 20 18 an d 2023.4 4 This unexpected , rapid scalin g of battery manufacturing is du e large ly to the fac t that "total manufacturing in vestment, both previous and planned until 2023 , represents about $150 billion dollars."45 As battery prices continue to decline , battery-electric tru cks wi ll beco me an even more favorable option when compared to di esel or natura l gas trucks . Not only are battery prices falling sign ificantl y, but battery techn o logy is progressing to s uch an ex tent that it is technologically feasible for battery-e lectric se mi-tru cks to operate effectively over the lon g ranges necessary for so me kind s of freight movement. The L BNL study referenced above found that "rece nt techno lo gical deve lopments indicate that electric trucks , like electric cars, can be full y charged in thirty minutes."46 This is consistent with cl ai ms by Tesla that it s Tes la Semi can be fully charged in under thirty minutes . 47 Fast-charging is crucial for freight movement, as approximately 40% of large semi-trucks travel 500 miles or more per trip . 48 Each thirty-minute charging session is estimated to pro vi de 4-6 hours of dri ving time , allowing lon g-haul battery-electric truck operators to effectively compete wi th operators using die sel and/or natural gas trn cks. 49 The ICCT stud y referenced above fo und that wi th fas t charging, a battery-electric sem i-truck o perator wo uld spend a pprox im ately two hours charg in g on a trip between Los Angeles an d C hi cago. 50 A lthough two ho urs is more time than a die se l o r natural gas semi-trnck o perator wo uld spend refueling, ICCT concludes this time "does not significantl y affect total dai ly dri vi ng time w ithin le ga l limits ."5 1 Therefore, not only are battery prices falling dramati ca ll y, but battery technology is advancing exponenti a ll y, makin g it te chno logically feasible fo r battery-electric trnck s to operate over both s hort and lon g ranges. 11. California 's Electric Utilities Have Committed Hundreds of Millions of Do llars to Build Medium and H eavy-Duty C harging Infrastructure While it has be en s hown that battery price s are falling signi fican tl y, and battery techno logy is increas in g rapidl y, thi s means litt le if there is in sufficient charging infrastrucn1re . Accordin g to CARB , chargi ng infrastructure ha s e merged as th e largest current iss ue preventing the widespread usage of heavy-duty battery-electric trucks. 52 Fortunately, there has bee n sign ificant in vestm ent by California public utilities in medium and heavy-du ty charging infra structure . Further, the cost of charging infrastructure per ve hi cle dimini shes significantly as 44 Rock y Mou nt ain inst itute, Breakth rough Ba11eri es , at 14 (20 I 9) https://rmi .org/insight/breakthrou gh- batteri es . 4; Id. at 7. 46 Lawrence Berke ley , s upra note 49 at 4. 41 Id. 48 Shashank Sripad and Vekatas ubramani an Viswanathan , Quantifying th e Economic Case for Electric Semi-Trucks , at 149 (a vailable at htrps ://pubs.acs.org/doi /pd f/10.102 l /acsene rgy lett.8b02 146). 49 Lawrence Berkeley , s upra note 37 at 4. 50 The international Co un cil on Clean Transportation , supra note 4 at 17. s1 Id. 52 Ca li fornia Air Resourc es Bo ard , Heavy -Duty Investm ent Strategy, at D-4 1 (Sep . 20 , 2019) ht s://ww2.a rb .ca . ov/sites /defau lt/fi les/20 I 9-09 / I 920fu ndin Ian-a d. df. 7 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-70 Comment Letter G G-4(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report the volume of vehicles increases . Therefore, the utilities ' investment allows the battery-electric semi-truck market to circumvent the high costs currently associated with early charging infrastructure development, and helps to create economies of scale for future buyers . The California Public Utilities Commission ("CPUC") has approv ed significant investments proposed by California 's major pub li c utilities in medium and heavy-duty charging infrastructure. 53 For example, in 2018 , the CPUC approved Pacific Gas & Electric 's ("PG&E") proposed investment of$236 million to support medium and heavy-duty charging infrastructure installations across the ir service territory. 54 The CPUC in 20 18 also approved Southern California Edison 's ("SCE") proposed investment of$343 million to support medium and heavy- duty charging infrastructure installations in its service territory. 55 ln 2019, the CPUC approved a similar program proposed by the San Diego Gas and Electric ("SDG&E"), although the exact do ll ar amount is unclear at this point. 56 Altogether, these investments will support the deve lopment of charging infrastructure for at least 18,000 trucks and busses . Therefore, although charging infrastructure is a significant barrier to widespread usage of heavy-duty vehicles, the almost $ I billion dollars already committed to building this infrastructure by California 's utilities is a huge step in overcoming this barrier. This investment by California's utilities is vital because it has been shown that the cost of charging infrastructure per truck diminishes significantly as the amount of infrastructure installations increases . In the ICCT study referenced above , the ICCT calculates the expected cost of charging infrastructure per C lass 8 long-haul battery-electric truck . With 100 trucks and 150 charging installations, the cost of infrastructure per vehicle is $189 ,000 .57 With 1,000 trucks and 1,200 installations, the cost drops to$ I 14 ,000 per truck ; with I 0,000 trucks and 9,700 installations, the cost drops even further to $7 1,000 per truck . 58 The economies of scale associated with charging infrastructure shows why the utilities ' inve stments are so crucial in ensuring the technological feasibi I ity of battery-electric semi-trucks . The uti I ities ' committed investment will help early battery-electric truck purchasers avoid the hi gh costs currently associated with charging infrastructure. Further, the investment will aid the battery-electric market generally, as these hundreds of mi llions of do ll ars will create the economies of scale needed to significantly lower the cost of charging infrastructure for future buyers. This is part ly why, as the ICF study shows, when these uti lity investments are incorporated into a TCO analysis , large battery-electric semi-trucks currently have a favorable TCO when compared to diesel. Thus, with these investments, the cost of charging infrastructure is no longer an obstacle to the widespread usage of C lass 7 and 8 battery-electric semi-trucks at freight faci li ties. 53 In Concordance with SB 350 (D e Leon , Chapter 547 , Statu tes of2015), https://www.cpuc.ca.go v/sb350te/. 54 Id. s5 Id. 56 Id. 57 The International Counci l on Clean Transportation , supra not e 4 at i. 5 Id. 8 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-71 Comment Letter G G-5 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report B. Class 7 and Class 8 Baue,y-E/ectric Semi -Truck Models are Available for Purchase, and Many Freight Facilities are Have Co mmilted to Ut ilizing these Tru cks There are numerou s models of C lass 7 and 8 Battery-Electric semi-trucks that are c urrentl y available for purchase, and are already in operation across the nation . Based on company announcements , th e re are at lea st ten C la ss 7 or 8 models with ranges up to 55 0 m ile s that are slated for commercial deploy ment by 202 1. 59 As early as January of 2018, 19 companies had a lready ordered 375 Tesla Semis, w ith UPS ordering 125 and Pepsi Co ordering 100.60 BYD, a Chinese zero-emission vehicle m anufacturer, announced in January 2 0 20 that it had deli vered its I 00111 battery-e lectric truck within the U nited States, which was a second generation C las s 8 semi-truck. 6 1 The German company Daimler announced it delivered its first battery-electric semi-truck in 2019, and had deli vered five more by early 2020. 62 Daimler is planning on sign ificantl y increas ing the volume of its battery-e lectric semi-trucks on the road in 2021 . 63 Not only are there multiple C la ss 7 and 8 battery-electric semi-truck models available for purchase and currently on the road, but many freight facilities have already committed to incorporating th ese trucks into their fleets. Walm a rt announced that it will be opening a fulfillment center in Britis h Columbia in 2 022 w hich will feature afully electric fleet.64 Anh e user-Busch announced in 20 18 that it had ordered 800 e le ctric and hydrogen semi-trucks. 65 Frito-Lay is currently working on upg rading a n ex istin g freight facility, wh ich w ill in c lude u se of 15 Tes la Semis and a I Megawatt photovo ltaic array with charging in fras tructure.66 Loblaw, a Can adian supermarket company, has committed to full y transforming its fleet to zero em iss ion vehicl es b y 2030, and had a lready ordered 25 Tes la Semis by late 20 17. 67 Further, the Port of Los Angeles has committed to deployin g ten Kenworth and Toyota C lass 8 fuel cell trucks, and 59 Id. at 2 . 60 Bu siness Insider, Companies that Have Ordered Tesla Semis (A pril 25 , 20 18), https :/ lwww.b usinessinsi der.com/companies-th a t-o rd ere d-tesla -semi -20 I 7-12. 61 BY D, BYD Delivers ifs JO(l h Bat1e1y-Electric Truck in th e United S tates (Ja n. 8, 2020), https ://en . byd. com/news-pos ts/byd-de Ii vers-1 00th-ba tte ry-e lec tric -truck-in-the-uni ted-states/. 62 Electrek, Daim ler Delivers More Electric Freightliner eCascadia Sem i-Tn,cks (Mar. 4, 2020), https ://electrek.co/2020/03 /04/daimler-electric-freightliner-semi -truck s-ecasca di a/. 63 Jd. 64 C leanTechni ca , Walman Orders 30 More Tesla Semi Electric Trucks (Sep. 7, 20 18), https ://c leantec hnic a.com/2018/09/07 /walmart-ord ers-30 -more-tes la -se mi-electric-truck s/. 65 Transport Topics , Anheuser-Busch, N iko la , BYD Co mplete First Zero-Em ission Run (Nov. 2 1, 20 19), http s://www.ttnews.com/articles/a nheuser-bu sc h-niko la-byd-complete-first-zero -em iss ion -beer-run . 66 Frito-Lay, Frito-lay Transforms California Production Site into First-of-its-Kind Showcase for Sustainabilily (Oct. 3, 20 19), https://www .fritolay.com/news/fr it o-l ay -transforms-califomia-production- site-into-first-of-its-kind-showcase-for-sustainability . 67 Financial Post, lob/aw Says it Ordered 25 Tesla Semis, Wan ts Fully Electric Flee t by 2030 (Nov . 17, 2017), http s://bus ine ss .financialpost.com/news /retail-marketing/loblaw-says-it-ordered-25-tes la-electric - trucks-wants-ful ly-electric-fl eet-by-2030 . 9 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-72 Comment Letter G G-5(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report two battery-electric yard trac tors. 68 The South Coast Air Quality Management District has committed to deployin g 23 Class 8 Volvo battery-electric trucks to move freight across the Inland Empire. 69 In addition to multiple studies demonstratin g that battery-electric semi-trucks are cheaper on a lifetime basis than diesel semi -trucks , these examples of semi-tmcks currently available for purchase, and facilities committed to transforming their fleets , indicate that widespread usage of Class 7 and 8 battery-electric tru cks at freight faci Ii ties is currently feasible . C. California Regulatory Agencies are Aggressively Pushing for In creased Utilization of Battery-Electric Semi-Tn1cks Multiple government agencies within California are attempting to increase the number of battery-electric semi-trucks on the road , through regu latory mandates , grant programs, and incentive programs . These are in addition to the Low Carbon Fuel Standard, the HVIP program, and the utility investments in charging infrastructure referenced above . In addition to the favorab le TCO of battery-electric sem i-trucks, these various agency actions increase the feasibi lity of widespread usage of these type s of truck s at freight faci lities . The South Coast Air Quality Management District ("SCAQMD") has recentl y proposed an Indirect Source Rule that would apply to freight facilities within the South Coast region, where the Project is located. 70 Under this rule , freight facilities above I 00,000 square feet would be required to accumulate a certain number of Warehouse Actions and Investments to Reduce Emissions ("W AIRE") points per year. 71 W AIRE points can be generated through the purchase and usage of zero-emission and near zero-emission equipment, including vehicles and charging infra stmcture. 72 Zero-emissions and near-zero-emi ss ion truck trips also generate WA IRE points . The most points that can be allocated for a singular action is for the purchase and usage of C lass 8 battery-e lectric or fuel cell trucks.73 SCAQMD cites the commercial availability of battery electric Class 7 and 8 trucks in the technical document supplementing the regulatory language. 74 While the specific acquisition and 68 Ca lifornia Air Resourc es Board , CARB Announces M ore than $200 Million in New Funding for Clean Freight J)·a nsportation (Sep . 26 , 2018), https ://ww2.arb.ca.gov/news /carb-announces-more -200 -milli on - new-fundi ng-clea n-freight-tra nsportation . 69 Id. 70 South Coast Air Quality Mana gement Dis trict , Proposed Rul e 2305: Warehouse Indirect Source Rule (Nov . I 0, 2019), http://www .agmd.gov/doc s/default-source/plannin g/fbmsm-docs /ware ho use-is r prelim- 1 st-draft.pdf?sfvrsn=6. 7 1 i d. at 2305 -3 . 72 South Coast Air Quality Management Di stric t, Draft W AIRE M enu Technical R ep ort al I (Mar. 3, 2020), h11p ://www.agm d.gov/docs /default-source/planning/fbmsm-docs /wa ire -men u-t ec hni ca l- report draft 3-3-20.pdf?sfvrsn=6. 73 Id. at 2. 74 i d. at 4. 10 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-73 Comment Letter G G-6 G-5(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report usage of Class 7 and Class 8 zero-emission tru cks is not per se required , this rule would strongly incentivize, if not force , many freight facilities to acquire these types of trucks and/or ensure that a certain number of truck trips made to their warehouse each year are by these trucks. With the proposal of this rule , SCAQMD indicates that increased usage of Class 7 and 8 battery electric trucks is feasible, and seeks to ensure more of these trucks are on the road. SCAQMD is not the only California agency attempting to increase th e usage ofbattery- electric trucks in the state. CARB has adopted its Advanced Clean Truck rule, which will increase the number of zero-emission veh icl e s that medium-duty a nd heavy-duty manufacturers are required to sell into California. 75 Further, CARB oversees an over $200 million program designed to faci litate the transition to zero-emission frei ght fleets. 76 This CARB program funded the deployment of zero-emission semi-trucks done by the Port of Los Angeles and the SCAQMD, referenced above. CARB a lso oversees a grant program called the Carl Moyer Memorial A ir Qua lity Standards Attainment Program. 77 This program provides funding to vehicles that have less particulate matter and NOx emissions than is currently required by state and federal law. ln addition, CARB oversees the Air Quality Improvement Program ("AQIP"), which is almost exclusively used to provide financing for small fleet owners to purchase clean fleets . 78 This is certainly not an exhaustive list of the grant programs and incentives avail ab le in California. Altogether, CARB indicates that more than a dozen California agencies issue hundreds of millions of dollars annually to support the deployment of heavy-duty vehicles. 79 These grant programs, regulations , and incentives further illustrate the feasibility of widespread usage of battery-electric semi-trucks at freig ht faci li t ies. None of the TCO studies analyzed above in corporate these programs and regulations into their calculation. Even without consideri ng any of these, the TCO of a battery-electric semi-truck is currently less than a diesel equivalent. W hen these programs , regulations , and incentives are also considered, the case for the feasibility ofrequiring C lass 7 and 8 battery-electric semi-trucks at freight facilities becomes even stronger. i. There are Multiple Co-Benefits Associated with th e Widespread Us age of Class 7 and 8 Zero-Emission Semi-Trucks at th e Proj ec t sit e 15 See generally Ca lifornia Air Resources Board , Advanced Clean Trucks Regula/ion , https ://ww2.ar b.ca.gov/rulcmakin g/2019 /advance dcl cantrucks . 76 California Air Resources Board , CARB A nn oun ces More th an $200 Million in New Funding /or Clean fai ·eig ht Transportatio n (Sep . 26, 20 18), http s://ww2.a rb .ca .gov/ne ws /carb-announces-more-200 -million - new-funding-clean -freight -transporr ation . 77 California Air Resources Board , Carl Moyer Air Quality Standards Attainment Program , https ://ww2 .arb .ca.gov/our-work/programs/carl-moyer-memorial-air-guality-standards-attainment- program . 7s California Air Resourc es Board , AQIP Form al Regulatory Do cum ents , http s://ww2 .arb.ca.gov/resources/docum ent s/agip -forma l-regula to ry -documents . 79 California Air Resourc es Board , Heavy -Duty Investm ent Strategy, at D-90 (Sep . 20 , 20 19) ht s ://ww2.a rb .ca . ov/sites/defau lt/fi les/20 I 9-09 / I 920fu ndin Ian-a d. df. 11 Final EIR 7 Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-74 Comment Letter G G-7 G-8 G-6(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report A. Requiring the Usage of Class 7 and 8 /Jatte,y-1:,"lectric Semi-Trucks will Reduce local Air Pollution The operation of Class 7 and 8 diesel sem i-trucks within and around communities has devastating, sometimes deadl y, air quality impacts. As mentioned above , diesel semi-trucks are significant sources of particulate matter and NO, pollution. The impacts of these pollutants are so severe that the International Agency for Research on Cancer, which is part of the World Health Organization, ha s classified diesel exhaust as carcinogenic to humans . 80 According to the California Office ofEnvirom11ental Health Hazard Assessment ("OEHHA"), particulate matter pollution is linked to increased hospi tal vis its , emergency room visits , asthma attacks , and premature death s among those suffe rin g from respiratory illne sses. 81 Children are especially susceptible to this harmfol pollution, as their lungs and respiratory systems are still developi ng .82 NOx emissions are also quite harmfol , and can damage lun g tissue , lower the body's resistance to respiratory infection, and worsen chronic lun g diseases . Further, NOx reacts with other pollutants in the atmosphere to form ozone, a precursor to smog.83 C la ss 7 and 8 zero-emiss ion semi-trucks almost fully eliminate the creation of these potentially deadl y pollutants. As referenced above, zero-emission ve hicles , including battery- electric trucks , have no tailpipe emissions. The only significant air pollutant associated with these semi-trucks is the particulate matter caused by braking. However, according to CARB , battery-electric trucks emit about 50% less particulate matter from braking than diesel semi- trucks, through the use of "regenerative braking". Therefore, requiring the usage of C las s 7 and 8 zero -emission semi -truck s is not only economically and tech nologi ca lly feasible , but will provide sign ificant health benefits to the people of Moreno Valley and surrounding areas . Thus , requiring the usage of these trucks is not only required under CEQA as a feasible mitigation measure, but is a moral imperative. No person within the community should be subjected to asthma, lung cancer, or worse, when it is clearly possible to avoid th is . 8 . Requiring Us age of Class 7 and 8 Bat1e 1y -Electric Semi-Trucks will Aid California in Reaching its GHG and Air Pollution Reduction Goals California has multiple stringent GHG and air pollution reduction goals , and electrification of freight fleets is a vi tal component to achieving these goals. California is mandated under the federal C lean Air Act to reduce its air pollution consistent with the National 80 American Cancer Society, Di esel Exhaust and Cancer, https://www .cancer.org/cancer/cancer- causes/diesel-e xhaust-and- cancer.html#:~:text=The %20EP A %20classifies%20diesel%20exhaust ,a%20 %E2 %80%9Cpotential %20o ccupationa l%20carcinogen.%E2 %80 %9D . 8 1 California Offic e of Health Hazard Assessment , Healih Effects of Diesel Exhaust (May 2 1, 200 I ), https ://oehha.ca.gov /air/health-effects-diesel-exhaus t. 82 Id. 83 f d. 12 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-75 Comment Letter G G-9 G-8(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Ambient Air Quality Standards ("NAAQS"). 84 Currently, the South Coast and Valley Air Districts are out of compliance with the eight-hour and twenty-four-hour ozone standard. 85 According to CARB, an 80% reduction in truck and bus NOx tailpipe emissions is required by 2031 from 2019 levels to meet the NAAQS for the South Coast region . 86 As mentioned above, diesel semi-trucks are a s ignificant source ofNOx tailpipe emissions, whereas battery-electric semi-trucks have zero tailpipe emissions. Thus, requiring the usage of these vehicles at the Project site will aid California in achieving compliance with the federal NAAQS. California also has aggressive GHG reduction goals. State Bill 32 mandates that GHG emissions be reduced 40% below 1990 levels by 2030. Executive Order S-3-05 mandates that GHG emissions be reduced 80 % below 1990 levels by 2050 . Executive Order B-55-18 mandates that California achieve economy-wide carbon neutrality by 2045 . According to a report by the Energy Futures Initiative , meeting the goals for 2045 and 2050 will be "extremely challenging."87 According to the ICF study mentioned above, deployment of I 00,000 electric medium and heavy-duty vehicles is necessary to achieve both the 2030 and 2050 GHG reduction goals. 88 Heav y-duty vehicles , including diesel semi-trucks , are a significant source of GHG emissions. According to the Union of Concerned Scientists, heavy-duty vehicles constitute 10% of vehicles in the United States , but emit 28 % of vehicle-related GHG emissions. 89 Battery- electric trucks, as shown above , have significantly less life cycle GHG emissions than diesel semi-trucks, and the GHG emissions from battery-electric trucks will continue to decrease as California increases the proportion of electricity generated by renewable sources. Thus , requiring usage of battery-electric semi-trucks at the Project site will aid California in meeting its aspirational GHG emissions reduct ion goals . C. Electrification of Freig ht Fleets has Po s itive Economic Impacts for California In addition to the TCO calculation, the ICF study referenced above also analyzes the economic impacts associated with electrification of freight fleets in the state of California. The report concluded that widespread electrification has multiple positive economic impacts. For one, transitioning from petroleum fuels to electricity allows funds that would otherwise flow out of California 's economy to be retained within the state. 9° Further, investment in battery-electric vehicles results in greater net employment, Gross Regional Product, and industrial activity per dollar invested , when compared to investment in natural gas vehicles.9 1 Also , in vestment in the 84 ICF , s upra note 42 at 3. 8; Id. 86 id. 87 En ergy Futures Initiati ve, Optionality, Fl exibility, and Inn ovatio n: Path ways f o r Deep Decarbonizalion in California at x (April 2019), https ://stat ic 1.sguarespace.com/static/58ec I 23cb3db2bd94e057628 /t/5ca deb d04cd 61 c000 17a563b/ 15 549 0 1977873/EFI+Ca li forn ia +Summary+DE+PM.pd f. 88 ICF , supra note 42 at 28 . 89 Union of Concern ed Sci entists , s upra note 14 at 2. 90 ICF , s upra note 42 at 6. 91 Id. 13 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-76 Comment Letter G G-10 G-11 G-12 G-13 G-14 G-9(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report electrification of freight fleets results in a doubling of jobs in the medium and heavy-duty sectors re lative to investment in natural gas and diesel ve h icles . 92 These economic benefits are consistent with the findings of the LBNL. ln a letter to CARB regarding its Advanced Clean Truck Rule , LBNL indicates th at a mandate that manufacturers must sell 100% zero-emission vehicles across all truck classes would result in $49 bi ll ion in savings to the state economy compared when to a "business-as -usual " scenario. 93 This deep flaw in the DEIR is especia ll y rel evant beca use the scope of air quality and GHG im pacts from this project. III. The DEIR Sho uld Require Use of Solar Power. The DElR includes no comm itment to use so lar power as a way to mitigate a ir quality and GHG impacts. So lar is a common mitigation measure in simi lar warehouse projects, and as such sho uld be implemented in this project as a mandatory mitigation measure . IV. The DEIR Should Require Use of Zero-Emission Yard Equipment, Not Just Alternative Fueled Yard Equipment as a Mitigation Measure. The Project should requ ire the use of zero-emission cargo handling equipment as a mitigation measure . This is a feasible mitigation measure and several comparab le projects are ut ili zin g these types of technologies instead of re lying on combustion trucks . V. The DEIR Must Includ e Additional Mitigation for Co ld Storage. Cold storage facilities pose particularly acu te impacts to communities. As such , this project does not include sufficient mitigation , including electrification ofTRUs and other protections for the community. VI. The DEIR Failed to Include its VMT Analysis The DEIR failed to include a draft VMT technical analysis for public review and comment. When clicking on the link to Appendix K-1 on the San Bernardino City website , a wastewater flow assessment document comes up . As th e City is aware VMT ana lysis are critical parts of the EIR process. The failure to include the un derlying technical report that forms the bas is for the VMT analysis resu lts in a lack of meaningful process . The City should repost the DEIR w ith the actual VMT ana lys is provided to the public for review . 92 Id. 93 Lawrence Berkeley Nationa l Laboratory, Letter lo CARB Regarding Proposed Am endments lo th e A CT Standard Yi eld $! I Billion in Sa vings and 50% Emissons Reducli ons over Original Siandards (May 20 , 2020), h s://www .arb .ca. ov/li sts /com-attac h/4122-ac t2 019-A WBdOAZ zAzMKYwF s. df. 14 Final EIR ] Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-77 Comment Letter G G-15 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report We appreciate your consideration of these comments. Please do not hesitate to contact us J at amartinez@earthjustice.org if you have questions about this comment letter. Sincere ly, ~;(-~ Adrian Martinez Attorneys for Earthjustice 15 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-78 RESPONSES TO COMMENT LETTER G G-1 The commenter generally states that the Project will increase air pollution and that the DEIR needs to address all feasible mitigation measures and alternatives and opines that the City should prepare a new DEIR. There is no information provided in these comments or responses thereto that would warrant recirculation of the DEIR. The DEIR circulated for public review was fundamentally and basically adequate, and as such, recirculation of the DEIR is not warranted set forth in §15088.5 of the State CEQA Guidelines. G-2 The commenter accuses the DEIR of obfuscating impact disclosure, refers to the CARB comment letter, and generally states that additional feasible mitigation is available to reduce air quality and GHG impacts. Please refer above to Responses A-1 through A-25, which respond to comments submitted by CARB and address the topic of feasible mitigation. G-3 The commenter accurately states that the Project will result in air quality and GHG impacts associated with vehicle travel to and from the site (tailpipe emissions) and opines that a requirement for zero- emission (electric) vehicles would eliminate the impacts. The commenter then provides information from various cited sources about Class 7 and 8 battery-electric semi trucks. To the commenter’s first point, the City does not disagree that electric vehicle (EV) trucks are less impactful to air quality and climate change than diesel-fueled trucks, but the City also recognizes that the production and disposal of lithium-ion batteries used in electric vehicles produce GHG emissions and have other adverse environmental consequences. To the commenter’s second point, the City rejects the suggestion that the Project be required to only be serviced by EV trucks as infeasible based on the fact that EV trucks are not yet in widespread commercial operation. According to the International Council on Clean Transportation and the ZEV Alliance, it is recognized that although EV manufacturers are scaling up production, battery technologies are improving, and heavier-duty vehicle applications with larger battery capacities are being developed, no vehicle segment is fully prepared for market commercialization (ZEV Alliance, 2000).7 Also, the City has no ability or capacity to exclude vehicles that are permitted to be driven on public roads from accessing the Project Site. It is the responsibility of federal and State agencies to regulate the types of vehicles sold and driven in California. In June, 2020, CARB adopted a new Rule (Advanced Clean Trucks Regulation) that is the strictest in the United States, requiring truck manufacturers to transition from diesel trucks and vans to electric zero-emission trucks beginning in 2024. By 2045, every new truck sold in California will be required to be zero-emission. When commercial availability of electric-powered long-haul trucks is more readily available in the future, it is expected that such trucks will be part of the Project’s normal course of operation. The Project Applicant and City of San Bernardino have applied forethought in developing the Project’s design features and mitigation measures to assist in advancing the use of zero-emission trucks. The southwestern corner of the Development Site is designed as a truck staging area where truck charging 7 ZEV Alliance, “Moving Zero-Emission Freight Toward Commercialization,” December 20, 2020 TThe Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-79 stations will be accommodated. DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site at this location. The San Manuel Band of Mission Indians is the Project Applicant and is voluntarily actively engaged with solar and electric vehicle industry leaders, such as Tesla, to advance the accommodation of EV vehicles. To this end, the Project’s building specifications include electrical switchgear and the truck staging area is designed to accept a technologically advanced electrical charging system to meet prospective building user requirements for EV truck charging. As a speculative development, it is not possible to forecast what an actual future user of the building may need or require in terms of EV truck charging, as the needs vary widely among building users and the technology is rapidly advancing. The Project’s EV charging facilities for trucks will be tailored to the needs of the building user, because committing to a system too early and then needing to retrofit it to meet building user specifications is technologically and cost prohibitive. The Project Applicant’s commitment to energy sensitive design is appreciated by the City, and is viewed as environmentally responsible. G-4 The commenter provides information from various cited sources about California’s public utility companies’ investments in EV charging infrastructure. The City appreciates this information, and as noted in Response G-3 above, is committed to the Project’s design accommodating electric trucks and charging stations by providing a truck staging area with charging station infrastructure in the southwestern corner of the Project Site. G-5 The commenter provides information about manufacturing companies that are deploying electric trucks to the United States and about large companies that are ordering electric trucks from these manufacturers. The commenter also provides information about California governmental agencies’ efforts to increase the utilization of battery-electric semi-trucks. The City appreciates this information. As stated above in Response G-3, the City is aware, and agrees with the commenter that EV manufacturers are scaling up production, battery technologies are improving, and heavier-duty vehicle applications with larger battery capacities are being developed. However, and as commenter notes, some of the largest companies in the United States (UPS, PepsiCo, etc.) have only ordered a few hundred of these trucks, whereas there are nearly 3.63 million registered (non-electric) Class 8 trucks in the country.8 This clearly shows that there is not yet widespread commercialization. As noted in Response G-3, the Project Applicant and City of San Bernardino have applied forethought in developing the Project’s design features and mitigation measures to assist in attracting zero-emission trucks to the Project Site. The southwestern corner of the Development Site is designed as a truck staging area where truck charging stations will be accommodated. Also, DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site. G-6 The commenter supplies general information about the air quality emissions and associated effects on human health resulting from diesel-fueled vehicle tailpipe emissions, and states that zero-emission vehicles have fewer human health effects. DEIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, and DEIR Technical Appendix B1, Air Quality Impact Analysis, and Technical Appendix B2, Health Risk Assessment (HRA), HYDOXDWHWKHWKH3URMHFW¶VDLUSROOXWDQWHPLVVLRQVDQGDVVRFLDWHGULVNVWRKXPDQKHDOWKGXULQJ3URMHFW 8 Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association, “Trucking Facts” https://www.ooida.com/trucking-facts/ The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-80 construction and operation. As concluded in these studies and summarized on DEIR Pages 4.1-32 and 33, the Project would have a less than significant impact human health using the significance criteria promogulated by the SCAQMD for carcinogenic risk of 10 in one million. The SCAQMD is the agency charged with bringing air quality levels in the South Coast Air Basin to acceptable levels. Non- cancer risks were also evaluated and determined to be far below the SCAQMD non-cancer health risk index threshold of 1.0. G-7 The commenter states that using Class 7 and Class 8 zero-emission semi trucks for the Project’s operation will provide health benefits to the residents of Moreno Valley. The proposed Project is located in the City of San Bernardino, and it is unclear how the City of Moreno Valley would be benefited. Regardless, and as noted above in Responses G-3 through G-6, the City of San Bernardino has determined because EV trucks are not yet in widespread commercial operation and because the City has no ability, capacity, or jurisdictional authority to exclude vehicles from the Project site that are permitted to be driven on public roads in California, limiting the Project’s operation to only zero- emission semi trucks is infeasible. When commercial availability of electric-powered long-haul trucks is more readily available in the future, it is expected that such trucks will be part of the Project’s normal course of operation. The Project Applicant and City of San Bernardino have applied forethought in developing the Project’s design features and mitigation measures to assist in advancing the use of zero- emission trucks. The southwestern corner of the Development Site is designed as a truck staging area where truck charging stations will be accommodated. Also, DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site. G-8 The commenter provides information about air pollution in the South Coast Air Basin particularly related to NOx from vehicle tailpipes. The commenter also provides information about Statewide GHG reduction goals and cites information indicating that the transition to electric vehicles will help to meet those goals, concluding that the City should only require battery-electric semi trucks to operate at the Project site. Refer to Responses G-3, G-4, and G-7, above. In summary, the City has determined that because EV trucks are not yet in widespread commercial operation and because the City has no ability, capacity, or jurisdictional authority to exclude vehicles from the Project site that are permitted to be driven on public roads in California, limiting the Project’s operation to only zero-emission semi trucks is infeasible from both technological and enforcement ability standpoints. G-9 The commenter supplies general information about the economic benefits of using battery-electric semi trucks. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. G-10 The commenter states that the DEIR is flawed due the scope of the Project’s air quality and GHG impacts. The City disagrees. The DEIR is supported by several technical studies and technical modeling prepared by professional experts in the fields of air quality and GHG emissions. Refer to DEIR Technical Appendix B1, Air Quality Impact Analysis, Technical Appendix B2, Health Risk Assessment (HRA), and Technical Appendix G, Greenhouse Gas Analysis. The analytical results show that the Project will result in significant and unavoidable air quality emissions and GHG emissions, as reported in the DEIR. As CEQA Lead Agency, it is the City of San Bernardino’s obligation to adopted Findings and a Statement of Overriding Considerations should the City decide to certify the EIR and approve the Project. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-81 G-11 The commenter indicates that there is no requirement to use solar power. Refer to Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(d) and the addition thereto presented in Response C-19, which requires that the shell building include a PV system providing a minimum of 24 KW of power per year (subject to FAA approval), and that the remainder of the building’s roof be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential future construction of additional photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays. G-12 The commenter suggests that the Project’s outdoor cargo handling equipment be electric. DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-7 requires that the Project developer and all successors in interest stipulate in building sale and lease agreements that all indoor and outdoor forklifts and all outdoor cargo- handling equipment (e.g., yard trucks, hostlers, yard goats, pallet jacks, forklifts) be electric or non- diesel fueled. Because the City has no involvement in private lease negotiations among and between private building owners and building tenants, it is recognized that this mitigation measure will not be enforceable by the City. Nonetheless, this type of equipment is in widespread commercial circulation, is not prohibitively expensive, and is commonly used in new warehouse operations; as such, there is reasonable assurance that the provision will be complied with as part of the normal course of business operations. G-13 The commenter states that the DEIR applies insufficient mitigation to address TRUs. In response to this comment, the following mitigation measure has been added to the FEIR. MM 4.4-2: Prior to the issuance of a building permit for warehouse building space that contains refrigerated or freezer storage, an electrical hookup shall be provided at all loading dock doors that are designated for the loading/unloading of trailers holding refrigerated/frozen goods, for the purpose of plugging the refrigeration units installed on such trailers into the building’s electrical system. If refrigerated/freezer warehouse space is not proposed, electrical hookups at dock doors will not be required. G-14 The commenter states that DEIR Appendix K-1 was incorrectly posted on the City’s website. The City corrected the website link on January 7, 2021. The public notices for the DEIR listed the City’s contact information and stated that copies of the DEIR and Technical Appendices were available for review at the City. As such, the public had adequate access to Appendix K-1 even though there was an initial error in the website posting. G-15 This is a closing comment that provides the commenter’s contact information. Page F-82 Comment Letter H1 H1-1 H1-2 H1-3 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report BLUM CO LLINS , LLP ATTORNEYS AT LAW AON CENTER 707 WILSH IRE BOU LEVA RD, SUITE4880 LOS ANGE LES, CA LI FORN IA 9001 7 (213) 572 -0400 J an ua1y 11., 202 1 Elizabe th Mora-R o dri guez Cily of San B e llladino, Pl anning Di vision 290 o rth D Street San Bellladin o, CA 9240 I Re: The L111mi1g by Sa11 Af.wuel Prqject (SCH N umbe1: 20200100067) D ear Ms. Mo ra -Rod1igu ez: On be half of the G o ld e n State E nvi ro nme ntal Justi ce Allian ce ("GSEJA"), we he re by submi t conune n ts unde r the Californi a Enviro1m1e ntal Quality Act ("CEQA") o n th e Draft Environme ntal Impac t Re p ort ("DEIR") fo r The Landing by San Manuel Project ("Proj ect"). GSEJA believes that tl1 c Proj ect's air quali ty, hea lth risk , and gTc c nhousc gas impac ts ar c no t ad e quately evaluate d by !h e D E ffi. See th e co nm1 e nts o f Soil vVate r Air Protection Enterpri se ("S \iVAPE") whi ch we are submitting herewith and incorporating by refe re nce. For the fo rego ing reason s, GSEJA be li eves th e DEIR is fl awed and an am e nde d DEIR must be pre pare d fo r th e p roposed proj ect and rec ir culate d fo r publi c revi ew. CS_EJA requests to b e added to tl1 e p ubli c inte rest list regarding an y subseque nt e nvironm e ntal d o cume nts, publi c notices, publi c heaiings, and no ti ces o f d eterminatio n lo r t11is project. Send all communica tions to Golden State Envir o nme ntal]us ti ce Al li ance, P .O. Box 79222, Corona , CA 92877. Since rely, Gar y Ho Blum I Collins , LLP J J Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No , 2020100067 Page F-83 Comment Letter H1 H1-4 H1-5 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report I SWAP E I Technical Consu ltation , Data Analysis and Litigation Support for the Environment .__ _____ _. January 4, 2021 Gary Ho Blu m Co ll i ns LLP 707 Wi lsh i re Blvd, Ste . 4880 Los Ange les, CA 90017 2656 29 th Street, Suite 201 Sa nta Monica , CA 90405 Matt Hagemann , P.G, C.Hg . (949) 88 7-9013 mhageman n@swape .com Pau l E. Rosenfeld, PhD (310) 795-2335 prosenfeld@ swape.com Subject : Comments on The Land in g by San Manuel Project (SCH No . 20200 100067) Dear Mr. Ho, We have reviewe d the Draft En vironmental Impact Report ("D EI R") for The Landing by San Manuel {"Project") located in the City of San Bernardino ("C ity"). The Project proposes to con struct 1,153,644-SF of warehouse space, 365 truck trailer parking stalls, and 422 passenger ve hicle parking spaces on the 52 .97-acre site. Our review concludes that the DE IR fails to adequately eval uate the Project's air quality, health r isk, and greenhouse gas i m pacts. As a result, emissions and health risk i mpacts associated with construction and operation of t he proposed Project are underest imated and inadequately addressed. An updated EIR shou ld be prepared to adequately assess and m itigate the potential air quality, health risk, and greenhouse gas i m pacts that the project may have on the surrou nding environment. Air Quality Unsubstantiated Input Parameters Used to Estimate Project Emissions The DEIR's air q uality analysis re li es on emissions calc ul ated with CalEEMod .2016 .3 .2 (p. 4.4-22).1 CalEEMod provides recommended default values b ased on site-specific information, such as land use typ e, meteorologica l data, total lot acreage, project type and typical equ i pment associated with project t ype . If more spec ific project information is known, the user can change the default values and input proj ect-specific val ues, but t he California Env i ronmental Qua l ity Act ("CEQA") req uires that suc h changes 1 CAPCOA (November 2017) CalEEMod User's Guide , http://www.aqmd.gov/docs/default- sou rce/ca lee mod/01 _ user-39-s-g u ide 2016-3-2 _ 15 nave mbe r2 017. pdf? sfvrsn=4 . Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-84 Comment Letter H1 H1-6 H1-5(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report be justified by substantial evidence.2 Once all of the value s are inputted into the mode l, the Project's construction and operational emissions are calcu lated, and "output files" are generated . These output fi les di sclose to the reader what pa rameters were util ized in ca lculating the Project's air pollutant emissions and make known which default values were changed as well as provide justification for the value s selected .' When reviewing the Project's CalEEMod output files, provided in the Air Quality Impact Analysi s ("AQIA") as Appendix Bl to the DEIR , we found that severa l model i nputs were not consistent with information disclosed in the DEIR . As a result, the Project's construction and operational emission s are underestim ated. An updated EIR should be prepared to include an updated air quality analysis that adequately evaluates the impacts that con struction and operation of the Project will have on local and regional air quality. Unsubstantiated Changes to Individual Construction Phase Lengths Revi ew of the CalEEMod output files de monstrates that ''The Landing at San Manuel {Wate r Tower Re lo cation -Unmitigated)" model includes an unsubstantiated change to the anticipated demolition construction phase length (see excerpt below) (Appendix Bl, pp . 130, 143 ). Table Name Cot,mnName Default Value New Value tblConstructlonPhase : NumDays : 10.00 15.00 ------. ------. --.. -.. ---. -.. -. --.. -...... -.. -.... -... -..... ~----------------------------- tblConstructionPhase : PhaseEndOate : 4/5/2021 4/12/2021 ------. ---------.. -. ---. --.. -.:. --. --.. -.. --.. -.. -..... -. -.. -~-------------------------------------· As a result of this change, the model includes a construction schedu le as follows (Appendi x Bl, pp . 133, 146): Phase Nu mber Phase Name Phase Type Start Date End Date Num Days Num Days Week :Dis mantli ng Existing Water Tower :Demolition ;3123/202 1 ;4/1212021 s: 1s : As demonstrated in the excerpts above, the demolition phase was increased by SO%, from the default value of 10 to 15 days, in "The Landing at San Manuel {Water Tower Relocation -Unmitigated)" model. Similarly, review of the CalEEMod output files demonstrates that "The Landing by San Manuel {Const ruction -Mitigated)" model includes un substantiated changes to the anticipated individual construction phase length s (see excerpt below) {Appendi x Bl, pp. 307, 382 ). 2 CalEEMod User Guide , available at: http ://www.caleemod.com/, p. 1, 9. 3 CalEEMod User Guide, available at: http://www.caleemod .com/, p. 11, 12 -13. A key feature of the Ca lEEMod program is the "re mar ks" feature , where the user explains why a default setting was replaced by a "user defined " value . The se remar ks are inc luded in the report. 2 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-85 Comment Letter H1 H1-6(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Table Name Coomn Name Default Value New Value I I ....... :;~;_:;;;_~:_:_~ ....... l ........... ;;~_;;._ -.. --.. --. :_______ 1 .::·:00 ----!-......... _;:;_. -....... -I tblConstruetionPhase : NumDays : 110.00 60.00 ----------------. ------------.; -----. --. -. ------------------+------------------------------- As a re sult of these change s, the model includes a cons t ruction schedule as follows (Appendix Bl, pp. 358,433): Phase Num be r Phase Nam e Phase Type St art Date End Date Num Days Num Days Week :Site Preparation/Grad ing :Grading :s/1/202 1 :1/231202 1 : s: so: · - -- ---~ -- -- - · - -· --· --- - · -- · ----1---------•••• --•••• ····1------------4------------4--------4--------4 2 :Building Constr uction :Bu ilding Construction :7124/202 1 :4/29/2022 : s: 200 : • • • • -••I • - • • • • • • • • • • • • • • · --• • • • • 1-----------------------1------------~------------.J--------~--------• 3 :Architectu ral Coati ng :Architect ural Coating : 10/2/202 1 :4129/2022 : s: 1so : ••••••• i, •••••.••.•••••••.••.•••• ~-·-------------·--------~--------·---I ---·----·----I ------·--· --·----·-I 4 ;Paving/Landscaping ;Paving ; 1115/2022 ;4129/2022 5; 75; As demonstrated in the excerpts above, the site preparation/gradi ng pha se wa s decrea sed by approximately 45 %, from the default value of 110 to 60 days; the building con struction pha se wa s dec reased by approximately 82 %, from the default va lu e of 1,110 to 200 days; and the architectural coating pha se wa s increa sed by 100%, from the default value of 75 to 150 days, i n "The Landing by San Manuel (Construction -Mitigated)" model. As previou sly mentioned, the CalEEMod User's Guid e requires any changes to model defaults be justified .4 According to the "User Entered Comments & Non-Default Data " table for "The Landing at San Manuel (Water Tower Relocation -Unmitigated)" model, the justification provided for this change is : "Water Tower Relocation ant icipated to occur over a 15 day timeframe " (Appendix Bl, pp . 130, 143). According to the "User Entered Comments & Non-Default Data" table for "The Landing by San Manuel {Const ruction -Mitigated)" model, the justification provided for these change s is : "Con struction schedule ba sed on information provided by the Project Appl ic ant" {Appendi x Bl, pp. 306, 381). Furthermore, regarding the Project's ant icipated const ruction schedule, the AQIA states : "For purposes of analysi s, Water Tower Relo cation activities will begin in Marc h 2021 and end in Apri l 2021. Phy sical Building Construction activities are expected to commence in May 2021 and w ill last through April 2022 " (p . 41). As the ex cerpt above demon strates, while t he AIQA states the ove rall anticipated construction period, the DEIR fail s to specify the individual con st r uction phase lengths. As a result, we cannot verify t he revi sed individua l con stru ction pha se lengths included in the model s. Th es e un sub stantiated change s pre sent an issue , as they improperly spread out construction em issions over a longer period of time for 4 CalEEMod Use r Guide , available a t: http://www.caleemod.com/, p. 2, 9 3 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-86 Comment Letter H1 H1-7 H1-6(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report some con struction pha ses and not others. According to the Ca l EEMod User's Guide, each con struction phase is as sociated w ith different emiss ion s activit ies (see excerpt be low). 5 Demolition involves removing build ings or structures . Site Pre paration involves clearing vegetation (gru bbin g and tree /stump removal) and removing stones and other unwanted materia l or debris prior to grad ing . ~involves the cu t and fill of land to ensure that the proper base and slope is created for the foundation. Building Construction involves the construction of the foundat ion , struc tures and buildings . Architectura l Coating involves the appl ication of coatings to both the interior and exterior of buildings or structures . the painting of park ing lot or pa rking garage striping . associated signage and curbs , and the pain ting of the walls or othe r compone nts such as sta ir rail ings ins ide parking struc tures . Pa vinq involves the laying of concre te or as pha lt such as in parking lots . roads . driveways , or sidewalks . As such, by disproportionate ly altering i nd ividual constructi on pha se lengt hs without proper justifica t io n, t he models' ca lculations are altered and un derest imate em ission s. Thus, by inclu d ing unsubstantiated changes to t he Project's antici pated individual construction pha se lengths, the models may u nd ere st i mate the Project's maximum d ai ly const r ucti on-related emi ss ions and shoul d not be relied upon to d et erm i ne the significance of the Project's air quality impacts. Unsubstantiated Reductions to Architectural Coating Emission Factors Rev i ew of the CalEEMo d output files demonstrates that ''The Landing by San Man uel {Construction - M itigated)" model includes manual reduct ion s to the Project's architect ura l coating emiss ion factors (see exce rpt be low) (Appendix Bl, pp . 306, 381). Table Name I Colim n Name I Default Value New Value tblAtchitectu ralCoating : EF _Norvesidential_Exterior : 100.00 50.00 ... -... -.. ---------. ---------~ --------. ---------. --.. -----. ~--------·--------------------- tblArch ilecturalCoating : EF _Nonresidential_lnlerior : 100.00 50.00 ............. --.. -.. -.. ---. --.,. -. ---. --. ------. --.. -... -.... .S..-·---·----·---·--------------------------.. As you can see in the excerpt above , the nonresi dential exterio r and i nterior arc hitectura l coat ing emiss ion factors were each manually re d uced from t he default value of 100 grams per l iter ("g/L") to 50 g/L. As previou sly mentioned , the Ca l EEMod User's Guide requires any changes to model defau lts be just ified .6 According to t he "User Entered Comments and Non-Defau lt Data" tab le, the justification provided fo r t hese changes is: "Rule 1113" (Appendix Bl, pp . 305, 380). Furthermore, the DEIR includes Regu latory Requirements & De sign Requirement ("RRDR") 4 .1-3, w hich states: "Th e Project is required to comply with the provisi ons of SCAQ M D Rule 1113, "Tab le of Standards for A rchitectural Coatings, Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) Limits." Prior to bu ild i ng permit issuance, the City of San Bernard ino shall verify that a note is provided on all bu i ld ing 5 "CalEEMod User 's Gu ide ." CAP COA, November 2017, available at: http:ljwww.agmd .gov/doc s/default- source/ca leemod/Ol user-39 -s-guide2016-3 -2 1Snovember2017 .pdf?sfvrsn=4, p. 31. 6 CalEEMod Use r Guide , available a t: http://www.caleemod.com/, p. 2, 9 4 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-87 Comment Letter H1 H1-8 H1-7(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report plans specifying that compliance with SCAQMD Rule 1113 is mandatory during application of all architectural coatings . Project contractors shall be required to comply with the note and m aintain written records of such comp liance that can be inspected by the City of San Bernardino upon req uest. All architectural coatings sha ll comply with the VOC limits prescribed by SCAQMD Ru le 1113" (p . S-16). However, we cannot verify the accuracy of the revised architectural coating emission factors based on SCAQMD Rul e 1113 alone . The SCAQMD Rule 1113 Table of Standards provides the required VOC limits (grams ofVOC per liter of coating) for 57 d ifferent coating categories (e.g., Floor coatings, Fau x Finishing Coatings, Fire-Proofing Coatings, Cement Coatings, Multi-Co lor Coatings, Prim ers, Sea lers, Recycled Coatings, Shellac, Stains, Traffic Coatings, Waterproofing Sealers, Wood Coatings, etc.).7 The VOC lim it s for each coating varie s from a minimum value of 50 g/L to a maximum value of 730 g/L. However, the DEIR and associated documents fail to mention what type of coating will be used. As such, we cannot verify that SCAQMD Rule 1113 substantiate s a reduction to the default coating values without more information regarding what category of coating will be used. Absent additional information regarding which categories of coating would be used for Project construction, we can not compare the revised em iss ion factors with the SCAQMD Rule 1113 requirements for those categories . These unsubstantiated reductions present an issue, as CalEEMod uses the architectural coat ing emission factors to calculate the Project's reactive organic gas/vo la ti le organic compound ("ROG "/'VOC") em issions.• Thus, by including unsubstantiated reductions to the Project's architectural emission factors, the model s may underestimate the Project 's construction-related RO G/VOC emissions and should not be relied upon to determine Project significance . Unsubstantiated Reductions to Hauling Trip Numbers Review of the CalEEMod output files demonstrates that "T he Landing at San Manuel (Water Tower Re location -Unmitigated)" and ''T he Landing by San Manuel (Co ns t ru ction -Mitigated)" models include manual reductions to the number of hau ling tri ps required for Project construction (see excerpts below) (Appendix Bl, pp . 130, 143,308,383). "The Landing at San Manuel (Water Tower Relocation -Unmitigated)" I Table Name I Coomn Name I Default Value New Value r · --------tbITripsAnd VMT---. --.. ·; · -.. -.. "HiUunQTriPNUmt>ef -------; 40.00 30.00 "The Landing by San Manuel (Construction -Mitigated)" I Table Name I Col.lmn Name I Default Value New Value [ ••••• _ •• 0 tb1TripsAndVM T •• _____ • l .. ___ . __ HaulingTripNu mber •••• _ •• .;_ ___________ 1,000 .00 ___________ _.i ____ ,o_.oo ___ _ 7 SCAQMD Rul e 1113 Adv isory Notice ." SCAQMD, February 2016, available at: http://www.agmd .gov/docs/default-source/rule-book/reg-xi/rl1l3 .pdf?sfvrsn=24 , p. 1113-14, Tab le of Standards 1. 8 CalEEMod User Guide, available at: http://www.agmd .gov/docs/default-source/caleemod/01 user-39-s - guide2016-3-2 15november2017.pdf?sfvrsn=4 , p. 35, 40. 5 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-88 Comment Letter H1 H1-9 H1-10 H1-8(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report As you can see in the excerpts above, the number of hau ling trips required for water tower re l ocation and Project const ruction were reduced by 10-and 990-trips, respectively . As previously mentioned, t he CalEEMod User's Guide requires a ny changes to model defaults be j ust ified . 9 According to the co rrespon d ing "User Entered Comme nts & Non-Defau lt Data" t abl es, the justificat ions provided for these changes are: "Based on information provided by the Project Applicant, 300 tons demo materia l hau led offsite, max of 10 miles during Water Tower Relocation activ ities" and "Ba sed on information provided by the Project Applicant, 100 tons demo material hau led offsite, max of 10 miles during Site Preparation/Grad ing activities," respect ively (Appendix Bl, pp . 130, 143, 306, 381). However, the DE IR fa ils to d i sclose the applica nt-provided information o r mention the revised hauling trip numbers whatsoever. As a resu lt, we cannot verify the revised hau l ing trip numbers. By including an unsubstanti ated reduction to t he anticipat ed number of hauli ng trips, t he models may unde restimate the Project's construction-related emissio ns an d sho ul d not be re lied upon to determine Project significance. Unsubstantiated Change to Operational Off-Road Equipment Fuel Type Rev i ew of the Project's CalEEMod output fi les demonst ra t es that the "The Landing by San Manuel (Operations -Passenger Cars)" and "The Lan d ing by San Manuel (Opera t ions -Trucks)" models assume t hat the Project's operational off-road equipment fuel ty pe wil l be com pressed natural gas ("CNG "), as opposed to t he defau lt diesel f uel type (see excerpt be low) (Appendix Bl, pp. 459, 521, 585, 648). Table Name Cot,mn Name Default Value I New Value CNG As previous ly mentioned, the Ca l EEMod User's Guide requires any changes to model d efaults be justified.10 According to the User Entered Comments and Non-Defau lt Data tab le, the justification provided fo r this change is: "Based on SCAQMD High Cube Ware house Truck Trip Study White Pa per Summary o f Business Survey Re sults (2014)" (Appendix Bl, pp . 458,520,584,647). However, review of this source revea ls that the study fai ls to mention the use of compressed natural gas ("CNG") w hatsoever." Thus, we cannot verify that the operational off-road equipment fuel type woul d be CNG as clai med. By i nclud ing an unsubstantiated change to the defau lt operational off-road construction equipment f uel type, the mode l may underestimate the Project's off-road operational em i ssio ns and shou ld not be relied upon to determine Project significance. Use of an Unsubstantiated Operational Vehicle Fleet Mix Re vi ew of the Pro j ect's CalEEMod output fil es demonstrates that emissi ons were modeled assumi ng an i ncorrect operationa l vehicle fleet mix. As a result, the models underestimate the Project's mob ile - source operational emissions . 9 CalEEMod User Guide, available at: http://www.caleemod .co m/, p. 2, 9 1° CalEEMod User Guide, available at: http ://www.cal ee mod.com/, p. 2, 9 11 SCAQMD High Cube Warehouse Truck Trip Study White Paper Summary of Business Survey Results (2014), available at: http ://www.agmd .gov/docs/default-source/cega/handbook/high-cube-warehouse-trip-rate-study- for-a i r-g ual ity-a nal ysis/b usi ness-su rvey -s u mma ry . pdf 6 Final EIR l Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-89 Comment Letter H1 H1-10(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Specifically, review of the Traffic Analysi s ("TA"), provided as Appendix K2 to the DEIR, demonstrates that the Project relies upon the Western Riverside Council of Governments ("WRCOG") High -Cube Warehouse Trip Generation Study for the proposed high-cube fulfillment center warehouse land use fleet mix percentages (Appendix K2, p . 55). Specifica lly, the TA states: "High -Cube Fulfillment Center Warehouse ha s been used to derive site specific trip generation estimates for up to 769,096 square feet (2/3 of the total building square footage). The ITE Trip Generation Manual Supplement (February 2020) has trip generation rates for high -cube fulfillment center use for both non-sort and sort facilities (ITE land use code 155). While there is sufficient data to support use of the trip generation rates for non-sort facilitie s, the sort faci lity rate appears to be unreliable because they are based on limited data (i.e ., one to two surveyed sites). The proposed Project is speculative and whether a non-sort or sort facility end -user would occupy the buildings is not known at this time. Lastly, the IT E Trip Generation Handbook recommend s the use of local data sources where avai lab le. (10) As such, the be st available source for high -cube fulfilment center use would be the tri p-generation statistics published in the High-Cube Warehouse Trip Generation Study (WSP. January 29. 2019) which was commissioned by the Western Riverside Council of Governments (WRCOG/ in support of the Transportation Un iform Mitigation Fee (TUMF) update in the County of Riverside" (emphasis added) (Appendix K2, p. 55). As you can see i n the excerpt above, t he DEIR relies upon the WSP High-Cube Warehouse Trip Gen eration Study repo rt from 2019 .12 However, review of the 2019 WRCOG Technical Advi sory Comm ittee Agenda, wh ich includes the above -mentioned study, demon strates that this study is not recommended to repre sent high -cube fulfillment centers . Specifically, the Technical Advi sory Committee Agenda states: "For purposes of establishing traffic i mpacts or development fees, the group of facilities that the con sul tant studied does NOT represent Fulfillment Centers. Thi s is also reinforced by the data plot diagrams from the consultant's report" (emphasis added).13 As such , the DEIR's use of fleet mix pe rcentage value s provided by th is report for the Project's high -cube fulfil l ment center warehouse is incorrect . As a result, we cannot verify the accuracy of the revised fleet mi x percentage values in the model. By relying on unsubstantiated fleet mix percentages, the models may underestimate the Project's mobile-source operational emissions, as CalEEMod use s the fleet mix percentages to calcu late the Project's operational emissions as sociated with on -road vehicles ." As a result, the model s should not be relied upon to determine Project si gnificance. 12 "AGENDA : Thur sday, February 21, 2019 ." We stern Riverside Council of Governments Technical Advisory Committee, available at: https ://wrcog .us/AgendaCenterNiewFile/Agenda/ 02212019-292 , p. 64 . 13 "AGENDA : Thur sday, February 21, 2019 ." We stern River side Council of Governments Technical Advi sory Committee, available at: https :ljwrcog.us/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Agenda/ 02212019-292 , p. 64 . 14 "CalEEMod User's Gu ide." CAPCOA, November 2017, available at: http ://www.caleemod.com/, p. 35. 7 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-90 Comment Letter H1 H1-11 H1-12 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Unsubstantiated Reductions to Energy Use Values Rev iew of the CalEEMod output files demonstrates t hat "The landing by San Manuel (Operations - Passenge r Cars)" and "The l anding by San Manuel (Opera t ions -Trucks)" models include the following unsubstantiated changes to the Project's energy use values (see excerpt below) (Appendix Bl, pp. 458, 520, 584, 647). Table Name Coomn Name Default VaJue New Value tb1En8fgyUse : Lighting Elect • 2.37 1.66 ............................. " ............................. 4------------------------------ tblEnergyUse : LightingEleci : 1.17 0 .82 lblEn8fgyUse ; T24E ~ 1.06 0.74 tblEnergyUse ; T24E ~ 0.37 0.26 ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 4, •••••••••••••••••••••• -•••••• +------------------------------ tblEnergyUse T24NG 3.25 33.96 ... -..... -,blE",.~;gy·u~---. ------~ --------. --"T24NG .. --. ---. --. : 2.00-------------1.40 ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• .s. •••••••••• -•••••••••••••••••• .,_ ________________ . _____ ..... _______ .. As you can see in the exc erpt above , t he default energy use va lues were manually altered within the model. As p revio usly mentioned, the CalEEMod User's Guide req ui re s any changes to model defau lts be justified .15 Accord i ng to the correspond ing "User Entered Comments & Non-Defau lt Data " tab les, the justifications provided for these changes are : "The Project will design bu ilding shells and building components to meet 2019 Title 24 Standards which expects 30% less e nergy for nonresidential uses" (Appendix Bl, pp . 130, 143,306,381). However, this just ification is i nsufficient. Simply because the 2019 Title 24 Standards expect nonresidentia l land uses to red uce energy use by 30%, does not guarantee that this reduction wou ld occur locally on the Project site. W ithout any additional information regard ing how the Project wou ld achieve a 30"/o reduction in energy use, we cannot verify the revised values. These unsupported changes p resent an issue, as Ca lE EMod use s the energy use va l ues to calcu late the Project's emi ss ions ass ociated with build ing electricity and non-hearth natural gas usage .16 Thu s, by including u nsubstantiated reductions to the Project's energy use values, the models may underestimate the Project 's energy-source operational emissions and shou ld not be re l ie d upon to determine Project significance . Failure to Implement All Feasible Mitigation to Reduce Emissions As discussed above, the DEi R's air quality analysis relies upon an incorrect and unsubstantiated air model to determine the si gnificance of the Project's criteria air po l lutant emissions. However, despite the DEIR's flawed air model, the DEIR's operational emissions estimates indicate a significant air qua lity impact. Specifically, the DE IR concludes that the proposed Project's operational NO x emiss ions would be sig nificant and unavoidable, stating: "Mitigation Measures MM 4.1-4 through MM 4.1-9 would reduce the Project's overall demand for energy resources and would reduce the Project's ope rationa l NO x emissions (NO x is relea sed during the combustion of certain types of ene rgy resource s). However, mobile source emissions account for approximately 91 pe rcent, by weight, of the Project's total operational NO x 15 CalEEMod User Gu ide , available at: http :ljwww.caleemod .com/, p. 2, 9 16 CalEEMod User Gu ide , available at: http :ljwww.caleemod .com/, p. 43 8 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-91 Comment Letter H1 H1-12(cont) H1-13 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report emissions. Mobile source emissions are regulated by standards imposed by federal and State agencies, not local governments. No other mitigation measures related to vehicle tailpipe emissions are available that are within the City of San Bernardino's iurisdictional authority that, also, are feasible for the City of San Bernardino to enforce and have a proportional nexus to the Proiect's level o(impact. As such, it is conc l uded that operation of the Project would generate NO x emissions that would exceed the applicable SCAQMD regional air quality threshold on a daily ba sis. The Project's operational-related NO x emissions a lso would cumulatively contribute to an existing air quality violation in the SCAB (i.e., ozone concentrations), as well as cumulatively contribute to the net increase of a criteria pollutant for which the SCAB is non- attainment (i.e ., federal and State ozone concentrations). Accordingly, the Project's long-term operational-related emissions of NO x are concluded to result in a significant and unavoidable impact on both a direct and cumulatively-considerable basis" (emphasis added) (p . 4.1-41-4 .1- 42). However, while we agree that the Project's operational emissions would result in significant air quality impacts, the DEIR's conclusion that these impacts are "significant and unavoidable" is incorrect. According to CEQA Guidelines§ 15096(g)(2): "When an EIR has been prepared for a project, the Responsible Agency shall not approve the project as proposed if the agency finds any feasible alternative or feasible mitigation measures within its powers that would substantially lessen or avoid any significant effect the project would have on the environment ." As you can see , an impact can only be labeled as significant and unavoidable after all available, feasible mitigation is considered . Here, the DEIR includes mitigation measures MM 4 .1-4 though MM 4 .1-9, including mea sures related to CARB anti-idling regulations, on-site circulation, elect ric and non-diesel equipment, and EV charging sta tion s (p . 4.1-39-4.1-40). However, the DEIR's conclusion that "[n]o other mitigation measures related to vehicle tailpipe emissions are available that are within the City of San Bernard ino's jurisd i ctional authority that, also, are feasible for the City of San Bernardino to enforce and have a proportional nexus to the Project's level of impact" is incorrect (p. 4.1-41). Rather, additional feasible mitigation measures exist, such as those sugge sted in the section of this letter tit led "Feasib le Mitigation Measures Available to Reduce Emissions."17 that should be incorporated in order to reduce the Project's operational NO x emissions to less-than-significant levels . Therefore, the DEIR's conclusion that the Project's air quality impact is significant and unavoidable is u ns ubstantiated, as the Project fails to implement all feasible mitigation . The Project should not be approved until an updated EIR is prepared, i ncluding updated, accurate air modeling, as well as incorporating all feasible mitigation to reduce emissions to less-than-significant levels . 17 See section titled "Feasible Mitigation Measures Available to Reduce Emissions" on p. 15 of this comme nt letter. These measures would effectively reduce operational NO , emissions . 9 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-92 Comment Letter H1 H1-14 H1-15 H1-16 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Diesel Particulate Matter Health Risk Emissions Inadequately Evaluated The DEIR concludes that the proposed Project would have a less-than-significant health risk impact based on q uantified health risk assessments ("HRA") est i mating the cancer risks resulting from Project construction and proposed diesel -fueled truck trips (p. 4.1-32 -4.1-33). Specifically, the DEIR est imates that the Project's construction activities and diese l-fue led truck trips would result in cancer risks of 3.9- and 7.04-i n one million, re spectively (p . 4.1-32-4 .1-33 ). However, the DEi R's evaluation of t he Project's potentia l hea lth risk i mpacts, as well as the subsequent l ess-t han-sign ificant impact conclusion, is incorrect for two rea son s. First, the DE IR's construction HRA is i ncorrect, as it relies upon an exhaust PM ,o estimate from flawed ai r models, as discus se d above (Appendix B3, pp . 7). As previous ly di scu ss ed , when we reviewed the Project's CalEEMod output files, provided in the AQIA as Ap pendix Bl to the DEIR, we found that several of t he values inputted into the model are not consistent w ith information disclosed in the DEIR and associated documents. Thus, the construct ion HRA utilizes an underestimated diese l particulate matter ("DPM ") concentration to calculate the health risk associated with Project construction . As such, the DEIR's construction HRA, which relies upon an incorrect and un substantiated air model, should not be rel ied upon to determine the significance of the Project's health ri sk impacts . Second, review of the DE IR demonstrates that, while the Project did conduct construction and mobile- source operational HRAs, the DEIR fails to eva luate the cumulative l ifetime cancer risk to nearby, existing receptors as a result of all phase s of Project construction and operation together. According to OEHHA guidance, as referenced by the DEi R's HRA , "the excess cancer risk is calculated separate ly for each age grouping and then summed to yield cancer risk at the rece ptor location".18 However, the DEIR's construction and operational HRAs fail to sum each age bi n to evaluate the total cancer risk over the course of Project construction and operation . Thi s is incorrect and thus, an updated EIR shou ld be prepared, quantifying the Project 's construction and operational cancer risks and summing them to compare to t he SCAQMD threshold of 10 in one m ill ion . Failure to Identify Significant Health Risk Impact As previous ly described, the DE IR concludes that the Project would result in a co nstruction-re lated cancer r isk of 3 .9 in one million and a mobi le-source operationa l cancer risk of 7 .04 in one million, both of which would not exceed the SCAQMD threshold of 10 in one mill ion when evaluated in isolation . However, as previou sly discu ss ed, the DE IR shou ld ha ve evaluated the cumulative co nstruction-related and operationa l cancer risk resu lting from the Project. In order to correctly evaluate the Project's health risk impact, we summed the DEIR's construction-related and operational cancer risk estimates and found that the resulting cancer risk exceeds the SCAQMD t hreshold of 10 in one million (see table below). 18 "Guidance Manual for preparation of Health Risk Assessments." OEHHA, February 2015, available at: https ://oehha .ca .gov/media/downloads/crnr/2015guida ncemanual.pdf p. 8-4 10 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-93 Comment Letter H1 H1-17 H1-16(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report DEIR Cumulative Cancer Risk HRA cancer Risk (in one million) Construction 3 .90 Mobile-Source Operations 7.04 Total 10.94 Th reshold 10 Exceed? Yes As demonstrated in the table above, the resulting cumu lative cancer risk estimate exceeds the SCAQMD t hreshold of 10 in one million, thus indicating a potentially significant health ri sk impact not previously id e ntified or addressed by the DEIR . As such, the DEIR is required under CEQA to implement all feasible mitigation to reduce impacts to a le ss-than-si gnificant level. According to CEQA Guidelines § 15096(g)(2): "When an EIR ha s been prepared for a project, the Responsible Agency shall not approve the project as proposed if the agency find s any feasible alternative o r feasible mitigation measures within it s powers that would substantially lesse n or avoid any significant effect the project would have on the environment ." As you can see, the proposed Project should not be approved until all fea sib le mitigation ha s been considered and incorporated where fea sible, such as tho se suggested i n the se ction of th is letter titled "Feasible Mitigation Measures Available to Reduce Emi ss ions."19 As such, the DEIR fail s to identify and adequately mitigate t he Project's health risk impac t, and the less-than-sign ificant impact conclusion shou ld not be relied upon. Greenhouse Gas Failure to Adequately Evaluate Greenhouse Gas Impacts The DEIR estimates that the Project would generate net annual g reen house ga s ("GHG ") em issions of 23,514.15 metric tons of CO , equivalents per year ("MT CO ,e/year"), which would exceed the SCAQMD bright-line threshold of 3,000 MT CO,e/year (p. 4.4-27). After the i mplementation of Mitigation Measure ("MM") 4.4-1, the DEIR concludes that the Proj ect would re sult in significant and unavoidable GHG emissions (p. 4.4-35). Specifically, the DEIR states: "Implementation of applicabl e regu la tory requirements, Mitigation Mea sures MM 4 .1-1 throu gh MM 4 .1-9, as well as Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1, would redu ce t he Proj ec t 's operational emissions of GHGs; however, these measures would not sub sta ntially reduce Project mobi le source emiss ions (i.e., emissions from construction equipment, passenger cars, and trucks), which co mprise more than 60 percent of the Project's anti cipated GHG emissions . Mobile so urce GHG emissions are regulated by State and federa l fuel standard s and tailpipe emissions 19 See section titled "Feasible M itigation Measures Availab le to Reduce Em issi ons " on p . 15 of thi s letter . These measures would effec t ively reduce the Proje ct's construction-re lated and operational health ri sk impacts. 11 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-94 Comment Letter H1 H1-18 H1-17(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report standards, and are outside of the control of the City of San Bernardino, the Project Applicant, and f uture Project occupants. CEQA Guidelines Se ctions 15040(b}, 15041, and 15091 colle ctively provide that mi t igation mea sures must be within the re spon si bility and jurisdiction of the Lead Agency (i.e ., City of San Bernardino) in orde r to be im pl emented . No other mitigation measures are available that are fea sibl e for the City of San Be rn ardino to enforce that have a proportiona l nex us to the Project's level of impact. Accordingly, the City of San Bern ardino find s that the Proj ect's GHG emi ss ion s represent a significant and unavoida ble cumulatively-con siderable i mpact for w hich no additional fea sib le mitigation is ava i lable" (p . 4 .4-35). Furthermore, the DEIR reli es upon the Project 's con sistency with CARB's 2017 Scoping Plan Update, stating : "[A] lead agency may rely on qualitative analysis or perfo rmance-ba sed standard s to determine the signifi cance of impacts from GHG emission s. As such , the Project's consistency with CARB 2017 Scoping Plan Update is di scu ss ed be low. The 2017 Scoping Plan Update refle ct s the 2030 target of a 40% reduction below 1990 levels, set by Execut ive Orde r B-30-15 and codified by SB 32 . Table 4.4-5, Scoping Plan Consistency Summary, summari zes the project's consistency with the 2017 Scopi ng Plan . As summarized , t he Project wou ld not conflict with any of the p rovi sion s of the Scoping Plan and in fact supports seven of the action categories . (Urban Cro ss roads, 2020d , p . 54) ... [T]he Proje ct would not co nflict with any of the 2017 Scoping Plan elements as any regulations adopted wou ld app ly di rect ly or indirectly to the Project . Further, re ce nt studi es show that t he State's exi stin g and proposed regulatory framework wil l al low the State to red uce its GHG emi ss ion s level to 40% below 1990 levels by 2030 . The refore, the Project would not confl ict w ith an applicable plan, policy or regu lation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emi ss ion s of greenhou se ga ses, and impacts would be less th an si gn ifi ca nt " (p . 4.4-27). However, the DEIR 's q uantitative and qual itative GHG analyses are i ncorrect for three rea son s. (1) The DEIR's quantitative GHG analy sis relies upon an in correct and un sub st antiated air model; (2) Th e DE IR fail s to implement all fea sibl e mitigation to reduce the Proj ect 's GHG emi ss ion s; and (3) The DEIR fail s to con sider the performance -ba sed standards under CARB 's 2017 Scoping Plan . (1) Incorrect and Unsubstantiated Quantitative CHG Analysis As prev iou sly stated , the DEIR estimates that the Project wou ld generate net annua l GHG emi ss ions of 23,514 .15 MT CO 2e/year (p . 4.4-27). However, the DEIR's quantitative GHG analysis should not be relied upon, as it relies upon an unsub stantiated air model. As previousl y di scu ss ed, when we rev iewed the Pr oj ect's CalEEMod output file s, provided in the AQIA as App endi x Bl to the DE IR, we fou nd that seve ral of the val ue s inputted into the model are not con sistent with i nfo rmation di sclosed in the DEIR and associated documents. As a re sult, the model underest imates the Project's GHG emissions, and the DEIR 's qu antitative GHG analysi s shou ld not be relied up o n to determine Project significance . An updated EIR should be pre pared that adequate ly as sess es the potentia l GHG impacts that constru ction and operation of the proposed Project may have on the surrounding environment. 12 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-95 Comment Letter H1 H1-19 H1-20 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report (2) Failure to Implement All Feasible Mitigation to Reduce Emissions As disc ussed above, the DEIR's GHG analysis relies upon an incorrect and u nsubstantiated air model to determine the significance of the Project's GHG emiss ions. However, despite the DE i R's flawed air model, the DEIR's GHG emissions estimates indicate a significant GHG impact. As a result, the DEIR concludes that the proposed Project's GHG emissions would be significant and unavoidable (p . 4 .4-35). However, whi le we agree that the Project's GHG emiss ions wo uld be sign ificant, the DEIR 's conclus ion that these impacts are "significant and unavoidable" is incorrect. As previo usly stated, according to CEQA Guidelines§ 15096(g)(2): "When a n EIR has been prepared for a project, the Responsible Agency shall not approve the project as proposed if the agency finds any feas ible alternative or feasible mitigation measures w ithi n its powers that would substantially lessen or avoid any significant effect the project would have on the environment." As you can see, an impact can only be labe led as sign ificant and unavoidable after all available, feasible mitigation is considered. Here, the DEIR implements MM 4.4-1, which requires the Project to meet or exceed CalGreen Tier 2 standards (p . 4.4-34-4.4-35). However, the DE IR's conclusion that "[n]o other mitigation measures are available that are feasib le for the City of San Bernardino to enforce that have a proportional nexus to the Project's level of impact" is incorrect (p. 4.4-35). Rather, additiona l feasible mitigation measures exis t, such as those suggested in the section of this letter titled "Feasib le Mitigation Measures Available to Reduce Emissions."20 that shou ld be incorporated in order to reduce the Project's GHG emissions to less-than-significant levels. The re fore, the DEIR's conclusion that the Project's GHG impact is significant and unavoidable is unsubstantiated, as the Project fails to implement all feasible mitigation. The Project should not be approved until an updated EIR is prepared, including updated, accurate air modeling, as well as incorporati ng all feasible mitigation to reduce emissions to less-than- significant levels . (3) Failure to Consider Performance-based Standards Under CARB 's 2017 Scoping Plan As previous ly discussed , the DEIR relies upon the Project's consistency with CARB's 2017 Scoping Pion to deter mine Project GHG significance. However, this is incorrect, as the DEIR fails to consider performance-based measures proposed by CARB. i. Passenger & Light Duty VMT Per Cap ita Benchma rks pe r SB 375 In reaching the State's long-term GHG emission reduction goa ls, CARB's 2017 Scoping Plan explicitly cites to SB 375 and the VMT reductions an t icipated under the implementation of Sustainable Community Strategies.21 CARB has identified the population and dai ly VMTfrom passenger autos and light-duty vehicle s at the state and county level for each year between 2010 to 2050 under a "baseline scenario" that incl udes "current projections ofVMT included in the existing Regional Transportation Plans/Sustainable Communities Strategies (RTP/SCS s) adopted by the State's 18 Metropolitan Planning 20 See section titled "Feasible Mitigation Measures Available to Reduce Emissions" on p. 15 of this comment letter. These mea sures would effective ly reduce GHG emissions. 21 CARB (Nov. 2017) 2017 Scoping Plan , p. 25, 98, 101-103, https ://ww3.arb .ca .gov/cc/scop ingplan/scoping plan 2017 .pdf. 13 Final EIR Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-96 Comment Letter H1 H1-20(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Organizations (MPOs) pursuant to SB 375 as of 2015."" By dividing the projected daily VMT by the population, we ca lculated the daily VMT per cap ita for each year at the state and county level for 2010 (baseline year), 2022 (Project operationa l year), and 2030 (target year under SB 32 ) (see table below a nd Attachment B). 2017 Scoping Plan Daily VMT Per Capita San Bernardino County State Year Population LDVVMT VMT Per Population LDVVMT VMT Per Baseline Capita Baseline Capita 2010 2,043 ,484 55,741,307.23 27.28 37,335,085 836,463,980.46 22.40 2022 2,278,414 61,507,949 .89 27 .00 41,321,565 916,010,145.57 22 .17 2030 2,478,888 65,538,854.28 26.44 43 ,939,250 957,178,153.19 21.78 According to CAPCOA's CEQA & Climate Change report, servi ce popu lation is defined as "the sum of the number of residents and the number of jobs supported by t he p roject ."23 The DEIR estimates that the Proj ect wou ld employ approximately 1,120 peop le upon buildout (p. 3-9). As such, we relied upon a service popu lation of 1,120 people.24 The below table compares the 2017 Scoping Plan daily VMT pe r capita values against the daily VMT per cap ita values for the Project based o n the DEIR 's modeling (see table below and Attachment C}. 22 CARB (Jan . 20 19) 2017 Scop ing Plan -I de ntified VMT Reductio ns and Relationship to State Climate Goals ("Supporting Calculations for 2017 Scoping Plan -Identified VMT Reductions"), Excel Sheet "Readme ", https://ww2.arb .ca.gov/sites/default/files/2019-01/sp mss vmt calculations jan19 O.xlsx . 23 CAPCOA (Jan. 2008) CEQA & Climate Change, p. 71-72, http://www.capcoa .org/wp- content/uploads/2012/03/CAPCOA-White-Paper.pdf. 24 Calculated : 0 residents+ 1,120 employees= 1,120 service population . 14 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-97 Comment Letter H1 H1-21 H1-20(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Daily VMT Per Capita from Passenger & Light-Duty Trucks, Exceedances under 2017 Scoping Plan Performance-Based SB 375 Benchmarks Sources Project DEIR Annual VMT from Auto & Light-Duty Vehicles 13,135,363 Daily VMT from Auto & Light-Duty Vehicles 35,987 Se rvice Population 1,120.00 Daily VMT Per Capita 32 .13 2017 Scoping Plan Benchmarks, Statewide 22.40 VMT (2010 Baseline) Exceed? Yes 22 .17 VMT (2022 Projected) Exce ed? Yes 21.78 VMT (2030 Projected) Exceed? Yes 2017 Scoping Plan Benchmarks, San Bernardino County Specific 27.328 VMT (2010 Baseline) Exceed? Yes 27.00 VMT (2022 Projected) Exceed? Yes 26.44 VMT (2030 Projected) Exceed? Yes As shown above, the DEIR's modeling shows that the Project exceeds the CARB 2017 Scoping Plan projections for 2010, 2022, an d 2030. Because the exceeds the CARB 2017 Scoping Plan performance- based daily VMT per capita projections, the Project conflicts with the CARB 2017 Scoping Plan and SB 375. As suc h, the DEi R's claim that the proposed Project would not conflict with the CARB 2017 Scoping Plan is in correct and unsubstantiated . An EIR should be prepared for the propose d Project to provi de additional information and analysis to conclude less than significant GHG impacts. Feasible Mitigation Measures Available to Reduce Emissions Our analysis demonstrates t hat the Project's air quality, health ri sk, and GHG emiss ions may result in sign ificant impacts and should be mitigated further. In an effort to reduce the Project's emissions, we identified several mitigation measures that are app licab l e to t he proposed Project . Feasible mitigation measures can be found in CAPCOA's Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Measures .25 Therefore, to redu ce the Project's emiss ions, consideration of the following measures should be made: 25 http: ljwww .capcoa .org/wp-conte n t/u ploads/2010/11/CAPCOA-Qua ntification-Re port-9-14-Fi n al . pdf 15 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-98 Comment Letter H1 H1-22 H1-23 H1-24 H1-25 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Measures -Energy Building Ene r gy Use Exceed Title-24 Building Enve lope En ergy Effic iency Sta ndards (Ca l ifornia Building Standards Code) Inst all Progra m mable Thermostat Timers Install Ene rgy Efficient Appliances Install Ene rgy Efficient Boilers Lighting Inst all Higher Efficacy Public St reet an d Area Li g hting Lim it Outdoo r Lig ht ing Req uireme nts Replace Traffic Lights with LED Traffic Lights Alternative Energy Generation Esta blish Onsite Renewable or Carbon-Neutral Energy Systems Establish Onsite Renewable Energy System -Solar Powe r Esta blish Onsite Renewable Energy System -Wind Power Uti li ze a Co mbined Heat and Power System Esta blish Methane Recovery i n Land fills Esta blish Meth ane Recovery i n W astewa t er Trea t ment Pla nts Measures -Transportation Land Use/Location Increase Density Inc rease Locatio n Efficiency Increase Dive rsity of Urban and Suburban Develo pm ents {M ixed Use) Increase Dest i nation Accessi bi lit y Increase Transit Acces sibi lit y Integrate Affordable and Be low Market Rate Housing Ori e nt Proj ect To w ard Non-Auto Corridor Loca t e Project near Bike Path/Bike Lane Neighborhood/Site Enhancements Provi de Pedestria n Network Improvement s, such as: • Compac t , mixed -use communities • Int erconnected street networ k 26 "Quan t ifying Green house Gas M itiga t ion Measu res ." Ca lifornia Air Poll ution Control Office rs Associa t ion (CAPCOA), August 2010, available at: http://www.c apcoa .org/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/CAPCOA- Quantification -Re port-9-14 -Fina l.pdf, p. 16 Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino Final EIR SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-99 Comment Letter H1 H1-26 H1-27 H1-25(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report • Narrower roadways and shorter block lengths • Sidewalks • Access ibility to transit and transit she lters • Traffic calming measures and street trees • Parks and public spaces • Minimize pedestrian barrie rs Implement a Neighborhood Electric Vehicle (NEV) Network. Create Urban Non-Motorized Zones Incorporate Bike Lane Street Design (on-site) Dedicate Land for Bike Trails Pa rking Po licy/Prici ng Lim it Parking Supply through: • Elimination (or reduction) of m in imum parking requirements • Creation of maximum parking requirements • Provision of shared parking Unbundle Parking Costs from Property Cost Implement Market Price Public Parking (On-Street) Require Re sidential Area Parking Permits Commute Trip Redu ction Prog rams Implement Commute Trip Reduction (CTR) Program -Voluntary • Carpooling encouragement • Ride -matching assistance • Preferential carpool parking • Flexible work schedules for carpools . Half time t r ansportation coordinator • Vanpool assistance • Bicycle end-trip facilities (parking, showers and lockers) • New employee orientation of trip reduction and alternative mode options • Event promotions and publications . Flexib le work sc hedule for employees • Transit subsidies • Parking cash-out or priced parking • Shuttles • Emergency ride home Implement Commute Trip Reduction (CTR) Program -Required Implementation/Monitoring . Established performance standards (e.g . trip reduction requirements) • Required implementation • Regular monitoring and reporting Provide Ride -Sharing Programs • Designate a certain percentage of parking spaces for r ide sharing vehicles Final EIR • De signating adequate pas se nger loading and un loading and waiting areas for ride -s haring veh icle s • Providing a web site or messaging board for coordinating rides 17 Lead Agency: C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-100 Comment Letter H1 H1-28 H1-27(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report • Permanent transportation management association membership and funding requirement . Implement Subsidi zed or Di scou nted Transit Program Provide Ent ofTrip Facilities, including : . Showers • Secure bicycle locke rs • Changing spaces Encourage Telecommuting and Alternative Work Schedules, such as : • Staggered starting times • Flexible sche dules • Compressed work weeks Implement Commute Tri p Reduction Marketing, such as: • New employee orientation of trip reduction and alternative mode options • Event promotions • Publications Implement Car-Sharing Program Implement School Pool Program Provide Emp loyer-Sponso red Van pool/Shuttle Implement Bike-Sharing Programs Implement School Bus Program Price Workplace Parking, such as: • Explicitly charg ing for parking for its employees; • Im plementing above m arket rate pricing; . Va lidating parking only for inv ited guests; • Not providing employee parking and transportation allowances; and • Educati ng employees about available alternatives . Implement Emp loyee Parking "Cash-Out" Transit System Improvements Tran sit System Improvements, including: • Grade-separated right-of-way, including bus only lanes (for buses, emergency vehicles, and sometimes ta xis), and other Trans it Pri o rity measu res. Some syste ms use guideways whic h automatically steer the bus on portions of the route. • Frequent, high-capacity service • High-quality vehicles that are easy to board, quiet, clean, and comfortab le to ride . • Pre-paid fare collection to minimize boarding de lays . • Integrated fare systems, allowing free or discounted tran sfe r s between ro utes and modes . • Convenient user information and marketing program s . • High quality bus stations w ith Tran sit Oriented Deve lopment in nearby areas . • Modal integration, with BRT service coordinated w ith walking and cycling facilities, ta xi service s, intercity bus, rail tran sit, and other transportation serv ices. Expand Transit Network Increase Transit Service Frequency/Speed 18 Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino Final EIR SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-101 Comment Letter H1 H1-29 H1-30 H1-31 H1-32 H1-28(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Provide Bike Parking Near Transit Provide Local Shuttles Road Pricing/Management Implement Area or Cordon Pric ing Improve Traffic Flow, such as: • Signa lization improvements to reduce delay; • Incide nt management t o increase response time to br eakdow ns and collisio ns; • Intelligent Transportation Systems (IT S) to provide rea l-time information regarding road cond itions and directions; and • Speed management to reduce high free-fl ow speeds . Required Project Contributions to Transportation Infra structure Improvement Projects Install Park -and-Ride Lots Vehicles Utilize Alternative Fueled Vehicles, such as: . Biodiesel (B20) • Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) • Compressed Na tural Ga s (CNG) Utilize Electric or Hybrid Vehicles Measures -Water Water Supply Use Reclaimed Water Use Gray Wa ter Use Locall y Sourced W ater Supp ly Water Use Inst all Low-F low Water Fixtures Adopt a Water Conservation strategy Design Water-Efficient Landscapes (see Cal iforn ia Department of Water Resources Model Water Efficient Landsca pe Ordi nance), such as: • Reducing lawn sizes ; • Planting vegetation with minimal water needs, such as native species; • Choosing vegetation appropriate for the climate of the project site; • Choosing complimen t ary plants with simi lar wa t er needs or which can provide each other wit h shade and/or water. Use Water-Efficient Land scape Irrigation Systems ("Smart" irrigat ion control system s) Reduce Turf in Landscapes and Lawns Plant Native or Drought-Res istant Trees and Vegetation Measures -Area Landscaping Landscaping Equipment 19 Final EIR J ] Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-102 Comment Letter H1 H1-33 H1-34 H1-37 H1-36 H1-35 H1-38 H1-32(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Prohibit Gas Powered Landscape Equipment Implement Lawnmower Exc hange Program Electric Yard Equipment Compatibility Measures -Solid Waste SolidWoste Institute Recycling and Composting Serv ices Recycle Demolished Construction Material Measures -Vegetation Vegetation Urban Tree Planting Create New Vegetated Open Space Measures -Construction Construction Use Alternative Fuel s for Construction Equipment Urban Tree Planting Institute a Heavy -Duty Off-Road Vehicl e Plan, i ncl uding : • Construction vehicle inventory tracking system; • Requiring hour meters on equipment; • Document t he se rial number, horse power, manufacture age, fuel, etc. of all onsite e quipment; and • Daily logging of the operating hours o f the equipment . Implement a Construction Vehicle Inventory Tracking System Measures -Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Establish a Carbon Seque stration Project, suc h as : • Geologic sequestration or carbon capture and sto rage techniques, in which CO 2 from point sources is captu red and inj ected underground; • Terrestrial sequestrat ion in whi ch ecosys tems are establ ished or preserved to serve as CO , sinks; • Novel techniques involving advanced chem ic al or biological pathways; or . Techno logies yet to be discovered . Establish Off-Site Mitigation Use Local and Sustainable Building Materials Require best M anagement Practices in Agricu lture and Animal Operations Require Env i ronmentally Re spon sib le Purcha sing, suc h as : • Purcha sing prod ucts with sustainab le packaging; • Purchasing post-consumer recycled copier paper, paper towel s, and st ationary; • Purchasing and stocking communal kitchens with reusab le dishes and utensils; • Choosing sustainable clean ing supplies; • Leasing equipment from manufacturers who will re cycle the compo nents at their end of life; • Choosing ENERGY STAR appliances and Water Sense -certified water fixt ures ; 20 Final EIR J Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-103 Comment Letter H1 H1-40 H1-41 H1-39 H1-42 H1-38(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report • Choosing electronic appliances with bui lt in sle ep-mode timers; • Purchasing 'green power' (e.g. electricity generated from renewable or hydropower) from the utility; and • Choosing locally-made and distributed products . Implement an Inn ovative Strategy for GHG Mitigation Measures -General Plans General Plans Fund Incentives for Energy Efficiency, such as: • Retrofitting or designing new buildings, parking lots, streets, and public areas with energy- efficie nt lighting; • Retrofitting or designing new buildings with low-flow water fixtures and high-efficiency appliances; • Retrofitting or purchasing new low-em iss ion s equ ipment; • Purchasing e lectric or hybrid vehicles; • Investing in renewable energy systems Establish a Local Farmer's Market Establish Co mmunity Gardens Plant Urban Shade Trees Implement Strategies to Reduce Urban Heat-Island Effect, suc h as: • Planting urban shade trees; • Installing reflective roofs; and • Using light-colored or high-albedo pavements and surfaces . Furthermore, in an effort to reduce the Project's emissions, we identified severa l mitigation measures that are applicable to the proposed Project from NEDC's Diesel Emission Controls in Construction Projects.27 Therefore, to reduce the Project's emissions, consideration of the following measures sho uld be made: Measures -Diesel Emission Control Technology a. Diesel Generators All diese l generators on site for more than 10 tota l days must be equipped with emi ssion control t echno logy verified by EPA or CAR B to reduce PM emiss ions by a minimum of 85%. b. Upon confirming that the diesel vehicle, construction equipment, or generator has either an engine meeting Tier 4 non road emission standards or emission control tech no logy, as specified above, insta lled and functioning, the developer will issue a compliance sticke r. All diesel vehicles, 27 "Diesel Emission Controls in Construction Projects." Northeast Diesel Collaborative (NEDC), December 2010, available at: https ://www .epa .gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/nedc-model-contract- sepcification .pdf. 28 "Diesel Emission Controls in Construction Projects ." Northeast Diesel Co llaborati ve (NEDC), December 2010, available at: https :ljwww.epa .gov/sites/prod uct ion/fi les/2015-09/documen t s/nedc-model -contract- sepcification .pdf. 21 Final EIR J Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-104 Comment Letter H1 H1-43 H1-44 H1-42(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report construction equipment, and generators on site shall display the compliance sticker in a visible, external location as designated by the deve loper. C. Emission control technology shall be operated, maintained, and serviced as recommended by the emission control technology manufacturer. d . All diesel vehicles, construction equipment, and generators on site shall be fueled with ultra-low sulfur d iese l fuel (ULSD) or a bi od iese l blend 29 approved by the original engine manufacturer with sulfur content of 15 ppm or less . M easures -Additiona l Dies el Re quirements a. Construction shall not proceed until the contractor submits a certified list of all diesel vehicles, construction equipment, and generators to be used on site. The list shall include the fol lowing : i. Contractor and subcontractor name and address, plus contact person re sp onsibl e for the vehicle s or equipment. i i. Equipment type, equipment manufacturer, equipment serial number, engine manufactu re r, engine model year, engine certification (Tier rating), horsepower, engine se rial number, and expected fuel usage and hours of operation. iii . For the emission control technology installed : technology type, se rial number, make, mode l, manufacturer, EPA/CARB verification number/level, and in sta llation date and hour-meter reading on installation date. b. If the contractor subsequently needs to bring on site equipment not on the list, the contractor shall submit written notification within 24 hours that attests the equipment complies with all contract conditions and provide information. C. All diesel equipment shall comply w ith all pertinent loca l, state, and federal regulations relative to exhaust emission controls and safety. d . The contractor shall establish generator sites and truck-staging zone s for vehicles waiting to load or un load material on site. Such zones shall be located where diesel emissions have the least impa ct on abutters, the general public, and especially sensitive re ce ptors such as hospitals, sc hools, daycare facilities, elderly housing, and convale sc ent facilities. Re porting a. For each onroad diese l vehicle, nonroad construction equipment, or generator, the contractor sha ll submit to the developer's rep resentative a report prior to bringing said equ ipment on site that includes: i. Equipment type, equipment manufacturer, equipment se rial number, engine manufacturer, engine model year, engine certification (Tier rating), horsepower, and engin e serial number. i i. The type of emission control technology i nsta lled, serial number, make, mode l, manufacturer, and EPA/CARB veri fica tion number/level. iii. The Certification Statement signe d and prin te d on the contractor's letterhead . b . The contractor shall submit to the developer's representative a monthly report that, for each onroad diese l vehicle , nonroad construction equipment, or generator onsi te, includes: i. Hour-m eter readings on arrival on -s ite, the first and la st day of every month, and on off-si te date. ii. Any problems with the equipment or emission control s. iii . Certified copie s of fuel deliveries for the time period that identify: 29 Biod iese l blend s are on ly to be used in conjunction with the tech no logie s which have been verified fo r use with biodiesel blends and are subject to the fo ll owing requi rements : http://www.arb .ca.gov/diese l/verdev/reg/biodiese lcomp liance .pdf. 22 Final EIR Lead Agen c y : C ity of San Bernard ino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-105 Comment Letter H1 H1-45 H1-46 H1-44(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report 1. Source of su pply 2. Quantity of fuel 3 . Quality of fuel , i ncluding su lfu r content (percent by weight) These measures offer a cost-effective, feasible way to incorporate lower-emitting design features into the proposed Project, which su bse quently, reduce emissions released during Project construction and operation. An updated EIR should be prepared to include al l feasible mitigation measu re s, as well as include an updated hea lth risk and GHG analysis to ensure that the necessary mitigation measures are implemented to reduce emissions to below thresholds. The updated EIR should also demonstrate a commitment to the implementation of these meas u res prior to Project approval, to ensure that the Project's significant emissions are reduced to the maximum extent possible. Disclaimer SWAPE has received limited discovery regarding this project. Additional information may become available in the future; thus, we retain the r ight to revise or amend this report when additional information becomes available. Our professional services have been performed using that degree of care and skill ordinarily exercise d, under similar circumstances, by reputable environmental consultants practicing in this or similar localities at the time of se rvice . No other warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the sco pe of work, work methodologies and protocols, si te conditions, analytical testing results, and findings presented. This report re flects efforts which were limited to information that was reasonably accessible at the time of the work, and may contain informational gaps, inconsistencies, or otherwi se be incomplete due to the unavailability or uncertainty of i nformation obtained or provided by third parties. Sincerely, Matt Hagemann, P.G., C.Hg. Paul E. Rosenfeld, Ph .D. 23 Final EIR J Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-106 Comment Letter H1 H1-47 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report VMT CALC!J:LATIQNS:: DEIR M2d1:ling Li ne (L) Value I Unit Dally VMT Pe r capita From Passenger and Light Du ty Vehicles 1 19,809,530 roJect Total VMT (CalEEMod Annual Output, Tbl. 4.2 Trip Summary) 2 66.31% assenger and Light-Duty VMT Flee t M ix {See Attachment DJ 3 13,135,363 VMT trom Passenger & light-Duty Ve hicles !Cale: (Ll"L2)) 4 35,987 Da lly VMT tram Passenger & llgnt-Duty Ve n1c1es ICalc: (l3/365)] 5 1,120.00 service Population [O res1dent s + 1,110 long-term JobsJ 6 32.13 uauy vM I Per Lap1ta l(Calc: L4/l5)] Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino Final EIR SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-107 Comment Letter H1 H1-47(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report 2017 Scoping Plan Daily VMT Per Capita San Bernardino County Year Population LOV VMT Baseline VMT Per Capita Population 2010 2,043,484 55,741,307.23 27.28 37,335,085 2022 2,278,414 61,507,949.89 27.00 41,321,565 2030 2,478,888 65,538,854.28 26.44 43,939,250 Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino Final EIR State LOV VMT Baseline VMT Per Capita 836,463,980.46 22.40 916,010,145.57 22.17 957,178,153.19 21.78 - SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-108 Comment Letter H1 H1-47(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Daily VMT Per Cap ita from Passenger & Light-Duty Trucks, E>eceedance s under 2017 Scoping Plan Performance-Based SB 375 Benchmarks Sources Project DEIR Annual VMT from Auto & Light-Duty Veh icles 13,135,363 Daily VMT from Auto & Light-Duty Vehicles 35,987 Service Population 1,120.00 Daily VMT Per capita 32.13 2017 Scoping Plan Benchmarks, Statewide 22.40 VMT (2010 Baseline) Exceed? I Yes 22 .17 VMT (2022 Projected} Exceed? I Yes 21.78 VMT (2030 Projected} Exceed? I Yes 2017 Scoping Plan Benchmarks, San Bernardino County Specttic 27.328 VMT (2010 Baseline) Exceed? I Yes 27.00 VMT (2022 Projected) Exceed? I Yes 26.44 VMT (2030 Projected) Exceed? Yes Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino Final EIR SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-109 Comment Letter H1 H1-47(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Land Use Number of Trips Total Number of Trips Passenger Cars 1875.98 2457.99 Trucks 582.01 2457.99 Total 2457 .99 Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino Final EIR Percentage of Total Passenger and Light Duty Fleet Mix Final Fleet Mix 0.763217100 1S0936 0.8688 0.6630830166111 0.236782899849064 0 0 1 0.6630830166111 SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-110 RESPONSES TO COMMENT LETTER H-1 H1-1 The commenter introduces themselves as the legal counsel for the Golden State Environmental Justice Alliance (GSEJA). H1-2 The commenter provides a general statement that they do not believe the DEIR adequately evaluates the topics of air quality, health risk, and greenhouse gas impacts. Refer to Responses H1-7 though H1- 47, which provide responses to the commenter’s specific comments and which substantiate that the technical analyses prepared to support the DEIR are adequate and compliant with CEQA. H1-3 The commenter suggests that the DEIR be recirculated and requests to receive Project-related public notices. As demonstrated in these written responses and the FEIR, there were no comments made in this letter or in other comments received by the City of San Bernardino on the DEIR that necessitates recirculation of the DEIR. To the extent revisions occur in the Final EIR, they do not constitute substantial new information, and recirculation is not necessary. The DEIR circulated for public review was fundamentally and basically adequate, and as such, recirculation of the DEIR is not warranted as set forth in Section 15088.5 of the CEQA Guidelines. As requested, the City will include Blum Collins, LLP on the notification list for all Project-related public notices that are required to be distributed. H1-4 The commenter provides a multi-page review from SWAPE consultants, this first comment of which generally describes the proposed Project. The commenter also makes a broad assertion that the DEIR’s supporting technical analyses are not adequate and suggests that the DEIR be updated. Refer to Responses H1-4 though H1-47, which provide responses to the commenter’s specific comments and substantiate that the technical analyses prepared to support the DEIR are adequate and compliant with CEQA. As demonstrated in these responses to comment and in the FEIR, there were no comments made in this letter or in other comments received by the City of San Bernardino on the DEIR that necessitates recirculation of the DEIR. The DEIR circulated for public review was fundamentally and basically adequate, and as such, recirculation of the DEIR is not warranted as set forth in Section 15088.5 of the CEQA Guidelines. H1-5 The commenter claims that the DEIR’s air quality impacts are underestimated and requests preparation of an updated DEIR based on the subsequent comments. There is no specific comment here that warrants a response, as the commenter makes additional comments that follow that are responded to accordingly. H1-6 The commenter asks about model default changes used in the air quality analytical analysis. As noted in the DEIR’s Technical Appendix B1, Air Quality Impact Analysis (see Page 41), the construction duration and equipment utilized for the calculations represents a reasonable approximation of the expected construction activity as required by CEQA. The specific construction schedule and associated equipment list were modified from the CalEEMod defaults based on information provided by the Project Applicant as noted in the CalEEMod outputs included in Technical Appendix B1 of the DEIR. Changing defaults is appropriate since site-specific information is available, this is consistent with the CalEEMod User’s Guide which states that CalEEMod was in fact designed to allow the user to change The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-111 the defaults to reflect site-specific information, when available (See Page 12 of the User’s Guide).9 he commenter claims that changing the number of days of activity somehow necessitates changing the assumed equipment utilized in the modeling, but provides no substantiation for this claim. As noted in the DEIR and associated Technical Appendix B1, the construction schedule and equipment list are based on a reasonable approximation and information provided by the Project Applicant. H1-7 The commenter claims that the default 100 g/l VOC emission rate was adjusted to 50 g/l but that they cannot verify the accuracy of the change. It should be noted that the CalEEMod default parameters are based on the allowable g/l limit for “Building Envelope Coatings.” As stated in the DEIR and underlying Technical Appendix B1, as cited by the commenter, the requirement of 50 g/l is found in SCAQMD’s Rule 1113 which establishes a maximum if 50g/l for “Building Envelope Coatings” effective 01/01/2019. As such, the DEIR correctly utilizes the 50 g/l VOC limit as required by SCAQMD’s Rule 1113 and no further evaluation is required. H1-8 The commenter claims that the hauling values for the Water Tower Relocation and hauling for soil import/export are not appropriately quantified. As stated in DEIR Technical Appendix B1 (see Section 3.4, Page 40), the Water Tower Relocation would result in 300 tons of demolished concrete footing material and the Physical Building Construction activities would result in another 100 tons of demolished material (poles, gravel etc.) that would be hauled off-site approximately 10 miles. As such, assuming a 20-ton haul capacity per truck, 300 tons ÷ 20-ton capacity per truck = 15 truckloads or 30 two-way haul trips. Similarly, 100 tons ÷ 20-ton capacity per truck = 5 truckloads or 10 two-way haul trips. These are appropriately modeled in CalEEMod accordingly and are substantiated and disclosed in the DEIR. H1-9 The commenter claims that there is an unsubstantiated change made to the operational off-road equipment fuel type. As identified in the DEIR and underlying Technical Appendix B1, DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-7 requires the use of non-diesel (e.g., CNG or electric) on-site indoor and outdoor forklifts and outdoor cargo handling equipment shall be electric or non-diesel fueled. As such, the substantiation the commenter seeks is already in the DEIR and no further changes are required. H1-10 The commenter asks about the operational fleet mix modeled. Mobile-source emissions are based on the number of passenger car and truck trips generated by the Project consistent with the Project’s Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) provided as Technical Appendix K2 to the DEIR. As stated in the DEIR Subsection 4.8.5, the TIA identifies two different truck categories for the High-Cube Fulfillment Center Warehouse use. CalEEMod categorizes trucks by truck type, not by axle-type. In order to account for emissions from LHDT, MHDT, and HHDT trucks, the analysis appropriately assumed a reasonable forecast that 25% of the 2-4 axle trucks are LHDT, 25% are MHDT, and the remaining 50% are HHDT. This is a reasonable estimate because it is typically presumed that 2-axle trucks represent LHDT, 3-axle trucks represent MHDT, and 4+ axle trucks represent HHDT. The truck mix is consistent with the mix recommended by the South Coast Air Quality Management District, as noted in Footnote 3 to Table 4-1 of the Project’s TIA (DEIR Technical Appendix K2). 9 California Air Pollution Control Officers Association (CAPCOA) CalEEMOD User’s Guide, November 2017. Available online at http://www.aqmd.gov/docs/default-source/caleemod/01_user-39-s-guide2016-3-2_15november2017.pdf?sfvrsn=4 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-112 H1-11 The commenter claims that the default energy values are inappropriately changed and not supported by substantial evidence. As noted in the DEIR and underlying technical appendices, the 2019 version of Title 24 which became effective on January 1, 2020 results in approximately 30% less energy demand for non-residential buildings (DEIR Page 4.4-25). It is therefore appropriate to reduce the CalEEMod defaults (which are based on the prior 2016 Title 24 standards) by 30% to account for compliance with the regulation. The commenter provides no substantial evidence as to why these reductions are improper, or that if the reductions had not been taken, the EIR analysis and conclusions would have to be revised to render a new significant impact. H1-12 The commenter quotes the DEIR with emphasis (underline) added to certain statements. No specific comments are made that warrant a response or revision to the DEIR. H1-13 The commenter suggests that the City of San Bernardino consider and apply 97 additional mitigation measures to the Project, taken from a CAPCOA document published in 2010 and a NDECS list also published in 2010. Refer to Responses H1-22 through H1-44. Of note, many of CAPCOA’s sample mitigation measures under the headings Building Energy Use, Lighting, Vehicles, Water Use, and Solid Waste are duplicative of requirements mandated by the California Green Buildings Standards Code, Title 24, to which the Project must comply. Many of the other measures are regional in nature or directed to regional planning efforts or policy formation by government bodies, or the daily business operation practices of private enterprises that are outside the scope of the proposed Project. CEQA does not require adoption of every imaginable mitigation measure. CEQA’s requirement applies only to feasible mitigation that will “substantially lessen” a project’s significant effects. (Public Resources Code, § 21002.) As explained by one court: A lead agency's “duty to condition project approval on incorporation of feasible mitigation measures only exists when such measures would [avoid or] ‘substantially lessen’ a significant environmental effect.” (San Franciscans for Reasonable Growth v. City and County of San Francisco (1989) 209 Cal.App.3d 1502, 1519.) “Thus, the agency need not, under CEQA, adopt every nickel and dime mitigation scheme brought to its attention or proposed in the project EIR.” (Ibid.) Rather, an EIR should focus on mitigation measures that are feasible, practical, and effective. (Napa Citizens for Honest Government v. Napa County Board of Supervisors (2001) 91 Cal.App.4th 342, 365.) H1-14 The commenter summarizes the health risks from Project construction and operations then claims that the DEIR’s Health Risk Assessment is flawed because of previously identified comments made by the commenter that render the air quality analysis inadequate. As noted in Responses H-1 through H-13 above, the commenter did not provide any substantive comments that would alter the findings of the emissions calculations in the DEIR. As such, the use of the air quality modeling results is correct and is appropriately relied upon. H1-15 The commenter claims that the Project’s Health Risk Assessment should sum the risk estimates from construction and operations and that if this was done that there would be a significant impact. The commenter cites to OEHHA guidance and claims that the DEIR does not calculate excess risk by age grouping and then sum the risk at a receptor location. To the contrary, the Project’s construction and operational HRA presented as DEIR Technical Appendix B2 follow OEHHA’s guidance and calculate risks by age bin and summarize the totals for each discrete activity. To the contrary, if the commenter were correct and construction and operational health risks needed to be totaled, it would be The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-113 inappropriate to simply add the construction and operational risk values identified in the DEIR. This is due to the fact that it would not follow the commenters own claim on methodological approach that the risk should be calculated by age grouping at each receptor location. To this point, the impacts from operational activities should only be added to age bins subsequent to 1.1 years of construction activity that are expected. As such, the construction risk of 3.9 in one million + the operational risk for age bins 2 to 16 (3.1 in one million) and 16 to 30 (0.48 in one million) could be added, which would result in a maximum risk of construction and operational activity of 7.48 in one million which does not exceed the applicable threshold of significance and is consistent with the less than significant finding in the DEIR. H1-16 The commenter incorrectly claims that the Project would result in a significant health risk impact because construction and operational risks should be combined. Refer to Response H1-15 above, which explains why it is not appropriate to combine the values, and which indicates that the Project does not result in a significant health risk impact as shown in the DEIR. As such, no further analysis is required. H1-17 The commenter quotes several portions of the DEIR and concludes saying that the DEIR’s GHG analysis is inadequate for three reasons. Refer to Responses H1-18 through H1-20, which provide detail responses to the commenter’s claims. H1-18 The commenter incorrectly claims that the GHG emission calculations are underestimated because of errors made in the air quality modeling. As noted in Responses H-1 through H-13 above, the commenter did not provide any substantive comments that would alter the findings of the emissions calculations in the DEIR. As such, the use of the air quality modeling results is correct and is appropriately relied upon. H1-19 The commenter states that the DEIR did not identify all feasible mitigation measures to reduce GHG emission impacts. In the commenter’s attachment, the commenter suggests that the City of San Bernardino consider and apply 97 additional mitigation measures to the Project, taken from a CAPCOA document published in 2010 and a NDECS list also published in 2010. Refer to Responses H1-22 through H1-44 for responses to the commenter’s suggested mitigation measures. Also, please refer to four mitigation measures added in response to Comments A-14, A-15, A-19, and A-20(1). H1-20 The commenter claims that the DEIR did not consider performance-based standards under CARB’s 2017 Scoping Plan. The DEIR presents a robust analysis of the Project’s consistency with the 2017 Scoping Plan (DEIR Pages 4.4-27 through 4.7-32) The commenter attempts to conflate scoping plan consistency with how the Project’s VMT compares to the supposed 2017 Scoping Plan Performance- Based SB 375 requirements. First, it is important to understand the intent and purpose of SB 375 (which is to determine if a project is eligible for CEQA streamlining). As shown in the SB 375 CEQA Chart published by the Office of Planning and Research (OPR) (https://opr.ca.gov/docs/SB375-Intro- Charts.pdf), a project that does not qualify for SB 375 CEQA provisions simply needs to go through the standard CEQA process to determine its project specific impacts. As such, even if a project is not consistent with SB 375 and cannot rely on its CEQA streamlining provisions, this does not constitute an inconsistency with the 2017 Scoping Plan. Furthermore, intent and goal of SB 375 is to provide residential and mixed-use developments in the proximity of transit hubs to reduce VMT; SB 375 is not The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-114 necessarily applicable to individual development projects and instead its purpose is to create a regional blueprint for agencies to follow. As such, the Project is not required to demonstrate consistency with SB 375 and further, the VMT targets identified by the commenter are not applicable and based on any substantial evidence by with the Project is required to comply. H1-21 The commenter suggests that the City consider and apply 97 additional mitigation measures to the Project, taken from a CAPCOA document published in 2010 and a NDECS list also published in 2010. Refer to Responses H1-22 through H1-44 for responses to the commenter’s suggested mitigation measures. Also, please refer to four mitigation measures added in response to Comments A-14, A-15, A-19, and A-20(1). It should be noted that the Project includes a litany of design features, mitigation measures, conditions of approval, and other items that must be complied with as part of regulatory compliance that will serve to reduce operational air pollutant and GHG emissions. These include but are not limited to: (a) compliance with all energy efficiency requirements required by the City of San Bernardino Municipal Code); (b) demonstration that the Project will meet or exceed the minimum Title 24 Building Energy Efficiency Standards; (c) the provision of electrical hookups at loading dock doors that accommodate refrigerated trailers if the Project is built with refrigerated warehouse space (Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-2); (d) the provision of on-site bicycle storage and accommodations for passenger vehicle EV charging stations per Title 24; (e) the installation of sidewalk along the Development Site’s frontage of Victoria Avenue with pedestrian accessibility to the interior of the Project and to an approximate 1.1-acre landscaped area planned at the northwest corner of the Development Site, which is designed to include a walking path and picnic tables; (f) the reservation of a 10-foot area along 3rd Street between Victoria Avenue and the City Creek drainage channel to accommodate the planned location of a future City Creek Class I trail; (g) the provision of a bus stop for the Omnitrans Tripper route that is planned on the Development Site’s frontage with Victoria Avenue, just south of 3rd Street.; (h) demarcation of carpool and clean air vehicle spaces per Title 24; (i) mandatory compliance with waste reduction (recycling) measures.; (j) the provision of a truck staging area where EV truck charging stations can be accommodated; (k) the installation of a rooftop PV system (subject to FAA approval) providing a minimum of 24 KW of power per year; (l) construction of the remaining building roof area to accommodate the potential future construction of photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays; and (m) a commitment to use non-diesel yard equipment (Mitigation Measure 4.1-7). Also, all on-road vehicles accessing the site are subject to various federal and State laws regarding fuel efficiencies and fuel type, and the standards applicable in California have become increasingly stringent over the years and will likely continue to do so in the future. For example, in June, 2020, CARB adopted a new Rule (Advanced Clean Trucks Regulation) that is the strictest in the country, requiring truck manufacturers to transition from diesel trucks and vans to electric zero-emission trucks beginning in 2024. By 2045, every new truck sold in California will be required to be zero-emission. When commercial availability of electric-powered long-haul trucks is more readily available in the future, implementation of the Advanced Clean Trucks Regulation is anticipated to substantially reduce air pollutant and GHG emissions. H1-22 The commenter suggests exceeding compliance with Title 24. This request is accommodated. DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4.1 requires that that Project be designed to meet or exceed CALGreen Tier 2 standards in effect at the time of building permit application. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-115 H1-23 The commenter suggests the use of energy efficient lighting. This request is accommodated through mandatory compliance with CALGreen. H1-24 The commenter suggests the use of alternative energy systems. The off-site suggestions pertaining to landfills, waste treatment plants, etc., go beyond the scope of the Project and Project Site and lack nexus to the Project. The commenter suggests on-site systems such as wind or solar. Refer to Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1(d) and the addition thereto presented in Response C-19, which requires that the shell building include a rooftop PV system providing a minimum of 24 KW of power per year (subject to FAA approval), and that the remainder of the building’s roof be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential future construction of additional photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays. H1-25 The commenter lists regional planning concepts many of which go beyond the scope of Project and Project Site or relate to a land use other than warehousing and are not applicable to the Project. The Project Site is located in an infill development location on a portion of the much larger former Norton Air Force Base (AFB) which has been redeveloping into an industrial center since the AFB was closed in 1994. Sidewalks and bike lanes exist along the Project Site frontage with 3rd Street, and the Project will provide a bus stop for the Omnitrans Tripper route that is planned on the Development Site’s frontage with Victoria Avenue, just south of 3rd Street. The Project also makes spacing accommodation for the future installation of a planned City Creek Trail segment along the Development Site’s frontage with 3rd Street from Victoria Avenue east to the location of the City Creek drainage channel, where a trail crossing is contemplated. H1-26 The commenter makes broad and generalized suggestions related to parking concepts that are not applicable to the proposed Project or acceptable to the City for this Project because they involve the elimination of minimum parking requirements, shared parking between uses, the provision of public parking, and residential parking permits. These concepts are not appropriate for a large, private industrial warehouse building like the proposed Project. H1-27 The commenter makes 41 suggestions related to carpooling, use of transit, flexible work schedules, and other items related to commuter trip reduction. Many if not all of these items related to the private business practices of the building user and are not within the City of San Bernardino’s authority to require or control. As noted in Response H-25, sidewalks and bike lanes exist along the Project Site frontage with 3rd Street, and the Project will provide a bus stop for the Omnitrans Tripper route that is planned on the Development Site’s frontage with Victoria Avenue, just south of 3rd Street. H1-28 The commenter makes 12 suggestions for the improvement of public transit systems. As noted in Response H-25, the Project will provide a bus stop for the Omnitrans Tripper route that is planned on the Development Site’s frontage with Victoria Avenue, just south of 3rd Street. H1-29 The commenter makes broad suggestions about the improvement of traffic flow in public roadway infrastructure systems that are beyond the scope of the Project or Project Site. As part of the Project, improvements at the 3rd Street/Victoria Avenue intersection will occur, as well as improvements along the Project’s frontage with Victoria Avenue and W Street. H1-30 The commenter suggests the use of alternatively fueled vehicles including electric, biodiesel, liquefied natural gas, and compressed natural gas. The Project would not preclude any vehicles using these fuel The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-116 types from accessing the Project site. DEIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 requires the Project to meet or exceed CALGreen Tier 2 standards in effect at the time of building permit application. These standards include but are not limited to the provision of referential parking locations for carpool, vanpool, EVs and CNG vehicles and the installation passenger vehicle EV charging stations required by Title 24, and the installation of conduit at a minimum of five percent of the Project’s total number of automobile parking spaces to accommodate the future installation of EV charging infrastructure. To accommodate charging of battery-powered trucks, the Project’s design includes a truck staging area in the southwest portion of the property, where EV charging stations for trucks are planned to be accommodated. MM 4.4-1 requires that the building’s electrical room be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site at this location. The San Manuel Band of Mission Indians is the Project Applicant and is voluntarily actively engaged with solar and electric vehicle industry leaders, such as Tesla, to advance the accommodation of EV vehicles. To this end, the Project’s building specifications include electrical switchgear and the truck staging area is designed to accept a technologically advanced electrical charging system to meet prospective building user requirements for EV truck charging. As a speculative development, it is not possible to forecast what an actual future user of the building may need or require in terms of EV truck charging, as the needs vary widely among building users and the technology is rapidly advancing. The Project’s EV charging facilities for trucks will be tailored to the needs of the building user, because committing to a system too early and then needing to retrofit it to meet building user specifications is technologically and cost prohibitive. The Project Applicant’s commitment to energy sensitive design is appreciated by the City, and is viewed as environmentally responsible. H1-31 The commenter suggests the use of reclaimed water. Reclaimed water is not made available to the Project site area by the San Bernardino Municipal Water Department. H1-32 The commenter suggests the use of low water use fixtures and landscaping. This request is accommodated. These items are required by regulation. Low water use fixtures are required by CALGreen. Low water use landscaping is required by City of San Bernardino Municipal Code Section 19.28.120, Water Efficient Landscaping Standards. H1-33 The commenter suggests tree planting and recycling efforts. This request is accommodated. As depicted on DEIR Figure 3-10, Preliminary Landscape Plan, tree planting will occur in the Project’s passenger vehicle parking areas, around the portions of the building visible from off-site areas, as well as the site’s frontages with 3rd Street, Victoria Avenue, and W Street. Pertaining to recycling, the Project would be subject to the City of San Bernardino’s solid waste regulations as set forth in Chapter 8.24 of the City of San Bernardino’s Municipal Code. Chapter 8.24 includes enforceable requirements for the recycling and diversion of solid waste from the regional landfills. With mandatory compliance with Chapter 8.24 of the City of San Bernardino’s Municipal Code, the Project would not generate solid waste in excess of State or local standards. H1-34 The commenter suggests the use of measures to reduce pollutant emissions during construction including use of alternative fuels and a heavy-duty vehicle plan. This request is accommodated. As noted on DEIR Page 4.1.37, the Project is required to comply with SCAQMD Rule 403 for dust control, Rule 1186 for less polluting street sweepers, and Rule 1113 for low VOC architectural coatings. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-117 Pursuant to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-1, CARB Tier IV construction equipment must be used unless it cannot be reasonably acquired. Pursuant to Mitigation Measure 4.1-2, heavy-duty trucks with a gross vehicle weight over 14,000 pounds must be 2010 or newer or be equipped with a particulate trap. Also, pursuant to Mitigation Measure 4.1-3, all construction equipment must comply with applicable CARB regulations. H1-35 The commenter suggests off-site mitigation and carbon sequestration, including geologic storage and underground injection, terrestrial ecosystems, novel chemical, and biological means, and the use of technologies that are not yet discovered. These suggestion goes beyond the scope of the Project because no off-site mitigation suggestions were offered by the commenter and the sequestration concepts involve complex systems for which no nexus has been established to the Project’s impacts and for which no evidence of feasibility has been provided. CEQA does not require adoption of every imaginable mitigation measure. CEQA’s requirement applies only to feasible mitigation that will “substantially lessen” a project’s significant effects. (Public Resources Code, § 21002.) As explained by one court: A lead agency's “duty to condition project approval on incorporation of feasible mitigation measures only exists when such measures would [avoid or] ‘substantially lessen’ a significant environmental effect.” (San Franciscans for Reasonable Growth v. City and County of San Francisco (1989) 209 Cal.App.3d 1502, 1519.) “Thus, the agency need not, under CEQA, adopt every nickel and dime mitigation scheme brought to its attention or proposed in the project EIR.” (Ibid.) Rather, an EIR should focus on mitigation measures that are feasible, practical, and effective. (Napa Citizens for Honest Government v. Napa County Board of Supervisors (2001) 91 Cal.App.4th 342, 365.) Of note, and as depicted on DEIR Figure 3-10, Preliminary Landscape Plan, trees and other plantings will occur in the Project’s passenger vehicle parking areas, around the portions of the building visible from off-site areas, as well as the site’s frontages with 3rd Street, Victoria Avenue, and W Street, which will aid in carbon sequestration. H1-36 The commenter suggests the use of local and sustainable building materials. It is beyond the authority of the City of San Bernardino to stipulate building material sources, and the commenter provides no data on proportional nexus between the Project’s impacts and this suggestion. H1-37 The commenter suggests best practices in agriculture. The proposed Project is not an agricultural project, so this suggestion does not apply. H1-38 The commenter suggests environmentally responsible purchasing. It is beyond the authority of the City to stipulate how consumer goods are packaged and used in daily business operations, and the commenter provides no data on proportional nexus between the Project’s impacts and this suggestion. H1-39 The commenter makes a broad statement about implementation of an innovative GHG mitigation strategy. Refer to Response H1-21 for a list of some of the design features, mitigation measures, conditions of approval, and other items that must be complied with as part of regulatory compliance that will serve to reduce the Project’s GHG emissions. Also refer to Response H1-30 for a discussion of the Project’s accommodation of EV charging. H1-40 The commenter supplies suggestions for energy efficiency and reduction of urban heat islands. Refer to Responses H1-21, H1-33, and H1-35. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-118 H1-41 The commenter introduces suggested mitigation measures from a NDECS list published in 2010. Refer to Responses H1-22 through H1-44 for responses to the commenter’s suggested mitigation measures. H1-42 The commenter suggests the use of diesel control technology during construction. This request is accommodated. Pursuant to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-1, CARB Tier IV construction equipment must be used unless it cannot be reasonably acquired. Pursuant to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-2, heavy-duty trucks with a gross vehicle weight over 14,000 pounds must be 2010 or newer or be equipped with a particulate trap. Pursuant to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3, all construction equipment must comply with applicable CARB regulations. Also, pursuant to MM 4.1-3A, an area of the construction site will be designated at which electric or non-diesel equipment and tools can be fueled or charged and pursuant to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3B, contractors are required to use electric or non-diesel off-road trucks and construction support equipment if such equipment is available in the contractor’s fleet and can fulfill the Project’s construction requirements during the building construction obligations. H1-43 The commenter makes additional suggestions for the use of non-diesel equipment during construction. Please refer above to Response H-42. H1-44 The commenter suggests that construction equipment be reported. Reporting is not necessary. Pursuant to Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-1, CARB Tier IV construction equipment must be used unless it cannot be reasonably acquired as described in MM 4.1-1. H1-45 The commenter makes a concluding comment and opines that the City should prepare an updated DEIR. There is no information provided in these comments or responses thereto that would warrant recirculation of the DEIR. The DEIR circulated for public review was fundamentally and basically adequate, and as such, recirculation of the DEIR is not warranted set forth in §15088.5 of the State CEQA Guidelines. H1-46 SWAPE states that they reserve the right to make additional comments. The City acknowledges this comment. H-47 These tables are noted as part of Comment H1-20 and Response H1-20, above. Page F-119 Comment Letter H2 H2-1 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez From: Sent: To: Cc: Subject: adam salcido <asalcido .07@gmail.com> Tuesday, January OS , 202110:39 AM Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez Unknown ; jbourgeois029@gmail.com; Terrance Lucio; PATRICK HANING ER The Landing by San Manuel Caution -This email originated from outs ide the City -Verify that the Email display name and Email address are consistent. -Use caution when opening attachments. Greetings Ms. Mora-Rodriguez, Please provide any updates to the above mentioned project . I am requesting under Public Resource Code Section 21092.2 to add the email addresses and mailing address below to the notification list, regarding any subsequent environmental documents, public notices, public hearings, and notices of determination for this project. t.lucio57@gmail.com phaningerl@gmail.com jbourg2271@aol.com jbourgeois029@gmail.com asalcido.07@gmail.com Mailing Address: P.O . Box 79222 Corona, CA 92877 Please confirm receipt of this email . Thank You, Adam Salcido Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-120 RESPONSE TO COMMENT LETTER H-2 H2-1 The commenter requests that several individuals be included on notification lists for the Project. The City of San Bernardino will include the parties on all future public notices concerning the proposed Project. Page F-121 Comment L etter I I-1 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodrig uez From: Sent: To: Subject: robert patterson <rwpatterson84@gmail.com > Monday, December 07, 2020 10:1 5 AM Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez The Landing Draft Environmental Impact Report Caution -This email originated from outside the City -Verify that the Email display name and Email address are consistent. -Use caution when opening attachments . Hi Elizabeth, I am writing to provide comments on the draft Environmental Impact Report for the The Landing Project which has been proposed in the city. It is vital that the Project NOT negatively impact the planned City Creek Bypass Trail which is listed on severa l planning documents including the City's own General Plan . While the EIR has noted that the Trail is planned, we do not beli eve that the potential impacts from the Project as planned have been adequately mitigated and want to see this addressed before final approvals are given. Thank you for your time. Final EIR ] Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-122 RESPONSE TO COMMENT LETTER I I-1 The commenter requests additional analysis of the Project’s potential impact to the City Creek Trail. Refer to Responses D-1 to D-6. Page F-123 Comment Letter J J J2 J8 J4 J10 J6 J12 J13 J14 J1 J7 J3 J9 J5 J11 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez From: Sent: To: Subject: Andrea· Vidaurre < avidaurre@warehouseworkers.org> Wednesday, January 06, 20214:47 PM Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez Public Comment for "The Landing" DEIR Caution -This email originated from outside the City -Verify that the Email display name and Email address are consistent. -Use caution when opening attachments. Dear Ms. Mora-Rodriguez, Please accept the following 40 public comments for the Draft Environmental Impact Report SCH No. 20200100067 for the project "The Landing" proposed by the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians. Please accept each public comment as an individual comment from the individual who's address, number and email was included. Below, find the 40 public comments and subsequent additional comments from individuals. "We, as residents of San Bernardino and surrounding communities, are concerned for our quality of life and the state of the local economy. Our communities are facing significant environmental burdens and economic insecurity. Right now, the Landing does not guarantee the good jobs and clean air that we need in order to truly thrive. We believe that "The Landing" project should have legally enforceable guarantees on jobs and air quality in place so that it will actually improve our lives. The San Manuel Band of Mission Indians has a history of taking leadership in addressing negative impacts in our communities and we look towards that continued leadership as we work and learn together to address our concerns with this upcoming project." Rocio Aguayo, 934 N. Perris St San Bernardino CA 92411 , 9093255813, ra gua004@ucr.edu Anthony Victoria , 8360 Sylvan Drive Riverside, CA 92503, 9096376369, victoriaanthony9 1@ gmail.com Samuel Rodriguez, 27391 Fisher St. Highland, CA 92346, 9096535131, rodriq uez.sam2014@qmail.com Roxana Barrera, 1403 Union St. San Bernardino, CA, 9093002166, Roxana8arrera12@g mail.com Darby Osnaya, 646 Walnut Street, 92324, 9095331119. vpdarby@qmail.com Mike Chavez, 1074 E. La Cadena Dr. Suite 1, 9513150493, mchavez@ ielabor.org Paula Venegas, 765 n. Meridian ave san bernardino ca , 9095229338, paula.venegas.alvarez@g mail.com Anysia Aguirre , 506 E Pioneer Avenue, 9096749774, an ysiaa guirre@ gmail.com Alondra Zaragoza, 944 Western Avenue, 9092763945, alondra.zara34@g mail.com Guadalupe Dolan, 1991 North Kenwood Avenue, 9096998333, lu pedolanmiranda@g mail.com Leonardo Penaloza, 1544 Genevieve st , 19094956597, leonardo.zp05@g mail.com Miguel Rivera , 2272 w 2nd Ave, 9095629021 , M iq .r iverajr@gmail.com James Kilbane, 37691 Stone lake, 2165715966, Jimkilbane03@aol.com Daisy Lopez, Eastvale, 9092349094, dlopez@warehouseworkers .org Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-124 Comment Letter J J16 J18 J15 J17 J19 J20 J21 J22 J25 J28 J30 J26 J29 J31 J27 J23 J24 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report MARIA D. ORTIZ, 1281 massachusetts Ave. San bernardino ca. 92411 , 909 2721328, mariaortiz197890@g mail.com Lety Escobar, PO Box 385 Yucaipa , Ca 92399, 9092054889, izel69hernandez@yahoo .com SALLY I SUKDOL , 1189 Mesa Verde Ave ., San Bernardino , .CA 92404, 9096489172, ssukdol64 @q mail .com Bernard De La Garza, 934 N. Perris St. San Bernardino, CA 92411 , 9094623992, Bernarddelag arza96 @q mail.com Krystina M. Montano, 1700 e date st apartment 1047 San Bernardino ca 92404, 909.676.1392, K rystinamontano511910@g mail.com "You need to take into consideration the impact on children and the community by creating another warehouse." -Socorro Anchondo, 9060 North Valencia Ave San Bernardino 92410, (909) 332-4202 "There's land out on Greenspot Rd out towards the East Valley Water District." -Yvonne Miranda, 26731 Fleming St, Highland 92346, 909-206-9156, YvonneMiranda@USA.com "I am deeply concerned about the proximity to schools and the safety of the children of the community." -Alexandra G Beltran , 5564 N F St, San Bernardino, CA 92407, (909) 273-1302, beltranred5@g mail.com "Porfavor dejen de contaminar y dejen de aprobar proyectos que daiian la salud de los residentes de San Bernardino no es posible que esten dejando que en menos de una milla de una escuela se esten aprobado proyectos que van a contaminar mas soy madre de 3 niiios y me preocupa la salud de ellos porque no estan pensando en el daiio que hacen cuantas enfermedades respiratorias estan produciendo porque solo estan pensando en sus beneficios que nose ve que ayuden a la ciudad masque tener mas contaminacion" -Ada Trujillo, 2640 W Rialto Ave San Bernardino, 909 571 3309 , Adat2013 .at@gmail.com "In addition, there are multiple ways in which the proposed warehouse will negatively impact the environment and community: extensive paved areas do not allow for the recharge or replenishment of aquifers with groundwater, and creates additional "heat islands" that also affect air quality; industries that utilize such distribution centers do not additionally invest the capital gains from their business into the region, though we would urge you to find ways through Community Benefits Agreements and maybe even, with economic creativity, additional tax base assurances; added traffic at this site will not only impact other BIPOC in the area, but those living at San Manuel too. In other words, this will place a huge environmental burden on Native people who have historically been subjected to this same form of environmental racism at the hands of White businesses and industrialists in the past." -Catherine Gudis, 900 University Avenue, Riverside, CA 92521 , 323-445-9557, cagudis@ucr.edu ~ ;J J J J J ] "Enough is enough of destroying out communities, when you come to someones home you respect it. Show us respect J and give us what we deserve and a strong CBA" -Angie, 7833 strathmore road , Highland, CA 909.7429092, An g ie.balderas@sierraclub.org "Liveable wages and safe working environments are essential" J -Phillip Hubbard 111, 5784 Carsten Court, Fontana CA 92336, 9512040966, ucla2dallas@g mail.com ~-~~~ J -Breanna Hall , 3313 Antler rd . San Bernardino, CA 9099693142, Brehall1081 @g mail.com "After SMBMI, becomes a warehouse holder, how long before they in turn sell out to another company and is that J company going to uphold the same agreement as SMBMI?" -Annette, 26316 Cypress Street, Highland CA 92346, 909-725-5313 , Panyopolis2@sbcqlobal.net "Our community needs a CBA now!!!" J -Martha Romero , 27037 9th St. Highland CA 92346 , 9095017297 , lashka29@yahoo.com "Let's do right by our community and let's stop destroying our land . We should also implement strong CSA for our J communities . Let's build healthy sustainable communities together." -Abigail medina Rosales , 2697 Rosemary Lane, 9097429092, abigailmmedina@aol.com "No queremos mas contaminaci6n en nuestro aire" 7 2 Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 Page F-125 Comment Letter J J32 J36 J37 J40 J38 J39 J35 J33 J34 J31(cont) •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report • Felipe Avila, 773 w 8 Th St San Bernardino, 9097082825 ''There needs to be adequate public sidewalks and room far from the street for walking on both sides of the road safely. There should also be bike lanes ." . Peter Mendoza, 6th St , Highland CA 92346, 19098311575, stpetermi@gmail.com "Don 't pollute our community-protect it." • Ellen Reese, 1936 Delta St, Los Angeles CA 90026, (213) 793-0326, ellenrivoli@qmail.com "K no queremos mas contam inaci6n en nuestra c iudad" -Maria Luisa Ramirez, 749 NH St San Bernardino, 7145748885, marialramirez0825@qmail.com "As a tax paying concerned community member of San Bernardino county I am asking for there to be a community benefits agreement which wou ld ensure health, safety and good paying jobs for our local community members! We all need to work together to ensure that the developers, businesses and residents of this great county can all achieve the very best for the betterment of everyone in our community!" -Jennifer Cheek , 13335 Stoneridge Dr. Victorville, Ca 92395, 760-267-459, jennifercheek47@gmail.com "Building more warehouses is only going to create more pollution . There are also no guarantees for workers . Please consider the land and environment over money and profits ." • Ann Kaneko, 12323 Culver Blvd ., Los Angeles , CA 90066, 3233334086, annkaneko@qmail.com "My concern is the air pollution and street traffic this will bring to our City. We already have detoriating roads that are not maintained ." • Janette Mckaig , 3188 N Mountain View Ave, 5624999874, janettemckaigcep@hotmail.com "I strongly urge the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians to set a precedent with The Landing project by ensuring it comes with multi-generational benefits for our community. We're surrounded by so many dead-end jobs that wear people down with no hope of anything better for their children . The effects of the pandemic show the urgent need to do things differently. Please plan this development with good jobs that are for local residents and enable families to thrive . Please plan a development that puts people's health and environmental sustainability first." • Athena Tan , 690 N 2nd Ave, Upland CA 91786 (employed in San Bernard ino), 909-358-5456, athena.tan@gmail.com 'We take the burden of warehouses without getting any benefits . The majority of jobs in warehouses are low paying , part time , and grueling . We cannot rebuild the region's economy with warehouse jobs. Our precious tax dollars go to repair roads damaged by warehouse truck traffic and to mitigate traffic congestion caused by those same trucks . We suffer the adverse health effects of significant increases in air pollution caused by truck and airplane traffic as well as the noise pollution that affects our health and quality of life . We deserve and therefore demand our share of the benefits from warehouse construction ." • Jody Isenberg, 1278 Andreas Ave San Bernardino 92404, 909 838-2803, Jodyleei52@gmail.com "Residents deserve clean air in their communities . As a city with high rates of asthma and some of the worst air quality in the nation we should be helping resolve the issue not making it worse." • Julia Vega , 26262 redlands blvd apt 127 Redlands CA 92373 , 9097896580, jveqa4816@gmail.com Thank you for your time and please send me an email confirming that you received this email and that these public comments were submitted for the record . Best, Andrea Vidaurre Senior Policy Analyst Warehouse Worker Resource Center Cell : (909) 827-8812 3 j J J J J J J ] ] J Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-126 RESPONSES TO COMMENT LETTER J J The City acknowledges the comments provided on the proposed Project, and that the commenters have concerns related to the Project’s environmental and economic effects. Please refer to the individual responses to the concerns expressed by this comment letter (i.e., responses to Comments J1 through J40). The comment does not raise any concerns with the DEIR’s analysis. J1 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J2 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J3 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J4 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J5 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J6 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J7 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J8 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J9 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J10 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-127 J11 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J12 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J13 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J14 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J15 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J16 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J17 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J18 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J19 This commenter has been added to the list of parties that will be notified regarding future public hearings for the proposed Project. As this comment does not identify any issues with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J20 This comment indicates that the Draft EIR should take into consideration the impact on children and the community associated with the proposed Project. The Project’s impacts on the environment, including impacts to sensitive receptors (i.e., residents and school children) are evaluated throughout the Draft EIR. For example, the analysis of the Project’s impacts to air quality consider potential health risk effects to nearby school children, and demonstrates that localized air quality impacts affecting nearby school children would be less than significant. As this comment does not identify any potential impacts to the community or children within the surrounding area that have not already been addressed by the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J21 This comment indicates that there may be available land for development on Greenspot Road near the East Valley Water District. Section 6.0 of the Draft EIR includes an analysis of Project alternatives, and includes a discussion of alternative site locations. As indicated in Draft EIR subsection 6.2.1, The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-128 alternative site locations were rejected from detailed consideration in the EIR. In this particular case, the Project Applicant does not own the land referenced by this comment. Furthermore, the analysis in subsection 6.2.1 indicates that “development of the Project in an alternative location would reasonably result in similar environmental impacts as would occur with implementation of the Project at its proposed location because the Project’s significant and unavoidable impacts are related to air quality, GHGs, traffic-related noise, and VMT” (Draft EIR at Pages 6-5 and 6-6). Under CEQA, in making the decision to include or exclude an analysis of an alternative site, the “key question and first step in analysis is whether any of the significant effects of the project would be avoided or substantially lessened by putting the project in another location. Only locations that would avoid or substantially lessen any of the significant effects of the project need to be considered for inclusion in the EIR” (CEQA Guidelines Section 15126.6(f)(2)). Accordingly, because alternative site locations would not meet CEQA requirements for alternatives, alternative site locations were excluded from detailed analysis within the Draft EIR. No revision to the Draft EIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. J22 This comment indicates concern about the Project’s proximity to schools and the potential environmental effects the Project may have on children. As indicated in the response to Comment J20, the Draft EIR considers potential impacts to schools and children. For example, the analysis of the Project’s impacts to air quality considers potential health risk effects to nearby school children, and demonstrates that localized air quality impacts affecting nearby school children would be less than significant. Additionally, as indicated in Draft EIR subsection 5.4.14 (refer to the discussion of Threshold a.(iii)), the Project Applicant would be required to contribute development impact fees to the San Bernardino City Unified School District (SBCUSD), in compliance with California Senate Bill 50. Mandatory payment of school fees would be required prior to the issuance of a building permit. Pursuant to Senate Bill 50, payment of school impact fees constitutes complete mitigation for project- related impacts to school services. With mandatory payment of fees in accordance with California Senate Bill 50, there would be no impacts to public schools. Accordingly, no revision to the Draft EIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. J23 This comment expresses concerns regarding pollution and associated health effects, as well as concerns regarding the proximity of schools to the Project, particularly in relation to potential air quality effects. Air quality impacts associated with the proposed Project are addressed in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality. As indicated in the analysis provided in subsection 4.1.5 (refer to the discussion of Threshold c.), implementation of the Project: 1) would not exceed applicable SCAQMD localized criteria pollution emissions thresholds during construction and operation; 2) would not expose sensitive receptors (including potential health risks to school children) to toxic air contaminants (e.g., DPM) from construction or long-term operations that exceed the applicable SCAQMD carcinogenic and non- carcinogenic risk thresholds; and 3) would not cause or contribute to the formation of a CO “hot spot.” As such, the Draft EIR discloses that localized air quality impacts associated with the Project would be less than significant. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies under the analysis of Threshold c. of subsection 4.1.5, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J24 This comment expresses concerns related to aquifer recharge, heat island effects, and economic effects associated with the proposed Project, requests a Community Benefits Agreement be adopted for the Project, indicates concerns related to traffic, and identifies concerns related to environmental justice. Project impacts associated with infiltration and groundwater are evaluated in EIR Subsection 5.4.9 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-129 (refer to the analysis of Threshold b.). As indicated therein, while development of the Project would increase impervious surface coverage on the Project Site, which would, in turn, reduce the amount of water percolating down into the underground aquifer that underlies the Project site and surrounding areas (i.e., Bunker Hill Groundwater Basin), the Bunker Hill Basin is a part of the San Bernardino Basin Area, and is among the most rigorously managed groundwater basins in the State. Planning and management efforts evaluating needs and supplies have been established for most of the basins within the watershed through the next 20 to 40 years. Groundwater is managed in accordance with a legal settlement that, in part, identifies a natural safe yield and requires groundwater replenishment if cumulative extractions exceed water rights allocation (WSC, 2017, pp. 2-7 to 2-8). Due to the extensive management of the groundwater basin, implementation of the Project would not interfere substantially with groundwater recharge such that the Project may impede sustainable groundwater management of the basin. Additionally, the Project includes design features that would maximize the percolation of on-site storm water runoff into the groundwater basin, such as detention/infiltration basins and permeable landscape areas. Furthermore, runoff from the Project Site would be conveyed to existing drainage facilities, which ultimately would convey flows to downstream areas where infiltration would occur (e.g., the Santa River and Prado Dam). As this comment does not identify any deficiencies in the Draft EIR’s analysis of potential effects to groundwater supplies, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. With respect to potential “heat island” effects, draft EIR Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 includes a requirement that the roof of the proposed building must be composed of light-colored roofing material. Additionally, the Project would require extensive amounts of landscaping, which would further assist in reducing any localized “heat island” effects. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the analysis contained in the Draft EIR, no revision to the Draft EIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. An analysis of the Project’s potential impacts to transportation is provided in Draft EIR Subsection 4.8, Transportation. As indicated therein, the Project would be conditioned to contribute DIF fees as well as fair share contributions towards improvements needed to achieve an acceptable Level of Service (LOS) at all study area facilities. With implementation of the improvements identified in subsection 4.8, all study area intersections would operate at an acceptable LOS. Subsection 4.8 also discloses that the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to Vehicle Miles Travelled (VMT). As this comment does not identify any deficiencies in the analysis of potential impacts to transportation, no revision to the Draft EIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. With respect to the commenter’s concerns related to environmental justice, the analysis provided throughout the Draft EIR discloses and identifies the Project’s potential impacts to the environment. For example, EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, includes an extensive discussion of the Project’s localized air quality effects, and demonstrates that the Project would result in less-than-significant localized air quality impacts. No revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. The commenter’s recommendation for a Community Benefits Agreement will be considered by the City decision-makers during their deliberations as to whether to approve the proposed Project. As such an agreement would not affect the Project’s potential impacts to the environment, no revision to the Draft EIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-130 J25 This comment indicates opposition to the proposed Project and recommends a CBA (which is understood as a reference to a Collective Bargaining Agreement). As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J26 This comment requests that the Project provide for livable wages and a safe working environment. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J27 This comment requests good jobs and clean air. EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, provides an extensive analysis of the Project’s potential impacts to air quality. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J28 This comment indicates concern regarding ownership of the proposed Project and whether successors in interest would be subject to the same requirements as the currently-proposed Project. All Project- related requirements would be memorialized as part of conditions of approval that would be adopted in conjunction with Project approval, and all future successors in interest would be required to comply with the Project’s conditions of approval. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J29 This comment expresses a preference for a CBA (which is understood as a reference to a Collective Bargaining Agreement). As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J30 This comment indicates concerns over the Project’s impacts to the environment, and also expresses a desire for a CBA (which is understood as a reference to a Collective Bargaining Agreement). The Project’s potential impacts to the environment are evaluated throughout the Draft EIR. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR or its analysis of potential impacts to the environment, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J31 This comment indicates a concern about potential air quality impacts associated with the Project. EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, provides an extensive analysis of the Project’s potential impacts to air quality. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR or its analysis of potential impacts to air quality, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J32 This comment expresses a desire for adequate sidewalks, bicycle lanes, and pedestrian/bicycle safety. Please refer to the discussion provided in EIR Subsection 3.5.4.F, which includes a description of roadway improvements proposed as part of the Project. As indicated, the Project would accommodate a bicycle crossing at the intersection of 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue, and a bicycle lane already exists on both sides of 3rd Street. The Project also would allocate space for a future Class I bike trail along 3rd Street and would maintain the existing sidewalks along the Development Site’s frontages with 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue. All improvements proposed as part of the Project would conform to applicable City standards and requirements, which were adopted in order to provide for bicycle and pedestrian safety. No revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J33 This comment indicates concerns over pollution within the community. Project impacts to the environment are evaluated throughout the Draft EIR. Air quality effects associated with the Project The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-131 are evaluated under Draft EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR or its analysis of potential impacts to the environment, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J34 This comment indicates a concern about potential air quality impacts associated with the Project. EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, provides an extensive analysis of the Project’s potential impacts to air quality. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR or its analysis of potential impacts to air quality, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J35 This comment recommends that the Project be subject to a Community Benefits Agreement. The commenter’s recommendation for a Community Benefits Agreement will be considered by the City decision-makers during their deliberations as to whether to approve the proposed Project. As such an agreement would not affect the Project’s potential impacts to the environment, no revision to the Draft EIR is warranted pursuant to this comment. J36 This comment expresses concerns over the Project’s potential for causing pollution, and indicates a concern regarding guarantees for workers, presumably in reference to future wages. Project impacts to the environment are evaluated throughout the Draft EIR. Air quality effects associated with the Project are evaluated under Draft EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR or its analysis of potential impacts to the environment, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J37 This comment expresses concerns related to air pollution, traffic, and roadway maintenance. Air quality effects associated with the Project are evaluated under Draft EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, while the Project’s impacts to transportation are evaluated in Draft EIR Subsection 4.8, Transportation. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the analyses presented in Draft EIR Subsection 4.1 and 4.8, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. With respect to roadway maintenance, the proposed Project would result in an increase in tax revenue within the City, portions of which would be used by the City to ensure adequate maintenance of local roads. There are no components of the proposed Project that would interfere with the ability of the City of San Bernardino or City of Highland to conduct roadway maintenance. No revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J38 This comment expresses a desire for the Project to include good paying jobs, and expresses concerns over public health and quality of life. The Project’s potential impacts to the environment, including potential impacts to public health, are addressed throughout the Draft EIR. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the Draft EIR or its analysis of potential impacts to the environment, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J39 This comment expresses concerns regarding the quality of future Project-generated jobs, potential impacts to roadway maintenance, and potential adverse health effects associated with Project-related traffic, including air quality impacts and traffic-related noise impacts. Air quality impacts associated with the proposed Project are addressed in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, while the Project’s traffic- related noise impacts are evaluated in Draft EIR Subsection 4.7, Noise. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the analyses provided in Draft EIR Subsections 4.1 and 4.7, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. With respect to roadway maintenance, the The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-132 proposed Project would result in an increase in tax revenue within the City, portions of which would be used by the City to ensure adequate maintenance of local roads. There are no components of the proposed Project that would interfere with the ability of the City of San Bernardino or City of Highland to conduct roadway maintenance. No revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. J40 This comment expresses concerns regarding air quality and potential localized air quality effects that could adversely affect sensitive receptors, such as individuals with asthma. The Project’s potential impacts to air quality, including localized air quality impacts affecting sensitive receptors, are addressed in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality. As this comment does not identify any deficiencies with the analysis and conclusions presented in Draft EIR Subsection 4.1, no revisions to the Draft EIR are warranted pursuant to this comment. Page F-133 Comment Letter K K-1 •• •• The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez From: Sent: To: Subject: Jim Brown <contrax35@gma il.com> Monday, January 18, 2021 2:25 PM Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez The Landing NOP caution -This email originated from outside the City -Verify that the Email display name and Email address are consistent. -Use caution when opening att achments. Hi Elizabeth, I am writing to provide comments on the Notice of Preparation for the The Landing Project which has been proposed in the city. It is ] vital that the Project NOT negatively impact the planned City Creek Bypass Trail which is listed on several planning documents including the City's own General Plan . Yet, that is not the case at present as the current plans sh ow that the Project would cut off the Trail which is a Significant Impact under CEOA and an injustice to the community. This needs to be avoided and a different alternative found which preserves the Trail and constructs it with any other onsite improvements. Thank you for your time. Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No . 2020100067 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-134 RESPONSE TO COMMENT LETTER K I-1 The commenter requests additional analysis of the Project’s potential impact to the City Creek Trail. Refer to Responses D-1 to D-6. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-135 F.3 ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND REVISIONS TO THE DRAFT EIR Revisions made to the text, tables, and/or exhibits of the DEIR in response to public comments on the DEIR are itemized in Table F-2, Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and Revisions. Additions are shown in Table F-2 as underline text and deletions are shown as stricken text. No corrections or additions made to the DEIR are considered substantial new information requiring recirculation or additional environmental review under CEQA Guidelines § 15088.5. Table F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR REVISED DEIR PAGE(S) SECTION(S) ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND/OR REVISIONS Throughout Throughout The following minor typographical corrections have been made to the DEIR: Page 1-2 1-5 4.5-7 4.7-29 4.7-31 4.8-6 Revisions • Specifically, SPA 20-01 would add approximately 12.89 acres located on the southern portion of the Development Site to the SBAC-SP and remove approximately 4.97 acres located west of the Development Site and west of Victoria Avenue from the SBAC-SP. • Regardless of whether or not an environmental or CEQA- related comment is listed in the table, all relevant comments received in response to the NOP and the EIR Scoping Meeting are addressed in this EIR. • The Seven Oaks Dam has been designed to resist an earthquake measuring 8.0 on the Richter scale, and also is designed to provide flood protection during 350-year floor flood events. • Based on the significance criteria for off-site traffic noise presented in Table 4.7-6, the following study area roadway segments is are shown to experience potentially significant off- site cumulative traffic noise level increases. • Since trucks rarely create vibrations that exceed 70 VdB (unless there are bumps due to frequent potholes in the road), it is expected that the on-site heavy trucks will be travelling at very low speeds so activity would satisfy the maximum- acceptable vibration criteria of 78 VdB for daytime and 72 VdB for nighttime for residential uses, and therefore, impacts would be less than significant. • For the purposes of this analysis, the initial VMT screening process has been conducted with using the San Bernardino County Transportation Authority (SBCTA) VMT Screening Tool, which uses screening criteria consistent with the screening thresholds recommended in the Technical Advisory and City Guidelines. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-136 Table F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR REVISED DEIR PAGE(S) SECTION(S) ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND/OR REVISIONS 4.8-7 4.8-11 4.8-12 and 4.8-13 4.8-13 Throughout • The City Guidelines identifyies local serving retail projects less than 50,000 square feet or other local serving uses (e.g., day care centers, student housing, public facilities, places of worship, etc.) may be presumed to have a less than significant impact absent substantial evidence to the contrary. • Furthermore, pursuant to Title 13 of the California Code of Regulations, Section 2485, large trucks would be limited to no more than five minutes of idling. • Because a sidewalk and bicycle lane occur along the Development Site’s frontage in the 3rd Street public right-of- way, there is a potential for increased hazards to occur associated with trucks entering and existing exiting across the sidewalk and bicycle lane. • However, the cumulative link-level VMT per service population within the City of San Bernardino does not increase under with implementation of the Project; therefore, the Project would have a less-than-significant cumulatively- considerable impact due to VMTs. • Throughout the DEIR, references to “VMTs” (Vehicle Miles Travelled) has been corrected to instead use the acronym “VMT.” Page 2-1 Subsection 2.3 The following revision has been made to reflect the fact that the Airport Gateway Specific Plan has been increased in size by approximately 9 acres, and to correct the reference to the City Creek Bypass. • This area is in the planning stages for a mix of industrial uses under the IVDA’s proposed “Airport Gateway Specific Plan (AGSP),” which covers approximately 670 679 acres generally bounded by 6th Street and Highland Creekthe City Creek Bypass on the north, 3rd Street and the SBIA on the south, State Route 210 (SR-210) on the east, and Tippecanoe Avenue on the west. The Specific Plan area includes parcels in both the City of Highland (±485 acres) and the City of San Bernardino (±185 194 acres). Page 3-11 Table 3-3 The list of approvals required by the San Bernardino International Airport Authority (SBIAA) has been expanded to include the following additional approvals: • Approval of utility service and connection agreements. • Approval of airport-related street improvement permits. 4.1-5 4.1.1.D.1 The text on Page 4.1-5 has been corrected to reflect the fact that O3 is not a directly emitted pollutant: • Emissions of O3, NOX, VOC, and CO, and ozone precursors have been decreasing in the SCAB since 1975 and are projected to continue to decrease The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-137 Table F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR REVISED DEIR PAGE(S) SECTION(S) ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND/OR REVISIONS beyond 2020. 4.1-10 4.1.1.D.1 The following correction has been made to more clearly state the reduction of CO concentrations in the SCAB: • 8-hour CO concentrations in the SCAB have been decreased markedly – a total decrease of by more about 80 percent in the peak 8-hour concentration since 1986. 4.1-27 4.1.5 (Threshold a) The following text has been added to the discussion of Consistency Criterion No. 2 to more explicitly disclose the anticipated increase in “Industrial Light (IL)” building area that would result from Project approval: • Specifically, implementation of the proposed Project would result in a net increase in areas designated for “IL” development, and the permitted building square footage for IL land uses in the Third Street District would increase from 1,080,288 s.f. to 1,252,350 s.f. 4.1-39 S-11 4.1.8 The following mitigation measure has been added: • MM 4.1-3A: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify a designated area of the construction site where electric or non-diesel vehicles, equipment, and tools can be fueled or charged. The provision of temporary electric infrastructure for such purpose shall be approved by the utility provider, Southern California Edison (SCE). If SCE will not approve the installation of temporary power for this purpose, the establishment of a temporary electric charging area will not be required. If electric equipment will not be used on the construction site because the construction contractor(s) does not have such equipment in its fleet (as specified in Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3B), the establishment of a temporary electric charging area also will not be required. If electric- powered equipment is in the contractor(s) equipment fleet, and SCE approval is secured, the temporary charging location is required to be established upon issuance of grading permits and building permits. 4.1-40 S-12 4.1-8 The following mitigation measure has been added: • MM 4.1-3B: If electric or non-diesel off-road trucks and construction support equipment, including but not limited to hand tools, forklifts, aerial lifts, materials lifts, hoists, pressure washers, plate compactors, and air compressors are available in the construction contractor’s equipment fleet and can fulfill the Project’s construction requirements during the building construction, paving, and architectural coating phases of Project construction, such equipment shall be used during Project construction. This requirement shall be noted on plans submitted for building permit issuance. 4.1-40 S-12 4.1-8 The following mitigation measure has been added: • MM 4.1-3C: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-138 Table F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR REVISED DEIR PAGE(S) SECTION(S) ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND/OR REVISIONS permit issuance shall specify the locations where anti-idling signs will be located. Signs shall be placed on the construction site where medium and heavy-duty trucks and other heavy equipment will stage, identifying applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include: 1) instructions to shut off engines when equipment is not in use; and 2) instructions to restrict idling to no more than five (5) minutes. 4.2-4 4.2.1.G The following text has been added to clearly indicate that the Development Site does not serve as a component of any wildlife linkages or corridors: • Furthermore, the Development Site does not connect to any habitat to the north, south, east, or west. The nearest areas that may facilitate wildlife movement in the local area are the City Creek and Santa Ana River, and the Development Site is separated from these features by existing roadways and development. 4.4-35 4.4.7 Mitigation Measure 4.4.1(d) has been expanded” • MM 4.4-1(d): As part of shell building permit issuance, and subject to the approval of the Federal Aviation Administration for the installation of rooftop solar panels near an airport, the applicant shall be required to install a rooftop photovoltaic (PV) system providing a minimum of 24,000 watts (24 KW) of power per year. The remaining area of the building’s roof shall be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential, future construction of additional photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays taking into consideration limitations imposed by other rooftop equipment, roof warranties, building and fire code requirements, and other physical or legal limitations. The building shall be designed to accommodate an electrical system and other infrastructure sufficiently sized to accommodate the potential installation of additional PV arrays in the future. 4.4-35 S-23 4.4.7 The following mitigation measure has been added: • MM 4.4-2: Prior to the issuance of a building permit for warehouse building space that contains refrigerated or freezer storage, an electrical hookup shall be provided at all loading dock doors that are designated for the loading/unloading of trailers holding refrigerated/frozen goods, for the purpose of plugging the refrigeration units installed on such trailers into the building’s electrical system. If refrigerated/freezer warehouse space is not proposed, electrical hookups at dock doors will not be required. 4.5-2 4.5.1.A The following revision has been made to clarify the length of the Santa Ana River and its major tributaries: • The Santa Ana River flows over 100 miles, and Tthe total length of the Santa Ana River and its major tributaries is approximately 700 miles. 4.6-2 4.6.1.A The following revisions were made to correct the acreage associated with the AGSP The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-139 Table F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR REVISED DEIR PAGE(S) SECTION(S) ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND/OR REVISIONS and to correctly identify the City Creek Bypass. • This area is in the planning stages for a mix of industrial uses under the proposed “Airport Gateway Specific Plan (AGSP),” which covers approximately 670 679 acres generally bounded by 6th Street and the City Creek BypassHighland Creek on the north, 3rd Street and the San Bernardino International Airport (SBIA) on the south, State Route 210 (SR- 210) on the east, and Tippecanoe Avenue on the west. 4.6-2 4.6.1.A The text on Page 4.6-2 has been revised to list the correct acreage for the AGSP within the City of San Bernardino, as follows: • The Specific Plan area includes parcels in both the City of Highland (±485 acres) and the City of San Bernardino (±185 194 acres). 4.6-4 4.6.2.B.2 A minor text clarification was made on DEIR Page 4.6-4, as follows: • …and are a major reason the region is a critical mode component in the global supply chain. 4.6-4 4.6.2.B.3 The following minor correction has been made on DEIR Page 4.6-4: • The Project’s consistency with the 2016 AQMP was analyzed in detail in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, and as such is not further evaluated in this Subsection 4.68. 4.6-4 4.6.2.B.3 The text on DEIR Page 4.6-4 has been amended to reference the conclusion reached in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, related to the Project’s inconsistency with the SCAQMD 2016 AQMP. • The Project’s consistency with the 2016 AQMP was analyzed in detail in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, and as such is not further evaluated in this Subsection 4.68. As evaluated in EIR Subsection 4.1, the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to a conflict with the SCAQMD 2016 AQMP. 4.6-8 and 4.6-9 4.6.4, Threshold a. The following text has been added to the analysis of the Project’s consistency with the City of San Bernardino General Plan to clarify that because the Project’s air quality impacts are fully disclosed in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, no additional significant environmental effects would occur due to a potential conflict with General Plan policies related to air quality: • Additionally, although the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to operational emissions of NOX and due to a conflict with the SCAQMD 2016 AQMP, Project impacts associated with air quality are fully discussed and disclosed in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality; thus, because air quality impacts already are addressed in this EIR, no additional impacts due to a conflict with General Plan policies related to air quality are identified. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-140 Table F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR REVISED DEIR PAGE(S) SECTION(S) ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND/OR REVISIONS 4.6-9 and 4.6- 10 4.6.4, Threshold a. The following text has been added to DEIR Pages 4.6-9 and 4.6-10 to clarify that the City comment letters and the Project Applicant’s responses thereto are available for public review, and to indicate the location where the documents may be reviewed: • Copies of the City’s comment letters and the Project Applicant’s responses to City comments are available at the City of San Bernardino Planning Division, 201 North E Street, 3rd Floor, San Bernardino, CA 92401, during the City’s regular business hours, or can be requested in electronic form by contacting the City Planning Division. 4.6-10 4.6.4, Threshold a. The following revision was made to clarify how the Project integrates the transportation network and related strategies that respond to projected growth, and to correctly identify the threshold of significance utilized in EIR Subsection 4.4 to evaluate the significance of the Project’s impacts due to GHG emissions: • The Project would be consistent with Connect SoCal for integrating the transportation network and related strategies with an overall land use pattern that responds to projected growth, housing needs, changing demographics, and transportation demands by locating a proposed light industrial warehouse development in an area that is already developed with similar land uses; however as detailed in Subsection 4.4, Table 4.4-4, the estimated GHG emissions from Project operation (23,514.15 MTCO2e per year) would exceed the SCAQMD threshold (103,000 MTCO2e per year). 4.6-10 4.6.4, Threshold a. The following revisions have been made to clarify that because Project impacts due to GHG emissions were fully evaluated in EIR Subsection 4.5, no additional impacts to land use and planning have been identified as the disclosure of the Project’s GHG emissions impacts precludes a potential inconsistency with the SCAG 2016 SCS/RTP. • However, because the Project’s significant and unavoidable impact due to GHG emissions are fully evaluated and disclosed in EIR Subsection 4.5, thereby precluding a potential conflict with the 2016 SCS/RTP. Therefore, no significant impact to land use and planning is identified due to a conflict with the SCAG 2016 RTP/SCS. 4.6-11 4.6.4, Threshold a. (Table 4.6-1) The analysis of Project consistency with the SCAG RTP/SCS as presented DEIR Table 4.6-1 has been modified under the analysis of Item 6 to reference the conclusion reached in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, that the proposed Project would not result in any localized impacts due to air quality emissions, including due to the emissions of diesel particulate matter (DPM): • No conflict identified. This policy pertains to health and equitable communities, and these issues are addressed through goals and policies outlined in the Safety Element of the City’s General Plan. Relevant to the Project, the proposed building design would support the health of occupants and users by using non-toxic building materials and finishes per the California Building Code, and by using windows and design features to maximize natural light and ventilation. Additionally, and as concluded in The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-141 Table F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR REVISED DEIR PAGE(S) SECTION(S) ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND/OR REVISIONS EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, implementation of the Project: 1) would not exceed applicable SCAQMD localized criteria pollution emissions thresholds during construction and operation; 2) would not expose sensitive receptors to toxic air contaminants (e.g., DPM) from construction or long-term operations that exceed the applicable SCAQMD carcinogenic and non- carcinogenic risk thresholds; and 3) would not cause or contribute to the formation of a CO “hot spot.” 4.8-6 4.8.4.A The following revisions were incorporated to explain why bus routes within 0.5 mile of the Project Site do not comprise a “major transit stop” or a “high-quality transit corridor”: • Although local bus service is available in the Project area via Omnitrans Route 15, which runs along Central Avenue north of 5th Street, Church Avenue north of 5th Street, and 5th Street between Central Avenue and Church Avenue, the bus stops within 0.5 mile of the Project Site do not meet the definition of a “major transit stop” pursuant to Public Resources Code Section 212064.3 because there is no intersection of two or more major bus routes within 0.5 mile of the Project site. Additionally, the bus stops within 0.5 mile of the Project site do not meet the definition of a “high-quality transit corridor” pursuant to Public Resources Code Section 21155 because the bus routes do not meet the requirement for service intervals that are no longer than 15 minutes during peak commute hours. 4.8-12 4.8.8, Threshold c. The following revisions have been incorporated to more clearly explain how on-site parking areas would serve as a staging area to preclude trucks from queuing on public streets: • Further, because the southwestern portion of the Development Site is proposed to contain expansive parking areas, and the Project has beenis designed such that trucks entering the site from W Street could utilize the parking aisles as a staging area in order to ensure thatas an ample on-site truck staging area, trucks will not queue on the public street. 4.8-16 4.8.11 The following clarification has been made to explain that while the Project’s employment-generating land uses would serve to improve the jobs-housing balance in the local area, which in turn would reduce VMT, the level of VMT reduction cannot be quantified. • Thus, by providing for local employment opportunities, the Project would assist the City in improving its jobs-housing balance, thereby resulting in reduced VMTs associated with employee trips, although the level of VMT reduction associated with the improvement in the local jobs-housing balance cannot be quantified. 5-4 5.3 The following revisions have been incorporated to provide an explanation as to why it is anticipated that the majority of jobs created by the Project would be filled by existing or planned residents within the local area: The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-142 Table F-2 Errata Table of Additions, Corrections, and/or Revisions to the Draft EIR REVISED DEIR PAGE(S) SECTION(S) ADDITIONS, CORRECTIONS, AND/OR REVISIONS • In addition, and as noted in Appendix 7 to the City of San Bernardino General Plan, the City of San Bernardino supplies a relatively high number of housing units when compared to the number of jobs provided in the City (City of San Bernardino, 2005a, Appendix 7, p. 11). tWhile the Project would create approximately 1,120 jobs, due to the relatively high number of housing units compared to the number of jobs within the City, it is anticipated that a majority of which the Project-generated jobs would likely be filled by residents of the housing units either already built or planned for development within the City of San Bernardino and nearby cities and unincorporated areas. 5-18 5.4.8, Threshold a. The following text on Page 5-18 has been updated to reference the Project’s updated Phase I Environmental Site Assessment (ESA) and its conclusion that the Development Site contains no Recognized Environmental Conditions (RECs): • An updated Phase I ESA was prepared for the Project and is included as Technical Appendix H to this EIR. The updated Phase I ESA confirmed the findings of the 2004 report, and further demonstrates that the Development Site does not contain any RECswill be prepared to verify this conclusion to support the EIR. 5-18 5.4.8, Threshold a. The text on DEIR Page 5-18 has been corrected to identify the Hazardous Materials Division of the San Bernardino County Fire Department as the regulating agency within the City for hazardous materials. • Uses that might use hazardous materials would be subject to standard San Bernardino County Environmental Health Services (EHS) policies and permitting procedures required by the Hazardous Materials Division of the San Bernardino County Fire Department. 6-4 and 6-5 6.2 The following clarification has been made to DEIR Subsection 6.2 to more fully explain the reasons alternatives may be considered infeasible to construct or operate. • Alternatives were rejected because either: 1) they could not accomplish the basic objectives of the Project, 2) they would not have resulted in a reduction of significant adverse environmental impacts, or 3) they were considered by the City infeasible to construct or operate based on economic, regulatory, or other reasons. 6-8 6.3.1.E The following text has been added to the discussion of the No Development Alternative (NDA) to explain that the Project’s less-than-significant impacts associated with inundation due to failure of the Seven Oaks Dam would be reduced. • While impacts due to dam inundation would be less than significant under the proposed Project due to the low likelihood of dam failure, because there would be no new development on site under the NDA, impacts associated with inundation related to the failure of the Seven Oaks Dam would be reduced in comparison to the proposed Project. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page F-143 F.4 NO RECIRCULATION OF THE DRAFT ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT REPORT REQUIRED CEQA Guidelines § 15088.5 describes the conditions under which a DEIR that was circulated for public review is required to be re-circulated for additional public review and comment. CEQA Guidelines § 15088.5 states that new information added to a DEIR is not significant unless the DEIR is changed in a way that deprives the public of a meaningful opportunity to comment upon a substantial adverse effect of the project or a feasible way to mitigate or avoid such an effect (including a feasible project alternative) that the project’s proponents have declined to implement. “Significant new information” requiring recirculation includes, for example, a disclosure showing that: a. A new significant environmental impact would result from the project or from a new mitigation measure proposed to be implemented. b. A substantial increase in the severity of an environmental impact would result unless mitigation measures are adopted that reduce the impact to a level of insignificance. c. A feasible project alternative or mitigation measure considerably different from the others previously analyzed would clearly lessen the significant environmental impacts of the project, but the project’s proponents decline to adopt it. d. The DEIR was so fundamentally and basically inadequate and conclusory in nature that meaningful public review and comment were precluded. As summarized in subsection F.3, Additions, Corrections, and Revisions to the Draft EIR, and based on the comment letters and responses thereto presented in Subsection F.2.2, Responses to Comments on the , there were no public comments or changes to the text or analysis contained in the DEIR that resulted in the identification of any new significant environmental effect or a substantial increase in the severity of environmental effects that were disclosed in the DEIR. Only minor clarifications and amplifications have been made to the DEIR in response to public comments. Furthermore, public comment letters on the DEIR did not identify any alternatives to the proposed Project considerably different from those analyzed in the DEIR that would substantially lessen the significant environmental impacts of the proposed Project while still attaining the Project’s basic objectives. Additionally, the DEIR was fundamentally and basically adequate, and all conclusions within the DEIR were supported by substantial evidence provided within the DEIR or the administrative record for the proposed Project. Based on the foregoing, recirculation of the DEIR is not warranted according to the guidance set forth in § 15088.5 of the CEQA Guidelines. The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 ATTACHMENT 1 SUBSTANTIVELY REVISED PAGES OF THE DRAFTEIR The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report S.0 Executive Summary Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page S-11 Potential Environmental Impact Significance Determination Mitigation Measures (MM) and Regulatory Requirements & Design Requirements (RRDR) Applicable to the Development Project Responsible/ Monitoring Parties Implementation Stage would result in a significant and unavoidable impact on both a direct and cumulatively-considerable basis. Threshold c): Implementation of the Project: 1) would not exceed applicable SCAQMD localized criteria pollution emissions thresholds during construction and operation; 2) would not expose sensitive receptors to toxic air contaminants (i.e., DPM) that exceed the applicable SCAQMD carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risk thresholds; and 3) would not cause or contribute to the formation of a CO “hot spot.” Impacts due to localized air quality emissions would be less than significant. Less than Significant gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds with a 2010 model year engine or newer or shall be equipped with a particulate matter trap, as available. This requirement also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective construction contractors. The grading contractor shall keep a copy of records for all on-road heavy-duty diesel trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds to demonstrate compliance with this requirement, and the records shall be made available to the City or City’s designee for inspection upon request. MM 4.1-3: Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that notification is included requiring that all construction equipment shall comply with all applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) air quality regulations. Also, the notes shall require that all Project construction contractors must tune and maintain all construction equipment in accordance with the equipment manufacturer’s recommended maintenance schedule and specifications. These requirements also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective construction contractors. Maintenance records for all pieces of equipment shall be kept on-site for the duration of construction activities and shall be made available for periodic inspection by City of San Bernardino staff or their designee. MM 4.1-3A: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify a designated area of the construction site where electric or non-diesel vehicles, equipment, and tools can be fueled or charged. The provision of temporary electric infrastructure for such purpose shall be approved by the utility provider, Southern California Edison (SCE). If SCE will not approve the installation of temporary power for this purpose, the establishment of a temporary electric charging area will not be required. If electric equipment will not be used on the construction site because the construction contractor(s) does not of San Bernardino Project Applicant, Construction Contractors/ City of San Bernardino Project Applicant, Construction Contractors/ City of San Bernardino activities Prior to issuance of grading permits and during construction activities Prior to issuance of grading permit issuance and building permit issuance and during construction activities The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report S.0 Executive Summary Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page S-12 Potential Environmental Impact Significance Determination Mitigation Measures (MM) and Regulatory Requirements & Design Requirements (RRDR) Applicable to the Development Project Responsible/ Monitoring Parties Implementation Stage have such equipment in its fleet (as specified in Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3B), the establishment of a temporary electric charging area also will not be required. If electric-powered equipment is in the contractor(s) equipment fleet, and SCE approval is secured, the temporary charging location is required to be established upon issuance of grading permits and building permits. MM 4.1-3B: If electric or non-diesel off-road trucks and construction support equipment, including but not limited to hand tools, forklifts, aerial lifts, materials lifts, hoists, pressure washers, plate compactors, and air compressors are available in the construction contractor’s equipment fleet and can fulfill the Project’s construction requirements during the building construction, paving, and architectural coating phases of Project construction, such equipment shall be used during Project construction. This requirement shall be noted on plans submitted for building permit issuance. MM 4.1-3C: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify the locations where anti- idling signs will be located. Signs shall be placed on the construction site where medium and heavy-duty trucks and other heavy equipment will stage, identifying applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include: 1) instructions to shut off engines when equipment is not in use; and 2) instructions to restrict idling to no more than five (5) minutes. MM 4.1-4: The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain legible, durable, weather-proof signs at truck access gates, loading docks, and truck parking areas that identify applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti- idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include instructions for drivers of diesel-fueled trucks to restrict idling to Project Applicant, Construction Contractors/ City of San Bernardino Project Applicant, Construction Contractors/ City of San Bernardino Project Applicant and Successors in Interest/City of San Bernardino Prior to building permit issuance and during construction activities Prior to issuance of grading permit issuance and building permit issuance and during construction activities Prior to issuance of occupancy permits and during long-term operations The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report S.0 Executive Summary Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page S-23 Potential Environmental Impact Significance Determination Mitigation Measures (MM) and Regulatory Requirements & Design Requirements (RRDR) Applicable to the Development Project Responsible/ Monitoring Parties Implementation Stage shall be U.S. EPA Certified WaterSense or equivalent. MM 4.4-2: Prior to the issuance of a building permit warehouse building space that contains refrigerated or freezer storage, an electrical hookup shall be provided at all loading dock doors that are designated for the loading/unloading of trailers holding refrigerated/frozen goods, for the purpose of plugging the refrigeration units installed on such trailers into the building’s electrical system. If refrigerated/freezer warehouse space is not proposed, electrical hookups at dock doors will not be required. Project Applicant or Developer/City of San Bernardino Prior to issuance of a building permit 4.5 Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold a): The Project would generally maintain the site’s existing topography, and the Project Site is located at the fringe of the Santa Ana River floodplain. As such, there would be no substantial change to the site’s potential for inundation during floods as compared to existing conditions. Because the Project Site occurs at the fringe areas subject to inundation during peak flood events, and because no substantial changes are proposed to the site’s topography, the Project would not impede or redirect any flood flows. Threshold b): Less-Than-Significant Impact. The Project Site would not be subject to inundation from tsunamis or seiches. Although the Project Site is subject to inundation during peak storm events, business operations on the Development Site would be primarily conducted within the enclosed building, except for traffic movement, parking, as well as loading and unloading of trucks at designated loading bays. The Project would not involve uncontained storage of potential pollutants outside of the proposed building. As such, during peak flood events, there is no reasonable potential that substantial pollutants would not come into contact with water as the result of the Project and release substantial amounts of pollutants through water contact. Additionally, although the Project Site is located within areas subject to inundation as a result of a Less than Significant Less than Significant Impacts would be less than significant; therefore, mitigation measures are not required. N/A N/A The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 2.0 Environmental Setting Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 2-1 2.0 ENVIRONMENTAL SETTING 2.1 REGIONAL SETTING AND LOCATION The Project Site is located in the City of San Bernardino, which is located within the Valley subregion of San Bernardino County. The City of San Bernardino is situated north of the City of Loma Linda, northwest of the City of Redlands, west of the City of Highland, south of the San Bernardino Mountains, and east of the City of Rialto. The Project Site is located approximately 1 mile west of the 5th Street on/off-ramp to Insterstate- 210 (I-210) and approximately 2.6 miles north of Interstate-10 (I-10). The site’s location and regional context are shown on Figure 2-1, Regional Map. The Project Site is located in an urbanizing area of southern California commonly referred to as the “Inland Empire.” The Inland Empire is an approximately 28,000 square-mile region comprising Riverside County, San Bernardino County, and the eastern tip of Los Angeles County. According to U.S. Census data, the 2019 population of San Bernardino County was 2,180,085 (USCB, 2019). The Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) forecast models predict that the population of San Bernardino County will grow to approximately 2,815,000 persons by the year 2045 (SCAG, 2020b, Demographics and Growth Forecast Technical Report, Table 13). 2.2 LOCAL SETTING AND LOCATION The Project Site is located immediately south of 3rd Street, north of the San Bernardino International Airport (SBIA) property and W Street, east and west of Victoria Avenue, and approximately 0.5-mile west of Alabama Street, as illustrated on Figure 2-2, Vicinity Map, and Figure 2-3, USGS Topographic Map. As also shown on Figure 2-2 and Figure 2-3, the 52.97-acre Development Site portion of the Project Site is bounded by Victoria Avenue to the west, 3rd Street to the north, private property to the east, the 3rd Street/Central Avenue intersection to the northwest, and W Street to the south. The northern boundary of the Project Site is coterminous with the jurisdictional boundary line between the City of San Bernardino and the City of Highland. 2.3 SURROUNDING LAND USES Existing land uses in the immediate vicinity of the Project Site are illustrated on Figure 2-4, Surrounding Land Uses, and are described below. North: Immediately north of the Project Site is 3rd Street, which is a fully improved 4-lane road with painted center median and curb, gutter, and sidewalk on both sides. The southern side of 3rd Street forms the dividing line between the City of San Bernardino and the City of Highland to the north. On the north side of 3rd Street is a mixture of business enterprises and undeveloped property, with a few residential structures located east of the 3rd Street/Victoria Avenue intersection. This area is in the planning stages for a mix of industrial uses under the IVDA’s proposed “Airport Gateway Specific Plan (AGSP),” which covers approximately 670 679 acres generally bounded by 6th Street and Highland Creekthe City Creek Bypass on the north, 3rd Street and the SBIA on the south, State Route 210 (SR-210) on the east, and Tippecanoe Avenue on the west. The Specific Plan area includes parcels in both the City of Highland (±485 acres) and the City of San Bernardino (±185 194 acres). In addition, The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 3.0 Project Description Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 3-11 PUBLIC AGENCY APPROVALS AND DECISIONS Other Agencies – Subsequent Approvals and Permits Inland Valley Development Agency (IVDA) • Authorization for land use applications in the SBAC-SP submitted to the City of San Bernardino. San Bernardino International Airport Authority (SBIAA) • Airport safety review and approval. • Approval of utility service and connection agreements. • Approval of airport-related street improvement permits. City of Highland • Encroachment Permits • Street Improvement Permits San Bernardino County Fire Department • Approval of fire hydrant locations and fire protection measures. Santa Ana Regional Water Quality Control Board • Issuance of a Construction Activity General Construction Permit. • Issuance of a National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) Permit. • Approval of WQMP San Bernardino Municipal Water Department (SBMWD) • Approval of the Project’s proposed water and sewer connections. San Bernardino County Flood Control District (SBCFCD) • Approval of drainage improvements. South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD) • Permits and approvals associated with stationary equipment (if permits or approvals are required). The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.1 Air Quality Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.1-5 the same extent when exposed to photochemical processes. VOCs often have an odor, including such common VOCs as gasoline, alcohol, and the solvents used in paints. Odors generated by VOCs can irritate the eye, nose, and throat, which can reduce respiratory volume. In addition, studies have shown that the VOCs that cause odors can stimulate sensory nerves to cause neurochemical changes that might influence health, for instance, by compromising the immune system. (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, Table 2-1) • Lead (Pb) is a heavy metal that is highly persistent in the environment. Historically, the primary source of lead in the air was emissions from vehicles burning leaded gasoline. Currently, emissions of lead are largely limited to stationary sources such as lead smelters. Exposure to low levels of lead can adversely affect the development and function of the central nervous system, leading to learning disorders, distractibility, inability to follow simple commands, and lower intelligence quotient. In adults, increased lead levels are associated with increased blood pressure. Lead poisoning can cause anemia, lethargy, seizures, and death. Fetuses, infants, and children are more sensitive than others to the adverse effects of lead exposure. (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, Table 2-1) D. Existing Air Quality Air quality is evaluated in the context of ambient air quality standards published by the federal and state governments. These standards are the levels of air quality that are considered safe, with an adequate margin of safety, to protect the public health and welfare. The National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and California Ambient Air Quality Standards (CAAQS) currently in effect are detailed in Table 4.1-1, Ambient Air Quality Standards. In California, a region’s air quality is determined to be healthful or unhealthful by comparing pollutant levels in ambient air samples to the applicable NAAQS and CAAQS (as presented in Table 4.1-1). 1. Regional Air Quality  Criteria Pollutants The SCAQMD monitors levels of various criteria pollutants at 37 monitoring stations and five (5) single- pollutant source Pb air monitoring sites throughout its jurisdiction. The attainment status for criteria pollutants within the SCAB is summarized in Table 4.1-2, SCAB Criteria Pollutant Attainment Status. (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, p. 22) The SCAB has been one of the most unhealthful air basins in the United States and has experienced unhealthful air quality since World War II. However, as a result of the region’s air pollution control efforts over the last 60+ years, criteria pollutant concentrations in the SCAB have reduced dramatically and are expected to continue to improve in the future as State regulations become more stringent. (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, pp. 27-36) Emissions of O3, NOX, VOC, and CO, and ozone precursors have been decreasing in the SCAB since 1975 and are projected to continue to decrease beyond 2020. These decreases result primarily from motor vehicle controls and reductions in evaporative emissions. Although total vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in the SCAB continue to The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.1 Air Quality Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.1-10 Figure 4.1-5 South Coast Air Basin PM2.5 (State Standard) (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, Table 2-9) The most recent CO concentrations in the SCAB are shown in Figure 4.1-6, South Coast Air Basin 24-Hour Average CO Trend. It should be noted 2012 is the most recent year where 8-hour CO averages and related statistics are available in the SCAB. 8-hour CO concentrations in the SCAB have been decreased markedly – a total decrease of by more about 80 percent in the peak 8-hour concentration since 1986. The number of exceedance days has also declined. The entire SCAB is now designated as attainment for both the State and national CO standards. Ongoing reductions from motor vehicle control programs should continue the downward trend in ambient CO concentrations. (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, p. 32) The most recent NO2 data for the SCAB is shown in Figure 4.1-7, South Coast Air Basin NO2 Trend (Federal Standard), and Figure 4.1-8, South Coast Air Basin NO2 Trend (State Standard). Over the last 50 years, NO2 values have decreased significantly; the peak 1-hour national and State averages for 2018 are approximately 82 percent lower than reported for 1963. The SCAB attained the State 1-hour NO2 standard in 1994, bringing the entire State of California into attainment. A new State annual average standard of 0.030 parts per million was adopted by the California Air Resources Board (CARB) in February 2007. The new standard is just barely exceeded in the SCAB today. NO2 is formed from NOX emissions, which also contribute to O3. As a result, the majority of the future emission control measures will be implemented by the State as part of the overall ozone control strategy. Many of these control measures will target mobile (vehicle tailpipe) sources, which account for more than three-quarters of California’s NOX emissions. These State-mandated control measures are expected to bring the SCAB into attainment of the State annual average standard. (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, pp. 32-33) The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.1 Air Quality Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.1-27 use and/or increase the development intensity of an individual property may result in increased stationary area source emissions and/or mobile source emissions when compared to the 2016 AQMP assumptions. If a development project does not exceed the growth projections in the applicable local general plan, then the project is considered to be consistent with the growth assumptions in the AQMP. (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, p. 60) Under existing conditions, approximately 49.6 acres of the Project Site is designated for “Light Industrial (IL)” land use and approximately 12.89 acres of the Project Site is designated for “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF)” by the City of San Bernardino’s General Plan Land Use Map. The Project includes a request to change the approximate 12.89-acre area from “PF” to “IL” and the land use designation of approximately 4.89 acres of the Project Site located west of Victoria Avenue from “IL” to “PF,” which, if approved, would result in a land use and development intensity that was not anticipated by the General Plan and, by extension, the growth models that were used in the 2016 AQMP. Specifically, implementation of the proposed Project would result in a net increase in areas designated for “IL” development, and the permitted building square footage for IL land uses in the Third Street District would increase from 1,080,288 s.f. to 1,252,350 s.f. Accordingly, implementation of the Project would exceed the assumptions in the AQMP based on the years of Project buildout phase, and therefore would conflict with Consistency Criterion No. 2. (Urban Crossroads, 2020a, p. 61) In summary, because the proposed Project does not satisfy Consistency Criterion No. 1 or Consistency Criterion No. 2, the Project is determined to be inconsistent with the 2016 AQMP. As such, the Project would conflict with and could result in the obstruction of the applicable AQMP and a significant impact would occur prior to mitigation. Threshold b: Would the Project result in a cumulatively considerable net increase of any criteria pollutant for which the project region is non-attainment under an applicable federal or state ambient air quality standard? The SCAB has a “non-attainment” designation for ozone (1- and 8-hour) and particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) under existing conditions. Refer to Subsection 4.1.1D for more information on existing air quality conditions in the SCAB. A. Construction Emissions Impact Analysis Peak Project construction emissions are summarized in Table 4.1-9, Peak Construction Emissions Summary. Detailed air model outputs are presented in Appendices 3.1 and 3.2 of Technical Appendix B1. As shown in Table 4.1-9, peak Project construction emissions of VOCs, CO, SOX, and particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) would not exceed the applicable SCAQMD regional thresholds. Accordingly, the Project’s construction activities would not emit substantial concentrations of these pollutants and would not contribute to an existing or projected air quality violation on a direct or cumulatively-considerable basis. Project construction impacts related to emissions of VOCs, CO, SOX, PM10 and PM2.5 would be less than significant and mitigation is not required. The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.1 Air Quality Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.1-39 MM 4.1-1 Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that a notation is included requiring the grading contractor to utilize CARB Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment in lieu of Tier 3 Compliant or Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment if Tier 4 equipment can be reasonably acquired by the Project contractor. If Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment is not feasible to use during grading activity due to lack of local availability of such equipment, the Project Applicant or grading contractor shall provide evidence to the City of San Bernardino showing that the grading contractor attempted to secure the use of Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment, but such equipment was not locally available (within a 50 mile radius). The notations shall require that all Tier 3 Compliant and Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment over 50 hp, if used, shall be fitted with the best available control technology (BACT) devices, if technically feasible and if the BACT devices can be reasonably acquired by the Project grading contractor, to minimize air pollutant emissions. These requirements also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective grading contractors. In order to demonstrate compliance, the grading contractor shall keep a copy of each unit’s certified tier specification and CARB or SCAQMD operating permit (if applicable) on the Development Site in a location available to the City or City designee for inspection upon request. The City shall review and approve the list of equipment over 50 hp, their CARB tier levels, and list of BACT devices installed on Tier 3 Compliant and Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment, prior to the mobilization of grading equipment to the site. MM 4.1-2 Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that notification is included requiring that all on-road heavy-duty diesel trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds with a 2010 model year engine or newer or shall be equipped with a particulate matter trap, as available. This requirement also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective construction contractors. The grading contractor shall keep a copy of records for all on-road heavy-duty diesel trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds to demonstrate compliance with this requirement, and the records shall be made available to the City or City’s designee for inspection upon request. MM 4.1-3 Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that notification is included requiring that all construction equipment shall comply with all applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) air quality regulations. Also, the notes shall require that all Project construction contractors must tune and maintain all construction equipment in accordance with the equipment manufacturer’s recommended maintenance schedule and specifications. These requirements also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective construction contractors. Maintenance records for all pieces of equipment shall be kept on-site for the duration of construction activities and shall be made available for periodic inspection by City of San Bernardino staff or their designee. MM 4.1-3A Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify a designated area of the construction site where electric or non-diesel vehicles, equipment, and The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.1 Air Quality Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.1-40 tools can be fueled or charged. The provision of temporary electric infrastructure for such purpose shall be approved by the utility provider, Southern California Edison (SCE). If SCE will not approve the installation of temporary power for this purpose, the establishment of a temporary electric charging area will not be required. If electric equipment will not be used on the construction site because the construction contractor(s) does not have such equipment in its fleet (as specified in Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3B), the establishment of a temporary electric charging area also will not be required. If electric-powered equipment is in the contractor(s) equipment fleet, and SCE approval is secured, the temporary charging location is required to be established upon issuance of grading permits and building permits. MM 4.1-3B: If electric or non-diesel off-road trucks and construction support equipment, including but not limited to hand tools, forklifts, aerial lifts, materials lifts, hoists, pressure washers, plate compactors, and air compressors are available in the construction contractor’s equipment fleet and can fulfill the Project’s construction requirements during the building construction, paving, and architectural coating phases of Project construction, such equipment shall be used during Project construction. This requirement shall be noted on plans submitted for building permit issuance. MM 4.1-3C: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify the locations where anti-idling signs will be located. Signs shall be placed on the construction site where medium and heavy-duty trucks and other heavy equipment will stage, identifying applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include: 1) instructions to shut off engines when equipment is not in use; and 2) instructions to restrict idling to no more than five (5) minutes. The following mitigation measures would reduce the Project’s operational-related NOX emissions and the contributions of this pollutant to the SCAB’s non-attainment status for ozone. MM 4.1-4 The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain legible, durable, weather-proof signs at truck access gates, loading docks, and truck parking areas that identify applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include instructions for drivers of diesel-fueled trucks to restrict idling to no more than five minutes. The Project developer or successor(s) in interest shall permit City of San Bernardino staff to conduct a site inspection to ensure that the signs are in place and maintained. MM 4.1-5 The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain signs and/or painting/striping at on-site driveways and drive aisles to clearly identify the on-site circulation pattern to minimize unnecessary on-site vehicular travel. The Project developer or successor(s) in interest shall permit City of San Bernardino staff to conduct a site inspection to ensure that the signs/painting/striping are in place and maintained. The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.2 Biological Resources Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.2-4 F. Nesting Birds The Development Site contains trees, shrubs, and ground cover that provide suitable habitat for nesting migratory birds. Impacts to nesting birds are prohibited under the California Fish and Game Code1. Birds anticipated to nest on the Development Site would be those that are common to disturbed areas and include species such as European starling (Sturnus vulgaris), house finch (Haemorhous mexicanus), killdeer (Charadrius vociferus), and mourning dove (Zenaida macroura). G. Wildlife Linkages/Corridors and Nursery Sites Habitat linkages are areas that provide a communication between two or more other habitat areas which are often larger or superior in quality to the linkage. Such linkage sites can be quite small or constricted but can be vital to the long-term health of connected habitats. Linkage values are often addressed in terms of “gene flow” between populations, with movement taking potentially many generations. (GLA, 2020, pp. 32-33) Corridors are similar to linkages but provide specific opportunities for individual animals to disperse or migrate between areas, generally extensive but otherwise partially or wholly separated regions. Adequate cover and tolerably low levels of disturbance are common requirements for corridors. Habitat in corridors may be quite different than that in the connected areas, but if used by the wildlife species of interest, the corridor will still function as desired. Wildlife nurseries are sites where wildlife concentrate for hatching and/or raising young, such as rookeries, spawning areas, and bat colonies. Nurseries can be important to both special-status species as well as commonly occurring species. (GLA, 2020, p. 33) While some local wildlife movement is expected to occur within the Development Site, the relatively small size and highly disturbed nature of the Development Site preclude it from providing migratory wildlife corridors and/or wildlife nursery sites. Furthermore, the Development Site does not connect to any habitat to the north, south, east, or west. The nearest areas that may facilitate wildlife movement in the local area are the City Creek and Santa Ana River, and the Development Site is separated from these features by existing roadways and development. (GLA, 2020, p. 33) H. Critical Habitat The Development Site occurs adjacent to lands located east of the site that are mapped as Critical Habitat by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) for San Bernardino kangaroo rat (Dipodomys merriami parvus), as shown on Exhibit 7, Critical Habitat Map, of the Project’s BTR (Technical Appendix C). Areas of USFWS’s original Critical Habitat mapping (effective May 23, 2002) occur adjacent to the eastern Development Site boundary; however, those offsite areas to the east have since been developed and no longer support Primary Constituent Elements of Critical Habitat. San Bernardino kangaroo rat has no reasonable potential to occur on 1 The MBTA makes it unlawful to take, possess, buy, sell, purchase, or barter any migratory bird listed in 50 C.F.R. Part 10, including feathers or other parts, nests, eggs, or products, except as allowed by implementing regulations (50 C.F.R.21). In addition, sections 3505, 3503.5, and 3800 of the California Department of Fish and Game Code prohibit the take, possession, or destruction of birds, their nests or eggs. The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.4 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.4-35 d) As part of shell building permit issuance, and subject to the approval of the Federal Aviation Administration for the installation of rooftop solar panels near an airport, the applicant shall be required to install a rooftop photovoltaic (PV) system providing a minimum of 24,000 watts (24 KW) of power per year. The remaining area of the building’s roof shall be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential, future construction of additional photovoltaic (PV) solar arrays taking into consideration limitations imposed by other rooftop equipment, roof warranties, building and fire code requirements, and other physical or legal limitations. The building shall be designed to accommodate an electrical system and other infrastructure sufficiently sized to accommodate the potential installation of additional PV arrays in the future. e) The building’s electrical room shall be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels that may be needed in the future to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site. Conduit should be installed from the electrical room to the tractor trailer staging area in the southwestern corner of the site for the purpose of accommodating the future installation of EV truck charging stations at such time this technology becomes commercially available and the building is being served by trucks with electric-powered engines. f) Use of light-colored roofing material. g) Use of solar or light-emitting diode (LED) fixtures for outdoor lighting. h) All heating, cooling, and lighting devices and appliances shall be Energy Star certified. i) All fixtures installed in restrooms and employee break areas shall be U.S. EPA Certified WaterSense or equivalent. MM 4.4-2 Prior to the issuance of a building permit for warehouse building space that contains refrigerated or freezer storage, an electrical hookup shall be provided at all loading dock doors that are designated for the loading/unloading of trailers holding refrigerated/frozen goods, for the purpose of plugging the refrigeration units installed on such trailers into the building’s electrical system. If refrigerated/freezer warehouse space is not proposed, electrical hookups at dock doors will not be required. 4.4.8 SIGNIFICANCE OF IMPACTS AFTER MITIGATION Threshold a.: Significant and Unavoidable Cumulatively-Considerable Impact. Implementation of applicable regulatory requirements, Mitigation Measures MM 4.1-1 through MM 4.1-9, as well as Mitigation Measures MM 4.4-1 and 4.4-2, would reduce the Project’s operational emissions of GHGs; however, these measures would not substantially reduce Project mobile source emissions (i.e., emissions from construction equipment, passenger cars, and trucks), which comprise more than 60 percent of the Project’s anticipated GHG emissions. Mobile source GHG emissions are regulated by State and federal fuel standards and tailpipe emissions standards, and are outside of the control of the City of San Bernardino, the Project Applicant, and future Project The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.5 Hydrology and Water Quality Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.5-2 4.5.1 EXISTING CONDITIONS A. Regional Hydrology The Project Site is located within the Santa Ana River watershed, which drains a 2,840 square-mile area and is the principal surface flow water body in the region. The Santa Ana River rises in Santa Ana Canyon in the southern San Bernardino Mountains and runs southwesterly across San Bernardino, Riverside, and Orange Counties, and discharges into the Pacific Ocean at the City of Huntington Beach. The Santa Ana River flows over 100 miles, and Tthe total length of the Santa Ana River and its major tributaries is approximately 700 miles. (SAWPA, 2019, p. 4-1) The location of the Project Site within the Santa Ana River watershed is depicted on Figure 4.5-1, Santa Ana River Watershed Map. The Project Site and vicinity are within the purview of the Santa Ana Regional Water Quality Control Board (RWQCB). The Santa Ana RWQCB’s Santa Ana River Basin Water Quality Control Plan is the governing water quality plan for the region, which sets forth goals and objectives for protecting the region’s water quality (RWQCB, 2019, p. 1.1). B. Site Hydrology Under existing conditions, runoff from the Project Site drains across the Project Site as surface flow from an east to west direction with negligible offsite runoff entering the site. With exception of flows redirected north by a concrete block wall and raised planter in the eastern portions of the Development Site, surface runoff from the Development Site travels overland in a southwesterly direction into existing curbs and gutters before entering the existing Victoria Avenue storm drain system via catch basins located at the intersection of Victoria Avenue and W Street. Within the eastern portions of the Development Site, the existing concrete block wall and raised planter direct flows northeasterly along the existing wall to existing storm drainage facilities within 3rd Street. (DEA, 2020a, p. 1) C. Flooding According to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) Nos. 06071C8701J and 06071C8702H, a majority of the Project Site is located within “Flood Zone X (unshaded),” which includes “[a]reas determined to be outside the 0.2% annual chance floodplain” (FEMA, 2016). The easternmost portions of the Project Site are mapped within “Flood Zone X (shaded),” which includes “[a]reas of 0.2% annual chance flood; areas of 1% annual chance with average depths of less than 1 foot or with drainage areas less than 1 square mile; and areas protected by levees from 1% annual chance of flood” (FEMA, 2008). Based on these designations, the eastern portions of the Project Site are subject to inundation during 500-year flood events and could be subject to up to one foot of inundation during 100-year storm events. D. Dam Inundation According to the City of San Bernardino General Plan, the Project Site is located within an area subject to inundation in the event of a failure at the Seven Oaks Dam (City of San Bernardino, 2005, Figure S-2). The Seven Oaks Dam is located in unincorporated San Bernardino County northeast of the City of Highland, approximately 6.8 miles east of the Project Site (Google Earth Pro, 2020). The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.6 Land Use and Planning Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.6-2 • North: Immediately north of the Project Site is 3rd Street, which is a fully improved 4-lane road with painted center median and curb, gutter, and sidewalk on both sides. The southern side of 3rd Street forms the dividing line between the City of San Bernardino and the City of Highland to the north. On the north side of 3rd Street is a mixture of business enterprises and undeveloped property, with a few residential structures located east of the 3rd Street/Victoria Avenue intersection. This area is in the planning stages for a mix of industrial uses under the proposed “Airport Gateway Specific Plan (AGSP),” which covers approximately 670 679 acres generally bounded by 6th Street and the City Creek BypassHighland Creek on the north, 3rd Street and the San Bernardino International Airport (SBIA) on the south, State Route 210 (SR-210) on the east, and Tippecanoe Avenue on the west. The Specific Plan area includes parcels in both the City of Highland (±485 acres) and the City of San Bernardino (±185 194 acres). In addition, a roadway improvement project is planned that will improve 5th Street from Victoria Avenue Church Avenue, 3rd Street from Church Avenue to just west of Alabama Street, and Palm Avenue from just south of 3rd Street to just north of 5th Street. • East: Industrial property located to the east of the Project Site is occupied by JB Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and the NTS San Bernardino Rocket and Fluids test laboratory, which is a test facility for aerospace propulsion development. Further to the east and southeast are heavy industry uses including an asphalt plant in the City of Redlands. • South: The SBIA abuts the Project Site’s southern border. The Airport serves cargo, business aviation, general aviation, and commercial airlines, as well as aviation-related development around the airport. The Santa Ana River and the City of Redlands are located further to the south. • West: Property abutting the Project Site to the west on the west side of Victoria Avenue is owned by the SBIAA, which is currently undeveloped and is being used for the temporary storage of truck trailers and cargo containers. Further to the west and southwest is the planned location of an approximately 101.5-acre Amazon Air Regional Hub facility, which when constructed will connect to the Airport’s Taxiway “E,” to support Amazon’s air cargo operations. The facility is approved by the SBIAA to contain an approximately 658,000 s.f. warehouse that will be between 50’ and 63’ in height with dock doors positioned on the northern and southern sides of the building. 4.6.2 REGULATORY SETTING The following is a brief description of the federal, State, and local environmental laws and related regulations related to land use and planning. A. State Plans , Policies, and Regulations 1. California Planning and Zoning Law The legal framework in which California cities and counties exercise local planning and land use functions is set forth in the California Planning and Zoning Law, §§ 65000 - 66499.58. Under State of California planning law, each city and county must adopt a comprehensive, long-term general plan. State law gives cities and counties wide latitude in how a jurisdiction may create a general plan, but there are fundamental requirements The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.6 Land Use and Planning Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.6-4 2. SCAG Connect SoCal Connect SoCal, is SCAG’s 2020-2045 Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy (RTP/SCS). Connect SoCal is supported by a combination of transportation and land use strategies that outline how the region can achieve California’s greenhouse gas emission reduction goals and federal Clean Air Act requirements. The plan also strives to achieve broader regional objectives, such as the preservation of natural lands, improvement of public health, increased roadway safety, support for the region’s vital goods movement industries, and more efficient use of resources. (SCAG, 2020a) Connect SoCal includes a Technical Appendix titled “Goods Movement” that is applicable to the Project because the Project entails a use that is closely associated with, and relies directly on the goods movement system (e.g., manufacturing, construction, retail trade, wholesale trade and transportation, and warehousing). In April 2018 SCAG published Industrial Warehousing in the SCAG Region. According to the document, the SCAG region is a vibrant hub for international and domestic trade because of its large transportation base and extensive multimodal transportation system. The SCAG region’s freight transportation system includes warehouses and distribution centers; the Ports of Los Angeles, Long Beach, and Hueneme; airports; rail intermodal terminals; rail lines, and local streets, state highways and interstates. Together the system enables the movement of goods from source to market, facilitating uninterrupted global commerce. The region is home to approximately 34,000 warehouses with 1.17 billion square feet of warehouse building space, and undeveloped land that could accommodate an additional 338 million square feet of new warehouse building space. These regions attract robust logistics activities, and are a major reason the region is a critical mode component in the global supply chain. (SCAG, 2018, p. ES-1) 3. SCAQMD Air Quality Management Plan An AQMP is a plan for the regional improvement of air quality. The SCAQMD 2016 AQMP is the applicable AQMP for the South Coast Air Basin and was approved by the SCAQMD Governing Board in March 2017 (SCAQMD, 2017a). The Project’s consistency with the 2016 AQMP was analyzed in detail in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, and as such is not further evaluated in this Subsection 4.68. As evaluated in EIR Subsection 4.1, the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to a conflict with the SCAQMD 2016 AQMP. 4. City of San Bernardino General Plan The City of San Bernardino General Plan, dated November 1, 2005, is a policy document that reflects the City’s vision for the future of the City of San Bernardino. The General Plan is organized into 13 separate elements that contain a series of policies to guide the City’s vision for future development. Each of the elements from the City of San Bernardino General Plan are summarized below: • Land Use Element: The Land Use Element of the General Plan functions as a guide to planners, the general public, and decision makers as to the ultimate pattern of development. It designates general site development standards and the distribution, location, and extent of land uses, such as housing, business, industry, open space, natural resources, recreation, and public/quasi-public uses. The Land Use Element also discusses the standards of residential density and non-residential intensity for the The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.6 Land Use and Planning Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.6-8 a. Cause a significant environmental impact due to a conflict with any land use plan, policy or regulation adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect. The above-listed threshold is derived directly from Section XI. of Appendix G to the CEQA Guidelines and addresses the typical, adverse effects related to land use and planning that could result from development projects. Refer to the Project’s Initial Study (Technical Appendix A) for a discussion of one potential impact associated with land use and planning (division of an established community) that was determined to have no potential to be impacted by the Project through the Project’s scoping process. 4.6.4 IMPACT ANALYSIS Threshold a: Would the Project cause a significant environmental impact due to a conflict with any land use plan, policy or regulation adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect? A. City of San Bernardino General Plan The Project includes an amendment to the City of San Bernardino General Plan to change the General Plan land use designation on the approximately 12.89 acres in the southern portions of the Development Site from “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF)” to “Industrial Light (IL).” In addition, GPA 20-02 would change the land use designation of approximately 4.89 acres of the Project Site located west of Victoria Avenue from “Industrial Light (IL)” to “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF).” Approval of GPA 20-02 would facilitate the reconfiguration of the Third Street District of the San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan (SBAC- SP), and also would allow for construction of light industrial uses on the 12.89-acre portion of the Development Site currently designated for PF uses. Approval of the proposed General Plan Amendment would eliminate any potential inconsistency between proposed land uses and the site’s existing land use designations. Impacts to the environment associated with the Project’s proposed General Plan Amendment are evaluated throughout this EIR, and where significant impacts are identified, mitigation measures are imposed to reduce impacts to the maximum feasible extent. There are no environmental impacts that would result as a specific consequence of the proposed changes to the site’s General Plan land use designation, beyond what is already evaluated and disclosed by this EIR. Based on a review of the Project’s application materials conducted by City of San Bernardino staff, the Project would not conflict with any specific objectives, policies, or actions that were adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect as contained in the General Plan’s Land Use Element; Housing Element; Economic Development Element; Community Design Element; Circulation Element; Public Facilities and Services Element; Parks, Recreation and Trails Element; Utilities Element; Safety Element; Historical and Archaeological Resources Element; Natural Resources and Conservation Element; Energy and Water Conservation Element; or Noise Element. Although the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to Project-related traffic noise, impacts associated with traffic-related noise are fully discussed and disclosed in EIR Subsection 4.7, Noise; thus, because impacts already are addressed in this EIR, no additional impacts due to a conflict with the City’s General Plan Noise Element are identified. Additionally, although the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to operational emissions of NOX and due to a conflict with the SCAQMD 2016 AQMP, Project impacts associated with air quality are fully The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.6 Land Use and Planning Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.6-9 discussed and disclosed in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality; thus, because air quality impacts already are addressed in this EIR, no additional impacts due to a conflict with General Plan policies related to air quality are identified. As such, impacts due to a conflict with any General Plan policies adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect would be less than significant. B. San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan (SBAC-SP) As previously indicated, an amendment to the SBAC-SP (SPA 20-01) is proposed in order to reconfigure the boundaries of the Third Street District and SBAC-SP to encompass the entire 52.97-acre Development Site. Specifically, proposed SPA 20-01 would add approximately 12.89 acres in the southern portion of the Development Site to the boundaries of the Third Street District portion of the SBAC-SP, and would remove approximately 4.97 acres located west of Victoria Avenue from the SBAC-SP boundaries. As a result, the reconfigured Third Street District would comprise approximately 57.52 acres (the 52.97-acre Development Site and 4.55 acres to the east). Due to the proposed boundary change and acreage adjustment for the Third Street District, SPA 20-01 proposes to increase the permitted building square footage in the Third Street District from 1,080,288 s.f. to 1,252,350 s.f., while maintaining the maximum FAR at 0.5. In addition, SPA 20-01 proposes to change the minimum setback for parking from Major Arterials (3rd Street) from 20 feet to 9 feet. The Project Applicant is proposing an enhanced landscape treatment along 3rd Street in part due to the proposed setback reduction to 9 feet. These revisions to development standards would not manifest into any physical environmental impacts not already discussed in the other Subsections of this EIR. With approval of SPA 20-01, the Project would be in full compliance with the land use designations and related requirements of the SBAC-SP. Accordingly, impacts would be less than significant. C. City of San Bernardino Municipal Code The Project includes a proposed Development Code/Zoning Amendment (DCA 20-03) to change the Zoning Map classification of 12.89 acres of the Project Site from “Public Facilities” to “Specific Plan Alliance of California – 3rd Street (SP-AC).” In addition, DCA 20-03 would change the zoning classification of approximately 4.89 acres of the Project Site located west of Victoria Avenue from “SP-AC” to “Public Facilities (PF).” Approval of DCA 20-03 would facilitate the reconfiguration of the Third Street District of the San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan (SBAC-SP), and also would allow for construction of light industrial uses on the 12.89-acre portion of the Development Site that is currently zoned for PF uses. Approval of the requested Development Code/Zoning Amendment would eliminate any potential inconsistency between the proposed Project and the site’s underlying zoning classifications. Impacts to the environment associated with the Project’s proposed DCA are evaluated throughout this EIR, and where significant impacts are identified, mitigation measures are imposed to reduce impacts to the maximum feasible extent. There are no components of the Project’s proposed DCA that would result in impacts not already evaluated and disclosed by this EIR. Furthermore, City of San Bernardino staff conducted a review of the Project’s application materials, and determined that the Project would be in full compliance with the requirements of Title 8 (Health and Safety) of the City’s Municipal Code, including requirements related to noise (Municipal Code Chapter 8.54, Noise Control) and storm water drainage (Municipal Code Chapter 8.80, Storm Water Drainage Systems). Copies of the City’s comment letters and the Project Applicant’s responses to City comments are available at the City of San Bernardino Planning Division, 201 North E Street, 3rd Floor, The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.6 Land Use and Planning Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.6-10 San Bernardino, CA 92401, during the City’s regular business hours, or can be requested in electronic form by contacting the City Planning Division. Impacts would be less than significant. D. SCAG Regional Transportation Plan and Sustainable Communities Strategy As shown in Table 4.6-1, SCAG’s RTP/SCS Goal Consistency Analysis, the Project would not conflict with the adopted goals of Connect SoCal. SCAG intended that Connect SoCal ensure that the southern California region attains the per capita vehicle miles targets for passenger vehicles identified by CARB, as required by Senate Bill 375. The Project would be consistent with Connect SoCal for integrating the transportation network and related strategies with an overall land use pattern that responds to projected growth, housing needs, changing demographics, and transportation demands by locating a proposed light industrial warehouse development in an area that is already developed with similar land uses; however as detailed in Subsection 4.4, Table 4.4-4, the estimated GHG emissions from Project operation (23,514.15 MTCO2e per year) would exceed the SCAQMD threshold (103,000 MTCO2e per year). Even with implementation of mitigation measures identified in EIR Subsection 4.4, GHG emissions would be in excess of SCAQMD thresholds due to the size of the Project; therefore, the Project would not be consistent with Connect SoCal’s Performance Measure regarding criteria pollutants and GHG emissions. However, because the Project’s significant and unavoidable impact due to GHG emissions are fully evaluated and disclosed in EIR Subsection 4.5, thereby precluding a potential conflict with the 2016 SCS/RTP. Therefore, no significant impact to land use and planning is identified due to a conflict with the SCAG 2016 RTP/SCS. The Project would not result in any other land use and planning conflicts with the 2016 SCS/RTP or Connect SoCal that were not already disclosed in EIR Subsection 4.4. Table 4.6-1 SCAG’s RTP/SCS Goal Consistency Analysis RTP/SCS Goals Goal Statement Project Consistency Discussion Connect SoCal 1 Encourage regional economic prosperity and global competitiveness. No conflict identified. This policy would be implemented by cities and the counties within the SCAG region as part of comprehensive local and regional planning efforts. It should be noted that the Project would improve the regional economy by creating a new warehouse facility. 2 Improve mobility, accessibility, reliability, and travel safety for people and goods. No conflict identified. EIR Subsection 4.8, Transportation, evaluates Project-related transportation impacts. The Project’s design includes intersection and road improvements on 3rd Street and on Victoria Avenue that the City will assure through conditions of approval placed on the Project. EIR Subsection 4.8, Transportation, also addresses measures to ensure pedestrian and bicycle safety during Project construction and operation. Additionally, the Project would improve the accessibility of goods to the surrounding area by serving as a warehouse facility in the local and regional supply chain system. 3 Enhance the preservation, security, and resilience of the regional transportation system. No conflict identified. This policy would be implemented by cities and the counties within the SCAG region as part The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.6 Land Use and Planning Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.6-11 Table 4.6-1 SCAG’s RTP/SCS Goal Consistency Analysis RTP/SCS Goals Goal Statement Project Consistency Discussion of the overall planning and maintenance of the regional transportation system. The Project would have no adverse effect on such planning or maintenance efforts. 4 Increase person and goods movement and travel choices within the transportation system. No conflict identified. The Project involves development of a warehouse facility within an existing industrial area, along designated truck routes, and in close proximity to the State highway system, which would avoid or shorten truck- trip lengths on other roadways. Sidewalks and bicycle lanes already exist along 3rd Street, and the Project design includes intersection and road improvements on Victoria Avenue which would benefit travelers, visitors, and pedestrians and bicyclists. As discussed in EIR Section 3.0, Project Description, a bus stop would be installed as part of the Project on the east side of Victoria Avenue, south of 3rd Street, in the location requested by Omnitrans to serve an Omnitrans tripper route. As such, multiple travel choices are accommodated by the Project’s design. 5 Reduce greenhouse gas emission and improve air quality. No conflict identified. Air quality is addressed in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, and mitigation measures are specified to reduce the Project’s air quality impacts to the maximum feasible extent. Additionally, and as discussed in EIR Subsection 4.5, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, the Project would foreseeably incorporate various measures related to building design, landscaping, and energy systems to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to the maximum feasible extent. 6 Support healthy and equitable communities. No conflict identified. This policy pertains to health and equitable communities, and these issues are addressed through goals and policies outlined in the Safety Element of the City’s General Plan. Relevant to the Project, the proposed building design would support the health of occupants and users by using non-toxic building materials and finishes per the California Building Code, and by using windows and design features to maximize natural light and ventilation. Additionally, and as concluded in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, implementation of the Project: 1) would not exceed applicable SCAQMD localized criteria pollution emissions thresholds during construction and operation; 2) would not expose sensitive receptors to toxic air contaminants (e.g., DPM) from construction or long-term operations that exceed the applicable SCAQMD carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risk thresholds; and 3) would not cause or contribute to the formation of a CO “hot spot.” The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.8 Transportation Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.8-6 as the basis for their Circulation Element. Refer to Subsections 3.2 and 3.3 of Technical Appendix K2 for a summary of the General Plan Circulation Elements for the City of San Bernardino and the City of Highland. 4.8.4 TRANSPORTATION IMPACT ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY The Project’s VMT analysis, as provided in Technical Appendix K1 and summarized in this Subsection, relies on the analysis methodologies described below. A. Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Evaluation Criteria and Methodology In August 2020, the City of San Bernardino adopted the City of San Bernardino Traffic Impact Analysis Guidelines, which describes specific “screening thresholds” that can be used to identify when a proposed land use project is anticipated to result in a less-than-significant impact without conducting a more detailed project level VMT analysis. Screening thresholds are described in the following three steps: (Urban Crossroads, 2020g, p. 2) • Transit Priority Area (TPA) Screening • Low VMT Area Screening • Project Type Screening Consistent with City Guidelines a land use project needs only to satisfy one of the above screening thresholds to result in a less-than-significant impact. For the purposes of this analysis, the initial VMT screening process has been conducted with using the San Bernardino County Transportation Authority (SBCTA) VMT Screening Tool, which uses screening criteria consistent with the screening thresholds recommended in the Technical Advisory and City Guidelines. (Urban Crossroads, 2020g, p. 2) Projects located within a TPA (i.e., within 0.5-mile of an existing “major transit stop” or an existing stop along a “high-quality transit corridor” may be presumed to have a less-than-significant impact absent substantial evidence to the contrary. The Project Site is not located within 0.5-mile of an existing major transit stop or along a high-quality transit corridor. Although local bus service is available in the Project area via Omnitrans Route 15, which runs along Central Avenue north of 5th Street, Church Avenue north of 5th Street, and 5th Street between Central Avenue and Church Avenue, the bus stops within 0.5 mile of the Project Site do not meet the definition of a “major transit stop” pursuant to Public Resources Code Section 212064.3 because there is no intersection of two or more major bus routes within 0.5 mile of the Project site. Additionally, the bus stops within 0.5 mile of the Project site do not meet the definition of a “high-quality transit corridor” pursuant to Public Resources Code Section 21155 because the bus routes do not meet the requirement for service intervals that are no longer than 15 minutes during peak commute hours. (Urban Crossroads, 2020g, p. 2) The Technical Advisory also states that, “residential and office projects located within a low VMT generating area may be presumed to have a less than significant impact absent substantial evidence to the contrary. In addition, other employment related and mixed use projects may qualify for the use of screening if the project can reasonably be expected to generate VMT per resident, per worker or per service population that is similar The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.8 Transportation Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.8-12 Threshold b: Would the Project conflict or be inconsistent with CEQA Guidelines section 15064.3, subdivision (b)? As previously discussed, SB 743, approved in 2013, was intended to change the way transportation impacts are determined according to CEQA. Updates to the State CEQA Guidelines that were approved in December 2018 included the addition of CEQA Guidelines Section 15064.3, of which Subdivision b establishes criteria for evaluating a project’s transportation impacts based on project type and using automobile VMT as the metric. As a component of OPR’s revisions to the CEQA Guidelines, lead agencies were required to adopt VMT thresholds of significance by July 1, 2020. The City of San Bernardino adopted its City of San Bernardino Traffic Impact Analysis Guidelines in August 2020, which is used in this analysis to determine the significance of Project-related VMT. Table 4.8-2, Project VMT Analysis, summarizes the Project’s VMT per service population under baseline (2020) and cumulative (2040) conditions. As shown in Table 4.8-2, the Project’s VMT per service population values would exceed the City’s adopted threshold by 33.3% for baseline (2020) conditions and 25.9% for cumulative (2040) conditions. Therefore, based on the City’s Guidelines, the Project would have a significant direct impact due to VMTs. Table 4.8-3, Cumulative VMT Analysis, summarizes the cumulative link-level boundary VMT per service population within the City of San Bernardino with and without the Project. As shown in Table 4.8-3, the cumulative link-level VMT per service population within the City of San Bernardino does not increase under the plus Project condition. Therefore, based on the City’s Guidelines, the Project’s effect on VMT is considered less than cumulatively considerable. Threshold c: Would the Project substantially increase hazards to a geometric design feature (e.g., sharp curves or dangerous intersections) or incompatible uses (e.g., farm equipment)? All physical improvements planned as part of the Project would be in conformance with applicable City of San Bernardino and/or City of Highland standards. The Development Site is surrounded by airport-related uses to the south, industrial and manufacturing facilities to the east and west, and existing and planned industrial development to the north, and as such the Project’s proposed warehouse building is a compatible use and the use type in and of itself would not increase transportation-related hazards in the local area. Pertaining to design features, the warehouse development would include two driveways at 3rd Street, two driveways at Victoria Avenue, and one driveway at W Street in the southwest corner of the Development Site. The driveway at the southwestern portion of the site connecting with W Street is designed as the primary truck entry and exit driveway. The two driveways connecting with Victoria Avenue would accommodate passenger vehicles, only. No safety hazards are anticipated at these driveways, as no trucks would be using the Victoria Avenue driveways and the main truck entrance and exit would occur at W Street, where very low levels of passenger car, pedestrian, and bicycle traffic is anticipated. Further, because the southwestern portion of the Development Site is proposed to contain expansive parking areas, and the Project has beenis designed such that trucks entering the site from W Street could utilize the parking aisles as a staging area in order to ensure thatas an ample on-site truck staging area, trucks will not queue on the public street. The driveways at 3rd Street would serve as secondary access points, provide for both left- and right-turn movements, and would The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 4.8 Transportation Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4.8-16 of a transportation demand management program to reduce employee-related vehicle trips. Additionally, the Project would accommodate a bus stop along the Development Site’s frontage with Victoria Avenue, which would help to reduce Project-related employee vehicle trips by providing an alternative to single-passenger vehicles. Class II bike lanes are already located along the Development Site’s frontage with 3rd Street and the proposed enhanced pavement markings for the City Creek Trail crossing at the intersection of 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue would be installed by the Project Applicant. This would assist in encouraging future employees of the Project to commute via bicycle instead of automobiles. Furthermore, the Project consists of an employment-generating land use. As noted in Appendix 7 to the City of San Bernardino General Plan, the City of San Bernardino supplies a relatively high number of housing units when compared to the amount of jobs provided in the City (City of San Bernardino, 2005a, Appendix 7, p. 11). Thus, by providing for local employment opportunities, the Project would assist the City in improving its jobs-housing balance, thereby resulting in reduced VMTs associated with employee trips, although the level of VMT reduction associated with the improvement in the local jobs-housing balance cannot be quantified. Mitigation measures are not available to reduce VMTs associated with Project-related truck traffic, as truck trip lengths would be dependent on the distance between the Development Site and the destination/origin of the truck trips, which is outside the control of the City of San Bernardino and the Project Applicant. There are no additional feasible mitigation measures that would be effective in reducing the Project’s VMTs. 4.8.12 SIGNIFICANCE OF IMPACTS AFTER MITIGATION Threshold b: Significant and Unavoidable Direct and Cumulatively-Considerable Impact. Mitigation measures available to reduce VMT include developing pedestrian network improvements, removing physical barriers to pedestrian circulation, and providing design features that encourage people to walk or bike instead of drive. As discussed in this Subsection and in EIR Section 3.0, Project Description, various design features are included in the Project to encourage pedestrian and bicycle activity (sidewalks, bike lanes and bicycle parking). Encouraging businesses to allow telecommuting and alternative work week hours and to use ridesharing programs also can reduce VMT, but the City of San Bernardino has no jurisdictional authority to mandate the businesses practices of private enterprises. There are no additional mitigation measures available to reduce the Project’s impacts due to VMTs. As such, Project impacts due to VMTs would be significant and unavoidable. Threshold c: Less-than-Significant Impact with Mitigation. Implementation of Mitigation Measure MM 4.8- 1 would ensure that appropriate measures are implemented during the Project’s construction phase to provide for an adequate level of safety for pedestrians and bicyclists during the construction of the proposed driveways along 3rd Street, and would reduce near-term impacts to below a level of significance. Implementation of Mitigation Measure MM 4.8-2 would ensure that appropriate signs and painting/striping are implemented at the Project’s driveways along 3rd Street warning truck drivers of the potential for pedestrian or bicycle traffic. Implementation of the required mitigation would ensure that potential conflicts between pedestrians/bicyclists and Project-related truck traffic are minimized during long-term operation of the Project, and would reduce Project impacts to below a level of significance. The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 5.0 Other CEQA Considerations Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 5-4 energy. Accordingly, the Project would not result in a significant, irreversible change to the environment related to energy use. 5.3 GROWTH-INDUCING IMPACTS OF THE PROJECT CEQA requires a discussion of the ways in which the proposed Project could be growth inducing. The CEQA Guidelines identify a project as growth inducing if it would foster economic or population growth or the construction of additional housing, either directly or indirectly, in the surrounding environment (CEQA Guidelines Section 15126.2(e)). New employees and new residential populations represent direct forms of growth. These direct forms of growth have a secondary effect of expanding the size of local markets and inducing additional economic activity in the area. A project could indirectly induce growth at the local level by increasing the demand for additional goods and services associated with an increase in population or employment and thus reducing or removing the barriers to growth. This typically occurs in suburban or rural environs where population growth results in increased demand for service and commodity markets responding to the new population of residents or employees. According to regional population projections included in SCAG’s Connect SoCal, the City of San Bernardino’s population is projected to grow by 14,200 residents between 2016 and 2045 (approximately 0.2% annual growth). Over this same time period, employment in the City is expected to add 24,300 new jobs (approximately 0.7% annual job growth) (SCAG, 2020b, Demographics and Growth Forecast Appendix, Table 14). Economic growth would likely take place as a result of the Project’s operation with high-cube fulfillment center and high-cube cold storage uses. The Project’s employees (short-term construction and long-term operational) would purchase goods and services in the region, but any secondary increase in employment associated with meeting these goods and services demands is expected to be accommodated by existing goods and service providers and, based on the amount of existing and planned future commercial and retail services available in areas near the Development Site, would be highly unlikely to result in any unanticipated, adverse physical impacts to the environment. In addition, and as noted in Appendix 7 to the City of San Bernardino General Plan, the City of San Bernardino supplies a relatively high number of housing units when compared to the number of jobs provided in the City (City of San Bernardino, 2005a, Appendix 7, p. 11). tWhile the Project would create approximately 1,120 jobs, due to the relatively high number of housing units compared to the number of jobs within the City, it is anticipated that a majority of which the Project-generated jobs would likely be filled by residents of the housing units either already built or planned for development within the City of San Bernardino and nearby cities and unincorporated areas. Accordingly, because it is anticipated that most of the Project’s future employees would already be living in the City of San Bernardino or the larger Inland Empire area, the Project’s introduction of employment opportunities on the Development Site would not induce substantial growth in the area. Under CEQA, growth inducement is not considered necessarily detrimental, beneficial, or of little significance to the environment. Typically, growth-inducing potential of a project would be considered significant if it fosters growth or a concentration of population in excess of what is assumed in applicable master plans, land use plans, or in projections made by regional planning agencies such as SCAG. Significant growth impacts also could occur if a project provides infrastructure or service capacity to accommodate growth beyond the The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 5.0 Other CEQA Considerations Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 5-18 5.4.8 HAZARDS AND HAZARDOUS MATERIALS Threshold a: Would the Project create a significant hazard to the public or the environment through the routine transport, use or disposal of hazardous materials? A Phase I Environmental Site Assessment (ESA), dated September 17, 2004, was prepared for the Development Site by EEI to evaluate the existing conditions of the Development Site with respect to hazardous materials. The report determined that the only potential existing sources of site contamination were associated with potential asbestos, lead based paints, and existing site utilities associated with buildings on the site that have since been demolished and removed from the site. There were no other identified Recognized Environmental Conditions (RECs); thus, impacts due to existing site contamination would be less than significant. An updated Phase I ESA was prepared for the Project and is included as Technical Appendix H to this EIR. The updated Phase I ESA confirmed the findings of the 2004 report, and further demonstrates that the Development Site does not contain any RECswill be prepared to verify this conclusion to support the EIR. Heavy equipment (e.g., dozers, excavators, tractors) would be operated on the subject property during the construction phases of the Project. This heavy equipment would likely be fueled and maintained by petroleum‐ based substances such as diesel fuel, gasoline, oil, and hydraulic fluid, which is considered hazardous if improperly stored or handled. In addition, materials such as paints, adhesives, solvents, and other substances typically used in building construction would be located on the Project Site during construction. Improper use, storage, or transportation of hazardous materials can result in accidental releases or spills, potentially posing health risks to workers, the public, and the environment. This is a standard risk on all construction sites, and there would be no greater risk for improper handling, transportation, or spills associated with the proposed Project than would occur on any other similar construction site. Construction contractors would be required to comply with all applicable federal, State, and local laws and regulations regarding the transport, use, storage, and potential accidental upset of hazardous construction‐related materials. With mandatory compliance with applicable hazardous materials regulations, the Project would not create a significant hazard to the public or the environment through routine transport, use, or disposal of hazardous materials during the construction phase. Impacts would be less than significant. Although unlikely, it is possible that hazardous materials could be used during the course of a future building occupant’s daily operations. Uses that might use hazardous materials would be subject to standard San Bernardino County Environmental Health Services (EHS) policies and permitting procedures required by the Hazardous Materials Division of the San Bernardino County Fire Department. State and federal Community- Right-to-Know laws allow the public access to information about the amounts and types of chemicals in use at local businesses. Regulations also are in place that require businesses to plan and prepare for possible chemical emergencies. Any business that occupies the proposed warehouse building and that handles hazardous materials (as defined in § 25500 of California Health and Safety Code, Division 20, Chapter 6.95) would require permits from the San Bernardino County EHS in order to register the business as a hazardous materials handler. Such businesses also are required to comply with California’s Hazardous Materials Release Response Plans and Inventory Law, which requires immediate reporting to the San Bernardino County Fire Department and the State Office of Emergency Services regarding any release or threatened release of a hazardous material, regardless of the amount handled by the business. In addition, any business handling at The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 5.0 Other CEQA Considerations Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 5-4 energy. Accordingly, the Project would not result in a significant, irreversible change to the environment related to energy use. 5.3 GROWTH-INDUCING IMPACTS OF THE PROJECT CEQA requires a discussion of the ways in which the proposed Project could be growth inducing. The CEQA Guidelines identify a project as growth inducing if it would foster economic or population growth or the construction of additional housing, either directly or indirectly, in the surrounding environment (CEQA Guidelines Section 15126.2(e)). New employees and new residential populations represent direct forms of growth. These direct forms of growth have a secondary effect of expanding the size of local markets and inducing additional economic activity in the area. A project could indirectly induce growth at the local level by increasing the demand for additional goods and services associated with an increase in population or employment and thus reducing or removing the barriers to growth. This typically occurs in suburban or rural environs where population growth results in increased demand for service and commodity markets responding to the new population of residents or employees. According to regional population projections included in SCAG’s Connect SoCal, the City of San Bernardino’s population is projected to grow by 14,200 residents between 2016 and 2045 (approximately 0.2% annual growth). Over this same time period, employment in the City is expected to add 24,300 new jobs (approximately 0.7% annual job growth) (SCAG, 2020b, Demographics and Growth Forecast Appendix, Table 14). Economic growth would likely take place as a result of the Project’s operation with high-cube fulfillment center and high-cube cold storage uses. The Project’s employees (short-term construction and long-term operational) would purchase goods and services in the region, but any secondary increase in employment associated with meeting these goods and services demands is expected to be accommodated by existing goods and service providers and, based on the amount of existing and planned future commercial and retail services available in areas near the Development Site, would be highly unlikely to result in any unanticipated, adverse physical impacts to the environment. In addition, and as noted in Appendix 7 to the City of San Bernardino General Plan, the City of San Bernardino supplies a relatively high number of housing units when compared to the number of jobs provided in the City (City of San Bernardino, 2005a, Appendix 7, p. 11). tWhile the Project would create approximately 1,120 jobs, due to the relatively high number of housing units compared to the number of jobs within the City, it is anticipated that a majority of which the Project-generated jobs would likely be filled by residents of the housing units either already built or planned for development within the City of San Bernardino and nearby cities and unincorporated areas. Accordingly, because it is anticipated that most of the Project’s future employees would already be living in the City of San Bernardino or the larger Inland Empire area, the Project’s introduction of employment opportunities on the Development Site would not induce substantial growth in the area. Under CEQA, growth inducement is not considered necessarily detrimental, beneficial, or of little significance to the environment. Typically, growth-inducing potential of a project would be considered significant if it fosters growth or a concentration of population in excess of what is assumed in applicable master plans, land use plans, or in projections made by regional planning agencies such as SCAG. Significant growth impacts also could occur if a project provides infrastructure or service capacity to accommodate growth beyond the The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 5.0 Other CEQA Considerations Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 5-18 5.4.8 HAZARDS AND HAZARDOUS MATERIALS Threshold a: Would the Project create a significant hazard to the public or the environment through the routine transport, use or disposal of hazardous materials? A Phase I Environmental Site Assessment (ESA), dated September 17, 2004, was prepared for the Development Site by EEI to evaluate the existing conditions of the Development Site with respect to hazardous materials. The report determined that the only potential existing sources of site contamination were associated with potential asbestos, lead based paints, and existing site utilities associated with buildings on the site that have since been demolished and removed from the site. There were no other identified Recognized Environmental Conditions (RECs); thus, impacts due to existing site contamination would be less than significant. An updated Phase I ESA was prepared for the Project and is included as Technical Appendix H to this EIR. The updated Phase I ESA confirmed the findings of the 2004 report, and further demonstrates that the Development Site does not contain any RECswill be prepared to verify this conclusion to support the EIR. Heavy equipment (e.g., dozers, excavators, tractors) would be operated on the subject property during the construction phases of the Project. This heavy equipment would likely be fueled and maintained by petroleum‐ based substances such as diesel fuel, gasoline, oil, and hydraulic fluid, which is considered hazardous if improperly stored or handled. In addition, materials such as paints, adhesives, solvents, and other substances typically used in building construction would be located on the Project Site during construction. Improper use, storage, or transportation of hazardous materials can result in accidental releases or spills, potentially posing health risks to workers, the public, and the environment. This is a standard risk on all construction sites, and there would be no greater risk for improper handling, transportation, or spills associated with the proposed Project than would occur on any other similar construction site. Construction contractors would be required to comply with all applicable federal, State, and local laws and regulations regarding the transport, use, storage, and potential accidental upset of hazardous construction‐related materials. With mandatory compliance with applicable hazardous materials regulations, the Project would not create a significant hazard to the public or the environment through routine transport, use, or disposal of hazardous materials during the construction phase. Impacts would be less than significant. Although unlikely, it is possible that hazardous materials could be used during the course of a future building occupant’s daily operations. Uses that might use hazardous materials would be subject to standard San Bernardino County Environmental Health Services (EHS) policies and permitting procedures required by the Hazardous Materials Division of the San Bernardino County Fire Department. State and federal Community- Right-to-Know laws allow the public access to information about the amounts and types of chemicals in use at local businesses. Regulations also are in place that require businesses to plan and prepare for possible chemical emergencies. Any business that occupies the proposed warehouse building and that handles hazardous materials (as defined in § 25500 of California Health and Safety Code, Division 20, Chapter 6.95) would require permits from the San Bernardino County EHS in order to register the business as a hazardous materials handler. Such businesses also are required to comply with California’s Hazardous Materials Release Response Plans and Inventory Law, which requires immediate reporting to the San Bernardino County Fire Department and the State Office of Emergency Services regarding any release or threatened release of a hazardous material, regardless of the amount handled by the business. In addition, any business handling at The Landing by San Manuel Draft Environmental Impact Report 6.0 Alternatives Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 6-8 C. Cultural Resources Under the NDA, there would be no new development on the Project Site. Thus, the NDA would avoid the Project’s less-than-significant impact to historical resources associated with the relocation or replacement of the existing water tower on site. The Project Site does not contain any known archaeological resources, and proposed grading throughout the Development Site would not involve disturbances to any native soils that may have the potential to contain previously-undiscovered archaeological resources. As such, impacts to known archaeological resources would be less than significant and similar under the Project and NDA. D. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Under the NDA, there would be no new development on the Project Site. As such, the NDA would not result in the emissions of any new GHGs. As such, implementation of the NDA would avoid the Project’s significant and unavoidable cumulatively-considerable impact due to GHG emissions. Both the Project and NDA would be subject to compliance with applicable plans, policies, or regulations adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of GHGs; however, because the NDA would not result in any new GHG emissions, the NDA would have reduced impacts compared to the proposed Project as the NDA would have no potential to generate GHGs that could interfere with the applicable regulatory requirements associated with the reduction of GHGs. E. Hydrology and Water Quality Under the NDA, there would be no change to the Development Site’s drainage patterns, and no new buildings or structures would be developed on site. As such, the NDA would avoid the Project’s less-than-significant impacts due to impeding or redirecting flood flows. The Development Site is not subject to inundation due to tsunamis or seiches; thus, neither the Project nor the NDA would result in the release of pollutants due to tsunami- or seiche-related inundation, and the level of impact would be similar. However, implementation of the NDA would reduce the Project’s less-than-significant impacts due to the release of pollutants associated during flood events because no new buildings or structures would be developed on site under the NDA. While impacts due to dam inundation would be less than significant under the proposed Project due to the low likelihood of dam failure, because there would be no new development on site under the NDA, impacts associated with inundation related to the failure of the Seven Oaks Dam would be reduced in comparison to the proposed Project. F. Land Use and Planning Implementation of the NDA would not be consistent with the Project Site’s existing General Plan, Development Code/Zoning Code, or San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan land use designations and classifications. However, the NDA would not conflict with any land use plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect. Impacts would be less than significant under both the Project and the NDA, and the level of impact would be similar. G. Noise Under the NDA, there would be no new development on site and the Project Site would remain vacant. As such, implementation of the NDA would avoid the Project’s less-than-significant noise impacts due to The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 ATTACHMENT 2 (Related to Response A-5) CalEEMod Outputs Calculating Potential Hauling Emissions 1.1 Land Usage Land Uses Size Metric Lot Acreage Floor Surface Area Population Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 384.55 1000sqft 8.83 384,548.00 0 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 769.10 1000sqft 17.66 769,096.00 0 Other Asphalt Surfaces 791.77 1000sqft 18.18 791,767.00 0 Other Non-Asphalt Surfaces 47.22 1000sqft 1.08 47,220.00 0 Parking Lot 787.00 Space 7.22 314,800.00 0 1.2 Other Project Characteristics Urbanization Climate Zone Urban 10 Wind Speed (m/s)Precipitation Freq (Days)2.2 32 1.3 User Entered Comments & Non-Default Data 1.0 Project Characteristics Utility Company Southern California Edison 2022Operational Year CO2 Intensity (lb/MWhr) 702.44 0.029CH4 Intensity (lb/MWhr) 0.006N2O Intensity (lb/MWhr) The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 1 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer Project Characteristics - Land Use - Total Project Area is 52.97 acres. Construction Phase - Construction schedule based on information provided by the Project Applicant. Off-road Equipment - Hours are based on an 8-hour workday. Off-road Equipment - Construction equipment based on information provided by the Project Applicant. Water Trucks modeled as "Off-Highway Trucks". Trips and VMT - Tips will be to SBIA, approximately 0.5 miles south of the Project site. Grading - It is anticipated that 10 acres will be disturbed per day during Site Preparation/Graading activities. Architectural Coating - Rule 1113 Vehicle Trips - Construction Run Only. Vehicle Emission Factors - EMFAC2017 Vehicle Emission Factors - EMFAC2017 Vehicle Emission Factors - EMFAC2017 Road Dust - Consumer Products - Area Coating - Energy Use - Construction Run Only. Water And Wastewater - Construction Run Only. Solid Waste - Construction Run Only. Construction Off-road Equipment Mitigation - All equipment operating at >150 HP during Site Preparation/Grading activities are required to be equipped with Tier 3 engines. Table Name Column Name Default Value New Value tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 2.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 2.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 1.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 2.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 2.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 8.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 2 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstructionPhase NumDays 110.00 60.00 tblEnergyUse LightingElect 0.35 0.00 tblEnergyUse LightingElect 2.37 0.00 tblEnergyUse LightingElect 1.17 0.00 tblEnergyUse NT24E 36.52 0.00 tblEnergyUse NT24E 0.82 0.00 tblEnergyUse NT24NG 48.51 0.00 tblEnergyUse NT24NG 0.03 0.00 tblEnergyUse T24E 1.06 0.00 tblEnergyUse T24E 0.37 0.00 tblEnergyUse T24NG 3.25 0.00 tblEnergyUse T24NG 2.00 0.00 tblGrading MaterialImported 0.00 8,000.00 tblLandUse LotAcreage 7.08 7.22 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 2.00 0.00 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 1.00 0.00 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 1.00 0.00 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 2.00 0.00 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 2.00 0.00 tblSolidWaste SolidWasteGenerationRate 361.48 0.00 tblSolidWaste SolidWasteGenerationRate 722.95 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 3 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblTripsAndVMT HaulingTripLength 20.00 0.50 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.21 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.14 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.10 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.29 5.95 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.57 0.67 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.82 3.7880e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 6,933.41 1,124.17 tblVehicleEF HHD 1,475.79 1,484.27 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.54 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 26.50 6.08 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.50 3.42 tblVehicleEF HHD 20.21 2.10 tblVehicleEF HHD 9.7780e-003 3.6280e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.04 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.1000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 9.3550e-003 3.4710e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.8810e-003 8.8310e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 4.7000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 5.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.1910e-003 1.6000e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.84 0.43 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.2000e-005 3.0000e-006 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 4 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF HHD 0.08 0.08 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.1700e-004 7.9100e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.05 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.07 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.6000e-005 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 5.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.1910e-003 1.6000e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.97 0.50 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.2000e-005 3.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.13 0.23 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.1700e-004 7.9100e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.14 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.14 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.09 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.39 5.82 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.57 0.67 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.70 3.5770e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 7,345.18 1,121.04 tblVehicleEF HHD 1,475.79 1,484.27 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.54 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 27.35 5.90 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.36 3.23 tblVehicleEF HHD 20.20 2.10 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.2750e-003 3.1750e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 0.06 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 5 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.04 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.1000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 7.9170e-003 3.0380e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.8810e-003 8.8310e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 4.7000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.6800e-004 1.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.5970e-003 1.8200e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.79 0.45 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.1700e-004 7.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.08 0.08 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.2100e-004 8.1200e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.05 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.07 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.4000e-005 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.6800e-004 1.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.5970e-003 1.8200e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.91 0.52 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.1700e-004 7.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.13 0.23 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.2100e-004 8.1200e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.31 0.02 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 3.3680e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 6 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF HHD 0.10 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 4.53 5.98 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.57 0.33 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.79 3.7590e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 6,364.76 1,097.48 tblVehicleEF HHD 1,475.79 1,393.36 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.54 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 25.32 6.13 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.46 3.28 tblVehicleEF HHD 20.20 2.10 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 3.8650e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.1000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 3.6980e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.8810e-003 8.6000e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 4.7000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 5.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.4760e-003 1.8700e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.91 0.40 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.2000e-005 3.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.08 0.07 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.3300e-004 8.2900e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.05 1.0000e-006 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 7 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 5.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.4760e-003 1.8700e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.05 0.46 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.2000e-005 3.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.13 0.08 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.3300e-004 8.2900e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF LDA 4.2030e-003 2.5110e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 5.6230e-003 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.57 0.67 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.19 2.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 251.29 265.15 tblVehicleEF LDA 57.15 54.12 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.04 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.18 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.6780e-003 1.5210e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.2790e-003 1.8570e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.5460e-003 1.4000e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.0960e-003 1.7080e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.10 0.10 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.01 9.5370e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.21 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 8 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.22 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.5170e-003 2.6060e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 5.9200e-004 5.3200e-004 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.10 0.10 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.02 0.01 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.21 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.24 tblVehicleEF LDA 4.7900e-003 2.8350e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 4.6890e-003 0.04 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.71 0.81 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.99 1.78 tblVehicleEF LDA 274.94 287.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 57.15 53.48 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.07 0.17 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.6780e-003 1.5210e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.2790e-003 1.8570e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.5460e-003 1.4000e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.0960e-003 1.7080e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.09 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.12 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.07 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.21 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.06 0.19 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 9 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDA 2.7550e-003 2.8220e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 5.8800e-004 5.2600e-004 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.09 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.12 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.07 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.21 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.07 0.21 tblVehicleEF LDA 4.0860e-003 2.4590e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 5.5870e-003 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.54 0.64 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.18 2.12 tblVehicleEF LDA 245.70 261.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 57.15 54.13 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.04 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.18 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.6780e-003 1.5210e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.2790e-003 1.8570e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.5460e-003 1.4000e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.0960e-003 1.7080e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.01 9.3400e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.04 0.24 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.22 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.4600e-003 2.5660e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 10 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDA 5.9100e-004 5.3200e-004 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.04 0.24 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.24 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.01 7.5760e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT1 1.54 1.52 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.61 2.39 tblVehicleEF LDT1 313.68 314.63 tblVehicleEF LDT1 70.93 65.70 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.16 0.13 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.22 0.30 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.7050e-003 2.3430e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.6920e-003 2.8390e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.4910e-003 2.1560e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.3960e-003 2.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.18 0.19 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.33 0.26 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.13 0.14 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.86 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.26 0.42 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.1570e-003 3.0930e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 7.7300e-004 6.4600e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 11 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.18 0.19 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.33 0.26 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.13 0.14 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.05 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.86 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.28 0.47 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.02 8.4640e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.02 0.07 tblVehicleEF LDT1 1.85 1.81 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.97 2.00 tblVehicleEF LDT1 341.75 337.48 tblVehicleEF LDT1 70.93 64.87 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.14 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.28 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.7050e-003 2.3430e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.6920e-003 2.8390e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.4910e-003 2.1560e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.3960e-003 2.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.37 0.36 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.41 0.31 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.27 0.26 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.04 0.04 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.85 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.21 0.36 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.4420e-003 3.3180e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 7.6200e-004 6.3800e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.37 0.36 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 12 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.41 0.31 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.27 0.26 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.06 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.85 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.23 0.40 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.01 7.4310e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT1 1.47 1.47 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.55 2.39 tblVehicleEF LDT1 307.06 310.38 tblVehicleEF LDT1 70.93 65.71 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.15 0.12 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.21 0.29 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.7050e-003 2.3430e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.6920e-003 2.8390e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.4910e-003 2.1560e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.3960e-003 2.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.19 0.19 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.39 0.30 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.12 0.13 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.23 1.00 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.25 0.43 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.0890e-003 3.0520e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 7.7200e-004 6.4600e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.19 0.19 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.39 0.30 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 13 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.12 0.13 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.05 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.23 1.00 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.28 0.47 tblVehicleEF LDT2 6.3270e-003 4.4090e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.1990e-003 0.07 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.80 1.00 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.67 2.71 tblVehicleEF LDT2 351.15 335.59 tblVehicleEF LDT2 79.39 70.25 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.09 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.14 0.30 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.7270e-003 1.6010e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.4170e-003 1.9240e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.5880e-003 1.4740e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.2220e-003 1.7690e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.06 0.10 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.14 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.05 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.07 0.45 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.11 0.33 tblVehicleEF LDT2 3.5180e-003 3.2990e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.2200e-004 6.9100e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.06 0.10 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.14 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.05 0.08 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 14 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.07 0.45 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.12 0.36 tblVehicleEF LDT2 7.1840e-003 4.9540e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 6.8290e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.97 1.20 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.38 2.28 tblVehicleEF LDT2 383.36 357.71 tblVehicleEF LDT2 79.39 69.39 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.08 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.28 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.7270e-003 1.6010e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.4170e-003 1.9240e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.5880e-003 1.4740e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.2220e-003 1.7690e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.18 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.15 0.16 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.11 0.15 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.07 0.45 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.09 0.29 tblVehicleEF LDT2 3.8420e-003 3.5160e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.1700e-004 6.8200e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.18 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.15 0.16 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.11 0.15 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.03 0.03 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 15 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.07 0.45 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.10 0.31 tblVehicleEF LDT2 6.1560e-003 4.3220e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.1410e-003 0.07 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.75 0.96 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.64 2.72 tblVehicleEF LDT2 343.55 331.47 tblVehicleEF LDT2 79.39 70.27 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.08 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.14 0.30 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.7270e-003 1.6010e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.4170e-003 1.9240e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.5880e-003 1.4740e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.2220e-003 1.7690e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.06 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.14 0.16 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.05 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.08 0.52 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.11 0.33 tblVehicleEF LDT2 3.4410e-003 3.2580e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.2200e-004 6.9100e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.06 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.14 0.16 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.05 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.08 0.52 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 16 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.12 0.37 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.2170e-003 5.0850e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 6.1020e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.14 0.18 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.07 0.75 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.60 1.03 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.23 9.25 tblVehicleEF LHD1 609.20 652.45 tblVehicleEF LHD1 30.40 11.21 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.09 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.12 1.25 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.99 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.6500e-004 8.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8770e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8260e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.5800e-004 2.6000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2400e-004 8.5100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.5390e-003 2.4690e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.3750e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 8.8100e-004 2.3900e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.7070e-003 3.0390e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.11 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.8240e-003 1.5810e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.08 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.35 0.55 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 17 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.27 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2000e-005 9.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.9760e-003 6.3570e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.5300e-004 1.1100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.7070e-003 3.0390e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.11 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.8240e-003 1.5810e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.10 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.35 0.55 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.29 0.09 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.2170e-003 5.0990e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 6.2280e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.14 0.18 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.09 0.76 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.43 0.98 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.23 9.25 tblVehicleEF LHD1 609.20 652.47 tblVehicleEF LHD1 30.40 11.12 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.09 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.98 1.17 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.94 0.31 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.6500e-004 8.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8770e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8260e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.5800e-004 2.6000e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 18 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2400e-004 8.5100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.5390e-003 2.4690e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.3750e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 8.8100e-004 2.3900e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 7.3080e-003 5.4780e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.13 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 4.1220e-003 3.0450e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.09 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.36 0.56 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.25 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2000e-005 9.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.9770e-003 6.3570e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.5000e-004 1.1000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 7.3080e-003 5.4780e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.13 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF LHD1 4.1220e-003 3.0450e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.11 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.36 0.56 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.28 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.2170e-003 5.0870e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 6.1100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.14 0.18 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.07 0.75 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.55 1.02 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 19 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.23 9.25 tblVehicleEF LHD1 609.20 652.45 tblVehicleEF LHD1 30.40 11.20 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.09 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.08 1.23 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.97 0.31 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.6500e-004 8.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8770e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8260e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.5800e-004 2.6000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2400e-004 8.5100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.5390e-003 2.4690e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.3750e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 8.8100e-004 2.3900e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 4.0430e-003 3.1520e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.13 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.7940e-003 1.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.08 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.38 0.60 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.26 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2000e-005 9.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.9760e-003 6.3570e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.5200e-004 1.1100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 4.0430e-003 3.1520e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.13 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.03 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 20 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.7940e-003 1.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.10 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.38 0.60 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.29 0.09 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.5950e-003 3.6950e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.6110e-003 4.1040e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 8.1370e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.15 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.50 0.50 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.20 0.67 tblVehicleEF LHD2 14.27 14.14 tblVehicleEF LHD2 608.52 665.25 tblVehicleEF LHD2 24.46 8.76 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.49 1.36 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.53 0.22 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2830e-003 1.3100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.0000e-004 1.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2280e-003 1.2540e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6860e-003 2.6560e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.6800e-004 1.2600e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3070e-003 1.7040e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.02 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 21 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LHD2 7.0300e-004 9.2000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.09 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3900e-004 1.3500e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 5.9200e-003 6.4300e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6700e-004 8.7000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3070e-003 1.7040e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 7.0300e-004 9.2000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.07 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.09 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.5950e-003 3.7050e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.6760e-003 4.1460e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 7.7630e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.15 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.50 0.50 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.13 0.64 tblVehicleEF LHD2 14.27 14.14 tblVehicleEF LHD2 608.52 665.25 tblVehicleEF LHD2 24.46 8.70 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.40 1.28 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.50 0.21 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2830e-003 1.3100e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 22 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.0000e-004 1.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2280e-003 1.2540e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6860e-003 2.6560e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.6800e-004 1.2600e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.5220e-003 3.0730e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.5220e-003 1.7630e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.09 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.10 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3900e-004 1.3500e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 5.9200e-003 6.4300e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6500e-004 8.6000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.5220e-003 3.0730e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.5220e-003 1.7630e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.07 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.09 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.5950e-003 3.6960e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.6180e-003 4.1080e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 8.0640e-003 0.01 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 23 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.15 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.50 0.50 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.19 0.67 tblVehicleEF LHD2 14.27 14.14 tblVehicleEF LHD2 608.52 665.25 tblVehicleEF LHD2 24.46 8.75 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.46 1.33 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.52 0.22 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2830e-003 1.3100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.0000e-004 1.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2280e-003 1.2540e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6860e-003 2.6560e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.6800e-004 1.2600e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3460e-003 1.7140e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 6.8700e-004 9.2200e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.10 0.34 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3900e-004 1.3500e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 5.9200e-003 6.4300e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6600e-004 8.7000e-005 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 24 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3460e-003 1.7140e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 6.8700e-004 9.2200e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.07 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.10 0.34 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.06 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.43 0.34 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.16 0.24 tblVehicleEF MCY 20.55 19.26 tblVehicleEF MCY 9.93 8.60 tblVehicleEF MCY 167.73 212.03 tblVehicleEF MCY 46.45 60.73 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.16 1.13 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.31 0.26 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.8610e-003 1.9650e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.6730e-003 2.9600e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.7420e-003 1.8380e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.4650e-003 2.7870e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.45 1.42 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.84 0.80 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.80 0.78 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.23 2.33 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.49 1.91 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.16 1.84 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.0770e-003 2.0980e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 6.9000e-004 6.0100e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 25 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MCY 1.45 1.42 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.84 0.80 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.80 0.78 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.74 2.87 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.49 1.91 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.35 2.01 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.42 0.34 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.14 0.21 tblVehicleEF MCY 20.68 19.28 tblVehicleEF MCY 9.05 7.90 tblVehicleEF MCY 167.73 211.90 tblVehicleEF MCY 46.45 58.88 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.99 0.97 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.29 0.25 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.8610e-003 1.9650e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.6730e-003 2.9600e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.7420e-003 1.8380e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.4650e-003 2.7870e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.14 2.77 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.27 1.11 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.13 1.77 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.17 2.28 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.49 1.88 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.86 1.62 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.0770e-003 2.0970e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 6.6700e-004 5.8300e-004 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.14 2.77 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 26 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MCY 1.27 1.11 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.13 1.77 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.67 2.81 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.49 1.88 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.02 1.76 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.42 0.34 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.15 0.24 tblVehicleEF MCY 19.63 18.76 tblVehicleEF MCY 9.55 8.44 tblVehicleEF MCY 167.73 211.17 tblVehicleEF MCY 46.45 60.38 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.12 1.09 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.31 0.26 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.8610e-003 1.9650e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.6730e-003 2.9600e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.7420e-003 1.8380e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.4650e-003 2.7870e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.71 1.57 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.13 1.06 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.72 0.74 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.19 2.31 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.56 2.18 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.08 1.81 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.0610e-003 2.0900e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 6.8200e-004 5.9800e-004 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.71 1.57 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.13 1.06 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 27 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MCY 0.72 0.74 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.69 2.84 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.56 2.18 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.27 1.98 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.01 5.5200e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.02 0.09 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.35 1.14 tblVehicleEF MDV 3.25 3.25 tblVehicleEF MDV 483.94 415.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 107.92 87.32 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.17 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.32 0.38 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.8260e-003 1.6850e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.5170e-003 2.0310e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.6830e-003 1.5540e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.3150e-003 1.8680e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.10 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.20 0.17 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.08 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.11 0.50 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.25 0.44 tblVehicleEF MDV 4.8500e-003 4.0780e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.1370e-003 8.5900e-004 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.10 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.20 0.17 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.08 0.10 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 28 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MDV 0.05 0.03 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.11 0.50 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.28 0.48 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.01 6.2110e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.64 1.35 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.69 2.72 tblVehicleEF MDV 526.85 438.45 tblVehicleEF MDV 107.92 86.27 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.16 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.30 0.35 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.8260e-003 1.6850e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.5170e-003 2.0310e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.6830e-003 1.5540e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.3150e-003 1.8680e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.20 0.21 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.23 0.19 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.17 0.19 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.04 0.03 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.11 0.49 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.21 0.38 tblVehicleEF MDV 5.2830e-003 4.3080e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.1260e-003 8.4800e-004 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.20 0.21 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.23 0.19 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.17 0.19 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.05 0.04 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 29 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MDV 0.11 0.49 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.23 0.41 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.01 5.4050e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.02 0.09 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.28 1.09 tblVehicleEF MDV 3.20 3.26 tblVehicleEF MDV 473.93 410.75 tblVehicleEF MDV 107.92 87.35 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.16 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.32 0.38 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.8260e-003 1.6850e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.5170e-003 2.0310e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.6830e-003 1.5540e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.3150e-003 1.8680e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.10 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.22 0.18 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.08 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.13 0.57 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.25 0.44 tblVehicleEF MDV 4.7490e-003 4.0360e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.1360e-003 8.5900e-004 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.10 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.22 0.18 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.08 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.04 0.03 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.13 0.57 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 30 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MDV 0.27 0.48 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 3.6580e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.07 0.35 tblVehicleEF MH 6.43 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1,045.05 970.21 tblVehicleEF MH 59.49 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.54 4.24 tblVehicleEF MH 0.91 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.1740e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.2230e-003 4.0000e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.0790e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.47 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.09 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.51 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.10 0.08 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.37 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 9.1720e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 7.0700e-004 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.47 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.09 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.51 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.14 0.09 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 31 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.40 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 3.6580e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.19 0.35 tblVehicleEF MH 5.84 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1,045.05 970.21 tblVehicleEF MH 59.49 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.41 4.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.86 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.1740e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.2230e-003 4.0000e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.0790e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 2.91 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.21 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.08 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.34 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 9.1720e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 6.9700e-004 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 2.91 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.21 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 32 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MH 0.15 0.09 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.38 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 3.6580e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.08 0.35 tblVehicleEF MH 6.36 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1,045.05 970.21 tblVehicleEF MH 59.49 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.51 4.17 tblVehicleEF MH 0.89 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.1740e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.2230e-003 4.0000e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.0790e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.75 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.53 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.10 0.08 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.37 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 9.1720e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 7.0600e-004 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.75 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 33 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MH 0.53 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.15 0.09 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.40 0.00 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 2.5070e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.5160e-003 3.3210e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 6.4670e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.32 0.31 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.27 0.32 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.32 0.74 tblVehicleEF MHD 156.91 68.92 tblVehicleEF MHD 1,101.52 974.57 tblVehicleEF MHD 52.43 6.35 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.60 0.52 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.99 1.61 tblVehicleEF MHD 11.88 1.50 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.8600e-004 1.2310e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.0030e-003 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.6400e-004 7.5000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.6900e-004 1.1780e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.7830e-003 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.0300e-004 6.9000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.2800e-003 4.5300e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.01 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.5100e-004 2.4000e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.06 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 34 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.32 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.5080e-003 6.5300e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.01 9.2620e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.1700e-004 6.3000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.2800e-003 4.5300e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.01 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.5100e-004 2.4000e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.07 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.35 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 2.3860e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.5800e-003 3.3450e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 6.2100e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.24 0.26 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.28 0.33 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.97 0.70 tblVehicleEF MHD 166.20 69.59 tblVehicleEF MHD 1,101.52 974.58 tblVehicleEF MHD 52.43 6.28 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.62 0.52 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.92 1.52 tblVehicleEF MHD 11.85 1.49 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.2500e-004 1.0410e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.0030e-003 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.6400e-004 7.5000e-005 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 35 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MHD 3.1100e-004 9.9600e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.7830e-003 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.0300e-004 6.9000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 2.5300e-003 8.2800e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.5010e-003 4.7800e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.30 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.5950e-003 6.5900e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.01 9.2620e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.1100e-004 6.2000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 2.5300e-003 8.2800e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.5010e-003 4.7800e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.07 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.33 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 2.6830e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.5220e-003 3.3210e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 6.4200e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.45 0.37 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.27 0.32 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.23 0.74 tblVehicleEF MHD 144.06 68.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 36 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MHD 1,101.52 974.57 tblVehicleEF MHD 52.43 6.34 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.57 0.52 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.97 1.59 tblVehicleEF MHD 11.87 1.50 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.7000e-004 1.4940e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.0030e-003 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.6400e-004 7.5000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.4900e-004 1.4300e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.7830e-003 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.0300e-004 6.9000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.3890e-003 4.7100e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.4000e-004 2.4400e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.09 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.32 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.3860e-003 6.4400e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.01 9.2620e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.1600e-004 6.3000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.3890e-003 4.7100e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.4000e-004 2.4400e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.07 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.09 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 37 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF MHD 0.35 0.04 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 8.8190e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.9110e-003 6.5960e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.26 0.52 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.63 0.77 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.27 2.45 tblVehicleEF OBUS 70.35 76.06 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1,121.50 1,406.90 tblVehicleEF OBUS 70.70 20.49 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.28 0.34 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.97 1.24 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1.93 0.68 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.4000e-005 5.8900e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.6440e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.2900e-004 2.1800e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.1000e-005 5.6400e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.4220e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.5400e-004 2.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.1800e-003 2.6020e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.3100e-004 1.1160e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.29 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.38 0.12 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.8400e-004 7.2500e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 38 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.1700e-004 2.0300e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.1800e-003 2.6020e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.3100e-004 1.1160e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.06 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.29 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.42 0.13 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 8.8750e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 6.7350e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.26 0.51 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.65 0.79 tblVehicleEF OBUS 5.74 2.28 tblVehicleEF OBUS 73.50 75.90 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1,121.50 1,406.93 tblVehicleEF OBUS 70.70 20.20 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.29 0.34 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.90 1.16 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1.88 0.67 tblVehicleEF OBUS 5.4000e-005 5.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.6440e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.2900e-004 2.1800e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 5.1000e-005 4.7900e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.4220e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.5400e-004 2.0100e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 39 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.2350e-003 4.6860e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.1330e-003 2.2090e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.29 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.36 0.11 tblVehicleEF OBUS 7.1400e-004 7.2400e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.0800e-004 2.0000e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.2350e-003 4.6860e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.1330e-003 2.2090e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.06 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.29 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.40 0.12 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 8.7740e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.9380e-003 6.6000e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.28 0.53 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.63 0.77 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.22 2.45 tblVehicleEF OBUS 66.00 76.30 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1,121.50 1,406.90 tblVehicleEF OBUS 70.70 20.50 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.27 0.35 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 40 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.96 1.22 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1.91 0.68 tblVehicleEF OBUS 7.7000e-005 7.1200e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.6440e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.2900e-004 2.1800e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 7.4000e-005 6.8100e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.4220e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.5400e-004 2.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.3200e-003 2.7390e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.4100e-004 1.1650e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.30 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.38 0.12 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.4200e-004 7.2700e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.1600e-004 2.0300e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.3200e-003 2.7390e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.4100e-004 1.1650e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.06 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.30 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.42 0.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.84 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 8.5840e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 41 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.07 6.1570e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.71 2.50 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.65 0.78 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.33 0.82 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,258.13 345.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,136.31 1,112.17 tblVehicleEF SBUS 37.11 4.79 tblVehicleEF SBUS 11.70 3.29 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.77 5.20 tblVehicleEF SBUS 15.02 0.91 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 4.3580e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.1700e-004 4.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 4.1690e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.7560e-003 2.7010e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.7500e-004 3.6000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.9260e-003 1.2420e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 9.5120e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.68 0.28 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1.3050e-003 5.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF SBUS 9.3510e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.27 0.04 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 3.2890e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 42 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.6300e-004 4.7000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.9260e-003 1.2420e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 9.5120e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.97 0.40 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1.3050e-003 5.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.13 0.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 9.3510e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.30 0.04 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.84 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 8.7140e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.06 5.1550e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.56 2.47 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.66 0.80 tblVehicleEF SBUS 3.65 0.60 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,322.00 352.98 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,136.31 1,112.20 tblVehicleEF SBUS 37.11 4.41 tblVehicleEF SBUS 12.08 3.36 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.47 4.88 tblVehicleEF SBUS 14.99 0.90 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 3.6810e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.1700e-004 4.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 9.6490e-003 3.5220e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.7560e-003 2.7010e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 43 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.7500e-004 3.6000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.6170e-003 2.2080e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 9.9850e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.67 0.28 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.8800e-003 1.1130e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF SBUS 8.5310e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.22 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 3.3630e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.3500e-004 4.4000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.6170e-003 2.2080e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 9.9850e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.97 0.40 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.8800e-003 1.1130e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.13 0.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 8.5310e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.24 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.84 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 8.5760e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.07 6.3440e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.91 2.56 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.65 0.78 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.37 0.86 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,169.92 334.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,136.31 1,112.17 tblVehicleEF SBUS 37.11 4.85 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 44 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF SBUS 11.19 3.19 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.69 5.12 tblVehicleEF SBUS 15.02 0.91 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 5.2920e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.1700e-004 4.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 5.0630e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.7560e-003 2.7010e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.7500e-004 3.6000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.9580e-003 1.2070e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.68 0.28 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1.2820e-003 6.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.08 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.28 0.04 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 3.1850e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.6400e-004 4.8000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.9580e-003 1.2070e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.98 0.40 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1.2820e-003 6.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.13 0.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.08 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 45 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.31 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.83 4.45 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.08 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.26 34.75 tblVehicleEF UBUS 14.34 0.89 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1,846.39 1,692.13 tblVehicleEF UBUS 136.37 11.77 tblVehicleEF UBUS 5.87 0.38 tblVehicleEF UBUS 13.57 0.14 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.52 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.07 2.6550e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.4030e-003 1.4100e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.22 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.0000e-003 6.6220e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.06 2.5280e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.2900e-003 1.3000e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 8.0860e-003 1.6780e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.11 9.5390e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.9450e-003 7.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.61 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.15 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 3.0250e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.6240e-003 1.1700e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 8.0860e-003 1.6780e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.11 9.5390e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 46 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.9450e-003 7.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 2.50 4.54 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.25 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.83 4.45 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.08 9.2350e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.36 34.75 tblVehicleEF UBUS 11.74 0.76 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1,846.39 1,692.13 tblVehicleEF UBUS 136.37 11.55 tblVehicleEF UBUS 5.45 0.38 tblVehicleEF UBUS 13.45 0.13 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.52 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.07 2.6550e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.4030e-003 1.4100e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.22 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.0000e-003 6.6220e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.06 2.5280e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.2900e-003 1.3000e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 3.0610e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.14 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.3320e-003 1.4840e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.62 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 3.0250e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 47 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.5790e-003 1.1400e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 3.0610e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.14 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.3320e-003 1.4840e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 2.52 4.54 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.12 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.83 4.45 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.08 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.27 34.75 tblVehicleEF UBUS 13.86 0.90 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1,846.39 1,692.13 tblVehicleEF UBUS 136.37 11.80 tblVehicleEF UBUS 5.76 0.38 tblVehicleEF UBUS 13.55 0.14 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.52 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.07 2.6550e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.4030e-003 1.4100e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.22 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.0000e-003 6.6220e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.06 2.5280e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.2900e-003 1.3000e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.2250e-003 1.6870e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.14 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 4.1190e-003 7.4500e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.61 0.07 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 48 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.13 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 3.0250e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.6160e-003 1.1700e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.2250e-003 1.6870e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.14 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 4.1190e-003 7.4500e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 2.50 4.54 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.24 0.04 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TTP 41.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TTP 41.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 49 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 2.0 Emissions Summary tblVehicleTrips CW_TTP 59.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TTP 59.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips DV_TP 5.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips DV_TP 5.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips PB_TP 3.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips PB_TP 3.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips PR_TP 92.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips PR_TP 92.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips ST_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips ST_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips SU_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips SU_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips WD_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips WD_TR 1.68 0.00 tblWater IndoorWaterUseRate 88,927,187.50 0.00 tblWater IndoorWaterUseRate 177,854,375.00 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 50 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 2.1 Overall Construction (Maximum Daily Emission) ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Year lb/day lb/day 2021 0.0351 1.8659 0.1715 2.8800e- 003 0.0227 7.5000e- 004 0.0235 4.4000e- 003 7.2000e- 004 5.1200e- 003 0.0000 304.8999 304.8999 0.0478 0.0000 306.0955 Maximum 0.0351 1.8659 0.1715 2.8800e- 003 0.0227 7.5000e- 004 0.0235 4.4000e- 003 7.2000e- 004 5.1200e- 003 0.0000 304.8999 304.8999 0.0478 0.0000 306.0955 Unmitigated Construction ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Year lb/day lb/day 2021 0.0351 1.8659 0.1715 2.8800e- 003 0.0135 7.5000e- 004 0.0143 3.0100e- 003 7.2000e- 004 3.7300e- 003 0.0000 304.8999 304.8999 0.0478 0.0000 306.0955 Maximum 0.0351 1.8659 0.1715 2.8800e- 003 0.0135 7.5000e- 004 0.0143 3.0100e- 003 7.2000e- 004 3.7300e- 003 0.0000 304.8999 304.8999 0.0478 0.0000 306.0955 Mitigated Construction ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio-CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N20 CO2e Percent Reduction 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.49 0.00 39.20 31.59 0.00 27.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 51 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 2.2 Overall Operational ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Area 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Energy 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Mobile 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 0.0000 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.0000 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.0000 0.6485 Unmitigated Operational ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Area 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Energy 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Mobile 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 0.0000 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.0000 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.0000 0.6485 Mitigated Operational CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 52 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 3.0 Construction Detail Construction Phase Phase Number Phase Name Phase Type Start Date End Date Num Days Week Num Days Phase Description 1 Site Preparation/Grading Grading 5/1/2021 7/23/2021 5 60 OffRoad Equipment Phase Name Offroad Equipment Type Amount Usage Hours Horse Power Load Factor Site Preparation/Grading Crawler Tractors 0 8.00 212 0.43 Site Preparation/Grading Excavators 0 8.00 158 0.38 Site Preparation/Grading Graders 0 8.00 187 0.41 Site Preparation/Grading Off-Highway Trucks 0 8.00 402 0.38 Site Preparation/Grading Rubber Tired Dozers 0 8.00 247 0.40 Site Preparation/Grading Scrapers 0 8.00 367 0.48 Site Preparation/Grading Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes 0 8.00 97 0.37 Trips and VMT ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio-CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N20 CO2e Percent Reduction 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Residential Indoor: 0; Residential Outdoor: 0; Non-Residential Indoor: 0; Non-Residential Outdoor: 0; Striped Parking Area: 0 (Architectural Coating ±sqft) Acres of Grading (Site Preparation Phase): 0 Acres of Grading (Grading Phase): 0 Acres of Paving: 26.48 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 53 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 3.2 Site Preparation/Grading - 2021 ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Fugitive Dust 0.0151 0.0000 0.0151 2.2800e- 003 0.0000 2.2800e- 003 0.0000 0.0000 Off-Road 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0151 0.0000 0.0151 2.2800e- 003 0.0000 2.2800e- 003 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unmitigated Construction On-Site 3.1 Mitigation Measures Construction Use Cleaner Engines for Construction Equipment Water Exposed Area Phase Name Offroad Equipment Count Worker Trip Number Vendor Trip Number Hauling Trip Number Worker Trip Length Vendor Trip Length Hauling Trip Length Worker Vehicle Class Vendor Vehicle Class Hauling Vehicle Class Site Preparation/Grading 0 0.00 0.00 1,000.00 14.70 6.90 0.50 LD_Mix HDT_Mix HHDT CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 54 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 3.2 Site Preparation/Grading - 2021 ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Hauling 0.0351 1.8659 0.1715 2.8800e- 003 7.6400e- 003 7.5000e- 004 8.3900e- 003 2.1200e- 003 7.2000e- 004 2.8400e- 003 304.8999 304.8999 0.0478 306.0955 Vendor 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Worker 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0351 1.8659 0.1715 2.8800e- 003 7.6400e- 003 7.5000e- 004 8.3900e- 003 2.1200e- 003 7.2000e- 004 2.8400e- 003 304.8999 304.8999 0.0478 306.0955 Unmitigated Construction Off-Site ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Fugitive Dust 5.8800e- 003 0.0000 5.8800e- 003 8.9000e- 004 0.0000 8.9000e- 004 0.0000 0.0000 Off-Road 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 5.8800e- 003 0.0000 5.8800e- 003 8.9000e- 004 0.0000 8.9000e- 004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Mitigated Construction On-Site CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 55 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 4.0 Operational Detail - Mobile 4.1 Mitigation Measures Mobile 3.2 Site Preparation/Grading - 2021 ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Hauling 0.0351 1.8659 0.1715 2.8800e- 003 7.6400e- 003 7.5000e- 004 8.3900e- 003 2.1200e- 003 7.2000e- 004 2.8400e- 003 304.8999 304.8999 0.0478 306.0955 Vendor 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Worker 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0351 1.8659 0.1715 2.8800e- 003 7.6400e- 003 7.5000e- 004 8.3900e- 003 2.1200e- 003 7.2000e- 004 2.8400e- 003 304.8999 304.8999 0.0478 306.0955 Mitigated Construction Off-Site CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 56 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Mitigated 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unmitigated 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 4.2 Trip Summary Information 4.3 Trip Type Information Average Daily Trip Rate Unmitigated Mitigated Land Use Weekday Saturday Sunday Annual VMT Annual VMT Other Asphalt Surfaces 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Non-Asphalt Surfaces 0.00 0.00 0.00 Parking Lot 0.00 0.00 0.00 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.00 0.00 0.00 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 Miles Trip %Trip Purpose % Land Use H-W or C-W H-S or C-C H-O or C-NW H-W or C-W H-S or C-C H-O or C-NW Primary Diverted Pass-by Other Asphalt Surfaces 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 Other Non-Asphalt Surfaces 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 Parking Lot 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 57 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 5.0 Energy Detail ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day NaturalGas Mitigated 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 NaturalGas Unmitigated 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 5.1 Mitigation Measures Energy 4.4 Fleet Mix Land Use LDA LDT1 LDT2 MDV LHD1 LHD2 MHD HHD OBUS UBUS MCY SBUS MH Other Asphalt Surfaces 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Other Non-Asphalt Surfaces 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Parking Lot 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Historical Energy Use: N CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 58 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 5.2 Energy by Land Use - NaturalGas NaturalGa s Use ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Land Use kBTU/yr lb/day lb/day Other Asphalt Surfaces 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Other Non- Asphalt Surfaces 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Parking Lot 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unmitigated CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 59 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 6.1 Mitigation Measures Area 6.0 Area Detail 5.2 Energy by Land Use - NaturalGas NaturalGa s Use ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Land Use kBTU/yr lb/day lb/day Other Asphalt Surfaces 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Other Non- Asphalt Surfaces 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Parking Lot 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Mitigated CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 60 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Mitigated 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Unmitigated 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 6.2 Area by SubCategory ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e SubCategory lb/day lb/day Architectural Coating 3.0179 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Consumer Products 23.2508 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Landscaping 0.0264 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Total 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Unmitigated CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 61 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 8.1 Mitigation Measures Waste 7.1 Mitigation Measures Water 7.0 Water Detail 8.0 Waste Detail 6.2 Area by SubCategory ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e SubCategory lb/day lb/day Architectural Coating 3.0179 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Consumer Products 23.2508 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Landscaping 0.0264 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Total 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Mitigated 9.0 Operational Offroad Equipment Type Number Hours/Day Days/Year Horse Power Load Factor Fuel Type 10.0 Stationary Equipment Fire Pumps and Emergency Generators CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 62 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 11.0 Vegetation Equipment Type Number Hours/Day Hours/Year Horse Power Load Factor Fuel Type Boilers Equipment Type Number Heat Input/Day Heat Input/Year Boiler Rating Fuel Type User Defined Equipment Equipment Type Number CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:34 AMPage 63 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Summer 1.1 Land Usage Land Uses Size Metric Lot Acreage Floor Surface Area Population Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 384.55 1000sqft 8.83 384,548.00 0 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 769.10 1000sqft 17.66 769,096.00 0 Other Asphalt Surfaces 791.77 1000sqft 18.18 791,767.00 0 Other Non-Asphalt Surfaces 47.22 1000sqft 1.08 47,220.00 0 Parking Lot 787.00 Space 7.22 314,800.00 0 1.2 Other Project Characteristics Urbanization Climate Zone Urban 10 Wind Speed (m/s)Precipitation Freq (Days)2.2 32 1.3 User Entered Comments & Non-Default Data 1.0 Project Characteristics Utility Company Southern California Edison 2022Operational Year CO2 Intensity (lb/MWhr) 702.44 0.029CH4 Intensity (lb/MWhr) 0.006N2O Intensity (lb/MWhr) The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 1 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter Project Characteristics - Land Use - Total Project Area is 52.97 acres. Construction Phase - Construction schedule based on information provided by the Project Applicant. Off-road Equipment - Hours are based on an 8-hour workday. Off-road Equipment - Construction equipment based on information provided by the Project Applicant. Water Trucks modeled as "Off-Highway Trucks". Trips and VMT - Tips will be to SBIA, approximately 0.5 miles south of the Project site. Grading - It is anticipated that 10 acres will be disturbed per day during Site Preparation/Graading activities. Architectural Coating - Rule 1113 Vehicle Trips - Construction Run Only. Vehicle Emission Factors - EMFAC2017 Vehicle Emission Factors - EMFAC2017 Vehicle Emission Factors - EMFAC2017 Road Dust - Consumer Products - Area Coating - Energy Use - Construction Run Only. Water And Wastewater - Construction Run Only. Solid Waste - Construction Run Only. Construction Off-road Equipment Mitigation - All equipment operating at >150 HP during Site Preparation/Grading activities are required to be equipped with Tier 3 engines. Table Name Column Name Default Value New Value tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 2.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 2.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 1.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 2.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 2.00 tblConstEquipMitigation NumberOfEquipmentMitigated 0.00 8.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 2 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstEquipMitigation Tier No Change Tier 3 tblConstructionPhase NumDays 110.00 60.00 tblEnergyUse LightingElect 0.35 0.00 tblEnergyUse LightingElect 2.37 0.00 tblEnergyUse LightingElect 1.17 0.00 tblEnergyUse NT24E 36.52 0.00 tblEnergyUse NT24E 0.82 0.00 tblEnergyUse NT24NG 48.51 0.00 tblEnergyUse NT24NG 0.03 0.00 tblEnergyUse T24E 1.06 0.00 tblEnergyUse T24E 0.37 0.00 tblEnergyUse T24NG 3.25 0.00 tblEnergyUse T24NG 2.00 0.00 tblGrading MaterialImported 0.00 8,000.00 tblLandUse LotAcreage 7.08 7.22 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 2.00 0.00 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 1.00 0.00 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 1.00 0.00 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 2.00 0.00 tblOffRoadEquipment OffRoadEquipmentUnitAmount 2.00 0.00 tblSolidWaste SolidWasteGenerationRate 361.48 0.00 tblSolidWaste SolidWasteGenerationRate 722.95 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 3 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblTripsAndVMT HaulingTripLength 20.00 0.50 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.21 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.14 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.10 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.29 5.95 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.57 0.67 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.82 3.7880e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 6,933.41 1,124.17 tblVehicleEF HHD 1,475.79 1,484.27 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.54 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 26.50 6.08 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.50 3.42 tblVehicleEF HHD 20.21 2.10 tblVehicleEF HHD 9.7780e-003 3.6280e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.04 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.1000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 9.3550e-003 3.4710e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.8810e-003 8.8310e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 4.7000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 5.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.1910e-003 1.6000e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.84 0.43 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.2000e-005 3.0000e-006 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 4 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF HHD 0.08 0.08 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.1700e-004 7.9100e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.05 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.07 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.6000e-005 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 5.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.1910e-003 1.6000e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.97 0.50 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.2000e-005 3.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.13 0.23 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.1700e-004 7.9100e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.14 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.14 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.09 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.39 5.82 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.57 0.67 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.70 3.5770e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 7,345.18 1,121.04 tblVehicleEF HHD 1,475.79 1,484.27 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.54 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 27.35 5.90 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.36 3.23 tblVehicleEF HHD 20.20 2.10 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.2750e-003 3.1750e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 0.06 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 5 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.04 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.1000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 7.9170e-003 3.0380e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.8810e-003 8.8310e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 4.7000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.6800e-004 1.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.5970e-003 1.8200e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.79 0.45 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.1700e-004 7.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.08 0.08 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.2100e-004 8.1200e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.05 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.07 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.4000e-005 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.6800e-004 1.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.5970e-003 1.8200e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.91 0.52 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.1700e-004 7.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.13 0.23 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.2100e-004 8.1200e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.31 0.02 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 3.3680e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 6 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF HHD 0.10 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 4.53 5.98 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.57 0.33 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.79 3.7590e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 6,364.76 1,097.48 tblVehicleEF HHD 1,475.79 1,393.36 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.54 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 25.32 6.13 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.46 3.28 tblVehicleEF HHD 20.20 2.10 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 3.8650e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.04 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.1000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 3.6980e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.8810e-003 8.6000e-003 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF HHD 4.7000e-005 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 5.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.4760e-003 1.8700e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.91 0.40 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.2000e-005 3.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.08 0.07 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.3300e-004 8.2900e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.05 1.0000e-006 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 7 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 0.00 tblVehicleEF HHD 8.5000e-005 5.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 3.4760e-003 1.8700e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 1.05 0.46 tblVehicleEF HHD 5.2000e-005 3.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.13 0.08 tblVehicleEF HHD 2.3300e-004 8.2900e-004 tblVehicleEF HHD 0.06 1.0000e-006 tblVehicleEF LDA 4.2030e-003 2.5110e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 5.6230e-003 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.57 0.67 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.19 2.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 251.29 265.15 tblVehicleEF LDA 57.15 54.12 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.04 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.18 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.6780e-003 1.5210e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.2790e-003 1.8570e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.5460e-003 1.4000e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.0960e-003 1.7080e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.10 0.10 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.01 9.5370e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.21 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 8 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.22 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.5170e-003 2.6060e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 5.9200e-004 5.3200e-004 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.10 0.10 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.02 0.01 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.21 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.24 tblVehicleEF LDA 4.7900e-003 2.8350e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 4.6890e-003 0.04 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.71 0.81 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.99 1.78 tblVehicleEF LDA 274.94 287.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 57.15 53.48 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.07 0.17 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.6780e-003 1.5210e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.2790e-003 1.8570e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.5460e-003 1.4000e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.0960e-003 1.7080e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.09 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.12 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.07 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.21 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.06 0.19 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 9 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDA 2.7550e-003 2.8220e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 5.8800e-004 5.2600e-004 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.09 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.12 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.07 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.21 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.07 0.21 tblVehicleEF LDA 4.0860e-003 2.4590e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 5.5870e-003 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.54 0.64 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.18 2.12 tblVehicleEF LDA 245.70 261.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 57.15 54.13 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.04 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.18 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.6780e-003 1.5210e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.2790e-003 1.8570e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 1.5460e-003 1.4000e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.0960e-003 1.7080e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.01 9.3400e-003 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.04 0.24 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.22 tblVehicleEF LDA 2.4600e-003 2.5660e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 10 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDA 5.9100e-004 5.3200e-004 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.05 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.04 0.24 tblVehicleEF LDA 0.08 0.24 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.01 7.5760e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT1 1.54 1.52 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.61 2.39 tblVehicleEF LDT1 313.68 314.63 tblVehicleEF LDT1 70.93 65.70 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.16 0.13 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.22 0.30 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.7050e-003 2.3430e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.6920e-003 2.8390e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.4910e-003 2.1560e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.3960e-003 2.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.18 0.19 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.33 0.26 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.13 0.14 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.86 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.26 0.42 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.1570e-003 3.0930e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 7.7300e-004 6.4600e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 11 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.18 0.19 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.33 0.26 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.13 0.14 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.05 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.86 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.28 0.47 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.02 8.4640e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.02 0.07 tblVehicleEF LDT1 1.85 1.81 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.97 2.00 tblVehicleEF LDT1 341.75 337.48 tblVehicleEF LDT1 70.93 64.87 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.14 0.11 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.28 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.7050e-003 2.3430e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.6920e-003 2.8390e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.4910e-003 2.1560e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.3960e-003 2.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.37 0.36 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.41 0.31 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.27 0.26 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.04 0.04 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.85 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.21 0.36 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.4420e-003 3.3180e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 7.6200e-004 6.3800e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.37 0.36 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 12 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.41 0.31 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.27 0.26 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.06 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.20 0.85 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.23 0.40 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.01 7.4310e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT1 1.47 1.47 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.55 2.39 tblVehicleEF LDT1 307.06 310.38 tblVehicleEF LDT1 70.93 65.71 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.15 0.12 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.21 0.29 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.7050e-003 2.3430e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.6920e-003 2.8390e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 2.4910e-003 2.1560e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.3960e-003 2.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.19 0.19 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.39 0.30 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.12 0.13 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.23 1.00 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.25 0.43 tblVehicleEF LDT1 3.0890e-003 3.0520e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT1 7.7200e-004 6.4600e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.19 0.19 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.39 0.30 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 13 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.12 0.13 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.05 0.05 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.23 1.00 tblVehicleEF LDT1 0.28 0.47 tblVehicleEF LDT2 6.3270e-003 4.4090e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.1990e-003 0.07 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.80 1.00 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.67 2.71 tblVehicleEF LDT2 351.15 335.59 tblVehicleEF LDT2 79.39 70.25 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.09 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.14 0.30 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.7270e-003 1.6010e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.4170e-003 1.9240e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.5880e-003 1.4740e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.2220e-003 1.7690e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.06 0.10 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.14 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.05 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.07 0.45 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.11 0.33 tblVehicleEF LDT2 3.5180e-003 3.2990e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.2200e-004 6.9100e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.06 0.10 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.14 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.05 0.08 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 14 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.07 0.45 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.12 0.36 tblVehicleEF LDT2 7.1840e-003 4.9540e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 6.8290e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.97 1.20 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.38 2.28 tblVehicleEF LDT2 383.36 357.71 tblVehicleEF LDT2 79.39 69.39 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.08 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.28 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.7270e-003 1.6010e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.4170e-003 1.9240e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.5880e-003 1.4740e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.2220e-003 1.7690e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.18 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.15 0.16 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.11 0.15 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.07 0.45 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.09 0.29 tblVehicleEF LDT2 3.8420e-003 3.5160e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.1700e-004 6.8200e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.13 0.18 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.15 0.16 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.11 0.15 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.03 0.03 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 15 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.07 0.45 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.10 0.31 tblVehicleEF LDT2 6.1560e-003 4.3220e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.1410e-003 0.07 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.75 0.96 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.64 2.72 tblVehicleEF LDT2 343.55 331.47 tblVehicleEF LDT2 79.39 70.27 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.08 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.14 0.30 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.7270e-003 1.6010e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.4170e-003 1.9240e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 1.5880e-003 1.4740e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 2.2220e-003 1.7690e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.06 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.14 0.16 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.05 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.08 0.52 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.11 0.33 tblVehicleEF LDT2 3.4410e-003 3.2580e-003 tblVehicleEF LDT2 8.2200e-004 6.9100e-004 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.06 0.09 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.14 0.16 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.05 0.08 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.08 0.52 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 16 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LDT2 0.12 0.37 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.2170e-003 5.0850e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 6.1020e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.14 0.18 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.07 0.75 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.60 1.03 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.23 9.25 tblVehicleEF LHD1 609.20 652.45 tblVehicleEF LHD1 30.40 11.21 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.09 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.12 1.25 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.99 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.6500e-004 8.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8770e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8260e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.5800e-004 2.6000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2400e-004 8.5100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.5390e-003 2.4690e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.3750e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 8.8100e-004 2.3900e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.7070e-003 3.0390e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.11 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.8240e-003 1.5810e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.08 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.35 0.55 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 17 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.27 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2000e-005 9.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.9760e-003 6.3570e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.5300e-004 1.1100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.7070e-003 3.0390e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.11 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.8240e-003 1.5810e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.10 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.35 0.55 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.29 0.09 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.2170e-003 5.0990e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 6.2280e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.14 0.18 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.09 0.76 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.43 0.98 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.23 9.25 tblVehicleEF LHD1 609.20 652.47 tblVehicleEF LHD1 30.40 11.12 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.09 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.98 1.17 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.94 0.31 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.6500e-004 8.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8770e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8260e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.5800e-004 2.6000e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 18 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2400e-004 8.5100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.5390e-003 2.4690e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.3750e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 8.8100e-004 2.3900e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 7.3080e-003 5.4780e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.13 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 4.1220e-003 3.0450e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.09 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.36 0.56 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.25 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2000e-005 9.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.9770e-003 6.3570e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.5000e-004 1.1000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 7.3080e-003 5.4780e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.13 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF LHD1 4.1220e-003 3.0450e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.11 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.36 0.56 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.28 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.2170e-003 5.0870e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 6.1100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.14 0.18 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.07 0.75 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.55 1.02 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 19 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.23 9.25 tblVehicleEF LHD1 609.20 652.45 tblVehicleEF LHD1 30.40 11.20 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.09 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.08 1.23 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.97 0.31 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.6500e-004 8.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8770e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.8260e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.5800e-004 2.6000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2400e-004 8.5100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 2.5390e-003 2.4690e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.01 9.3750e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 8.8100e-004 2.3900e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 4.0430e-003 3.1520e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.13 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.7940e-003 1.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.08 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.38 0.60 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.26 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 9.2000e-005 9.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD1 5.9760e-003 6.3570e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 3.5200e-004 1.1100e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD1 4.0430e-003 3.1520e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.13 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.02 0.03 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 20 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LHD1 1.7940e-003 1.6100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.10 0.08 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.38 0.60 tblVehicleEF LHD1 0.29 0.09 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.5950e-003 3.6950e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.6110e-003 4.1040e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 8.1370e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.15 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.50 0.50 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.20 0.67 tblVehicleEF LHD2 14.27 14.14 tblVehicleEF LHD2 608.52 665.25 tblVehicleEF LHD2 24.46 8.76 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.49 1.36 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.53 0.22 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2830e-003 1.3100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.0000e-004 1.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2280e-003 1.2540e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6860e-003 2.6560e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.6800e-004 1.2600e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3070e-003 1.7040e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.02 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 21 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LHD2 7.0300e-004 9.2000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.09 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3900e-004 1.3500e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 5.9200e-003 6.4300e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6700e-004 8.7000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3070e-003 1.7040e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 7.0300e-004 9.2000e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.07 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.09 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.5950e-003 3.7050e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.6760e-003 4.1460e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 7.7630e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.15 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.50 0.50 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.13 0.64 tblVehicleEF LHD2 14.27 14.14 tblVehicleEF LHD2 608.52 665.25 tblVehicleEF LHD2 24.46 8.70 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.40 1.28 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.50 0.21 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2830e-003 1.3100e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 22 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.0000e-004 1.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2280e-003 1.2540e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6860e-003 2.6560e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.6800e-004 1.2600e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.5220e-003 3.0730e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.5220e-003 1.7630e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.09 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.10 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3900e-004 1.3500e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 5.9200e-003 6.4300e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6500e-004 8.6000e-005 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.5220e-003 3.0730e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.5220e-003 1.7630e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.07 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.09 0.32 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.5950e-003 3.6960e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.6180e-003 4.1080e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 8.0640e-003 0.01 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 23 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.15 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.50 0.50 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.19 0.67 tblVehicleEF LHD2 14.27 14.14 tblVehicleEF LHD2 608.52 665.25 tblVehicleEF LHD2 24.46 8.75 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.10 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.46 1.33 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.52 0.22 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2830e-003 1.3100e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 4.0000e-004 1.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.2280e-003 1.2540e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6860e-003 2.6560e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF LHD2 3.6800e-004 1.2600e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3460e-003 1.7140e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 6.8700e-004 9.2200e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.06 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.10 0.34 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.11 0.05 tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3900e-004 1.3500e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 5.9200e-003 6.4300e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 2.6600e-004 8.7000e-005 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 24 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF LHD2 1.3460e-003 1.7140e-003 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF LHD2 6.8700e-004 9.2200e-004 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.07 0.07 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.10 0.34 tblVehicleEF LHD2 0.12 0.06 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.43 0.34 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.16 0.24 tblVehicleEF MCY 20.55 19.26 tblVehicleEF MCY 9.93 8.60 tblVehicleEF MCY 167.73 212.03 tblVehicleEF MCY 46.45 60.73 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.16 1.13 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.31 0.26 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.8610e-003 1.9650e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.6730e-003 2.9600e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.7420e-003 1.8380e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.4650e-003 2.7870e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.45 1.42 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.84 0.80 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.80 0.78 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.23 2.33 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.49 1.91 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.16 1.84 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.0770e-003 2.0980e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 6.9000e-004 6.0100e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 25 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MCY 1.45 1.42 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.84 0.80 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.80 0.78 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.74 2.87 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.49 1.91 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.35 2.01 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.42 0.34 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.14 0.21 tblVehicleEF MCY 20.68 19.28 tblVehicleEF MCY 9.05 7.90 tblVehicleEF MCY 167.73 211.90 tblVehicleEF MCY 46.45 58.88 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.99 0.97 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.29 0.25 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.8610e-003 1.9650e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.6730e-003 2.9600e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.7420e-003 1.8380e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.4650e-003 2.7870e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.14 2.77 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.27 1.11 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.13 1.77 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.17 2.28 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.49 1.88 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.86 1.62 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.0770e-003 2.0970e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 6.6700e-004 5.8300e-004 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.14 2.77 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 26 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MCY 1.27 1.11 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.13 1.77 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.67 2.81 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.49 1.88 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.02 1.76 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.42 0.34 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.15 0.24 tblVehicleEF MCY 19.63 18.76 tblVehicleEF MCY 9.55 8.44 tblVehicleEF MCY 167.73 211.17 tblVehicleEF MCY 46.45 60.38 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.12 1.09 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.31 0.26 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.8610e-003 1.9650e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.6730e-003 2.9600e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.7420e-003 1.8380e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 3.4650e-003 2.7870e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.71 1.57 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.13 1.06 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.72 0.74 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.19 2.31 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.56 2.18 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.08 1.81 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.0610e-003 2.0900e-003 tblVehicleEF MCY 6.8200e-004 5.9800e-004 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.71 1.57 tblVehicleEF MCY 1.13 1.06 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 27 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MCY 0.72 0.74 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.69 2.84 tblVehicleEF MCY 0.56 2.18 tblVehicleEF MCY 2.27 1.98 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.01 5.5200e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.02 0.09 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.35 1.14 tblVehicleEF MDV 3.25 3.25 tblVehicleEF MDV 483.94 415.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 107.92 87.32 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.17 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.32 0.38 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.8260e-003 1.6850e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.5170e-003 2.0310e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.6830e-003 1.5540e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.3150e-003 1.8680e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.10 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.20 0.17 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.08 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.11 0.50 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.25 0.44 tblVehicleEF MDV 4.8500e-003 4.0780e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.1370e-003 8.5900e-004 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.10 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.20 0.17 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.08 0.10 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 28 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MDV 0.05 0.03 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.11 0.50 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.28 0.48 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.01 6.2110e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.64 1.35 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.69 2.72 tblVehicleEF MDV 526.85 438.45 tblVehicleEF MDV 107.92 86.27 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.16 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.30 0.35 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.8260e-003 1.6850e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.5170e-003 2.0310e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.6830e-003 1.5540e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.3150e-003 1.8680e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.20 0.21 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.23 0.19 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.17 0.19 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.04 0.03 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.11 0.49 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.21 0.38 tblVehicleEF MDV 5.2830e-003 4.3080e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.1260e-003 8.4800e-004 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.20 0.21 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.23 0.19 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.17 0.19 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.05 0.04 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 29 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MDV 0.11 0.49 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.23 0.41 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.01 5.4050e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.02 0.09 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.28 1.09 tblVehicleEF MDV 3.20 3.26 tblVehicleEF MDV 473.93 410.75 tblVehicleEF MDV 107.92 87.35 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.16 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.32 0.38 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.8260e-003 1.6850e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.5170e-003 2.0310e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.6830e-003 1.5540e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 2.3150e-003 1.8680e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.10 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.22 0.18 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.08 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.13 0.57 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.25 0.44 tblVehicleEF MDV 4.7490e-003 4.0360e-003 tblVehicleEF MDV 1.1360e-003 8.5900e-004 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.10 0.11 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.22 0.18 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.08 0.10 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.04 0.03 tblVehicleEF MDV 0.13 0.57 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 30 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MDV 0.27 0.48 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 3.6580e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.07 0.35 tblVehicleEF MH 6.43 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1,045.05 970.21 tblVehicleEF MH 59.49 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.54 4.24 tblVehicleEF MH 0.91 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.1740e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.2230e-003 4.0000e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.0790e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.47 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.09 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.51 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.10 0.08 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.37 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 9.1720e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 7.0700e-004 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.47 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.09 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.51 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.14 0.09 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 31 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.40 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 3.6580e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.19 0.35 tblVehicleEF MH 5.84 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1,045.05 970.21 tblVehicleEF MH 59.49 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.41 4.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.86 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.1740e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.2230e-003 4.0000e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.0790e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 2.91 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.21 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.08 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.34 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 9.1720e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 6.9700e-004 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 2.91 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.21 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 32 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MH 0.15 0.09 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.38 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 3.6580e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.08 0.35 tblVehicleEF MH 6.36 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1,045.05 970.21 tblVehicleEF MH 59.49 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.51 4.17 tblVehicleEF MH 0.89 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 0.02 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.1740e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 3.2230e-003 4.0000e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 0.04 0.11 tblVehicleEF MH 1.0790e-003 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.75 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.53 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.10 0.08 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.37 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.01 9.1720e-003 tblVehicleEF MH 7.0600e-004 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 1.75 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.11 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 33 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MH 0.53 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.15 0.09 tblVehicleEF MH 0.03 0.00 tblVehicleEF MH 0.40 0.00 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 2.5070e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.5160e-003 3.3210e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 6.4670e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.32 0.31 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.27 0.32 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.32 0.74 tblVehicleEF MHD 156.91 68.92 tblVehicleEF MHD 1,101.52 974.57 tblVehicleEF MHD 52.43 6.35 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.60 0.52 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.99 1.61 tblVehicleEF MHD 11.88 1.50 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.8600e-004 1.2310e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.0030e-003 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.6400e-004 7.5000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.6900e-004 1.1780e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.7830e-003 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.0300e-004 6.9000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.2800e-003 4.5300e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.01 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.5100e-004 2.4000e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.06 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 34 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.32 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.5080e-003 6.5300e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.01 9.2620e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.1700e-004 6.3000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.2800e-003 4.5300e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.01 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.5100e-004 2.4000e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.07 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.35 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 2.3860e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.5800e-003 3.3450e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 6.2100e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.24 0.26 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.28 0.33 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.97 0.70 tblVehicleEF MHD 166.20 69.59 tblVehicleEF MHD 1,101.52 974.58 tblVehicleEF MHD 52.43 6.28 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.62 0.52 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.92 1.52 tblVehicleEF MHD 11.85 1.49 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.2500e-004 1.0410e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.0030e-003 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.6400e-004 7.5000e-005 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 35 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MHD 3.1100e-004 9.9600e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.7830e-003 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.0300e-004 6.9000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 2.5300e-003 8.2800e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.5010e-003 4.7800e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.30 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.5950e-003 6.5900e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.01 9.2620e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.1100e-004 6.2000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 2.5300e-003 8.2800e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.5010e-003 4.7800e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.07 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.08 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.33 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 2.6830e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 3.5220e-003 3.3210e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 6.4200e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.45 0.37 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.27 0.32 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.23 0.74 tblVehicleEF MHD 144.06 68.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 36 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MHD 1,101.52 974.57 tblVehicleEF MHD 52.43 6.34 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.57 0.52 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.97 1.59 tblVehicleEF MHD 11.87 1.50 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.7000e-004 1.4940e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 5.0030e-003 0.04 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.6400e-004 7.5000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.4900e-004 1.4300e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 4.7830e-003 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 7.0300e-004 6.9000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.3890e-003 4.7100e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.4000e-004 2.4400e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.06 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.09 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.32 0.03 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.3860e-003 6.4400e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.01 9.2620e-003 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.1600e-004 6.3000e-005 tblVehicleEF MHD 1.3890e-003 4.7100e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.05 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.02 tblVehicleEF MHD 6.4000e-004 2.4400e-004 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.04 0.07 tblVehicleEF MHD 0.02 0.09 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 37 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF MHD 0.35 0.04 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 8.8190e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.9110e-003 6.5960e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.26 0.52 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.63 0.77 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.27 2.45 tblVehicleEF OBUS 70.35 76.06 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1,121.50 1,406.90 tblVehicleEF OBUS 70.70 20.49 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.28 0.34 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.97 1.24 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1.93 0.68 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.4000e-005 5.8900e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.6440e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.2900e-004 2.1800e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.1000e-005 5.6400e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.4220e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.5400e-004 2.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.1800e-003 2.6020e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.3100e-004 1.1160e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.29 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.38 0.12 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.8400e-004 7.2500e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 38 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.1700e-004 2.0300e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.1800e-003 2.6020e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.3100e-004 1.1160e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.06 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.29 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.42 0.13 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 8.8750e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 6.7350e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.26 0.51 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.65 0.79 tblVehicleEF OBUS 5.74 2.28 tblVehicleEF OBUS 73.50 75.90 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1,121.50 1,406.93 tblVehicleEF OBUS 70.70 20.20 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.29 0.34 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.90 1.16 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1.88 0.67 tblVehicleEF OBUS 5.4000e-005 5.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.6440e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.2900e-004 2.1800e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 5.1000e-005 4.7900e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.4220e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.5400e-004 2.0100e-004 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 39 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.2350e-003 4.6860e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.1330e-003 2.2090e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.29 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.36 0.11 tblVehicleEF OBUS 7.1400e-004 7.2400e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.0800e-004 2.0000e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.2350e-003 4.6860e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.1330e-003 2.2090e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.06 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.29 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.40 0.12 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 8.7740e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.9380e-003 6.6000e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.03 0.02 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.28 0.53 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.63 0.77 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.22 2.45 tblVehicleEF OBUS 66.00 76.30 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1,121.50 1,406.90 tblVehicleEF OBUS 70.70 20.50 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.27 0.35 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 40 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.96 1.22 tblVehicleEF OBUS 1.91 0.68 tblVehicleEF OBUS 7.7000e-005 7.1200e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.6440e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.2900e-004 2.1800e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 7.4000e-005 6.8100e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 4.4220e-003 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.5400e-004 2.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.3200e-003 2.7390e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.4100e-004 1.1650e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.04 0.05 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.30 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.38 0.12 tblVehicleEF OBUS 6.4200e-004 7.2700e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF OBUS 8.1600e-004 2.0300e-004 tblVehicleEF OBUS 2.3200e-003 2.7390e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 9.4100e-004 1.1650e-003 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.06 0.07 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.05 0.30 tblVehicleEF OBUS 0.42 0.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.84 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 8.5840e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 41 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.07 6.1570e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.71 2.50 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.65 0.78 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.33 0.82 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,258.13 345.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,136.31 1,112.17 tblVehicleEF SBUS 37.11 4.79 tblVehicleEF SBUS 11.70 3.29 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.77 5.20 tblVehicleEF SBUS 15.02 0.91 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 4.3580e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.1700e-004 4.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 4.1690e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.7560e-003 2.7010e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.7500e-004 3.6000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.9260e-003 1.2420e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 9.5120e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.68 0.28 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1.3050e-003 5.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF SBUS 9.3510e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.27 0.04 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 3.2890e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 42 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.6300e-004 4.7000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.9260e-003 1.2420e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 9.5120e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.97 0.40 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1.3050e-003 5.9000e-004 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.13 0.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 9.3510e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.30 0.04 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.84 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 8.7140e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.06 5.1550e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.56 2.47 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.66 0.80 tblVehicleEF SBUS 3.65 0.60 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,322.00 352.98 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,136.31 1,112.20 tblVehicleEF SBUS 37.11 4.41 tblVehicleEF SBUS 12.08 3.36 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.47 4.88 tblVehicleEF SBUS 14.99 0.90 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 3.6810e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.1700e-004 4.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 9.6490e-003 3.5220e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.7560e-003 2.7010e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 43 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.7500e-004 3.6000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.6170e-003 2.2080e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 9.9850e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.67 0.28 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.8800e-003 1.1130e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF SBUS 8.5310e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.22 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 3.3630e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.3500e-004 4.4000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.6170e-003 2.2080e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 9.9850e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.97 0.40 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.8800e-003 1.1130e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.13 0.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 8.5310e-003 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.24 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.84 0.06 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 8.5760e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.07 6.3440e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.91 2.56 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.65 0.78 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.37 0.86 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,169.92 334.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1,136.31 1,112.17 tblVehicleEF SBUS 37.11 4.85 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 44 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF SBUS 11.19 3.19 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.69 5.12 tblVehicleEF SBUS 15.02 0.91 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 5.2920e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 5.1700e-004 4.0000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 5.0630e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.7560e-003 2.7010e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.03 0.03 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.7500e-004 3.6000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.9580e-003 1.2070e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.68 0.28 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1.2820e-003 6.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.11 0.11 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.08 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.28 0.04 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 3.1850e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 4.6400e-004 4.8000e-005 tblVehicleEF SBUS 2.9580e-003 1.2070e-003 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.02 0.01 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.98 0.40 tblVehicleEF SBUS 1.2820e-003 6.0100e-004 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.13 0.13 tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.01 0.08 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 45 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF SBUS 0.31 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.83 4.45 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.08 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.26 34.75 tblVehicleEF UBUS 14.34 0.89 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1,846.39 1,692.13 tblVehicleEF UBUS 136.37 11.77 tblVehicleEF UBUS 5.87 0.38 tblVehicleEF UBUS 13.57 0.14 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.52 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.07 2.6550e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.4030e-003 1.4100e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.22 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.0000e-003 6.6220e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.06 2.5280e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.2900e-003 1.3000e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 8.0860e-003 1.6780e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.11 9.5390e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.9450e-003 7.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.61 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.15 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 3.0250e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.6240e-003 1.1700e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 8.0860e-003 1.6780e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.11 9.5390e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 46 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.9450e-003 7.3700e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 2.50 4.54 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.25 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.83 4.45 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.08 9.2350e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.36 34.75 tblVehicleEF UBUS 11.74 0.76 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1,846.39 1,692.13 tblVehicleEF UBUS 136.37 11.55 tblVehicleEF UBUS 5.45 0.38 tblVehicleEF UBUS 13.45 0.13 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.52 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.07 2.6550e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.4030e-003 1.4100e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.22 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.0000e-003 6.6220e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.06 2.5280e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.2900e-003 1.3000e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 3.0610e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.14 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.3320e-003 1.4840e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.62 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.02 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 3.0250e-003 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 47 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.5790e-003 1.1400e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 3.0610e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.14 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.3320e-003 1.4840e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 2.52 4.54 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.02 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.12 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.83 4.45 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.08 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.27 34.75 tblVehicleEF UBUS 13.86 0.90 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1,846.39 1,692.13 tblVehicleEF UBUS 136.37 11.80 tblVehicleEF UBUS 5.76 0.38 tblVehicleEF UBUS 13.55 0.14 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.52 0.07 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.07 2.6550e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.4030e-003 1.4100e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.22 0.03 tblVehicleEF UBUS 3.0000e-003 6.6220e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.06 2.5280e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.2900e-003 1.3000e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.2250e-003 1.6870e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.14 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 4.1190e-003 7.4500e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.61 0.07 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 48 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.13 0.04 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.01 3.0250e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.6160e-003 1.1700e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 9.2250e-003 1.6870e-003 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.14 0.01 tblVehicleEF UBUS 4.1190e-003 7.4500e-004 tblVehicleEF UBUS 2.50 4.54 tblVehicleEF UBUS 0.03 0.05 tblVehicleEF UBUS 1.24 0.04 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CC_TL 8.40 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TL 6.90 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TTP 41.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CNW_TTP 41.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TL 16.60 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 49 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 2.0 Emissions Summary tblVehicleTrips CW_TTP 59.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips CW_TTP 59.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips DV_TP 5.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips DV_TP 5.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips PB_TP 3.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips PB_TP 3.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips PR_TP 92.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips PR_TP 92.00 0.00 tblVehicleTrips ST_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips ST_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips SU_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips SU_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips WD_TR 1.68 0.00 tblVehicleTrips WD_TR 1.68 0.00 tblWater IndoorWaterUseRate 88,927,187.50 0.00 tblWater IndoorWaterUseRate 177,854,375.00 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 50 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 2.1 Overall Construction (Maximum Daily Emission) ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Year lb/day lb/day 2021 0.0396 1.7906 0.2571 2.5400e- 003 0.0227 9.0000e- 004 0.0236 4.4000e- 003 8.6000e- 004 5.2600e- 003 0.0000 268.8567 268.8567 0.0542 0.0000 270.2111 Maximum 0.0396 1.7906 0.2571 2.5400e- 003 0.0227 9.0000e- 004 0.0236 4.4000e- 003 8.6000e- 004 5.2600e- 003 0.0000 268.8567 268.8567 0.0542 0.0000 270.2111 Unmitigated Construction ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Year lb/day lb/day 2021 0.0396 1.7906 0.2571 2.5400e- 003 0.0135 9.0000e- 004 0.0144 3.0100e- 003 8.6000e- 004 3.8700e- 003 0.0000 268.8567 268.8567 0.0542 0.0000 270.2111 Maximum 0.0396 1.7906 0.2571 2.5400e- 003 0.0135 9.0000e- 004 0.0144 3.0100e- 003 8.6000e- 004 3.8700e- 003 0.0000 268.8567 268.8567 0.0542 0.0000 270.2111 Mitigated Construction ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio-CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N20 CO2e Percent Reduction 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.49 0.00 38.95 31.59 0.00 26.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 51 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 2.2 Overall Operational ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Area 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Energy 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Mobile 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 0.0000 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.0000 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.0000 0.6485 Unmitigated Operational ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Area 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Energy 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Mobile 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 0.0000 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.0000 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.0000 0.6485 Mitigated Operational CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 52 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 3.0 Construction Detail Construction Phase Phase Number Phase Name Phase Type Start Date End Date Num Days Week Num Days Phase Description 1 Site Preparation/Grading Grading 5/1/2021 7/23/2021 5 60 OffRoad Equipment Phase Name Offroad Equipment Type Amount Usage Hours Horse Power Load Factor Site Preparation/Grading Crawler Tractors 0 8.00 212 0.43 Site Preparation/Grading Excavators 0 8.00 158 0.38 Site Preparation/Grading Graders 0 8.00 187 0.41 Site Preparation/Grading Off-Highway Trucks 0 8.00 402 0.38 Site Preparation/Grading Rubber Tired Dozers 0 8.00 247 0.40 Site Preparation/Grading Scrapers 0 8.00 367 0.48 Site Preparation/Grading Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes 0 8.00 97 0.37 Trips and VMT ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio-CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N20 CO2e Percent Reduction 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Residential Indoor: 0; Residential Outdoor: 0; Non-Residential Indoor: 0; Non-Residential Outdoor: 0; Striped Parking Area: 0 (Architectural Coating ±sqft) Acres of Grading (Site Preparation Phase): 0 Acres of Grading (Grading Phase): 0 Acres of Paving: 26.48 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 53 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 3.2 Site Preparation/Grading - 2021 ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Fugitive Dust 0.0151 0.0000 0.0151 2.2800e- 003 0.0000 2.2800e- 003 0.0000 0.0000 Off-Road 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0151 0.0000 0.0151 2.2800e- 003 0.0000 2.2800e- 003 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unmitigated Construction On-Site 3.1 Mitigation Measures Construction Use Cleaner Engines for Construction Equipment Water Exposed Area Phase Name Offroad Equipment Count Worker Trip Number Vendor Trip Number Hauling Trip Number Worker Trip Length Vendor Trip Length Hauling Trip Length Worker Vehicle Class Vendor Vehicle Class Hauling Vehicle Class Site Preparation/Grading 0 0.00 0.00 1,000.00 14.70 6.90 0.50 LD_Mix HDT_Mix HHDT CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 54 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 3.2 Site Preparation/Grading - 2021 ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Hauling 0.0396 1.7906 0.2571 2.5400e- 003 7.6400e- 003 9.0000e- 004 8.5400e- 003 2.1200e- 003 8.6000e- 004 2.9800e- 003 268.8567 268.8567 0.0542 270.2111 Vendor 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Worker 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0396 1.7906 0.2571 2.5400e- 003 7.6400e- 003 9.0000e- 004 8.5400e- 003 2.1200e- 003 8.6000e- 004 2.9800e- 003 268.8567 268.8567 0.0542 270.2111 Unmitigated Construction Off-Site ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Fugitive Dust 5.8800e- 003 0.0000 5.8800e- 003 8.9000e- 004 0.0000 8.9000e- 004 0.0000 0.0000 Off-Road 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 5.8800e- 003 0.0000 5.8800e- 003 8.9000e- 004 0.0000 8.9000e- 004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Mitigated Construction On-Site CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 55 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 4.0 Operational Detail - Mobile 4.1 Mitigation Measures Mobile 3.2 Site Preparation/Grading - 2021 ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Hauling 0.0396 1.7906 0.2571 2.5400e- 003 7.6400e- 003 9.0000e- 004 8.5400e- 003 2.1200e- 003 8.6000e- 004 2.9800e- 003 268.8567 268.8567 0.0542 270.2111 Vendor 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Worker 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0396 1.7906 0.2571 2.5400e- 003 7.6400e- 003 9.0000e- 004 8.5400e- 003 2.1200e- 003 8.6000e- 004 2.9800e- 003 268.8567 268.8567 0.0542 270.2111 Mitigated Construction Off-Site CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 56 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Mitigated 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unmitigated 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 4.2 Trip Summary Information 4.3 Trip Type Information Average Daily Trip Rate Unmitigated Mitigated Land Use Weekday Saturday Sunday Annual VMT Annual VMT Other Asphalt Surfaces 0.00 0.00 0.00 Other Non-Asphalt Surfaces 0.00 0.00 0.00 Parking Lot 0.00 0.00 0.00 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.00 0.00 0.00 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 Miles Trip %Trip Purpose % Land Use H-W or C-W H-S or C-C H-O or C-NW H-W or C-W H-S or C-C H-O or C-NW Primary Diverted Pass-by Other Asphalt Surfaces 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 Other Non-Asphalt Surfaces 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 Parking Lot 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 57 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 5.0 Energy Detail ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day NaturalGas Mitigated 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 NaturalGas Unmitigated 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 5.1 Mitigation Measures Energy 4.4 Fleet Mix Land Use LDA LDT1 LDT2 MDV LHD1 LHD2 MHD HHD OBUS UBUS MCY SBUS MH Other Asphalt Surfaces 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Other Non-Asphalt Surfaces 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Parking Lot 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0.553113 0.036408 0.180286 0.116335 0.016165 0.005101 0.018218 0.063797 0.001357 0.001565 0.005903 0.000808 0.000944 Historical Energy Use: N CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 58 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 5.2 Energy by Land Use - NaturalGas NaturalGa s Use ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Land Use kBTU/yr lb/day lb/day Other Asphalt Surfaces 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Other Non- Asphalt Surfaces 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Parking Lot 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unmitigated CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 59 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 6.1 Mitigation Measures Area 6.0 Area Detail 5.2 Energy by Land Use - NaturalGas NaturalGa s Use ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Land Use kBTU/yr lb/day lb/day Other Asphalt Surfaces 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Other Non- Asphalt Surfaces 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Parking Lot 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Refrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Unrefrigerated Warehouse-No Rail 0 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Total 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Mitigated CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 60 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e Category lb/day lb/day Mitigated 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Unmitigated 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 6.2 Area by SubCategory ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e SubCategory lb/day lb/day Architectural Coating 3.0179 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Consumer Products 23.2508 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Landscaping 0.0264 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Total 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Unmitigated CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 61 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 8.1 Mitigation Measures Waste 7.1 Mitigation Measures Water 7.0 Water Detail 8.0 Waste Detail 6.2 Area by SubCategory ROG NOx CO SO2 Fugitive PM10 Exhaust PM10 PM10 Total Fugitive PM2.5 Exhaust PM2.5 PM2.5 Total Bio- CO2 NBio- CO2 Total CO2 CH4 N2O CO2e SubCategory lb/day lb/day Architectural Coating 3.0179 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Consumer Products 23.2508 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Landscaping 0.0264 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Total 26.2951 2.6000e- 003 0.2842 2.0000e- 005 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 1.0200e- 003 0.6083 0.6083 1.6000e- 003 0.6485 Mitigated 9.0 Operational Offroad Equipment Type Number Hours/Day Days/Year Horse Power Load Factor Fuel Type 10.0 Stationary Equipment Fire Pumps and Emergency Generators CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 62 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter 11.0 Vegetation Equipment Type Number Hours/Day Hours/Year Horse Power Load Factor Fuel Type Boilers Equipment Type Number Heat Input/Day Heat Input/Year Boiler Rating Fuel Type User Defined Equipment Equipment Type Number CalEEMod Version: CalEEMod.2016.3.2 Date: 1/14/2021 9:33 AMPage 63 of 63 The Landing by San Manuel (Construction - Hauling Activity) - San Bernardino-South Coast County, Winter The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 ATTACHMENT 3 (Related to Response A-9) Potential Regional Criteria Pollutant Emissions from TRUs Associated with the Project Including Totals Teported in the Draft EIR TRU Type 2 Unit Annual Number of Units 78 ROG NOX CO SOX PM10 PM2.5 MT CO2 Operating Time Each Unit 2 TRU - Instate Trailer TRU 0.65 5.24 8.02 0.00 0.08 0.08 123.44 TRU - Instate Truck TRU 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 TRU Type 3 TRU - Instate Van TRU 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Number of Units 0 TRU - Instate Van TRU 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Operating Time Each Unit 0 TRU Type 4 Number of Units 0 Operating Time Each Unit 0 TRU Type 4 Number of Units 0 Operating Time Each Unit 0 Emissions Pounds per Day Daily Emission Rates Year Type ROG CO NOX CO2 PM10 PM2.5 SOX 2022 TRU - Instate Genset TRU 5.94E-03 9.35E-02 6.94E-02 1.91E+00 3.11E-04 2.86E-04 1.76E-05 2022 TRU - Instate Trailer TRU 1.52E-02 1.87E-01 1.22E-01 2.87E+00 1.93E-03 1.77E-03 2.64E-05 2022 TRU - Instate Truck TRU 7.47E-03 6.04E-02 7.25E-02 1.45E+00 2.94E-03 2.71E-03 1.33E-05 2022 TRU - Instate Van TRU 4.77E-03 3.86E-02 4.63E-02 9.26E-01 1.88E-03 1.73E-03 8.50E-06 2022 TRU - Out-of-State Genset TRU 5.91E-03 9.33E-02 6.94E-02 1.91E+00 3.10E-04 2.85E-04 1.76E-05 2022 TRU - Out-of-State Trailer TRU 1.28E-02 1.72E-01 1.13E-01 2.87E+00 8.60E-04 7.91E-04 2.64E-05 2022 TRU - Railcar TRU 1.28E-02 1.72E-01 1.13E-01 2.87E+00 8.60E-04 7.91E-04 2.64E-05 Unit Average HP Average HP-Hr/D Vehicle Class Total Hr/day Hr/Day/ Vehicle Class 2022 TRU - Instate Genset TRU 31.5 22366.86 710.06 2.14 2022 TRU - Instate Trailer TRU 34 185845.42 5466.04 3.63 2022 TRU - Instate Truck TRU 14.1 20739.54 1470.89 3.73 2022 TRU - Instate Van TRU 9 480.13 53.35 3.73 2022 TRU - Out-of-State Genset TRU 31.5 14093.97 447.43 0.34 2022 TRU - Out-of-State Trailer TRU 34 116093.34 3414.51 0.57 2022 TRU - Railcar TRU 34 12017.16 353.45 0.88 Hourly Emissions Rates Code Year Type ROG CO NOX CO2 PM10 PM2.5 SOX 1 2022 TRU - Instate Genset TRU 2.78E-03 4.37E-02 3.25E-02 8.92E-01 1.45E-04 1.34E-04 8.24E-06 2 2022 TRU - Instate Trailer TRU 4.17E-03 5.14E-02 3.36E-02 7.91E-01 5.31E-04 4.89E-04 7.26E-06 3 2022 TRU - Instate Truck TRU 2.00E-03 1.62E-02 1.94E-02 3.89E-01 7.89E-04 7.25E-04 3.57E-06 4 2022 TRU - Instate Van TRU 1.28E-03 1.03E-02 1.24E-02 2.48E-01 5.03E-04 4.63E-04 2.28E-06 5 2022 TRU - Out-of-State Genset TRU 1.74E-02 2.75E-01 2.05E-01 5.64E+00 9.15E-04 8.42E-04 5.20E-05 6 2022 TRU - Out-of-State Trailer TRU 2.23E-02 2.99E-01 1.97E-01 5.00E+00 1.50E-03 1.38E-03 4.60E-05 7 2022 TRU - Railcar TRU 1.45E-02 1.94E-01 1.28E-01 3.25E+00 9.74E-04 8.96E-04 2.99E-05 Lookup data 1 TRU - Instate Genset TRU 2 TRU - Instate Trailer TRU 3 TRU - Instate Truck TRU 4 TRU - Instate Van TRU 5 TRU - Out-of-State Genset TRU 6 TRU - Out-of-State Trailer TRU 7 TRU - Railcar TRU OFFROAD2017 (v1.0.1) Emissions Inventory Region Type: County Region: San Bernardino Calendar Year: 2022 Scenario: All Adopted Rules - Exhaust Vehicle Classification: OFFROAD2017 Equipment Types Units: Emissions: tons/day, Fuel Consumption: gallons/year, Activity: hours/year, HP-Hours: HP-hours/year Region CalYr VehClass MdlYr HP_Bin Fuel HC_tpd ROG_tpd TOG_tpd CO_tpd NOx_tpd CO2_tpd PM10_tpd PM2_5_tpd PM_tpd SOx_tpd NH3_tpd Fuel_gpy Total_Activity_hpyTotal_Population Horsepower_Hours_hhpy San Bernardino 2022 TRU - Instate Genset TRU AggregatedAggregatedDiesel 0.001742 0.002108 0.002509 0.033211 0.024651 0.677749 0.00011037 0.00010154 0.00011037 6.25589E-06 5.5688E-06 430.2106 259171.5824 331.9645464 8163904.845 San Bernardino 2022 TRU - Instate Trailer TRU AggregatedAggregatedDiesel 0.034222 0.041409 0.04928 0.50985 0.333189 7.84982 0.005270302 0.004848678 0.005270302 7.20356E-05 6.44989E-05 4982.781 1995105.277 1505.872833 67833579.41 San Bernardino 2022 TRU - Instate Truck TRU AggregatedAggregatedDiesel 0.004539 0.005492 0.006536 0.044442 0.0533 1.066442 0.002162406 0.001989413 0.002162406 9.78975E-06 8.76254E-06 676.9386 536874.6392 394.4707121 7569932.412 San Bernardino 2022 TRU - Instate Van TRU AggregatedAggregatedDiesel 0.000105 0.000127 0.000151 0.001029 0.001234 0.024689 5.00612E-05 4.60563E-05 5.00612E-05 2.2664E-07 2.02859E-07 15.6716 19472.13717 14.3072279 175249.2345 San Bernardino 2022 TRU - Out-of-State Genset TRU AggregatedAggregatedDiesel 0.001092 0.001322 0.001573 0.020877 0.015523 0.427068 6.93593E-05 6.38106E-05 6.93593E-05 3.94217E-06 3.50905E-06 271.0874 163311.0695 1320.817577 5144298.688 San Bernardino 2022 TRU - Out-of-State Trailer TRU AggregatedAggregatedDiesel 0.018109 0.021912 0.026077 0.293043 0.193312 4.903601 0.001468696 0.001351201 0.001468696 4.5097E-05 4.0291E-05 3112.628 1246296.196 5939.729183 42374070.67 San Bernardino 2022 TRU - Railcar TRU AggregatedAggregatedDiesel 0.001875 0.002268 0.002699 0.030334 0.02001 0.507586 0.000152029 0.000139867 0.000152029 4.66812E-06 4.17064E-06 322.1971 129007.7114 400.110757 4386262.187 The Landing by San Manuel Final Environmental Impact Report Final EIR Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 ATTACHMENT 4 (Related to Comment E-12) Exhibits Attached to Comment Letter E arb.ca.gov November 2017 The strategy for achieving California’s 2030 greenhouse gas target California’s 2017 Climate Change Scoping Plan Contents Executive Summary ES1 Decades of Leadership ES1 The Climate Imperative – We Must Act ES2 California is on Track – But There is More to Do ES3 California’s Path to 2030 ES4 California’s Climate Vision ES5 Enhance Industrial Efficiency & Competitiveness ES7 Prioritize Transportation Sustainability ES8 Continue Leading on Clean Energy ES10 Put Waste Resources to Beneficial Use ES12 Support Resilient Agricultural and Rural Economies and Natural and Working Lands ES13 Secure California’s Water Supplies ES14 Cleaning the Air and Public Health ES15 Successful Example of Carbon Pricing and Investment ES16 Fostering Global Action ES17 Unleashing the California Spirit ES18 Chapter 1: Introduction 1 Background 1 Climate Legislation and Directives 1 Initial Scoping Plan and First Update to the Scoping Plan 5 Building on California’s Environmental Legacy 5 Purpose of the 2017 Scoping Plan 5 Process for Developing the 2017 Scoping Plan 6 Updated Climate Science Supports the Need for More Action 6 California’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the 2030 Target 9 Progress Toward Achieving the 2020 Limit 9 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Tracking 12 California’s Approach to Addressing Climate Change 12 Integrated Systems 12 Promoting Resilient Economic Growth 13 Increasing Carbon Sequestration in Natural and Working Lands 13 Improving Public Health 14 Environmental Justice 14 Setting the Path to 2050 18 Intergovernmental Collaboration 19 International Efforts 19 Chapter 2: The Scoping Plan Scenario 22 Scoping Plan Scenario 23 Scenario Modeling 31 Policy Analysis of Scoping Plan Scenario 33 Chapter 3: Evaluations 35 Programs for Air Quality Improvement in California 35 AB 197 Measure Analyses 37 Estimated Emissions Reductions for Evaluated Measures 37 Estimated Social Costs of Evaluated Measures 39 Estimated Cost Per Metric Ton by Measure 44 Health Analyses 47 Potential Health Impacts of Reductions in Particulate Matter Air Pollution 47 Potential Health Impacts of Reductions in Toxic Air Pollution 48 Potential Health Impacts of Active Transportation 48 Future Health Activities 50 Economic Analyses 50 Public Health 57 Environmental Analysis 60 Chapter 4: Key Sectors 62 Low Carbon Energy 65 Industry 69 Transportation Sustainability 73 Natural and Working Lands Including Agricultural Lands 81 Waste Management 88 Water 92 Chapter 5: Achieving Success 96 Ongoing Engagement with Environmental Justice Communities 96 Enabling Local Action 97 Climate Action through Local Planning and Permitting 99 Implementing the Scoping Plan 103 A Comprehensive Approach to Support Climate Action 104 Conclusion 106 Abbreviations 107 ES1 Decades of Leadership From the first law to protect rivers from the impact of gold mining in 1884, to decades of work to fight smog, the Golden State has set the national – and international – standard for environmental protection. California pushes old boundaries, encounters new ones, and figures out ways to break through those as well. This is part of the reason why California has grown to become both the 6th largest economy in the world, and home to some of the world’s strongest environmental protections. And, we have seen our programs and policies adopted by others as they seek to protect public health and the environment. California’s approach to climate change channels and continues this spirit of innovation, inclusion, and success. The 2030 target of 40 percent emissions reductions below 1990 levels guides this Scoping Plan, as the economy evolves to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in every sector. It also demonstrates that we are doing our part in the global effort under the Paris Agreement to reduce GHGs and limit global temperature rise below 2 degrees Celsius in this century. California’s 2017 Climate Change Scoping Plan: The Strategy for Achieving California’s 2030 Greenhouse Gas Target (Plan) builds on the state’s successes to date, proposing to strengthen major programs that have been a hallmark of success, while further integrating efforts to reduce both GHGs and air pollution. California’s climate efforts will: • Lower GHG emissions on a trajectory to avoid the worst impacts of climate change; • Support a clean energy economy which provides more opportunities for all Californians; • Provide a more equitable future with good jobs and less pollution for all communities;• Improve the health of all Californians by reducing air and water pollution and making it easier to bike and walk; and• Make California an even better place to live, work, and play by improving our natural and working lands. 2% Recycling & Waste California Carbon Emissions 2015 Total Emissions 440.4 MMTCO2e 11% Electricity Generation 21% Industrial 8% Agriculture 37% Transportation In State8% Electricity Generation Imports 9% Commercial & Residential 4% High-GWP Governor Brown signs SB 32 recommitting California’s efforts to curb climate change. C alifornia Carbon Emissions by sCoping plan sEC tor ES2 The Climate Imperative – We Must Act The evidence that the climate is changing is undeniable. As evidence mounts, the scientific record only becomes more definitive – and makes clear the need to take additional action now. In California, as in the rest of the world, climate change is contributing to an escalation of serious problems, including raging wildfires, coastal erosion, disruption of water supply, threats to agriculture, spread of insect-borne diseases, and continuing health threats from air pollution. The drought that plagued California for years devastated the state’s agricultural and rural communities, leaving some of them with no drinking water at all. In 2015 alone, the drought cost agriculture in the Central Valley an estimated $2.7 billion, and more than 20,000 jobs. Last winter, the drought was broken by record-breaking rains, which led to flooding that tore through freeways, threatened rural communities, and isolated coastal areas. This year, California experienced the deadliest wildfires in its history. Climate change is making events like these more frequent, more catastrophic and more costly. Climate change impacts all Californians, and the impacts are often disproportionately borne by the state’s most vulnerable and disadvantaged populations. is already experiencing CLIMATE CHANGE the impacts of CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES HEAT WAVES RISING SEA LEVELS DROUGHT REDUCED SNOWPACK IN 2015 THE DROUGHT COST THE AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY IN THE CENTRAL VALLEY AN ESTIMATED $2.7 BILLION & 20,000 JOBS ES3 California is on Track – But There is More to Do Although the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 – also known as AB 32 – marked the beginning of an integrated climate change program, California has had programs to reduce GHG emissions for decades. The state’s energy efficiency requirements, Renewable Portfolio Standard, and clean car standards have reduced air pollution and saved consumers money, while also lowering GHG emissions. AB 32 set California’s first GHG target called on the state to reduce emissions to 1990 levels by 2020. California is on track to exceed its 2020 climate target, while the economy continues to grow. Since the launch of many of the state’s major climate programs, including Cap-and-Trade, economic growth in California has consistently outpaced economic growth in the rest of the country. The state’s average annual growth rate has been double the national average – and ranks second in the country since Cap-and-Trade took effect in 2012. In short, California has succeeded in reducing GHG emissions while also developing a cleaner, resilient economy that uses less energy and generates less pollution. Importantly, the State’s 2020 and 2030 targets have not been set in isolation. They represent benchmarks, consistent with prevailing climate science, charting an appropriate trajectory forward that is in line with California’s role in stabilizing global warming below dangerous thresholds. As we consider efforts to reduce emissions to meet the State’s near-term requirements, we must do so with an eye toward reductions needed beyond 2030. The Paris Agreement – which calls for limiting global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius and pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5 degrees Celsius – frames our path forward.Trillion (2009 $)tonnes CO2e/million $ GDP0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2000 20022001 2004 200620052003 201020092007 2008 2014201320122011 2015 Emissions per unit GDP GDP EnvironmEntal progrEss and a rEsiliEnt EConomy The California economy has grown while becoming less carbon intensive. 2020 Target 2030 Target 0 100 200 300 400 500 2000 2010 2020 2030Annual GHG Emissions (MMTCO2e)2020 Target 2030 Target 2010 2020 2030 C alifornia’s path forward ES4 California’s Path to 2030 Executive Order B-30-15 and SB 32 extended the goals of AB 32 and set a 2030 goal of reducing emissions 40 percent from 2020 levels. This action keeps California on target to achieve the level of reductions scientists say is necessary to meet the Paris Agreement goals. This is an ambitious goal – calling on the State to double the rate of emissions reductions. Nevertheless, it is an achievable goal. This Plan establishes a path that will get California to its 2030 target. Given our ambitious goals, this Plan is built on unprecedented outreach and coordination. Over 20 state agencies collaborated to produce the Plan, informed by 15 state agency-sponsored workshops and more than 500 public comments. The broad range of state agencies involved reflects the complex nature of addressing climate change, and the need to work across institutional boundaries and traditional economic sectors to effectively reduce GHG emissions. As part of the Plan development, alternative strategies were considered and evaluated, ranging from carbon taxes to individual facility caps to relying solely on sector-specific regulations. In addition, efforts were made to ensure that the Plan would benefit all Californians. To this end, the Environmental Justice Advisory Committee (EJAC), a Legislatively created advisory body, convened almost 20 community meetings throughout California to discuss the climate strategy, and held 19 meetings of its own to provide recommendations on the Plan. This Plan draws from the experiences in developing and implementing previous plans to present a path to reaching California’s 2030 GHG reduction target. The Plan is a package of economically viable and technologically feasible actions to not just keep California on track to achieve its 2030 target, but stay on track for a low- to zero-carbon economy by involving every part of the state. Every sector, every local government, every region, every resident is part of the solution. The Plan underscores that there is no single solution but rather a balanced mix of strategies to achieve the GHG target. This Plan highlights the fact that a balanced mix of strategies provides California with the greatest level of certainty in meeting the target at a low cost while also improving public health, investing in disadvantaged and low-income communities, protecting consumers, and supporting economic growth, jobs and energy diversity. Successful implementation of this Plan relies, in part, on long-term funding plans to inform future appropriations necessary to achieve California’s long-term targets. SOURCE: ADVANCED ENERGY ECONOMY employing 500,000 Californians MORE THAN THE MOTION PICTURE& AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES COMBINED CREATING31,000 DIRECT JOBS &57,000 INDIRECT JOBS +#1 IN CLEAN ENERGY JOBSCalifornia is GENERATED renewable energy projects FROM 2002-2015 SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY $11.6 BILLION in economic activity Double building efficiency 50% renewable power More clean, renewable fuels Cleaner zero or near-zero emission cars, trucks, and buses Walkable/Bikeable communities with transit Cleaner freight and goods movement Slash potent “super-pollutants” from dairies, landfills and refrigerants Cap emissions from transportation, industry, natural gas, and electricity Invest in communities to reduce emissions C alifornia’s ClimatE poliCy portfolio ES5 California’s Climate Vision Create Inclusive Policies and Broad Support for Clean Technologies Remarkable progress over the past 10 years has put the global energy and transportation sector on a transformative path to cleaner energy. Far outpacing previous predictions, today solar and wind power are often less expensive than coal or natural gas, and they now comprise the majority of global investment in the power sector. Electric vehicle battery costs have tumbled even more quickly than solar costs, while performance has improved dramatically, and the auto industry is committed to an electric future. California’s policies have created markets for energy efficiency, energy storage, low carbon fuels, renewable power – including utility-scale and residential-scale solar – and zero-emission vehicles. Our companies are thriving, making those markets grow. California is home to nearly half of the zero-emission vehicles in the U.S., 40 percent of North American clean fuels investments, the world’s best known electric car manufacturer, and the world’s leading ride-sharing services. California is further advancing efficient land use policies that reduce auto dependency. Altogether, we’re unleashing nonlinear transitions to clean energy and clean transportation technologies that will put California on the path to meeting our 2030 target and the goals of the Paris Agreement. California policymaking has succeeded through thoughtful planning, bolstered by an open public process that solicits the best ideas from a wide array of sources, and by integrating effective regulation with targeted investments to provide broad market support for clean technologies. A key element of California’s approach continues to be careful monitoring and reporting on the results of our programs and a willingness to make mid-course adjustments. As the State looks to 2030 and beyond, all sectors of the economy must benefit from these ideas to create a new and better future. OF TOTAL U.S. INVESTMENT IN CLEAN TRANSPORTATION 50% OF THE ZEVs IN THE U.S. California is home to OF NORTH AMERICAN 40% INVESTMENTS CLEAN FUEL &&90%NEARLYPROJECTIONS 20132011 2015 2019 20212017 20252023 0 500,000 1 M 1.5 M 2 M 2.5 M 3 M 3.5 M Navigant Research Bloomberg New Energy Finance U.S. Energy Information Administration Minimum Compliance Scenario Historical Data Edison Electric Institute Experience has shown clean technology and markets continue to outpace expectations. CumulativE California ZEv salEs projEC tions ES6 The benefits of innovative technologies need to reach all residents and businesses. Air pollution reductions and the associated health benefits should be targeted to communities where they are needed most. All Californians need access to clean transportation options that enable healthy communities to develop and thrive, including walking, cycling, transit, rail, and clean vehicle options. Although GHG reductions can help to reduce harmful air pollution, California must concurrently employ other strategies to accelerate reductions of pollutants from large industrial sources that adversely impact communities. Newly passed AB 617 strengthens existing criteria and toxic air pollutant programs and our partnerships with local air districts to further reduce harmful air pollutants and protect communities. More fundamentally, AB 617 establishes a comprehensive statewide program – the first of its kind – to address air pollution where it matters most: in neighborhoods with the most heavily polluted air. C alifornia’s goals California’s environmental justice and equity movement is establishing a blueprint for the nation and world. The State is pioneering targeted environmental and economic development programs to help those most in need. So far, half of all California Climate Investments, stemming from the State’s Cap-and-Trade-Program, have been used to provide benefits in the 25 percent of California communities that are most disadvantaged by environmental and socio-economic burdens. By increasingly engaging with, and investing in, these communities – investing in technical assistance resources, holding listening sessions, improving our programs, and accelerating our efforts to bring the cleanest technologies to mass market – all California residents can have clean air to breathe, clean water to drink, and opportunities to participate in the cleaner economy. SAVE WATERMAKE CALIFORNIA MORE RESILIENT CREATE JOBSSUPPORT VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES TRANSFORM TO A CLEAN ENERGY ECONOMY GIVE CONSUMERS CLEAN ENERGY CHOICES Principles DRAFT aChiEving suCCEss in Equity and aCCEss • Continue to engage local organizations and invest in disadvantaged communities to ensure broad access to clean technologies; • Ensure air pollution reductions happen where they are needed the most; • Integrate across programs and agencies to ensure complementary policies provide maximum benefits to disadvantaged communities; • Implement California Energy Commission and CARB recommendations to overcome barriers to clean energy and clean transportation options for low-income residents; • Provide energy-efficient affordable housing near job centers and transit; and • Implement AB 617 to dramatically improve air quality in local communities through targeted action plans. lEgislativE lEadErship on ClimatE The California Legislature has shaped the State’s climate change program, setting out clear policy objectives over the next decade: • 40% reduction in GHG emissions by 2030; • 50% renewable electricity; • Double energy efficiency savings; • Support for clean cars; • Integrate land use, transit, and affordable housing to curb auto trips; • Prioritize direct reductions; • Identify air pollution, health, and social benefits of climate policies; • Slash “super pollutants”; • Protect and manage natural and working lands; • Invest in disadvantaged communities; and • Strong support for Cap-and-Trade. ES7 Enhance Industrial Efficiency & Competitiveness California leads the country in manufacturing and industrial efficiency. For every dollar spent on electricity, our manufacturers produce 55 percent more value than the national average. And the efficiency of California industry continues to grow at rates faster than the national average. High efficiency rates, coupled with the Cap-and-Trade Program’s firm emission cap, allow economic activity to increase without corresponding increases in GHG emissions. In other words, the more California produces, the better it is for the planet. Maintaining and extending our successful programs – from the Cap-and-Trade Program and Low Carbon Fuel Standard to zero-emission, renewable energy and energy efficiency programs – will reduce GHGs, increase energy cost savings, offer businesses flexibility to reduce emissions at low cost and provide clear policy and market direction, and certainty, for business planning and investment. This will encourage continued research, evaluation, and deployment of innovative strategies and technology to further reduce emissions in the industrial sector through advances in energy efficiency and productivity, increased access to cleaner fuels, and carbon capture, utilization and storage. aCtion on hfCs Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) represent one of the biggest opportunities to reduce GHGs in the State through 2030 due to their high climate impacts, and in many cases, offer energy efficiency and financial savings, as well. The world recently agreed to phase down their use, but California has committed to move more quickly, in line with the scope of the opportunity for cost-effective emissions reductions in the State. aChiEving suCCEss in industrial EffiCiEnCy and CompEtitivEnEss • Evaluate and implement policies and measures to continue reducing GHG, criteria, and toxic air contaminant emissions from sources such as refineries; • Improve productivity and strengthen economic competitiveness by further improving energy efficiency and diversifying fuel supplies with low carbon alternatives; • Prioritize procurement of goods that have lower carbon footprints • Support and attract industry that produces goods needed to reduce GHGs; and • Cut energy costs and GHG emissions by quickly transitioning to efficient HFC alternatives. ES8 Prioritize Transportation Sustainability California’s transportation system underpins our economy. The extensive freight system moves trillions of dollars of goods each year and supports nearly one-third of the state economy and more than 5 million jobs. The way we plan our communities impacts everything from household budgets to infrastructure needs, productivity lost to congestion, protection of natural and working landscapes, and our overall health and well-being. And transportation is the largest source of GHG, criteria, and toxic diesel particulate matter emissions in the state. California’s ability to remain an economic powerhouse and environmental leader requires additional efforts to improve transportation sustainability with a comprehensive approach that includes regulation, incentives, and investment. This approach addresses a full range of transportation system improvements relating to efficient land use, affordable housing, infrastructure for cyclists and pedestrians, public transit, new vehicle technologies, fuels and freight. One example is the deployment of the nation’s first high-speed rail system, which will include seamless connections to local transit. The approach is working: California is home to nearly half of the country’s zero-emission vehicles. Innovative alternative fuel producers and oil companies are bringing more low carbon fuels to market than required by the Low Carbon Fuel Standard. And, the State has committed to investing billions in zero-emission vehicles and infrastructure, land use planning, and active transportation options such as walking and biking. In fact, renewable fuels in the heavy-duty vehicle sector are displacing diesel fossil fuel as quickly as renewable power is replacing fossil fuels on the electricity grid. California’s climate policies will also reduce fossil fuel use and decouple the state from volatile global oil prices. CARB’s analyses show fossil fuel demand will decrease by more than 45 percent by 2030, which means Californians will be using less gasoline and diesel resulting in healthier air and cost-savings on transportation fuels. These benefits will be further amplified as we move away from light-duty combustion vehicles. By re-doubling our efforts, California can make sure that markets tip quickly and definitively in the favor of electric cars, trucks, buses, and equipment, while increasing the use of clean, low carbon fuels where zero-emissions options are not yet available. Local transportation planning can make communities become healthier and more vibrant and connected – encouraging housing, walking, biking and transit policies that reduce GHGs and promote good quality of life. And, we can work to ensure that an efficient sustainable freight system continues to power our ever-growing economy. DRAFT RENEWABLE DIESEL USE Source: CARB has increased 7000% since 2011 ES9 Achieving SucceSS in TrAnSporTATion SuSTAinAbiliT y • Connect California’s communities with a state-of-the-art high-speed rail system; • Promote vibrant communities and landscapes through better planning efforts to curb vehicle-miles-traveled and increase walking, biking and transit; • Build on the State’s successful regulatory and incentive-based policies to quickly make clean cars, trucks, buses, and fuels definitive market winners; • Coordinate agency activities to ensure that emerging automated and connected vehicle technologies reduce emissions; and • Improve freight and goods movement efficiency and sustainability to enable California’s continued economic growth. ES10 Continue Leading on Clean Energy California is well ahead of schedule in meeting its renewable energy targets. Wind and solar generation have grown exponentially in recent years, while hydroelectric, geothermal, and biomass have consistently contributed renewable power to our energy supply. Californians are the ones who will take action to meet energy efficiency targets, integrate renewable power through demand response, and drive demand for net zero energy buildings. This includes self-generation which also grew exponentially in recent years with installed solar totaling 2,000 megawatts (MW) in 2014 and 5,100 MW of the total statewide self-generation installed solar in 2015. By June 2017, solar installed in California was about 5,800 MW, far exceeding the State’s goals. 1983 1990 2000 2010 2016GWh 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 SOLAR WIND GEOTHERMAL SMALL HYDRO BIOMASS Increasing Renewable Electricity Generation (In-State and Out-of State)inCrEasing rEnEwablE ElECtriCity gEnEration (in & out of state) The Renewable Portfolio Standard, Carbon Pricing, and lower costs for renewable technology are delivering real environmental benefits. ES11 While at this time natural gas is an important energy source, we must move toward cleaner heating fuels and replicate the progress underway for electricity. As with electricity, this starts with efficiency and demand reduction, including building and appliance electrification where these advancements make sense. It calls for minimizing fugitive methane leaks throughout the system, including beyond California’s borders where 90 percent of the natural gas used here originates. And, it includes using more renewable gas – a valuable in-state resource made from waste products – especially in the transportation sector. Replacing fossil fuels with renewable gas can reduce potent short- lived climate pollutants, and state policies should support this effort. Reducing demand for natural gas, and moving toward renewable natural gas, will help California achieve its 2030 climate target. However, switching from natural gas to electricity – where feasible and demonstrated to reduce GHGs – is needed to stay on track to achieve our long-term goals. 50% GOAL33% GOAL 20302020 Reaching California’s Clean Electricity Goals 29% PROGRESS 2016 aChiEving suCCEss in ClEan EnErgy • Effectively integrate at least 50 percent renewables as the primary source of power in the State through coordinated planning, additional deployments of energy storage, and grid regionalization; • Utilize distributed resources and engage customers by making net zero energy buildings standard, implement Existing Buildings Energy Efficiency Action Plan to double existing building efficiency, and increase access to energy efficiency, renewable energy, and energy use data; and • Reduce the use of heating fuels while concurrently making what is used cleaner by minimizing fugitive methane leaks, prioritizing natural gas efficiency and demand reduction, and enabling cost-effective access to renewable gas. The State’s 3 largest investor-owned utilities are on track to achieve a 50% RPS by 2020. ES12 aChiEving suCCEss in putting wastE rEsourCEs to bEnEfiCial usE • Develop and implement programs, including edible food waste recovery, to divert organics from landfills and reduce methane emissions; • Develop and implement a packaging reduction program; and • Identify a sustainable funding mechanism to support waste management programs, including infrastructure development to support organics diversion. Put Waste Resources to Beneficial Use Effectively managing waste streams is perhaps the most basic of environmental tenets. “Reduce, re-use, and recycle” is a mantra known even to elementary school students. For decades California law has reduced waste reaching landfills and recaptured value from waste streams through recycling and composting. California law requires reducing, recycling, or composting 75 percent of solid waste generated by 2020. The State also has specific goals for diverting organic waste, which decomposes in landfills to produce the super pollutant methane. State law also directs edible food to hungry families rather than having it discarded. Capturing value from waste makes sense. As described in the Healthy Soils Initiative, compost from organic matter provides soil amendments to revitalize farmland, reduces irrigation and landscaping water demand, and potentially increases long-term carbon storage in rangelands. Organic matter can also provide a clean, renewable energy source in the form of bioenergy, biofuels, or renewable natural gas. California should take ownership of its waste and adhere to a waste “loading order” that prioritizes waste reduction, re-use, and material recovery over landfilling. The State can take steps to reduce waste from packaging, which constitutes about one-quarter of California’s waste stream. It can invest in and streamline in-state infrastructure development to support recycling, remanufacturing, composting, anaerobic digestion, and other beneficial uses of organic waste. And, it can help communities in their efforts to recover food for those in need. ES13 Support Resilient Agricultural and Rural Economies and Natural and Working Lands California’s natural and working landscapes, like forests and farms, are home to the most diverse sources of food, fiber, and renewable energy in the country. They underpin the state’s water supply and support clean air, wildlife habitat, and local and regional economies. They are also the frontiers of climate change. They are often the first to experience the impacts of climate change, and they hold the ultimate solution to addressing climate change and its impacts. In order to stabilize the climate, natural and working lands must play a key role. Work to better quantify the carbon stored in natural and working lands is continuing, but given the long timelines to change landscapes, action must begin now to restore and conserve these lands. We should aim to manage our natural and working lands in California to reduce GHG emissions from business-as-usual by at least 15-20 million metric tons in 2030, to complement the measures described in this Plan. Natural and working lands can be better incorporated into California’s climate change mitigation efforts by encouraging collaboration with local and regional organizations and increasing investment to protect, enhance, and innovate in our rural landscapes and communities. The State is partnering with tribes to preserve carbon, protect tribal forest lands and increase their land base. Transportation and land use planning should minimize the footprint of the built environment, while supporting and investing in efforts to restore, conserve and strengthen natural and working lands. California’s forests should be healthy carbon sinks that minimize black carbon emissions where appropriate, supply new markets for woody waste and non- merchantable timber, and provide multiple ecosystem benefits. Rehabilitating and strengthening wetlands and tidal environments, and incorporating natural landscapes into urban environments will also help make natural and working lands part of the state’s climate solution. Finally, California farmers can be a powerful force in the fight against climate change, in how they manage their lands, tend their crops, and husband their livestock. aChiEving suCCEss in supporting rEsiliEnt agriCultural and rural EConomiEs and natural and working l ands • Protect, enhance and innovate on California’s natural and working lands to ensure natural and working lands become a net carbon sink over the long-term; • Develop and implement the Natural and Working Lands Implementation Plan to maintain these lands as a net carbon sink and avoid at least 15-20 metric tons of GHG emissions by 2030; • Measure and monitor progress by completing CARB’s Natural and Working Lands Inventory and implementing tracking and performance monitoring systems; and • Unleash opportunity in the agricultural sector by improving manure management, boosting soil health, generating renewable power, electrifying operations, utilizing waste biomass, and increasing water, fertilizer, and energy use efficiency to reduce super pollutants. Improved forest management on tribal lands has preserved almost 3 million metric tons of carbon in California and the revenues from the carbon offsets have been used to secure ownership of ancestral lands. ES14 thE watEr-EnErgy nExus • About 12% of the total energy used in the state is related to water, with 2% for conveyance, treatment and distribution, and 10% for end-customer uses like heating and cooling. • The water-energy nexus provides opportunities for conservation of these natural resources as well as reduction of GHGs. aChiEving suCCEss in sECuring California’s watEr suppliEs • Increase water savings by certifying innovative technologies for water conservation and developing and implementing new conservation targets, updated agricultural water management plans, and long term conservation regulations; • Develop a voluntary registry for GHG emissions from energy use associated with water; and • Continue to increase the use of renewable energy to operate the State Water Project. Secure California’s Water Supplies Water is California’s lifeblood. It sustains communities and drives the economy. An elaborate network of storage and delivery systems has enabled the state to prosper and grow. But this aging system was built for a previous time and is increasingly challenged by the realities of climate change and population growth. Producing, moving, heating and treating water demands significant energy and produces commensurately significant emissions. As California looks to the future, meeting new demands and sustaining prosperity requires increased water conservation and efficiency, improved coordination and management of various water supplies, greater understanding of the water-energy nexus, and deployment of new technologies in drinking water treatment, groundwater remediation and recharge, and potentially brackish and seawater desalination. State efforts must support systemic shifts toward conservation, efficiency, and renewable energy in the water sector. ES15 Climate Plan Provides Health Benefits in 2030 $1.2-1.8 billion VALUE OF AVOIDED HEALTH IMPACTS $1.9-11.2 billion VALUE OF AVOIDED DAMAGES USING SOCIAL COST OF CARBON 3,300~ AVOIDED PREMATURE DEATHS Cleaning the Air and Public Health The benefits of this Plan are broader than just climate change – implementation of the Plan will also help improve public health. The Plan incorporates freight and mobile source strategies which will deliver reductions in criteria and toxic air pollutants to improve air quality. California continues to seek ways to improve implementation of its climate program and its ability to address the unique set of impacts facing the state’s most pollution burdened communities. In addition, CARB’s environmental justice efforts are intended to reach far beyond climate change. While this Plan provides a path for reducing GHG emissions in disadvantaged communities, it also includes new tools that will complement the Plan and lead to further air quality improvements. In particular, implementation of AB 617 will improve air quality in local communities, in partnership with local air districts, using targeted investments in neighborhood-level air monitoring and the development of air pollution reduction action plans with strong enforcement programs. These plans will require pollution reductions from both mobile and stationary sources. Through these efforts, CARB anticipates, and will work for, increased data transparency and the adoption of new statewide air pollutant emission controls that will not only confer short-term benefits to those most in need of improvement, but which will ultimately benefit all Californians. Under the leadership of CARB’s first executive-level environmental justice liaison, the agency is also laying a roadmap to better serve California’s environmental justice communities in the design and implementation across its broader programs. ES16 Successful Example of Carbon Pricing and Investment The Cap-and-Trade Program is fundamental to meeting California’s long-range climate targets at low cost. The Cap-and-Trade Program includes GHG emissions from transportation, electricity, industrial, agricultural, waste, residential and commercial sources, and caps them while complementing the other measures needed to meet the 2030 GHG target. Altogether, the emissions covered by the Cap-and-Trade program total 80 percent of all GHG emissions in California. California’s response to climate change has led to many innovative programs designed to reduce GHG emissions, including the Renewable Portfolio and Low Carbon Transportation Standards, but the Cap-and-Trade Program guarantees GHG emissions reductions through a strict overall emissions limit that decreases each year, while trading provides businesses with flexibility in their approach to reducing emissions. The Cap-and-Trade Program also generates revenue when the allowances to emit pollution are auctioned. Some of the revenue is returned directly to electricity ratepayers, and the rest is dedicated to reducing GHG emissions by making Legislatively directed investments in California with an emphasis on programs or projects that benefit disadvantaged and low-income communities. Including the latest budget, approximately $5 billion has been appropriated to reduce GHG emissions, reduce air pollutant emissions where reductions are needed most, grow markets for clean technologies, and spur emissions reductions in sectors not covered by Cap-and-Trade. These investments are strengthening the economy and improving public health – especially in the areas of the state most burdened by pollution. So far, half of the $1.2 billion spent provides benefits to disadvantaged communities, and one-third of those investments were made directly in those communities. Cap-and -tradE program • Firm, declining cap provides highest certainty to achieve 2030 target. • Low cost GHG emission reductions minimize impact on consumers and economy. • Flexibility for businesses • Can be linked with similar programs worldwide. PROCEEDS INVESTMENTS FIRM LIMIT ON 80% OF EMISSIONS California’s C arbon priCing & invEstmEnts ovErviEw ES17 California’s Cap-and-Trade Program is the most comprehensive, effective, and well-designed carbon market on the planet. Today, the Program is linked with a similar program in Quebec and will link with a similar program in Ontario beginning in 2018. Nearly 40 countries and over 20 subnational entities – altogether representing nearly a quarter of global emissions – have developed, or are developing, emissions trading programs. Each of them looks to California and our linked Western Climate Initiative Partners as they design, implement, and refine their own programs. Fostering Global Action Through the State’s leadership in the Cap-and-Trade Program, innovative sector-specific policies that are reducing technology costs and GHG emissions, and community-scale engagement and investments to reduce GHGs and promote equity, California is playing a significant role in addressing global climate change. Governor Brown has stated that climate change is the most important issue of our lifetime, and has promoted scientifically sound approaches to address climate change in California and beyond. He has participated in international climate discussions at the United Nations headquarters in New York, the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris, the Vatican, and the Climate Summit of the Americas in Canada – calling on other subnational and national leaders to join California in the fight against climate change. He has signed climate change agreements with leaders from Chile, China, the Czech Republic, Israel, Japan, Mexico, the Netherlands, other North American states and provinces, and Peru. He has joined an unprecedented alliance of heads of state, city and state leaders – convened by the World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund – to urge countries and companies around the globe to put a price on carbon. And California is a founding member of the International Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Alliance, a coalition of national and subnational governments working to accelerate the adoption of ZEVs and make all new Nearly 30,000 projects installing efficiency measures in homes 105,000+ rebates issued for zero-emission and plug-in hybrid vehicles 16,000+ acres of land preserved or restored 6,200+ trees planted in urban areas 200+ transit agency projects funded, adding or expanding transit options 1,100+ new affordable housing units under contract 140,000+ total projects implemented 50% of projects benefiting Disadvantaged Communities ($614M) REGIONS REPRESENT 1.20 That’s 39 % of the global economy BILLIONPEOPLE AND$28.8 IN GDPTRILLION To nd out more visit: Under2MOU.org C ap-and -tradE dollars at work (2017) ES18 cars zero emissions. Delegations from around the world travel to Sacramento to meet with the architects and implementers of California’s climate policies to learn how to successfully combine strong greenhouse gas policies with a strong economy. Perhaps most significant is the Under2Coalition. It is a global climate pact – spearheaded by Governor Brown – among states, provinces, countries, and cities all committing to do their part to limit the increase in global average temperatures below the dangerous levels. Signatories commit to either reducing greenhouse gas emissions 80 to 95 percent below 1990 levels by 2050 or achieving a per capita annual emission target of less than 2 metric tons by 2050. More than 200 jurisdictions from 38 countries and six continents have now signed or endorsed the agreement. Together, members of the Under2Coalition represent more than 1.2 billion people and $28.8 trillion in GDP, equivalent to 39 percent of the global economy. Unleashing the California Spirit This Plan is a declaration of California’s path forward. It builds on the State’s successful approach to addressing climate change and harnesses the California spirit to propel a cleaner economy, while serving as an example for others. But this Plan will not be successful on its own. Our collective, and individual, efforts must reach every sector of California’s economy, and every community in the state. As California faces the challenge of climate change, it will succeed as it always has – through open, inclusive processes, through support of clean technology markets, and through a relentless pursuit of a healthy California for all. There should be no doubt that California is united in understanding the need to act, and in the will to act. Investments in clean, low-carbon options will pay off – for the environment and the economy. Investments and training in education and workforce development for a lower carbon economy are a critical part of this transition. This Plan is only the beginning. All of the measures in the Plan will be developed in their own public process, shaped not just by the vision of this Plan, but also by the best understanding of the technology, costs and impacts on communities – and by input from a broad range of stakeholders and perspectives with the recognition that achieving the 2030 target is a milestone on our way to the deeper GHG reductions needed to protect the environment and our way of life. The Plan also proposes developing a long-term funding plan to inform future appropriations necessary to achieve our long-term targets, which will send clear market and workforce development signals. Climate change presents unprecedented challenges, but just as we have always done, Californians will tackle them with innovation, inclusion and ultimately, success. 1 Chapter 1 Background In November 2016, California Governor Edmund G. Brown affirmed California’s role in the fight against climate change in the United States, noting, “We will protect the precious rights of our people and continue to confront the existential threat of our time–devastating climate change.” By working to reduce the threat facing the State and setting an example, California continues to lead in the climate arena. This Scoping Plan for Achieving California’s 2030 Greenhouse Gas Target (Scoping Plan or 2017 Scoping Plan) identifies how the State can reach our 2030 climate target to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 40 percent from 1990 levels, and substantially advance toward our 2050 climate goal to reduce GHG emissions by 80 percent below 1990 levels. By selecting and pursuing a sustainable and clean economy path for 2030, the State will continue to successfully execute existing programs, demonstrate the coupling of economic growth and environmental progress, and enhance new opportunities for engagement within the State to address and prepare for climate change. This Scoping Plan builds on and integrates efforts already underway to reduce the State’s GHG, criteria pollutant, and toxic air contaminant emissions. Successful implementation of existing programs has put California on track to achieve the 2020 target. Programs such as the Low Carbon Fuel Standard and Renewables Portfolio Standard are delivering cleaner fuels and energy, the Advanced Clean Cars Program has put more than a quarter million clean vehicles on the road, and the Sustainable Freight Action Plan will result in efficient and cleaner systems to move goods throughout the State. Enhancing and implementing these ongoing efforts puts California on the path to achieving the 2030 target. This Scoping Plan relies on these, and other, foundational programs paired with an extended, more stringent Cap-and-Trade Program, to deliver climate, air quality, and other benefits. In developing this Scoping Plan, it is paramount that we continue to build on California’s success by taking effective actions. We must rapidly produce real results to avoid the most catastrophic impacts of climate change. The Scoping Plan identifies policies based on solid science and identifies additional research needs, while also recognizing the need for flexibility in the face of a changing climate. Ongoing research to better understand systems where our knowledge is weaker will allow for additional opportunities to set targets and identify actionable policies. Further, a long-term funding plan to inform future appropriations is critical to achieve our long-term targets, which will send clear market and workforce development signals. Climate Legislation and Directives California has made progress on addressing climate change during periods of both Republican and Democratic national and State administrations. California’s governors and legislature prioritize public health and the environment. A series of executive orders and laws have generated policies and actions across State government, among local and regional governments, and within industry. These policies also have encouraged collaboration with federal agencies and spurred partnerships with many jurisdictions beyond California’s borders. Moving forward, California will continue its pursuit of collaborations and advocacy for action to address climate change. The following list provides a summary of major climate legislation and executive orders that have shaped California’s climate programs. Assembly Bill 32 (AB 32) (Nuñez, Chapter 488, Statutes of 2006), the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006. • Cut the State’s GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020 with maintained and continued reductions post 2020. • First comprehensive climate bill in California, a defining moment in the State’s long history of environmental stewardship. I ntroduct I on 2 • Secured the State’s role as a national and global leader in reducing GHGs. Pursuant to AB 32, the California Air Resources Board (CARB or Board) prepared and adopted the initial Scoping Plan to “identify and make recommendations on direct emissions reductions measures, alternative compliance mechanisms, market-based compliance mechanisms, and potential monetary and non-monetary incentives” in order to achieve the 2020 goal, and to achieve “the maximum technologically feasible and cost-effective GHG emissions reductions” by 2020 and maintain and continue reductions beyond 2020. AB 32 requires CARB to update the Scoping Plan at least every five years. Executive Order B-30-15 In his January 2015 inaugural address, Governor Brown identified actions in five key climate change strategy “pillars” necessary to meet California’s ambitious climate change goals. These five pillars are: • Reducing today’s petroleum use in cars and trucks by up to 50 percent. • Increasing from one-third to 50 percent our electricity derived from renewable sources. • Doubling the efficiency savings achieved at existing buildings and making heating fuels cleaner. • Reducing the release of methane, black carbon, and other short-lived climate pollutants. • Managing farm and rangelands, forests, and wetlands so they can store carbon. Consistent with these goals, Governor Brown signed Executive Order B-30-15 in April 2015: • Establishing a California GHG reduction target of 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030. • Calling on CARB, in coordination with sister agencies, to update the AB 32 Climate Change Scoping Plan to incorporate the 2030 target. • Building out the “sixth pillar” of the Governor’s strategy–to safeguard California in the face of a changing climate–highlighting the need to prioritize actions to reduce GHG emissions and build resilience in the face of a changing climate. Senate Bill 350 (SB 350) (De Leon, Chapter 547, Statutes of 2015), Golden State Standards • Required the State to set GHG reduction planning targets through Integrated Resource Planning in the electricity sector as a whole and among individual utilities and other electricity providers (collectively known as load serving entities).• Codified an increase in the Renewables Portfolio Standard (RPS) to 50 percent by 20301 and doubled the energy savings required in electricity and natural gas end uses as discussed in the Governor’s inaugural address. Senate Bill 32 (SB 32) (Pavley, Chapter 249, Statutes of 2016), California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2016: emissions limit and Assembly Bill 197 (AB 197) (E. Garcia, Chapter 250, Statutes of 2016), State Air Resources Board: greenhouse gases: regulations. SB 32 affirms the importance of addressing climate change by codifying into statute the GHG emissions reductions target of at least 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030 contained in Governor Brown’s Executive Order B-30-15. The 2030 target reflects the same science that informs the agreement reached in Paris by the 2015 Conference of Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), aimed at keeping the global temperature increase below 2 degrees Celsius (°C). The California 2030 target represents the most ambitious GHG reduction goal for North America. Based on the emissions reductions directed by SB 32, the annual 2030 statewide target emissions level for California is 260 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MMTCO2e). The companion bill to SB 32, AB 197, provides additional direction to CARB on the following areas related to the adoption of strategies to reduce GHG emissions. • Requires annual posting of GHG, criteria, and toxic air contaminant data throughout the State, organized by local and sub-county level for stationary sources and by at least a county level for mobile sources.• Requires CARB, when adopting rules and regulations to achieve emissions reductions 1 http://www.cpuc.ca.gov/renewables/ 3 and to protect the State’s most affected and disadvantaged communities, to consider the social costs of GHG emissions and prioritize both of the following: • Emissions reductions rules and regulations that result in direct GHG emissions reductions at large stationary sources of GHG emissions and direct emissions reductions from mobile sources. • Emissions reductions rules and regulations that result in direct GHG emissions reductions from sources other than those listed above. • Directs CARB, in the development of each scoping plan, to identify for each emissions reduction measure: • The range of projected GHG emissions reductions that result from the measure.• The range of projected air pollution reductions that result from the measure.• The cost-effectiveness, including avoided social costs, of the measure. CARB has begun the process to implement the provisions of AB 197. For instance, CARB is already posting GHG, criteria pollutant and toxic air contaminant data. CARB also incorporated air emissions data into a visualization tool in December 2016 in response to direction in AB 197 to provide easier access to this data.2 Senate Bill 1383 (SB 1383) (Lara, Chapter 395, Statutes of 2016), Short-lived climate pollutants: methane emissions: dairy and livestock: organic waste: landfills • Requires the development, adoption, and implementation of a Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy.3, 4 • Includes the following specific goals for 2030 from 2013 levels: • 40 percent reduction in methane. • 40 percent reduction in hydrofluorocarbon gases. • 50 percent reduction in anthropogenic black carbon.5 Short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs), such as black carbon, fluorinated gases, and methane, are powerful climate forcers that have a dramatic and detrimental effect on air quality, public health, and climate change. These pollutants create a warming influence on the climate that is many times more potent than that of carbon dioxide. In March 2017, the Board adopted the Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Reduction Strategy (SLCP Strategy) establishing a path to decrease GHG emissions and displace fossil-based natural gas use. Strategies include avoiding landfill methane emissions by reducing the disposal of organics through edible food recovery, composting, in-vessel digestion, and other processes; and recovering methane from wastewater treatment facilities, and manure methane at dairies, and using the methane as a renewable source of natural gas to fuel vehicles or generate electricity. The SLCP Strategy also identifies steps to reduce natural gas leaks from oil and gas wells, pipelines, valves, and pumps to improve safety, avoid energy losses, and reduce methane emissions associated with natural gas use. Lastly, the SLCP Strategy also identifies measures that can reduce hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions at national and international levels, in addition to State-level action that includes an incentive program to encourage the use of low-Global Warming Potential (GWP) refrigerants, and limitations on the use of high-GWP refrigerants in new refrigeration and air-conditioning equipment. Assembly Bill 1504 (AB 1504) (Skinner, Chapter 534, Statutes of 2010): Forest resources: carbon sequestration • Requires the Board of Forestry and Fire Protection to adopt district forest practice rules and regulations in accordance with specified policies to, among other things, assure the continuous growing and harvesting of commercial forest tree species.• Requires the Board of Forestry and Fire Protection to ensure that its rules and regulations that govern the harvesting of commercial forest tree species consider the capacity of forest resources to sequester carbon dioxide emissions sufficient to meet or exceed the sequestration target of 5 million metric tons of carbon dioxide annually, as established in the first AB 32 Climate Change Scoping Plan. 2 CARB. 2016. CARB’s Emission Inventory Activities. www.arb.ca.gov/ei/ei.htm3 CARB. Reducing Short-Lived Climate Pollutants in California. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/shortlived/shortlived.htm4 Senate Bill No. 605. leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=201320140SB6055 Senate Bill No.1383. leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=201520160SB1383 4 Senate Bill 1386 (SB 1386) (Wolk, Chapter 545, Statutes of 2016): Resource conservation, natural and working lands • Declares it the policy of the State that protection and management of natural and working lands, as defined, is an important strategy in meeting the State’s GHG reduction goals. • Requires State agencies to consider protection and management of natural and working lands in establishing policies and grant criteria, and in making expenditures, and “implement this requirement in conjunction with the State’s other strategies to meet its greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals.” Assembly Bill 398 (AB 398) (E. Garcia, Chapter 135, Statutes of 2017): California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006: market-based compliance mechanisms: fire prevention fees: sales and use tax manufacturing exemption • Clarifies the role of the State’s Cap-and-Trade Program from January 1, 2021, through December 31, 2030, continuing elements of the current program, but requiring CARB to make some post-2020 refinements. • Establishes a Compliance Offsets Protocol Task Force to provide guidance to CARB in approving new offset protocols that increase projects with direct, in-state environmental benefits. • Establishes the Independent Emissions Market Advisory Committee to report annually on the environmental and economic performance of the Cap-and-Trade Program and other climate policies. • Identifies legislative priorities for allocating auction revenue proceeds, to include but not be limited to: air toxic and criteria air pollutants from stationary and mobile sources; low- and zero- carbon transportation alternatives; sustainable agricultural practices that promote transition to clean technology, water efficiency, and improved air quality; healthy forests and urban greening; short- lived climate pollutants; climate adaptation and resiliency; and climate and clean energy research. In addition, AB 398 requires CARB to designate the Cap-and-Trade Program as the mechanism for reducing GHG emissions from petroleum refineries and oil and gas production facilities in this update to the Scoping Plan. With respect to local air districts, AB 398 states that it does not limit or expand the district’s existing authority, including the authority to regulate criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants, except that it prohibits an air district from adopting or implementing a rule for the specific purpose of reducing emissions of carbon dioxide from stationary sources that are subject to the Cap-and-Trade Program. Assembly Bill 617 (AB 617) (C. Garcia, Chapter 136, Statutes of 2017): Nonvehicular air pollution: criteria air pollutants and toxic air contaminants. This bill was passed as a companion to AB 398 (E. Garcia, 2017) to strengthen air quality monitoring and reduce air pollution at a community level, in communities affected by a high cumulative burden of exposure to pollution. CARB is required to prepare a monitoring plan by October 1, 2018, that assesses the State’s current air monitoring network with recommendations for a set of high-priority locations around the State to deploy community focused air monitoring systems. Local air districts must deploy air monitoring systems in the selected high priority locations by July 1, 2019. Thereafter, CARB will evaluate and select additional locations for community air monitoring on an annual basis. The air districts must also deploy air monitoring systems within one year of CARB’s selection of the high-priority locations. In addition to the monitoring plan, the bill requires CARB to develop a statewide strategy to reduce criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants (TACs) in communities affected by high cumulative exposure burdens through approved community emissions reduction programs developed by local air districts, in partnership with residents in the affected communities; requires CARB to establish a uniform system of annual reporting of criteria pollutants and TACs for the existing statewide air monitoring network; and expedites implementation of best available retrofit control technology in non-attainment areas. Tables summarizing the legislation described in this section, along with other climate related legislation and programs are included in Appendix H and organized by sector. 5 Initial Scoping Plan and First Update to the Scoping Plan The Initial Scoping Plan6 in 2008 presented the first economy-wide approach to reducing emissions and highlighted the value of combining both carbon pricing with other complementary programs to meet California’s 2020 GHG emissions target while ensuring progress in all sectors. The coordinated set of policies in the Initial Scoping Plan employed strategies tailored to specific needs, including market-based compliance mechanisms, performance standards, technology requirements, and voluntary reductions. The Initial Scoping Plan also described a conceptual design for a cap-and-trade program that included eventual linkage to other cap-and-trade programs to form a larger regional trading program. AB 32 requires CARB to update the scoping plan at least every five years. The First Update to the Scoping Plan7 (First Update), approved in 2014, presented an update on the program and its progress toward meeting the 2020 limit. It also developed the first vision for long-term progress beyond 2020. In doing so, the First Update laid the groundwork for the goals set forth in Executive Orders S-3-058 and B-16-2012 9. It also identified the need for a 2030 mid-term target to establish a continuum of actions to maintain and continue reductions, rather than only focusing on targets for 2020 or 2050. Building on California’s Environmental Legacy California’s successful climate policies and programs have already delivered emissions reductions resulting from cleaner, more fuel-efficient cars and zero emission vehicles (ZEVs), low carbon fuels, increased renewable energy, and greater waste diversion from landfills; water conservation; improved forest management; and improved energy efficiency of homes and businesses. Beyond GHG reductions, these policies and programs also provide an array of benefits including improved public health, green jobs, and more clean energy choices. The 2030 GHG emissions reduction target in SB 32 will ensure that the State maintains this momentum beyond 2020, mindful of the State’s population growth and needs. This Scoping Plan identifies a path to simultaneously make progress on the State’s climate goals as well as complement other efforts such as the State Implementation Plans (SIPs) and community emissions reduction programs to help improve air quality in all parts of the State. California’s future climate strategy will require continued contributions from all sectors of the economy, including enhanced focus on zero- and near-zero emission (ZE/NZE) vehicle technologies; continued investment in renewables, such as solar roofs, wind, and other types of distributed generation; greater use of low carbon fuels; integrated land conservation and development strategies; coordinated efforts to reduce emissions of short-lived climate pollutants (methane, black carbon, and fluorinated gases); and an increased focus on integrated land use planning to support livable, transit-connected communities and conservation of agricultural and other lands. Requirements for GHG reductions at stationary sources complement efforts of local air pollution control and air quality management districts (air districts) to tighten criteria and toxics air pollution emission limits on a broad spectrum of industrial sources, including in disadvantaged communities historically located adjacent to large stationary sources. Finally, meeting the State’s climate, public health, and environmental goals will entail understanding, quantifying, and addressing emissions impacts from land use decisions at all governmental levels. Purpose of the 2017 Scoping Plan This Scoping Plan incorporates, coordinates, and leverages many existing and ongoing efforts and identifies new policies and actions to accomplish the State’s climate goals. Chapter 2 of this document includes a description of a suite of specific actions to meet the State’s 2030 GHG limit. In addition, Chapter 4 provides a broader description of the many actions and proposals being explored across the sectors, including the natural resources sector, to achieve the State’s mid and long-term climate goals. Guided by legislative direction, the actions identified in this Scoping Plan reduce overall GHG emissions in California and deliver policy signals that will continue to drive investment and certainty in a low carbon 6 CARB. Initial AB 32 Climate Change Scoping Plan. Available at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/adopted_scoping_plan.pdf7 CARB. First Update to the AB 32 Scoping Plan. Available at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/updatedscopingplan2013.htm8 www.gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=18619 www.gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=17472 6 economy. This Scoping Plan builds upon the successful framework established by the Initial Scoping Plan and First Update, while identifying new, technologically feasible, and cost-effective strategies to ensure that California meets its GHG reduction targets in a way that promotes and rewards innovation, continues to foster economic growth, and delivers improvements to the environment and public health, including in disadvantaged communities. The Plan includes policies to require direct GHG reductions at some of the State’s largest stationary sources and mobile sources. These policies include the use of lower GHG fuels, efficiency regulations, and the Cap-and-Trade Program, which constrains and reduces emissions at covered sources. Process for Developing the 2017 Scoping Plan This Scoping Plan was developed in coordination with State agencies, through engagement with the Legislature, and with open and transparent opportunities for stakeholders and the public to engage in workshops and other meetings. Development also included careful consideration of, and coordination with, other State agency plans and regulations, including the Cap-and-Trade Program, Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS), State Implementation Plan, California Sustainable Freight Action Plan, California Transportation Plan 2040, Forest Carbon Plan, and the Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy, among others. To inform this Scoping Plan, CARB, in collaboration with the Governor’s Office and other State agencies, solicited comments and feedback from affected stakeholders, including the public, and the Environmental Justice Advisory Committee (EJAC or Committee). The process to update the 2017 Scoping Plan began with the Governor’s Office Pillar Symposia, which included over a dozen public workshops, and featured a series of Committee and environmental justice community meetings.10 One key message conveyed to CARB during engagement with the legislature, EJAC, and environmental justice communities was the need to emphasize reductions at large stationary sources, with a particular focus on multi-pollutant strategies for these sources to reduce GHGs and harmful criteria and toxic air pollutants that result in localized health impacts, especially in disadvantaged communities. Other consistent feedback for CARB included the need for built and natural infrastructure improvements that enhance quality of life, increase access to safe and viable transportation options, and improve physical activity and related health outcomes. Updated Climate Science Supports the Need for More Action Climate scientists agree that global warming and other shifts in the climate system observed over the past century are caused by human activities. These recorded changes are occurring at an unprecedented rate.11 According to new research, unabated GHG emissions could allow sea levels to rise up to ten feet by the end of this century–an outcome that could devastate coastal communities in California and around the world.12 California is already feeling the effects of climate change, and projections show that these effects will continue and worsen over the coming centuries. The impacts of climate change have been documented by the Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment (OEHHA) in the Indicators of Climate Change Report, which details the following changes that are occurring already:13 • A recorded increase in annual average temperatures, as well as increases in daily minimum and maximum temperatures. • An increase in the occurrence of extreme events, including wildfire and heat waves. • A reduction in spring runoff volumes, as a result of declining snowpack. • A decrease in winter chill hours, necessary for the production of high-value fruit and nut crops. • Changes in the timing and location of species sightings, including migration upslope of flora and fauna, and earlier appearance of Central Valley butterflies. 10 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/scopingplan.htm11 Cook, J., et al. 2016. Consensus on consensus: A synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming. Environmental Research Letters 11:048002 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002.12 California Ocean Protection Council. 2017. Rising Seas in California: An Update On Sea-Level Rise Science. www.opc.ca.gov/webmaster/ftp/pdf/docs/rising-seas-in-california-an-update-on-sea-level-rise-science.pdf13 Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment, Indicators of Climate Change (website): oehha.ca.gov/climate-change/document/indicators-climate-change-california 7 In addition to these trends, the State’s current conditions point to a changing climate. California’s recent historic drought incited land subsidence, pest invasions that killed over 100 million trees, and water shortages throughout the State. Recent scientific studies show that such extreme drought conditions are more likely to occur under a changing climate.14,15 The total statewide economic cost of the 2013–2014 drought was estimated at $2.2 billion, with a total loss of 17,100 jobs.16 In the Central Valley, the drought cost California agriculture about $2.7 billion and more than 20,000 jobs in 2015, which highlights the critical need for developing drought resilience.17 Drought affects other sectors as well. An analysis of the amount of water consumed in meeting California’s energy needs between 1990 and 2012 shows that while California’s energy policies have supported climate mitigation efforts, the performance of these policies have increased vulnerability to climate impacts, especially greater hydrologic uncertainty.18 Several publications carefully examined the potential role of climate change in the recent California drought. One study examined both precipitation and runoff in the Sacramento and San Joaquin River basins, and found that 10 of the past 14 years between 2000 and 2014 have been below normal, and recent years have been the driest and hottest in the full instrumental record from 1895 through November 2014.19 In another study, the authors show that the increasing co-occurrence of dry years with warm years raises the risk of drought, highlighting the critical role of elevated temperatures in altering water availability and increasing overall drought intensity and impact.20 Generally, there is growing risk of unprecedented drought in the western United States driven primarily by rising temperatures, regardless of whether or not there is a clear precipitation trend.21 According to the U.S. Forest Service report, National Insect and Disease Forest Risk Assessment, 2013– 2027,22 California is at risk of losing 12 percent of the total area of forests and woodlands in the State due to insects and disease, or over 5.7 million acres. Some species are expected to lose significant amounts of their total basal area (e.g., whitebark pine is projected to lose 60 percent of its basal area; and lodgepole pine is projected to lose 40 percent). While future climate change is not modeled within the risk assessment, and current drought conditions are not accounted for in these estimates, the projected climate changes over a 15 year period (2013-2027) are expected to significantly increase the number of acres at risk, and will increase the risk from already highly destructive pests such as the mountain pine beetle. Extensive tree mortality is already prevalent in California. The western pine beetle and other bark beetles have killed a majority of the ponderosa pine in the foothills of the central and southern Sierra Nevada Mountains. A recent aerial survey by the U.S. Forest Service identified more than 100 million dead trees in California.23 As there is usually a lag time between drought years and tree mortality, we are now beginning to see a sharp rise in mortality from the past four years of drought. In response to the very high levels of tree mortality, Governor Brown issued an Emergency Proclamation on October 30, 2015, that directed state agencies to identify and take action to reduce wildfire risk through the removal and use of the dead trees. 14 Diffenbaugh, N., D. L. Swain, and D. Touma. 2015. Anthropogenic Warming has Increased Drought Risk in California. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112(13): 3931–3936.15 Cayan, D., T. Das, D. W. Pierce, T. P. Barnett, M. Tyree, and A. Gershunov. 2010. Future Dryness in the Southwest US and Hydrology of the Early 21st Century Drought. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107(50): 21272–21276.16 Howitt, R., J. Medellin-Azuara, D. MacEwan, J. Lund, and D. Summer. 2014. Economic Impacts of 2014 Drought on California Agriculture. watershed.ucdavis.edu/files/biblio/DroughtReport_23July2014_0.pdf.17 Williams, A. P., et al. 2015. Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012– 2014. Geophysical Research Letters http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064924/abstract.18 Fulton, J., and H. Cooley. 2015. The water footprint of California’s energy system, 1990–2012 Environmental Science & Technology 49(6):3314–3321. pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es505034x.19 Mann, M. E., and P. H. Gleick. 2015. Climate change and California drought in the 21st century. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(13):3858–3859. doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1503667112 .20 Diffenbaugh, N. S., D. L. Swain, and D. Touma. 2015. Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 10.1073/ pnas.1422385112. www.pnas.org/content/112/13/3931.full.pdf21 Cook, B. I., T. R. Ault, and J. E. Smerdon. 2015. Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains. Science Advances 1(1), e1400082, doi:10.1126/sciadv.1400082.22 Krist, F.J. Jr., J.R. Ellenwood, M.E. Woods, A.J. McMahan, J.P. Cowardin, D.E. Ryerson, F.J. Sapio, M.O. Zweifler, S.A. Romero. 2014. FHTET 2013 – 2027 National Insect & and Disease Forest Risk Assessment. FHTET-14-01 January 2014. Available at: http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/pdfs/2012_RiskMap_Report_web.pdf23 USDA. 2016. New Aerial Survey Identifies More Than 100 Million Dead Trees in California. www.usda.gov/wps/portal/usda/usdahome?contentid=2016/11/0246.xml&contentidonly=true 8 A warming climate also causes sea level to rise; first, by warming the oceans which causes the water to expand, and second, by melting land ice which transfers water to the ocean. Even if storms do not become more intense or frequent, sea level rise itself will magnify the adverse impact of any storm surge and high waves on the California coast. Some observational studies report that the largest waves are already getting higher and winds are getting stronger.24 Further, as temperatures warm and GHG concentrations increase more carbon dioxide dissolves in the ocean, making it more acidic. More acidic ocean water affects a wide variety of marine species, including species that people rely on for food. Recent projections indicate that if no significant GHG mitigation efforts are taken, the San Francisco Bay Area may experience sea level rise between 1.6 to 3.4 feet, and in an extreme scenario involving the rapid loss of the Antarctic ice sheet, sea levels along California’s coastline could rise up to 10 feet by 2100.25 This change is likely to have substantial ecological and economic consequences in California and worldwide.26 While more intense dry periods are anticipated under warmer conditions, extremes on the wet end of the spectrum are also expected to increase due to more frequent warm, wet atmospheric river events and a higher proportion of precipitation falling as rain instead of snow. In recent years, atmospheric rivers have also been recognized as the cause of the large majority of major floods in rivers all along the U.S. West Coast and as the source of 30-50 percent of all precipitation in the same region.27 These extreme precipitation events, together with the rising snowline, often cause devastating floods in major river basins (e.g., California’s Russian River). It was estimated that the top 50 observed floods in the U.S. Pacific Northwest were due to atmospheric rivers.28 Looking ahead, the frequency and severity of atmospheric rivers on the U.S. West Coast will increase due to higher atmospheric water vapor that occurs with rising temperature, leading to more frequent flooding.29, 30 Climate change can drive extreme weather events such as coastal storm surges, drought, wildfires, floods, and heat waves, and disrupt environmental systems including our forests and oceans. As GHG emissions continue to accumulate and climate disruption grows, such destructive events will become more frequent. Several recent studies project increased precipitation within hurricanes over ocean regions.31, 32 The primary physical mechanism for this increase is higher water vapor in the warmer atmosphere, which enhances moisture convergence in a storm for a given circulation strength. Since hurricanes are responsible for many of the most extreme precipitation events, such events are likely to become more extreme. Anthropogenic warming by 24 National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences. 2012. Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future. National Academies Press.25 California Ocean Protection Council. 2017. Rising Seas in California: An Update On Sea-Level Rise Science. www.opc.ca.gov/webmaster/ftp/pdf/docs/rising-seas-in-california-an-update-on-sea-level-rise-science.pdf26 Chan, F., et al. 2016. The West Coast Ocean Acidification and Hypoxia Science Panel: Major Findings, Recommendations, and Actions. California Ocean Science Trust, Oakland, California, USA.27 Dettinger, M. D. 2013. Atmospheric rivers as drought busters on the U.S. West Coast. Journal of Hydrometeorology 14:1721 1732, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-13-02.1. journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/ JHM-D-13-02.1.28 Warner, M. D., C. F. Mass, and E. P. Salath´e. 2012. Wintertime extreme precipitation events along the Pacific Northwest coast: Climatology and synoptic evolution. Monthly Weather Review 140:2021–43. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00197.1.29 Hagos, S. M., L. R. Leung, J.-H. Yoon, J. Lu, and Y. Gao, 2016: A projection of changes in landfalling atmospheric river frequency and extreme precipitation over western North America from the Large Ensemble CESM simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (3), 357-1363, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067392/epdf.30 Payne, A. E., and G. Magnusdottir, 2015: An evaluation of atmospheric rivers over the North Pacific in CMIP5 and their response to warming under RCP 8.5. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120 (21), 11,173-111,190, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023586/epdf.31 Easterling, D.R., K.E. Kunkel, M.F. Wehner, and L. Sun, 2016: Detection and attribution of climate extremes in the observed record. Weather and Climate Extremes, 11, 17-27. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2016.01.001.32 NAS, 2016: Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC, 186 pp. http://dx.doi.org/10.17226/21852. Climate impaC ts at the Community level The California Energy Commission Cal-Adapt tool provides information about future climate conditions to help better understand how climate will impact local communities. cal-adapt.org 9 the end of the 21st century will likely cause tropical cyclones globally to become more intense on average. This change implies an even larger percentage increase in the destructive potential per storm, assuming no changes in storm size.33,34 Thus, the historical record, which once set our expectations for the traditional range of weather and other natural events, is becoming an increasingly unreliable predictor of the conditions we will face in the future. Consequently, the best available science must drive effective climate policy. California is committed to further supporting new research on ways to mitigate climate change and how to understand its ongoing and projected impacts. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment and Indicators of Change Report will further update our understanding of the many impacts from climate change in a way that directly informs State agencies’ efforts to safeguard the State’s people, economy, and environment.35, 36 Together, historical data, current conditions, and future projections provide a picture of California’s changing climate, with two important messages: • Change is already being experienced and documented across California, and some of these changes have been directly linked to changing climatic conditions. • Even with the uncertainty in future climate conditions, every scenario estimates further change in future conditions. It is critical that California continue to take steps to reduce GHG emissions in order to avoid the worst of the projected impacts of climate change. At the same time, the State is taking steps to make the State more resilient to ongoing and projected climate impacts as laid out by the Safeguarding California Plan.37 The Safeguarding California Plan is being updated in 2017 to present new policy recommendations and provide a roadmap of all the actions and next steps that state government is taking to adapt to the ongoing and inevitable effects of climate change. The Draft Safeguarding California Plan38 is available and will be finalized after workshops and public comments. California’s continuing efforts are vital steps toward minimizing the impact of GHG emissions and a three-pronged approach of reducing emissions, preparing for impacts, and conducting cutting-edge research can serve as a model for action. California’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the 2030 Target Progress Toward Achieving the 2020 Limit AB 32 directs CARB to develop and track GHG emissions and progress toward the 2020 statewide GHG target. California is on track to achieve the target while also reducing criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants and supporting economic growth. As shown in Figure 1, in 2015, total GHG emissions decreased by 1.5 MMTCO2e compared to 2014, representing an overall decrease of 10 percent since peak levels in 2004. The 2015 GHG Emission Inventory and a description of the methodology updates can be accessed at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/inventory.htm. Per California Health and Safety Code section 38505, CARB monitors and regulates seven GHGs to reduce emissions: carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and nitrogen trifluoride (NF3). The fluorinated gases are also referred to as “high global warming potential gases” (high-GWP gases). California’s annual statewide GHG emission inventory has historically been the primary tool for tracking GHG emissions trends. Figure 1 provides the GHG inventory trend. Additional information on the methodology for the GHG inventory can also be found at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/data/data.htm. 33 Sobel, A.H., S.J. Camargo, T.M. Hall, C.-Y. Lee, M.K. Tippett, and A.A. Wing, 2016: Human influence on tropical cyclone intensity. Science, 353, 242-246.34 Kossin, J. P., K. A. Emanuel, and S. J. Camargo, 2016: Past and projected changes in western North Pacific tropical cyclone exposure. Journal of Climate, 29 (16), 5725-5739, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0076.1 .35 California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment. http://resources.ca.gov/climate/safeguarding/research/36 Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment, Indicators of Climate Change (website): https://oehha.ca.gov/climate-change/document/indicators-climate-change-california37 California Natural Resources Agency. 2017. Safeguarding California. http://resources.ca.gov/climate/safeguarding/38 http://resources.ca.gov/climate/safeguarding/ 10 Figure 1: CaliFornia ghg inventory trend Carbon dioxide is the primary GHG emitted in California, accounting for 84 percent of total GHG emissions in 2015, as shown in Figure 2 below. Figure 3 illustrates that transportation, primarily on-road travel, is the single largest source of CO2 emissions in the State. Upstream transportation emissions from the refinery and oil and gas sectors are categorized as CO2 emissions from industrial sources and constitute about 50 percent of the industrial source emissions. When these emissions sources are attributed to the transportation sector, the emissions from that sector amount to approximately half of statewide GHG emissions. In addition to transportation, electricity production, and industrial and residential sources also are important contributors to CO2 emissions. Figures 2 and 3 show State GHG emission contributions by GHG and sector based on the 2015 GHG Emission Inventory. Emissions in Figure 3 are depicted by Scoping Plan sector, which includes separate categories for high-GWP and recycling/waste emissions that are otherwise typically included within other economic sectors. Figure 2: emissions by ghg 2000 2002 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 202020062004Annual GHG Emissions (MMTCO2e)200 300 400 500 2030 Limit 2020 Limit Total GHG Emissions 2.7% N2O 9.0% CH4 84.0% CO2 4.3% High-GWP 2015 Total Emissions 440.4 MMTCO2e 11 Figure 3: emissions by sCoping plan seCtor In addition, CARB has developed a statewide emission inventory for black carbon in support of the SLCP Strategy, which is reported in two categories: non-forestry (anthropogenic) sources and forestry sources.39 The black carbon inventory will help support implementation of the SLCP Strategy, but is not part of the State’s GHG Inventory that tracks progress towards the State’s climate targets. The State’s major anthropogenic sources of black carbon include off-road transportation, on-road transportation, residential wood burning, fuel combustion, and industrial processes (Figure 4). The forestry category includes non- agricultural prescribed burning and wildfire emissions. Figure 4: CaliFornia 2013 anthropogeniC blaCk Carbon emission sourCes* The exchange of CO2 between the atmosphere and California’s natural and working lands sector is currently unquantified and therefore, excluded from the State’s GHG Inventory. A natural and working lands carbon inventory is essential for monitoring land-based activities that may increase or decrease carbon sequestration over time. CARB staff is working to develop a comprehensive inventory of GHG fluxes from all of California’s 39 Per SB 1383, the SLCP Strategy only addresses anthropogenic black carbon. 2% Recycling & Waste California Carbon Emissions 2015 Total Emissions 440.4 MMTCO2e 11% Electricity Generation 21% Industrial 8% Agriculture 37% Transportation In State8% Electricity Generation Imports 9% Commercial & Residential 4% High-GWP 2013 10.7 MMTCO2e 36% Off-Road Mobile 18% On-Road Diesel 15% Fireplaces & Woodstoves 14% Fuel Combustion/Industrial 6% Miscelaneous 4% Commercial Cooking 3% Agricultural Burning 2% On-Road Brake & Tire 4% On-Road Gasoline *Using 100-year GWP 12 natural and working lands using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) design principles. CARB released the Natural and Working Lands Inventory with the 2030 Target Scoping Plan Update Discussion Draft.40 This inventory provides an estimate of GHG emissions reductions and changes in carbon stock from some carbon pools in agricultural and natural and working lands. The CARB Natural and Working Lands Inventory includes an inventory of carbon stocks, stock-change (and by extension GHG flux associated with stock-change) with some attribution by disturbance process for the analysis period 2001-2010. Disturbance processes include activities such as conversion from one land category to a different category, fire, and harvest. The CARB Natural and Working Lands Inventory covers varieties of forests and woodlands, grasslands, and wetlands (biomass-stock-change only). The Inventory includes default carbon densities for croplands and urban/developed lands to facilitate stock-change estimation for natural lands that convert to cropland, natural lands that convert to developed lands, and for croplands that convert to developed lands. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Tracking As described above, California maintains an economy-wide GHG inventory for the State that is consistent with IPCC practices to allow for comparison of statewide GHG emissions with those at the national level and with other international GHG inventories. Statewide GHG emissions calculations use many data sources, including data from other State and federal agencies. However, the primary source of data comes from reports submitted to CARB through the Regulation for the Mandatory Reporting of GHG Emissions (MRR). MRR requires facilities and entities with more than 10,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MTCO2e) of combustion and process emissions, all facilities belonging to certain industries, and all electric power entities to submit an annual GHG emissions data report directly to CARB. Reports from facilities and entities that emit more than 25,000 MTCO2e are verified by a CARB-accredited third-party verification body. More information on MRR emissions reports can be found at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/reporti\ng/ghg-rep/reported- data/ghg-reports.htm. All data sources used to develop the GHG Emission Inventory are listed in inventory supporting documentation at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/data/data.htm. Other State agencies, nonprofit organizations, and research institutions are developing and testing methodologies and models to quantify GHG fluxes from California’s natural and working lands. CARB’s ongoing work on the Natural and Working Lands Inventory will serve as one source of data to gauge the scope of GHG reduction potential from California’s natural and working lands and monitor progress over time. CARB will evaluate other data sources and methodologies to validate or support the CARB inventory or project-scale tracking. Interagency work is also underway to integrate and account for the land use and management impacts of development, transportation, housing, and energy policies. Greenhouse gas mitigation action may cross geographic borders as part of international and subnational collaboration, or as a natural result of implementation of regional policies. In addition to the State’s existing GHG inventory, CARB has begun exploring how to build an accounting framework that also utilizes existing program data to better reflect the broader benefits of our policies that may be happening outside of the State. For GHG reductions outside of the State to be attributed to our programs, those reductions must be real and quantifiable, without any double counting, including claims to those reductions by other jurisdictions. CARB is collaborating with other jurisdictions to ensure GHG accounting rules are consistent with international best practices. Robust accounting rules will instill confidence in the reductions claimed and maintain support for joint action across jurisdictions. Consistency and transparency are critical as we work together with other jurisdictions on our parallel paths to achieve our GHG targets. California’s Approach to Addressing Climate Change Integrated Systems The State’s climate goals require a comprehensive approach that integrates and builds upon multiple ongoing State efforts. As we address future mobility, we identify how existing efforts – such as the California Sustainable Freight Action Plan, Mobile Source Strategy, California Transportation Plan 2040, High-Speed 40 CARB. 2016. California Greenhouse Gas Inventory - Forests and Other Lands. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/sectors/forest/forest.htm 13 Rail,41 urban planning, housing, and goals for enhancement of the natural environment – can complement each other while providing multiple environmental benefits, including air quality and climate benefits. The collective consideration of these efforts illuminates the synergies and conflict s between policies. For example, land disturbance due to increased renewables through utility scale wind and solar and transmission can release GHGs from soil and disturb grasslands and rangelands that have the potential to sequester carbon. Further, policies that support sustainable land use not only reduce vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and its related emissions, but may also avoid land disturbance that could result in GHG emissions or loss of sequestration potential in the natural environment. Identifying these types of trade-offs, and designing policies and implementation strategies to support goals across all sectors, will require ongoing efforts at the local, regional, and State level to ensure that sustainable action across both the built and natural environments help to achieve the State’s long-term climate goals. Promoting Resilient Economic Growth California’s strategic vision for achieving at least a 40 percent reduction in GHG emissions by 2030 is based on the principle that economic prosperity and environmental sustainability can be achieved together. Policies, strategies, plans and regulations to reduce GHG emissions help California businesses compete in a global economy and spur new investments, business creation, and jobs to support a clean energy economy. California’s portfolio-based climate strategy can achieve great success when accompanied by consistent and rigorous GHG monitoring and reporting, a robust public process, and an effective enforcement program for the few that attempt to evade rules. The transition to a low-carbon future can strengthen California’s economy and infrastructure and produce other important environmental benefits such as reductions in criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants, especially in California’s most vulnerable communities. Actions that are presented in this Scoping Plan provide economic opportunities for the future, but progress toward our goals is already evident today. For example, in 2015, California added more than 20,000 new jobs in the solar sector. This was more than half of the new jobs in this industry across the nation. Employment in the clean economy grew by 20 percent between 2002 and 2012, which included the period of economic recession around 2008.42 Shifting to clean, local, and efficient uses of energy reinvests our energy expenditures in our local economies and reduces risks to our statewide economy associated with exposure to volatile global and national oil and gas commodity prices. Indeed, a clean economy is a resilient economy. Successfully driving economic transition will require cleaner and more efficient technologies, policies and incentives that recognize and reward innovation, and prioritizing low carbon investments. Enacting policies and incentives at multiple jurisdictional levels further ensures the advancement of land use and natural resource management objectives for GHG mitigation, climate adaptation, and other co-benefits. Intentional synergistic linkages between technological advances and resource stewardship can result in sustainable development. The development and implementation of Sustainable Communities Strategies (SCSs) pursuant to Senate Bill (SB) 375, which link transportation, housing, and climate policy, are designed to reduce per capita GHG emissions while improving air quality and expanding transportation and housing options. This Scoping Plan identifies additional ways, beyond SB 375, to promote the technologies and infrastructure required to meet our collective climate goals, while also presenting the vision for California’s continuing efforts to foster a sustainable, clean energy economy. Increasing Carbon Sequestration in Natural and Working Lands California’s natural and working lands make the State a global leader in agriculture, a U.S. leader in forest products, and a global biodiversity hotspot. These lands support clean air, wildlife and pollinator habitat, rural economies, and are critical components of California’s water infrastructure. Keeping these lands and waters intact and at high levels of ecological function (including resilient carbon sequestration) is necessary for the well-being and security of Californians in 2030, 2050, and beyond. Forests, rangelands, farms, 41 California’s High-Speed Rail is part of the International Union of Railways (UIC) and California signed the Railway Climate Responsibility Pledge, which was commended by the Secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change as part of achieving global 2050 targets.42 California Business Alliance for a Clean Economy. 2015. Clean Energy and Climate Change Summary of Recent Analyses for California. clean-economy.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Clean-Energy-Climate- Change-Analyses_January2015.pdf 14 wetlands, riparian areas, deserts, coastal areas, and the ocean store substantial carbon in biomass and soils. Natural and working lands are a key sector in the State’s climate change strategy. Storing carbon in trees, other vegetation, soils, and aquatic sediment is an effective way to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. This Scoping Plan describes policies and programs that prioritize protection and enhancement of California’s landscapes, including urban landscapes, and identifies next steps to ensure management actions are taken to increase the sequestration potential of those resources. We cannot ignore the relationships between energy, transportation, and natural working lands sectors or the adverse impacts that climate change is having on the environment itself. We must consider important trade-offs in developing the State’s climate strategy by understanding the near and long-term impacts of various policy scenarios and actions on our State and local communities. Improving Public Health The State’s drive to improve air quality and promote community health and well-being as we address climate change remains a priority, as it has for almost 50 years. The State is committed to addressing public health issues, including addressing chronic and infectious diseases, promoting mental health, and protecting communities from exposure to harmful air pollutants and toxins. Several of the strategies included in this Plan were primarily developed to help California achieve federal and State ambient air quality standards for air pollutants with direct health impacts, but they will also deliver GHG reductions. Likewise, some climate strategies, such as GHG reduction measures that decrease diesel combustion from mobile sources, produce air quality co-benefits in the form of concurrent reductions in criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants. Climate change itself is already affecting the health of our communities and is exacerbating existing health inequities. Those facing the greatest health burdens include low-income individuals and households, the very young and the very old, communities of color, and those who have been marginalized or discriminated against based on gender or race/ethnicity.43 Economic factors, such as income, poverty, and wealth, are among the strongest determinants of health. Addressing climate change presents an important opportunity to improve public health for all of California’s residents and to further our work toward making our State the healthiest in the nation. The major provisions of AB 617 (C. Garcia, 2017), to be completed by 2020, will ensure that as the State seeks to advance climate policy to meet the 2030 target, we will also act locally to improve neighborhood air quality. AB 617 requires strengthening and expanding community level air monitoring; expediting equipment retrofits at large industrial sources that are located in areas that are in nonattainment for the federal and State ambient air quality standards; requiring development of a statewide strategy to further reduce criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants in communities faced with high cumulative exposure levels; and local air district-developed community emissions reductions plans that identify emissions reductions targets, measures, implementation schedules, and enforcement plans for these affected communities. By identifying and addressing the disproportionate impacts felt today and by planning, designing, and implementing actions for a sustainable future that considers both climate and air quality objectives, we can be part of the solution to make public health inequities an issue of the past. Environmental Justice Fair and equitable climate action requires addressing the inequities that create and intensify community vulnerabilities. The capacity for resilience in the face of climate change is driven by living conditions and the forces that shape them. These include, but are not limited to, access to services such as health care, healthy foods, air and water, and safe spaces for physical activity; income; education; housing; transportation; environmental quality; and good health status. Strategies to alleviate poverty, increase access to economic opportunities, improve living conditions, and reduce health and social inequities will result in more climate- resilient communities. The transition to a low carbon California economy provides an opportunity to not only reduce GHG emissions, but also to reduce emissions of criteria pollutants and air toxins, and to create a healthier environment for all of California’s residents, especially those living in the State’s most disadvantaged communities. Policies designed to facilitate this transition and state-wide, regional, and local reductions, 43 California Department of Public Health (CDPH). 2015. The Portrait of Promise: The California Statewide Draft Plan to Promote Health and Mental Health Equity. A Report to the Legislature and the People of California by the Office of Health Equity. Sacramento, CA: California Department of Public Health, Office of Health Equity. 15 must also be appropriately tailored to address the unique characteristics of economically distressed communities throughout the State’s diverse geographic regions, including both rural and highly-urbanized areas. Equity considerations must likewise be part of the deliberate and thoughtful process in the design and implementation of all policies and measures included in the Scoping Plan. And CARB must ensure that its ongoing engagement with environmental justice communities will continue beyond the development of the Scoping Plan and be included in all aspects of its various air pollution programs. Additional detail on CARB’s efforts to achieve these goals is provided in Chapter 5. It is critical that communities of color, low-income communities, or both, receive the benefits of the cleaner economy growing in California, including its environmental and economic benefits. Currently, low-income customers enrolled in the California Alternate Rates for Energy (CARE) Program or the Family Electric Rate Assistance (FERA) Program are also eligible to receive a rebate under the California Climate Credit, or a credit on residential and small business electricity bills resulting from the sale of allowances received by investor-owned utilities as part of the Cap-and-Trade Program. SB 1018 (Committee on Budget and Fiscal Review, Chapter 39, Statutes of 2012) and other implementing legislation requires that Cap-and-Trade Program auction monies deposited into the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF) be used to further the purposes of AB 32 and facilitate reduction of GHG emissions. Investments made with these funds not only reduce GHG emissions, but also provide other environmental, health, and economic benefits including, fostering job creation by promoting in-state GHG emissions reduction projects carried out by California workers and businesses. Further, SB 535 (De Leon, Chapter 830, Statutes of 2012) and AB 1550 (Gomez, Chapter 369, Statutes of 2016) direct State and local agencies to make significant investments using GGRF monies to assist California’s most vulnerable communities. Under SB 535 (de León, Chapter 830, Statutes of 2012), a minimum of 25 percent of the total investments were required to benefit disadvantaged communities; of that, a minimum of 10 percent were required to be located within and provide benefits to those communities. Based on cumulative data reported by agencies as of March 2016, the State is exceeding these targets. Indeed, 50 percent of the $1.2 billion dollars spent on California Climate Investments projects provided benefits to disadvantaged communities; and 34 percent of this funding was used on projects located directly in disadvantaged communities.44 Environmental Justice Advisory Committee AB 32 calls for CARB to convene an Environmental Justice Advisory Committee (EJAC), to advise the Board in developing the Scoping Plan, and any other pertinent matter in implementing AB 32. It requires that the Committee be comprised of representatives from communities in the State with the most significant exposure to air pollution, including, but not limited to, communities with minority populations or low-income 44 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/capandtrade/auctionproceeds/cci_annual_report_2017.pdf environmental JustiCe advisory Committee Martha Dina Argüello Physicians for Social Responsibility Los Angeles Colin Bailey The Environmental Justice Coalition for Water Sacramento Gisele Fong End Oil Los Angeles Tom Frantz Association of Irritated Residents Central Valley Katie Valenzuela Garcia (Served until May 2017) Oak Park Neighborhood Association Sacramento Sekita Grant (Served until June 2017) The Greenlining Institute Statewide Kevin Hamilton Central California Asthma Collaborative Central Valley Rey León Valley LEAP Central Valley Luis Olmedo Comité Civico Del Valle Salton Sea Region Kemba Shakur Urban Releaf Bay Area Mari Rose Taruc Asian Pacific Environmental Network Bay Area Eleanor Torres The Incredible Edible Community Garden Inland Empire Monica Wilson Global Alliance for Incinerator Alternatives Bay Area 16 populations, or both. CARB consulted 13 environmental justice and disadvantaged community representatives for the 2017 Scoping Plan process, starting with the first Committee meeting in December 2015. In February and April 2017, members of the California Air Resources Board held joint public meetings with the EJAC to discuss options for addressing environmental justice and disadvantaged community concerns in the Scoping Plan. The full schedule of Committee meetings and meeting materials is available on CARB’s website.45 Starting in July 2016, the Committee hosted a robust community engagement process, conducting 19 community meetings throughout the State. To enhance this community engagement, CARB staff coordinated with staff from local government agencies and sister State agencies. At the community meetings, staff from State and local agencies participated in extensive, topic-specific “world café” discussions with local groups and individuals. The extensive dialogue between the EJAC, State agencies, and local agencies provided community residents the opportunity to share concerns and provide input on ways California can meet its 2030 GHG target while addressing a number of environmental and equity issues. Environmental Justice Advisory Committee Recommendations The Committee’s recommendations for the Scoping Plan were informed by comments received at community meetings described above and Committee member expertise. Recommendations were provided for the sector focus areas, overarching environmental justice policy, and California Climate Investments. The Committee also sorted their recommendations into five themes: partnership with environmental justice communities, equity, economic opportunity, coordination, and long-term vision. Finally, the Committee provided direction that their recommendations are intended “to be read and implemented holistically and not independently of each other.” The EJAC’s recommendations, in their entirety, are included in Appendix A and available at www.arb.ca.gov/cc/ejac/meetings/04262017/ejac-sp-recommendations033017.pdf. The Committee’s overarching recommendations for partnership with environmental justice communities, equity, coordination, economic opportunity, and long-term vision include the following recommendations:• Encourage long-term community engagement, a culture shift in California, and neighborhood-level solutions to promote the implementation of the State’s climate plans, using strategies identified by the Committee. • Improve the balance of reducing GHGs and compliance costs with other AB 32 goals of improving air quality in environmental justice communities while maximizing benefits for all Californians. • Consider public health impacts and equity when examining issues in any sector and have CARB conduct an equity analysis on the Scoping Plan and each sector, with guidance from the Committee. • Develop metrics to ensure actions are meeting targets and develop contingency plans for mitigation and adjustment if emissions increases occur as programs are implemented. • Develop a statewide community-based air monitoring network to support regulatory efforts and monitor neighborhood scale pollution in disadvantaged communities.• Coordinate strategies between State, federal, and local agencies for strong, enforceable, evidence-based policies to prevent and address sprawl with equity at the center.• Maximize the accessibility of safe jobs, incentives, and economic benefits for Californians and the development of a just transition for workers and communities in and around polluting industries. • Prioritize improving air quality in environmental justice communities and analyze scenarios at a neighborhood scale for all California communities. • Ensure that AB 32 economic reviewers come from various areas around the State to represent insights on economic challenges and opportunities from those regions. • Do not limit the Scoping Plan to examining interventions and impacts until 2030, or even 2050. Plan and analyze on a longer-term scale to prevent short-sighted mistakes and reach the long- term vision, as actions today and for the next 30 years will have impacts for seven generations. • The Scoping Plan must prioritize GHG reductions and investments in California environmental justice communities first, before other California communities; and the innovation of new technologies or strategies to reach even deeper emissions cuts, whenever possible.• Convene the Committee beyond the Scoping Plan development process. The Committee’s key Energy sector recommendations include:• Developing aggressive energy goals toward 100 percent renewable energy by 2030, including a vision for a clean energy economy, and prioritizing actions in disadvantaged communities. 45 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/ejac/ejac.htm 17 • Setting goals for green buildings. • Enforcing GHG reduction targets for existing buildings, and providing upgrades that enable buildings to use renewable energy technologies and water capture. • Prioritizing and supporting community-owned technologies, such as community-owned solar, for environmental justice communities. Key Water sector recommendations include: • Encouraging water conservation and recycling. • Prioritizing safe drinking water for all. The Committee’s key Industry sector recommendations include: • Prioritizing direct emissions reductions in environmental justice communities. • Replacing the Cap-and-Trade Program with a carbon tax or fee and dividend program. • Eliminating offsets and the allocation of free allowances if the Cap-and-Trade Program continues. • Analyze where GHG emissions are increasing and identify strategies to prevent and reduce such emissions in environmental justice communities. • Committing to reductions in petroleum use. The Committee’s key Transportation sector recommendations include: • Increasing access to affordable, reliable, clean, and safe mobility options in disadvantaged communities. • Community-engaged land use planning.• Maximizing electrification.• Restricting sprawl and examining transportation regionally.• Considering the development of green transportation hubs that integrate urban greening with transportation options and implement the recommendations of the SB 350 studies. The Committee’s key Natural and Working Lands, Agriculture, and Waste sector recommendations include:• Reducing waste and mandating that local jurisdictions manage the waste they create. • Returning carbon to the soil. • Not burning biomass or considering it a renewable resource. • Supporting healthy soils as a critical element to land and waste management. • Integrating urban forestry within local communities. • Exploring ways to allow and streamline the process for cultural and prescribed burning for land management and to prevent large-scale wildfires. • Including an annual reduction of 5 million metric tons of CO2e from natural and working lands. The Committee’s recommendations for California Climate Investments include: • Ensuring near-term technologies do not adversely impact communities and long-term investments move toward zero emissions. • Requiring GGRF projects to be transformative for disadvantaged communities as defined by each community.• Eliminating funding for AB 32 regulated entities.• Providing technical assistance to environmental justice communities so they can better access funding and resources. • Prioritizing projects identified by communities and ensuring all applicants have policies to protect against displacement or gentrification. In April 2017, EJAC members provided a refined list of priority changes for the Scoping Plan from the full list of EJAC recommendations. CARB staff responded to each priority recommendation, describing additions to the Scoping Plan or suggested next steps for recommendations beyond the level of detail in the Plan. Appendix A includes the Priority EJAC Recommendations with CARB Responses and full list of EJAC Recommendations. More information about the Committee and its recommendations on the previous Scoping Plans and this Scoping Plan is located at: www.arb.ca.gov/ejac. 18 Setting the Path to 2050 The State’s 2020 and 2030 targets have not been set in isolation. They represent benchmarks, consistent with prevailing climate science, charting an appropriate trajectory forward that is in-line with California’s role in stabilizing global warming below dangerous thresholds. As we consider efforts to reduce emissions to meet the State’s near-term requirements, we must do so with an eye toward reductions needed beyond 2030, as well. The Paris Agreement – which calls for limiting global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius and aiming to limit it below a 1.5 degrees Celsius – frames our path forward. While the Scoping Plan charts the path to achieving the 2030 GHG emissions reduction target, we also need momentum to propel us to the 2050 statewide GHG target (80 percent below 1990 levels). In developing this Scoping Plan, we considered what policies are needed to meet our mid-term and long-term goals. For example, though Zero Net Carbon Buildings are not feasible at this time and more work needs to be done in this area, they will be necessary to achieve the 2050 target. To that end, work must begin now to review and evaluate research in this area, establish a planning horizon for targets, and identify implementation mechanisms. Concurrently, we must consider and implement policies that not only deliver critical reductions in 2030 and continue to help support the State’s long-term climate objectives, but that also deliver other health, environmental and economic benefits. We should not just be planning to put 1.5 million ZEVs on the road by 2025 or 4.2 million on the road by 2030 – but rather, we should be comprehensively facilitating the market-wide transition to electric drive that we need to see materialize as soon as possible. This means that we need to be working towards making all fuels low carbon as quickly as possible, even as we incrementally ramp up volume requirements through the Low Carbon Fuel Standard. And it means that we need to support the broad array of actions and strategies identified in Chapter 4, and new ones that may emerge – to keep us on track to achieve deeper GHG reductions to protect the environment and our way of life. As with all investments, the approach taken must balance risk, reward, longevity, and timing. Figure 5 illustrates the potential GHG reductions that are possible by making consistent progress between 2020 and 2050, versus an approach that begins with the 2030 target and then makes progress toward the 2050 level included in Executive Order S-3-05. Depending on our success in achieving the 2030 target, taking a consistent approach may be possible. It would achieve the 2050 target earlier, and together with similar actions globally, would have a greater chance of preventing global warming of 2°C. The strategy for achieving the 2050 target should leave open the possibility for both paths. Note that Figure 5 does not include emissions or sequestration potential from the natural and working lands sector or black carbon. Figure 5: plotting CaliFornia’s path Forward 2020 Target 0 100 200 300 400 500 2000 2010 2020 2030Annual GHG Emissions (MMTCO2e)2020 Target 2030 Target 2050 Target 2010 2040 2050 Executive OrderS-3-05 19 Intergovernmental Collaboration Federal, state, Tribal, and local action can be complementary. We have seen federal action through the Clean Air Act, regulations for GHG emissions from passenger cars and trucks, development of the Clean Power Plan to limit GHGs from power plants, and the advancement of methane rules for oil and gas production. We have also seen recent federal efforts to delay or reverse some of these actions. As we have done in the past, California, working with other climate leaders, can take steps to advance more ambitious federal action and protect the ability of states to move forward to address climate change. Both collaboration and advocacy will mark the road ahead. However, to the extent that California cannot implement policies or measures included in the Scoping Plan because of the lack of federal action, we will develop alternative measures to achieve the reductions from the same sectors to ensure we meet our GHG reduction targets. Regional, Tribal, and local governments and agencies are critical leaders in reducing emissions through actions that reduce demand for electricity, transportation fuels, and natural gas, and improved natural and working lands management. Many local governments already employ efforts to reduce GHG emissions beyond those required by the State. For example, many cities and counties improve their municipal operations by upgrading vehicle fleets, retrofitting government buildings and streetlights, purchasing greener products, and implementing waste-reduction policies. In addition, they may adopt more sustainable codes, standards, and general plan improvements to reduce their community’s footprints and emissions. Many Tribes within and outside of California have engaged in consultations with CARB to develop robust carbon offset projects under California’s Cap-and-Trade Program, in particular forest projects. In fact, Tribal forest projects represent a significant percentage of offset credits issued under the Program. These consultations and carbon sequestration projects are in addition to other Tribal climate-related efforts. The State will provide a supportive framework to advance these and other local efforts, while also recognizing the need to build on, and export, this success to other regional, Tribal, and local governments throughout California and beyond. Local actions are critical for implementation of California’s ambitious climate agenda. State policies, programs, and actions–such as many of those identified throughout this Scoping Plan–can help to support, incentivize, and accelerate local actions to achieve mutual goals for more sustainable and resilient communities. Local municipal code changes, zoning changes, or policy directions that apply broadly to the community within the general plan or climate action plan area can promote the deployment of renewable, zero emission, and low carbon technologies such as zero net energy buildings, renewable fuel production facilities, and zero emission charging stations. Local decision-making has an especially important role in achieving reductions of GHG emissions generated from transportation. Over the last 60 years, development patterns have led to sprawling suburban neighborhoods, a vast highway system, growth in automobile ownership, and under-prioritization of infrastructure for public transit and active transportation. Local decisions about these policies today can establish a more sustainable built environment for the future. International Efforts California is not alone in its efforts to address climate change at the international level to reduce global GHG emissions. The agreement reached in Paris by the 2015 Conference of Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), aimed at keeping the global temperature rise below 2°C, is spurring worldwide action to reduce GHGs and support decarbonization across the global economy. In recent years, subnational governments have emerged to take on a prominent role. With the establishment of the Under 2 Memorandum of Understanding (MOU),46,47 the Governors’ Climate and Forests Task Force,48 and the Western Climate Initiative,49 among other partnership initiatives, subnational jurisdictions from the around the world are collaborating and leading on how best to address climate change. 46 Under 2 MOU website: under2mou.org/ 47 One of the Brown Administration’s priorities is to highlight California’s climate leadership on the subnational level, and to ensure that subnational activity is recognized at the international level. In the year preceding the Paris negotiations, the Governor’s Office recruited subnational jurisdictions to sign onto the Memorandum of Understanding on Subnational Global Climate Leadership (Under 2 MOU), which brings together states and regions willing to commit to reducing their GHG emissions by 80 to 95 percent, or to limit emissions to 2 metric tons CO2-equivalent per capita, by 2050. The governor led a California delegation to the Paris negotiations to highlight our successful climate programs and to champion subnational action and international cooperation on meeting the challenge of reducing GHG emissions. As of October 2017, 188 jurisdictions representing more than 1.2 billion people and more than one-third of the global economy had joined California in the Under 2 MOU.48 Governors’ Climate and Forests Task Force website: www.gcftaskforce.org/49 Western Climate Initiative website: www.wci-inc.org/ 20 From its inception, AB 32 recognized the importance of California’s climate leadership and engagement with other jurisdictions, and directed CARB to consult with the federal government and other nations to identify the most effective strategies and methods to reduce GHGs, manage GHG control programs, and facilitate the development of integrated and cost-effective regional, national, and international GHG reduction programs. California undertook a two-pronged approach: first, we assessed our State-specific circumstances to develop measures that would apply specifically in California; and second, we assessed which measures might lend themselves, through careful design and collaboration with other interested jurisdictions, toward linked or collaborative GHG reduction programs. Under the Clean Air Act, California has a special role as an innovator and leader in the area of motor vehicle emission regulations, which allows our State to adopt motor vehicle emission standards that are stricter than federal requirements. Partners around the country and the world emulate these motor vehicle standards, leading to widespread health benefits. Similarly, by enacting a comprehensive climate strategy that appeals to national and international partners, California can help lead the world in tackling climate change. Today, the State’s Cap-and-Trade Program is linked with Québec’s program and scheduled to link with Ontario’s emissions trading system on January 1, 2018. Low carbon fuel mandates similar to California’s LCFS have been adopted by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) and by other jurisdictions including Oregon, British Columbia, the European Union, and the United Kingdom. Over two- dozen states have a renewables portfolio standard. California is a member of the Pacific Coast Collaborative with British Columbia, Oregon, and Washington, who collaborate on issues such as energy and sustainable resource management, among others.50 California continues to discuss carbon pricing through a cap-and- trade program with international delegations. We have seen design features of the State’s Cap-and-Trade Program incorporated into other emerging and existing programs, such as the European Union Emissions Trading System, the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, China’s emerging national trading program, and Mexico’s emerging pilot emission trading program. Recognizing the need to address the substantial GHG emissions caused by the deforestation and degradation of tropical and other forests, California worked with a group of subnational governments to form the Governors’ Climate and Forests Task Force (GCF) in 2008.51 The GCF is currently comprised of 38 different subnational jurisdictions– including states and provinces in Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Indonesia, Ivory Coast, Mexico, Nigeria, Peru, Spain, and the United States–that are contemplating or enacting programs for low-emissions rural development and reduced emissions from deforestation and land use. GCF members continue to engage in discussions to share information and experiences about the design of such programs and how the programs could potentially interact with carbon markets. Ongoing engagement between California and its GCF partners, as well as ongoing discussions with other stakeholders, continues to provide lessons on how such programs could complement California’s climate programs.52 Further, California’s High-Speed Rail is part of the International Union of Railways (UIC), and California has signed the Railway Climate Responsibility Pledge, which was commended by the Secretary of the UNFCCC as part of achieving the global 2050 targets. This initiative is to demonstrate that rail transport is part of the solution for sustainable and carbon free mobility. California will continue to engage in multi-lateral forums that develop the policy foundation and technical infrastructure for GHG regulations in multiple jurisdictions through entities such as the International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP), established by California and other partners in 2007. Members of the ICAP that have already implemented or are actively pursuing market-based GHG programs53 share experiences and knowledge. California also participates in the Partnership for Market Readiness (PMR), a multilateral World Bank initiative that brings together more than 30 developed and developing countries to share experiences and build capacity for climate change mitigation efforts, particularly those implemented using market instruments.54 In November 2014, CARB became a Technical Partner of the PMR, and CARB staff members have provided technical information on the design and implementation of the Cap-and-Trade Program at several PMR meetings. 50 Pacific Coast Collaborative website: pacificcoastcollaborative.org/51 Governors’ Climate and Forests Task Force Website: www.gcftaskforce.org/ 52 Continued collaboration on efforts to reduce emissions from tropical deforestation and to evaluate sector-based offset programs, such as the jurisdictional program in Acre, Brazil, further demonstrates California’s ongoing climate leadership and fosters partnerships on mutually beneficial low emissions development initiatives, including measures to encourage sustainable supply chain efforts by public and private entities.53 International Carbon Action Partnership website: icapcarbonaction.com/ 54 Partnership for Market Readiness website: www.thepmr.org/ 21 Many foreign jurisdictions seek out California’s expertise because of our history of success in addressing air pollution and climate change. California also benefits from these interactions. Expanding global action to fight air pollution and climate change expands markets for clean technology. This can bolster business for companies in California developing clean energy products and services and help to bring down the cost of those products globally and in California. Additionally, innovative policies and lessons learned from our partners’ jurisdictions can help to inform future climate policies in California. Governor Brown’s focus on subnational collaborations on climate change and air quality has strengthened and deepened California’s existing international relationships and forged new ones. These relationships are a critical component of reducing emissions of GHGs and other pollutants worldwide. As we move forward, CARB and other State agencies will continue to communicate and collaborate with international partners to find the most cost-effective ways to improve air quality, fight climate change, and share California’s experience and expertise in reducing air pollution and GHGs while growing a strong economy. To highlight the State’s resolve and support of other governments committed to action and tackling the threat of the global warming, on July 6, 2017, Governor Brown announced a major initiative to host world leaders at a Global Climate Action Summit planned for September 2018 in San Francisco. 22 This chapter describes the State strategy for meeting the 2030 GHG target (also called the Scoping Plan Scenario), along with a short description of the four alternative scenarios, which were evaluated but ultimately rejected when compared against statutory and policy criteria and priorities that the State’s comprehensive climate action must deliver. All scenarios are set against the business-as-usual (BAU or Reference Scenario) scenario–what would GHG emissions look like if we did nothing beyond the existing policies that are required and already in place to achieve the 2020 limit. BAU includes the existing renewables requirements, advanced clean cars, the 10 percent reduction in carbon intensity Low Carbon Fuel Standard, and the SB 375 program for sustainable communities, among others. However, it does not include a range of new policies or measures that have been developed or put into statute over the past two years. The Reference Scenario (BAU) shows continuing, but modest, reductions followed by a later rise of GHG emissions as the economy and population grow. The comprehensive analysis of all five alternatives indicates that the Scoping Plan Scenario–continuing the Cap-and-Trade Program–is the best choice to achieve the State’s climate and clean air goals. It also protects public health, provides a solid foundation for continued economic growth, and supports California’s quality of life. All of the alternative scenarios briefly described in this chapter are the product of the Scoping Plan development process and were informed by public input, including that from EJAC, as well as Board and legislative direction over the course of two years. The scenarios all include a range of additional measures developed or required by legislation over the past two years with 2030 as their target date and include: extending the LCFS to an 18 percent reduction in carbon intensity beyond 2020, and the requirements of SB 350 to increase renewables to 50 percent and to double energy efficiency savings. They also all include the Mobile Source Strategy targets for more zero emission vehicles and much cleaner trucks and transit, the Sustainable Freight Action Plan to improve freight efficiency and transition to zero emission freight handling technologies, and the requirements under SB 1383 to reduce anthropogenic black carbon 50 percent and hydrofluorocarbon and methane emissions by 40 percent below 2013 levels by 2030. The recent adoption of AB 398 into State law on July 25, 2017, clarifies the role of the Cap-and-Trade Program through December 31, 2030. Work is still underway on how to quantify the GHG emissions within the natural and working lands sector. As such, the analyses in this chapter do not include any estimates from this sector. Additional information on the current efforts to better understand GHG emissions fluxes and model the actions needed to support the goal of net carbon sequestration in natural and working lands can be found in Chapter 4. Even absent quantification data, the importance of this sector in achieving the State’s climate goals should be considered in conjunction with any efforts to reduce GHG emissions in the energy and industrial sectors. During the development of the Scoping Plan, stakeholders suggested alternative scenarios to achieve the 2030 target. While countless scenarios could potentially be developed and evaluated, the four below were considered, as they were most often included in comments by stakeholders and they bracket the range of potential scenarios. Several of these alternative scenarios were also evaluated in the Initial AB 32 Scoping Plan in 2008 (All Regulations, Carbon Tax).55 Since the adoption of the Initial AB 32 Scoping Plan, some of the alternative scenarios have been implemented or contemplated by other jurisdictions, which has helped in the analysis and the development of this Scoping Plan. This section provides a brief description of the alternatives. A full description of the alternatives and staff’s AB 197 and policy analyses are included in Appendix G. 55 CARB. 2009. Initial AB 32 Climate Change Scoping Plan Document. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/scopingplandocument.htm Chapter 2 the S copI ng p lan S cenar I o 23 Scoping Plan Scenario: Ongoing and statutorily required programs and continuing the Cap-and-Trade Program. This scenario was modified from the January 2017 Proposed Scoping Plan to reflect AB 398, including removal of the 20 percent refinery measure. Alternative 1: No Cap-and-Trade. Includes additional activities in a wide variety of sectors, such as specific required reductions for all large GHG sources, and more extensive requirements for renewable energy. Industrial sources would be regulated through command and control strategies. Alternative 2: Carbon Tax. A carbon tax to put a price, but not limit, on carbon, instead of the Cap-and- Trade Program. Alternative 3: All Cap-and-Trade. This alternative is the same as the Scoping Plan Scenario, while maintaining the LCFS at a 10 percent reduction in carbon intensity past 2020. Alternative 4: Cap-and-Tax. This would place a declining cap on individual industrial facilities, and individual natural gas and fuel suppliers, while also requiring them to pay a tax on each metric ton of GHGs emitted. Since the statutory direction on meeting a 2030 GHG target is clear, the issue of certainty of reductions is paramount. These alternatives vary greatly as to the certainty of meeting the target. The declining mass emissions cap under a cap-and-trade program provides certain and measurable reductions over time; a carbon tax, meanwhile, establishes some carbon price certainty, but does not provide an assurance on reductions and instead assumes that some degree of reductions will occur if costs are high enough to alter behavior. There are also other considerations: to what extent does an alternative meet the target, but also deliver clean air benefits, prioritize reductions at large stationary sources, and allow for continued investment in disadvantaged communities? What is the cost of an alternative and what will be the impact on California consumers? Does an alternative allow for California to link with other jurisdictions, and support the Clean Power Plan56 and other federal and international climate programs? Does an alternative provide for flexibility for regulated entities, and a cost-effective approach to reduce greenhouse gases? The Scoping Plan Scenario provides a portfolio of policies and measures that balances this combination of objectives, including the highest certainty to achieve the 2030 target, while protecting the California economy and consumers. A more detailed analyses of the alternatives is provided in Appendix G. Scoping Plan Scenario The development of the Scoping Plan began by first modeling a Reference Scenario (BAU). The Reference Scenario is the forecasted statewide GHG emissions through 2030 with existing policies and programs, but without any further action to reduce GHGs. Figure 6 provides the modeling results for a Reference Scenario for this Scoping Plan. The graph shows the State is expected to reduce emissions below the 2020 statewide GHG target, but additional effort will be needed to maintain and continue GHG reductions to meet the mid- (2030) and long-term (2050) targets. Figure 6 depicts a linear, straight-line path to the 2030 target. It should be noted that in any year, GHG emissions may be higher or lower than the straight line. That is to be expected as periods of economic recession or increased economic activity, annual variations in hydropower, and many other factors may influence a single or several years of GHG emissions in the State. CARB’s annual GHG reporting and inventory will provide data on progress towards achieving the 2030 target. More details about the modeling for the Reference Scenario can be found in Appendix D. 56 Although the Clean Power Plan is being challenged in legal and administrative processes, its requirements reflect U.S. EPA’s statutory obligation to regulate greenhouse gases from the power sector. Thus it, and other federal programs, are a key consideration for Scoping Plan development. 24 Figure 6: 2017 sCoping plan reFerenCe sCenario The Scoping Plan Scenario is summarized in Table 1. As shown in the table, most of the measures are identified as “known commitments” (marked with “*”), meaning that they are existing programs or required by statute. These commitments are not part of the Reference Scenario (BAU) in Figure 6 since their passage and implementation is related to meeting the Governor’s climate pillars, the 2030 climate target, or other long-term climate and air quality objectives. In addition to the known commitments, the Scoping Plan Scenario includes a post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program.Annual GHG Emissions (MMTCO2e)0 100 200 300 400 500 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 REFERENCE SCENARIO (BAU) 431 MMTCO2e 2020 Target 260 MMTCO2e 2030 Target 2050 Goal 25 table 1: sCoping plan sCenario Policy Primary Objective Highlights Implementation Time Frame SB 35057* Reduce GHG emissions in the electricity sector through the implementation of the 50 percent RPS, doubling of energy savings, and other actions as appropriate to achieve GHG emissions reductions planning targets in the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) process. • Load-serving entities file plans to achieve GHG emissions reductions planning targets while ensuring reliability and meeting the State’s other policy goals cost-effectively. • 50 percent RPS. • Doubling of energy efficiency savings in natural gas and electricity end uses statewide. 2030 Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS)* Transition to cleaner/less- polluting fuels that have a lower carbon footprint. • At least 18 percent reduction in carbon intensity, as included in the Mobile Source Strategy.2030 Mobile Source Strategy (Cleaner Technology and Fuels [CTF] Scenario)58* Reduce GHGs and other pollutants from the transportation sector through transition to zero- emission and low-emission vehicles, cleaner transit systems and reduction of vehicle miles traveled. • 1.5 million zero emission vehicles (ZEV), including plug-in hybrid electric, battery-electric, and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles by 2025 and 4.2 million ZEVs by 2030. • Continue ramp up of GHG stringency for all light-duty vehicles beyond 2025. • Reductions in GHGs from medium-duty and heavy-duty vehicles via the Phase 2 Medium and Heavy-Duty GHG Standards. • Innovative Clean Transit: Transition to a suite of innovative clean transit options. Assumed 20 percent of new urban buses purchased beginning in 2018 will be zero emission buses with the penetration of zero-emission technology ramped up to 100 percent of new bus sales in 2030. Also, new natural gas buses, starting in 2018, and diesel buses, starting in 2020, meet the optional heavy-duty low-NOX standard. • Last Mile Delivery: New regulation that would result in the use of low NOX or cleaner engines and the deployment of increasing numbers of zero-emission trucks primarily for class 3-7 last mile delivery trucks in California. This measure assumes ZEVs comprise 2.5 percent of new Class 3–7 truck sales in local fleets starting in 2020, increasing to 10 percent in 2025. • Reduction in vehicle miles traveled (VMT), to be achieved in part by continued implementation of SB 375 and regional Sustainable Community Strategies; forthcoming statewide implementation of SB 743; and potential additional VMT reduction strategies not specified in the Mobile Source Strategy, but included in the document “Potential VMT Reduction Strategies for Discussion” in Appendix C.59 Various SB 1383* Approve and Implement Short-Lived Climate Pollutant strategy60 to reduce highly potent GHGs • 40 percent reduction in methane and hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions below 2013 levels by 2030. • 50 percent reduction in anthropogenic black carbon emissions below 2013 levels by 2030. 2030 California Sustainable Freight Action Plan61* Improve freight efficiency, transition to zero emission technologies, and increase competitiveness of California’s freight system. • Improve freight system efficiency by 25 percent by 2030. • Deploy over 100,000 freight vehicles and equipment capable of zero emission operation and maximize both zero and near-zero emission freight vehicles and equipment powered by renewable energy by 2030. 2030 Post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program Reduce GHGs across largest GHG emissions sources • Continue the existing Cap-and-Trade Program with declining caps to ensure the State’s 2030 target is achieved. * These measures and policies are referred to as “known commitments.” 57 58 5960 61 57 SB 350 Clean Energy and Pollution Reduction Act of 2015 (De León, Chapter 547, Statutes of 2015). leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/ billNavClient.xhtml?billid=201520160SB350 This policy also includes increased demand response and PV.58 CARB. 2016. 2016 Mobile Source Strategy. www.arb.ca.gov/planning/sip/2016sip/2016mobsrc.pdf59 CARB. Potential State-Level Strategies to Advance Sustainable, Equitable Communities and Reduce Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT)-- for Discussion. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/meetings/091316/Potential%20VMT%20Measures%20For%20Discussion_9.13.16.pdf60 CARB. 2016. Reducing Short-Lived Climate Pollutants in California. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/shortlived/shortlived.htm61 State of California. California Sustainable Freight Action Plan website. www.casustainablefreight.org/ 26 Table 2 summarizes the results of the modeling for the Reference Scenario and known commitments. Per SB 32, the 2030 limit is 260 MMTCO2e. That is a limit on total GHG emissions in a single year. At approximately 389 MMTCO2e, the Reference Scenario is expected to exceed the 2030 limit by about 129 MMTCO2e. Table 2 also compares the Reference Scenario 2030 emissions estimate of 389 MMTCO2e to the 2030 target of 260 MMTCO2e and the level of 2030 emissions with the known commitments, estimated to be 320 MMTCO2e. And, in the context of a linear path to achieve the 2030 target, there is also a need to achieve cumulative emissions reductions of 621 MMTCO2e from 2021 to 2030 to reach the 2030 limit. While there is no statutory limit on cumulative emissions, the analysis considers and presents some results in cumulative form for several reasons. It should be recognized that policies and measures may perform differently over time. For example, in early years, a policy or measure may be slow to be deployed, but over time it has greater impact. If you were to look at its performance in 2021 versus 2030, you would see that it may not seem important and may not deliver significant reductions in the early years, but is critical for later years as it results in greater reductions over time. Further, once GHGs are emitted into the atmosphere, they can have long lifetimes that contribute to global warming for decades. Policies that reduce both cumulative GHG emissions and achieve the single-year 2030 target provide the most effective path to reducing climate change impacts. A cumulative construct provides a more complete way to evaluate the effectiveness of any measure over time, instead of just considering a snapshot for a single year. table 2: 2030 modeling ghg results For the reFerenCe sCenario and known Commitments Modeling Scenario 2030 GHG Emissions (MMTCO2e) Cumulative GHG Reductions 2021– 2030 (MMTCO2e) Cumulative Gap to 2030 Target (MMTCO2e) Reference Scenario (Business-as-Usual)389 n/a 621 Known Commitments 320 385 236 As noted above, the known commitments are expected to result in emissions that are 60 MMTCO2e above the target in 2030, and have a cumulative emissions reduction gap of about 236 MMTCO2e. This means the known commitments do not decline fast enough to achieve the 2030 target. The remaining 236 MMTCO2e of estimated GHG emissions reductions would not be achieved unless further action is taken to reduce GHGs. Consequently, for the Scoping Plan Scenario, the Post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program would need to deliver 236 MMTCO2e cumulative GHG emissions reductions from 2021 through 2030. If the estimated GHG reductions from the known commitments are not realized due to delays in implementation or technology deployment, the post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program would deliver the additional GHG reductions in the sectors it covers to ensure the 2030 target is achieved. Figure 7 illustrates the cumulative emissions reductions contributions of the known commitments and the Cap-and-Trade Program from 2021 to 2030. Post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program with Declining Caps This measure would continue the Cap-and-Trade Program post-2020 pursuant to legislative direction in AB 398. The program is up and running and has a five-year-long record of auctions and successful compliance. In the face of a growing economy, dry winters, and the closing of a nuclear plant, it is delivering GHG reductions. This is not to say that California should continue on this road simply because the Cap-and-Trade Program is already in place. The analyses in this chapter, and the economic analysis in Chapter 3, clearly demonstrate that continuing the Cap-and-Trade Program through 2030 will provide the most secure, reliable, and feasible clean energy future for California–one that will continue to deliver crucial investments to improve the quality of life and the environment in disadvantaged communities. Under this measure, funds would also continue to be deposited into the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF) to support projects that fulfill the goals of AB 32, with AB 398 identifying a list of priorities for the Legislature to consider for future appropriations from GGRF. Investment of the Cap-and-Trade Program proceeds furthers the goals of AB 32 by reducing GHG emissions, providing net GHG sequestration, providing co-benefits, investing in disadvantaged communities and low-income communities, and supporting the long-term, transformative efforts needed to improve public and environmental health and 27 develop a clean energy economy. These investments support programs and projects that deliver major economic, environmental, and public health benefits for Californians. Importantly, prioritized investments in disadvantaged communities are providing a multitude of meaningful benefits to these communities some of which include increased affordable housing opportunities, reduced transit and transportation costs, access to cleaner vehicles, improved mobility options and air quality, job creation, energy cost savings, and greener and more vibrant communities. Further, the Cap-and-Trade Program is designed to protect electricity and natural gas residential ratepayers from higher energy prices. The program includes a mechanism for electricity and natural gas utilities to auction their freely allocated allowances, with the auction proceeds benefiting ratepayers. The Climate Credit is a twice-annual bill credit given to investor-owned utility electricity residential customers. The total value of the Climate Credit for vintage 2013 auction allowances alone was over $400 million. The first of these credits appeared on customer bills in April 2014.62 Currently, natural gas utilities are permitted to use a portion of their freely allocated allowances to meet their own compliance obligations; however, over time, they must consign a larger percentage of allowances and continue to provide the value back to customers. Additionally, under this measure, the State would preserve its current linkages with its Canadian partners and support future linkages with other jurisdictions, thus facilitating international action to address climate change. The high compliance rates with the Cap-and-Trade Program also demonstrate that the infrastructure and implementation features of the program are effective and understood by the regulated community. This measure also lends itself to integration with the Clean Power Plan requirements and is flexible to allow expansion to other sectors or regions. In late 2017, CARB began evaluating changes to program design features for post-2020 in accordance with AB 398.63 This includes changes to the offset usage limit, direction on allocation, two price containment points, and a price ceiling – which, if in the unlikely event were to be accessed, must result in GHG reductions by compensating for any GHG emissions above the cap, ensuring the environmental integrity of the program. Changes to conform to the requirements of AB 398 will be subject to a public process, coordinated with linked partners, and be part of a future rulemaking that would take effect by January 1, 2021. 62 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/capandtrade/allowanceallocation/edu-v2013-allowance-value-report.pdf63 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/capandtrade/meetings/20171012/ct_presentation_11oct2017.pdf 28 Figure 7: sCoping plan sCenario – estimated Cumulative ghg reduCtions by measure (2021–2030)64 The Scoping Plan Scenario in Figure 7 represents an expected case where current and proposed GHG reduction policies and measures begin as expected and perform as expected, and technology is readily available and deployed on schedule. An Uncertainty Analysis was performed to examine the range of outcomes that could occur under the Scoping Plan policies and measures. The uncertainty in the following factors was characterized and evaluated:• Economic growth through 2030;• Emission intensity of the California economy; • Cumulative emissions reductions (2021 to 2030) achieved by the prescriptive measures, including the known commitments; and • Cumulative emissions reductions (2021 to 2030) that can be motivated by emission prices under the Cap-and-Trade Program. The combined effects of these uncertainties are summarized in Figure 8. As shown in Figure 7, the Scoping Plan analysis estimates that the prescriptive measures will achieve cumulative emissions reductions of 385 MMTCO2e, the Cap-and-Trade Program will achieve 236 MMTCO2e, resulting in total cumulative emissions reductions of 621 MMTCO2e. These values are again reflected in the bar on the left of Figure 8. The results of the Uncertainty Analysis are summarized in the three bars on the right of the figure as follows: • The cumulative emissions reductions required to achieve the 2030 emission limit has the potential to be higher or lower than the Scoping Plan estimate. The uncertainty analysis simulates an average required emissions reductions of about 660 MMTCO2e with a range of +130 MMTCO2e.65 This estimate and the range are shown in Figure 8 as the bar on the right. Notably, the estimate of the average required emissions reductions is 40 MMTCO2e greater than the estimate in the Scoping Plan analysis. • The prescriptive measures have the potential to underperform relative to expectations. Based on CARB staff assessments of the potential risk of underperformance of each measure, the average emissions reductions simulated to be achieved was 335 MMTCO2e, or about 13 percent below the Scoping Plan estimate. The range for the performance of the measures was about +50 MMTCO2e. 64 The whole number values displayed in Figure 7 do not mathematically sum to 621 MMTCO2e, consistent with the modeling results summary in Table 2. This is a result of embedded significant figures and rounding for graphic display purposes. Please refer to the corresponding PATHWAYS modeling data spreadsheets for details.65 The ranges presented are the 5th and 95th percentile observations in the Uncertainty Analysis. See Appendix E for details. Scoping PlanGHG Emissions (MMTCO2e)0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 64 Mobile Sources CFT & Freight 217 Short Lived Climate Pollutants High Global Warming Gases & Methane Reduction from LCFS and Direct Measures 236 Cap-and-Trade Program 64 Energy Efficiency (Res, Com, Ind Ag & TCU) 25 Biofuels (18% LCFS)16 50% RPS 29 These values for the potential reductions achieved by the measures are shown in the figure. • The Cap-and-Trade program is designed to fill the gap in the required emissions reductions over and above what is achieved by the prescriptive measures. Because the total required emissions reductions are uncertain, and the emissions reductions achieved by the prescriptive measures are uncertain, the required emissions reductions from the Cap-and-Trade Program are also uncertain. The Uncertainty Analysis simulated the average emissions reductions achieved by the Cap-and-Trade Program at about 305 MMTCO2e, or about 30 percent higher than the Scoping Plan estimate. The range was simulated to be about +120 MMTCO2e. These values for the potential reductions achieved by the Cap-and-Trade Program are shown in the figure. The Uncertainty Analysis provides insight into the range of potential emissions outcomes that may occur, and demonstrates that the Scoping Plan, with the Cap-and-Trade Program, is extremely effective in the face of uncertainty, assuring that the required emissions reductions are achieved (see Appendix E for more detail). The Uncertainty Analysis also indicates that the Cap-and-Trade Program could contribute a larger or smaller share of the total required cumulative emissions reductions than expected in the Scoping Plan analysis. Figure 8: unCertainty analysis While the modeling results provide estimates of the GHG reductions that could be achieved by the measures, the results also provide other insights and highlight the need to ensure successful implementation of each measure. The SLCP Strategy will provide significant reductions with a focus on methane and hydrofluorocarbon gases. To ensure the SLCP Strategy implementation is successful, it will be critical to ensure programs such as LCFS maintain incentives to finance the capture and use of methane as a transportation fuel–further reducing the State’s dependence on fossil fuels. The modeling also shows that actions on energy efficiency could provide the same magnitude of GHG emissions reductions as the mobile source measures, but each effort will provide different magnitudes of air quality improvements and cost- effectiveness as discussed in Chapter 3. Another way to look at this scenario is to understand the trajectory of GHG reductions over time, relative to the 2030 target. Figure 9 provides the trajectory of GHG emissions modeled for the Scoping Plan Scenario. Again, this depicts a straight-line path to the 2030 target for discussion purposes, but in reality GHG emissions may be above or below the line in any given year(s). Scoping Plan UNCERTAINTY PrescriptiveMeasuresCumulative GHG Emission Reductions2021 to 2030 (MMTCO2e)Cap-and-Trade TotalReductions 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Cap-and- Trade Measures 30 Figure 9: sCoping plan sCenario ghg reduC tions Figure 9 shows the Reference Scenario (yellow) and the version of the Scoping Plan Scenario that excludes the Cap-and-Trade Program (blue). Until 2023, the measures in the Scoping Plan Scenario constrain GHG emissions below the dotted straight line. After 2023, GHG emissions continue to fall, but at a slower rate than needed to meet the 2030 target. It is the Cap-and-Trade Program that will reduce emissions to the necessary levels to achieve the 2030 target. In this scenario, it is estimated that the known commitments will result in an emissions level of about 320 MMTCO2e in 2030. Thus, for the Scoping Plan Scenario, the Cap-and-Trade Program would deliver about 60 MMTCO2e in 2030 and ensure the 2030 target is achieved. To understand how the Scoping Plan affects the main economic sectors, Table 3 provides estimated GHG emissions by sector, compared to 1990 levels, and the range of GHG emissions for each sector estimated for 2030. This comparison helps to illustrate which sectors are reducing emissions more than others and where to focus additional actions to reduce GHGs across the entire economy. 20152010 2020 2025 2030 REFERENCE SCENARIO (BAU) Scoping Plan Scenario Gap closed by Cap-and-Trade 431 MMTCO2e 2020 Target 0 100 200 300 400 500 260 MMTCO2e 2030 Target 31 table 3: estimated Change in ghg emissions by seCtor (mmtCo2e) 1990 2030 Scoping Plan Ranges66 % change from 1990 Agriculture 26 24–25 -8 to -4 Residential and Commercial 44 38–40 -14 to -9 Electric Power 108 30–5367 -72 to -51 High GWP 3 8–1168 267 to 367 Industrial 98 83–9069 -15 to -8 Recycling and Waste 7 8–970 14 to 29** Transportation (Including TCU)152 103–111 -32 to -27 Natural Working Lands Net Sink*-7***TBD TBD Sub Total 431 294–339 -32 to -21 Cap-and-Trade Program n/a 34–79 n/a Total 431 260 -40 * Work is underway through 2017 to estimate the range of potential sequestration benefits from the natural and working lands sector.** The SLCP will reduce emissions in this sector by 40 percent from 2013 levels. However, the 2030 levels are still higher than the 1990 levels as emissions in this sector have grown between 1990 and 2013.*** This number reflects net results and is different than the intervention targets discussed in Chapter 4. The sector ranges may change in response to how the sectors respond to the Cap-and-Trade Program. While the known commitments will deliver some reductions in each sector, the Cap-and-Trade Program will deliver additional reductions in the sectors it covers. Annual GHG reporting and the GHG inventory will track annual changes in emissions, and those will provide ongoing assessments of how each sector is reducing emissions due to the full complement of known commitments and the Cap-and-Trade Program, as applicable. Scenario Modeling There are a variety of models that can be used to model GHG emissions. For this Plan, the State is using the PATHWAYS model.70 PATHWAYS is structured to model GHG emissions while recognizing the integrated nature of the industrial economic and energy sectors. For example, if the transportation sector adds more electric vehicles, PATHWAYS responds to reflect an energy demand increase in the electricity sector. However, PATHWAYS does not reflect any change in transportation infrastructure and land use demand associated with additional ZEVs on the road. The ability to capture a subset of interactive effects of policies and measures helps to provide a representation of the interconnected nature of the system and impacts to GHGs. 66 Unless otherwise noted, the low end of the sector range is the estimated emissions from the Scoping Plan Scenario and the high end adjusts the expected emissions by a risk factor that represents sector underperformance.67 The high end of the electric power sector range is represented by the Scoping Plan Scenario, and the low end by enhancements and additional electricity sector measures such as deployment of additional renewable power, greater behind-the-meter solar PV, and additional energy efficiency. The electric power sector range provided in Table 3 will be used to help inform CARB’s setting of the SB 350 Integrated Resource Plan greenhouse gas emissions reduction planning targets for the sector. CARB, CPUC, and CEC will continue to coordinate on this effort before final IRP targets are established for the sector, load-serving entities, and publicly-owned utilities. State agencies will investigate the potential for and appropriateness of deeper electric sector reductions in light of the overall needs of the Scoping Plan to cost-effectively achieve the statewide GHG goals. Concurrently, CEC and CPUC are proceeding with their respective IRP processes using this range.68 The sector emissions are anticipated to increase by 2030. As such, the high end of the sector range is the estimated emissions from the Scoping Plan Scenario and the low end adjusts the expected emissions by a risk factor that represents sector over performance.69 This estimate does not account for the reductions expected in this sector from the Cap-and-Trade Program. The Cap-and-Trade line item includes reductions that will occur in the industrial sector.70 CARB. 2016. AB 32 Scoping Plan Public Workshops. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/meetings/meetings.htm 32 At this time, PATHWAYS does not include a module for natural and working lands. As such, PATHWAYS cannot be used to model the natural and working lands sector, the interactive effects of polices aimed at the economic and energy sectors and their effect on land use or conditions, or the interactive effects of polices aimed at the natural environment and their impact on the economic and energy sectors. For this Plan, external inputs had to be developed for PATHWAYS to supply biofuel volumes. The natural and working lands sector is also being modeled separately as described in Chapter 4. Moving forward, CARB and other State agencies will work to integrate all the sectors into one model to fully capture interactive effects across both the natural and built environments. Lastly, the PATHWAYS assumptions and result s in this Plan show the significant action that the State must take to reach its GHG reduction goals. It is important to note that the modeling assumptions may differ from other models used by other State agencies. Modeling exercises undertaken in future regulatory proceedings may result in different measures, programs, and program results than those used in the modeling for this Scoping Plan. State agencies will engage on their specific policies and measure development processes separately from CARB Scoping Plan activities, in public forums to engage all stakeholders. Uncertainty Several types of uncertainty are important to understand in both forecasting future emissions and estimating the benefits of emissions reductions scenarios. In developing the Scoping Plan, we have forecast a Reference Scenario and estimated the GHG emissions outcome of the Scoping Plan using PATHWAYS. Inherent in the Reference Scenario modeling is the expectation that many of the existing programs will continue in their current form, and the expected drivers for GHG emissions such as energy demand, population growth, and economic growth will match our current projections. However, it is unlikely that the future will precisely match our projections, leading to uncertainty in the forecast. Thus, the single “reference” line should be understood to represent one possible future in a range of possible predictions. For the Scoping Plan Scenario, PATHWAYS utilized inputs that are assumptions external to the model. PATHWAYS was provided plausible inputs such as energy demand over time, the start years for specific policies, and the penetration rates of associated technologies. Each of the assumptions provided to PATHWAYS has some uncertainty, which is also reflected in the results. Thus, while the results presented in the Scoping Plan may seem precise due to the need for precision in model inputs, these results are estimates, and the use of ranges in some of the results is meant to capture that uncertainty. Further, as noted in the November 7, 2016, 2030 Target Scoping Plan Workshop, “All policies have a degree of uncertainty associated with them.”71 As this Scoping Plan is meant to chart a path to achieving the 2030 target, additional work will be required to fully design and implement any policies identified in this Scoping Plan. During the subsequent development of policies, CARB and other State agencies will learn more about technologies, cost, and how each industry works as a more comprehensive evaluation is conducted in coordination with stakeholders. Given the uncertainty around assumptions used in modeling, and in performance once specific policies are fully designed and implemented, estimates associated with the Scoping Plan Scenario are likely to differ from what actually occurs when the Scoping Plan is implemented. One way to mitigate for this risk is to develop policies that can adapt and increase certainty in GHG emissions reductions. Periodic reviews of progress toward achieving the 2030 target and the performance of specific policies will also provide opportunities for the State to consider any changes to ensure we remain on course to achieve the 2030 target. The need for this periodic review process was anticipated in AB 32, as it calls for updates to the Scoping Plan at least once every five years. Additional information on the uncertainty analyses conducted in the development of this Scoping Plan is located in Appendix E. 71 Bushnell, James. Economic Modeling and Environmental Policy Choice. PowerPoint. Department of Economics, University of California, Davis. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/meetings/110716/bushnellpresentation.pdf 33 Policy Analysis of Scoping Plan Scenario The following key criteria were considered while evaluating potential policies beyond the known commitments. The results of the economic analysis (presented in Chapter 3) were also important in the design of this Scoping Plan. • Ensure the State achieves the 2030 target. The strategy must ensure that GHG emissions reductions occur and are sufficient to achieve the 2030 target. • Provide air quality co-benefits. An important concern for environmental justice communities is for any Scoping Plan to provide air quality co-benefits. • Prioritize rules and regulations for direct GHG reductions. AB 197 requires CARB in developing this Scoping Plan to prioritize emissions reductions rules and regulations that result in direct emissions reductions at large stationary sources of GHG emissions sources and direct emissions reductions from mobile sources.• Provide protection against emissions leakage. Require any policies to achieve the statewide limits to minimize emissions leakage to the extent possible. Emissions leakage can occur when production moves out-of-state, so there appears to be a reduction in California’s emissions, but the production and emissions have just moved elsewhere. This loss in production may be associated with loss in jobs and decreases in the State’s gross domestic product (GDP) and could potentially increase global GHG emissions if the production moves to a less efficient facility outside of California. • Develop greenhouse gas reduction programs that can be readily exported to other jurisdictions. Currently, California’s Cap-and-Trade Program is linked with Québec’s program and is scheduled to link with Ontario’s cap-and-trade program beginning in 2018. At the same time, California’s ambitious policies such as the RPS, LCFS, and Advanced Clean Cars have resulted in other regions adopting similar programs. • Minimize costs and increase investment in disadvantaged and low-income communities, and low-income households. Currently, Cap-and-Trade auction proceeds from the sale of State- owned allowances are appropriated for a variety of programs to reduce GHGs, and provide other environmental, health and economic benefits including job creation and economic development. Under AB 1550, a minimum of 25 percent of the proceeds are to be invested in projects located in and benefiting disadvantaged communities, with an additional minimum 10 percent to projects in low-income communities, and low-income households. It is important to understand if the strategy will require or result in funding to support these GHG reductions and associated benefits. • Avoid or minimize the impacts of climate change on public health by continuing reductions in GHGs. Climate change has the potential to significantly impact public health, including increases in heat illness and death, air pollution-related exacerbation of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, injury and loss of life due to severe storms and flooding, increased vector-borne and water-borne diseases, and stress and mental trauma due to extreme weather-related catastrophes.• Provide compliance flexibility. Flexibility is important as it allows each regulated entity the ability to pursue its own path toward compliance in a way that works best for its business model. Flexibility also acknowledges that regulatory agencies may not have a complete picture of all available low-cost compliance mechanisms or opportunities even across the same sector. In addition, under AB 32 and AB 197, the strategy to reduce GHGs requires consideration of cost-effectiveness, which compliance flexibility provides. • Support the Clean Power Plan and other federal climate programs. California will continue to support aggressive federal action, as well as to defend existing programs like the Clean Power Plan, which is the most prominent federal climate regulation applicable to stationary sources. The U.S. Supreme Court has repeatedly confirmed that federal greenhouse gas regulation must move forward under the federal Clean Air Act, so it is important to ensure that California’s programs can support federal compliance as well. Although continuing litigation has stayed certain Clean Power Plan deadlines in the near term, and U.S. EPA has proposed to reconsider aspects of the rule as issued, the Clean Power Plan remains the law of the land. California is vigorously defending this important program, and is continuing to support federal climate regulation as is required by law. U.S EPA also has a legal obligation to implement GHG controls for power plants, even if it proposes to alter the form of those controls in the future. Therefore, the Clean Power Plan and other federal efforts are important considerations for this Scoping Plan. With regard to the 34 Clean Power Plan, California power plants are expected to be within their limits as set forth by the State’s compliance plan, which was approved by CARB on July 27, 2017. However, the State still needs a mechanism to ensure the emissions for the covered electricity generating plants do not exceed the federal limits. This mechanism must be federally enforceable with regard to the affected power plants, and limit their emissions in accordance with the federal limit. Table 4 uses the criteria listed above to assess the Scoping Plan Scenario. This assessment is based on CARB staff evaluation as well as the analyses described in Chapter 3. table 4: poliCy assessment oF the sCoping plan Criteria Details Ensure the State Achieves the 2030 Target • Incorporates existing and new commitments to reduce emissions from all sectors • The Cap-and-Trade Program scales to ensure reductions are achieved, even if other policies do not achieve them. This is particularly critical given the uncertainty inherent in both CARB’s emission forecast and its estimate of future regulations. Provide Air Quality Co-Benefits • Reduced fossil fuel use and increased electrification (including plug-in hybrid electric, battery-electric, and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles) from policies such as the Mobile Source Strategy, enhanced LCFS and RPS, energy efficiency, and land conservation will likely reduce criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants. • The Cap-and-Trade Program will ensure GHG emissions reductions within California that may reduce criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants. Prioritize Rules and Regulations for Direct GHG Reductions • Advanced Clean Cars regulations require reduction in the light-duty vehicle sector. • Enhanced LCFS requires reductions in light-duty and heavy-duty transportation. • SB 350, RPS, and energy efficiency will reduce the need for fossil power generation. • The Cap-and-Trade Program constrains and reduces emissions across approximately 80 percent of California GHG emissions. • SB 1383 and the Short-lived Climate Pollutant Reduction Strategy require reductions in the agricultural, commercial, residential, industrial, and energy sectors. Protect Against Emissions Leakage • Free allowance allocation to minimize leakage, where supported by research. Develop GHG Reduction Programs that can be Readily Exported to Other Jurisdictions • Supports existing and future linkages, allows for larger GHG emissions reductions worldwide through collaborative regional efforts. • Provides leadership on how to integrate short-lived climate pollutants into the broader climate mitigation program. Minimize Costs and Invest in Disadvantaged and Low-Income Communities, and Low-Income Households • Continue to fund programs and projects that reduce GHGs and meaningfully benefit disadvantaged and low-income communities and low-income households through the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund. Avoid or Minimize the Impacts of Climate Change on Public Health • Reduces GHGs and provides leadership nationally and internationally for climate action. • Provides funding for programs such as home weatherization focused on disadvantaged communities, to mitigate potential cost impacts. Compliance Flexibility • Regulated sources self-identify and implement some GHG emissions reductions actions, beyond those already required to comply with additional prescriptive measures. Support the Clean Power Plan and other Federal Climate Programs • Post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program can be used to comply with the Clean Power Plan. 35 Programs for Air Quality Improvement in California For half a century, CARB has been a leader in measuring, evaluating, and reducing sources of air pollution that impact public health. Its air pollution programs have been adapted for national programs and emulated in other countries. Significant progress has been made in reducing diesel particulate matter (PM), which is a designated toxic air contaminant, and many other hazardous air pollutants. CARB partners with local air districts to address stationary source emissions and adopts and implements State-level regulations to address sources of criteria and toxic air pollution, including mobile sources. The key air quality strategies being implemented by CARB include the following: • State Implementation Plans (SIPs).72 These comprehensive plans describe how an area will attain national ambient air quality standards by deadlines established by the federal Clean Air Act. SIPs are a compilation of new and previously submitted plans, programs, air district rules, State regulations, and federal controls designed to achieve the emissions reductions needed from mobile sources, fuels, stationary sources, and consumer products. On March 23, 2017, CARB adopted the Revised Proposed 2016 State Strategy for the SIP, describing the commitments necessary to meet federal ozone and PM2.5 standards over the next 15 years. • Diesel Risk Reduction Plan.73 The plan, adopted by CARB in September 2000, outlined 14 recommended control measures to reduce the risks associated with diesel PM and achieve a goal of 75 percent PM reduction by 2010 and 85 percent by 2020. Since 2000, CARB has adopted regulations to reduce smog-forming pollutants and diesel PM from mobile vehicles and equipment (e.g., trucks, buses, locomotives, tractors, cargo handling equipment, construction equipment, marine vessels, transport refrigeration units); stationary engines and portable equipment (e.g., emergency standby generators, prime generators, agricultural irrigation pumps, portable generators); and diesel fuels. Diesel PM accounts for approximately 60 percent of the current estimated inhalation cancer risk for background ambient air.74 CARB staff continues to work to improve implementation and enforcement efforts and examine needed amendments to increase the community health benefits of these control measures.• Sustainable Freight Action Plan.75 This joint agency strategy was developed in response to Governor’s Executive Order B-32-15 to improve freight efficiency, transition to zero emission technologies, and increase the competitiveness of California’s freight system. The transition of the freight transport system is essential to support the State’s economic development in the coming decades and reduce air pollution affecting many California communities. • AB 32 Scoping Plan.76 This comprehensive strategy is updated at least every five years and is designed to achieve the State’s climate goals, which includes measures that achieve air pollutant reduction co-benefits. • AB 1807.77 AB 1807 (Tanner, 1983) created California’s program to reduce exposure to air toxics. CARB uses a comprehensive process to prioritize the identification of substances that pose the greatest health threat and to develop airborne toxic control measures to reduce those exposures. CARB has reduced public exposure to toxic air contaminants (TACs) through control of motor vehicles, fuels, consumer products, and stationary sources, including adopting control measures for 72 CARB. 2016. California State Implementation Plans. www.arb.ca.gov/planning/sip/sip.htm73 CARB. 2000. Final Diesel Risk Reduction Plan with Appendices. www.arb.ca.gov/diesel/documents/rrpapp.htm 74 CARB and California Air Pollution Control Officers Association. 2015. Risk Management Guidance for Stationary Sources of Air Toxics. July 23. www.arb.ca.gov/toxics/rma/rmgssat.pdf 75 CARB. 2016. Sustainable Freight Transport. www.arb.ca.gov/gmp/sfti/sfti.htm 76 CARB. 2016. AB 32 Scoping Plan. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/scopingplan.htm 77 CARB. 2014. California Air Toxics Program – Background. www.arb.ca.gov/toxics/background.htm Chapter 3 e valuat Ion S 36 industrial sources (e.g., perchloroethylene in automotive products; hexavalent chromium from cooling towers, automotive coatings and plating; ethylene oxide from sterilizers and aerators; dioxins from medical waste incinerators; perchloroethylene from dry cleaners; cadmium from metal melting). • AB 2588 Air Toxics “Hot Spots” Program.78 The Hot Spots Program supplements the AB 1807 program by requiring a statewide air toxics inventory, identification of facilities having localized impacts, notification of nearby residents exposed to a significant health risk, and facility risk management plans to reduce those significant risks to acceptable levels. • AB 617 Community Air Protection Program. Together with the extension of the Cap-and-Trade Program and in recognition of ongoing air quality challenges, California has committed to expand its criteria and toxic emissions reductions efforts through the pursuit of a multipronged approach to reduce localized air pollution and address community exposure, framed by recently-signed new legislation, AB 617 (C. Garcia, 2017). AB 617 outlines actions in five core areas, to be completed in the 2018 to 2020 timeframe, to reduce criteria and toxic emissions in the most heavily impacted areas of the State: • Community-scale air monitoring. Ambient air monitoring is needed to evaluate the status of the atmosphere compared to clean air standards and historical data. Monitoring helps identify and profile air pollution sources, assess emerging measurement methods, characterize the degree and extent of air pollution, and track progress of emissions reductions activities. AB 617 requires a statewide assessment of the current air monitoring network and identification of priority locations where community-level air monitoring will be deployed. • Statewide Strategy to reduce air pollutants impacting communities. CARB will identify locations with high cumulative exposure to criteria and toxic pollutants, the sources contributing to those exposures, and select locations that will be required to develop a community action plan to reduce pollutants to acceptable levels.• Community Action Plans to reduce emissions in identified communities. High priority locations identified in the Statewide Strategy will need to prepare a community action plan that includes emissions reductions targets, measures, and an implementation timeline. The plan will be submitted to CARB for review and approval. • Accelerated retrofits and technology clearinghouse. This effort will focus on stationary source equipment at Cap-and-Trade facilities that, as of 2007, have not been retrofitted with BARCT-level emission controls for nonattainment pollutants. In addition, creation of a statewide clearinghouse that identifies BACT and BARCT technologies and emission levels for criteria pollutants and TACs will be developed to assist the air districts with the BARCT evaluation and identify available emission controls for the Statewide Strategy.• Direct reporting of facility emissions data to CARB. An improved, standardized emission inventory promotes a better understanding of actual emissions and helps identify major emission sources, priorities for emissions reduction, and data gaps requiring further work. AB 617 requires CARB to establish a uniform emission inventory system for stationary sources of criteria pollutants and TACs. Data integration and transparency-related efforts are already required by AB 197 (E. Garcia, 2016) and underway at CARB, so this new task will build on these efforts. Moreover, it is clear that better data reporting is necessary to identify localized exposure risk to harmful criteria and toxic pollutants and actions to address any localized impacts must be taken as quickly as possible. To support efforts to advance the State’s toxics program, the Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment (OEHHA) finalized a new health risk assessment methodology, Air Toxics Hot Spots Program Risk Assessment Guidelines: Guidance Manual for Preparation of Health Risk Assessments, on March 6, 2015, which updates the previous version of the guidance manual and reflects advances in the field of risk assessment along with explicit consideration of infants and children.79 Subsequently, CARB, in collaboration with the California Air Pollution Control Officers Association (CAPCOA), finalized a Risk Management Guidance for Stationary Sources of Air Toxics for the air districts to use to incorporate OEHHA’s new health risk assessment methodology into their stationary source permitting and AB 2588 Air Toxics Hot Spots programs.80 Together, all of these efforts will reduce criteria and toxics emissions in the State, with a focus on the most burdened communities. In particular, AB 617 responds to environmental justice concerns that the Cap-and- 78 CARB. 2016. AB 2588 Air Toxics “Hot Spots” Program. www.arb.ca.gov/ab2588/ab2588.htm 79 OEHHA. 2015. Notice of Adoption of Air Toxics Hot Spots Program Guidance Manual for the Preparation of Health Risk Assessments 2015. http://oehha.ca.gov/air/crnr/notice-adoption-air-toxics-hot-spots-program-guidance-manual-preparation-health-risk-0 80 www.arb.ca.gov/toxics/rma/rmgssat.pdf 37 Trade Program does not force large GHG emitters to reduce air pollution which results in localized health impacts. Prior to the passage of AB 617, in February 2017, OEHHA published the first in a series of reports tasked with evaluating the impacts of California’s climate change programs on disadvantaged communities. The initial report focused on the Cap-and-Trade Program.81 Future reports will focus on the impacts of other climate programs on disadvantaged communities. The report confirms disadvantaged communities are frequently located close to large stationary and mobile sources of emissions. It also notes there are complexities in trying to correlate GHGs with criteria and toxics emissions across industry and within sectors, although preliminary data review shows there may be some poor to moderate correlations in specific instances. Lastly, the report noted, “…the emissions data available at this time do not allow for a conclusive analysis.” Two additional reports were released during this same period of time: a California Environmental Justice Alliance (CEJA) report focused on identifying equity issues for disadvantaged communities resulting from the implementation of the Cap-and-Trade Program82 and a research paper examining the question of whether the Cap-and-Trade Program is causing more GHG emissions in disadvantaged communities when compared to other regions.83 Both of these reports also confirmed that disadvantaged communities are disproportionately located close to large stationary and mobile sources of emissions. While the CEJA report noted, “Further research is needed before firm policy conclusions can be drawn from this preliminary analysis,” the research paper, in reference to GHGs, states, “By and large, the annual change in emissions across disadvantaged and non-disadvantaged communities look similar.” While the reports do not provide evidence that implementation of the Cap-and-Trade Program is contributing to increased local air pollution, they do underscore the need to use all of the tools (e.g., enhanced enforcement, new regulations, tighter permit limits) available to the State and local agencies to achieve further emissions reductions of toxic and criteria pollutants that are impacting community health. Importantly, AB 617 provides a new framework and tools for CARB, in collaboration with local air districts, to deploy focused monitoring and ensure criteria and toxics emissions reductions at the State’s largest GHG emitters. AB 197 Measure Analyses This section provides the required AB 197 estimates for the measures evaluated in this Scoping Plan. These estimates provide information on the relative impacts of the evaluated measures when compared to each other. To support the design of a suite of policies that result in GHG reductions, air quality co-benefits, and cost-effective measures, it is important to understand if a measure will increase or reduce criteria pollutants or toxic air contaminant emissions, or if increasing stringency at additional costs yields few additional GHG reductions. To this end, AB 197 (E. Garcia, Chapter 250, Statutes of 2016) requires the following for each potential reduction measure evaluated in any Scoping Plan update: • The range of projected GHG emissions reductions that result from the measure. • The range of projected air pollution reductions that result from the measure. • The cost-effectiveness, including avoided social costs, of the measure. As the Scoping Plan was developed, it was important to understand if any of the proposed policies or measures would increase criteria pollutant or toxic air contaminant emissions. Note the important caveats around some of the estimates; they must be considered when using the information in the tables below for purposes other than as intended. Estimated Emissions Reductions for Evaluated Measures For many of the existing programs with known commitments, such as the Mobile Source Strategy, previous analyses provide emission factors or other methods for estimating the impacts required by AB 197. Where available, these values were used. In some cases, estimates are based on data from other sources, such as the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) Renewables Portfolio Standard Calculator. For newly proposed measures, assumptions were required to estimate the values. Consequently, the estimates for the newly proposed measures have substantial uncertainty. The uncertainty in the impacts of these measures would be reduced as the measures are defined in greater detail during the regulatory processes that are undertaken to 81 https://oehha.ca.gov/media/downloads/environmental-justice/report/oehhaab32report020217.pdf82 http://dornsife.usc.edu/PERE/enviro-equity-CA-cap-trade83 https://www.dropbox.com/s/se3ibxkv8t4at8g/Meng_CA_EJ.pdf?dl=1 38 define and adopt the programs. For example, as a measure is developed in detail, ways to obtain additional co-pollutant reductions or avoid co-pollutant increases may be identified and evaluated. Table 5 provides the estimates for the measures evaluated during the development of the Scoping Plan. Based on the estimates below, these measures are expected to provide air quality benefits. The table also provides important context, limitations, and caveats about the values. As shown, the table includes criteria pollutant and diesel PM estimates. As mentioned in the Diesel Risk Reduction Plan, diesel PM accounts for 60 percent of the current estimated inhalation cancer risk for background ambient air. As we do not have direct modeling results for criteria and toxic pollutant estimates from PATHWAYS, we are estimating air quality benefits by using reductions in GHGs to assign similar reductions for criteria and toxic pollutants. By assigning an arbitrary 1:1 relationship in changes between GHGs and criteria and toxic pollutants, the air quality reductions likely overestimate the actual reductions from implementation of the measures. As noted in the OEHHA report, the exact relationship between GHGs and air pollutants is not clearly understood at this time. Moving forward, CARB will continue to assess the nature of the exact relationship between GHGs and criteria and toxics emissions. All estimates in Table 5 have some inherent uncertainty. The table allows for assessing measures against each other and should not be used for other purposes without understanding the limitations on the how the air quality values are derived. Table 6 provides a summary of the total estimated emissions reductions for the Scoping Plan Scenario as outlined in Table 1. Table 6 was developed by adding the estimated emissions reductions for all of the measures included within the Scoping Plan Scenario in Table 1. More detail on the estimates for the Scoping Plan Scenario, as well as the specific measures included in each of the other four alternative scenarios can be found in Appendix G. In 2030, the Scoping Plan scenario and alternatives will provide comparable GHG and air quality reductions. When there is a range, the measure or policy should be designed to maximize the benefit to the extent possible. table 5: ranges oF estimated air pollution reduCtions by poliCy or measure in 2030 Measure Range of NOX Reductions (Tons/Day) Range of VOC Reductions (Tons/Day) Range of PM2.5 Reductions (Tons/Day) Range of Diesel PM Reductions (Tons/Day) 50 percent RPS ~0.5 <0.1 ~0.4 < 0.01 Mobile Sources CTF and Freight 51–60 4.6–5.5 ~1.1 ~0.2 18 percent Carbon Intensity Reduction Target for LCFS - Liquid Biofuels*3.5–4.4 0.5–0.6 0.4–0.6 ~0.5 Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy –––– 2x additional achievable energy efficiency in the 2015 Integrated Energy Policy Report (IEPR)0.4–0.5 0.5–0.7 < 0.1 < 0.01 Cap-and-Trade Program A A A 4–9 * LCFS estimates include estimates of the NOX and PM2.5 tailpipe benefits limited to renewable diesel consumed in the off-road sector. – CARB is evaluating how to best estimate these values. Criteria and toxic values are shown in tons per day, as they are episodic emissions events with residence times of a few hours to days, unlike GHGs, which have atmospheric residence times of decades. A Due to the inherent flexibility of the Cap-and-Trade Program, as well as the overlay of other complementary GHG reduction measures, the mix of compliance strategies that individual facilities may use is not known. However, based on current law and policies that control industrial and electricity generating sources of air pollution, and expected compliance responses, CARB believes that emissions increases at the statewide, regional, or local level due to the regulation are not likely. A more stringent post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program will provide an incentive for covered facilities to decrease GHG emissions and any related emissions of criteria and toxic pollutants. Please see CARB’s Co-Pollutant Emissions Assessment for a more detailed evaluation of a cap-and-trade program and associated air emissions impacts: www.arb.ca.gov/regact/2010/capandtrade10/capv6appp.pdf NOX = nitrogen oxides; VOC = volatile organic compound Important: These estimates assume a 1:1 relationship between changes in GHGs, criteria pollutants, and toxic air contaminant emissions, and it is unclear whether that is ever the case. The values should not be considered estimates of absolute changes for other analytical purposes and only allow for comparison across measures in the table. The values are estimates that represent current assumptions of how programs may be implemented; actual impacts may vary depending on the design, implementation, and performance of the policies and measures. The table does not show interactions between measures, such as the relationship with increased transportation 39 electrification and associated increase in energy demand for the electricity sector. The measures in the Scoping Plan Scenario are shown in bold font in the table below. Additional details, including GHG reductions, are available in Appendix G. table 6: summary oF r anges oF estimated air pollution reduCtions For the sCoping plan sCenario in 2030 Scenario Range of NOX Reductions (Tons/Day) Range of VOC Reductions (Tons/Day) Range of PM2.5 Reductions (Tons/Day) Range of Diesel PM Reductions (Tons/Day) Scoping Plan Scenario 48–73 5.1–7.3 1.4–2.4 5–10 The total estimates for air pollution reductions provided in this table for the Scoping Plan Scenario are estimated by adding the air pollution benefits for the subset of individual measures examined in Table 5 and included in the Scoping Plan Scenario described in Table 1, and scaled by a risk adjustment factor to capture interactive effects and risks of under/over achieving on air pollution reductions. Appendix G includes details of the specific measures in the Scoping Plan Scenario and Alternatives. All caveats in Table 5 apply to air quality estimates in this table. Estimated Social Costs of Evaluated Measures Consideration of the social costs of GHG emissions is a requirement in AB 197, including evaluation of the avoided social costs for measures within this Scoping Plan.84 Social costs are generally defined as the cost of an action on people, the environment, or society and are widely used to evaluate the impact of regulatory actions. Social costs do not represent the cost of abatement or the cost of GHG reductions, rather social costs estimate the harm that is avoided by reducing GHGs. Since 2008, federal agencies have been incorporating the social costs of GHGs, including carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide into the analysis of their regulatory actions. Agencies including the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA), Department of Transportation (DOT), and Department of Energy (DOE) are subject to Executive Order 12866, which directs agencies “to assess both the costs and benefits of the intended regulation…”.85 In 2007, the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration (NHTSA) was directed by the U.S. 9th Circuit Court of Appeals to include the social cost of carbon in a regulatory impact analysis for a vehicle fuel economy rule. The Court stated that “[w]hile the record shows that there is a range of values, the value of carbon emissions reduction is certainly not zero.”86 In 2009, the Council of Economic Advisors and the Office of Management and Budget convened the Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases87 (IWG) to develop a methodology for estimating the social cost of carbon (SC-CO2). This methodology relied on a standardized range of assumptions and could be used consistently when estimating the benefits of regulations across agencies and around the world. The IWG, comprised of scientific and economic experts, recommended the use of SC-CO2 values based on three integrated assessment models (IAMs) developed over decades of global peer-reviewed research.88 In this Scoping Plan, CARB utilizes the current IWG supported SC-CO2 values to consider the social costs of actions to reduce GHG emissions. This approach is in line with Executive Orders including 12866 and the OMB Circular A-4 of September 17, 2003, and reflects the best available science in the estimation of the socio-economic impacts of carbon.89 CARB is aware that the current federal administration has recently withdrawn certain social cost of carbon reports as no longer representative of federal governmental policy.90 However, this determination does not call into question the validity and scientific integrity of federal social 84 AB 197 text available at: https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=201520160AB197. 85 https://www.reginfo.gov/public/jsp/Utilities/EO_12866.pdf 86 Center for Biological Diversity v National Highway Traffic Safety Administration 06-71891 (9th Cir, November 15 2007)87 Originally titled the Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Carbon, the IWG was renamed in 2016.88 Additional technical detail on the IWG process is available in the Technical Updates of the Social Cost of Carbon for Regulatory Impact Analysis – Under Executive Order 12866. Iterations of the Updates are available at: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/ sites/default/files/omb/inforeg/for-agencies/Social-Cost-of-Carbon-for-RIA.pdf, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/ default/files/omb/inforeg/scc-tsd-final-july-2015.pdf, and https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/omb/inforeg/ scc_tsd_final_clean_8_26_16.pdf. 89 OMB circular A-4 is available at: https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/OMB%20Circular%20No.%20A-4.pdf. 90 See Presidential Executive Order, March 28, 2017, sec. 5(b). 40 cost of carbon work, or the merit of independent scientific work. Indeed, the IWG’s work remains relevant, reliable, and appropriate for use for these purposes. The IWG describes the social costs of carbon as follows: The social cost of carbon (SC-CO2) for a given year is an estimate, in dollars, of the present discounted value of the future damage caused by a 1-metric ton increase in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions into the atmosphere in that year, or equivalently, the benefits of reducing CO2 emissions by the same amount in that year. The SC-CO2 is intended to provide a comprehensive measure of the net damages – that is, the monetized value of the net impacts – from global climate change that result from an additional ton of CO2. These damages include, but are not limited to, changes in net agricultural productivity, energy use, human health, property damage from increased flood risk, as well as nonmarket damages, such as the services that natural ecosystems provide to society. Many of these damages from CO2 emissions today will affect economic outcomes throughout the next several centuries.91 Table 7. presents the range of IWG SC-CO2 values used in regulatory assessments including this Scoping Plan.92 table 7: sC-Co2, 2015-2030 (in 2007 $ per metriC ton) Year 5 Percent Discount Rate 3 Percent Discount Rate 2.5 Percent Discount Rate 2015 $11 $36 $56 2020 $12 $42 $62 2025 $14 $46 $68 2030 $16 $50 $73 The SC-CO2 is year specific, that is, the IAMs estimate the environmental damages from a given year in the future and discount the value of the damages back to the present. For example, the SC-CO2 for the year 2030 represents the value of climate change damages from a release of CO2 in 2030 discounted back to today. The SC-CO2 increases over time as systems become stressed from the aggregate impacts of climate change and future emissions cause incrementally larger damages. Table 7 presents the SC-CO2 across a range of discount rates – or the value today of preventing environmental damages in the future. A higher discount rate decreases the value placed on future environmental damages. This Scoping Plan utilizes the IWG standardized range of discount rates, from 2.5 to 5 percent to represent varying valuation of future damages. The SC-CO2 is highly sensitive to the discount rate. Higher discount rates decrease the value today of future environmental damages. This Scoping Plan utilizes the IWG standardized range of discount rates, from 2.5 to 5 percent to represent varying valuation of future damages. The value today of environmental damages in 2030 is higher under the 2.5 percent discount rate compared to the 3 or 5 percent discount rate, reflecting the trade-off of consumption today and future damages. The IWG estimates the SC-CO2 across a range of discount rates that encompass a variety of assumptions regarding the correlation between climate damages and consumption of goods and is consistent with OMB’s Circular A-4 guidance.93 There is an active discussion within government and academia about the role of SC-CO2 in assessing regulations, quantifying avoided climate damages, and the values themselves. In January 2017, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NAS) released a report examining potential approaches for a comprehensive update to the SC-CO2 methodology to ensure resulting cost estimates reflect the best available science. The NAS review did not modify the estimated values of the SC-CO2, but evaluated the models, assumptions, handling of uncertainty, and discounting used in the estimating of the SC-CO2. The report titled, “Valuating Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide,” recommends near-term improvements to the existing IWG SC-CO2 as well as a long-term strategy to more comprehensive updates.94 The State will continue to follow updates to the IWG SC-CO2, including changes 91 From The National Academies, Valuing Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide, 2017, available at: http://www.nap.edu/24651 92 The SC-CO2 values as of July 2015 are available at: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/omb/inforeg/scc-tsd- final-july-2015.pdf 93 The National Academies, Valuing Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide, 2017, available at: http://www.nap.edu/24651. 94 The National Academies, Valuing Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide, 2017, available at: 41 outlined in the NAS report, and incorporate appropriate peer-reviewed modifications to estimates based on the latest available data and science. It is important to note that the SC-CO2, while intended to be a comprehensive estimate of the damages caused by carbon globally, does not represent the cumulative cost of climate change and air pollution to society. There are additional costs to society outside of the SC-CO2, including costs associated with changes in co-pollutants, the social cost of other GHGs including methane and nitrous oxide, and costs that cannot be included due to modeling and data limitations. The IPCC has stated that the IWG SC-CO2 estimates are likely underestimated due to the omission of significant impacts that cannot be accurately monetized, including important physical, ecological, and economic impacts.95 CARB will continue engaging with experts to evaluate the comprehensive California-specific impacts of climate change and air pollution. The Social Cost of GHG Emissions Social costs for methane (SC-CH4) and nitrous oxide (SC-N2O) have also been developed using methodology consistent with that used in estimating the IWG SC-CO2. These social costs have also been endorsed by the IWG and have been used in federal regulatory analyses.96 Along with the SC-CO2, the State also supports the use of the SC-CH4 and SC-N2O in monetizing the impacts of GHG emissions. While the SC-CO2, SC-CH4, and SC-N2O provide metrics to account for the social costs of climate change, California will continue to analyze ways to more comprehensively identify the costs of climate change and air pollution to all Californians. This will include following updates to the IWG methodology and social costs of GHGs and incorporating the SC-CO2, SC-CH4, and SC-N2O into regulatory analyses. Table 9 presents the estimated social cost for each policy or measure considered in the development of the Scoping Plan in 2030. For each measure or policy, Table 9 includes the range of the IWG SC-CO2 values that result from the anticipated range of GHG reductions in 2030 presented in Appendix G. The SC-CO2 range is obtained using the IWG SC-CO2 values in 2030 at the 2.5, 3, and 5 percent discount rates. These values (of $16 using the 5 percent discount rate, $50 using the 3 percent discount rate, and $73 using the 2.5 percent discount rate) are translated into 2015 dollars and multiplied across the range of estimated reductions by measure in 2030 to estimate the value of avoided social costs from each measure in that year.97 Implementation of the SLCP Strategy will result in reduction of a variety of GHGs, including methane and HFCs, which reported in carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e). While there is no social cost of CO2e, the avoided damages associated with the methane reductions outlined in the SLCP Strategy are estimated in Table 9 using the IWG SC-CH4 as presented in Table 8.98 table 8: sC-Ch4, 2015-2030 (in 2007$ per metriC ton) Year 5 Percent Discount Rate 3 Percent Discount Rate 2.5 Percent Discount Rate 2015 $450 $1000 $1400 2020 $540 $1200 $1600 2025 $650 $1400 $1800 2030 $760 $1600 $2000 The range of SC-CH4 is obtained using the IWG SC-CH4 values in 2030 at the 2.5, 3, and 5 percent discount rates. The SC-CH4 values (e.g., $760 using the 5 percent discount rate, $1,600 using the 3 percent discount rate, and $2,000 using the 2.5 percent discount rate) are translated into 2015 dollars and multiplied across the range of estimated methane reductions in 2030 to estimate the value of climate benefits from the SLCP http://www.nap.edu/24651 95 https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg3/en/ch3s3-5-3-3.html96 More information is available at: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/omb/inforeg/august_2016_sc_ch4_sc_ n2o_addendum_final_8_26_16.pdf 97 The IWG.SC-CO2 values are in 2007 dollars. In 2015 dollars, $16, $50, and $73 in 2007 translates to about $18, $57, and $83, respectively, based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics GDP Series Table 1.1.4.98 https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/omb/inforeg/august_2016_sc_ch4_sc_n2o_addendum_final_8_26_16.pdf 42 Strategy.99 As the social cost associated with the SLCP Strategy does not include the impact associated with non-methane reductions, Table 9 underestimates the avoided social costs of this Scoping Plan as calculated using the IWG valuations. As this Scoping Plan is a suite of policies developed to reduce GHGs to a specific level in 2030, any alternative scenario that also achieves the 2030 target (with the same proportion of carbon dioxide and methane reductions) will have the same avoided social cost, as estimated using the IWG social cost of GHGs, for the single year 2030. The social costs of alternatives could vary if the 2030 target is achieved with vastly different ratios of carbon dioxide to methane reductions. However, all alternatives in this Scoping Plan are anticipated to achieve the same proportion of carbon dioxide and methane reductions and will therefore all have the same estimated avoided social damage or social cost. This social cost, as estimated in 2030 using the IWG SC-CO2 and SC-CH4, ranges from $1.9 to $11.2 billion using the 2.5 to 5 percent discount rates, and is estimated at $5.0 to $7.8 billion using the 3 percent discount rate. For example, in Table 9 the CH4 reductions for the SCLP strategy are about 1 MMTCH4. That value is multiplied by the 2030 SC-CH4 values in Table 8 for the 2030 values at the 2.5 and 5 percent discount rates to get a range of $860 to $2,260 in 2015 dollars. 99 The IWG.SC-CH4 values are in 2007 dollars. In 2015 dollars, the range of SC-CH4 translates to about $858, $1,807, and $2,259, for the 5 percent, 3 percent, and 2.5 percent discount rates, respectively. These values are based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics GDP Series Table 1.1.4. 43 table 9: estimated soCial Cost (avoided eConomiC damages) oF poliCies or measures Considered in the 2017 sCoping plan development# Measure (Measures in bold are included in the Scoping Plan)Range of Social Cost of Carbon $ million USD (2015 dollars)** 50 percent Renewables Portfolio Standard (RPS)$55–$250 Mobile Sources CTF and Freight $200–$1,080 18 percent Carbon Intensity Reduction Target for LCFS -Liquid Biofuels $70–$330 Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy $860-$2,260 (SC-CH4) 2x additional achievable energy efficiency in the 2015 IEPR $125–$750 Cap-and-Trade Program $610–$6,560 10 percent incremental RPS and additional 10 GW behind-the-meter solar PV*$250–$1,160 25 percent Carbon Intensity Reduction Target for LCFS and a Low-Emission Diesel Standard - Liquid Biofuels*$90–$415 20 percent Refinery $55–$500 30 percent Refinery $20–$250 25 percent Industry $20–$415 25 percent Oil and Gas $35–$330 5 percent Increased Utilization of RNG (core and non-core)$35–$165 Mobile Source Strategy (CTF) with Increased ZEVs in South Coast and early retirement of LDVs with more efficient LDVs*$55–$500 2.5x additional achievable energy efficiency in the 2015 IEPR, electrification of buildings (heat pumps and res. electric stoves) and early retirement of HVAC*$70–$580 Carbon Tax $775–$8,300 All Cap-and-Trade $700–$6,890 Cap-and-Tax $775–$8,300 Scoping Plan Scenario SC-CO2Scoping Plan Scenario SC-CH4Scoping Plan Scenario (Total) $1,060–$8,970 $860–$2,260 $1,920–$11,230 Note: All values are rounded. The values for SC-CO2 and SC-CH4 in 2030 are presented in Tables 7 and 8. * Where enhancements have been made to a measure or policy, the ranges in emissions reductions are incremental to the original measure. For example, the ranges for the 25 percent LCFS are incremental to the emissions ranges for the 18 percent LCFS. # Measures included in the Scoping Plan and the All Cap-and-Trade measure reflect emissions reductions from modeling changes after passage of AB 398. Emissions reductions from all other measures reflect modeling completed prior to passage of AB 398. See Appendix G for additional details. ** All values have been rounded to the nearest 0 or 5. ~ Some measures do not show a significant change in 2030 when there is an incremental increase in measure stringency or when modeling uncertainty was factored. 44 Social Costs of GHGs in Relation to Cost-Effectiveness AB 32 includes a requirement that “rules and regulations achieve the maximum technologically feasible and cost-effective greenhouse gas emissions reductions.”100 Under AB 32, cost-effectiveness means the relative cost per metric ton of various GHG reduction strategies, which is the traditional cost metric associated with emission control. In contrast, the SC-CO2, SC-CH4, and SC-N2O are estimates of the economic benefits, and not the cost of reducing GHG emissions. There may be technologies or policies that do not appear to be cost-effective when compared to the SC- CO2, SC-CH4, and SC-N2O associated with GHG reductions. However, these technologies or policies may result in other benefits that are not reflected in the IWG social costs. For instance, the evaluation of social costs might include health impacts due to changes in local air pollution that result from reductions in GHGs, diversification of the portfolio of transportation fuels (a goal outlined in the LCFS) and reductions in criteria pollutant emissions from power plants (as in the RPS). Estimated Cost Per Metric Ton by Measure AB 197 also requires an estimation of the cost-effectiveness of the potential measures evaluated for the Scoping Plan. The values provided in Table 10 are estimates of the cost per metric ton of estimated reductions for each measure in 2030. To capture the fuel and GHG impacts of investments made from 2021 through 2030 to meet the 2030 GHG goal, the table also includes an evaluation of the cost per metric ton based on the cumulative GHG emissions reductions and cumulative costs or savings for each potential measure from 2021 through 2030. While it is important to understand the relative cost effectiveness of measures, the economic analysis presented in Appendix E provides a more comprehensive analysis of how the Scoping Plan and alternative scenarios affect the State’s economy and jobs. The cost (or savings) per metric ton of CO2e reduced for each of the measures is one metric for comparing the performance of the measures. Additional factors beyond the cost per metric ton that could be considered include continuity with existing laws and policies, implementation feasibility, contribution to fuel diversity and technology transformation goals, as well as health and other benefits to California. These considerations are not reflected in the cost per ton metric below. Because many of the measures interact with each other, isolating the cost and GHG savings of an individual measures is analytically challenging. For example, the performance of the renewable electricity measure impacts the GHG savings and cost per ton associated with increasing the use of electric vehicles. Likewise, the increased use of electric vehicles may increase flexible loads on the electric system, enabling increased levels of renewable electricity to be achieved more cost effectively. Both the renewable electricity measure and the increased use of electric vehicles affect the cost of meeting the Low-Carbon Fuel Standard. For most of the measures shown in Table 10, the 2030 cost per metric ton is isolated from the other measures by performing a series of sensitivity model runs in the California PATHWAYS model. This cost per metric ton is calculated as the difference in the 2030 annualized cost (or savings) with and without the measure. For the measures in the Scoping Plan Scenario, the analysis starts with the Scoping Plan Scenario PATHWAYS estimates, and then costs and emissions are recalculated with each measure removed individually. For measures included in the No Cap-and-Trade Scenario, the approach starts with the No Cap-and-Trade Scenario PATHWAYS estimates and then each measure is removed. Using this approach, the incremental impact on GHG emissions and costs for each measure is calculated. The incremental cost in 2030 is divided by the incremental GHG emission impact to calculate the cost per ton in 2030. The same approach of removing each measure individually is used to estimate the incremental cost and emission impacts of each measure for the period 2021 to 2030. For each measure, its annual incremental costs from 2021 to 2030 are calculated and then discounted to 2021 using the discount rate used in PATHWAYS to levelize capital costs over the life of equipment. As a result, the discounted incremental cost of each measure is the total investment required from 2021 to 2030 to achieve each measure’s emissions reductions from 2021 to 2030 (including both incremental capital costs and incremental fuel savings/ expenditures). This discounted cost for each measure was divided by its cumulative emissions reductions from 2021 to 2030 to calculate a cost per ton for the measure for the period. A second calculation was also made that divides each measure’s discounted cost by its discounted emissions reductions from 2021 to 2030. The 100 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/docs/ab32text.pdf 45 same discount rate is used to discount both incremental costs and emissions in this approach. The estimates are presented in the table below. Costs that represent transfers within the state, such as incentive payments for early retirement of equipment, are not included in this California total cost metric. The cost ranges shown below represent some of the uncertainty inherent in estimating this metric. The details of how the ranges for each measure were estimated are described in the footnotes below. All cost estimates have been rounded representing further uncertainty in individual values. It is important to note that this cost per metric ton does not represent an expected market price value for carbon mitigation associated with these measures. In addition, the single year (2030) values and the estimates that encompass 2021 to 2030 do not capture the fuel savings or GHG reductions associated with the full economic lifetime of measures that have been implemented by 2030, but whose impacts extend beyond 2030. The estimates also do not capture the climate or health benefits of the GHG mitigation measures. Table 10 also notes the measures for which sources other than the PATHWAYS model were used to develop estimates of the cost per metric ton. The estimates in the table indicate that the relative cost of the measures is reasonably consistent across the different measures of cost per metric ton. Measures that are relatively less costly using the 2030 cost per metric ton are also less costly using the cost per metric ton based on the period 2021 to 2030. However, for several measures the sign of the estimate differs, such that in 2030 the measure has a positive cost while there is a negative cost for the period 2021 to 2030. This difference in sign occurs because the measure includes increasingly costly investments toward the end of the period examined. By examining only 2030, the lower cost components of the measure that occur in earlier years are omitted, resulting in a higher cost estimate for 2030 alone. 46 table 10: estimated Cost per metriC ton oF measures Considered in the 2017 sCoping plan development and averaged From 2021 through 2030 Important: As individual measures are designed and implemented they will be subject to further evaluation and refinement and public review, which may result in different findings than presented below. The ranges are estimates that represent current assumptions of how programs may be implemented and may vary greatly depending on the design, implementation, and performance of the policies and measures. Measures in bold text are included in the Scoping Plan. Measure Cost/metric ton in 2030* Cost/metric ton 2021-2030** 50 percent Renewables Portfolio Standard (RPS) a $175 $100 to $200 Mobile Sources CFT and Freight b <$50 <$50 Liquid Biofuels (18 percent Carbon Intensity Reduction Target for LCFS) c $150 $100 to $200 Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy d $25 $25 2x additional achievable energy efficiency in the 2015 IEPR f -$350 -$300 to -$200 10 percent incremental RPS and additional 10 GW behind-the-meter solar PV a $350 $250 to $450 Liquid Biofuels (25 percent Carbon Intensity Reduction Target for LCFS and a Low-Emission Diesel Standard) b $900 $550 to $975 20 percent Refinery d $100 $50 to $100 30 percent Refinery d $300 $175 to $325 25 percent Industry d $200 $150 to $275 25 percent Oil and Gas d $125 $100 to $175 5 percent Increased Utilization of renewable natural gas - core and non-core e $1500 $1350 to $3000 Mobile Source Strategy (CFT) with Increased ZEVs in South Coast & additional reductions in VMT and energy demand & early retirement of LDVs with more efficient LDVs b $100 <$50 2.5x additional achievable energy efficiency in the 2015 IEPR, electrification of buildings (heat pumps & res. electric stoves) and early retirement of HVAC f $75 -$120 to -$70 * Where enhancements have been made to a measure or policy, the cost per metric ton are incremental to the original measure. For example, the cost per metric ton for the 25 percent LCFS are incremental to the cost per metric ton for the 18 percent LCFS. ** The lower values use a cost discount rate of 10 percent and cumulative emissions for the period 2021 to 2030. The higher values discount both costs and emissions using a discount rate of 10 percent. a Cost estimate is based on PATHWAYS sensitivity analysis as described in the main text. b Cost estimate is based on PATHWAYS sensitivity analysis as described in the main text. c Liquid biofuel values are calculated as the average unsubsidized cost of biofuels supplied above that of an equivalent volume of fossil fuels. These values do not reflect impacts from other biofuel policies, such as the Renewable Fuel Standard or production tax credits, that are partially supported by fuel purchasers/taxpayers outside of California. Therefore, these values do not represent LCFS program costs or potential LCFS credit prices. d See Appendix D e Cost estimate is based on PATHWAYS sensitivity analysis as described in the main text. f Cost estimate is based on PATHWAYS sensitivity analysis as described in the main text. The cost per metric ton does not represent the results of the CPUC’s or CEC’s standard cost-effectiveness evaluation tests 47 Health Analyses Climate mitigation will result in both environmental and health benefits. This section presents information about the potential health benefits of the Scoping Plan. The impacts are primarily from reduced particulate matter pollution, reduced toxics pollution (both diesel combustion particles and other toxic pollutants), and the health benefits of increased physical activity that will result from more active modes of transportation such as walking and biking in lieu of driving. CARB is using the AB 197 air quality estimates in Table 5 as a proxy to understand the potential health impacts from the Scoping Plan. There is uncertainty in the air quality estimates and that is carried through to the health impacts evaluation presented here. In the future, CARB will be working to explore how to better integrate health analysis and health considerations in the design and implementation of climate programs. Because the health endpoints of each of these benefits is different (e.g., fewer incidences of premature mortality, lower cancer risk, and fewer incidences of heart disease), the methodologies for estimating the benefits differ. Further, the methodologies are statistical estimates of adverse health outcomes aggregated to the statewide level. Therefore, this information should only be used to understand the relative health benefits of the various strategies and should not be taken as an absolute estimate of the health outcomes of the Scoping Plan statewide, or within a specific community. The latter is a function of the unique exposure to air pollutants within each community and each individual’s choice of more active transport modes that increase physical activity. The estimates of health benefits in this section do not include any potential avoided adverse health impacts associated with a reduction in global climate change. While we recognize that mitigating climate change will, for example, prevent atmospheric temperature rise, thereby preventing increases in ozone in California, which will result in fewer breathing problems, the connection is difficult to estimate or model. Since it takes collective global action to mitigate climate change, the following analyses do not attempt to quantify the improved health outcomes from reducing or stopping the rise in global temperatures. The estimated statewide health benefits of the Scoping Plan are dominated by reductions in particulate matter from mobile sources and wood burning and a switch to more active transport modes. In particular, the focus on the impacts of exposure to particulate matter from mobile sources is expected because this is a major cause of air pollution statewide. For this reason, the actions concerning mobile sources in the Scoping Plan were specifically developed with the goal of achieving health-based air quality standards by reducing criteria and toxics emissions as well as GHG emissions simultaneously. In addition, actions that support walkable communities not only result in reduced VMT and related GHG emissions, but promote active transport and increased physical activity that is strongly related to improved health. Table 11 provides a summary of the total estimated health benefits from the relevant metrics for the Scoping Plan. The sections below summarize the methodologies used to estimate these benefits. More detail on how these estimates were calculated can be found in Appendix G. The air pollutant values used in estimating the health impacts are from Table 5 and all caveats in the estimation of the air quality impacts must be considered when reviewing the health impacts discussed below as the air pollutant values are likely overestimates based on assigned relationships to GHGs that may not be real. Potential Health Impacts of Reductions in Particulate Matter Air Pollution CARB relied on an U.S. EPA-approved methodology to estimate the health impacts of reducing air pollution by actions in the Scoping Plan. This methodology relies on an incidents-per-ton factor to quantify the health benefits of directly emitted (diesel particles and wood smoke) and secondary PM2.5 formed from oxides of nitrogen from reductions due to regulatory controls. It is similar in concept to the methodology developed by the U.S. EPA for comparable estimations101, but uses California air basin specific relationships between emissions and air quality. The basis of the methodology is an approximately linear relationship between changes in PM2.5 emissions and estimated changes in health outcomes. In this methodology, the number of premature deaths is estimated by multiplying emissions by the incidents-per-ton scaling factor. The factors are derived from studies that correlate the number of incidents (premature deaths, hospitalizations, emergency room visits) associated with exposure to PM2.5. 101 Fann, N., Fulcher, C.M, & Hubbell, B.J. (2009) The influence of location, source, and emission type in estimates of the human health benefits of reducing a ton of air pollution. (2009)Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health 2(3), 169–176 48 Potential Health Impacts of Reductions in Toxic Air Pollution A number of factors complicate any attempt to evaluate the health benefits of reducing exposure to toxic air pollution. First, there are hundreds of individual chemicals of concern with widely varying health effects and potencies. Therefore, a single metric is of limited value in capturing the range of potential toxics benefits. Furthermore, unlike the criteria pollutants whose impacts are generally measured on regional scales, toxics pose concern for both near-source impacts and larger-scale photochemical transformations and transport. Finally, the accepted scientific understanding for cancer risk is that there is usually no safe threshold for exposures to carcinogens. Therefore, cancer risks are usually expressed as “chances per million” of contracting cancer over a (70-year) lifetime exposure (in Table 11 lifetime exposure is provided in the far right column). In light of these complexities, CARB relied on the most recent National Air Toxics Assessment (NATA) conducted by the U.S. EPA.102 The NATA 2011 models the potential risks from breathing emissions of approximately 180 toxic air pollutants across the country. Modeled cancer risk results are available by census tract. The NATA data cover industrial facilities, mobile sources (on-road and off-road), small area- wide sources, and more. CARB multiplied the NATA “cancer risk-per-million” values by census tract by the census tract’s population, in order to estimate a population-weighted metric that could be aggregated to the statewide level. This statistic should not be construed as actual real-world cancers (due to the many uncertainties in estimating the real-world levels of risk). Next, CARB applied the percent reductions in emissions due to Scoping Plan actions, in order to obtain an estimate of the “avoided incidence” of statistical lifetime cancers attributable to implementation of the Scoping Plan. Again, the “avoided incidence” is a construct designed to provide a useful statistical metric for comparative purposes among scenarios. It should not be construed to be a real-world parameter. Potential Health Impacts of Active Transportation High levels of active transportation have been linked to improved health and reduced premature mortality by increasing daily physical activity, representing a major direct co-benefit of using active transportation as a strategy to reduce GHG emissions. The benefits of physical activity can be very large. Individuals who are active for approximately 12 minutes a day have a 20 percent lower risk of dying early than those who are active for just 5 minutes a day and those who are active an hour a day, have close to a 40 percent lower risk of premature death.103 The Scoping Plan includes reductions in VMT, which can be achieved in a number of ways, including increased active transportation. To estimate the potential health benefits of active transport, CARB staff reviewed work done by the California Department of Public Health (CDPH) concerning the potential health benefits associated with the Caltrans Strategic Management Plan. In this Management Plan, Caltrans set a target for increasing the adoption of active transportation, aiming for a doubling of walking and a tripling of bicycle trips by 2020 compared to 2010. While this plan itself is not part of the Scoping Plan, it helps provide a sense of the magnitude of health benefits associated with increased active transportation. CDPH performed a risk assessment to compare the number of premature deaths due to physical inactivity and traffic injuries in the baseline year of 2010 to the year 2020, assuming that Caltrans’ walking and bicycling mode share targets were met.104 CPDH’s methodology has been documented in a publicly available technical manual105 and the model has appeared in many peer-reviewed research articles.106 It has been in development 102 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2011), National Air Toxics Assessment (NATA) 2011, https://www.epa.gov/national-air-toxics-assessment/2011-nata-assessment-results 103 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (2008) Physical Activity Guidelines Advisory Committee. Physical Activity Guidelines Advisory Committee Report, Washington, DC104 Maizlish, N. (2016a) Increasing Walking, Cycling, and Transit: Improving Californians’ Health, Saving costs, and Reducing Greenhouse Gases. Office of Health Equity, California Department of Public Health. https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/OHE/CDPH%20Document%20Library/Maizlish-2016-Increasing-Walking-Cycling- Transit-Technical-Report-rev8-17-ADA.pdf105 Maizlish, N. (2016b) Integrated Transport and Health Impact Model (ITHIM): A Guide to Operation, Calibration and Integration with Travel Demand Models. California Spreadsheet Version December 12, 2016.106 Gotschi, T., Tainio, M., Maizlish, N., Schwanen, T., Goodman, A., & Woodcock, J. (2015). Contrasts in active transport behaviour across four countries: how do they translate into public health benefits? Preventative Medicine, 74, 42-48. doi:10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.02.009 Maizlish, N., Woodcock, J., Co, S., Ostro, B., Fanai, A., & Fairley, D. (2013). Health cobenefits and transportation-related reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in the San Francisco Bay area. American journal of public health, 103(4), 703-709. doi:10.2105/ajph.2012.300939 Whitfield, G. P., Meehan, L. A., Maizlish, N., & Wendel, A. M. (2016). The Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modeling 49 since 2009, and a California-specific version was released with a recent update in November 2016.107 CDPH estimated that 2,100 premature deaths annually would be avoided if Californians met the Management Plan’s 2020 targets were met by Californians compared to 2010 travel patterns. A recent paper by Dr. Maizlish et al108 quantified the health co-benefits of the preferred Sustainable Communities Strategies scenarios (compared to the 2010 baseline travel pattern) for the major Metropolitan Planning Organizations using the same methodology and found that 940 deaths annually would be avoided. For both analyses, there were significant reductions in cause-specific premature mortality due to increased physical activity, which was slightly counteracted by a much smaller increase in fatal traffic injuries due to the increased walking and bicycling. When taken together, the health benefit of increasing active transportation greatly outweighed the increased mortality from road traffic collisions. The Scoping Plan goals related to active transportation are more aggressive than those in both the Maizlish et al. 2017 publication and the analysis by CDPH for the Management Plan. Therefore, CARB staff used the CDPH estimate of approximately 2,100 fewer premature deaths from the Management Plan as a lower bound of what could be realized through implementation of the VMT reductions and active transport goals called for in the Scoping Plan Scenario. table 11: summary oF r anges oF estimated health impaC ts For the sCoping plan sCenario in 2030 Fewer Premature Deaths Fewer Hospitalizations (all) Fewer ER visits Fewer cancers * Diesel PM ~60-91 ~9-14 ~25-38 Secondary PM ~76-120 ~11-17 ~33-50 Toxics ~21-61 Wood smoke ~1000 ~ 148 ~ 418 Active Transport**>2100 Total ~3300 ~180 ~500 ~21-61 * This metric should not be construed as actual real-world cancer cases. It is intended to be a comparative metric, based on the NATA estimates of lifetime cancer risk (chances-per-million over a 70 year life-time exposure) by census tract multiplied by the tract population. ** Reduction in premature death assumes meeting the CSMP 2020 mode shift target. Note: The numbers in the table represent individual avoided incidences. Tool in Nashville, Tennessee, USA: Implementation Steps and Lessons Learned. Journal of transport & health, 3. doi:10.1016/j. jth.2016.06.009 Woodcock, J. (2015). Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM). Retrieved from http://www.cedar.iph.cam.ac.uk/research/modelling/ithim/ Woodcock, J., Edwards, P., Tonne, C., Armstrong, B. G., Ashiru, O., Banister, D., & Roberts, I. (2009). Public health benefits of strategies to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions: urban land transport. Lancet, 374(9705), 1930-1943. doi:10.1016/s0140- 6736(09)61714-1 Woodcock, J., Givoni, M., & Morgan, A. S. (2013). Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM). PLoS One, 8(1), e51462. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0051462 Woodcock, J., Tainio, M., Cheshire, J., O’Brien, O., & Goodman, A. (2014). Health effects of the London bicycle sharing system: health impact modelling study. BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 348, g425. doi:10.1136/bmj.g425107 Woodcock, J. Maizlish, N. (2016). ITHIM: Integrated Transport & Health Impact Modelling, California Version, November 11, 2016. Original citation: Woodcock J, Givoni M, Morgan AS. Health Impact Modelling of Active Travel Visions for England and Wales Using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM). PLoS One. 2013;8(1):e51462.108 Maizlish N, Linesch N,& Woodcock J.(2017) Health and greenhouse gas mitigation benefits of ambitious expansion of cycling, walking, and transit in California. Journal of Transport and Health. ; doi: 10.1016/j.jth.2017.04.011 50 Future Health Activities As Table 11 shows, the Scoping Plan measures would have significant potential positive health outcomes. The integrated nature of the strategies to reduce emissions of GHGs and criteria and toxics emissions could provide multiple benefits. Actions to reduce black carbon from wood smoke are reducing the same particles that lead to premature mortality. Reductions in fossil combustion will not only reduce GHG emissions, but also toxics emissions. Finally, reducing VMT with strategies that provide opportunities for people to switch to active transport modes can have very large health benefits resulting from increased physical activity. In recognition of the potential for significant positive health benefits of the Scoping Plan, CARB is initiating a process to better understand how to integrate health analysis broadly into the design and implementation of our climate change programs with the goal of maximizing the health benefits. Although health impact assessments have been used to inform CARB’s policymaking, these analyses have not been consistently integrated into the general up-front design of CARB programs. To begin the effort to increase health benefits from climate change mitigation policies, CARB will convene a public meeting in Spring 2018 to solicit input on how best to incorporate health analyses into our policy development. CARB staff will seek appropriate tools for these analyses and will assemble a team of academic advisors to provide input on the latest developments in methods and data sources. Economic Analyses The following section outlines the economic impact of the Scoping Plan relative to the business-as-usual Reference Scenario. Additional detail on the economic analysis, including modeling details and the estimated economic impact of alternative scenarios is presented in Appendix E. The Scoping Plan outlines a path to achieve the SB 32 target that requires less reliance on fossil fuels and increased investment in low carbon fuels and clean energy technologies. Through this shift, California can lead the world in developing the technologies needed to reduce the global risks of climate change. This builds on California’s current successes of reducing GHG emissions while also developing a cleaner, resilient economy that uses less energy and generates less pollution. Innovation in low-carbon technologies will continue to open growth opportunities for investors and businesses in California. As modeled, the analysis in this Scoping Plan suggests that the costs of transitioning to this lower carbon economy are small, even without counting the potential opportunities for new industries and innovation in California. Under the Scoping Plan, the California economy, employment, and personal income will continue to grow as California businesses and consumers make clean energy investments and improve efficiency and productivity to reduce energy costs. In 2030, the California economy is projected to grow to $3.4 trillion, an average growth rate of 2.2 percent per year from 2021 to 2030. It is not anticipated that implementation of the Scoping Plan will change the growth of annual State Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Further, this growth in GDP will occur under the entire projected range of Cap-and-Trade Program allowance prices. Based on this analysis, in 2030 the California economy will take only three months longer to grow to the GDP estimated in the absence of the Scoping Plan–referred to as the Reference Scenario. The impact of the Scoping Plan on job growth is also negligible, with employment less than one half of one percent smaller in 2030 compared to the Reference Scenario. Additionally, reducing GHG emissions 40 percent below 1990 levels under the Scoping Plan will lead to avoided social damages from climate change on the order of $1.9 to $11.2 billion, as estimated using the SC-CO2 and SC-CH4, as well as additional potential savings from reductions in air pollution and petroleum dependence. These impacts are not accounted for in this economic analysis. The estimated impact to California households is also modest in 2030. In 2030, the average annual household impact of the Scoping Plan ranges from $115 to $280, depending on the price of reductions under the Cap-and-Trade Program.109 Estimated personal income in California is also relatively unchanged by the implementation of the Scoping Plan. 109 Household projections are obtained from the California Department of Finance and were access on March 16, 2017 at: http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/projections/. 51 Overview of Economic Modeling Two models are used to estimate the economic impact of the Scoping Plan and California’s continued clean energy transition: (1) the California PATHWAYS model, and (2) the Regional Economic Models, Inc. (REMI) Policy Insight Plus model. The California PATHWAYS model estimates the direct costs and GHG emissions reductions of implementing the prescriptive (or non-Cap-and-Trade) measures in the Scoping Plan relative to the BAU scenario.110 Direct costs are the sum of the incremental changes in capital expenditures and fuel expenditures, including fuel savings for reduced energy use from efficiency measures. In most cases, reducing GHG emissions requires the use of more expensive equipment that can be operated using less fuel. In the Scoping Plan, the prescriptive measures modeled in PATHWAYS account for a portion of the GHG reductions required to meet the 2030 target. The remaining reductions are delivered through the Cap-and-Trade Program. The direct costs associated with the Cap-and-Trade Program are calculated outside of PATHWAYS based on an assumed range of Cap-and-Trade allowance prices from 2021 through 2030. To estimate the future costs of the Scoping Plan, this economic analysis necessarily creates a hypothetical future California that is essentially identical to today, adjusted for currently existing climate policy as well as projected economic and population growth through 2030. The analysis cannot predict the types of innovation that will create efficiencies nor can it fully account for the significant economic benefits associated with reducing emissions. Rather, the economic modeling is conducted by estimating incremental capital and clean fuel costs of measures and assigning those costs to certain sectors within this hypothetical future. The macroeconomic impacts of the Scoping Plan on the California economy are modeled using the REMI model with output from California PATHWAYS and estimated Cap-and-Trade Program costs as inputs. Additional methodological detail is presented in Appendix E.111 Estimated Cost of Prescriptive Measures As described above, the Scoping Plan combines new measures addressing legislative mandates and the extension of existing measures, including a comprehensive cap on overall GHG emissions from the State’s largest sources of pollution. The PATHWAYS model calculates costs and GHG emissions reductions associated with the prescriptive measures in the Scoping Plan. Changes in energy use and capital investment are calculated in PATHWAYS and represent the estimated cost of achieving an estimated 50 to 70 percent of the cumulative GHG reductions required to reach the SB 32 target between 2021 and 2030. The Cap-and- Trade Program delivers any remaining reductions, as shown in Figure 8. Table 12 outlines the cost of prescriptive measures by sector in 2030, compared to the Reference Scenario, as calculated in PATHWAYS. Estimated capital costs of equipment are levelized over the life of the equipment using a 10 percent discount rate and fuel costs are calculated on an annual basis.112 The costs in Table 12 are disaggregated into capital costs and fuel costs, which includes the varying costs of gasoline, diesel, biofuels, natural gas, electricity and other fuels.113 Table 12 assumes that all prescriptive measures deliver anticipated GHG reductions, and does not include any uncertainty in GHG reductions or cost.114 The impact of uncertainty in GHG reductions is explored in more detail in Appendices E, which include additional detail on measure, cost, and Reference Scenario uncertainty. The prescriptive measures result in incremental capital investments of $6.7 billion per year in 2030, but these annual capital costs are nearly offset by annual fuel savings of $6.6 billion in 2030. The incremental net cost of prescriptive measures in the Scoping Plan is estimated at $100 million in 2030, which represents 0.03 percent of the projected California economy in 2030. The residential and transportation sectors are anticipated to see net savings in 2030 as fuel savings for these areas vastly outweigh annual capital investment. Several sectors will see a net cost increase from implementation of the prescriptive measures. The industrial sector sees higher fuel costs relative to the Reference Scenario. In the agriculture sector, capital expenditures are due to investments in more efficient lighting and the mitigation of agricultural methane and nitrogen oxides. Agricultural fuel costs increase due to higher electricity and liquid biofuel costs. 110 The PATHWAYS modeling is described in Chapter 2, and additional detail is presented in Appendix D. 111 Additional modeling details are available at the REMI PI+ webpage: http://www.remi.com/products/pi.112 PATHWAYS costs are calculated in real $2012. For this analysis, all costs are reported in $2015. The PATHWAYS costs are inflated using Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) data available at: https://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable. cfm?ReqID=9#reqid=9&step=1&isuri=1&903=4.113 Additional information on the fuels included in PATHWAYS is available at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/meetings/1142016/ e3pathways.pdf.114 More information on the inputs to the California PATHWAYS model is available at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/scoping_plan_ scenario_description2016-12-01.pdf. 52 table 12: Change in pathways seCtor Costs in 2030 relative to the reFerenCe sCenario (billion $2015)115 End Use Sector116 Levelized Capital Cost Fuel Cost Total Annual Cost Residential $0.1 -$1.2 -$1.1 Commercial $1.8 -$1.8 $0.1 Transportation $3.5 -$3.8 -$0.3 Industrial $0.8 $0.3 $0.5 Oil and Gas Extraction $0.0 $0.0 $0.1 Petroleum Refining $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Agriculture $0.3 $0.2 $0.5 TCU (Transportation Communications and Utilities) $0.1 $0.1 $0.2 Total $6.7 -$6.6 $0.1 Note: Table values may not add due to rounding. Estimated Cost of the Cap-and-Trade Program The direct cost of achieving GHG reductions through the Cap-and-Trade Program is estimated outside of PATHWAYS. The Cap-and-Trade Program sets an economy-wide GHG emissions cap and gives firms the flexibility to choose the lowest-cost approach to reduce emissions. As with the prescriptive measures, the direct costs of any single specific GHG reduction activity under the Cap-and-Trade Program is subject to a large degree of uncertainty. However, as Cap-and-Trade allows covered entities to pursue the reduction options that emerge as the most efficient, overall abatement costs can be bounded by the allowance price. Covered entities should pursue reduction actions with costs less than or equal to the allowance price. An upper bound on the compliance costs under the Cap-and-Trade Program can therefore be estimated by multiplying the range of anticipated allowance prices by the anticipated GHG reductions needed (in conjunction with the reductions achieved through the prescriptive measures) to achieve the SB 32 target. A large number of factors influence the allowance price, including the ease of substituting lower carbon production methods, consumer price response, the pace of technological progress, and impacts to the price of fuel. Other policy factors that also affect the allowance price include the use of auction proceeds from the sale of State-owned allowances and linkage with other jurisdictions. Flexibility allows the Cap-and-Trade allowance price to adjust to changes in supply and demand while a firm cap ensures GHG reductions are achieved. This analysis includes a range of allowance prices bounded at the low end by the Cap-and-Trade auction floor price (C+T Floor Price) which represents the minimum sales price for allowances sold at auction and the Allowance Price Containment Reserve Price (C+T Reserve Price), which represents the price at which an additional pool of allowances will be made available to ensure entities can comply with the Cap-and-Trade Program and is the highest anticipated price under the Program. Table 13 outlines the projected allowance prices used in this analysis.117 115 PATHWAYS costs reported in $2012 are inflated to $2015 using the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) data available at: https://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=9#reqid=9&step=1&isuri=1&903=4.116 Information on the end use sectors are available in the California PATHWAYS documentation available at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/scopingplan.htm.117 The Cap-and-Trade allowance price range is based on the Cap-and-Trade Regulation approved by the Office of Administrative 53 table 13: estimated r ange oF Cap-and-trade allowanCe priCe 2021–2030* ($2015)2021 2025 2030 C+T Floor Price $16.2 $19.7 $25.2 C+T Reserve Price $72.9 $76.4 $81.9 * Based on current regulation in effect October 1, 2017 Uncertainty in the GHG reduction potential of prescriptive measures in the Scoping Plan can affect the cost of achieving the 2030 target. The aggregate emissions cap of the Cap-and-Trade Program ensures that the 2030 target will be met–irrespective of the GHG emissions realized through prescriptive measures. If GHG reductions anticipated under prescriptive measures do not materialize, the Cap-and-Trade Program will be responsible for a larger share of emissions reductions. Under that scenario, the demand for Cap-and-Trade allowances may rise, resulting in an increase in allowance price. While the Cap-and-Trade allowance price may rise, it is highly unlikely that it will rise above the C+T Reserve price, given the program design. If prescriptive measures deliver anticipated GHG reductions, demand for allowances will be low, depressing the price of allowances. However, the C+T Floor Price represents the lowest price at which allowances can be sold at auction. Table 14 presents the estimated direct cost estimates for GHG reductions achieved through the Cap-and- Trade Program in 2030. These costs represent the lower and upper bounds of the cost of reducing GHG emissions to achieve the SB 32 target under the Scoping Plan. The estimated direct costs range from $1.6 to $5.1 billion dollars (in $2015), depending on the allowance price in 2030. This range highlights the allowance price uncertainty that is a trade-off to the GHG reduction certainty provided by the Cap-and-Trade Program. The estimated cost of GHG reductions is calculated by multiplying the allowance price by the GHG emissions reductions required to achieve the SB 32 target. Sensitivity Analysis In addition to uncertainty in the Cap-and-Trade allowance price and uncertainty in the GHG reductions achieved through the prescriptive measures, there is uncertainty in the GHG emissions that will occur under the Reference Scenario, as presented in Figure 6. There is also uncertainty in costs embedded within the Reference Scenario including the price of oil, other energy costs, and technology costs. The PATHWAYS incremental cost results are also sensitive to the fossil fuel price assumptions. Altering the fuel price trajectory in the Reference Scenario directly impacts the incremental cost of achieving GHG reductions in the Scoping Plan, as the costs of the Scoping Plan are relative to the Reference Scenario.118 The PATHWAYS scenarios use fossil fuel price projections from the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2015 reference case.119 To estimate the impact of changes in future fuel prices on the estimated incremental cost of the Scoping Plan two sensitivities were conducted. In the low fuel price sensitivity, the AEO low oil and natural gas price case is used to project the future cost of fuels in the Reference Scenario. The cost of the Scoping Plan, relative to the Reference Scenario, increases under these conditions, since fuel savings are less valuable when fuel prices are low. A second sensitivity shows that high future oil and natural gas prices (as projected in the AEO high oil price case) reduce the net cost of the Scoping Plan, relative to the Reference Scenario. This is because avoided fuel savings are more valuable when fuel prices are high. Table 14 outlines the costs and savings from the Scoping Plan (both prescriptive measures and cap-and-trade) under the high and low fuel price sensitivities. The price of oil and natural gas affects the value of fuel savings (as presented in Table 12), which are estimated to be significant using AEO reference oil and natural gas prices. Under the low fuel price sensitivity, Law on September 18, 2017. Documentation is available at: www.arb.ca.gov/regact/2016/capandtrade16/capandtrade16.htm 118 In addition to the fuel cost sensitivities presented in this section, Appendix E includes an uncertainty analysis of the Scoping Plan Scenario and alternatives. This analysis addresses uncertainty in the Reference Scenario emissions, GHG reductions from each measure, as well as capital and fuel costs.119 The high and low fuel price sensitivity ranges are derived from differences between the AEO 2016 High Oil Price or Low Oil Price forecast and the AEO 2016 reference case, and are applied as ratios to the base case fuel price assumptions (which are based on the AEO 2015 report). The AEO 2015 report is available at: http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/0383(2015).pdf and the AEO 2016 report is available for download at: http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/0383(2016).pdf. 54 the net incremental cost of prescriptive measures is $2.9 billion in 2030. Under the high fuel price sensitivity, the prescriptive measures result in net savings of $4.9 billion in 2030. Table 14 also shows that these price uncertainties are captured within the analyzed range of allowance prices. As described above, changes in fuel prices may affect the price of Cap-and-Trade allowances, but the price is highly unlikely to go outside the range of prices bounded by the C+T Floor Price and C+T Reserve Price. The final column in Table 14 presents the estimated direct cost of the Scoping Plan, including both the prescriptive measures and a range of estimated costs to achieve GHG reductions under the Cap-and-Trade Program for varying projections of future fuel prices. The total cost, reflecting fuel and allowance price uncertainty, ranges from an annual savings to California of $3.3 billion to an annual cost of $8.0 billion in 2030. The net climate benefits, as estimated by the SC-CO2 and SC-CH4, outweigh these direct costs.120 table 14: estimates oF direCt Cost and Climate beneFits in 2030 relative to the reFerenCe sCenario and inCluding Fuel priCe sensitivity (billion $2015) Scenario Prescriptive Measures C+T Floor Price C+T Reserve Price 2030 Total Cost Scoping Plan $0.1 $1.6 $5.1 $1.7 to $5.2 Low Fuel Price Sensitivity $2.9 $1.6 $5.1 $4.5 to $8.0 High Fuel Price Sensitivity -$4.9 $1.6 $5.1 -$3.3 to -$0.2 Fuel price sensitivity is directly modeled in PATHWAYS, resulting in a range of impacts from prescriptive measures. The range of costs labeled “2030 Total Cost” includes the cost of prescriptive measures estimated in PATHWAYS and the impact of the Cap and-Trade Program calculated at the C+T Floor Price (the lower bounds) and the C+T Reserve Price (the upper bounds).The social cost of GHGs estimated range in 2030 is $1.9 to $11.2 billion. Macroeconomic Impacts The macroeconomic impacts of the Scoping Plan are estimated using the REMI model. Annual capital and fuel costs (for example, the costs in Table 12) are estimated using PATHWAYS and input into the REMI model to estimate the impact of the Scoping Plan on the California economy each year relative to GDP, which is often used as a proxy for economic growth, as well as employment, personal income, and changes in output by sector and consumer spending. Table 15 presents key macroeconomic impacts of implementing the Scoping Plan, based on the range of anticipated allowance prices. In 2030, under the Scoping Plan, growth across the indicators is about one-half of one percent less than the Reference Scenario. The results in Table 15 include not only the estimated direct cost of the Cap-and-Trade Program, but also distribution of allowance value from the auction of Cap-and-Trade allowances to California and consumers. See Appendix E for more detail on the modeling of the return of allowance value under the Cap-and-Trade Program in REMI. The Cap-and-Trade Program is modeled in REMI as an increase in production cost to sectors based on estimated future GHG emissions and anticipated free allowance allocation. If a sector is expected to receive free allocation of allowances, the value of those free allowances is not modeled as a cost in REMI. The analysis does include the estimated benefit to sectors due to the proceeds from the auction of cap-and-trade allowances and assumes that each year $2 billion of proceeds from the auction of State-owned cap-and- trade allowances are distributed to the economic sectors currently receiving GGRF appropriations. These funds work to achieve further GHG reductions in California, lower the cost to businesses of reducing GHG emissions and protect disadvantaged communities. Any auction proceeds remaining after the distribution of $2 billion through GGRF sectors are distributed evenly to consumers in California as a dividend. The estimated costs in Table 15 include the cost of the GHG reductions to sectors, as well as the benefit to those sectors when allowance proceeds are returned through the GGRF and as a dividend to consumers, as detailed in Appendix E. 120 Climate benefits are estimated using the Social Cost of Carbon in 2030 across the range of discount rates from 2.5 to 5 percent. All values are reported in $2015. Additional information on the Social Cost of Carbon is available from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine at: https://www.nap.edu/catalog/24651/valuing-climate-damages-updating-estimation-of- the-social-cost-of. 55 table 15: maCroeConomiC indiCators in 2030 under base Fuel priCe assumptions Reference Scenario (2030) Scoping Plan (2030) Percentage Change Relative to Reference Scenario California GDP (Billion $2015) $3,439 $3,430 to $3,420 -0.3 percent to -0.6 percent Employment (Thousand Jobs) 23,522 23,478 to 23,441 -0.2 percent to -0.3 percent Personal Income (Billion $2015) $3,010 $3,006 to $3,008 -0.1 percent to -0.1 percent Table 15 was estimated using the REMI model. The range of costs for the Scoping Plan represents the impact of achieving the SB 32 target through prescriptive measures and the Cap-and-Trade Program at the C+T Floor Price (the lower bounds) and the C+T Reserve Price (the upper bounds). It is important to put the results of Table 15 into context of the growing $3.4 trillion California economy in 2030. As noted earlier, the economic analysis does not include avoided social damages and other potential savings from reductions in air pollution and petroleum dependency. Determining employment changes as a result of policies is challenging to model, due to a range of uncertainties and global trends that will influence the California economy, regardless of implementation of the Scoping Plan. The global economy is seeing a shift toward automation and mechanization, which may lead to slowing of employment across some industries globally, irrespective of California’s energy and low carbon investments. In California, employment is projected to reach 23.5 million jobs in 2030. In this analysis, implementing the Scoping Plan would slow the growth of employment by less than one-half of one percent in 2030. Estimated personal income in California is relatively unchanged under the Scoping Plan relative to the Reference Scenario. Considering the uncertainty in the modeling, modest changes in the growth of personal income are not different from zero, which suggests that meeting the SB 32 target will not change the growth of personal income relative to the Reference Scenario. When analyzing the estimated macroeconomic impacts, it is important to remember that a major substitution of electricity and capital away from fossil fuels is anticipated to have a very small effect on California GDP, employment, and personal income–less than one percent relative to the Reference Scenario in 2030. The economic impacts indicate that shifting money and investment away from fossil fuels and to clean energy is likely to have a negligible effect on the California economy. Additionally, it is certain that innovation will continue as new technologies are developed and implemented. While this analysis projects the costs and GHG reductions of current technologies over time, it does not capture the impact of new technologies that may shift the economy and California in unanticipated ways or benefits related to changes in air pollution and improvements to human health, avoided environmental damages, and positive impacts to natural and working lands. Thus, the results of this analysis very likely underestimate the benefits of shifting to a clean energy economy. Consumer spending also shifts in response to implementation of the Scoping Plan relative to the Reference Scenario. As presented in Table 15, there is a negligible impact to consumer income, but small changes in income can alter the distribution of consumer spending among categories. In 2030, consumer spending is lower under the Scoping Plan than in the Reference Scenario across all analyzed allowance prices. Consumers spend less on fuels, electricity, natural gas, and capital as a result of measures in the Scoping Plan that reduce demand, increase efficiency, and drive technological innovations. The estimated impact to California households is also modest in 2030. The estimated cost to California households in 2030 ranges from $115 to $280, depending on the price of reductions under the Cap-and-Trade Program.121 The household impact is estimated using the per-household change in personal income as modeled in REMI and utilizing household estimates from the California Department of Finance. The household impact does not account for benefits from reduced climate impacts, health savings from reduced air pollution impacts, or lower petroleum dependence costs that might impact households. Additional details are presented in Appendix E. As modeled, the household impact of the Scoping Plan comprises approximately one percent of average household expenditures in 2030. To ensure that vulnerable populations and low-income households are not 121 Household projections are obtained from the California Department of Finance and are available at: http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/projections/. 56 disproportionately affected by California’s climate policy, CARB is taking steps to better quantify localized economic impacts and ensure that low-income households see tangible benefits from the Scoping Plan. Researchers at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) are currently working on a retrospective analysis that will estimate the impacts across California communities of the implementation of AB 32, which will help identify areas of focus as 2030 measures are developed. The Cap-and-Trade Program will also continue to provide benefit to disadvantaged communities through the disbursement of GGRF funds. The investments made in implementing the Scoping Plan will have long-term benefits and present significant opportunities for California investors and businesses, as upfront capital investments will result in long-term fuel and energy efficiency savings, the benefits of which will continue into the future. The California economy will continue to grow under the Scoping Plan, but it will grow more resilient, more sustainable, and will be well positioned to reap the long-term benefits of lower carbon investments. Economic Modeling of Health Impacts Health benefits associated with reductions in diesel particulate matter (DPM) and nitrogen oxides (NOX) are monetized for inclusion in the macroeconomic modeling. The health benefits are estimated by quantifying the harmful future health effects that will be avoided by reducing human exposure to DPM and NOX, as detailed in Appendix G, and monetized by estimating a health effect’s economic value to society. As previously noted the health impacts are based on air quality benefits estimated in Table 6, which have important limitations and likely overestimate the impacts of the Scoping Plan. Additional detail on the economic modeling of health impacts, including the monetization methodology and modeling results for all Scoping Plan scenarios, is presented in Appendix E. Including the monetized health impacts in the REMI modeling has no discernible impact on the overall results. The impact of including the monetized health impacts is indiscernible relative to the impact of the Scoping Plan. Estimating the Economic Impact on Disadvantaged Communities (DACs) Implementing the Scoping Plan is estimated to have a small impact on the Statewide California economy through 2030. However, shifting from fossil fuels can disproportionately affect specific geographic regions whose local economies rely on fossil fuel intensive industries. These regions can also include vulnerable populations and disadvantaged communities who may be disproportionately impacted by poor air quality and climate. The regional impacts of the Scoping Plan, including the impact to disadvantaged communities, are estimated using the REMI California County model, which represents the 58 counties and 160 sectors of the California economy. Utilizing the same inputs used for modeling the statewide impact of the Scoping Plan relative to the Reference Scenario, the California County model estimates how measures will affect employment, value added, and other economic indicators at the county level across the state. The county-level REMI output is also used to estimate impacts on disadvantaged communities affected by the Scoping Plan by allocating county impacts proportional to their share of economic indicators unique to each census tract.122 These indicators include industry output, industry consumption by fuel category, personal consumption, and population. The overall impact on employment across regions is not significant and there is no discernible difference in the impact to employment in disadvantaged communities. There is also no discernible impact to wages in disadvantaged communities across regions in California. Additional details on the regional modeling, including the results for the Scoping Plan and alternatives, is presented in Appendix E. In addition to the regional modeling conducted in this analysis, there are currently three research contracts underway at CARB to quantify the impact of California’s climate policy on regions and disadvantaged communities throughout California. As mentioned above, researchers from UCLA are estimating the improvements in health outcomes associated with AB 32, with a focus on disadvantaged communities. This research will be informed by input from technical advisory committees including a group focused on environmental justice. 122 Census tracts are small geographic areas within greater metropolitan areas that usually have a population between 2,500 and 8,000 persons. More information on the composition of census tracts available here: https://www.census.gov/geo/reference/ gtc/gtc_ct.html. Disadvantaged census tracts are identified using CalEnviroScreen 2.0. Additional information is available at: https://oehha.ca.gov/calenviroscreen/report/calenviroscreen-version-20. 57 There are also two studies currently underway to quantify the impact of GGRF funds. A UCLA contract focuses on quantifying jobs supported by GGRF funds in California, while a University of California, Berkeley contract is constructing methodologies to assess the co-benefits of GGRF projects across California. These research efforts will provide a regional analysis of the impact of and benefits to specific communities and sectors to ensure that all Californians see economic benefits, in addition to clean air benefits, from the implementing the Scoping Plan. Public Health Many measures to reduce GHG emissions also have significant health co-benefits that can address climate change and improve the health and well-being of all populations across the State. Climate change is already affecting the health of communities.123 Climate-related health impacts can include increased heat illness and death, increases in air pollution-related exacerbation of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, injury and loss of life due to severe storms and flooding, increased vector-borne and water-borne diseases, and stress and mental trauma due to extreme weather-related catastrophes.124 The urgency of action to address the impacts already being felt from a changing climate and the threats in coming decades provides a unique opportunity for California’s leadership in climate action to reduce GHG emissions and create healthy, equitable, and resilient communities where all people thrive. This section discusses the link between climate change and public health. It does not analyze the specific measures included in the strategy but provides context for assessing the potential measures and scenarios. Achieving Health Equity through Climate Action Many populations in California face health inequities, or unfair and unjust health differences between population groups that are systemic and avoidable.125 Differences in environmental and socioeconomic determinants of health result in these health inequities. Those facing the greatest health inequities include low-income individuals and households, the very young and the very old, communities of color, and those who have been marginalized or discriminated against based on gender or race/ethnicity.126 It is these very same populations, along with those suffering existing health conditions and certain populations of workers (e.g., outdoor workers), that climate change will most disproportionately impact.127 The inequitable distribution of social, political, and economic power results in health inequities, while perpetuating systems (e.g., economic, transportation, land use, etc.) that drive GHG emissions. As a result, communities face inequitable living conditions. For example, low-income communities of color tend to live in more polluted areas and face climate change impacts that can compound and exacerbate existing sensitivities and vulnerabilities.128,129 Fair and healthy climate action requires that the inequities creating and intensifying community vulnerabilities be addressed. Living conditions and the forces that shape them, such as income, education, housing, transportation, environmental quality, and access to services, significantly drive the capacity for climate resilience. Thus, strategies such as alleviating poverty, increasing access to opportunity, improving living conditions, and reducing health and social inequities will result in more climate-resilient communities. In fact, there are already many “no-regret” climate mitigation and adaptation measures available (discussed below) that can reduce health burdens, increase community resilience, and address social inequities.130 Focusing efforts to achieve health equity can thus lead to significant progress in addressing human-caused climate change. 123 USGCRP. 2016. The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment. Crimmins, A., J. Balbus, J. L. Gamble, C. B. Beard, J. E. Bell, D. Dodgen, R. J. Eisen, N. Fann, M. D. Hawkins, S. C. Herring, L. Jantarasami, D. M. Mills, S. Saha, M. C. Sarofim, J. Trtanj, and L. Ziska, Eds. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, D.C., 312 pp.124 Ibid.125 Whitehead, M. 1992. “The concepts and principles of equity and health.” International Journal of Health Services 22(3), 429–445.126 California Department of Public Health (CDPH). 2015. The Portrait of Promise: The California Statewide Plan to Promote Health and Mental Health Equity. A Report to the Legislature and the People of California by the Office of Health Equity. Sacramento, CA: California Department of Public Health, Office of Health Equity.127 Shonkoff, S., R. Morello-Frosch, M. Pastor, and J. Sadd. 2011. “The climate gap: Environmental health and equity implications of climate change and mitigation policies in California–a review of the literature.” Climatic Change 109 (Suppl 1):S485–S503.128 Ibid.129 Rudolph, L. and S. Gould. 2015. “Climate change and health inequities: A framework for action.” Annals of Global Health 81:3, 432–444.130 Watts N, Adger WN, Agnolucci P, et al. 2015. Health and climate change: policy responses to protect public health. Lancet: 386, 1861-1914 58 Potential Health Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Measures Socioeconomic Factors: Income, Poverty, and WealthEconomic factors, such as income, poverty, and wealth, are collectively one of the largest determinants of health. As such, climate mitigation measures that yield economic benefits can improve population health significantly, especially if the economic benefits are directed to those most vulnerable and disadvantaged (including those living in poverty) who often face the most health challenges. From the poorest to richest ends of the income spectrum, higher income is associated with greater longevity in the United States.131,132,133 The gap in life expectancy between the richest 1 percent and poorest 1 percent of Americans was almost 15 years for men in 2014, and about 10 years for women.134 Early death among those living in poverty is not a result of those with higher incomes having better access to quality health care.135 Only about 10-20 percent of a person’s health status is accounted for by health care (and 20-30 percent attributed to genetics), while the remainder is attributed to the social determinants of health. These include environmental quality, social and economic circumstances, and the social, media, policy, economic, retail, and built environments– all of which in turn shape stress levels and behaviors, including smoking, diet, and exercise.136 ,137,138 ,139,140,141,142,143,144,145 ,146 In fact, where people live, work, learn, and play is often a stronger predictor of life expectancy than their genetic and biological makeup.147 The World Health Organization’s Commission on the Social Determinants of Health concluded that the poor health of poor people, and the social gradient in health, are caused by the unequal distribution of power, income, goods, and services resulting from poor social policies and programs, unfair economic arrangements, and bad politics.148 Thus, improving the conditions of daily life and tackling the inequitable distribution of power, money, and resources can remedy inequitable health outcomes.149 Simply put, the more evenly distributed the wealth, the healthier a society is.150 The wealth-health gradient has significant implications for this Scoping Plan. State climate legislation and policies require prioritizing GHG reduction strategies that serve vulnerable populations and improve well- being for disadvantaged communities. As such, strategies that improve the financial security of communities facing disadvantages while reducing GHG emissions are win-win strategies. These include providing funds or services for GHG reduction programs (e.g., weatherization, energy efficiency, renewable energy, ZEVs, transit, housing, and others) to low-income individuals and households to help them reduce costs. Among the poorest 25 percent of people, per capita government expenditures are strongly associated with longer 131 Chetty, R., M. Stepner, S. Abraham, et al. 2016. “The Association Between Income and Life Expectancy in the United States, 2001–2014.” JAMA Published online April 10, 2016. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.4226.132 Marmot, M., S. Friel, R. Bell, et al. 2008. “Closing the gap in a generation: Health equity through action on the social determinants of health.” The Lancet 372, 9650: 1661–1669.133 Woolf, S. H., and P. Braveman. 2011. “Where health disparities begin: The role of social and economic determinants–and why current policies may make matters worse.” Health Affairs (Millwood) 30(10), 1852–1859.134 Chetty R, Stepner M, Abraham S, et al. 2016. The Association between Income and Life Expectancy in the United States, 2001- 2014. JAMA. Published online April 10, 2016. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.4226135 Ibid.136 DHHS, Public Health Service. 1980. Ten leading causes of death in the United States. Atlanta, GA: Bureau of State Services.137 McGinnis, J., and W. Foege. 1993. “Actual causes of death in the United States.” JAMA 270(18), 2207–2212.138 Lantz, P. et al. 1998. “Socioeconomic factors, health behaviors, and mortality: Results from a nationally representative prospective study of US adults.” JAMA 279(21), 1703–1708.139 McGinnis, J. et al. 2002. “The case for more active policy attention to health promotion.” Health Affairs 21(2), 78–93.140 Mokdad, A. et al. 2004. “Actual causes of death in the United States, 2000.” JAMA 291(10), 1238–1245.141 Danaei, G. et al. 2009. “The preventable causes of death in the United States: Comparative risk assessment of dietary, lifestyle, and metabolic risk factors.” PLoS Medicine 6(4), e1000058.142 World Health Organization (WHO). 2009. Global health risks: Mortality and burden of disease attributable to selected major risks. Geneva: WHO.143 Booske, B. et al. 2010. Different perspectives for assigning weights to determinants of health. County Health Rankings Working Paper. Madison, WI: University of Wisconsin Population Health Institute.144 Stringhini, S. et al. 2010. “Association of socioeconomic position with health behaviors and mortality.” JAMA 303(12), 1159–1166.145 Thoits, P. 2010. “Stress and health: Major findings and policy implications.” Journal of Health and Social Behavior 51 Suppl, S41–53.146 McGovern, L., G. Miller and P. Highes-Cromwick. 2014. “Health policy brief: The relative contribution of multiple determinants to health outcomes.” Health Affairs147 Iton, A. 2006. Tackling the root causes of health disparities through community capacity building. In: Hofrichter R, ed. Tackling Health Inequities Through Public Health Practice: A Handbook for Action. Washington, D.C., and Lansing, MI: National Association of County and City Health Officials and Ingham County Health Department; 116–136.148 Marmot M, Friel S, Bell R, et al. 2008. Closing the gap in a generation: health equity through action on the social determinants of health. The Lancet , Volume 372 , Issue 9650, 1661 – 1669149 Ibid.150 Smith, R. 1996. “The big idea.” British Medical Journal 312:April 20th, Editor’s choice. 59 life spans.151 Successful strategies California has already implemented to assure the poor do not pay higher costs for societal GHG reductions include low-income energy discount programs, in combination with direct climate credits, and policies and programs that help Californians reduce electricity, natural gas, and gasoline consumption.152 More such strategies could be pursued. To tackle the inequitable distribution of power that leads to disparate health outcomes, agencies can first assure their hearing and decision-making processes provide opportunities for civic engagement so people facing health inequities can themselves participate in decision-making about solutions. Whether it is absolute poverty or relative deprivation that leads to poor health, investments and policies that both lift up the poor and reduce wealth disparities will address the multiple problems of climate change mitigation, adaptation, and health inequities. Employment Employment status impacts human health in many ways. Poor health outcomes of unemployment include premature death, self-rated ill-health (a strong predictor of poor health outcomes), and mental illness.153 ,154,155,156 Economic strain related to unemployment can impact mental health and trigger stress that is linked to other health conditions.157,158 Populations of color are overrepresented in the unemployment and under-employment ranks, which likely contributes to racial health inequities. In 2014, 14.7 percent of African-Americans, 12.1 percent of American Indians and Alaska Natives, and 9.8 percent of Latinos were unemployed, compared to 7.9 percent of Whites.159 In addition to providing income, the work experience has health consequences. There is a work status–health gradient similar to the wealth–health gradient. Workers with lower occupational status have a higher risk of death,160 increased blood pressure,161 and more heart attacks.162,163 Higher status workers often have a greater sense of autonomy, control over their work, and predictability, compared to lower status workers, whose lack of control and predictability translates to stress that shortens their lives.164 Nonstandard working arrangements such as part-time, seasonal, shift, contract, or informal sector work have been linked to greater psychological distress and poorer physical health.165,166 Women are heavily overrepresented in nonstandard work, as are people of color and people with low levels of education.167,168 The implementation of California’s climate change goals provides great opportunity to not only improve the habitability of the planet, but also to increase economic vitality, employ historically disadvantaged people 151 Chetty R, Stepner M, Abraham S, et al. 2016. The Association between Income and Life Expectancy in the United States, 2001- 2014. JAMA. Published online April 10, 2016. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.4226152 Gattaciecca, J., C. Callahan, and J. R. DeShazo. 2016. Protecting the most vulnerable: A financial analysis of Cap-and-Trade’s impact on households in disadvantaged communities across California. UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs: Los Angeles, CA. http://innovation.luskin.ucla.edu/content/protecting-most-vulnerable. Accessed April 22, 2016.153 Krueger, P., and S. Burgard. 2011. Income, occupations and work. In: Rogers R, Crimmins E, eds. International Handbook of Adult Mortality. New York: Springer: 263–288.154 Rogers, R., R. Hummer, and C. Nam. 2000. Living and Dying in the USA. Behavioral, health, and social differentials of adult mortality. New York, NY: Academic.155 Ross, C. and J. Mirowsky. 1995. “Does employment affect health?” Journal of Health and Social Behavior 36(3):230–243.156 Burgard, S., and K. Lin. 2013. “Bad jobs, bad health? How work and working conditions contribute to health disparities.” Am Behav Sci 57(8).157 Price, R., D. Friedland, J. Choi, and R. Caplan. 1998. Job-loss and work transitions in a time of global economic change.158 Price, R., J. Choi, and A. Vinokur. 2002. “Links in the chain of adversity following job loss: How financial strain and loss of personal control lead to depression, impaired functioning, and poor health.” Journal of Occupational Health Psychology 7(4), 302.159 U.S. Census Bureau. 2014. American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates. http://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/ summary_file/2014/data/. Last updated August 31, 2015. Accessed April 20, 2016.160 Rogers R, Hummer R, and Nam C. 2000. Living and Dying in the USA. Behavioral, health, and social differentials of adult mortality. New York, NY: Academic161 Colhoun, H., H. Hemingway, and N. Poulter. 1998. “Socio-economic status and blood pressure: An overview analysis.” Journal of Human Hypertension 12(2).162 Möller, J., T. Theorell, U. De Faire, A. Ahlbom, and J. Hallqvist. 2005. “Work related stressful life events and the risk of myocardial infarction. Case-control and case-crossover analyses within the Stockholm heart epidemiology programme (SHEEP).” Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 59(1), 23–30.163 Burgard S, Lin K. 2013. Bad jobs, bad health? How work and working conditions contribute to health disparities. Am Behav Sci: 57(8).164 Marmot, M., G. Rose, M. Shipley, and P. Hamilton. 1978. “Employment grade and coronary heart disease in British civil servants.” Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 32(4), 244–249.165 Dooley, D., and J. Prause. 2004. Settling down: Psychological depression and underemployment. The social costs of underemployment, 134-157. In: Dooley, D. and J. Prause. The Social Costs of Underemployment: Inadequate Employment as Disguised Unemployment. 166 Virtanen, M., M. Kivimäki, M. Joensuu, P. Virtanen, M. Elovainio, and J. Vahtera. 2005. “Temporary employment and health: A review.” International Journal of Epidemiology 34(3): 610–622.167 Nollen, S. 1996. “Negative aspects of temporary employment.” Journal of Labor Research 17(4): 567–582.168 Burgard S, Lin K. 2013. Bad jobs, bad health? How work and working conditions contribute to health disparities. Am Behav Sci: 57(8) 60 in secure jobs, and improve the health of the population. Measures in the Scoping Plan that aim to reduce GHGs can simultaneously improve health and social equity by prioritizing or requiring that: (1) infrastructure projects using public funds pay living wages, provide quality benefits to all employees, and minimize nonstandard work; (2) locals are hired as much as is feasible; (3) preference is given for women-owned and minority-owned businesses; (4) employers receiving public funds assess and reduce work stress and lack of workplace control; (5) projects benefiting from State climate investments prioritize hiring from historically hard-to-employ groups, such as youth (especially youth of color), formerly incarcerated people, and people with physical or mental illness; and (6) training is provided to these same groups to work in jobs in sectors that will support a sustainable economy. Communications Supporting Climate Change Behaviors and Policies California’s leadership on GHG reductions is exceptional. However, climate mitigation goals are often treated independently by sector, and the public does not see a unified message that changes must take place on every level in every sector to preserve human health and well-being. Climate strategy could be supported by public communications campaigns that link sectors and present a message of the need for bold action, along with the benefits that action can yield. Mass media communications and social marketing campaigns can help shift social and cultural norms toward sustainable and healthy practices. Messaging about the co-benefits of climate change policies in improving health and well-being can lead to increased community and decision-maker support among vulnerable groups for policies and measures outlined in the Scoping Plan. Community Engagement Leads to Robust, Lasting, and Effective Climate Policies For California’s climate change policies to be supported by the public and be implemented with enthusiasm, they must be developed through ample, genuine opportunities for community members to discuss and provide input. Californians’ contributions to the policy arena strengthen the end products and assist in their implementation and enforcement. Efforts to mitigate climate change through policy, environmental, and systems change present considerable opportunities to promote sustainable, healthy, resilient, and equitable communities. The measures in the Scoping Plan, and the way they are implemented, can help create living conditions that facilitate physical activity; encourage public transit use; provide access to affordable, fresh, and nutritious foods; protect the natural systems on which human health depends; spur economic development; provide safe, affordable, and energy-efficient housing; enable access to jobs; and increase social cohesion and civic engagement. These climate change mitigation measures can improve overall population health, as well as material conditions, access to opportunity, and health and well-being in communities facing health inequities. Approaching the policy solutions outlined in the Scoping Plan with a health and equity lens can ultimately help lead to a California in which all current and future generations of Californians can benefit and thrive. Environmental Analysis CARB, as the lead agency, prepared a Draft Environmental Analysis (Draft EA) in accordance with the requirements of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and CARB’s regulatory program (CARB’s program has been certified as complying with CEQA by the Secretary of Natural Resources; see California Code of Regulation, title 17, sections 60006-60008; California Code of Regulation, title 14, section 15251, subdivision (d)). The resource areas from the CEQA Guidelines Environmental Checklist were used as a framework for a programmatic environmental analysis of the reasonably foreseeable compliance responses resulting from implementation of the measures proposed in the Scoping Plan to achieve the 2030 target. Following circulation of the Draft EA for an 80-day public review and comment period (January 20, 2017 through April 10, 2017), CARB prepared the Final Environmental Analysis Prepared for the Proposed Strategy for Achieving California’s 2030 Greenhouse Gas Target (Final EA), which includes minor revisions to the Draft EA, and the Response to Comments on the Draft Environmental Analysis prepared for the Proposed Strategy for Achieving California’s 2030 Greenhouse Gas Target (RTC). The Final EA is included as Appendix F to the 2017 Scoping Plan. The Final EA and RTC were posted on CARB’s Scoping Plan webpage before the Board hearing in December 2017. 61 The Final EA provides a programmatic level of analysis of the adverse environmental impac ts that are reasonably foreseeable as resulting from implementation of the proposed Scoping Plan measures; feasible mitigation measures; a cumulative impac ts analysis and an alternatives analysis. Collectively, the Final EA concluded that implementation of these actions could result in the following short-term and long-term beneficial and adverse environmental impac ts: • Beneficial long-term impacts to air quality, energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions. • Less than significant impacts to energy demand, resources related to land use planning, mineral resources, population and housing, public services, and recreational services. • Potentially significant and unavoidable adverse impacts to aesthetics, agriculture and forest resources, air quality, biological resources, cultural resources, geology and soils, hazards and hazardous materials, hydrology and water quality, resources related to land use planning, noise, recreational services, transportation/traffic, and utilities and service systems. The potentially significant and unavoidable adverse impacts are disclosed for both short-term construction- related activities and long-term operational activities, which explains why some resource areas are identified above as having both less-than-significant impacts and potentially significant impacts. For a summary of impacts, please refer to the table in Attachment B to the Final EA. 62 Climate change mitigation policies must be considered in the context of the sector’s contribution to the State’s total GHGs, while also considering any co-benefits for criteria pollutant and toxic air contaminant reductions. The transportation, electricity (in-state and imported), and industrial sectors are the largest contributors to the GHG inventory and present the largest opportunities for GHG reductions. However, to ensure decarbonization across the entire economy and to meet our 2030 GHG target, policies must be considered for all sectors. Policies that support energy efficiency, alternative fuels, and renewable power also can provide co-benefits for both criteria and toxic air pollutants. The specific policies identified in this Scoping Plan are subject to additional analytical and public processes to refine the requirements and methods of implementation. For example, a change in the LCFS Carbon Intensity (CI) target would only take effect after a subsequent rulemaking for that regulation, which would include its own public process and environmental, economic, and public health analyses. As described in Chapter 2, many policies for reducing emissions toward the 2030 target are already known. This Scoping Plan identifies these and additional policies or program enhancements needed to achieve the remaining GHG reductions in a complementary, flexible, and cost-effective manner to meet the 2030 target. These policies should continue to encourage reductions beyond 2030 to keep us on track to stabilize the climate. Policies that ensure economy-wide investment decisions that incorporate consideration of GHG emissions are particularly important. As we pursue GHG reduction targets, we must acknowledge the integrated nature of our built and natural environments, and cross-sector impacts of policy choices. The State’s Green Buildings Strategy is one such example of this type of integrated approach. Buildings have tremendous cross-sector interactions that influence our health and well-being and affect land use and transportation patterns, energy use, water use, communities, and the indoor and outdoor environment. Green building regulations and programs offer complementary opportunities to address the direct and indirect effects of buildings on the environment by incorporating strategies to minimize overall energy use, water use, waste generation, and transportation impacts. The Governor’s Green Buildings Executive Order B-18-12 for State buildings and the California Green Building Standards (CALGreen) Code169 are key state initiatives supporting emissions reductions associated with buildings. Local governments are taking action by adopting “beyond code” green building standards. Additional efforts to maintain and operate existing buildings as third-party certified green buildings provides a significant opportunity to reduce GHG emissions associated with buildings. These foundational regulations and programs for reducing building-related emissions are described in more detail in Appendix H. Looking forward, there is a need to establish a path toward transitioning to zero net carbon buildings170, which will be the next generation of buildings that can contribute significantly to achieving long- term climate goals. A discussion of how the green buildings strategy can support GHG reductions to help meet the 2030 target is provided in Appendix I. Recent research activities have provided results to better quantify GHG emissions reductions of green buildings, and additional research activities need to continue to expand their focus to support technical feasibility evaluations and implementation. Research needs related to green buildings are included in Appendix I. Further, each of the policies directed at the built environment must be considered in the broader context of the high-level goals for other sectors, including the natural and working lands sector. For example, policies that support natural and working lands can reduce emissions and sequester carbon, while also providing ecosystem benefits such as better water quality, increased water yield, soil health, reduced erosion, and 169 The authority to update and implement the CALGreen Code is the responsibility of several State agencies identified in California Building Standards Law.170 A zero carbon building generates zero or near zero GHG emissions over the course of a year from all GHG emission sources associated, directly and indirectly, with the use and occupancy of the building (initial definition included in the May 2014 First Update to the Climate Change Scoping Plan). Chapter 4 K ey S ector S 63 habitat connectivity. These policies and co-benefits will be considered as part of the integrated strategy outlined above. Table 16 provides examples of the cross-sector interactions between and among the main sectors analyzed for the Scoping Plan that are discussed in this chapter (Energy, Transportation, Industry, Water, Waste Management, and Natural and Working Lands, including agricultural lands). This chapter recognizes these interactions and relates these broad strategic options to the specific additional programs recommended in Chapter 2 of this document. Accordingly, Chapter 4 provides an overview of each sector’s contributions to the State’s GHG emissions, a description of both ongoing and proposed programs and policies to meet the 2030 target, and additional climate policy or actions that could be considered in the future. The wide array of complementary and supporting measures being contemplated or undertaken across State government are detailed here. The broad view of State action described in this chapter thus provides context for the narrower set of measures discussed in detail in Chapter 2 of this Scoping Plan. It is these measures in Chapter 2 that CARB staff has identified as specific actions to meet the 2030 target in SB 32. The following phrases have specific meanings in this discussion of the policy landscape: “Ongoing and Proposed Measures” refers to programs and policies that are either ongoing existing efforts, or efforts required by statute, or which are otherwise underway or about to begin. These measures include, but are not limited to, those identified as necessary specific actions to meet the 2030 GHG target, and which are set apart and described in greater detail in Chapter 2. “Sector Measures” listed also include cross-cutting measures that affect many entities in the sector; some of these are also identified in Chapter 2. “Potential Additional Actions” are not being proposed as part of the specific strategy to achieve the 2030 target in this Scoping Plan. This Scoping Plan includes this broader, comprehensive, review of these measures because it aims to spur thinking and exploration of innovative new technologies and polices that may help the State achieve its long-term climate goals. Some of these items may not ever be formally proposed, but they are included here because CARB, other agencies, and stakeholders believe their potential should be explored with stakeholders in coming years. 64 table 16: Cross-seC tor relationships Sector Example Interactions with Other Sectors Energy • Hydroelectric power, cooling, cleaning, waste water treatment plant (WWTP) bioenergy • Vehicle-to-grid power; electricity supply to vehicle charging infrastructure • Biomass feedstock for bioenergy, land for utility-scale renewable energy (solar, wind) • Agricultural waste and manure feedstocks for bioenergy/biofuels • Organic waste for bioenergy Transportation • Electric vehicles, natural gas vehicles, transit/rail; more compact development patterns that reduce vehicle miles traveled (VMT) also demand less energy per capita • More compact development patterns that reduce VMT also demand less water per capita and reduce conversion of natural and working lands • Reducing VMT also reduces energy demands necessary for producing and distributing fuels and vehicles and construction and maintenance of roads • Biomass feedstock for biofuels • Agricultural waste and manure feedstocks for biofuels • Organic waste for biofuels • Greenfield suburban development on natural and working lands leads to increased VMT Industry • Potential to electrify fossil natural gas equipment, substitution of fossil-based energy with renewable energy • Greenfield urban development impacts Water • Energy consumption for water pumping, treatment, heating; resource for cooling, cleaning; WWTP bioenergy • Use of compost to help with water retention / conservation / drought mitigation • Land conservation results in healthier watersheds by reducing polluted runoff, allowing groundwater recharge, and maintaining properly functioning ecosystems Waste Management • Composting, anaerobic digestion, and wastewater treatment plant capacity to help process organic waste diverted from landfills • Compost for carbon sequestration, erosion control in fire-ravaged lands, water conservation, and healthy soils • Replacing virgin materials with recycled materials associated with goods production; enhanced producer responsibility reduces energy impacts of consumption • Efficient packaging materials reduces energy consumption and transportation fuel use Agriculture • Crop production, manure management; WWTP biosolids for soil amendments • Agricultural waste and manure feedstocks for bioenergy • Compost production in support of Healthy Soils Initiative Natural and Working Lands • Healthy forestlands provide wood and other forest products • Restoring coastal and sub-tidal areas improves habitat for commercial and other fisheries • Sustainable management can provide biomass for electricity • Sustainable management can provide biomass for biofuels • Resilient natural and working lands provide habitat for species and functions to store water, recharge groundwater, naturally purify water, and moderate flooding. Forests are also a source of compost and other soil amendments. • Conservation and land protections help reduce VMT and increase stable carbon pools in soils and above-ground biomass 65 Low Carbon Energy The energy sector in California is composed of electricity and natural gas infrastructure, which brings electricity and natural gas to homes, businesses, and industry. This vast system is critical to California’s economy and public well-being, and pivotal to reducing its GHG emissions. Historically, power plants generated electricity largely by combusting fossil fuels. In the 1970s and early 1980s, a significant portion of California’s power supply came from coal and petroleum resources. To reduce air pollution and promote fuel diversity, the State has shifted away from these resources to natural gas, renewable energy, and energy efficiency programs, resulting in significant GHG emissions reductions. Emissions from the electricity sector are currently approximately 20 percent below 1990 levels and are well on their way to achieving deeper emissions cuts by 2030. Since 2008, renewable generation has almost doubled, coal generation has been reduced by more than half, and GHG emissions have been reduced by a quarter. Carbon dioxide is the primary GHG associated with electricity and natural gas systems. The electricity sector, which is composed of in-State generation and imported power to serve California load, has made great strides to help California achieve its climate change objectives. Renewable energy has shown tremendous growth, with capacity from solar, wind, geothermal, small hydropower, and biomass power plants growing from 6,600 megawatts (MW) in 2010 to 27,500 MW as of June 2017.171 Renewable energy adoption in California has been promoted through the RPS and several funding mechanisms, such as the California Solar Initiative (CSI) programs, Self-Generation Incentive Program (SGIP), Net-Energy Metering (NEM), and federal tax credits. These mandates and incentives have spurred both utility-scale and small-scale customer-developed renewable energy projects. SB 350 increased the RPS requirement from 33 percent by 2020 to 50 percent by 2030. SB 350 requires publicly-owned utilities under the jurisdiction of the California Energy Commission (CEC) and all load-serving entities under the jurisdiction of the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) to file integrated resource plans (IRPs) with the CEC and CPUC, respectively. Through their IRPs, filing entities will demonstrate how they will plan to meet the electricity sector’s share of the State’s 2030 GHG reduction target while ensuring reliability in a cost-effective manner. The CEC and CPUC have developed the guidelines that publicly-owned utilities and load-serving entities will follow to prepare and submit IRPs, and CARB is working collaboratively with CEC and CPUC to set the sector and utility and load-serving entity planning targets. The Scoping Plan provides information to help establish the range of GHG reductions required for the electricity sector, and those numbers will be translated into planning target ranges in the IRP process. The IRP processes as currently proposed by CEC and CPUC staff will grant publicly-owned utilities flexibility to determine the optimal way to reduce GHG emissions, and load serving entities some flexibility to achieve the electricity sector’s share of the 2030 goal. The CPUC has developed a Reference System Plan to help guide investment, resource acquisition, and programmatic decisions to reach the State’s policy goals, in addition to informing the development of individual load serving entities’ IRPs. Energy efficiency is another key component to reducing energy sector GHG emissions, and is another consideration in each agency’s IRP process. Utilities have been offering energy efficiency programs, such as incentives, to California customers for decades, and CEC has continually updated building and appliance standards. In the context of IRPs, utility-ratepayer-funded energy efficiency programs will likely continue to play an important role in reducing GHG emissions in the electricity sector. SB 350 requires CEC and CPUC to establish annual targets for statewide energy efficiency savings and demand reduction that will achieve a cumulative doubling of statewide energy efficiency savings in electricity and natural gas end uses by 2030. These targets can be achieved through appliance and building energy efficiency standards; utility incentive, rebate, and technical assistance programs; third-party delivered energy efficiency programs; and other programs. Achieving greater efficiency savings in existing buildings, as directed by Governor Brown in his 2015 inaugural speech, will be essential to meet the goal of doubling energy efficiency savings. In September 2015, CEC adopted the Existing Buildings Energy Efficiency Action Draft Plan, which is designed to provide foundational support and strategies to enable scaling of energy efficiency in the built environment. Pursuant to SB 350, CEC published an updated Existing Buildings Energy Efficiency Action Plan prior to January 2017. More than $10 billion in private capital investment will be needed 171 California Energy Commission. August, 2017. Tracking Progress. Renewable Energy – Overview. http://www.energy.ca.gov/renewables/tracking_progress/documents/renewable.pdf 66 to double statewide efficiency savings in California.172 Energy efficiency programs are one part of the broader green buildings strategy, which incorporates additional measures to minimize water use, waste generation, and transportation impacts. The green buildings strategy is described in further detail in Appendix I. Heating fuels used for activities such as space and water heating in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors represent a significant source of GHG emissions. Transitioning to cleaner heating fuels is part of the solution of achieving greater efficiency savings in existing buildings and has significant GHG emissions reductions potential. Examples of this transition can include use of renewable gas and solar thermal, as well as electrification of end uses in residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. However, achieving significant GHG emissions reductions can only be achieved by decarbonizing the electricity sector – switching from natural gas end uses to electricity generated by burning natural gas would not be effective. Electrification can complement renewables and energy storage if implemented in an integrated, optimized manner. Other hurdles that will have to be overcome include electric equipment performance across all California climate regions, seasonal variations of renewable generation, cost-effectiveness, and consumer acceptance of different heating fuel options. Fossil-fuel-based natural gas is a significant fuel source for both in-State electricity generation and electricity imported into California. It is also used in transportation applications and in residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural sector end uses. Greenhouse gas emissions from combustion of fossil natural gas decreased from 134.71 MMTCO2e in 2000 to 126.98 MMTCO2e in 2015, while natural gas pipeline fugitive emissions were estimated to be 4.0 MMTCO2e in 2015 and have been nearly unchanged since 2000.173 Greenhouse gas-reduction strategies should focus on efficiency, reducing leakage from wells and pipelines, implementing the SLCP strategy, and studying the potential for renewable gas fuel switching (e.g., renewable hydrogen blended with methane or biomethane). Moving forward, reducing use of fossil natural gas wherever possible will be critical to achieving the State’s long-term climate goals. For end uses that must continue to rely on natural gas, renewable natural gas could play an important role. Renewable natural gas volume has been increasing from approximately 1.5 million diesel gallon equivalent (dge) in 2011 to more than 68.5 million dge in 2015, and continued substitution of renewable gas for fossil natural gas would help California reduce its dependence on fossil fuels. In addition, renewable gas can be sourced by in-vessel waste digestion (e.g., anaerobic digestion of food and other organics) and recovering methane from landfills, livestock operations, and wastewater treatment facilities through the use of existing technologies, thereby also reducing methane emissions. The capture and productive use of renewable methane from these and other sources is consistent with requirements of SB 1383. Collectively, renewable energy and energy efficiency measures can result in significant public health and climate benefits by displacing air pollution and GHG emissions from fossil-fuel based energy sources, as well as by reducing the health and environmental risks associated with the drilling, extraction, transportation, and storage of fossil fuels, especially for communities living near fossil-fuel based energy operations. As the energy sector continues to evolve and decarbonize, both the behavior of individual facilities and the design of the grid itself will change, with important distributional effects. Some power plants may operate more flexibly to balance renewables, emerging technologies (examples include storage, smart inverters, renewably-fueled fuel cells, and others) will become more prevalent, and aging facilities may retire and be replaced. In turn, this may shift patterns of criteria pollutant emissions at these facilities. Because many existing power plants are in, or near, disadvantaged communities, it is of particular importance to ensure that this transition to a cleaner grid does not result in unintended negative impacts to these communities. Appendix H highlights the more significant existing policies, programs, measures, regulations, and initiatives that provide a framework for helping achieve GHG emissions reductions in this sector. 172 California Energy Commission. 2016. Existing Building Energy Efficiency Action Plan. page 61. Available at: http://docketpublic.energy.ca.gov/PublicDocuments/16-EBP-01/TN214801_20161214T155117_Existing_Building_Energy_ Efficency_Plan_Update_Deceber_2016_Thi.pdf173 CARB. 2017. CARB’s Emission Inventory Activities. www.arb.ca.gov/ei/ei.htm 67 Looking to the Future This section outlines the high-level objectives and goals to reduce GHGs in this sector. Electricity Goals • Achieve sector-wide, publicly-owned utility, and load-serving entity specific GHG reduction planning targets set by the State through Integrated Resource Planning. • Reduce fossil fuel use. • Reduce energy demand. Natural Gas Goals • Ensure safety of the natural gas system. • Decrease fugitive methane emissions.• Reduce dependence on fossil natural gas. Cross-Sector Interactions The energy sector interacts with nearly all sectors of the economy. Siting of power plants (including solar and wind facilities) and transmission and distribution lines have impacts on land use in California–be it conversion of agricultural or natural and working lands, impacts to sensitive species and habitats, or implications to disadvantaged, vulnerable, and environmental justice communities. Additionally, more compact development patterns reduce per capita energy demands, while less-compact sprawl increases them. Further, efforts to reduce GHG emissions in the transportation sector include electrification, such as PHEVs, BEVs, and FCEVs. Some industrial sources also use electricity as a primary or auxiliary source of power for manufacturing. In the future, industrial facilities may electrify their systems instead of relying on natural gas. These activities will increase demand in this sector. In addition, water is used in various applications in the energy sector, ranging in intensity from cooling of turbines and other equipment at power plants to cleaning solar photovoltaic panels. Given California’s recent historic drought, water use for the electricity sector is an important consideration for operation, maintenance, and construction activities. Continued planning and coordination with federal, State, and local agencies, governments, Tribes, and stakeholders will be crucial to minimizing environmental and health impacts from the energy sector, deploying new technologies, and identifying feedstocks. Efforts to Reduce Greenhouse Gases The measures below include some required and new potential measures to help achieve the State’s 2030 target and to support the high-level objectives for this sector. Some measures may be designed to directly address GHG reductions, while others may result in GHG reductions as a co-benefit. Ongoing and Proposed Measures – Electricity • Per SB 350, with respect to Integrated Resource Plans, establish GHG planning targets for the electricity sector, publicly-owned utilities, and load-serving entities. • Per SB 350, ensure meaningful GHG emissions reductions by publicly-owned utilities and load-serving entities through Integrated Resource Planning.• Per AB 197, prioritize direct reductions at large stationary sources, including power-generating facilities. • Per SB 350, increase the RPS to 50 percent of retail sales by 2030 and ensure grid reliability. • Per Governor Brown’s Clean Energy Jobs Plan, AB 327 (Perea, Chapter 611, Statutes of 2013), and AB 693 (Eggman, Chapter 582, Statutes of 2015), increase development of distributed renewable generation, including for low income households. • Continue to increase use of distributed renewable generation at State facilities where space allows. • Increase retail customers’ use of renewable energy through optional utility 100 percent renewable energy tariffs. • Continue GHG reductions through participation in the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) Energy Imbalance Market. 68 • Per SB 350, efforts to evaluate, develop, and deploy regionalization of the grid and integration of renewables via regionalization of the CAISO should continue while maintaining the accounting accuracy and rigor of California’s GHG policies. • Per SB 350, establish annual targets for statewide energy efficiency savings and demand reduction that will achieve a cumulative doubling of statewide energy efficiency savings in electricity and natural gas end uses by 2030. • Per SB 350, implement the recommendations of the Barriers Study for increasing access to renewable energy generation for low-income customers, energy efficiency and weatherization investments for low-income customers, and contracting opportunities for local small business in disadvantaged communities.174 And, track progress towards these actions over time to ensure disadvantaged communities are getting equal access and benefits relative to other parts of the State.• Continue implementation of the Regulations Establishing and Implementing a Greenhouse Gases Emission Performance Standard for Local Publicly Owned Electric Utilities as required by SB 1368 (Perata, Chapter 598, Statutes of 2006), which effectively prohibits electric utilities from making new long-term investments in high-GHG emitting resources such as coal power. • Per AB 802 (Williams, Chapter 590, Statutes of 2015), adopt the forthcoming CEC regulations governing building energy use data access, benchmarking, and public disclosure. • Per AB 2868 (Gatto, Chapter 681, Statutes of 2016), encourage development of additional energy storage capacity on the transmission and distribution system. • Per AB 758 (Skinner, Chapter 470, Statutes of 2009),175 implement recommendations under State jurisdiction included in the AB 758 Action Plan developed by CEC. Ongoing and Proposed Measures – Natural Gas • Implement the CARB Regulation for Greenhouse Gas Emission Standards for Crude Oil and Natural Gas Facilities to reduce fugitive methane emissions from storage and distribution infrastructure. • Per SB 1371 (Leno, Chapter 525, Statutes of 2014), adopt improvements in investor- owned utility (IOU) natural gas systems to address methane leaks.• Implement the SLCP Strategy to reduce natural gas leaks from oil and gas wells, pipelines, valves, and pumps to improve safety, avoid energy losses, and reduce methane emissions associated with natural gas use. • Per SB 1383, CEC will develop recommendations for the development and use of renewable gas as part of its 2017 Integrated Energy Policy Report (IEPR). • Per SB 1383, adopt regulations to reduce methane emissions from livestock manure and dairy manure management operations by up to 40 percent below the dairy sector’s and livestock sector’s 2013 levels by 2030, including establishing energy infrastructure development and procurement policies needed to encourage dairy biomethane projects. The regulations will take effect on or after January 1, 2024. • Per SB 1383, reduce methane emissions at landfills by reducing landfill disposal of organic waste 75 percent below 2014 levels by 2025, including establishing energy infrastructure development and procurement policies needed to encourage in-vessel digestion projects and increase the production and use of renewable gas. • Per SB 887 (Pavley, Chapter 673, Statutes of 2016), initiate continuous monitoring at natural gas storage facilities and (by January 1, 2018) mechanical integrity testing regimes at gas storage wells, develop regulations for leak reporting, and require risk assessments of potential leaks for proposed new underground gas storage facilities. • Per Public Utilities (PU) Code 454.56, CPUC, in consultation with CEC, (1) identifies all potentially achievable cost-effective natural gas efficiency savings and establishes gas efficiency targets for the gas corporation to achieve, and (2) requires gas corporations to first meet unmet resource needs through available natural gas efficiency and demand reduction resources that are cost-effective, reliable, and feasible (PU Codes 890– 174 CEC. 2016. Low-Income Barriers Study, Part A: Overcoming Barriers to Energy Efficiency and Renewables for Low-Income Customers and Small Business Contracting Opportunities in Disadvantaged Communities. http://docketpublic.energy.ca.gov/ PublicDocuments/16-OIR-02/TN214830_20161215T184655_SB_350_LowIncome_Barriers_Study_Part_A__Commission_Final_ Report.pdf175 AB 758 requires CEC, in collaboration with CPUC, to develop a comprehensive program to achieve greater energy efficiency in the State’s existing buildings. 69 900 provide public goods charge funding authorization for these programs). • Per SB 185 (De Leon, Chapter 605, Statutes of 2015), implement the requirement for the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) and the California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) to sell their holdings in coal-producing companies by June 1, 2017, and explore extending divestiture requirements for additional fossil-fuel assets. Sector Measures • Implement the post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program. Potential Additional Actions The actions below have the potential to reduce GHGs and complement the measures and policies identified in Chapter 2. These are included to spur thinking and exploration of innovation that may help the State achieve its long-term climate goals. It is anticipated that there will be workshops and other stakeholder forums in the years following finalization of the Scoping Plan to explore these potential actions. • Further deploy fuel cells that use renewable fuels or those that generate electricity that is less carbon intensive than the grid. • Increase use of renewable energy through long-term agreements between customers and utilities (such as Sacramento Municipal Utility District Solar Shares). • Develop rules needed for the development of electricity storage technologies. • Adopt a zero net energy (ZNE) standard for residential buildings by 2018/2019, and for commercial buildings by 2030.• Through a public process, evaluate and set targets for the electrification of space and water heating in residential and commercial buildings and cleaner heating fuels that will result in GHG reductions, and identify actions that can be taken to spur market transformation in the 2021-2030 period. • Expand the State Low-Income Weatherization Program (LIWP) to continue to improve energy efficiency and weatherize existing residential buildings, particularly for low-income individuals and households. • Decrease usage of fossil natural gas through a combination of energy efficiency programs, fuel switching, and the development and use of renewable gas in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. • Accelerate the deployment of heat pumps and the replacement of diesel generators. • Consider enhanced energy efficiency (high efficiency air conditioners, light-emitting diode (LED) lamps, efficiency improvements in industrial process cooling and refrigeration, efficient street lighting).• Promote programs to support third-party delivered energy efficiency projects.• Per AB 33 (Quirk, Chapter 680, Statutes of 2016), consider large-scale electricity storage.• Support more compact development patterns to promote reduced per capita energy demand (see the Transportation sector for specific policy recommendations). Industry California’s robust economy, with the largest manufacturing sector in the United States, is supported by a variety of sub-industrial sectors, some of which include cement plants, refineries, food processors, paper products, wineries, steel plants, and industrial gas, entertainment, technology and software, aerospace, and defense companies. Together, industrial sources account for approximately 21 percent of the State’s GHG emissions–almost equal to the amount of GHG emissions from the energy sector. Emissions in this sector are mainly due to fuel combustion and, in some industries, process-related emissions. Changes in this sector strongly correlate with changes in the overall economy. For example, housing and construction growth usually increases demand for cement. Moving toward a cleaner economy and ensuring we meet the statewide targets requires us to address GHG emissions in this sector, which has the potential to provide local co-benefits in criteria pollutant and toxic air contaminant reductions in immediate surrounding locations, especially in vulnerable communities. At the same time, we must ensure there is a smooth path to a cleaner future to support a resilient and robust economy with a strong job force, including training opportunities for workers in disadvantaged communities, while continuing to support economic growth in existing and new industries. 70 Greenhouse gas emissions in the Industrial sector have remained relatively flat for the last few years while the State’s economy has continued to grow, meaning the GHG emissions to produce each dollar of gross standard product is decreasing. Manufacturing accounts for approximately 10 percent of the gross state product.176 In 2016, California industry exported $163.6 billion in merchandise.177 Policies to address GHG emissions reductions must continue to balance the State’s economic well-being with making progress toward achievement of the statewide limits. As this sector is dominated by combustion-related emissions, policies and measures to supply cleaner fuels and more efficient technology are the key to reducing GHG emissions. Some sectors, such as cement and glass, also have significant process emissions, and it may be more challenging to address those process emissions, as they are related to chemical reactions and processes to meet safety, product-specific, or regulatory standards for the final products. Another important aspect for this sector is its role as the State transitions to a cleaner future. Infrastructure, including existing facilities and new facilities, can support the production of new technology to bolster the State’s efforts to address GHGs. For example, existing refineries have an opportunity to move away from fossil fuel production and switch to the production of biofuels and clean technology. As the State works to double energy efficiency in existing buildings, there will be an increased demand for efficient lighting fixtures, building insulation, low-e178 coatings for existing windows, or new windows–goods which could be produced in California. The predominant paths to reducing GHG emissions for the Industrial sector are: fuel switching, energy efficiency improvements, and process modifications. Carbon capture and sequestration also offers a potential new, long-term path for reducing GHGs for large stationary sources. Relocation of production to outside the State would also reduce emissions, but this is disadvantageous for a couple of reasons and efforts are needed to avoid this outcome. First, AB 32 requires the State’s climate policies to minimize emissions leakage, and relocation would shift GHG emissions outside of the State without the benefit of reducing pollutants that contribute to overall global warming impacts. Second, it could also reduce the availability of associated jobs and could impact a local tax base that supports local services such as public transportation, emergency response, and social services, as well as funding sources critical to protecting the natural environment and keeping it available for current and future generations. Even while we continue to seek further GHG reductions in the sector, it is important to recognize the State has a long history of addressing health-based air pollutants in this sector. Many of the actions for addressing criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants in the industrial sector are driven by California’s local air district stationary source requirements to ensure progress toward achieving State and national ambient air quality standards. Some of those actions, such as use of Best Available Control Technology, have resulted in co-benefits in the form of GHG reductions. The State must continue to strengthen its existing criteria and toxic air pollutant programs and relationships with local air districts to ensure all Californians have healthy, clean air. This is especially true in disadvantaged communities. AB 32 directed CARB to take several actions to address GHG emissions, such as early action measures, GHG reporting requirements for the largest GHG sources, and other measures. In response, the State adopted multiple measures and regulations, including regulations for high global warming potential (high-GWP) gases used in refrigeration systems and the semiconductor industry.179 These regulations apply to specific GHGs and types of equipment that can be found across the economy. For example, high-GWP gases are found in refrigeration systems in large food processing plants and chemical and petrochemical facilities, among others.180 The State has also adopted the first in the world economy-wide cap-and-trade program that applies to all large industrial GHG emitters, imported electricity, and fuel and natural gas suppliers. As discussed in Chapters 2 and 3, the Cap-and-Trade Program is a key element of California’s GHG reduction strategy. The 176 http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/011416/californias-economy-9-industries-driving-gdp-growth.asp177 U.S. Department of Commerce. International Trade Administration. 2017. California Exports, Jobs, & Foreign Investment. www.trade.gov/mas/ian/statereports/states/ca.pdf178 Low-e coatings reduce the emissivity, or heat transfer, from a window to improve its insulating properties.179 CARB. Refrigerant Management Program. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/rmp/rmp.htm180 The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) has also enacted regulations to reduce hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions by prohibiting high-GWP refrigerants in new retail food refrigeration equipment and in chillers used for large air-conditioning applications. On the international level, the European Union F-gas regulations went into effect January 1, 2015. Those regulations prohibit high-GWP HFCs in new equipment and require a gradual phasedown in the production and import of HFCs. A similar HFC phasedown that would take place globally was the subject of international negotiations during the Montreal Protocol meeting in Rwanda in October, 2016. Those negotiations resulted in an agreement that will phase down the use of HFCs and put the world on track to avoid nearly 0.5°C of warming by 2100. 71 Cap-and-Trade Program establishes a declining limit on major sources of GHG emissions, and it creates a powerful economic incentive for major investment in cleaner, more efficient technologies. The Cap-and- Trade Program applies to emissions that cover about 85 percent of the State’s GHG emissions. CARB creates allowances equal to the total amount of permissible emissions (i.e., the “cap”) over a given compliance period. One allowance equals one metric ton of GHG emissions. Fewer allowances are created each year, thus the annual cap declines and statewide emissions are reduced over time. An increasing annual auction reserve (or floor) price for allowances and the reduction in annual allowance budgets creates a steady and sustained pressure for covered entities to reduce their GHGs. All covered entities in the Cap-and-Trade Program are still subject to the air quality permit limits for criteria and toxic air pollutants. The Cap-and-Trade Program is designed to achieve the most cost-effective statewide GHG emissions reductions; there are no individual or facility-specific GHG emissions reductions requirements. Each entity covered by the Cap-and-Trade Program has a compliance obligation that is set by its GHG emissions over a compliance period, and entities are required to meet that compliance obligation by acquiring and surrendering allowances in an amount equal to their compliance obligation. Companies can also meet a limited portion of their compliance obligation by acquiring and surrendering offset credits, which are compliance instruments that are based on rigorously verified emissions reductions that occur from projects outside the scope of the Cap-and-Trade Program. Like allowances, each offset credit is equal to one metric ton of GHG emissions. The program began in January 2013 and achieved a near 100 percent compliance rate for the first compliance period (2013–2014). Reported and verified emissions covered by the Cap-and-Trade Program have been below the cap throughout the first years of the Program.181 Allowances are issued by CARB and distributed by free allocation and by sale at auctions. CARB also provides for free allocation to some entities covered by the Program to address potential trade exposure due to the cost of compliance with the Program and address concerns of relocation of production out-of-state and resulting emissions leakage. Offset credits are issued by CARB to qualifying offset projects. Secondary markets exist where allowances and offset credits may be sold and traded among Cap-and-Trade Program participants. Facilities must submit allowances and offsets to match their annual GHG emissions. Facilities that emit more GHG emissions must surrender more allowances or offset credits, and facilities that can cut their emissions need to surrender fewer compliance instruments. Entities have flexibility to choose the lowest-cost approach to achieving program compliance; they may purchase allowances at auction, trade allowances and offset credits with others, take steps to reduce emissions at their own facilities, or utilize a combination of these approaches. Proceeds from the sale of State-owned allowances at auction are placed into the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund. It is important to note that while the Cap-and-Trade Program is designed to reduce GHGs for the industrial sector, there are recommendations from the EJAC (or Committee) for the State to pursue more facility- specific GHG reduction measures to achieve potential local air quality co-benefits, and AB 197 directs CARB to prioritize direct reductions at large stationary sources. The Committee has expressed a strong preference to forgo the existing Cap-and-Trade Program and rely on prescriptive facility level regulations. We agree with the EJAC that more can and should be done to reduce emissions of criteria pollutants and toxic air contaminants. These pollutants pose air quality and related health issues to the communities adjacent to the sources of industrial emissions. Further, many of these communities are already disadvantaged and burdened by a variety of other environmental stresses. As described in Chapter 3, however, there is not always a direct correlation between emissions of GHGs, criteria pollutants, and toxic air contaminants. Also, relationships between these pollutants are complex within and across industrial sectors. The solution, therefore, is not to do away with or change the regulation of GHGs through the Cap-and-Trade Program to address these legitimate concerns; instead, consistent with the direction in AB 197 and AB 617, State and local agencies must evaluate and implement additional measures that directly regulate and reduce emissions of criteria and toxic air pollutants through other programs. 181 CARB. 2016. Mandatory Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reporting. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/reporting/ghg-rep/ghg-rep.htm 72 Looking to the Future This section outlines the high-level objectives and goals to reduce GHGs in this sector. Goals • Increase energy efficiency. • Reduce fossil fuel use. • Promote and support industry that provides products and clean technology needed to achieve the State’s climate goals. • Create market signals for low carbon intensity products. • Maximize air quality co-benefits. • Support a resilient low carbon economy and strong job force.• Make California the epicenter for research, development, and deployment of technology needed to achieve a near-zero carbon future. • Increase in-State recycling manufacturing. Cross-Sector Interactions There are clear, direct relationships between the industrial sector and other sectors that go beyond the economic support that a strong economy provides. For instance, this sector could increase its use of renewable fuels such as biomethane, which would be sourced from landfills or dairies. Additionally, some industries could shift from raw materials to recycled materials to reduce waste and reduce GHG emissions associated with processing of raw materials. Further, addressing energy efficiency could reduce onsite heating, water, and fuel demand. Moreover, supporting mass-transit or ride share programs for employees would reduce VMT. Finally, upgrading existing facilities or repurposing existing infrastructure instead of constructing new facilities or infrastructure would support land conservation and smart growth goals. Efforts to Reduce Greenhouse Gases The measures below include some required and new potential measures to help achieve the State’s 2030 target and to support the high-level objectives for this sector. Some measures may be designed to directly address GHG reductions, while others may result in GHG reductions as a co-benefit. Ongoing and Proposed Measures • At the October 2016 annual Montreal Protocol Meeting of Parties in Kigali, Rwanda, an international amendment to globally phase down HFC production was agreed upon by more than 150 countries. Depending on the level of future HFC emissions reductions expected for California from the Kigali Agreement, California may also: (1) consider placing restrictions on the sale or distribution of refrigerants with a GWP > 2,500, and (2) consider prohibiting refrigerants with a GWP >= 150 in new stationary refrigeration equipment and refrigerants with a GWP >= 750 for new stationary air-conditioning equipment. At the time the SLCP Strategy was finalized, U.S. EPA was expected to continue implementing certain HFC reductions under its Significant New Alternatives Policy (SNAP). Recent litigation may result in CARB implementing similar measures as state law instead. • Develop a regulatory monitoring, reporting, verification, and implementation methodology for the implementation of carbon capture and sequestration projects.• Implement the CARB Regulation for Greenhouse Gas Emission Standards for Crude Oil and Natural Gas Facilities to reduce fugitive methane emissions from storage and distribution infrastructure. Sector Measures • Implement the post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program. • Continue and strategically expand research and development efforts to identify, evaluate, and help deploy innovative strategies that reduce GHG emissions in the industrial sector. • Promote procurement policies that prioritize low carbon production to delivery options, including at the State and local government levels. • Identify and remove barriers to existing grant funding for onsite clean technology or efficiency upgrades. 73 Potential Additional Actions The actions below have the potential to reduce GHGs and complement the measures and policies identified in Chapter 2. These are included to spur thinking and exploration of innovation that may help the State achieve its long-term climate goals. It is anticipated that there will be workshops and other stakeholder forums in the years following finalization of the Scoping Plan to explore these potential actions. • Further deploy fuel cells that use renewable fuels or those that generate electricity that is less carbon intensive than the grid. • Decrease usage of fossil natural gas through a combination of efficiency, fuel switching, and the development and use of renewable gas. • Partner with California’s local air districts to effectively use BARCT to achieve air quality and GHG reduction co-benefits at large industrial sources. • Evaluate the potential for and promote electrification for industrial stationary sources whose main emissions are onsite natural gas combustion. • Identify new funding for grants and tariff opportunities for onsite clean technology, efficiency upgrades, diesel generator replacement, or recycling manufacturing technology. • Develop an incentive program to install low-GWP refrigeration systems in retail food stores.• Evaluate and design additional mechanisms to further minimize emissions leakage in the Cap-and-Trade Program (e.g., border carbon adjustment). Transportation Sustainability California’s population is projected to grow to 50 million people by 2050. How and where the State grows will have important implications for all sectors of the economy, especially the transportation sector. Supporting this growth while continuing to protect the environment, developing livable and vibrant communities, and growing the economy is dependent on transitioning the State’s transportation system to one powered by ZEVs (including PHEVs, BEVs, and FCEVs) and low carbon fuels. It must also offer other attractive and convenient low carbon transportation choices, including safe walking and bicycling, as well as quality public transportation. Investments should consider California’s diverse communities and provide accessible and clean travel options to all while drastically reducing reliance on light-duty combustion vehicles. The transportation system in California moves people between home, work, school, shopping, recreation, and other destinations, and connects ports, industry, residential communities, commercial centers, educational facilities, and natural wonders.182 California’s vast transportation system includes roads and highways totaling more than 175,000 miles and valued at approximately $1.2 trillion, 500 transit agencies, 245 public-use airports, 12 major ports, and the nation’s first high-speed rail system, now under construction.183 Transportation infrastructure also includes sidewalks, bicycle paths, parking, transit stations and shelters, street trees and landscaping, signage, lighting, and other elements that affect the convenience, safety, and accessibility of transportation choices. Increasingly, technologies such as real-time, web- and mobile-enabled trip planning and ride-sourcing services are changing how people travel. In the near future, automated and connected vehicles, and unmanned aerial systems (e.g., drones) are expected to be part of our transportation landscape and to transform the way that people and freight are transported. Responsibility for the transportation system is spread across State, regional, and local levels. Through effective policy design, the State has an opportunity to guide technology transformation and influence investment decisions with a view to mitigate climate and environmental impacts while promoting economic opportunities and community health and safety. The network of transportation technology and infrastructure, in turn, shapes and is shaped by development and land use patterns that can either support or detract from a more sustainable, low carbon, multi-modal transportation future. Strategies to reduce GHG emissions from the transportation sector, therefore, must actively address not only infrastructure and technology, but also coordinated strategies to achieve development, conservation, and land use patterns that align with the State’s GHG and other policy goals. Transportation also enables the movement of freight such as food, building materials, and other consumable products, as well as waste and recyclables. The California freight system includes myriad equipment and 182 Caltrans. California Transportation Plan 2040, February 2016.183 Ibid. 74 facilities,184 and is the most extensive, complex, and interconnected system in the country, with approximately 1.5 billion tons of freight valued at $2.8 trillion shipped in 2015 to, through, and within California.185 Freight- dependent industries accounted for over $740 billion of California’s GDP and over 5 million California jobs in 2014.186, 187 Transportation has a profound and varied impact on individuals and communities, including benefits such as economic growth, greater accessibility, and transport-related physical activity, and adverse consequences such as GHG emissions, smog-forming and toxic air pollutants, traffic congestion, and sedentary behaviors. The sector is the largest emitter of GHG emissions in California. Air pollution from tailpipe emissions contributes to respiratory ailments, cardiovascular disease, and early death, with disproportionate impacts on vulnerable populations such as children, the elderly, those with existing health conditions (e.g., chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or COPD), low-income communities, and communities of color.188, 189, 190, 191, 192 Importantly, transportation costs are also a major portion of most Californian’s household budgets.193 Additionally, dependence on cars has a direct impact on levels of physical activity, which is closely linked to multiple adverse health outcomes. Fortunately, many measures that reduce transportation sector GHG emissions simultaneously present opportunities to bolster the economy, enhance public health, revitalize disadvantaged communities, strengthen resilience to disasters and changing climate, and improve Californians’ ability to conveniently access daily destinations and nature. These opportunities are particularly important for those who are not able to, or cannot afford to, drive. In addition, a growing market demand for walkable, bikeable, and transit- accessible communities presents a significant opportunity to shift California’s transportation systems toward a lower-carbon future while realizing significant public health benefits through increased levels of physical activity (e.g., walking and bicycling). In fact, transport-related physical activity could result in reducing risks from chronic diseases such as cardiovascular disease, diabetes, certain cancers, and more, to such an extent that it would rank among the top public health accomplishments in modern history, and help to reduce the billions of dollars California spends each year to treat chronic diseases. Just as California was the first to mitigate the contribution of cars and trucks to urban smog, it is leading the way toward a clean, low carbon, healthy, interconnected, and equitable transportation system. Continuing to advance the significant progress already under way in the areas of vehicle and fuel technology is critical to the transportation sector strategy and to reducing GHG emissions in the transportation sector. The rapid technological and behavioral changes underway with automated and connected vehicles, unmanned aerial systems, and ride-sourcing services are redefining the transportation sector, and should be part of the solution for a lower carbon transportation sector. It is critical to support and accelerate progress on transitioning to a zero carbon transportation system, while ensuring VMT reductions are still achieved. The growing severity of climate impacts, persistent public health impacts and costs from air pollution,194 and rapid technology progress that supports the expectation that cost parity between some ZEVs and comparable internal combustion vehicles will be attained in a few years, underscores the need for further 184 The freight system includes trucks, ocean-going vessels, locomotives, aircraft, transport refrigeration units, commercial harborcraft and cargo handling, industrial and ground service equipment used to move freight at seaports, airports, border crossings, railyards, warehouses, and distribution centers.185 U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics and Federal Highway Administration. Freight Analysis Framework, V 4.1, 2016.186 U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Regional Economic Accounts. Available at: www.bea.gov/regional/index.htm, accessed March 11, 2016.187 State of California Employment Development Department. Labor Market Information by California Geographic Areas. Available at: www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/geography/lmi-by-geography.html, accessed March 21, 2016.188 CARB. May 2016. Mobile Source Strategy. Available at: www.arb.ca.gov/planning/sip/2016sip/2016mobsrc.pdf189 Hoek, G., Krishnan, R. M., Beelen, R., Peters, A., Ostro, B., Brunekreef, B., and Kaufman, J. D. 2013. Long-term air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory mortality: a review. Environmental Health, 12(1), 1.190 Friedman, M. S., K. E. Powell, L. Hutwagner, L. M. Graham, and W. G. Teague. 2001. “Impact of changes in transportation and commuting behaviors during the 1996 Summer Olympic Games in Atlanta on air quality and childhood asthma.” JAMA 285(7), 897–905.191 Bell, M. L., and K. Ebisu. 2012. “Environmental inequality in exposures to airborne particulate matter components in the United States.” Environmental Health Perspectives 120(12), 1699.192 Morello-Frosch, R., M. Zuk, M. Jerrett, B. Shamasunder, and A. D. Kyle. 2011. “Understanding the cumulative impacts of inequalities in environmental health: implications for policy.” Health Affairs 30(5), 879–887.193 H + T® Index website. htaindex.cnt.org/194 For example, a recent report by the American Lung Association estimates the costs of climate and air pollution from passenger vehicles in California to be $15 billion annually. Holmes-Gen, B. and W. Barrett. 2016. Clean Air Future – Health and Climate Benefits of Zero Emission Vehicles. American Lung Association in California, October. 75 action on ZEVs. Therefore, CARB is signaling the need for additional policy and technical support on strategies to move toward a goal of achieving 100 percent ZEV sales in the light-duty vehicle sector. Austria, Germany, India, Netherlands, and Norway are all taking steps to, or have indicated a desire to, move to 100 percent ZEV sales in the 2020–2030 time frame. In addition, policies that maximize the integration of electrified rail and transit to improve reliability and travel times, increase active transportation such as walking and bicycling, encourage use of streets for multiple modes of transportation, improve freight efficiency and infrastructure development, and shift demand to low carbon modes will need to play a greater role as California strives to achieve its 2030 and 2050 climate targets.195 The State’s rail modernization program has identified critical elements of the rail network where improvements, either in timing of service or infrastructure, provide benefits across the entire statewide network, furthering the attractiveness of rail for a range of trip distances.196 The State also uses the Transit and Intercity Rail Capital Program (TIRCP) and Low Carbon Transit Operations Program (LCTOP) to provide grants from GGRF to fund transformative improvements modernizing California’s intercity, commuter, and urban rail systems, as well as bus and ferry transit systems, to reduce emissions of GHGs by reducing congestion and VMT throughout California. As the backbone of an electrified mass-transportation network for the State, the high-speed rail system catalyzes and relies on focused, compact, and walkable development well-served by local transit to funnel riders onto the system and provide alternative options to airplanes and automobiles for interregional travel. Concentrated development, such as that incentivized by the Affordable Housing and Sustainable Communities (AHSC) grant program, can improve ridership and revenue for the system while providing vibrant communities for all. At the same time, more needs to be done to fully exploit synergies with emerging mobility solutions like ride-sourcing and more effective infrastructure planning to anticipate and guide the necessary changes in travel behavior, especially among millennials. Uniquely, high-speed rail affects air-miles traveled, diverting, at minimum, 30 percent of the intrastate air travel market in 2040.197 While most of the GHG reductions from the transportation sector in this Scoping Plan will come from technologies and low carbon fuels, a reduction in the growth of VMT is also needed. VMT reductions are necessary to achieve the 2030 target and must be part of any strategy evaluated in this Plan. Stronger SB 375 GHG reduction targets will enable the State to make significant progress toward this goal, but alone will not provide all of the VMT growth reductions that will be needed. There is a gap between what SB 375 can provide and what is needed to meet the State’s 2030 and 2050 goals. At the time of this writing, adoption of the first round of SCSs by MPOs is complete, and the second round of SCS planning is underway. Three MPO regions are in the very early stages of developing their third SCSs. To date, CARB staff reviewed the final determinations of 16 MPOs, and concluded that all 16 of those SCSs would achieve their targets, if implemented, with many of the MPOs indicating that they expect to exceed their targets. CARB staff recognizes the very strong performance in this first round of SCSs as a major success. Currently adopted sustainable communities strategies achieve, in aggregate, a 17 percent reduction in statewide per capita GHG emissions relative to 2005 by 2035. Since 2014, CARB has been working with MPOs and other stakeholders to update regional SB 375 targets. At the same time, CARB has also conducted analysis for development of the Mobile Source Strategy and Scoping Plan that identifies the need for statewide per capita greenhouse gas emissions reductions on the order of 25 percent by 2035, to meet our climate goals. Many MPOs have identified challenges to incorporating additional strategies and reducing emissions further in their plans, principally tied to the need for additional and more flexible revenue sources. MPOs have submitted target update recommendations to CARB that in aggregate maintains a 17 percent reduction statewide, which includes commitments of 18 percent reduction by 2035 from each of the four largest MPOs in the State. CARB is currently reviewing each MPOs target update recommendations alongside new State policies. State agencies have been working on new State-level VMT-related Policies and Measures (see Table 17) as part of this Scoping Plan intended to provide the State, MPOs, and local agencies with additional funding resources and tools to successfully meet the State’s climate goals. CARB’s preliminary review indicates that new State- level policies and measures will help support updated SB 375 targets that achieve up to 20 percent of the 195 Morello-Frosch, R., M. Zuk, M. Jerrett, B. Shamasunder, and A. D. Kyle. 2011. “Understanding the cumulative impacts of inequalities in environmental health: Implications for policy.” Health Affairs 30(5), 879–887.196 California State Transportation Agency. 2016. 2018 California State Rail Plan factsheet and TIRCP fact sheet.197 California High-Speed Rail Authority. 2016. 2016 Business Plan. Ridership and Revenue Forecast. 76 needed statewide reduction, as well as help bridge the remaining VMT growth reduction gap. Discussions among a broad suite of stakeholders from transportation, the building community, financial institutions, housing advocates, environmental organizations, and community groups are needed to begin the process to pursue and develop the needed set of strategies to ensure that we can achieve necessary VMT reductions, and that the associated benefits are shared by all Californians. Appendix C further details potential actions for discussion that can be taken by State government, regional planning agencies, and local governments, to achieve a broad, statewide vision for more sustainable land use and close the VMT gap.198 At the State level, a number of important policies are being developed. Governor Brown signed Senate Bill 743 (Steinberg, Chapter 386, Statutes of 2013), which called for an update to the metric of transportation impact in CEQA. That update to the CEQA Guidelines is currently underway. Employing VMT as the metric of transportation impact statewide will help to ensure GHG reductions planned under SB 375 will be achieved through on-the-ground development, and will also play an important role in creating the additional GHG reductions needed beyond SB 375 across the State. Implementation of this change will rely, in part, on local land use decisions to reduce GHG emissions associated with the transportation sector, both at the project level, and in long-term plans (including general plans, climate action plans, specific plans, and transportation plans) and supporting sustainable community strategies developed under SB 375. The State can provide guidance and tools to assist local governments in achieving those objectives. Appendix H highlights the more significant existing policies, programs, measures, regulations, and initiatives that provide a framework for helping achieve GHG emissions reductions in this sector. Looking to the Future This section outlines the high-level objectives and goals to reduce GHGs in this sector. Vibrant Communities and Landscapes / VMT Reduction Goals • Implement and support the use of VMT as the metric for determining transportation impacts under CEQA, in place of level of service (LOS). • Promote all feasible policies to reduce VMT, including: • Land use and community design that reduce VMT, • Transit oriented development,• Complete street design policies that prioritize transit, biking, and walking, and• Increasing low carbon mobility choices, including improved access to viable and affordable public transportation and active transportation opportunities. • Complete the construction of high-speed rail integrated with enhanced rail and transit systems throughout the State. • Promote transportation fuel system infrastructure for electric, fuel-cell, and other emerging clean technologies that is accessible to the public where possible, and especially in underserved communities, including environmental justice communities. • Increase the number, safety, connectivity, and attractiveness of biking and walking facilities to increase use. • Promote potential efficiency gains from automated transportation systems and identify policy priorities to maximize sustainable outcomes from automated and connected vehicles (preferably ZEVs), including VMT reduction, coordination with transit, and shared mobility, and minimize any increase in VMT, fossil fuel use, and emissions from using automated transportation systems.• Promote shared-use mobility, such as bike sharing, car sharing and ride-sourcing services to bridge the “first mile, last mile” gap between commuters’ transit stops and their destinations. • Continue research and development on transportation system infrastructure, including: • Integrate frameworks for lifecycle analysis of GHG emissions with life- cycle costs for pavement and large infrastructure projects, and • Health benefits and costs savings from shifting from driving to walking, bicycling, and transit use. • Quadruple the proportion of trips taken by foot by 2030 (from a baseline 198 CARB. Potential State - Level Strategies to Advance Sustainable, Equitable Communities and Reduce Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) -- for Discussion. www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/meetings/091316/Potential%20VMT%20Measures%20For%20 Discussion_9.13.16.pdf 77 of the 2010–2012 California Household Travel Survey). • Strive for a nine-fold increase in the proportion of trips taken by bicycle by 2030 (from a baseline of the 2010–2012 California Household Travel Survey). • Strive, in passenger rail hubs, for a transit mode share of between 10 percent and 50 percent, and for a walk and bike mode share of between 10 percent and 15 percent. Vehicle Technology Goals • Through a strong set of complementary policies–including reliable incentives, significant infrastructure investment, broad education and outreach, and potential regulation–aim to reach 100 percent ZEV sales in the light-duty sector (PHEVs, BEVs, and FCEVs) by 2050. • Make significant progress in ZEV penetrations in non-light-duty sectors. • Deploy low-emission and electrified rail vehicles. Clean Fuels Goals • Electrify the transportation sector using both electricity and hydrogen. • Promote research development and deployment of low carbon fuels such as renewable gas, including renewable hydrogen. • Rapidly reduce carbon intensity of existing liquid and gaseous transportation fuels. Sustainable Freight Goals • Increase freight system efficiency of freight operations at specific facilities and along freight corridors such that more cargo can be moved with fewer emissions.• Accelerate use of clean vehicle and equipment technologies and fuels of freight through targeted introduction of zero emission or near-zero emission (ZE/NZE) technologies, and continued development of renewable fuels. • Encourage State and federal incentive programs to continue supporting zero and near-zero pilot and demonstration projects in the freight sector. • Accelerate use of clean vehicle, equipment, and fuels in freight sector through targeted introduction of ZE/NZE technologies, and continued development of renewable fuels. This includes developing policy options that encourage ZE/NZE vehicles on primary freight corridors (e.g., Interstate-710); examples of such policy options include a separated ZE/ NZE freight lane, employing market mechanisms such as favorable road pricing for ZE/NZE vehicles, and developing fuel storage and distribution infrastructure along those corridors. Cross-Sector Interactions The transportation sector has considerable influence on other sectors and industries in the State. California’s transportation sector is still primarily powered by petroleum, and to reduce statewide emissions, California must reduce demand for driving; continue to reduce its gasoline and diesel fuel consumption; diversify its transportation fuel sources by increasing the adoption of low- and zero-carbon fuels; increase the ease and integration of the rail and transit networks to shift travel mode; and deploy ZE/NZE vehicles. As California’s population continues to increase, land use patterns will directly impact GHG emissions from the transportation sector, as well as those associated with the conversion and development of previously undeveloped land. Specifically, where and how the State population grows will have implications on distances traveled and tailpipe emissions; as well as on secondary emissions from the transportation sector, including emissions from vehicle manufacturing and distribution, fuel refining and distribution, demand for new infrastructure (including roads, transit, and active transportation infrastructure), demand for maintenance and upkeep of existing infrastructure. Conversion of natural and working lands further affects emissions, with the attendant impacts to food security, watershed health, and ecosystems. Less dense development also demands higher energy and water use. With the exception of VMT reductions, none of these secondary emissions are currently accounted for in the GHG models used in this Scoping Plan, but are nonetheless important considerations. Additionally, compact, lower-VMT future development patterns are essential to achieving public health, equity, economic, and conservation goals, which are also not modeled but are important co-benefits of the overall transportation sector strategy. For example, high-speed rail station locations were identified in downtown areas to reinforce existing city centers. 78 Achieving LCFS targets and shifting from petroleum dependence toward greater reliance on low carbon fuels also has the potential to affect land use in multiple ways. For example, increased demand for conventional biofuels could require greater use of land and water for purpose-grown crops, which includes interactions with the agricultural and natural and working lands sectors. On the other hand, continuing growth in fuels from urban organic waste, as well as waste biomass such as composting residues, by-processing residues and agricultural waste and excess forest biomass acts to alleviate the pressure on croplands to meet the need for food, feed, and fuel. Likewise, captured methane from in-vessel digestion, landfills or dairy farms for use in vehicles requires close interaction with the waste and farming sectors. Also, as more electric vehicles and charging stations are deployed, drivers’ charging behavior will affect the extent to which additional electric generation capacity and ancillary services are needed to maintain a reliable grid and accommodate a portfolio of 50 percent renewable electricity by 2030. Charging control and optimization technologies will determine how well integrated the electric and transportation sectors can become, including, for instance, the widespread use of electric vehicles as storage for excess renewable generation, vehicle to grid, smart charging, and/or smart grid. The GHG emissions intensity of electricity affects the GHG savings of fuel switching from petroleum-based fuels to electricity; the cleaner the electric grid, the greater the benefits of switching to electricity as a fuel. Similar to electric vehicles, hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles have zero-tailpipe emissions and can mitigate GHGs and criteria pollutants. Greenhouse gas emissions could be further reduced with the use of renewable hydrogen, which can be produced using renewable electricity or renewable natural gas. Efforts to Reduce Greenhouse Gases The measures below include some required and new potential measures to help achieve the State’s 2030 target and to support the high-level objectives for the transportation sector. Some measures may be designed to directly address GHG reductions, while others may result in GHG reductions as a co-benefit. Ongoing and Proposed Measures – Vibrant Communities and Landscapes / VMT Reduction Goals • Mobile Source Strategy – 15 percent reduction in total light-duty VMT from the BAU in 2050 (with measures to achieve this goal not specified; potential measures identified in Appendix C).• Work with regions to update SB 375 Sustainable Communities Strategies targets for 2035 to better align with the 2030 GHG target and take advantage of State rail investments.• Stronger SB 375 GHG reduction targets will enable the State to make significant progress toward the goal of reducing total light-duty VMT by 15 percent from expected levels in 2050, but alone will not provide all of the VMT reductions that will be needed. The gap between what SB 375 can provide and what is needed to meet the State’s 2030 and 2050 goals needs to be addressed through additional VMT reduction measures such as those mentioned in Appendix C. • Implement and support the adoption and use of VMT as the CEQA metric of transportation impact, such that it promotes GHG reduction, the development of multimodal transportation networks, and a diversity of land uses. • Continue to develop and explore pathways to implement State-level VMT reduction strategies, such as those outlined in the document “Potential State-Level Strategies to Advance Sustainable, Equitable Communities and Reduce Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) – for Discussion”199 – included in Appendix C – through a transparent and inclusive interagency policy development process to evaluate and identify implementation pathways for additional policies to reduce VMT and promote sustainable communities, with a focus on: • Accelerating equitable and affordable transit-oriented and infill development through new and enhanced financing and policy incentives and mechanisms, • Promoting stronger boundaries to suburban growth through enhanced support for sprawl containment mechanisms such as urban growth boundaries and transfer of development rights programs, • Identifying performance criteria for transportation and other infrastructure investments 199 Refers to the document discussed at the September 2016 Public Workshop on the Transportation Sector to Inform Development of the 2030 Target Scoping Plan Update, also available at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/meetings/091316/ Potential%20VMT%20Measures%20For%20Discussion_9.13.16.pdf 79 to ensure alignment with GHG reduction goals and other State policy priorities and expand access to transit, shared mobility, and active transportation choices, • Promoting efficient development patterns that maximize protection of natural and working lands, • Developing pricing mechanisms such as road user/VMT-based pricing, congestion pricing, and parking pricing strategies, • Reducing congestion and related GHG emissions through commute trip reduction strategies, and • Programs to maximize the use of alternatives to single-occupant vehicles, including bicycling, walking, transit use, and shared mobility options. • Finalize analysis of the results of the pilot road usage charge program, implemented pursuant to SB 1077 (DeSaulnier, Chapter 835, Statues of 2014), and evaluate deployment of a statewide program.• Continue promoting active transportation pursuant to SB 99 (Committee on Budget and Fiscal Review, Chapter 359, Statutes of 2013) – The Active Transportation Program and beyond.• Continue to build high-speed rail and broader statewide rail modernization pursuant to the funding program in SB 862 (Committee on Budget and Fiscal Review, Chapter 36, Statutes of 2014) and other sources. • Encourage use of streets for multiple modes of transportation (including public transit and active transportation, such as walking and bicycling), and for all users, including the elderly, young, and less able bodied, pursuant to AB 1358 (Leno, Chapter 657, Statutes of 2008) – Complete Streets policies. • Support and assist local and regional governments, through technical assistance, and grant and other local assistance programs, to develop and implement plans that are consistent with the goals and concepts in The Second Investment Plan for Fiscal Years 2016-2017 through 2018-2019200 and its subsequent updates, and Appendix C: Vibrant Communities and Landscapes, including the following:• California Climate Investment programs such as Transformative Climate Communities Program, ensuring promotion of GHG reductions from neighborhood-level community plans in disadvantaged communities. • AB 2087 (Levine, Chapter 455, Statutes of 2016) – Help local and State agencies apply core investment principles when planning conservation or mitigation projects. • High speed rail station area plans. • Implementation of updated General Plan Guidelines. • Per SB 350, implement the recommendations identified in the Barriers Study to accessing ZE/NZE transportation options for low-income customers and recommendations on how to increase access.201 And, track progress towards these actions over time to ensure disadvantaged communities are getting equal access and benefits relative to other parts of the State. • Take into account the current and future impacts of climate change when planning, designing, building, operating, maintaining, and investing in State infrastructure, as required under Executive Order B-30-15. Ongoing and Proposed Measures – Vehicle Technology • Implement the Cleaner Technology and Fuels Scenario of CARB’s Mobile Source Strategy, which includes:• An expansion of the Advanced Clean Cars program, which further increases the stringency of GHG emissions for all light-duty vehicles, and 4.2 million zero emission and plug-in hybrid light-duty electric vehicles by 2030, • Phase 1 and 2 GHG regulations for medium- and heavy-duty trucks, and • Innovative Clean Transit. • Periodically assess and promote cleaner fleet standards. • Deploy ZEVs across all vehicle classes, including rail vehicles, along with the necessary charging infrastructure. • Encourage State and federal incentive programs to continue supporting zero and near-zero pilot and demonstration projects.• Collaborate with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to promulgate more 200 CARB. January 2016. Cap-and-Trade Auction Proceeds Second Investment Plan: Fiscal Years 2016-17 through 2018-19. Available at: www.arb.ca.gov/cc/capandtrade/auctionproceeds/16-17-updated-final-second-investment-planii.pdf201 CARB. 2017. Low-Income Barriers Study, Part B: Overcoming Barriers to Clean Transportation Access for Low Income Residents. www.arb.ca.gov/msprog/transoptions/draft_sb350_clean_transportation_access_guidance_document.pdf 80 stringent locomotives requirements,202 work with California seaports, ocean carriers, and other stakeholders to develop the criteria to incentivize introduction of Super- Low Emission Efficient Ships, and investigate potential energy efficiency improvements for transport refrigeration units and insulated truck and trailer cargo vans. • Promote research, development, and deployment of new technology to reduce GHGs, criteria pollutants, and toxics. • Implement a process for intra-state agency and regional and local transportation coordination on automated vehicles to ensure shared policy goals in achieving safe, energy efficient, and low carbon autonomous vehicle deployment that also contribute to VMT reductions. Ongoing and Proposed Measures – Clean Fuels • Continue LCFS activities, with increasing stringency of at least 18 percent reduction in carbon intensity (CI). • Continue to develop and commercialize clean transportation fuels through renewable energy integration goals, tax incentives, research investments, support for project demonstration, public outreach, setting procurement standards, including updating State and local procurement contracts.• Per SB 1383 and the SLCP Strategy, adopt regulations to reduce and recover methane from landfills, wastewater treatment facilities, and manure at dairies; use the methane as a source of renewable gas to fuel vehicles and generate electricity; and establish infrastructure development and procurement policies to deliver renewable gas to the market. • Accelerate deployment of alternative fueling infrastructure pursuant to the following: • SB 350 – CPUC to accelerate widespread transportation electrification. • Executive Order B-16-2012 and 2016 ZEV Action Plan – call for infrastructure to support 1 million ZEVs by 2020. • CEC’s Alternative and Renewable Fuel and Vehicle Technology Program (ARFVTP). • CPUC’s NRG settlement.• CALGreen Code provisions mandate installation of PEV charging infrastructure in new residential and commercial buildings.203 • IOU electric vehicle charging infrastructure pilot programs. Ongoing and Proposed Measures – Sustainable Freight • Implement the California Sustainable Freight Action Plan:• 25 percent improvement of freight system efficiency by 2030. • Deployment of over 100,000 freight vehicles and equipment capable of zero emission operation, and maximize near-zero emission freight vehicles and equipment powered by renewable energy by 2030. Ongoing and Proposed Measures – California and Transportation Plan • Update every five years and implement California Transportation Plan. Sector Measures • Implement the post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program Potential Additional Actions The actions below have the potential to reduce GHGs and complement the measures and policies identified in Chapter 2. These are included to spur thinking and exploration of innovation that may help the State achieve its long-term climate goals. • Develop a set of complementary policies to make light-duty ZEVs clear market winners, with a goal of reaching 100 percent light-duty ZEV sales. This could include the following: • Reliable purchase/trade-in incentives for at least 10 years. • Dealer incentives for ZEV sales. • Policies to ensure operating cost savings for ZEVs relative to internal 202 www.arb.ca.gov/railyard/docs/final_locomotive_petition_and_cover_letter_4_13_17.pdf203 Such as raceway and panel capacity to support future installation of electrical vehicle charging stations. 81 combustion engines, including low cost electricity. • Additional investments in charging and ZEV refueling infrastructure. • A broad and effective marketing and outreach campaign. • Collaborations with cities to develop complementary incentive and use policies for ZEVs. • Targeted policies to support ZEV sales and use in low income and disadvantaged communities. • Develop a Low-Emission Diesel Standard to diversify the fuel pool by incentivizing increased production of low-emission diesel fuels. This standard is anticipated to both displace consumption of conventional diesel with increased use of low- emission diesel fuels, and to reduce emissions from conventional fuels. • Continue to develop and explore pathways to implement State-level VMT reduction strategies, such as those outlined in Appendix C through a transparent and inclusive interagency policy development process to evaluate and identify implementation pathways for additional policies to reduce VMT and promote sustainable communities, with a focus on the following: • Accelerating equitable and affordable transit-oriented and infill development through new and enhanced financing and policy incentives and mechanisms. • Promote infrastructure necessary for residential development in existing communities, and ensure any urban growth boundaries are paired with significant infill promotion strategies and removal of infill development barriers. • Identifying performance criteria for transportation and other infrastructure investments, to ensure alignment with GHG reduction goals and other State policy priorities, and improve proximity, expanded access to transit, shared mobility, and active transportation choices. • Promoting efficient development patterns that maximize protection of natural and working lands.• Developing pricing mechanisms such as road user/VMT-based pricing, congestion pricing, and parking pricing strategies.• Reducing congestion and related GHG emissions through programs to maximize the use of alternatives to single-occupant vehicles, including bicycling, walking, transit use, and shared mobility options for commute trips. • Continue to promote research and standards for new and existing technologies to reduce GHGs, including but not limited to: • Low rolling resistance tires in the replacement tire market, subject to certification standards that identify tires as low rolling resistance tires or verify emissions reductions and potential fuel savings. • Impacts on VMT of car sharing, ride-sourcing, and other emerging mobility options. • Driving behaviors that reduce GHG emissions, such as ecodriving training and real-time feedback mechanisms. Natural and Working Lands Including Agricultural Lands In his 2015 State of the State address, Governor Brown established 2030 targets for GHG emissions reductions and called for policies and actions to reduce GHG emissions from natural and working lands, including forests, rangelands, farms, wetlands, and soils. The passage of SB 1386 (Wolk, Chapter 535, Statutes of 2015-16) codified this policy and emphasized the important role natural and working lands play in the State’s climate strategy. This Scoping Plan focuses renewed attention on California’s natural and working lands and the contribution they make to meet the State’s goals for carbon sequestration, GHG reduction, and climate change adaptation. California’s natural and working lands encompass a range of land types and uses, including farms, ranches, forests, grasslands, deserts, wetlands, riparian areas, coastal areas and the ocean-- as well as the green spaces in urban and built environments. These resources can be both a source and sink for GHG emissions. Policy in this sector must balance GHG emissions reductions and carbon sequestration with other co- benefits, such as clean air, wildlife and pollinator habitat, strong economies, food, fiber and renewable energy production, and water supply.204 Recent trends indicate that significant pools of carbon from these landscapes risk reversal: over the period 2001–2010 disturbance caused an estimated 150 MMT C loss, with the majority– approximately 120 MMT C– 204 www.sierranevada.ca.gov/our-region/ca-primary-watershed 82 lost through wildland fire.205 At the same time, energy use, methane, and N2O emissions from the agricultural sector accounts for eight percent of the emissions in the statewide GHG inventory. California’s climate objective for natural and working lands is to maintain them as a carbon sink (i.e., net zero or negative GHG emissions) and, where appropriate, minimize the net GHG and black carbon emissions associated with management, biomass utilization, and wildfire events. In order to achieve this objective, this Plan directs the continued development of the broad and growing understanding of carbon dynamics on California’s landscapes, statewide emission trends, and their responses to different land management scenarios. Further, in order to build a programmatic framework for achieving this long-term objective to maintain California’s natural and working lands as a carbon sink, this Plan directs the State to quantify the carbon impacts of both publicly funded (e.g., bonds, special taxes, general fund) climate intervention activities on California’s natural and working lands made through existing programs as well as potential regulatory actions on land management. This Plan proposes an intervention based reduction goal of at least 15-20 million metric tons by 2030 as a reasonable beginning point for further discussion and development based on the State’s current preliminary understanding of what might be feasible. This Plan recognizes that achieving an initial statewide goal of sequestering and avoiding emissions in this sector by at least 15-20 million metric tons by 2030 through existing pathways and new incentives would provide a crucial complement to the measures described in this Scoping Plan and will inform the development of longer-term natural and working lands goals. Achieving this ambitious climate goal will require collaboration and support from State and local agencies, which must improve their capacity to participate and benefit from State climate programs, and set the path for natural and working lands to help the State meet its long-range climate goals. Looking to the Future This section outlines how the State will achieve California’s climate objectives to: (1) maintain them as a resilient carbon sink (i.e., net zero or negative GHG emissions), and (2) minimize the net GHG and black carbon emissions associated with management, biomass disposal, and wildfire events to 2030 and beyond. Implementation will include policy and program pathways, with activities related to land protection; enhanced carbon sequestration; and innovative biomass utilization. The framework for this section is to: • Protect land from conversion to more intensified uses by increasing conservation opportunities and pursuing local planning processes in urban and infrastructure development patterns that avoid greenfield development. • Enhance the resilience of and potential for carbon sequestration on lands through management and restoration, and reduce GHG and black carbon emissions from wildfire and management activities. This enhancement includes expansion and management of green space in urban areas. • Innovate biomass utilization such that harvested wood and excess agricultural and forest biomass can be used to advance statewide objectives for renewable energy and fuels, wood product manufacturing, agricultural markets, and soil health, resulting in avoided GHG emissions relative to traditional utilization pathways. Associated activities should increase the resilience of rural communities and economies. To accomplish these objectives, the State, led by California Natural Resources Agency (CNRA), California Department of Food and Agriculture (CDFA), California Environmental Protection Agency (CalEPA) and CARB will complete a Natural and Working Lands (NWL) Climate Change Implementation Plan (Implementation Plan) in 2018 to evaluate a range of implementation scenarios for natural and working lands and identify long-term (2050 or 2100) sequestration goals that can be incorporated into future climate policy. The Implementation Plan will: • Include a projection of statewide emissions under business-as-usual land use and management conditions and alternative scenarios, as well as a listing and quantitative assessment of conservation and management activities the state may pursue to achieve the NWL climate objectives and the statewide goals of at least 15-20 MMTCO2e emissions sequestering and avoidance from the NWL sector by 2030; • Identify state departments, boards, conservancies, and CNRA and CDFA programs responsible for meeting the 15-20 MMTCO2e goal by 2030; and • Identify methodologies to be used by State programs to account for the 205 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/sectors/forest/forest.htm 83 GHG impacts of prior state funded land use and management interventions, and to be used to estimate the GHG impacts of future interventions. While growing trees and other vegetation, as well as soil carbon sequestration, reduce some of the carbon losses measured, climate change itself further stresses many of these systems and affects the ability of California’s landscapes to maintain its carbon sink. The State will continue to rely on best available science to support actions and incentives to slow and reverse these trends, in concert with other production and ecological objectives of land use. The Forest Climate Action Team, Healthy Soils Initiative, State Coastal Conservancy’s Climate Ready Program, various California Climate Investment programs, and CARB’s compliance offset program already undertake portions of this work. As we move towards and maximize the ability of our land base to serve as a carbon sink, it will also be important to strengthen these individual activities through the coordination and aggregation of ecoregional plans that inform these interventions. These and future additional efforts can not only protect California’s natural carbon stocks, they can also improve quality of life in urban and rural communities alike and increase the climate resilience of agricultural, forestry, and recreational industries and the rural communities they support; the State’s water supply; biodiversity; and the safety and environmental health of all who call California home. Research and Policy Needs Research is ongoing across agencies to advance the state of the science on NWL carbon dynamics, including a number of projects within the Fourth Climate Change Assessment, and a compendium of climate research being managed by the CNRA that will be completed in 2018. Additionally, California needs a well-defined reference case, or “business as usual” scenario to set a comprehensive and strategic path forward for California’s lands and ocean environments to contribute to the State’s climate goals. Finally, efforts must increase to gather, interpret, and unify best available science on the GHG and carbon sequestration impacts of land use and management practices applied across forests, cultivated agricultural lands, rangelands and grasslands, wetlands, coastal and ocean systems, desert ecosystems, and urban and other settled lands. The Implementation Plan, as summarized above, will utilize the Protect-Enhance-Innovate framework and employ projections for carbon sequestration and GHG emissions from California’s land base under reference case and increased management scenarios. The quantitative outputs of these projections, expressed as carbon dioxide equivalents will drive acreage needs for implementation using CO2e/acre results from multiple modeling efforts. The Implementation Plan will also identify GHG emissions quantification within and across programs and agencies and describe implementation monitoring and emissions inventories. Natural and Working Lands Inventory In order to understand how carbon is released and sequestered by natural and working landscapes, CARB has worked extensively with other State agencies, academic researchers and the public to develop a Natural and Working Lands inventory that will guide this process. As with other sectors, the CARB Natural and Working Lands inventory represents a snapshot of emissions in recent years, using a combination of reported and measured data. A time lag exists between the last year of available data and the completion of the inventory to allow time for reporting and processing the data. For emission sources that are hard to individually measure, the CARB inventory estimates emissions based on “surrogates,” such as the typical amount of travel on unpaved roads to estimate particulate matter emissions at the county level. The most recent inventory can also be “forecast” to project prevailing conditions in a future year based on rules and programs currently in place – known as a “business as usual projection” - along with scenarios to explore the benefits of further strategies to reduce emissions. Forecasts of business-as-usual and policy scenarios guide planning efforts. As discussed below, ongoing research into forecasting emissions from Natural and Working Lands includes a project at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory funded by CNRA. CARB is monitoring this and other research activities and will incorporate results into a proposed inventory and forecasting methodology for Natural and Working Lands. CARB will solicit public feedback and review on the resulting product prior to completing the first full Natural and Working Lands Inventory by the end of 2018, as called for in SB 859. The Natural and Working Lands Inventory is spatially-resolved, so it can be segmented by county, watershed, or other regional planning areas. This spatial resolution allows local governments and regional organizations to use the inventory, along with more granular location-specific information, to track progress from projects in their jurisdictions. 84 CARB plans to update the forest component of the Natural and Working Lands inventory to include 2012 GHG emissions estimates, followed by emissions estimates for soil carbon, urban forestry, and croplands by mid-2018. Work currently in progress applies airborne and space-based technologies to monitor forest health and quantify emissions associated with land-based carbon. California and federal agencies are working with researchers and funding studies to enhance our understanding of the roles of forests and other lands in climate change using rapidly advancing remote sensing technology.206, 207 CALAND Carbon Emissions Model CNRA is managing the development of a CALAND model through Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, which will include a projection of business-as-usual emissions as well as a listing and quantitative assessment of conservation and management activities the State may pursue to achieve at least 15-20 MMT sequestration and GHG avoided emissions from the NWL sector by 2030. CNRA, along with CARB and CDFA, will establish a formal public engagement process to gather external scientific expertise to inform development and finalization of the CALAND model for use in the Implementation Plan. Development of the Implementation Plan itself will also include a formal public process. Cross-Sector Interactions Strategies that reduce GHG emissions or increase sequestration in the natural and working lands sector often overlap and result in synergies with other sectors, most notably at intersections with land use, biomass and waste utilization, energy and water. It will be important for the sector to make critical linkages to other sectors, including energy, transportation fuels, and waste, and develop plans to integrate the natural and working lands sector into existing models, such as PATHWAYS and REMI. Landowner, local, and regional decisions affect land use development patterns and natural and working land conversion rates; conversely, conservation activities can support infill-oriented regional development and related transportation needs. As discussed earlier in the Transportation Sustainability section, under SB 375, Sustainable Communities Strategies (SCSs) aim to link transportation, housing, and climate policy to reduce per capita GHG emissions while providing a range of other important benefits for Californians. Some SCSs include policies, objectives or implementation measures relating to conservation and land protections, and to urban greening.208 Protecting natural and working lands that are under threat of conversion can promote infill development, reduce VMT, limit infrastructure expansion, and curb associated GHG emissions. An integrated vision for community development, land conservation and management, and transportation is a key component of meeting our transportation and natural and working lands goals.209 Agricultural and commercial forestry operations produce biomass as both an objective (i.e., food and fiber production) and a waste by-product. How this material is utilized can either increase or decrease emissions associated with management and restoration activities, turn waste into usable products, displace fossil fuels used in energy and transportation, and increase carbon stored in durable wood products in the built environment. Finding productive ways to use this material offers new opportunities to reduce GHG emissions, promote carbon sequestration, and generate economic resources for forest, agricultural, and waste sectors and communities. California is investigating ways to transform how organic waste from the agricultural and municipal sectors is managed to meet SLCP emissions reductions targets required by SB 1383,210 and to protect public health. Cross-sector synergies and complete waste inter-cycles, discussed further in the Waste Management section, result from conscientious treatment of these resources, including opportunities to improve soil health, increase renewable energy generation, and enhance market support for non-commercial products and waste. Productive utilization of dead and dying trees is a significant focus of the Governor’s Tree Mortality Task Force, and efforts to resolve the current shortfall in utilization capacity is addressed in that State of Emergency Declaration as well as in SB 859. Natural and working lands stewardship is essential to securing the State’s water supply along the entire 206 Asner, G. et al. (2015) Progressive forest canopy water loss during the 2012–2015 California drought. PNAS 113.2: E249-E255207 Battles, J. et al. (in progress) Innovations in measuring and managing forest carbon stocks in California. Project 2C: 4th California Climate Change Assessment. Natural Resources Agency. resources.ca.gov/climate/fourth/208 Livingston, Adam. Sustainable Communities Strategies and Conservation. January 2016. Available at: www.nature.org/ ourinitiatives/regions/northamerica/unitedstates/california/sustainable-communities-strategies-and-conservation.pdf209 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/meetings/meetings.htm210 SB1383 (Lara, Chapter 396, Statutes of 2016) requires a 50 percent reduction in anthropogenic black carbon emissions by 2030. 85 supply chain, from protection and management of the forested headwaters to preserving the ability of mountain meadows to retain and filter water ensuring flows and habitat in the Delta and its tributaries, end use efficiencies in agricultural and urban uses, and groundwater infiltration and utilization statewide. For example, more efficient water and energy use in farming operations could support GHG emissions reductions goals in the energy sectors. And improving forest health in the Sierra Nevada, Cascades, and other headwaters protects water quality and availability, in alignment with the California Water Action Plan. Potential Actions to Enhance Carbon Sequestration and Reduce Greenhouse Gases in NWL While agricultural and forest lands comprise the greatest acreage of NWL statewide, representing significant opportunity for achieving the State’s NWL climate goals, actions on all NWL remain critical. The land management strategies and targets included in these sections are illustrative of the types of actions that will be necessary to maintain all of California’s NWL and urban green space as a net sink of carbon, and are being used to aid in development of scenario modeling. The Implementation Plan will use this scenario modeling to scope the scale of action needed to ensure resilient future landscapes and identify key areas for advancement. Agriculture’s Role in Emissions Reductions and Carbon Sequestration In 2030 and 2050, the agricultural sector must remain vibrant and strong. California’s agricultural production is critical to global food security. It is also vulnerable to climate change. A study211 by the University of California concluded that the drought in 2015 cost the state economy $2.7 billion and 21,000 full time jobs. These losses are expected to ripple through rural communities for another several years. This illustrates the importance of strengthening agriculture while protecting resources and mitigating climate change. As the State works to meet emissions reductions goals, the agricultural sector can reduce emissions from production, sequester carbon and build soil carbon stocks, and play a role in cross-sectoral efforts to maximize the benefits of natural and working lands. Climate-smart agriculture is an integrated approach to achieving GHG reductions while also ensuring food security and promoting agricultural adaptation in the face of climate change. Conserving agricultural land, sequestering carbon in agricultural soils, employing a variety of techniques to manage manure on dairies, and increasing the efficiency of on-farm water and energy use are examples of practices that can achieve climate and food production goals across diverse agricultural systems. Climate-smart agriculture can support the Protect, Enhance, and Innovate goals. Approximately 60 percent of agricultural emissions are methane emissions from the dairy and livestock sectors. Emissions come from the animals themselves, through enteric fermentation, as well as from manure management–especially at dairies. SB 1383 and the resultant SLCP Strategy identify a mix of voluntary, incentive-based, and potential regulatory actions to achieve significant emissions reductions from these sources. A variety of techniques can attain the best results for each specific farming operation; effectively implementing a broad mix of strategies will reduce the GHG emissions from the agricultural sector significantly. CARB and CDFA and other agencies are working together to solicit input from industry, environmental, and community groups to encourage early and meaningful action to reduce emissions from the livestock sector. Over the last several years, farms have begun to optimize fertilizer applications to protect water quality, maintain high yields, and reduce emissions of N2O, a greenhouse gas. Farmers are required through the Irrigated Lands Regulatory Program to manage nitrogen fertilizers to protect water quality through the use of nitrogen management plans. Nitrogen management plans are a tool designed to prevent over-applications of nitrogen through an approach that accounts for the nitrogen inputs from water, soil amendments and other sources, and also accounts for nitrogen removed from the field. CDFA’s Fertilizer Research and Education Program, in coordination with university researchers and others, has developed fertilization guidelines to optimize the rate, timing and placement of fertilizers for crops that represent more than half of the irrigated agriculture in California. Similarly, innovations in water management and the expansion of high efficiency irrigation methods also are contributing to N2O reductions. 211 Howitt, Richard E., Duncan MacEwan, Josué Medellín-Azuara, Jay R. Lund, Daniel A. Sumner. 2015. Economic Analysis of the 2015 Drought for California. Davis, CA: Center for Watershed Sciences, University of California – Davis. 86 California’s farms and ranches have the ability to remove carbon from the atmosphere through management practices that build and retain soil organic matter. Adequate soil organic matter ensures the continued soil capacity to function as a vital living ecosystem with multiple benefits, producing food for plants, animals, and humans. The Healthy Soils Initiative, announced by Governor Brown in 2015, offers an opportunity to incentivize the management of farmland for increased carbon sequestration in soil, also augmenting co- benefits including improved plant health and yields, increased water infiltration and retention, reduced sediment erosion and dust, improved water and air quality, and improved biological diversity and wildlife habitat. SB 859, signed into law in 2016, establishes the Healthy Soils Program at CDFA to provide incentives to farmers. It enables financial support for on-farm demonstration projects that “result in greenhouse gas benefits across all farming types with the intent to establish or promote healthy soils”. It defines healthy soils as “soils that enhance their continuing capacity to function as a biological system, increase soil organic matter, improve soil structure and water-and nutrient-holding capacity, and result in net long-term greenhouse gas benefits.” As noted in the Cross-Sector Interactions section, State and local efforts to manage land for carbon sequestration must work in conjunction with existing plans, incentives, and programs protecting California’s water supply, agricultural lands, and wildlife habitat. This Scoping Plan fits within a wide range of ongoing planning efforts throughout the State to advance economic and environmental priorities associated with natural and working lands. The Role of Forests in Emissions Reductions and Carbon Sequestration Decades of fire exclusion, coupled with an extended drought and the impacts of climate change, have increased the size and intensity of wildfires and bark beetle infestations; exposed millions of urban and rural residents to unhealthy smoke-laden air from wildfires; and threatened progress toward meeting the state’s long-term climate goals. Managing forests in California to be healthy, resilient net sinks of carbon is a vital part of California’s climate change policy. More than 100 million trees are dead, and recent wildfires have been among the most destructive and expensive in state history. As many as 15 million acres of California forests are estimated to be unhealthy and in need of some form of restoration, including more than 9 million acres managed by federal land management agencies and 6 million acres of State and privately managed forests. California’s urban forests also face multiple challenges, including drought and invasive exotic insects. Urban forests require maintenance to preserve the multiple values they provide and merit expansion to sequester carbon and secure other benefits to urban dwellers and the State. The California Forest Carbon Plan (FCP), being developed by the Forest Climate Action Team (FCAT), seeks to establish California’s forests as a more resilient and reliable long-term carbon sink, rather than a GHG and black carbon emission source, and confer additional ecosystem benefits through a range of management strategies.212 The FCP emphasizes working collaboratively at the watershed or landscape scale to restore resilience to all forestlands in the state. The current draft of the FCP places carbon sequestration and reducing black carbon and GHG emissions as one set of management objectives in the broader context of forest health and a range of other important forest co-benefits. California will manage for carbon alongside wildlife habitat, watershed protection, recreational access, traditional tribal uses, public health and safety, forest products, and local and regional economic development. 212 http://www.fire.ca.gov/fcat/ 87 Federally managed lands play an important role in the achievement of the California climate goals established in AB 32 and subsequent related legislation and plans. Over half of the forestland in California is managed by the federal government, primarily by the USDA Forest Service Pacific Southwest Region, and these lands comprise the largest potential forest carbon sink under one ownership in the state. Several regulatory, policy, and financial challenges have hindered the ability of the Forest Service and Department of Interior agencies (Bureau of Land Management and National Park Service) to increase the pace and scale of restoration needed, such as the current budget structure to fund wildland fire suppression and the procedural requirements of a number of federal environmental and planning statutes. The State of California must continue to work closely and in parallel to the federal government’s efforts to resolve these obstacles and achieve forest health and resilience on the lands that federal agencies manage. Protection of Land and Land Use California will continue to pursue development and new infrastructure construction patterns that avoid greenfield development, limit conflicts with neighboring land uses, and increase conservation opportunities for NWL to reduce conversion to intensified uses. Success will depend on working through local and regional land use planning and permitting, as well as developing incentives for participation by local governments and individual landowners. Enhance Carbon Sequestration and Resilience through Management and Restoration California will increase efforts to manage and restore land to secure and increase carbon storage and minimize GHG and black carbon emissions in a sustainable manner so that the carbon bank is resilient and provides other benefits such as water quality, habitat and recreation. One tool to demonstrate the potential for greater management and restoration on NWL is the CALAND model. As detailed in the Discussion Draft213 and discussed above, it considers a variety of management and restoration activities employed across the State. Version 1 of the CALAND model considered two potential scenarios, a “low” and a “high” rate of implementation to 2030, with resulting carbon sequestration outcomes to 2050. The acreages given in the “low” scenario all represent feasible implementation on public and private lands beyond current rates for the listed activity, given availability of additional funding and other supporting resources. The “high” scenario represents a more ambitious approach, requiring new programs and policies, including collaboration with federal partners, to support implementation. The activities presented in the Discussion Draft and Version 2 of CALAND are not inclusive of all activities under this strategy. Modeling will continue beyond finalization of the Scoping Plan. Agencies and modelers will continue to identify and analyze land management and restoration activities to advance the State’s climate goals and improvements in modeling projections or other quantification protocols. Management and restoration activities under consideration to help reduce GHG emissions beyond those identified in initial modeling include, but are not limited to the following: • Forest fuel reduction treatments, reforestation, other restoration activities, prescribed fire and managed ignition.• Restoration of mountain meadows, managed wetlands in the Sacramento San Joaquin Delta, coastal wetlands and desert habitat. • Increasing the extent of eelgrass beds. • Creation and management of parks and other greenspace in urban areas, including expansion of the existing urban tree canopy. • Implementation of U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Natural Resource Conservation Service (NRCS) management practices suitable for California agriculture including those practices identified in the Healthy Soils Incentive Program. • Compost application to irrigated cropland. Additional potential tools to encourage these activities include working with the federal government to fund more management on federal lands, mitigating for land conversion (as modeled by the High Speed Rail Authority), and revisiting the Forest Practices Act to enhance carbon sequestration benefits associated with timber production activities. 213 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/2030target_sp_dd120216.pdf 88 Innovate NWL Waste Utilization Pathways Excess materials generated by commercial agricultural and forestry operations, biomass and wood harvested through forest health and restoration treatments, and material that is generated in response to Tree Mortality Emergency activities, should be used in a manner that minimizes GHG and black carbon emissions and promotes public and environmental health. The Legislature and Governor Brown set an ambitious goal of 75 percent recycling, composting or source reduction of solid waste in landfills by 2020. The State and stakeholders must develop targeted policies or incentives to support durable markets for all of this diverted material. Market opportunities include production of renewable electricity and biofuels, durable wood products, compost and other soil amendments, animal feed and bedding, and other uses. Research, development, and implementation activities in energy, wood products, waste, and soil amendment fields should be spatially-scaled to better link waste generation with infrastructure development. The goals of this sector, with the potential to reduce GHGs and complement the measures and policies identified in Chapter 2, are described in Looking to the Future. The development of the Implementation Plan will spur thinking and exploration of innovation that may help the State achieve its long-term climate goals. Waste Management The Waste Management sector covers all aspects of solid waste214 and materials management including reduction/reuse; recycling, and remanufacturing of recovered material; composting and in-vessel (anaerobic and aerobic) digestion; biomass management (chip and grind, composting, biomass conversion); municipal solid waste transformation; and landfilling. This sector also includes market development programs, such as the State’s recycled-content product procurement program and a range of grant and loan programs. Data from CalRecycle’s report, 2014 Disposal Facility-Based Characterization of Solid Waste in California, shows that materials, such as organics, that decompose in landfills and generate methane comprise a significant portion of the waste stream. Methane is a potent SLCP with a global warming potential 25 times greater than that of carbon dioxide on a 100-year time horizon and more than 70 times greater than that of carbon dioxide on a 20-year time horizon.215 Within CARB’s greenhouse gas inventory, emissions from the waste management sector consist of methane and nitrous oxide emissions from landfills and from commercial-scale composting, with methane being the primary contributor to the sector’s emissions. The sector emitted 8.85 MMTCO2e in 2014, comprising approximately 2 percent of the State’s GHG emissions. Emissions from recycling and waste have grown by 19 percent since 2000. The majority of those emissions are attributed to landfills, despite the majority of landfills having gas collection systems in place.216 Landfill emissions account for 94 percent of the emissions in this sector, while compost production facilities make up a small fraction of emissions.217 The annual amount of solid waste deposited in California landfills grew from 37 million tons in 2000 to its peak of 46 million tons in 2005, followed by a declining trend until 2009 when landfilled solid waste stabilized to relatively constant levels. Landfill emissions are driven by the total waste-in- place, rather than year-to-year fluctuation in annual deposition of solid waste, as the rate and volume of gas produced during decomposition depends on the characteristics of the waste and a number of environmental factors. As a result, waste disposed in a given year contributes to emissions that year and in subsequent years. In addition to direct emissions, the reduction, reuse, and recycling of waste materials decreases upstream GHG emissions associated with the extraction and processing of virgin materials and their use in production and transport of products. Although many of these upstream GHG emissions happen outside of California, California’s waste policies can reduce both local and global GHG emissions and create jobs within the State. 214 In general, the term solid waste refers to garbage, refuse, sludges, and other discarded solid materials resulting from residential activities, and industrial and commercial operations. This term generally does not include solids or dissolved material in domestic sewage or other significant pollutants in water such as silt, dissolved or suspended solids in industrial wastewater effluents, dissolved materials in irrigation return flows or other common water pollutants.215 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2007. Climate Change 2007: Working Group I: The Physical Science Basis. 2.10.2 Direct Global Warming Potentials. Fourth Assessment Report. www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch2s2-10-2.html 216 CARB. 2013. California Greenhouse Gas Inventory for 2000–2013 – by Category as Defined in the 2008 Scoping Draft Plan (based upon IPCC Fourth Assessment Report’s Global Warming Potentials). 217 CARB. 2016. 2016 Edition California GHG Emission Inventory. California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000–2014. Version June 17, 2016. 89 While landfills are an effective and relatively safe way to manage some waste, disposal-centric activities result in squandering valuable resources and generate landfill gases as well as other risks. A large fraction of the organics in the waste stream can be diverted from landfills to composting or digestion facilities to produce beneficial products. Moreover, food waste is the largest component of organics disposed in landfills; a portion of this is edible and should be captured at its source and, for example, provided to food banks to feed people in need. A State waste management sector “loading order” should focus more attention on reducing how much waste we generate and recovering and recycling whatever resources we can, using landfills as a last resort. Landmark initiatives like the Integrated Waste Management Act of 1989 (AB 939) demonstrate California’s efforts to build communities that consume less, recycle more, and take resource conservation to higher and higher levels. Statewide, Californians achieved a 49 percent recycling rate in 2014, and recycling programs support an estimated 75,000 to 115,000 green jobs in California. If California were to achieve a 75 percent statewide solid waste recycling rate by 2020–a goal set out by the Legislature in AB 341 (Chesboro, Chapter 476, Statutes of 2011)–by recycling and remanufacturing at in-state facilities, the State could potentially generate an additional 100,000 green jobs.218 In addition to employment contributions, diversion of organic waste from landfills can generate positive environmental impacts. Compost from organic matter provides soil amendments to revitalize farmland, reduces irrigation and landscaping water demands, contributes to erosion control in fire-ravaged landscapes, and potentially increase long-term carbon storage in rangelands. Production and use of bioenergy in the form of biofuels and renewable natural gas has the potential to reduce dependency on fossil fuels for the transportation sector. For the energy sector, however, renewable natural gas faces safety, feasibility, and cost issues. The State has a robust waste management system in place, with established programs that reduce air emissions through activities such as gas collection systems from landfills219 and stringent recycling mandates. AB 939 required cities and counties to reduce the amount of waste going to landfills by 50 percent in 2000, and municipalities have nearly universally met this mandate. Californians dispose about 30 million tons of solid waste in landfills each year. To further reduce landfilled solid waste, the Legislature adopted AB 341 to achieve more significant waste reductions by setting a goal that 75 percent of solid waste generated be reduced, recycled, or composted by 2020, and by mandating commercial recycling. AB 1826 (Chesboro, Chapter 727, Statutes of 2014) added requirements regarding mandatory commercial organics recycling. Although solid waste management has evolved over the last 27 years and diversion rates (which include more than recycling) have increased more than six-fold since 1989, if no further changes in policy are made, the State’s growing population and economy will lead to higher amounts of overall disposal along with associated increases in GHG emissions. The pathway to reducing disposal and associated GHG emissions will require significant expansion of the composting, anaerobic digestion, and recycling manufacturing infrastructure in the State. To help reduce GHG emissions by 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030 and meet California’s waste reduction goals, California’s waste management sector strives to achieve in-state processing and management of waste generated in California. To carry out this vision, we must work with residents and producers to reduce the volume of waste generated overall and capitalize on technology and social changes that might enable waste reduction. Packaging comprises approximately 8 million tons of waste landfilled in California annually, or about one quarter of the State’s total disposal stream. To reduce the climate change footprint of packaging, the State is promoting the inclusion of source reduction principles in packaging and product design; fostering recycling and recyclability as a front end design parameter for packaging and products that cannot be reduced; and encouraging recycling markets and market development for recycled- content products and packaging. CalRecycle is developing a packaging policy model containing components necessary for a mandatory comprehensive, statewide packaging program in California; this would need to be legislatively enacted to achieve a packaging reduction goal, such as 50 percent by 2030. CalRecycle is also continuing to work with stakeholder organizations and industry to explore complementary voluntary activities that have the potential to significantly decrease packaging disposal in California. In addition, large-scale shifts in materials management will be necessary, including steps to maximize recycling and diversion from landfills 218 CalRecycle. 2013. AB 341’s 75 Percent Goal and Potential New Recycling Jobs in California by 2020. July. www.calrecycle.ca.gov/Publications/Documents/1463/20131463.pdf219 CARB approved a regulation to reduce methane from municipal solid waste landfills as a discrete early action measure under AB 32. The regulation became effective June 17, 2010. Additional information is available at: www.arb.ca.gov/regact/2009/ landfills09/landfillfinalfro.pdf 90 and build the necessary infrastructure to support a sustainable, low carbon waste management system within California. Working together, State and local agencies will identify ways to increase the use of waste diversion alternatives and expand potential markets, obtain funds and incentives for building the infrastructure and strengthening markets, and evaluate the need for additional research to achieve California’s GHG reduction and waste management goals. Additional legislation codified since the First Scoping Plan Update outlines new opportunities and requirements to reduce GHG emissions from the waste sector, with a focus on reducing organic waste sent to landfills. SB 605 (Lara, Chapter 523, Statutes of 2014) requires that CARB develop a strategy to reduce SLCPs and SB 1383 requires the strategy to be implemented by January 1, 2018. CARB’s recently adopted SLCP Reduction Strategy includes organic waste diversion targets for 2020 and 2025 consistent with SB 1383 to reduce methane emissions from landfills. It requires CalRecycle, in consultation with CARB, to adopt regulations to achieve statewide disposal targets to reduce landfilling of organic waste by: (1) 50 percent from the 2014 level by 2020, and (2) 75 percent from the 2014 level by 2025. Under SB 1383, of the edible food destined for the organic waste stream, not less than 20 percent is to be recovered to feed people in need by 2025. The regulations are to take effect on or after January 1, 2022, and CalRecycle, in consultation with CARB, must analyze the progress that the waste management sector, State government, and local government have made in achieving the 2020 and 2025 goals by July 1, 2020. It is estimated that the combined effect of the food waste prevention and rescue programs and organics diversion from landfills will reduce 4 MMTCO2e of methane in 2030 (using a 20-year GWP), but one year of waste diversion in 2030 is expected to result in a reduction of 14 MMTCO2e of emissions over the lifetime of waste decomposition. Looking to the Future This section outlines the high-level objectives and goals to reduce GHGs in this sector. Goals • Take full ownership of the waste generated in California. • View waste as a resource and convert waste from all sectors to beneficial uses. • Develop a sustainable, low carbon waste management system that processes collected waste within California and generates jobs, especially in disadvantaged communities. • Maximize recycling and diversion from landfills. • Reduce direct emissions from composting and digestion operations through improved technologies. • Build the infrastructure needed to support a sustainable, low carbon waste management system within California. • Increase organics markets which complement and support other sectors.220 • Capture edible food before it enters the waste stream and provide to people in need.• Increase production of renewable transportation fuels from anaerobic digestion of waste.• Recognize the co-benefits of compost application. Cross-Sector Interactions The waste management sector interacts with all of the other sectors of the State’s economy. Reducing waste, including food waste, is key to reducing the State’s overall carbon footprint. Additionally, replacing virgin materials with recycled materials reduces the energy and GHGs associated with the goods we produce and consume. California leads the United States in agricultural production in terms of value and crop diversity. Soil carbon is the main source of energy for important soil microbes and is key for making nutrients available to plants. Waste-derived compost and other organic soil amendments support the State’s Healthy Soils Initiative being implemented by CDFA. In addition, the use of compost to increase soil organic matter in the agricultural sector provides other benefits, including reduced GHG emissions, conserved water, reduced synthetic (petroleum-based) fertilizer and herbicide use, and sequestered carbon. 220 Examples may include renewable energy (biogas to renewable transportation fuels or electricity); soils (application of organics to agricultural soils for building soil organic matter and conserving water; application of organics to mulch for erosion control; application of organics to rangelands for increased carbon sequestration); and forests (support use of forest residues for erosion control; stabilization of fire-ravaged lands). 91 Efforts to Reduce Greenhouse Gases The measures below include some required and new potential measures to help achieve the State’s 2030 target and to support the high-level objectives for this sector. Some measures may be designed to directly address GHG reductions, while others may result in GHG reductions as a co-benefit. In addition, to move forward with the goals of the waste management sector and achieve the 2030 target, certain actions are recommended to help set the groundwork. These actions affect several broad areas and are necessary for reducing the challenges facing this sector, and they are listed below as supporting actions. Ongoing and Proposed Measures • Continue implementation of the Landfill Methane Control Measure. • Continue implementation of the Mandatory Commercial Recycling Regulation and the Mandatory Commercial Organics Recycling requirements. • As required by SB 1383: • By 2018, CARB will implement the SLCP Strategy. • CalRecycle will develop regulations to require 50 percent organic waste diversion from landfills from 2014 levels by 2020 and 75 percent by 2025, including programs to achieve an edible food waste recovery goal of 20 percent below 2016 levels by 2025. The regulations shall take effect on or after January 1, 2022. By July 1, 2020, analyze the progress that the waste sector, State government, and local governments have made in achieving these goals. • CEC will develop recommendations for the development and use of renewable gas as part of the 2017 Integrated Energy Policy Report. Based on these recommendations, adopt policies and incentives to significantly increase sustainable production and use of renewable gas. Potential Additional or Supporting Actions The actions below have the potential to reduce GHGs and complement the measures and policies identified in Chapter 2. These are included to spur thinking and exploration of innovation that may help the State achieve its long-term climate goals. • Establishing a sustainable State funding source (such as an increased landfill tip fee and new generator charge) for development of waste management infrastructure, programs, and incentives. • Working with residents and producers to reduce the volume of waste generated overall and capitalize on technology and social changes that might enable waste reduction. • Increasing organics diversion from landfills, building on established mandates (AB 341’s 75 percent by 2020 solid waste diversion goal, AB 1594,221 AB 1826,222 AB 876223) and new short-lived climate pollutant targets for 2025 (SB 605, SB 1383) to be accomplished via prevention (including food rescue), recycling, composting/digestion, and biomass options. • Addressing challenges and issues associated with significant expansion and construction of organics and recycling infrastructure in California that is needed to achieve recycling and diversion goals. Challenges and issues include permitting, grid/pipeline connection, funding, local siting, markets, and research.• Developing programmatic Environmental Impact Reports (EIRs) and model permit and guidance documents to assist in environmental review and CEQA for new facilities. • Providing incentives for expanded and new facilities to handle organics and recyclables to meet 2020 and 2030 goals. • Providing incentives to develop and expand food rescue programs to reduce the amount of edible food being sent to landfills. • Further quantifying co-benefits of compost products and addressing regulatory barriers that do not provide for consideration of co-benefits. • Supporting existing and new clean technologies and markets for excess woody biomass from urban areas, forests, and agriculture. • Supporting the development of transportation fuel production at digestion facilities to generate renewable transportation fuels. 221 Assembly Bill 1594, Waste Management (Williams, Chapter 719, Statutes of 2014).222 Assembly Bill 1826, Solid Waste: Organic Waste (Chesbro, Chapter 727, Statutes of 2014).223 Assembly Bill 876, Compostable Organics (McCarty, Chapter 593, Statutes of 2015). 92 • Resolving issues of pipeline injection and grid connection to make renewable energy projects competitive. • Supporting the use of available capacity at wastewater treatment plants that have digesters to process food waste. • Working with local entities to provide a supportive framework to advance community-wide efforts that are consistent with, or exceed, statewide goals. • Supporting research and development and pathways to market for dairy and codigestion digesters, including pipeline injection and interconnection. • Supporting research on digestate characterization and end products. Water Water is essential to all life, and is vital to our overall health and well-being. A reliable, clean, and abundant supply of water is also a critical component of California’s economy and has particularly important connections to energy, food, and the environment. California’s water system includes a complex infrastructure that has been developed to support the capture, use, conveyance, storage, conservation, and treatment of water and wastewater. This elaborate network of storage and delivery systems enables the State to prosper and support populations, amidst wide variability in annual precipitation rates and concentration of rain north of Sacramento, through storing and moving water when and where it is needed. Local water agencies play an important role in delivering water to communities, farms, and businesses. Some purchase water from the major State and federal projects, treat the water as needed, and deliver it to their customers; others act as wholesale agencies that buy or import water and sell it to retail water suppliers. Some agencies operate their own local water supply systems, including reservoirs and canals that store and move water as needed. Many agencies rely on groundwater exclusively, and operate local wells and distribution systems. In recent decades, local agencies have developed more diversified sources of water supplies. Many agencies use a combination of imported surface water and local groundwater, and also produce or purchase recycled water for end uses such as landscape irrigation.224 The State’s developed surface and groundwater resources support a variety of residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural activities. California’s rapidly growing population–estimated to reach 44 million by 2030225 – is putting mounting pressure on the water supply system. In the future, the ability to meet most new demand for water will come from a combination of increased conservation and water use efficiency, improved coordination of management of surface and groundwater, recycled water, new technologies in drinking water treatment, groundwater remediation, and brackish and seawater desalination.226 One of the State’s largest uses of energy is attributed to several aspects of the water life cycle, including end uses such as heating and cooling, and water treatment and conveyance. Ten percent of the State’s energy use is associated with water-related end uses, while water and wastewater systems account for 2 percent of the State’s energy use.227 Therefore, as water demand grows, energy demand may increase concurrently. Population growth drives demand for both water and energy resources, so both grow at about the same rates and in many of the same geographic areas.228 This dynamic is further exacerbated by the precipitation-population mismatch between Northern and Southern California. Since the greatest energy consumption related to water is from delivery to end uses, the potential for energy savings also resides with water end users, where water conservation and efficiency play an important role. The principal source of GHG emissions from the water sector comes from the fossil fuel-based energy consumed for water end uses (e.g., heating, cooling, pressurizing, and industrial processes), and the fossil fuel-based energy used to “produce” water (e.g., pump, convey, treat). Therefore, emissions reductions strategies are primarily associated with reducing the energy intensity of the water sector. Energy intensity is a measure of the amount of energy required to take a unit of water from its origin (such as a river or aquifer) 224 California Department of Water Resources. Regional Energy Intensity of Water Supplies. www.water.ca.gov/climatechange/RegionalEnergyIntensity.cfm225 http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/projections/ 226 California Natural Resources Agency, California Department of Food and Agriculture, and California Environmental Protection Agency. California Water Action Plan.227 California Department of Water Resources. Water-Energy Nexus: Statewide. Web page accessed November 2016 at: www.water.ca.gov/climatechange/WaterEnergyStatewide.cfm.228 Ibid 93 and extract and convey it to its end use.229 Within California, the energy intensity of water varies greatly depending on the geography, water source, and end use. The California Department of Water Resources (DWR) subdivides the State into 10 regions corresponding to the State’s major drainage basins. An interactive map on the DWR website allows users to see a summary of the energy intensity of regional water supplies, ignoring end-use factors.230 As the energy sector is decarbonized through measures such as increased renewable energy and improved efficiency, energy intensities will also be reduced. It is also important to note that end user actions to reduce water consumption or replace fresh water with recycled water do not automatically translate into GHG reductions. The integrated nature of the water supply system means that a reduction by one end user can be offset by an increase in consumption by another user. Likewise, use of recycled water has the potential to reduce GHGs if it replaces, and not merely serves as an alternative to, an existing, higher-carbon water supply. The State is currently implementing several targeted, agricultural, urban, and industrial-based water conservation, recycling, and water use efficiency programs as part of an integrated water management effort that will help achieve GHG reductions through reduced energy demand within the water sector. Appendix H highlights the more significant existing policies, programs, measures, regulations, and initiatives that provide a framework for helping achieve GHG emissions reductions in this sector. While it is important for every sector to contribute to the State’s climate goals, ensuring universal access to clean water as outlined in AB 685 (Eng, Chapter 524, Statutes of 2012), also known as the “human right to water” bill, should take precedence over achieving GHG emissions reductions from water sector activities where a potential conflict exists. AB 685 states that it is the policy of the State that “every human being has the right to safe, clean, affordable, and accessible water adequate for human consumption, cooking, and sanitary purposes.” As described in this section, water supplies vary in energy intensity and resulting GHGs, depending on the source of the water, treatment requirements, and location of the end user. Looking to the Future This section outlines the high-level objectives and goals to reduce GHGs in this sector. Goals • Develop and support more reliable water supplies for people, agriculture, and the environment, provided by a more resilient, diversified, sustainably managed water resources system with a focus on actions that provide direct GHG reductions. • Make conservation a California way of life by using and reusing water more efficiently through greater water conservation, drought tolerant landscaping, stormwater capture, water recycling, and reuse to help meet future water demands and adapt to climate change. • Develop and support programs and projects that increase water sector energy efficiency and reduce GHG emissions through reduced water and energy use.• Increase the use of renewable energy to pump, convey, treat, and utilize water.• Reduce the carbon footprint of water systems and water uses for both surface and groundwater supplies through integrated strategies that reduce GHG emissions while meeting the needs of a growing population, improving public safety, fostering environmental stewardship, aiding in adaptation to climate change, and supporting a stable economy. Cross-Sector Interactions Water, energy, food, and ecosystems are inextricably linked, and meeting future climate challenges will require an integrated approach to managing the resources in these sectors. Water is used in various applications in the energy sector, ranging in intensity from cooling of turbines and other equipment at power plants to cleaning solar photovoltaic panels. In 2003, CEC adopted a water conservation policy for power plants to limit the use of freshwater for power plant cooling, and has since encouraged project 229 A broader definition of energy intensity could consider the “downstream” energy (i.e., wastewater treatment) as well as the upstream components. More robust data are needed, and the State is working to better quantify these upstream and downstream emissions.230 California Department of Water Resources. Regional Energy Intensity of Water Supplies. www.water.ca.gov/climatechange/RegionalEnergyIntensity.cfm 94 owners proposing to build new power plants in California to reduce water consumption with water-efficiency technologies such as dry cooling and to conserve fresh water by using recycled water. Likewise, energy is used in multiple ways and at multiple steps in water delivery and treatment systems, including energy for heating and chilling water; treating and delivering drinking water; conveying water; extracting groundwater; desalination; pressurizing water for irrigation; and wastewater collection, treatment, and disposal. Although GHG reduction strategies for the water sector have the closest ties to energy, the water sector also interacts with the natural and working lands, agricultural, waste management, and transportation sectors. Water flows from mountains to downstream regions through natural and working lands, which provide habitat for many species and function to store water, recharge groundwater, naturally purify water, and moderate flooding. Protection of key lands from conversion results in healthier watersheds by reducing polluted runoff and maintaining a properly functioning ecosystem. California is the United States’ leading agricultural production state in terms of value and crop diversity. Approximately nine million acres of farmland in California are irrigated.231 In addition, water use is associated with livestock watering, feedlots, dairy operations, and other on-farm needs. Altogether, agriculture uses about 40 percent of the State’s managed water supply.232 In the end, agricultural products produced in California are consumed by humans throughout the world as food, fiber, and fuel. Wastewater treatment plants provide a complementary opportunity for the waste management sector to help process organic waste diversion from landfills. Treatment plants with spare capacity can potentially accommodate organic waste for anaerobic co-digestion of materials such as food waste and fats, oil, and grease from residential, commercial, or industrial facilities to create useful by- products such as electricity, hydrogen, biofuels, and soil amendments.233 The water sector is also essential to our community health and long-term well-being, and measures must ensure that we continue to have access to clean and reliable sources of drinking water. Climate change threatens to impact our water supplies, for example, with long-term droughts leading to wells and other sources of water running dry. This can have devastating consequences, especially on communities already vulnerable and sensitive to changes in their water supply and natural hydrological systems, including rural communities who have limited options for water supplies. Water conservation and management strategies that are energy efficient can also ensure a continued supply of water for our health and well-being. Efforts to Reduce Greenhouse Gases The measures below include some required and new potential measures to help achieve the State’s 2030 target and to support the high-level objectives for this sector. Some measures may be designed to directly address GHG reductions, while others may result in GHG reductions as a co-benefit. In addition, several recommended actions are identified to help the water sector move forward with the identified goals and measures to achieve the 2030 target; these are listed as supporting actions. Ongoing and Proposed Measures • As directed by Governor Brown’s Executive Order B-37-16, DWR and State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) will develop and implement new water use targets to generate more statewide water conservation than existing targets (the existing State law requires a 20 percent reduction in urban per capita water use by 2020 [SBx7-7, Steinberg, Chapter 4, Statutes of 2009]). The new water use targets will be based on strengthened standards for indoor use, outdoor irrigation, commercial, industrial, and institutional water use. • SWRCB will develop long-term water conservation regulation, and permanently prohibit practices that waste potable water. • DWR and SWRCB will develop and implement actions to minimize water system leaks, and to set performance standards for water loss, as required by SB 555 (Wolk, Chapter 679, Statutes of 2015). • DWR and CDFA will update existing requirements for agricultural water management plans to increase water system efficiency. 231 Hanson, Blaine. No date. Irrigation of Agricultural Crops in California. PowerPoint. Department of Land, Air and Water Resources University of California, Davis. www.arb.ca.gov/fuels/lcfs/workgroups/lcfssustain/hanson.pdf232 Applied water use is the official terminology used by DWR. “Applied water refers to the total amount of water that is diverted from any source to meet the demands of water users without adjusting for water that is used up, returned to the developed supply, or considered irrecoverable.”233 An example of a resource recovering project that can help achieve methane reductions includes fuel cells that are integrated into wastewater treatment plants for both onsite heat and power generation and the production of renewable hydrogen. 95 • CEC will certify innovative technologies for water conservation and water loss detection and control. • CEC will continue to update the State’s Appliance Efficiency Regulations (California Code of Regulations, Title 20, Sections 1601–1608) for appliances offered for sale in California to establish standards that reduce energy consumption for devices that use electricity, gas, and/or water. • California Environmental Protection Agency (CalEPA) will oversee development of a voluntary registry for GHG emissions resulting from the water-energy nexus, as required by SB 1425 (Pavley, Chapter 596, Statutes of 2016). • The State Water Project has entered long-term contracts to procure renewable electricity from 140 MW solar installations in California. • As described in its Climate Action Plan, DWR will continue to increase the use of renewable energy to operate the State Water Project. Overall, these actions will contribute to the broader energy efficiency goals discussed in the Low Carbon Energy section of this chapter. Potential Additional or Supporting Actions The actions below have the potential to reduce GHGs and complement the measures and policies identified in Chapter 2. These are included to spur thinking and exploration of innovation that may help the State achieve its long-term climate goals. • Where technically feasible and cost-effective, local water and wastewater utilities should adopt a long-term goal to reduce GHGs by 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050 (consistent with DWR’s Climate Action Plan), and thereafter move toward low carbon or net-zero carbon water management systems. • Local water and wastewater utilities should develop distributed renewable energy where feasible, using the expanded Local Government Renewable Energy Bill Credit (RES-BCT) tariff and new Net Energy Metering (which allow for installation without system size limit).• In support of the Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy, encourage resource recovering wastewater treatment projects to help achieve the goal of reducing fugitive methane by 40 percent by 2030, to include: • Determining opportunities to support co-digestion of food-related waste streams at wastewater treatment plants. • Incentivizing methane capture systems at wastewater treatment plants to produce renewable electricity, transportation fuel, or pipeline biomethane. • Support compact development and land use patterns, and associated conservation and management strategies for natural and working lands that reduce per capita water consumption through more water-efficient built environments. 96 Meeting, and exceeding, our mandated GHG reduction goals in 2020 and through 2030 requires building on California’s decade of success in implementing effective climate policies. State agencies are increasingly coordinating planning activities to align with overarching climate, clean air, social equity, and broader economic objectives. However, to definitely tip the scales in favor of rapidly declining emissions, we also need to reach beyond State policy-making and engage all Californians. Further progress can be made by supporting innovative actions at the local level–among governments, small businesses, schools, and individual households. Ultimately, success depends on a mix of regulatory program development, incentives, institutional support, and education and outreach to ensure that clean energy and other climate strategies are clear, winning alternatives in the marketplace–to drive business development and consumer adoption. Ongoing Engagement with Environmental Justice Communities CARB continues seek ways to improve implementation of AB 32 and the unique set of impacts facing environmental justice communities. However, CARB’s environmental justice efforts reach far beyond climate change. In 2001, the Board approved CARB’s “Policies and Actions for Environmental Action,”234 which expresses a broad commitment to environmental justice and makes it integral to all of CARB’s programs, consistent with State directives at the time. Though over the years CARB has taken on a wide array of activities aimed at reducing environmental burdens on environmental justice communities, it has not knitted its various efforts together in a coherent narrative or maximized the impact of these activities by leveraging them off of each other. This year, CARB appointed its first executive-level environmental justice liaison. Under her leadership, CARB will lay a roadmap for better serving California’s environmental justice communities in the design and implementation of its programs, and identifying new actions CARB can take to advance environmental justice and social equity in all of its functions. The extensive legislative framework addressing climate change, air quality, and environmental justice that has emerged since the passage of AB 32 has prompted CARB to step up its environmental justice efforts and articulate a vision that reflects the current context. CARB will initiate a public process, seeking advice and input from environmental justice advocates and other key stakeholders to inform the development of a new strategic plan for further institutionalizing environmental justice and social equity. CARB understands that in addition to our programs to address climate change and reduce emissions of GHGs, more needs to be done to reduce exposure to toxic air and criteria pollutants and improve the quality of life in communities surrounding our largest emissions sources. To this end, and consistent with AB 617, AB 197, AB 1071, SB 535 and AB 1550, we will actively engage EJ advocates, communities, and relevant air districts in the development of programs that improve air quality and quantify the burdens placed on air quality in local communities. Measuring and monitoring air quality conditions over time and ongoing community engagement are integral to the success of CARB’s efforts. This engagement will include substantive discussions with EJ stakeholders, gathering their input and providing adequate time for review before matters are taken to the Board for decision. 234 www.arb.ca.gov/ch/programs/ej/ejpolicies.pdf Chapter 5 a ch I ev I ng S ucce SS 97 CARB’s approach to environmental justice will be grounded in five primary pillars: transparency, integration, monitoring, research, and enforcement. • Transparency: CARB must improve communication and engagement with environmental justice stakeholders and deepen partnerships with local communities impacted by air pollution. CARB will continue to prioritize transparency in its decision-making processes and provide better access to the air quality, toxics, and GHG data CARB collects and stewards. • Integration: Besides integrating environmental justice throughout all of CARB’s programs, those programs must complement each other. To that end, CARB will endeavor to break down programmatic silos so that it is able to leverage its work and achieve more effective and timely results. Focused resources in individual communities can accelerate reduction in emissions, proliferation of clean vehicles and creation of jobs in the clean energy economy, while concurrently improving public health. • Monitoring: Communities should be engaged in CARB’s monitoring work. They can play a critical role in collecting their own data and adding to the coverage of other air monitoring efforts (e.g., CARB, local air districts). CARB has already invested in research on low- cost monitors that are accessible by communities, and it will continue to evaluate how community monitoring can make CARB more nimble in identifying and addressing “hotspots.” Mobile monitoring projects similarly will allow CARB to better serve and protect residents of disadvantaged communities. CARB will continue to build partnerships with local communities and help build local capacity through funding and technical assistance. • Research: CARB’s research agenda is core to achieving its mission. To ensure that the research done by CARB responds to environmental justice concerns and has the greatest potential to improve air quality and public health in disadvantaged communities, CARB will engage communities groups early in the development of its research agenda and the projects that flow out from that agenda. • Enforcement: Disadvantaged communities are often impacted by many sources of pollution. In order to improve air quality and protect public health, CARB will prioritize compliance with legal requirements, including enforcement actions if necessary, in environmental justice communities to ensure emissions of toxic and criteria pollutants in these communities are as low as possible. Our inclusive approaches to further environmental justice in California’s local communities may include an array of direct regulation, funding, and community capacity-building. CARB will continue to actively implement the provisions of AB 617, AB 197, AB 1071, SB 535, AB 1550, and other laws to better ensure that environmental justice communities see additional benefits from our clean air and climate policies. Our inclusive approaches to further environmental justice in California’s local communities may include an array of direct regulation, funding, and community capacity-building. Enabling Local Action Local governments are essential partners in achieving California’s goals to reduce GHG emissions. Local governments can implement GHG emissions reduction strategies to address local conditions and issues and can effectively engage citizens at the local level. Local governments also have broad jurisdiction, and sometimes unique authorities, through their community-scale planning and permitting processes, discretionary actions, local codes and ordinances, outreach and education efforts, and municipal operations. Further, local jurisdictions can develop new and innovative approaches to reduce GHG emissions that can then be adopted elsewhere. For example, local governments can develop land use plans with more efficient development patterns that bring people and destinations closer together in more mixed-use, compact communities that facilitate walking, biking, and use of transit. Local governments can also incentivize locally generated renewable energy and infrastructure for alternative fuels and electric vehicles, implement water efficiency measures, and develop waste-to-energy and waste-to-fuel projects. These local actions complement statewide measures and are critical to supporting the State’s efforts to reduce emissions. Local efforts can deliver substantial additional GHG and criteria emissions reductions beyond what State policy can alone, and these efforts will sometimes be more cost-effective and provide more cobenefits than relying exclusively on top-down statewide regulations to achieve the State’s climate stabilization goals. To ensure local and regional engagement, it is also recommended local jurisdictions make readily available information regarding ongoing and proposed actions to reduce GHGs within their region. 98 Many cities and counties are already setting GHG reduction targets, developing local plans, and making progress toward reducing emissions. The Statewide Energy Efficiency Collaborative recently released a report, The State of Local Climate Action: California 2016,235 which highlights local government efforts, including: • In California, 60 percent of cities and over 70 percent of counties have completed a GHG inventory, and 42 percent of local governments have completed a climate, energy, or sustainability plan that directly addresses GHG emissions. Many other community-scale local plans, such as general plans, have emissions reduction measures incorporated as well (see Governor’s Office of Planning and Research [OPR] Survey questions 23 and 24).236 • Over one hundred California local governments have developed emissions reduction targets that, if achieved, would result in annual reductions that total 45 MMTCO2e by 2020 and 83 MMTCO2e by 2050.237 Local air quality management and air pollution control districts also play a key role in reducing regional and local sources of GHG emissions by actively integrating climate protection into air quality programs. Air districts also support local climate protection programs by providing technical assistance and data, quantification tools, and even funding.238 Local metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs) also support the State’s climate action goals via sustainable communities strategies (SCSs), required by the Sustainable Communities and Climate Protection Act of 2008 (SB 375, Chapter 728, Statutes of 2008). Under SB 375, MPOs must prepare SCSs as part of their regional transportation plan to meet regional GHG reduction targets set by CARB for passenger vehicles in 2020 and 2035. The SCSs contain land use, housing, and transportation strategies that allow regions to meet their GHG emissions reductions targets. State agencies support these local government actions in several ways: • CoolCalifornia.org is an informational website that provides resources that assist local governments, small businesses, schools, and households to reduce GHG emissions. The local government webpage includes carbon calculators, a climate planning resource guide, a Funding Wizard that outlines grant and loan programs, and success stories. It also features ClearPath California, a no-cost GHG inventory, climate action plan development, and tracking tool developed through the Statewide Energy Efficiency Collaborative in coordination with CARB and the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research (OPR). • Chapter 8 of OPR’s General Plan Guidelines239 provides guidance for climate action plans and 235 Statewide Energy Efficiency Collaborative. 2016. State of Local Climate Action: California 2016. californiaseec.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/State-of-Local-Climate-Action-California-2016_Screen.pdf236 Governor’s Office of Planning and Research. 2016. 2016 Annual Planning Survey Results. November. www.opr.ca.gov/docs/2016_APS_final.pdf237 These reductions include reductions from both state and local measures.238 Examples include: (1) Bay Area Air Quality Management District (BAAQMD). 2016 Clean Air Plan and Regional Climate Protection Strategy. Available at: www.baaqmd.gov/plans-and-climate/air-quality-plans/plans-under-development; (2) California Air Pollution Control Officers Association. California Emissions Estimator Model (CalEEMod). Available at: www.caleemod.com/; (3) San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District. Grants and Incentives. Available at: valleyair.org/grants/; (4) BAAQMD. Grant Funding. Available at: www.baaqmd.gov/grant-funding; (5) South Coast Air Quality Management District. Funding. Available at: www.aqmd.gov/ grants-bids/funding; (6) Sacramento Metropolitan Air Quality Management District. Incentive Programs. Available at: www.airquality.org/Residents/Incentive-Programs.239 http://opr.ca.gov/planning/general-plan/ To engage communities in efforts to reduce GHG emissions, CARB has partnered with Energy Upgrade California on the CoolCalifornia Challenge. It is a competition among California cities to reduce their carbon footprints and build more vibrant and sustainable communities. Three challenges have been completed. Most recently, the 2015–2016 Challenge included 22 cities and engaged nearly 3,200 households, each of which took actions to reduce energy use and carbon GHG emissions. In total, the participants reported savings of 5,638 MTCO2 from completed actions, equivalent to emissions from more than 1,000 cars or from electricity used by more than 2,500 California homes in a year. 99 other plans linked to general plans, which address the community scale approach outlined in CEQA Guidelines Section 15183.5(b), Plans for the Reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emissions. • OPR hosts the Integrated Climate Adaptation and Resiliency Program, which is developing resources and case studies that outline the co-benefits of implementing emissions reduction strategies and addressing the impacts of climate change. • CARB is developing a centralized database and interactive map that will display the current statewide status of local government climate action planning. Users can view and compare the details of emission inventories, planned GHG reduction targets and strategies, and other climate action details specific to each local government. This information will help jurisdictions around California identify what climate action strategies are working in other, similar jurisdictions across the State, and will facilitate collaboration among local governments pursuing GHG reduction strategies and goals. This database and map will be featured on the CoolCalifornia.org website and are anticipated to be available in 2017. • Additional information on local government activities is available on Cal-Adapt (www.cal-adapt.org) and OPR (www.opr.ca.gov) Further, a significant portion of the $3.4 billion in cap-and-trade expenditures has either directly or indirectly supported local government efforts to reduce emissions, including, for example, the Affordable Housing and Sustainable Communities (AHSC) program and approximately $142 million for project implementation and planning grants awarded under the Transformative Climate Communities program. Climate Action through Local Planning and Permitting Local government efforts to reduce emissions within their jurisdiction are critical to achieving the State’s long-term GHG goals, and can also provide important co-benefits, such as improved air quality, local economic benefits, more sustainable communities, and an improved quality of life. To support local governments in their efforts to reduce GHG emissions, the following guidance is provided. This guidance should be used in coordination with OPR’s General Plan Guidelines guidance in Chapter 8, Climate Change.240 While this guidance is provided out of the recognition that local policy makers are critical in reducing the carbon footprint of cities and counties, the decision to follow this guidance is voluntary and should not be interpreted as a directive or mandate to local governments. Recommended Local Plan-Level Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Goals CARB recommends statewide targets of no more than six metric tons CO2e per capita by 2030 and no more than two metric tons CO2e per capita by 2050.241 The statewide per capita targets account for all emissions sectors in the State, statewide population forecasts, and the statewide reductions necessary to achieve the 2030 statewide target under SB 32 and the longer term State emissions reduction goal of 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050.242 The statewide per capita targets are also consistent with Executive Order S-3-05, B-30-15, and the Under 2 MOU that California originated with Baden-Württemberg and has now been signed or endorsed by 188 jurisdictions representing 39 countries and six continents.243,244 Central to the Under 2 MOU is that all signatories agree to reduce their GHG emissions to two metric tons CO2e per capita by 2050. This limit represents California’s and these other governments’ recognition of their “fair share” to reduce GHG emissions to the scientifically based levels to limit global warming below two degrees Celsius. This limit is also consistent with the Paris Agreement, which sets out a global action plan to put the world on track to avoid dangerous climate change by limiting global warming to below 2°C.245 CARB recommends that local governments evaluate and adopt robust and quantitative locally-appropriate 240 http://opr.ca.gov/planning/general-plan/ . 241 These goals are appropriate for the plan level (city, county, subregional, or regional level, as appropriate), but not for specific individual projects because they include all emissions sectors in the State. 242 This number represents the 2030 and 2050 targets divided by total population projections from California Department of Finance.243 http://under2mou.org/ California signed the Under 2 MOU on May 19, 2015. See under2mou.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/ California-appendix-English.pdf and under2mou.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/California-Signature-Page.pdf.244 The Under 2 MOU signatories include jurisdictions ranging from cities to countries to multiple-country partnerships. Therefore, like the goals set forth above for local and regional climate planning, the Under 2 MOU is scalable to various types of jurisdictions.245 UNFCCC. The Paris Agreement. unfccc.int/paris_agreement/items/9485.php 100 goals that align with the statewide per capita targets and the State’s sustainable development objectives and develop plans to achieve the local goals. The statewide per capita goals were developed by applying the percent reductions necessary to reach the 2030 and 2050 climate goals (i.e., 40 percent and 80 percent, respectively) to the State’s 1990 emissions limit established under AB 32. Numerous local governments in California have already adopted GHG emissions reduction goals for year 2020 consistent with AB 32. CARB advises that local governments also develop community-wide GHG emissions reduction goals necessary to reach 2030 and 2050 climate goals. Emissions inventories and reduction goals should be expressed in mass emissions, per capita emissions, and service population emissions. To do this, local governments can start by developing a community-wide GHG emissions target consistent with the accepted protocols as outlined in OPR’s General Plan Guidelines Chapter 8: Climate Change. They can then calculate GHG emissions thresholds by applying the percent reductions necessary to reach 2030 and 2050 climate goals (i.e., 40 percent and 80 percent, respectively) to their community-wide GHG emissions target. Since the statewide per capita targets are based on the statewide GHG emissions inventory that includes all emissions sectors in the State, it is appropriate for local jurisdictions to derive evidence-based local per capita246 goals based on local emissions sectors and population projections that are consistent with the framework used to develop the statewide per capita targets. The resulting GHG emissions trajectory should show a downward trend consistent with the statewide objectives. The recommendation for a community-wide goal expands upon the reduction of 15 percent from “current” (2005-2008) levels by 2020 as recommended in the 2008 Scoping Plan.247 In developing local plans, local governments should refer to “The U.S. Community Protocol for Accounting and Reporting of Greenhouse Gas Emissions,”248 (community protocol) which provides detailed guidance on completing a GHG emissions inventory at the community scale in the United States – including emissions from businesses, residents, and transportation. Quantification tools such as ClearPath California, which was developed with California agencies, also support the analysis of community-scale GHG emissions. Per the community protocol, these plans should disclose all emissions within the defined geographical boundary, even those over which the local government has no regulatory authority to control, and then focus the strategies on those emissions that the jurisdiction controls. For emissions from transportation, the community protocol recommends including emissions from trips that extend beyond the community’s boundaries. Local plans should also include the carbon sequestration values associated with natural and working lands, and the importance of jurisdictional lands for water, habitat, agricultural, and recreational resources. Strategies developed to achieve the local goals should prioritize mandatory measures that support the Governor’s “Five Pillars” and other key state climate action goals.249 Examples of plan-level GHG reduction actions that could be implemented by local governments are listed in Appendix B. Additional information and tools on how to develop GHG emissions inventories and reduction plans tied to general plans can be found in OPR’s General Plan Guidelines and at CoolCalifornia.org. These local government recommendations are based on the recognition that California must accommodate population and economic growth in a far more sustainable manner than in the past. While state-level investments, policies, and actions play an important role in shaping growth and development patterns, regional and local governments and agencies are uniquely positioned to influence the future of the built environment and its associated GHG emissions. Greenhouse gas emissions reduction strategies in Climate Action Plans (CAPs) and other local plans can also lead to important co-benefits, such as improved air quality, local economic benefits such as green jobs, more mobility choices, improved public health and quality of life, protection of locally, statewide, and globally important natural resources, and more equitable sharing of these benefits across communities. Contributions from policies and programs, such as renewable energy and energy efficiency, are helping to achieve the near-term 2020 target, but longer-term targets cannot be achieved without land use decisions that allow more efficient use and management of land and infrastructure. Local governments have primary authority to plan, zone, approve, and permit how and where land is developed to accommodate population growth, economic growth, and the changing needs of their jurisdictions. Land use decisions affect GHG emissions associated with transportation, water use, wastewater treatment, waste generation and treatment, energy consumption, and conversion of natural and working lands. Local land use decisions play a particularly 246 Or some other metric that the local jurisdiction deems appropriate (e.g., mass emissions, per service population)247 2008 Scoping Plan, page 27, www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/scopingplandocument.htm248 http://icleiusa.org/publications/us-community-protocol/249 www.arb.ca.gov/cc/pillars/pillars.htm 101 critical role in reducing GHG emissions associated with the transportation sector, both at the project level, and in long-term plans, including general plans, local and regional climate action plans, specific plans, transportation plans, and supporting sustainable community strategies developed under SB 375. While the State can do more to accelerate and incentivize these local decisions, local actions that reduce VMT are also necessary to meet transportation sector-specific goals and achieve the 2030 target under SB 32. Through developing the Scoping Plan, CARB staff is more convinced than ever that, in addition to achieving GHG reductions from cleaner fuels and vehicles, California must also reduce VMT. Stronger SB 375 GHG reduction targets will enable the State to make significant progress toward needed reductions, but alone will not provide the VMT growth reductions needed; there is a gap between what SB 375 can provide and what is needed to meet the State’s 2030 and 2050 goals. In its evaluation of the role of the transportation system in meeting the statewide emissions targets, CARB determined that VMT reductions of 7 percent below projected VMT levels in 2030 (which includes currently adopted SB 375 SCSs) are necessary. In 2050, reductions of 15 percent below projected VMT levels are needed. A 7 percent VMT reduction translates to a reduction, on average, of 1.5 miles/person/day from projected levels in 2030. It is recommended that local governments consider policies to reduce VMT to help achieve these reductions, including: land use and community design that reduces VMT; transit oriented development; street design policies that prioritize transit, biking, and walking; and increasing low carbon mobility choices, including improved access to viable and affordable public transportation and active transportation opportunities. It is important that VMT reducing strategies are implemented early because more time is necessary to achieve the full climate, health, social, equity, and economic benefits from these strategies. Once adopted, the plans and policies designed to achieve a locally-set GHG goal can serve as a performance metric for later projects. Sufficiently detailed and adequately supported GHG reduction plans (including CAPs) also provide local governments with a valuable tool for streamlining project-level environmental review. Under CEQA, individual projects that comply with the strategies and actions within an adequate local CAP can streamline the project-specific GHG analysis.250 The California Supreme Court recently called out this provision in CEQA as allowing tiering from a geographically specific GHG reduction plan.251 The Court also recognized that GHG determinations in CEQA should be consistent with the statewide Scoping Plan goals, and that CEQA documents taking a goal-consistency approach may soon need to consider a project’s effects on meeting the State’s longer term post-2020 goals.252 The recommendation above that local governments develop local goals tied to the statewide per capita goals of six metric tons CO2e by 2030 and no more than two metric tons CO2e per capita by 2050 provides guidance on CARB’s view on what would be consistent with the 2017 Scoping Plan and the State’s long-term goals. Production based inventories and emissions reduction programs are appropriate for local communities wanting to mitigate their emissions pursuant to CEQA Section 15183.5(b). Consumption based inventories are complementary to production based inventories and are appropriate as a background setting, disclosure, and as an outreach tool to show how personal decisions may change a person’s or household’s contribution to climate change. For additional information, see the OPR General Plan Guidelines.253 Project-Level Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Actions and Thresholds Beyond plan-level goals and actions, local governments can also support climate action when considering discretionary approvals and entitlements of individual projects through CEQA. Absent conformity with an adequate geographically-specific GHG reduction plan as described in the preceding section above, CARB recommends that projects incorporate design features and GHG reduction measures, to the degree feasible, to minimize GHG emissions. Achieving no net additional increase in GHG emissions, resulting in no contribution to GHG impacts, is an appropriate overall objective for new development. There are recent examples of land use development projects in California that have demonstrated that it is feasible to design projects that achieve zero net additional GHG emissions. Several projects have received certification from the Governor under AB 900, the Jobs and Economic Improvement through Environmental Leadership Act (Buchanan, Chapter 354, Statutes of 2011), demonstrating an ability to design economically viable projects that create jobs while contributing no net additional GHG emissions. 254 Another example is the Newhall 250 CEQA Guidelines, § 15183.5, sub. (b).251 Center for Biological Diversity v. California Dept. of Fish and Wildlife (2015) 62 Cal.4th 204, 229–230.252 Id. at pp. 223–224. 253 http://opr.ca.gov/planning/general-plan/.254 Governor’s Office of Planning and Research. California Jobs. http://www.opr.ca.gov/ceqa/california-jobs.html 102 Ranch Resource Management and Development Plan and Spineflower Conservation Plan,255 in which the applicant, Newhall Land and Farming Company, proposed a commitment to achieve net zero GHG emissions for a very large-scale residential and commercial specific planned development in Santa Clarita Valley. Achieving net zero increases in GHG emissions, resulting in no contribution to GHG impacts, may not be feasible or appropriate for every project, however, and the inability of a project to mitigate its GHG emissions to net zero does not imply the project results in a substantial contribution to the cumulatively significant environmental impact of climate change under CEQA. Lead agencies have the discretion to develop evidence-based numeric thresholds (mass emissions, per capita, or per service population) consistent with this Scoping Plan, the State’s long-term GHG goals, and climate change science.256 To the degree a project relies on GHG mitigation measures, CARB recommends that lead agencies prioritize on-site design features that reduce emissions, especially from VMT, and direc t investments in GHG reductions within the project’s region that contribute potential air quality, health, and economic co-benefits locally. For example, on-site design features to be considered at the planning stage include land use and community design options that reduce VMT, promote transit oriented development, promote street design policies that prioritize transit, biking, and walking, and increase low carbon mobility choices, including improved access to viable and affordable public transportation, and active transportation opportunities. Regionally, additional GHG reductions can be achieved through direct investment in local building retrofit programs that can pay for cool roofs, solar panels, solar water heaters, smart meters, energy efficient lighting, energy efficient appliances, energy efficient windows, insulation, and water conservation measures for homes within the geographic area of the project. These investments generate real demand side benefits and local jobs, while creating the market signals for energy efficient products, some of which are produced in California. Other examples of local direct investments include financing installation of regional electric vehicle (EV) charging stations, paying for electrification of public school buses, and investing in local urban forests. Local direct investments in actions to reduce GHG emissions should be supported by quantification methodologies that show the reductions are real, verifiable, quantifiable, permanent, and enforceable. Where further project design or regional investments are infeasible or not proven to be effective, it may be appropriate and feasible to mitigate project emissions through purchasing and retiring carbon credits. CAPCOA has developed the GHG Reduction Exchange (GHG Rx) for CEQA mitigation, which could provide credits to achieve additional reductions. It may also be appropriate to utilize credits issued by a recognized and reputable voluntary carbon registry. Appendix B includes examples of on-site project design features, mitigation measures, and direct regional investments that may be feasible to minimize GHG emissions from land use development projects. California’s future climate strategy will require increased focus on integrated land use planning to support livable, transit-connected communities, and conservation of agricultural and other lands. Accommodating population and economic growth through travel- and energy-efficient land use provides GHG-efficient growth, reducing GHGs from both transportation and building energy use.257 GHGs can be further reduced at the project level through implementing energy-efficient construction and travel demand management approaches.258 Further, the State’s understanding of transportation impacts continues to evolve. The CEQA Guidelines are being updated to focus the analysis of transportation impacts on VMT. OPR’s Technical Advisory includes methods of analysis of transportation impacts, approaches to setting significance thresholds, and includes examples of VMT mitigation under CEQA.259 255 https://nrm.dfg.ca.gov/documents/ContextDocs.aspx?cat=NewhallRanchFinal256 CARB provided some guidance on development project thresholds in a paper issued in October 2008, which included a concept utilizing a bright-line mass numeric threshold based on capturing approximately 90 percent of emissions in that sector and a concept of minimum performance based standards. Some districts built upon that work to develop thresholds. For example, Santa Barbara County adopted a bright-line numeric threshold of 1,000 MTCO2e/yr for industrial stationary-source projects, and Sacramento Metropolitan Air Quality Management District adopted a 10,000 MTCO2e/yr threshold for stationary source projects and a 1,100 MTCO2e/yr threshold for construction activities and land development projects in their operational phase. CARB is not endorsing any one of these approaches, but noting them for informational purposes.257 Robert Cervero, Jim Murakami; Effects of Built Environment on Vehicle Miles Traveled: Evidence from 370 US Urbanized Areas. Environment and Planning A, Vol 42, Issue 2, pp. 400-418, February-01-2010; Ewing, R., & Rong, F. (2008). The impact of urban form on U.S. residential energy use. Housing Policy Debagte, 19 (1), 1-30.).258 CAPCOA, Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Measures: A Resource for Local Government to Assess Emission Reductions from Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Measures, August, 2010.259 http://www.opr.ca.gov/ceqa/updates/sb-743/ 103 Implementing the Scoping Plan This Scoping Plan outlines the regulations, programs, and other mechanisms needed to reduce GHG emissions in California. CARB and other State agencies will work closely with State and local agencies, stakeholders, Tribes, and the public to develop regulatory measures and other programs to implement the Scoping Plan. CARB and other State agencies will develop regulations in accordance with established rulemaking guidelines. Per Executive Order B-30-15, as these regulatory measures and other programs are developed, building programs for climate resiliency must also be a consideration. Additionally, agencies will further collaborate and work to provide the institutional support needed to overcome barriers that may currently hinder certain efforts to reduce GHG emissions and to support the goals, actions, and measures identified for key sectors in Chapter 4. Table 17 provides a high-level summary of the Climate Change Policies and Measures discussed in the Scoping Plan, including, but not limited to, those identified specifically to achieve the 2030 target. table 17: Climate Change poliCies and measures Recommended Action Lead Agency Implement SB 350 by 2030: • Increase the Renewables Portfolio Standard to 50 percent of retail sales by 2030 and ensure grid reliability. • Establish annual targets for statewide energy efficiency savings and demand reduction that will achieve a cumulative doubling of statewide energy efficiency savings in electricity and natural gas end uses by 2030. • Reduce GHG emissions in the electricity sector through the implementation of the above measures and other actions as modeled in IRPs to meet GHG emissions reductions planning targets in the IRP process. Load-serving entities and publicly- owned utilities meet GHG emissions reductions planning targets through a combination of measures as described in IRPs. CPUC, CEC, CARB Implement Mobile Source Strategy (Cleaner Technology and Fuels): • At least 1.5 million zero emission and plug-in hybrid light-duty electric vehicles by 2025. • At least 4.2 million zero emission and plug-in hybrid light-duty electric vehicles by 2030. • Further increase GHG stringency on all light-duty vehicles beyond existing Advanced Clean Cars regulations. • Medium- and heavy-duty GHG Phase 2. • Innovative Clean Transit: Transition to a suite of to-be-determined innovative clean transit options. Assumed 20 percent of new urban buses purchased beginning in 2018 will be zero emission buses with the penetration of zero-emission technology ramped up to 100 percent of new sales in 2030. Also, new natural gas buses, starting in 2018, and diesel buses, starting in 2020, meet the optional heavy-duty low-NOX standard. • Last Mile Delivery: New regulation that would result in the use of low NOX or cleaner engines and the deployment of increasing numbers of zero-emission trucks primarily for class 3-7 last mile delivery trucks in California. This measure assumes ZEVs comprise 2.5 percent of new Class 3–7 truck sales in local fleets starting in 2020, increasing to 10 percent in 2025 and remaining flat through 2030. • Further reduce VMT through continued implementation of SB 375 and regional Sustainable Communities Strategies; forthcoming statewide implementation of SB 743; and potential additional VMT reduction strategies not specified in the Mobile Source Strategy but included in the document “Potential VMT Reduction Strategies for Discussion.” CARB, CalSTA, SGC, CalTrans CEC, OPR, Local agencies Increase stringency of SB 375 Sustainable Communities Strategy (2035 targets).CARB By 2019, adjust performance measures used to select and design transportation facilities. • Harmonize project performance with emissions reductions, and increase competitiveness of transit and active transportation modes (e.g. via guideline documents, funding programs, project selection, etc.). CalSTA and SGC, OPR, CARB, GoBiz, IBank, DOF, CTC, Caltrans By 2019, develop pricing policies to support low-GHG transportation (e.g. low-emission vehicle zones for heavy duty, road user, parking pricing, transit discounts). CalSTA, Caltrans, CTC, OPR/SGC, CARB 104 Recommended Action Lead Agency Implement California Sustainable Freight Action Plan: • Improve freight system efficiency. • Deploy over 100,000 freight vehicles and equipment capable of zero emission operation and maximize both zero and near-zero emission freight vehicles and equipment powered by renewable energy by 2030. CalSTA, CalEPA, CNRA, CARB, CalTrans, CEC, GoBiz Adopt a Low Carbon Fuel Standard with a CI reduction of 18 percent.CARB Implement the Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Strategy by 2030: • 40 percent reduction in methane and hydrofluorocarbon emissions below 2013 levels. • 50 percent reduction in black carbon emissions below 2013 levels. CARB, CalRecycle, CDFA, SWRCB, Local air districts By 2019, develop regulations and programs to support organic waste landfill reduction goals in the SLCP and SB 1383. CARB, CalRecycle, CDFA, SWRCB, Local air districts Implement the post-2020 Cap-and-Trade Program with declining annual caps.CARB By 2018, develop Integrated Natural and Working Lands Implementation Plan to secure California’s land base as a net carbon sink: • Protect land from conversion through conservation easements and other incentives. • Increase the long-term resilience of carbon storage in the land base and enhance sequestration capacity • Utilize wood and agricultural products to increase the amount of carbon stored in the natural and built environments • Establish scenario projections to serve as the foundation for the Implementation Plan CNRA and departments within, CDFA, CalEPA, CARB Establish a carbon accounting framework for natural and working lands as described in SB 859 by 2018 CARB Implement Forest Carbon Plan CNRA, CAL FIRE, CalEPA and departments within Identify and expand funding and financing mechanisms to support GHG reductions across all sectors.State Agencies & Local Agencies A Comprehensive Approach to Support Climate Action Ultimately, successfully tipping the scales in the fight against climate change relies on our ability to incentivize clean technologies in the marketplace and to make other climate strategies clearly understood and easily accessible. We must support and guide our businesses as they continue to innovate and make clean technologies ever more attractive to ever more savvy consumers. Until the point that clean technologies become the best and lowest cost option–which is clearly on the horizon for many technologies, including renewable energy and electric cars–we must continue to support emerging markets through incentives and outreach efforts. More than just coordinating among agencies and providing institutional support as described above, we will succeed if we tackle climate change from all angles–through regulatory and policy development, targeted incentives, and education and outreach. Regulations and Programmatic Development Our decade of climate leadership has demonstrated that developing mitigation strategies through a public process, where all stakeholders have a voice, leads to effective actions that address climate change and yield a series of additional economic and environmental co-benefits to the State. As we implement this Scoping Plan, State agencies will continue to develop and implement new and existing programs, as described herein. During any rulemaking process, there are many opportunities for both informal interaction with technical staff in meetings and workshops, and formal interaction at Board meetings, Commission business meetings, monthly public meetings, and others. Each State agency will consider all information and stakeholder input during the rulemaking process. Based on this information, the agency may modify proposed measures to reflect the status of technological development, the cost of the measure, the cost-effectiveness of the measures, and other factors before presenting them for consideration and adoption. Further, to achieve cost-effective GHG reductions, California State agencies must consider the environmental impact of small businesses and provide mechanisms to assist businesses as GHG reduction measures are 105 implemented. CARB provides resources and tips for small businesses to prevent pollution, minimize waste, and save energy and water on CoolCalifornia.org. California’s small businesses and their employees represent a valuable economic resource in the State and “greening” existing businesses is not only achievable, but sets an example for new businesses which will prove significant as California transitions to a low carbon state. State agencies conduct environmental and environmental justice assessments of our regulatory actions. Many of the requirements in AB 32 overlap with traditional agency evaluations. In adopting regulations to implement the measures recommended in the Scoping Plan, or including in the regulations the use of market- based compliance mechanisms to comply with the regulations, agencies will ensure that the measures have undergone the aforementioned screenings and meet the requirements established in California Health and Safety Code Section 38562(b)(1-9) and Section 38570(b)(1-3). Incentive Programs Financial incentives and direct funding are critical components of the State’s climate framework. In particular, incentives and funding are necessary to support GHG emissions reductions strategies for priority sectors, sources, and technologies. Although California has a number of existing incentive programs, available funding is limited. It is critical to target public investments efficiently and in ways that encourage integrated, system wide solutions to produce deep and lasting public benefits. Significant investments of private capital, supported by targeted, priority investments of public funding, are necessary to scale deployment and to maximize benefits. Public investments, including through decisions related to State pension fund portfolios, can help incentivize early action to accelerate market transition to cleaner technologies and cleaner practices, which can also be supported by regulatory measures. Many existing State funding programs work in tandem to reduce emissions from GHGs, criteria pollutants, and toxic air contaminants, and are helping to foster the transition to a clean energy economy and protect and manage land for carbon sequestration. State law, including Senate Bill 535 (De León, Chapter 830, Statutes of 2012) and Assembly Bill 1550 (Gomez, Chapter 369, Statutes of 2016) also requires focused investment in low income and disadvantaged communities. The State will need to continue to coordinate and utilize funding sources, such as the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (cap-and-trade auction proceeds), the Alternative and Renewable Fuel and Vehicle Technology Program (AB 118), Electric Program Investment Charge (EPIC) Program, Carl Moyer Program, Air Quality Improvement Program, and Proposition 39 to expand clean energy investments in California and further reduce GHG and criteria emissions. Additionally, programs including the Bioenergy Feed-In Tariff, created by Senate Bill 1122 (Rubio, Chapter 612, Statutes of 2012), Low Carbon Fuel Standard, Cap-and-Trade, Self-Generation Incentive Program, Federal Renewable Fuel Standard, utility incentives pursuant to Assembly Bill 1900 (Gatto, Chapter 602, Statutes of 2012), and others provide important market signals and potential revenue streams to support projects to reduce GHG emissions. These programs represent just a portion of the opportunities that exist at the federal, State, and local levels to incentivize GHG emissions reductions. The availability of dedicated and long-lasting funding sources is critical to help meet the State’s climate objectives and help provide certainty and additional partnership opportunities at the national, State, Tribal, regional, and local levels for further investing in projects that have the potential to expand investments in California’s clean economy and further reductions in GHG emissions. Public Education and Outreach Efforts California State agencies are committed to meaningful opportunities for public input and effective engagement with stakeholders and the public through the development of the Scoping Plan, and as measures are implemented through workshops, other meetings, and through the formal rulemaking process. Additionally, the State has broad public education and outreach campaigns to support markets for key technologies, like ZEVs and energy efficiency, as well as resources to support local and voluntary actions, such as CoolCalifornia.org. In developing this Scoping Plan, there has been extensive outreach with environmental justice organizations and disadvantaged communities. The EJAC launched a community engagement process starting in July 2016, conducting 19 community meetings throughout the State and collecting hundreds of individual comments. To enhance the engagement opportunity, CARB coordinated with local government agencies and sister State agencies to hold collaborative discussions with local residents about specific climate issues that impact their 106 lives. This effort was well received and attended by local community residents and initiated a new community engagement endeavor for CARB. Recognizing the value of the input received and the opportunity to present California’s climate strategy to communities across the State, CARB intends to continue this community involvement to generate awareness about California’s climate strategy and be responsive to specific community needs as climate programs are implemented. Conclusion This Scoping Plan continues more than a half-century of California’s nation-leading efforts to clean our air, our water and improve the environment. But, climate change poses a challenge of unprecedented proportions that will, in one way or another, impact all Californians whether they are city dwellers in Los Angeles, San Diego or San Francisco, farmers in Salinas or the Central Valley, or the millions of Californians who live in the Sierra or in the desert areas. This is the State’s climate action plan, and in a very real sense it belongs to all those Californians who are feeling, and will continue to feel, the impacts of climate change. Californians want to see continued effective action that addresses climate change and benefits California – this Plan responds to both of these goals. The Plan was developed by the coordinated consensus of State agencies, but it is really California’s Plan, because over the coming decades the approaches in this document will be carried out by all of us. In this Scoping Plan, every sector in our thriving economy plays a crucial role. Tribes, cities, and local governments are already rising to the challenge, and will play increasingly important roles with everything from low-carbon and cleaner transit, to more walkable streets and the development of vibrant urban communities. We will see a remarkable transformation of how we move throughout the state, away from cars that burn fossil fuels to cleaner, electric cars that will, in some cases, even drive themselves. Freight will be moved around the state by trucks that are vastly cleaner than those on the road now, with our ports moving towards zero- and near-zero emissions technologies. The heavily traveled Los Angeles-San Francisco corridor will be serviced by comfortable, clean and affordable high speed rail. In addition to reducing GHGs, these efforts will slash pollution now created from using gasoline and diesel fuel statewide, with the greatest benefits going to the disadvantaged communities of our state which are so often located adjacent to ports, railyards, freight distribution centers and freeways. And, thanks to the continued investment of proceeds from the Cap-and-Trade Program in these same communities, we can continue to work on bringing the benefits of clean technology – whether electric cars or solar roofs – to those in our state who need them the most. Climate change presents us with unprecedented challenges – challenges that cannot be met with traditional ways of thinking or conventional solutions. As Governor Brown has recognized, meeting these challenges will require “courage, creativity and boldness.” The last ten years proved to ourselves, and the world, that Californians recognize the danger of climate change. It has also demonstrated that developing mitigation strategies through a public process where all stakeholders have a voice leads to effective actions that address climate change while yielding a series of co-benefits to the state. This Scoping Plan builds on those early steps and moves into a new chapter that will deliver a thriving economy and a clean environment to our children and grandchildren. It is a commitment to the future, but it begins today by moving forward with the policies in this Plan. eduCation and environment initiative The California Environmental Protection Agency (CalEPA), the California Department of Education, and the California Natural Resources Agency have developed an environmental curriculum that is being taught in more than half of California’s school districts. The Education and Environment Initiative (EEI) provides California’s teachers with tools to educate students about the natural environment and how everyday choices can improve our planet and save money. 107 a bbrev I at I on S AB Assembly Bill AC air conditioning AEO Annual Energy Outlook AHSC Affordable Housing and Sustainable Communities ARFVTP Alternative and Renewable Fuel and Vehicle Technology Program BARCT best available retrofit control technology BAU business-as-usual BC British Columbia BEV Battery-electric vehicle CARB California Air Resources Board CAISO California Independent System Operator CalEPA California Environmental Protection Agency CALGreen California Green Building Standards CalPERS California Public Employees’ Retirement System CalSTA California State Transportation Agency CalSTRS California State Teachers’ Retirement System CAP Climate Action Plan CARE California Alternate Rates for Energy Program CDFA California Department of Food and Agriculture CDPH California Department of Public Health CEC California Energy Commission CEQA California Environmental Quality Act CFT Clean Fuels and Technology CH4 Methane CI carbon intensity CNRA California Natural Resources Agency CO2 carbon dioxide CO2e carbon dioxide equivalent COPD chronic obstructive pulmonary disease CPUC California Public Utilities Commission CSI California Solar Initiative dge diesel gallon equivalent DWR California Department of Water Resources EA Environmental Analysis EEI Education and Environment Initiative EIR Environmental Impact Report EJAC Environmental Justice Advisory Committee 108 EO Executive Order EPIC Electric Program Investment Charge Program F-gases fluorinated gases FCEV Fuel-cell electric vehicle FERA Family Electric Rate Assistance GCF Governors’ Climate and Forests Task Force GDP gross domestic product GGRF Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund GHG greenhouse gas GoBiz Governor’s Office of Business and Economic Development GWP global warming potential HCD California Department of Housing and Community Development HFC Hydrofluorocarbon HVAC heating, ventilation and air conditioning ICAP International Carbon Action Partnership IEPR Integrated Energy Policy Report IOU investor-owned utility IPCC United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IRP integrated resource plan IWG Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases LCFS Low Carbon Fuel Standard LCTOP Low Carbon Transit Operations Program LDV light-duty vehicle LED light-emitting diode LIWP Low-Income Weatherization Program LOS level of service MMTCO2e million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent MOU memorandum of understanding MPO metropolitan planning organization MRR Regulation for the Mandatory Reporting of GHG Emissions MTCO2 metric tons of carbon dioxide MW Megawatt N2O nitrous oxide NAICS North American Industry Classification System NEM Net-Energy Metering NF3 nitrogen trifluoride NOX nitrogen oxide NZE near-zero emission OEHHA Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment OPR Governor’s Office of Planning and Research 109 PEV plug-in electric vehicle PHEV Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle PFC Perfluorocarbon PM particulate matter PM2.5 fine particulate matter PMR Partnership for Market Readiness REMI Regional Economic Models, Inc. RES-BCT Renewable Energy Bill Credit RNG renewable natural gas RPS renewable portfolio standard RTP regional transportation plan SB Senate bill SCS Sustainable Communities Strategies SC-CO2 social cost of carbon SF6 sulfur hexafluoride SGC Strategic Growth Council SGIP Self-Generation Incentive Program SLCP Short-lived climate pollutant SWRCB State Water Resources Control Board TBD to be determined TCU Transportation Communications and Utilities TIRCP Transit and Intercity Rail Capital Program UCLA University of California, Los Angeles UHI urban heat island UIC International Union of Railways UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change USDA U.S. Department of Agriculture U.S. EPA United States Environmental Protection Agency VMT vehicle miles traveled WWTP waste water treatment plant ZE zero emission ZEV zero emission vehicles ES20 REDUCE “SUPER POLLUTANTS” 40% reduction in methane and HFCs CLEAN ENERGY At least 50% renewable electricity CLEAN TRANSIT 100% of new buses are zero-emission Double energy efficiency in existing buildings CLEAN CARS Over 4 million affordable electric cars on the road High density, transit-oriented housing Walkable & bikable communities On-road oil demand reduced by half CLEAN FUELS 18% carbon intensity reduction California’s 2030 Vision NATURAL & WORKING LANDS RESTORATION 15-20 million metric tons of reductions SUSTAINABLE FREIGHT Transitioning to zero emissions everywhere feasible, and near-zero emissions with renewable fuels everywhere else CAP-AND-TRADE Firm limit on 80% of emissions Exhibit 2  APPENDIX 2.1-A Ramboll Environ, Greenhouse Gas Emissions Technical Report, Landmark Village, Los Angeles County, California, October 2016 SR000395 Prepared for The Newhall Land and Farming Company Valencia, California Project Number 0534264Q Date October 2016 GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS TECHNICAL REPORT LANDMARK VILLAGE LOS ANGELES COUNTY, CALIFORNIA SR000396 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California i Contents Ramboll Environ CONTENTS Executive summary 1 1. Introduction 4 1.1 Project Description 4 1.2 Regulatory Framework Compliance 5 1.3 Mitigation Measures 5 1.4 Existing Condition 5 2. Scientific Background, Regulatory Background, and Significance Thresholds 7 2.1 Scientific Background 7 2.1.1 Science of Global Climate Change 7 2.1.2 Effects of Human Activity on Global Climate Change 9 2.1.3 Potential Effects of Climate Change on State of California 11 2.1.3.1 Air Quality 11 2.1.3.2 Water Supply 12 2.1.3.3 Hydrology 13 2.1.3.4 Agriculture 13 2.1.3.5 Ecosystems and Wildlife 14 2.2 Regulatory Setting 14 2.2.1 Federal 14 2.2.1.1 Clean Air Act 14 2.2.1.2 Federal Plan to Reduce GHG Emissions by 2025 14 2.2.1.3 Federal Vehicle Standards 15 2.2.1.4 Energy Independence and Security Act 15 2.2.2 State 16 2.2.2.1 Executive Order S-3-05 16 2.2.2.2 Assembly Bill 32 16 2.2.2.3 2015 State of the State Address 20 2.2.2.4 Executive Order B-30-15 20 2.2.2.5 2016 State of the State Address 20 2.2.2.6 Senate Bill 32 and Assembly Bill 197 20 2.2.2.7 Energy Sources 20 2.2.2.8 Mobile Sources 22 2.2.2.9 Solid Waste Diversion 25 2.2.2.10 CEQA Guidelines on GHG Emissions 26 2.2.3 Regional 26 2.2.3.1 SCAG’s Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy 26 2.2.3.2 South Coast Air Quality Management District 27 2.2.4 Local 31 2.2.4.1 County of Los Angeles General Plan and Community Climate Action Plan 31 2.2.4.2 Santa Clarita Valley Area Plan: One Valley One Vision 2012 32 2.2.4.3 Green Building Standards 32 2.2.5 Carbon Markets 32 2.2.5.1 Cap-and-Trade Program 33 2.2.5.2 Voluntary Markets 33 2.2.6 Significance Thresholds 35 SR000397 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California ii Contents Ramboll Environ CONTENTS (CONTINUED) 3. GHG Emissions Inventory 36 3.1 Measurement and Resources 36 3.1.1 Units of Measurement: Tonnes of CO2 and CO2e 36 3.1.2 Resources 36 3.1.2.1 CalEEMod® 36 3.1.2.2 Other Resources 38 3.1.3 Indirect GHG Emissions from Electricity Use 38 3.2 One-Time Emissions 39 3.2.1 Construction 39 3.2.1.1 Emissions from Construction Equipment 40 3.2.1.2 Emissions from On-Road Construction Trips 41 3.2.1.3 Total Construction Emissions 41 3.2.2 Vegetation Changes 42 3.2.2.1 Vegetation Change Emissions 42 3.3 Unmitigated Annual Operational Emissions 42 3.3.1 Area Sources 42 3.3.2 Energy Use 42 3.3.3 Water Supply, Treatment and Distribution 44 3.3.4 Solid Waste 45 3.3.5 Mobile Sources 46 Estimating Mobile Source Emissions 47 3.3.5.2 SCVCTM Data 47 3.3.5.3 Adjusting for Trip Generation Numbers 48 Deriving CalEEMod® Inputs 49 Summary of CalEEMod® Inputs 49 Mobile Source Emissions 50 4. Project Inventory in Context (Unmitigated) 51 4.1 Project Emissions Inventory 51 4.1.1 SCS Consistent Emissions Inventory 51 4.2 Statewide Emissions Reduction Targets 51 5. Mitigation Measures 52 5.1 List of Mitigation Measures 52 5.1.1 Mobile Related Emissions Reduction Methodology 58 5.2 Mitigation Measures 58 5.2.1 GCC-1. Residential ZNE 58 5.2.2 GCC-2. Non-Residential ZNE 60 5.2.3 GCC-3. Swimming Pool Heating 61 5.2.4 GCC-4. Residential EV Chargers and Vehicle Subsidy 62 5.2.5 GCC-5. Commercial Development Area EV Chargers 69 5.2.6 GCC-6. Transportation Demand Management Program 71 5.2.7 GCC-7. Traffic Signal Synchronization 71 5.2.8 GCC-8. Electric School Bus Funding Program 71 5.2.9 GCC-9. Subsidy for Electric Transit Buses 72 5.2.10 GCC-10. Carbon Credits 73 5.2.11 GCC-11. Off-site Retrofit Program 73 SR000398 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California iii Contents Ramboll Environ CONTENTS (CONTINUED) 5.2.12 GCC-12. Off-site Electric Vehicle Chargers 73 5.2.13 GCC-13. GHG Reduction Plan 74 6. Project Inventory in Context (Mitigated) 75 6.1 Project Emissions Inventory 75 6.1.1 SCS Consistent Emissions Inventory 75 6.2 Statewide Emissions Reduction Targets 75 TABLES Table ES-1. Summary of Existing On-Site GHG Emissions Table ES-2. Summary of 2024 Project GHG Emissions Table ES-3. Summary of GHG Emissions Reductions due to Mitigation Measures (2024) Table ES-4. Summary of 2024 Project GHG Emissions (SCS Consistent) Table 1-1. Project Statistical Summary Table 1-2. List of Applicable Regulatory Standards Table 2-1. GHG Emissions Sources Covered by Cap-and-Trade Program Table 3-1. Project Land Uses and Square Footage Table 3-2. Analyzed Emissions Inventories Table 3-3. Construction Schedule Assumptions Table 3-4. Construction Equipment Mix Assumptions Table 3-5. Summary of Construction Worker, Vendor and Hauling Trips Table 3-6. Building Construction and Architectural Coating Worker and Vendor Trips Adjustment Table 3-7. Annual GHG Construction Emissions from Off-Road Equipment Table 3-8. Annual GHG Construction Emissions from On-Road Vehicles Table 3-9. Summary of GHG Construction Emissions Table 3-10a. Number of Net New Trees Table 3-10b. Vegetation Change Evaluation Table 3-11. GHG Emissions from Area Sources Table 3-12. Utility GHG Emission Factor Associated with Renewable Portfolio Standard Table 3-13a. Residential Electricity and Natural Gas Usage Rates Table 3-13b. Non-Residential Electricity and Natural Gas Usage Rate Table 3-14a. GHG Emissions Associated with Swimming Pools Table 3-14b. GHG Emissions Associated with Electricity and Natural Gas Table 3-15a. Project Water Demand SR000399 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California iv Contents Ramboll Environ TABLES (CONTINUED) Table 3-15b. GHG Emissions Reductions Associated with Recycled Water Table 3-15c. GHG Emissions Associated with Water Use Table 3-16. GHG Emissions Associated with Waste Table 3-17a. SCVCTM Daily Tripend Generation Table 3-17b. SCVCTM Average Trip Length Data Table 3-17c. SCVCTM Tripend Internalization Percentages Table 3-17d. Daily Trip Generation (Adjusted Internal Trips) Table 3-17e. Calculating Total Daily VMT Table 3-17f. Trip Lengths and Trip Rates for CalEEMod® Table 3-17g. CalEEMod® Input Assumptions for Traffic Table 3-18. GHG Emissions Associated With Traffic Table 4-1. Summary of Assumptions Table 4-2. Unmitigated Project GHG Emissions: Percentage Contribution to Existing International, National, State, and County Inventories Table 4-3. Service Population Calculations Table 4-4. 2024 Unmitigated Project GHG Emissions (SCS Consistent) Table 5-1a. GHG Emissions Reduction due to Residential 2019 Title 24 Building Features Table 5-1b. GHG Emissions Reduction due to Residential ZNE Building Solar PV Table 5-1c. Total GHG Emissions Reductions due to Residential ZNE Building Features and Solar PV Table 5-2a. GHG Emissions Reduction due to Non-Residential 2019 Title 24 Building Features Table 5-2b. GHG Emissions Reduction due to Non-Residential ZNE Building Solar PV Table 5-2c. Total GHG Emissions Reductions due to Non-Residential ZNE Building Features and Solar PV Table 5-3. GHG Emissions Reductions for Residential Electric Vehicles Table 5-4. GHG Emissions Reductions for Commercial Development Area Electric Vehicle Charging Stations Table 5-5. GHG Emissions Reductions due to Transportation Demand Management Table 5-6. GHG Emissions Reductions due to Traffic Signal Synchronization Table 5-7. GHG Emissions Reduction to Replace CNG with Electric School Buses Table 5-8. GHG Emissions Reduction to Replace Transit CNG Buses with Electric Buses Table 5-9. GHG Emissions Reduction due to Building Retrofit Program Table 6-1. Summary of GHG Emissions Reductions due to Mitigation Measures (2024 SCS Consistent) SR000400 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California v Contents Ramboll Environ FIGURE Figure 1-1: Landmark Village Land Use Plan APPENDICES Appendix A: Calculation Methodology for GHG Emissions under Existing Conditions Appendix B: CalEEMod® Output Files Appendix C: ConSol Residential and Commercial Building Analysis Report Appendix D: Stantec Trip Rate and Trip Length Estimates Appendix E: Fehr & Peers Transportation Demand Management Program Technical Memorandum Appendix F: Newhall Ranch GHG Reduction Plan Appendix G: Newhall Ranch Building Retrofit Program Appendix H: Forecasting Electric Vehicle Purchases in the Newhall Ranch Community Appendix I: Stantec Traffic Signal Synchronization Analysis Appendix J: ConSol Energy Efficiency Upgrades for Existing Buildings Appendix K: Offsets Analysis Appendix L: GHG Emissions Modeling: Post-2010 Modifications to Methodologies Appendix M: Consistency with CARB Scoping Plan \\Env-SF-File1\public\Air\Newhall Plan B\7 Report\Landmark\2016-11-07 Landmark Village GHG TR.docx SR000401 Acronyms and Abbreviations Ramboll Environ ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS AB Assembly Bill ACC Advanced Clean Cars ACR American Carbon Registry AEA Additional Environmental Analysis AEP Association of Environmental Professionals AR4 IPCC’s Forth Assessment Report AR5 IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report AvgHP Maximum rated average horsepower BAAQMD Bay Area Air Quality Management District BAU Business-As-Usual BEV battery-electric vehicles bhp break horsepower BPS Best Performance Standards CalEEMod® California Emission Estimator Model® CalGreen The California Green Building Standards CalRecycle California Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery CAPCOA California Air Pollution Control Officers Association CAR Climate Action Reserve CARB California Air Resources Board CCAP Community Climate Action Plan CCCC California Climate Change Center CCR California Code of Regulations CDM Clean Development Mechanism CEC California Energy Commission CEQA California Environmental Quality Act CEUS Commercial End-Use Survey CFC Chlorofluorocarbon CH4 Methane CNG compressed natural gas CO2 Carbon Dioxide CO2e CO2 Equivalents SR000402 Acronyms and Abbreviations Ramboll Environ ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS CPUC California Public Utilities Commission CVRP Clean Vehicle Rebate Project DC Direct Current DOE Department of Energy DOT Department of Transportation DWR Department of Water Resources E3 Energy + Environmental Economics EDR Energy Design Rating EF Emission factor EGU electric generation units EIR Environmental Impact Report EISA Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 EMFAC EMission FACtor Model Ramboll Environ Ramboll Environ US Corporation, formerly ENVIRON US Corporation EO Executive Order ES Executive Summary EV Electric Vehicle EVSE electric vehicle supply equipment ft feet g gram GHG Greenhouse Gas GW Gigawatt GWP Global Warming Potential HFCs Hydrofluorocarbons hr hour ICEV internal combustion engine vehicles IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change KW Kilowatt kWh Kilowatt-hour lbs Pounds SR000403 Acronyms and Abbreviations Ramboll Environ ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS LCFS Low Carbon Fuel Standard LOS levels of service LAX Los Angeles International Airport m meter MSW Municipal Solid Waste MT Metric Tonnes MTCO2e Metric Tonnes of CO2 Equivalent MT/year Metric Tonnes per Year MW Megawatt MWh Megawatt-Hour N2O Nitrous Oxide NHTSA National Highway Traffic Safety Administration NRSP Newhall Ranch Specific Plan OFFROAD Emissions Inventory Program model OPR Office of Planning and Research PEV plug-in electric vehicles PHEV plug-in hybrid electric vehicles ppm Parts Per Million Pop population PUP Power/Utility Protocol PV Photovoltaic RCP Representative Concentration Pathways RFS Renewable Fuel Standard RMDP Resource Management and Development Plan RPH range of miles traveled per hour RPS Renewables Portfolio Standard RTP Regional Transportation Plan SB Senate Bill SCAG Southern California Association of Governments SCAQMD South Coast Air Quality Management District SR000404 Acronyms and Abbreviations Ramboll Environ ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS SCE Southern California Edison SCP Spineflower Conservation Plan SCS Sustainable Communities Strategy SCVCTM Santa Clarita Valley Consolidated Traffic Model SEA Significant Ecological Area SJVAPCD San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District SLOAPCD San Luis Obispo Air Pollution Control District SMAQMD Sacramento Metropolitan Air Quality Management District SRES Special Report on Emissions Scenarios SWP State Water Project TDV Time Dependent Valuation TAZ Traffic Analysis Zones TDM Transportation Demand Management TSF thousand square feet UCS Union of Concerned Scientists USDOE US Department of Energy USEPA United States Environmental Protection Agency VCS Verified Carbon Standard VMT Vehicle Miles Traveled VTTM Vesting Tentative Tract Map WRP Water Reclamation Plant yd yard ZEV Zero emission vehicles ZNE Zero Net Energy SR000405 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 1 Executive summary Ramboll Environ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY As described further in Section 1.1, Landmark Village (“Project”) would accommodate 1,444 homes (specifically, 270 single-family and 1,174 multi-family homes, including 69 mixed-use/multi-family homes and 1,033,000 square feet of commercial (retail/office) uses. The Project also would include a 9.7-acre elementary school, 9.9-acre community park, 1.3-acre fire station, park and ride facility, and 76.7 acres of open space (including a community park, recreation areas, trails, and a trailhead). Landmark Village also proposes supporting facilities and infrastructure, including roads, the Long Canyon Road Bridge, trails, drainage improvements, flood protection, potable and recycled water systems, a sanitary sewer system, and dry utilities systems. The analysis provided in this report recommends the adoption of a number of mitigation measures to reduce Project-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The mitigation measures would create a new paradigm in land use planning and achieve growth without increased GHG emissions (i.e., net zero GHG emissions), establishing a precedent-setting achievement consistent with the state’s GHG climate change policies. The recommended mitigation measures would result in the establishment of a planned community with zero net GHG emissions by placing high emphasis on on-site, innovative energy efficiencies and solar energy generation within the community’s homes and buildings. Additionally, the transportation (mobile) emissions mitigation measures include an innovative, robust Transportation Demand Management (TDM) program that focuses on reducing vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and providing incentives to accelerate deployment of zero-emission electric vehicles. The details of these mitigation measures and their effectiveness at reducing Project emissions are presented in Section 5. This Executive Summary includes a short description of the scope, methodology, and results of the analysis’ assessment of GHG emissions from the Project. As shown in this analysis, the Project’s GHG emissions total would be reduced from that reported in the previously certified 2011 Environmental Impact Report (EIR) with implementation of the recommended mitigation measures. The GHG emissions inventory presented in Section 3 of this analysis includes the following sources of emissions: (1) area sources (e.g., landscaping-related fuel combustion sources); (2) energy use associated with residential and non-residential buildings; (3) water and wastewater treatment and distribution; (4) solid waste; (5) mobile sources (e.g., passenger vehicles); (6) construction; and (7) vegetation changes. The ongoing operational emissions consist of the first five categories, while the one-time emissions are associated with construction and vegetation changes. The typical types of GHG emissions resulting from mixed-use developments such as the Project are emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O). GHG emissions are typically measured in terms of tonnes of CO2 equivalents (CO2e), calculated as the product of the mass emitted of a given GHG and its specific global warming potential (GWP). SR000406 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 2 Executive summary Ramboll Environ This analysis primarily utilized the California Emission Estimator Model version 2013.2.2 (CalEEMod®)1 to assist in quantifying the GHG emissions in the inventories presented in this report for the Project. CalEEMod® is a statewide program designed to calculate both criteria and GHG emissions from development projects in California. Third-party studies were also relied upon to support analyses and assumptions made outside of CalEEMod®. The analysis provided in this report evaluates the significance of the Project’s GHG emissions by reference to the following questions from Section VII, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, of Appendix G of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Guidelines: Threshold 1. Would the Project generate GHG emissions, either directly or indirectly, that may have a significant impact on the environment? Threshold 2. Would the Project conflict with an applicable plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of GHGs? This report, relative to Threshold 2, addresses whether the Project would conflict with the statewide emission reduction targets for 2020, 2030 and 2050. Section 2.1, Global Climate Change and Greenhouse Gas Emissions, of the Project’s additional environmental analysis also addresses whether the Project would conflict with the County of Los Angeles’ Community Climate Action Plan (CCAP), the 2012 and 2016 Sustainable Communities Strategy plans adopted by the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG), and the emission reduction measures outlined in the California Air Resources Board’s (CARB) Scoping Plan. That analysis is supported – in part – by analyses completed by Meridian Consultants and Stantec. To address Threshold 1, and as discussed in Sections 4.1 and 6.1, this report estimates the GHG emissions resulting from the Project. As documented in subsequent portions of this report and shown in Table Executive Summary (ES)-1, the Project site – in its existing condition – emits 698 metric tonnes (MT) of CO2e per year, whereas the Mitigated Project will emit zero metric tonnes of CO2 equivalent (MTCO2e) per year (as shown in Table ES- 2). The Project will not result in a significant impact to global climate change because there will not be a net increase in GHG emissions as compared to the existing GHG emission levels. As discussed in more detail below, for purposes of Threshold 2, because there will be no net increase in GHG emissions, the Project will not conflict with applicable plans, policies and regulations, including statewide policies for the reduction of GHG emissions in 2020, 2030 and 2050. Table ES-3 shows the GHG reductions achieved by each of the recommended mitigation measures. The report also compares the Project’s emissions to an emissions inventory that excludes emissions associated with cars and light-duty trucks. As shown in Table ES-4, the Mitigated Project’s emissions are less than zero, after excluding light-duty vehicle emissions from the emissions inventory, due to the continued application of the Project’s GHG Reduction Plan. While the recommended mitigation measures ensure that the Mitigated Project’s emissions are reduced to zero, as presented in Sections 4.2 and 6.2, there is also evidence that the evolving regulatory framework and improving technologies will result in the Project’s 1 SCAQMD. 2013. California Emissions Estimator Model®. Available at: http://www.CalEEMod.com/. Accessed: September 2016. SR000407 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 3 Executive summary Ramboll Environ emissions inventory decreasing with time, consistent with the state’s 2030 and 2050 targets for securing further reductions in California’s GHG emissions level. In particular, in order to reach Executive Order S-3-05's 2050 goal, additional regulatory and technological advancements, such as decarbonization of the fuel supply, will need to occur.2 Reducing the carbon content of motor fuels and fuels for electricity generation will reduce CO2e emissions from this Project. Therefore, it is reasonable to expect the Project’s emissions level to decline as the regulatory initiatives identified by California Air Resources Board (CARB) in the First Update are implemented, and other technological innovations occur. Stated differently, the Project’s emissions total at build-out represents the maximum emissions inventory for the Project as California’s emissions sources are being regulated (and foreseeably expected to continue to be regulated in the future) in furtherance of the State’s environmental policy objectives. Given the Project’s mitigating to zero emissions, as well as the reasonably anticipated decline in Project emissions from regulatory and technological advancements, the Project would not impede efforts by the state to meet Senate Bill (SB) 32’s 2030 target or Executive Order S-3-05’s 2050 target. 2 California Energy Commission. 2007. State Alternative Fuels Plan. December. CEC-600-2007-011-CMF. Available at: http://www.energy.ca.gov/2007publications/CEC-600-2007-011/CEC-600-2007-011-CMF.PDF. Accessed: September 2016. SR000408 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 4 Introduction Ramboll Environ 1. INTRODUCTION The purpose of this technical report is to present the quantitative analyses that were used to evaluate the Project’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Emissions during both construction and operation of the Project were quantified. For purposes of the latter category of emissions, both Unmitigated and Mitigated Project emissions were quantified in the Project’s build-out year (2024). Legislation and rules regarding climate change, as well as the scientific understanding of the extent to which different activities emit GHGs, continue to evolve; as such, the inventory in this report is a reflection of the guidance and knowledge currently available. 1.1 Project Description Landmark Village would implement one of five villages within the Newhall Ranch Specific Plan area, which was approved by the County of Los Angeles in 2003. The approved Specific Plan authorizes a large-scale mixed-used community located in unincorporated Santa Clarita Valley in northwestern Los Angeles County. The Specific Plan specifically will guide the long-term development and conservation of the 11,999- acre Newhall Ranch community, as approved to include a broad range of residential, mixed-use, commercial/retail uses within five interrelated villages. The Landmark Village project site, inclusive of the tract map and off-site improvements, is situated on approximately 1,042 acres. As approved by the County Board of Supervisors on February 21, 2012, Landmark Village would accommodate 1,444 homes (specifically, 270 single-family and 1,174 multi-family homes, including 69 mixed-use/multi-family homes) and 1,033,000 square feet of commercial (retail/office) uses. The project also would include a 9.7-acre elementary school, a 9.9-acre community park, 1.3-acre fire station, a park and ride facility, and 76.7 acres of open space (including a community park, recreation areas, trails, and a trailhead). Landmark Village would further include supporting facilities and infrastructure, including roads, the Long Canyon Road Bridge, trails, drainage improvements, flood protection, potable and recycled water systems, a sanitary sewer system, and dry utilities systems. To facilitate development of the Landmark Village tract map site (Vesting Tentative Tract Map 53108), project-related improvements are proposed for construction outside the tract map boundary. These off-site improvements include a utility corridor; a potable water tank and the conversion of an existing potable tank to a recycled water tank; construction of the Long Canyon Road bridge, bank stabilization, storm drainage improvements, and four debris basins; and, various grading activities, including grading to accommodate SR-126 road improvements and the utility corridor. The Landmark Village project’s development/grading footprint is approximately 1,042 acres, and the total amount of grading (for the tract map and off-site improvements) is estimated at 7.0 million cubic yards. As demonstrated in this technical report, the Landmark Village project, if reapproved, would include additional mitigation measures to reduce the project’s greenhouse gas emissions impacts from that reported in the previously certified 2011 Environmental Impact Report (EIR). In 2012, when Landmark Village was approved, the County Board adopted the following project approvals: (a) VTTM 53108-(5), (b) Significant Ecological Area (SEA) Conditional Use Permit No. 2005-00112-(5), (c) Conditional Use Permit 00-196-(5), SR000409 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 5 Introduction Ramboll Environ (d) Oak Tree Permit No. 00-196-(5), (e) General Plan Amendment No. 00-196-(5), (f) Specific Plan Amendment No. 00-196-(5), and (g) Local Plan Amendment No. 00-196- (5). There are no proposed changes with regard to the Landmark Village project’s discretionary project approvals. Figure 1-1, Landmark Village Land Use Plan, depicts the Landmark Village land use plan approved by the County Board of Supervisors in February 2012. This plan remains the same as when it was approved in February 2012. Table 1-1, Landmark Village Tract Map Statistical Summary, identifies the Landmark Village individual land use types; the corresponding acreages; and the total units or square footage. This summary also presents the same Landmark Village project data as approved in February 2012. This data provides the basis for the analysis of greenhouse gas emissions associated with the Landmark Village project. 1.2 Regulatory Framework Compliance As a matter of law, the Project will comply with applicable Federal, State, Regional, and County requirements. Many of the applicable regulatory standards are summarized in Table 1-2 and apply to different GHG-generating activities/sources, including construction, landscape equipment, building energy, passenger vehicles, medium- and heavy-duty trucks, solid waste, water usage, and vegetation. Table 1-2 notes whether the emissions reductions resulting from implementation of the regulatory standards are quantified in the Project’s unmitigated and mitigated emissions inventories. As illustrated in Table 1-2, several regulatory standards were not incorporated due to the difficulty associated with modeling and quantifying the reductions. Incorporating these regulations would further reduce Project emissions; as such, the emissions estimates presented in this report provide a conservative representation of Project emissions. 1.3 Mitigation Measures Mitigation measures are recommended to reduce the Project’s emissions to levels below significance for purposes of California Environmental Quality Act CEQA. The mitigation measures achieve growth without increased GHG emissions, establishing a precedent-setting milestone consistent with the state’s GHG/climate change policies. The mitigation measures recommended for the Project place high emphasis on and prioritize on-site, innovative energy efficiencies and renewable energy generation within the community’s homes and buildings. Additionally, the transportation (mobile)- oriented mitigation measures include the implementation of a robust Transportation Demand Management (TDM) Plan that focuses on reducing vehicle miles traveled and provide incentives to accelerate the deployment of various categories of zero-emission electric vehicles (EVs). The details of these mitigation measures and their effectiveness at reducing Project emissions are presented in Section 5. 1.4 Existing Condition The Project site is generally comprised of vacant land, some agricultural uses, water wells, abandoned oil wells, and associated access roads. The area for agricultural uses is approximately 424.6 acres; for purposes of this analysis, it is conservatively assumed that the agricultural acreage would be permanently eliminated due to Project buildout. The Project site is periodically leased to the movie industry for set locations. All existing emission sources would be eliminated during Project buildout. Appendix A of this report describes in detail the existing land use and associated GHG emissions from those existing on-site land uses. The existing condition emissions inventory is SR000410 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 6 Introduction Ramboll Environ estimated at 698 Metric Tonnes (MT) CO2e per year, as shown in Table Executive Summary (ES)-1. If any existing emissions (e.g., from agricultural uses) are permanently removed due to the Project development, the GHG emissions associated with those existing operations could be considered permanently removed from the global GHG emissions inventory.3 3 This analysis does not quantitatively account for the Project’s elimination of some existing sources of GHG emissions located within the Project site’s development footprint. This analytical approach is conservative because, as recognized by the Bay Area Air Quality Management District, if a proposed project involves the removal of existing emission sources, the existing emissions level should be subtracted from the emissions level estimated for the new proposed land uses in order to accurately quantify the change to environmental conditions. See BAAQMD, 2012. California Environmental Quality Act Air Quality Guidelines. Page 4-5. Available at: http://www.baaqmd.gov/~/media/files/planning-and-research/ceqa/baaqmd-ceqa- guidelines_final_may-2012.pdf?la=en. Accessed: September 2016. SR000411 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 52 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ 5. MITIGATION MEASURES This section describes the mitigation measures developed for the Project that are recommended for adoption. The section summarizes the mitigation measures and describes the anticipated emission reductions based on the unmitigated emissions inventory. The mitigation measures recommended here are intended to replace in full the mitigation measures contained in Section 8.0 of the previously certified EIR (2011). 5.1 List of Mitigation Measures The 13 mitigation measures set forth below, are identical to those recommended for system-wide implementation across the applicant’s land holdings where development would be facilitated by California Department of Fish and Wildlife’s Resource Management and Development Plan and Spineflower Conservation Plan (RMDP/SCP) Project.106 Building Energy Efficiency  GCC-1. Prior to the issuance of residential building permits, the project applicant or its designee shall submit a Zero Net Energy Confirmation Report (ZNE Report) prepared by a qualified building energy efficiency and design consultant to Los Angeles County for review and approval. The ZNE Report shall demonstrate that the residential development within the RMDP/SCP project site subject to application of Title 24, Part 6, of the California Code of Regulations has been designed and shall be constructed to achieve ZNE, as defined by CEC in its 2015 Integrated Energy Policy Report, or otherwise achieve an equivalent level of energy efficiency, renewable energy generation or greenhouse gas emissions savings. A ZNE Report may, but is not required to: (1) Evaluate multiple buildings and/or land use types. For example, a ZNE Report may cover all of the residential and commercial buildings within a neighborhood/community, or a subset thereof. (2) Rely upon aggregated or community-based strategies to support its determination that the subject buildings are designed to achieve ZNE. For example, shortfalls in renewable energy generation for one or more buildings may be offset with excess renewable generation from one or more other buildings, or off-site renewable energy generation. As such, a ZNE Report could determine a building is designed to achieve ZNE based on aggregated or community-based strategies even if the building on its own may not be designed to achieve ZNE. (3) Make reasonable assumptions about the estimated electricity and natural gas loads and energy efficiencies of the subject buildings. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.)  GCC-2. Prior to the issuance of building permits for commercial development and private recreation centers, and prior to the commencement of construction for the public facilities, respectively, the project applicant or its designee shall submit a Zero 106 The RMDP/SCP Project’s geographic boundaries encompass three planning areas: the Newhall Ranch Specific Plan, Valencia Commerce Center, and Entrada. As previously discussed, the Landmark Village Project is one of five inter-related, mixed-use villages located within the Newhall Ranch Specific Plan area proposed for development by the applicant. SR000457 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 53 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ Net Energy Confirmation Report (ZNE Report) prepared by a qualified building energy efficiency and design consultant to Los Angeles County for review and approval. The ZNE Report shall demonstrate that the commercial development, private recreation centers, and public facilities within the RMDP/SCP project site subject to application of Title 24, Part 6, of the California Code of Regulations have been designed and shall be constructed to achieve ZNE, as defined by CEC in its 2015 Integrated Energy Policy Report, or otherwise achieve an equivalent level of energy efficiency, renewable energy generation or GHG gas emissions savings. (“Commercial development” includes retail, light industrial, office, hotel, and mixed-use buildings. “Public facilities” are fire stations, libraries, and elementary, middle/junior high and high schools.) A ZNE Report may, but is not required to: (1) Evaluate multiple buildings and/or land use types. For example, a ZNE Report may cover all of the residential and non-residential buildings within a neighborhood/community, or a subset thereof. (2) Rely upon aggregated or community-based strategies to support its determination that the subject buildings are designed to achieve ZNE. For example, short falls in renewable energy generation for one or more buildings may be offset with excess renewable generation from one or more other buildings, or off-site renewable energy generation. As such, a ZNE Report could determine a building is designed to achieve ZNE based on aggregated or community-based strategies even if the building on its own may not be designed to achieve ZNE. (3) Make reasonable assumptions about the estimated electricity and natural gas loads and energy efficiencies of the subject buildings. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.)  GCC-3. Prior to the issuance of private recreation center building permits, the project applicant or its designee shall submit swimming pool heating design plans to Los Angeles County for review and approval. The design plans shall demonstrate that all swimming pools located at private recreation centers on the RMDP/SCP project site have been designed and shall be constructed to use solar water heating or other technology with an equivalent level of energy efficiency. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.) Mobile Sources  GCC-4. Prior to the issuance of residential building permits, the project applicant or its designee shall submit building design plans, to Los Angeles County for review and approval, which demonstrate that each residence within the RMDP/SCP project site subject to application of Title 24, Part 6, of the California Code of Regulations shall be equipped with a minimum of one single-port electric vehicle (EV) charging station. Each charging station shall achieve a similar or better functionality as a Level 2 charging station. Additionally, prior to the issuance of the first building permit for the RMDP/SCP project site, the project applicant or its designee shall establish and fund a dedicated account for the provision of subsidies for the purchase of ZEVs, as SR000458 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 54 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ defined by ARB. The project applicant or its designee shall provide proof of the account’s establishment and funding to Los Angeles County. The dedicated account shall be incrementally funded, for each village-level project, in an amount that equals the provision of a $1,000 subsidy per residence – on a first-come, first-served basis – for 50 percent of the village’s total residences subject to application of Title 24, Part 6, of the California Code of Regulations. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.)  GCC-5. Prior to the issuance of commercial building permits, the project applicant or its designee shall submit building design plans, to Los Angeles County, which demonstrate that the parking areas for commercial buildings on the RMDP/SCP project site shall be equipped with EV charging stations that provide charging opportunities to 7.5 percent of the total number of required parking spaces. (“Commercial buildings” include retail, light industrial, office, hotel, and mixed-use buildings.) The EV charging stations shall achieve a similar or better functionality as a Level 2 charging station. In the event that the installed charging stations use more superior functionality/technology than Level 2 charging stations, the parameters of the mitigation obligation (i.e., number of parking spaces served by EV charging stations) shall reflect the comparative equivalency of Level 2 charging stations to the installed charging stations on the basis of average charge rate per hour. For purposes of this equivalency demonstration, Level 2 charging stations shall be assumed to provide charging capabilities of 25 range miles per hour. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.)  GCC-6. The project applicant-submitted Newhall Ranch Transportation Demand Management Plan (TDM Plan), located in Appendix E, shall be implemented to reduce VMT resulting from project build out with oversight from Los Angeles County. The TDM Plan is designed to influence the transportation choices of residents, students, employees, and visitors, and serves to enhance the use of alternative transportation modes both on and off the project site through the provision of incentives and subsidies, expanded transit opportunities, bikeshare and carshare programs, technology-based programs, and other innovative means. Implementation of relevant elements of the TDM Plan will be included as a condition of approval by Los Angeles County when approving tentative subdivision maps for land developments that are part of the project. Accordingly, the TDM Plan identifies key implementation actions that are critical to the effectiveness of the VMT-reducing strategies, as well as timeline and phasing requirements, monitoring standards, and performance metrics and targets tailored to each of the strategies. In accordance with the TDM Plan, a non-profit Transportation Management Organization (TMO) or equivalent management entity shall be established to provide the services required, as applicable. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.) SR000459 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 55 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ  GCC-7. Prior to the issuance of traffic signal permits, the project applicant or its designee shall work with Los Angeles County and the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans), as applicable, to facilitate traffic signal coordination along: (1) State Route 126 from the Los Angeles County line to the Interstate 5 north-bound ramps; (2) Chiquito Canyon Road, Long Canyon Road, and Valencia Boulevard within the RMDP/SCP Project site; (3) Magic Mountain Parkway from Long Canyon Road to the Interstate 5 north-bound ramps; and, (4) Commerce Center Drive from Franklin Parkway to Magic Mountain Parkway. To effectuate the signal synchronization and specifically the operational and timing adjustments needed at affected traffic signals, the project applicant or its designee shall submit traffic signal plans for review and approval, and/or pay needed fees as determined by Los Angeles County or Caltrans, as applicable. A majority of the signals that will be synchronized will be new signals constructed/installed by the project. Thus, for these signals, the project will provide the necessary equipment at the signal controller cabinet, as well as within the new roadways themselves, to enable and facilitate synchronization. The project is responsible for paying 100 percent of the applicable fee amount for the signal synchronization work, with assurance that the necessary funding will be available to fully implement this measure. (For purposes of the Landmark Village Project, the following roadway segments shall be subject to traffic signal synchronization improvements: (a) SR-126 from west of Chiquita Canyon Road to east of Wolcott Way (adjacent to the Landmark Village boundary); and, (b) Long Canyon Road (within the Landmark Village boundary).)  GCC-8. Consistent with the parameters of the Newhall Ranch TDM Plan, the project applicant or its designee shall provide Los Angeles County with proof that funding has been provided for the purchase, operation and maintenance of electric school buses in furtherance of the school bus program identified in the project’s TDM Plan. The proof of funding shall be demonstrated incrementally as the school bus program is paced to village-level occupancy and student enrollment levels. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.)  GCC-9. Prior to the issuance of the first 2,000th residential building permit within the RMDP/SCP project site and every 2,000th residential building permit thereafter, the project applicant or its designee shall provide Los Angeles County with proof that it has provided a subsidy of $100,000 per bus for the replacement of up to 10 diesel or compressed natural gas transit buses with electric buses to the identified transit provider(s). (The Landmark Village Project shall be responsible for its proportional share of the referenced subsidies.) SR000460 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 56 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ Construction Sources  GCC-10. Prior to issuing grading permits for village-level development within the RMDP/SCP project site, Los Angeles County shall confirm that the project applicant or its designee shall fully mitigate the related construction and vegetation change GHG emissions (the “Incremental Construction GHG Emissions”) by relying upon one of the following compliance options, or a combination thereof, in accordance with the project applicant-submitted Newhall Ranch GHG Reduction Plan (GHG Reduction Plan; see Appendix F): (1) Directly undertake or fund activities that reduce or sequester GHG emissions and retire the associated GHG reduction credits in a quantity equal to the Incremental Construction GHG Emissions; or (2) Obtain and retire carbon credits that have been issued by a recognized and reputable carbon registry, as described in the GHG Reduction Plan, in a quantity equal to the Incremental Construction GHG Emissions. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.) Off-site Mitigation  GCC-11. Prior to the issuance of building permits for every 100 residential units or 100,000 square feet of commercial development for each village-level project, the project applicant or its designee shall provide proof of funding of the proportional percentage of the Building Retrofit Program (Retrofit Program), as included in Appendix G, to Los Angeles County. (“Commercial development” includes retail, light industrial, office, hotel and mixed-use buildings.) Building retrofits covered by the Retrofit Program can include, but are not limited to: cool roofs, solar panels, solar water heaters, smart meters, energy efficient lighting (including, but not limited to, light bulb replacement), energy efficient appliances, energy efficient windows, insulation, and water conservation measures. The Retrofit Program shall be implemented within the geographic area defined to include Los Angeles County and primarily within disadvantaged communities, as defined by the Retrofit Program, or in other areas accepted by the Los Angeles County Planning Director. Funding shall be applied to implement retrofits strategies identified in the Retrofit Program or other comparable strategies accepted by the Los Angeles County Planning Director. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.)  GCC-12. Prior to the issuance of the first building permit for the RMDP/SCP project site, the project applicant or its designee shall provide Los Angeles County with proof of installation of EV charging stations capable of serving 20 off-site parking spaces. Thereafter, the project applicant or its designee shall provide Los Angeles County proof of installation of EV charging stations prior to the issuance of residential and commercial building permits per the following ratios: one (1) off-site parking space shall be served by an electric vehicle charging station for every 30 dwelling units, and one (1) off-site parking space shall be served by an electric vehicle charging station for every 7,000 square feet of commercial development. (“Commercial development” SR000461 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 57 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ includes retail, light industrial, office, hotel and mixed-use buildings.) Off-site EV charging stations capable of servicing 2,036 parking spaces would be required if the maximum allowable development facilitated by the RMDP/SCP project occurs; fewer EV charging stations would be required if maximum build-out under the RMDP/SCP project does not occur. The EV charging stations shall achieve a similar or better functionality as a Level 2 charging station and may service one or more parking spaces. In the event that the installed charging stations use more superior functionality/technology than Level 2 charging stations, the parameters of the mitigation obligation (i.e., number of parking spaces served by EV charging stations) shall reflect the comparative equivalency of Level 2 charging stations to the installed charging stations on the basis of average charge rate per hour. For purposes of this equivalency demonstration, Level 2 charging stations shall be assumed to provide charging capabilities of 25 range miles per hour. The EV charging stations shall be located within the geographic area defined to include Los Angeles County, and in areas that are generally accessible to the public. For example, the charging stations may be located in areas that include, but are not limited to, retail centers, employment centers, recreational facilities, schools, and other categories of public facilities. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change.)  GCC-13. In addition to GCC-1 through GCC-12, the project applicant shall offset GHG emissions to zero by funding activities that directly reduce or sequester GHG emissions or, if necessary, obtaining carbon credits through the Newhall Ranch GHG Reduction Plan. The project applicant-submitted Newhall Ranch GHG Reduction Plan focuses on achieving GHG reductions or sequestration through the direct investment in specific programs or projects in coordination with an accredited carbon registry, such as the Climate Action Reserve. If these direct investment efforts do not achieve an adequate amount of GHG reductions, the project applicant can obtain carbon credits from accredited carbon registries. SCAQMD recommends that mitigation be considered in the following prioritized manner: (1) project design feature/on-site reduction measures; (2) off-site within neighborhood; (3) off-site within district; (4) off-site within state; and (5) off-site out of state (SCAQMD 2008). Prior to issuing building permits for development within the project site, Los Angeles County shall confirm that the project applicant or its designee shall fully offset the project’s remaining (i.e., post implementation of GCC-1 through GCC-12) operational GHG emissions over the 30-year project life associated with such building permits (“Incremental Operational GHG Emissions) by relying upon one of the following compliance options, or a combination thereof, in accordance with the Newhall Ranch GHG Reduction Plan: (1) Demonstrate that the project applicant has directly undertaken or funded activities that reduce or sequester GHG emissions (“Direct Reduction Activities”) that are estimated to result in GHG reduction credits, as described in the GHG Reduction Plan, and retire such GHG reduction credits in a quantity equal to the Incremental Operational GHG emissions; SR000462 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 58 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ (2) Provide a guarantee that it shall retire carbon credits issued in connection with Direct Reduction Activities in a quantity equal to the Incremental Operational GHG Emissions; (3) Undertake or fund Direct Reduction Activities and retire the associated carbon credits in a quantity equal to the Incremental Operational GHG Emissions; or (4) If it is impracticable to fully offset Incremental Operational Emissions through the Direct Reduction Activities, the project applicant or its designee may purchase and retire carbon credits that have been issued by a recognized and reputable, accredited carbon registry in a quantity equal to the Incremental Operational GHG Emissions. Compliance with GCC-13 shall be demonstrated incrementally prior to obtaining building permits, and shall in the context of the project overall follow the preferred geographic hierarchy recommended by SCAQMD, discussed above. Incremental Operational GHG emissions shall be equal to the sum of the number of proposed residential units covered by the applicable building permit multiplied by 107.45 MT CO2e and every thousand square feet of proposed commercial development covered by the applicable building permit multiplied by 542.40 MT CO2e. (This mitigation measure applies to Landmark Village without change, with the exception that the emissions reduction rates specified in the mitigation measure for residential and commercial building permits have been modified to reflect the Project- specific emissions analysis presented in this report and equate to those rates of emissions reductions needed to ensure that Project emissions are reduced to zero.) 5.1.1 Mobile Related Emissions Reduction Methodology The combined emission reductions related to the mitigation measures addressing mobile source emissions need to be estimated sequentially, in order to avoid double counting the emission reductions. For purposes of this analysis, the emission reductions are calculated and applied in the following order: (1) Transportation Demand Management (TDM Plan), (2) incentives for residential electric vehicles (EVs); and (3) traffic signal synchronization. The emission reductions due to commercial development area EV charging stations, and the utilization of electric transit and school buses, are independent of the TDM Plan's reductions, since they are based on a fixed number of replaced vehicles, and do not need to be accounted for in a particular sequence. 5.2 Mitigation Measures The following section describes the estimates for the GHG reductions. 5.2.1 GCC-1. Residential ZNE The residential development within the Project site subject to application of Title 24, Part 6, of the California Code of Regulations shall be designed and constructed to achieve ZNE, as defined by the CEC in its 2015 Integrated Energy Policy Report.107, 108. Specifically, this 107 California Energy Commission. Integrated Energy Policy Report. 2015. Available at: http://docketpublic.energy.ca.gov/PublicDocuments/15-IEPR- 01/TN210527_20160224T115023_2015_Integrated_Energy_Policy_Report__Small_Size_File.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 108 As stated in the CEC IEPR, the ZNE goal is also supported “by the CPUC in the Long-Term Energy Efficiency Strategic Plan, by California Air Resources Board (ARB) in the First Update to the Climate Change Scoping Plan, and in Governor Brown’s Clean Energy Jobs Plan.” SR000463 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 59 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ mitigation assumes the following definition of ZNE: A ZNE building is one “where the value of the net amount of energy produced by on-site renewable energy resources is equal to the value of the energy consumed annually by the building at the level of a single ‘project’ seeking development entitlements and building code permits measured using the California Energy Commission’s Time Dependent Valuation metric.”109 Achieving ZNE represents “a unique opportunity to manage energy costs and meet greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction goals.” 110 CEC proposes to meet ZNE through a variety of energy efficiency improvements coupled with on-site renewable energy generation. While energy efficient design required by “future updates of the building and appliance energy efficiency standards” serves to minimize energy demand, CEC anticipates that “onsite renewable electricity generation such as solar photovoltaic systems or wind-driven electricity generators” will generate the remainder of a building’s energy needs to achieve ZNE.111, 112 Estimated GHG Reduction The main variables contributing to the calculated GHG benefit of achieving residential ZNE are as follows:  Residential Building Prototypes: The residential building prototypes modeled by ConSol are used as the basis for this estimate of GHG emission reductions from achieving ZNE (see Appendix C). ConSol studied two residential building prototypes in its analysis that are representative of the development that would be facilitated by the Project, a single family home and a multifamily home, and evaluated how each residential home could achieve ZNE.  Residential Energy Efficiency: ConSol's modeling estimates the energy consumption of a home that is designed to achieve ZNE by exceeding the 2016 Title 24 standards through the combined use of building envelope efficiencies and on-site onsite Photovoltaic (PV) systems. 113 The electricity and natural gas consumption of this "2019 Title 24 Standards" home are shown Appendix C, and the GHG reductions from upgrading the 2016 Title 24 homes to 2019 Title 24 homes are shown in Table 5-1a.  PV System Design: The estimated GHG reductions achieved through residential ZNE are based, in part, on the additional PV system requirements as estimated by ConSol. Specifically, ConSol estimated the rated PV system size required for the single family and multifamily building prototypes to achieve ZNE using the CEC's California Solar Initiative Incentive Calculator. Based on ConSol’s analysis, a 5.0-kilowatt (kW) system 109 The CEC and CPUC concept of TDV “is based on the cost for utilities to provide energy at different times.” This valuation accounts for the variable value of electricity and natural gas based on hour, day, or season. 110 California Energy Commission. Achieving Energy Savings in California Buildings. 2011. Available at: http://www.energy.ca.gov/2011publications/CEC-400-2011-007/CEC-400-2011-007-SD.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 111 California Energy Commission. Achieving Energy Savings in California Buildings. 2011. Available at: http://www.energy.ca.gov/2011publications/CEC-400-2011-007/CEC-400-2011-007-SD.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 112 California Energy Commission. Integrated Energy Policy Report. 2011. Available at: http://www.energy.ca.gov/2011publications/CEC-100-2011-001/CEC-100-2011-001-CMF.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 113 The ConSol modeling represents one option of many that may be feasible to achieve residential ZNE. SR000464 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 60 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ per single family home and a 21.9-kW system per multifamily home were required to meet ZNE. These PV systems are sized to achieve ZNE by exceeding the Energy Design Rating (EDR) and TDV energy consumption of the modeled homes, as described in more detail in Appendix C. The calculations shown in Table 5-1b estimate the GHG reduction from installing the PV systems necessary to achieve ZNE.  Emission Factors: The analysis is based on the assumption that the 40 percent RPS for 2024 is achieved. Table 5-1c shows the total GHG reduction achieved through the Project’s development of ZNE residences. 5.2.2 GCC-2. Non-Residential ZNE The non-residential development within the Project site subject to application of Title 24, Part 6, of the California Code of Regulations shall be designed and constructed to achieve Zero Net Energy, as defined by the California Energy Commission in its 2015 Integrated Energy Policy Report, or otherwise achieve an equivalent level of energy efficiency or greenhouse gas emissions savings.114, 115 Estimated GHG Reduction The main variables contributing to the calculated GHG benefit of achieving residential ZNE are as follows:  Non-Residential Building Prototypes: The commercial building prototypes modeled by ConSol are used as the basis for this estimate of GHG emission reductions from achieving ZNE (see Appendix C). ConSol studied three commercial building prototypes in its analysis that are representative of the development that would be facilitated by the Project: an office building, a light industrial building, and a retail building. ConSol's modeling showed that ZNE could be achieved through a combination of additional energy efficiency design improvements beyond the 2016 Title 24 Standards and adequate on-site PV systems. 116 The estimated GHG reductions by building prototype were mapped to the land uses represented for the Project. For example, “regional shopping center” was mapped to retail, and “industrial park” was mapped to industrial.  Non-Residential Energy Efficiency: In ConSol’s analysis, the estimated improvements in building design are applied to each building prototype in order to estimate the GHG reductions. Given the variability in energy usage in the building prototypes, the required energy efficiency improvements vary across the three prototypes modeled. Table 5-2a presents the GHG reductions from improving building energy efficiencies beyond the 2016 Title 24 Standards to 2019 Title 24 Standards. 114 California Energy Commission. Integrated Energy Policy Report. 2015. Available at: http://docketpublic.energy.ca.gov/PublicDocuments/15-IEPR- 01/TN210527_20160224T115023_2015_Integrated_Energy_Policy_Report__Small_Size_File.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 115 As stated in the CEC IEPR, the ZNE goal is also supported “by the CPUC in the Long-Term Energy Efficiency Strategic Plan, by California Air Resources Board (ARB) in the First Update to the Climate Change Scoping Plan, and in Governor Brown’s Clean Energy Jobs Plan.” 116 The ConSol modeling represents one option of many that may be feasible to achieve commercial ZNE. SR000465 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 61 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ  PV System Design: The estimated GHG reductions achieved through additional PV system requirements, as estimated by ConSol, are contribute to the overall GHG reduction resulting from the Project’s development of ZNE commercial buildings. As shown in Table 5-2b, ConSol identified the rated PV system size required for each of the building prototypes to achieve ZNE. Table 5-2b also identifies the annual GHG reduction attributable to the PV systems identified for the non-residential building prototypes.  Emission Factors: The analysis is based on the assumption that the 40 percent RPS for 2024 is achieved. Table 5-2c shows the total GHG reduction achieved through the Project’s development of ZNE non-residential buildings.117 5.2.3 GCC-3. Swimming Pool Heating All swimming pools located at the private recreation centers on the Project site shall be designed and constructed to use solar water heating or other technology with an equivalent level of energy efficiency (e.g., use solar energy (or equivalent) to replace natural gas for purposes of heating the swimming pool waters). Estimated GHG Reduction The main variables contributing to the calculated GHG benefit of solar heating the swimming pools are as follows:  Energy sources: The swimming pools are assumed to use electricity for filters and pumps and use natural gas for water heating for the Unmitigated Project. The mitigation measure requires that solar heating (or equivalent) replaces all natural gas heating at the swimming pools.  Energy use factor: The electricity and natural gas energy usage factors for swimming pools are based on the energy consumption of filter pumps and water heaters included in a published pools study by the City of Oakland (Pools Study),118 and scaled to represent energy consumption per year per volume of the pool. The Pools Study data included pool volume, number of heaters, heater rating, operation schedule, and annual electricity usage. Annual Natural Gas Usage was calculated by multiplying the number of hours per day, days per year, heaters, and the heating rating. The calculated Annual Natural Gas Usage was adjusted to account for (1) the higher average ambient temperature in Southern California compared to Oakland (i.e., an average temperature of 55.5° F for Oakland and 63.3° F for Santa Clarita), and (2) savings from newer energy efficient heater standards, i.e., Ramboll Environ assumed that the Oakland pools used 78 percent efficient heaters, which is the minimum efficiency legally required (see 10 CFR Part 431). According to the U.S. Department of Energy, newer pools are likely to use heaters with 89-95 percent efficiency.119 Ramboll Environ conservatively assumed 90 percent efficiency for San Bernardino pool heaters, 117 No GHG benefits were included for shifting load from peak to off-peak hours. 118 City of Oakland/Oakland Unified School District. October 2006. Energy Efficient Commercial Pool Program; Preliminary Facility Reports for DeFremery Pool, Fremont Pool, Live Oak Pool, Lyons Pool, and Temescal Pool. 119 Available at: http://www.energysavers.gov/your_home/water_heating/index.cfm/mytopic=13170. Accessed: May 2016. SR000466 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 62 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ resulting in a 12 percent savings over the Pool Study data. Average Annual Electricity Usage was calculated from the Annual Electricity Usage of the Pool Study data divided by the swimming pools total pool volume.  Emission Factors: The utility emission factors are consistent with the analyses for the project.  Swimming pool size: All the swimming pools are assumed to be 50m x 25yd x 8ft.120 The calculations shown in Table 3-14a estimate the GHG reduction from replacing natural gas with solar energy for heating the swimming pools. The GHG emissions reduction is the difference between the total GHG emissions from the unmitigated and mitigated emission estimates. 5.2.4 GCC-4. Residential EV Chargers and Vehicle Subsidy Each residence within the Project site subject to application of Title 24, Part 6, of the California Code of Regulations shall be equipped with a minimum of one single-port electric vehicle charging station. Each charging station will achieve a similar or better functionality as a Level 2 charging station. Additionally, a $1,000 subsidy shall be available for 50 percent of the Project site’s residences subject to application of Title 24, Part 6, of the California Code of Regulations, on a first-come, first-served basis, for the purchase of a zero emission vehicle, as defined by the California Air Resources Board. These measures will complement the Project’s commitments to install Level 2 charging stations for 7.5 percent of the parking spaces within the Project site and to install Level 2 charging stations at publicly available areas within the SCAG region. Through these commitments, the Project will help support an increasingly inter-connected web of charging infrastructure, making it easier to own and use EVs, consistent with goals aimed to increase EV penetration. Mobile GHG emissions are a major component of overall land use development emission inventories. Conventional gasoline and diesel vehicles emit GHGs from the tailpipe, whereas EVs minimize these emissions. EVs including battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) comprise a growing fraction of the passenger vehicles on the roads in California, and EV adoption is expected to greatly increase over the upcoming decades due in part to improvements in battery technology and public initiatives and goals. In addition to the discussion below, a study that forecasts electric vehicle purchases in the Newhall Ranch Community is included in Appendix H. A variety of external factors will complement Newhall Ranch’s commitment to facilitate the use of EVs and the growth of electric vehicle penetration. There are dozens of electric vehicle models available for purchase in California, and the costs of batteries and BEVs continues to decrease. Batteries for electric vehicles have seen rapidly decreasing costs in recent years, averaging roughly fourteen percent annually from 2007 to 2014121. Furthermore, the impact of learning-by-doing cost reductions (resulting from a doubling in production), is between six and nine percent. This has resulted in the industry-wide 120 ENVIRON International Corporation, October 2009. Prepared for The Newhall Land and Farming Company, Valencia, CA. Climate Change Technical Addendum: Resource Management and Development Plan Spineflower Conservation Plan. 121 Nykvist, B. and Nilsson, M. Rapidly falling costs of battery packs for electric vehicles. Nature: Climate Change (2015), 5, pg. 329-332. SR000467 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 63 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ average cost of a battery pack declining from $1000/kWh to $410/kWh (2007 to 2014), and an even greater reduction among market-leading battery electric vehicle manufacturers, to around $300/kWh. There are statewide and regional initiatives to help fund electric vehicle and infrastructure purchases, and ambitious goals to increase the number of EVs on the road by 2025. Peer-reviewed studies show that vehicle electrification is necessary to achieve California’s long-term greenhouse gas reduction goals. Reliable access to EV chargers is an important factor contributing to people’s comfort levels when buying electric vehicles. Statewide Initiatives As discussed in Section 2.2.2.7 above, California has programs and initiatives already in place to further the progress of EV penetration. These include vehicle fuel efficiency standards, executive orders, and purchase incentives. Electric Vehicles Necessary to Achieve Statewide GHG Goals As described in Section 2.2.2, California has goals to reduce GHGs to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030 and 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. Meeting these GHG reduction goals will require an increase in vehicle electrification, according to several recent studies. In a 2012 Science paper on achieving California’s 2050 goal,122 Williams concludes that “[t]he most important finding of this research is that, after other emission reduction measures were employed to the maximum feasible extent, there was no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses (e.g., gasoline in cars) to electricity in order to achieve the reduction target.” The study parameters displace 75 percent of light-duty gasoline use with EVs and PHEVs in 2050. A 2015 UC Davis study123 reiterates that EVs are needed to reach California’s 2050 goal and also federal and national GHG reduction targets, stating that “passenger vehicles will not be able to achieve an 80 percent GHG reduction…using hydrocarbon fuels.” Widespread EV adoption is necessary before 2050 to achieve California’s 2030 goals. Energy + Environmental Economics (E3) developed a modeling tool called PATHWAYS to chart the GHG impact of different scenarios of fuel usage, technology adoptions, and other California policy changes that may affect future GHG emissions. They used PATHWAYS to show potential pathways to meeting the 2030 and 2050 California state goals and national goals. The pathways presented to meet California’s 2030 goal124 include six to seven million ZEVs and PHEVs on the road by 2030, which is significantly higher than the Executive Order (EO) B-16-2012 target of 1.5 million EVs by 2025. E3 shows that EVs should have a new vehicle market share of 35 to 40 percent by 2025 and over 50 percent by 2030. Based on E3’s sensitivity analysis, zero-emission vehicles are the single most important contributor to GHG reductions for the 2050 goal. 122 Williams, J.H., et al. 2012. The Technology Path to Deep Greenhouse Gas Emissions Cuts by 2050: The Pivotal Role of Electricity. Science, 335. 123 Brown, R., et al. 2015. Achieving California’s Greenhouse Gas Goals: A Focus on Transportation. Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, Research Report UCD-ITS-RR-15-14. Available at: http://www.its.ucdavis.edu/research/publications/publication-detail/?pub_id=2529. Accessed: September 2016. 124 Energy + Environmental Economics (E3). 2015. California PATHWAYS: GHG Scenario Results. April 6. Available at: https://ethree.com/documents/E3_PATHWAYS_GHG_Scenarios_Updated_April2015.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. SR000468 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 64 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ Residential EV Charging is an Important Factor for Increasing EV Penetration While charging stations at work places and retail stores are becoming more widespread, most EV charging has historically taken place at homes, and will continue to do so.125 An average vehicle spends 90 percent of its time at home and work, with over 70 to 80 percent of EV charging taking place at home, followed by workplace charging.126,127 In fact, the availability and accessibility of a plug at home increases a person’s propensity to buy an electric vehicle.128 National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s assessment for the California Energy Commission129 found that home charging is the predominant location for charging, followed by workplace/retail charging, then public charging. In the near term, the CEC believes that “can’t miss” locations are homes and multi-unit dwellings, followed by workplaces.130 Research shows that access to charging infrastructure at home plays an important role in decisions regarding purchase of EVs. A 2013 study conducted by the Institute of Transportation Studies at University of California, Davis explored the characteristics of 1,200 households who actually purchased a new plug-in vehicle in California during 2011- 2012, with the overall target population of the survey being new plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) owners in California.131 This study reveals that purchasing a PEV is associated in most cases with the installation of EVSE at home and the ability to plug the car to the power for charging.132 In 2011, a report released by the National Research Council of the National Academies on the barriers to electric vehicle deployment pointed to lack of charging infrastructure deployment as one of the barriers to EV deployment, with 21.3 percent of survey respondents stating concern about access to charging infrastructure as 125 Holland, B. 2013. How important is charging infrastructure to EV adoption? GreenBiz. January 17. Available at: https://www.greenbiz.com/blog/2013/01/17/how-important-charging-infrastructure-ev-adoption. Accessed: September 2016. 126 Holland, B. 2013. How important is charging infrastructure to EV adoption? GreenBiz. January 17. Available at: https://www.greenbiz.com/blog/2013/01/17/how-important-charging-infrastructure-ev-adoption. Accessed: September 2016. 127 Leemput, N. et al. 2015. MV and LV Residential Grid Impact of Combined Slow and Fast Charging of Electric Vehicles. Energies (2015), 8, 1760-1783. Available at: http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/3/1760. 128 Hidrue, M.K., G.R. Parsons, W. Kempton, and M.P. Gargner. 2011. Willingness to pay for electric vehicles and their attributes. Resource Energy Econ. doi:10.1016/j.reseneeco.2011.02.002. Available at: http://www.udel.edu/V2G/resources/HidrueEtAl-Pay-EV-Attributes-correctedProof.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 129 National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). 2014. California Statewide Plug-In Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Assessment. Available at: http://www.energy.ca.gov/2014publications/CEC-600-2014-003/CEC-600-2014- 003.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 130 Ibid. 131 Tal, G., M.A. Nicholas, J. Woodjack, and D. Scrivano. February 2013. Who Is Buying Electric Cars in California? Exploring Household and Vehicle Fleet Characteristics of New Plug-In Vehicle Owners. Institute of Transportation Studies at University of California, Davis. Research Report – UCD-ITS-RR-13-02. Available at: https://merritt.cdlib.org/d/ark:%252F13030%252Fm56692z3/1/producer%252F2013-UCD-ITS-RR-13-02.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 132 Tal, G., M.A. Nicholas, J. Woodjack, and D. Scrivano. February 2013. Who Is Buying Electric Cars in California? Exploring Household and Vehicle Fleet Characteristics of New Plug-In Vehicle Owners. Institute of Transportation Studies at University of California, Davis. Research Report – UCD-ITS-RR-13-02. Available at: https://merritt.cdlib.org/d/ark:%252F13030%252Fm56692z3/1/producer%252F2013-UCD-ITS-RR-13-02.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. SR000469 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 65 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ the barrier.133 Another study revealed that when asked about the critical factors that may influence their decision, the highest percentage (63 percent) of respondents cited the ability to charge at home [other factors included battery range, total operating cost, government subsidy].134 The Plug-in Electric Vehicle Owner Survey, managed by the Center for Sustainable Energy, further highlighted the importance of subsidized or discounted chargers.135 Of those with an installed Level 2 charger at home, 64 percent received a free or subsidized charger and 80 percent of them found the importance of the subsidy to install a Level 2 charger influential. Thus, a home with an already installed (free) charger might influence residents to purchase a PHEV. Another study reveals that 83.1 percent of the participants of a consumer survey on plug-in hybrid electric vehicles stated that it would increase their comfort in purchasing or leasing a PHEV by “a lot” or would be “a deciding factor” if they have recharge facilities at home for easy overnight recharge.136 This evidence suggests that investment in a residential charging infrastructure could result in an increased probability of a household purchasing an EV. Another study also identified the importance of residential parking and charging, suggesting that: 137  Fleet penetration of EVs beyond 22 percent will require residential infrastructure investment to increase access to outlets near home parking;  Fleet penetration beyond 39 percent may require significant residential infrastructure investment because many households will need to upgrade their electrical infrastructure to charge multiple vehicles;  Fleet penetration beyond 47 percent will require residential charging to be available for renters; and  Fleet penetration beyond 56 percent may require not only new chargers but also additional residential parking, with associated logistics, space implications, and environmental impacts. The program to install charging stations in residential areas has the potential to fulfill an important component to facilitate the level of conversion to EV that will be necessary if 133 Slavin, M.I. December 2013. Drivers and Barriers to Electric Vehicle Adoption. Published in EV World. Available at: http://evworld.com/article.cfm?storyid=2076. Accessed: September 2016. 134 Accenture. 2011. Plug In Electric Vehicles Changing Perceptions, Hedging Bets - Accenture end-consumer survey on the electrification of private transport. Available at: https://www.accenture.com/us- en/~/media/Accenture/Conversion-Assets/DotCom/Documents/Global/PDF/Industries_9/Accenture-Plug-in- Electric-Vehicle-Consumer-Perceptions.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 135 California Center for Sustainable Energy (CCSE) and California Environmental Protection Agency - Air Resources Board (ARB). 2012. California Plug-in Electric Vehicle Owner Survey. Available at: https://energycenter.org/sites/default/files/docs/nav/policy/research-and-reports/California%20Plug- in%20Electric%20Vehicle%20Owner%20Survey%20Report-July%202012.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 136 Krupa, J.K., D.M. Rizzo, M.J. Eppstein, D.B. Lanute, D.E. Gaalema, K. Lakkaraju, and C.E. Warrender. 2014. Analysis of a Consumer Survey on Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles. Transportation Research Part A 64 (2014) 14-34. Available at: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856414000500. Accessed: September y 2016. 137 Traut, E.J., T.C. Cherng, C. Hendrickson, and J.J. Michalek. 2013. US Residential Charging Potential for Electric Vehicles. Transportation Research Park D 25 (2013) 139-145. Available at: http://www.cmu.edu/me/ddl/publications/2013-TRD-Traut-etal-Residential-EV-Charging.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. SR000470 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 66 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ California is to meet its stated penetration targets and associated emission reduction goals. Increased market penetration often results in a ‘neighbor effect’ of adoption, meaning that as more people see neighbors and friends successfully adopting EVs, the fewer perceived barriers remain.138 In short, as EVs become more common due to reduced costs, increased availability of infrastructure and other incentives, members of the neighborhood/community without an EV will be increasingly more likely to purchase and use an EV. Subsidies Incentivise EV Adoption Given the rapid pace of EV technological improvement and the many policy efforts to encourage EV adoption, economists and policy researchers have considered the effectiveness of rebates and other incentives with influencing the rate of EV adoption. Research suggests that rebates and other policies that reduce the overall price of EV purchase and operations are one of the most effective at increasing rates of adoption.139 Policies that provide other benefits such as increasing the availability of public chargers, carpool lane access, and emissions testing exemptions were also shown to be effective. Economic models of EV purchasing behavior suggest that price is still a significant barrier to adoption of EVs. Many models have evaluated the decision to select EVs compared with internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), as a function of cost, range, income of the buyer, driving habits, price of gas, recharging infrastructure, ‘greenness’ including the influence of neighbors and friends among other determinants of EV adoption. Rebates and other incentives fundamentally work to reduce the cost of purchasing and then operating an EV.140 While policies differ from state to state,141 adoption of EVs does correlate strongly to subsidies and rebates offered. California is currently one of the largest markets for EVs in the United States, and has, in fact, been referred to as “America’s capital of plug-in cars.”142 Based on sales figures tracked by the California Air Resources Board, Californians buy approximately 40 percent of all plug-in vehicles sold in the United States143 (36 percent in 2015).144 138 Nelson-Nygaard Consulting Associates Inc. 2014. Removing Barriers to Electric Vehicle Adoption by Increasing Access to Charging Infrastructure. Seattle Office of Sustainability & Environment. Available at: http://www.seattle.gov/Documents/Departments/OSE/FINAL%20REPORT_Removing%20Barriers%20to%20EV %20Adoption_TO%20POST.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 139 Jin, Lingzhi, Stephanie Searle, and Nic Lutsey, 2014. Evaluation of State-Level U.S. Electric Vehicle Incentives, White Paper for the International Council on Clean Transportation, October. Available at: http://www.theicct.org/sites/default/files/publications/ICCT_state-EV-incentives_20141030.pdf. 140 Clinton, Bentley, Austin Brown, Carolyn Davidson, and Daniel Steinberg, 2015. Impact of Direct Financial Incentives in the Emerging Battery Electric Vehicle Market: A Preliminary Analysis. National Renewable Energy Laboratory. Department of Economics, University of Colorado – Boulder. February. 141 See DeShazo, J.R., CC Song, Michael Sin, and Thomas Gariffo, 2015. State of the Sates’ Plug-in Electric Vehicle Policies, UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs, March for a good review. Available at: http://innovation.luskin.ucla.edu/sites/default/files/EV_State_Policy.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 142 Jeff Cobb. February 2016. California Plug-in Sales Led the US Last Year with Nearly Five-Times Greater Market Share. HybridCars.com. Available at: http://www.hybridcars.com/california-plug-in-sales-led-us-last-year-with- nearly-five-times-greater-market-share/. Accessed: September 2016. 143 Dana Hull. September 2014. California charges ahead with electric vehicles. San Jose Mercury News. Available at: http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_26493736/california-charges-ahead-electric-vehicles. Accessed: September 2016. SR000471 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 67 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ EV Usage Rate Exceeds Conventional Vehicles An annual survey of California PEV owners145 shows that even though many households with EVs also own a conventional gasoline or diesel car, they use the PEV for over 85 percent of work commute, personal errands, and shopping, while the conventional vehicle is the primary vehicle for vacation travel. The following year’s survey shows that the average PEV owner drives 28.9 miles per day, which is well within the electric range of many eligible PEVs available in 2013.146 A survey conducted by the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS)147 found that 64 percent of respondents live in a household with two or more vehicles. This is consistent with a survey of EV users, which reported that 79.4 percent of EV owners and potential owners had two or more vehicles in the household.148 Conventional wisdom as well as economic theory suggest that when households have at least one EV and one ICEV, they favour the EV and use the more costly-to-drive ICEV for longer distance trips on the weekend, for hauling, or if there is a need for more than five passengers.149 One detailed study found exactly this in a broad survey of different types of households that have EVs. For example, one-car households that switch from one ICEV to one EV showed very little difference in daily driving distances nor the number of daily trips taken when they invested in an EV.150 But the households that had one (or more) EV and at least one ICEV all showed that after three months of EV ownership, the daily distance driven for the ICE declined, and the EV increased so that the EV usage was about 45 percent higher in use. This is consistent with survey data from Norway, which showed that 90 percent of EV owners said that the EV car “Completely” or “To a High Degree” replaced their ICEV, with 66 percent of the 144 Extrapolated from Data Provided in: California New Car Dealers Association (CNCDA). February 2016. California New Vehicle Registrations Expected to Remain Above 2 Million Units in 2016. Registrations through December 2015 since 2011. Revised figures for 2014. Available at: http://www.cncda.org/CMS/Pubs/Cal%20Covering%204Q%2015.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. AND Electric Drive Transportation Association (EDTA). 2016. Electric Drive Sales Dashboard. Sales figures sourced from HybridCars.com and direct reports submitted by EDTA member companies. Available at: http://electricdrive.org/index.php?ht=d/sp/i/20952/pid/20952#sthash.5QBifqpG.EyVW8gqf.dpuf and http://electricdrive.org/index.php?ht=d/sp/i/20952/pid/20952. Accessed: September 2016. 145 California Center for Sustainable Energy. 2012. California Plug-in Electric Vehicle Owner Survey. Available at: https://energycenter.org/sites/default/files/docs/nav/policy/research-and-reports/California%20Plug- in%20Electric%20Vehicle%20Owner%20Survey%20Report-July%202012.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 146 California Center for Sustainable Energy. 2013. California Plug-in Electric Vehicle Driver Survey Results. Available at: https://energycenter.org/sites/default/files/docs/nav/transportation/cvrp/survey- results/California_Plug-in_Electric_Vehicle_Driver_Survey_Results-May_2013.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 147 Union of Concerned Scientists, 2013, Electric Vehicle Survey Methodology and Assumptions; American Driving Habits, Vehicle Needs, and Attitudes toward Electric Vehicles, December. Available at: http://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/legacy/assets/documents/clean_vehicles/UCS-and-CU-Electric- Vehicle-Survey-Methodology.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 148 Shahan, Zachary, 2015, Electric Cars: What Early Adopters and First Followers Want. Important Media. Available at: http://cleantechnica.us2.list- manage.com/subscribe?u=a897522b53d0853c85abbf9fa&id=a264ba3c49. Accessed: September 2016. 149 UCS, 2013. 150 Hwang, Sang-kyu, and Sang-hoon Son, 2015. Electric Vehicle User Mobility Analysis with Dashboard Camera in Jeju Island, Korea. Paper presented at Electric Vehicle Symposium, EVS28, in Kintex, Korea, May 3-6, 2015. SR000472 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 68 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ respondents living in two car households.151 This is also consistent with preliminary data from Ford, which also suggests that with time – six months – the frequency of use of the EV increases, and the ICEV use decreases.152 Accordingly, as EV penetration increases, the amount of miles driven for residential trips by EV compared to conventional vehicles will grow at a disproportionately higher rate because households with EVs will tend to rely on the EV for a large majority of their trips. Estimated GHG Reduction The main variables contributing to the calculated GHG benefit of installing residential EV chargers and providing EV vehicle subsidies include the following assumptions:  Electric Vehicle Penetration: Based on the discussion above, a variety of factors will contribute to high rates of electric vehicle penetration near Newhall Ranch. First, there are already dozens of electric vehicle models available for purchase in California, and the costs of batteries continue to decrease. Second, there are numerous statewide and regional initiatives to help fund electric vehicle and infrastructure purchases, and many policy goals aim to increase the number of EVs because vehicle electrification is critical to achieving California’s long-term greenhouse gas reduction goals. Third, reliable access to EV chargers is an important factor contributing to buying electric vehicles. Therefore, the Project’s mitigation measures requiring that EV charging infrastructure be made widely available and the provision of EV purchase incentives will encourage EV ownership and use. Given the market trends, policy goals, infrastructure growth and incentives, this analysis assumes that half the residential units facilitated by the Project will have an EV by 2024.  Electrical Vehicle Usage Rate: As explained above, even though many households with EVs also own a conventional gasoline or diesel car, they use the EV for over 85 percent of work commute, personal errands, and shopping, while the conventional vehicle is the primary vehicle for vacation travel. Therefore, the evidence supports an assumption that households with an EV will have a very high usage rate for residential trips, even if the households also own a conventional vehicle.  EV Miles Driven From Residential Land Uses: Based on the commitment to install EV chargers in all dwelling units, the subsidy for EV purchase, published peer reviewed studies regarding EV usage behavior and EV adoption trends, and the state’s ongoing effort to encourage EV adoption, it is anticipated that at least half of the dwelling units in the Project will have an EV. As discussed above, studies have shown that households tend to preferentially use the EV. Numerous other factors (e.g., declining costs of EVs) are also anticipated to push the number of EV’s used by Project residents to be even higher than that estimated here. Thus, the overall effect of this mitigation measure is estimated to displace 50 percent of the miles driven from residential land uses from traditional gasoline/diesel vehicles with electric vehicles. 151 Haugneland, Petter, and Hans Havard Kvisle, 2013. Norwegian Electric Car User Experiences, paper presented at EVS27, Barcelona Spain, November. 152 Castrucci Alexandria, Mike 2015. Good Habits Pay Dividends for Electric Car Drivers. Posted on October 7, 2013. Available at: http://www.mikecastruccialexandria.com/blog/electric-car-driving-habits/); Based on data from MyFord Mobile app, available at: (https://www.myfordmobile.com/content/mfm/app/site/my-car/home.html. Accessed: September 2016. SR000473 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 69 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ  Emission Factors: The analysis is based on the assumption that the 40% RPS for 2024 is achieved, and the gasoline/diesel CO2 emission factors are derived using California Air Resource Board’s EMFAC2014 software model. The calculations shown in Table 5-3 estimate the GHG reduction from replacing conventional gasoline or diesel light-duty vehicles with electric vehicles. The table calculates the estimated emission reduction for each mile driven in an electric vehicle as compared to the default emission factor calculated by CalEEMod® in the mobile emissions inventory. To ensure that the calculated Project benefit is in only the incremental increase in EV usage beyond what is already anticipated, the emission factor and emissions inventory incorporates the existing EV fleet penetration rates included in EMFAC2014. This ensures that the VMT reduction benefits of the Project EVs does not double count the benefit of the existing EVs. The calculation then estimates the average annual residential traffic, after the reduction in VMT due to transportation demand management strategies is applied. The GHG emissions reduction is the total miles displaces by EVs from this measure multiplied by the emissions reduction per mile. The remaining project traffic GHG emissions in Table 5-3 (35,457 MT CO2e/year) results after subtracting the GHG emissions reductions due to residential EV (4,207 MT CO2e/year, respectively) from the remaining mobile GHG emissions after TDMs from Table 5-5 (39,664 MT CO2e/year). 5.2.5 GCC-5. Commercial Development Area EV Chargers  The parking areas for commercial buildings on the Project site shall be equipped with  electric vehicle charging stations that provide charging opportunities to 7.5 percent of the  total number of required parking spaces. (“Commercial buildings” include retail, light  industrial, office, hotel, and mixed‐use buildings.) The electric vehicle charging stations shall  achieve a similar or better functionality as a Level 2 charging station. This mitigation measure will complement the Project’s residential commitment to install charging station for each single family and multifamily dwelling unit and subsidize the purchase of electric vehicles. Overall, the Project will help support an increasingly inter-connected web of charging infrastructure; the combination of commercial development area and residential charging stations will encourage EV ownership and use. As discussed in greater detail in the Residential EV Charger section above, a variety of factors will contribute to high rates of electric vehicle penetration near Newhall Ranch. There are already dozens of electric vehicle models available for purchase in California, and the costs of batteries continue to decrease. There are statewide and regional initiatives to help fund electric vehicle and infrastructure purchases, and ambitious goals to increase the number of EVs on the road by 2025. Peer-reviewed studies show that vehicle electrification is necessary to achieve California’s long-term greenhouse gas reduction goals. Reliable access to EV chargers is an important factor contributing to buying electric vehicles. Estimated GHG Reduction The main variables contributing to the calculated GHG benefit of installing commercial development area EV charging stations are as follows:  Electric Vehicle Penetration and Usage Rate: Charge station usage will vary from zero hours per day to 24 hours per day for each electric vehicle charging station. Ramboll Environ assumes a ten hour per day charger usage rate when in consideration of the SR000474 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 70 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ anticipated increase in EV adoption throughout the state.153 As discussed in above, the state will need to further its efforts to improve and increase EV penetration rates such that the prevalence of EV will be greater and the use of the EV chargers will continue to increase for EV chargers in a variety of locations. Furthermore, as discussed by Bakker154 the fundamental challenge with EV adoption is range anxiety.  Charge Rate: The charge rate refers to the amount of power supplied from the charger to the car battery per hour, or the range of miles the charger enables the car to travel per hour (RPH). The US Department of Energy (USDOE) writes that a Level 2 charging station is expected to charge 10 to 20 miles of RPH, depending on the circuitry.155 ChargePoint commercial Level 2 electric vehicle charging stations charge up to 25 RPH.156 Direct Current (DC) “fast charging” stations and future three-phase charging options allow for much higher rates of charging.157 These charge rates are influenced based on the technology for the actual charge rate of kilowatts per hour and also the vehicle fuel efficiency (discussed further below). The technology for chargers, batteries, and electric vehicle efficiency is expected to improve into the future. Thus, we have assumed that the charging stations can provide 25 miles of driving range per hour of charging.  Electric Vehicle Fuel Economy: Electric vehicle fuel economy reflects the amount of electricity needed to drive a certain distance. Based on 2013 USDOE data, the range of fuel economy in currently available electric vehicles ranges from 25 to 40 kilowatt- hours per 100 miles (kWh/100 mi).158 This fuel economy varies depending on the vehicle model, with examples of a 2012 Nissan Leaf achieving 34 kWh/100 mi and a Tesla Roadster achieving 21.7 kWh/100 mi. The technology for batteries and electric vehicle fuel economy is expected to improve into the future. Thus, we have assumed that the electric vehicles will achieve a fuel economy of 25 kWh/100 mi to represent the near-future electric vehicle fleet.  Emission Factors: The analysis is based on the assumption that the 40% RPS for 2024 is achieved, and the gasoline/diesel CO2 emission factors are derived using California Air Resource Board’s EMFAC2014 software model. The calculations shown in Table 5-4 estimate the GHG reduction from replacing conventional gasoline or diesel light-duty vehicles with electric vehicles. The table calculates the estimated range that each charging station is estimated to provide to electric vehicles in miles per year, based on the charge station usage and charge station rate. The 153 Chang, D., et al. 2012. Financial Viability of Non-Residential Electric Vehicle Charging Stations. Available at: http://innovation.luskin.ucla.edu/content/financial-viability-non-residential-electric-vehicle-charging-stations. Accessed: September 2016. 154 Bakker, J.J. 2011. Contesting range anxiety: The role of electric vehicle charging infrastructure in the transportation transition. Available at: http://alexandria.tue.nl/extra2/afstversl/tm/Bakker_2011.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. 155 US Department of Energy (USDOE) Alternative Fuels Data Center. 2016. Charging Equipment. Available at: http://www.afdc.energy.gov/fuels/electricity_infrastructure.html. Accessed: September 2016. 156 ChargePoint. 2015. Available at: http://www.chargepoint.com/news/2015/0702/defining-rph-miles-range-per- hour-an-ev-charging-station-delivers/. Accessed: September 2016. 157 USDOE. op. cit. 158 USDOE. 2015. Available at: http://www.afdc.energy.gov/fuels/electricity_benefits.html. Accessed: September 2016. SR000475 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 71 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ range for one station is multiplied by the total number of stations in the mitigation commitment. This results in a total number of miles per year that will be driven in electric vehicles instead of conventional vehicles. The difference between the total GHG emissions from the conventional vehicles and the GHG emissions from the electric vehicles is the emissions benefit from the charging stations. 5.2.6 GCC-6. Transportation Demand Management Program The Newhall Ranch Transportation Demand Management (TDM) Plan (see Appendix E) shall be implemented in order to reduce vehicle miles traveled resulting from Project build out. The TDM Plan is designed to influence the transportation choices of residents, students, employees, and visitors, and serves to enhance the utilization of alternative transportation modes both on and off the Project site through the provision of incentives and subsidies, expanded transit opportunities, bikeshare and carshare programs, technology-based programs, and other innovative means. Estimated GHG Reduction The TDM program reduces annual vehicle miles traveled by 15.6 percent from the Unmitigated Project. Since mobile GHG emissions are directly proportional to vehicle miles traveled, this equates to a 15.6 percent reduction in mobile emissions. This reduction calculation is shown in Table 5-5. 5.2.7 GCC-7. Traffic Signal Synchronization The applicant or its designee shall work with the applicable agency(ies) with jurisdiction over the local roadway network to facilitate traffic signal coordination throughout the Project area. This program is described in detail in Appendix I. Estimated GHG Reduction The traffic signal coordination program reduces mobile GHG emissions by 2.99 percent from the Unmitigated Project. This percent was determined using the CAPCOA GHG reduction methodology for measure RPT-2.159 The percent reduction is applied sequentially with the other mobile GHG mitigation measures to avoid double-counting. This reduction calculation is shown in Table 5-6. 5.2.8 GCC-8. Electric School Bus Funding Program The applicant or its designee shall provide funding for electric school buses. Estimated GHG Reduction The main variables contributing to the calculated GHG benefit of the Project’s commitment to subsidizing the conversion to electric school buses are as follows:  Annual Average VMT: The annual average VMT refers to the number of miles a vehicle runs each year. For school buses and transit buses, this metric is derived using California Air Resource Board’s EMFAC2014 software model, based on vehicle model years and speeds in Los Angeles County. EMFAC2014 data shows that school buses’ annual VMT is 13,801 miles per year (mi/yr) in 2024. 159 CAPCOA. Available at: http://www.capcoa.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/CAPCOA-Quantification-Report-9- 14-Final.pdf. Accessed: September 2016. SR000476 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 72 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ  Electric Bus Fuel Economy: Electric vehicle fuel economy reflects the amount of electricity needed to drive a certain distance. Buses from two existing electric bus manufacturers are Proterra and BYD are used to estimate electric bus fuel economy. Proterra’s 40-foot and BYD’s electric bus fuel economy is 1.7 kilowatt-hours per mile (kWh/mi) 160 and 1.87 kWh/mi,161 respectively. The fuel economy used to calculate the electric bus electricity usage was an average of Proterra and BYD’s specification: 1.8 kWh/mi. The technology for batteries and electric vehicle fuel economy is expected to improve into the future, so using current electric bus specifications is a conservative assumption.  Emission Factors: The analysis is based on the assumption that the 40 percent RPS for 2024 is achieved, and the gasoline/diesel CO2 emission factors are derived using California Air Resource Board’s EMFAC2014 software model. The data from the California Air Resource Board’s EMFAC2014 software model provided the GHG emission factors for the Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) buses. The CNG emission factors were identified through data from the web-based EMFAC2014 tool and the desktop application. The web-based EMFAC2014 model provided an ‘urban transit diesel emission factor’ which represents a composite of both CNG and diesel buses. To get separated CNG and diesel emission factors for urban transit buses, the EMFAC2014 Desktop Application was run in the Project-Level Assessment Mode to generate an estimate of the ratio of CNG and diesel buses. For the EMFAC2014 Desktop Application analysis, the temperature and relative humidity were based on the EMFAC2014 Los Angeles County default values. The data from the web-based EMFAC2014 program and the ratio of CNG and diesel buses from the EMFAC Desktop application were used to derive the CNG bus emission factor for 2024. Conservatively, emissions from idling and starting the engine for the CNG buses were not included in the emissions calculations. The calculations shown in Table 5-7 estimate the GHG reduction from replacing CNG school buses with electric buses for 2024. The tables show the total number of miles per year that will be driven in electric buses instead of CNG buses, the GHG emissions if CNG buses were used, and the GHG emissions for the total miles based on electric vehicle fuel economy and the electric grid emission factor. The difference between the total GHG emissions from the CNG buses and the GHG emissions from the electric buses is the emissions benefit from the electric bus replacement of CNG buses. 5.2.9 GCC-9. Subsidy for Electric Transit Buses The applicant or its designee shall provide a subsidy of $100,000 per bus for the replacement of up to one diesel or compressed natural gas transit buses with electric buses. Estimated GHG Reduction The calculation is the same as for school buses, except for transit buses; EMFAC2014 data shows annual VMT of 39,909 mi/yr in 2024. The calculations shown in Table 5-8 estimate the GHG reduction from replacing CNG transit buses with electric buses for 2024. The tables show the total number of miles per 160 Proterra. Available at: http://byd.com/na/ebus/ebus.html. Accessed: September 2016. 161 BYD. Available at: http://byd.com/na/ebus/ebus.html. Accessed: September 2016. SR000477 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 73 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ year that will be driven in electric buses instead of CNG buses, the GHG emissions if CNG buses were used, and the GHG emissions for the total miles based on electric vehicle fuel economy and the electric grid emission factor. The difference between the total GHG emissions from the CNG buses and the GHG emissions from the electric buses is the emissions benefit from the electric bus replacement of CNG buses. 5.2.10 GCC-10. Carbon Credits Prior to obtaining grading permits for the Project, the Project applicant or its designee will fully mitigate the related construction and vegetation change GHG emissions. Estimated GHG Reduction The estimated emissions for construction and vegetation change will be offset. 5.2.11 GCC-11. Off-site Retrofit Program The Project applicant or its designee shall fund the Building Retrofit Program (Retrofit Program), located in Appendix G. Building retrofits covered by the Retrofit Program can include, but are not limited to: cool roofs, solar panels, solar water heaters, smart meters, energy efficient lighting (including, but not limited to, light bulb replacement), energy efficient appliances, energy efficient windows, insulation, and water conservation measures. Estimated GHG Reduction The Building Retrofit Program provides funding that will be used to implement various improvements to the built environment. Table 5-9 provides a reasonable approximation of how the Building Retrofit Program may achieve the estimated GHG reductions (see also Appendix J). The emission estimates illustrate an estimate of how the Project may achieve the GHG emission reductions. The emission ratios in the Retrofit Program are based on an estimate of the 80 percent of the emission reductions being achieved in connection with the Project’s residential development, and 20 percent of the emission reductions being achieved in connection with the Project’s with commercial development. 5.2.12 GCC-12. Off-site Electric Vehicle Chargers The Project applicant or its designee shall install, or cause to be installed, off-site electric vehicle charging stations. Off-site electric vehicle charging stations servicing 196 parking spaces would be required if the maximum allowable development facilitated by the Landmark Village Project occurs; fewer electric vehicle charging stations would be required if the maximum build-out does not occur. The electric vehicle charging stations shall achieve a similar or better functionality as a Level 2 charging station and may service one or more parking spaces. Estimated GHG Reduction The estimated GHG reductions follow the same methodology as described above (see Table 5-4 and Section 5.2.5. It is estimated that 196 parking spaces will have access to a charging station to estimate the GHG emission reductions benefit. SR000478 Landmark Village Los Angeles County, California 74 Mitigation Measures Ramboll Environ 5.2.13 GCC-13. GHG Reduction Plan This section evaluates the amount of GHG reductions that will be required to fully offset all remaining GHG emissions to zero over the project life, defined as 30 years. 162 The analysis here estimates how the reductions over time would be accounted in determining the necessary GHG reductions. The figure shown in Appendix K illustrates the interpolation of the emissions modeled in CalEEMod® starting in 2020 through the project life for the last piece of development completed in 2024 to estimate the GHG offsets required. The reason for the 2020 and 2030 CalEEMod® model runs is to develop factors to account for the anticipated reduction in emissions due to existing regulatory programs (i.e., the reductions of energy and water- related emissions due to the 50 percent RPS and the reductions of mobile-related emissions due to the fleet fuel efficiency improvements predicted by EMFAC2014) that will reduce GHG emissions over the lifetime of the Project. The full description of offsets calculation methodology is shown in Table K-1 through Table K-7 in Appendix K. This analysis shows that the offsets requirement for the Project will be 24,608 MT per year for the project life. This estimate is considered a conservative estimate as it is anticipated that further regulatory programs and technology will develop in the future to further reduce GHG emissions. Prior to obtaining building permits for an incremental level of development within the Project site, the incremental operational GHG emissions over the Project life associated with such building permits that must be offset (the “Incremental Operational GHG Emissions”) will be equal to the sum of: (1) the number of proposed residential units covered by the applicable building permit multiplied by 107.45 MTCO2e; and (2) every thousand square feet (“TSF”) of proposed commercial development covered by the applicable building permit multiplied by 542.40 MTCO2e. For example, to obtain a building permit for 75 residential units and 40,000 square feet of commercial development, the Incremental Operational GHG Emissions would be: 75 units x 107.46 MTCO2e/unit + 40 TSF. x 542.40 MTCO2e/TSF = 29,756 MTCO2e. 162 The SCAQMD GHG Working Group proposed that off-site mitigation could be used to mitigate GHG emissions from a project under CEQA. The SCAQMD indicated that offsets should have a 30-year project life unless a shorter project life could be ensured based on a binding permit condition or other legal limit. SCAQMD, 2008. Available at: http://www.aqmd.gov/docs/default-source/ceqa/handbook/greenhouse-gases-(ghg)-ceqa- significance-thresholds/ghgboardsynopsis.pdf?sfvrsn=2. Accessed: September 2016. SR000479 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations Regarding the Environmental Effects of the Approval of The Landing by San Manuel (State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067) General Plan Amendment No. 20-02 Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment No. 20-03 Specific Plan Amendment No. 20-01 Development Plan No. 20-02 Lead Agency City of San Bernardino 201 North E Street, 3rd Floor San Bernardino, CA 92401 CEQA Consultant T&B Planning, Inc. 3200 El Camino Real, Suite 100 Irvine, CA 92602 Project Applicant San Manuel Band of Mission Indians 26569 Community Center Drive Highland, CA 92346 February 25, 2021 Table of Contents Section Name and Number Page The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page i I. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................................... 1 II. PROJECT SUMMARY .............................................................................................................................................. 1 A. Project Site Definitions ........................................................................................................................................ 1 B. Site Location ......................................................................................................................................................... 2 C. Project Description ............................................................................................................................................... 2 1. General Plan Amendment No. 20-02 (GPA 20-02) ......................................................................................... 2 2. Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment No. 20-03 (DCA 20-03) ........................................................... 2 3. Specific Plan Amendment No. 20-01 (SP 20-01) ............................................................................................. 2 4. Development Permit Type-D No. 20-02 (DP-D 20-02) ................................................................................... 3 D. City of San Bernardino Actions Covered By the EIR ....................................................................................... 4 E. Project Objectives ................................................................................................................................................ 4 III. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW AND PUBLIC PARTICIPATION ...................................................................... 5 IV. INDEPENDENT JUDGMENT FINDING ................................................................................................................ 7 V. FINDING OF NO LEGAL REQUIREMENT TO RECIRCULATE THE EIR ................................................... 8 VI. GENERAL FINDING ON MITIGATION MEASURES ........................................................................................ 8 VII. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS AND FINDINGS ................................................................................................. 9 A. Impacts Found Not to be Significant as Part of the Initial Study Process ....................................................... 9 1. Aesthetics ........................................................................................................................................................ 9 2. Agriculture and Forestry Resources ............................................................................................................. 11 3. Air Quality ..................................................................................................................................................... 11 4. Biological Resources ..................................................................................................................................... 12 5. Cultural Resources ........................................................................................................................................ 14 6. Energy ........................................................................................................................................................... 14 7. Geology and Soils ......................................................................................................................................... 16 8. Hazards and Hazardous Materials ............................................................................................................... 18 9. Hydrology and Water Quality ....................................................................................................................... 20 10. Land Use and Planning ................................................................................................................................. 25 11. Mineral Resources ........................................................................................................................................ 25 12. Noise ............................................................................................................................................................. 26 13. Population and Housing ............................................................................................................................... 26 14. Public Services .............................................................................................................................................. 27 15. Recreation ..................................................................................................................................................... 28 16. Transportation .............................................................................................................................................. 28 17. Utilities and Service Systems ......................................................................................................................... 29 18. Wildfire.......................................................................................................................................................... 31 B. Impacts Identified in the EIR as No Impact or Less than Significant Impact - No Mitigation Required ....................................................................................................................................................... 32 1. Air Quality ..................................................................................................................................................... 32 2. Cultural Resources ........................................................................................................................................ 33 3. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ........................................................................................................................... 34 4. Hydrology and Water Quality ....................................................................................................................... 35 5. Land Use and Planning ................................................................................................................................. 36 6. Noise ............................................................................................................................................................. 37 7. Transportation .............................................................................................................................................. 37 Table of Contents Section Name and Number Page The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page ii 8. Tribal Cultural Resources ............................................................................................................................. 38 C. Impacts Identified in the EIR as Less than Significant with Mitigation Incorporated ................................ 38 1. Biological Resources ..................................................................................................................................... 38 2. Cultural Resources ........................................................................................................................................ 41 3. Transportation .............................................................................................................................................. 42 D. Impacts Determined by the EIR to be Significant and Unavoidable ............................................................. 44 1. Air Quality ..................................................................................................................................................... 44 2. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ........................................................................................................................... 52 3. Noise ............................................................................................................................................................. 54 4. Transportation .............................................................................................................................................. 56 VIII. SIGNIFICANT IRREVERSIBLE ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS ................................................................... 57 IX. GROWTH-INDUCING IMPACTS ......................................................................................................................... 58 X. PROJECT ALTERNATIVES .................................................................................................................................. 59 A. No Development Alternative (NDA) ................................................................................................................. 59 B. No Project Alternative (NPA)............................................................................................................................ 60 C. Reduced Project Alternative (RPA) .................................................................................................................. 61 D. Range of Alternatives ......................................................................................................................................... 62 XI. STATEMENT OF OVERRIDING CONSIDERATIONS ..................................................................................... 63 XII. ADOPTION OF A MONITORING PLAN FOR MITIGATION MEASURES .................................................. 65 XIII. APPROVING THE PROJECT ................................................................................................................................ 65 XIV. REGARDING STAFF DIRECTION ....................................................................................................................... 65 XV. REGARDING CONTENTS AND CUSTODIAN OF RECORD .......................................................................... 65 The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 1 I. INTRODUCTION The City of San Bernardino (“City”) has completed an Environmental Impact Report (“EIR”; State Clearinghouse Number 2020100067) for the proposed The Landing by San Manuel project and associated applications (hereafter, the “Project” or “proposed Project”). The City is the Lead Agency for the purposes of preparing and certifying the EIR pursuant to §§ 15050 and 15367 of the State California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Guidelines (California Code of Regulations, Title 14, Section 15000 et seq.). The purpose of this EIR is to evaluate the potential environmental impacts of the proposed Project, which consists of applications for a General Plan Amendment (GPA 20-02), Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment (DCA 20-03), an Amendment to the San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan (SP 20- 01), and a Development Permit Type-D (DP-D 20-02). In compliance with § 21002.1 of the CEQA statute and § 15002 of the State CEQA Guidelines, the City, as Lead Agency, has prepared an EIR to (1) provide information the general public, the local community, responsible and interested public agencies and the City’s decision-making bodies and other organizations, entities, and interested persons of the potential environmental effects of the proposed Project, feasible measures to reduce potentially significant environmental effects, and alternatives that could reduce or avoid the significant effects of the proposed Project, (2) enable the City to consider environmental consequences when deciding whether to approve the proposed Project, and (3) to satisfy the substantive and procedural requirements of CEQA. The City Council of the City of San Bernardino (the “City Council”) in approving Project, makes the Findings described below and adopts the Statement of Overriding Considerations presented at the end of the Findings. The Findings are based upon the entire record before the City Council, including the EIR prepared for the Project by the City acting as lead agency under CEQA. The City adopts the facts and analyses in the EIR, which are summarized herein for convenience. The omission of some detail or aspect of the EIR herein does not mean that it has been rejected by the City. Hereafter, the Notice of Preparation, Notice of Availability, Draft EIR, Technical Studies, Final EIR (containing responses to public comments on the Draft EIR and text and exhibit revisions to the Draft EIR), and the Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program (MMRP) will be referred to collectively herein as the “EIR” unless otherwise specified. II. PROJECT SUMMARY A. Project Site Definitions The Project Applicant (San Manuel Band of Mission Indians) submitted applications to the City of San Bernardino for a General Plan Amendment (GPA), Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment (DCA), Specific Plan Amendment (SP), and Development Permit Type-D (DP-D). The Project’s DP-D application seeks to entitle a 52.97-acre property for development with a 1,153,644 square foot (s.f.) warehouse building and associated site improvements. As part of the Project’s GPA, DCA, and SP applications, the approximately 49.6-acre Third Street District of the San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan (SBAC-SP) would be reconfigured to add approximately 12.89 acres to the SBAC-SP and remove approximately 4.97 acres from the SBAC-SP, yielding a reconfigured Third Street District of approximately 57.52 acres (the 52.97 acres subject to the DP-D application and 4.55 acres to the east that is already included in the Third Street District). Considering the geographic extent of all applications, the 62.49 acres that would be affected by the Project’s GPA, DCA, and SP applications are referred to herein as the “Project Site,” while the 52.97 acres that are proposed for development with warehouse uses as part of the Project’s DP-D application are referred to as the “Development Site.” The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 2 B. Site Location The Project Site is located immediately south of 3rd Street, north of the San Bernardino International Airport (SBIA) property and W Street, east and west of Victoria Avenue, and approximately 0.5-mile west of Alabama Street. The 52.97-acre Development Site portion of the Project Site is bounded by Victoria Avenue to the west, 3rd Street to the north, private property to the east, the 3rd Street/Central Avenue intersection to the northwest, and W Street to the south. The northern boundary of the Project Site is coterminous with the jurisdictional boundary line between the City of San Bernardino and the City of Highland. C. Project Description As previously indicated, the Project Applicant (San Manuel Band of Mission Indians) submitted applications to the City of San Bernardino for a General Plan Amendment (GPA 20-02), Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment (DCA 20-03), an Amendment to the San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan (SP 20- 01), and a Development Permit Type-D (DP-D 20-02). As described in more detail below, approval of the proposed Project would allow for the future development of a 1,153,644 square foot (s.f.) warehouse building and associated site improvements, and would facilitate the reconfiguration of the Third Street District of the SBAC-SP. 1. General Plan Amendment No. 20-02 (GPA 20-02) The City of San Bernardino General Plan currently designates approximately 49.60 acres of the 62.49-acre Project Site for “Industrial Light (IL)” land uses and designates an approximate 12.89-acre area in the southern portion of the Development Site for “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF)” land uses. Proposed GPA 20-02 would change the land use designation on the approximately 12.89 acres of the Development Site from “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF)” to “Industrial (IL).” In addition, GPA No. 20-02 would change the land use designation of approximately 4.97 acres owned by the San Bernardino International Airport Authority (SBIAA) west of the Development Site and west of Victoria Avenue from “Industrial Light (IL)” to “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF).” Approval of GPA 20-02 would facilitate the reconfiguration of the Third Street District of the SBAC-SP, and also would allow for construction of the light industrial/warehouse use proposed by DP-D 20-02, which is described below. 2. Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment No. 20-03 (DCA 20-03) The City of San Bernardino designates approximately 49.60 acres of the 62.49-acre Project Site as “Specific Plan Alliance of California – 3rd Street (SP-AC),” and designates approximately 12.89 acres in the southern portion of the Development Site as “Public Facilities (PF).” The proposed Development Code/Zoning Amendment No. 20-03 (DCA 20-03) would change the Zoning Map classification of the 12.89 acres from “PF” to “SP-AC.” In addition, DCA 20-03 would change the zoning classification of approximately 4.89 acres of the Project Site located west of Victoria Avenue owned by the Inland Valley Development Agency (IVDA) from “SP-AC” to “PF.” Approval of DCA 20-03 would facilitate the reconfiguration of the Third Street District of the SBAC-SP, and also would allow for construction of the light industrial/warehouse use proposed by DP-D 20-02, which is described below. 3. Specific Plan Amendment No. 20-01 (SP 20-01) A portion of the Development Site (40.08 acres), in addition to approximately 4.55 acres to the immediate east and approximately 4.97 acres to the west of Victoria Avenue, comprise the existing Third Street District The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 3 of the SBAC-SP. In total, the Third Street District is 49.6 acres. Approximately 12.89 acres of the Development Site are not currently located within the boundaries of the SBAC-SP. SP 20-01 is proposed in order to reconfigure the boundaries of the Third Street District and SBAC-SP to encompass the entire 52.97- acre Development Site, in addition to the 4.55 acres to the west that is already in the SBAC-SP boundary. Specifically, proposed SP 20-01 would add approximately 12.89 acres in the southern portion of the Development Site to the boundaries of the Third Street District of the SBAC-SP, and would remove approximately 4.97 acres located west of Victoria Avenue from the SBAC-SP boundaries. As a result, the reconfigured Third Street District would comprise approximately 57.52 acres (the 52.97-acre Development Site and 4.55 acres to the east that is already located in the Third Street District). With approval of SP 20-01, the 4.97 acres to be removed from the Third Street District boundaries would no longer be subject to the development standards and requirements of SBAC-SP. Due to the proposed boundary change and acreage adjustment for the Third Street District, SP 20-01 proposes to increase the permitted building square footage in the Third Street District from 1,080,288 s.f. to 1,252,350 s.f., while maintaining the maximum FAR at 0.5. In addition, SP 20-01 proposes to change the minimum setback for parking from Major Arterials (3rd Street) from 20 feet to 9 feet. As described below under DP-D 20-02, the Project Applicant is proposing an enhanced landscape treatment along 3rd Street in part due to the proposed setback reduction to 9 feet. 4. Development Permit Type-D No. 20-02 (DP-D 20-02) DP-D 20-02 would allow for development of the 52.97-acre Development Site with a proposed 1,153,644 s.f. warehouse building and associated site improvements. The building is designed to contain approximately 20,000 s.f. of ancillary office space, 73,500 s.f. of leasable mezzanine space, and 1,060,144 s.f. of warehouse space. While the ultimate tenant of the proposed building is not currently known and no potential tenant is currently being pursued, the Project Applicant anticipates that the building would be occupied by a high-cube fulfillment center user with up to 1/3 of the building used for high-cube cold storage uses. Pedestrian entrances into the building are proposed at all four corners of the building. A total of 218 dock doors are proposed, including 113 dock doors along the north side of the building and 105 dock doors along the southern portion of the building. Approximately 365 truck trailer parking stalls are proposed to the north, south, and east of the building. Approximately 422 passenger vehicle parking spaces (including accessible parking spaces) are proposed, a majority of which are proposed to the west of the building with a smaller passenger vehicle parking area proposed to the east of the building. Additionally, a 30-foot-wide fire lane is proposed around the building and in the western passenger vehicle parking lot. Driveway connections serving the industrial warehouse building would include two driveways along 3rd Street, two driveways along Victoria Avenue, and one driveway along W Street in the southwest corner of the Development Site. The driveway at the southeastern portion of the site connecting with W Street is designed as the primary truck entry and exit driveway. Trucks would enter the driveway, have access to a truck staging parking area, and enter through a security gate. The northern driveway connecting with Victoria Avenue would be restricted to right-turn-in, right-turn-out, and would accommodate passenger vehicles, only. The southern driveway along Victoria Avenue would have full access, and would serve passenger vehicles, only. The driveways along 3rd Street would provide for full access, and would accommodate both passenger vehicles and truck traffic. In the northeast corner of the site, a secured (gated) secondary access driveway for use by the SBIA is provided. This driveway would extend along the eastern boundary of the Development Site and extend off-site to provide access to the SBIA property to the south. This driveway would replace an existing driveway that the SBIA uses in the same approximate location under existing conditions. The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 4 As part of the DP-D 20-02 application, an existing water tower is planned to be relocated to the northwest corner of the Development Site, assuming it is structurally stable enough to be moved. If relocation of the existing water tower is not feasible, a replica water tower is planned to be erected at the northwest corner of the Development Site. The water tower is planned to serve as the centerpiece of an approximate 1.1-acre landscaped area planned at the northwest corner of the Development Site, which also is designed to include a walking path, picnic tables, interpretive columns, and a monument sign. A bus stop to accommodate an Omnitrans Tripper route is planned on the Development Site’s frontage with Victoria Avenue, just south of 3rd Street. D. City of San Bernardino Actions Covered By the EIR The following discretionary and administrative actions are required of the City to implement the Project. The EIR prepared for the Project covers all discretionary and administrative approvals which may be needed to construct and implement the Project, whether or not they are explicitly listed below.  Approve General Plan Amendment No. 20-02 (GPA 20-02);  Approve Development Code Amendment No. 20-03 (DCA 20-03);  Approve Specific Plan Amendment No. 20-01 (SP 20-01);  Approve Development Permit Type D No. 20-02 (DP-D 20-02);  Approve Conditions of Approval for DP-D 20-02;  Approve final maps, parcel mergers, or parcel consolidations as may be necessary;  Approve conditional or temporary use permits, if required;  Issue grading permits;  Issue building permits;  Approve road improvement plans;  Issue encroachment permits;  Accept public right-of-way dedications; and  Approve street vacations. E. Project Objectives The underlying purpose and goal of the proposed Project is to accomplish the reuse of underutilized property that was formerly part of the Norton Air Force Base (AFB) with an economically viable, employment- generating use that is compatible with the SBIA. This underlying goal aligns with various aspects of the Southern California Association of Governments’ (SCAG’s) 2020-2045 Regional Transportation The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 5 Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy (RTP/SCS; also referred to as “Connect SoCal”), particularly the facilitation of goods movement industries and the generation of local employment opportunities that can reduce the need for long commutes to and from work. The following objectives are intended to achieve these underlying purposes: A. To expand economic development, facilitate job creation, and increase the tax base for the City of San Bernardino by establishing new industrial development adjacent to established and planned industrial areas. B. To attract new employment-generating businesses in the City of San Bernardino, thereby growing the economy and providing a more equal jobs-housing balance in the local area that will reduce the need for members of the local workforce to commute outside the area for employment. C. To develop vacant or underutilized property on the former Norton AFB with a use that is compatible with the SBIA and that achieves a maximized floor area ratio per regulatory allowances to take full advantage of the development potential of the property. D. To develop a use that has architectural design and operational characteristics that are compatible with other existing and planned developments in the local area. E. To develop a Class A light industrial building in the City of San Bernardino that is designed to meet contemporary industry standards and be economically competitive with similar industrial buildings in the local area and region. F. To attract businesses that can expedite the delivery of essential goods to consumers and businesses around the SBIA, in the City of San Bernardino, and in the region beyond the City’s boundary. G. To develop light industrial and warehousing uses with loading docks in close proximity to designated truck routes and the State highway system to avoid or shorten truck-trip lengths on other roadways. H. To modify the boundary of the SBAC-SP Third Street District to form a more viably-shaped area for industrial development. I. To add interpretive elements in public streetscape near the SBIA to convey the area’s history and culture. III. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW AND PUBLIC PARTICIPATION The City conducted an extensive environmental review of the Project to ensure that the City’s decision makers and the public are fully informed about potential significant environmental effects of the Project; to identify ways that environmental damage can be avoided or significantly reduced; to prevent significant, avoidable damage to the environment by requiring changes in the Project through the use of mitigation measures which have been found to be feasible; and to disclose to the public the reasons why the City has approved the Project in the manner chosen in light of the significant environmental effects which have been The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 6 identified in the EIR. In order to do this, the City, acting as lead agency under CEQA, undertook the following:  Prepared a CEQA Environmental Initial Study, dated September 30, 2020, to determine the scope of the EIR and a Notice of Preparation (NOP), dated September 30, 2020, to indicate that an EIR would be prepared to evaluate the Project’s potential to impact the environment. The Notice of Preparation identified the environmental issues to be analyzed in the Project’s EIR as: Air Quality, Biological Resources, Cultural Resources, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Hydrology and Water Quality, Land Use and Planning, Noise, Transportation, and Tribal Cultural Resources;  Filed the NOP with the California Office of Planning and Research (the “State Clearinghouse”) for distribution to Responsible Agencies, Trustee Agencies, and other interested parties on October 5, 2020, for a 30-day public review period. The NOP was distributed for public review to solicit responses that would help the City identify the full scope and range of potential environmental concerns associated with the Project so that these issues could be fully examined in the EIR.  Held a publicly-noticed EIR Scoping Meeting on October 14, 2020, to solicit comments from the public on the environmental issue areas that should be analyzed in the EIR. Due to the State Emergency related to COVID-19 and as allowed pursuant to Executive Order N-29-20, the City of San Bernardino hosted the EIR Scoping Meeting via an internet-based video and phone conferencing service. The EIR Scoping Meeting provided public agencies, interested parties, and members of the general public an additional opportunity to learn about the Project, the CEQA review process, and how to submit comments on the scope and range of potential environmental concerns to be addressed in the EIR;  Sent a Notice of Completion and copies of the Draft EIR to the California Office of Planning and Research, State Clearinghouse, on November 23, 2020;  Filed a Notice of Availability with the San Bernardino County Clerk on November 23, 2020, informing the public that the Draft EIR was available for a 45-day review period beginning on November 23, 2020, and ending on January 6, 2021;  Mailed the Notice of Availability to all Responsible Agencies, Trustee Agencies, other interested parties, and organizations and individuals who had previously requested the Notice on November 23, 2020;  Mailed the Notice of Availability to all property owners within a 500-foot radius of the Project Site on November 23, 2020;  Placed copies of the Draft EIR on the City’s website, at the City Community Development, Planning Division’s public counter and at the public library located at 555 West 6th St, San Bernardino, CA 92410.  Published the Notice of Availability in the San Bernardino Sun, which is the newspaper of general circulation in the area affected by the Project, on November 21, 2020; The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 7  Prepared responses to comments on the Draft EIR received during the 45-day comment period on the Draft EIR, which have been included in the Final EIR;  Published a notice on January 30, 2021, in the San Bernardino Sun, the newspaper of general circulation in the area affected by the Project, that the Planning Commission would hold a public hearing on February 9, 2021, to recommend to the City Council the certification of the Final EIR as having been prepared in compliance with CEQA and the approval of the Project;  Mailed notice of the Planning Commission hearing to all property owners within a 500-foot radius of the Project Site on January 29, 2021  Sent notice of the Planning Commission’s hearing to all organizations and individuals who had previously requested notification of anything having to do with the Project on January 29, 2021;  Held a public hearing of the Planning Commission on February 9, 2021;  Published a notice on March 4, 2021, in the San Bernardino Sun, the newspaper of general circulation in the area affected by the Project, that the City Council would hold a hearing on March 17, 2021, to consider certification of the Final EIR as having been prepared in compliance with CEQA and approve the Project;  Mailed notice of the City Council hearing to all property owners within a 500-foot radius of the Project Site on March 3, 2021;  Sent notice of the City Council’s hearing to all organizations and individuals who had previously requested notification of anything having to do with the Project on March 3, 2021;  Held a public hearing of the City Council on March 17, 2021, and, after full consideration of all comments, written and oral, certified that the Final EIR had been completed in compliance with CEQA and approved the Project; All of the documents and notices identified above and all of the documents and sources of information that are required to be part of the Project’s administrative record pursuant to Public Resources Code §21167.6(e) are on file with the City’s Community Development Department, Planning Division, located at 201 North E Street, 3rd Floor, San Bernardino, CA 92401. Questions should be directed to Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez, Associate Planner with the City’s Community Development Department. IV. INDEPENDENT JUDGMENT FINDING Finding: The EIR for the Project reflects the City’s and the City Council’s independent judgment and analysis. Facts in Support of the Finding: The EIR was prepared by T&B Planning, Inc., an independent consulting firm hired and funded by the Project Applicant but working under the supervision and direction of Planning Division staff of the City of San Bernardino’s Community Development Department. The City Council, as the City’s final decision-making body for the Project, received and reviewed the Final EIR and the comments, written and oral, provided by The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 8 public agencies and members of the public prior to certifying that the Final EIR complied with CEQA. The professional qualifications and reputation of the EIR Consultant, the supervision and direction of the EIR Consultant by City staff, the independent review of the Draft EIR by the City’s Development and Environmental Review Committee (D/ERC), and the thorough and independent review of the Draft EIR and Final EIR, including comments and responses, by City staff, the review and careful consideration by the Planning Commission of the Final EIR, including comments and responses, and the review and careful consideration by the City Council of the Final EIR, including comments and responses, all conclusively show that the Final EIR is the product of and reflects the independent judgment and analysis of the City of San Bernardino as the Lead Agency, and of the City Council as the decision- making body for the Project. V. FINDING OF NO LEGAL REQUIREMENT TO RECIRCULATE THE EIR Finding: The City Council finds that the Final EIR does not add significant new information to the Draft EIR (subsequently referred to as “Draft EIR” or “DEIR”) that would require recirculation of the EIR. Facts in Support of the Finding: The City Council recognizes that the Final EIR incorporates information obtained and produced after the Draft EIR was completed and that the Final EIR contains additions, amplifications, clarifications, and minor modifications to the Draft EIR. The City Council has reviewed and considered the Final EIR and all of the information contained in the Final EIR and has determined that the new information added to the Final EIR does not involve a new significant environmental impact, a substantial increase in the severity of an environmental impact, nor a feasible mitigation measure or an alternative considerably different from others previously analyzed that the Project applicant declined to adopt and that would clearly lessen the significant environmental impacts of the Project. No information provided to the City Council indicates that the Draft EIR was inadequate or conclusory or that the public was deprived of a meaningful opportunity to review and comment on the Draft EIR. VI. GENERAL FINDING ON MITIGATION MEASURES In preparing the Conditions of Approval for this Project, City staff incorporated the mitigation measures recommended in the EIR and its MMRP as applicable to the Project. In the event that the Conditions of Approval do not use the exact wording of the mitigation measures recommended in the EIR, in each such instance, the adopted Conditions of Approval are intended to be identical or substantially similar to the recommended mitigation measure. Any minor revisions were made for the purpose of improving clarity or to better define the intended purpose. Finding: Unless specifically stated to the contrary in these Findings, it is the City’s intent to adopt all mitigation measures recommended by the EIR that are applicable to the Project. If a measure has, through error, been omitted from the Conditions of Approval or from these Findings, and that measure is not specifically reflected in these Findings, that measure shall be deemed to be The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 9 adopted pursuant to this paragraph. In addition, unless specifically stated to the contrary in these Findings, all Conditions of Approval repeating or rewording mitigation measures recommended in the EIR are intended to be substantially similar to the mitigation measures recommended in the EIR and are found to be equally effective in avoiding or lessening the identified environmental impact. In each instance, the Conditions of Approval contain the final wording for the mitigation measures. VII. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS AND FINDINGS City staff reports, the EIR, written and oral testimony at public meetings or hearings, these Facts, Findings and Statement of Overriding Considerations, and other information in the administrative record, serve as the basis for the City’s environmental determination. An Initial Study was prepared for the proposed Project, which is included as Technical Appendix A to the EIR. Through the Initial Study process, the City determined that the proposed Project could potentially cause adverse environmental effects, and that an EIR was required. The City also determined that the Project had no potential to result in significant adverse effects to 11 primary environmental subject areas, including: Aesthetics, Agriculture and Forestry Resources, Energy, Geology and Soils, Hazards and Hazardous Materials, Mineral Resources, Population and Housing, Public Services, Recreation, Utilities and Service Systems, and Wildfire. Additionally, it was determined as part of the Project’s Initial Study that the Project clearly would have no impact or a less-than-significant impact under some, but not all, of the thresholds of significance under the issue areas of Air Quality, Biological Resources, Cultural Resources, Hydrology and Water Quality, Land Use and Planning, Noise, and Transportation. Therefore, those thresholds of significance were not required to be analyzed in detail in EIR Section 4.0, Environmental Analysis. The discussion of issues (and the additional distinct thresholds) found not to be significant as part of the Initial Study process is presented in Subsection 5.4 of the EIR. The City concurs with the conclusion of the Initial Study that the issues discussed under Subsection VII.A, below, were found to have no significant impact. The detailed analysis of potentially significant environmental impacts of the Project and proposed mitigation measures for the Project are presented in Section 4.0 of the EIR. Responses to comments from the public and other government agencies on the EIR are provided in Section F.2 of the Final EIR. The EIR evaluated thresholds for nine (9) major environmental issues for potential impacts, including: Air Quality, Biological Resources, Cultural Resources, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Hydrology and Water Quality, Land Use and Planning, Noise, Transportation, and Tribal Cultural Resources. Both Project-specific and cumulative impacts were evaluated. The City concurs with the conclusions of the EIR that the issues and sub-issues discussed in Subsections VII.B and C, below, were found to have either no significant and unavoidable environmental impacts or that the environmental impacts could be mitigated to a level of less than significant. Further, the City concurs with the conclusions of the EIR that the issues and sub-issues discussed in Subsection VII.D, below, would result in significant and unavoidable environmental impacts after the implementation of all proposed Project design features; federal, State, and City regulatory requirements; City-imposed Conditions of Approval; and feasible mitigation measures. A. Impacts Found Not to be Significant as Part of the Initial Study Process 1. Aesthetics Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect on aesthetics. (Thresholds a, b, and c) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 10 Finding: Impacts related to Aesthetics are discussed in Subsection 5.4.1 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect to Aesthetics, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Development Site and larger Project Site are located in the City of San Bernardino. The properties are not designated as a scenic vista by the City of San Bernardino General Plan or any other relevant planning document and are not associated with any features identified in the General Plan as potentially benefiting from sensitive treatment of land. The San Bernardino Mountains, located north of the Project Site, are the only relevant feature listed in the General Plan that is visible from the Project Site. The proposed Project has no potential to block public views of the San Bernardino Mountains because the mountains occur to the north of the Project Site and public views to the mountains would continue to be available from 3rd Street. The Project is located south of 3rd Street and therefore has no potential to obstruct views of features located north of 3rd Street. Immediately south of the Project Site are fenced and gated areas of the SBIA that are not accessible to the general public and therefore offer no public views. There are no designated or eligible State scenic highways within the Project Site’s immediate vicinity. Due to the distance of these highways to the Project Site and the presence of intervening development and topography, the Project Site does not offer views of scenic resources from these road segments. The Project Site is located in an urbanized area and is surrounded by existing developments. The proposed zoning classification revisions would have no adverse effect on scenic quality. There are no components of the proposed Project that would conflict with applicable Specific Plan or City Municipal Code requirements related to scenic quality or other regulations governing scenic quality. The Project’s perimeter treatment along 3rd Street is designed to include landscaping and artistic and interpretive elements as screening to enhance the scenic quality of the roadway corridor. The building’s loading docks, truck courts, and trash enclosures will be behind a solid barrier and will not be visible from 3rd Street, and the higher elevation of the building façade visible from 3rd Street is designed with architectural enhancements. Enhanced landscaped areas also are proposed to be located at the northwest and northeast corners of the Development Site to enhance the streetscape of 3rd Street. Other than the SBAC-SP and the City of San Bernardino’s Municipal Code, to which the Project would comply, there are no other regulations governing scenic quality that apply to the Project. All new light sources associated with the Project would be required to comply with the City’s Municipal Code standards for exterior lighting, which will prevent light spillover, glare, nuisance, inconvenience, or hazardous interference of any kind on adjacent properties and streets. There are no components of the Project-related lighting that could adversely affect day or nighttime views in the area. (DEIR pp. 5-5 to 5-7) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 11 2. Agriculture and Forestry Resources Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect to Agriculture and Forestry Resources. (Thresholds a, b, c, d, and e) Finding: Impacts related to Agriculture and Forestry Resources are discussed in Subsection 5.4.2 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect to Agriculture and Forestry Resources, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project Site is part of the former location of the Norton AFB and is not designated for agricultural use or as forest lands or timberlands. The California Department of Conservation’s Farmland Mapping and Monitoring Program (FMMP) does not map the site as “Prime Farmland,” “Unique Farmland,” or “Farmland of Statewide Importance,” nor does the site contain any Locally Important Farmland. The Project Site is zoned “San Bernardino Specific Alliance Specific Plan (SBAC- SP)” and “Public Faculties (PF).” The Project Site is not within an agricultural preserve, nor is it subject to a Williamson Act contract, and none of the surrounding properties are zoned for forestry- or timberland- related uses. As such, the proposed Project has no potential to conflict with existing zoning for agricultural use, or a Williamson Act contract, and has no potential to conflict with existing zoning for, or cause rezoning of, forest land, timberland, or timberland zoned Timberland Production. (DEIR pp. 5-7 and 5-8) 3. Air Quality a. Other Emissions / Odors Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would result in other emissions (such as those leading to odors) adversely affecting a substantial number of people. (Threshold d) Finding: Impacts related to Air Quality Threshold d are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.3 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not result in other emissions (such as those leading to odors) adversely affecting a substantial number of people, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: Any temporary odor impacts generated during construction activities on the Development Site, such as asphalt paving and the application of architectural coatings, would be short-term and cease upon completion of the construction phase of the Project. Additionally, such odors would not affect a substantial number of people, based on the proximity and nature of land uses surrounding the Project Site (i.e., primarily industrial and airport-related land uses). The warehouse use proposed for the Development Site is not expected to involve activities that generate substantial or noticeable amounts of odor during long-term operation. Mandatory compliance with regulatory requirements related to nuisance air contaminants and storage of solid waste will ensure that any odor effects would be less than significant. (DEIR pp. 5-8 and 5-9) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 12 4. Biological Resources a. Riparian Habitat or Other Sensitive Natural Community Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantially adverse effect on any riparian habitat or other sensitive natural community identified in local or regional plans, policies, and regulations or by the California Department of Fish and Game or U.S. Wildlife Service. (Threshold b) Finding: Impacts related to Biological Resources Threshold b are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.4 of the DEIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not impact any riparian habitat or other sensitive natural community identified in local or regional plans, policies, and regulations or by the California Department of Fish and Wildlife (“CDFW”) or U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (“USFWS”), and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: Under existing conditions, the Project Site is fully disturbed by past Norton AFB development and contains only developed, ornamental, and ruderal habitat types. The Project Site does not contain any riparian habitat or other sensitive natural community identified in local or regional plans, policies, and regulations or by the CCDFW or USFWS. Further, the Project’s stormwater system is designed to discharge into a subsurface stormwater system and would not directly discharge to any water courses that may contain riparian habitat. As such, the proposed Project has no potential to have a substantial adverse effect on any on- site or off-site riparian habitat or other sensitive natural community identified in local or regional plans, policies, or regulations, or by the CDFW or USFWS. (DEIR p. 5-9) b. Federally-Protected Wetlands Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect on State- or federally-protected wetlands (including, but not limited to, marsh, vernal pool, coastal, etc.) through direct removal, filling, hydrological interruption, or other means. (Threshold c) Finding: Impacts related to Biological Resources Threshold c are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.4 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not impact any State- or federally-protected wetlands (including, but not limited to, marsh, vernal pool, coastal, etc.) through direct removal, filling, hydrological interruption, or other means, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project Site does not contain any natural or artificially occurring water resources that support State- or federally-protected wetlands (including, but not limited to, marsh, vernal pool, coastal, etc.). The proposed Project also has no potential to impact State- or federally- protected wetlands, because the Project Site does not contain any natural drainages or jurisdictional wetlands. Further, the Project’s drainage design is proposed to discharge into a subsurface stormwater system and would not discharge to any protected water courses. (DEIR p. 5-9) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 13 c. Wildlife Movement, Wildlife Corridor, Wildlife Nursery Sites Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would interfere substantially with the movement of any resident or migratory fish or wildlife species or with established native resident migratory wildlife corridors, or impede the use of native wildlife nursery sites. (Threshold d) Finding: Impacts related to Biological Resources Threshold d are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.4 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project does not have the potential to interfere substantially with the movement of any native resident or migratory wildlife corridors, or impede the use of native wildlife nursery sites, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: Under existing conditions, the Project Site is fully disturbed by past Norton AFB development and contains only developed, ornamental, and ruderal habitat types. The Project Site does not contain any natural bodies of water so there is no potential for the Project to interfere with the movement of fish. Except for migratory birds, the Project has no potential to result in impacts to migratory wildlife corridors due to the urbanized nature of the Project Site and surroundings. Mandatory compliance with regulatory requirements will ensure that active migratory bird nests, if present, are not disturbed. Trees would only be removed outside the nesting season, or if no nests are present. Upon development of the Project as proposed, new trees will be installed on the Development Site along 3rd Street, Victoria Street, and portions of the Development Site’s interior, which will re-establish nesting habitat. (DEIR p. 5-10) d. Local Policies and/or Ordinances Protecting Biological Resources Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would conflict with any local policies or ordinances protecting biological resources, such as a tree preservation policy or ordinance. (Threshold e) Finding: Impacts related to Biological Resources Threshold e are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.4 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not conflict with any local policies or ordinances protecting biological resources and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: City of San Bernardino Municipal Code Section 19.28.100 requires the issuance of a tree removal permit prior to the removal of any mature trees. The Development Site contained 139 trees that were removed pursuant to the issuance of a tree removal permit. Mandatory compliance with the tree removal permit ensures that trees are removed per City requirements. There are no additional local policies or ordinances protecting biological resources that are applicable to the Project or Project Site. (DEIR p. 5-10) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 14 e. Habitat Conservation Plan Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would conflict with the provisions of an adopted Habitat Conservation Plan, Natural Conservation Community Plan, or other approved local, regional, or State habitat conservation plan. (Threshold f) Finding: Impacts related to Biological Resources Threshold f are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.4 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not conflict with the provisions of an adopted Habitat Conservation Plan, Natural Conservation Community Plan, or other approved local, regional, or State habitat conservation plan, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: There is no adopted habitat conservation plan, natural conservation community plan, or other approved local, regional, or State habitat conservation plan applicable to the City of San Bernardino or the Project Site. Accordingly, the Project would have no potential to conflict with any such plans. (DEIR p. 5-10) 5. Cultural Resources a. Disturbance of Human Remains Outside Formal Cemeteries Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would disturb any human remains, including those interred outside formal cemeteries (Threshold c). Finding: Impacts related to Cultural Resources Threshold c are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.5 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project’s potential to disturb human remains, including those interred outside formal cemeteries, would be less than significant, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: There are no known cemeteries at the Project Site and no known formal cemeteries are located within the immediate site vicinity. While not expected, in the unlikely event that human remains are discovered during ground-disturbing activities, compliance with the applicable provisions of California Health and Safety Code § 7050.5 as well as Public Resources Code § 5097 et. seq. would be required. Mandatory compliance with these provisions of State law would ensure that human remains, if unearthed during construction activities, would be appropriately treated. (DEIR p. 5-11). 6. Energy Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would result in a potentially significant environmental impact due to wasteful, inefficient, or unnecessary consumption of energy, or wasteful use of energy resources, during Project construction or operation, and whether the Project would conflict with or obstruct a State or local plan for renewable energy or energy efficiency. (Thresholds a and b) Finding: Impacts related to Energy are discussed in Subsection 5.4.6 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not result in a potentially significant environmental The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 15 impact due to wasteful, inefficient, or unnecessary consumption of energy, and would not conflict with or obstruct a State or local plan for renewable energy or energy efficiency. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project’s construction process would consume electricity and fuel. Project-related construction activities would represent a “single-event” demand and would not require on-going or permanent commitment of energy resources. Fuel consumed by construction equipment and construction worker and vendor trips would be the primary energy resource expended over the course of Project-related construction. The equipment used for Project construction would conform to California Air Resources Board (CARB) regulations and California emissions standards. There are no unusual Project characteristics or construction processes that would require the use of equipment that would be more energy intensive than is used for comparable construction projects. The Project does not propose uses or operations that would inherently result in excessive and wasteful vehicle trips and/or vehicle miles traveled, nor associated excess and wasteful vehicle energy consumption. Enhanced fuel economies realized pursuant to federal and State regulatory actions, and related transition of passenger vehicles and trucks to alternative energy sources (e.g., electricity, natural gas, bio fuels, hydrogen cells) are expected to decrease gasoline fuel demands in the future. Under the Truck and Bus Regulation adopted by CARB in 2008, all diesel truck fleets operating in California are required to adhere to an aggressive schedule for upgrading and replacing heavy-duty truck engines, which will result in fuel efficiencies. In addition, in June 2020, CARB adopted a new Advanced Clean Truck Regulation Rule requiring truck manufacturers to transition from diesel trucks and vans to electric zero-emission trucks beginning in 2024. By 2045, every new truck sold in California will be required to be zero-emission electric. Based on the foregoing, Project transportation energy consumption would not be considered inefficient, wasteful, or otherwise unnecessary. The Project would not cause or result in the need for additional energy facilities or an energy delivery system; existing utility connections are site-adjacent in 3rd Street. Building operations and site maintenance activities associated with the Project would result in the consumption of electricity and potentially natural gas. For new development, compliance with California Building Standards Code Title 24 energy efficiency requirements (CALGreen) is considered demonstrable evidence of efficient use of energy. The proposed warehouse building would be required to promote and provide for energy efficiencies as required by applicable federal or State of California standards and regulations, and in so doing would meet all California Building Standards Code 24 standards. The Project would not result in wasteful, inefficient, or unnecessary consumption of energy, or wasteful use of energy resources, during construction or operation. The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 16 Under existing conditions, there are no adopted State or local plans for renewable energy or energy efficiency in the Project area. Thus, the Project would have no potential to conflict with such plans, and no impact would occur. Additionally, the Project would be consistent with or otherwise would not conflict with policies and requirements related to energy conservation. (DEIR pp. 5-11 to 5-14) 7. Geology and Soils Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect to Geology and Soils. (Thresholds a, b, c, d, e, and f) Finding: Impacts related to Geology and Soils are discussed in Subsection 5.4.7 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect to Geology and Soils, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project Site is not located near a known earthquake fault and is not located within an Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone. Accordingly, the proposed Project would have no potential to expose people or structures to potential substantial adverse effects, including the risk of loss, injury, or death involving rupture of a known earthquake, as delineated on the most recent Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zoning Map. No known fault zones cross the Project Site; therefore, there is no evidence that the site’s ground surface could rupture. The Project Site is located in a seismically active area of Southern California and is expected to experience moderate-to-severe ground shaking during the lifetime of the Project. This risk is not considered substantially different than that of other similar properties in the Southern California area and is considered adequately mitigated to protect public health, safety, and welfare if buildings are designed and constructed in conformance with applicable building codes and sound engineering practices. Pursuant to the City’s Municipal Code, the City will condition the future grading and building permits to comply with the requirements of the Project’s Geotechnical Study. The Project Site is not located in an area with the potential for liquefaction and is not subject to ground failure including failure by seismically-induced liquefaction. Therefore, the Project would not be subject to and would not exacerbate potential substantial adverse effects including the risk of loss, injury, or death involving seismic-related ground failure, including liquefaction. The Project Site is not located in an area which has a known susceptibility to landslides. Furthermore, the Project Site is relatively flat and is approximately 4.4 miles away from the nearest location identified by the San Bernardino General Plan as containing the potential for landslide hazards. Accordingly, the proposed Project would not expose The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 17 people or structures to potential substantial adverse effects, including the risk of loss, injury, or death, involving landslides. Grading activities associated with the Project would temporarily expose underlying soils in the Project’s grading footprint to water and air, which would increase erosion susceptibility during rainfall events or high winds while the soils are exposed. The Project Applicant would be required to obtain coverage under a National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permit for construction activities. The NPDES permit is required for all projects that include construction activities, such a s clearing, grading, and/or excavation that disturb at least one acre of total land area. Additionally, during grading and other construction activities, the Project would be subject to the requirements established in City of San Bernardino Municipal Code Chapter 8.80 (Storm Water Drainage System), which requires the Project Applicant to prepare and implement a Stormwater Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP) that would identify the erosion control measures, such as construction fencing, sandbags, and other erosion-control features, that would be implemented during the construction phase to reduce the Project Site’s potential for soil erosion or the loss of topsoil. In addition, construction activities associated with the Project would be required to comply with SCAQMD Rule 403 Fugitive Dust, which would minimize wind-related erosion hazards during construction activities. Mandatory compliance with the Project’s NPDES permit and the regulatory requirements of the City of San Bernardino and the SCAQMD would ensure that water and wind erosion is minimized and not substantial. Following construction, wind and water erosion on the Development Site would be minimal because the Development Site would be covered by landscaping and impervious surfaces and stormwater runoff discharge would be controlled through a storm drain system. The Project is subject to the provisions of the City of San Bernardino Municipal Code Chapter 8.80, which requires the Project Applicant to prepare and implement a SWPPP for long-term operational activities. The Project’s Water Quality Management Plan (WQMP) provides a program for an effective combination of erosion control and sediment control measures (i.e., Best Management Practices (BMPs)) to reduce or eliminate long-term discharge to surface water from stormwater and non-storm water discharges. The Project’s design includes proposed catch basins that would include filters that remove waterborne pollutants from stormwater flows, including silt and sediment, and the proposed infiltration basins would facilitate the settlement of sediments in runoff from the site prior to discharging to existing storm drainage facilities. These design features would be effective at removing silt and sediment from stormwater runoff, and the WQMP requires post-construction maintenance and operational measures to ensure ongoing erosion protection. Compliance with the operational SWPPP and WQMP, along with long-term maintenance of the on-site water quality features, would be required as a The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 18 condition of Project approval. As such, the Project would not result in substantial erosion or loss of top soil during long-term operation. The City will condition future grading and building permits to incorporate recommendations to address lateral spreading, subsidence, and collapse. With mandatory compliance with the recommendations provided, impacts related to geologic and soil stability would be less than significant. Soils that underlie the Project Site have “Very Low” expansion potential. The Project does not include the installation of any septic tanks or alternative waste water disposal systems, as the warehouse building would connect to the San Bernardino Valley Municipal Water District’s sanitary sewer system. The Project Site has been fully disturbed associated with past Norton AFB development. The Project Site is overlain with artificial fill; no native soil or bedrock is expected to occur within 3.5 feet of the ground surface, and below the artificial fill are alluvium soils extending to depths of approximately 20 feet. Other than for a limited number of trenches associated with utility installation and the installation of subsurface water chambers, no substantial amounts of below grade construction are expected to be included in the proposed development . Further, alluvial fan and fluvial soils have a low paleontological sensitivity because they are not known to have produced fossils in the past and consist of sediments too young to produce fossils. As such, there is no reasonable potential that paleontological resources or unique geologic features have the potential of being impacted by the Project . (DEIR pp 5-14 to 5-17) 8. Hazards and Hazardous Materials Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect due to Hazards and Hazardous Materials. (Thresholds a, b, c, d, e, f, and g) Finding: Impacts related to Hazards and Hazardous Materials are discussed in Subsection 5.4.8 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect to Hazards and Hazardous Materials, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: A Phase I Environmental Site Assessment (ESA) prepared for the Development Site determined that the only potential existing sources of site contamination were associated with potential asbestos, lead based paints, and existing site utilities associated with buildings on the site that have since been demolished and removed from the site. There were no other identified Recognized Environmental Conditions (RECs); thus, impacts due to existing site contamination would be less than significant. Construction contractors would be required to comply with all applicable federal, State, and local laws and regulations regarding the transport, use, storage, and potential accidental upset of hazardous construction‐related materials. With mandatory compliance with applicable hazardous The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 19 materials regulations, the Project would not create a significant hazard to the public or the environment through routine transport, use, or disposal of hazardous materials during the construction phase. If businesses that use or store hazardous materials occupy the Project, the business owners and operators would be required to comply with all applicable federal, State, and local regulations to ensure proper transport, storage, use, emission, and disposal of hazardous substances. With mandatory regulatory compliance, the Project is not expected to pose a significant hazard to the public or the environment through the routine transport, use, storage, emission, or disposal of hazardous materials, nor would the Project increase the potential for accident conditions that could result in the release of hazardous materials into the environment. The Project Site is not located within one-quarter mile of an existing or proposed school. The nearest existing school facilities to the Project Site are Cypress Preschool (approximately 0.4 mile to the north) and Lankershim Elementary School (approximately 0.8 mile to the northwest). The proposed warehouse operation at the Development Site would be conducted mainly inside of the enclosed building, where a variety of consumer products would likely be stored. The Project does not include any land uses that may be considered point source emitters. Accordingly, the proposed Project would not emit hazardous emissions or handle hazardous or acutely hazardous materials, substances, or waste within one-quarter mile of an existing or proposed school. The California Environmental Protection Agency (CalEPA) maintains several lists of contaminated sites that are identified as meeting the “Cortese List” requirements for hazardous materials sites. A review of the CalEPA’s Cortese List Data Resources indicates that the Project Site is not included on any list of hazardous materials sites compiled pursuant to Government Code 65962.5. The SBIA property is located immediately south of the Project Site. The Project entails the development of a warehouse building, which is not a noise-sensitive use. Also, the Project Site is not subject to incompatible aircraft noise, as it is located outside of the SBIA’s projected 65 decibel (dBA) CNEL noise contour. The arrival and departure paths for the SBIA’s runways do not extend over the Project Site. Fixed wing and helicopter aircraft arrive from the northeast and southwest and depart to the southwest. Nonetheless, the Project Applicant and any successors in interest would be required to grant an avigation easement to the SBIAA to allow for aircraft overflight, and prior to construction of the building, approval by the Inland Valley Development Agency (IVDA) and Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is required to assure compliance with all applicable safety requirements. Therefore, there is no reasonable potential for the Project to result in significant safety hazards or noise exposure for people working or visiting on and around the Project Site. The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 20 The Project Site does not contain any emergency facilities nor does it serve as an emergency evacuation route. During construction and long- term operation, the City of San Bernardino and the San Bernardino County Fire Department will require adequate emergency access for emergency vehicles. As part of the Project’s application review process, and during subsequent review and approval processes for building permits, the City of San Bernardino and County of San Bernardino Fire Departments are responsible for reviewing the Project’s application materials to ensure that appropriate emergency ingress and egress would be available to-and-from the Project Site and that the Project would not substantially impede emergency response times in the local area. Accordingly, implementation of the Project would not impair implementation of or physically interfere with an adopted emergency response plan or an emergency evacuation plan. The Development Site and larger Project Site are located in an urbanized portion of the City of San Bernardino, and there are no areas of open space in the Project’s immediate vicinity that could be subject to wildland fire hazards. The Project would be required to be constructed in accordance with the California Building Standards Code (CBSC, Title 24, Part 11 of the California Code of Regulations) and the Building Code (Chapter 15.04 of the City of San Bernardino Municipal Code), which incorporates the CBSC with minor exceptions and changes to ensure applicability of the requirements within the City of San Bernardino. The Building Code requires a minimum level of fire protection facilities, such as fire sprinklers and hydrants. Additionally, site improvements, including irrigated landscaping, would reduce the Project’s potential to cause or be affected by wildland fire hazards. (DEIR pp. 5-18 to 5-21) 9. Hydrology and Water Quality a. Water Quality Standards/Waste Discharge Requirements Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project will violate any water quality standards or waste discharge requirements. (Initial Study Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.9 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not cause or contribute to the violation of any water quality standards or waste discharge requirements, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: Construction of the Project would involve demolition/site preparation, grading, paving, utility installation, building construction, and landscaping activities, which have the potential to generate water quality pollutants such as silt, debris, organic waste, and chemicals (e.g., paints, solvents). Should these materials come into contact with water that reaches the groundwater table or flows off site to a public storm drain, the potential exists for the Project’s construction activities to adversely affect water quality. As such, short-term water quality impacts have the The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 21 potential to occur during construction in the absence of any protective or avoidance measures. However, pursuant to the requirements of the Santa Ana RWQCB and City of San Bernardino (San Bernardino Municipal Code Chapter 8.80), the Project Applicant would be required to obtain coverage under the State’s General Construction Storm Water Permit for construction activities (NPDES permit), which would reduce impacts to less than significant. An NPDES permit is required for all development projects that include construction activities, such as clearing, grading, and/or excavation, that disturb at least one acre of total land area. Mandatory compliance with regulatory requirements would ensure that the proposed Project does not violate any water quality standards or waste discharge requirements during construction activities. Compliance with required regulations, permits, and a site-specific Water Quality Management Plan would be required as a condition of approval for the Project to minimize the release of potential waterborne pollutants, including pollutants of concern for downstream receiving waters. Long- term maintenance of on-site water quality features also would be required as a condition of approval to ensure the long-term effectiveness of all on-site water quality features. The Project Applicant or any successor in interest would be required to prepare a SWPPP for operational activities and implement a long-term water quality sampling and monitoring program or receive an exemption. Because the permit is dependent upon a detailed accounting of all operational activities and procedures, and the SWPPP (or exemption thereto) would be prepared at the time the Project’s building users and their operational characteristics are known. However, based on the performance requirements of the NPDES Industrial General Permit, it is reasonably assured that mandatory compliance with all applicable water quality regulations would further reduce potential water quality impacts during the Project’s long-term operation. The Project would not violate any water quality standards or waste discharge requirements or otherwise substantially degrade surface or ground water quality during long-term operation. (DEIR pp. 5-21 and 5-22) b. Groundwater Supply and Recharge Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would substantially decrease groundwater supplies or interfere substantially with groundwater recharge such that the project may impede sustainable groundwater management of the basin. (Initial Study Threshold b) Finding: Impacts related to Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold b are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.9 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not substantially decrease groundwater supplies or interfere substantially with groundwater recharge The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 22 such that the project may impede sustainable groundwater management of the basin, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would be served with potable water from the San Bernardino Municipal Water Department (SBMWD), and the Project Applicant does not propose the use of any wells or other groundwater extraction activities. Therefore, the Project would not directly draw water from the groundwater table. Accordingly, implementation of the proposed Project would not directly decrease groundwater supplies. Development of the Project would increase impervious surface coverage on the Project Site, which would, in turn, reduce the amount of water percolating down into the underground aquifer that underlies the Project Site and surrounding areas (i.e., Bunker Hill Groundwater Basin). The Bunker Hill Basin is a part of the San Bernardino Basin Area, and is among the most rigorously managed groundwater basins in the State. Planning and management efforts evaluating needs and supplies have been established for most of the basins within the watershed through the next 20 to 40 years. Due to extensive management of the groundwater basin, implementation of the Project would not interfere substantially with groundwater recharge such that the Project may impede sustainable groundwater management of the basin. Additionally, the Project includes design features that would maximize the percolation of on-site stormwater runoff into the groundwater basin, such as detention/infiltration basins and permeable landscape areas. Furthermore, runoff from the Project Site would be conveyed to existing drainage facilities, which ultimately would convey flows to downstream areas where infiltration would occur (e.g., the Santa River and Prado Dam). Accordingly, buildout of the Project with these design features would not interfere substantially with groundwater recharge of the Bunker Hill Groundwater Basin. (DEIR pp. 5-22 and 5-23) c. Alteration of Existing Drainage Patterns: Erosion or Siltation Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would substantially alter the existing drainage pattern of the site or area, including through the alteration of the course of a stream or river or through the addition of impervious surfaces, in a manner which would result in substantial erosion or siltation on or off site. (Initial Study Threshold c(i)) Finding: Impacts related to Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold c(i) are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.9 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not substantially alter the existing drainage pattern of the site or area, including through the alteration of the course of a stream or river or through the addition of impervious surfaces, in a manner which would contribute to substantial erosion or siltation on or off site, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would alter existing ground contours of the Project Site and install impervious surfaces, which would result in changes to the site’s The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 23 existing, internal drainage patterns. Although the Project would alter the subject property’s internal drainage patterns, and as more fully evaluated under Initial Study Threshold a, such changes would not result in substantial erosion or siltation on or off site, either during construction or during long-term operation. (DEIR p. 5-23) d. Alteration of Existing Drainage Patterns: Flooding Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would substantially alter the existing drainage pattern of the site or area, including through the alteration of the course of a stream or river or through the addition of impervious surfaces, in a manner which would substantially increase the rate or amount of surface runoff in a manner which would result in flooding on or off site. (Initial Study Threshold c(ii)) Finding: Impacts related to Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold c(ii) are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.9 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not substantially alter the existing drainage pattern of the site or area, including through the alteration of the course of a stream or river or through the addition of impervious surfaces, in a manner which would substantially increase the rate or amount of surface runoff in a manner which would result in flooding on or off site. Facts in Support of the Finding: Implementation of the proposed Project would not affect the total amount of runoff from the Project Site, but would affect the rate of peak runoff. As a standard requirement of the City of San Bernardino, the Project’s application materials include a preliminary hydrology study that evaluates existing and proposed drainage conditions. As proposed, the surface runoff would be divided into sub-areas and would be directed to on-site cross gutters and curb and gutters. The runoff would be directed from the curb and gutters toward proposed catch basins with insert filters, then to a storm drain system that would discharge into the proposed detention/infiltration basins. The basins would be designed to accommodate the increased runoff associated with site development, as well as appropriate Low Impact Development (LID) devices. Three detention/infiltration basins are proposed. Because peak runoff from the site would slightly decrease as compared to existing conditions, the Project has no potential to result in runoff that could cause flood hazards downstream. Additionally, the proposed drainage system would ensure that no flooding would occur on site as a result of the proposed development’s runoff. (DEIR p. 5-23) e. Storm Water Drainage System Capacity Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would substantially alter the existing drainage pattern of the site or area, including through the alteration of the course of a stream or river or through the addition of impervious surfaces, in a manner which would create or contribute runoff water which would exceed the capacity of existing or planned stormwater drainage systems or provide substantial additional sources of polluted runoff. (Initial Study Threshold c(iii)) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 24 Finding: Impacts related to Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold c(iii) are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.9 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not substantially alter the existing drainage pattern of the site or area, including through the alteration of the course of a stream or river or through the addition of impervious surfaces, in a manner which would exceed the capacity of existing or planned stormwater drainage systems or provide substantial additional sources of polluted runoff, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: Peak flows from the Development Site during 100-year storm events would decrease from 77.54 cfs under existing conditions to 75.09 cfs under the proposed Project. Because the existing drainage systems tributary to the Development Site is adequate to accommodate runoff from the Development Site under existing conditions, and because peak runoff would decrease under the proposed Project, the Project would not create or contribute runoff water which would exceed the capacity of existing or planned stormwater drainage systems. The Project also would not result in substantial additional sources of polluted runoff during either construction or long-term operation, as discussed under the analysis of Threshold a. (DEIR pp. 5-23 and 5-24) f. Conflicts with Water Quality/Groundwater Management Plans Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would conflict with or obstruct implementation of a water quality control plan or sustainable groundwater management plan. (Initial Study Threshold e) Finding: Impacts related to Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold e are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.9 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not conflict with or obstruct implementation of a water quality control plan or sustainable groundwater management plan, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would not result in impacts associated with sustainable management of the San Bernardino Basin Area and would not contribute substantial amounts of pollutants that could adversely affect groundwater quality; thus, impacts would be less than significant. The applicable water quality control plan for the area is the Santa Ana Region Basin Plan (“Basin Plan”), which was most recently updated in June 2019. The Project would be required to implement a SWPPP for construction- related activities. The SWPPP would specify the BMPs that the Project’s construction contractors would be required to implement during construction activities to ensure that potential pollutants of concern are prevented, minimized, and/or otherwise appropriately treated prior to being discharged from the subject property. Additionally, long-term operation of the Project would require compliance with the applicable NPDES permit (NPDES Permit No. CAS618036, Order No. R8-2002- 0012) and City of San Bernardino Municipal Code Chapter 8.80 (Storm Water Drainage System), which include requirements to prepare and implement a WQMP as well as a SWPPP, and to incorporate and maintain long-term BMPs to address potential water quality pollutants. Implementation of these requirements would ensure that the Project does The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 25 not conflict with or obstruct implementation of the Basin Plan, and would ensure impacts would be less than significant. (DEIR p. 5-24) 10. Land Use and Planning a. Disrupt Community Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would physically divide an established community (Initial Study Threshold a). Finding: Impacts related to Land Use and Planning Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.10 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not physically divide an established community, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: There are no residential neighborhoods within the immediate proximity of the Project Site, although existing residential neighborhoods occur north of the Project Site (north of West 5th Street). A few residential homes occur along the north side of 3rd Street near the Project Site, but are not considered a neighborhood. Implementation of the Project would not require or result in the physical division of the existing residential neighborhoods located to the north of the Project Site. (DEIR p. 5-24) 11. Mineral Resources Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect related to Mineral Resources. (Thresholds a and b) Finding: Impacts related to Mineral Resources are discussed in Subsection 5.4.11 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect related to mineral resources, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project Site is classified by the California Geological Survey (CGS) as Mineral Resources Zone 2 (MRZ2), which is defined by the CGS as an area where geologic data indicate that significant mineral deposits (aggregate resources) are present. However, the Project Site was used as part of the Norton AFB for decades and mining activities in the Project area have been and will continue to be precluded by the requirements of the IVDA, which has been planning for light industrial uses on the site since adoption of the SBAC-SP in 2007. The Project Site is not planned for mining uses based on the site’s existing General Plan land use designations, Specific Plan land use designations, and zoning classifications, none of which allow for mineral resources extraction. Thus, although the Project Site occurs within MRZ-2, mining activities would not be compatible with existing and planned surrounding land uses. Furthermore, mining of the site would result in the establishment of a large pit at a substantially lower elevation than surrounding properties, which is not desirable within the urban context of the Project area or the streetscape desired along 3rd Street by the City of Highland or the City of San Bernardino. Accordingly, mining on the Project Site is not The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 26 compatible with existing zoning and the surrounding context, and therefore is not feasible. The Project Site is not identified as a locally- important mineral resources recovery site by the City of San Bernardino’s General Plan, the SBAC-SP, or any other land use plan. As such, the Project would not result in the loss of availability of a locally- important mineral resource recovery site delineated on a local general plan, specific plan or other land use plan. Because mining of the Project Site is already precluded by the City of San Bernardino General Plan, the Project would not result in the loss of availability of a locally important known mineral resource. (DEIR p. 5-25) 12. Noise a. Noise from Private Airstrip Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project, located within the vicinity of a private airstrip or an airport land use plan or, where such a plan has not been adopted, within 2 miles of a public airport or public use airport, would expose people residing or working in the Project area to excessive noise levels. (Initial Study Threshold c) Finding: Impacts related to Noise Threshold c are discussed in detail is Subsection 5.4.12 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not expose people residing or working in the Project area to excessive noise levels from a private airstrip, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: There are no private airstrips in the City of San Bernardino and there are no private airstrips within two miles of the Project Site. The nearest airport is the San Bernardino International Airport (SBIA) which is located adjacent to the Project Site’s southern border, and the Project Site occurs within the Airport Influence Area (AIA) for the SBIA. The Project Site occurs outside of the 65 dBA CNEL contour for the SBIA. Pursuant to the San Bernardino General Plan, industrial uses such as those proposed as part of the Project are considered “Normally Acceptable” at noise levels up to 75 dBA CNEL, while industrial land uses are considered “Conditionally Acceptable” at noise levels ranging from 70 to 80 dBA CNEL. Thus, because the Project would not be subject to noise levels exceeding 65 dBA CNEL, the Project would not expose people residing or working in the area to excessive airport-related noise levels, and impacts would therefore be less than significant. (DEIR pp. 5-25 and 5-26) 13. Population and Housing Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect related to Population and Housing. (Thresholds a and b) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 27 Finding: Impacts related to Population and Housing are discussed in Subsection 5.4.13 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect related to Population and Housing, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The proposed Project would have a beneficial effect on the area’s employment base by redeveloping an underutilized site with a new warehouse building. The new jobs generated would provide additional employment opportunities for residents in the area. The Project Site is currently designated by the City of San Bernardino’s General Plan for “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF)” and “Industrial (I)” development, and the Project does not propose any uses that would result in unplanned population growth that is not already allowed by the General Plan. Moreover, it is anticipated that any future employees generated by the Project could be accommodated by existing residential communities and/or by future residential uses to be constructed in accordance with the City’s General Plan and/or the general plans of other nearby jurisdictions, and that no additional unplanned housing would be required to accommodate Project-related employees. Additionally, the Project’s utility, drainage, and other improvements are designed to serve only the proposed Project, and would not induce growth indirectly on any other parcels in the Project vicinity. Under existing conditions, there are no existing homes or residents on the Project Site; therefore, there would be no displacement of existing people or housing. (DEIR p. 5-26) 14. Public Services Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect to Public Services. (Threshold a(i-v)) Finding: Impacts related to Public Services are discussed in Subsection 5.4.14 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect to Public Services, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would introduce a new building and employees to the Development Site, which would result in an incremental increase in demand for fire and police protection services. The nearest fire station that the City of San Bernardino maintains is the San Bernardino County Fire Station 233, which is located at 165 South Leland Norton Way (approximately 1.2 miles from the Project Site) and the nearest first response police station is at 1535 East Highland Avenue, San Bernardino, CA, which is approximately 2.5 miles from the Project Site. Due to the proximity of existing fire and police stations, the Project has no potential to cause a fire station or police station to be physically altered or for a new fire or police station to be constructed. The proposed Project would not create a direct demand for public school services, as the subject property would contain non-residential uses that would not generate any school-aged children requiring public education. Although the Project would not create a demand for additional public The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 28 school services, the Project Applicant would be required to contribute development impact fees to the San Bernardino City Unified School District (SBCUSD), in compliance with California Senate Bill 50. Mandatory payment of school fees would be required prior to the issuance of a building permit. Pursuant to Senate Bill 50, payment of school impact fees constitutes complete mitigation for project-related impacts to school services. The Project does not propose any type of residential use or other land use that may generate a population that would result in a demand for parkland resources, and no recreational facilities are proposed as part of the Project. Thus, the Project would not result in substantial adverse physical impacts associated with the provision of new or physically altered recreational facilities. The Project would not directly substantially increase the residential population in the City, and therefore is not expected to result in a demand for other public facilities/services, including libraries, community recreation centers, post offices, and animal shelters. As such, implementation of the proposed Project would not adversely affect other public facilities or require the construction of new or modified public facilities. (DEIR pp. 5-26 to 5-28) 15. Recreation Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect related to Recreation. (Thresholds a and b) Finding: Impacts related to Recreation are discussed in Subsection 5.4.15 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect related to Recreation, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project does not involve any type of residential use or other land use that may generate a population that would increase the use of existing neighborhood and regional parks or other recreational facilities. Accordingly, implementation of the proposed Project would not result in the increased use or substantial physical deterioration of an existing neighborhood or regional park. The Project does not involve the construction of any new on- or off-site recreation facilities and would not expand any existing off-site recreational facilities. Therefore, no impacts related to the construction or expansion of recreational facilities would occur with implementation of the proposed Project. (DEIR p. 5-28) 16. Transportation a. Emergency Access Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would result in inadequate emergency access. (Initial Study Threshold d) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 29 Finding: Impacts related to Transportation Threshold d are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.4.16 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not result in inadequate emergency access, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project Site is not identified as a designated emergency access route. During the course of the City of San Bernardino and San Bernardino County Fire Department’s required review of the Project’s applications, the Project’s design is reviewed to ensure that adequate access to and from the site is provided for emergency vehicles during both construction and long-term operation. With required adherence to the City of San Bernardino and County Fire Department requirements for emergency vehicle access, impacts are expected to be less than significant. (DEIR pp. 5-28 and 5-29) 17. Utilities and Service Systems Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect related to Utilities and Service Systems. (Thresholds a, b, c, d, and e) Finding: Impacts related to Utilities and Service Systems are discussed in Subsection 5.4.17 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect related to Utilities and Service Systems, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would entail local connections to existing water, wastewater treatment, storm water drainage, electric power, natural gas, and telecommunications facilities, as these facilities currently are available within the immediately surrounding area. Such local connections are inherent to the Project’s construction phase, and impacts associated with the Project’s construction phase were evaluated in the Draft EIR under the appropriate topical subheadings, as described herein. There are no components of the Project’s proposed utility connections that would result in significant environmental effects beyond what already is evaluated in the Draft EIR for the Project’s construction phase under associated environmental topic areas. The operation of a warehouse building on the Development Site would result in an increase in potable water demand compared to the site’s existing, largely vacant condition. The Project Site is designated by the City of San Bernardino General Plan for development with “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF)” and “Industrial Light (IL)” land uses. The water demand associated with the Project would be similar to the water demand associated with development in accordance with the Project Site’s existing land use designations. Because the 2015 UWMP demonstrates that there would be adequate water resources to meet the projected demands through 2040, and because the Project would result in an approximately 3% reduction in demand for water resources as compared to what was assumed by the 2015 UWMP, there is substantial evidence to conclude that the SBMWD would have sufficient water supplies available to serve the Project and reasonably foreseeable future The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 30 development during normal, dry, and multiple dry years. A Water Supply Assessment (“WSA”; Technical Appendix L to the EIR) was prepared for the Project in accordance with SBMWD requirements to document the change in demand resulting from the Project, which determined that SBMWD has sufficient water supplies to meet the water demands of the proposed Project, along with the other projected municipal water demands. Wastewater generated on the Development Site would be conveyed to the San Bernardino Water Reclamation Plant (SBWRP). The SBWRP has an existing design capacity of 33 million gallons per day (MGD). Existing and planned developments, including the proposed Project, ultimately would exceed the existing wastewater treatment capacity at the SBWRP. However, this projected shortfall in wastewater treatment capacity has been known for a long time and was documented in the EIR prepared for the City’s 2005 General Plan Update and was known at the time the SBAC-SP was adopted in May 2007. Furthermore, the warehouse use proposed as part of the Project will generate substantially less wastewater than other types of light industrial uses, because most of the building space will be occupied by goods storage inside a large warehouse, with wastewater generation sources generally limited to an employee break room and restrooms. The SBMWD is currently undertaking planning efforts and is currently preparing a Water Reclamation Plant Master Plan (WRPMP), which will evaluate projected wastewater treatment demands and will identify capacity upgrades needed to accommodate existing and planned demands for wastewater treatment throughout the SBMWD service area. As it is currently unknown what capacity upgrades may be identified as part of the WRPMP, any analysis of potential environmental effects associated with such upgrades due to existing and planned growth through year 2060 in the SBWMD service area would be speculative and are outside of the scope of the proposed Project (CEQA Guidelines § 15145). However, because the SBMWD is undertaking long-range planning efforts to ensure adequate capacity exists to provide wastewater treatment for all existing and planned developments, including the Project, it can be concluded that the Project would not result in a determination by the wastewater treatment provider which serves or may serve the Project that it has inadequate capacity to serve the Development Project’s projected demand in addition to existing commitments. Solid waste collection within much of the City of San Bernardino is provided by the Solid Waste Services and Refuse and Recycling Division of the City of San Bernardino Department of Public Services. The County of San Bernardino Solid Waste Management Division (SWMD) is responsible for the operation and management of the solid waste disposal system which consists of six regional landfills, eight transfer stations and five community collection centers. The City of San Bernardino has no active landfills but primarily utilizes the San Timoteo and Mid-Valley landfills. Adequate capacity exists at both the San The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 31 Timoteo and Mid-Valley landfills to accommodate solid waste generated by the Project. The Project would be subject to the City of San Bernardino’s solid waste regulations including enforceable requirements for the recycling and diversion of solid waste from the regional landfills. With mandatory compliance with regulations, the Project would not generate solid waste in excess of State or local standards, or in excess of the capacity of local infrastructure, or otherwise impair the attainment of solid waste reduction goals. Future building users at the Development Site would be required to work with refuse haulers to develop and implement feasible waste reduction programs, including source reduction, recycling, and composting. Additionally, the Project would be required to provide adequate areas for collecting and loading recyclable materials where solid waste is collected. The collection areas are required to be shown on construction drawings and be in place before occupancy permits are issued. The implementation of these programs would reduce the amount of solid waste generated and diverted to landfills, which in turn will aid in the extension of the life of affected disposal sites. The Project would be subject to all federal, State, and local statutes and regulations related to solid waste. (DEIR pp. 5-29 to 5-31) 18. Wildfire Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect related to Wildfire. (Thresholds a, b, c, and d) Finding: Impacts related to Wildfire are discussed in Subsection 5.4.18 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not have a substantial adverse effect related to Wildfire, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: A State Responsibility Area (SRA) includes lands where the State of California is financially responsible for the prevention and suppression of wildfires, and the Project Site is not located within any SRAs. Fire protection services to the Project Site are and would continue to be provided by the San Bernardino County Fire Department (SBCFD). The Project Site is not identified as part of any adopted emergency response plans or emergency evacuation plans, and the Project has no potential to conflict with any such plans. As such, no impacts to adopted emergency response plans or emergency evacuation plans would occur with implementation of the proposed Project. The Project Site is located in an area that is largely urbanized and contains no large open space areas that have the potential for wildland fire hazards. The Project would result in construction and operation of a large warehouse building with exterior impervious surfaces and irrigated landscaping, which would not result in any increase in fire hazards in the local area. Therefore, the Project has no potential to exacerbate wildfire risks, and would not expose people to pollutant concentrations from a wildfire or the uncontrolled spread of a wildfire. The Project Site is not located within a portion of the City of San Bernardino that is subject to wildfire hazards. Aside from standard building construction requirements, including the installation of fire The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 32 sprinklers, the provision of fire hydrants, and the use of irrigated landscaping, the Project does not include any fire protection-related infrastructure that could result in temporary or ongoing impacts to the environment. The Project Site occurs in a portion of the City of San Bernardino that exhibits generally flat topography, and there are no large slopes in the Project vicinity that could be subject to landslide hazards as a result of post-fire slope instability. Additionally, there are no components of the Project that could result in or exacerbate flooding hazards associated with wildland fire hazards. Furthermore, the Project generally would maintain the site’s existing drainage patterns, and would not cause or contribute to any risks of flooding due to wildland fire hazards. (DEIR pp. 5-32 to 5-33) B. Impacts Identified in the EIR as No Impact or Less than Significant Impact - No Mitigation Required 1. Air Quality a. Localized Emissions Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would expose sensitive receptors to substantial pollutant concentrations. (Threshold c) Finding: Impacts related to Air Quality Threshold c are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.1 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would be required to comply with applicable regulatory requirements (as summarized in subsection 4.1.8 of the Draft EIR) and would not expose sensitive receptors to substantial pollutant concentrations. No mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project’s localized NOX, CO, and particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) emissions would not exceed applicable SCAQMD thresholds during Project construction or operation. Accordingly, Project construction and Project operation would not expose any sensitive receptors in the vicinity of the Project Site to substantial criteria pollutant concentrations. Based on the relatively low traffic congestion levels, low existing ambient CO concentrations, and the lack of any unusual meteorological and/or topographical conditions in the Project vicinity, the Project is not expected to cause or contribute to a CO “hot spot.” Impacts due to localized air quality emissions would be less than significant. Implementation of the Project: 1) would not exceed applicable SCAQMD localized criteria pollution emissions thresholds during construction and operation; 2) would not expose sensitive receptors to toxic air contaminants (i.e., DPM) that exceed the applicable SCAQMD carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risk thresholds; and 3) would not cause or contribute to the formation of a CO “hot spot.” Impacts would be less than significant. (DEIR pp. 4.1-29 to 4.1-31 and 4.1-36) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 33 2. Cultural Resources a. Archaeological Resources Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would cause a substantial adverse change in the significance of an archaeological resource as defined in Section 15064.5. (Threshold b) Finding: Impacts related to Cultural Resources Threshold b are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.3 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not cause a substantial adverse change in the significance of an archaeological resource as defined in CEQA Guidelines Section 15064.5, and no mitigation is required. However, even though it is not required, out of an abundance of caution, mitigation measure MM 4.3-2 shall apply to further ensure that Project impacts to archaeological resources remain below a level of significance. Facts in Support of the Finding: No archaeological resources are known to be present in the Study Area. Aside from grading within the eastern and southeastern portions of the Development Site that contain stockpiles of earthwork material, grading activities associated with the Project would not exceed a depth of 3.5 feet, and proposed grading throughout the Development Site would not involve disturbances to any native soils that may have the potential to contain archaeological resources. As such, it is not reasonably foreseeable that archaeological resources would be uncovered during Project-related grading activities. Accordingly, the Project would not cause a substantial adverse change in the significance of an archaeological resource as defined in CEQA Guidelines Section 15064.5, and impacts would be less than significant. (DEIR p. 4.3-14) Although Project impacts to archaeological resources would be less than significant, out of an abundance of caution the following mitigation measure shall apply to further ensure that Project impacts to archaeological resources remain below a level of significance. MM 4.3-2 As a condition of grading permit issuance, the construction contractor personnel involved in grading operations shall be trained on the visual identification of archaeological resources by a member of the Cultural Resources Management Department for the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians. If archaeological resources are discovered during any earth-moving operations associated with the proposed Project, the construction contractor shall be required to temporarily halt all work within 50 feet of the discovered resource until a representative of the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and a professional archaeologist are called to the site to evaluate the suspected resource. Should resource evaluation require additional archaeological fieldwork, a Phase II Testing Plan (Plan) shall be created by the archaeologist and be submitted to the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and the City of San Bernardino for review and approval prior to implementation. The Plan shall include non-collection methods, non-destructive analysis methods, and allow for Tribal monitors to be present during testing, if requested The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 34 by the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians. Further Project-related ground-disturbing activities shall not resume within the area of the discovery until resource evaluation is completed and the appropriate treatment has been implemented, as agreed upon by the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and the City of San Bernardino. If preservation in place is not feasible, the archaeologist shall create a Phase III archaeological data recovery plan to include the removal of the resource(s), with the presence of Tribal monitors (if requested by the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians), and subsequent laboratory processing/analysis to exhaust all data potential. This plan shall be submitted to the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and the City of San Bernardino for review and approval prior to implementation. All collected Native American resources shall be reburied on site as close to the original find location as possible, in an area where the resource will be avoided, capped, or otherwise protected in perpetuity. (DEIR p. 4.3- 16) 3. Greenhouse Gas Emissions a. Conflict with an Applicable Plan, Policy, or Regulation Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would conflict with an applicable plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases. (Threshold b) Finding: Impacts related to Greenhouse Gas Emissions Threshold b are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.4 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not conflict with an applicable plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would be consistent with or otherwise would not conflict with the CARB 2017 Scoping Plan, which is the applicable plan adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases. The 2017 Scoping Plan Update reflects the 2030 target of a 40% reduction belo w 1990 levels, set by Executive Order B-30-15 and codified by SB 32. The Project would not conflict with any of the provisions of the Scoping Plan and in fact supports seven of the action categories. Further, recent studies show that the State’s existing and proposed regulatory framework will allow the State to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions level to 40% below 1990 levels by 2030. Therefore, the Project would not conflict with an applicable plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases, and impacts would be less than significant. (DEIR p. 4.4-27) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 35 4. Hydrology and Water Quality a. Topography Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would substantially alter the existing drainage pattern of the site or area, including through the alteration of the course of a stream or river, or through the addition of impervious surfaces, in a manner which would impede or redirect flood flows. (Draft EIR Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.5 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not impede or redirect flood flows, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The eastern portions of the Development Site are subject to inundation during 500-year flood events and could be subject to up to one foot of inundation during 100-year storm events. Although the eastern portions of the Development Site are subject to inundation during peak storm events, a majority of flood flows in the area would occur within the Santa Ana River channel, which is located approximately 0.4 mile southeast of the Development Site. As proposed, the Project generally would maintain the site’s existing topography, and there would be no change to the site’s potential for inundation during floods as compared to existing conditions. With implementation of the Project, the majority of flood flows would still continue to be confined to the Santa Ana River channel. Because the Development Site occurs at the fringe areas subject to inundation during peak flood events, and because no substantial changes are proposed to the site’s topography, the Project would not impede or redirect any flood flows. Therefore, impacts would be less than significant. (DEIR p. 4.5-6) b. Pollutant Risk from Flood Hazard, Tsunami, or Seiche Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would result in flood hazard, tsunami, or seiche zones, risk release of pollutants due to project inundation. (Draft EIR Threshold b) Finding: Impacts related to Hydrology and Water Quality Threshold b are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.5 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not risk the release of pollutants due to inundation by tsunamis, seiches, or other flood hazards, and no mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project Site is located approximately 50 miles from the Pacific Ocean and there are no large bodies of water in the vicinity capable of producing tsunamis or seiches that could affect the Project Site. The eastern portions of the Project Site are subject to inundation during 500- year flood events and could be subject to up to one foot of inundation during 100-year storm events. The Project entails development of a 1,153,644 s.f. warehouse building on the Development Site. Consistent with similar warehouse uses, the Project business operations primarily would be conducted within the enclosed building, except for traffic The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 36 movement, parking, and loading and unloading of trucks at designated loading bays. There is no reasonable potential that large quantities of uncontained pollutants would be stored outside the proposed building. Thus, in the event that the Project Site is inundated during peak storm events, there is no reasonable potential that substantial pollutants would come into contact with water and adversely affect water quality. The Project Site is located within an area subject to inundation in the event of a failure at the Seven Oaks Dam, located approximately 6.8 miles east of the Project Site. The dam structure, which was completed in 2000, is a 550-foot-high earth and rock fill dam with a crest length of 2,980 feet. The Seven Oaks Dam is part of the Santa Ana River Mainstem project which provides the necessary flood protection for hundreds of square miles of developed lands within Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino Counties. The Seven Oaks Dam has been designed to resist an earthquake measuring 8.0 on the Richter scale, and also is designed to provide flood protection during 350-year floor events. Based on design characteristics and on-going maintenance of the dam’s structural integrity, it is highly unlikely that the Project Site would be subject to inundation due to a failure of the Seven Oaks Dam. Accordingly, impacts due to the release of pollutants during inundation from flood events, tsunamis, or seiches would be less than significant. (DEIR pp. 4.5-6 and 4.5-7) 5. Land Use and Planning a. Conflicts with Plans Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would cause a significant environmental impact due to a conflict with any land use plan, policy, or regulation adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect. (Draft EIR Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Land Use and Planning Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.6 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not result in significant land use and planning conflicts in the context of compliance with applicable environmental plans, policies, and regulations beyond those identified in other Subsections of the EIR. Impacts would be less than significant; therefore, mitigation is not required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project’s proposed General Plan Amendment, Development Code/Zoning Map Amendment, and amendment to the SBAC-SP would eliminate inconsistencies between the proposed on-site land use and the site’s existing zoning classifications and land use designations. The Project would not result in significant land use and planning conflicts in the context of compliance with applicable environmental plans, policies, and regulations beyond those identified in other Subsections of the Draft EIR. (DEIR pp. 4.6-8 to 4.6-13) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 37 6. Noise a. Groundborne Vibration or Noise Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would result in the generation of excessive groundborne vibration or groundborne noise levels. (Draft EIR Threshold b) Finding: Impacts related to Noise Threshold b are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.7 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that Project construction-related activities and operation would not generate excessive groundborne vibration or groundborne noise levels and impacts would be less than significant. No mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: At distances ranging from 134 feet (at location R1) to 756 feet (at location R2) from Project construction activities (measured from the Development Site boundary), construction vibration levels are estimated to range from 49.6 to 72.1 VdB and would remain below the FTA Transit Noise and Vibration Impact Assessment Manual maximum acceptable vibration criteria of 78 VdB for daytime residential uses at all receiver locations. Therefore, the Project-related vibration impacts during construction-related activities would be less than significant. Under long-term conditions, the operational activities of the Project would not include or require equipment, facilities, or activities that would result in perceptible ground-borne vibration. Accordingly, Project operation would not generate excessive groundborne vibration or groundborne noise levels and impacts would be less than significant. (DEIR pp. 4.7-30 and 4.7-31) 7. Transportation a. Conflict with Program, Plan, Ordinance, or Policy Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would conflict with an applicable program, plan, ordinance, or policy addressing the circulation system, including transit, roadway, bicycle, and pedestrian facilities. (Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Transportation Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.8 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that with implementation of transportation improvements and fair-share contributions towards improvements required by the City as conditions of Project approval, the Project would not conflict with a program, plan, ordinance, or policy addressing the circulation system and impacts would therefore be less than significant. No mitigation is required. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would be consistent with the goals and policies of SCAG’s regional planning program and any applicable General Plan policies addressing the circulation system. Based on the results of the Project’s Traffic Impact Analysis, the City has conditioned the Project to implement several intersection improvements and make fair-share funding payments for intersection improvement. The Project must comply with Regulatory The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 38 Requirement/Design Requirement (RRDR) 4.8-1. (DEIR pp. 4.8-9 to 4.8-11) 8. Tribal Cultural Resources a. Known Tribal Cultural Resources Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would cause a substantial adverse change in the significance of a tribal cultural resource (TCR), defined in Public Resources Code Section 21074 as either a site, feature, place, cultural landscape that is geographically defined in terms of the size and scope of the landscape, sacred place, or object with cultural value to a California Native American tribe, and that is: (1) Listed or eligible for listing in the California Register of Historical resources or in a local register of historical resources as defined in Public Resources Code section 5020.1(k); or (2) A resource determined by the lead agency, in its discretion and supported by substantial evidence, to be significant pursuant to criteria set forth in subdivision (c) of Public Resources Code Section 5024.1. (Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Tribal Cultural Resources Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.9 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that Project impacts to Tribal Cultural Resources would be less than significant, no mitigation is required. Additionally, implementation of Mitigation Measure MM 4.3-2 as identified to further reduce the Project’s less-than-significant impacts to archaeological resources also would apply, and would further serve to ensure that the Project’s impacts to TCRs remain below a level of significance. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project Site and off-site improvement areas do not contain any known TCRs, and proposed grading throughout the Development Site would not involve disturbances to any native soils that may have the potential to contain previously-undiscovered archaeological resources (including TCRs). Although it is not reasonably foreseeable that impacts to archaeological resources (including TCRs) would occur, the City of San Bernardino has identified Mitigation Measure MM 4.3-2 as the procedure that would be undertaken should the construction contractor encounter resources that warrant evaluation to ensure that significant impacts do not occur. Although impacts to TCRs are not reasonably foreseeable and would be less than significant, Mitigation Measure MM 4.3-2, included above for Cultural Resources, shall apply. (DEIR pp. 4.9-3 and 4.9-4) C. Impacts Identified in the EIR as Less than Significant with Mitigation Incorporated 1. Biological Resources a. Habitat Modification Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would have a substantial adverse effect, either directly or through habitat modifications, on any species identified as a candidate, sensitive, or special status species in local or regional plans, policies, or The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 39 regulations, or by the California Department of Fish and Wildlife or U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. (Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Biological Resources Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.2 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project has the potential to result in impacts to native and migratory birds and burrowing owls. Mitigation is required, and would reduce impacts to less-than-significant levels. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would not result in direct or indirect impacts to riparian habitat, sensitive natural plant communities, special-status plants, special-status animals, or State- or federally-protected wetlands. However, the Project has the potential to impact active migratory bird nests containing sensitive bird species if vegetation is removed during the nesting season (February 1 to September 15), which is considered a significant direct impact. Additionally, there is a potential for the Development Site to become occupied by the burrowing owl prior to commencement of construction activities. The Project’s potential impacts to the burrowing owl are considered a significant direct and cumulatively-considerable impact. Implementation of Mitigation Measure MM 4.2-1 would ensure that pre- construction surveys are conducted for nesting and migratory birds protected by the federal MBTA and/or California Fish and Game Code during the breeding season to determine presence or absence prior to disturbance of habitat with the potential to support nesting birds. With implementation of the required mitigation, potential direct impacts to nesting and migratory birds protected by the federal MBTA and/or California Fish and Game Code would be reduced to below a level of significance. Implementation of Mitigation Measure MM 4.2-2 would ensure that pre-construction surveys are conducted for the burrowing owl to determine the presence or absence of the species prior to ground- disturbing construction activities. With implementation of the required mitigation, potential direct and cumulatively-considerable impacts to the burrowing owl would be reduced to below a level of significance. (DEIR pp. 4.2-13 and 4.2-14) MM 4.2-1: As a condition of tree removal permits, clearing permits, and any other permits that would authorize vegetation removal, the disturbance to and removal of trees and other potential bird nesting habitat shall be prohibited during the migratory bird nesting season (February 1 through September 15) unless a migratory bird nesting survey is completed. If vegetation removal is planned to occur during the migratory bird nesting season (February 1 – September 15), then a migratory bird nesting survey shall be completed in accordance with the following requirements: a) Within three (3) days prior to initiating tree removals and/or vegetation clearing, a nesting bird survey shall be conducted by The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 40 a qualified biologist within the suitable habitat to be removed and within a 250-foot radius. b) If the survey identifies the presence of active sensitive bird nests, then the nests shall not be disturbed unless the qualified biologist verifies through non-invasive methods that either (i) the adult birds have not begun egg-laying and incubation; or (ii) the juveniles from the occupied nests are capable of independent survival. c) If the biologist is not able to verify any of the conditions from sub-item “b,” above, then no disturbance shall occur within a buffer zone specified by the qualified biologist for each nest or nesting site. The buffer zone shall be species-appropriate (no less than 100-foot radius around the nest for non-raptors and no more than a 500-foot radius around the nest for raptors, or as otherwise determined by the qualified biologist) and shall be sufficient to protect the nest from direct and indirect impacts from construction activities. The nests and buffer zones shall be field checked approximately weekly by a qualified biological monitor. The approved buffer zone shall be marked in the field with construction fencing, within which no vegetation clearing or ground disturbance shall commence until the qualified biologist with City concurrence verify that the nests are no longer occupied and/or juvenile birds can survive independently from the nests. MM 4.2-2: Within between 14 and 30 days prior to ground-disturbing activities (i.e., tree removals, demolition, clearing, grading, etc.), a qualified biologist shall conduct a survey of suitable habitat in the disturbance area and within a 250-foot radius and make a determination regarding the presence or absence of the burrowing owl. The determination shall be documented in a report and shall be submitted to and accepted by the City of San Bernardino prior to commencement of ground-disturbing activities. The following provisions shall apply: a) In the event that the pre-construction survey identifies no burrowing owls on the property ground-disturbing activities may commence without restriction. b) In the event that the pre-construction survey identifies the presence of the burrowing owl, then: i. If a site-specific exclusion and translocation plan for burrowing owl has not already been approved by the CDFW, the Project Applicant shall retain a qualified biologist to prepare such a plan for review and approval by the CDFW. This plan will identify the procedures to be followed to exclude and/or translocate burrowing owls from the site, with The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 41 separate procedures identified for during the breeding season and outside of the breeding season. ii. No ground disturbance (tree removals, demolition, clearing, grubbing, grading) shall occur within 50 meters of occupied burrows during the non-breeding season (September 1 through January 31) or within 75 meters of occupied burrows during the breeding season (February 1 through August 31), until the owls have fledged as confirmed by a qualified biologist or have been relocated per the CDFW-approved exclusion and translocation plan. (DEIR pp. 4.2-12 and 4.2- 13) 2. Cultural Resources a. Historical Resources Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would cause a substantial adverse change in the significance of a historic resource as defined in Section 15064.5. (Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Cultural Resources Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.3 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that mitigation measures are required to address the remote potential that subsurface historical resources may be impacted by development of the Project as proposed. With implementation of the required mitigation, potential direct and cumulatively-considerable impacts to the historic resources would be reduced to below a level of significance. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project Site does not contain any historical resources as defined in CEQA Guidelines Section 15064.5. Although a water tower of local historic interest occurs on site, this water tower would be relocated on site if feasible, and if relocation of the water tower is not feasible the Project Applicant would construct a replica of the water tower on site. With relocation or construction of a replica water tower, the Project’s impacts to known historical resources would be less than significant requiring no mitigation. However, the Project Site has the potential to contain subsurface historical resources, such as those related to the Project Site’s previous inclusion in Norton Air Force Base, that could be uncovered during grading and ground-disturbing activities. Thus, there is a possibility that subsurface historic resources may be impacted by development of the Project as proposed. This is evaluated as a potentially significant impact for which mitigation would be required. Mitigation measure MM 4.3-1 shall apply to reduce to below a level of significance the Project’s potential impacts to previously-undiscovered subsurface historical resources. (DEIR pp. 4.3-13 to 4.3-15) MM 4.3-1 As a condition of grading permit issuance, the construction contractor personnel involved in grading operations shall be trained by a qualified professional historic resources consultant on the visual The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 42 identification of historic resources. If historic resources are discovered during any earth-moving operations associated with the proposed Project, the construction contractor shall be required to temporarily halt all work within 50 feet of the discovered resource until the professional historic resources consultant is called to the site to evaluate the suspected resource. Any material uncovered and that is determined by the professional historical resources consultant to comprise a historically significant resource shall be curated at a public, non-profit institution with a research interest in the materials, if such an institution agrees to accept the material. If no institution accepts the historic material, they shall be offered to a local school or historical society in the area for educational purposes. 3. Transportation a. Safety Hazards Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would substantially increase hazards to a geometric design feature (e.g., sharp curves or dangerous intersections) or incompatible uses (e.g., farm equipment). (Threshold c) Finding: Impacts related to Transportation Threshold c are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.8 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not substantially increase hazards to a geometric design feature or incompatible uses. With required implementation of a traffic control plan during construction and the installation of signage as part of the Project’s design, impacts would be less than significant and no mitigation is required. However, even though it is not required, Mitigation Measures MM 4.8-1 through 4.8-4 are recommended to assure that a traffic control plan will be prepared and implemented and that design features will be implemented as part of the Project’s implementation pertaining to bicycle and pedestrian safety. Facts in Support of the Finding: No safety hazards are anticipated at the Project’s driveways along W Street and Victoria Avenue, as no trucks would be using the Victoria Avenue driveways and the main truck entrance and exit would occur at W Street, where low levels of passenger car, pedestrian, and bicycle traffic are anticipated. Additionally, the Project would not present any obstructions to implementing the planned City Creek Trail; as part of the Development Project’s construction, bicycle crossing pavement markings would be enhanced across 3rd Street at the 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue intersection to enhance bicycle safety. Any construction-related hazards would be addressed in a required traffic control plan and any potential operational hazards would be addressed by signage incorporated into the Project’s design. Although transportation safety impacts would be less than significant, the following mitigation measures are recommended and included to address bicycle and pedestrian safety. The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 43 MM 4.8-1: Prior to grading and building permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading and building plans to ensure that notes are included on the plans requiring the following. The City or its designee also shall be responsible for monitoring and enforcement of adherence to these notes.  The construction contractor shall ensure that the Development Site’s frontage with 3rd Street is swept at least twice per day using SCAQMD Rule 1186 certified street sweepers during grading and paving operations, and shall sweep the 3rd Street frontage more frequently during grading and paving operations if visible soil materials or debris are carried onto the roadway, including in the bicycle lane.  The construction contractor shall adhere to a traffic control plan approved by the City of San Bernardino, including but not limited to all requirements in the plan addressing vehicular, pedestrian, and bicycle safety. MM 4.8-2: As part of street improvement plans for the 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue intersection and with concurrence of the City of Highland, the developer shall be required to enhance the intersection pavement markings to demark bike lane crossings across 3rd Street at the intersection. MM 4.8-3: Prior to building permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review building plans to ensure that specifications are noted to install painted crosswalks or enhanced paving materials denoting the pedestrian and bicycle lane crossings across the Project’s driveways connecting with 3rd Street. The markings are required to be bold enough to be noticeable by truck drivers, for the purpose of visually alerting drivers that pedestrians and bicyclists could be crossing the driveways. The City shall verify that the markings are installed prior to the issuance of an occupancy permit. MM 4.8-4: The developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain signs at the Project driveway exits connecting with 3rd Street at heights visible to truck drivers that state, “CAUTION, PEDESTRIAN AND BICYCLE CROSSINGS AHEAD.” The City shall verify installation of the signs prior to the issuance of an occupancy permit and require as a condition of the occupancy permit that the signs be maintained in legible condition. (DEIR pp. 4.8-14 and 4.8-15) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 44 D. Impacts Determined by the EIR to be Significant and Unavoidable 1. Air Quality a. Air Quality Plan Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would conflict with or obstruct implementation of the applicable air quality plan. (Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Air Quality Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.1 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would exceed the growth projections contained in SCAQMD’s 2016 AQMP and, also, would emit levels of nitrogen oxides (NOx) under both construction and operation that would contribute to a delay in the attainment of federal and State ozone standards in the South Coast Air Basin (SCAB). As such, the Project would conflict with and could obstruct implementation of the AQMP and impacts would therefore be significant prior to mitigation on both a direct and cumulatively-considerable basis. Although mitigation measures identified in the EIR would reduce the Project’s construction- related emissions to below the SCAQMD thresholds of significance, the City finds that there are no feasible mitigation measures available to reduce the Project’s operational emissions of NOX to below the SCAQMD threshold of significance for this criteria pollutant. Accordingly, due to the Project’s operational emissions of NOX and because the Project would exceed the growth projections of the 2016 AQMP, the Project would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to a conflict with the 2016 AQMP. Facts in Support of the Finding: The SCAQMD Final 2016 AQMP is the applicable air quality plan for the Project area and contains criteria for determining consistency with the Final 2016 AQMP. The SCAQMD’s Consistency Criterion No. 1 refers to violations of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and California Ambient Air Quality Standards (CAAQS). Violations of the NAAQS and/or CAAQS would occur if the SCAQMD localized emissions thresholds were exceeded. Project-related activities would not exceed SCAQMD localized emissions thresholds during construction or long-term operation. However, Project-related activities would exceed the SCAQMD regional emissions threshold for NOx during construction and long-term operation. Related to long-term Project operation, mobile source emissions account for approximately 91 percent, by weight, of the Project’s total operational NOx emissions. Mobile source emissions are regulated by standards imposed by federal and State agencies, not local governments such as the City of San Bernardino. NOx is a precursor for ozone; thus, Project construction and operational activities would have the potential to contribute a substantial volume of pollutants to the SCAB that could delay the attainment of federal and State ozone standards. As such, prior to mitigation the Project would conflict with Consistency Criterion No. 1. SCAQMD Consistency Criterion No. 2 refers to the Project’s consistency with the growth projections anticipated by the Final 2016 AQMP. Under existing conditions, approximately 49.6 acres of the Project Site are designated for “Light Industrial (IL)” land use and The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 45 approximately 12.89 acres of the Project Site is designated for “Public Facility/Quasi-Public (PF)” by the City of San Bernardino’s General Plan Land Use Map. The Project includes a request to change the approximate 12.89-acre area from “PF” to “IL” and the land use designation of approximately 4.89 acres of the Project Site located west of Victoria Avenue from “IL” to “PF,” which, if approved, would result in a land use and development intensity that was not anticipated by the General Plan and, by extension, the growth models that were used in the 2016 AQMP. Accordingly, implementation of the Project would exceed the assumptions in the AQMP based on the years of Project buildout phase, and therefore would conflict with Consistency Criterion No. 2. In summary, because the proposed Project does not satisfy Consistency Criterion No. 1 or Consistency Criterion No. 2, the Project is determined to be inconsistent with the 2016 AQMP. As such, the Project would conflict with and could result in the obstruction of the applicable AQMP and a significant impact would occur prior to mitigation. (DEIR pp. 4.1- 26 and 4.1-27) Implementation of Mitigation Measures MM 4.1-1 through MM 4.1-3C would reduce the Project’s construction-related emissions of NOx to below the SCAQMD regional thresholds for this pollutant. Although MM 4.1-4 through MM 4.1-9 would reduce the Project’s operational- related emissions of NOx, the mitigation measures would not reduce NOx emissions to below the applicable SCAQMD regional threshold. Mobile source emissions account for approximately 91 percent, by weight, of the Project’s total operational NOx emissions. Mobile source emissions are regulated by standards imposed by federal and State agencies, not local governments. No other mitigation measures related to vehicle tailpipe emissions are available that are within the City of San Bernardino’s jurisdictional authority that, also, are feasible for the City of San Bernardino to enforce and have a proportional nexus to the Project’s level of impact. Additionally, the Project would exceed the growth assumptions for the Project Site relied upon in the SCAQMD 2016 AQMP, and no additional feasible mitigation is available to address this impact. Therefore, Project impacts due to a conflict with the SCAQMD 2016 AQMP would be significant and unavoidable on both a direct and cumulatively-considerable basis. (DEIR pp. 4.1-40 and 4.1-41) (MMs 4.1-1 through 4.1-9 and RRDRs 4.1-1 through 4.1-3 are listed below after discussion of Criteria Pollutant Increase, Air Quality Threshold b). b. Criteria Pollutant Increase Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would result in a cumulatively considerable net increase of any criteria pollutant for which the Project region is considered non-attainment under an applicable federal or State ambient air quality standard. (Threshold b) The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 46 Finding: Impacts related to Air Quality Threshold b are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.1 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that Project-related activities would exceed the applicable SCAQMD regional thresholds for NOx emissions during Project construction and long-term operation of the Project. As such, Project-related emissions would violate SCAQMD air quality standards and contribute to the non-attainment of ozone standards in the SCAB. This impact is significant and mitigation is required. Although mitigation measures are identified to reduce Project-related construction emissions of NOX to below the SCAQMD regional threshold for NOX, additional feasible mitigation measures are not available to reduce the Project’s operational-related emissions of NOX to below the SCAQMD regional threshold for this pollutant. Facts in Support of the Finding: Based on the entire record, the City finds that prior to mitigation, the Project’s construction-related activities have the potential to result in emissions of NOX that would exceed the SCAQMD regional threshold for this pollutant. Mitigation Measures MM 4.1-1 through MM 4.1-3C have been identified and included in the Project’s conditions of approval. With implementation of the required mitigation, Project construction- related emissions of NOX would be reduced to below the SCAQMD regional threshold for NOX. Thus, implementation of the required mitigation would reduce the Project’s construction-related air quality impacts to below a level of significance. In addition, the City finds that the Project’s long-term operational emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) would violate SCAQMD’s air quality standard, as well as contribute to an existing air quality violation. The City also finds that mitigation measures applied to the Project would lessen long-term emissions of NOx but would not reduce the Project’s long-term emissions of NOx to less-than-significant levels. The City also finds that no other feasible mitigations are available that would reduce the Project’s long-term emissions of NOx to less-than-significant levels. Peak Project operational NOx emissions, which primarily are emitted from vehicle tailpipes, would exceed the applicable SCAQMD regional threshold. NOx is a precursor for ozone, a pollutant for which the SCAB does not attain federal (NAAQS) or State (CAAQS) standards. Accordingly, the Project’s daily NOx emissions during long-term operation would violate the SCAQMD regional threshold for this pollutant and would result in a cumulatively considerable net increase of a criteria pollutant for which the Project region is in non-attainment. This impact is significant and mitigation is required. Mitigation Measures MM 4.1-4 through MM 4.1-9 would reduce the Project’s overall demand for energy resources and would reduce the Project’s operational NOx emissions (NOx is released during the combustion of certain types of energy resources). However, mobile source emissions account for approximately 91 percent, by weight, of the Project’s total operational NOx emissions. Mobile source emissions are regulated by standards imposed by federal and State agencies, not local governments. No other mitigation measures related to vehicle tailpipe The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 47 emissions are available that are within the City of San Bernardino’s jurisdictional authority that, also, are feasible for the City of San Bernardino to enforce and have a proportional nexus to the Project’s level of impact. As such, it is concluded that operation of the Project would generate NOx emissions that would exceed the applicable SCAQMD regional air quality threshold on a daily basis. The Project’s operational-related NOx emissions also would cumulatively contribute to an existing air quality violation in the SCAB (i.e., ozone concentrations), as well as cumulatively contribute to the net increase of a criteria pollutant for which the SCAB is considered non-attainment (i.e., federal and State ozone concentrations). Accordingly, the Project’s long-term operational-related emissions of NOx are concluded to result in a significant and unavoidable impact on both a direct and cumulatively- considerable basis. (DEIR pp. 4.1-27 to 4.1-29) The following mitigation measures would reduce the Project’s construction-related NOx emissions and the contributions of this pollutant to the SCAB’s non-attainment status for ozone: MM 4.1-1 Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that a notation is included requiring the grading contractor to utilize CARB Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment in lieu of Tier 3 Compliant or Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment if Tier 4 equipment can be reasonably acquired by the Project contractor. If Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment is not feasible to use during grading activity due to lack of local availability of such equipment, the Project Applicant or grading contractor shall provide evidence to the City of San Bernardino showing that the grading contractor attempted to secure the use of Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment, but such equipment was not locally available (within a 50 mile radius). The notations shall require that all Tier 3 Compliant and Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment over 50 hp, if used, shall be fitted with the best available control technology (BACT) devices, if technically feasible and if the BACT devices can be reasonably acquired by the Project grading contractor, to minimize air pollutant emissions. These requirements also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective grading contractors. In order to demonstrate compliance, the grading contractor shall keep a copy of each unit’s certified tier specification and CARB or SCAQMD operating permit (if applicable) on the Development Site in a location available to the City or City designee for inspection upon request. The City shall review and approve the list of equipment over 50 hp, their CARB tier levels, and list of BACT devices installed on Tier 3 Compliant and Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment, prior to the mobilization of grading equipment to the site. MM 4.1-2 Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that notification is included requiring that all on-road heavy-duty diesel trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds with a 2010 model year engine The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 48 or newer or shall be equipped with a particulate matter trap, as available. This requirement also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective construction contractors. The grading contractor shall keep a copy of records for all on-road heavy-duty diesel trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds to demonstrate compliance with this requirement, and the records shall be made available to the City or City’s designee for inspection upon request. MM 4.1-3 Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that notification is included requiring that all construction equipment shall comply with all applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) air quality regulations. Also, the notes shall require that all Project construction contractors must tune and maintain all construction equipment in accordance with the equipment manufacturer’s recommended maintenance schedule and specifications. These requirements also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective construction contractors. Maintenance records for all pieces of equipment shall be kept on-site for the duration of construction activities and shall be made available for periodic inspection by City of San Bernardino staff or their designee. MM 4.1-3A Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify a designated area of the construction site where electric or non-diesel vehicles, equipment, and tools can be fueled or charged. The provision of temporary electric infrastructure for such purpose shall be approved by the utility provider, Southern California Edison (SCE). If SCE will not approve the installation of temporary power for this purpose, the establishment of a temporary electric charging area will not be required. If electric equipment will not be used on the construction site because the construction contractor(s) does not have such equipment in its fleet (as specified in Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3C), the establishment of a temporary electric charging area also will not be required. If electric-powered equipment is in the contractor(s) equipment fleet, and SCE approval is secured, the temporary charging location is required to be established upon issuance of grading permits and building permits. MM 4.1-3B If electric or non-diesel off-road trucks and construction support equipment, including but not limited to hand tools, forklifts, aerial lifts, materials lifts, hoists, pressure washers, plate compactors, and air compressors are available in the construction contractor’s equipment fleet and can fulfill the Project’s construction requirements during the building construction, paving, and architectural coating phases of Project construction, such equipment shall be used during Project construction. This requirement shall be noted on plans submitted for building permit issuance. The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 49 MM 4.1-3C Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify the locations where anti-idling signs will be located. Signs shall be placed on the construction site where medium and heavy-duty trucks and other heavy equipment will stage, identifying applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include: 1) instructions to shut off engines when equipment is not in use; and 2) instructions to restrict idling to no more than five (5) minutes. The following mitigation measures would reduce the Project’s operational-related NOx emissions and the contributions of this pollutant to the SCAB’s non-attainment status for ozone. MM 4.1-4 The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain legible, durable, weather-proof signs at truck access gates, loading docks, and truck parking areas that identify applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include instructions for drivers of diesel-fueled trucks to restrict idling to no more than five minutes. The Project developer or successor(s) in interest shall permit City of San Bernardino staff to conduct a site inspection to ensure that the signs are in place and maintained. MM 4.1-5 The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain signs and/or painting/striping at on-site driveways and drive aisles to clearly identify the on-site circulation pattern to minimize unnecessary on-site vehicular travel. The Project developer or successor(s) in interest shall permit City of San Bernardino staff to conduct a site inspection to ensure that the signs/painting/striping are in place and maintained. MM 4.1-6 The Project developer and all successors in interest shall provide the City of San Bernardino with an information packet that will be provided to future building occupants that: 1) provides information regarding the grants available from the Carl Moyer Memorial Air Quality Standards Attainment Program for energy efficiency improvement features – including truck modernization, retrofits, and/or aerodynamic kits and low rolling resistance tires – and the resulting benefits to air quality; 2) recommends the use of electric or alternatively- fueled sweepers with HEPA filters; 3) recommends the use of water- based or low VOC cleaning products; and 4) for occupants with more than 250 employees, includes information related to SCAQMD Rule 2202, which requires the establishment of a transportation demand management program to reduce employee commute vehicle emissions. MM 4.1-7 The Project developer and all successors in interest shall stipulate in building sale and lease agreements that all indoor and outdoor forklifts and all outdoor cargo-handling equipment (e.g., yard The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 50 trucks, hostlers, yard goats, pallet jacks, forklifts) shall be electric or non-diesel fueled. MM 4.1-8 The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain a sign in public view with telephone, email, and regular mail contact information for a designated representative of the occupant who would receive complaints about excessive dust, fumes, or odors. The sign shall also identify contact data for the City or SCAQM D for perceived violations. The occupant’s representative shall keep records of any complaints received and actions taken to communicate with the complainant and resolve the complaint. MM 4.1-9 The minimum number of automobile electric vehicle (EV) charging stations required by the California Code of Regulations Title 24 shall be provided. In addition, and to facilitate the possible future installation of infrastructure that would charge the batteries that power the motors of electric-powered trucks, the following shall occur: (1) at Shell building permit, an electrical room(s) and/or exterior area(s) of the site shall be designated where future electrical panels would be located for the purpose of supplying power to on-site charging facilities for electric powered trucks; (2) conduit shall be installed from this designated area where the panel would be located to the southwest corner of the Development Site where the charging facilities would be located and where electric-powered trucks would park and connect to charging facilities. (DEIR pp. 4.1-38 to 4.1-40 and FEIR p. F-18) The following are applicable regulatory requirements to which the Project must comply. Because compliance with regulatory requirements is mandatory and does meet CEQA’s definition for mitigation, they are listed herein to demonstrate the Project’s compliance with applicable requirements. RRDR 4.1-1: The Project is required to comply with the provisions of SCAQMD Rule 403, “Fugitive Dust” and Rule 403(e) “Additional Requirements for Large Operations.” Rule 403 requires implementation of best available dust control measures during construction activities that generate fugitive dust, such as earth moving, grading, and equipment travel on unpaved roads. Rule 403 also requires activities defined as “large operations” to notify the SCAQMD by submitting specific forms. The following notes shall be listed on the Project’s grading plans, to be confirmed by the City of San Bernardino prior to grading permit issuance. Project construction contractors shall be required by their contracts to ensure compliance with the notes, submit any required “large operations” forms to the SCAQMD, and permit periodic inspection of the construction site by City of San Bernardino staff or its designee to confirm compliance. c) During grading and ground-disturbing construction activities, the construction contractor shall ensure that all unpaved roads, The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 51 active soil stockpiles, and areas undergoing active ground disturbance within the Development Site are watered at least three (3) times daily during dry weather. Watering, with complete coverage of disturbed areas by water truck, sprinkler system, or other comparable means, shall occur in the midmorning, afternoon, and after work is done for the day. The contractor or builder shall designate a person or persons to monitor the dust control program and to order increased watering, as necessary, to prevent transport of dust off site. d) Temporary signs shall be installed on the construction site along all unpaved roads indicating a maximum speed limit of 15 miles per hour (MPH). The signs shall be installed before construction activities commence and remain in place for the duration of construction activities that include vehicle activities on unpaved roads. e) Gravel pads shall be installed at all access points to prevent tracking of mud onto public roads. f) Install and maintain trackout control devices in effective condition at all access points where paved and unpaved access or travel routes intersect (e.g., install wheel shakers, wheel washers, limit site access). g) When materials are transported off site, all material shall be covered or effectively wetted to limit visible dust emissions, and at least six inches of freeboard space from the top of the container shall be maintained. h) All street frontages adjacent to the construction site shall be swept at least once a day using SCAQMD Rule 1186 certified street sweepers utilizing reclaimed water trucks if visible soil materials are carried to adjacent streets. i) Post a publicly visible sign with the telephone number and person to contact regarding dust complaints. This person shall respond and initiate corrective action to legitimate complaints within 24 hours. j) Landscaping shall be planted as soon as possible to reduce the disturbed area subject to wind erosion. Irrigation systems required for these plants shall be installed as soon as possible to maintain good ground cover and to minimize wind erosion of the soil. k) Any on-site stock piles of debris, dirt, or other dusty material shall be covered or watered as necessary to minimize fugitive dust pursuant to SCAQMD Rule 403. The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 52 RRDR 4.1-2: The Project is required to comply with the provisions of SCAQMD Rule 1186 “PM10 Emissions from Paved and Unpaved Roads and Livestock Operations” and Rule 1186.1, “Less-Polluting Street Sweepers” by complying with the following requirements. To ensure and enforce compliance with these requirements, prior to grading and building permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall verify that the following notes are included on the grading and building plans. Project construction contractors shall be required to ensure compliance with the notes and permit periodic inspection of the construction site by City of San Bernardino staff or its designee to confirm compliance. a) If visible dirt or accumulated dust is carried onto paved roads during construction, the contractor shall remove such dirt and dust at the end of each work day by street cleaning. b) Street sweepers shall be certified by the South Coast Air Quality Management District as meeting the Rule 1186 sweeper certification procedures and requirements for PM10 efficient sweepers. RRDR 4.1-3: The Project is required to comply with the provisions of SCAQMD Rule 1113, “Table of Standards for Architectural Coatings, Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) Limits.” Prior to building permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall verify that a note is provided on all building plans specifying that compliance with SCAQMD Rule 1113 is mandatory during application of all architectural coatings. Project contractors shall be required to comply with the note and maintain written records of such compliance that can be inspected by the City of San Bernardino upon request. All architectural coatings shall comply with the VOC limits prescribed by SCAQMD Rule 1113. (DEIR pp. 4.1-36 to 4.1-38) 2. Greenhouse Gas Emissions a. Operational Emissions of Greenhouse Gas Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would generate greenhouse gas emissions, either directly or indirectly, that may have a significant impact on the environment. (Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Greenhouse Gas Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.4 of the EIR. The City finds that the Project would exceed the SCAQMD/City’s screening threshold of 3,000 MTCO2e per year. Thus, the Project has the potential to result in a significant and cumulatively-considerable impact with respect to greenhouse gas emissions. Facts in Support of the Finding: The Project would result in approximately 23,514.15 MTCO2e per year; thus, the proposed Project would exceed the City’s screening threshold of 3,000 MTCO2e per year and would result in a significant The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 53 cumulatively-considerable impact due to emissions of greenhouse gases that may have a significant impact on the environment. Implementation of applicable regulatory requirements, Mitigation Measures MM 4.1-1 through MM 4.1-9, as well as Mitigation Measure MM 4.4-1 and MM 4.1-2, would reduce the Project’s operational emissions of greenhouse gases; however, these measures would not substantially reduce Project mobile source emissions (i.e., emissions from construction equipment, passenger cars, and trucks), which comprise more than 60 percent of the Project’s anticipated greenhouse gas emissions. Mobile source greenhouse gas emissions are regulated by State and federal fuel standards and tailpipe emissions standards, and are outside of the control of the City of San Bernardino, the Project Applicant, and future Project occupants. CEQA provides that mitigation measures must be within the responsibility and jurisdiction of the Lead Agency (i.e., City of San Bernardino) in order to be implemented. No other mitigation measures are available that are feasible for the City of San Bernardino to enforce that have a proportional nexus to the Project’s level of impact. Accordingly, the City of San Bernardino finds that the Project’s greenhouse gas emissions represent a significant and unavoidable cumulatively-considerable impact for which no additional feasible mitigation is available to substantially reduce or avoid the significant impact. All of the mitigation measures listed in EIR Subsection 4.1, Air Quality, are applicable to the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. In addition, the following measure is applied: MM 4.4-1 Prior to the issuance of a building permit, the Project Applicant or successor in interest shall provide documentation to the City of San Bernardino demonstrating that the Project is designed to meet or exceed CalGreen Tier 2 standards in effect at the time of building permit application and includes the energy efficiency design features listed below at a minimum. a) Preferential parking locations for carpool, vanpool, EVs and CNG vehicles. b) Secure, weather protected bicycle parking. c) Installation of the minimum number of passenger vehicle EV charging stations required by Title 24 and the installation of conduit at a minimum of five (5) percent of the Project’s total number of automobile parking spaces to accommodate the future, optional installation of EV charging infrastructure. d) As part of shell building permit issuance, and subject to the approval of the Federal Aviation Administration for the installation of rooftop solar panels near an airport, the applicant The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 54 shall be required to install a rooftop photovoltaic (PV) system providing a minimum of 24,000 watts (24 KW) of power per year. The remaining area of the building’s roof shall be designed and constructed to accommodate the potential, future construction of additional (PV) solar arrays taking into consideration limitations imposed by other rooftop equipment, roof warranties, building and fire code requirements, and other physical or legal limitations. The building shall be designed to accommodate an electrical system and other infrastructure sufficiently sized to accommodate the potential installation of additional PV arrays in the future. e) The building’s electrical room shall be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels that may be needed in the future to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site. Conduit should be installed from the electrical room to the tractor trailer staging area in the southwestern corner of the site for the purpose of accommodating the future installation of EV truck charging stations at such time this technology becomes commercially available and the building is being served by trucks with electric-powered engines. f) Use of light-colored roofing material. g) Use of solar or light-emitting diode (LED) fixtures for outdoor lighting. h) All heating, cooling, and lighting devices and appliances shall be Energy Star certified. i) All fixtures installed in restrooms and employee break areas shall be U.S. EPA Certified WaterSense or equivalent. (DEIR pp. 4.4-33 to 4.4-35) MM 4.4-2 Prior to the issuance of a building permit for warehouse building space that contains refrigerated or freezer storage, an electrical hookup shall be provided at all loading dock doors that are designated for the loading/unloading of trailers holding refrigerated/frozen goods, for the purpose of plugging the refrigeration units installed on such trailers into the building’s electrical system. If refrigerated/freezer warehouse space is not proposed, electrical hookups at dock doors will not be required. (FEIR p. F-20) 3. Noise a. Ambient Noise Levels Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would result in the generation of a substantial temporary or permanent increase in ambient noise levels in the vicinity of The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 55 the Project in excess of standards established in the local general plan or noise ordinance, or applicable standards of other agencies. (Threshold a) Finding: Impacts related to Noise Threshold a are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.7 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that while construction- and operational-related activities would not expose any nearby sensitive receptors to noise levels exceeding the thresholds of significance, Project-related traffic would expose sensitive receptors along several roadway segments to significant traffic-related noise impacts. There are no additional feasible mitigation measures to substantially reduce or avoid the Project’s significant traffic-related noise impacts. Therefore, the Project-related off-site traffic noise level increases at noise-sensitive land uses adjacent to the affected roadway segments would represent a significant and unavoidable impact of the proposed Project on a direct and/or cumulatively-considerable basis: Facts in Support of the Finding: Construction noise levels are expected to range from 59.5 to 73.9 dBA Leq, and the highest construction levels are expected to range from 69.6 to 73.9 dBA Leq at the nearest receiver locations. The construction noise analysis shows that the nearest receiver locations would satisfy the reasonable daytime 80 dBA Leq significance threshold during Project construction activities, and the noise impacts due to Project construction noise would be less than significant at all receiver locations. The operational noise levels associated with the proposed Project would satisfy the City of San Bernardino 65 dBA Leq exterior noise level standards at all nearby receiver locations. Therefore, the operational noise impacts are considered less than significant at the nearest noise- sensitive receiver locations (DEIR pp. 4.7-20 to 4.7-23) While construction- and operational-related activities would not expose any nearby sensitive receptors to noise levels exceeding the thresholds of significance, Project-related traffic would expose sensitive receptors along the following roadway segments to significant traffic-related noise impacts: • Opening Year (2022) o Existing noise-sensitive use on Lankershim Avenue north of 5th Street (Segment #1). o Existing noise-sensitive use on 5th Street west of Central Avenue (Segment #5). o Existing noise-sensitive use on 5th Street west of Church Avenue (Segment #6). • Opening Year Cumulative (2022) o Existing noise-sensitive use on Lankershim Avenue north of 5th Street (Segment #1). o Existing noise-sensitive use on 5th Street west of Church Avenue (Segment #6). • Horizon Year (2040) o Existing noise-sensitive use on 5th Street west of Church Avenue (Segment #6). The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 56 • Horizon Year Cumulative (2040) o Existing noise-sensitive use on Lankershim Avenue north of 5th Street (Segment #1). o Existing noise-sensitive use on 5th Street east of Lankershim Avenue (Segment #4). o Existing noise-sensitive use on 5th Street west of Central Avenue (Segment #5). o Existing noise-sensitive use on 5th Street west of Church Avenue (Segment #6). The existing sensitive receptors along the above-listed roadway segments are currently being planned for future development with light industrial land uses as part of the Airport Gateway Specific Plan. Notwithstanding, as it cannot be assured that the Airport Gateway Specific Plan would be developed and operational under each of the above-described study scenarios, or if or when the sensitive receivers would convert to non- sensitive receivers, Project traffic-related noise impacts at the above- listed roadway segments are considered direct and cumulatively- considerable impacts of the proposed Project. Rubberized asphalt and off-site noise barriers would not avoid or substantially lessen the off-site traffic noise level increases at land uses adjacent to the impacted roadway segments. There are no other feasible mitigation measures to substantially reduce or avoid the Project’s significant traffic-related noise impacts. Therefore, the Project-related off-site traffic noise level increases at noise-sensitive land uses adjacent to the affected roadway segments would represent a significant and unavoidable impact of the proposed Project on a direct and/or cumulatively-considerable basis. (DEIR pp. 4.7-34 to 4.7-36) 4. Transportation a. Vehicle Miles Travelled (VMT) Impacts Potential Significant Impact: Whether the Project would conflict with or be inconsistent with CEQA Guidelines section 15064.3, subdivision (b). (Threshold b) Finding: Impacts related to Transportation Threshold b are discussed in detail in Subsection 4.8 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would result in a significant and unavoidable direct VMT impact. Facts in Support of the Finding: SB 743, approved in 2013, was intended to change the way transportation impacts are determined according to CEQA. Updates to the State CEQA Guidelines that were approved in December 2018 included the addition of CEQA Guidelines Section 15064.3, of which Subdivision b establishes criteria for evaluating a project’s transportation impacts based on project type and using automobile VMT (vehicle miles traveled) as the metric. As a component of the Office of Planning and The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 57 Research revisions to the CEQA Guidelines, lead agencies were required to adopt VMT thresholds of significance by July 1, 2020. The City of San Bernardino adopted its City of San Bernardino Traffic Impact Analysis Guidelines in August 2020, which is used in the analysis to determine the significance of Project-related VMT. The Project’s VMT per service population values would exceed the City’s adopted threshold by 33.3% for baseline (2020) conditions and 25.9% for cumulative (2040) conditions. Therefore, based on the City’s Guidelines, the Project would have a significant direct impact due to VMT. The cumulative link-level VMT per service population within the City of San Bernardino does not increase under the plus Project condition. Therefore, based on the City’s Guidelines, the Project’s effect on VMT is considered less-than-cumulatively considerable. Mitigation measures available to reduce VMT include developing pedestrian network improvements, removing physical barriers to pedestrian circulation, and providing design features that encourage people to walk or bike instead of drive. Various design features are included in the Project to encourage pedestrian and bicycle activity (sidewalks, trails, bike lanes and bicycle parking). Encouraging businesses to allow telecommuting and alternative work week hours and to use ridesharing programs also can reduce VMT, but the City of San Bernardino has no jurisdictional authority to mandate the business practices of private enterprises. There are no additional feasible mitigation measures available to substantially reduce or avoid the Project’s significant impacts due to VMT. As such, Project impacts due to VMT would be significant and unavoidable. (DEIR pp. 4.8-11, 4.8- 12, and 4.8-16) VIII. SIGNIFICANT IRREVERSIBLE ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS Potential Significant Impact: Whether any significant irreversible environmental changes would result from implementation of the Project. An environmental change would fall into this category if: a) the project would involve a large commitment of non-renewable resources; b) the primary and secondary impacts of the project would generally commit future generations to similar uses; c) the project involves uses in which irreversible damage could result from any potential environmental accidents; or d) the proposed consumption of resources is not justified (e.g., the project results in the wasteful use of energy). Finding: Significant irreversible environmental effects which would be caused by the Project are discussed in detail in Subsection 5.2 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not cause an irreversible change that would result in a significant adverse effect to the environment. Facts in Support of the Finding: Natural resources, in the form of construction materials and energy resources, would be used in the construction of the proposed Project. The The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 58 consumption of these natural resources would represent an irreversible change to the environment. However, implementation of high-cube fulfillment center and high-cube cold storage uses on the Development Site would have no measurable adverse effect on the availability of such resources, including resources that may be non-renewable (e.g., construction aggregates, fossil fuels). Additionally, the Project is required by law to comply with the California Green Building Standards Code (CALGreen), which will minimize the Project’s demand for energy, including energy produced from non-renewable sources. Implementation of the Project would commit the Development Site to one large light industrial warehouse building. Mandatory compliance with federal, State, and local regulations related to hazardous materials handling, storage, and use by all Project construction contractors (near term) and occupants (long-term) would ensure that any hazardous materials used on site would be safely and appropriately handled to preclude any irreversible damage to the environment that could result if hazardous materials were released from the site. Development of the proposed light industrial warehouse building would not result in a wasteful, inefficient, or unnecessary consumption of energy. Accordingly, the Project would not result in significant, irreversible adverse changes to the environment as defined above. (DEIR pp. 5-2 to 5-4) IX. GROWTH-INDUCING IMPACTS Potential Significant Impact: Whether the proposed Project could be growth inducing. The CEQA Guidelines identify a project as growth inducing if it would foster economic or population growth, or the construction of additional housing, either directly or indirectly, in the surrounding environment (CEQA Guidelines §15126.2(d)). Finding: The Project’s potential to result in growth-inducing impacts is discussed in detail in Subsection 5.3 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the Project would not result in substantial, adverse growth-inducing impacts. Facts in Support of the Finding: The City of San Bernardino’s population is projected to grow by 14,200 residents between 2016 and 2045 (approximately 0.2% annual growth). Over this same time period, employment in the City is expected to add 24,300 new jobs (approximately 0.7% annual job growth). Economic growth would likely take place as a result of the Project’s operation with high-cube fulfillment center and high-cube cold storage uses. The Project’s employees (short-term construction and long-term operational) would purchase goods and services in the region, but any secondary increase in employment associated with meeting these goods and services demands is expected to be accommodated by existing goods and service providers and, based on the amount of existing and planned future commercial and retail services available in areas near the Development Site, would be highly unlikely to result in any unanticipated, adverse physical impacts to the environment. In addition, The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 59 the Project would create approximately 1,120 jobs, a majority of which would likely be filled by residents of the housing units either already built or planned for development within the City of San Bernardino and nearby cities and unincorporated areas. Accordingly, because it is anticipated that most of the Project’s future employees would already be living in the City of San Bernardino or the larger Inland Empire area, the Project’s introduction of employment opportunities on the Development Site would not induce substantial growth in the area. The area surrounding the Project Site consists of industrial warehouses and airport-related businesses and operations to the east, south, and west, with a mixture of business enterprises, undeveloped property, and several residential structures to the north. Development of the Project is not expected to place short-term development pressure on abutting properties because these areas are already built-out or are planned for urban uses. There are no components of the Project that would induce development on the currently undeveloped parcels to the north, as these parcels already are served with existing infrastructure (roads, utilities, etc.). (DEIR pp. 5-4 and 5-5) X. PROJECT ALTERNATIVES A. No Development Alternative (NDA) The No Development Alternative (NDA) considers no development on the Project Site beyond what occurs on the site under existing conditions. The NDA was selected by the Lead Agency to compare the environmental effects of the proposed Project with an alternative that would leave the property in its existing state. Finding: Alternatives to the Project are discussed in detail in Section 6.0 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the NDA was considered but rejects the NDA because the NDA would fail to meet any and all of the Project’s objectives. Specifically, implementation of the NDA would not expand economic development, facilitate job creation, or increase the tax base for the City of San Bernardino by establishing new industrial development adjacent to established and planned industrial areas. The NDA also would not attract new employment-generating businesses in the City of San Bernardino, thereby growing the economy and providing a more equal jobs-housing balance in the local area that will reduce the need for members of the local workforce to commute outside the area for employment. The NDA would fail to meet the Project’s objective to develop vacant or underutilized property on the former Norton AFB with a use that is compatible with the SBIA and that achieves a maximized floor area ratio per regulatory allowances to take full advantage of the development potential of the property. The NDA also would not result in the development of a use that has architectural design and operational characteristics that are compatible with other existing and planned developments in the local area. In addition, implementation of the NDA would not meet the Project’s objective to develop a Class A light industrial in the City of San Bernardino that is designed to meet contemporary industry standards and be economically competitive with similar industrial buildings in the local area and region. Implementation of the NDA also would not attract businesses that can expedite the delivery of essential goods to consumers and businesses around the SBIA, in the City of San Bernardino, and in the region beyond the City boundary. The NDA also would not result in the development of light industrial and warehousing uses with loading The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 60 docks in close proximity to designated truck routes and the State highway system to avoid or shorten truck-trip lengths on other roadways. The NDA would fail to meet the Project’s objective to modify the boundary of the SBAC-SP Third Street District to form a more viably- shaped area for industrial development. Moreover, the NDA would not involve the addition of interpretive elements in public streetscape near the SBIA to convey the area’s history and culture. Additionally, the NDA is not feasible because it would be inconsistent with the Project Site’s existing General Plan, Development Code/Zoning Map, and Specific Plan Alliance of California land use designations, all of which designate the Project Site for future development with light industrial and public facilities land uses. Facts in Support of the Finding: Implementation of the NDA would avoid the Project’s significant and unavoidable impacts due to air quality emissions, greenhouse gas emissions, traffic-related noise, and VMT. Impacts to biological resources and hydrology/water quality also would be reduced under the NDA as compared to the proposed Project. Impacts to cultural resources, land use and planning, and tribal cultural resources would be similar under both the NDA and proposed Project. However, implementation of the NDA would fail to meet any and all of the Project’s objectives. Additionally, the NDA is not feasible because it would be inconsistent with the Project Site’s existing General Plan, Development Code/Zoning Map, and Specific Plan Alliance of California land use designations and classifications, all of which identify the Project Site for future development with light industrial and public facilities land uses. Accordingly, the City rejects the NDA. (DEIR pp. 6-7 to 6-10) B. No Project Alternative (NPA) The No Project Alternative (NPA) considers redevelopment of the Project Site in accordance with the site’s existing land use designations. The NPA was selected by the Lead Agency to compare the environmental effects of the Project against a development proposal that conforms to the land use standards and development regulations contained within the City of San Bernardino General Plan, the City’s Development Code/Zoning Code, and the SBAC-SP. Finding: Alternatives to the Project are discussed in detail in Section 6.0 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the NPA was considered but rejects the NPA because although the NPA would meet all but one of the Project’s objectives, the objective that would not be met is a long-range planning objective that results in a better arrangement of land uses on the Project Site in the Third Street District of the San Bernardino Alliance California Specific Plan (SBAC-SP). Further, four of the objectives that would be met by the NPA would be met less effectively and to a lesser degree than the Project. The NPA would be less effective at expanding economic development, facilitating job creation, and increasing the tax base for the City of San Bernardino due to the reduction in building area as compared to the proposed Project. Similarly, the NPA would provide fewer new employment opportunities and lessen the development’s ability to help the City provide a more equal jobs-housing balance in the local area that will reduce the need for members of the local workforce to commute outside the area for employment. Additionally, the NPA would not take full advantage of the development potential of the property, and would be less effective at redeveloping a portion of the former Norton AFB with a use that is compatible with the SBIA and that achieves a maximized floor area ratio per regulatory allowances. In addition, because the NPA would provide less building space than the Project, it would be less The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 61 effective than the Project in attracting businesses that can expedite the delivery of essential goods to consumers and businesses around the SBIA, in the City of San Bernardino, and in the region beyond the City boundary. Facts in Support of the Finding: Implementation of the NPA would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to air quality emissions, a conflict with the SCAQMD 2016 AQMP, greenhouse gas emissions, traffic-related noise, and VMT) and , although the level of impact would be slightly reduced under the NPA as compared to the proposed Project due to the slight reduction in the amount of light industrial building area and associated traffic generation. Therefore, implementation of the NPA would not avoid or substantially reduce the Project’s significant impacts. Impacts to biological resources, cultural resources (historical resources), and hydrology/water quality would be less than significant under both the Project and NPA with the implementation of mitigation measures, and the level of impact would be similar. Impacts to cultural resources (archaeological resources), land use and planning, and tribal cultural resources would be less than significant under both the Project and NPA, and the level of impact would be similar. There would be no increased impacts to the environment with implementation of the NPA as compared to the proposed Project. While the NPA would meet most of the Project’s objectives, those objectives would be met less effectively than the proposed Project in many cases. Accordingly, the City rejects the NPA. (DEIR pp. 6-10 to 6-14) C. Reduced Project Alternative (RPA) The Reduced Project Alternative (RPA) considers development of approximately half of the Development Site with light industrial uses, while the remaining portions of the Development Site would be utilized for truck trailer parking. This alternative was selected by the Lead Agency to compare the environmental effects of the Project with less intense land uses that would serve to reduce the Project’s significant environmental effects associated with air quality, greenhouse gas emissions, traffic-related noise, and Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMTs). Finding: Alternatives to the Project are discussed in detail in Section 6.0 of the EIR. Based on the entire record, the City finds that the RPA was considered but rejects the RPA because while the RPA would meet the Project’s objectives with some reduction in environmental impacts, in most cases the objectives would be met much less effectively than with development of the proposed Project. The RPA would be less effective than the Project in expanding economic development, facilitating job creation, and increasing the tax base for the City of San Bernardino. The RPA also would be less effective than the proposed Project in meeting the Project’s objective to attract new employment-generating businesses in the City of San Bernardino. Because the RPA would involve roughly half of the building area as proposed by the Project, the NPA also would not be as effective as the Project in developing vacant or underutilized property on the former Norton AFB with a use that is compatible with the SBIA and that achieves a maximized floor area ratio per regulatory allowances to take full advantage of the development potential of the property. Due to the reduction in building area under the RPA, the RPA also would be less effective than the proposed Project in meeting the Project’s objective to develop a Class A light industrial in the City of San Bernardino that is designed to be economically competitive with similar and that can attract businesses that can expedite the delivery of essential goods to consumers and businesses The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 62 around the SBIA, in the City of San Bernardino, and in the region beyond the City boundary. Accordingly, the City rejects the RPA. Facts in Support of the Finding: Implementation of the RPA would result in significant and unavoidable impacts due to air quality emissions, greenhouse gas emissions, traffic- related noise, and VMTs, although the level of impact would be reduced under the RPA as compared to the proposed Project due to the reduction in building intensity on site and associated reduction in vehicular traffic. Nevertheless, implementation of the RPA would not avoid or substantially reduce the Project’s significant impacts. Impacts to biological resources, cultural resources (historical resources), and hydrology/water quality would be less than significant under both the Project and RPA with the implementation of mitigation measures, and the level of impact would be similar. Impacts to cultural resources (archaeological resources), land use and planning, and tribal cultural resources would be less than significant under both the Project and RPA, and the level of impact would be similar. There would be no increased impacts to the environment with implementation of the RPA as compared to the proposed Project. The RPA would meet most of the Project’s objectives, although to a much lesser extent. Therefore, the City rejects the RPA. (DEIR pp. 6-14 to 6-18) D. Range of Alternatives Finding: The City finds that Alternatives to the Project consisting of the No Development Alternative (NDA), No Project Alternative (NPA), and Reduced Project Alternative (RPA), represent a reasonable range of alternatives. Facts in Support of the Finding: Pursuant to Public Resources Code Section 21002 and the State CEQA Guidelines Section 15126.6(a), an EIR must assess a reasonable range of alternatives to the project action or location. Section 15126.6(a) places special emphasis on focusing the discussion on alternatives which provide opportunities for eliminating any significant adverse environmental impacts, or reducing them to a level of insignificance, even if the alternative would impede to some degree the attainment of the project objectives, or would be costlier. The discussion of alternatives is governed by the “rule of reason.” The EIR need not consider an alternative whose effect cannot be reasonably ascertained, or does not contribute to an informed decision-making and public participation process. Because there are no reasonably feasible and available alternative sites for the Project or alternative land uses for the Project Site, consideration of the NDA, NPA, and RPA represents a reasonable range of alternatives. The purpose of the CEQA requirements of studying a reasonable range of alternatives would not be met by constructing additional alternatives that would not meet the basic objectives of the Project. There are no other feasible alternatives that would achieve all of the Project’s basic objectives while lessening or avoiding the Project’s significant environmental effects. The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 63 XI. STATEMENT OF OVERRIDING CONSIDERATIONS This Section specifically addresses §15093 of the CEQA Guidelines, which requires the City, acting as the Lead Agency, to balance the benefits of the Project against its significant and unavoidable adverse environmental impacts and determine whether the benefits which will accrue from the development of the Project outweigh its significant and unavoidable impacts. If the City finds that the major benefits of the Project outweigh its significant and unavoidable adverse environmental impacts, the City may approve the Project. Each of the separate benefits listed below are hereby determined to be, in itself, and independent of the Project’s other benefits, the basis for overriding all significant and unavoidable environmental impacts identified in the EIR. As set forth in Section VII above, the EIR identified all of the Project’s adverse environmental impacts and mitigation measures which can reduce the Project’s impacts to less-than-significant levels where feasible, or to the lowest feasible levels. Mitigation imposed by the City must have a proportional nexus to the Project’s impacts. As further set forth in Section VII, above, the EIR presents evidence that implementing the Project would cause or contribute to impacts that would remain significant and unavoidable even after the imposition of all feasible mitigation measures. Finally, as set forth in Section X above, there are no feasible alternatives to the Project that would mitigate the Project’s significant and unavoidable impacts to less-than-significant levels or avoid those environmental impacts while still attaining all of the Project’s basic objectives. Based on the facts presented throughout this document, the City makes the following finding: Finding: As the CEQA Lead Agency for the proposed Project, the City has reviewed the Project description and the alternatives to the Project, as presented in the EIR, and the City fully understands the Project and its alternatives. Further, the City finds that all potential adverse environmental impacts and all feasible mitigation measures to reduce the impacts from the Project have been identified in the Draft EIR, Final EIR, and public testimony. Having considered the potential for the Project to cause or contribute to significant and unavoidable adverse impacts to Air Quality, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Noise, and Transportation/Circulation, the City hereby determines that all feasible mitigation measures with proportional nexus to the Project’s impacts have been adopted to reduce or avoid the significant and unavoidable impacts identified in the EIR, and that no additional feasible mitigation is available to further substantially reduce or avoid significant impacts. Further, the City finds that economic, social, and other considerations of the Project outweigh the Project’s unavoidable impacts to Air Quality, Greenhouse Gas, Noise, and Transportation/Circulation and that approval of the Project is appropriate. In making this finding, the City has balanced the benefits of the Project against its unavoidable environmental impacts, and has indicated its willingness to accept those effects. Each of the separate benefits listed below are hereby determined to be, in itself, and independent of the Project’s other benefits, the basis for overriding all significant and unavoidable environmental impacts identified in the EIR. These benefits include the following: A. The Project will improve the physical condition of the property by redeveloping a portion of the former Norton Air Force Base (AFB) with a revenue-producing and job-creating warehouse building. Redevelopment of the property will eliminate the potential threats of vacancy, neglect, and blight that could occur if the property is not reused and which may cause safety hazards to the residents of the City and hazard to the environment. B. Development of the property with a modern warehouse building will assist the City in achieving the vision of the San Bernardino California Alliance Specific Plan and numerous The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 64 General Plan Goals and Policies including but not limited to: Goal 4.1 (to encourage economic activity that capitalizes on the City’s transportation and locational strengths), Goal 4.5 (to attract employment types/land uses that complement existing employment clusters and foster long-term economic growth), and Goal 4.6 (to establish employment sectors that support business growth). C. The Project will help to fill southern California’s demand for over one billion square feet of warehousing space by the year 2035, as projected by the Southern California Association of Governments. In doing so, the Project will further diversify the City’s economy and secure the City’s position in the regional, State, and international marketplace. D. Implementation of the Project would capitalize on the transportation and locational strengths of San Bernardino. The Development Site is located approximately 1 mile west of the 5th Street on/off-ramp to Insterstate-210 (I-210) and approximately 2.6 miles north of Interstate-10 (I-10), both of which provide accessibility to/from the Development Site to the existing regional transportation system that facilitates the efficient movement of goods as part of the California goods movement network. E. The Project will attract a new employment-generating business to the City of San Bernardino, thereby reducing the needs of the local workforce to commute outside of the area for employment. Although the user(s) of the Project’s proposed building is not yet known, an employment estimate can be made using Appendix 5 to the City’s General Plan, which indicates that lands designated for “Industrial Light (IL)” uses generate approximately one employee per 1,030 s.f. of building area. Based on this factor, the Project is projected to generate approximately 1,120 new, recurring jobs (1,153,644 s.f. ÷ 1,030 s.f./employee = 1,120 employees). The Project also could serve as a catalyst to attract other businesses to the City of San Bernardino that desire close proximity the building’s eventual tenant(s). Implementation of the Project is expected to create short-term construction jobs that would generate increases in construction employee wages, as well as a multiplier effect of those wages that will create secondary jobs to support Project-related construction activities and the needs of construction workers. The addition of new jobs to the City of San Bernardino will create direct and indirect economic benefits, such as increased tax income to the City and spending on goods and services. F. The Project will result in and facilitate the construction of improvements to Victoria Avenue and the intersection of Victoria Avenue and 3rd Street. The Project also will result in the installation of an Omnitrans tripper route bus stop and reserve space for the planned location of a segment of the City Creek bike trail. G. Implementation of the Project will result in payment of Development Impact Fees and City permitting fees that would benefit the City of San Bernardino by increasing available funding for needed public services and infrastructure. The Landing by San Manuel State Clearinghouse No. 2020100067 Facts, Findings, and Statement of Overriding Considerations February 25, 2021 Page 65 H. The Project will assist the City in representing and celebrating its history by relocating the Norton AFB water tower (or building a replica thereof) at the southeast corner of the intersection of Victoria Avenue and 3rd Street, and by installing a historic theme wall along the Development Site’s frontage with 3rd Street. I. The Project would ensure the property’s long-term compatibility with existing and planned land uses abutting the site including airport-related uses to the immediate south. XII. ADOPTION OF A MONITORING PLAN FOR MITIGATION MEASURES Pursuant to §21081.6 of the Public Resources Code the City hereby adopts a Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program (MMRP), which is based upon Table S-1 in the Final EIR, and supersedes all other versions. The City finds that the MMRP is designed to ensure compliance with the changes (i.e., mitigation measures) imposed on the Project to mitigate or avoid effects on the environment during Project implementation. The MMRP is on file with the City’s Community Development Department, Planning Division, located at 201 North E Street, 3rd Floor, San Bernardino, CA 92401. XIII. APPROVING THE PROJECT Based on the entire record before the San Bernardino City Council, including the Findings and all written and oral evidence presented, the San Bernardino City Council hereby approves the Project with all the mitigation measures and the MMRP, as set forth in this Facts, Findings and Statement of Overriding Considerations document. XIV. REGARDING STAFF DIRECTION A Notice of Determination shall be filed with the Clerk of the County of San Bernardino within five (5) working days of final Project approval. XV. REGARDING CONTENTS AND CUSTODIAN OF RECORD The documents and materials that constitute the record of proceedings on which these findings have been based are located at the City of San Bernardino, Community Development Department, 201 North E Street, 3rd Floor, San Bernardino, California 92401. The custodian for these records is Elizabeth Mora-Rodriguez, Associate Planner. This information is provided in compliance with Public Resources Code §21081.6. The Landing by San Manuel Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 1 Mitigation Measures Responsible Parties Implementation Stage (to be monitored by the City of San Bernardino) 4.1 4.1 Air Quality MM 4.1-1: Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that a notation is included requiring the grading contractor to utilize CARB Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment in lieu of Tier 3 Compliant or Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment if Tier 4 equipment can be reasonably acquired by the Project contractor. If Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment is not feasible to use during grading activity due to lack of local availability of such equipment, the Project Applicant or grading contractor shall provide evidence to the City of San Bernardino showing that the grading contractor attempted to secure the use of Tier 4 Final Compliant equipment, but such equipment was not locally available (within a 50-mile radius). The notations shall require that all Tier 3 Compliant and Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment over 50 hp, if used, shall be fitted with the best available control technology (BACT) devices, if technically feasible and if the BACT devices can be reasonably acquired by the Project grading contractor, to minimize air pollutant emissions. These requirements also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective grading contractors. In order to demonstrate compliance, the grading contractor shall keep a copy of each unit’s certified tier specification and CARB or SCAQMD operating permit (if applicable) on the Development Site in a location available to the City or City designee for inspection upon request. The City shall review and approve the list of equipment over 50 hp, their CARB tier levels, and list of BACT devices installed on Tier 3 Compliant and Tier 4 Interim Compliant equipment, prior to the mobilization of grading equipment to the site. MM 4.1-2: Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that notification is included requiring that all on-road heavy-duty diesel trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds with a 2010 model year engine or newer or shall be equipped with a particulate matter trap, as available. This requirement also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective construction contractors. The grading contractor shall keep a copy of records for all on-road heavy-duty diesel trucks with a gross vehicle weight rating greater than 14,000 pounds to demonstrate compliance with this requirement, and the records shall be made available to the City or City’s designee for inspection upon request. MM 4.1-3: Prior to grading permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading plans to ensure that notification is included requiring that all construction equipment shall comply with all applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) air quality regulations. Also, the notes shall require that all Project construction contractors must tune and maintain all construction equipment in accordance with the equipment manufacturer’s recommended maintenance schedule and specifications. These requirements also shall be specified in bid documents issued to prospective construction contractors. Maintenance records for all pieces Project Applicant, Grading Contractor Project Applicant, Construction Contractors Project Applicant, Construction Contractors Prior to issuance of grading permits and during grading activities Prior to issuance of grading permits and during grading activities Prior to issuance of grading permits and during construction activities The Landing by San Manuel Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 2 Mitigation Measures Responsible Parties Implementation Stage (to be monitored by the City of San Bernardino) of equipment shall be kept on-site for the duration of construction activities and shall be made available for periodic inspection by City of San Bernardino staff or their designee. MM 4.1-3A: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify a designated area of the construction site where electric or non-diesel vehicles, equipment, and tools can be fueled or charged. The provision of temporary electric infrastructure for such purpose shall be approved by the utility provider, Southern California Edison (SCE). If SCE will not approve the installation of temporary power for this purpose, the establishment of a temporary electric charging area will not be required. If electric equipment will not be used on the construction site because the construction contractor(s) does not have such equipment in its fleet (as specified in Mitigation Measure MM 4.1-3B), the establishment of a temporary electric charging area also will not be required. If electric-powered equipment is in the contractor(s) equipment fleet, and SCE approval is secured, the temporary charging location is required to be established upon issuance of grading permits and building permits. MM 4.1-3B: If electric or non-diesel off-road trucks and construction support equipment, including but not limited to hand tools, forklifts, aerial lifts, materials lifts, hoists, pressure washers, plate compactors, and air compressors are available in the construction contractor’s equipment fleet and can fulfill the Project’s construction requirements during the building construction, paving, and architectural coating phases of Project construction, such equipment shall be used during Project construction. This requirement shall be noted on plans submitted for building permit issuance. MM 4.1-3C: Plans submitted for grading permit issuance and building permit issuance shall specify the locations where anti-idling signs will be located. Signs shall be placed on the construction site where medium and heavy-duty trucks and other heavy equipment will stage, identifying applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include: 1) instructions to shut off engines when equipment is not in use; and 2) instructions to restrict idling to no more than five (5) minutes. MM 4.1-4: The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain legible, durable, weather-proof signs at truck access gates, loading docks, and truck parking areas that identify applicable California Air Resources Board (CARB) anti-idling regulations. At a minimum, each sign shall include instructions for drivers of diesel-fueled trucks to restrict idling to no more than five minutes. The Project developer or successor(s) in interest shall permit City of San Bernardino staff to conduct a site inspection to ensure that the signs are in place and maintained. Project Applicant, Construction Contractors Project Applicant, Construction Contractors Project Applicant, Construction Contractors Project Applicant and Successors in Interest Prior to issuance of grading permit issuance and building permit issuance and during construction activities Prior to building permit issuance and during construction activities Prior to issuance of grading permit issuance and building permit issuance and during construction activities Prior to issuance of occupancy permits and during long-term operations The Landing by San Manuel Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 3 Mitigation Measures Responsible Parties Implementation Stage (to be monitored by the City of San Bernardino) MM 4.1-5: The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain signs and/or painting/striping at on-site driveways and drive aisles to clearly identify the on-site circulation pattern to minimize unnecessary on-site vehicular travel. The Project developer or successor(s) in interest shall permit City of San Bernardino staff to conduct a site inspection to ensure that the signs/painting/striping are in place and maintained. MM 4.1-6: The Project developer and all successors in interest shall provide the City of San Bernardino with an information packet that will be provided to future building occupants that: 1) provides information regarding the grants available from the Carl Moyer Memorial Air Quality Standards Attainment Program for energy efficiency improvement features – including truck modernization, retrofits, and/or aerodynamic kits and low rolling resistance tires – and the resulting benefits to air quality; 2) recommends the use of electric or alternatively-fueled sweepers with HEPA filters; 3) recommends the use of water-based or low VOC cleaning products and 4) for occupants with more than 250 employees, includes information related to SCAQMD Rule 2202, which requires the establishment of a transportation demand management program to reduce employee commute vehicle emissions. MM 4.1-7: The Project developer and all successors in interest shall stipulate in building sale and lease agreements that all indoor and outdoor forklifts and all outdoor cargo-handling equipment (e.g., yard trucks, hostlers, yard goats, pallet jacks, forklifts) shall be electric or non-diesel fueled. MM 4.1-8: The Project developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain a sign in public view with telephone, email, and regular mail contact information for a designated representative of the occupant who would receive complaints about excessive dust, fumes, or odors. The sign shall also identify contact data for the City or SCAQMD for perceived violations. The occupant’s representative shall keep records of any complaints received and actions taken to communicate with the complainant and resolve the complaint. MM 4.1-9: The minimum number of automobile electric vehicle (EV) charging stations required by the California Code of Regulations Title 24 shall be provided. In addition, and to facilitate the possible future installation of infrastructure that would charge the batteries that power the motors of electric-powered trucks, the following shall occur: (1) at Shell building permit, an electrical room(s) and/or exterior area(s) of the site shall be designated where future electrical panels would be located for the purpose of supplying power to on- site charging facilities for electric powered trucks; (2) conduit shall be installed from this designated area where the panel would be located to the southwest corner of the Development Site where the charging facilities would be located and where electric-powered trucks would park and connect to charging facilities. Project Applicant or Successor in Interest/ Project Applicant or Successor in Interest Project Applicant or Successor in Interest Project Applicant, Construction Contractor Project Applicant or Developer Prior to issuance of occupancy permits and during long-term operations Prior to issuance of occupancy permits As a component of building sale and lease agreements and during long-term operations During grading and construction activities As a condition of Shell or Tenant Improvement building permits The Landing by San Manuel Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 4 Mitigation Measures Responsible Parties Implementation Stage (to be monitored by the City of San Bernardino) 4.2 Biological Resources MM 4.2-1: As a condition of tree removal permits, clearing permits, and any other permits that would authorize vegetation removal, the disturbance to and removal of trees and other potential bird nesting habitat shall be prohibited during the migratory bird nesting season (February 1 through September 15) unless a migratory bird nesting survey is completed. If vegetation removal is planned to occur during the migratory bird nesting season (February 1 – September 15), then a migratory bird nesting survey shall be completed in accordance with the following requirements: a) Within three (3) days prior to initiating tree removals and/or vegetation clearing, a nesting bird survey shall be conducted by a qualified biologist within the suitable habitat to be removed and within a 250-foot radius. b) If the survey identifies the presence of active sensitive bird nests, then the nests shall not be disturbed unless the qualified biologist verifies through non-invasive methods that either (i) the adult birds have not begun egg-laying and incubation; or (ii) the juveniles from the occupied nests are capable of independent survival. c) If the biologist is not able to verify any of the conditions from sub-item “b,” above, then no disturbance shall occur within a buffer zone specified by the qualified biologist for each nest or nesting site. The buffer zone shall be species-appropriate (no less than 100-foot radius around the nest for non-raptors and no more than a 500-foot radius around the nest for raptors, or as otherwise determined by the qualified biologist) and shall be sufficient to protect the nest from direct and indirect impacts from construction activities. The nests and buffer zones shall be field checked approximately weekly by a qualified biological monitor. The approved buffer zone shall be marked in the field with construction fencing, within which no vegetation clearing or ground disturbance shall commence until the qualified biologist with City concurrence verify that the nests are no longer occupied and/or juvenile birds can survive independently from the nests. MM 4.2-2: Within between 14 and 30 days prior to ground-disturbing activities (i.e., tree removals, demolition, clearing, grading, etc.), a qualified biologist shall conduct a survey of suitable habitat in the disturbance area and within a 250-foot radius and make a determination regarding the presence or absence of the burrowing owl. The determination shall be documented in a report and shall be submitted to and accepted Project Applicant or Developer, Project Biologist Project Applicant or Developer, Project Biologist Prior to removal of trees during the migratory bird nesting season Within between 14 and 30 days prior to ground- disturbing activities The Landing by San Manuel Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 5 Mitigation Measures Responsible Parties Implementation Stage (to be monitored by the City of San Bernardino) by the City of San Bernardino prior to commencement of ground-disturbing activities. The following provisions shall apply: a) In the event that the pre-construction survey identifies no burrowing owls on the property ground- disturbing activities may commence without restriction. b) In the event that the pre-construction survey identifies the presence of the burrowing owl, then: i. If a site-specific exclusion and translocation plan for burrowing owl has not already been approved by the CDFW, the Project Applicant shall retain a qualified biologist to prepare such a plan for review and approval by the CDFW. This plan will identify the procedures to be followed to exclude and/or translocate burrowing owls from the site, with separate procedures identified for during the breeding season and outside of the breeding season. ii. No ground disturbance (tree removals, demolition, clearing, grubbing, grading) shall occur within 50 meters of occupied burrows during the non-breeding season (September 1 through January 31) or within 75 meters of occupied burrows during the breeding season (February 1 through August 31), until the owls have fledged as confirmed by a qualified biologist or have been relocated per the CDFW-approved exclusion and translocation plan. 4.3 Cultural Resources and 4.6 Tribal Cultural Resources MM 4.3-1: As a condition of grading permit issuance, the construction contractor personnel involved in grading operations shall be trained by a qualified professional historic resources consultant on the visual identification of historic resources. If historic resources are discovered during any earth-moving operations associated with the proposed Project, the construction contractor shall be required to temporarily halt all work within 50 feet of the discovered resource until the professional historic resources consultant is called to the site to evaluate the suspected resource. Any material uncovered and that is determined by the professional historical resources consultant to comprise a historically significant resource shall be curated at a public, non- profit institution with a research interest in the materials, if such an institution agrees to accept the material. If no institution accepts the historic material, they shall be offered to a local school or historical society in the area for educational purposes. MM 4.3-2: As a condition of grading permit issuance, the construction contractor personnel involved in grading operations shall be trained on the visual identification of archaeological resources by a member of the Cultural Resources Management Department for the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians. If archaeological Project Applicant or Developer, Project Historical Resources Consultant Project Applicant or Developer, Project Archaeologist As a condition of grading permit issuance and during ground-disturbing construction activities As a condition of grading permit issuance and during ground-disturbing The Landing by San Manuel Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 6 Mitigation Measures Responsible Parties Implementation Stage (to be monitored by the City of San Bernardino) resources are discovered during any earth-moving operations associated with the proposed Project, the construction contractor shall be required to temporarily halt all work within 50 feet of the discovered resource until a representative of the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and a professional archaeologist are called to the site to evaluate the suspected resource. Should resource evaluation require additional archaeological fieldwork, a Phase II Testing Plan (Plan) shall be created by the archaeologist and be submitted to the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and the City of San Bernardino for review and approval prior to implementation. The Plan shall include non-collection methods, non-destructive analysis methods, and allow for Tribal monitors to be present during testing, if requested by the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians. Further Project-related ground-disturbing activities shall not resume within the area of the discovery until resource evaluation is completed and the appropriate treatment has been implemented, as agreed upon by the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and the City of San Bernardino. If preservation in place is not feasible, the archaeologist shall create a Phase III archaeological data recovery plan to include the removal of the resource(s), with the presence of Tribal monitors (if requested by the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians), and subsequent laboratory processing/analysis to exhaust all data potential. This plan shall be submitted to the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and the City of San Bernardino for review and approval prior to implementation. All collected Native American resources shall be reburied on site as close to the original find location as possible, in an area where the resource will be avoided, capped, or otherwise protected in perpetuity. construction activities 4.4 Greenhouse Gas Emissions MM 4.4-1: Prior to the issuance of a building permit, the Project Applicant or successor in interest shall provide documentation to the City of San Bernardino demonstrating that the Project is designed to meet or exceed CALGreen Tier 2 standards in effect at the time of building permit application and includes the energy efficiency design features listed below at a minimum. a) Preferential parking locations for carpool, vanpool, EVs and CNG vehicles; b) Secure, weather protected bicycle parking; c) Installation of the minimum number of passenger vehicle EV charging stations required by Title 24 and the installation of conduit at a minimum of five (5) percent of the Project’s total number of automobile parking spaces to accommodate the future, optional installation of EV charging infrastructure; d) As part of shell building permit issuance, and subject to the approval of the Federal Aviation Administration for the installation of rooftop solar panels near an airport, the applicant shall be required to install a rooftop photovoltaic (PV) system providing a minimum of 24,000 watts (24 KW) of power per year. The remaining area of the building’s roof shall be designed and constructed to accommodate the Project Applicant or Developer Prior to issuance of a building permit The Landing by San Manuel Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 7 Mitigation Measures Responsible Parties Implementation Stage (to be monitored by the City of San Bernardino) potential, future construction of additional PV solar arrays taking into consideration limitations imposed by other rooftop equipment, roof warranties, building and fire code requirements, and other physical or legal limitations. The building shall be designed to accommodate an electrical system and other infrastructure sufficiently sized to accommodate the potential installation of additional PV arrays in the future; e) The building’s electrical room shall be sufficiently sized to hold additional panels that may be needed in the future to supply power for the future installation of EV truck charging stations on the site. Conduit should be installed from the electrical room to the tractor trailer staging area in the southwestern corner of the site for the purpose of accommodating the future installation of EV truck charging stations at such time this technology becomes commercially available and the building is being served by trucks with electric-powered engines. f) Use of light-colored roofing materials; g) Use of solar or light-emitting diode (LED) fixtures for outdoor lighting; h) All heating, cooling, and lighting devices and appliances shall be Energy Star certified; and i) All fixtures installed in restrooms and employee break areas shall be U.S. EPA Certified WaterSense or equivalent. MM 4.4-2: Prior to the issuance of a building permit warehouse building space that contains refrigerated or freezer storage, an electrical hookup shall be provided at all loading dock doors that are designated for the loading/unloading of trailers holding refrigerated/frozen goods, for the purpose of plugging the refrigeration units installed on such trailers into the building’s electrical system. If refrigerated/freezer warehouse space is not proposed, electrical hookups at dock doors will not be required. Project Applicant or Developer Prior to issuance of a building permit 4.5 Transportation MM 4.8-1: Prior to grading and building permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review grading and building plans to ensure that notes are included on the plans requiring the following. The City or its designee also shall be responsible for monitoring and enforcement of adherence to these notes.  The construction contractor shall ensure that the Development Site’s frontage with 3rd Street is swept at least twice per day using SCAQMD Rule 1186 certified street sweepers during grading and paving operations, and shall sweep the 3rd Street frontage more frequently during grading and paving operations if visible soil materials or debris are carried onto the roadway, including in the bicycle lane. Project Applicant or Developer, Construction Contractors Prior to grading and building permit issuance and during construction activities The Landing by San Manuel Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Lead Agency: City of San Bernardino SCH No. 2020100067 Page 8 Mitigation Measures Responsible Parties Implementation Stage (to be monitored by the City of San Bernardino)  The construction contractor shall adhere to a traffic control plan approved by the City of San Bernardino, including but not limited to all requirements in the plan addressing vehicular, pedestrian, and bicycle safety. MM 4.8-2: As part of street improvement plans for the 3rd Street and Victoria Avenue intersection and with concurrence of the City of Highland, the developer shall be required to enhance the intersection pavement markings to demark bike lane crossings across 3rd Street at the intersection. MM 4.8-3: Prior to building permit issuance, the City of San Bernardino shall review building plans to ensure that specifications are noted to install painted crosswalks or enhanced paving materials denoting the pedestrian and bicycle lane crossings across the Project’s driveways connecting with 3rd Street. The markings are required to be bold enough to be noticeable by truck drivers, for the purpose of visually alerting drivers that pedestrians and bicyclists could be crossing the driveways. The City shall verify that the markings are installed prior to the issuance of an occupancy permit. MM 4.8-4: The developer and all successors in interest shall install and maintain signs at the Project driveway exits connecting with 3rd Street at heights visible to truck drivers that state, “CAUTION, PEDESTRIAN AND BICYCLE CROSSINGS AHEAD.” The City shall verify installation of the signs prior to the issuance of an occupancy permit and require as a condition of the occupancy permit that the signs be maintained in legible condition. Project Applicant or Developer Project Applicant or Developer Project Applicant or Developer Prior to approval of street improvement plans (Monitoring also will be conducted by the City of Highland) Prior to building permit issuance and prior to occupancy permit. Prior to building permit issuance and prior to occupancy permit. Legend C Project Site Boundary City of San Bernardino General Plan Land Use Designations Commercial - Commercial General (CG-1) Multi-Family Residential - Residential Medium (RM) Specific Plan Alliance California Specific Plan Public/Quasi-Public Source(s): City of Son Bernardino /2005), Neormop Imagery /2020), SB County /2019) San Manuel Industrial Park Proposed General Plan Amendment Job Number: 1032-001 Date: June 2020