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Home My WebLink About56-City County Conference r J City County Conference "Going Green" Lake Arrowhead, CA March 20-21, 2008 Councilman Rikke Van Johnson Speaker: Market Trends ❖ Kevin Palmer, Moderator, Director of Economic Development, County of S.B. ❖ Steven Johnson, Metro Study Group, Residential Real Estate ❖ Brad Umansky, Progressive Real Estate Partners, Retail Real Estate ❖ Mike McCrary, Colliers Commercial, Industrial Real Estate Reasons for success of the Inland Empire: A.) Regional location B.) Available land C.) Existing transportation ❖ Vindar Batoosingh, CBRE Commercial Real Estate, Office Real Estate San Bernardino County Update ❖ Paul Biane, Chairman, Board of Supervisors, County of San Bernardino ❖ Mark Uffer, County Administrative Officer, County of San Bernardino 4.2 Billion County revenue 7.2 million Economic development Board very committed to downtown San Bernardino Transportation/Mobility Update ❖ Deborah Barmack, Executive Director, San Bernardino Associated Government Top Ten Reasons to have SANBAG 10.) SANBAG rescues stranded motorist 9.) With Metrolink there are no worries 8.) We're tired of waiting at rail road crossings 7.) Our residents use transit 6.) SANBAG helps you share your ride 5.) Cars are stopped on the freeway at clogged interchanges 4.) Free flowing traffic creates fewer emissions 3.) There is even more relief ahead 2.) SANBAG provides call box service 1.) We're more successful than ever 1 ��69 ❖ Hasan Ikhrata, Executive Director, Southern California Association of Governments County Members: Imperial, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino and Ventura Population: 2000 — 16.8 million, 2030 — 22.9 million Freight will go through San Bernardino County so we must prepare for it. Panel Discussions: What "Green" Means to your Community ❖ Rick Herrick, Moderator, Mayor, Big Bear Lake ❖ State Perspective: Cynthia Bryant, Deputy Chief of Staff, Office of the Governor, - AB 32: Global Warming Solutions Act AB 32 requires the California Air Resources Board (CARB) to develop regulations and market mechanisms that will ultimately reduce California's greenhouse gas emissions by 25 percent by 2020. Mandatory caps will begin in 2012 for significant sources and ratchet down to meet the 2020 goals. In the interim, CARB will begin to measure the greenhouse gas emissions of the industries it determines as significant sources of greenhouse gas emissions. The bill also provides the Governor the ability to invoke a safety valve and suspend the emissions caps for up to one year in the case of an emergency or significant economic harm. 4 step process to a Green Community 1.) State Preparation 2.) Providing the Structure 3.) Setting the Targets 4.) Measuring Progress ❖ County Perspective: Scott Van Horn, Field Representative for Paul Biane, - General Plan Compliance ❖ City Perspective: Debbie Cook, Mayor, Huntington Beach Energy Audit — determining where all city employees live Energy Efficient Partnerships —working with neighboring cities to maximize energy cost and usage Article in Transit California, "Are We Nearing Peak Oil Production" *Copy available upon request 2 ❖ Regional Perspective: Daniel Cozard, Program Director, Green Valley Initiative GREEN VALLEY INITIATIVE The Vision The Inland Empire will be the center of Green Technologies with Balanced Economic and Community Development. Green Valley Mission Statement Transform Riverside and San Bernardino counties into a region that integrates people and businesses with natural resources to create new jobs, greater opportunities and higher quality-of-life. Summary A movement is underway to bring green technologies and sustainable practices to the Inland Empire. This will reduce the region's long commutes, under-utilized resources and non-cohesive business and land-use practices to transform Riverside and San Bernardino counties into a place where sustainable economic development and quality of life go hand-in-hand. This movement is known as the Green Valley Initiative, a plan that integrates social, economic and environmental forces to bring new jobs, greater opportunities and a higher quality of life to the region. Why GVI is Important Riverside and San Bernardino counties are expected to grow by 2 million new residents in the next 15 years. Without the jobs to employ them, the region's already strained infrastructure will be pushed past the breaking point. A quality of life balance between jobs, housing and environment is paramount to a sustainable future. GVI will provide the region with a clear brand, a cohesive quality of life focus and a sustainable economy. Who is Involved Stakeholders include representatives from area city, tribal and county governments and agencies, universities, school districts, utilities, business, cultural and environmental groups, the media and the community. Top 10 Reasons why the Inland Empire is the Ideal Spot for a Green Valley 1. Unprecedented growth More than 2 million new residents will arrive in the Inland Empire within the next 15 years. As a result, the IE will maintain its role as the fastest growing region in the state in terms of job and population expansion. 3 i r 2. Wealth of Land Availability The Inland Empire region has the capacity to build more than 30 million square feet of Class A office space and according to the 2007 Inland Empire Regional Outlook Conference the area has 361 million square feet of industrial space, of which approximately 310 million (85.8%) is warehouse and distribution. 3. Sophisticated Infrastructure The Inland Empire boasts five local and international airports, four major railroad systems and 10 interstates and highways with access to the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles. This positions the region as a critical player in the goods-movement infrastructure. 4. Unparalled Educational Resources The region has over 40 colleges, universities, private training schools and institutes. Many of these institutions maintain strong focus in the applied sciences, engineering, business and entrepreneurial studies and medicine. More than 400,000 degreed workers presently live in the region with an additional 222,000 expected by 2020. 5. Concern for Conservation Residents of the Inland Empire are motivated to conserve. Nine out of ten recycle and one-third actively conserve water. There is a prevailing sentiment that government should take the lead in providing incentives for businesses to adopt environmentally- friendly technology. 6. Established Industries Several leading-high tech companies are located within the region including Kramer Junction's solar farms in Barstow, Heliostate's thermal electric farm, Palm Spring's wind farms, Phoenix Motorcars' electric car company and many more. 7. International Interest in Green Technologies According to the December 2007 poll by the National Venture Capital Association, over 80 percent of venture capitalists believe that in 2008 firms involved in CleanTech will attract a greater share of VC funds, both domestically and internationally. 8. Ideal Climate The Inland Empire's climate is well suited for renewable energy production with over 270 days of sunshine and consistent wind patterns. 4 3 i 9. Built-in Market Demand Residents of the Inland Empire are willing to support businesses working to be environmentally-friendly. In a recent regional survey, 90 percent of respondents indicated being more inclined to purchase from companies that had an environmentally supportive vision. They also indicated willingness to pay a premium price to support these businesses. 10. Overwhelming Environmental Need Inland Empire residents face some of the longest commute times in the country adding to the region's air quality concerns. This indicates a clear need for professional and skilled-labor positions within the region. According to the American Lung Association, the Inland Empire is at the top of list of most air polluted regions. League of California Cities Update ❖ Scott Nassif, Councilmember, Apple Valley; President, Desert-Mountain Division ❖ Larry McCallon, Councilmember, Highland; President, Inland Empire Division Panel Discussions: Building Green ❖ Bob Christman, Moderator, Mayor, Loma Linda ❖ Roger Torriero, CEO & Founder, Griffin Structures — LEEDS Process Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design Presentation online at www.griffinholdings.net ❖ Randall Lewis, Executive Vice President, Lewis Operating Corporation — Creative Strategies for Green Community Development 1.) Different strategy for each City 2.) Really strong Council/staff buy-in 3.) Brand your community 4.) Look for demonstration projects/awards 5.) Have to think about compact development 6.) Is architecture resource efficient? 7.) Work with the schools and faith based organizations 8.) Take advantage of resources in the area (Edison, water, etc.) 9.) Learn from what already has been done (BIA, County, etc.) ❖ Mark Kinsey, General Manager, Monte Vista Water District — Going Green? Try Recycled Water ❖ Dennis Halloway, City Manager, Loma Linda — Building Green, Public Building 5 i d Guest Speaker ❖ Gordon Graham, Humorist — Let's Make San Bernardino County a High Reliability Organization "Seven Rules of Admiral Rickover " Or "How to Create a High Reliability Organization" Admiral Hyman Rickover, Father of the Nuclear Navy Rule 1: You must have a rising standard of quality over time, and well beyond what is required by any minimum standard. (Continuous improvement) Rule 2: People running systems should be highly capable. (Hire quality people) Rule 3: Supervisors have to face bad news when it comes, and take problems to a level high enough to fix those problems. (Solid supervision, supervisors behaving like supervisors) Rule 4: You must have a healthy respect for the dangers and risks of your particular job. (Healthy respect for Risk Management) Rule 5: Training must be constant and rigorous. Rule 6: All the functions of repair, quality control and technical support must fit together. (Audits, audits, audits) Rule 7: The organization and members thereof must have the ability and willingness to learn from mistakes of the past. Analysis of past data is the foundation for all of risk management. Here are three basic rules of Risk Management. 1.) There are no new ways to get in trouble. 2.) There are better ways to stay out of trouble. 3.) Things that go wrong in life are predictable and Predictable is preventable. If you work together you can truly create `high reliability organizations' that will maximize the safety of and service to your citizens. Breakfast with 5 t District Supervisor Josie Gonzales Talking points: Commitment to downtown San Bernardino; Route 66/Cajon Blvd; Muscoy; Operation Phoenix — Eastern Area; State St/University Parkway; Delmann Heights Report from San Bernardino County Legislative Delegation ❖ Jim Brulte, Moderator, California Strategies, LLC ❖ Honorable Jerry Lewis, U.S. Representative, - 41St Congressional District ❖ Honorable Bob Dutton, Senator— 31St District ❖ Honorable Wilmer Amina Carter, Assemblywoman — 62nd District ❖ Honorable Paul Cook, Assemblyman — 65th District ❖ Honorable Bill Emerson, Assemblyman — 63rd District 6 OCTA MEE TING CARB EMISSION REQUIREMENTS WITH CNG C A L I F O R N I A CALIFORNIA TRANSIT ASSOCIATION MARCH/APRIL 2008 t r M Are We Nearing }, Peak Oil Production? f r t ; t' �r t 7 ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................I............. Are We Nearing ea kOil Production? BY DEBBIE COOK ......................................................... Mayor,City of Huntington Beach ore to all U.S.transportation planning is the assumption that oil will always be aban dant and cheap.This premise continues to dominate every regional transportation plan in the country and drives our auto-centric development patterns. But what if this assumption is wrong?What if we are near the peak of world oil production? It then follows that our assumptions on construction costs, gas tax revenues,travel and aviation demand, mode choice, and growth patterns are also wrong. It would mean that our fossil fuel-based energy future is in jeopardy and that we are not prepared. On January 22, the Chief Executive of not only returned to normal, but also GLOBAL WARNING Shell, Joroen van der Veer, released a expanded further.Oil prices hit bottom. As a frog is apt to stay in a pot of sobering letter to his colleagues. In it Economies around the world revved up water when the temperature is slowly he added his name to the growing list with cheap oil and globalization.World increased, neither do the warning signs of energy experts warning that world per capita energy consumption shot of 2007 appear to be calling Americans demand for oil and gas will soon outstrip upward, including the United States. to action.A few of the signs include civil supply. This is more than an alarming Ignoring those earlier warnings,the U.S. unrest in Asia and Africa due to rising message;it is a sticky idea.It is"peakoil" became more dependent upon foreign fuel and food prices; region-wide power —the point when the rate of oil extraction oil to make up for its own declining outages in China, India,Argentina,and hits its zenith. production.Today, foreign oil accounts for 60 percent of our needs, and U.S. South Africa and gasoline rationing in EVER-GROWING ENERGY Iran. So far, these are problems 'over CONSUMPTION demand, driven by transportation, has there." The assumption is that 'over not yet been curbed with high prices. here" markets will respond gradually, Since 1956 when Shell geologist M. Figure ltracksworld per capita energy logically, peacefully, and without the King Hubbert first predicted a 1970 consumption over the last 25 years.The need for government interference. The U.S. peak in production, governments, data source is the Energy Information battle cry from the Wall Street crowd oil companies, and the mainstream Administration(EIA),which was created proclaims all that is needed is more media have refuted the notion of an oil by Congress in 1977,and is a statistical access, more investment, and more peak by delivering a message of plenty, agency of the U.S. Department of efficiency.Unfortunately,time is running of technological solutions, of markets Energy. It illustrates that despite higher short on heeding a number of alarming, overcoming shortages. Except for a few energy prices, efficiency measures, or irrefutable trends coming from the oil minor hiccups, they have delivered. advancing technology, global per capita patch. The supply disruptions resulting from energy consumption is growing at an the 1973 Arab oil embargo, the 1979 alarming rate.Figure 2offers a view of WORLD OIL PRODUCTION Iranian Revolution, and the 1990 Gulf consumption vs. production from 1949 STAGNATES War were short lived and man-made. to 2006. Note here the ever-growing World oil production has been flat for Caution-induced efficiency programs demand for imported oil. 32 months. Figure 3 shows world oil were thrown to the wind when supplies 2 California Transit Association•March/April 2008 ......... production stagnation. Despite the OIL DISCOVERIES PEAK is now consuming 31 billion barrels per repeated urgings by U.S. officials to year but finding only seven or eight. increase production,OPEC continues to World oil discoveries peaked in rebuff demondction,OPEC Cott nues t world the 1960s. Despite the celebratory an DIMINISHING EXPORT CAPACITY is well supplied.Meanwhile,the price of nouncements of new deepwater oil fields,these discoveries tend to be small Net exports from the world's largest oil hit an all-time-high of$100 per barrel oil producers will decline as their own on January 2. and technically challenging to produce. y The Association for the Study of Peak internal consumption by a burgeoning OIL REGIONS IN DECLINE Oil and Gas (ASPO),which started as a population grows. Figure 5 illustrates European network of scientists and oth the growing consumption within Saudi An increasing number of oil regions ers and is now worldwide, reports that Arabia. The country's rapid population have now passed their peak production world oil discoveries have been declin growth is placing increasing pressure rates and are settling into irreversible de ing since 1964 (See figure#The world on social sectors. With 40 percent of cline. The inscrutable pronouncements regarding the application of technology to boost production has never been dem onstrated to reverse the overall dow-n ward trend of oil fields. According to Figuie 1. CIBC World Markets Chief Economist World Per Capital Energy Consumption and Strategist Jeff Rubin,the 4.3 million barrelsper day that will come into pro 74.0------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------- ----------------- duction this year will be offset by nearly N 72.0 --- ------------------------------------------------------ --------- 3.6 million barrels lost through annual :D 70.0------------------------------------------------------------------ -- ---------------------------------------- depletion.This means that as depletion m 68.0---------- ------ ------- --- -------------------------.--- grows, it will be increasingly difficult to C 66.0 ------ -- -- -------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 64.0---- ------------- -------- --- ---- 62.0--- ------------------------- ------------- ------- ---- -------------------------- ------------ ---------------- --------- 60.0----- ---- ------------------------------- -------- --- -------------- --- - - ----------------- -------- ------------ -------- - Rece ntlythe 58.0----- -------------------- ------------- -------- ---- --------- --- ------------- ----------- -------- --- 0 - --------------- -------- ---- ------------ -------------- ------------56. - - Chief Executive of Shell, 54.0 i i 00 .-+ N 00 00 00 c0 OD 00 00 O 0) N 01 V 0) t0 r 00 0) O 0 N M V �(1 Joroen van der Veer, 0) � � °° °° °° � � � � � � � mmm � � � � 000000 N added his name to the growing list of energy experts warning Figuie 2. that world demand for U.S. Consumption/ Production and Net Imports oil and gas will soon 25 ----- - -------- - ----- ---------- - - outstrip supply. 20 0 n 15 bring on new projects to compensate. S Consumption In a review of nearly 200 new oil prof- i Production ects slated to start production in the next m 10 ------ five years, Rubin found that project de o lays and cost overruns are now the rule rather than the exception in the indus 5 - - - ------- try. Collectively, these delays coupled Net imports with increasingly rapid depletion will 0 _- result in a net supply increase of only 3 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 million barrels per day by 2012 versus the 10 million barrels per day projected Figure 1,&2.Source:EIA by the International Energy Agency. Transit California•March/April 2008 3 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. Saudi Arabia's population under age 15 coupled with the expectation that the Figure 3. government will grant women the right World 011 Production Stagnates to drive cars by the end of 2008, Saudi Arabia's internal requirements will only T 76000 , - P projected a� - -- row.Within Russia,Mexico,and OPEC, _-.- 9 0 74000 _1 f consumption is ro�ected to rise from 13 million barrels per day to 16 million bar- V)° 72000 rels per day b 2012. This soaring inter ------------------ -------- ------------ P Y Y g 70000 - nal consumption will cannibalize export m 68000 capacity and lace even higher demand on P Y P - - - ---------------------- - - -------------- ------' - ------------ Economic available Cooperation and Organization Developr ss000 --- -------------------- ment(OECD) nations. ~ 62000 ;, -- ',: ,': RESPONDING TO THE CHALLENGE — N N 8 N 8 8 All of these trends ensure that oil markets will continue to be tight and oil prices high. How high is a matter of speculation. But a growing chorus of Figure 4, industry experts has predicted a sharp Oil Discoveries Fall spike by the fourth quarter of 2008. Averting the economic and social 500 consequences of declining fossil fuel 450 resources and budget-gutting energy N 400 --------------- -------- ------------------------------------ prices is the role of government — a� 350 ---------------- - - -- - especial especially at the federal level where policy m 300 - - - --— - ------------------------------- sets the framework and tone for state and c 250 ---------------------- --------------------------- ------------------ local governments. Public expectation o zoo ----------- - - - ---- -- --- - ---- -------------------- --------------------- is that government will be prepared to m 100 ---- _____--._________-_-__--------- mitigate against,plan for,respond to,and 50 --------------------------------- recover from a full range of emergencies. 0 Why not peak oil?This is one emergency 1900s 1910s 19205 19305 1940s 19505 1960s 1970s 1980s 19905 where early actions improve mobility, air quality, land use utilization, national security,and the economy. The Southern California Association Figure 5, of Governments is one of the few Saudia Arabia Exports Decline Metropolitan Planning Organizations in the nation that have incorporated 12 a discussion of peak oil in both its Regional Transportation Plan and ° to - -- Regional Comprehensive Plan. While no a cn 8 - - - —W of depleting oil supplies, it will become 8 s 00 Production to avoid planning and implementing o 4 meaningful peak oil strategies if agencies c and policymakers begin to question the _0— z Reprinted 2008 with permission of the Q 0 P P O N M V CO <D n W � o N M R 0) 0) n CO W a) 8 0 8 8 8 8 8 California Transit Association.All rights � 00 m � m o m m m � � r. � reserved. Figure 3.Source:EIA / Figure 4.Source:ASPO / Figure 5.Source:EIA 4 California Transit Association-Marc h/Apri1 2008