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HomeMy WebLinkAbout32-Development Services . f. CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO - REQUEST FOR COUNCIL ACTION Date: June 26, 2001 ORI"'" ~L Vi' j In Subject: Development Pennit Type II No, 01-05 - Appeal of approval ofa 155,917 square foot commercial use located northwest of University Parkway and Hallmark Parkway in the UBP-2, University Business Park land use district. . 1 From: James Funk, Director Oept: Development Services MCC Date: July 9, 2001 Synopsis of Previous Council Action: None Recommended Motion: That the Public Hearing be closed and the Mayor and Common Council uphold the Planning Commission's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program and approval of Development Pennit II No, 01-05 based on the Findings of Fact in Development Code 919.44.060, subject to the Conditions of Approval and Standard Requirements. v~~~~~tw;rr: Contact person: Valerie C. Ross Phone: 384,5057 Snpporting data attached: Staff Report Ward: 6 FUNDING REQUIREMENTS: Amount: N/A Source: (Acct. No,) (Acct. Description) Finance: Council Notes: Agenda Item No. 7 '--Wu- 3~ v, CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO - REQUEST FOR COUNCIL ACTION ST AFF REPORT SUBJECT: Appeal of the Planning Commissions' approval of Development Permit Type II No. 01-05 - A request to establish a 155,917 square foot commercial retail store with ancillary gasoline sales, Mayor and Common Council meeting of July 9, 2001 Applicant: Harold Garcelon Hallmark & Foreman 1152 N. Mountain Avenue Upland, CA 91786-3669 909.982.7777 Appellant: Carol Gold 6715 N. Miners Court San Bernardino, CA 92407 800.622.0641 BACKGROUND: Development Permit Type II No. 01-05 is a request to construct a Wal-Mart on vacant land located northwest of University Parkway and Hallmark Parkway in the UBP-2, University Business Park land use district. On April 26, 2001, the Development/Environmental Review Committee (D/ERe) adopted the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program and approved Development Permit II No. 01-05. Kathleen Franks appealed the D/ERC's approval. Ms. Franks' attorney, Raymond Johnson, submitted a letter dated May 29, 2001 raising issues regarding traffic and circulation. The appeal was scheduled for consideration by the Planning Commission on June 5, 2001. At the meeting, Jennifer Buckman, from the law firm of Best, Best & Kreiger, submitted a letter on behalf of Kathleen Franks and addressed the points contained within it (Exhibit 3). The Planning Commission considered the comments from Ms, Buckman the verbal and written responses by Mr. Dodson (Exhibit 4), and concluded that the D/ERC's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program and approval of Development Permit II No, 01-05 were consistent with the California Environmental Quality Act and the requirements of the City's General Plan and Development Code. The Planning Commission upheld the D/ERC's approval of the project on an 8 to 0 vote. Commissioners present were Deny, Durr, Enciso, Garcia, Lockett, Ramirez, Sauerbrun, and Thrasher. Commissioners absent were Welch. Kathleen Franks did not appeal the determination of the Planning Commission. However, the Planning Commission's approval of Development Permit II No. 01-05 and the Mitigated Negative Declaration, were appealed by Carol Gold who had not previously been involved with the project. Ms. Gold's grounds for appeal are included in Exhibit 5. Andrew Kahn from the law firm of Davis, Cowell & Bowe is representing Ms. Gold. . The Planning Commission staff report (Exhibit 2) contains a complete discussion of the project. The project applicant hired a certified court reporter to transcribe the proceedings of the Planning Commission meeting (Exhibit 6), A summary of the key points and staffs responses are included in Exhibit7. It is staffs position that all of the potential environmental issues were adequately addressed in the Initial Study and the DevelopmentJEnvironmental Review Committee's and Planning Commission's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation MonitoringlReporting Program and approval of Development Permit II No, 01-0S were consistent with the California Environmental Quality Act and the requirements of the City's General Plan and Development Code. FINANCIAL IMPACT: None. The applicant paid the Development Permit processing fees and the appellant paid the appeal fee. RECOMMENDATION: Staff recommends that Mayor and Common Council uphold the Planning Commission's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program and approval of Development Permit II No. 01-0S based on the Findings of Fact in Development Code 919.44.060, subject to the Conditions of Approval and Standard Requirements. Exhibits: I 2 Location Map Planning Commission StaffReport* Attachment I Location Map Attachment 2 Development/Environmental Review Committee Approval Letter Attachment A Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program Attachment B Conditions of Approval and Standard Requirements Exhibit A Site Plan Exhibit B Elevations Exhibit C Landscape Plan Requirements Attachment 3 Initial Study Attachment 4 Initial Study Comments and Responses Attachment S PC Appeal Application Attachment 6 Letter from Raymond Johnson Best, Best & Kreiger letter dated June S, 2001 * Tom Dodson letter dated June S, 2001 * MCC Appeal Application Transcript of June S, 2001 Planning Commission meeting* Summary ofIssues and Responses 3 4 S 6 7 * Distributed under separate cover, June 28, 2001 EXHIBIT 1 CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PROJECT: DP II NO. 01-05 PLANNING DIVISION LOCATION MAP LAND USE DISTRICTS HEARING DATE: 7/9/01 u NORTH \1., I I I l IT Planning Commission Staff Report Best, Best & Kreiger letter dated June 5, 2001 Tom Dodson & Associates letter dated June 4, 2001 Transcript of Jnne 5, 2001 Planning Commission Meeting Distributed under separate cover June 28, 2001 - EXHIBIT 2 EXHIBIT 3 EXHIBIT 4 EXHIBIT 6 .., City of SilIl Benltlraillo DcwloYlllellt Services D~ptlrtlJlCllt ~ Application for Appeal i , EXHIBIT 5 APPEAL FROM A DECISION OF THE (check one) o Development Services Director; o DevelopmentfEnvironmental Review Committee; or IJ. Planning Commission Case number(s): Deve lopment Permit II No. 01 - 0 5 Project address: NW Corner McArthur Blvd. & Hallmark Parkway Appellant's name: Carol Gold Appellant's address: 6715 N. Miners Ct.. San Bernardino. CA Appellant's phone: 800-622-0641 q~1VI Contact person's name: Andrew J. Kahn. Esa. Contactpersol1'saddress: Davis, Cowell & Bowe. LLP, 100 Van Ness Ave. ,20th Fl. . San Francisco, CA 94102 Contact person's phone:_ ,8110-622-~64 1 - Pursuanlto Section 19.52.100 of the Development Code, an appeal must be filed on a City application fonn within 15 days following the final date of action, accompanied by the appropriate appeal filing fee. Appeals are normally scheduled for a determination by the Planning Commission or Mayor and Common Council within 30 days of the filing date oCthe appeal. You will be notified, in wriling, of the specific dale and time of the appeal hearing. OFFICE IISr.; ONLY Date appeal fih~d: ~ / I "1/ ~/. Received by: b> ~ I~.. j.b [lli~~~OW~IDJ JUN 1 9 2001 CITY Of SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT 511101 ~ ~., __, __ _._ __'_~ _no. _ .._ ___ _ _ _. '" ~UN-ls-el 16.44 FRDM: 10. PAce 3/7 REQUIRED INFORMATION FOR AN APPEAL Specific acrion being appealed and the date of thaI action: Planninq Commission' s approval of development permit No. 01-05 and mitigated negative .'. - .-..... . declaration of 6/5/01. Specific grail Appellan is .thj.s. proj ect. . letters from Best, Best & Krieger Also, the traffic study underestimates traffic. impact hence mitiqation will not be sufficient--ITE engineers published a study showing prior estimates of trip generation rates significantly underestimate impact of such stores. Action sought: Revpr~p t=lipprnu....' .::tnn rat'Jn;rt:l RT'R" At- ~ m;nimnm rnntinlJo the matter to obtain further environmental analysis. Additional informalion: This project threatens bliqhtinq of existinq retail stores, in addition to the other detrimental impacts. At a minimum the store should be downsized to reduce its impacts. Signalllte of appellant: C JJ... ,\.,y{ 9. ~~ . U ' (;, ../ti. 01 Dale: 2 SIIIIII - CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES RECEIPT I Activity#:AP01-04 Appeal SITE ADDRESS: RECEIVED FROM: RECEIPT NUMBER: 6715 N MINERS CT SB PARCEL: 0261-481-16-0000 R01002454 Copy Reprinted on 06-19-2001 at 14:43:19 TRANSACTION DATE: 06/19/2001 TOTAL PAYMENT: TOTAL PAID FROM TRUST: TOTAL PAID FROM CURRENCY: 138.00 .00 138.00 TRANSACTIONS: Type Method Description Amount Payment Check 9463 138.00 TOTAL: 138.00 ACCOUNT ITEMS: Description Account Code Current Prnts APPEAL TO MCC OR PC 001-000-4710 TOTAL: 138.00 138.00 RECEIPT ISSUED BY: GMB ENTERED DATE: 06/19/2001 INITIALS: GMB TIME: 02:42 PM ''1 SUMMARY OF ISSUES AND RESPONSES JUNE 26. 2001 EXHIBIT 7 Specific Environmental Issues Raised in Response Appeal, Dated June 19, 2001 1. Traffic. Whether the Project will cause: A . A detailed 50-page Traffic Study analyzed substantial increase in traffic above existing potential increases in traffic compared to the traffic loads/street system capacity, a substantial existing traffic load and street system capacity. 1I1crease 111 hazards due to design . Conclusions of Traffic Study: feature/incompatible uses or an individual or cumulative increase in level of service standard (1) During constmction - the Project would established by County Congestion Management have a less than significant impact on local Agency. traffic volume because of the limited number of trips associated with construction. (2) During operation - the Project would 1I1crease congestion at several intersections without mitigation. With mitigation, the Project would result in a less than significant impact on traffic. Per agreement from the applicant, one mitigation measure required in 2010 will be implemented prior to occupancy, i.e., restriping University Avenue for the Southbound 1-215 onramp. . Traffic Study considered cumulative impacts from two projects and put a cumulative background factor into the traffic analysis for the year 2010 analysis. . The Traffic Study for this Project does not reqlllre compliance with the Congestion Management Plan standards because the threshold for retail uses is 1,000 peak hour trips and the Project is below that threshold. . CEQA does not require analysis of economic or social impacts of a project. Pursuant to the CEQA Guideline, anticipated economic or social changes of a project may be traced through a cause/effect analysis to physical changes caused by such economic/social impacts wherc necessary, 2, Blighting of Existing Retail Stores. . No such tracing of potential impacts is necessary here as there is no evidence that the proposed project will have such economic/social impacts leading to or causing physical changes. SUMMARY OF TRANSCRIPT OF PROCEEDINGS CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PLANNING COMMISSION JUNE 5. 2001 1. General Environmentallssnes Raised by Incorporation of Letters from BB&K Noise. Whether the Project will generate: . Noise levels exceeding General Plan standards, excessIve groundbome vibration, substantial . increase in ambient noise in the Project vicinity above levels without Project. 2. Biological Resources. Whether the Project will . have a potentially significant impact on: candidate, sensitive or special status species; migratory fish or wildlife movements; federally . protected wetlands; or a sensitive natural community. 3. Air Oualitv. Whether the Project will conflict . with the applicable air quality plan; violate any air quality standard or contribute substantially . to existing/proposed air quality violations; or result III a cumulatively considerable net increase of any criteria for which project region is in non-attainment under federal or state air quality standards. Response The General Plan designates noise adjacent to Interstate 215 Freeway at 75 to 80 decibels. The Freeway creates background noise that is higher than the construction phase of the Project, which has higher noise levels from construction equipment than do operations. . The nearest sensitive nOIse receptor to the Project is located Yo. mile away and the Interstate 215 Freeway is located between the Project and the nearest residences, The Project is not located within a Biological Resources Management Overlay under the City's General Plan. The Project site has previously been prepared for commercial development and 15 compacted, graded and currently plowed. . No native vegetation is located on the Project site. A site specific Air Quality Study was prepared by Parsons Engineering Science, Inc, Construction scenario: Short-term air emissions from the Project are not forecast to exceed South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD) thresholds with or without mitigation. However, mitigation measures will be implemented to ensure that fugitive dust does not rise to a significant level during construction. . All Project operations emissions are below the SCAQMD thresholds except carbon monoxide (CO), which is only slightly above the threshold. . However, SCAQMD thresholds for CO were developed to advise local Agency's III their decision making responsibilities. SCAQMD thresholds are not determinative of the existence of a significant environmental impact. . The City has discretion to find an impact less than significant, even for large new proj ects, particularlv when the Proiect utilizes an existing 2 SUMMARY OF TRANSCRIPT OF PROCEEDINGS CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PLANNING COMMISSION JUNE 5. 2001 General Environmental Issues Raised by Incorporation of Letters from BB&K 4. Land Use and Planning Analvsis, Whether the . Project will physically divide an established community or conflict with an applicable Habitat Conservation Plan/Natural Community . Conservation Plan. 5. Ponulation and Housing. Whether the 241 new . jobs will be filled by local residents, as opposed to commuters and whether these potential growth new jobs will have a potential growth inducing impacts. Additional demand for . housing, parks, and related servIces due to creation of241 new jobs. Response developing area and will substantially enhance the commercial and business community, . The Initial Study concludes that the Project fully conforms and implements the principal concepts contained III the SCAQMD Air Quality Management Plan and the Southern California Association of Government's (SCAG) Regional Comprehensive Planning Guide. . The Initial Study incorporates the air quality analysis prepared by Parsons which verifies that San Bernardino IS III attainment for CO emiSSIons. The Initial Study and the Parsons Air Quality Analysis indicate that background concentrations for the San Bernardino area indicate a continued downward trend in CO emissions due to the reduction in mobile source CO emissions in the future due to new technology, justifying a finding of no significant impact. This Project will not divide the community. The Project Site is located next to the Interstate 215 Freeway, which already divides the community. The Project is an in-fill development, adjacent to industrial uses on the north and west and commercial uses on the south. The Initial Study concluded that jobs generated by the Project would not require specialized education or create the need to import skilled labor from outside the area. The new jobs will have an average salary of $7 to $10 per hour, making them uneconomical for commuters. Therefore, it IS reasonable to assume that the jobs will be filled by local residents. . The Project will not have significant growth inducing impacts because 241 jobs in an area such as the City of San Bernardino (which has nearly 200,000 residents) does not amount to a significant proportion of new jobs. . 3 SUMMARY OF TRANSCRIPT OF PROCEEDINGS CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PLANNING COMMISSION JUNE 5. 2001 General Environmental Issues Raised by Incorporation of Letters from BB&K 6. Earth Resources. Whether the Project will . expose people/structures to: Risk of loss/injury/death resulting from the rupture of a known fault; strong seismic ground-shaking; or seismic-related ground failure due to the fact that the Project is located one mile southwest of San Andreas Fault's Alquist-Priolo Zone and Y, mile northeast of Glen Helen/Lorna Linda Fault Special Studies Zone 7, Water. Whether the Project will decrease . groundwater recharge; or violate the City's waste discharge requirements; and whether the Project will violate any water quality standards and whether the mitigation measure to control potential contamination from the gas station ("spills") and automotive work base includes specific performance standards. Response . Project is an in-fill development providing jobs for local residents with no extension of services and no leap-frog development. Therefore, the demand for housing, parks and related services will be less than significant. . James Funk advised the Planning Commission of an agreement to work with the City and Wal- Mart to set a goal of 70% first time hires for San Bernardino residents for this Wal-Mart store. Initial Study's Earth Resources Analysis indicates major faults with a potential of producing major seIsmiC events m an undetermined fault location north of the Project area. Mitigation Required: Before issuance of building permit, the City shall review/approve a geo- technical investigation of the site prepared by a geotechnical professional, which will identify specific safety-based performance standards that must be met to ensure the safety of the structures that will be occupied by humans, The Initial Study concludes that the Project will not reduce groundwater recharge, because the existing pad has already been graded and compacted and there is no upstream drainage. The site sheds water because it has already been compacted to 95% or greater to make sure water runs off. The addition of structures, asphalt and concrete placed on the Project site, will have no affect on the groundwater recharge because the site does not currently function for groundwater recharge. . The City controls all waste discharge requirements. The only waste discharges from the Project site will be to the sanitary sewer, over which City standards apply. . The Initial Study identifies specific standards to extract pollutants from the runoff to a less than significant level. 4 SUMMARY OF TRANSCRIPT OF PROCEEDINGS CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PLANNING COMMISSION JUNE 5. 2001 General Environmental Issues Raised by Incorporation of Letters from BB&K 8. Hazards. Whether the Project will emit . hazardous emISSIOns or handle acutely hazardous materials, substances or waste within v.. mile of an existing/proposed school. ~ I Response . The mitigation measure related to spill hazards requires the preparation of a plan which will define how spills are to be remediated pursuant to applicable state and local regulations regarding cleanup and disposal of the contaminant released, Mitigation measures for potential gas "spills" are identified in the Water Section of the Initial Study. The Initial Study's Hazards Analysis analyzes potential hazardous emissions for the proposed gasoline operations. Potential impacts associated with the potential release of petroleum products are mitigated as identified in the water section of the Initial Study. . The Initial Study discusses the preparation of a Business Plan in Section 4, and requires the incorporation of the Spill Prevention Control and Countermeasures Plan (SPCC). The SPCC contains performance standards which must be met to ensure that water quality is not degraded. This standard IS more stringent that the mandatory standards required by the City. The Business Plan for Project operations shall identify how the operation will handle any spills or leakage of hazardous or toxic materials during operational activities. . As an additional mitigation measure, the Initial Study requIres that the Business Plan be integrated into a Construction Storm Water Pollution Prevention Plan (CSWPPP) prepared In accordance with current non-point source permitting procedures. The CSWPPP shall be provided to the City for review and approval prior to initiating construction at the site, . In addition to the Business Plan which IS implemented by the City and County Fire Departments, there is a significant amount of regulation of hazardous emISSIOn discharges regulated under South Coast Air Quality rules and regulations identified in the Air Quality Section of the Initial Study, 5 9, SUMMARY OF TRANSCRIPT OF PROCEEDINGS CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PLANNING COMMISSION JUNE 5. 2001 General Environmental Issues Raised by Incorporation of Letters from BB&K Public Service Analvsis. Whether the Project . will have an impact on public facilities, due to the increased traffic and increased wear on local roads, 10. Utilitv and Service Analvsis. Whether new . stormwater drainage facilities will be . constructed or existing facilities will be expanded which would cause significant environmental effects and whether the Project will be served by a landfill with sufficient permitted capacity to accommodate the solid . waste disposal needs and comply with federal/state/local statutes and regulations related to solid waste. 11. Lighting. Whether the Project will create a new . substantial source oflight or glare. 12, Mandatorv Findings of Significance. Whether . the Project has the potential to achieve short- term as opposed to long-term environmental goals, The City has failed to provide any list of cumulatively considerable projects that took . into consideration in reaching its conclusion. Rcsponse . According to the Initial Study, the proposed Project may make a less than significant demand on fire, police protection and paramedic services. The Project will not have any impact on schools, parks and recreational facilities or public facilities. . The Project will not have a significant impact upon the maintenance of public roads, because no additional roads will be created as a result of the Proiect and, in fact, one road will be vacated. No new storm water drains will be constructed. The Initial Study further states that the existing stormwater runoff system is capable of handling the runoff because this Project is not going to increase the runoff by any significant degree. Solid waste from this Project will be going to one of three facilities: Colton, San Mateo and Mid-Valley Landfill. These facilities comply with the existing regulations and they have capacity to accept additional waste from the Project. The Initial Study has referenced the County of San Bernardino's 1995 Integrated Waste Management Plan as verification. The Initial Study found no significant impact due to light and glare, because there is already significant lighting on the streets 111 this industrial/commercial area, and the surrounding properties 111 this industrial/commercial area, next to the Interstate 215 Freeway, . The Project related lighting is required to be directed away from the Interstate 215 Freeway to prevent glare impacts to drivers on the freeway. . There are no Issues that the Environmental Review Committee - Development Review Committee felt had not been fully addressed in the Initial Study. There are no impacts identified that could not be mitigated below a significant impact. 6 SUMMARY OF TRANSCRIPT OF PROCEEDINGS CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PLANNING COMMISSION JUNE S. 2001 General Environmental Issues Raised by Response Incorporation of Letters from BB&K . There were no significant cumulatively considerable impacts. The Initial Study evaluated cumulative air quality and cumulative traffic. . All mitigation measures required to reduce these impacts to a level of insignificance are identified in the Initial Study. 13, Apoendix "G", Whether the City should have . Appendix G is not intended to be applicable to used the Appendix "G" Environmental every jurisdiction, Checklist Form published III the CEQA Every jurisdiction has the ability to establish its Guidelines. . own environmental checklist. . The City's checklist focuses on local issues of concern. For example, regarding Agriculture, the City left agriculture off the checklist because there is no agriculture left in the City. f. 7 ~<Y'c-r e..~<1'~~~~ 7-9-01 1/'32- / OFFICE OF THE CITY CLERK RAcnEL G. CLARK, C.M.C. - CITY CLERK ,- P.O, Box 1318. San Bernardino' CA92402 300 North "'D" Street. San Bernardino' CA 92418-0001 909.384,5002' Fax: 909.384.5158 8usiness Registration Division: 909.3845302 Passport Acceplance Facility: 909.384.5128 www.cLsan-bernardino.ca.us July 11, 2001 Carol Gold 6715 N. Miners Court San Bernardino, CA 92407 Dear Ms. Gold: At the meeting of the Mayor and Common Council held on July 9,2001, the following action was taken relative to Development Permit Type II No. 01-05 and your appeal of approval of a 155,917 square foot commercial use located northwest of University Parkway and Hallmark Parkway in the UBP-2, University Business Park land use district: That the hearing be closed; that the Mayor and Common Council uphold the Planning Commission's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program and approval of Development Permit II No. 01-05 based on the Findings of Fact in Development Code Section 19.44.060, subject to the Conditions of Approval and Standard Requirements. If we can be of further assistance. please do not hesitate to contact this office. Sincerely. -1 : I __{: .....::.,_..~_ '"_.J'J _....... ',.., \ Rachel G. Clark, CMC City Clerk /~, '......." cc: Development Services Department (Planning) Harold Garcelon, Hall & Foreman John McClendon, Van Blarcom Liebold McClendon & Mann CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO ADOPTED SHARED VALUES: Integrity' Accountability' Respect for Human Dignity' Honesty . Pacific Retail Partners o July 6, 2001 o o Honorable Mayor Valles and Members of the Conunon Council City of San Bernardino 300 North "D" Street San Bernardino, CA 92418-0001 Re: Fiscal Impacts of the Propost:d Retail Store Development at University ParJ...-way and Gannett Drive, City of San Bernardino Dear Mayor Valles and Members of the Common COWlcil: The purpose of this letter is to identify and evaluate the fiscal impacts of developing a retail store in the northwestern area of the City of San Bernardino. I have sixteen-years of experience analyzing and selling commercial real estate and I specialize in community shopping centers. Before working in real estate, I worked as a tinancial analyst for Hughes Aircraft and I have a B.A in Business Administration with an emphasis in Economics. Primary Market Area This analysis identifies the primary market area for the proposed Wal-Mart store. The primary market area is the geographic area which defines the customer base. The size of the primary IDarket area varies depending, in part, on the type of merchandise and the size of the store. For example, some stores, such as Outlet Malls and large auto dealerships draw a large percentage of customers from long distances with more of a regional market draw. The size of the primary market area is also defined, in par., by the average distance people will travel to shop for general retail merchandise in a convenient location. In this case, the primary and extended market areas are initially shown as concentric circles around the proposed store site with distances of 1.5 miles and 3.0 miles (see the attached map marked Exhibit "A"), However, population densities and physical barriers must be taken into account because they determine what store location is convenient. Demographic data confirms that an estimated 22,833 people reside ~ithin the 1.5 mile radius of the proposed Wal-Man. In addition to local residents, there are currently an estimated 16,600 students, faculty and staff at the California State University at San Bernardino, and that number is anticipated to increase by approximately 40"/0 by the end of the decade to an estimated 23,000 people. The geographic area around the proposed Wal-Mart contains physical barriers which influence customer convenience. Customers living to the west of Lytle Creek wash and to the south east of Shandin Hills would find it inconvenient to shop at the proposed Wal-Ma.1t, For <:()lor.~tlo, t.;,; f l.J.k~..h~':r..: C:r ::-.:. ~~. (:I':llrn..., \ ::),.;I:?~~ . Td. ,'.~-\i ~ l' ','. :':-") . F:.l,"( ',,-, ':''':' ~ '. L .\./Onngc C,)unt\": -'-q 1 :';r'i..;~.~-:h~lk~:" Rd ":',.;t-:: '~I)~, LH'.:! H~J."::-~. '..::\ "':..;;.; . rd. :;:,~.:. l,l.:.~'" "'I . ;:~c..; ,:.. 'l I' , "-'.1 V . . ...:,.,-t,',,', I'"..........,','.. ,'\.)'<,',-.T_1. .','J~ '.,",.", .r.,", :,',' ''}-':'I. n.:mu ~mpir"'~ 5..";. .: :1', on ~:r::.'1. :,r. ~ . ,-, - .. .. .. " . ... - ...."'" -, ., . . , , -, }, o o o these reasons, the primary market area extends from the proposed WaI-Mart site an average of 1.5 miles. DernollraDhic PODulation Data We have gathered demographic data, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit "B", to determine the number of residents in the area ~urrOW1ding the Gannett Parkway and University Parkway intersection (the site of the proposed WaI-Mart). According to the data an estimated 2,219 people live within a one-half mile radius from the site, 12,317 people live within a I-mile radius from the site, 22,833 people live within a 1.5 mile radius from the site, and 77,462 people live within a 3 mile radius from the site. By the year 2006, the population is projected to increase by 5%. California State Universitv San Bernardino The proposed Wal-Mart is located in a developing area within the City which has already undergone, and is anticipated to continue to undergo, increased residential growth. In addition to the residential growth. California Stale University San Bernardino is anticipating an increase from the current 16,600 combined student, faculty and staff population to approximately 23,000 by the end of the decade. This significant increase in student enrollment over the next eight years is necessary to match the growing educational needs in the City and the Stale. The University Business Park Specific Plan, within which the Wal-Mart is proposed for development, was approved by the City with these growth fuctors in mind. Goograohic Location Two factors that detennine customer choices among various retail options include the location of convenient or competing stores and value. Assuming that the customers perceive two competing retailers as offering similar values, then location will be the deciding factor. Physical barriers, natural and man-made, can alter a store's primary market area. There are several existing physical barriers within the 3-mile radius of the proposed WaI-Man which reduce the size of the primary market area to less than 3 miles and show that the customer base is not located within II well defined concentric circle. The first is the Lytle Creek floodway to the west of the proposed site and the second is Shandin Hills, 1bese two natural barriers are located within the 3-mile radius of the proposed WaI-Mart and reduce the primary market area as described beiow. Lytle Creek Generally, there are IlQ residents in the Lytle Creek wash area west of the site, and the residents located directly to the west of the wash in the northern part of the City of Rial to would have to traverse the wash area to shop at the proposed WaI-Mart, Because crossing the wash area takes more time and effort, residents living to the west of Lytle Creek will probably continue to shop in Rialto or areas to the west and south. Because of the impact of the wash area on customer convenience, the wash area reduces to approximately 1.5 miles the western half of o o o the primary market area for the proposed Wal-Man. The area within the western half of the i,5- mile radius includes portions ofMuscoy. Shandin Hills The primary market area for the proposed WaI-Man is also reduced by a natural physical barrier on the east side: the Shandin Hills, The Shandin Hills divide the University area from northern San Bernardino, acting as an obstacle which restricts travel from the south, This reduces the primary market area east of the 1-215 to slightly more than I mile. Within the 1.5- mile radius are residents living to the northwest of the Sbandin Hills who may (or may not) choose to shop at the proposed Wal-Mart. Establishment of a New Mamet Place This will be the flI'St Wal-Man (and the first major genera1 merchandize store) in the northwestern area of the City of San Bernardino, and the only such store in the UniversityJMuscoy area. As a result, it will create a new marketplace for northwestern San Bernardino residents. There is another existing Wal-Mart in the City located at the cross-town highway (Highway 30) at the intersection of Highland Avenue. However, this store is located approximately 10 miles away and services residents in the northeastern part of the City. The proposed Wal-Mart will also serve some regional customers who commute on 1-215, who will see the store from the freeway and imenupt a trip to another destination to shop. In their traffic analysis for this proposed project, the City of San Bernardino traffic engineers concluded that approximately 27% of the vehicles travelling to the new Wal-Man will already be travelling on the 1-215 freeway and will stop and shop as a diversion. The remaining 73 percent of the trips will use surface streets, and will originate from within the area surrounding the store. This 73 percent of projected trips will originate from within the primary market area, so the development of the proposed Wal-Mart will provide a convenient location for residents in the northeastern portion of the City to purchase general merchandize, Field Audit Data We performed a field audit of existing retailers in the primary market area (the 1.5 mile radius surrounding the proposed Wal-Mart) to identify the supply and distribution of retail space in the northwestern area of the City of San Bernardino. The field audit includes all existing retailers, including small retail centers containing "Mom and Pop" businesses, which typicall y include restaurants, a bar or liquor store, dry cleaners, Laundromat, small grocery and convenience stores, fast food restaurants and other services providers. The majority of these stores are small neighborhood stores, providing convenient shopping and services to nearby residents. Although we have included these stores in the lield audit for purposes of completeness, they do not directly compete with Wal-Man due to their convenience orientation, and due to the high concentration of service businesses, such as hair salons, insurance providers, dry cleaners, tanning salon, florist and restaurants. These types of restaurants-services are not provided by Wal-Mart, o FIELD AUDIT OF RETAIL ANCHORS IN WAL-MART PRIMARY MARKET AREA San Bernardino, ClLIifomia Home Improvement I 2 3 Highland Lumber Best Wood Products Home Depot NWC Highland and Medical Center NWC Highland and Macy SEC Muscupiabe and 21" Street Grocery Stores 4 5 6 7 Stater Brothers Albertson's Ralphs Marshall's Market SEC Kendall and 40111 NWC Wall and 40U> 4434 University Parkway SWC "E" Street and Marshall Convenience Stores o 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 o Chevron Food Mart NWC University Parkway and 1-215 Circle K University Parkway and 1-215 Shell Food Mart NEC Hallmark Parkway and University Parkway AM/PM NWC Hallmark Parkway and University Parl.-way Shop and Go Market 3512 Cajon Boulevard Harold's Market 2790 Stme Street 7 - 11 1395 Kendall Drive Jimmy's MktILiquor 2926 Duffy Food/Meat Mkt Darby and Duffy (VACANT) MJs MI..'l and Gas Darby and Macy Victoria Market 2392 Augdon Carniceria Mkt 2397 First Street Drue Stores 20 21 Rite Aid Walgreen's SEC Kendall and 40U: NEC Wall and 40th Auto Parts 22 Kragen SEC Kendall and 40th 23 Auto Zone NWC Kragen and 40th 24 Venado Tires Cajon Boulevard and State Street 25 Rodriguez. Tire Darby and Stale Street 26 Econe Lube and Tune 1685 Kendall Drive 27 Acosta's Body Repair 3280 Cajon Boulevard .....-J ................ ~......_...., r.............' .. ...............r....... I"",c.. I........... ~'"'.:.' ..;:.....0 ..::,.1<:,; "- => o 28 29 Phillipes Tire Shop Empire Auto Body Cajon Boulevard 3930 Cajon Boulevard Restaurants 30 Peking Inn 4434 University Parkway 31 Papa lohn's Pizza 4434 University Parkway 32 Donut Shop 4434 University Parkway 33 Hoagie Yogi 4434 University Parkway 34 ~ahlia's Pizza 1689 Kendall Drive 35 Inland Kabob 1689 Kendall Drive 36 Thai Place 1689 Kendall Drive 37 Rainbow Wok 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 38 Domy'sSub 1331-13S7KendalIOrive 39 Tommy's Burger #101331-1357 Kendall Drive 40 El Rancho Bar & Grill 3920 Cajon Boulevard (VACANT) Video Stores 41 Hollywood Video 423S University Parkway 42 Video World 4434University PlII'kway VACA."''T o Service Provider 43 State Farm Insurance 4434 University Parkway 44 Dry Cleaners 4434 Univet"5ity Parkway 45 Mail Mart 4434 University Park"Way 46 Hair Cuts 4434 University Parkway 47 Baroer Shop 2775 State Street 48 Inland Valley Roofing2760 State Street (previously U-Haul) 49 Copy Plus 1689 "0" Kendall Drive 50 Tanning Salon 1689 Kendall Drive 51 Florist 1689 Kendall Drive 52 Hairstylist 1689 Kendall Drive S3 Farmer's Insurance 1331-1357 Kendall Drive (VACAJ'.J) 54 Miracle Hair Design 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 55 $ Pro Check Cash 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 56 Hair Salon 1331-13:57 Kendall Drive 57 Nail Salon 1331-1357 Kendall Drive :58 El Dorado Cleaners 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 59 Campus Copy & Print 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 60 Family Karate Studio 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 61 C & J Lawn Care Cajon Boulevard 62 Suzette Hair Salon Blake and Macy o ..;..__...... ..;.. _.....~r.. o i r-.......,., r......_..:-..._ r-,,-, ....._'- Electronics/Computers 63 Bank 64 Radio Shack Dowpey Savings Small Stores 65 66 67 68 69 70 7] 72 73 74 75 o Motel Varjas Feed & Supply University Book Exchange Super $,99 Plus Schwin Bicycles Sister's Precious Pi~ Satellite Dish Smoke Shop Plus Kendall Drive Feed Media Furniture Rebel Feed Store Calif. Casual Sport 76 77 Palms Motel Cajon Motel . ~......,;.. ....-.... ,.:;...'..... r-.o Liquor Stores 78 Norms Liquor Store 4434 University Parl..-way 4434 University Parl..-way 3170 State Street 1689 Kendall Drive 1331-13 57 Kendall Drive 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 1331-1357 Kmdall Drive 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 2340 Kendall Drive 3030 Cajon Blvd. (\I ACANf) Cajon Boulevard near State Street 3940 Cajon Boulevard 3424 Cajon Boulevard 3436 Cajon Boulevard (V ACM-r) 3795 Duffy Street Type of Retail Stores Witbin tbe 1.5 Mile Radius Primary Market Area The large retail establishments loc.'lted in the primary maIket area fall into two categories, large major chain competitors and smaller convenience stores. The smaller and convenience stores generally do not compete with Wal-Man because they offer a different type of merchandize in a small scale and with a service oriented atmosphere. Between the specialized merchandize and the convenience oftbe location, these stores cater to a local clientele and do not compete with Wal-Man. The demographic data confinns that the number of residents living within the 1.5 mile radius will support the operation of the proposed WaI-Mart and Dr. Ross Moran, Director of Institutional Research at California Univeraity at San Bernardino, projects combined enrollment, faculty and staffwill in=ase by more than 50% to an estimated 23,000 people at the University by 2009-2010. These California State University students and staff will study and work within o the 1.5 mile primary market area of the proposed WaI-Man. ~ o Wal-Mart MerchllDdize Categories Compared to Stores in the Primary Market Area Typical Wal-Mart products include merchandize from the following categories: . Apparel and accessories . Building materials and garden supplies . Packaged food . Automotive supplies and service . Furniture and borne furnishings . Food service . Drugs . Miscellaneous retail items Comparison to Merchandize Sold By Existing Retailers in Primary Market Area Neill:hborhood Convenience Centers Wal-Mart's potential entry into the market place wi!! not havc an impal.1; on smaller neighborhood stores and convenience centers because these types of stores operate on a smaller scale, offer a unique merchandise type which is not available from larger stores, and provide convenient neighborhood I~ations. o GrOCery Stores There are four grocery stores operating within the market area, including an independent store, Marshall's Mwket, which operates out of a store of a similar scale to a grocery store chaim. At this time, other than packaged food, Wal-Mart does not sell groceries in California, and DO firm plan now exists regardil'.g a change in that concept. Therefore, the proposed Wal-Mart will not compete with grocery stores fur grocery sales, Even if a change were to occur in the future, the expanding population of the area would eliminate the possibility of there being too many large grocery facilities. General Merchandize The sales generated by a typical Wal-Mart are grouped into major categories for comparison with the types of merchandize offered by retail anchors in the primary market area. Wal-Mart's largest sales are generated in apparel and accessories, with expected sales of approximately $9.44 million. Other key categories in order of importance include fumiture!home fashions/appliances ($3.98 million); household/personal supplies ($3.90 million); and garden (S2.24 million). Aooarel and Accessories At the present time, there are no retailers in the plimary market area that offer the same type of merchandize and on the same scale as the Wal-Mart. However, there is adequate population to support a Wal-Mart in the northwestern area of the City. According to the demographic data and infurmation from the California State University, the existing population within the 1.5 mile average primary market area is 22,833 plus an additional 16,600 people (students and staff) currently enrolled and working at California State University, San Bernardino. o Household and Personal Suvvlies Wal-Mart's household and personal supplies category may compete with a percentage of the merchandize offered at the two drug stores in the o o o ~ northeastern San Bernardino. However, the drug stores are located close to California State University at San Bernardino; and. are located on the opposite side of the 1-215 freeway from the proposed WaI-Mart. Common sense suggests that people choose the most convenient retail location which provides the services they require. In this case, different pharmacies offer different levels Df customeI" service. The two drug stores on the east side of the 1-215 offer full- service pharmacies_ In this case residential and University customers are located on the same side of the 1-215 freeway as the existing pharmacies and the level of service offered at those locations differs from the level of service offered at the proposed WaI-Mart. Based on locatioll. the existing drug stores are arguably more convenient ilian the proposed Wal-Mart in terms of proximity to the residents on the east side of the 1-215. . Automotive R~r Auto repair services are a quasi-retail use that predominates on the west side of Lytle Creek in north Fontana_ The proposed WaI-Mart will not compete with these stores because there is no current plan fur a Tire, Lube and Express facility at the proposed Wal- Mart, This will eliminate the potential for competition with the existing tire stores and auto service centers. If, at a later time, this concept were to change, the increasing population of the area would avoid any danger of over-saturation. Wal-Mart does sell convenien<:e automotive items but on a scale that does not comper.e with the inventory offeI"ed at the existing auto parts store. Sumnary and Condusions 1, The demographic data identifies an estimated 22,833 people reside within the 1.5 mile radius which represents the primary market area for the proposed Wal-Man. In addition, there are currently approximately 16,600 combined students, faculty and staff at the California State University, San Bernardino, and that number is expected to increase to 23,000 by the year 2009-10. This represents an increase of approximately 40% of the students and staff in the next decade, The combined total of residents, students and staff amounts to 39,433 people within the 1.5 mile primary market area for the proposed Wal-Mart. This data contirms that the population (resident and student) within the 1.5 mile radius of the proposed WaI-Mart is sufficient to support the WaI-Mart in that location. ., The development and occupancy of the proposed Wal-Mart store represents a significant net fiscal benefit for the City General Fund operating budget. The development of a store approximately 155,900 square feet store in size on approximately 14.5 acres will generate approximately $300,000 per year in sales tax T<:venue for the City General Fund. Please call me if you have arty questions or request clarification regarding the information contained in this letter. Sincerely, o o EXHIBIT "A" o "" , , , , , \ (/, , . ) i ( , - Symbols Explan.ation ~ Interstate :.-..~.-.'.' Scho Hwy. c.cCU, ~ Californie O@ Fire~ State Route Po/ie, 0 Hasp Freewey 'I"":" . --.. Golfe ' . . : - . ~ Park '. , . Intercity Hwy. >c.. .'~'..... r.--'~'7-~-':-"': NlJtlo Anerie' Street . . , Fores ........... ':"''';0-':: mTH STRECT . ruler ADDRESSES ui/dir 0 1 2 I I I I I IKM SeA 0 2 a o o EXHIBIT "8" o Mon Jul 02, 200 1 - CUSTOM SUMMARY Rm'ORT POP-FAcrS: FULL DEMOGRAPffiC DATA PREPARE!) FOR Pacific Retail Partner> Hallmark & GalllICn (962093608) o HALLMARK PKWY AT GANNETI PKWY SAN BERNARDINO, CA 92407 COORD: 34.1647 -117.3358 DESCRIPTION .so MILE RADIUS 1.00 MILE RADIUS 1.50 MILE RADIUS 3.00 MILE RADIUS POPVLATION 2006 PROJECTION 2001 ESTIMATE 1990 CeNSUS 1980 CENSUS OROWTIlI980. 1990 HOUSEHOLDS 2006 PROJl!CTION 2001 ESTIMATE 1990 CENSUS 1980 CENSUS GR.OWTIl1980 - 1990 2001 ESTIMATED POPVLATION BY RACE WHITE BLACK ASIAN AJIIl> P ACIPIC ISLANDER OTHER RACES o 2001 ESTIMATED POPULATION HISPANIC omoIN OCCUPIED UNITS OWNER OCCUPIED RENTER OCCUPIED 1990 AVERAGE PERSONS PER HH 2001 EST HOUSEHOLDS BY INCOME St50,OOO OR MORE $100,000 TO $149,999 5 15,000 TO 5 99,999 $ 50,000 TO $ 74,999 S 35,000 TO 5 49,999 . $ 25,000 TO $ 34,999 5 15,000 TO 5 24,999 5 5,000 TO 5 15,000 UNDER S 5,000 2001 EST. AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME 2001 EST. MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME 2001 EST. PER CAPITA INCOME 2,309 13,136 24,544 81,508 2,219 12,317 22,833 17,462 1,917 10,128 18,196 65,623 724 4,531 8,628 43,4 II 164.63% 123.52% 110.90% 51.16% 868 4,287 7,923 26,603 835 4,038 7,372 25,228 732 3.394 5,933 21,465 220 1,390 2,636 14,716 233.10"1. 144.09% 125.09"1. 45,86% 2,219 12,317 22,833 77,462 53,31% 53.17% 50,21% 51.74% 18.69% 16.58% 16.27% 18.93% 8.10% 5,27% 5.17% 4.14% 19.91% 24.98% 28.35% 25.19% 2.219 12,317 22,833 n,462 35.75% 43. t7';' 46.25% 42,57% 740 3,382 5,a93 21,523 27.93% 50.62% 49.81% 61.09% 72,07% 49.38% 50.19% 38.91% 2.6\ 2.96 3.01 3.00 835 4,038 7,372 25,228 0,01% 0.70% 1.07'i. I.U80/. 0.89% 1.76% 1.78% 2.93% 4.23% 5.69% 5.20% 7.07% 24.63% 24.75% 22,50% 21.37% 22.28% 23.57% 23.19% 20,06% 17.58% 15,02% 14.58% 14.27% 16.95% 15,070/. 16,82% 16,56% 11.50% 11.16% 1\.64% 13.63% 1.93% 2,29% 3.22% 3.03% $39,676 543,.595 542,924 543,85 I 536,364 $39,124 537,417 536,880 514,959 514,331 $13,996 $14,451 GNWW.sITEREPORT8.COM e 2001 CLARITAS INC. 1 800:u4 5973 S'd lalGI eVG SlaS HdLS'lal llalaG-lla 11~1~ OI~IO~d HO~~ - o o EXHIBIT "C" o . OFrom: Sent: To: Subject: Ross Moran [rmoran@csusb.edu] Thursday, July 05, 2001 4:38 PM ROSS _ V A@ci.san-bernardino.ca.us North S6 Retail Projects ~ ~ M CSUSB_Enrl_EscCVC &Main.x1s CSU5B_Enrl_EsCCVC &Main.xls Attached are projected Fulltime Equivalent and Headcount enrollments for CSUSB, main campus and Coachella Valley Campus through 2010. This is subject to change and renegotiation with the esu system office. Ross T. Moran, Ph.D. <rmoran@csllsb.edu> Director of Institutional Research California State University, San Bernardino http,jjir.csusb.edu Phone, (909) 880-5052 Fax, (909)680-7069 o Realizing that we have a moving target, here is the current best guess for the FTES and HC by College Year (which includes summers): FTES Headcount College Year Total CVC Main Total CVC Main'" 2001-2002 12,300 440 11,860 15,806 872 15,108 2002-2003 12,915 475 12,440 16,596 941 15,843 2003-2004 13,530 510 13,020 17,386 1,010 16,578 2004-2005 14,145 545 13,600 18,176 1,080 17,313 2005-2006 14,760 580 14,180 18,967 1,149 18,047 2006-2007 15,426 615 14,811 19,822 1,218 18,848 2007-2008 16,143 650 15,493 20,744 1,288 19,714 2008-2009 16,860 685 16,175 21,665 1,357 20,580 2009-2010 17,618 720 16,898 22,639 1,426 21,498 . Assumes that 20% of CVC students enroll at the Main Campus as well as CVC, HC:FTES Ratios Total 1.285 CVC 1.981 o S.nt b~ILSA o o o - 95-Jul-91 12Ie~~~ frol'l 94'9553e976~ ~a'9. 2 LSA OT.... o,.,tal-t; I..REILlY PT. "JORMONP fT. COLLI'" ..IVI....DZ ..OCK1.1N L~'" AUOCIATJ,., INC. DMZ I..a PLAIA. .VIT. S99 I.",un. O.A.1nOaHJA 9~614 949-sn-O"& TaL ,u.sn.'07. JA~ July 5, 2001 Aliccn Wong Ore.ham, Savage, Nol8ll & Tl1d~. LLP 600 N. Amlwhcad Av~ue, Suite 300 San Bernardino, California 92401.1148 Subject: Noise Analysis for North San Bemardino WaJ.Mart D\:ar Alicen; As requested, LSA Assoclates,lnc. (LSA) hllll rcviewllll the City of San Bernardino's Initial Study &TUllysis of potential noise impacts associated with the construction and operation of the North Ssn Bernardino Wal-Mart. located on Hallmark Parkway west oflnterstate 215 (1-215), in the City of San Bernardino, California. Based upon our review oflhis proposed project, we concur with the conclusions of the City's Initial Study that the potential noise impacl9 will be less than significant. Our analysis, which verifies the City's conclusions, is contained lIerein. SENSITIVE LAND USES IN THE PROJECf VICINITY 111= are existing scnsilivc m1identia111U1d uses 400 feet to the northeast, 1,350 feet to the 8Outbwest, and 3,500 to the northwest. The closest residences to the northeast arc located on the opposite .ide of the I-2IS. The primary source of noise in the vicinity of the project site is noise generated by traffic on the 1-2IS. The City's General Plan, pages 14-1110 14-12, concludes that noise levels along the 1- 215 range from 77 to 80 dBA in 1979, with the projected increases in traffic raising the noise levels 10 80-81 dBA in rutw'c years. THRESHOLD OF SIGNIFICANCE A prujecl wi11normally have a significant effect on the cnvirorunent rclatcod to noise if it will substantially increase the ambient noise levels for adjoining areas or conflict with adopted environmental plans and goals of the community where it is located. The applicable Doise standards governing the project site are the criteria in the City of San IlmIardino Noiae Element of the General Plan. 71l/01<<P:\GVS033u..ioed Noloe,wpd>) .LAlIIlIIIlIIIIl) .wvlaONWINTAL lanNOle IJIUfl14 . S.nl b~ILSA c o :0 0~-Jul-01 12106~~ r,..o~ 9"'955;5e076~ ,..a~t' ;5 LU, AlIOCIATU. UfO. City 01 San Bernardino Nolstl Gllldellnes The City of San Bernardino adopted a Noise Element (December, 1993) in i18 General Plan. One of the general goals of the San Bematdino CilyNoise Element is to davelop an\! adopt specific policies and an effClClive implemelllatlon program to abate and avoid el(CCssivc noisc cxPOSU(l'lS in the City by requirins that effective noise mitigation measures be incol'porated into the design of new noise generating and new noise sensitive land uses. Specific policies have been adopted by the City to accomplish the goals of the Noise Element, including the following: I. Areas \\ithin San Bernardino City shall be designated as "poise-impacted" if exposed to existing or projected future exterior noise levels from mobile or stationary sources exceeding the standatds listed in Tables A and B. Table A: HOllrly Noise Level Performance Standards Locally Rq;ulatcd Sou"",, 1 LIIl. - 10 p..... 10 p.m. - 7 Lm. Land Use C.t.,gory Leq L..u . Leq L.u -- .&_. - . ... - .-.. ~sldentiaJ or other noise sensitive receivers S5 75 45 65 So~: City of San Btmwdino, Noi,eBlemenf, 1993. Table B: InteriorlEnertor Noise Level SlaDdards - Mobile Noise SOIlree5 CNEL or L.. Land use Categories Land Uses liUerlor ElItmor Residential Slugle and mulliflPl1ily, 4uplox, mobile honIC$ 45 60' . ,'.. 'R' _... Commercial HOle~ mOlel, II'al1.Slent lodging 4~ 60' -..-- ".M__' - Commercial retail, bank, r8stawanl 50 nla .. -- Office building, re.ellfCh and development, I 45 65 proCessional offices .. ..-.--- Arnpbitl1e81et, concert hall, audltorium, movie theater 45 nla .- Institutional Hospital. nursing home, scllool cla$sroolDS, church. 45 65 Ilbtary ...- - . ... Open Space Park nla 65 Seurce: City of San Beml\l'dlno. Noise EJcmcn~ 1993. All exterior nol..I.vel of up to 65 dBA CNEL (orl,..,) will be allowed provided exterior noise levels have been ~ubstlll1tia11y mitigated through a rcasopablc application of the best available noise reduction teChnology and interior noise exposure does not exceed 45 dBA CNEL (or L...) with windows and doors closed. Requiring that windows and doors remain closed to achieve an acceptable interior ooise level will necessitate the USe of air conditioning or mechanical ve1\ulatlon. 7/5101 <<P:\OVSOlJ....i..d Nol..,wpd)) 2 Seonl b':jllSA o o :0 95-Jul-01 12106~~ fro~ 9"9553ee76~ ~a'i. 41' 7 LIU. AIIOC'U.TI', lNQ. 2. The City shall enforce the State Noise Insulation Standard. (California Code of Regulations, Title 24) and Chllpter 35 of the Unifono Building Code (UBe). 3. Subdivision approval adjacent to any developed/occupied noise sensitive land uses shall require that the developer submit a construction related noise mitigation plan to tlte City for review and approval prior to issuance of a irading penn it. The plan must depict tbe location of colllltructlon equipment and how the noise from this equipment will be mitigated during construction of this project. tI1rough lhe use of such methods as the following: . remporary noise attenuation fences . Preferentiallacation of equipment . Use of CUrreJ1t technology and noise suppression "'IUiPlllcllt The operatioo or lIIle hetween the hours of ten p,m and seven a.m. of any pile driver, steam shove~ pneumatic hammer, derrick, steam or electric hoist, power driven saw, or any other tool or apparatus the use of which is attended by loud and excessive ncise is prohibited, except with the approval of the Mayor and Common Council, IMPACTS Implementation of the proposed project would result in sherHenn con.truction and long-tenn opecAlionAI noise impaots, The following focuses on the increase in noise associated with the construction of the propOsed project and the on-site operational noise source impacts. Construction Activities Two types of ahort-term noise impacts would occur during project construction, The first is the increase in traffic flow on local streets associated with the transport of worlcen, equipmcnt, and materials to and from the project site. The pieces ofbeavy equipment for demolition, grading, and consl1uctiO/l will be moved to the site and remain for the duration of each construction phase. The increase In traffic flow (In the surrounding roads due to construction traffic is expected to be small. The associated increase in long-tenn traffic noise will not be perceptible. However, there will be short-term, intermittent high noise levels associated with InIck pass by ROllI the project site, The second type of short-term noi.e impact is relatcd to the noise generuted by heavy equipment operating on the projoct site. Construction is completed in di~crete <laps, each of which has its own mill: of cqulpment and, consequently, ils own noise characteristics. These various sequential phases would change the character ofthc noise generated on the site and, therefore, the noise levels surrounding the site as construction progresses. Despite the variety in the type and size of construction equipment, similarities in the dominant noise sources and patterns of operation allow construction related noi.e rBn$"s to bc categorized by work phase, Tabl. C lists typical construction equipment noise levels recommended for noise impact assessments, bASed on a distance of 50 feet between the equipment and a noise receptor. 1/5/01 ((P:\OVS033\rcvI..d Nnlse,wpd>> 3 S.nl b~aLSA o o o B5-Jul-Bl 12IB7~~ fro~ ~4~5538B76~ ~a9. 5"- 7 LSA ..IIOOU.TU, UIC. Table c: Maximum CODltruedon Equlpmeat Noise: Ln-.:ls RanEe or Sound LenlA S1lcgqt\lll Saud Meuured J,evek en.. Aualyais Type olEqulpment (dBA at 50 reet) (dBA at 50 feet) Pile Drivers. 12,000 to 1&,000 tl-lblblow 8\ to 96 93 -- .-.--. -..-... Rock Drills 83 to 99 96 ..- .. . .. Jack Hammers 75 to 85 82 ... ... .n -...- Pneumatic Tools 78 to 88 85 .. . -.- ... Pumps 68 to 80 77 . .. ... __.__M_ -.. - Dozers 85 to 90 88 ....-.....,.... .. n .-.- Tl'lICtors 77 to 82 80 ~--_... ... ... Front-End Loaders 86 to 90 88 .... - . -- - Hydraulic Backhoe 81 to 90 86 .. -.-. --.- ....---- .. , - Hydraulic Excavators 8110 90 86 ....-..-.-- ,... .. -- Graders 79 tn 89 86 ...~. ---- -- Air Compressors 76 to 86 86 .. .. n. - Trucks 81 to 87 86 Source:: Noi", Control for Buikllng.' and MaIlufilcturilli Plants, BoI~ Beranek" Newman. 1987. Typical noise levels range up to 91 dBA L.... at SO feet during the noisiest construction phases, The ~ite preparation phase, which includes excavation and EJ1I(Iing of the site, tends to generate the highest noise levels, because tile noisiest construction equipment Is eartbmovlng equipment. Earthmoving equipment includes excavating machinery such as backfillers, bulldozers, draglines, and frootloaders. Earthmoving and compacting equipment Includes compactors, scrapers, and graders, Typical operating cycles for these types of construction equipment may involve one or two minutes ofMl power operation followed by three to four minutes &1 lower power settings. Construction of the proposed project is expected to require the use of earthmovers, bulldozers, and water 8!1d pickup trucks. Noise typically associated with the use of construction equipment is estimated between 79 and 89 dBA at a distance of SO feel rrom lhe construction effort for the grading phase. This equipmont would be used on the project site. AF. seen in Table C, the maximum noise level generated hy each earthmover on the proposed project site Is assumed to be 88 dBA at SO feet from the earthmover. Each bulldozer would also generate 88 dBA at SO feet. The maximum noise level generated by water and pickup trucks is approximately 86 dBA at 50 feet from these vehicles. Each doubling of the sound sources with equal sirength increases the noise level by 3 dBA. 71SlOll(J':IGVSOJJ_ Nolic,Wpd)) 4 Seonl b~llSA o o o 9S-Jul-91 12Ie7~" ~aljJ. 6.... 7 fl"'ol'l 94'SS38976t LI.... AuOClJ;.T_., IKC. Assuming that each piece of conStl1lctlon equipment operates as an individual noise source, the worst case composite noise level durlna this phase of construotion would be 91 dBA T ..... at a distance of 50 feet from an active construction area. The nearest sensitive receptors to the project sites are located at a distance of approximately 400 feet, and may be subjected to ahort-term noise reaching 73 dBA L,.." generated by conStnlctioD activities, The other rcsidentiallocations In the genel'll! vicinity of the proposed project are at a distance of 1,350 feet and 3,500 feet; the constnlCtion noise I~els at these locations would be 62 dBA L",.,. and 54 dBA L..... respectively. Construction related noise impacts of the proposed project would not exceed the maximum noise level permitted for locally regulated sources, and the impact would be less thm significant. However, to minimize the impact of the constnlction noise on existing buildings on the project site and residences adjacent to the project area, compliance with the City's Noise Control Ordinance would be required. During conStnlction, the project shall implement the following measures: . The operation or use of any pile driver, steam shovel, pneumatic hammer, derrick. steam or electric holst, power driven saw, or any other tool or apparatus, the use of which i. attended by loud and excessive noise shall be restricted to the hours between seven a.m. and ten p.m., except with the approval of the Mayor and Common Council Lonl-Term No;'" ImpactA The long-tenn noise impacts at the project site would be associated primarily with stationary or mobile equipment used within the proposed project ~Ite. Proposed on-site commercial uses are expected to gen=te little or very low noise levels eKccpt at individual loading docks, where loading/unloading activities would generate moderate noise levels. Track Delivery and Lo~dlnglUnlo.ding. The on-site noise generating activities closest to any off. site sensitive uses would be from the loading/unloading activities assooiated with the remi! store. There will be a loading dock at the northwest comer ofthe retail store:, approximately 400 feet from the nearest residences. Based on noise readings from loading and unloading activities for other similar projects, a noise level of 75 dBA Lma at SO fect was used in this analysis. The noise attenuation of loading/unloading activities, provided by distance diver~nce at 400 feet, is approximately 18 dBA compared to the level at 50 feet. Therefore, residences to the northeast would be exposed to loading/unloadlnlt noise levels of up to 57 dBA LM... The other l'Csidentiallocations in the general vicinity of the proposed project are at a distance of 1 ,350 feet and 3,500 feet: the loading/unloading noise levels at these locations would be up to 46 dBA L.,,, and 38 dBA Lm.., l'Cspectively. These noise level9 arc much lower than the City', exterior noise standard of75 dDA T..,.". during Ille day (7 a,m. to 10 p.m.) or 65 dBA L.... during the nigbt(IO p,m, to 7 a.m.). Therefore, it is not anticipated that noise associated with the truck delivery and loading/unloading activities will have any significant impact on the residences adjacent to the project site. Parking Lot Activitieo, Representative parking activities. sucb as customer conversing or door closing, would generate intermittent, maximum noise levels of approximately 60 dBA L_ at SO feet. 7/S/(JI<<P:\GVS033..cv;..d NOi..,wpdll 5 S@nt. b':l'lSA o o o B5-Jul-Bl 12IBe~" fro" 9495538e76~ ~''iI'' 7/ 7 LI4 .....QOJ4TU, ewe. The !loise attenuation of parking lot activhles, provided by distance divergence at 400 feet, is approximately 18 dBA cornp8l'Qd to the level at SO feet. Therefore, residences to the northeast would be exposed to parking lot activity noise levels nf up to 42 dBA 1,.... This level of noise is much lower than that of the traffic on the area roads, including the J.21 5, or the loading/unloading of trucks. Therefore, it is not anticipated that noise associated with the parking lot activities will have any stlP1lficant impact on the residenceS adjacent to the project site. Traffie Noile. The proposed project will generate additional traffic trips within the project vicinity. However, these trips would add a small, less than significant amount of noise along roadway links in the project vicinity. CONCLUSION Construction oithe proposed project would not result in any significant Inorease in 10ng-tOJTll stationary or mobile noiae in the swroundlng areas. Construction activities are localized noise sOQTCeS and would affect only land uses immediately adjacent to the projcct site with direct line of sight. None oflhe possible stationary noise sources o'n the project site will have the potential to affect nearby sensitive land uses. if you have any questions please contact me or Tony Chung at (949) 553-0666, Sincerely, UAj7~C Keith Lay Assistant Project Engineer 7"'01 ((P:\OV8033\n:Ybed Nolsc.wpd" 6 o o o 07/05/01 16:33 FAX 19099821516 14102 ~ PR.OWESTER.N DEVELOPMENT COMPANY am July 5,2001 . Mark Ostoich Gresham, Savage, Nolan & Tilden, LLP 600 N. Arrowhead Avenuc, Suitc 300 San Bemardino, CA 92401-1148 Re: University Business Park/Wal-Mart/Appeal Dear Mark: PUTfiUAnl In ynur rr:fJ.llr.~1 tnliAY. ynn hAt! ARk-r.t! mr. In mr.mnriAlizr. A tr.1C!lhonr. conversation Thad with the original appcllant Kathleen Flanks on June 11,2001. On June 11, 2001, at approximately 11:30 a.m., I placed a call to Kathleen Franks to see if! .eould dise\l3! her eoneems and eftellU1'nge n meetill.g with. Detty All.dC1'9on and mY9olf. Whon specifically questioning her pertaining to somc ofthc issues she raised in her appeal presented by Jennifer Buchman of Best. Best and Krieger at the Planning Commission Meeting, she shared with me that she had no knowledge about any of the specific issues. When discussing with her the many benefits Wal-Mart and other related business and services to fol1~ "''Ould pMvido 18 tho OOMft"dl!l.ity, aka quisldj' diaolaaoo that hOl!' offorta ","FO not dirootod against the development oftIle site. the City or the land ownership. but directly against Wal-Mart since they did not hire union workers. She shared that as a resident of San Bernardino, she had been asked to assist the union and cooperate in blocking WaJ-Marl's efforls to establish this store. The conversation was terminated shortly thereafter. I hope this information will assist the Mayor and City Council Members to clearly recognize that the original appellant, Kathleen Franks, was nothing more than a representative of the United Food and Comrnerical Workers Union. Kathleen Franks was not personally concemed regarding the suitability oCthe Wal-Mart Store being constructed in the University Business Park. Her only objection was that Wal-Mart will not hire union workers. If! can be of any further assistance, please do not hesitate to call. Sincerely. ~~ ./~ "'1~ /'/ Mark Boen President o GRESHAM, SA V AGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP A REGISTERED LIMITED LIABILITY PARTNERSHIP LAWYERS. FOUNDED 1910 FOR TilE fiRM J..hIlC.Nolu 600 N. ARROWHEAD A VENUE, SUITE 300 SAN BERNARDINO, CALIFORNIA 92401-1148 (909) 884.2171 . FACSIMILE (909) 888-2120 WILLlAMGUTHRlE(I886-I947) DONALD W. JORDAN (1907_1989) JOHN B. LONERG....N (RETIRED 1976) July 6, 2001 Mayor Judith Valles Members of the Common Council of San Bernardino City of San Bernardino - City Hall 300 North "0" Street San Bernardino, CA 92418 Re: Appeal Relating to Development Permit II No. 01-05 Hearing: July 9, 2001 Honorable Mayor and Council Members: The purpose of this letter is to express, on behalf of our client, W AL-MART STORES, INC., its concern that the referenced appeal may be motivated by business competition rather than the result of good faith environmental concerns. o The California Environmental Quality Act ("CEQA") sets out that it is the policy of the State to provide a high quality environment (Public Resources Code, section 21000) and a method to insure that such environmental quality is provided. CEQA is not, however, to be used as a business "weapon" by someone opposed to a project applicant. Indeed, last year, the California Court of Appeals, in the case of Waste Management of Alameda County v. County of Alameda (2000) 79 Cal.App.4th 1223, concluded that, if a project opponent was objecting to the project because of business or competitive reasons, then that objector did not have "standing" to pursue the objections. According to the Appeals Court, CEQA objections are to be advanced, in good faith, by someone who would likely suffer environmental detriment if the project were approved. The instant project is located near the intersection of the 215 Freeway at University Parkway in the Sixth Ward. Interestingly, however, the first person to object to it was Kathleen Franks, who resides on 1974 East Lynwood Drive, in the Fourth Ward. In a telephone conversation with Mark Boen, one of the current owners of the project property, Ms. Franks acknowledged that she had been requested by the United Food and Commercial Workers Union ("UFCW") to object to the Project. W AL-MART sales associates are not affiliated with the UFCW; however, the UFCW, of course, would like to expand its membership to include the sales associates. In furtherance of UFCW's desire to have W AL-MART agree to UFCW's representation of its sales associates, UFCW has interposed environmental objections at various locations where W AL-MART is contemplating building stores hoping to delay, or frustrate, those projects. o Riverside Office. 3403 Tenth Street, Suite 518, Riverside, CA 92501 . (909) 684-2171 . Facsimile (909) 684-2150 Victorville Office. 14350 Civic Drive, Suite 120, Victorville, CA 92392. (760) 243-2889. Facsimile (760) 243-0467 . GRESHAM, SA V AGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP John C. Nolan o o o Mayor Judith Valles Members of the Common Council of San Bernardino July 6, 2001 Page 2 Interestingly, Ms. Franks is no longer the official opponent to this Project. Instead, that position is now occupied by Carol Gold. Ms. Gold, who resides in the Fifth Ward, has been observed on the premises ofUFCW's facility in Bloomington and is now represented by Andrew Kahn, an attorney whose offices are in San Francisco. Mr. Kahn has been involved as an attorney opposing other W AL-MART projects, including most recently, a lawsuit against the W AL-MART in Palmdale, which involved the UFCW as one of the parties in the settlement. Although Ms. Gold has not acknowledged that she is acting on behalf of the UFCW, the Union's Attorney is representing her, so at the very least, we believe she is having her legal advice and fees supplied by the UFCW. The proposed WAL-MART store in North San Bernardino, like every other project, is one that should be evaluated on its own environmental merits. Because CEQA is not a tool to advance business objectives, we urge you to determine for yourself, whether you believe Ms. Gold's environmental objections are being advanced in good faith. We strongly believe that the presentation that will be made at the hearing of July 9, 2001 will clearly indicate that this Project is in compliance with CEQA. Very truly yours, C .')1,#et .-..1 J C. Nolan of GRESHAM, SA V AGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP JCN:tdg cc: James F. Penman, Esq. - City Attorney Mark A. Ostoich, Esq. o o o - CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO Development Services Department - Planning Division Interoffice Memorandnm HECEIVr~}-CI1'I CI [i'r "01 JUL -6 AlO:51 TO: Mayor and Common Council Valerie C. Rj'!fPrincipal Planner FROM: SUBJECT: Appeal of Development Permit II No. 01-05 - Wal-Mart Project DATE: July 6, 2001 COPIES: James Penman, City Attorney; Fred Wilson, City Administrator; Rachel Clark, City Clerk; James Funk Director, Development Services Attached are copies of The Impact of Big Box Grocers on Southern California and The Shils Report related to the appeal of the Planning Commission's approval of the Wal- Mart project, item No. 32 on the July 9, 2001 Council Agenda. Since only five sets were received and The Shils Report is copyrighted, distribution was as follows: . Mayor* . Council Office* . City Attorney . Project Applicant . Planning * After the meeting, I would appreciate it if you could provide a copy to the City Clerk to keep with the official record. Jul 06 01 10:56a UFCW LOCAL 1167 9098775986 UFCW LOCAL 1167, AFL-CIO-CLC UNITED rOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS UNION 85:i West San Ucmardino Avenue Insurance P.O. Box 1167, Bloomington, CA 92]16-llO]0 Food & Mc:u - (909) 877-1110 Business Officc - (909) 877-5000 Drug & General Sales - (909) 877-23]1 Bill Saurio!, President Bill Lalhrup, Sccrciary-Treasurer July 6, 2001 Common Council c/o Valerie Ross, Senior Planner City of San Bernardino Re: Appeal of Carol Gold of Development Penn it II 01-05 (hearing 7/9) Honorable Councilmembcrs, J have bcen in the grocery husiness for 30 years, in the last 20 within the Inland Empire. I follow trade publications in the retail business and observe and hear about retail conditions in other parts of the conntry. In my professional opinion a new Wal-Mart Supereenter at the State College Business Park will cause other stores to close and become run-down in appearance. o The Council has already seen this prohlem when Ralphs shut down a store several years ago. Other tenants in the same shopping center also closed, and new tenants were hard to find, the vacancies lasting for years. When stores sit vacant, they often become eyesores, especially from graffiti and lack of maintenance and landscaping. Those new tenants which can bc found often do not kcep up their stores as well as previous oncs, All of this brings down property valnes in the area. Here, the Ralphs store about one mile east of the proposcd Wal-Mart is already struggling, which we scc from it having reduced staffing to minimal levels. It will likely close if a Wal-Mart Superecntcr opens hcrc. This Ralphs might close even from just a conventional Wal-Mart because of the overlap in general sales, whieh prnvide grocery stores with a higher profit margin than grocery items and makc up about a third of all sales in grocery stores. Wal-Mart's impact stems from its enonnous size and from its refusal to compete fairly: Ralphs pays a living wage and provides its enlire workforce with family health bcncfits and pensions; Wal-Mart pays less and as of its last report to the Labur Department, it provides health bcncfits to less than one-third of its workforce (most are either ineligible or cannot afford the premium charged them, so they end up receiving medical eare from public facilities at laxpaycr expense). Wal-Mart's size and ability to chargc Icss than its competitors mcan it also has a devastating imp.ct 011 lIoll-grocery rctailers, who have sometimes reacted to Wal-Mart by closing, bllt even without closing, usually have reacted by spending less on upkeep and thcrcby blighting the area. I havc attached a list of retailcrs at particular risk hcrc of becoming blighted other than the Ralphs. Please obtain an Environmental Impact Report to look at this problem. o 1tf ' B,ll Lathrop, Presidcnt UFCW Local 1167 Il!>~([) Jul 06 01 10:56a UFCW LOCAL 1167 , o o o Store Al bertsons Rite Aid Stater Bros Stater Bros Radio Shack University Town Center Cleaners #6501 #5711 #36 #107 Address 140 W. 40th SI. 949 Kendall Dr. 161 East 40th SI. 977 Kendall Dr 4434 N. University Parkway 4434 N. University Parkway 9098775986 p.3 City San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino .-I) .: ...~ -~ ORANGE COUNTY --- - - - BUSINESS COUNCIL The Impact of Big Box Grocers I .J" Southern California obs, Wages, and Municipal Finances <ECUTIVE SUMMARY lrpd for the Orange County Business Council ion Boarnet, Ph.D. :i,ce Professor rL'Tlent of Urban and Regional Planning and Economics .rsity of California at Irvirie ;all Crane, Ph.D. jate Professor c nf Public Policy and Social Research _ "sity of California at Los Angeles =J<ecutive Summary Highlights the key finding from the research. Persons desiring a more )Iete description of the research are referred to the final report, available on-line at . -' oebc.org. The opinions expressed in this report ore those of Professors Boornet and Crane. .'~GE COUNTY BUSINESS COUNCIL '~~K PLAZA SUITE 100 IRVINE,CALlFORNIA 92614.5904 . 949.476.2242 FAX 949.476.2240 www.ocbc.org ""l_HE COPY OFTHIS REPORT IS AVAILABLE ONLINE ATWWWQCBC.ORG EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD Thomas H. Nielsen President 0 The Nielsen Company CHAIRMAN ElECT Thomas P. Merrick President Strategic Planning Associates IMMEDIATE PAST CHAIRMAN Dick Allen President DIMA Ventures,/nc. PRESIDENT, CEO & SECRfj-:",R.Y Stan Oftelie President & CEO OCBC TREASURER Robert B. Grant Managing Partner Deloitte & Touche LLP VICE CHAIR.BOARD DEVELOPMENT Wayne D.Wedin President Wedin Enterprises VICE CHAIR-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Peter Case Senior District Vice presidenO Merrill Lynch VICE CHAIR.LONG RANGE PLANNING Bill Ross Vice President, Public Affairs Disneyland Reson VICE CHAIR-PUBLIC AFFAIRS Jo Ellen Allen, Ph.D. Director of Public Affairs Southem u,/ifomia Edison Company VICE CHAIR-STRATEGIC INITIATIVES Robert Hovee President RAH Consulting Group Inc. VICE CHAIR. SPECIAL PROJECTS Gary H. Hunt Executive Vice President The Irvine Company EXECUTIVE STAFF VICE PRESIDENT RESEARCH & COMMUNICATIONS Wallace Walrod VICE PRESIDENT BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT William Carney o VICE PRESIDENT DEVELOPMENT & INVESTOR RELATIONS Mike Noonan VICE PRESIDENT PUBLIC AFFAIRS lulie Puentes ~ IiI) ,. --~ () ORANGE COUNTY BUSINESS COUNCIL There is a revolution going on in your grocery store. It is a change that is in its earliest stages. but it is a change so profound that Goldman Sachs said earlier this year that it is "the biggest secular market share shift in American retailing today - bigger so far than even the Internet." It is a megatrend that is both consumer-driven and a decision by the so-called big box discount retailers to sell groceries, produce, dairy, and other food products, promising benefits in the form of lower prices and greater choices for consumers. It is a megatrend that will affect what we eat and where we buy it. And it is a mega trend that is collding with an extraordi- narily complex local issue - the fiscali2ation of land use by local government decisionmakers. o For more than 20 years, cities have been romancing big box retail stores - the sales tax generating land uses that bring tax dollars into city government to pay for police, fire, and other municipal services, However, as the report - The Impaa of Big Box Grocers on Southern California - illuminates, the decision by big box discount retail stores to expand from taxable (and tax-generating) products to non-taxable (and non-tax generating) groceries could have a profound effect on municipal finances while generating significant community impacts. To place this national megatrend in a local decision making context, the Orange County Business Council asked UCI Professor Marlon Boarnet and UCLA Professor Randall Crane to explore the impact of big box discount retailers moving into the grocery business - and to develop a checklist that local government officials could use to assess the expansion or conversion of existing retailers into the new supercenters. OCBC believes that the relation- ship between land use decisions and local finance economics deserves closer examination. The liS-page report Drs. Boarnet and Crane developed is summarized in this document. It does not advocate nor oppose supercenters or big box retail centers, but does offer key questions on municipal finance and community impacts that local government officials should consider when confronted with local land use decisions which will shape their communities. We hope this study will provide context and assistance to the serious deliberations of decisionmakers who will help shape the revolution that is going on in our grocery stores and our big box retail discount stores. Sincerely, ~eM1 Ob~ o President and CEO Orange County Business Council EXECUTIVE SUMMARY T he research report, The Impaa of Big Box Grocers on Southern Califor- nia: Jobs. Wages. and Municipal Finances. was prepared for the Orange County Business Council by Professors Marlon Boarnet (Uni- versity of California. Irvine) and Randall Crane (University of California, Los Angeles), The author is publish broadly in the areas of local eco- nomic development, land use, and municipal fiscal policy. The Orange County Business Council also has a long-standing interest in both the fiscal impacts of local land use issues and the economic impacts of govemment decision-making and the changing California business climate, In this report they examine the enormous. and ever-growing retail grocery business, and the many changes occurring this industry. One of the most important developments is the combination of big- box discount retail and grocery sales into a single store known as a supercenter. Several discount retailers, including K-Mart and Target, have experimented with the supercenter format, but Wal-Mart has been the fastest growing developer of supercenters in the past de- cade. While K-Mart and others have experimented with retail grocery sales in recent years, Wal-Mart has quietly become the second largest grocer in the country by adding large grocery stores to their retail stores to form supercenters that are often as large as 220,000 square feet. For that reason, this research focuses on the potential impacts of the entry ofWal-Mart supercenters into the Southern California mar- ket. Vet the analysis is intended to illustrate some of the impacts of supercenters more generally. while using the case ofWal-Mart as an example of a potential near-term entrant into the Southern California retail food business. This study is designed as an aid to public decision-making regarding supercenters. which have negative as well as positive impacts. Neither are always well understood, or carefully consid- ered, in the municipal race for sales tax revenue. However, this report clearly shows that the fiscal benefits of supercenter, and of discount retail more generally, are much more complex, and often lawer. than they {lrst appear, POLICY QUESTIONS The nature of the grocery business has changed dramatically in some areas, with conventional gro- cery stores having difficulty competing on wages. Cities, starved for sales tax revenue but also protective of their existing retail base, are un- sure of how these big-boxes will affect either their economic structure of their fiscal bottom line. This study is designed mainly as an aid to public decision-making regarding such projects, which have negative as well as positive impacts. Neither are always well understood, or consid- ered, in the municipal race for sales tax revenue. KEY FINDINGS 0 [J The aggressive entry of supercenters such as those operated by Wal-Mart into the Southern California grocery business is ex~ peeted to depress industry wages and benefits at an estimated impact ranging from a low of $500 million to a high of almost $1.4 billion per year. potentially affecting 250.000 grocery industry employees, tJ The full economic impact of those lost wages and benefits throughout Southern California could approach $2.8 billion per year. g Discount retail chains that operate supercenters, including Wal-Mart. typically offer much less comprehensive health care coverage than major California grocery chains. One negative economic impact of Supercenters could be a dramatic reduction in health coverage for most of the 250,000 grocery employees in California. This can 0 lead to lower quality of care for grocery employees whose health insurance benefits are reduced. iii The fiscal benefits of supercenters. and of discount retail more generally. are often much more complex, and lower. than they first appear, This is particularly true when big box retailers close existing stores to move into larger quarters elsewhere. when they expand an existing store into food. and when retailers reconfigure an existing store to sell food without expansion. In each case the additional tax revenues gen- erated will in part come from existing businesses elsewhere in the city in the form of lost market share. D Supercenters, especially Wal-Mart supercenters. are often conversions of ex- isting discount retail stores. Thus local of- ficials should carefully consider the possibil- ity of a future conversion to a supercenter. and any attendant negative economic. fis- cal. or land use impacts. when approving big box discount retail projects. even when () the proposes land use does not include immediate plans for grocery sales. THE IMPACT OF BIG BOX GROCERS ON SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA o THE ECONOMIC IMPORTANCE OF THE GROCERY INDUSTRY The grocery industry is an often unnoticed but viral part of many local economies. In an era of increasing part.time em. ployment and reduced pay and benefits, grocery chains pro- vide what is becoming increasingly rare - entry level jobs that pay living wages with good benefits. The retail food sector employs 250,000 persons in California; slightly more than half of those are in the Southern California region. Of the 128.000 Southern California grocery employees, the 80,000 employees of the major chains are unionized and earn at- tractive wage and benefit packages. The average grocery employee at a major Southern California chain earns $32.385 on a full-orne annual basis - virtually the same as the average statewide pay for all job sectors. o It is also instructive to compare grocery employment and wages with other industries that are commonly considered an important part of the Southern California economy. Em- ployees of me major grocery chains earn wages that are es- sentially the same as the average annual wage paid in the con- struction industry. and the 80,000 unionized Southern Cali- fornia grocery workers number about one-third of the region's total construction employment. Few doubt the role that construction plays in providing good wages and economic oppor- tunity to persons with entry-level skills. Grocery employment serves a similarly important role in the economies of South- ern California cities and for the entire region. Compared to other industries that provide entry-level jobs, such as the tour- ism sector, wages at major grocery chains are close to double what can be earned in. for example, hotel and motel employ- ment. Major Southern California grocery ch.1ins also pay. on aveldge, more than twice as much as the pay earned by gen- eral merchandise employees. This is representative of the pay gap between grocery stores and the discount retail firms that have entered the grocery market in other SGltes. o - WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR ORANGE COUNTY AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA? Three sets of policy issues are imporGlnt I. Supercenters are often conversions of exist- ing discount retail stores, and local officials should be aware of that possibility, In 1999, Wal-Mart estimated that 72% of all new Supercencers would be built by converting existing Wal-Mart discount centers. Because the grocery and general retail industries differ dram.1tiC1l1y in their pay scales, function within the community. and abil- ity to generate sales tax revenues, this is far from a simple expansion of an existing business. local offi- cials should be aware of the possibility for conversions of existing discount centers into supercenters. 2. The grocery industry in Southern Califor- nia pays substantially higher wages, and offers better benefits, than many of the dis- count retail chains that currently operate supercenters. 8y far the largest controllable cost in the grocery industry is wages and benefits. large labor cost differentials do not persist in the gro- cery business. Should a discount retailer enter the Southern California grocery market and compete effectively while paying wages below the current norm for the industry. the pressure on existing chains to lower wages and benefits would be im- mense. As an example, estimating that Wal-Mart supercenters could capture from 10% to 20% of the Southern California grocery market, we calcu- late the direct value of lost wages and benefits to range to nearly $1.4 billion per year, Accounting for the multiplier effect as those wage and ben- efit cuts ripple through the economy, the total economic impact on the Southern California economy could approach $2.8 billion per year_ 3. The fiscal benefits of supercenters, and of dis- count retail more generally, are often complex. Supercenters in particular combine many non-taxable food items under one roof with general merchandise. Furthermore, any discount retail out- let potentially shifts sales from existing local retail. and the net impacts on local sales tax revenues are far from cerrain. SUMMARY STUDY OVERVIEW A brief synopsis of the research is given below. For the full study. including citations for all information. data sources. and a detailed description of the meth- ods. see the full report, available at www.ocbc.org. The wage and benefit impacts of the entry of big box grocers into the region are estimated using a two step process, First, we estimate the market share that Wal-Mart supercen~ are expected to capwre in Southern California. based on current averages of between 47 and 57 stores per distribution center. Using data on market share and number of stores in several urban areas. we conclude that one distribu- tion center roughly tr.msJates to a 10% market sh.lre of Wal-Mart supercenters in Southern California. The assumptions that let to that estimate were uniformly conservative. and so we also use an estimate of 20% long-run market share for supercenters. comparable to the major existing chains in Southern California. ESTIMATES OF REGIONAL INCOME LOSSES I'N 'MILLIONS) FROM LOWER WAGES PAID BY BIG BOX GROCERS 3.000 2,500 2,000 1.500 500 .~ $7.97 $8.62 $9,26 WAGE GAP BETWEEN MAJOR. GROCERY CHAINS AND DISCOUNT RETAILERS o We then calculate the wage impacts of these market share estimates, Even a 10% market share for supercenters is a substantial competitive threat to existing chains. and those chains are likely to respond aggressively. Case studies of similar competition be- tween low and high labor cost grocers illustrate that grocery chains cannot tolerate large labor cost gaps. This evidence indicates that in the short-term gro- cery chains typically seek to close approximately one half of the wage gap with major competitors. Over the long term. the grocery chains may seek to lower wages to their workers to eliminate the entire differ- ence between their pay and that of discount retail employees an average difference of over $9 an hour currently. o Using data on current wages and benefits. we calcu- lated that the direct impact on workers in Southern California would likely fall in the range of about $500 million to $1 .4 billion per year in lower pay. depending on the big box grocers' market share, Using the South- ern California Association of Governments estimates of how these lowered wages would impact the re- gional economy. the total regional drop in spending ranges from about $1 billion to over $2.8 billion per year, The numbers will rise the larger the market share of big box grocers. and could well top even these figures over time. III.OWESTlMA1E In addition. we find that the tax rev- enue impacts of big box grocers are uncertain. While big box retail does typically capture taxable sales from out- side the jurisdiction. it also captures business from local retail. thus hurting the local economic base of the com- munity. There is evidence as well that the initial growth in sales tax revenues from the big boxes may not be either steady or sustained in some situations. o _ MEDIUM ESTIMATE II HIGH ESTIMATE More to the point of this report, a much larger share of food sales are not tax- able at all. Most of the Wal-Mart supercenters result from the conver- sion of existing Wal-Marts into a combination of general merchandise and food sales. Thus. the floorspace devoted to taxable sales may actually fall as these conversions continue. There is also evidence that general merchandise stores are far more vulnerable to market shifts than food stores, Thus. this trade off presents itself: big box ret- ailers will most likely boost overall retail sales and tax o THE IMPACT OF BIG BOX GROCERS ON SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA o revenues on entry, only to be among the first to con- solidate or fold when conditions begin to change, If a big box were to include food sales in its operations, then free-standing food stores would likely yield mar- ket share and in some cases become vacant, while taxable sales from grocery operations would shift to locations that are much ore prone to the impacts of regional business cycles, GENERAL MERCHANDISETAXA8LE SALES PER PERMIT IN LAGUNA NIGUEL 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 o o 199011991119;211993 1994 1995 1996 1997 (NOTE:THEWAL.MART OPENED IN 1995) HOW SHOULD LOCAL OFFICIALS PROCEED? These potential impacts are significant, with respect to both the Vitality of the local economy and the pub- lic budget bottom line. The transformations in the grocery industry thus present local officials with some key policy considerations. The grocery business is a vital part of the economic and the community fabric of most every municipality in the region. The changes occurring in that business have the potential to quickly and adversely affect the economic health of localities, and officials should be aware of that potential as they evaluate future discount retail projects. In particular, the following questions are important in evaluating discount retail projects. o I, Is there potential for changes in the use of the property? Discount retail chains are increasingly taking on the functions of grocery stores, In light of that trend, local officials should both be aware of the potential for the conversion of discount retail sites into supercenters and inquire about future plans for discount retail stores seeking lo- cal planning commission and city council approval. 2. How will the discount retail store affect the 10 cal labor force? Discount retail chains traditionally pay substantially less than the grocery industry in Southern California. local officials should care- fully asses the possibility that a particular discount retail project might depress wages in other stores in the municipality, 3, What are the fiscal impacts of a discount retail store? At the most general level, local business both require public services and have the poten- tial to produce local taX revenues - a point often missed when officials focus exclusively on the taX revenue side of the equation. Any land use, even big box retail oudets that are perceived as mu- nicipal cash "cows", must be carefully evaluated. Some land uses do not generate tax revenue that outweighs municipal costs. In other in- stances. the data in the full report (particularly Chapter 3) suggest that discount retail stores produce only short-term increases in local sales tax revenue. And the cyclical nature of retail sales tax revenue suggests that the revenue streams from supercenters might be highly vari- able over time. Local officials should carefully evaluate these and related issue when they as- sess the fiscal impact of a discount retail oudet or supercenter. For decades, grocery stores have been hidden but important parts of the health of many Southern Cali- fornia municipalities, Recent changes in the grocery industry have the potential for catching local officials unaware of the possible impacts in their communi- ties. The full report (available at www.ocbc.org) highlights the potential for economic impacts as dis- count retail chains develop supercenters, while also emphasi2ing the uncertain nature of any local fiscal benefits, Local officials should carefully evaluate the implications for their communities. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY o o o . o The Impact of Big Box Grocers on Southern California: Jobs, Wages, and Municipal Finances Prepared for the Orange County Business Council By o Marlon Boarnet, Ph,D. Associate Professor Departments of Urban Planning and Economics University of California at Irvine 949-824-7695 mgboarne@uci.edu and Randall Crane, Ph.D. Associate Professor School of Public Policy and Social Research University of California at Los Angeles 3 10-206-1859 crane@ucla,edu with the assistance of Nicholas Compin, Angela Koos, Gregg Macey, and Amanda Wallace. Final Report: September 1999 o o o o o o o Executive Summary The following research analysis, The Impact of Bil! Box GrocerI on Southern California: Joh... Wal!eI. and Municipal Finances. was prepared for the Orange County Business Council by Professors Marlon Boarnet (University of California. ]rvine) and Randall Crane (University of California, Los Angeles). The authors publish broadly in the areas of local economic development, land use. and municipal fiscal policy. The Orange County Business Council also has a long- standing interest in both the fiscal impacts of ]ocalland use issues and the economic impacts of government decision-making and changing business climates in California. In this report they examine the enormous, and ever-growing retail grocery business. and the many changes occurring in this industry. One of the most important developments is the combination of big-box discount retail and grocery sales into a single store known as a supercenter. Whi]e K-Mart and others have experimented with retail grocery sales in recent years, Wal-Mart has quietly become the second largest grocer in the country by adding large grocery stores to their retail stores to form massive retail "supercenters", often as large as 220,000 square feet. This stUdy is designed as an aid to public decision-making regarding such projects, which have negative as well as positive impacts. Neither are always well understood, or carefully considered, in the municipal race for sales tax revenue, However. thiI report clearly shows that the fiscal benefits of supercenters, and of discount retail more genera(()', are much more complex, and often lower, than the}'first appear. THE POLICY QUESTIONS . The nature of the grocery business has changed dramatically in some areas. with conventional grocery stores having difficulty competing on wages. . Cities. starved for sales tax revenue but also protective of their existing retail base, are unsure how these big-boxes will affect either their economic structure or their fiscal bottom line, This study is designed mainly as an aid to public decision-making regarding such projects. which have negative as well as positive impacts. Neither are always well understood, or considered. in the municipal race for sales tax revenue. And now the supercenters are coming to California. What will happen" KEY FINDINGS . The aggressive entry of supercenters such as thosc operated by Wal-Mart into the regional grocery business is expected to depress industry wages and benefits at an estimated impact ranging from a low of $500 million to a high of almost $1.4 billion per year, potentially effecting 250,000 grocery industry employees. (Chapters 2 and 4) . The full economie impact of those lost wages and benefits throughout southern California could approach $2.8 billion per year. (Chapters 2 and 4) . Discount retail chains that operate supercenters, including \Val-Mart, l)'pically offer much <) lcss comprehensivc health carc coveragc than major California grocery chains. One negative economic impact of Supercenters could be a dramatic reduction in health covcrage for most of the 250,000 grocery employees in California. This can lead to lower quality' carc for groccry employecs whose health insurance bencfits are rcduccd. (Chaptcr 2) . Thc fiscal bcnefits of supercenters, and of discount retail more gencrally, are oftcn much more complex, and lowcr, than thcy first appcar. This is particularly truc whcn big box retailers close existing stores to move into larger quarters elsewhcre, when they expand an existing store into food, and when retailcrs reconfigure an existing store to sell food without expansion. In each case the additional tax revenues generated will in part come from existing businesses elsewhere in the city' in the form of lost market share. (Chapter 3) . Supercenters, especially \Val-Mart supcrcenters, are often conversions of existing discount retail stores. Thus local officials should carefully consider the possibility of a future conversion to a supercenter, and any attendant negative economic, fiscal, or land use impacts, when approving big box discount retail projccts, cven when thc proposed land use does not include immediate plans for grocery sales. (Chapter 1) o o 2 o o o A CHECKLIST FOR Ev ALVA TING BIG Box RETAIL PROJECTS: Ovcrall, our analysis ofthcsc data iIlustratc thc grcat complcxity, and possiblc unintcndcd consequences, of the entry of large footprint discount rctail into thc grocery business. To help preparc local and regional officials to revicw proposed big box projects generally, wc suggest communities systematically assess thc positive and negativc local impacts of such projects. The following checklist is onc way to do so. It proposes a systcmatic rcview of the impacts on local workcrs. on municipal finances. and on othcr kcy community issucs. 1. Economic and Emplovment Impacts 5J How much will the new big-box outlet cut into existing local retail markct share? TASKS: "'> Nced to invcntory thc local rctail basc ,'C) Assess markct arcas and markct impacts 5J What will happen to the local work forcc" TASKS: :::) Asscss impact on cxisting local rctail c:> Calculate direct impact of job changcs. lowcr wagcs :c) Calculate impacts of Icss mcdical coveragc and othcr fringe benefits '. Calculate ripplc impacts of lowcr wagcs on local cconomy (multiplicr impacts) 5J Will the new big-box outlct Icad to vacancics or changes in local land use" TASKS: :c) Inventory vacant land and commercial properties. '. Assess rc-use or redevelopment possibilities for competing sites. 2. Municipal Finance Impacts 5J How much will the new development cost your municipality? TASKS: c:> Services and capital cxpcnditurcs: Calculate cost ofinfrastructurc & utilities (i.e.. strccts. scwcr connections, water lines, etc.) c:;' Traffic and othcr scrvice impacts? ::::> Calculate the cost of associated economic dcvelopment inccntivcs (c.g.. tax credits) ,"C' Asscss the impact ofrcdevelopment zonc tax-incrcment financing. 5J How much will the ncw developmcnt rcally changc local tax rcvenues? TASKS: ::::> Assess net changes in local retail salcs (e.g.. including sales lost to the new big box). ,~ Calculatc nct changcs in salcs and propcrty tax revenue. Examine the stability of the retail salcs tax revenue ovcr timc. 3 3. Communitv Impacts o Will the big-box footprint possibly expand in the future? In the same line of business? TASKS: ::') Ask about future plans up front ;::) Examine industry trends ,...,. Plan for expansion contingencies o What localities will benefit from and/or be disadvantaged by the big-box development. TASKS: -::) Assess the differences between local and regional impacts, ;::) Are local gains at the expense oflosses in other cities~ Must these be mitigated') o How will the new retail outlet affect your community's quality of life~ For example, will it reduce the appeal of a downtown core that you are trying to preserve or revitalize? TASKS: ;::) Inventory locations of competing retailers. ,...,. Assess impact on existing local retailers, 4 () o () .. o Contents o Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................1 The Policy Questions ................., ............. .......,................. ............,..... ..................... ......,.......... I Key Findings....,' ...............".... ........,.." ............, .......... ................... ...............,. ................,..",.... I A Checklist for Evaluating Big Box Retail Projects:................................................................3 1. Economic and Employment Impacts ..............................................................................., 3 2. Municipal Finance Impacts...... ..........." ..........., ................ .................,.... ................,..."....3 3. Community Impacts.......... ...... ........... ......", ..........".. ............." ......:.......,......, ...............".. 4 Lis t 0 f Tab les ............................................................................................................................... 6 Lis t of F i gures.............................................................................................................................. 8 Chapter I: Issues and Trends ................................................................................................... 9 A. Policy Issues.,.."........ ........,..,. ......",.." ..........,., ......., ...........,..... ........................., ................ 9 B: The Grocery Sector in the United States........................................................................... II I, Trends and Corporate Consolidations............................................................................. II 2. Competition........".... ...........".. ............... ......". ......"..,...... ..........".."............. ............ ..... 13 3. State of the Retail Food Industry ...................................................................................14 C: The Combination of Big-Box Discount Retail and Grocery Sales ................................... 19 D. The Economic Importance of the Grocery Industry .........................................................22 E. What This Means for Orange County ...............................................................................29 Chapter 2: Job and Wage Impacts.........................................................................................33 A. Differences in Employment & Wages Across Discount Retail & the Grocery Industry.. 33 B: Examples of the Labor Market Impact of Wage Differentials - Cases from Canada.......45 C. Wage and Benefit Impacts ofWal-Mart Supercenters in Southern California.................47 D. Projected Market Impact of Wal-Mart Supercenters in Southern California ...................48 E: Labor Market Impacts ....................",................................".............................................. 57 I. Economic Impact of Lower Wages Paid to Supercenter Employees ............................. 57 2. Economic Impact of Lower Wages Paid to Grocery Employees ................................... 58 F: Regional Induced Impacts and Land Market Impacts......................................................,63 1. Regional Impacts .,..,...........",..................."............,.........."...........",:"........,......,.......... 63 2. Land Market Impacts ........"........................"..........,........,.............................,,.."........... 64 Chapter 2 Appendix: Health Care Coverage Issues.............................................................. 67 Chapter 3: Municipal Finance Impacts .................................................................................80 A. The Fiscalization of Land Use Planning........................................................................... 80 B. Big Box Fiscal Experiences .............................................................................................. 81 C. Taxable Sales and Tax Revenues ...................................................................................... 83 D, The Fiscal Impacts of Big Box Grocers............................................................................ 84 E. Summary.. ..........,...... ..........,...... .........."..... .......,.., .............. ...........,......... ......................... 93 Chapter 4: Concluding Comments......................................................................................... 94 References ..................................................................................................................................99 Append i ces ...............................................................................................................................1 03 o 5 List of Tables o Table 1-1: EBITDA Multiples for Recent Supermarket Mergers and Acquisitions..................... 12 Table 1-2: Rates of Return ............................................................................................................13 Table 1-3: Food Store Sales by Size and Ownership (1997).........................................................15 Table 1-4: Types and l\umber of Stores (1988 vs. 1998)..............................................................16 Table 1-5: Median Average Store Size..........................................................................................16 Table 1-6: Supermarket Facts (Year End 1997) ........................................................................... 17 Table 1-7: Top Ten Food Retailers by Annual Sales ....................................................................18 Table 1-8: Top Ten Food Retailers by Store Count ......................................................................18 Table 1-9: Store Counts of Super Kmarts & Wal-Mart Supercenters...........................................20 Table 1-10: Wal-Mart Store Transformations ...............................................................................21 Table I-II: Total Yearly Employment for the Grocery Industry...................................................22 Table 1-12: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the Grocery Industry ....................................23 Table 1-13: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for all Industries in California............................23 Table 1-14: Total Yearly Employment for the Construction Industry ...........................................24 Table 1-15: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the Construction Industry.............................25 Table 1-16: Total Yearly Employment for the Tourism Industry ..................................................26 Table 1-17: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the Tourism Industry....................................27 Table 1-18: Total Yearly Employment for the Hotel and Motel Industry......................................28 Table 1-19: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the Hotel and Motel Industry .......................28 Table 1-20: Big Box Retailers in Orange County ..........................................................................29 o Table 2.1: Total Yearly Employment for the Grocery Industry .....................................................34 Table 2.2: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the Grocery Industry.......................................34 Table 2.3: Total Yearly Employment for the General Merchandise Industry ................................35 Table 2.4: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the General Merchandise Industry ................35 Table 2.5: Total Yearly Employment for the Variety Store Industry............................................36 Table 2.6: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the Variety Store Industry .............................37 Table 2-7: Hourly Wage Structure of the Major Grocery Chains in Southern California ............39 Table 2-8: Comparative Benefit Analysis .....................................................................................41 Table 2-9: Comparison of Southern California Grocery & Wal-Mart Wages ...............................44 Table 2-10: LA Metro Area Market Share Information................................................................50 Table 2-11: Market Share Points Per Store ...................................................................................51 o 6 o o o ~ Table 2-12: Regional Supermarket Market Share Percentages ....................................................52 Table 2-13: Market Share Information, Selected Comparison MSAs............................................53 Table 2-14: Estimated Wal-Mart Southern California Market Share.............................................54 Table 2-15: SCAG County Population Forecasts...........................................................................56 Table 2-16: Direct Economic Impact of Lower Wages Paid to Supercenter Employees..............57 Table 2-17: l\ear-Term Indirect Economic Impact from Lower Wages ........................................59 Table 2-18: Indirect Economic Impact of Lower ...........................................................................60 Table 2-19: Estimates of Total Wage and Benefit Impact .............................................................61 Table 2-20: Estimates of Total Regional Wage and Benefit Impact..............................................63 Table 2-21: Large-Scale Vacancies in Orange County and Site Information...............................64 Table A2-1: The Cninsured in Major Metropolitan Areas............................................................ 70 Table A2-2: Percent Distribution ofCninsured Households by Income Level, 1990-1995.........71 Table A2-3: Trends in Health Insurance Coverage ....................................................................... 72 Table A2-4: Percent Cninsured by Age and Gender, 1990-1995..................................................73 Table A2-5: Sources of Health Insurance...................................................................................... 74 Table A2-6: Reasons for Ineligibility of Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance ........................75 Table A2-7: l\umber of Workers Offered, Accepting; Ineligible, ................................................ 76 Table A2-8: Getting Medical Attention......................................................................................... 78 Table A2-9: Studies Examining the Relationship Between Insurance and Health .......................79 Table 3-1: Wal-Mart Locations in Orange County and Opening Dates.........................................88 Table 3-2: Sales Per Square Foot and Selling Square Fool...........................................................91 Table 3-3: Pearson's Correlations for Orange County Taxable Sales............................................92 7 List of Figures o Map I-I.............................................................................................................................31 Chart 2-1: Components of Hourly Wage ..........................................................................42 Chart 2-2: Estimates of Total Wage and Benefit Impacl.................................................. 62 Figure 2-1. Vacant Grocery Store in Costa Mesa ...........................................................64 Figure 2-2. Vacant Grocery Store in Costa Mesa ............................................................65 Figure 2-3: Vacant Grocery Store in Costa Mesa............................................................ 66 Figure 3-1. Estimated Total Sales: Food Stores and General Merchandise ................... 84 Figure 3-2. Taxable Sales: General Merchandise as a Percentage of Total RetaiL........ 85 Figure 3-3: Food Taxable Sales as a Perccntage of Total Retail Taxablc Sales.............. 86 Figure 3-4: General Merchandise Taxable Sales per Permit ............................................ 86 Figure 3-5: Food Stores Taxable Sales per Permit ...........................................................87 Figure 3-6: General Merchandise Taxable Sales per Permit in Anaheim ........................ 89 Figure 3-7: Food Stores Taxable Sales per Permit in Anaheim........................................ 89 Figure 3-8: General Merchandise Taxable Sales per Permit in Laguna Niguel............... 90 Figure 3-9: Food Stores Taxable Sales per Pemlit in Laguna Niguel.............................. 90 o Figure 4-1. Estimates of Regional Income Loss From Big Box Grocers ..........:.............93 C) 8 - o Chapter 1: Issues and Trends A. POLICY ISSUES The grocery business in the United States is currently undergoing dramatic and rapid change. Some differences in food retailing arc evident even to casual observers - for example, stores across southern California have changed ownership and sometimes names as part of the recent mergers in the grocery industry. Yet the food retailing business is changing in ways that go beyond the larger trend toward corporate consolidation. Several major retail chains, all with little previous direct connection to the grocery business, have begun to combine discount retail and full-service grocery stores under one roof. These "supercenters" represent a restructuring that will have potentially more dramatic impacts on local public policy than the current wave of consolidation among traditional grocery chains. In this report, we examine the local and regional impacts of the trend toward combining discount retail and groceries under One roof. At first glance, the issues might seem minor - two classes of goods that previously were sold in different stores arc nOw increasingly sold in the same place. Yet that seeming ordinariness belies the importance of the grocery industry for local economics. There is little public awareness of the ways that the discount retail and groccry industries differ - differences that suggest that a trend toward merging the two activities will change the face of the grocery business. The policy issues from such a restructuring of the grocery business are twofold. o J. The trend toward combining discount retail and grocery sales raises the potential for unanticipated changes in local land uses. Discount retail firms, such as K-Mart, Target, and Wal-Mart, often build supercenters by adding a grocery store onto an existing discount center. When considering whether to approve specific discount retail stores, local officials might often not consider the possibility - a very real possibility, as this report documents - that the store will expand in the near future into full service grocery sales. This might seem nothing more than an ordinary expansion of the floor space ofa particular business. Yet the expansion of a retail store into groceries is an expansion from one business sector into a different line of business, with different competitors and different community, economic, and fiscal impacts. The food retailing and discount retailing industries . differ dramatically, so that an expansion of a discount retail site to include grocery is best considered a change in the land uSe rather than a simple expansion of an existing land uSe. Most importantly, grocery and discount retail have different impacts on the local community, cconomy, and municipal revenue stream. This Icads to the second policy issue. 2. Because of differences in pay and benefits in the discount retail and grocery sectors, a shift from traditional grocery stores to supercenters creates the very real risk that high wage jobs will be replaced with low wage jobs. o The grocery industry, nationally and in southern California especially, has traditionally paid good wages with amactive benefit packages. Average wage and salary pay for full-time hourly workers in major southern California chains is S32,386. The major southern California chains offer a complete benefit package, including health care coverage for employees and dependents, 9 and a retirement plan. Discount retail traditionally pays substantially less, uSeS more part-time 0 workers, and offers limited or no health insurance or retirement plans. Everything that is known about the discount retail chains now entering the grocery business suggests that supercenter employees earn wages and benefits comparable to discount retail employees, substantially less then what southern California grocery workers carn. Thl/s the development ,,(a robl/st sl/percenter sector in sOli/hem California will lead 10 the cOI1\'ersion ,,(high wage jobs into 101\' wage jobs. The purpose of this report is simple: The grocery business is changing and public officials should be aware of the potentially adverse impacts on cities and local economics. Yet the seeming ordinary nature of this issue is part of the policy problem. The pace of change in the grocery industry is rapid, and the everyday character of most persons' experience with groceries belies the importance of the retail food business for local economies. We show later that the entry of discount retailers into the southern California grocery industry can lead to wage and benefit losses that could be as high as nearly $ 1.4 billion per year. The economic impacts on specific communities can be quite large. Yet unless local officials arc aware of these issues now, they will be caught by surprise by the fast pace of change in the grocery industry. This report seeks to educate local officials about the policy importance of the changes in the grocery industry. In the rest of Chapter I, we discuss trends in the grocery business in the United States and more specifically in southern California. Two key points emerge from that discussion. First, discount retail firms are rapidly entering the grocery business. Second, discount retail and grocery are sufficiently different, in terms of pay, benefits, and employment practices, that the entry of discount retail into groceries will have profound economic impacts. We focus At. specifically on those labor market impacts, for the case of southern California, in Chapter 2. In \,I Chapter 3, we discuss the broader community and fiscal impacts that can result from the entry of discount retail into the food retailing business. The rest of this introductory chapter proceeds in four sections. Section B describes the food retailing business in the United States. Section C discusses the recent trend toward combining grocery sales with big-box discount retail. Section D discusses the economic importance of the grocery business. Section E discusses the implications of grocery trends for Orange County and southern California. o 10 - o B: THE GROCERY SECTOR IN THE UNITED STATES 1. Trends and COT/Jorate Consolidations A recent report on the U.S. food retail industry (S & P, 1998) identifies a few key trends that have emerged in the supermarket industry in the past several years. These trends arc as follows: . In an attempt to accommodate consumers' desires for increased shopping convenience, more and more food retailers arc experimenting with cyber supermarket aisles in the form of home delivery and on-line shopping; . In an attempt to increase customer loyalty and boost profit margins, food retailers continue to develop private-label products; . In an attempt to adapt to such demographic changes as the aging and increasing ethnicity of the U.S. population, supermarkets arc spending more time conducting market research: . In an attempt to counter competition from retail formats encroaching on their territory supermarket retailers arc opening more larger-sized combination food/drug stores: o . In an attempt to achieve growth in a mature industry where opportunities for internal growth through physical expansion have narrowed, supermarkets are expanding through mergers and acquisitions. While each of these trends has contributed to the changing face of the food retail industry, consolidation has been the underlying theme for the supermarket industry in the past several years (S & P, 1998). The U.S. food retail industry, historically highly fragmented and diversified, became increasingly consolidated in recent years. In the past year, Kroger's 513.5 billion merger with Fred Meyerwas the largest and most expensive deal in food retailing history. That merger created the nation's largest grocery store chain, with 2,200 stores in 31 states (Kroger, 1999). Albertson's recent merger with American Stores for S 11.7 billion made Albertson's the nation's second-largest retailer specializing in food and drugs, with approximately 1,800 grocery stores and 535 billion in annual sales (Progressive Grocer, 1999). In the midst of the recent mergers and acquisitions, Safeway dropped to the rank of third-largest chain (after being second for several years) with annual sales of around 525 billion. Safeway recently acquired Randall's Food Markets, a privately owned 116 store Texas-based chain, for approximately 51.8 billion. This neW partnership will allow Safeway to continue its growth strategy while re-entering the rapidly growing Texas market (Safeway, 1999). The California chain has also had much success with both its 1997 purchase of the Vons chain in southern California, which brought Safeway back to southern California after a decade-long absence, (S & p's Industry Surveys, Supermarkets & Drugstores, 24 Sept 98) and its recent acquisition of Dominick's for 51.2 billion (Progressive Grocer, 1999). o II Table I-I presents "Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization" (EBITDA) 0 multiples for many of the recent supermarket mergers and acquisitions that occurred in the U.S. food retail industry since late 1996. While many consolidations occurred in order to achieve economics of scale in volume-based purchasing, procurement, distribution, information technology, and corporate overhead, many were defensive moves spurred by the pressures from the newer entrants into supermarketing, most importantly discount retail chains. TabId-I: EBITDA Multiples for Recent Supermarket Mergers and Acquisitionsl Enterprise Enterprise Date Date No. of Value' EBITDA Value I Announced Comnleled Acouirer Tarl'et Stores ISmm} ISmm} EBITDA Oct-98 May-99 Kroger Fred Mcyer 821 12,890 ; 1275 10.1 Aug-98 May-99 Albertson's American Stores 1.557 11,865 1261 9.4 Aug-98 Apr-99 Safeway Carr-Gottstein 49 332 45 7.3 OCI-98 Kov-98 Safeway Dominick's 112 1,855 170 10.9 May-98 Oct-98 Ahold Giant Food 170 2.634 248 10.6 Jan-98 Oct-98 Albertson's Buttrey Food & Drug 43 169 21 8.0 Feb-98 Mar-98 Somerfield Kwik Save 882 780 229 3.4 Kov-97 Mar-98 Fred Meyer Ralphs Grocery 406 3,048 381 8.0 J\ ov-97 Mar-98 Fred Mcycr Quality Food Centers 147 1.569 131 12.0 Scp-97 Mar-98 Richfood Farm Fresh 110 253 ' 38 6.6 Jan-98 Jan-98 Albertson's Seessels Holdings of 10 88 10 9.0 () Bruno's Jul-97 K ov-97 Jitney-Jungle Delchamps 128 236 42 5.7 May-97 Sep-97 Fred Meyer Smith's Food & Drug 151 1,955 240 8.2 May-97 Aug-97 Giant Eagle Riser Foods 36 469 56 8.3 Kov-96 Mar-97 Quality Food Hughes Family Markets 56 391 49 8.0 Centers Kov-98 KIA. J Sainsbury Star Markets' 53 490 48 10.3 Apr-97 KIA. Kohlberg Kravis Randall's Food Markets 122 714 ' 93 7.7 Roberts Mar-97 KIA. Lund Food Byerly's II 90 13 6.7 Dec-96 KIA. Dart Group Shoppers Food 225 40 ' 5.7 Warehouse Dec-96 KIA. Bruno's Seessels Holding 10 63 7 8.5 Sources; SEe Filings and Progressive Grocer's 6(jf/l Annual Report of/he Grocery Indusl1)', April 1999. l EBITDA = Earnings Before Interest, Taxes. Depreciation and AmoI1ization 2 Enterprise Value = market value of equity plus net debt minus cash and cash equivalents J Revenues, EBITDA and EBIT from Fred Meyer include acquisitions nfSmith's, QFe and Ralphs. ~ Does not include options granted to Fann Fresh to purchase 1.5 million RFH shares at 525. 5 Imnlied transaction value. assumin[! a 64% acauired stake: includes ootions to nurchasc 3.6 million Randall's shares at $11.11. o 12 o 2. Comvetition Competition in the grocery industry is largely a function of product price and quality, store location, quality of service, product variety, and overall store reputation. Because food retailers are interacting in such a fiercely competitive market, it is not unCommon for these retailers to see profit margins of only I or 2 percent on sales. This is illustrated in Table 1-2. Table 1-2: Rates of Return I Comoanv Albertsons Inc American Stores Co Food Lion Ine Giant Food Inc Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea ,Year End Jan' Jan' Dec Feb' Feb' Return on Revenue (%) , Return on Assets (%)' 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.5 10.9 12.1 12.0 11.2 10.4 1.4 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.5 3.9 4.9 4.4 3.8 3.4 0.1 1.9 2.1 2.3 1.7 0.2 6.1 6.7 6.7 5.0 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.2 1.7 6.9 6.8 7.1 5.8 4.7 0.0 NM 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.1 NM 2.0 2.5 2.1 Hannaford Bros Co Dec 2.6, 2.7 2.7 2.5 1.8 7.0 7.4 7.6 7.0 4.9 Kroger Co Dec 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.7 3.9 5.9 6.5 6.5 7.3 Meyer (Fred) Inc Jan' 2.4 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.9 5.9 0.5 1.9 3.5 3.4 0 Publix Super Mkts Inc N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. Ruddick Corp Sep 1.7 IT 1.9 2.0 2.1 5.3 5.2 5.8 5.6 5.7 Safeway Inc Dec 0.8 1.6 2.0 2.7 2.8 2.4 5.0 6.4 8.6 8.9 Supervalu Inc N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. N/A. Whole Foods Mia Inc Sep 1.2 2.2 1.7 NM 2.4 5.0 7.1 4.9 NM 7.5 Winn-Dixie Stores Inc Jun 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 11.7 10.3 10.0 10.0 7.3 Wal-Mart Stores Inc ^ Jan' 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.1 9.9 9.0 7.8 7.9 8.3 I Source: S & p's Industry Surveys, Sup('rmarkeL\' & Drug.\"(ores, September l'N8. unless otherwise no led. : l'\et income divided by operating revenues. 1 r\et income divided by average total assets. . Of the following calendar year. r-;~ - not meaningful f\;/A. - nol available. ^ Source: S & p's industry Surveys. Re/ailing: General, OCIIQQ~. At first glance, these narrow profit margins seem to indicate that the grocery industry is a highly saturated market with no room for new competitors. A closer look at food retailers' rates of return, however, indicates that the opportunity for new competitors to be profitable does in fact exist. More specifically, some food retailers arc realizing a return on assets of 10 percent or more, indicating that neW market entrants who are able to achieve high sales volume will be able to successfully enter the food retail industry. o 13 In the past, food retailers commonly competed with local, regional, and national supermarket chains, as well as with convenience stores, membership warehouse clubs, specialty retailers, and discount food stores. In recent years, however, food retailers also faced competition from supercenters. In 1998, a few of the larger supermarkets, including Hannaford Bros and Winn- Dixie Stores, specifically cited Wal-Mart as a major source of competition in the geographic regions in which they competed (Hannaford Bras', 1998; Winn-Dixie's SEC Form lOoK). Several other major supermarkets, including Albertson's, Safeway, and Food Lion, mentioned supercenters in general as a source of competition. 3. State of the Retail Food Industrv According to Progressive Grocer (S & P, 1998), at year end 1997, total grocery store sales were 5436.3 billion, of which 5334.5 billion (77%) was contributed by the approximately 30,300 supermarkets in the LT.S. that had 52 million or more in annual sales. 18,955 (63%) of these supermarkets were affiliated with a chain, and they had sales of 5262.0 billion (78% of all supermarket sales). The remaining 11,345 supermarkets were independently operated, and they had sales of 572.5 billion. Table 1-3 provides a more detailed overview of food store sales by size and ownership at year end 1997. 14 o o o - Table 1-4 provides a comparison of how the types and number of food retail stores have changed Over the past ten years. The recent industry trend of mergers and acquisitions has greatly contributed to the increases in both the large ($2+ million) and chain supermarkets. o 15 - - - <) Table 1-4: Types and Number of Stores (1988 vs. 1998) 1988 1998 Number %of Number %of Total Total All Stores 148,000 100.0 126,000 100.0 Supermarkets (S2+ million) 30,400 20.5 30,700 24.4 Chain Supermarkets 16,850 11.4 19,530 15.5 Independent Supermarkets 13.550 9.1 11,170 8.9 Other Stores (< 52 million) 62,600 42.3 37,550 29.8 Convenience Stores 55,000 37.2 57,000 45.2 Wholesale Club Stores N/A. N/A. 750 0.6 Sources: 56th AI1111W/ Report offllc Grocery industry. April 1989. and 66th Annual Report oj" the Gron.'/l.' /ndliSlrl'. Amil 1999. as. cited in httn:/iwww.fmi.or!.!/kevfacts/storcs.html. As the number of both large (52+ million) and chain supermarket increases, it is not surprising that the median average store size is also increasing. Table 1-5 indicates that the median average store size has increased from 31,000 to 39,260 ft2 (27%) in eight years. 0 Table 1-5: Median Average Store Size Grocery Store Size Year (ft,) 1997 39,260 1996 38,600 1995 37,200 1994 35,100 1993 33,000 1992 32.400 1991 3 1.500 1990 31,000 Source: Food Marketing Industry Speaks, 1991-1998. as cited in htto://www.fmi.om/kevfacts/storesize.htrnl. Other interesting facts about the state of the supermarket industry at year end 1997 are found in Table 1-6. 0 16 o Table 1-6: Supermarket Facts (Year End 1997) 1 1997 Totals for the Industry' Number of Employees Number of Grocery Stores 3.5 million 126,000 Average Supermarket Square Feet of Typical Supemlarket ' Square Feet of Selling Area Number of Checkouts Number of Full-Time Employees Population Per Supermarket Households Per Supermarket Square Feet Per Person Square Feet Per Household Number of Items Per Supermarket' 39,260 27,723 8.8 64 8,820 3,259 3.14 8.5 30,000 o A verage Annual Performance ($) Sales Per Supermarket Sales Per Square Foot Sales Per Employee Sales Per Checkout 11,039,638 398.21 172,602 1258,186 Average Weekly Performance ($) Sales Per Supermarket Sales Per Square Foot Sales Per Employee Sales Per Checkout 212,300 7.66 3,319 24,196 1 Source; Table from Progressive Grocer's Annual Repor! qf the Grocery Indus,ry, as cited in S & p's Industry Surveys, April 1998 and 1999, unless othcrwise noted. 1 Source: Taken from Progressive Grocer as cited in httn:l/www.fmi.orc/food/suncrfact.html. Recall that at year end 1997, the supernlarkets with S2+ million in sales accounted for S334.5 billion of the S436.3 billion total grocery store sales in the U.S. The top ten food retailers had combined food sales of nearly S175 billion (40'% of total grocery store sales). Table 1-7 lists the top ten food retailers in terms of annual sales at year end 1997. (Note that recent consolidations. detailed elsewhere in this report and in the report appendices, have changed this ranking in several respects.) o Supervalu Inc (S 17,20 I million) and Fleming Cos (S 15,373 million) arc also among the top food retailers, but because their sales totals include revenueS from wholesale operations, their relative position in this ranking could not be determined. The top ten food retailers in terms of store count 17 as of mid-1998 can be found in Table 1-8. () Table 1-7: Top Ten Food Retailers by Annual Sales (Year End 1997) Rankin!! Comoanv 1 Kroger Co 2 Wal-Mart Stores 3 Safeway Inc 4 American Stores Co 5 Ahold USA 6 Albertsons Inc 7 Winn-Dixie Stores Inc 8 Meyer (Fred) Inc 9 Publix Super Mkts Inc 10 Great Atlantic & Pac Tea Co Net Sales (Million $\ 26,567 25,000 · 22,484 19,139 18,500 # 14,690 13,219 12,800 # 11,100 · 10,262 Source: Table from S & p's Industr)' Surveys. Supalnurker,\" &Drug\'torC'.\'. September lQ9~. . - reported as an estimate # ~ pro f(Jrma o Table 1-8: Top Ten Food Retailers by Store Count (Mid-I998) Rankin!! Como3nv I Kroger Co 2 Safeway Inc 3 Food Lion Inc 4 Winn-Dixie Stores Inc 5 Great Atlantic & Pac Tea Co 6 A lbertsons Inc 7 Ahold USA 8 Meyer (Fred) Inc 9 American Stores Co 10 Publix Super Mkts Inc No. of Stores 1,389 1,370 1,175 1,168 919 916 830 823 804 563 Source: Table from S & p's Industry Surveys, S'lfJermarkets & Drllf?stores, Seotember 1998. o 18 ~ o C: THE COMBINATION OF BIG-BOX DISCOUNT RETAIL AND GROCERY SALES Big-box discount retailers arc currently engaged in a rapid trend toward incorporating full-scale grocery stores into their discount centers. Michigan-based Meijer was the first to combine a grocery and general merchandise store, doing so in the 1960s (Meijer, 1999). They currently operate 116 supercenters in the Midwest. Fifty-nine of these stores arc located in Michigan, thirty-two arc in Ohio, nineteen arc in Indiana, five are in Kentucky, and one is located in Illinois. Their stores arc as large as 250,000 square feet, and most stores include forty deparTments featuring over 120,000 different items. Although information on Meijer's expansion plans was limited, none of the resourCeS available suggests that Meijer has plans to expand beyond the Midwest. More recently, Target has entered the supercenter business. Target has been experimenting with the supercenter format for four years. Target recognizes that the supercenter concept provides additional opportunities for future growth, yet its most recent annual report does not emphasize the expansion of traditional Target stores into SuperTargets. In 1998, for example, Target opened fifty-five neW Target stores, yet only fourteen of Target's 851 existing stores arc currently SuperTargets. Target plans to open only two additional SuperTargets in 1999. o Target's growth efforts instead appear to be focused on the expansion of traditional Target stores in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic regions of the U.S.. including Baltimore, Washington, D.C., Boston, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and greater Ne\v York City. At year end 1998, Target operated sixty-five stores in these regions. By the year 200 I, Target expects to double its store base in these regions (Dayton Hudson. 1998). Kmart introduced its Super Kmart concept in 1992. By 1995, the Super Kmart store count was at eighty-seven stores. Since 1995, however, the conversion of traditional Kmarts into Super Kmarts has slowed considerably. The annual growth rate in Super Kmarts was only 3 percent in both 1997 and 1998 (Kmart, 1999). At year end 1998, there were 102 Super Kmarts operating in twenty-one states throughout the U.S. (Kmart, 1998). While Kmart is a much bigger player in the supercenter business than Target,l the top priority of Kmart's rcal estate strategy is the completion of its comprehensive convcrsion of traditional Kmart stores to Big Kmarts (Kmart, 1999). Big Kmarts differ from Super Kmarts in that Super Kmarts aim to provide the ultimate shopping experience by combining a complete assorTment of fresh groceries with a broad selection of general merchandise (Kmart, 1999). Big Kmarts, on the other hand, emphasize those departments that arc most important to the typical Kmart shopper. Additionally, located near the front of each Big Kmart store arc everyday basics and consumables. These items are typically priced at a zero-to-three percentage differential from Kmart's leading competitors in order to increase inventory turnover and gross margin dollars (Kmart, 1999). By year end 1998, Kmart had 1,245 Big Kmart stores (Kmart, 1998). The remainder of eligible stores are expected to be converted during 1999 (Kmart, 1999). o I Be.hind Wal.Man and Meijer, Kmart was the third largest supcrccntcr finn in the U.S. in 1997 (Kman. 1999). 19 Wal-Mart, currently the number one general merchandise retailer in the U.S., began ~ experimenting with the supercenter concept in 1988. The recent growth ofWal-Mart Supercenters has far surpassed that of other retail supercenters, as is evidenced by the store count comparison for Wal-Mart Supercenters vs. Super Kmarts shown in Table 1-9. In 1999, for example, Wal-Mart plans to open 150 new Supercenters while Kmart expects to open only four neW Super Kmarts. Table 1-9: Store Counts of Super Kmarts & \Val-Mart Supercenters Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ' 2000 ' Super Kmart Store Count' o o 5 19 67 87 96 99 102 106 N/A. Percentage Chanl!e 280% 253% 30% 10% 3% 3% 4% N/A. Wal-Mart Store Count' 6 9 10 34 72 147 239 344 441 564 714 Percentage Chanl!e 100% 50% 11% 240% 112% 104% 63% 44% 28% 28% 27% o I Source: hnp:/Jwww.kmar1.cnm1tl_aboutlfinanciat:factbk_] 99S17.sun ; Source: \\'al.Mart Annual Report. 1999. 1 Estimates as stated in Kman Corp Annual Report. 199~, and,Wal.Man Annual Report. ]999 David Glass, the President and CEO of Wal-Mart Stores, discusses Wal-Mart's entry into the food business in Wal-Mart's 1998 Annual Report: "[The Supercenter concept] took the idea of retailing both general merchandise and food in the same building and created the convenience of 'one-stop shopping.' It has become our key domestic growth vehicle and will remain so for at least the next 10 years. This year alone we are going to open approximately 150 Supercenters in the Unites States as well as using it as a key vehicle in our international growth." Although many of the existing Wal-Mart Supercenters are located in the Midwest and Southeast, the threat of their entry into Southern California is very real. In 1999, it is estimated that 72 percent of the neW Wal-Mart Supercenters openings in the U.S. will be the result of conversions from traditional Wal-Mart Discount Stores into Wal-Mart Supercenters (Wal-Mart SEC Form 10- K, 1999) (see Table 1-10). Because California is currently the home to over 106 Wal-Mart discount centers, including Seven in Orange County, there is a very strong possibility that some of these conversions will occur in California. 0 20 o 'I Given Wal-Mart's rapid expansion, One can conclude that Wal-Mart is by far the most aggressive competitor in the supercenter business. At Wal-Mart's current superccntcr expansion pace, the firm will have more supercenters than traditional discount centers in less than ten years. Wal- Mart is a discount retail firm that is essentially transforming itself into a combination general merchandise/food retailing business. Because Wal-Mart is currently the most aggressive entrant into the supercenter market, much of this report will focus On the impacts of the entry of Wal- Mart Supercenters into Southern California. A thorough examination ofWal-Mart Supercenters will help grocery retailers better understand the effects and consequences of discount retailers' entry into the grocery industry. Table 1-10: Wal-Mart Store Transformations o Year 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 · 2000 · Number of Discount Store Conversions 37 69 80 92 75 88 90 Number of Supercenters Ooened 38 75 92 105 97 123 150 %of Supercentcr Openings Resulting from Conversions 97% 92% 87% 88% 77% 72% 60% Source: Wal-Mart SEe Form IO-K. January 1999, unless otherwise stated. . - Expansion plans as stated in Wal-Mart Annual Report. 1999. o 21 D. THE ECONOMIC IMPORTANCE OF THE GROCERY INDUSTRY ~ Table I-II shows grocery industry employment (standard industrial classification, or SIC, code 541) for southern California counties and statewide. Table 1-12 similarly shows average per employee wages paid to southern California grocery employees. For comparison, Table 1-13 gives average annual per employee wages for all businesses in California. Table 1-11: Total Yearly Employment for the Grocery Industry (SIC Code # 541) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 1,512 759 1,586 1,377 Los Angeles 64,655 61,375 61,341 60,513 Orange 20,532 19,136 21,056 21,075 Riverside 10,057 9,358 9,356 9,726 San Bernardino 10,338 10,371 10,778 10,633 San Diego 19,540 18,911 18,538 19,739 Ventura 5,203 4,840 4,899 5,408 Southern CA Region 131,837 124,750 127,554 128,4 71 0 CA State 247,117 238,913 241,180 250,206 Sour~: Countv Business P3Unu~ Annual (1991.19<)6); L'S. Depanment of Lmm. Bureau oflheCensus o 22 "1 0 Table 1-12: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the Grocery Industry (SIC Code #541) 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 517,222 515,749 515,830 515,717 Los Angeles 520,860 521,231 521,871 521.729 Orange 521,783 522,458 522,612 521.948 Riverside 521,873 522,357 523,307 522,410 San Bernardino 522.315 521,995 521,609 522.323 5an Diego 520,201 520,443 520,80 I 520,175 Ventura 521,890 522,999 523,424 520,429 Southern CA Region 521,096 521,483 521,905 521,508 CA State 520,996 521,495 521,923 521,154 All figures adjusted to 1999 dollars using the CPI-W index for the Los Angdes-Riverside-Orange County area (US Bureau of Labor Statistics). o Table 1-13: Total Yearl}' Payroll Per Employee for all Industries in California Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Statewide 530,120 530,669 531.232' 532.376 Source: County Business Pattems Annual (1993-1996): US Depanment of Labor. Bureau of the Census. . Payroll includes. all forms of compensation: salaries, wages, reported tips, commissions. bonuses etc... All figures adjusted to 1999 dollars using the CPI-W index for the Los Angdes-Riverside-Orangc County area (US Bureau of Labor Statistics). - Excludes most government employees. railroad employees, and sclf- emploved oersons o In 1996, the grocery industry in southern California paid wages that were 65.3% of the statewide average. That comparison should be treated with some caution, as the County Business Patterns data shown in Tables 1-11 through 1-13 do not distinguish between full and part-time workers. To the extent that some grocery employees work part-time, average annual full-time wages will be higher than what is shown in Table 1-12. That comparison understates the importance of the major chains in the southern California economy. Of the approximately 128,000 southern 23 California grocery employees, about 80,000 arc unionized. Those union members, employed by (It the major grocery chains (Albertsons, Hughes, Lucky, Ralphs, Smiths, Stater Bros., and Vons), earn substantially higher wages than the non-unionized grocery employees. Drawing on information from the southern California employers, we show (in Chapter 2) that the average grocery employee at a major southern California grocery chain earns S32,385 - virtually identical to average annual pay for all of California. Another way to get insight into the importance of the grocery industry is' to compare it to more highly visible sectors. Here we compare the grocery business to construction and tourism, because both arc commonly associated with the strength of the southern California economy. In Table 1-14, we show employment in construction jobs in southern California counties, while per employee annual wages for the construction industry arc shown in Table 1-15. Table 1-14: Total Yearly Employment for the Construction Industr)' (SIC Code # 15) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 1,552 1,642 1,342 1,350 Los Angeles 101,359 104,380 113,883 111,713 0 Orange 54,154 54,512 56,226 56,652 Riverside 23,428 21,478 23,435 25,280 San Bernardino 21,806 21,733 22,156 23.729 San Diego 40,905 42,000 45,098 48,457 Ventura 10,507 10,586 11,344 11,426 Southern CA Region 253,71 i 256,331 273,484 278,607 CA State 475,509 480,078 495,037 513,401 Source: County Business Pallt'llls Annual (I99J-19961: CS Department uf Labm. Hurcau ofthc ('CnsllS. o 24 o Table 1-15; Total Yearly Payroll Per'Emplo)'cc for the Construction Industry (SIC Code # 15) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 519,878 519,767 523,079 520,595 Los Angeles 531,727 533,425 532,648 533,578 Orange 531,697 532.346 531,690 533,598 Riverside 524,947 528,194 528,255 529,349 San Bernardino 527,190 529,115 528,685 529,012 San Diego 529,973 530,237 530,164 530,640 V cntura 528,085 529,209 528,902 529,527 Southern CARegion 530,199 531,608 531,142 532,069 CA State 531,501 532,50 I 533.113 533,750 Source: County Business Patterns Annual (1993-1996); US Depanmcnt of Lahor. Bureau of the Census. . Payroll includes all ronns of compensation: salaries, wages. reponed tips. commissions, bonuses etc... All figures adjusted to 1999 dollars using the CPI.W index for the Los Angeles-Rivcrsidc-Orangc County area (US Bureau of Labor Statistics). o Statewide and in southern California, grocery employment is approximately half as large as construction employment. Construction pays higher wages - based on the data shown in Tables 1-12 and 1-15, the average per employee wage in grocery is about two-thirds what is paid in construction. But again if attention is limited to the 80,000 employees of major southern California chains, grocery employees earn essentially the same annual wage as construction workers, on average. Few doubt that construction is vitally important to the southern California cconomy, and many recognize the role that construction jobs play in providing good wages and economic opportunity to persons with entry-level skills. Grocel)' employment selves a similarly important role. In southern California, the major grocery chains pay wages comparable to that earned in construction, and their 80,000 members in the region number about one-third the region's total construction employment. Tables 1-16 and 1-17 show, respectively, employment and per employee annual wages in tourism, which we define as hotels and motels (SIC 7010), racing and track operations (SIC 7948), amusement parks (SIC 7996), and miscellaneous amusement and recreation (SIC 7990). Employment and wages arc substantially higher in the grocery industry than in tourism. o 25 Table 1-16: Total Yearly Employment for the Tourism Industry (SIC Codes: # 7010, # 7948, # 7990, # 7996) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 493 559 519 481 Los Angeles 74,188 71,856 72,390 73,926 Orange n/a n/a n/a n/a Riverside n/a 16,133 n/a 17,914 San Bernardino n/a n/a n/a 8,168 San Diego n/a n/a n/a 40,002 Ventura 4,241 n/a n/a n/a Statewide 316.122 317,388 329,918 341.3 70 Source: County BusIness Patterns Annual ( 199)-1996); US Department of Labor, Bureau of the Census. TourISm Includes the Following lndustries: Hotel and Y10lel (SIC:; 7010), Racing and Track Operations (SIC # 7948). N1iscellaneous Amusement and Recreation (SIC # 7990). and Amusement Park ISIC # 7996). ct o o 26 o Table 1-17: Total Yearly PayroU Per EmpIo)'cc for the Tourism Industry (SIC Codes: # 7010, # 7948, # 7990, # 7996) Area 1993 ,.. 1994 1995 1996 Imperial S8,815 S8,41O S8,716 S9,122 Los Angeles S16,289 S17,171 S 16.363 S16,720 Orange n/a n/a n/a n/a Riverside n/a S15,189 n/a S16,184 San Bernardino n/a ilia n/a SII,240 San Diego n/a n/a n/a S 16,280 Ventura SI2,283 n/a n/a n/a Statewide S15,680 S15,912 S 15,663 S16.267 rourism Includes the Following Industries: Hotel and Motel (SIC # 7010), Racing and Track Operations (SIC # 7948), Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation (SIC # 7990), and Amusement Park (SIC # 7996) Source: County Business Patterns Annual (1993-1996): US Department of Lahor, Bureau of he Census. . Payroll includes all forms of compensation: salaries, wages, reponed tips, commissions, bonu!'.cs etc. All figures adjusted to 1999 dollars using the CPI.W index for the Los Angeles-Riverside- OranfJ'c Count'" area (US Bureau of Labor Statistics). o Because many of the categories of tourism employment do not report data at the county level, We isolate employment and wages in the hotel/motel sector in Tables 1-18 and 1-19. That more specific comparison with the grocery sector yields the same conclusions - the grocery industry employs more persons, and at higher wages. o 27 Table 1-18: Total Yearly Employment for the Hotel and Motel Industry (SIC Code # 7010) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 382 418 408 371 Los Angeles 39,916 36,682 37,248 36,617 Orange 18,418 17,618 17,354 18,571 Riverside 10,083 8,254 11,191 8,877 San Bernardino 2,855 2,790 2,811 3,238 San Diego 22,383 22,289 22,616 22,965 Ventura 2,225 2,394 2,036 2,006 Southern CA Region 96,262 90,445 93,664 92,645 Statewide 170.467 163,694 170,032 168,580 Slmn.:e: County Business Patterns Annual (1993-1996): CS Depanment of labor. Bureau of the Census f) . Table 1-19: Total Yearly Payroll Per Emplo)'ec for the Hotel and Motellndl1str)' (SIC Code # 7010) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial S8,603 S8,726 S8,62 I S9,228 Los Angeles S15,870 S16,758 S17,011 S 18,527 Orange S15,197 S15,432 S 15,246 S 16,278 Riverside S 13,424 S14,218 S14,119 S17,569 San Bernardino S9,122 S9,825 S9,729 . S9,184 San Diego S 15,698 S 15,553 S 15,424 S16,470 Ventura Sl3,l27 S13,381 SII,133 S 12,830 Southern CA Region S15,152 S15,63l S 15,572 S 16,987 Statewide SI5,364 S15,829 S15,865 S17,021 Source: County Business Patterns Annual (1993.1996); US Department of Labor. Bureau of the Census. * Payroll indudes all ronns of compensation: salaries, wages, reported tips, commissions, bonuses etc. All figures adjusted to 1999 dollars using the CPI-W index for the Los Angeles- Riversidc-OranlJe County area (US Bureau of Labor Statistics\. o o 28 '1 o E. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR ORANGE COUNTY Table 1-20 lists the big-box discount retail outlets in Orange County. The locations of Orange County discount centers arc also shown on Map I-I. Target has the most discount retail outlets in the county, with fifteen stores, followed by K-Mart, which has nine Orange County locations. K- Mart also has three K-Mart Super Centers in the county. Wal-Mart's presence in Orange County is exceptionally new - half of the Wal-Mart discount centers listed in Table 1-20 were built in 1997 or later. Table 1-20: Bill Box Retailers in Oranl'e Countv Costco 17900 Newhope St Fountain Valley 92708 900 S Harbor Blvd Fullerton 92832 11000 Garden Grove Blvd Garden Grove 92843 115 Technology Dr Irvine 92618 27972 Cabot Rd Laguna Nigucl 92677 2655 EI Camino Real Tustin 92782 22633 Savi Ranch Pkwy Yorba Linda 92886 Kmart 0 10870 Katella Ave Anaheim 92804-6116 2222 E Lincoln Anaheim 92806-4107 5885 Lincoln Ave Buena Park 90620-3461 2200 Harbor Blvd Costa Mesa 92627-2501 16111 Harbor Blvd Fountain Valley 92708-1305 19101 Magnolia Huntinl,>'\on Beach 92646-2233 1855 N Tustin Orange 92865-4604 2505 EI Camino Real Tustin 92782-8920 15440 Beach Blvd Westminster 92683-6237 Kmart Super Centers 26501 Aliso Creek Rd Aliso Viejo 92656-2882 1095 N Pullman Anaheim 92808-2516 1000 W Imperial Hwy La Habra 90631-690 I SAM'S Clubs 17099 Brookhurst Fountain Valley 92708 629 S Placentia Ave Fullerton 92831 16555 Yon Karman Ave Irvine 92606 12540 Beach Blvd Stanton 90680 o 29 <) Table 1-20 (cont.): Bi2-Box Retailers in Oran2e County Target 26935 La Paz Rd 1881 W Lincoln Ave 8148 E Santa Ana Canyon Rd 6835 Katella Ave 2920 Yorba Linda Blvd 13831 Brookhurst 12100 Harbor Blvd 9882 Adams Ave 3750 Barranca Pkwy 1000 E Imperial Hwy 24500 Alicia Pkwy 2191 N Tustin 3300 S Bristol 1330 E 17th 16400 Beach Blvd Wal-Mart 440 N Euclid St 2595 E Imperial Hwy 26502 Towne Centre Dr 27470 Alicia Pkwy 2300 N Tustin St 3600 W Mcfadden Ave 13331 Beach Blvd & I 22 Aliso Viejo Anaheim Anaheim Cypress Fullerton Garden Grove Garden Grove Huntington Beach Irvine La Habra Mission Viejo Orange Santa Ana Santa Ana Westminster Anaheim Brea Foothill Ranch Laguna Niguel Orange Santa Ana Westminster. 30 92656 92801 92808 90630 92831 92843 92840 92646 92606 90631 92691 92865 92704 92701 92683 92801 92821 92610 92677 92865 92703 92683 o o l o Ma 1-1 Big Box Retail in Orange County - By City O"~[" ..FhllcltC'1l1* ~1.Ja - ~Ul\........ '~, - ....--.-. " Sl:lr1l\lf1.. I "'* Cvpi'e;,", '* "-"...:;;.* *"-~n.h<irn "'Orange Gardetl Gl\lVt-_...._. ''''''......_ ....* .JI{ ..* . ../ . '* *_--Tlmm " SantA ;c\n11 *-M..._.Jrv~.,(: /:. '* ,,/ .' , HllIltingtO<l Be,1ch o C(l'Sra ,Mesa AU,() Vit,;,)' /'* /' Laguna Nigucl/ c:=J Orange County * 1 Big Box Retailer * 2 Big Box Rctailcl's * 3 or ~'lore Big Box Retailers t'J \V 1.1 o 7 14 Mile s s o 31 As We mentioned before, the economic concern is not big-box discount retail per se, but the trend 0 for discount stOreS to include full service grocery sales. Discount retail pays considerably less than the major grocery chains. The policy issue is thus that, if supercenrer grocery sales will crowd out sales in grocery chains, some otherwise well paying grocery jobs will become lower paying jobs. The growth of low wage jobs has become a source of concern in Orange County. The Orange Counry Business Council, drawing on data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, has shown that Orange Counry's per capita income growth from 1994 through 1996 was lower than competing high technolol,'Y regions such as the Silicon Valley, Seattle, Minneapolis/St. Paul, Austin, and San Diego. Per capita income growth in Orange County was also below both state and national averages during that time period. The Business Council has estimated that the majoflry of Orange County job growth from 1989 through 1997 was in relatively low paying SeCtOrs - for example, during those nine years, the county's service employment increased by 58% while manufacturing jobs in the county fell by 22%. Against that backdrop, it becomes important to encourage job I,'fowth in sectors that pay well - especially those sectOrs, like the I,'focery industry, that offer a living wage to persons with entry- level skills. The emergence of supercenters, which pay wages typical of the low-paying discount retail sectOr, threatens to convert many high wage jobs into low wage jobs. Because that fact is so central to the policy concerns in this area, we focus explicitly on the labor market impacts of supercenrers in the next chapter. o o 32 'I o Chapter 2: Job and Wage Impacts In this chapter, we examine the labor market impacts of the entry of discount retailers into the grocery industry in southern California. Because Wal-Mart supercenters arc currently the most vigorous potential competitor to southern California grocery chains, we focus on that possibility. But the arguments developed here arc general, and apply to any caSe where a new entrant in a market dramatically lowers labor costs. Using data on current wages and benefits, we calculate that the direct impacr on workers in southern California would likely fall in the range of about 5500 million to S 1.4 billion per year in lower pay, depending on the big box food sales market share. Using the Southern California Association of Governments estimates of how these lowered wages would impact the regional economy, the total regional drop in spending ranges from about S I billion to OVer 52.8 billion per year. The numbers will rise the larger the market share of big box grocers, and could well top even these figures over time. o The discussion below proceeds in four steps. Firsr, we discuss the differences in pay and benefits across the discount retail and grocery seClOrs, as those are vital for understanding the possibility that high wage jobs will be converted into low-wage jobs. Second, we describe what happened in Canada when a similar low-labor cost competitor entered the grocery business. Third, We estimate the likely impact that Wal-Mart will have On the grocery industry in southern California. Fourth, we examine the possible labor market impacts of competition from Wal-Mart, focusing on employment impacts, downward pressure on wages, and the implications for employee health benefits. A. DIFFERENCES IN EMPLOYMENT & WAGES ACROSS DISCOUNT RET AIL & THE GROCERY INDUSTRY Tables 2-1 through 2-4 show employment and per employee annual wages for the grocery (SIC code 541) and general merchandise retail (SIC code 53) seClOrs for 1993 through 1996.2 All wage data arc expressed in 1999 dollars. For the seven county southern California region, the per employee annual wage in the grocery industry was 521,508 in 1996; the per employee annual wage in general merchandise retail in 1996 was 514,432. In southern California, general merchandise employees earn, on average, about two-thirds the salary of grocery employees. That proportion is roughly constant for the four year rime period shown in Tablcs 2-1 through 2_4:' ~ According to the definition of the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code system, general merchandise retail includes stores that sell a number of lines of merchandise. such as dry goods, apparel and accessories. furniture. small wares, hardware, and food. o .1 The per employee wage data in Tables 2-2 and 2-4 allow comparisons between the broad categories of general merchandise retail and grocery. The question of competition between Wal-Mart and major southern California 1:,'TOccry chains is better infonned by specific comparisons. shown later in this chapter, for the major grocery chains and Wal- Man. for example, the wage data in Table 2-2 likely understate per employee wages among the employees at major grocery chains, who are represented by union contracts. Approximately 80,000 southern California h'Tocery employees, out ofa total employment ofapproximatcly 128,000 for SIC 541, are union members, All employees of the major southern California grocery chains are union members. Also note that, because County Business Panems does not 33 Table 2.1: Total Yearly Employment for the Grocery Industry (SIC Code # 541) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 1.512 759 1.586 1,377 Los Angeles 64,655 61,375 61,341 60,513 Orange 20,532 19,136 21,056 21,075 Riverside 10,057 9,358 9.356 9,726 San Bernardino 10,338 10,371 10,778 10,633 San Diego 19,540 18,911 18,538 19,739 Ventura 5,203 4,840 4,899 5,408 Southern CA Region 131,837 124,750 127,554 128,471 CA State 247,117 238,913 241.180 250,206 Source: County BUSiness Patterns Annual (1993-1996); CS Department of Labor. Bureau of the Census. (>> Table 2.2: Total Yearly PayroU Per Employee for the GroceI')' Industry (SIC Code #541) , , Area " ..' 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 517,222 515,749 515,830 515,717 Los Angeles 520,860 521,231 521,871 521,729 Orange 521,783 522,458 522,612 521,948 Riverside 521,873 522.357 523,307 522,410 San Bernardino S22,315 521.995 521,609 522,323 San Diego 520,20 I 520,443 520,801 520,175 Ventura 521,890 522,999 523,424 $20,429 Southern CA Region 521,096 521,483 521,905 521,508 CA State 520,996 521,495 521,923 521,154 :-:ote: . Payroll includes all fonns of compensation: salaries. wages, reponed tips. conunissions. bonuses etc. Clerical Workers (CPI-W) from tile US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)(1982-R4 '" lOll). Real rlollars calculated using the CPl index for the Los Angeles-Riverside--Orange County area Source' COllntv Business Patterns Annual (1993-1996): CS Depanmenl of Labor. Bureau oflhe rensm o rcp~Jrt infonnation on hours worked, the data in Tables 2-1 through 2-4 combine part-time and full-time workers. o 34 o Table 2.3: Total Yearly Employment for the General Merchandise Ind ustry (SIC Code # 53) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 1,629 1,505 1,451 1,264 Los Angeles 57,738 51,873 56,264 55,797 Orange 21,031 19,101 21,041 19,797 Riverside 10,843 10,203 10,726 10,236 San Bernardino 11,991 12,018 12,903 12,976 San Diego 18,388 17,662 18,953 18,612 Ventura 5,190 5,340 5,484 5,221 Southern CA Region 126,810 117,702 126,822 123,903 Statewide 220,198 209,937 222,399 216,454 Source: County Business Patterns Annual (1993-1996); L"S Department of Lahor. Bureau of the Census 0 Table 2.4: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the General Merchandise Industry (SIC Cod~ #53) Area , 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 513,002 513,725 513,637 S15,259 Los Angeles 513,998 515,483 ,514,404 514,290 Orange 514,023 515,724 514,300 514.753 Riverside 512,520 513.567 513.595 513,745 San Bernardino 513,537 514,230 514,055 514,300 San Diego 513,783 514,784 514,436 514,983 Ventura 512,761 514,239 513,630 514,235 Southern CA Region 513,737 515,044 514,245 514,432 Statewide 514,284 515,119 514,579 514,609 Source:: County Business Patterns Annual (1993-1996); L.:S Depanment of Labor. Bureau of the Census . Payroll includes all ronns of compensation: salaries. wages. reportell tips. commissions, bonuses etc. All figures adjusted for inflation using the June 1999 Consumer Price Index fur Crban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI.W) from the L"S Bureau of Lahor Statistics (BLS) (19R2-R4 '=' 100) Real dollars calculated us in I! the CPI imlcx for the Los Anl!e1es-Riverside-Oranl!c County area o 35 In Tables 2-5 and 2-6, we present employment and annual per employee wages in the variety retail sector (SIC code 533). The Securities and Exchange Commission classifies Wal-Mart as being in SIC code 533, which is a subset of general merchandise retail (SIC code 53).. In 1996, per employee annual pay in variety retail was S 15,733 in Orange County and SI4,I47 in Los Angeles County. Overall, the wage differential between groceries and variety retail is similar to the differential between grocery employment and the broader general merchandise retail category. . o Table 2.5: Total Yearly Employment for tbe Variety Store Industry (SIC # 533) Area 1993 1994 1995 1996 Imperial 104 107 99 n/a Los Angeles 2,342 2,140 1,937 1,768 Orange 231 164 151 134 Riverside 158 71 n/a n/a San Bernardino 239 136 102 84 San Diego 561 444 304 203 0 Ventura 62 51 58 53 Southern CA 3,697 3,113 n/a n/a Region Statewide 6,681 5,186 4,486 3,735 Source: County Business Patlc:rns Annual (1993-1996); L'S f>cpanment of Labor. Rureau of the Censlls .. Variety retail is defined as "establishmems primarily engaged in the retail sale of a variety of merchandise in the low and popular price ranges," We caution that the low employment figures shown in Table 2~5 suggest that Wal. Mart and other major discount retailers may not be reflected in the variety retail category, regardless ofSEC classification. Comoarison to the wages for general merchandise rCLail shown in Table 2-4 may be more appropriate. o 36 o Table 2.6: Total Yearly Payroll Per Employee for the Variety Store Industry (SIC # 533) Area 1993 1994 1995 J996 Imperial S10,228 S9.234 S7,778 n/a Los Angeles S 12,484 S 12,276 $13,312 S14,147 Orange S12,143 S13,137 S 13.573 S 15,733 Riverside S 10,355 S7,811 n/a n/a San Bernardino SII,008 SIO,166 SII,491 SI1.l43 San Diego S10,661 S I 0,435 S 10,853 S10,262 Ventura S 11,862 Sll,785 S 10.599 S10,762 Southern CA Region Sll,926 SIl,752 n/a n/a Statewide SII,507 Sll,414 $11,831 $ 12,399 . 'Ole: Source: COUnlY Business Pallerns Annual (1993-1996); CS DC[lanmcnt of Labor. Bureau oflhe Census . Payroll includes all forms of compensation: salaries. wages. rcportc'tl tips. commissions, bonuses etc. All figures adiuslctl to 1999 dollan usinc the CPI index for the Los An .e1es-Riverside.Oranl!c Clluntv area. o Wages vary substantially across the general merchandise and food retail sectors. Any discount retailer, if it enters the food sector in southern California and then pays its grocelJ' employees a wage that is comparable to what it pays its discollnt retail employees, will. in effect, be converting high wage jobs into low-wage jobs. As an example, we compare grocery wages and benefits to those offered by Wal-Mart, because Wal-Mart is the discount retail chain that is most aggressively entering the retail food business. Because Wal-Mart's hourly employees are not covered by a collective bargaining agreement (unlike southern California grocery employees), it was difficult to obtain wage information for Wal-Mart. What we do know suggests that hourly employees at Wal-Mart earn a starting wage of approximately S6.00 to S7.00 per hour. Newspaper and consulting reports suggest that Wal-Mart hourly employees earned S5.00 per hour in 1991 (Stod.10n Record, 1991) and S6.00 per hour in the San Francisco Bay Area more recently than 1995 (Golman, 1997). For the background research for this study, a Wal-Mart discount center in Orange County reported that starting hourly employees earn S7.00 per hour.5 Telephone conversations with Wal-Mart Supercenter managers in other states revealed that hourly employees at stores in Ohio and Missouri earned starting wages ofapproximately S6.00 per hour.6 The manager of an Ohio Wal-Mart Supercenter contacted for this study estimated that salaried employees in the bakery and meat departments received only a small wage premium over other store employees - earning SO.25 more per hour.7 5 Telephone interview with personnel manager, Wal-Man. Foothill Ranch. California discount center, July 22. 1999. " This infoffil3tion is from telephone interviews with managers ofWal-Man Supcrccntcrs in Alliance. Ohio and Springfield Missouri on July 8. 1999. o Telephone interview. manager of Springfield. Missouri Wal-Mart Supen.:enter. July 8. 1999. 37 These data arc not extensive, but the picture is consistent. Wal-Mart's Supercenter employees A appear to be paid wages that are similar to wages earned by Wal-Mart's discount store employees, V with hourly wages starting in the range of56.00 to 57.00 per hour. The pay scales of grocery workers at the major chains in southern California arc listed in Table 2- 7. Most hourly employees arc divided into one of three broad categories - general merchandise clerks, food clerks, and meat cutters. Both the meat cutters and the food clerks earn starting wages that arc substantially higher than the 56.00 to 57.00 per hour starting salary at Supercenters. Effective October 4, 1999, food clerks at the major grocery chains will earn a starting wage of 59.78 per hour, while beginning meat cutters will earn 511.43 per hour. (The Food Employers Council, the collective bargaining unit for southern California grocery chains, estimates that as of July, 1999, half of all hourly employees in southern California grocery chains arc in the meat cutter and food clerk categories. (Bailey, 1999)) For the grocery industry in southern California, only general merchandise clerks earn a wage that is similar to Wal-Mart wages; general merchandise clerks start at 57.07 per hour. General merchandise clerks ar~ a special category designed to allow grocery stores to compete in non- perishable items with other, lower paying, retail outlets. General merchandise clerks do not handle food items. The general merchandise pay scale at the major chains is, in some ways, suggestive of what happens when grocery stores must compete with competitors who have lower labor costs. o o 38 0 {, Hourly Wage Structure oftbe Major Groeer~' Cbains in Soutbern California . Table 2-7: 10/4/99 10/2/00 10/1101 10/7/02 MeatCutters Head Meat Cutter S18.98 S19.38 S19.78 S20.18 I Journeyman Meat Cutter S17.98 S 18.38 S18.78 S19.18 Apprentices: 4th six months S15.82 S15.82 S15.82 S15.82 3rd six months S14.06 S14.06 S14.06 S14.06 2nd six months S12.31 S12.31 S12.31 S12.31 1st six months SI1.43 SI1.43 SI1.43 S 11.43 Food Clerks Department Head S17.70 S18.10 S18.50 S18.90 Experienced Clerk S16.70 S17.10 S17.50 S17.90 Apprentices: 4th 26 weeks S14.67 S14.67 S14.67 S14.67 3rd 26 weeks S 13.04 513.04 513.04 S 13.04 2nd 26 weeks SI1.41 S 11.41 S 11.41 SI1.41 1st 26 weeks S9.78 S9.78 S9.78 S9.78 General Merebandise Clerks Department Head S 12.3 7 S12.67 S12.97 S13.27 Experienced Clerk S 11.27 SI1.57 SI1.87 S12.17 Apprentices: 4th 26 weeks S9.78 S9.78 59.78 S9.78 3rd 26 weeks S8.70 S8.70 S8.70 S8.70 C 2nd 26 weeks S7.61 S7.61 S7.70 S7.85 1st 26 weeks S7.07 S7.25 S7.40 S7.55 . Source: Food Employers' Council. J999 The gap in starting hourly pay understates the full wage differential that exists between nearly all current grocery workers and Wal-Mart employees. The current prevailing wage structure increases rather rapidly - food clerks, for example, will earn 33% more than their starting salary after One year of employment. It also guarantees part-time employees a minimum of twenty hours of work per week, and in October, 1999 that part-time guarantee rises to twenty-four hours per week. Part-time members currently usually work considerably more than the minimum guarantee - as of July of 1999, part time employces at the major grocery chains averaged 35.5 hours of work per week (Bailey, 1999). For those reasons, and because these employees receive an amactive benefits package (summarized later in this chapter), current grocery employees often pursue a career in the grocery industry. What we know about Wal-Mart suggests that, as compared with current practice in the southern California grocery industry, the Wal-Mart pay scale increases less rapidly with experience, Wal-Mart is a heavier user of part-time work, part-time employees likely work fewer hours per week, and the typical Wal-Mart employee stays with the company for a shorter time. The net effect of both the rapid increase in wages with experience and the longer average job tenure for current southern California grocery employees implies that the wage differential between Wal-Mart and southern California employees will be larger than what is suggested by Table 2-7. o 39 Yet hourly wages are only part of the story. The current major grocery chain labor contract offers ~ full health insurance coverage for all southern California grocery employees (full and part-time) and their dependents, with no co-payments or deductibles. Health plan costs are paid by the employer. Wal-Mart, in comparison, requires that employees share the cost of health insurance premiums. Insurance coverage is only available to full time employees. Wal-Mart health plans have deductibles that range from 5250 to 51000, and employees must pay the full premium for dependents. A summary of Wal-Mart and the current southern California grocery benefit plans is shown in Table 2-8. o o 40 o o o Annual Paid Holidays: Vacations: Table 2-8: Comparative Benefit Analysis Chain Grocer' Stores nine paid holidays per year One week after I year. Two weeks after 2 years. Three weeks after 5 years. Four weeks after 15 years. Five weeks after 20 years. Sick Leave: Accrues at 4 hours/month, or 6 days/year. Medical Insurance: Annual eash buyout for unused sick leave. Several plans are offered. Most extensive coverage is the PPO Plan. Cnder PPO plan, employer pays full premium for employee and all dependents. Ko deductible. Most procedures reimbursed at 90 - 100%: S 10 doctor's office visits. Maximum out-of-pocket expense is S500. Wal-Mart six paid holidays per year One week after I year. 'Two weeks after 2 years. Three weeks after 7 years. Accrues at .023077 hours for each hour worked (approx. 4 hours per month) or 6 days per year, to a maximum of 192 hours (24 days). Ko cash buyout for accrued sick leave in excess of maximum. 50% of accrued sick leave may be used as personal time off from work. Employer paid with employec sharing premium. Four deductible options are offered ranging from S250 to S 1,000 with varying employee premium share. Employee pan of premium ranges from S5.50 to S18.50 bi-weekly depending on deductible. Employee pays full premium for any dependents. Plan includes employee co-insurance. Dental Employer pays full premium for employee and Employee shares in premium payment (S2.50 bi- Insurance: all dependents. Ko deductible and weekly) and pays full premium for dependents. Pension Pbn: Other: no co.tnsurancc. Provides a defined benefit retirement plan. Employer's contribution is SI.225 per hour. Ko-cost vision insurance coverage. Retiree medical insurance coverage. Plan includes annual deductible and co-insurance. Offers an employee stock ownership plan. Company pays J 5% of employee company stock purchases to an annual maximum stock purchase of S I ,800. (approximately SO.135 pcr hour) Offers employee-paid life insurance. Provides profit-sharing plan. Provides employee, 10% discount card on Wal-Mart purchases. Offers reduced-cost medical plan for eligible retirees. Sources; 1998 Wal-Mart Associate Benefit Book. Summary Plan Description. Food Employers' Council (Bailey. 1999). 41 Many Wal-Mart employees are not covered by any of the company's health benefit plans. In ~ 1995,38% of Wal-Mart employees were covered by one of the company's health plans; another 35% were eligible but did not elect coverage, likely because of the employee cost-sharing and large deductibles; the remaining 27% were not eligible for health benefits (Source: IRS 5500 forms. ) By comparison, in June of 1999, the health plans covered 77,540 employees at the major southern California grocery stores and 103,388 of their dependents at no out-of-pocket cost to the employee (Bailey, 1999). The contribution of benefits (health care included) to prevailing labor costs is shown in Chart 2-1. Taking account of job classification and experience, the average hourly wage at the major chains in southern California is SI2.82, as of July, 1999, Employer contributions to health benefit plans arc the equivalent of another S2.36 per hour. Pension and other employer trust contributions add another SO.32 to labor costs. Premium pay, including overtime, Sunday, and holiday premium pay, is the equivalent ofSI.74 per hour. Vacation and unused sick leave come to SI.OI per hour. Totaling the value of employee wages and benefits, a unionized grocery employee earns an equivalent ofS18.25 per hour, which translates to an annual average wage ofS37,960. Excluding benefit payments and focusing only on wages paid to employees, the average grocery employee at a major chain store carns S 15.57 per hour, or S32,386 on an annual basis. Chart 2-1: Components of Hourly Wage , , I , 114.00 111,00 110,00 I, I: Ii I " " 18.00 16.00 , I:, 10,00 I I I: II hourly pay vacalion and unused sick leave pJY health benefits olher trust contributions premium pay I, " !:'Jcomponents of hourly wage of518.25 -I 42 II I I I I , , o II I I o o o o "ct:!" An informative comparison with Wal-Mart wages and benefits can be made with the infornlation available. Assuming Wal-Mart hourly employees earn an average wage ofS7.50 per hour, and assuming that Wal-Mart employees earn premium, vacation, and unused sick leave pay in the same proportion to base wages that most southern California grocery employees now earn (likely an overestimate, given that Wal-Mart offers fewer vacation days than the current south em California contract), total Wal-Mart average hourly cash wage would be S9.11 per hour. Given that only 38% ofWal-Mart employees are covered by health care, compared with virtually all employees at the major chains in our region, the ratio of health care costs to base wages was scaled down by a factor of 0.38 to account for the lower share of employees covered by Wal-Mart health plans' This resulted in an estimated cost ofWal-Mart health benefits of SO. 56 per hour. Overall, this exercise suggests that Wal-Mart employees might earn the equivalent ofS9.63 per hour, or S20,038 on a full-time, annual basis. Given Wal-Mart's heavy use of part-time labor, converting the wage to a full-time basis is likely an overestimate of the value of wages and benefits available to the typical Wal-Mart employee. Average hourly and the full-time annual equivalent wages are shown for grocery workers and Wal-Mart workers, under different assumptions about Wal-Mart wages, in Table 2-9. ~ Chart 2-1 shows that health benefits provided by the major h,'Tocery chains are. on an hourly basis, the equivalent of 18.4% of base hourly pay. That percentage was multiplied by 0.38. the fraction of \Val-Man employees actually covered, to obtain an estimate ofWal-Man benefit payments as a fraction of hourly pay. The resulting estimate is that Wal-Mart health benefits are the equivalent of 7% of base hourly pay. This is likely an overcstimaw. The Wal- Mart benefit plan requires an employee cost share, has high deductibles compared to the union plan, and does not cover dependents. 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Xl "" o 0 ", 0 r-- r-- "" "" '" ., .5 ;;; '" .c: .~ .<:: I ~ :'? ;; ~ 5 ;r:; '" E : I 1: 1: "" " '~'" ~"" I E'-;" ":',.l. ." l'O ";_C':. ,~Yl,."",.,,'~ o 44 o o o B: EXAMPLES OF THE LABOR MARKET IMPACT OF WAGE DIFFERENTIALS - CASES FROM CANADA Wal-Mart Supercenters are an excepTionally neW phenomenon in the United StateS. Five years ago, there were only 34 Supercenters nationwide. Supercenters have not likely reached markeT penerration anywhere in the United States, and to infer what can happen in a market with a marure presence of Supercenters it is useful to look elsewhere. An excellent example can be found in Canada. Loblaws, a Canadian grocery and retail chain, opened Real Canadian Super Stores (RCSS) in Canada several years ago. RCSS combines food and discount retail under one roof, paying wages that arc typical of the discount reTail industry, as do SupercenTers in the United States. RCSS entered the market in Albena in the late 1970s and early 1980s.Safeway has been the primary unionized supermarket in Alberta for years, and Safeway wages in Albena were considerably higher than RCSS. By the early 1990s, competition with the lower labor-cost RCSS began to have a dramatically negative impact on Safeway profits. Safeway executives estimated that the wage gap between their employees and RCSS workers was between 58.00 and 512.00 per hour in Canadian dollars. to In 1993, Safeway concluded it could no longer compete without drastically cutting pay and benefits. Management presenTed employees with two choices - either Safeway would cut its losses and leave the Albena market, or cut pay and benefits by the equivalent of S5.00 per hour (Canadian). Evenrually, the unionized employees agreed to the pay and benefit cuts. Safeway implemented the pay cuts both by reducing pay and benefits and by buying out the contracts of 4,000 experienced employees and replacing those workers with persons earning approximately 56.00 per hour with no benefits. It In 1997, Safeway employees went on strike in an effort to restore wage and benefit concessions that Were part of the 1993 agreement. The strike ended without the union regaining the wage and benefit concessions that were part " . of the 1993 agreement. - In 1996, similar competition berween grocery chains with dramatically different labor costs sparked a labor dispute in Vancouver, British Columbia. RCSS operated with a lower cost union contract than either of the two primary Vancouvcr chains -- Safeway and Overwaitea (a Canadian firm).13 Safeway estimated the labor cost differential, including benefits, at , Andreef (1997): Laghi (1997): Smith (1997). III The exchange rate for the Canadian dollar varied from a low of 0.7516 US dollars per Canadian dollar in December of 1993 to a high of 0.8020 US dollars per Canadian dollar in March of 1993. (Exchange rate information is from the Pacific Exchange Rate Service of the University of British Columbia. hlln:,'/bla(.'ktusk.cunU11t:~rce.ubc.ca.) Taking the midpoint of that range, this implies that the wage differential, in 1993 U.S. dollars, was between 56.21 and 5932. " Andreef (1997): Levant (1997): Smith (1997). " Kent (1997). 13 "The Changing Face of Labor," Grocer Today, September, 1996. 45 S 11.58 (Canadian) per hour. The cost differential greatly reduced Safeway's and Overwaitea's ability to compete in the Vancouver market, and from 1985 through 1996 RCSS gained nine percentage points in market share in that urban area. Having already faced similar competition with RCSS in Alberta, Safeway was committed to closing the labor cost gap before profits turned to staggering losses. After a bitter strike, Vancouver Safeway employees accepted a new contract that reduced pay and benefits. 14 ~ As another example, A&P faced similar competition from low labor-cost competitors in greater Toronto in the early I 990s. Non-union competitors such as Sobey's had lower labor costs, as did the "No Frills" warehouse grocery chain operated by Loblaw's. (The "No Frills" stores were unionized, but under a different contract that allowed lower wages and benefits compared with what A&P's union contract required.) A&P felt that it was at a competitive disadvantage and forced a strike to gain contract terms more comparable to the lower wages paid to the non-union and "No Frills" competitors. The strike lasted from November, 1993 to February, 1994. The resolution was a compromise that did not fully satisfy either parry. A&P came out of the strike in a weaker position, and was less able to renovate, expand, and open new stores than it would have otherwise. The union wages and benefits were also downgraded as part of the resolution of the labor strife. I; Supermarket Nell'S stated in June of 1996 that, "Partly because of the residual effect of that strike, A&P converted 19 of its Ontario stores to Food Basics, a lower-cost format that it operates under a separate bargaining agreement."'. The lesson is that major grocery chains will compete, and compete vigorously, for market share and profit when faced with low-cost competition. That competition takes the form of both short-term and long-term labor disputes. In the short-run, the Canadian chains (A&P, Canada Safeway, and Overwaitea) sought immediate wage and benefit concessions onCe competitors with lower labor costs became clear competitive threats. The short-run concessions often took the form of buy-outs of more experienced, higher-paid workers combined with a two-tiered war_e structure that included substantially less valuable pay and benefit packages for new hires. ' In some instances those buy-outs were combined with wage and benefit reductions for existing employees. In most of the labor disputes, the chains involved sought immediate labor cost reductions. For example, in Alberta Safeway appeared to try to close between forry percent and sixty percent of the labor cost gap with RCSS. (Recall that the 1993 concessions reduced Safcway labor costs by roughly S5.00 per hour, approximately forty to sixty percent of the estimated S8.00 to S12.00 per hour gap.) Yet that estimate ought not be taken as firmly indicative of the type of response that would occur in o l-l Canada Safeway Limited, Press Release. July 8, 1996. l~ "The Changing Face of Labor:' Grocer Today, September, 1996, pp. 13-UL In As quoted in "The Changing Face or Lahor," Grocer Today, September, 1996, p. 14. 17 "An Open Letter to Safcway Employees," newspaper advertisement placed hy Canada Safcway Limited, Vancouver SlIn, June 8, 1996; Andreef (1997): Smith (1997), o 46 o other markets. Given the dynamics of union bargaining, it is possible that the concessions observed in Canada were interim steps, and that grocery chains will continue to seck labor cost reductions until they have parity with low cost competitors. Labor represents approximately 60% of the controllable costs (exeluding the cost of product) in the grocery industry, so competition often takes the form of meeting a rival's labor costs. Safeway argued in British Columbia that parity with RCSS in new hire labor costs was the only fair solution to the labor dispute. IS A&P converted 19 stores in Ontario to a low-cost format to take advantage of the lower-cost union contract for such stores. 19 The mediator of the labor dispute in British Columbia was quoted after the strike as saying, "Safeway and Overwaitea are legitimately frustrated with the substandard collective agreement in place between Real Canadian Superstore and UFCW Local 777 and that issue must be addressed."'o Overall, the experience in Canada suggests that major chains will seck parity with lower labor cost competitors, if not immediately then certainly in the long run through mechanisms such as two-tiered contracts that reduce costs for new hires or changes in collective bargaining agreements. o The ability of grocery chains to obtain wage and benefit parity with low cost competitors hinges on the relative bargaining power of a chain and the union in any particular market. Yet the evidence suggests that wage and benefit differentials across stores that compete vigorously with each other will lead to substantial downward wage pressure until those differentials are elosed. The same will almost certainly be true in southern California ifWal- Mart Supercenters enter the market; paying lower wages and offering limited benefit plans. An estimate of the labor market impact ofWal-Mart's entry into the southern California grocery market is given below. c. WAGE AND BENEFIT IMPACTS OF W AL-MART SUPERCENTERS IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA In the rest of this chapter, we derive estimates of the wage and benefit impact of Wal-Mart supercenters in southern California. Three types of estimates arc developed - a low estimate, based on uniformly conservative criteria, a medium estimate, and a high estimate. The low and high estimates provide, respectively, reasonable lower and upper bound impacts, although the low estimate, designed to be conservative, could quite possibly understate the full impact of supercenter competition in southern California. The logic of each estimate follows a two step process. First, We estimate, in Section D I~ "An Open Letter to Safeway Employees," newspaper advertisement placed by Canada Safeway Limited, VallcoU\'er SUII, June R, 1996; "The Facts: A Message to Safeway Customers," newspaper advertisement placed by Canada Safeway Limited. Vancouver Sun, 1996. 1'1 "The Changing Face of Labor," Grocer Toda,v, September, 1996, pp. 13-18. o 20 ''The ChanhTing Face of Labor," Grocer Toda.v. September, 1996, pp. 13-18. 47 below, the market share that Wal-Mart supercenters can be expected to capture in southern California. From that, we estimate, in Section E, the impact on wages and benefits both for Wal-Mart employees and for employees in other chains that will See the need to meet Wal- Mart's labor C,osts. o D. PROJECTED MARKET IMPACT OF W AL-MART SUPERCENTERS IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA Wal-Mart typically builds stores within one day's drive of its distribution centers21, suggesting that southern California Supercenters built by the chain will be served by a southern California distribution center. Wal-Mart currently is seeking approval for a distribution center in Riverside County. The corporation has looked into sites near the intersection of Interstate 15 and State Route 60 that can accommodate buildings ranging from 300,000 to OVer I million square feet22 To the best of our knowledge, Wal-Mart has not stated publicly whether that center will be for food distribution, but the impact on the southern California grocery businesses, if the new distribution center serves Wal-Mart Supercenters, can be substantial. What follows below is a simulation predicated on the assumption that Wal-Mart builds one distribution center to serve Supercenters in southern California. Whether the currently planned Wal-Mart distribution center is for groceries is beside the point, as the below exercise demonstrates what can happen if Wal-Mart decides to bring Supercenters to southern California at any time in the near future. o In 1998, Wal-Mart had twelve distribution centers serving 564 Supercenters - an average of 47 Supercenters per distribution center.23 IfWal-Mart enters southern California, it is quite reasonable to expect the firm to attempt to achieve a similar scale economy in distribution. Wal-Mart is unlikely to build a distribution center, open two or three stores, and then abandon a local market. The current average of 4 7 stores per distribution center is suggestive of what to expect once Wal-Mart opens a distribution center for groceries in southern California. , Yet 47 stores is a lower bound of the number of stores that can be supported by a distribution center. The economics of grocery retailing allows a much larger number of stores to be served by a distribution center, depending on the strategy of a particular firm. Furthermore, Wal-Mart Supercenters arc so new that it is possible that the chain has not achieved their desired scale economy in food distribution. By comparison, Wal-Mart serves 1,889 discount stores with 33 non-food distribution centers - an average of 57 stores per distribution 21 Telephone interviey.' with Dr. Kenneth E. Stone of Iowa State University on 29 July 1999. " Telephone interview with Shawn Purcell. Riverside Plarming Office, July, 1999. 2.1 Phone interview with Dr. Kenneth E. Stone of Iowa State University on 29 July 1999. (Original Sources of Data: Combination of various SEe Form lO-K reports and Discount Store ~ews issues.) o 48 o o o center.24 If Wal-Mart eventually seeks comparable scale in food distribution, this suggests that eventually an average of 57 Supercenters will be supported by one distribution center. That number could be higher, but it is unreasonable to believe that Wal-Mart would open a food distribution center and seck less than their current average of 47 stores per distribution center. Overall, we simulate the impact of Wal-Mart on southern California market share by assuming that a food distribution center will support either 47 or 57 stores. Given Wal- Mart's desire to place stores within a day's drive of a distribution center, it is likely that virtually all Supercenters served by a southern California distribution node will be in this region. Of course, Wal-Mart could build more than one distribution center in southern California, or could serve more than 57 stores from a single center. The estimates below are purposefully a conservative estimate of the possible impact ofWal-Mart Supercenters in the southern California market. The next step in estimating Wal-Mart's impact is to aSSeSS how much market share can be expected from 47-57 stores in southern California. Our logic will flow from estimating Wal- Mart's' market share to the impact of that market share on grocery employment, wages, and benefits. What follows is an estimate ofWal-Mart Supercenter market share associated with one distribution center in southern California. Table 2-10 lists market share and number of stores for major chains in the Los Angeles urbanized area from 1996 through the first half of 1999. 2J Phone interview with Dr. Kenneth E. Slone ofIowa State University on 29 July 1999. (Original Sources of Data: Combination of various SEe Fonn lO-K reports and Discount Store ~ews is~ucs.) 49 ~ " Table 2-10: LA Metro Area Ma~ket Share Information LOS ANGELES 1996 1997 1998 J ul-99 No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt No. of %Mk Stores Stores Share Stores Shlife Stores Share Stores Share Ralphs 143 20.53 183 25.86 212 30.89 201 29.21 Vons 118 16.74 117 19.39 116 18.82 119 20.07 Lucl.:y Stores 82 14.25 84 13.89 86 13.87 86 13.99 Albertson's 23 3.25 34 4.74 35 5.02 36 5.19 Smart & Final 57 5.79 55 2.97 53 2.76 54 2.92 Superior Super 8 1.93 8 2.14 Stater Bros 13 1.87 13 1.87 Hughes 29 4.70 30 5.84 Food 4 Less 40 6.43 Source: Shelby Report (various vears). Based On the information in Table 2-10, We calculate market share points per store for each chain, shown in Table 2-11. Market share points per store are also ShO\\l1 in Table 2-11. Market share per store is remarkably similar across the major chains (Ralphs, Vons, Lucky, 0 and Albertsons.) In 1999. market share per store ranged from 0.144 for Albertsons to 0.169 market share points per store for Vons. For comparison, Table 2-12 gives market shares for several California urban areas, but the data source used for Table 2-12 does not report the number of stores, and so it as not possible to calculate market share points per store for other California urban areas. o 50 o Table 2-11: Markel Share Points Per Store (LOS ANGELES REGION) Stores Ralphs Vons Lucky Stores Albertson's Smart & Final Superior Super Stater Bros Hughes Food 4 Less 1996 14.4% 14.2% 17.4% 14.1% 10.2% 1998 14.6% 16.2% 16.1% 14.3% 5.2% 24.1% 14.4% 1997 14.1% 16.6% 16.5% 13.9% 5.4% 16.2% 16.1% 19.5% 1999 14.5% 16.9% 16.3% 14.4% 5.4% 26.8% 14.4% Source: Author,' calculations, based on dara from Shelby Report (various years) For comparison, Tables 2-13 lists market shares and number of stores for major chains in three urban areas with Wal-Mart Supercenters - Atlanta, Dallas, and Fort Worth25 Market share per store is also listed for each chain in each urban area. Market share per store varies much more across urban areas than within urban areas. For example, an average (or typical) store in Dallas can gamer approximately 0.4 market share points, and an average (or rypical) store in Fort Worth can claim 0.9 market share points - both substantially higher than market shares per store in Los Angeles. This reflects the smaller size of the Dallas and Fort Worth urban areas and the fact that those markets are served by fewer stores. o 2S The comparison MSAs were chosen based on the availability of data for urban areas with a relatively large number ofWal-Man Superccntcrs. Currently, Supercemers arc predominantly in the South and Midwest. Many food industry data sources, such as Progressive Grocer, do not gather market share infonnation on Wal- Mart and other discount retailers. The data in Table 2-13 is from the Shelh.v Report, which does gather market share data for both grocery stores and discount retailers. but only in a limited number of urban areas. Choosing urban areas with both Wal-Man Supercenters and Shelhy Rt.'porf data led to the MSA5!isted in Table 2.13. o 51 ~ Table 2-12: Regional Supermarket Market Share Percentages I Orange Riverside! San San Company Count)' San Diego Sacramento Francisco Oakland Bernardino Ralph's 29 20 19 Vons 18 II 30 Lucky 18 14 23 20 16 34 Albertson's 12 II Stater Bros 30 Food-4-Less Oth C crt Groe PavilJion Raley's I Bel Air 38 Safeway 42 35 Cala Foods 12 Non Reporting · 13 15 18 11 20 21 All others <10 <10 <10 <10 <10 <10 1 Source: Progressive Grocer 1998 Markel Scope (http://www.amcrieanstores.eom) unless otherwise noted. · - estimated .' 0 Importantly, market share per store does not vary much across chains within an urban area; the variation is much more stark across urban areas. Looking specifically at market shares per Wal-Mart Supercenter in Atlanta, Dallas, and Fort Worth, Supercenters perfonn slightly better (on a per store market share basis) than some other chains, but the difference is not dramatic. Again, the primary determinant of market sharc per store appears to be the size of the urban area, and Table 2-13 suggests that Supercenters can be expected to capture market shares on a per store basis that arc typical of, or at best slightly better than, other chains in the same city. o 52 o o o Table 2-13: Market Share Information, Selected Comparison MSAs ATLANTA,GA 1996 1997 1998 J ul-99 1999 No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt mkt share Stores Stores Share Stores Share Stores Share Stores Share per store Kroger 88 31.33 95 31.72 97 32.30 100 32.54 0.33 Publix 52 17.09 63 18.34 70 20.35 7J. 20.26 0.29 Winn-Dixie 63 11.43 65 11.21 59 10m 56 9.80 0.18 Ingles 45 6.95 44 6.18 49 6.87 46 6.63 0.14 Super Disc (Club) - - 13 5.22 17 6.19 18 5.91 0.33 A&P 37 6.21 37 5.82 36 5.44 31 4.78 0.15 Wal-Mart 7 2.34 8 3.26 10 3.57 9 3.13 0.35 Hatry's 3 2.38 3 2.41 6 2.75 7 2.59 0.37 Cub Food 13 6.15 - - - - - - - Bruno's 19 4.62 18 4.22 - - - - - DALLAS. TX 1996 1997 1998 J ul-99 1999 - No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt mkt share Stores Stores Share Stores Share StoreS Share Stores Sha re per store Albertson's 47 21.08 52 22.31 57 23.71 57 22.62 0.40 Tom Thumb 42 20.19 41 16.67 42 20.30 42 20.09 0.48 Kroger 40 14.76 40 15.31 38 14.43 39 14.92 0.38 Minyard 60 15.20 60 15.23 60 15.29 60 14.66 0.24 Brookshire 26 7.54 27 7.81 27 8.36 27 7.92 0.29 Wal-Mart 5 2.42 8 4.85 8 4.13 11 5.06 0.46 Winn-Dixie 14 3.22 14 3.11 12 2.97 13 3.51 0.27 Fiesta Mart - - - - 5 1.83 5 1.75 0.35 Food Lion 25 3.54 24 3.11 - - - - - Wal-Mart Hype I 1.31 - - - - - - - FT. WORTH. TX 1996 1997 1998 J u 1-99 1999 No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt No. of % Mkt mkt share Stores Stores Share Stores Share Stores Share Stores Share per store Albertson's 21 21.18 24 23.07 24 22.68 26 24.46 0.94 Winn-Dixie 31 17.24 32 18.63 34 19.08 35 18.46 0.52 Kroger 25 19.32 27 18.71 23 16.70 23 15.02 0.65 Minyard 21 10.47 22 10.06 22 9.76 25 10.93 0.43 Tom Thumb 9 8.16 9 6.26 II 10.84 12 10.91 0.90 Wal-Mart 5 6.90 5 7.32 6 8.10 6 6.48 1.08 Food Lion 9 2.80 10 3.28 - - - - - Wal-Mart Hype I 2.65 - - - - - - - Source: The Shelbv Report 53 To be conservative, we assume that Wal-Man Supercenters capture per-store market share that is <) typical, but not better than, the range observed for existing southern California chains. We bound projected Supercenter per-store market share to be equal to both the lowest number (0.144) and the highest number (0.169) for major chains in the first half of 199926 Combining that information with two estimates for the number of southern California stores served by one distribution center, we get overall projected Los Angeles area market shares associated with one Wal-Mart food distribution center, shown in Table 2-14. These are conservative estimates, both because the number of stores for one distribution center could be higher and because the market share per store, based on experience in Atlanta, Dallas, and Fort Worth, could be slightly higher than even the upper bound shown in Table 2-14. Table 2-14: Estimated Wal-Mart Southern California Market Share Share Per Store 14% 17% Number of Stores: 47 57 6.77% 8.21% 7.94% 9.63% ~ote: Share per store is market share points per each store, estimated as described in the tex.t. ~umbers in bold arc estimated southern California market shares for \oVal-Mart Superccntcrs, for one distribution center supporting the number of stores shown in the two rows. o The largest estimate in Table 2-14, still a conservative number, suggests that Wal-Mart can capture approximately 10% of the Los Angeles metropolitan area market. We take that as a lower bound for the possible market share of Wal-Mart Supercenters in the southern California market. The estimates that lead to a 10% market share - one distribution center, serving from 47 to 57 stores, with each store capturing market share comparable to other chains in the region - are all conservative. Should Wal-Mart choose to enter the southern California market more aggressively, they could likely operate more than 57 stores from one distribution center or build additional distribution centers. As a high estimate of possible Wal-Mart market share in southern California, we use 20%. This is based on the observation, from Table 2-10, that the three largest southern California chains currently average slightly more than 20% market share. Wal-Mart's efficiency in its core discount retail business, plus their quick expansion pace into !,'foceries, suggests that in the long- term the firm could potentially compete with the largest of the southern California food chains. 2f1 For major chains. we exclude Smart and Final, Superior Super, and Stater Brothers because each chain has a small number of stores in the Los Angeles MSA in the first half of 1999. o 54 o Below we use the two estimates of market share - 10% and 20% - to obtain estimates of the economic impact ofWal-Mart Supercenters in southern California. We start by providing some discussion of how quickly the estimated market shares might be realized, and what Wal-Mart competition means for existing southern California grocery chains. Because the time span of our data arc limited, we arc not able to estimate when or how quickly Wal-Mart might build to a ten or twenty percent market share in Los Angeles. Much of that depends on company strategy. For example, Waf-Mart now has 6.5% of the market in Fort Worth, and Supercenters arc, for all practical purposes, a six-year-old phenomenon. Given Wal-Mart's exceptionally aggressive history of building Supercenters, and their expansion pace, the chain could reach a ten percent share in Los Angeles, or most likcly other markets that it targets, much more quickly than would be expected for other competitors. In other markets, Wal-Mart has typically built Supercenters first in exurban areas and then in the rapidly growing urban fringe. This reflects both WaJ-Mart's traditional emphasis on small towns and suburban markets and the difficulties of obtaining land for Supercenters that arc, on average, 180,000 square feet, in central portions of urban areas. Given the exurban and suburban focus of Wal-Mart, it is likely that their plans for Supercenters in southern California will focus most heavily on Orange County, the Inland Empire, the western San Fernando Valley and eastern Ventura County, and Santa Clarita and the high desert areas to the north. . o This puts Supercenters in the most rapidly growing portions of southern California, suggesting that Wal-Mart will be a major competitor in the region's grocery industry. Given the fact that Los Angeles County contains almost two-thirds of southern California's population, and the fact that the market share estimates in Table 2-14 arc quite conservative, it is reasonable to assume that the estimated Supercenter market shares of ten and twenty percent can be applied to all of southern California. Doing that, we next examine the competitive pressure exerted by a new entrant that has the potential to achieve market shares similar to those shown in Table 2-14. One way to get a good intuitive feel for the type of competition represented by a new firm with, for example, a ten or twenty percent market share is to ask how much growth in the market is lost to the new competitor. Southern California is projected to grow rapidly over the next twenty years. Population growth projections, from the Southern California Association of Governments, are shown in Table 2-15. Southern California grocery chains are no doubt aware of this future gro\\1h, and have likely built growth projections into their long-range business plans. While Supercenter market share will not all come at the expense of future growth, it is a useful exercise to assume that all Supercenter market share is part of the overall growth in the southern California market, and to then ask how much growth would be captured by Supercenters. o 55 G Table 2-15: SCAG County Population Forecasts COUNTY 1994 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2000 - 2020 Imperial 138,400 149.000 I 72,nOO 207,000 241,000 280.000 87.9:!%1 Los Angeles 9,231,60n 9,818.200 10,329,500 10,868.900 1 1.513.400 12.249,100 24.76% Orange 2,595,300 2,859,200 3,005,800 3,105,300 3.165,4QO 3.244,600 13.48% Riverside 1.376,900 1,687,800 1,976.900 2.265,300 2.531.700 2.816,000 66.84'Y. San Bernardino 1.558,600 1,772.500 2,005.400 2.239,600 2,512,700 2,830,1 00 59.67%, Ventura 709,900 712,700 744.900 804,300 861,600 932,300 30.81% SCAG 15,610,700 16,999.000 18,234,000 19,491,000 20,826,000 22,352,000 31.49% Soun:c: SeAG, I99S RTP Adop~d Forecast.. April 1998 For illustrative purposes, we assume that the grocery market in southern California will grow in proportion to population growth, and that Wal-Mart Supercenters can achieve either the lower bound estimate of 10% market share or the higher estimate of 20% market share for southern California. If all of that market share comes at the expense of future growth in the grocery market, this implies that Wal-Mart Supercenters will capture between 42% (for a 10% total market share) and 84% (for a 20% market share) of the growth in the market. o We do not mean to imply that all Supercenter sales will be come from market l,'fowth. No doubt Wal-Mart, or any new entrant, can also take sales away from existing stores. Yet as an exercise it is useful to ask what would happen if all Supercenter sales were strictly from serving the growth in the southern California market. The anSWer is that, under that scenario, Wal-Mart would capture from 42% to 84% of all growth in one of the nation's fastest growing grocery markets OVer the next twenty years. The entry ofWal-Mart into southern California will be, for its competitors the equivalent of an event that would cut projected gro\\1h in sales by, using reasonable estimates, anywhere from 42% to 84%. The implication is that Wal-Mart's entry into southern California will almost certainly be perceived by existing chains as a major competitive threat, and they will almost certainly respond. The response, given the labor cost differential between Wal-Mart and southern California grocery chains, will most likely take the form of the type of wage and benefit cuts witnessed in Alberta and British Columbia, Canada. o 56 o o o E: LABOR MARKET IMPACTS Competition from Wal-Mart Supercenters will result in lower wages for southern California grocery employees through two channels of influence - (I) employees that would have otherwise worked in higher paying union jobs will earn lower wages and benefits, and (2) competition with Supercenters will caUSe unionized employers to lower their wages and benefits. We examine each channel of influence in turn below. 1. Economic Imvact of Lower Waf!es Paid to Suvercenter Emvlovees Approximately 80,000 of the 128,000 southern California grocery employees arc employed by the major grocery chains. As shown in Table 2-9, these employees receive a considerably more valuable wage and benefit package than Wal-Mart employees, based on the assumptions about Wal-Mart wages and benefits listed in the note for Table 2-9. IfWal-Mart captures southern California grocery market share, some grocery employees who otherwise would have been employed by the major food chains will take jobs in Supercenters, at substantially lower wages. Thus, the first channel of economic impact is that low paying Supercenter jobs crowd out higher paying jobs. We assume that the number of grocery jobs displaced is in direct proportion to the market share ofWal-Mart Supercenters; for example, ifWal-Mart captures a ten percent market share, ten percent of existing jobs at the major chains will be converted into lower-paying Supercenter jobs. For the three values of wage gaps implied by Table 2-9, we calculate the total annual wage bill lost for different assumptions about Wal-Mart market share. The results arc shown in Table 2-16, below. Tablc 2-16: Direct Economic Impact of Lower Wages Paid to Supcrccnter Employces in Lost Wages, Per Year ($ millions) Hourlv Wa1!e GaD $7.97 $8.62 $9.26 Estimatcd 10% SI18 SI27 SI37 Superccntcr Markel Sharc: 20% S235 S255 S274 ]\ote: Annual lost wages are calculated by multiplying the wage gaps in Table 2-9 by the estimated annual hours worked by employees of the major grocery chains. Currently, these employees average 35.5 hours of work per week (Bailey, 1999). 57 2. Economic Impact of Lower Wa2es Paid to Grocerv Emplovees (>> Large labor cost differentials cannot be sustained in the grocery industry. The experience in Canada demonstrates that major grocery chains will ultimately close much of the labor cost gap. The implication is that the entry of Supercenters into southern California will affect the wages of all grocery employees in southern California, whether or not they work at Supercenters. The fact that low labor cost competitors exert downward wage pressure on an entire industry is not surprising. In a 1989 study of pay in the grocery industry, Paula Voos, an economist at the University of Wisconsin, found that as the fraction of the metropolitan labor force that is unionized drops, wages among the remaining union members fall (Voos, 1992). She noted that this relationship is common in many industries, and is indicative of the tendency of firms to lower wages to meet the labor costs of competitors. Using data for southern California, we estimate the annual impact of the downward wage pressure that would result from Wal-Mart Supercenters entering southern California. We assume that major chains in the region lower their wage and benefit package to immediately close part, but not all, of the pay gap shown in Table 2-9. Based on the experience of Safeway in Alberta (discussed in Section B), we estimate chains would seck to close between forty and sixty percent of the wage gap in the ncar-term. We later estimate the long-run impact on workers if major chains achieve wage parity with lower cost supercenters, closing all of the wage gap. We calculate the total annual value of reductions in pay and benefits in chains that compete with Supercenters, under different assumptions, below. o o 58 o '" " " ... o Q. e ~ ... .. " ... o .. " ~ ... -OJ c.. '" " OJ: ,-, '" a ~~ ~ -8 0", ..l~ e o .. ... o .. '" .. ;,- ... .. '" .. c.c.. e ,;; - .. .~ OJ: e '" .0 ::: c _ ., '" '"' Q-,. ~ ..l' t; .: " .. ... c - I e .. " ~ '" " z I"- - I ..... " :is '" !- o 'I> ..... ~ '" ..... 'I> 00 '" I"- '" ,..:: '" o.oC '" " " a :~ .,. ~ ;6 ";... Q ., ~= = o e <( ;of. Q o '" 00 -c "'. V) t"- -c (/J "" ~ o " E-= Q ~ .:::0 ,,2 E~~ u _ " ... c ::t Q ~ b ~ c.. ~ E ~ ~ E"i ~ C,) v'\ ::=-.-::..r: ~CM ... 0 :>. .,gF.c <Il ~ ~-c:: 'U]:.:: :c -t "'.=-:E :c s::...:: I E ~::: ce t ':.I E ::: c ;f.~ ~ ~ :t g ~= .... u'- ~.::; "Q~ J3s::-6p r: ~ ~ ~ .- ~ ~~ g] ~ E c: CJ -:l .g u (': ':.I U 5 ~ S Q ~ - <.!:: ~ . ~ u:.::: 0: :c ~... . s:: - U l.I"l C ~ -= ~ .~ 0"1 u.- :c ~~;..t:; .E U ~.,g '" -;;~; t -=. '" ..c :=:J:! E ~ = :::.. ~u~:E E u _ v. I:: ::JJ:- t otl';,!..c 'c S - E ::: u ~ u ~ -= E "0 .~ cE E 0.... .... o g,2-;: x: II< C :: __~uu>. oiii.c 'o';~tl C,) 'l.);'= ~5 Co. :.c;:1.s:: c: ~ . E .~ ~ ~"O ~ ~ ~ ; ~.f~1; Ef-..;.~ ~ ~ 2 ~ ::: 'C; -:l :: =..cC~ u u C .... ~ c ~ ~ Uu""-5 ~g~% ,.. l- - - ::F. ollc::t: ~oCt :c '-' s:: ..c S :c ~ ~ _ E 0 ~ ~.,g..s E - _:0 C c; >,"'0 C :::.0 ~";:::: g"'E.5? :: <(;;...Uu oc.:.c ~o c.. ~ E ZE'-~ u c :c 59 '$ o -:r <', oc '" '" -:r -:r (/J "" '$ c '" t"- oc '" '" "" <Fl ;of. Q C -:r 00 t"- V) C -:r -:r "" "" ;of. Q o '" '" V) '" '" '" V) "" "" ;of. Q o -:r , -:r t"- <', t"- -:r '" "" "" ~ ~ => => - .... ... OJ "C.,.,~ ; ~=.:: e: :::~ en e"- .. " -".-= '" c. .. w.:~~ ~ Grocery chains in southern California arc likely to seck to close the entire wage gap ifWal- Mart, or any low cost competitor, enters the market. In Table 2-18, we show the indirect wage impact on major grocery chain employees ifall of the wage gap between current wage and benefit standards and Wal-Mart supercenter pay is closed. <) Table 2-18: Indirect Economic Impact of Lower Wages Paid to Superecnter Employees in Value of Lost Wages, Per Year Assuming Full Wage Gap is Closed ($millions) Total Wage Gap $7.97 $8.62 $9.26 Estimated 10% $1,059 SI,146 SI,23I Supercenter 20% S942 SI,018 SI,094 Market Share Kote: Annual lost wages are calculated by assuming that of the 80,000 union members in 1999, the fraction not in Supercenter market share (90% or 80%) remain members of the union. Those members are assumed to experience wage cuts that close the full amount of wage gap sho\\.11 on the top TO\\'. E.g., in the first column the per hour wage cut is 57.97. That wage reduction is multiplied by 35.5 hours per week for the average union member, and then annualized and multiplied by union membership less the fraction assumed to be workin.. at Wal-Man. o In Table 2-19, we present low, medium, and high estimates of the total wage and benefit impact of Wal-Mart supercenters entering the southern California grocery market. (Illustrated graphically in Chart 2-2.) These are derived by summing the direct impact on supercenter employees, shown in Table 2-16, with'the indirect impact on employees of other major chains, shown in Tables 2-17 and 2-18. The low estimates use the most conservative assumptions, and so represent a lower bound of possible impacts. As we mentioned earlier, the economic impact will likely exceed what is reflected in the ,low estimates. The medium estimates arc calculated based on a 20% Wal-Mart market share while assuming that existing grocery chains do not close all of the wage and benefit gap with Wal-Mart. The medium estimates assume that the amount of wage gap closed is the average of the gaps used in Table 2-17. The use of a 20% supercenter market share for the medium estimate reflects a reasonable long-run outcome, while the assumption that existing chains close only a fraction of the wage gap is more reasonable in the ncar-term than in the long-run. Thus the medium estimates mix both long-run and ncar-term responses in the grocery market. Given that it is impossible to predict the exact timing of ncar-term versus long-run impacts, this mixing has the advantage ofrefiecting the influence of both, in some sense averaging effects that cannot be precisely amibuted to specific years and effectively reflecting a "middle range" scenario. o 60 o The high estimate assumes that Wal-Mart obtains a 20% market share and that all of the wage gap with competitors is closed. Table 2-19: Estimates of Total Wage and Benefit Impact Summing Direct Effect for Wal-Mart Employees and Indirect Effect on other Grocery Emplo)'ees ($millions) Total Wage Gap Closed $7.97 $8.62 $9_26 Low 5541 5586 5629 Medium 5706 $764 5821 High 5 1,1 77 51,273 51,368 l'ote: Low estimate incorporates the most conservative estimates -- 10% superccnter market share and 40% of wage gap closed. Medium estimate is based on 20% supercenter market share and half of the wage gap (average of40% and 60%) closed. This is an average of impacts in Table 2-17. Hieh estimates assume that all wage gan will be closed. as shown in Table 2-18. o o 61 ~ Chart 2-2: Estimates of Total Wage and Benefit Impact Wage Gap Between Major Grocery Chains and Discount Retailers o rn Low Estimate III Medium Estimate o High Estimate o 62 ....---,. 'I o F: REGIONAL INDUCED IMPACTS AND LAND MARKET hlPACTS 1. ReflionalImoacts The overall impact oflower wages in the grocery sector goes beyond the impacts on grocery workers. Each dollar lost to the region in wages lowers the spending of grocery employees on goods and services in the region, and in turn reduces the income and hence spending of others. This effect is known as the multiplier impact or a change in local wages - a lost dollar locally generates more than a dollar in overall economic impacts as it ripples through the economy. The most common estimate of the multiplier impact of\vage dollars in our region is provided by the regional council of governments, the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG). SCAG's wage multiplier is currently 2.08. That is, each dollar increase in wages in the southern California economy is calculated to generate a total of$2.08 of new spending: The $1 increase plus another $1.08 in indirect multiplier impacts. The total impact is about twice the direct effect. The same relationship is calculated by SCAG analysts to hold for wage losses. Thus, every $1 lost in wages in the region induces a total loss of$2.08. As an example, Table 2-20 calculates the total regional impact the SCAG multiplier generates for the wage losses estimated in Table 2-19. o If the wage gap between Wal-Mart and southern California grocery chains is $9.26 per hour, for example. then the regional impacts are calculated to range between about $1.6 billion to nearly $3 billion per year, depending on the big box grocer market share ... . . .." ... ... ..,. .. ,.... ... 2-20: Estimat~s oiTotal Regional W~gc~DdBenefit Impact of Big Box Grocer Entry into Southern California, (Smillions) Total Wage Gap Closed S7.97 S8.62 S9.26 Low $1.179 $1.3 79 $1,575 Medium $1,602 $1,801 $1.999 High $2,448 $2,648 $2,845 Note: These are the total regional economic impact estimated to result from the wage and benefit losses calculated in Table 2-19. They include the losses to grocery employees and the multi lier effect of those losses due to the reduced local s enJin bv those em lovees. o 63 2. Land Market Impacts () Because they remain vulnerable to changes in the real estate market, there is a risk that big box retailers and supermarket operators will opt to vacatc one or more sites when they are no longer cost-effective. A survey of vacant supermarket properties in Orange County provides an example of the county-wide impacts of corporate restructuring and consolidation. Table 2-21 lists vacant supermarkets located in Orange County. Note that much of this unused property became vacant when Alpha-Beta Grocers was purchased by Ralph's. Table 2-21: Large-Scale Vacancies in Orange County and Site Information Site Former Vacancy Size Building Remains City Owner or Vacant 241 East 17'b Street Alpha-Beta August 1994- 2.44 Remains Costa present acres Mesa 6011 Chapman Alpha-Bcta 1985-1999 3.83 Vacant Garden A venue acres Grove 17482 Y orba Linda Ralph's June 30, 1997- 3.01 Remains Yorba Boulevard . present acres Linda 23641 La Palma Ralph's July 199R- 9.4 Remains Yorba A venue present acres Linda 11382 Beach Alpha-Beta I 997-prcsent 3.RR Vacant Stanton 0 Boulevard acres The first site, located in Costa Mesa, neighbors a thriving Rite-Aid and specialty retailers, and serves to impede pedestrian traffic between the two (Figure 2-1). The pathology of this underutilized property stems from its attraction of parking lot vendors with excessive signage (the parking lot in front of this site is leased for the sale of fircworks), its offering of temporary shcltcr to homclcss persons, and its symbolic message to passing trartic on East 17th Street. 64 o ~ i J -~ ~ o ::' <i ., ;.: f: ~ i \ " << " t .... HOW LEASING ,j< 760-9150 , ~.h' -:;.t.., ;':"... :~> Figure 2-1. 241 East 17th Street, Costa o Usually the largest store in a complex (referred to as the "base" or "anchor" tenant), big box and supermarket retailers will remain vacant longer than other shopping center components because they take the longest to sell. When a base tenant is empty. the property owner will eithcr sell land or lease to a new tenant. Often, the owner will want to sell after a base tenant has vacated. This is difficult, given the less frequent turnover rates and the square footage involved. When the owner does try to lease, potential lessees desire to lease the property for at least ten years, given the capital investment required to lix up the property and ready it Cor use. The owner, on the other hand. will typically want to lease a property lar live years or less. especially when the market hasn't proven itselC in the past lar a given property. Therefore, lease arrangement difficulties encourage longer vacancies for base tenants. The vacant site in Figure 2-2, located in Garden Grove. has Callen victim to such a dilemma, rcmaining unimproved for more than a decade. o 65 Vacancies for base tenants are further complicated by the cost to retrofit. zoning and environmental concerns. The cost of retrofitting. combined with unfavorable lease terms, limits the perceived ROI as determined by potential business partners. Zoning is also a concern. A base tenant vacancy may spark interest in rezoning the property for alternative uses. The time and resources required for commercial rezoning add further time to the vacancy. If the site was shared with a gas station, the EPA is required to perform a risk assessment, and past. current. and future site owners as well as lenders arc potentially liable for any encouragement of environmental harm or health effects. This constraint on redevelopment would apply to base tenants that vacate a property. encouraging the adjoining station to vacate as well. 66 t) o o o ~I::~1~;lliilii;~:~,:.;.. . . .-:.~:;:::;~:.::~ , ,~, ., ~ *" 't ~ .... :.,,,.,.:.:...,.: ".""".;.:.:.;. .-. ................'''...~:... " Figure 2-3, ':':~0:~:::::::'~::':h:v;::;:,.,: o o " ..........-... , I"""" i I ; l. \ :,:,,:;:;:::::':;';-;;;~~:<<;~" 67 .':'~:-:':':':~':': '11 . ", .1 .'.,"" =~, I ~ () o o Chapter 2 Appendix: Health Care Coverage Issues A. INTRODUCTION The incredible strength of the U.S. economy has shown no signs of abating despite the slowdown in many overseas markets. Since 1992, the U.S. has enjoyed an unprecedented combination ofa rising budget surplus, low interest rates, virtual price stability, rising wages and salaries, and low unemployment. Optimistic U.S. consumers and investors served as the main engine of national growth last year as they pushed the growth rate in domestic demand up from 4.5 percent in ] 997 to 5 percent in 1998. Thus, it is no surprise that Americans also accounted for nearly half of the growth in world demand (and output) last year (International Monetary Fund (lMF), 1999). o Yet despite the unprecedented economic boom in the U.S. during this past decade, the erosion of health care coverage in the U.S. is taking Americans down a dangerous path (Findlay and Miller, "Down a Dangerous Path: The Erosion of Health Insurance Coverage in the United States," National Coalition on Health Care (NCHC), May 1999). While it is true that businesses have increased wages and expanded fringe benefits" during this economic boom, the number of Americans with no health insurance has risen ovcr 20 percent since 1990. In 1990,35.6 million of the non-elderly population lacked health insurance. By 1997, the number of uninsured below the age of65 had risen to 43.1 million (Findlay and Miller, 1999). In 1997, this translated into approximately one in six Americans being without health insurance in a typical month. Over the course of the year, around one in five Americans were without health insurance coverage for some period of time (U.S. Bureau of Census, 1998, and Kaiser/Commonwealth, ]997; as cited in NCHC, 1999a). Even if the U.S. economy continues on its path of strong growth. conservative estimates indicate that at least 47 million Americans will be uninsured by 2005 (NCHC, "The Uninsured Phenomenon," available from http://wv..W.nchc.o.g/know/uninsured_myths.html; accessed 22 July] 999b). It is also projected that 52 to 54 million non-elderly Americans, or one in five, will be uninsured in the year 2009. In the event of an economic downturn, as many as 61.4 million non-elderly Americans, or one in four. could be uninsured in 2009 (Findlay and Miller, 1999). Figure A2-1 illustrates the steady growth in the number of uninsured non-elderly Americans since 1990 (table from Findlay and Miller, 1999; original data from Employee Benefits Research Institute (EBRI)). 17 An increasing number of large- and mid-sized companies now offer their employees retirement plans. child care services. flexible spending accounts, and various ronns of insurance. o 68 o Figure A2-\: Growth in the Number of Uninsured, 1990-\997 Millions of Non-elderly Uninsured 356 36,3 :iN Jft :,.x.,:. >>:':-x ;~I :~@.:::: I ~===-.:;::~. :~:::=:::::. 1990 1991 38,3 hH :W~ ::::;:<;:=: iff II iMf I nm :;%~~ ::=:::=:::" :<;::::::::: 1992 39,3 i~i r~j .,>:.,:.: xo;.:{.,- un IB W1: II ":::;:<.;: :.:.;.:.;.: 1n:: 1m ?:@ 1993 43.1 39.4 40.3 41.4 'ft.?: . ~~ Jif ~>>,~,~,;,~,;"~,~,:"~,.,:,,,;,"~",,' '~,.,f:lf: :Iili ;:m~ .,::!..: ~~,: C,.~"$,,~:",'.', ',:,',);,",<,",:; ""-.,'" :}.;",,',':,::' ,~".~ ,.... :id ~.~~~ f1W 'yx fl. iti !n' .,t,'~,!.~;",.:,:~,~,.i, %W 1~t: :$90$" '-x.'., \% ii ~I fiN 1M Ir~ t@ III :,~,t,l,i.' :~ @@ ~m~: W6:~: 'X)" t.~*'~: ~l,r..J; Wi; ::,~"~,:,'~,:~,,~,~:,,,' ..Y.<<. ... ~:~ h~~: tm xx>.> 1L.~.~.k~, .~...... ~tl; ~.......ll....J 1994 1995 1996 1997 One of the more commonly believed myths about the uninsured population is that those that arc uninsured arc unemployed. but the reality is that most of the uninsured either work or are dependents of workers. In 1997.57 percent of those aged 18 to 64 who had no health insurance worked either full- or part-time (Findlay and Miller, 1999). Recent studies indicate that although the economy generated 5.5 million jobs between 1993 and 1995, the number of uninsured Americans continued to grow by one million in each of these years (NCHC, 1999b). Additionally, from 1996 to 1997, the number of uninsured Americans increased by 1.7 million, the largest annual increase since 1992 (Findlay and Miller, 1999). () Thus, the fact that the national unemployment rate recently dipped to a 29-year low of 4.2 percent (IMF, 1999) does little to remedy the uninsured problem in this country. In many of the nation's largest metropolitan areas, the situation is particularly grim. In twenty-one of the nation's largest metropolitan areas, at least 20 percent of the non-elderly population currently lacks health insurance. Table A2-l presents uninsured statistics for seven major U.S. metropolitan areas-. including Los Angeles. 69 o o Table A2-1: The Uuinsured in Major Metropolitan Areas Metropolitan Area EI Paso, TX Los Angeles, CA Houston, TX Tucson, AZ Miami, FL New York City, NY New Orleans, LA % of Residents Lacking Health Insurance 39 31 29 29 28 25 22 Source: Levan. ct at. (1999) o In sixteen states, the number of uninsured residents excecds the national overage of 16 pcrcent of all residents. Additionally, in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Mississippi. New Mexico, and Texas, more than one in five non-elderly residents do not have health insurancc (U.S. Bureau of Census, 1998; as cited in Findlay and Miller, 1999). Thus, despite California's decline in the unemployment rate from 9.4 percent in 1993 to 5.6 percent in February 1999 (Kimbcll, Dhawan and Lieser, 1999), sustained economic growth in Califomia cannot be relied upon to address the uninsured problem. B. THE UNINSURED For over a decade, researchers have agreed that income level is positively correlated to health insurance coverage. Simply stated, low-income Americans are at a much greater risk of lacking health insurance than the affluent. In 1996, three in five of the uninsured population were low- income: 28 percent were living below the poverty level. while another 32 percent were near- poor with incomes between poverty and twice poverty (Davis. 1996). But the relationship between income and insurance coverage has become increasingly complex in recent years. More and more of the middle-income population are at risk of becoming uninsured bccausc of the rising cost of health insurance since the mid-1980s. Today, adequate health insurance lor many middle-incomc Americans is just not affordablc (Findlay and Miller, 1999). The following three tables provide an overview of some recent trends in hcalth insurance coveragc. Table A2-2 illustrates that nearly one-half of uninsured Americans live in households earning less than 133 pcrcent of the federal poverty linc. where the povcrty linc is defined as a single person earning less than $9,800 a year or a family of four earning less than $20,000 a year in income. Table A2-2 also illustrates that the largest percentage increase occurred among families with incomes of around $50,000 to $60,000 (or 351-400 percent of poverty). The second largest percent increase occurred among families earning approximately $10.000 to $15,000 in income (or 0-99 percent of poverty) (Thorpe, 1997). o 70 ~ Table A2-2: Percent Distribution of Uninsured Households by Income Lcvel, 1990-1995 % Poverty 0-99% 100-133% 134-150% 151-185% 186-200% 201-300% 301-350% 351-400% 400+% 1990 % Uninsured in Income Thrcshold 0.34 0.346 0.293 0.267 0.211 0.138 0.052 0.064 0.051 % Total Uuinsured 34.1% 12.2% 4.9% 10.5% 3.6% 15.1% 15.1% 2.7% 1.8% 100.0% 1995 % Uninsured in Incomc Threshold 0.343 0.322 0.307 0.251 0.234 0.148 0.060 0.095 0.073 Source: Table reproduced from Thorpe (1997). (Original tabulations from the Cun-ent Popula/ion Survey, March 1991.) % Total Uninsured 36.6% 11.5% 5.0% 9.0% 3.9% 13.4% 14.5% 3.9% 2.2% 100.0% Table A2-3 points out that middle income families with children were more likely to be without health insurance coverage in 1995 versus 1990 if their earnings were between $20,000 and 0 $60.000. 71 0 0 Table A2-3: Trends in Healtb Insurance Coverage by Household Composition and Income, 1990-1995 (Millions of People) Income as a Percent of Poverty Year 0-100% 101- 151- 201- 301- 400+% 150% 200% 300% 400% Single 1990 No. Uninsured 5.5 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.9 % Uninsured 38.2% 26.0% 26.4% 19.8% 13.7% 7.4% 1995 No. Uninsured 7.2 2.3 2.0 2.0 0.9 1.0 % Uninsured 38.3% 26.4% 27.1% 19.5% 14.7% 8.6% .Single Adult wJChildren 1990 No. Uninsured 2.8 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 % Uninsured 18.8% 27.8% 22.4% 13.7% 9.0% 9.0% 1995 No. Uninsured 3.8 1.3 0.7 0.8 OJ 0.2 0 % Uninsured 20.9% 25.5% 19.3% 16.6% 12.0% 8.6% Twn Adults, No Children 1990 No. Uninsored 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.7 % Uninsured 28.3% 14.7% 15.2% 9.4% 6.6% 2.7% 1995 No. Uninsured 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.5 1.1 % Uninsured 31.3% 16.3% 12J% 9.8% 6.4% 4.4% Two Adults w/Children /990 No. Uninsured 3.5 2.6 2.0 2.2 0.9 1.1 % Uninsured 37.4% 29.4% 19.1% 9.6% 4.5% 3.0% 1995 No. Uninsured 4.1 2.8 2.3 2.2 1.0 1.2 % Uninsured 36.4% 28.2% 19.9% 10.2% 5.1% 3.2% Source: Table reproduced from Thorpe (1997). (Original tabulations from the Current Population Survev. March 1991 and 1996.) o 72 Table A2-4 illustrates that the probability of being uninsured increased for men and women of all age cohorts (with men aged fifty through fifty-nine serving as the only exception). The largest percentage increase in uninsured occurred among adults aged thirty through thirty-nine. Table A2-4 also illustrates that the pattern of insurance coverage among young adults is changing. In particular, young adults aged nineteen through twenty-nine were at great risk of being uninsured. ~ I Table Al-4: Percent Uninsured by Age and Gender, 1990-1995 1990 1995 Male Female Male Female A"e Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent 0-18 4.7 13.4% 4.4 13.2% 5.3 14.0% 5.1 14.1% 19-29 6 28.5% 4.4 20.5% 6.4 31.7% 4.8 23.5% 30-39 3.9 18.6% 2.7 12.6% 4.7 21.7% 3.6 16.1% 40-49 2.1 13.3% 2.1 12.4% 3 15.7% 2.7 13.7% 50-59 1.3 12.6% 1.5 12.6% 1.5 12.4% 1.8 13.8% 60-64 0.5 10.6% 0.8 14.2% 0.6 12.4% 0.8 14.5% Total 18.5 17.0% 15.9 14.5% 21.5 18.6% 18.8 16.1% Source: Table reproduced from Thorpe (1997). (Original tabulations from Supplements of the Current Population Survey. March 1991 and 1996.) Although it is commonly believed that the uninsured are typically middle-aged, unemployed, lower-income, and able to obtain care from primary care providers through acute care hospitals, this is not the case. Of those who will be lacking health insurance coverage sometime this year, . only 15 percent will be unemployed, on welfare, or five in a household where no one is working. The majority of the uninsured live in households with an annual income under $30,000 (NCHC, I 999a). Counting both uninsured children and adults, approximately 85 percent ofthc uninsured population are in households where the head of the family works full- or part-time (Davis. 1996). o The typical uninsured American is actually a young adult. between the ages of nineteen and thirty-nine". with children and an annual income between $40.000 and $60,000. This young adult is generally a contingent worker in a small business or in the service sector (Thorpe, 1997). C. SOURCES AND TYPES OF HEALTH INSURANCE The primary source of health insurance coverage in the U.S. is through cmployers. The govemment is also a large provider of health insurance both as an employer and through public health insurance programs such as Medicare and Medicaid (NCHC, 1999a). Table A2-5 provides a breakdown of the sources of health insurance for Americans. 2~ Because Medicare coverage applies to nearly every elderly American. mosl of the uninsured populalion is under the age of sixly.five (Rowland. Feder. and Keenan. 1998). 73 o 'I o Table A2-5: Sources of Health Insurance Source ofInsurance Number of People (Millions) Private Employers Federal Government as Employer (Includes Military) State and Local Government as Employer Retired People with Employer-Based Coverage Medicare Medicaid Purchased Individually No Insurance 120 17.3 21.9 13.2 38 41 16 43.3 Source: Table reproduced from l'CBc' "Health Care Facts." available from (Original data from The C.S. Census Bureau. the Department of Labor. EBRl. and the Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured.) o In recent years. employers have quickly switched to managed care plans in an effort to save money while pushing for improvements in the quality of care. As a result, most have abandoned the traditional "fee-for-service" health insurance coverage that often paid medical bills with no questions asked. Three of the more popular forms of managed care arc HMOs, PPOs and POS plans. HMOs provide comprehensive coverage for a fixed payment given that patients and physicians and hospitals within their "network." PPOs, or Preferred Provider Organizations, enable a patient to pay less for care obtained through providers that the health plan has contracted to accept discounted fees. Service fees increase if care is obtained outside of the network. POS, or Point-of-Service, plans arc often affiliated with HMOs. Like PPOs, doctors and hospitals outside of the HMO's network can be used for an additional fee (NCHC, 1999a). D. DECLINING EMPLOYER-SPONSORED HEALTH CARE COVERAGE Employer-sponsored health care coverage has been declining slowly but steadily since it peaked in the late 1970s, and recent trends indicate that the uninsured population is likely to increase as employment-sponsored health insurance continues to erode (EBRI. 1996; as cited in Davis, 1996). In 1987,69.2 percent of the non-elderly population had health insurance through ajob or a family member's job, but by 1996 this percentage declined to 64 percent (NCHC, 1999a). This decline in employer-sponsored health care coverage has been fueled in part by a reduction in the percentage of workers accepting coverage when it is offered (Thorpe and Florence, 1999). Ineligibility is another reason that employees are not taking health insurance through their employers. In 1997,9.1 percent of wage- and-salary and alternative workers, orten million workers, were ineligible for health coverage through their place of employment. Table A2-6 o 74 outlines some reasons for this ineligibility. Table A2-7 then outlines coverage by type, eligibility, and acceptance. ~ Table Al-6: Reasons for Ineligibility of Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance When Offered (1997) Actual Insurance Status %eiting Other Family Individual Reason for This Employment Member Purchase Public Uninsured Inelil!ibilitv Reason Doesn't work enough 53.3% 2.6% 56.5% 5.9% 10.4% 24.6% hours per week or weeks per year Contract or temporary 7.7% 3.2% 41.0% 11.0% 13.0% 31.7% employees not allowed in plan Hasn't worked for 27.2% 4.5% 21.2% 4.4% 5.7% 64.4% employer long enough Has preexisting 1.1% 8.8% 30.5% 3.7% 30.3% 26.6% condition 0 Other 10.8% 2.1% 38.6% 6.7% 22.6% 30.1% Total' 100.0% 3.2% 43.5% 6.0% 10.9% 36.5% Source: Table reproduced from Thorpe and Florence. 1999. (Original tabulations from the Contingent Worker Supplement to the Current Population Sun>ey. February 1997.) KOle: t\umber of workers is 1085 million. and the number of ineligible workers is 9.9 million. I Totals exclude the self-emnloved. and indenendenl contractors. 75 <) 1 o Table A2-7: Number of Workers Offered, Accepting, Ineligible, and not Offered Health Insurance, By Primary Source of Coverage. 1997 (Millions of Workers) Firms Offerin!! Insurance Eligible Eligible Workers Firms Not Workers Workers Not Orrering Primary Source of Coveraoe Total Accented Declined . Elil,ible Insorance Own Employment 66.7 66.7 n.a. n.a. n.a. Family Member 21.9 0.0 7.5 4.4 10.0 Individual Purchase/Other 9.6 0.0 0.8 0.9 7.9 I Employment Public and Other 2 4.5 0.0 0.6 1.1 2.8 Uninsured 20.3 0.0 2.5 3.7 14.1 All Workers 123.0 66.7 11.4 10.1 34.8 Source: Table reproduced from Thorpe and Florence. 1999. (Original tabulations from the Contingent Worker Supplement to the Current Population SUn'(.')'. February 1997.) 1 Includes individually purchased coverage. as well as coverage from previous employers. other employer. or own company. . , . Includes Medicare. Medicaid. labor union. a..sociation or club. school or university. and other. o Many workers opt not to buy coverage through their employers because it is not affordable. In 1980,74 percent of US. employers paid the entire cost of health insurance for their employees. By 1993. this figure had dropped to 37 percent (NCHC, 1999a). As the price of health care coverage has risen, many employers have passed along some of the cost increases to their employees. In 1998, for example, employees of small businesses (fewer than 200 workers) paid an average of 44 percent of the premium for family coverage, up from 34 percent just a decade earlier. Employees of larger businesses (more than 200 workers) have also been hit by the rising eosts of health insurance through their employers. They paid an average of 28,percent of premium costs for family coverage in 1998 (Gabel et al., 1999). Additionally, a recent study found that in 1996.9.1 million employees who were considered to have employer-sponsored coverage did not even get any help from their employers in paying for that coverage (Carrasquillo et al., 1999; as cited in Findlay and Miller, 1999). An indication of the extensive health care cost shilling is the fact that so many employees now opt for health insurance through a spouse's or parent's health plan. This is otien done if the spouse's plan is cheaper, and employers are well aware of this occurrence. Employers have responded to this phenomenon in a couple of different ways. Some employers now restrict spouses from joining their health care plan if their own joh also offers them coverage. Other employers have instead raised the cost for spousal and dependent care coverage (Meyer and Naughton, 1996; as cited in Findlay and Miller, 1999). o 76 -~ Employers also pass along the rising cost of health care in a few less obvious ways. As an 0 employee, a consumer, and a taxpayer, Americans are feeling the effects of some hidden costs of rising health care costs. Employers pass along some health insurance costs to their employees in the form of lower wage increases. In 1996, for example, employees earning between $30,000 and $50,000 were paid an average of$2,OOO less because of the rising cost of health care. Consumers feel the effects of increased health insurance costs by paying more for products and services. Because government programs fund 47 percent of Americans' health care coverage, taxpayers eventually end up footing much of the bill. In 1998, health care accounted for approximately 20 percent of the federal budget. as well as around 20 percent of most state budgets (NCHC, 1999a). The decline in the number of workers covered by union contracts is yet another reason that the share of workers with health care coverage is on the deCline. Studies indicate that union members arc significantly more likely to have health insurance than non-union workers. In 1995, for example, 16.8 percent of non-union workers were without health insurance, while only 5.9 of union members lacked coverage. Also contributing to this non-union coverage problem is the fact that many of the economic sectors experiencing the largest employment growth (e.g. the service and retail tradc industries) tend to havc few union members (Thorpe, 1997). E. THE CONSEOUENCES OF BEING UNINSURED Although the uninsured are sometimes able to obtain health care when needed, the means through which the uninsured obtain their care (e.g. community health centers or public hospitals) 0 do not guarantee access and health outcomes that arc comparable to the insured (Rowland, Feder and Keenan, 1998). Some of the consequences of being uninsured include failure to obtain preventive care, postponement of care, preventable hospitalizations, lack of a regular source of continuing care, inadequate maintenance of chronic conditions, lower utilization levels for physician care, and higher mortality rates (Davis, 1996: and Rowland. Feder and Keenan, 1998). Table A2-8 and the discussion that follows presents statistics on some of these consequences of being uninsured. (See Table A2-9. for a closer look at some of the aforementioned consequences of lacking health insurance.) 77 0 'I 0 . ", Table A2-8: Getting Medical Attention Had Had Gaps Currentl)' Insurance in Uninsured Coverage Did Not Fill Prescription 6% 21% 24% Had Difficulty Getting Needed 10% 27% 51% Care (Assessed By Sell) No Physician Visit in Past Year. 17% 19% 42% Postponed Care Due to Cost 12% 40% 55% Had Trouble Paying Medical 11% 33% 33% Bills Had to Change Life 4% 13% 17% Significantly to Pay for Medical Bills Source: Table reproduced from KCHC (1999) o Studies indicate that the uninsured are much less likely to receive preventive care. In 1995, for example, 52 percent of uninsured women did not obtain a Pap smear, while only 36 percent of insured women failed to receive this preventive care. Additionally, only 38 percent of insured women berween the ages of 40 and 64 did not get a mammogram in 1995, compared to 69 percent of uninsured women (Brown. 1995; as cited in Davis, 1996.) Due to financial reasons, the uninsured arc more likely to postpone care. A recent study found that 71 percent of the uninsured delayed seeking care due to financial constraints, while only 23 percent of the privately insured population postponed care for the same reason. 34 percent of the uninsured reported going without needed care in the prior year due to financial constraints, while only 9 percent of the insured faced this dilemma (Davis et a!., 1995; as cited in Rowland, Feder and Keenan, 1998). The uninsured have higher hospitalization rates for health conditions and chronic illnesses that do not typically necessitate hospital care. The uninsured are 2.8 times as likely to be hospitalized for diabetes than the insured, 2.4 times as likely to be hospitalized for hypertension, and 2.0 times as likely to be hospitalized for immunizable conditions. 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C _ ~ r;j ~ - ~"O ~ ~ "0'" c.:: ~ u .:'" ~ "0 _ ~ ~ "- E --:j= ".-,: ~ v. ~"B c_ '" " ~ E t:: o '- It: E ~ :~ .~ .;;, :-""t; ~ u 3 0 ~ :::,c o o Chapter 3: Municipal Finance Impacts This chapter considers another issue of great importance to local officials, one often playing a central role in the evaluation of retail projects in particular: municipal tax revenues. Big box retail is ollen characterized as a no-brainer, fiscally speaking. These projects arc described as needing little in the way of public services yet generating enormous sums of sales taxes, a substantial part of which goes directly into the city's general fund. But this view is not always accurate, as an undetermined share of the new tax revenue will simply reflect a loss of sales to existing businesses in the community. Tax rebates and other tax incentives reduce this revenue stream further. More to the point of this report, big box retailers who shi ft some floor space to groceries are migrating toward a sales base that generates substantially less tax revenue. Food sales are, for the most part, not subjcct to salcs taxation. This chapter reviews these issues to draw three principle lessons: I. Discount retail is a competitive and fluid business, with implications for the stability of municipal revenues. Local officials should be cautioned that a single store they lure today comprising a huge share of the local retail base might soon relocate to another location, either in search of a better incentive deal or to find room to expand. o 2. Supercenters are often built by either expanding a discount center or closing a discount center and building a supercenter nearby. Local oflicials should consider the impact of possible future expansions on land use, community character, local employment base and local tax revenues. 3. The fiscal impacts of Supercenters arc uncertain, both because many grocery items arc non- taxable and because the net impact on localities must balance service costs and shifts in local retail base with any net gain in municipal taxable sales. The chapter explores these issues in detail in five sections: (A) The fiscalization of land use planning. (B) big box fiscal issues, (C) taxable sales and tax revenues, (D) the fiscal impacts of big box grocers, and (E) a short summary. A. THE FISCALlZATION OF LAND USE PLANNING Local governments in California have little direct control over their revenues. Property tax rates are largely fixed and property assessments are market based only the year in which the property changes hands. One thing local governments can control is permitted land development patterns, which in tum influences the amount orIand generating sales tax revenues. While the sales tax rate varies throughout the state, and sales tax revenues are collected by the state, a penny from each dollar of taxable sales is returned directly to the jurisdiction where the sale took place. This is known as the situs rule. So, it is not surprising that local officials have tended to seek out retail to bolster local finances. Some are better able, or more inclined, to do so and the end result is that the fiscal position of cities varies dramatically across the state. o 80 - One consequence is that the fiscal strategy of many communities is to seek retail development. particularly high volume retail such as automobile dealerships and big box retail. This trend toward using land use planning to generate revenues is known as the "fiscalization" of land use (e.g., Lewis and Barbour, 1999). C) In this setting, large individual retailers have become the apparent "cash cows" of the municipal fiscal environment. In case after case, communities agreed to accept big box retail development as revenue generators rather than as means to meet other community demands. But the actual fiscal benefits of such efforts are unclear and undocumented. They may indeed backfire in some instances. Four problems arc most apparent: . New retail development in a city is somewhat at the expense of existing retail in a city. Thus, a share of the sales taxes generated by new retail is not new to the city at all. In addition, some cities experience only a short term spike in sales tax revenues associated with big box retail, with tax revenues leveling off after only 2 or 3 years. . This is even more true at a regional level. Tax competition among jurisdictions can even have negative regional economic impacts, especially when tax rebates and other locational incentives are involved. . Large retail sites do impose additional community costs in the form of traffic, sectirity, environmental, and other impacts (e.g.. Altshuler and Gomez-Ibanez, 1993). . Most grocery sales arc not taxed, 'so the tax base of the host city will suffer as existing retail uses shift to groceries. The use of redevelopment zones further complicates the property tax part of this story, as redevelopment zones can divert some portion of any increase in property tax revenueS within a zone away from municipal governments (e.g., Dardia, 1998). o B. BIG Box FISCAL EXPERIENCES California municipalities have for years engaged in fierce cross-city competition for sales tax revenues. This fisealization of land use raises several concerns. Arc communities offering deals that are worth more than the local benefits generated? Even if localities end up better off, do regions suffer as retail stores play one city off against another in search of the best deal? Do fiscal concerns cause local governments to devote more land to retail uses than they otherwise might? Now, with the entry of discount retail into the grocery business in other parts of the country, the already complicated questions of local fiscal policy and land use become even murkier. Several points can be gleaned from recent experience: I. Tax incentive deals are often large. The Los Angeles Times (Shuit, 1998) reports that Long Beach rebated half of the city's share of sales taxes generated by a recently built automobile dealership. The deal was viewed by city officials as necessary to encourage the car dealer to relocate from Signal Hill. In Ventura, K-Mart requested dismissal of$I.5 million in 81 () - o development fees for a Super-K, K-Mart's version ofa supercenter (Sommer, 1995). The Super-K development was proposed for a site across the street from an existing K-Mart. Ventura council members acknowledged pressure to meet K-Mart's terms because nearby Oxnard had recently lured Price Club and Wal-Mart with similar deals (Sommer. 1995). Lake Elsinore's redevelopment agency, in 1993, agreed to reimburse Wal-Mart $2.2 million out of the city's share of sale and property tax to encourage the development of a discount store in that city (Perkes, 1999). 2. The tax deals, like the one involving Long Beach, often move businesses from one city to another. In the Bay Area, Costco re'cently relocated from Martinez to Concord (Finz. 1999). When Cost co announced the move, officials in Martinez. faced with the loss of their single largest source of sales tax revenue, responded by trying to interest other discount retail firms, including Wal-Mart, in the site (Finz. 1999). o 3. Some tax incentive agreements exact unexpected costs from government coffers. In 1986, the Colton Redevelopment Agency agreed to reimburse Price Club $2.5 million for the cost of land for the store. The $2.5 million payment, plus interest. was to be paid by rebating to the company half of all sales tax revenue generated for no more than fifteen years. The agreement specified that Price Club would pay the city a penalty if it opened other stores within a twclve mile radius. In 1992. because Price Club wanted to open two stores within the twelve mile radius, the agreement was changed to both lower the fraction of sales taxes rebated to 31 percent and remove the fifteen year time limit. In 1996, the store, then owned by Costco, was closed. COStco officials said that the Colton store's low sales were due. in part, to competition from other Price Club and Costeo stores in the area. Yet the original incentive agreement had been tied to the store site, not to the store itself. and Colton owed $900,000 of the $2.5 million agreement when Costco closed in 1996. The $900,000 debt remains, and interest is accruing on the debt. despite the fact that Price/Costco has not occupied the site for three years (Perkes, 1999). The above examples illustrate that any tax incentive deal is complicated and risk)'. and should be evaluated carefully. Efforts to lure the newly emerging supercenters arc even more complex, for several reasons. I. Supercenters arc often expansions of existing discount centers. In Macon. Georgia. Wal- Mart closed a discount center to open a new Supereenter across the street (Krause, 1999). 2. A K-Mart near Omaha added grocery aisles without increasing floor space, likely in part to compete with a nearby Wal-Mart Supereenter (Olson. 1999). Had that occurred in California, the loss of retail floor space to groceries (most of which are not taxable) could have led to a reduction in sales tax revenue generated at the site. 3. In some cases, relocations of big-box retail outlets leave behind vacant store sites and smaller shops that lose customer traffic without an anchor tenant. Riehland Hills, outside of Fort Worth, recently saw their Sam's Club membership discount store relocate to nearby North Riehland Hills (Hornaday, 1999). In Lake Wales, Florida, Wal-Mart closed a discount center when it constructed a Supercenter two blocks away. Store owners in the complex that included the old discount center expressed concern about the loss of customer traffic to the o 82 new Supercenter location (Circelli, 1999). ~ 4. The conversion of a discount center to a Supercenter can have unanticipated land use consequences. In Pinellas Park. Florida, Wal-Mart recently sought permission to double the size of a discount center as part of a conversion to a Supercenter. The firm proposed expanding onto six acres of wetlands adjacent to the discount center site. The expansion plans have generated heated opposition. as residents have argued that the wetlands should be preserved (Lindberg, 1999). The next section looks at broader regional trends. c. TAXABLE SALES AND TAX REVENUES Local governments share an increasing concern for the fiscal impacts of land use decisions. "Land" in this respect represents a resource that can be vacant, improved (i.e., it contains a man- made structure that is in use), or abandoned. Due to the impact of Proposition 1329 on the ability of jurisdictions to generate sufficient property taxes on commercial and residential land uses. land is increasingly gauged in terms of total and taxable sales generated by an owner or lessee. Of course, the ability of a locale to support a land use will be based in part on its potential market for items sold or distributed from a given site. Thus. cities are also concerned with the effects of different categories ofland usage on employment and the overall vitality of impacted communities. This section concerns both the fiscalization ofland use and the subsidiary impacts of land use decisions on community vitality, should the ability ofa given square footage to 0 generate sales and tax revenue fall short, yielding of vacancy. Two categories of retail land use were chosen for purposes of comparison: general merchandise and food stores. General merchandise is defined as any retail establishment permitted to operate as a limited price variety, department, drug, or other general merchandise store (State of California Board of Equalization, 1997). Food Stores comprise supermarkets, grocery stores with or without alcohol, grocery stores with beer and wine, and specialty grocers. such as bakeries. In order to estimate the impact of these categories on a local government, let liS consider their relative abilities to generate sales, and more importantly, taxable sales. Total sales generated by ~" Proposition 13. passed in 1979. limits the assessed value of property for tax purposes to its 1977 value. or its purchase price if sold after 1979. plus a maximum of 2%, appreciation per year. 83 o c general merchandise and food stores in Orange County were calculate using taxable sales and the Census of Retail Trade (United States Depanment of Commerce, 1992) data. Since data pertaining to total sales arc only available for] 987 and 1992. these figures were used to calculate the percentage of total sales by category that are taxable in Orange County. It was determined that in 1992,70% of total general merchandise sales are taxable, compared to 38.6% for food stores. These percentages mirror those derived from 1987 data (State of Cali fomi a Board of Equalization, 1987). Data was compiled in an Excel spreadsheet for taxable sales Orange County city, and the above percentages were used to determine total sales. Figure 3-1 rcpresents these estimates for 1990 through 1997. Figure 3-1 illustrates that following 1992, total food store sales began to fall, while general merchandise sales remained relatively constant throughout most of the County's recession period. Total estimated sales were $4.5 billion for general merchandise and $3.26 billion for food stores in 1997. It can be concluded that general merchandise has a far greater potential impact on the County's economy. Figure 3-1. Estimated Total Sales: Food Stores and General Merchandise Stores in Orange County ($ thousands) o Sales (in SOOOs) S5,OOO,000 S4,500,000 S4,OOO,000 S3,500,000 S3,000,000 S2,500,000 S2,000,000 S 1,500,000 S 1 ,000,000 S500,000 SO 1992 1993 1995 1996 1997 o Food . General D. THE FISCAL IMPACTS OF BIG Box GROCERS To better understand the fiscal impacts of these categories that are realized by city governments, taxable sales were investigated. The State Board of Equalization maintains statistics lar taxable sales as well as the number of store pcrmits from which they are generated. Through use of such information, one can better understand the potential impact of a single land use decision, though o 84 it remains potentially skewed by the range of store size in each category. It can also suggest ,. previous impacts of big box retail sitings within individual jurisdictions. Figure 3-2 and Figure \I 3-3 show the percentage of taxable sales that arc accounted for by general merchandise and food stores in Orange County, respectively. Figure 3-2, Taxable Sales: General Merchandise as a Percentage of Total Retail 16.0 1996 1997 () 16.5 15.5 % of Total Retail 85 o o Figure 3-3: Food Taxable Sales as a Percentage of Total Retail Taxable Sales %of Total Retail 1996 1997 Figure 3-4 and Figure 3-5 represent taxable sales per permit for the two groups. o Figure 3-4: General Merchandise Taxable Sales per Permit (S thousands) Sales Per Permit (in OOOs) S4,000 53,000 1997 57,000 S6,000 S5,000 o 86 Figure 3-5: Food Stores Taxable Sales per Permit (S thousands) t) $800 1990 1991 1992 1994 1995 1996 1997 $1,000 Sales Per $600 Permit (in OOOs) While general merchandise taxable salc's per permit feU significantly in 1997. they remain more than four times higher than food store taxable sales. It remains evident that both industry groups are susceptible to economic and market shifts, although the trend for per permit taxable sales for general merchandise appears to be one of gradual and then accelerated decline. This decline suggests either a change in the industry mix in temlS of the relative size of general retail establishments (i.e.. a growing proportion ofsmaUer vendors could reduce sales per permit), or in the eflieieney ofperrnit operators. For instance, if big box retailers do not continue to account for their high floor-to-area ratios (FAR) and intensive usage of parking space with similar gravity effects (i.e.. the attraction of a proportionately larger market radius) and merchandise turnover, then lower sales per square feet would ensue. Another possibility would be that the mix of goods sold and purchased at larger retail establishments might be shiliing to one that includes more non-taxable items, such as prescription drugs. o To further investigate the impact of big box retail on a local economy. taxable sales per permit were calculated for two cities that have experienced the introduction of a Wal-Mart within the last ten years. Table 3-1 gives the opening dates for Wal-Mart stores within Orange County. 87 o ......~ ""I o Table 3-1: Wal-Mart Locations in Orange County and Opening nates Wal-Mart Location 440 N. Euclid Street, Anaheim ODened 1/31/95 27470 Alicia Parkway, Laguna Niguel 1/95 2595 E. Imperial Highway, Brea 1/98 2300 N. Tustin Street, Orange 1/98 3600 W. McFadden Avenue, Santa Ana 1/98 13331 Beach Boulevard, Westminster 6/20/98 Source: Cities of Anaheim. Laguna ~iguel. Brea. Orange. Santa Ana. and Westminster Planning Denanments o Figure 3-6 and Figure 3-7 show taxable sales per permit for general merchandise and food stores in Anaheim, while Figure 3-8 and Figure3-9 provide the same information for Laguna Niguel. The remaining Wal-Man locations within Orange County were opened in 1998, for which complete sales tax data were not available. o 88 Figure 3-6: General Merchandise Taxable Sales per Permit in Anaheim (S thousands) c:t Sales Per Permit (in OOOs) $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Figure 3-7: Food Stores Taxahle Sales per Permit in Anaheim (5 thousands) Sales PeT Permit (in ODDs) o 1990 1991 1992 1993 1995 1996 1997 1994 89 o o ~ " .-- .. Figure 3-8: General Merchandise Taxable Sales per Permit in Laguna Niguel (5 thousands) Sales Pcr Pennit (in 0005) $8, $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 o 1990 ' 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Figure 3-9: Food Stores Taxahle Sales per Permit in Laguna Niguel (5 thousands) $700 $600 $500 Sales Per Permit (in 0005) 199] 1992 1993 1995 1997 1994 1996 o 90 o The rapid increase in taxable sales per permit in 1995 suggests that the shear size of a Wal-Mart can change the fiscal landscape of even a large city. Amazingly, gains in taxable sales per permit made through the addition of a big box retailer were all but erased by 1997. This, too, reflects the volatility of large-scale retail operations, where establishments that would appear to be the "anchor" of a given location are not immune to downturns or closures. Laguna Niguel is also instructive, as it represents a relatively small retail market. Between January, 1995 and December, 1996, general merchandise sales per square foot doubled. Again, these per-square footage gains were erased by the end of 1997. One lesson that can be gleaned from even a cursory glance at Figure 3-6, Figure 3-7, Figure 3-8, and Figure 3-9 is that in spite of the inevitable Ouctuations in taxable sales caused in part by the entry and exit of big box retail, sales per permit will always overshadow that which is generated by food stores. When we shift our analysis from permits to square footage, however, we find that much of this discrepancy is caused by the fact that big box retailers operate such vast facilities. While on a per square footage basis these stores may not be as efficient as grocery stores (see Table 3-2). the size of the store, coupled with differential sales to taxable sales ratios, will result in the taxable sales gap presented. Table 3-2: Sales Per Sql1are Foot and Selling Square Foot for Discount Stores and~upermarkets Store Sales Per, S uare Feet 210 211 31& 234 355 264 398 Selling Square Foota e Per Store 39,689 70,692 26,912 109,296 97,475 68,813 27,723 o JC Penny Kmarl Sears Target Wal-Mart Discount Store Average Average Su ermarket When considering the siting of a big box retailer such as Wal.Mart. fiscal impacts will undoubtedly come into play. While these facilities can offer the promise of large aggregate tax revenue, they also pose some serious risks. Pearson correlations were used to calculate the linear association between total taxable retail sales change from 1990 through 1997 and the component parts of general merchandise and food stores. Such a relationship will suggest the ability of One industry to weather changes in the overall retail market. While correlation docs not necessarily prove causation, it can theoretically suggest the effects of one variable on another. 91 o o For instance, a significant and positive correlation berween rwo variables would suggest that as one variable increases, the other will do the same. Table 3-3 presents the results of Pearson's correlations. Correlations were also run for change in taxable sales per permit from 1990 through 1997, berween total retail and the rwo variables. o Table 3-3: Pearson's Correlations for Orange County Taxable Sales % Change and Sales Per Permit % Chanl!e % Change: Total Pearson 1.000 .591 .374 .944 .786 .062 Retail Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) .005** .066 .000* * .000* * .769 N 25 21 25 25 21 25 % Change: General Pearson .591 1.000 .301 .645 .832 .068 Merchandise Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) .005 ** .185 .002** .000** .771 N 21 21 21 21 21 21 % Change: Food Pearson .374 .301 1.000 .224 AI5 .515 Stores Correlation Sig. (2-tailed) .066** .185 .282 .062 .008** N 25 21 25 25 21 25 % Change in Per Pearson .944 .645 .224 1.000 .780 .093 Permit Sales: Total Correlation Retail Sig. (2-tailed) .000** .002** .282 .000** .659 N 25 21 25 25 21 25 % Change in Per Pearson .786 .832 .415 .780 1.000 .042 Permit Sales: Correlation General Merchandise Sig. (2-tailed) .000* * .000** .062 .000** .858 N 21 21 21 21 21 21 % Change in Per Pearson .062 .068 .515 .093 .042 1.000 Permit Sales: Food Correlation Stores Sig. (2-tailed) .769 .771 .008** .659 .858 N 25 21 25 25 21 25 ** Correlation significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). ....' .,........,.: ...,............ These correlations suggest that as total taxable retail sales increase, total retail sales per permit and total general merchandise taxable sales will also increase. No such relationships were found between total retail sales and taxable retail sales or sales per permit for food stores. In addition, changes in taxable sales per permit for the entire retail industry were significantly related to changes in total retail sales, changes in general merchandise sales, and changes in per permit gcneral merchandise sales. Again, similar relationships were not found between total retail and food stores categories. o 92 E. SU:vJ:vJARY (t The risk implied by these results is twofold: general merchandise stores are far more vulnerable to market shifts than food stores, and changes in sales per permit is related to total sales. Thus, the tradeoff presents itself: big box retailers will most likely enter a community. boosting overall retail sales and tax revenues, only to be among the first to consolidate or fold when conditions begin to change. If a big box retailer were to include food sales in its operations, these relationships might also hold true. Free-standing food stores would likely yield market share and in some cases become vacant. while taxable sales from grocery operations would shift to locations that are much more prone to the impacts of regional business cycles. Large-scale retailers present a cost-benefit assessment problem to an interested city. Consider the typical public hearing for the siting of a Wal-Mart in Orange County: concerns over potential clientele, crime, design changes and character arc raised (Wolfe, 1999). The fiscal impacts of the facility arc often seen as clear-cut, but they are not, particularly when a big-box retailer expands into food sales. This thrcatens to lower the taxable sales per square feet for a land use that is alrcady riddled with inefficiencies and great risks should market conditions become unfavorable. o 93 o 'I o o 10 Chapter 4: Concluding Comments ct The grocery industry in the United States and California is currently changing rapidly. One of the most important trends is the combination of big-box discount retail and grocery sales into supercenters. Wal-Mart stands out as the most aggressive entrant into the supercenter market. In 1990, Wal-Mart operated six supercenters. By the year 2000, Wal-Mart is projected to have 714 such stores, solidifying its position as the leading owner and operator of supercenters nationwide. What does this mean for Orange County and Southern California? Three sets of policy issues arc important. I. Supercenters, especially Wal-Mart supercenters, are often conversions of existing discount retail stores, and local officials should be aware of that possibility. In 1999, Wal-Mart estimated that 72% of all new Supercenters would be built by converting existing Wal-Mart discount centers. Because the grocery and general retail industries differ dramatically in their pay scales, function within the community, and ability to generate sales tax revenues, this is far from a simple expansion of an existing business. Local officials should be aware of the possibility for conversions of existing discount centers into supercenters. o 2. The grocery industry in Southern California pays substantially higher wages, and offers better benefits, than Wal-Mart. IfWal-Mart or other low labor cost food retailers enter the southern California market, the ability of the grocery industry to provide high- paying, entry-level jobs will be considerably reduced. By far the largest controllable cost in the grocery industry is wages and benefits. Large labor cost differentials do not persist. Should a discount retailer enter the southern California grocery market and compete effectively while paying wages below the current norm for the industry, the pressure on existing chains to lower wages and benefits would be immense. Estimating that Wal-Mart supercenters could capture from 10% to 20% of the southern California grocery market, we calculate the direct value of lost wages and benefits to range to nearly $ 1.4 billion per year. Accounting for the multiplier effect as those wage and benefit cuts ripple through the economy, the total economic impact on the southern California economy could approach $2.8 billion per year. 3. The fiscal benefits of supercenters, and of discount retail more generally, are often complex. Supercenters in particular combine many non-taxable food items under one roof with general merchandise. Furthermore, any discount retail outlet potentially shifts sales from existing local retail, and the net impacts on local sales tax reVenues are far from certain. o 94 , o What did we find? . The aggressive entry of supercenters such as those operated by Wal-Mart into the regional grocery business is expected to depress industry wages and benefits at an estimated impact ranging from a low of $500 million to a high of almost $1.4 billion per year, potentially effecting 250,000 grocery industry employees. (Chapters 2 and 4) . The full economic impact of those lost wages and benefits throughout southern California could approach $2.8 billion per year. (Chapters 2 and 4) . Discount retail chains that operate supercenters, including Wal-Mart, typically offer much less comprehensive health care coverage than major California grocery chains. One negative economic impact of Supercenters could be a dramatic reduction in health coverage for most of the 250,000 grocery employees in California. This can lead to lower quality care for grocery employees whose health insurance benefits are reduced. (Chapter 2) . The fiscal benefits of supercenters, and of discount retail more generally, are often much more complex, and lower, than they first appear. This is particularly true when big box retailers close existing stores to move into larger quarters elsewhere, when they expand an existing store into food, and when retailers reconfigure an existing store to sell food without expansion. In each case the additional tax revenues generated will in part come from existing businesses elsewhere in the city in the form of lost market share. (Chapter 3) o . Supercenters, especially Wal-Mart supercenters, are often conversions of existing discount retail stores. Thus local officials should carefully consider the possibility of a future conversion to a supercenter, and any attendant negative economic, fiscal, or land use impacts, when approving big box discount retail projects, even when the proposed land use does not include immediate plans for grocery sales. (Chapter 1) The wage and benefit impacts of the entry of big box groceries into the region arc estimated using a two step process. First, we estimate the market share that Wal-Mart supercenters are cxpected to capture in southern California, based on current averages of between 47 and 57 stores per distribution center. Using data on market share and number of stores in several urban areas, we conclude that one distribution center roughly translates to an 10% market share for Wal-Mart supercenters in southern California. The assumptions that led to that estimate werc uniformly conservative, and so we also USe an estimate of 20% long-run market share for supercenters, comparable to the major existing chains in southcm California. o We then calculate the wage impacts of these market share estimates. Even a 10% market share for supercenters is a substantial competitive threat to existing chains, and those chains are likely to respond aggressively. Case studies of similar competition between low and high labor cost grocers illustrate that grocery chains cannot tolerate large labor cost gaps. This evidence indicates that in the short-term grocery chains typically seek to close approximately one half of the wage gap with major competitors. Over the long term, the grocery chains may seck to lower wages to their workers to eliminate the entire difference between their pay and that of discount 95 retail employees, an average difference of over S9 an hour currently. () Using data On current wages and benefits, we calculated that the direct impact on workers in southern California would likely fall in the range of about S500 million to S 1.4 billion per year in lower pay, depending on the big box food sales market share. Using the Southern California Association of Governments estimates of how these lowered wages would impact the regional economy, the total regional drop in spending ranges from about SI billion to OVer S2.8 billion per year (Chart 4-1). The numbers will rise the larger the market share of big box grocers, and could well top even these figures over time. Chart 4-1: Estimates of Regional Income Losses From Lower Wages Paid by Big Box Grocers (from Table 2-20) S500 o S3,000 S2,500 S2,000 Total Regional Income Impact (Smillions) S I ,500 S I ,000 so S7.97 S8,62 S9.26 Wage Gap Between Major Grocery Chainsand Discount Retailers rJ Low Estimate Ii Medium Estimate o High Estimate In addition, we find that the tax revenue impacts of big box grocers are uncertain. While big box retail does typically capture taxable sales from outside the jurisdiction, it also captures business from local retail, thus hurting the local economic base of the community. There is evidence as well that the initial growth in sales tax revenueS from the big boxes may not be either steady or sustained in some situations (e.g., Figure 3-8). o 96 o o o -- ~-. Figure 3-8: General Merchandise Taxable Sales per Permit in Laguna Niguel (from page 88) (Note: The Wal-Mart Opened in 1995) Sales Per Permit (in 0005) $8,000 $ 7 ,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1995 1997 1994 1996 More to the point of this report, a much larger share of food sales are not taxable at all. Most of the Wal-Mart supercenters result from the conversion of existing Wal-Marts into a combination of general merchandise and food sales. Thus, the floorspace devoted to taxable sales may actually fall as these conversions continue. There is also evidence that general merchandise stores arc far more vulnerable to market shifts than food stores. Thus, this tradeoff presents itself: big box retailers will most likely boost overall retail sales and tax revenues on entry, only to be among the first to consolidate or fold when conditions begin to change. If a big box were to include food sales in its operations, then free-standing food stores would likely yield market share and in some cases become vacant, while taxable sales from grocery operations would shift to locations that arc much more prone to the impacts of regional business cycles. How should local officials proceed? These potential impacts are significant, with respect to both the vitality of the local economy and the public budget bottom line. The transformations in the grocery industry thus present local officials with some key policy considerations. The grocery business is a vital part of the economic and the community fabric of most every municipality in the region. The changes occurring in that business have the potential to quickly and adversely affect the economic health of localities, and officials should be aware of that potential as they evaluate future discount retail projects. 97 In particular, the following questions are important in evaluating discount retail projects. ~ 1. Is there potential for changes in the use of the property~ Discount retail chains arc increasingly taking on the functions of grocery stores. In light of that trend, local officials should both be aware of the potential for the conversion of discount retail sites into supercenters and inquire about future plans for discount retail stores seeking local planning commission and city council approval. 2. How will the discount retail store affect the local labor force? Discount retail chains traditionally pay substantially less than the grocery industry in southern California. Local officials should carefully assess the possibility that a particular discount retail project might depress wages in other stores in the municipality. 3. What are the fiscal impacts of a discount retail store? At the most general level, local business both require public services and have the potential to produce local tax reVenues - a point often missed when officials focus exclusively on the tax revenue side of the equation. Any land use, eVen big box retail outlets that are perceived as municipal "cash cows", must be carefully evaluated. Some land uses do not generate tax revenue that outweighs municipal costs. In other instances, the data in Chapter 3 suggest that discount retail stores produce only short-term increases in local sales tax revenue. And the cyclical nature ofretail sales tax revenue suggests that the revenUe streams from supercenters might be highly variable Over time. Local officials should carefully evaluate these and related issues when they assess the fiscal impact of a discount retail outlet or supercenter. o For decades, grocery stores have been hidden but important parts of the health of many southern California municipalities. Recent changes in the grocery industry have the potential for catching local officials unaware of the possible impacts in their communities. This report highlights the potential for economic impacts as discount retail chains develop supercenters, while also emphasizing the uncertain nature of any local fiscal benefits. Local officials should carefully evaluate the implications for their communities. o 98 o References Altshuler, A. and J. Gomez-Ibanez. (1993) Regulation for Re,'enue: The Political Economy of Land Use Exactions. The Brookings Institution an d The Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. Andreeff, Monica (1997) "Safeway Employees Picket Hiring Centre." Calgary Herald. March 20. Bailey, Bill. (1999) Food Employers Council. Telephone interview, Anaheim. California, July 29. Brown et al., Women's Health-Related Behaviors and Use of Clinical Preventive Sen'ices, New York: The Commonwealth Fund, October 1995. California State Board of Equalization (1990-1997). Taxable Sales in California (sales and use tax). Sacramento, California. Canada Safeway Limited (1996) Press Release: Safeway Reaches New Tentative Settlement with, UFCW Local 2000 in British Columbia. July 8. o Canada Safeway Limited (1996) "An Open Letter to Safeway Employees," advertisement placed by Canada Safeway Limited, Vancouver Sun, June 8, p. A-28. Canada Safeway Limited (1996) "The Facts: A Message to Safeway Customers," advertisement placed by Canada Safeway Limited, Vancouver Sun, May. Carrasquillo, et al. (1999) "A Reappraisal of Private Employers' Role in Providing Health Insurance," New England Journal of Medicine, 14 January. Circelli, Deborah. (1999). When Wal-Mart Leaves, Other Businesses Suffer. Lakeland, Florida Ledger. July 17. News, p. A-I. Dardia, M. (1998) Subsidizing Redevelopment in California. Public Policy Institute of California. Davis (1996) "Uninsured in an Era of Managed Care," AHSR Presidential Address. Davis et al. (1995) "Health Insurance: The Size and Shape of the Problem," Inquiry. Dayton Hudson (1998) Corp Annual Report, 1998 EBRI (1996) "Sources of Health Insurance and Characteristics of the Uninsured: Analysis of the March 1995 Current Population Survey," EBRllssue Briel February. o Finz, Stacy (1999) "Big Costco Store Applies to Move From Martinez to Concord." San Francisco Chronicle. February 4. News, p. A-17. 99 Food Employers Council (1999) Summary Plan Description, Collective Bargaining Agreement c:t for Major Southern California Food Chains, Anaheim, California. Gabel, et al. (1998) "Health Benefits in 1998 for Small Employers," A report to the Henry 1. Kaiser Family Foundation, February; as cited in Findlay and Miller (1999). Golman, Robert (1997) A Re-examination of Some Key Impacts of a Wal-Mart SlOre in the City of San Leandro, April. Grocer Today (1996) "The Changing Face of Labour," in Grocer Today, September, pp. 13-18. Hannaford Bros' (1998) 1998 Annual Report. Hornaday, Bill W. (1999) Richland Hills Set to Fill Sam's Void. Fort Worth Start Telegram. January 26. Metro, p. I. International Monetary Fund (lMF), "World Economic Outlook," May 1999 Kent, Gordon (1997) "Union May Buy Ads to Help Woo Safeway's Customers Back" Calgary lierald. June 9. Kimbell, Dhawan and Lieser (1999) "The UCLA Anderson Forecast for the Nation and California," March. Kmart (1999) web site: www.kmart.com. f) Kmart Corp (1998) Annual Report, 1998. Krause, Thomas W. (1999) Wal-Mart Store to Close, Reopen Across Street. Macon Telegraph. August 7. Kroger (1999) Press Release, May 27. Laghi, Brian (1996)" Strike by Safeway Workers Stirs Emotions" The Globe and Mail. April II, p. A-2. Levan, R., et al. (1998) "Nearly One-Fifth of Urban Americans Lack Health Insurance," UCLA Center for Policy Research, December, as cited in Findlay and Miller (1999). Levant, Ezra (1997) "Safeway Union Playing Chicken" Calgary Sun, May. Lewis, P. and E. Barbour. (1999) California Cities and the Local Sales Tax. Public Policy Institute of California. Lindberg, Anne (1999) Pinellas Park Wal-Mart Turns in Expansion Plan. St. Petersburg Times. June 9. Seminole Times, p. 6. Meijer (1999) Web site: (v.'WW.meijer.com). Meyer and Naughton (1996) "Assessing Business Attitudes on Health Care," A report issued by o 100 o the Economic and Social Research Institute, October. NCHC, "Health Care Facts," available from www.nchc.orelknow/coveraec.hlml; Internet; accessed 22 July 1999 Olson, Jeremy. (1999) K-Mart Conversion Adds Grocery Area. Omaha World Herald. July 26. News, p. II. Perkes, Courtney (1999) Warehouse Store is Gone, but City's Debt Still Grows. Riverside Press-Enterprise, Moreno Valley Edition. July 4. Local, p. B-1. Personal Communication with each of the planning departnlents listed on the Wal-Mart openings table on July 26-28, 1999. Post, Kathy (1999) Planner with the City of Anaheim, Personal Communication, July 28. Progressive Grocer (1998) Market Scope (www.americanslores.com) Progressive Grocer (1998-1999). Annual Report of the Grocery Indunry. Progressive Grocer as cited in http://www.fmi.om.lfood/superfact.html Progressive Grocer (1999) 6(/h Annual Report ,,(the Groce/y Industry, April. o Rowland, Feder, and Keenan (1998) "Uninsured in America: The Causes and Consequences," In: The Future U.S. Healthcare System: Who Will Care for the Poor and Uninsured? (eds Altman, Reinhardt, and Shields). S & P's Industry Surveys (1998) Supermarkets & Drugstores, September 24. Safeway (1999) Press Release, 23 July. SCAG (1998) RTP Adopted Forecast, April. Shelby Report (various years) The Shelby Report, Shelby Publishing, Atlanta, Georgia. Shuit, Douglas P. (1998) The Retail Wags the Dog. Los Angeles Times. July 17. Metro, p. B- 2. Smith, Andrew (1997) "Strike Looms." Calgary Sun. March 25. ' Sommer, Constance. (1995) Super K Developers Urge City to Waive $ 1.5 Million in Fees. Los Angeles Times. March 9. Metro, p. B-1. SlOcklOn Record (1991) Feb. 28, p. B-5 Stone, Dr. Kenneth E. (1999) Iowa State University, Telephone interview, 29 July. o Thorpe (1997) "The Rising Number of Uninsured Workers: An Approaching Crisis in Health Care Financing," NCHC. (Original tabulations from the Current Population Sun'ey, March 1991.) 101 Thorpe and Florence (1999) "Why are Workers Uninsured" Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance in 1997," Health Affairs, March/April. US DeparTment of Commerce (1992) Census of Retail Trade. US DeparTment of Labor, Bureau of the Census (1993-1996) County Business Panerns Annual. Voos, Paula B. (1992) "The Relationship Between the Earnings ofIndividuals Working in the Grocery Industry and the Percent of Such Workers Organized in a Given Metropolitan Area in 1987 and 1989," Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, February . Wal-Mart (1998) Wal-Mart Associate Benefit Book. Summary Plan Description Wal-Mart (1999) web site: www.wal-marl.com. Weissman, Gastonis, and Epstein (1992) Journal of the American Medical Association. Wolfe, Joan (1999) Planner with the City of Orange, Personal Communication, July 26. 102 ~ o o o Appendices The following appendices are "Supermarket Fact Sheets", one page "summary of operations" on each of the fifteen supermarkets highlighted in the background section of the report. 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E '" ~ o .. - . o o o A Checklist for Evaluating Big Box Retail Projects Overall, our analysis of these data illustrate the great complexity. and possibly unintended conse- quences, of the entry of large footprint discount retail into the grocery business,To help prepare local and regional official to review proposed big box projects generally, we suggest communities systematically assess the positive and negative local impacts of such projects. The following checklist is one way to do so. It proposes a systematic review of the impacts on local workers, on municipal finances, and on other key community issues. [;1' ECONOMIC AND EMPLOYMENT IMPACTS How much will the new big-box outlet cut into existing local retail market share? TASKS: Need to inventory the local retail base Assess market areas and market impacts What will happen to the local workforce? TASKS: Assess impact on existing local retail Calculate direct impact of job changes, lower wages Calculate impacts of less medical coverage and other fringe benefits Calculate ripple impacts of lower wages on local economy (multiplier impacts) Will the new big-box outlet lead to vacancies or changes in local land use? TASKS: Inventory vacant land and commercial properties Assess re-use or redevelopment possibilities for competing sites [;1' MUNICIPAL FINANCE IMPACTS How much will the new development cost your municipality? TASKS: Service~ ;'Iud capital expenditures: Calculate cost of infrastructure & utilities (Le.. streets, sewer connections. water lines, etc.) Trame and other sel"vice impacts? Calculate the cost of associated economic development incentives (e.g.. tax credits) Assess the impact o( redevelopment zone tax-increment financing How much will the new development really change local tax revenues? TASKS: Assess net changes in local retail sales (e.g., including sales lost to the new big box) Calculate net changes in sales and property tax ,-evenue Examine the stability of the retail sales tax revenue over time [;1' COMMUNITY IMPACTS Will the big-box footprint possibly expand in the future? In the same line of business? TASKS: Ask about future plans up front Examine industry trends Plan (or expansion contingencies What localities will benefit from and/or be disadvantaged by the big-box development? TASKS: Assess the differences between local and regional impacts Are local gains at the expense of losses in other cities? Must these be mitigated? How will the new retail outlet affect your community's quality of life? For example, will it reduce the appeal of a downtown core that you are trying to preserve or revitalize? TASKS: Inventory locations of competing retailers Assess impact on existing local retailers . ,J - l' . - . .~.:.. .f...: I . "..,~ ~ ~ . . .": '" '" . .","" . ..l " ." ',,, . ,,' .....,. . . '" .. .. ' '. ".' . . ,~ ,,". ". '" ",'. " ."." "". " ..",.. "..' ,,'''. " '" ".' ,--,', .... ' ,41. '. 4..... . .... " '.. -- I .,1.,,,".... 07/05/0t l11U 14:12 FAX I 415 626 2860 D,_C, ,&_8., 1i!I00? , o A V I 5 . COWELL & BOW E L L P 'Counselors'and Attorneys at law o Reply to: July 5, 2001 , ~t\..~.It.... ':..1.1......,.~ lO'V""......",,,2Othfloo< By fax 909-384-5080 Sanfr~Oljforni~Ml02i .'5.626.1880 i ,,,411,620_ Valerie Ross .Principal Planner l.rryS.JeUilOO(CAJ I . . J,fho...........(CA.N'I) ic~ty of San Bernard~no '.....U........"ICA.N'I) ;San Bernardino CA 92418 Richard G. McCr<<ten (eA. NY) w. David Hohbeny lCA. NV) , E1iubolhAn"""",""ICA.N'I) iRE: Appeal of Development Permit II No. 01-05 (July 9th And,,,,!.Koh"ICA.NV.A2l ~Council hearing) John.l. DavI5.Jr. (CAJ F~E.culp(CA.NV) j MichaeIT.Andenon(CA,NV,DC.MAJ : Dear Ms. Ross: TImothy !iran (eA, N\f, DO . KristlnLMartin(CA) . did . Enclose please f n additional information Phlll""'::;;::; !supporting our appeal for you to distribute to the M"'''....(Il<) Council, an expert opinion from retail management ,. jconsultant Peter Whelan. It supports our claim that this C';5~tht,;~~1project will likely blight other retail stores. W"'",glo<\DC'OOO5 , The enclosed opinion refers to a study by Wharton 202.m'62. IProfessor Edward Shils: by overnight mail you will receive fu.202.223.8651 :six copies of that study, along with six copies of another -...,....phyO>Q i study of WalMart's impact by UC Professors Boarnet & Jon""rM"'ID~"'MOI ' Th t d' 1 th t f . Crane. ese s u ~es are too eng y 0 ax. i Under separate cover you will be faxed an expert , ; ... t t\ l.}l'~:opinion letter on this subject from William Lathrop, 88tkOn5treel,.4thFloor : ..,.to.,M""" ihopefully by the end of today. m.m."'. ! Thank you for your consideration. f..611127.5161 , , Mid\aellAnderson(CA,NV.DC.MA) ! Sincerely, RobertP:CowtII(1911-198C) . &:-j;:- ! ''!o\~ ~.. ".!.\1IMP......1 1630S.ComnrrceStreet,SufteA.' i fax cc: l..J!Vtgil'l.NeYad.89102 . 702.38&.5107 i faJ.102.386.98411 Attorney for Carol Gold John McClendon Carol Gold Q ~, 0 c o o 07/05/01 1'1111 14: tJ FAX I 415 626 2860 D,C, & n, IlJOOJ PETER M. WHELAN 9479 ViCtoria Lane Windsor, CA 95492 May 7, 1999 Clerk of the Board Board of Supervisors COUNTY OF RIVERSIDE 4080 Lemon Street, 1411\ Floor P.O, Box 1147 RiverJide, CA 92502-1147 Re: ' Appeal of Penny Newman re: Wal-Mart Warehouse, Plot Plan No. 15861 (FfA 99-4), EnviroMlcntal AnellSlTlent No, 37602 Honorable Board Membc<1: I am a management advillOr/consultant who is vet)' Wniliar with gencral merchandise ilnd !Dod retailing including the unique procurement, warehousing and distn"bution characteristics associated therewith. In addition, I have extensively studiod the economic, social and environment impact ofWal-Mart's corporate phil~sophy and retail ~rategy in numerou8 conununities within California. Attached is a brief summary of my professional experiences, sJcills, and qualifications. It is my undersi.anding WaI-Man is proposing to build a distn'bution center in Riverside' County. I have been asJced for ~ opinion on the economic impact such a development will have and the environmental impact assoc~ated therewith. Construction of.. Wal-Mart distn'bution center in Riverside County will act as I cawysl to development ofWaI-Mart stores in Southern California and activate its move into the grocery business through its Supercenter format. This in turn will create disruptive and possibly costly changes to traffic: patterns in many communities, , Wal-Man's plans were summarized by its qliefExecutive Officer David D. GlllSs at the June 7, 1996 annual stockholders' meeting, In discussing Wal-Mart's future expansion plana, Mr, GIISI said: "We're going to dominate North AmeriCL" Wharton Business School Professor Edward Shils conducted discussions with rctoilcrs in Califomia, city plannerJ, San Diego City Council members and San Diego city financial officials, These are reviewed in his 1997 report, "Mta3Uring the Economic and Socioloeical Impact of the Mega-Ri:taiI Discount Chains on Small EnterPrise in Urban, SubuIban and Rural Communitias." Professor Shits concluded,wal-Mart'8 m 39\1d 013 53XOB lIIIW 912:2:BE:8L9L 65:69 666t/9t/59 07/05/01 TflU 14: 14 !'AX I 415 626 2860 D.C. & Il. ~004 o Page Z May 7. 1999 objective mi&ht be to build over 500 stores in CllIifomia alone. Compare this to the latat datil from Wal-Mart: there are onlyl00 WaJ.Mut stOres in the stlte, All are discount storcll, none are SUperecnten. The closest WaI-Mut distribution centers are currently located in Porterville, California and New Mexico, which allows the company to competently :service general merchandise stores in CalifomiL However. the location ortbes. distribution centers precludes the company &om introduciIlg the Supercenter fOl1l1a1 in Southern California because or the complex turn-around sehedule required to service I grocery operation with the larger number of deliveries required U1d the expanded varlety and perishability of the product mix. However, with a dilllnoution center located in Riverside County, WaI-Mart is likely to exponentially expand in Southern California, particularly with Supercenters, The extent to which it would do so is evident by the fact WaI-Mart has not introduced this Connat in California. while it has installod 441 Supen;entcrs in the rest of the country,' Jonathan Laing, in a May, 1996 article in Barron's. conlinned the growth plMS ofWaJ-Mart by reporting projections by Wal-Mut CEO David Olua that by the year 2000, the grocery business to be CJ1ioyed by WaI-Man's new Supercenters "will blow past the 524 billion business volume of Kroger, the dominant supel1l1llIket chain," o Wal-Man tends to locate its new stores on undeveloped land,often on the outslciru of existing towns/cities rather than in already-urbanized areas. This encourages conversion of agricultural land near the new WaI.Man to non-agricultural uses, Development of new Wat-Mart stores and entry of existing Wal-Mart stores into the !!J'Oe8TY bulin,," hu frequently had a devastating impad on the economie, social and environmental characteristics ofsulTounding communities. Its huge discount Slores especially impact the traditional depllrtlnDllt store amI the "Main Street" retailer, but also h&w begun to transform fonneely-prosperous retail malls into replicas or city ghettos, On visits to California, New York, minois and Pennsylvania, Professor Shils and his stafrwitnessed what I also have seen: thl! inCJ"ll88ing decay of smaller stores and their environment in malls when hit with competition &om discount meaastores. Typically, these malls mIght have had a nonna1-aized discount store (60,000 square feet) as an anchor, A major rival such as WaI-Mart would then coll5tluct a Supercenter (125,000 to 200,000 square feet) perhaps ona-halfmile away from the older mall, with a new parldng area and an invitation for new stores to open in the area. After 6 o 'These Supen:eoten include 72 in Texas, 33 in Florida, aDd 30 in MisSOllri (Source: Wal.Mut &IIIW&! rcpart to slaRbolders lOr end ofFY 1998, available at wwww31nwt.eom). Florida allo has 102 n:gular Wal.MaJ1 discount stores, aDd Texas has 169. Wal-Man bas much gremr density in _ which arc far smaller 1han Califurnl.a in size IIId POPUlation: for ell8/llple, Missouri has 79 WaI-Mart disCOllDt I\UIW and 30 $upua:nlerl, Kearudcy bas 45 discount $tOrc:s and 23 Supercmterl, and Georgia has 62 discount stOres and 2S SUpm;altcrJ. ' ~~ 39\1d :J13 S3X08 111M 9t~~8E8L~L 6S:6~ 666t/~t/S~ "'1 07/05/01 THU 14:14 FAX t 4t5 626 2860 D,C, & B, ~005 o Page 3 May 7,1999 monthJ to a year, the smaller discounter surrenders, and the store becomes vacant. Traflie density in the older maIl begins to di<lu shoppers go to the newer and larger mega-retail dierount store, Within a year, every second or third retail store is closed. These stom than take on a pttoized boarded-up appearance. Graffiti.lron grills and unsightly signs then appear, and what 5 to 10 yean earlier was a hlllldsome mall now resembles an urban ghetto, Strip stores within a JIlIle or two dc. MW WaI-Mart llI"O libwise endangwed, Owners of florist shops, apparel stores, pet food stores, automotive stores, plwmaeies and othera typically ended their interview with Shils' researchers with I statement like: "No matter how etfe<:tivdy I can compete, If the store next door becomes vacant, ttaffic dellJity diminishes, and my store will have to <:loJO as wen as the one next door," These retailers cooperate in securing naw tenants fur the VllCllllI lItores, but it is largely a losing fight, In some of the huge malls visited, u much AS a 33% vacancy rate wu observed within 6 month. to 1 year ofthe anival of a big box discount .tore neaIby. Not only are small and medium-sized retailers being hammered by WaJ-Man and the like, but even larger discount chains arc: falling by the wayside, as attested to the banlauptcy applications ofCaldor and Bradlees, Charming Shoppes, with over 1,400 retail stores, i! reported to be in real trouble, while SlIo's has closed all stores, o Analysts trace the ~d to a redrawing of battle lines. The expansion into nearly CM:l)' market ofthe so-caJled Big Three.. WaI-Man Stores. K.Mart Corp. and Dayton Hudson Corp's TlUlI"Cl chain - has pitted diseounter against di5COunter in a competition that f'avon Jize. "The smaller chains arc gatting caught in a battle between the Big.." says Linda KristillllSCll, a New York retail analyst with Wertheim Schroder, A diSlenting opinion by J Arkansas Supreme Court Justices in the I99S Conway WaI-Man predate!)' pricing case included these rcmarlcs, which aucclnctly state the problem and a basic reason for concern - the corporate philo.sophy: We also find that the Chancellor could have found an intent to injure competitors from the 811idCll\te in the record and panicularly from the testimony otDavid Glass, Pre!lident of Wal-MaIt Stores, Inc,. who used language such u "aggressive, .. "do wh4tever it takes. .. "1rt1J the competition's momentum" and ''wcu Z01IU. " Senior retaillll1alyst WaIter Loeb of Loeb and Associates ~ys the luger firms such as Will-Mart are saininglncreasing control over the competitive environment and suppliers, When Wal-Mart,is growing at Ig.200/o a year, with the economy growing only about 3%, somebody is aiYing up business. Retailen responding to Shils' questionnaire saw the reduction in the number of wholesalers and middlemen wiIIin& to sell to small retailers as affecting their business negatively, Ovv 50"10 5lW the direct selling to mega-retail discount chains by supplico lIS being "negative" or 'very negative." o E8 39\1d ::l13 53Xoa lIt'W '31ll8E8L8L 65:68 6661/91/59 - 07/05/01 TIIII 14:t5 FAX I 4t5 626 2860 D,C, & n, 1i!I006 o Paae 4 May 7, 1999 WaI-Mart's recant vemure into groceI)' depattmenu through its Superceruecs creates devastating ~mpetition for the small grocer and more traditional supermarket. The ability of WaI.Man to buy direct from food processors and supplicfI provides better margina than are available to small retailers, Further, wholesalers are disappearin& since the giant diKOunt ehains are buyina "direct" where possible. In a separate study of the impact of mega-discount retailers, the National Trust for Historic Preservation notes that tho ~c, location llnd desi&n ofthellc ncw storcs create major problems in both subuman and rural oommunities, These include: . displacing axisting businesses, especially indepcmdently-owncd small buaine3ses who contnoute significantly to local civil life, by building stores vastly out of scale with a town's ability to absomthem. . setting the stage for higher property and state income taxes by creating developments that are costly to SCfVll and require new roads, water and sewer linea, police protection and other public 88I'Vices, . causing the wute or abandonment ofprevloul public and private Investments in cxistina buildinis. streelJ, parks and otha community as!ets, o homogenizing America by building stOres that have no relation to their surroundings, New or expanded WaI-Mart stores in Southern California would sl&nlficanlly injure existing department stores and genera1 men:handise. drug, toy and grocery stores, and liIc~y cause a number to close or otherwise become run-down in appearance, In my cltperiencc, 'once a department, general merchandise, drug, toy or grocery store dOBllB, It usually is vel)' difficult to find an new tenant for it. It becomes II lingering ll)'I!SOI'Il, The ~ of a ready market fur closed stores is illustrated by Wal-Mart's own problems in this regard: for atlcast several months WaI.Mart's website has been advertising for sale or lease over 300 of its own stores which are currently closed, IfWal.Mart is allowed to build the proposed distribution center, my experience and research lead me to believe this wilt cause Wal-Mart to introduce Supercenters into California Thi.I will not only destroy a healthy segment of the currently-viable small and mediurn- sized srocery retailers and eliminate tbe jobs linked thereto, but would ultimately result in the loss of many high-paying job snow fuund in chain supermarkets. W &l-Man's increasing push into the food industry is motivated by the drive to increua toUII retail sales, According to company statement.. total retail 9aIes should increase some 30'10 due to the synergies established at combinstlon stores, Furthermore, it has been suggested that WaI.Mart will use food as a loss o p~ 3911d ::113 53XOB lIIIN 9tll8E8L~L 6S:6~ 6661/~t/SQ o o o 07/05/01 TlIU 14: 16 FAX t 415 626 2860 Il,C, & n, i;!J007 Page 5 May 7, 1999 leader in order to increase store traffic, The impact of Supercenters on the food industry will pan/let the etfCCl WaI.Mart has had on the tra.dltlonal retail industry c1escribed above. Supc:rmarltets work on very thin margins. The wmbination ofWal-Mart's cheaper labor and low prica will haw murderous impact on traditional food slores, large or small. Company-pald health benefits and retirement plans now prevalent in supennarlcet& might disappear. WaI.Mart provides heahh benefits to a far smaller seiP1ent of its workforce than most 5Ilpermarket chains. The shift in health benefit costs will go directly 10 the taxpayer, while laid-off supermarket workers are likely to leek benefits fi'om federal, local, and state iovemments, Thank you for the oppoltUlllty to provide the Board with my observations and inlights into the CCOIIOrnic, socilll and environmental impacts of the development ofa Wal-Mart distribution center in Riverside County, Sin.cerely, ~ JI1 jJ~ Peter M Whelan <;R "I9\1d ::>13 53xoa lI\1W '3!Z;Z;SEBLI3L 5S:513 555!/I3!/SI3 U7lU5/U1 TIIlJ 14:16 FAA 1 415 626 2660 D.C, & 8, 1i!J006 P,2 7-17-1998 2,18PM FRO>1 OFFICE DEPOT 941 1 7~7 542 2338 ''0..-/ o Peter M. Whelan '-.....-- 11471l VICtoria Ulne I WlIldsor, CA 115492 I (707) 83lHl21l7 OBJECrIVE: fully utilize proven leadership skills, business acumen and management expertise to make a positive contribution to a customer responsive, progressive business. STRENGTHS: Enthusiastic, people-oriented, hands-on, professional manager with: (I Broad experience in P&L administration and capital allocation strategies, (t Goal-oriented, with consistent success in profitably "growing" a business and controlling expenses. (I first-hand knowledge of issues, opportunities and challenges facing business today. (I Solid and successful track record in the development and execution of diverse business strategies. (I Extensive experience in motivating and directing people to strengthen/improve organizational performance. (I Innate ability to quickly recognize potential roadblocks and promptly resolving the issue(s) to ensure attainment of business objectivels), SUMMARY OF EXPERIENCE o Provi&o Corp., San Rafael, California - General Manager with total P&L responsibility for Warehouse Store Division of this large Northern California food distributor/retailer. The profit center was a ground-up project, and the units were operated both corporately and under a definitive licensing agreement, Responsibilities included: (t Establishment of division's goals and objectives, (I Development, Implementation and administration of business/financial plan, including ancillary support programs. , (I Organizational design, recruitment, training and leadership, (I O1airman 01 Licensee Committee, whose primary function was to monitor group performance and prudently fine-tune, strengthen and broaden marketing programs, (t Site selection, lease negotiations, design of store spec package, supervision of construction activity and facility management. (I Member of Provigo Corp. Executive and Finance Committees. The Executive Committee established overall company priorities/strategy, while the finance Committee determined capital strategy/allocations. MclanejPaclfic Inc., Merced, California _ Presidenl of this California start-up corporation. The parent company is headquartered in Texas and is a major supplier of products and services to the convenience store and food service segment of the food market. Primary responsibilities basically mirrored those of my prior position, as the business was also a start-up project requiring a focused, aggressively executed commercial strategy, Colonial/Grand Union, Paramus, New Jersey. Regional Vice President with total P&lresponsibllity for various conventional and warehouse store divisions, Red Owl food Stores, Hopkins, Minnesota - Vice President of Retail Operations, with total P&L responsibility for multidivision, multi formatted stores. ' EDUCATION: Graduate, Michigan State University's School of Business and was President of Food Oistr\ib~tion Program, o PROFf5SIONAl..CJVlC AC17V1T1fS: Director of several retail food companies Director of San Mateo County Cancer Society Director of several state Food Councils. o ~, ~>~z ; a: !:: Q. ~ jI ~.en en...J / za:enQ. ffi~ww --z~ "'z-- ::Jenen z ::J ~ m en - I' . . ---- --- ~ < . ~ -, ~ ~ " .. ' ~~ ~~ " ~ ~ is: ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ o z !l I . .Ill e ~I ifi f. g :J .. N III I. I ~ ..,: ~ ~ 1.1; i .; ~ ~~~~~~~ O'it:g~.c.~~ ~~88~Q; . ~ v " II , !! !l, h 11 I , ". 'I i! .. . II I! III ~ I i ~e ii 'l < '., t~z,..,;!. I '" .., ! ! 1.1 1, 1 1 : Ii :-': ~ I 5;~:: ~' ~ ~ · ,I. I, 5 ~ f~~" ~ ! g il ,I ;, l ! 1 In .. - .. _'Y I ~ : 'I I. 1 . ~t' ,-: ~/ " , il'i , I II' Hi I' , I I:..', " , 'II 1!i ; !li I ,;; ii ~ i .1 ~ ! ,..-:;..-11. I ~. ' ef i _l.t...t b"~' .'.11 ,,' r. . \ ! I i' , ! I I~:.,. ,..".,.".,.".," 1.,",~;..,.:-;2i.f,: I ' I I 'I I' III II Ii Ii! II I !'l . I II" I ul Iii Iii! 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Ross, Principal Planner SUBJECT: Appeal of Deve]opment Permit II No, 01-05 DATE: June 28, 2001 COPIES: Rachel Clark, City Clerk; James Penman, City Attorney; Fred Wilson, City Administrator; James Funk, Director, Development Services On July 9,2001, the Mayor and Common Council will consider an appeal of the Planning Commission's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation/Monitoring and Reporting Program and approval of Development Permit II No, 01-05 - is a request to establish a 155,9] 7 square foot commercia] retail store (Wa]-Mart) with ancillary gasoline sales on 14,5 acres. The project site is located on the northwest comer of McArthur B]vd. and Hallmark Parkway in the UBP-2, University Business Park land use district. Backup items related to the project are being distributed separately to give you addition a] time to review them, If you have any questions, feel free to contact me at 384,5057, The backup items include: Exhibits: 2 3 4 5 Planning Commission Staff Report Best, Best & Kreiger letter dated June 5, 2001 Tom Dodson letter dated June 5, 2001 Transcript of June 5, 2001 Planning Commission meeting o o o EXHIBIT 2 SUMMARY CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PLANNING DIVISION CASE: AGENDA ITEM: HEARING DATE: WARD: Deve]opment Pennit Type II No, 01-05 6 June 5, 2001 6 APPLICANT: Harold Garcelon Hallmark & Foreman 1152 N, Mountain Avenue, Ste. 100 Upland, CA 91786-3669 APPELLANT: Kathleen Franks 1974 E, Lynwood Drive, #13 San Bernardino, CA 92404 909.475,5809 REQUESTILOCATION: An appeal of the Deve]opment/Environmenta] Review Committee's approval ofa 155,917 square foot commercia] retail store with ancillary gasoline sales on 14,5 acres. The project site is located northwest of the intersection of University Parkway and Hallmark Parkway in the UBP-2, University Business Park land use district. CONSTRAINTS/OVERLAYS: iii High Wind Area ENVIRONMENTAL FINDINGS: o Not Applicable o Exempt o No Significant Effects iii Potential Effects, Mitigation Measures and Mitigation MonitoringlReporting Program STAFF RECOMMENDATION: iii Approval iii Conditions o Denia] o Continuance to: S:IPLANNINGIPLNG SECRETARy\FORMSISUMMARY o o o Development Permit II No. 01-05 Hearing Date: 06/05/01 Page 2 of6 REQUEST Raymond Johnson, representing Kathleen Franks, has submitted an appeal of the DevelopmentJEnvironmenta] Review Committee's approval of Development Permit II No, 0]-05, Deve]opment Permit II No, 01-05 is a request to establish a 155,917 square foot commercial retail store (Wa]-Mart) with ancillary gasoline sales on 14.5 acres. LOCATION The projeCt site is located on the northwest comer of McArthur Blvd. and Hallmark Parkway in the UBP-2, University Business Park land use district. (Attachment],) The University Business Park Specific Plan, adopted by the City in ]992, includes the parcels located between Saratoga Way and University Parkway, and between Georgia Bou]evard and the 1-215, excluding the service station and fast food restaurant on University Parkway, BACKGROUND . February 12,2001. Deve]opment Permit II No. 01-05 was submitted. Included with the application was a draft Initia] Study prepared by Tom Dodson and Associates. . March 1,2001. The DevelopmentJEnvironmental Review Committee (D/ERe) conducted a preliminary review of the project, which was continued to March 8, 2001. . March 8, 2001. The DIERC reviewed the site plans and considered the Initial Study, Based on their independent review and analysis of the Initial Study, the D/ERC recommended that a Mitigated Negative Declaration be prepared and continued the project to April 19, 2001 for a 20-day public review period. . March 9, 2001. Planning staff and the applicant determined that Caltrans was a responsible agency as defined by the California Environmental Quality Act. As a result, a 30-day public review period was required, and the Initial Study and proposed Mitigated Negative Declaration were submitted to the State Clearinghouse for distribution to state agencies, . March 13,2001. The City's Notice of Intent to adopt a Mitigated Negative Declaration was published in The Sun. . March 14 - April 12, 2001, Public review period for the proposed Mitigated Negative Declaration. . During the public review period, Planning staff and the applicant worked on design and development concerns identified by the D/ERC. . April 19,2001. The DIERC continued the project to April 26, 2001 in order to prepare responses to comments received during the public review period, . Apri] 26, 2001. The DIERC adopted the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation MonitoringiReporting Program and approved Development Permit II No. 01-05 based on the Findings of Fact in Development Code 9 19.44,060, subject to the Conditions of Approva], including revisions to the site plan, elevations and landscape plan and the Standard Requirements. (Attachment 2.) o o o i Developmellt Permit II No, 0 },05 Hearing Date: 06/05/0} Page 3 of6 ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW As noted above, Tom Dodson prepared an Initial Study to address the potential impacts resulting from the development proposal. (Attachment 3,) A draft was submitted to staff with the Deve]opment Permit application, After reviewing the draft document, staffrequested various revisions before distribution to the D/ERC. At their meeting of March ],2001, the D/ERC requested revisions to the Initial Study to address their concerns, and those raised by members of the public, The D/ERC independently reviewed and analyzed the findings and analysis in the Initial Study before recommending that a Mitigated Negative Declaration be prepared. The Initial Study and proposed Mitigated Negative Declaration were made available for public review and comment. Responses were prepared to address the comments received during the review period. (Attachment 4.) The D/ERC reviewed the responses and concluded that they adequately addressed the comments, and determined that environmental review process completed for the project met the requirements of the California Environmental Quality Act. The DIERC also approved the Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program (Attachment A of Attachment 2), which identifies the mitigation measures, implementation schedule, responsible party, and verification of completion. DEVELOPMENT PERMIT FINDINGS I, Is the proposed development permitted within the subject zoning district and does it comply with all of the applicable provisions of the Development Code, including prescribed development/site standards and any/all applicable design guidelines? Yes, the proposed use is a permitted use in the UBP-~, University Business Park land use district, with approval ofa Deve]opment Permit. The proposed project complies with all applicable policies in the University Business Park Specific Plan and the provisions of the Deve]opment Code, including the cornmercia] design guidelines as shown on the site plan, elevations, and landscape plan, and the Conditions of Approval. (Attachment B of Attachment 2,) 2. Is the proposed use consistent with the General Plan? Yes, The University Business Park Specific Plan is incorporated into the City's General Plan, University Business Park Specific Plan Goals I and 2 state as follows: "Provide employment opportunities within the University Business Park for existing and future residents of the City and those of adjacent communities." o o o Developmelll Permit II No, 01-05 Hearing Date: 06/05/01 Page 40f6 "Provide for the continuation and development ofland uses within the University Business Park which meet the needs of regional and local populations." Deve]opment of the Wal-Mart project provides retail employment and shopping opportunities for area residents, Wal-Mart's typically provide 241 full and part time positions. Although there are grocery stores located on University Parkway at College Avenue and Kendall Drive at Shandin Hills Drive, there are no genera] merchandise stores within the immediate vicinity, 3. Is the proposed development harmonious and compatible with existing and future developments within the land use district and general area, as well as the land uses presently on the subj ect property? Yes, the proposed facility will be compatible and harmonious with the existing and surrounding land uses in the area, The proposed new construction will enhance the existing site and be a benefit to the surrounding area due to its high-quality , architectural design, 4. Is approval of the Deve]opment. Permit for the proposed development in compliance with the requirements of the California Environmenta] Quality Act and Section 19,20,030(6) of the Deve]opment Code? Yes, an Initial Study was prepared, public comments were received and responses prepared, and a Mitigated Negative Declaration is proposed for this project, as discussed under Environmenta] Review above, In addition, Goa] 3 of the UBP Specific Plan states as follows: "Ensure that the types ofland uses developed in the University Business Park eomplement and do not adversely affect the quality of life and health of the City's residents and businesses," The project was reviewed for compliance with the provisions of the specific plan as well as CEQA requirements, 5, Are there potential significant impacts upon environmental quality and natural resources that could not be properly mitigated and monitored? No, all potentia] negative impacts are addressed with mitigation measures as specified in the Initial Study, which will reduce those impacts to less than significant levels. A Mitigation MonitoringlReporting Program was prepared to correspond to Mitigation Measures identified in the Initial Study, and adopted by the D/ERC. 6, Is the subject site physically suitable for the type and density/intensity of use being proposed? o o o , Development Permit 11 No. 01-05 Hearing Date: 06/05/01 Page 5 016 Yes, the site is physically suitable for the type and density/intensity of the project being proposed, as evidenced by project compliance with all applicable Development Code Standards, 7. Are there adequate provisions for public access, water, sanitation, and public utilities and services to ensure that the proposed use would not be detrimental to public health and safety? Yes, all agencies responsible for reviewing public access and providing water, sanitation and other public services have had the opportunity to review the proposal and none have indicated an inability to serve the project. The proposal will not be detrimental to the public health and safety in that all applicable Codes will apply to the construction of this project. 8. Are the location, size, design, and operating characteristics of the proposed development detrimental to the public interest, health, safety, convenience, or welfare of the City? No, the location, size, design, and operating characteristics are consistent with all provisions of the Development Code and will not be detrimental to the public interest, health, safety, convenience, or welfare of the City. The proposed construction of the 155,917 square foot commercial retail store with ancillary gasoline sales will be compatible with the existing development in the area. APPEAL ISSUES The appeal filed by Ms, Franks contains no discussion of the perceived impacts to traffic, air quality, noise, and blighting influence, (Attaclunent 5,) As discussed under Environmental Review, staff believes that the Mitigated Negative Declaration adequately addresses potential impacts from development of the Wal-Mart project, and the Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Plan ensures implementation of the mitigation measures, Raymond Johnson, Ms. Franks' attorney, submitted a letter questioning the traffic mitigation measures, (Attaclunent 6,) Mr. Johnson believes that it is improper to defer the traffic mitigation improvements. The traffic-related mitigation measures are required to be completed prior to issuance of a Certificate of Occupancy, with the exception of the freeway off-ramp improvements, These ramp improvements are not anticipated to be required until 2010 as per the traffic study completed for this project. However, Public Works has required the applicant to complete this improvement concurrent with the other traffic-related improvements, prior to the issuance of the Certificate of Occupancy. CONCLUSION The Development/Environmental Review Committee's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program and approval of Development o o o Development Permit 1/ No. 01-05 Hearing Date: 06/05/01 Page 6 016 Pennit II No, 01-05 were consistent with the California Envirorunental Quality Act and the requirements of the City's General Plan and Development Code, RECOMMENDA nON Staffrecommends that the Planning Commission uphold the D/ERC's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation MonitoringlReporting Program and approval of Development Penn it II No. 01-05 based on the Findings of Fact in Development Code S 19.44,060, subject to the Conditions of Approval, including revisions to the site plan, elevations and landscape plan, and the Standard Requirements, Respectfully Submitted, James Funk Director of Development Services YtfWvf/,f(N4- Valerie C, Ross Principal Planner Attachment I Attachment 2 Location Map Development/Envirorunental Review Committee Approval Letter . Attachment A Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program . Attachment B Conditions of Approval and Standard Requirements . Exhibit A Site Plan . Exhibit B Elevations . Exhibit C Landscape Plan Requirements Initial Study Initial Study Comments and Responses Appeal Application Letter from Raymond Johnson Attachment 3 Attachment 4 Attachment 5 Attachment 6 "!I ATTACHMENT 1 (~ CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PROJECT: DP II No. 01-05 PLANNING DIVISION LOCATION MAP LAND USE DISTRICTS HEARING DATE: 6/5/01 u NORTH <.....l ~ ~ (' \~ o o o ~ May 15,2001 Harold Garcelon Hallmark & Foreman 1152 N. Mountain Avenue, Suite 100 Upland, CA 91786-3669 ATTACHMENT 2 DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT 300 North "D" Street. San Bernardino. CA 92418,0001 909,384.5057 . Fax: 909,384.5080 PIl'l!t,' Works Fax: Q09.384.5155 . www.ci.san,bernardino.ca.us RE: Development Permit No, 01-05 - North San Bernardino Retail I Project Dear Mr. Garcelon: The Development/Environmental Review Committee took the following action at its meeting of April 26, 2001, The D/ERC adopted the Mitigated Negative Declaration and Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program (Attachment A) and approved Development Permit No. 01-05 upon the Findings of Fact in Development Code S 19.44.060, subject to the Conditions of , Approval, including revisions to the site plan, elevations and landscape plan and the Standard Requirements (Attachment B), The decision of the D/ERC is final unless a written appeal is filed, with the appropriate fee, within IS days of the D/ERC's action, pursuant to Section 19.52,100 of the Municipal (Development) Code, Sincerely, VdtWJt. ~ Valerie C. Ross Principal Planner cc: Roger & Vivian Wang 7957 Oceanus Drive Los Angeles, CA 90046-2044 HCK Properties c/o Chin Cho 117 Tree Top Drive Santa Cruz, CA 95060 o o o . A TT ACHMENT A DEVELOPMENT PERMIT II NO. 01-05 NORTH SAN BERNARDINO RETAIL 1 PROJECT MITIGATION MONITORING/REPORTING PROGRAM This Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program has been prepared to implement the mitigation measures outlined in the Initial Study for Development Permit II No, 01-05, This program has been prepared in compliance with the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and the State and City of San Bernardino CEQA Guidelines, CEQA Section 21081,6 requires adoption of a monitoring and/or reporting program for those measures or conditions imposed on a project to mitigate or avoid adverse effects on the environment. The law states that the monitoring or reporting program shall be designed to ensure compliance during project implementation. The Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program contains the following elements: 1. The mitigation measures are recorded with the action and procedure necessary to ensure compliance, The program lists the mitigation measures contained within the Initial Study, A procedure for compliance and verification has been outlined for each mandatory mitigation action, This procedure designates who will take action, what action will be taken and when, and to whom and when compliance will be reported, The record sheets, the pertinent actions, and dates will be logged, and copies of permits, correspondence or other data relevant will be retained by the City of San Bernardino, The program is designed to be flexible, As mo.nitoring progresses, changes to compliance procedures may be necessary based upon recommendations by those responsible for the program, If changes are made, new rnonitoring compliance procedures and records will be developed and incorporated into the program, 2. 3. 4, The individual measures and accompanying monitoring/reporting actions follow, They are numbered in the same sequence as presented in the Initial Study. c o - .. 1OIf/ c- _.!l! 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'" 0._ I- '" >uoC'O ~ C) -8"'>'oa.i=::?:c "::= "'- U Gl '6 Q)o=C)tn --- ..c:: UJoc C'O a> >'5 ....ca.s:=~=~.o .. ....; .. .. o o 10 . ATTACHMENT B Conditions of Approval and Standard Requirements DP II 01-05 North San Bernardino Retail ] I. Within two years of development approval, commencement of construction shall have commenced or the pennitlapproval shall become null and void. In addition, if after commencement of construction, work is discontinued for a period of one year, then the pennitlapproval shall become null and void, Expiration: April 26, 2003 2. The review authority may, upon application being filed 30 days prior to the expiration date and for good cause, grant a one-time extension not to exceed 12 months, The review authority shall ensure that the project complies with all Development Code provisions ill effect at the time the extellsioll request is filed, 3. In the event that this approval is legally challenged, the City will promptly notify the applicant of any claim or action and will cooperate fully in the defense of the matter. Once notified, the applicant agrees to defend, indemnify, and hold harmless the City, the Economic Development Agency, their affiliates, officers, agents and employees from any claim, action or proceeding against the City of San Bernardino, The applicant further agrees to reimburse the City and the Economic Development Agency of any costs and attorney's fees whieh the City or the Economic Development Agency may be required by a court to pay as a result of such action, but such participation shall not relieve applicant of his or her obligation under this section. 4. No vacant, relocated, altered, repaired or hereafter erected structure shall be occupied or no change of use ofland or structure(s) shall be inaugurated, or no new business commenced as authorized by this permit until a Certificate of Occupancy has been issued by the Department. 5. Construction shall be in substantial conformance with the plan(s) approved by the Development Review Committee, 6. A temporary Certificate of Occupancy may be issued by the Department subject to the conditions imposed on the use, provided that a cash bond or other security is filed with the Department of Public Works prior to the issuance of the Certificate, if necessary, The deposit or security shall guarantee the faithful perfonnance and completion of all tenns, conditions and perfonnance standards imposed on the intended use by this pennit. o 10 o - DPII No, 01-05 Page 20f9 May 15, 2001 7. The approval is subject to all the applicable provisions of the Development Code in effect at the time of approval. This includes Chapter 19,20 - Property Development Standards. and includes: dust and dirt control during construction and grading activities; emission control of fumes, vapors, gas and other forms of air pollution; glare control; exterior lighting design and control; noise control; odor control; screening; signs, off-street parking and off-street loading; and, vibration control. 8. Signs are not approved as a part of this permit. Prior to establishing any new signs. or replacing existing signs, the applicant shall submit an application, and receive approval for a sign permit from the Planning Division, All signage on the site shall be permanent. Signs painted on exterior building surfaces are prohibited, 9, The address number of every commercial building shall be located and displayed so that it shall be easily visible from the street. The numerals in these numbers shall be no less than six (6) inches in height and be of a color contrasting to the background, In addition, any business that affords vehicular access to the rear through any driveway, alleyway, or parking lot shall also display the same numbers on the rear of the building, 10. A dedicated parking space, marked for Police Department use only, shall be provided near the main entrance to the building. I I. At Plan Check submittal, the Site Plan, Elevations and Landscape Plans shall be modified to incorporate the conditions of approval listed below, Any items that are not requested for modification shall remain on the plans, Numbers correspond to the redlined plans. A. Site Plan Requirements (Exhibit A) 1. A minimum of two (2) benches shall be located within the vieinity of both trellises, The cart corrals shall be relocated to an area closer to the building, The area for seasonal display shall be clearly delineated and enclosed by a tubular steel fence or other materials approved by the Planning Division, Chain link is not permitted, Seasonal display shall be subject to the following standards: . The seasonal display area shall be enclosed by a tubular steel fence (or other material approved by the Planning Division), . Prior to use of the marked area for seasonal displays, Wal-Mart shall provide a seasonal displays operations plan for review and approval by the Planning Division, This plan shall outline the frequency and duration of -contemplated seasonal displays, 2, 3, o DPlI No. 01,05 Page 3 of9 May 15. 2001 4. All carts shall be stored inside, unless the Planning Division approves an alternative, outside location: Should outside storage be selected, a minimum 3' high screen wall and other screening materials approved by the Planning Division shall be used to screen the carts. Outside storage shall not be permitted. 5, B. Elevations (Exhibit B-2 pages) o o I. All mechanical and roof-mounted equipment shall be fully screened from public view by being placed below the lowest level of the parapet wall, Should the equipment extend beyond the parapet wall, it shall be screened in a manner found acceptable to the Planning Division, The E.I.F,S. elements added on all elevations shall be squared off on the bottom to be consistent with the major entry, Darker elements, consistent with the main entry shall be provided to provide the visual support for these elements. Signage is not part of this application, A separate application is required, Colors and materials for the gas canopy shall be compatible with the main building. All light sources shall be energy efficient, stationary and shielded or recessed within the roof canopy so that the service station shall be indirectly visible and light is deflected away from adjacent properties and public rights-of-way, Lighting shall not be of such a high intensity as to cause a traffic hazard or adversely affect adjoining properties, No luminaire shall be higher than 15 feet above finished grade, Garden Center . Any covers that are proposed over the Garden Center shall be subject to approval by the Planning Division, . Entry features, as approved by the Planning Division, shall be provided at all major entries to the Garden Center, . No bulk materials (i,e" mulch, stacked inventory) may be located adjacent to the Garden Center fence where it is visible from the street or parking lot. Items may not be stacked higher than the height of the fence, The loading docks shall be screened with a screen wall. All ladders shall be internalized, Chain link or barbed wire fences shall not be permitted. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7, 8. o o o --" DPII No, 0/-05 Page 4 of9 May /5, 200/ c. Landscape Plan Requirements (Exhibit C) 1. One (1) evergreen vine shall be planted per each post of the trellises located on the southeast elevation. 2. One (I) tree, minimum 36" box, shall be planted on each side of the trellis, Each trellis shall be surrounded by a minimum of two trees, Said trees shall be shadel canopy trees, Existing mature trees along Hallmark Parkway shall be preserved in place or relocated. Parking lot landscaping shall be provided at Itree/4 spaces, Additional trees may be required along the 1-215 frontage to screen the loading docks, The Planning Division shall approve final plans, The garden area will be enhanced/screened from Hallmark Parkway to the satisfaction of the Planning Division, An overall site landscape percentage calculation shall be included on the plans. The parking spaces along Hallmark Parkway shall be screened by a 36" high opaque wall or landscaping, A combination of walls, berms and landscape material is highly recommended, All landscaping shall be consistent with Section GI9,28,l30 Landscape Design Guidelines from the City's Development Code, 3. 4. 5, 6. 7, 8. 9. 16. Proposed changes to the hours of operation shall be provided to the Planning Division for review and approval at least one month prior to the contemplated change, 17. Proposed changes to the project to include additional uses and/or building expansion will require a new Development Permit. 18. Wal-Mart shall consider the purchase of a defibrillator for use on-site, as may be needed. The applicant shall provide a letter confirming that the installation/use of a defibrillator has been considered by Wal-Mart management. 19, Any public pay phones located on the site shall be located near the main entry and set to provide outgoing calls only and 911 only from 12 a.m. and 5 a,m, 20. The project shall notify the Police Department of graffiti on site within 24 hours, so that it may removed. A photo of the graffiti shall be taken before removal. 21. The applicant shall comply with the Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program (Attachment A). o o 10 I I DPIl No, 0/-05 Page 5 oJ9 May /5. 200/ 22. All exterior lighting shall be energy efficient with the ability to lower or reduce usage when the store is closed, Store signage may be required to be turned-off when the store is closed, consistent with the governor's executive order D-19-0I, dated January 17, 2001. 23, The vacation ofa portion of Gannett Parkway northeasterly of Hallmark Parkway, and a portion of McArthur Boulevard northwesterly of Gannett Parkway shall be completed prior to the issuance of grading and/or building permits, 24. This permit or approval is subject to the attached conditions or requirements of the following City Departments or Divisions: a, Police Department b. Development Services Department - Public Works Division c. Development Services Department - Plan Check Division d. Public Services Department - Refuse Division e, Water Department f. Fire Department o o .' o .. DPII No, 0/,05 Page 60f9 May /5. 200/ SAN BERNARDINO POLICE DEPARTMENT CPTED (CRIME PREVENTION THROUGH ENVIRONMENTAL DESIGN) STANDARDS "The proper design and effective use of the built environment can lead to a reduction in the fear and incidence of crime, and an improvement of the quality oflife" CPTED as defined by the National Crime Prevention institute. 1. Natural Surveillanee A design concept directed primarily at keeping intruders easily observable, Promoted by features that maximize visibility of people, parking areas and building entrances: doors and windows that look out on to the streets and parking areas; pedestrian- friendly sidewalks and streets; front porches; adequate nighttime lighting, 2. Territorial Reinforcement Physical design can create or extend a sphere of influence, Users then develop a sense of territorial control while potential offenders, perceiving this control, are discouraged. Promoted by features that define property lines and distinguish private spaces from public spaces using landscape plantings, pavement designs, gateway treatments, and "CPTED" fences, 3. Natural Aeeess Control A design concept directed primarily at decreasing crime opportunity by denying access to crime targets and creating in offenders a perception of risk, Gained by designing streets, sidewalks, building entrances and neighborhood gateways to clearly indicate public routes and discouraging access to private areas with structural elements, 4. Target Hardening Accomplished by features that prohibit entry or access: window locks, dead bolts for doors, interior door hinges, Presented along with each of these CPTED strategies are guidelines which, as a homeowner, builder or remodeler, you can apply to reduce the fear and incidence of crime and improve,the quality oflife, o o o DPII No, 0/-05 Page 70f9 May /5.200/ CPTED Reauirements for Commercial Properties 1. Natural Aeeess Control . The cash register should be located in front of the store near the main entrance, . The cash register should be visible from the street. . The public path should be clearly marked, . Signs should direct patrons to parking and entrances, . There should be no easy access to the roof. Permanently affixed ladders leading to roofs shall be fully enclosed with sheet metal to a height often (10) feet. This covering shall be locked against the ladder with a case hardened hasp, secured with non-removable screws or bolts and a padlock with a minimum three-eighths (3/8) inch hardened steel shackle, locking at both heel and toe, and a minimum five (5) pin tumbler operation with non removable key when in an unlocked position, Hinges on the cover will be provided with non-removable pins when using pin-type hinges, 2. Natural Surveillance . Windows should be on the front and rear of the building, allowing visibility of all parking areas, . Window signs should cover no more that 15% of windows . Interior shelving and displays should be no higher that five feet for increased visibility, . Exterior of buildings should be well IiI. All exterior doors should be well lit. . Dumpsters should not create blind spots or hiding areas, . Parking and entrances should be observable by as many people as possible, . Shrubbery should be kept less than two feet in height for visibility, . Orient buildings in a complex for good visibility of the streets, parking lots and other buildings in the complex, . Loading areas should not create hiding places. . Clear visibility should be maintained from the store to the street, sidewalk, parking areas and passing vehicles. . Orient parking spaces to provide good visibility between cars, . Maintain continuous front setbacks for buildings along a street. . Retention areas should be visible from the building or street, it should be a visual amenity, not hedged or fenced off. . All entrances should be under visual surveillance or monitored electronically, 3. Territorial Reinforeements . Property perimeters defined by landscaping post and pillar fencing or gates. . Signs should clearly identify interior business, . Use strong locks and construction materials on all doors and windows. . Limit numbers of entrances and exits to the buildings, parking lots, etc, . Locate entrances and exits in areas that are under surveillance or direct supervision, . Install burglary and robbery alann systems, Alarm pennits must be issued prior to the use of any burglar or robbery alarm, Contact the alann unit of the San Bernardino o 0 4. . . . . . . . 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. o , DPlI No. 01-05 Page 80J9 May 15, 2001 Police Department at (909) 384-5715. The office is located at the main station at 710 N, '0' Street, San Bernardino 92401. . Install closed-circuit television (CCTY) cameras or mirrors where sight lines are obstructed, . The following standards for lighting and address markings shall apply to commercial buildings: I) The address number of every commercial building shall be located and displayed so that it shall be easily visible from the street. The numerals in these numbers shall be no less than six (6) inches in height and be of a color contrasting to the background, In addition, any business that affords vehicular access to the rear through any driveway, alleyway, or parking lot shall also display the same numbers on the rear of the building, I) Rooftop address numbers shall be provided, They shall be a minimum of three (3) feet high and two (2) feet in width and of contrasting color to the background, Numbers shall be placed parallel to the street address as assigned, Each building within a commercial complex shall have its own address/assigned number affixed to the roof. Management Parking close to the store should be available to nighttime employees. Operating hours should coincide with those of other neighboring businesses, Pay phones should be call-out only and under surveillance at all times, Interior space should be well lit. The interior office door to the managers office should have a lock and a door eye viewer. Install "No TrespassinglNo Loitering" signs on the property. Use signs to: Discourage access to dangerous areas, Indicate opening and closing times, Indicate minimal caSh on hand, Direct people to safe paths, exits, emergency assistance, etc, Inform people how to report maintenance problems, Inform intruders of access control measures, alarms, etc, o . . . . . . 0 . . . . . o , DPll No, 0/-05 Page 9 0[9 May /5. 200/ CPTED Reouirements for Parkwavs. Pedestrian Paths and Common Areas . Maintain tree canopies at least 8 ft above the ground. Shrubs should be trimmed to or below 36 inches. . Use open landscaping and see-though fences instead of solid walls or hedges for boundaries where privacy or environmental noise mitigation is not needed, . Grade land where practical without substantially altering the natural terrain to provide unobstructed sight lines within the project and from adjacent streets and developed areas. Eliminate possible hiding or entrapment spots along pedestrian paths, e,g" dense shrubs. high walls or hedges, or alcoves, along pedestrian paths. Employ design features and materials that cannot easily be vandalized, stolen or used to damage the property, A void use ofloose rocks as decoration, Use graffiti-resistant paint or anti-graffiti coatings on walls, benches, light poles, signs, etc, Use low-maintenance designs and irrigation systems, and drought resistant plants to facilitate upkeep over time, Pedestrian scale street lighting should be used in high pedestrian traffic areas, Provide exterio'r lighting for visibility at night on streets, parking areas, sidewalks, pedestrian paths, possible entrapment spots, etc, to enable people to see where they are going and identify others along their route, Light should be consistent to reduce contrast between shadows and illuminated areas, Make sure that trees or other landscaping does not block light. Use screens, wired glass, or other protection for light fixtures and bulbs, Use vines, thorny plants, and other landscaping along walls to make access more difficult and prevent graffiti, Provide adequate light for nighttime use of paths to and from the entrances and exits of buildings and throughout the project or neighborhood, Locate amenities and activities at or near entrances, exits and major circulation paths to increase risk of detection for intruders. o o '0 I I I I , STANDARD REQUIREMENTS I I DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION I DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S,F. COMMERCIAL CASE NO: DP II NO. 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY I . NOTE TO APPLICANT: Where separate Engineering plans are required, the applicant is responsible for submitting the Engineering plans directly to the Engineering Division. They may be submitted prior to submittal of Building Plans, 1. Draina2e and Flood Control a) A local drainage study will be required for the project. Any drainage improvements, structures or storm drains needed to mitigate downstream impacts or protect the development shall be designed and constructed at the developer's expense, and right-of- way dedicated as necessary, b) All drainage from the development shall be directed to an approved public drainage facility, If not feasible, proper drainage facilities and easements shall be provided to the satisfaction of the City Engineer. c) If site drainage is to be outletted into the public street, the drainage shall be conveyed through a parkway culvert constructed in accordance with City Standard No, 400, Conveyance of site drainage over the Driveway approaches will not be permitted, d) Applicant shall mll1gate on-site storm water discharge sufficiently to maintain compliance with the City's NPDES Storm Water Discharge Permit Requirements. A "Notice of Intent (NOl)" shall be filed with the State Water Quality Control Board for construction disturbing 5 acres of more ofland. e) All contaminated drainage from spills in the vicinity of the fuel dispensers shall be contained in a tank on-site and properly disposed of by hauling to an approved contaminated waste disposal facility, Contaminated drainage shall not be discharged into the City streets or storm drain system. Page 1 of 9 Pages 5/1512001 o o ,0 ~ ! I STANDARD REQUIREMENTS DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S.F. COMMERCIAL CASE NO: DP II NO. 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR I APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK ! HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY i f) The City Engineer, prior to grading plan approval, shall approve an Erosion Control Plan, The plan shall be designed to control erosion due to water and wind, including blowing dust, during all phases of construction, including graded areas which are not proposed to be immediately built upon, 2, Gradinl! and Landscaoinl! a) If more than l' of fill or 2' of cut is proposed, the site/plot/grading and drainage plan shall be signed by a Registered Civil Engineer and a grading permit will be required, The grading plan shall be prepared in strict accordance with the City's "Grading Policies and Procedures" and the City's "Standard Drawings", unless otherwise approved by the City Engineer. ' b) Ifmore than 5,000 cubic yards of earthwork is proposed, a grading bond will be required and the grading shall be supervised in accordance with Section 70 12( c) of the Uniform Building Code. c) If more than 1,000 cubic yards of earth is to be hauled on City Streets then a special hauling permit shall be obtained from the City Engineer. Additional conditions, such as truck route approval, traffic controls, bonding, covering of loads, street cleaning, etc. may be required by the City Engineer. d) An on-site Improvement Plan is required for this project. Where feasible, this plan shall be incorporated with the grading plan and shall conform to all requirements of Section 15.04-167 of the Municipal Code (See "Grading Policies and Procedures"), e) A refuse enclosure, if necessary, constructed in accordance with City Standard Drawing No. 508, The minimum size of the refuse enclosure shall be 8 feet x 15 feet, unless the Public Services Department, Refuse Division, approves a smaller size, in writing, Page 2 of 9 Pages 5/15/2001 o o o ~ STANDARD REQUIREMENTS DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S.F, COMMERCIAL CASE NO: DP II NO, 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY f) Retaining walls, block walls and all on-site fencing shall be designed and detailed on the On-site Improvement Plan. This work shall be part of the On-site Improvement permit issued by the City Engineer. g) This project is located in the "High Wind Area", Therefore, all free standing walls and fences shall be designed for a minimum wind load of 23 pounds per square foot of vertical surface, unless a lower value is approved by the City Engineer. h) The on-site improvement plan shall include details of on-site lighting, including light location, type of poles and fixtures, foundation design, conduit location and size, and the number and size of conductors. Photometry calculations shall be provided which show that the proposed on-site lighting, design will provide I foot-candle of illumination uniformly distributed over the surface of the parking lot during hours of operation and 0,25 foot-candles security lighting during all other hours. i) The design of on-site improvements shall also comply with all requirements of The California Building Code, Title 24, relating to handicap parking and accessibility, including retrofitting of existing building access points for handicap accessibility, if applicable. j) A handicap accessible path of travel shall be provided from the public way to the building entrance. All pathways shall be concrete paved and shall provide a minimum clear width of 4 feet. Where parking overhangs the pathway, the minimum paved width shall be 6 feet. k) Where the handicap accessible path of travel crosses drive aisles, it shall be delineated by striping or textured/colored concrete pavement. I) A reciprocal easement shall be recorded prior to grading plan approval if reciprocal drainage, access, sewer, and/or parking is proposed to cross lot lines, or a lot merger shall be recorded to remove the interior lot lines. Page 3 of 9 Pages 5/1512001 o o o STANDARD REQUIREMENTS DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S,F. COMMERCIAL CASE NO: DP II NO, 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY m) The project Landscape Plan shall be reviewed and approved by the City Engineer prior to issuance of a grading permit. Submit 5 copies to the Engineering Division for Checking. n) The public right-of-way, between the property line and top of curb (also known as "parkway") along adjoining streets shaH be landscaped by the developer and maintained in perpetuity by the property owner. Details of the parkway landscaping shall be included in the project's on-site landscape plan, unless the parkway area is included in a landscape maintenance district, in which case, a separate landscape plan shall be provided. 0) The applicant shall join the existing business owners' association related to maintenance of the landscaping along Hallmark Parkway or establish a Landscape Maintenance District, p) Separate sets of Landscape Plans shall be provided for the Landscape Maintenance District, if applicable, q) An easement and covenant shall be executed on behalf of the City to allow the City to enter and maintain any required landscaping in case of owner neglect. The Real Property Section for execution by the property owner and shall ensure that, if the property owner or subsequent owner(s) fail to properly maintain the landscaping, the City will be able to file appropriate liens against the property in order to accomplish the required landscape maintenance. A document processing fee in the amount of $200.00 shall be paid to the Real Property Section to cover processmg costs. The property owner, prior to plan approval, shall execute this easement and covenant unless otherwise allowed by the City Engineer. Page 4 of 9 Pages 5/1512001 o o o STANDARD REQUIREMENTS DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION I DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S.F. COMMERCIAL CASE NO: DP II NO. 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY 3, Utilities a) Design and construct all public utilities to serve the site in accordance with City Code, City Standards and requirements of the serving utility, including gas, electric, telephone, water, sewer and cable TV (Cable TV optional for commercial, industrial. or institutional uses). b) Sewer main extensions required to serve the site shall be constructed at the Developer's ex pense. c) This project is located in the sewer service area maintained by the City of San Bernardino therefore. any necessary sewer main extension shall be designed and constructed in accordance with the City's "Sewer Policy and Procedures" and City Standard Drawings, d) Utility services shall be placed underground and easements provided as required. e) A street cut permit, from the City Engineer, will be required for utility cuts into existing streets where the street is not being repaved as part of the required improvements, t) Existing Utilities whieh interfere with new construction shall be relocated at the Developer's expense as directed by the City Engineer, except overhead lines, if required by provisions of the Development Code to be undergrounded. See Development Code Section 19.20,030 (non-subdivisions) or Section 19,30.110 (subdivisions), g) Sewers within private streets or private parking lots will not be maintained by the City but shall be designed and constructed to City Standards and inspected under a City On- Site Construction Permit. A private sewer plan designed by the Developer's Engineer and approved by the City Engineer will be required, This plan can be incorporated in the grading plan, where practical. Page 5 of 9 Pages 5/1512001 o o o STANDARD REQUIREMENTS DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION i , DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S.F. COMMERCIAL I CASE NO: DP II NO, 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH i ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY 4, Street Improvement and Dedications a) All public streets within and adjacent to the development shall be improved to include combination curb and gutter, paving, handicap ramps, street lights, sidewalks and appurtenances, including, but not limited to traffic signals, traffic signal modifieations, relocation of public or private facilities which interfere with new construction, striping, shall be accomplished in accordance with the City of San Bernardino "Street Improvement Policy" and City "Standard Drawings", unless otherwise approved by the City Engineer, Street lighting, when required, shall be designed and constructed in accordance with the City's "Street Lighting Policies and Procedures", Street lighting shall be shown on street improvement plans except where otherwise approved by the City Engineer. b) For the streets listed below, dedication of adequate street right-of way (R,Q,W,) to provide the distance from street centerline to property line and placement of the curb line(C.L.) in relation to the street centerline shall be as follows: Street Name Ril!ht of Wav(ft.) Curb Line(ft) HALLMARK P ARKW A Y 40' (EXISTING) 32' (EXISTING) c) Construct sidewalk adjacent to the site in accordance with City Standard No. 202, Case "A" (6' wide adjacent to curb). d) Construct Handicap Ramps in accordance with City Standard No. 205 at all curb returns within and adjacent to the project site. Dedicate sufficient right-of-way at the corner to accommodate the ramp. Page 6 of 9 Pages 5/15/2001 o o o - STANDARD REQUIREMENTS DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S.F. COMMERCIAL CASE NO: DP II NO. 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY 5, Relluired En!!ineerinl! Permits a) Grading permit (If applicable.). b) On-site improvements construction permit (except buildings - see Development Services- Building Division), including landscaping, c) Off-site improvements construction permit. 6. Applicable Enl!ineerinl! Fees! a) Plan check and inspection fees for off-site improvements - 4% and 4%, respectively, of the estimated construction cost' of the off-site improvements. b) Plan check and inspection fees for 'on-site improvements (except buildings - See Development Services-Building Division) - 2% and 3%, respectively, of the estimated construction cost' of the on-site improvements, including landscaping. cJ Plan check and inspection fees for grading (If permit required) - Fee Schedule available at the Engineering Division Counter. I All Fees are subject to change without notice, 'Estimated Construction Cost for Off-Site Improvements Is based on a list of standard unit prices on file with the Public Works Division, ) Estimated Construction Cost for On-Site Improvements is based on a list of standard unit prIces on file wIth the Public Works Division, Page 7 of 9 Pages 5/1512001 o o o I STANDARD REQUIREMENTS DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S.F. COMMERCIAL CASE NO: DP II NO. 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY d) This project is greater than 5 acres and has been determined the City Engineer to be eligible to pay the drainage fee at the large parcel rate; therefore, a drainage fee in the approximate amount of $46,456,00. Based on Square Feet @ $0.429 per square foot for the first 3,000 square feet of impervious lot area (estimated as 85% of the net lot area), then $0.147 per square foot for each square foot over 3,000 square feet but less than 5 acres, and $0.0489 per square foot for each square foot of impervious area over 5 acres, e) Traffic system fee in the estimated amount of $190,270.03, Based on 11,123 trips per day @ $17.1 06 per new trip generated by the project. The City Traffic Engineer shall determine exact amount at time of application for Building Permit. f) A portion of the Traffic Systems Fee paid for this commercial/industrial project can be credited to the initial developer based on the actual cost of installation of a new traffic signal or upgrade of existing traffic signals in addition to the mitigation of traffic related conditions identified in the project review process and required as part of the approved development. See Resolution No. 88-140. g) Sewer Connection fee in the approximate amount as follows based on $242,91 per 3,000 square feet or fraction thereof: $12,631.32 h) Sewer inspection fee in the estimated amount as follows based on $20.48 per connection: $20.48 i) Street or easement dedication processing fees in the amount of $ 200.00 per document. 7, Additional Requirements - General a) Hallmark parkway/Gannett parkway: Traflie Signal Installation, Page 8 of 9 Pages 5/15/2001 . o o 10 -'\1 STANDARD REQUIREMENTS DEPARTMENT OF DEVELOPMENT SERVICES/PUBLIC WORKS DIVISION DESCRIPTION: 155,917 S.F, COMMERCIAL CASE NO: DP II NO, 01-05 RETAIL STORE WITH ANCILLARY GASOLINE SALE LOCATION: N/E CORNER OF McARTHUR APPLICANT: BOULEVARD AND HALLMARK HAROLD GARCELON PARKWAY b) Hallmark ParkwaylUniversity Parkway: Modify intersection to permit unrestricted westbound right turns on University Parkway at Hallmark Parkway. The design is subject to approval by the City Traffic Engineer. c) 1-215 Southbound RampslUniversity Parkway: Addition ofa separate eastbound right turn lane on University Parkway at the 1-215 southbound on-ramp as proposed on the Wal-Mart Store #3276 University Parkway Striping Plan. 1/9/01 Hall & Foreman, Inc, d) The report has acknowledged an awareness of the proposed southbound freeway off- ramp modifications at the northwest quadrant of the University Parkway/I-215 Interchange that is listed on the current RTIP, This proposed loop ramp project would most certainly eneroach into the proposed site plan for the Wal-Mart development. Page 9 of 9 Pages 511512001 ~ o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES PLAN CHECK DIVISION COMMERCIAL & INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS PLAN SUBMITTAL CHECKLIST The following is a list of items required by the City of San' Bernardino for commercial & industrial projects: BUILDING PERMIT ISSUANCE: 1. Site plan with all standard conditions, Development Plan, or C,U,P, approvals, 2, Grading plan signed and grading permit issued by City Engineer, Plan must have the address (assigned by Engineering), Note: The grading permit requires a separate application submitted to Public Works/City Engineering. 3, Landscape drawings approved by Public Works/Engineering, Note: Lan<:!scape plan! require a separate submittal to Public Work~/City Engineering. o 4, Fire Department approvals for all on-site improvements. Fire sprinkler plans must be submitted directly to the Fire Dept, for plan check, approval, & permit, Contact the Fire Marshals Office at 909-3B4-5388. 5, Title to property if permit is issued as Owner/8uilder, A list of all sub- contractors must be submitted to the City Clerk's office, 6, All Contractors must have a current State License and a City Business Registration at time of permit issuance, The Contractor must furnish the information on the workers' compensation carrier & policy number at the time of permit issuance, The City does not keep certificates on file, 7, A receipt from the applicable school district. San Bernardino Unified is located at 7T7 N, F St, phone 909-381-1238, 8, Sewer capacity fee receipt from the City of San Bernardino Water Department located on the 5th floor, Contact Neil Thompson/909-384-5093, 9, Additional Impact fees will be assessed by Public Works or resolution/ordinance and payable on the building permit for: a. Sewer connection o b, 0 c, d, E, f, g, .., Storm drain Traffic systEm VErdEmont InfrastructurE (if applicablE) Cultural dEvElopmEnt fEES StatE of Californio strong motion fEE (0,00021 x valuation) Planning DEpartmEnt zoning vErification 10, CErtain Occupancy classifications (LE, REstaurants, SErvicE Stations, Factoriu, dc,) may rEquirE additional clEarancEs and approvals from othEr agEnciES: (list is not all inclusiVE) a, County HEalth DEportmEnt 909-387-3043 b, South Coost Air Quality ManagEmEnt District 909-396-2000 c, WatEr REclamation 909-384-5141 11. If prOjECt rEquirES a 'ParcEI Map, it must includE: a, ThE assusors parCEl numbEr for Each dEVElOPEd lot and thE rEquirEd sdbacks, b, AddrESS & uqu,EncE list for multi-tEnant prOjECtS PLAN CHECK SUBMITTAL: a, 0 b, c, d, E, f, g. h, 4 compldE sds of plans, drawn to scalE (minimum 18" x 241 (5 sds arE rEquirEd for EXPEditious rEviEW) 2 sds EnErgy calculations 2 SEtS signEd/stampEd Enginuring 2 SEtS of signEd/stampEd truss calculations 1 copy of soils rEport 2 COpiES of rEports/approvals of any spEcialty EquipmEnt 4 COpiES of C,U.P,. DPI,& DPn conditions of approval A signEd Air Quality PErmit ChECklist (rEquirEd by AQMD,) NOTE: PLAN CHECK TIME ON THESE TYPES OF PROJEcrs IS APPROXIMATELY 5-6 WEEKS FOR 1ST CORRECTIONS. EXPEDmOUS REVIEW IS 10-15 WORKING DAYS, 10 ~ CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PUBUC SERVICES DEPARTMENT - REFUSE & RECYCUNG DMSION STANDARD DEVELOPMENT REQUIREMENTS 300 North 0 Street-4th Floor CA 9241~1 909-384-5335 _.~- Project Number J7'?1C C'l - C:;- Project Planner Project DescriptionlBusiness Name \r\W.A ,.l.......~ Project Location/Address It? O~, ...-z,Ir'~ cL Y Reviewed By Review Date:!;J I ')(! [Otrice Use Only: City Service Application No, Date Completed Application Returned _1_1---1 COMMERCIAL 1. Eslabish commercial refuse enclosU'e(s) according to City Pubic Works Stand8rd 508 with a width of end a length of , Location and orientation of enclOSU'e(s), gates. and compactor unil(s) shal be shown on SIte Plans. labeled with cimensions and specifications to meet Pubic Works Standard 508, 1.. 2. Locate refuse enclOSU'e(a) and compactor unil(s) to be safely accessible tor service vehlcles and without obstruction to drive aisles. driveways, Ioacing zones. parking, or handicap access, Enclosure must be at least 5' trom combustible wals, eave lines. or openings [98 CA F.-e Code 110322J, Minimum radii of 40' for an drive turns along the main ingress to and egress trom enclosU'es and compactor pads. 3. Instal_ compactor unil(s) with a minimum capacity of _ cubic yards for each Irit. Roll-olf box unil(s) shaD meet Pubic Works Stand8rd 510, 4. Refuse and recycling service to this location shaD be provided by the City of San Bemardino unless otherwise noted. New accounts require a completed Sefvice Application with a fill deposit returned to the City of San Bemardino Refuse & Recycling Division prior to issuance of the tinal Certificate of Occupancy, 5. City tront-load colection services shaD be established 'at the foDowing minimum levels: .; ~ 0- x - .1 'V JJ~:.. .~r~..,. REFUSE SERVICE OTY BIN DAYS/WEEK 1.2CY 3CY 4CY BCY RECYClING SERVICE OTY BIN DAYS/WEEK 1.2CY 3CY 4CY BCY ORGANICS SERVICE OTY BIN DAYS /WEEK 1.2CY 3CY 4CY BCY 6. Sealed compactor unil(s) shal be instaled with a recommended minimum 30 cubic yard roll-olf box: I unil(s) for refuse. f unil(s) for commingled dry recyclables. and unit(s) for organics, 7. Applicant shal submit a completed Integrated Waste Management Survey to the Public Services Department Refuse :ucr~ Division ~minimum of 5 City wor1l days for approval prior to issuance of any City permits. Contact . t P -:v. 909-384--5549. ~tG,9--t1hone or 909-384--5190 tax, RESIDENTIAL 1. Residential refuse and recycling services are to be provided by the City of San Bemardino Refuse & Recycling Division. lhe City shal provide one set of a blue, green, and black 96 or 64-ilalon automated service carts to each single family unit OR one set to every two-unit multiple family dweling up to six units, 2. Residential units shal have a minimum 3 feet by 9 feet cona-ete pad located out of view of public right-of-way . for storage of each set of three automated carts, Minimum gate openings shaD be 3 feet, and the path of travel trom the storage pad to curb shal be continuously paved, 3. A minimum 12-foot space along the curb on the street must be clear for residential automated service carts, including a minimum 2-foot setback of al structures, fences, and raised landscaping, 4, Day of automated cart service shaD be: M T W Th ADDITIONAL CONDITIONS OR NOTES C' ,~ <-""~/. (White-AppIe.nl] {folaw-PtMln/nQ] {Ffnk-R.1tJse & Recydng (CSRs)] LG_nxUJERC fie] R._ 3.8.2000 PUBLC SERVICES-REFUSE ,..J!VISION ROLL-OFF CONTAINER MODIFICATION 10, 20, 30, 40, & COMPACTOR UNITS NOTE: )' SPECIAL ORDER NOT TYPICAL ~O~ 10 112"][8" R01l.ER WHEEL NOTE: HYDRAUUC TAILGATES MUST BE SINGLE HOSE 1" DIA, QUICK-CONNECTOR TYPE, NO SWlNG-AWAY COMPACTOR ( ;EADS, SCALE ARCH, 1/2" = 1'-0" ENG. I" = 2' 11" -~. ;r- eo --L ... 7~" FROM TOP OF ROLLER TO BOTTOM OF CHANNEL 2 X, 6 CHANNEL GUSSETS INSIDE OF CHANNEL 6" 0" ALL INSTALLATIONS SUBJECT TO INSPECTION AND APPROVEL BY PUBUC SERVICES DEPARTIlENT - REFUSE DMSION HOOK FRONT VIEW NO. SO () CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO -DEVELOPMENT SERVICES-PUBLIC WORKS/ENGINEERING TRASH COMPACTOR HOOK I I 27, J ~ eo ~ i i I ! I I i UTSIDE GUSSET' I - " 22~" .... .... '- .... IT ....."", ~ eo ~ 6" .1 HOOK ~ SIDE VIEW STANDARD NO. APPROVED ~ 0 ~~~= 510 :) CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO FIRE DEPARTMENT STANDARD REQUIREMENTS Case: DPlL 0/-06 VJ A...LM A.. R::r Date: ~ '3 ' 0 I _ 0 I /vie A)<:.-rl-/vr- ( If !lU-fVlp..,R..K. fAAKWAY Reviewed By: G~ GENERAL REQUIREMENTS: J Provide one additional set of construction plans to Building and Safety for Fire Department use al time 01 plan check. Contact the City of San Bemardino Rre Department at {9OO} 384-5388 for specific detailed requirements. The developer shall provide for adequate fire flow. Minimum fire flow requirements shall be based on square footage, construction features, and exposure Information supplied by the developer and!!!!!!! be available Drior 10 placing combustible materials on site. WATER PURVEYOR FOR FIRE PROTECTION: ~ The fire protection waler service for U1e area of this projed is provided by. o San BernardIno Municipal Water Departmenl-Engineering (90S) 384.5391 o East Valley Water Oistrict-Engineering (909) 888-8986 o Other Water purveyor: Phone: flIBLIC FIRE PROTECTION FACIUTIES: ~ Public fire hydrants are required along streets at intervals not to exceed 300 leet tor commercial and multi-residential areas and at intervals not to exceed 500 feet for residential areas. )g, Fire hydrant minimum flow rates 011,500 gpm at a 20 psi minimum residual pressure are required lor commercial and multi.residential areas. Minimum lire hydrant flow rates 011,000 ~ at a 20 psi minimum reskfual pressure are required for residential areas. Pi Fire hydrant type and specific klcation shall be jointly determined by the City of San Bernardino Fire Department in conjunction with the water purveyor. Fire "tat hydrant materials and installation shall confonn to the standards and specificatiOns at the water purveyor. ,t:\l Public lire hydrants, fire services, and public water facilities necessary to meet Fire Department requirements are the developer's financial responsibility and shall be installed by the water purveyor qr by the developer at the water purveyor's discrelion. Contact the water purveyor indicated above for additional inlormation. ACCESS: D Provide two separate, dedicated routes of ingress/egress to the propeny entrance. The routes shall be paved, all weather. ...& Provide an access road to each building 10; fire apparatus. Access roadway shall have an all.weather driving surface of not less than 20 feet at unob. structed width. I 0 Extend roadway to within 150 feet of all portions of the extertor wall of all single story buildings. o . Extend roadway to 'Nithin 50 feet of the exterior wall of all multiple.story buildings. r' Provide "NO PARKING- signs v.tlenever parking of vehicles would poSSible reduce the clearance 01 access roadways to less than the required widlh. Signs are to read "FIRE LANE-NO PARKlNG-M.C. Sec. 15.16-. \..... JDead.end streets shall not exceed 500 feet In length and shall have a minimum 40 toot radius 1urnaround. ~ The names of any new streets (public or private) shall be submitted to the Fire Department lor approval. IE: All access roads and streets are to be constructed and usable prior to combustibla construction. . Private fire hydrants shall be instalkKf to protect each building located more than 150 teet from the curb line. No fire hydrants should be within 40 teet 01 any exterior wall. The hydrants shall be Wel Barrel type, WIth one 2~ inch and 4 inch outlel. and approved by the Fire Department. Areas adjacent to fire hydrants shall be desfgnated as a "NO PARKING" zone by painting an 8 inch 'Nide, red stripe for 15 teet in each direction In front of the hydrant in suth a manner that it will not be blocked by parked vehicles. lettering to be in while 6" by 'h-. Q\JILDINGS: J5: Address numerals shall be Installed on the building at the tront or olher approved location in such a manner as to be visible from the frontage street. Com. mercial and mutti tamity address numera~ shall be 6 inches tall, single family address numerals shall be 4 inches tall. The color 01 the numerals shall con. trast with the color of the background. ~ 0 N f<- 0 0 F / .. x 4- I o Identity each gas and electric meter with the number of the unit it serves. ..E( Fire extinguishers must be installed prior to the building being occupied. The minimum raling lor any tire extinguisher is 2A 1 DBlC. Minimum distribution at fire extinguishers must be such that no interior part ot the building is over 75 leet travel distance lrom a fire extinguisher. o Apartment houses with 16 or more units, hotels (motels) with 20 or more units, or apartments or hotels (motels) three stories or more in height shall be equipped with automatic lire sprinklers designed to NFPA standards. ;g" All buildings, over 5,000 square feet, shall be equipped 'With an automatic lire sprinker system designed to NFPA standards. This includes existing buildings vacant over 365 days. ~ \ 5 Submit plans for the lire protection system to the Fire Department prior to beginning construction of the system. Permit required. "l K::Je 11-000 o Tenant improvements in all sprinkJered buildings are to be approved by the Fire Department prior to start at construction. Permit required. ~ ..D Provide tire alarm (required throughout). Plam must be approved by the Fire Department prior 10 start of installation. Pennit required. ..;rs Fire Department connecttan to sprinkler system/standpipe s~tem, shall be required at Fire Department approved location. . .tiLFir.CodePe""~requjr.d r:-~ A"='~m'8L-v 'Pt5r...m ,.,- - P"r;::::;-rAv/l.Afl7r A,q~ (A.-:j') ~- Fire Sprinkler monitoring required. Plans must be approved by the Fire Department prior to the start 01 construction. Permn requtti!d. v..( "ST~-'Y\, Q(Jil-IN-,( ~) P1Gov/ V E.___ _ Jru:J_ _ ~ FPB170101~ " " .- ~ :.. SAN BERNARDINO MUNICIPAL WATER DEPARTMENT o STANDARD REQUIREMENTS 7 ; i. 7 " : Date Compiled: , N ,- J ,; Compiled By: " ;- " " '. . Number of Units: " .. .. / i....- Review of Plans: OwnerlDevelope~: ' Type of Project: Location: WATER DEPARTMENT ENGINEERING: .,--',' Fax: Contact: Phone: ~ ',<" 'J Note: All Water Services are Subject to the Rules & Regulations of the Water Depal1ment. o Size of Main Adjacenttbe Project: , ( :.''/' ~, : ! t. ~. ~ /.....:.. J.. : , -,.-: /N ~ I 7l/ I ~ Approximate Water Pressure: .'" I Elevation of Water Storago: Q Type, Size, Location, and Distance to Nearest Fire Hydrant: .i,1 i ....;'J \ .I'; - Hydrant Flow @ 20 psi: , ~'.':; I t.'.<<': o Pressure Regulator ~eqllired on Customer's Side on the Meter. o Off.site Water Facilities Required. o Area Not Served by San Bernardino Municipal Water Department, o Comments: QTER OlJAUTY CONTROL: t!ntact: : I :;/ i.~ '._ ,I! T -~1 Phone: ,~ " Fax: o R.P.P. Backflow Device Required at Service Connection. I o Double Check Bacldlow Device Required at Service Connection. [J Backflow Device to be Inspected Before Water Service can be Activated, , >,' , .~ .,' i . , , 'fl, o No IIacktlow Device Required at Ths Time, ENVIRONMENTAL CONTROLIINDIJSTRIAL WASTE: Contact: Phone: .. Fax: > Note: No Brine Regenerative Water Soft~ners May be Installed, Unless Holding and Hauling is Provided for tbe Brine, Alllntercel~o'" will be a 1200 Gallon Capacity witb a Sanlple Box Included, o Industrial Waste Pennit Required. o Grease lnh:rceptor Required. o Pre-treatment Required. o Sand/Oillnterceptor Required, o No Issues at this Time. SEWER CAPACITY INFORMATION: Contact: Phone: Fax: Note: Proof of Payment Must be Submitted to the Building & Safety Department Prior to Issuance of the Building Permit. o No Sewer Capacity Fee Applicable at Ths Time. cewer Capacity Fee Must Be Paid to the Water Department for ~ () i. Gallons Per Day, Equivalent Dwelling Units: ~Ihject to Recalculation of Fee Prior to tbe Issuance of Building Pennit. Breakdown of Estimated Gallons Per Day: (... [ :::1 I <; ( 7/ " ~ - -;',' ~.l . ~'. ;,; , - ..,~ STDREQ\'U.FRM t~N71 , : jG NERAL REQUIREMENTS: Provkkt one additional set at consln.dion ~ans to Building and Safety for Fire Department use at lime of plan check. Contact the City 01 San Bernardino Are Department at (909) 384-5388 for specifIC detailed requirements. 'The developer shall provide tor adequate fire Pow. Minimum fire flow requirements shall be based on square footag8, construction features, and exposure Information supplied by the developer and !!!!!!! be available Drtor to placing combusti~ materials on she. WATER PURVEYOR FOR FIRE PROTECTION: ~ The tire protection water service for the area of this project is provided by. ~ 0 San Bernardino Municipal Water Departmenl-Engineering (909) 384.5391 o Easl Valley Waler District-Engineering (909) 888-8986 o Other Water purveyor. Phone: PUBLIC FIRE PROTECTION FACILITIES: D Public fire hydrants are required along streets at intervals not to exceed 300 feet tor commercial and muhl.residentiaJ areas and at intervals not to exceed 7" 500 feet tor residential areas. [1..- Fire hydrant minimum flow rates of 1,500 gpm at a 20 psi minimum residual pressure are required for commercial and muhi-restdential areas. Minimum lire ,7'-. hydrant flow rates of 1,000 gpm at a 20 psi minimum residual pressure are required for residential areas. % Fire hydrant type and specific location shall be jointly determined by the City of San Bemardino Fire Department in conjundion with the water purveyor. Fire hydrant materials and installation shall conform to the standards and specif.cations of the water purveyor. 'J\r Public lire hydrants, fire services, and public water facilities necessary to meet Fire Department requirements are the develope(s financial responsibility and 7' shall be installed by the water purveyor or by the developer atlhe water purve'{or's discretion. Contact the water purveyor incficated above for additional information. " ACCESS: ~ Provide t'NO separate, dedicated routes of ingress/egress to the property entrance. The routes shan be paved, all weather. Provide an access road 10 each building lor fire apparatus. Access roadway shall have an all.wealher driving surface of nolless than 20 leel of unob- structed width. " 0 Extend roadway 10 within 150 feet of all portions of lhe exterior wall of aa single story buildings. lA Extend roadway to within SO feet of the exterior wall of all multiple-story buildings. I Provide -NO PARKING- stgns ~never parking 01 vehides would possible reduce the clearance of access roadways to less than the required width. Signs are to read "FIRE LANE-NO PARKlN~,C, Seo.15,16", k Dead.end streets shall not exceed 500 feel in length and shall have a minimum 40 fool radius tumaround. ~ The names of any new streets (public or private) shall be submitted to the Fire Department for approval. SITE: o All access roads and streets are to be constructed and usable prior to combuslible construction. o Private fire hydrants shall be installed to protect each building located more than 150 feetfram the curb line. No fire hydrants shoukt be ""thin 40 feet ot any exterior wall. The hydrants shall be Wet Barrel type, with one 2~ inch and 4 inch outJel and approved by the Fire Department Areas adjacent to fire hydrants shall be designated as a '"NO PARKING" zone by painting an 8 inch wide. red stripe for 15 feel in each direction in front of the hydrant in such a manner that it will nol be blocked by parked vehides. Lettering to be in white 6" by Y.I". ~ILOINGS: ' Address numerals shall be installed on the building at the front or other approved location in such a manner as to be visible from the frontage street. Com- mercial and multi family address numerals Shall be 6 inches tall, Si" gle famir address numerals shall be 4 inches tall. The color of the numerals shall con- Irast with the color of Ihe background. ;1"" N li..no ~ ,. x. 4 o Identify each gas and electric meter with the number 01 the unit it serves. JiCr Fire extinguishers must be installed prior to the building being occupied. The minimum rating for any fire extinguisher is 2A 10BlC. MinimLm distribution 01 lire extinguishers must be such that no interior pan of the building is over 75 feet travel distance from a fire extinguisher. o Apanmenl houses with 16 or more units, hotels (motels) with 20 or more units. or apartments or hotels (motels) three stories or more in height shall be equipped with automatic fire sprinklers designed to NFPA standards. F;r All buildings, over 5.000 square feet, shan be equipped with an automatic fire sprinker system designed to NFPA standards. This indudes existing buildings /"'-- vacant over 365 days. .a.. Submit plans for the fire protection system to the Are Oepanmenl prior to beginning construction of the system. Permit required. o Tenant tmPfovementsln an sprinklered buildings are to be approved by the Fire Department prior to start of construction. Permit required. l Provide fire alann (required throughout). Plans must be approved by the Fire Department prior to start of installation. Permit required. Fire Oepamnent connec1ion 10 sprinkler system/standpipe system, shall be required at Fire Department approved location. Fire Code Permit required. Fire Sprinlder monitoring required. Pians must be approved by the Fire Department prior to the start of construction. Pennit required. Note: The applicant must request, in writing, any changes to Flre Department requirements. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: ,-J!~rY1 h'1 :) n '-n;- '(r:~f(.i'Dt:/) . '-' ' /, PV" nj-JP , -5--rcfi? flt'~ .z. <t,,)" 17.1' ~/ . A.,,( . .s. '7'-':12,( ',;y, ,81., {/.,/ .'-"&v. ,-;v/c',r. "VI" ~.:tI~ ~ -!.. {JP1LJI rJ:? ..--.,.. f:rY t3~____d CJ)'1.1t'Y'~f'.7'T.:S" <1Jt:--rcc - I I '0OI(V/ S((L 1tf'T--'(-t.-: / , FP8170I01.Q1) o o o ATTACHMENT 3 INITIAL STUDY FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO STATE COLLEGE BUSINESS PARK- NORTH SAN BERNARDINO RETAIL 1 (City of San Bernardino Retail Shopping Complex) Independently reviewed by: CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW COMMITTEE 300 North "D" Street San Bernardino, California 92418 Prepared for GRESHAM, SAVAGE, NOLAN & TILDEN ,600 North Arrowhead Avenue, #300 ' San Bernardino, California 9240 I Preparation assistance by: TOM DODSON & ASSOCIATES 2150 North Arrowhead Avenue San Bernardino, California 92405 MARCH 2001 o o o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO' DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT TABLE OF CONTENTS Page P' D .. rOJect escnptlon ,..........."...""........,.,..",.....,.. 1 Environmental Factors Potentially Affected .... . , , , . , . . . . . . . . . . , . . . ,. 3 Determination .,.,.........,........."...;...",....,......... 3 Evaluation of Environmental Impacts . , . . . , . . , . . . . , , . , . . , . , . . . , . . . ., 4 1. Land Use and Planning ,.,...."..,.,.,...".....,...,.,. 4 2. Population and Housing . , . . , , . . . . , , . . . , , . . . . . . . . . . . , , . . ., 5 3. Earth Resources ',........,...,....,.",..,......"..,.. 6 4, Water.. . . . , . , , . . . . . . . , , . . . . . . . . , , . . . . . , , , . , . . . . . . . . .. 9 5. Air Quality ......"......,... ~ . . . . . , , . , . . . , , , . . . . , . . , ,. 12 6. Transportation/Circulation. . . , . . , , . . . . , , . . . . . . , , . . . , , . . . ,. 16 7. Biological Resources .,',.."....,....",..........,...,. 18 8, Energy and Mineral Resources ..",..""....,.,.......". 19 9. Hazards,.. . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . , . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , , . . . . ,. 20 10. Noise.,.......,.,......,........"....."....,...,.... 21 11. Public Services . , , . . . . , . , , . . , , . . . , . . . . . , . . . , . . . . . . , . . . .. 22 12, Utilities and Service Systems, , . . , . . . , . . . . . . , . . . . , . . ,. . , , .. 24 13. Aesthetics ., , . , . . . . . , , , . . . . , . . . . , . . , , . . , . . . . . , . . . . . . , '. 26 14. Cultural Resources. . , , , . . . . , , . . . . . . ; . . . , . . . , , . . . , . . . . . .. 27 15. Recreation...,."",...."...,...,.......,..,........., 28 16. Mandatory Findings of Significance ..,....."....."...,... 29 References ....,",......,',....",.......,.....,...,....."... 30 Mitigation Measures ..,',........,...........",....",..",..,. 30 Appendices Appendix 1 - BMP from Supplement A -11- o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY obtain discretionary approval from a governmental agency and is not exempt from CEQA. The purpose of the Initial Study is to detennine whether or not a proposal, not exempt from CEQA, qualifies for a Negative Declaration or whether or not an Environmental Impact Report (EIR) must be prepared. ' I. Project Title: San Bernardino State College Business Park-North San Bernardino Retail I (City of San Bernardino Retail Shopping Complex) 2. Lead Agency Name: Address: City of San Bernardino, Development Services Department 300 North D Street, San Bernardino, CA 92418 3. Contact Person: Phone Number: Ms, Valerie Ross 909-384-5057 4. Project Location (AddresslNearest cross-streets): The project site consists of a 14,50-acre parcel ofland located northwest of the University Parkway and Hallmark Parkway intersection in the City of San Bernardino, California. See Figure I o. Project Sponsor: Address: Hall & Foreman, Inc. 1152 North Mountain Avenue, Suite 100 Upland, CA 91786-3669 6. General Plan Designation: CG-I (Commercial General) 7. Description of Project (Describe the whole action involved, includitig but not limited to later phases of the project, and any secondary, support, or off-site features necessary for its implementation. Attach additional sheets, if necessary): The proposed project will consist of the development of a commercial retail department store that will include an automotive service station and, at some point in the future, a fast food restaurant (unspecified). The project will be constructed in two phases on the 14.50-acre site located on the east side of Hallmark Parkway, about 300 feet north of University Parkway in the City of San Bernardino. See Figure 2 for a plot plan of the project. The first phase will consist ofthe construction of the retail store and the service station, The retail store will consist of an approximate 140,817 square foot building, which will include a six-bay auto service area, a 15, 100 square foot garden center, truck loading facilities, temporary outdoor sales facilities, container storage facilities, and parking for 706 automobiles. This will produce a parking ratio of 5,01 parking spaces per 1,000 square feet. The retail store is forecast to employ approximately 241 people. The service station will be unmanned and consist of eight fueling positions with a canopy cover located in the southeastern portion of the site. The second phase of the project is proposed to consist of the construction and operations ofa fast food restaurant approximately 2,000 square feet in size, with a drive-through window, including room to stack five cars, and 20 parking spaces, with a parking ratio of 10 parking spaces per 1,000 square feet. o GS-053/GS-053 Initial Study Page -1- o o o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY The project site is currently bisected by Gannet Parkway, which knuckles into McArthur Boulevard. As part of project construction, the section of Gannett Parkway east of Hallmark Parkway will be vacated, and the portion of McArthur Boulevard south of the northerly project boundary will also be vacated. McArthur Boulevard will be modified to knuckle at the northerly project boundary and will extend west to Hallmark Parkway. 8. Surrounding Land Uses and Setting: The surrounding land uses include the 1- 215 Freeway to the north and east; commercial office and industrial uses to the north; commercial uses and University Parkway 215 to the south and southeast; and undeveloped space and commercial office and industrial to the west. The nearest residential uses are across the Interstate to the north and east and about one-half mile southwest in the community of Muscoy, west and southwest of Cajon Boulevard. Several lots to the south remain undeveloped at this time. The site itself is 14.50 acres and is currently graded, plowed and vacant 9. Other agencies whose approval is required (e,g., permits, fmancing approval, or participation agreement): The other permits that may be required for development of this project include: a Storm Water Construction NPDES (National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System) permit, a Notice of Intent must be filed with the Stale Water Resources Control Board, and a Storm Water Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP) must be compiled and implemented, A copy of the SWPPP must be retained onsite for inspection by the Regional Water Quality Control Board. The Regional Board does not issue any permits for construction or operation of underground storage tanks. The gasoline station will require permits from the County (Fire Department Hazardous Materials) for construction and a general operations permit for the underground storage tanks and generation of hazardous waste (including Business Plan), local Fire Department, and the South Coast Air Quality Management District. No other permits are known to be required. o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Environmental Factors Potentially Affected The environmental factors checked below would be potentially affected by this project, involving at least one impact that is a "Potentially Significant Impact" as indicated by the checklist on the following pages. 0 Land Use and Planning 12I Transportation/Circulation 12I Public Services 0 Population and Housing 0 Biological Resources 0 Utilities and Service Systems 12I Geological 0 Energy and Mineral Resources 0 Aesthetics 12I Water 0 Hazards 0 Cultural Resources 12I Air Quality 0 Noise 0 Recreation 0 MandatoI)' Findings of Significance Determina tion Con the basis of this Initial Study, the City of San Bernardin~, Environmental Review Committee finds: That the proposed project COULD NOT have a significant effect on the environment, and a NEGATIVE DECLARATION will be prepared. o That although the proposed project could have a significant effect on the environment, there will not be a significant effect in this case because the mitigation measures described on an attached sheet have been added to the project. A NEGATIVE DECLARATION will be prepared. 121 That the proposed project MAY have a significant effect on the environmen~ and an ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT REPORT is required. o That although the proposed project could have a significant effect on the environment, there WILL NOT be a significant effect in this case because all potentially significant effects (a) have been analyzed adequately in an earlier ElR pursuant to applicable standards and (b) have been avoided or mitigated pursuant to that earlier EIR, including revisions or mitigation measures that are imposed upon the proposed project. o ~{;.~ Signature Crinted Name 0310BIOI Date c CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Evaluation of Environmental Impacts p- Signi6cant "",,",oIIy UnI<u ""- Significant Mitigation ~ No 1m.... In...,.,,,,,,,, 1m.... ...,."" 1. LAND USE AND PLANNING, Will the proposal result in: a. A conflict with the land use as designated based on the 0 0 0 ~ review of the General Plan Land Use Plan/Zoning Districts Map? b. Development within an Airport District as identified in the 0 0 0 ~ Air Installation Compatible Use Zone (AICUZ) Report and the Land Use Zoning District Map? c. Development within Foothill Fire Zones A & B, or C as identified on the Land Use Districts Zoning Map? CSubstantiatiOn: o o o ~ l.a The project site is designated as CG-I (Commercial General) and surrounding area is designated as industrial in the City General Plan. The proposed project would be compatible with the land use designations and the surrounding land uses which are a mix of commercial and industrial uses. No adverse conflicts with the General Plan or wne designation for the site are forecast to occur from implementing this project. No mitigation is required. o An evaluation was also performed to determine whether the proposed project location is near any existing retailers, Based on a field review of the surrounding area, the nearest retailers are located in a shopping center on University Parkway, approximately one mile east of the 1-215 freeway at College Avenue in San Bernardino. Occupants in the shopping center include a Ralphs supermarket, a dry cleaners, four fast food restaurants and a doughnut shop. The shopping center has absorbed competitive impacts from four large retailers within six-nine miles of the shopping center, including Target (at the comer of Sterling and Highland Avenues in San Bernardino, a K-Mart (at the corner of Victoria and Highland Avenues, in Highland), Costco (on Hospitality Lane in San Bernardino), and Wal-Mart (in the City of Colton, near the 1-215 interchange at Washington Avenue). Located adjacent to the entrance to Cal State San Bernardino, the shopping center draws from the east side of the 1-215 Freeway. In addition, four gas stations are located at the Interstate 215 and University Parkway interchange. Approval of the proposed retail store and service station on the west side of the 1-2 I 5 is not forecast to have an adverse competitive impact on either side of the 1-215. Existing businesses on the east side of the freeway draw customers from Cal State San Bernardino and the surrounding residential areas, and the existing gas stations at the freeway interchange will benefit from the increase in traffic as customers exit the 1-215 at University to patronize the proposed conmlercial development. The increase of traffic is forecast to be of benefit to the existing gas stations. o , CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY l.b The project site is not located in an Airport District as shown in the City General Plan Land Use Map, Figure 5, Page I-50, of the adopted General Plan. No adverse impacts from airport conflicts are expected to occur. l,c The project is located south of the Foothill Fire Zone, which is shown on Figure 61 of the City General Plan, There are no native plant communities in the vicinity of the proposed project site, No adverse impact due to foothill fire hazards can occur as the project is not located in any Foothill Fire Zone, No mitigation is required, References 1. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Genera/Plan. 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. General Plan Environmenwllmpact Report 3. City of San Bernardino. 1988. Ci.tyofSan Bernardino General Plan Update Technical Background Report. Potenn..uy Significant Potentially UnI<u c.unw. Signi6can1 Mitigllion Signi6eant No 1m.... In<<lIpQfIlted 1m.... Irnpec:t 02. POPULATION AND HOUSING. Will the proposal: a. Remove existing housing (including affordable housing) as 0 0 0 loa verified by a site survey/evaluation? b. Create a significant demand for additional housing based on 0 0 121 0 the proposed use and evaluation of project size? c. Induce substantial growth in an area either directly or 0 0 0 loa indirectly (e.g., through projects in an undeveloped area or an extension of major infrastructure)? Substantiation: 2.a 2.b o The project site is currently vacant. No housing structures exist onsite. No impact to housing resources can occur and no mitigation is required. The proposed project will create new jobs in the City San Bemardino, since the project consists of a retail store, and a future fast food restaurant. These jobs would not require high specialization that would create a need to import skilled labor from outside the area. Many of these jobs would be most likely filled by local residents, and no significant influx of people into the City is forecast to fill these positions and therefore create a demand for new housing. Presently the area has a large stock of existing housing available. A recent "Inland Empi:re Quarterly Economic Report" (April 2000) indicates that a total of 16,635 residential units were sold in the Inland Empire during the fourth quarter of 1999. The annual rate of home sales in 1999 was approximately 66,000 units, Under worst case conditions, an additional 241 employees would have access to thousands of units, new or old, based on the latest review of house availability in the area. While this project will generate a small additional demand for housing in the Inland Empire, the data clearly indicate that such housing is and will be available at reasonable prices. Based on the above data and evaluation, it is concluded that the number ~ o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY of new employees is not sufficient to create a significant demand for housing in the project area. No significant adverse impact to housing resources is forecast to occur and no mitigation is required. 2.c The proposed site is situated within the developed portion of the City of San Bernardino, The site is presently served with all forms of infrastructure (roads', sewers, water, utilities, etc.). Development of the project has no potential to induce substantial growth in the community, either through the extension of infrastructure into an undeveloped area or due to the absolute number of new jobs created by the project, No significant growth impact is forecast to occur and no mitigation is required. References 1. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Genera/Plan. 2. San Bernardino Associated Governments. October 1998. "Inland Empire Quarterly Economic Report". o o ~ 0 CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Polcntially Significan[ PotentiaUy ...... .....- Signi6can1 Miligation Sjgni&anl No 1-, lllCOfJlOf1led. Impact Impact 3. EARTH RESOURCES. Will the proposal result in: a. Earth movement (cut and/or fill) on slopes of 15% or more 0 0 0 W:! based on information contained in the Preliminary Project Description Form No. D? b. Development and/or grading on a slope greater than 15% 0 0 0 W:! natural grade based on review of General Plan HMOD map? c. Erosion, dust or unstable soil conditions from excavation, 0 ~ 0 0 grading or construction activity? 0 d. Development within the Alquist-Priolo Special Studies Zone 0 0 ~ 0 as defined in Section 12.0-Geologic & Seismic, Figure 47, of the City's General Plan? e. Modification of any unique geologic or physical feature 0 0 0 W:! based on field review? f. Development within areas defined as having high potential 0 0 ~ 0 for water or wind erosion as identified in Section 12.0- Geologic & Seismic, Figure 53, of the City's General Plan? g. Modification of a channel, creek or river based on a field 0 0 0 W:! review or review of USGS Topographic Map (Name)_? h. Development within an area subject to landslides, 0 0 0 W:! mudslides, subsidence or other similar hazards as identified in Section 12,O-Geologic & Seismic, Figures 48, 5 1,52 and 53 of the City's General Plan? l. Development within an area subject to liquefaction as 0 0 0 ~ shown in Section 12.0-Geologic & Seismic, Figure 48, of the City's General Plan? (SUbstantiation: la-b The project site is located on an essentially flat, graded parcel that slopes from the north to the south towards Hallmark Parkway. The slope on this site does not exceed 2 percent, as illustrated in the Preliminary Project Description, and it is located outside the Hillside Management Overlay District (HMOD) which is shown on o .:J! CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY I, 3.c 03.d 3.e 3.f. o Figure 5 of the General Plan. No potential exists on this site for an adverse impact due to steep slopes and earth movement on this site will be minimal. No mitigation is required. The project site is essentially flat and has been previously graded and compacted. As noted above the site is not located within the HMOD. There is minimal potential for unstable soils or water erosion to occur on the site, but the area has been identified as having a high potential for wind erosion of soils (Figure 53 of the City's General Plan). In the long term, the paving and landscaping on the proposed project site will minimize or eliminate the potential exposure to wind or water erosion. The entire site will be either hard surfaced (buildings and paving) or landscaped. In the short term, construction activities have the potential to generate dust and expose soil to water erosion during storm events. To ensure a less than significant impact mitigative measures have been defined and are listed under the water and air quality section of this Initial Study. Please refer to those sections (Sections 4 and 5 of this Initial Study) for a listing and detailed discussion of these measures. With implementation of these measures (control of fugitive dust by watering during site disturbing activities and installation of measure to prevent surface runoff from eroding soil and depositing it at other locations), the potential impacts associated with unstable earth conditions can be mitigated to a level of nonsignificance. The project site is not situated within an Alquist-Priolo Special Studies Zone (Figure 47 of the City's General Plan), The project site is situated about I mile southwest of the San Andreas fault and its Alquist-Priolo zone as shown on Figure 47. The Glen HelenlLoma Linda fault Special Study Zone is located about Yo mile to the southwest of the site, These are major faults with the potential of producing major seismic events. An 8.0-9.0+ magnitude quake is possible on the San Andreas fault. In addition there may be hidden or blind fau'lts in the area which are unknown at this time, A possible undetermined fault location is located just north of the project site, see Figure 47 of the General Plan. The mitigation outlined in 3.d.1 can reduce the issue of onsite fault rupture and related geological conditions to a nonsignificant level of impact, To reduce potential seismic related groundshaking impacts to a less than-significant level, the following measure shall be implemented: J.d.1 Before issuance of 8 Building Permit. the City shall review and approve a Geotechnical Investigation of the site prepared by a licensed geotechnical professional. This study shall identify specific safety~based performance standards that must be met to ensure that any structures that will be occupied by humans will be able to withstand seismic and unstable earth hazards and ensure that the unstable earth conditions that may exist at the site do not cause any significant safety hazards for future human occupants of such structures. The recommendations of the study shall be incorporated into the grading and building plans approved by the City for this project. The project site is a parcel that is located on alluvial sediments and has been graded in the past. The site does not contain any natural geologic or physical features. No potential for impacting such resources exists and no mitigation is required. The project site is situated within an area identified has having a high potential for wind erosion as identified on Figure 53 of the City's General Plan. Since the site is currently graded and compacted, it does not serve as a major source of fugitive dust. During construction, disturbance of the pad for building construction can generate fugitive dust. For detailed mitigation see the discussion under air quality. Essentially, use of water to control dust, control of construction vehicle speeds and ternlination of ground disturbing activities during construction can reduce potential fugitive dust generation during construction to a nonsignificant level of 1!1 o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY impact. Regarding potential for wind damage to plants due to high winds at this location, the site design has taken this into consideration and the outdoor garden facility will be located on the lee side of the structure, where it will receive maximum protection from north and northeast Santa Ana winds, A question regarding potential for wind capture of trash placed outdoors has been raised, and the commercial facility operator indicates that this facility will not utilize outdoor storage (dumpsters) for trash. Trash collected at the facility is placed in a compactor and utilized until it is full, The full compactor is removed and replaced while the compacted trash is hauled to a disposal site, This minimizes the potential for strong winds to capture and blow trash from the project site once the facility is in operation. 3,g The project site has been graded and compacted in the past when the development pads were constructed. The site did not contain any natural channels before grading, reference the North San Bernardino 7.5' USGS Topographic Quadrangle, and no channels, creeks or rivers currently occur on or within the vicinity of the site, Cajon Wash is located about one mile southwest of the project site. No potential for disturbance of any channel exists from implementing this project and no mitigation is required. 3.h-i The project site is not located within any area identified as having potential for susceptibility for any other o geologic hazards, including landslides, liquefaction, ground subsidence, etc, No mitigation is required. References t. Bortugno, E,], and Spilller, T.E. t986. "Geologic Map of the San Bemardino QlIadrallgle. Map No. 3A (Geology), Scale 1:250,000". 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental Impact Report, City of San Bernardino General Plan. 3. City of San Bemardino. 1999. General Plan. 4. City of San Bernardino. 1988. City o/San Bernardino General Plan Update Technical Background Report o o o o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Potentially Significant 1m"", Potentially Signi6eant """" Mitiplion Incorponiled No Impact ....",." Signi6can1 1m"", 4, WATER. Will the proposal result in: a. Changes in absorption rates, drainage patternS, or the rate and amount of surface runoff due to impermeable surfaces that cannot be mitigated by Public Works Standard Requirements to contain and convey runoff to approved storm drain based on review of the proposed site plan? ~ o o o b, Significant alteration in the course or flow of flood waters based on consultation with Public Works staff? o o o ~ c. Discharge into surface waters or any alteration of surface water quality based on requirements of Public Works to have runoff directed to approved storm drains? o ~ o o d. Changes in the quantity or quality of groundwater? o ~ o o e. Exposure of people or property to flood hazards as identified in the Federal Emergency Management Agency's Flood Insurance Rate Map, Section l6.0-Flooding, Figure 62, of the City's General Plan? o o o ii!I Substantiation: 4,a Development of the project will result in the hard surface covering (paving and structures) of almost the entire site, This hard surfacing may cause an increase in drainage water runoff or the current absorption rates on the -14.50 acre site. The increased runoff would be collected in the street section (Hallmark Parkway) and carried by local storm runoff channel to Cajon Wash. This method of drainage is fully consistent with the City's Public Works Standard Requirements and was designed when the original development pads were installed. No additional mitigation will be required for this project. 4.b The project site's drainage is already installed as a result of previous approvals and no change in the drainage system will be required to accommodate the proposed project on this site. No mitigation is required. 4.c The proposed project has the potential to affect surface water quality through the generation of urban runoff from commercial development of the site. To ensure a less than significant impact to water quality from discharge of storm runoff from the site, the following mitigative actions will be taken. 4.c,1 The project proponent ,hall ,elect be,t management practice, from the Supplement A Attachment (Appendix 1) that achieves a 600/0 percent reduction in pollutants generated on the project site during construction for suspended sediment, oxygen demand, trace metals and bacteria. and a 200/0 reduction in total phosphorus and total nitrogen. o 10 I o .. CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY These measures will be integrated into the construction Storm Water Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP) that must be prepared for this project in accordance with current non.point source (National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permitting procedures, The construction SWPPP shall be provided to the City for review and approval prior to initiating construction at the site. . 4.c.2 The SWPPP prepared for the project site shall include a spill response program for accidental release of water pollutants during construction that shall. at a minimum. meet the following performance standards: adequate resource, shall be maintained on the site by the contractor to control any release of pollutants; if a spill occurs. the pollutant shall first be contained, second the spill shall be reported to appropriate authorities, third the pollutant contaminated material (soil, water, etc.) shall be collected in proper containers, fourth the pollutant contaminated material shall be delivered to a facility with the capability to treat or dispose of the contaminated material in accordance with existing laws and regulations in place at the time of the accidental spill; fifth the area contaminated by the spill shall be cleaned (remediated) to background conditions, or alternatively to a level that meets the requirements of existing laws and regulations at the time of the clean-up and that does not leave any residual threat to humans or the environment in which the spill occurs. The potential for long-term surface water pollution must also be controlled by the implementation ofBMP's that must be inCorporated into an SWPPP and a Business Plan that must be prepared and submitted to the City for use in responding to an accidental release of hazardous or toxic material being stored and/or used on the project site. The Attachment to Supplement A (a copy of the pertinent percentage reductions in this Supplement is provided as Appendix I) addresses the potential for non-point source releases of pollutants into surface runoff from general activities. Low levels of petroleum products, fertilizers, and other materials can be produced from an urbanized, landscaped site such as that proposed by the project. The construction SWPPP prepared for this project shall achieve a 60% reduction in any pollutants generated on the project site, by capturing surface runoff and processing it through a "first flush" filter/treatment unit on the property or a comparable alternative process. The following mitigation measure will be implemented to meet this performance standard, , 4.c.3 The project proponent shall select best management practices from the Supplement A Attachment that achieves an 60-/. percent reduction in pollutants generated on the project site during facility operations. These measures will be integrated into the Storm Water Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP) that must be prepared for this project in accordance with City non.point source and National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) pennitting procedures. The operations SWPPP shall be provided to the city for review and approval prior to initiating operations at the site. The Business Plan typically incorporates a Spill Prevention Control and Countermeasures Plan (SPCC) that defines the steps that will be taken by the owner/operator to control, minimize, or prevent spills of hazardous ortoxic materials; what responses will be taken to remediate the adverse consequences of any accidental spills and how any contaminated materials will be managed once collected for treatment and disposal. The following mitigation measure ensures that the effects of any accidental spills are managed to achieve a nonsignificant level of adverse impact. 4.c.4 The Businen Plan prepared for project operations shall indicate how the operation will handle all spills or leakage of hazardous or toxic materials during operational activities. This Plan shall incorporate a Spill Prevention Control and Countermeasures Plan to minimize the potential release of hazardous materials on the project site duriIlg operations, The Plan shall also define how such spills will be remediated In compliance with applicable state and local regulations regarding cleanup and disposal of the contaminant released. The contaminated waste shall be collected and disposed of at an appropriately licensed disposal or trealment facility, o o o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Implementation of these measures outlined above can ensure that potentially significant impacts to surface water quality will be controlled to ensure that construction and operation activities do not cause a significant level of water quality impact. The construction and operation of a gasoline station is subject to rigorous requirements and standards that are implemented through existing regulations and permits. These include the following: a. The County Fire Department Hazardous Materials Division issues both a construction permit (to control the installation of underground storage tanks (UST) and a General Permit for the UST operation and storage and use of hazardous materials at the site, This permit requires a continuous monitoring system to ensure that any leaks are identified immediately within a double walled tank and the tank can be closed and repaired before any leakage occurs to the environment, particularly the adjacent sediment (vadose, zone) or groundwater. Since these permits and requirements are mandatory, they do not need to be required as mitigation measures. b. A Business Plan (see above) must be filed with the County and local Fire Department which usually issues its own permit. This Plan identifies the quantities of hazardous materials generated on site and the measures that will be implemented to minimize potential releases, or to clean up any hazardous materials or wastes released into the environment. See mitigation outlined above. c, Different jurisdiction may require the preparation of an industrial nonpoint source discharge permit, National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permit. This would typically be covered be implementing best management practices during operation of the facility as outlined in the Business Plan, specifically the spec Plan, Therefore, the requirement to complete the Business Plan as outlined above ensures that an onsite management plan will be in place to minimize potential releases to hazardous materials or wastes to the environment. 4.d Development of this previously graded site which has no upstream drainage area has no potential to reduce recharge to the groundwater aquifer. The site does not currently serve as a recharge location and installation of impermeable materials is not forecast to cause any adverse impacts to groundwater quantity. Further, this project will not result in any direct withdrawals of groundwater' from the basin. A potential does exist for storm runoff to contribute to groundwater degradation, but the mitigation measures outlined above will prevent significant degradation of surface water quality, and thereby any potential for significant degradation of groundwater quality, 4.e The project site is not located within any 100-year floodplain areas shown on Figure 62 of the City of San Bernardino General Plan. Data obtained from the City Engineering Department indicates the site is located within Flood Zone X which represents areas that are not within a 500-year floodplain, Review and approval of grading, site development, and drainage plans by the City are considered adequate to mitigate the potential for the exposure of people or property to flood hazards. No further mitigation is required. i o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY References 1. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental ImpacI Report. City of San Bernardino General Plan. 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Genera/Plan. 3. City ofSsn Bernardino. 1988. City of San Bernardino General Plan Update, Technical Background Report 4. Santa Ana River Regional Water Quality Control Board, 1995, Water Quality Control Plan. POlcntiaDy Signific:ant 1m"", Potentially Signi.6can1 Unl<u Mitigation """pen"" .....- s;,.;..... 1m"", "0 Impa<. 5, AIR QUALITY. Will the proposal: a. Violate any air quality standard or contribute to an existing or projected air quality violation based on the thresholds in the SCAQMD's "CEQA Air Quality Handbook"? o Iii o o b. Expose sensitive receptors to pollutants? o o Iii o o c. Alter air movement, moisture, or temperature, or cause any change in climate? o o o WI d. Create objectionable odors based on information contained in the Preliminary Environmental Description Form? o o Iii o Substantiation: 5.a The proposed project is located within the South Coast Air Basin (SCAB). The South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD) has jurisdiction over air quality issues and regulations within the SCAB. The SCAQMD has published a "CEQA Air Quality Handbook" (CEQA Handbook) that identifies threshold values for emissions to assist local agencies in determining if a project's emissions could pose a significant adverse impact to air quality and air quality standards. The thresholds are: Reactive Organic Compounds (ROC) Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) Carbon Monoxide (CO) Particulate Matter (PMIO) Sulfur Oxides (SOx) ConstnIction 75 Ibs/day 100 Ibs/day 550 Ibs/day 150lbs/day 150lbs/day ODerations 55 Ibs/day 55 lbs/day 550lbs/day 150 lbs/day 150 lbs/day o A site specific air quality study for the proposed project was prepared by Parsons Engineering Science, Inc. This study is available for review at the City Planning office for interested parties, Based on the proposed construction scenario, the study detennined that short-term air emissions are not forecast to exceed the SCAQMD thresholds outlined above, with or without mitigation. Table 8 of the Parsons' air quality study quantifies construction emissions and it may be viewed at the City Planning office. However, to ensure that o o o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY no significant local fugitive dust impacts occur during construction, the following mitigation measures will be implemented. 5,a,1 The project will comply with regional rules such as SCAQ.MD Rules 403 and 402 which would assist in reducing short.term air pollutant emissions. Rule 403 requires that fugitive dust be controlled with best available control measures so that the presence of such dust does not remain visible in the atmosphere beyond the property line urthe embsion source. Rule 402 requires dust suppression techniques to be implemented to prevent fugitive dust from creating a nuisance off-site. These dust suppression techniques are summarized below. Portions ofthe construction site to remain inactive longer than a period oUhree months shall be seeded and watered until grass cover is grown or othenvise stabilized in a manner acceptable to the City. All active portions of the construction site shall be watered a minimum of two times dally to prevent excessive amounts of dusl On-.lte vehicle .peed .hall be limited to 15 mph, All on-site roads shall be paved 35 soon as feasible or watered periodically or chemically stabilized. All material eIt3vated or graded shall be sufficiently watered to prevent excessive amounts of dusl Watering, with complete coverage, shall occur at least twice daily, preferably in the late morning and after work is done for the day. All clearing, grading, earth moving, or excavation activities shall cease during period of high winds (i.e., greater than 25 mph averaged over one hour) or during Stage 1 or Stage 2 episodes. All material transported off-site shall be either sufficiently watered or securely covered to prevent excessive amounts of dusl The area disturbed by clearing, grading, earth moving, or excavation operations shall be minimized at all times. 5,..2 The construction contractor shall select the construction equipment used on-site based on low emission factors and high energy efficiency. The construction contractor shall ensure that construction grading plans include a statement that all construction equipment will be tuned and maintained in accordance with manufacturer's specificatioD!i. 5,.,3 The construction contractor shall time the construction activities so as not to interfere with peak hour traffic and so as to minimize obstruction of through traffic Janes adjacent to the site; if necessary, a flagperson shall be retained to maintain safety adjacent to existing roadways. 5.a.4 The construction contractor shall utilize as much as possible precoated/natural colored building materials, water based or low VOC coating, and coating transfer or spray equipment with high transfer efficiency, such as high volume low pressure (HVLP) spray method, or manual coatings application such as paint brush, hand roller. trowel, spatula, dauber, rag, or sponge. . With implementation of these measures, no significant air quality impacts are forecast to occur during the construction phase of this project. During the operational phase, the Parsons' study indicates that mobile source emissions caused by the proposed project will result in emissions of carbon monoxide (CO) during operations to exceed the threshold. All other pollutant emissions associated with the proposed project are not forecast to exceed operational thresholds, This is in part due to the fact that the trip distance is very short, since the nearest competing large-box retailers (including a Wal-Mart) are about six-seven miles east and south of the project site and the mileage for each trip is assumed to be from within a distance ofapproximately two miles of the project site, The CO emission generation during operations was evaluated for violation of the CO National and State Ambient Air Standard in relation to a CO hotspot and it was deterniined that under worst case conditions, no o o o , CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY hotspot would be created. Further, the evaluation by Parsons observed that CO emissions will gradually be reduced in the future to a point below the SCAQMD significance threshold. It must be kept in mind that the SCAQMD CEQA Handbook was developed in an advisory capacity relative to the local agency's decision making responsibilities. See Page 6-2 of the CEQA Handbook for a discussion of this issue, The responsibility for making a determination of significance for air quality impacts rests solely with the Lead Agency, This approach to reviewing projects was incorporated into the CEQA Handbook because various circumstances, aside from emissions, need to be considered as part of the decision regarding the significance of air quality impact and the SCAQMD realized that the thresholds in the Handbook do not always take into consideration all of the issues regarding potential significance of air emissions from a project, Some of these considerations include: a. Would the emissions occur anyway since the demand for the service or goods exists independent of the project? b. Would the same level of emissions or greater, occur without the project if built at another location? c. Could the same or greater emissions occur if the demand for goods require a number of separate visits to other locations? d. Is the project area served by convenient access to freeways, transit, rail and/or other facilities that reduce emissions? e. Is the project consistent with the AQMP and' regional growth plans? Does it enhance the local jobslhousing balance? If the answers to these questions are positive, then the magnitude of project-related emissions'relative to the SCAQMD thresholds will not necessarily support a finding of significant impact for air quality issues, There is clearly discretionary leeway to find for a less than significant impact, even for a large new project, particularly when it represents the planned and much anticipated utilization of an existing developing area that will substantially enhance the commercial and business community and jobslhousing balance for cities or a region, such as the east San Bernardino Valley. In this context it is essential to note that the only operating emissions that exceed thresholds is CO. Parsons' study verifies that the forecast CO emissions from the project will not cause a local violation of the state or federal CO standards, in the short- or long-term. Further, the C 0 background concentrations for the region indicate a continued downward trend is occurring which is forecast to continue due to the reduction in mobile source CO emissions in the future. Thus, the issue here is not the potential for violation of a health standard, either directly or cumulatively, it is an issue of whether by exceeding the SCAQMD emission threshold in pounds may result in a signific:rnt adverse impact. As the discussion above indicates, tile question of impact significance from developmmt- associated emissions should not be solely related to the size of a project or the magnitude of the emissions, b~t rather whether such growth has been properly anticipated, i.e., is consistent with, in the regional air quali-ty planning process. The development of the project site into a job-generating commercial uses is planned as pa.rt of the City of San Bernardino's Gen~ral Plan. The City has envisioned commercial development of this area o o o 1 CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INmAL STUDY since adoption of the General Plan in 1989. The conversion from bare, graded commercial pad to job producing uses is therefore anticipated and desired by the City. Based upon such considerations, the General Plan EIR concluded that implementation of commercial development was consistent with applicable air quality management plans and would have less than significant air quality impacts. Similarly, the answers to the above questions for the proposed commercial project support the conclusion that this project will not contribute to a significant air quality impact. Specifically: a. Even without the implementation of this project, emissions will occur as a result of shoppers going to some location within the general project vicinity to obtain the goods and services that will be provided by the proposed project. b. This development is within the highly urbanized portion of the City of San Bernardino, i.e., it is an infill project. Building a comparable sized project out of the immediate project area would result in greater emissions to serve the local populace, i.e., the local market area, that will utilize this commercial project. c. Emissions would be reduced by this shopping center relative to the use of individual shopping facilities which may be currently used in place of this shopping center. The proposed project is a large box retail that provides a wide range of commercial products, services and related uses at one spot right in the middle of the highly populated northern portion of the City. d. Freeway access is immediately adjacent to the site and transit access is excellent along University A venue which is located a few hundred feet from the project site. e, This project is forecast to generate a large number of new jobs ranging from minimum wage to managerialleve!. This new commercial project replaces a vacant commercial development pad with a large job generating facility. The jobslhousing balance of the east San Bernardino Valley, which is not currently in balance will be substantially enhanced as a result of providing a net of several hundred jobs, This project fully conforms and implements the principle concepts (infill redevelopment, better jobslhousing balance, and reductions in vehicle miles traveled) contained in the Air Quality Management Plan and SCAG's Regional Comprehensive Plan and Guide. For the above reasons the City of San Bernardino concludes that the air emissions associated with this project would be fully consistent with regional air quality planning guidelines, and with the applicable air quality management plans. Further, these air quality planning documents forecast that clean air standards will be met as long a planned growth conforms with the goals and policies of these plans. The proposed project meets the above tests and for these reasons, the proposed project's air quality impacts are considered less than significant. Regardless, the following mitigation measure will be implemented to reduce emissions. 5.a.5 To reduce emissions during operations, particularly mobile source emissions, the developer shall implement the following measures: To the extent feasible, implement a verifiable ridesh.tre program that will reduce vehicle miles traveled by employees and shoppers. o o I. 02. 3. 4, CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Provide a bus stop (adequate turnout area, bench seat and cover, or comparable facility) at the front of the property along Hallmark Parkway and attempt to arrange for Omnitrans, the local mass transit company, to provide bus senrice to the project site. Implementation of this measure in conjunction with the forecast emissions will result in a nonsignificant impact to air quality over the long-term, The proposed project also incorporates a gas station as one of its components, Because of the hazards associated with air emissions from gas station operations and from accidental releases of gasoline into the environment, elaborate permitting requirements have been developed. Those associated with the accidental release of gasoline to the environment are discussed in the hydrology section, under issue 4.d, From an air quality perspective, controls on gasoline have been in place for a long time due to the contribution of volatile organic compounds (VOC) to ozone concentrations in the atmosphere. Rules 461-463 of the SCAQMD require that all gas stations install emission controls to limit the amount of hydrocarbons that can escape to the atmosphere to specific limits. These Rules mandate any station to obtain permits to construct and operate through the SCAQMD prior to beginning operations. Therefore, they control gasoline emissions at a level that is consistent with minimizing the formation of ozone in the atmosphere. A second, equally important issue, relates to the toxic air emissions from a gas stations, The District's 1400 series rules are specifically designed to reduce or control emissions of toxic component of gas station operation so that they do not cause or contribute to a significant exposure to toxic air contaminants. Prior to initiating operations a public health risk study will have to be prepared for the gas station and this information is required by the District before it will issue the permits to construct or operate. Without the acquisition of such permits, the City of San Bernardino will not allow the gas station to be constructed, Therefore, the existing regulations and permitting process are self monitoring and ensure that the station cannot be installed unless it meets all air pollution requirements. 5,b There are no sensitive receptors in the immediate project area. This fact, combined with the forecast emissions from this project, result in a finding of no significant impact from the project's implementation. No additional mitigation is required. 5,c Based on the type of use and the size of this project, there is no potential to significantly alter air movement, moisture, temperatures or cause a climatic change. No mitigation is required. 5.d This proposed project does have a potential to generate odors from operating activities (food odors, outdoor nursery odors, vehicle odors) but there are no potential sensitive receptors in the project area. Therefore, no potentially significant adverse impact from odor generating activities is forecast to occur from implementing this project, No mitigation is required. References City orSan Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental Impact Report. City of San Bemardino General Plan. City or San Bernardino. 1989. General Plan. Parsons Engineering Science, Inc. October 31, 2000 "Draft San Bemardino Wal.Mart Air Quality Study" and March 6, 2001 "Updated CO Hotspots Analysis," South Coast Air Quality Management District. 1993, CEQA Air Quality Haudbaok, o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Potentially Signilicant Implct POlentially Signi6can1 UnIao Mitiplion ,..,.,,,.,,,,,, N. Imp&<( .....- Sipi6cant 1m.... 6. TRANSPORT A TION/CIRCULA TION. Could the proposal result in: a. A significant increase in traffic volumes on the roadways or intersections or an increase that is significantly greater than the land use designated on the General Plan? o o ia o b. Alteration of present patterns of circulation? 0 0 ia 0 c. A disjointed pattern of roadway improvements? 0 0 0 ~ d. Impact to rail or air traffic? 0 0 0 IOiil 0 e, Insufficient parking capacity on-site or off-site based on the 0 0 0 IOiil requirements in Chapter 19.24 of the Development Code? f. Increased safety hazards to vehicles, bicyclists or 0 ia 0 0 pedestrians? g. Conflict with adopted policies supporting alternative 0 0 0 IOiil transportation? h. Inadequate emergency access or access to nearby uses? 0 0 0 IOiil Substantiation: o 6.a The proposed project will have a less than significant impact on local traffic volume during the construction or operational phase because of the limited number of trips associated with construction. This is the conclusion of the report generated by LSA and Associates dated February 6, 200 I. A copy of this report is available for publ ic review at the City Planning office at 300 North D Street in the City of San Bernardino, However, traffic conditions during operation would be impacted by increased congestion at several intersections and would degrade by 20 I 0 to LOS F at three intersections without mitigation. With mitigation all three would be brougl1t to level LOS D or higher during peak hour which is the City's threshold of significant impact to the circulation system. Table I of the Traffic Study (see end of this document) provides the mitigation for the year 2003 plus project condition and the mitigation required to maintain an acceptable level of service at the year 20 I 0 plus project condition. The following measure incorporates the Table I mitigation and can reduce circulation system impacts to a less than significant impact. 6,a.1 The recommended mitigation for 2003 includes: Signalize Hallmark Parkway/Gannet Parkway (project Access); al:1d Restrict access at the Hallmark Parkway/South Project Access to right-in/right-out only, The recommended year20JO o 06.e o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY mitigation includes one additional measure: Addition of a separate eastbound right~turn lane at the 1-215 Southbound RampslUnivenity Parkway. 6.b The proposed project will include a request to the City to vacate the section of Gannett Parkway east of Hallmark Parkway and the portion of McArthur Boulevard south of the northerly project boundary. These proposed physical changes in the local circulation system will not adversely impact the local traffic pattern since these streets were designed to provide access within and on the periphery of the project site. With the proposed commercial retail development this access will no longer be required, Any parcels that are currently using Gannett Parkway to access McArthur Boulevard will have direct access to McArthur from Hallmark Parkway, No mitigation will be required if these roads are vacated. 6.c The proposed project does not involve any physical changes to the circulation system or any roadway improvements that could create a disjointed pattern oftrafIic or pedestrian circulation. No impact is forecast and no mitigation is required, 6.d The proposed project does not have activities that can affect air or rail traffic systems in the area. No impact is forecast a no mitigation is required. The proposed project will have 706 parking spaces. This will provide a parking ratio of 5.01 spaces per 1,000 square feet which exceeds the City's requirements. No adverse impact is forecast and no mitigation is required, 6,f Ingress and egress to the facility will be obtained through the Gannett Parkway and Hallmark Parkway, There is a low probability that the proposed project would have any safety impacts during either the construction or operational phase since all construction will be on the parcel itself, not the street section. However, during the construction period, safety hazards may occur on adjacent City roads when curb cuts and other access improvements are constructed which could temporarily affect traffic safety, Such hazards can be managed by using appropriate traffic management tools. To mitigate this potential impact, the following measure will be implemented: 6.r.l For periods when construction activity encroaches onto Hallmark Parkway, the developer shall implement a traffle management plan approved by the City that specifies the equipment, manpower and other material that will be utilized to ensure that potential hazards are minimized and safety 01 vehicle traffic, pedestrians and bicycles is ensured. 6,g The City is served by nearby regional routes and AMTRAK and Metrolink rail connections. The project area is served by local bus routes which provide service to the University and Hallmark Parkway intersection. This provides adequate alternate transportation for the public and the project itself does not contain any activities or cause physical changes in the environment that could conflict with adopted policies supporting alternative transportation. No mitigation is required. 6.h. The proposed project does not involve any physical changes to the enviromnent or any roadway improvemen-'s that could interfere with emergency access or access to adjacent properties and uses. No impact is forecast to occur and no mitigation is required. "I o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY References 1. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Deve/opmentCode. 2. City or San Bernardino. 1989. General Plan. 3. LSA Associates. 2/6/01 "Traffic Impact Study for the San Bernardino Walmart". Potentially Si.gni.6can1 Potentially """" .....- Significant Mitigation Significant No Impod Incorponled Impod Im_ 7, BIOLOGICAL RESOURCES. Could the proposal result in: a. Development within the Biological Resources Management 0 0 0 ia Overlay, as identified in Section 10,O-Natural Resources, Figure 41, of the City's General Plan? b. Impacts to endangered, threatened or rare species or their 0 0 0 ia 0 habitat (including, but not limited to, plants, mammals, fish, insects and birds)? c, Impacts to the wildlife disbursal or migration corridors? 0 0 0 ia d. Impacts to wetland habitat (e,g., marsh, riparian and vernal 0 0 0 ia pool)? e. Removal of viable, mature trees based on information 0 0 0 ia contained in the Preliminary Environmental Description Form and verified by site survey/evaluation (6" or greater trunk diameter at 4' above the ground)? Substantiation: 7.a-e The projeet site is not located within a Biological Resources Management Overlay as identified in Section 10, Figure 41 of the City's General Plan. This site has been previously compacted and graded and is currently plowed. No native vegetation is located on the project site and no trees occur on this pad which has been prepared for development. No mitigation is required. References 1. City orSan Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental Impact Report, City o/San Bernardino General Plan. 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Genera/Plan. 3. City or San Bernardino. 1988. City o/San Bernardino Ge1Jeral Plan Update, Technical Backgrollnd Report. o o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY PotentiaDy Signifialnl Impo<t Polenlia1ly Significant ....... Mitig.tion Incorpor.at~ Lou_ Signi6eanl Impo<t No Impocl 8. ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES. Would the proposal: a. Conflict with adopted energy conservation plans? o o 121 o b. Use non-renewable resources in a wasteful and inefficient manner? o o o iOi! c. Result in the loss of availability of a known mineral resource that would be of future value to the region and the residents of the State? o o o iOi! Substantiation: 08.a According to the California Commission on Energy's most recent Electricity Report, the implementation of the proposed project will not cause any available electricity supplies to be exceeded. The proposed project will not conflict with any adopted energy conservation plans and the proposed facilities will incorporate all currently required energy conservation measures. The additional electricity demands related to the project are within the existing electrical supply demand forecast for the San Bernardino area, Also, the City has adopted building codes that require implementation of energy conservation measures for new development. Implementation of these design and construction standards are considered adequate compliance with energy conservation goals and policies, The additional energy demand resulting from the project would normally be considered a less than significant impact. However, recent shortages in generation capacity may require the new facility to pay higher costs for electricity or to accept short-term rolling black outs in response to excessive short-term demand, These limitations will be resolved as new generating capacity is brought on line over the next few years. This short-tenn electricity constraint is not considered to be a significant adverse impact, particularly since the new facility is being constructed with an awareness of these constraints. No additional mitigation in required. 8.b Construction and operation of this project will result in the use of some non-renewable resources (concrete, asphalt materials, steel, fuels etc.). The construction and operation of this facility, however, is not considered a wasteful use of such resources and all such non-renewable resources are currently available from commercial markets with no known current limitations. No potential for significant resource impact is forecast to occur and no mitigation is required. 8.c The project site is not known to contain any mineral resources. This project has no potential to result in the loss of any known mineral resources. No mitigation is required. CRererences 1, City of San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental Impact Report, City o/San Bernardino General Plan. 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. General Plan. 3. City of San Bernardino. 1988. City olSon Bert/aMino General Plan Update, Teclmicol BackgrOlmd Report. o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Potc:nliaUy Signifieanl 1m,... Potentia1ly Signi6cant UnI<u Mitigltion I",o.po...", ","Thon Signi6cant Impa<:l No Im_ 9. HAZARDS. Would the proposal: a. Use, store, transport or dispose of hazardous or toxic materials based on information contained in the Preliminary Environmental Description Form, No. G(l) and G(2) (including, but not limited to, oil, pesticides, chemicals or radiation)? o ii!I o o b. Involve the release of hazardous substances? o ii!I o o c. Expose people to the potential health/safety hazards? o ii!I o o Substantiation: 09.a The proposed project will result in the use and storage of hazardous materials on the project site, including petroleum products, garden pesticides, and other "household" hazardous materials. See the Preliminary Environmental Description Form which is available at the City Planning office. This facility will use, store, and transport hazardous or toxic substances of various quantities. Mitigation is identified in the Water Section of this document, which requires both short- and long-term measures to be in place to ensure that any accidental releases of hazardous materials can be managed so that it will not cause a significant adverse impact on the environment. No additional mitigation is required. 9.b In both the construction and operation phase, the potential for the release of petroleum products and other chemicals and substances will exist. The potential impacts associated with such an occurrence are mitigated by measures outlined in the Water Section of this Initial Study (Section 4). No additional mitigation is required. 9.c This site has been historically graded and compacted for commercial uses. The potential for any contamination on this site to pose a potential health/safety hazard, particularly during construction, is not considered to be significant based on mitigation defined in Section 4 of this Initial Study. References I. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental Impacl Report. City of San Bernardino General Plan. 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. General Plan. 3. City of San Bernardino. 1988. City of San Bemardino General Plan Update, Technical Background Report. o o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY 10. NOISE, Could the proposal result in: a. Development of housing, health care facilities, schools, libraries, religious facilities or other noise sensitive uses in areas where existing or future noise levels exceed an Ldn of 65 dB(A) exterior and an Ldn of 45 dB(A) interior as identified in Section l4.0-Noise, Figures 57 and 58 of the City's General Plan? b, Development of new or expansion of existing industrial, commercial or other uses which generate noise levels above an Ldn of 65 dB(A) exterior or an Ldn of 45 dB(A) interior that may affect areas containing housing, schools, health care facilities or other sensitive uses based on information in the Preliminary Environmental Description Form No, G(l) and evaluation of surrounding land uses No. C, and verified by site survey/evaluation? 10 Substantiation: Potentially Significant Impllct Polentially Significanl """" Mitigation Incorpot1Iled No Im_ l.<unw. Signi6can1 1m"", o o ia o o o o Ia IO.a The proposed project does not consist of any housing, heath care, schools, libraries, religious facilities or other noise sensitive uses. No potential for significant noise impact is forecast to occur from implementing the proposed project and no mitigation is required. lO.b The project area is designated for Industrial/Commercial uses. The adjacent freeway creates an existing high noise background environment. The surrounding land uses are industrial, commercial, or transportation related and will not experience any sensitivity to noise generated during construction and operation of this project, Based on the project site noise setting and existing land uses surrounding the project site, no potential for significant noise impacts from implementing the proposed project is forecast to occur. No mitigation is required. References 1. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental Impact Report, City olSan Bernardino General Plan. 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. General PIau, 3. City of San Bernardino. 1988. City of San Bernardino General Plan Update, Technical Background Report. o o ~ CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY 11. PalentWly SigniDnI 1m..... Potentially Significanl U...... Mitiption tnroq>on.... No Impacl Lao..... Signi6can1 ImJ*l PUBLIC SERVICES. Would the proposal have an effect upon, or result in a need for new or altered government services in any of the following areas: a. Fire Protection? 0 0 Ia 0 b. Medical Aid? 0 0 Ia 0 c. Police protection? 0 0 Ia 0 d. Schools? 0 0 0 WI 0 e. Parks or other recreational facilities? 0 0 0 WI f, Solid waste disposal? 0 Ia 0 0 g, Maintenance of public facilities, including roads? 0 0 0 WI Substantiation: Il.a Il.b o The addition of a major retail shopping center to the City is forecast to have a minor impact on demand for emergency fire control needs. The City Fire Department maintains 4 fire stations in the area. City Fire Station #5 is located about I mile away at 1640 Kendall Drive. Other stations are #7 282 West 40th, Street, # 4 is located at 2641 North E St. and #3 located at 2121 Medical Center Drive. Adequate resources are availab Ie to respond to the project site in less than the three minute threshold of significance identified in the General Plan EIR, Note that these stations are located west or south of the project site so the presence of railroads on the tracks adjacent to Cajon Boulevard will not cause any delay in access to the project site in the case of an emergency, The Fire Department uses the Uniform Fire Code, the National Fire codes, and the California Code of Regulations as the basis for its enforcement programs. In addition, the City has adopted more stringent fire regulations in areas of building construction. The result is that a structure fire at this new facility has a low probability of occurring and ifone does occur, the sprinkler and other code protection will be sufficient to allow rapid suppression. No mitigation is required. The proposed project could have an impact on the City's need for EMT-Paramedic services, In the City of San Bernardino, this service is provided by both a contracted ambulance service and the City Fire DepartmeIlt trained personnel. The closest hospitals to the site are San Bernardino Community Hospital and St. Bernardine's Hospital. All hospitals are within a 5 to 10 minute drive from the project site. The amount CJf available response capability and response times are adequate to ensure that emergency response will not incur a significant adverse impact from random demand by the proposed project. o I CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT 11.c INITIAL STUDY 11.d o ll.e 11.f o 11.g The City's General Plan ties future demand for police services to growth in population. The proposed project is not forecast to result in a significant increase in population within the City or the surrounding area. Commercial facilities place a modest, not significant demand on police services within the Community, The General Plan indicates that the funds generated by growth, including sales tax growth, will be sufficient to provide for increases in the number of police officers to meet demand without causing a significant adverse demand on police services. Private security at such facilities helps to reduce random crime events, including shop lifting, A commercial facility such as proposed does add to the demand load for City Police Department, but the increase in demand is not identified as being project specific or cumulatively significant. From a law enforcement safety standpoint, adequate design mechanisms will be incorporated in the design of the project to assist with police minimizing safety problems at the project site, in accordance with the development plan review process. No potential is forecast for the project to create a new, significant demand on the available law enforcement capacity of the City. No mitigation is required, The proposed project will not cause any direct increase in demand for school capacity within the City, Indirect impacts may occur but would be very small based on the total employment at the proposed commercial facility, Mandatory school fees paid by this project are deemed adequate to mitigate any such indirect impacts. No additional mitigation is required. The proposed project and its operation does not place any direct demand on park and recreation resources. Indirect impacts may occur but would be very small based on the total employment at the proposed commercial facility. No mitigation is required. The project site has very little debris on the ground surface and development of the site is not forecast to generate substantial volume of solid waste from clearing and grubbing. During construction and after operations are initiated, the proposed project will generate solid waste requiring disposal. The City has implemented its Source Reduction and Recycling Element programs and is required to divert 50 percent of the solid waste generated City-wide. This facility would generate used oil, used coolants and solvents, empty containers made from metal, plastic and paper and used mechanical parts. For facilities such as this, the City seeks to have a source reduction and recycling plan submitted for review and approval to ensure that as much waste can be recycled as possible, Therefore, the following mitigation measure will be implemented: l1.f.l The developer or occupant shall provide a source reduction and recycling plan for facility operations that Identifies a recycling goal of recycling 500/0 of the solid waste. This plan shall be submitted to the City Solid Was te Department for review and approval prior to issuance of building permits. Implementation of this measure will ensure that the proposed project contributes to the City's overall source reduction and recycling goals and will reduce potential solid waste generation impacts to anon-significant level. The waste generated will be disposed of at the Colton, San Timoteo or Mid-Valley landfills. Adequate capacity exists within these County landfills to meet disposal requirements over the next five years, which is the current planning period for landfills. Based on this analysis, no potential for project specific significant impact to sol id waste systems is forecast to occur and no mitigation is required. No public facilities are known to be affected by this project. No mitigation is required. o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT References INITIAL STUDY 1. City orSan Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmenlallmpacl Report. City o/San Benlordino General Plan. 2. City or San Bernardino. 1989. General Plan. 3. City of San Bernardino. 1988. City of San Bernardino General Plan Update, Technical Background Report. 4. County or San Bernardino. 1995. Countywide Integrated Waste Management Plan. 12. Potentially Significant 1m"", Potentially Signi6cant Unku Mitis_lion -"" No Im_ .....""" SignifiCUlI 1m"", UTILITIES AND SERVICE SYSTEMS. Will the proposal, based on the responses of the responsible Agencies, Departments, or Utility Company, impact the following beyond the capability to provide adequate levels of service or require the construction of new facilities? a. Natural gas? 0 0 12I 0 0 b, Electricity? 0 0 12I 0 c, Communications systems? 0 0 0 1011 d. Water distribution? 0 0 12I 0 e, Water treatment or sewer? 0 0 12I 0 f. Storm water drainage? 0 0 12I 0 g. Result in a disjointed pattern of utility extensions based on 0 0 0 1011 review of existing' patterns and proposed extensions? Substantiation: 12,a 012.b The proposed project will use natural gas that will be provided by Southern California Gas, i,e, The Gas Company, Since the developer must follow conservation guidelines in constructing the building, the proposed project is forecast to have a less than significant impact on natural gas resources. Note that costs of natural gas are rising due to short-term supply limits. These shortages will be corrected by increased production over the next few years and the proposed project is not forecast to cause or experience a significant adverse impa.ct on natural gas supplies. Table A9-11-A of the SCAQMD' s CEQA Handbook estimates that conmlercial structures utilize about 13.55 kilowatt-hours per square foot per year. A total of about 137,000 square feet of conunercial structures at the site are forecast to utilize approximately 1,856,350 kilowatt-hours per year. The most recent electricity (I99~) and fuel (1995) reports prepared by the California Energy Commission indicate adequate electricity resources are commercially available to meet current and immediate future demands for power and fuels. However, due " o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY to the change from regulated to competitive electricity provision, short-term energy costs are forecast to be relatively expensive and short-term power limits will be experienced during the summer peak demand period for a few years. New power plants are being constructed which will provide sufficient electricity to reduce costs and meet growth demand. Notwithstanding the foregoing, this impact is not considered to be significant and no mitigation is required. 12.c The proposed facility will use the existing commercial telephone companies. As such, this project will have no significant impact on the area's communications system. Because no significant communications system impact is forecast to occur, no mitigation is required. 12,d Water demand for this project is forecast to be 12,000 to 15,000 gallons per day based on a water duty of -1,000 gallons per acre of commercial development. The City General Plan indicates that sufficient water is available to meet the buildout of the City and the water usage of this project will not exceed the City's capacity to provide adequate water supplies to existing and/or future development. It is presently estimated that the Bunker Hill Basin (the source of supply for the City) has about 5,000,000 acre-feet of water in storage of which about 3,000,000 acre-feet is available without adversely effecting the supply and quality of water in the Basin (Mr. James Dye, City of San Bernardino Water Department, personal communications, 1997), Based on the availability of groundwater in the Basin and the current groundwater recharge policies, it is concluded the City has adequate water supplies to serve this project without adversely effecting its service capabilities. Other than the mandatory provision of adequate sized water mains in the adjacent roadway to provide adequate fire flow, no mitigation is required. o 12.e The proposed project will generate modest amounts (about 10,000 gallons per day) of wastewater from sewage, The City General Plan EIR projected cumulative sewage flows at City buildout of 14.1 million gallons per day (MGD), As a result, the regional plant has been significantly expanded over the past several years, and currently has about 9 million gallons of excess treatment capacity currently available. Adequate sized sewer collection lines occur in the adjacent streets to transport the wastewater generated by the project to the regional plant. The payment of connection fees is a standard requirement for new development and must be provided by the proposed project, With adequate cumulative capacity to meet the project's needs, no potential for significant impact to the wastewater treatment and collection system is forecast to occur and no mitigation is required. 12.f Potential impacts to the stormwater drainage system are evaluated in Section 4(a-c). No significant impact is forecast to occur and no mitigation is required. 12,g The proposed project is essentially a "in-fill" project. The site is located within an area that contains existing development and infrastructure. No utility extensions are required to develop this project. No potential for significant impacts due to disjointed or poor infrastructure patterns are forecast to occur from implementing the proposed project and no mitigation is required. o , o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY References 1. California Energy Commission. 1998. Electricity Report 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental Impact Reporl, City of San Bernardino General Plan. 3. City orSan Bernardino. 1989. General Plan. 4. City orSan Bernardino. 1988. City of San Bernardino General Plan Update, Technical Background Report. 5. South Coast Air Quality Management District. 1993. CEQA Air Quality Handbook. Potentially Significant Impact Potentially Signilieant """" Mirigltion Incorponlcd ""_ Significant Impm No Imp"" 13. AESTHETICS. a. Could the proposal result in the obstruction of any significant or important scenic view based on evaluation of the view shed verified by site survey/evaluation? o o o ~ o b. Will the visual impact of the project create aesthetically offensive changes in the existing visual setting based on a site survey and evaluation of the proposed elevations? o o ~ o c. Create significant light or glare that could impact sensitive receptors? o o ~ o Substantiation: 13.a-b The proposed project is an infill/redevelopment that will result in the construction of a commercial facility in an already developed commercial and industrial park adjacent to Interstate 215. The location is not an important view shed, nor will it have an impact due the elevation of the site or structures. No potential for significant interference with views or offensive changes in the visual setting is forecast to occur from implementing the proposed project and other than mandatory compliance with City design requirements, no mitigation is required. 13.c The proposed project is within an area that is industrial/commercial with no surrounding light sensitive uses. Other than ensuring as part of the development review process that no glare affects the adjacent freeway the proposed project is not forecast to cause any light and glare impacts. Since the requirement to prevent safety hazards from glare is a mandatory requirement, no mitigation is required. References 1. City or San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environme,Jlollmpacl Report. City ofSau Bernardino General Plan. 02. City of San Bernardino. 1989. General Plan. 3. City of San Bernardino. 1988. City o/San Bernardi/Jo General Plan Updale, Technical Background Reporl. o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Potentially Signi6~t 1m"" Potentially Signi6can1 U..... Mitigation '''''''1'0'''''' ""Thon Sipi6cant Impm No Im_ 14. CULTURAL RESOURCES. Could the proposal result in: a. Development in a sensitive archaeological area as identified in Section 3. O-Historical, Figure 8, of the City's General Plan? o o o ~ b. The alteration or destruction of a prehistoric or historic archaeological site by development within an archaeological sensitive area as identified in Section 3.0-Historical, Figure 8, of the City's General Plan? o o o ~ c. Alteration or destruction of a historical site, structure or object as listed in the City's Historic Resources Reconnaissance Survey? o o o ~ o Substantiation: 14.a-c The proposed project site is not located in an sensitive archaeological area as identified in Section 3.0-Historical, Figure 8, of the City's General Plan. Further, the site has been previously graded and compacted as part of the creation of master development pads, so no potential exists for any cultural resources to occur on the project site. No mitigation is required. References 1. City or San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental Impact Report. CiryofSan Bernardino General Plan. 2. City of San Bernardino. 1989. General Plan. 3. City of San Bernardino. 1988. City olSan Bernardino General Plan Update, Technical Background Report. o o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY Potentia1ly SipUficanl Impec:1 Potenba1ly Significant """" Mitigation ,...."..."" ""Thon SipU6can1 Implct No Im_ 15. RECREATION. Would the proposal: a. Increase the demand for neighborhood or regional parks or other recreational facilities? o o o ~ b. Affect existing recreational opportunities? o o o ~ Substantiation: 15.a-b The project site has no recreational values at this time and its development can not affect any existing recreational resources. No impact is forecast to occur and no mitigation is required. C~.r:::;san Bernardino. 2. City of San Bern"dino. 3. City of San Bernardino. 1989. Final Environmental ImpacI Report, City of San Bernardino General Plan. 1989. General Plan. 1988. City o/San Bernardino General Plan Update, Technical Background ReporL o 0 CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INmAL STUDY pl)tentiaUy Significanl PotentiaUy """" t..uThon Significanl Mitiption SiwUlicanl No Impod 1"'"<1''''''''' Impm Im_ 16. MANDA TORY FINDINGS OF SIGNIFICANCE. a. Does the project have the potential to degrade the quality of 0 0 0 ~ the environment, substantially reduce the habitat of a fish or wildlife species, cause a fish or wildlife population to drop below self-sustaining levels, threaten to eliminate a plant or animal community, reduce the number or restrict the range of a rare or endangered plant or animal, or eliminate important examples of the major periods of California history or prehistory? b. Does the project have the potential to achieve short-term, to 0 ~ 0 0 the disadvantage oflong-term, environmental goals? 0 c. Does the project have impacts that are individually limited, 0 ~ 0 0 but cumulatively considerable? ("Cumulatively considerable" means that the incremental effect of a project are considerable when viewed in connection with the effects of past projects, the effects of other current projects, and the effects of probable future projects.) d. Does the project have environmental effects which will 0 ~ 0 0 cause substantial adverse effects on human beings, either directly or indirectly? Substantiation: 16.a-<l The proposed project is an infill project that continues the City's efforts to develop its commercial resour= based at various locations within the City. The impact evaluation presented in this Initial Study determined that the proposed project has a potential to cause significant adverse impacts during construction and operation. Mitigation measures have been identified and will be required by the City in order to reduce these potentially significant adverse impacts to a nonsignificant level. Measures are identified to mitigate potentially significant impacts for the following resource issues: earth resources; water resources; air quality; transportation/circu- lation; hazards; and solid waste. All other issues were deternlined to experience no impact or nonsignificant impact without any mitigation. Based on the data and findings in this Initial Study, the City proposes to issue a Negative Declaration with mitigation measures as the appropriate CEQA determination for the north San Bernardino retail project as outlined in the Project Description in this Initial Study. o o 011. o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY References The following references cited in the Initial Study are on file in the Planning and Building Services Department/Public Works Department. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10 City of San Bernardino General Plan. City of San Bernardino General Plan Land Use Plan/Zoning Districts Map. City of San Bernardino Development Code (fide 19 of the San Bernardino Municipal Code). City of San Bernardino Historic Resources Reconnaissance Survey. Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones Map. South Coast Air Quality Management District, CEQA Air Quality Handbook. Federal Emergency Management Agency, Flood Insurance Rate Maps. Public Works Standard Requirements - water. Public Works Standard Requirements - grading. Draft Traffic Study San Bernardino Walmart, City of San Bernardino, LSA Project No. HLF030, February 6, 2001 Draft San Bernardino Wal-Mart Air Quality Study, Parsons Engineering Science, Inc., October 31,2000. Mitigation Measures 3.d.l Before issuance of a Building Permit, the City shall rcview and al'IJrove a Geotechnical Investigation of the site IJrepared by a licensed geotechnical professional. This study shall identify specific safety-based perfonnance standards that must be met to ensure that an)' structures that will be occupied by humans will be able to withstand seismic and unstable earth hazards and ensure that the unstable earth conditions that may exist at the site do not cause any significant safety hazards for future human occupants of such structures. The recommendations ofthe study shall be inCO'llOrated into the grading and building plans approved by the City for this project. 4.c.l The project proponent shall select best management practices from the Supplement A Attachment that achieves a 60% percent reduction in pollutants generated on the IJrojcct site during construction for susllended sedime..t, oxygen demand, trace metals and bacteria, and a 20% reduction in total Jlhosphorus and total nitrogen. These measures will be integrated into the construction Storm Water Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP) that must be prepared for this projeet in accordance with current non-point source (National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) Ilennitting procedures. The construction SWPPP shall be IJrovided to the City for review and approvallJrior to initiating construction at the site. 4.c.2 The SWPPP prepared for the project site shall include a spill resllOnse program for accidental release of water pollutants during construction that shall, at a minimum, meet the following performance standards: adequate resources shall be maintained on the site by the contractor to control any release of pollutants; if a spill occurs, the pollutant shall first be contained, second the Sllill shall be reported to alllJrolJriate authorities, third the pollutant contaminated material (soil, water, etc.) shall be collected in proper containers, fourth the pollutaIlt contaminated material shall be delivered to a facility with the capability to treat or diSpose of the contaminated material in accordance with existing laws and regulations in place at the time of the accidental Spill; fifth the area contaminated by the spill shall be cleaned (remediated) to background conditions, or alternatively to a level o o Cs.a.3 CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY that meets the requirements of existing laws and regulations at the time of the clean-ull and that does not leave any residual threat to humans or the environment in which the spill occurs. 4.c.3 The project proponent shall select best management practices from the Supplement A Attachment that achieves aD 60% percent reductioD in pollutants generated on the Ilroject site during facility operations. These measures will be integrated into the Storm Water Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP) that must be prepared for this project in accordance with City nOD-point source aDd National Pollutant Discharge ElimiDation System (NPDES) permitting procedures. The ollerations SWPPP shall be provided to the city for review and apllroval prior to initiating operations at the site. 4.c.4 The BusiDess Plan prepared for project ollerations shall indicate how the olleration will handle all spills or leakage of hazardous or toxic materials during operational activities. The Plan shall also define how such spills will be remediated in compliance with applicable state and local regulations regarding cleanull and disposal of the contaminant released. The contaminated waste shall be collected and disllosed of at an allllropriately licensed disposal or treatment facility. 5.a.l The project will comply with regional rules such as SCAQMD Rules 403 and 402 which would assist in reducing short-term air pollutant emissions. Rule 403 requires that fugitive dust be controlled with best available control measures so that the presence of such dust does not remain visihle in the atmosllhere heyond the property line of the emission source. Rule 402 requires dust suppression techniques to be imlllemented to preventfugitive dust from creating a nuisance off-site. These dust sUllpression techniques are summarized below. o Portions of the construction site to remain inactive longer than a period of three months shall be seeded and watered until grass cover is grown or othen.ise stahilized in a manner acceptable to the City. All active portions of the construction site shall he watered a minimum of two times daily to preveatt excessive amounts of dust. o On-site vehicle speed shall be limited to 15 mph. All on-site roads shall he llaved as soon as feasible or watered periodically or chemically stabilizetl. o All material excavated or graded shall be sufficientl)' watered to prevent excessive amounts of dust. Watering, with comlllete coverage, shall occur at least twice daily, preferably in the late morningarlld after work is done for the day. o All clearing, grading, earth moving, or excavation activitics shall cease during period of high winds (i.e., greater than 25 mph averaged over one hour) or during Stage 1 or Stage 2 ellisodes. All material transported off-site shall be either sufficiently watered or securely covered to IlreVeatt excessive amounts of dust. . The area disturbed by clearing, grading, earth moving, or excavation operations shall be minimized at all times. 5.a.2 The construction contractor shall select the construction equipment uscd on-site based on low emission factors and high energy efficiency. The construction contractor shall ensure that construction grading Illans include a statement that all construction equipment will be tuned and maintained in accordance with manufacturer's sllecifications. The construction contractor shall time the construction activities so as not to interfere with lleak hour traffic arlld so as to minimize obstruction of through traffic lanes adjacent to the site; if necessary, a nagllerson shall be retained to maintain safety adjacent to existing roadways. o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY 5.a.4 The construction contractor shall utilize as much as possible precoated/natural colored building materials, water based or low VOC coating, and coating transfer or sllray equillment with high transfer efficiency, such as high volume low pressure (BVLP) spray method, or manual coatings allplication such as paint brush, hand roller, trowel, spatula, dauher, rag, or sponge. 5.a.5 To reduce operating emissions, the developer shall implement the following measures: To the extent feasible, implement a veritiahle rideshare program that will reduce vehicle miles traveled by employees and shoppers. Provide a bus stop (adequate turnout area, bench seat and cover, or comparable facility) at the front of the property along Hallmark Parkway and attempt to arrange for Omnitrans, the local mass transit company, to provide bus service to the Jlroject site. . 6.a.l The recommended mitigation for 2003 includes: Signalize Hallmark Parkway/Gannet Parkway (project Access); and Restrict access at the Hallmark Parkway/South Project Accessto right-in/right-out only. The recommended year 2010 mitigation includes one additional measure: Addition of a sellarate eastbound right-turn lane at the 1-215 Southbound RampslUniversity Parkway. 06.f.l For periods when construction activity encroaches onto Hallmark Parkway, the developer shall implement a tnimc management plan approved by the City that specifies the equipment, manpO\verand other material that will be utilized to ensure that potential hazards are minimized and safety o(vehlcle traffic, pedestrians and bicycles is ensured 11.f.l The developer or occullant shallllrovide a source reduction and recycling Illan for facility ollerations that identifies a recycling goal of recycling 50% of the solid waste. This Illan shall be submitted to the City Solid Waste Department for review and allJlrovallJrior to issuance of building permits. o l o CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DEPARTMENT INITIAL STUDY 5.a.4 The construction contractor shall utilize as much as possible precoated/natural colored building materials, wa1er based or low VOC coating, and coating transfer or sllray equipment with high transfer efficiency, such as high volume low pressure (BVLP) spray method, or manual coatings application such as paint brush, hand roll er, trowel, spatula, dauber, rag, or sponge. 5.a.5 To reduce operating emissions, the developer shall implement the following measures: To the extent feasible, implement a verifiable rideshare program that will reduce vehicle miles traveled by employees and shoppers. Provide a bus stop (adequate turnout area, bench seat and cover, or comllarable facility) at the front: of the property along Hallmark Parkway and attempt to arrange for Omnitrans, the local mass transit company, to provide bus service to the Ilroject site. . 6.a.1 The recommended mitigation for 2003 includes: Signalize Hallmark Parkway/Gannet Parkway (project Access); and Restrict access atthe Hallmark Parkway/South Project Access to right-in/right-out only. The recommended year 2010 mitigation includes one additional measure: Addition of a separate eastbound right-turn lane at .he 1-215 Southbound Ramps/University Parkway. .0.r.l. For periods when CODstMlction activity encroaches onto Hallmark Parkw~1! the developer shall Implement a tnimc management plan approved by tbe City thatspecili..the equipment, manpower and other material that will be utilized to ensure that"potentlal hlWlrds are minimized and sarety ofvehlcle traffic, pedestrians and bicycles Is ensured. 11.f.1 Tbe developer or occupant shall Ilrovide a source reduction and recycling Illan for facility operations th at identifies a recycling goal of recycling 50% or the solid waste. This Illan shall be submitted to the City Sol id Waste Department for review and allprovalllrior to issuance of building penuits. o o APPENDIX 1 o o o . _.. ~... v. "u..'" "'....'". ... "".....w.Io-..., _n.n\ol~ lSI\"'i~Or.:"lfs.lriC. 'I . .-..' .1' v.....,;. ......... _._'" Tshle F - Fulun' PIUl Project Condilions With Mi[ig~tion Intersection Levels of Senice Vonr 2011J 1'111., I'rojcClI'.IIt. Peak lIour COlluilillll' Intl'rseClion 1 . Il1du<trhl Wn\'/l'nhn Avenu) 2 . Ha!imark Parkway/Gun nett Parl,:wu)" J . Norlhpnrk BoulevardlUniversit)" Parkway 4 . KemlalllJrivc/University l'urkway 5 . 1-215 Northbound RalJ1pslUnivcrshy l'arkv..3)" 6 . I.' 15 ~("'thbnlln,lllntnp,IUr:ivcr~ily Parkwa)' 7 . Hal1mnl'k P'lI"kwnylUni"ers'ty Parkway 8 . Cnjol1 Bnukv:.rwUnh....ity P,,,!.w"y 9 . l/al1mark Prirk\\":l)'/South Projc;:t Access' Wilhont )liti/:lltlon V/C Delay LOS With :\Jili{;alian ViC Dcln\' I OS . 1 J.ll B F C n B I) D B F n 0.44 0.74 0.63 0.S2 0.81 0.32 S7.5 29.5 37.9 19.4 35.7 48.4 IH 117.6 0.53 , 23.7 c . IO.~ 0 Year 2010 Plu.l'roject 1'.1\!. Peuk Hour Condltinns Without 1I1iti::utlon With Mitigation Inlcrsl,cliulI VIe Delay LOS v/c JJeluf LOS 1 . Indu>lr1al Way/l':llm AVCll\lel 13.9 B "l . J lallmnrk t'urkWa)'/Ullnnett Parkway' 124.5 F . 0.55 23.6 C 3 . NOr1!)park BOll)evnrd!l!ni.~crsity Parkw,,>, OA8 31.0 C 4 . Kendall DrivdUniversity Parkway 0.36 43.0 n 5 . 1.21.<; Norlhh,'"nrlll.mrsIUnj"~rsity Park",.y 0.66 19.G n 6 . ].215 SOlllhbound RampslUnivcrsily Parkw<\y 0.91 59.6 F. . 0.70 26.6 C 7 . Hr.llmnrk Parkwny/lJnhcr:<ity Pal!.way 0.8~ .55.4 E 0.(j3 31.0 C 8 . C.'ljon Boulevard/University ParJ.:WR}' 0.40 15.2 B '> . H alhr,ark Parkway/South Projcct ^"cess I 156.6 F . 10.4 B o .. LOS exceeds lhrcs110Id C'ritcri~. Notes: VIe ~ Volum~/carJ"iry fOlio LOS = Lev.1 ofScrvice l.'u~if'.n;'t!h::.;d interseclion. 211.J/21J()l (R:\fi:.H)jO\~f",.;cl,).I~\ Mil LOS) o o i NorLi'iOc:ik ~Ivd. en a; a; ~ ;;; ~ I LEGEND: <> 1'1~a1 Projsct Site N C PROJECT LOCATION. TOM DODSON & ASSOCIATES Environmental Consultants FIGURE 1 Source: LSA ... " ... ....l ....l 0 Uz ...< 1-<..:1 <=- I-< [;oil CIlE-< oj 0- -= ZrJ) <i ..~ " C E ~< " ~ 0 :;-.:. <=- <:. ~~ oll ...[;oil :a ~z - ;; ,! ZrJ) " <;:) ~ " CIlCQ 0 CIl o I~ ~ 115>0:: ,~!:~~ ; z~en...l/lI o::wenQ. w>ww l:Cz~!: . z:J en en c:t :J en l:C ~ 'I I I ., ,i r , :~ iJ: i i f.r',i ii ~i. Ii 3.i .. ~" 1= . ,- ' Ii !" : I~l &!i~3!3''''r .....,...1';:-.;,-,.... ....1~1 :sk,~I.:::.:~j;;.;t l~'- 'JI..I...,'.....' .- 'co,:> ;;'=j II :::::1: I - ..j""/' I! 'l-n !l ..; Ij'jL'H: I """ ! . !d IIi ! il :J: i ~ ~h:l!' , ! !l~ !' 1 : ! . dli II It! o I ., --- .: , ; . . . . " Sa ~! . r ~~ .. :i~ ~ . . N "-, - ..., - ::l e" - ,- - CIl tol ... -< ~ u ~ 0':: CIl - CIl :g < 0 ~~ " Z:E o " '" E Q C o e Q .S: ::;:tii o Eo- o COMMENT LETTERS AND RESPONSES TO COMMENTS DEVELOPMENT PERMIT II NO. 01-05 NORTH SAN BERNARDINO RETAIL 1 PROJECT o o l ATTACHMENT 4 o o o In accordance with the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) procedures, this report and the attached responses to comments constitute a completed package of information for the City of San Development/Environmental Review Committee to use when it considers adoption of a Mitigated Negative Declaration (MND) for the entitlements that will allow development of the North San Bernardino Retail I project. This package consists of the Initial Study; the comment letters and responses to the comments; and any other staff reports or information that the City Staff compiles in support of a decision to allow construction and development of the proposed project. Comment letters on the Initial Study and proposed Mitigated Negative Declaration were received from six agencies and one individual. The commenting parties included: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Governor's Office of Planning and Research, State Clearinghouse San Bernardino County, Department of Public Health, Environmental Health Services California Regional Water Quality Control Board, Santa Ana Region Department of Toxic Substances Control Mr. Stewart D. Cumming Department of Transportation, District 8 City of San Bernardino, Fire Department City Staff working with legal counsel has prepared the attached responses to all comments. Combined with the Initial Study, the Development/Environmental Review Committee can rely on this total package of information to make a decision on the proposed project. It is the Staffs recommendation that, based on the whole of the record before the City, the proposed project can be implemented without causing significant adverse environmental impacts. Adoption of a Mitigated Negative Declaration is justified based on the findings in this total information package. . This package has been independently compiled and reviewed by the City Staff on behalf of the City of San Bernardino. o o o . Gray Da..is . com..:."'iOl DATE: TO: Lt;n:U{ U! STATa Or CALIFORNIA Governor's office of Plan ping aud Research State Cleazinghouse A~ 1* T: ~ ~ e ~"-:J!ft ; .~. Sn\"e Niss...., Aert:i~ DrUC"tCt ACKNO~~EDG~~~TOFRECEWT March 29, 2001 OO@@~DW@[Q) . APR 0 2 2001 . lvts. Valerie Ross City of s.m Bernardino 300 North D Street San Bernardino. CA 92413 c!rr 0;: SAN BERNARDINO cevEl.OPMe~1T SEIlVICE5: OEPARThIer.rr RE: San Bernardino Retail 1 SC11:k 2001031060 . Tbisis.toackiiowledge.thatTi1e-S~te Cie:iimghouse bas. received your eIi'rrironn:leIitafci6cument for state re\'iew. The review period asSigned by the State Clearinghouse is: Re\1e\y. Start Da~: Review End Date: MatCh 14, 2001 April 12, 2001 We have distributed your document to tho following agencies and departments: 1-1 I. California Iiighway Patrol . Caltrans, District 8 . Department of Conservation Departmen.t ofFish and Game. Region 6 Department of Parks and Recreation . . Department of Toxic Substances Control . Native American Heritage Commission Office of Histone Preservation Public Utilities Commission Regional Water Quality Control Board, Region 8 . ReSources Agency'- . . State Lands Commission The State Clearinghouse will provide a closing letter with any state agency comments to your attention on the date following the close of the review period. Thank you for 'your. participation in the State Clearinghouse review proc~. . ..~ Posl.it~ Fax Note TOfi\ . ."'- eo...'08Ft. 7671 0a1O OV\ From ~. 00: L pa!ile.!;'" . Pl>ooe . 'C' 1.;00 n."ITH $T1EET 1'.0. EOX 916-4<4S4r3 P.u ~;r,-:;CI~ Pill' o o o 1-1 RESPONSES TO COMMENTS LETTER #1 Governor's Office of Planning and Research State Clearinghouse This letter is acknowledgment by the State Clearinghouse that the environmental document was received by the State and assigned a State Clearinghouse number, SCH#200 I 031 060. It also identifies the State agencies that were provided copies of the environmental document for public review and comment. No specific response is required to this letter since it does not raise any environmental issues. LETTER 1/2 U .1Ii COUNTY OF SAIl BERHAROIliO \.. ...~;;l HUTlIAII SBi"EES SYSliM ./1' ') THOMAS J. ~R;NO<;"G;>.S"I". JA..lI.O. f.I?H Otrec:or 01 P\:lr. p~ - DANIEl. J.AYEAA REnS Chief. DlYision 0: Erril.l"nmetlt2i Hf:.2:'tt: 1 DEPARTMENT OF PUBt...~ HEALTH EIMRONMEIITAI.IIEALTH SERVICES C' 385 Nortll .lu....hiad AJieme . San BeminlIIo, CA 92415-0160 . (909) 381 1056 1647 East tIolI3olIlrtanl . Otttario, CA 9t 764 . (909) 45S-S573 15505 Cim Drl\'e . lIICUlrriJe, CA 92392 . (760) 243-3141 o 17780 AnW bleYanI . J'IlDtlna, CA m35 . (909l3:i6-6444 r; San Iler11aIIIiro Coanly '1~ CoatnlI Program 2355 Easl Fiftb Street . San Bemarlino, CA 92415-0064 . (9ll9) 38&4600 i-'\D is ~ r= ii\,,:7 ~ r,::'\D . .t.S\0t:=:Li ::.J LS I lffi ~I ,') ~ "',-...i l\:ij 1'11""."\ .;;. : 1.'.:'';, ~~"n;t';*citi!sol: M<!:l:cb. 15,2001 O'i"y ~ s.:.!': ':~~NA.~:r.};O DEV~CPME;\:T s~~.VICES C.::Ail'iM.NT ..."".. ....~"""'"I "'=- ~Seot..lL..3l\! 0-... cnro HI~ co.... ......... ~T~ HelJoeria .......... ~Ll"ld;!; ~ "- 0.=<0 P.sf(;tl~ c..a:n:n;: ......,.,. ....... --- ~,..,.~..: """.. v_ -.,. '^""""'..,. City of San Bernardino Development SetVices Department . 300 Nortb "0" Street San Bernardino, Ca 92418 Atm: Valerie Ross, Principal Planner SUBJECT: INITIAL STUDY FOR THE SAN BERNARDIJ."iO STATE COLLEGE BUSINESS PARK-NORTH SAN BERNARDINO RETAlT~ 1 o I bave re,':iewed, the subject document and find on page 2 that no mention was made of . this Department's requirements for plan check and permit to oper:ate for any retail food facility. 2-1 I am sure that it "'"'35 an oversight on the part of the authors of the study. I have no other comments. If you have any questions, please contact the undersigned at 909-387-4666. Sincerely, Post-it' Fax Note 7671 Qale 110m Co. tot ~ pages PRone I PtlOnO :: Safe Drinking Water Program Fox" Fa'" Scott Maass, REHS Liquid Waste and Land Use Specialist Cc: Debby Leuer, SB Food Supervisor ". .. o ..':'~:~: :,. :.~:::-,.!.~:...$:':'~ ,::,: :. 'i;:y..:t...:. ................. 5:~:=;:: ;:'I....:':'! ;.:N':; :,: S;;.~t:-:::!:.:"":t ~::..:.. ~=S":'7:':":.:! ........ ........ .~::J: :~~-::: :=.'\::':~ :-:.~;.'~s;:;~=!r.:: ......... --:'.:i: ;:'r:; ;.~: ?'?=.: .:..::;.;::.;: .............. ::::::;",,:1'" ~'~:!i.:: ';t:.".iJ::' .... ~.::,:-...::.::-.. .:t;....:.:r .~.::~..:..,,~:':l.::...., .::~::::!!!:' ~$:s~:~-: ~':_:::';':' ::~::...s::-:'::~ .. ',_:'" ~'\_......,~ ':';"'f':"'''.~ ...=';~':'::;."'=:3 ................. ~!i':~::~:: o o o 2-1 RESPONSES TO COMMENTS LETTER #2 San Bernardino County Department of Public Health Environmental Health Services Your comment is noted and will be fOlwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail 1 project to be developed. The Department's plan check and pennitting authority for retail food facilities will be added to the list ofpennitting agencies. LETTER #3 1 e California l,-.:gional Water Quality Santa Ana Region . :nitrol Board G Gray DO\" GO\l:~r l'Ucr:l:l Ad4r=ss: ~:/Iv.v.~.r';l,Teb.C:l.~:w/N-qcbi ;737 MiliQ St:ee:. Suit: SOC>. R1\1e:sid:, Cam~mia ~2501.;348 Ph"" (909) 7!2-4130. FAX(909)7S:-62!S O'VinslOn a Hickox Secft:Drj fer En...jf"l'}Mlt.1l:a:: Prnftc:iOlt March 19,2001 .... ._-. r - .. 7~"""'" _ 'li~I'r'~::.-:: :\',! ~Ill"" \ ... I~ ._,-. ..', ,... U ,._./ -............ .._,!. _ l :ll----.. ---I j ;\J ., ... ' - ?J;,:",:,::' ~l~l:.:; -- Ms. Valene C. Ross City oi San Eernardino Development Services Deputmcnt 300 North "D" Street Saa Bcmudino, CA 92418 :;~~':; ~;~I:j:~:~~..~: ~~~~~l~;~'i'i~'~~ i~ti'''',:';'i:/1:}Jr RESPONSE TO THE NOTICE OF INTENT TO ADOPT A MITIGATED NEGATIVE DECLARA nON FOR TIIE SAN BERNARDINO Sl'ATE COLLEGE BUSINESS PARK-NORTH, CITY OF SANBERNARDlNO, SANBERNARDlNO COUNTY Dear Ms. Ross: Staff 01 lhe Regional Water Quality Control Board. Santa Ana RJ,g\on(RVlQCB). have reviewl:lllhe Nolke Q[ Intent lor the above relerenced project and have the following commeaL" 3-4 I. RWQCB personnel have determined that this project may require coverage uader the S~1te Water Resources Control Board's General Construction Activities National Pollutaat Discharge Elimination System (NPDEs) Storm Water Permit. PICll~"C contact Milasol Gaslon (909) 782-4419 with the Regional Board's Storm Water Section to funher discuss your project. Appropriate best management practices (BMPs) should be developed and implemented during construction to control the diSCharge of pollUla.nts, prevent sewage spills. and [() avoid Incking of sediments into the streets, storm water conveyance channels, or waterways. fi Nonpoinl source pollution fro~ continued urban development cculd negatively affect water quality. Post- L. construction impacts to water quality fr?m daily runuff and stonn water runoff from this site should be evalualed. [. This project will result in a large parcel 01 land being paved, which will alter the rates and volumes of groundwater rechaige and surface water ruaoff. The Negative Declaration states that groundwater recharge capability will not change. We encourage the use of pervious areas to relain absorption withi. the site. . . . f.l fmpacts:tnd control of toxic subst:mces ha~dling and/or dispoSe. i can affect surl'ace water and groundwater quality. L The appropriate best management pr.~oes (BMP"s) should be addressed in lIle negative declaration. . 3-1 o 3-2 3-'3 If you have any questions, please call me at (909) 782-4468 or you may contaCt Troy Johnston at (909) 782-7958. Sincerely, )j (h-,j~ L /' ~/\:r-- Wanda Smith. Chief Planning Section - Coastal Wate~ ce: Scan Morgan - Slate Cle:uinghouse o Califomw Environmentlll Protection Agency 6 R.<)~led Paper o o o 3-1 3-2 3-3 3-4 " RESPONSES TO COMMENTS LETTER #3 California Regional Wat~r Quality Control Board Santa Ana Region Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail I project to be developed. Specific mitigation is included in Section 4 of the Initial Study to ensure that appropriate best management practices are implemented under a NPDES Stonn Water Pennit for construction activities. The developer will be directed to contact the Board's point of contact. Aside from having to meet the City's general stonn water pollution penn it requirements, measures have been included in Section 4 of the Initial Study to reduce potential post- construction (operational) non-point source water pollution impacts. The project site is a graded and compacted pad and therefore, it does not provide any pervious areas for percolation or recharge at this time. With the required landscaping the proposed project will increase pervious surfaces and increase absorption within the site by a small amount. Best management practices for managing the handling of toxic substances are required by mitigation measures in Section 4 of the Initial Study, including a Spill Prevention Control and Countenneasures Plan and a Business plan to reduce minimize potential for releases of toxic substances from future operations. LETTER #4 ~OO@@rno~ent of Toxic Substan ~ APR 022001. Edwin F. Lowry, Di~e~0.9r. a C(iY OF S'.' ~~.. 5796 Corporate Avenue ~, ~""",.o.?OINO . .,. 'Vinston H Hick~~~FMOO SEllVIC~S Cypress, Call,cml2 90630 y . OE.OARiMeNi AgenC)' Secretai"'/ California Environmental Protection Agency I . o o s Control ~.~ , "--;" " ~-"'....' , . ....~ Gray Oa>,1s Governor Man::h 28, 2001 Ms. Valerie Ross .. Devel.opmeot..S.entices Department. City of San Bemardino 300 North D Street San Bernardino, Califomia 92418 NOTICE OF INTENT FOR A NEGATIVE DECLARATION OR A DRAFT ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT REPORT FOR THE SAN BERNARDINO RETAIL 1 - 2001031060 Dear Ms. Ross: The Department of Toxic Substances Control (DTSC) has received your Notice of Intent document to determine whether or not the proposal qualifies for a Negative Declaration. (NO) or a Draft Environmental Impact Report (Draft EIR) for the above-rroentioned \ Project. .Based on the review of the document, DTSC's comments are as follows: F 4-1 L 2) 4-2 4-3 L r 4-4 The NO or Draft EIR needs to identify and detennine whether current or historic uses at the Project site have resulted in any release of hazardous wasteS/substances at the piojaCt area. . The ND or Draft EIR needs to identify any known or potentially contaminated site located within the proposed Project area. For all identified sites, the EA needs to evaluate whether conditions at the site pose a threat to human health or the environment . The NO or Draft EIR should identify the mechanism to initiate any required. investigation and/or remediation for any site that may require remediation. and which government agency will provide appropriate regulatory ove~ight. The Notice of Intent failed to address the rest of the Hazards' section checklist, which includes the following: . . TJ)e M9-1VY c.~I&7;S ~'79 bfi'rfcmfa i$ ~1. Evet}' ~:foroien nHds ?o :2ke t~7.rle ecfur7 ~o .~t.'Cfa ef'!er-;"/ ~su~. I'cr . Os< "" siml* v...ys jW oon =e ccmand and cu: ~ enervl _!so see cur 11fl>I>.$il. ~ W'f\V,alsc.CIl,goV. @ Printed on Recycled Paper o 4-4a 4-4b 4-4c 4-4d o 4-4e o , Ms. Valerie Ross March 28,2001 Page 2 [:- [- Co 5) 4-5 . Would the project be located on a site which is included on a list of hazardous materials sites which complieQ pursuant to Government Code Section 65962.5 and, as a result, would it create a significant hazard to the public or the environment? For a project within an airport land use plan or. where such a plan has not been adopted, within two miles of a public airport or public use airport, . .WGYId.t'1:: pr-ojcct-result-in a safety hazard for people-r-esidfng-cr.working..- -- in the project area? For a project within the vicinity of a private airstrip, would the project result in a safety hazard for people residing or working in the project area? Would the project impair implementation of or physically interfere with an adopted emergency response plan or emergency evacuation plan? . Would the project expose people or structures to a significant risk of loss, injury or death involving wildland fires, .including where wildlands are adj~centto urbanized. areas or where residences are.intennixed with wildlands? If during construction of the project, soil contamination is suspected, construction in the area should stop and appropriate Health and Safety procedures should be implemented. If it is determined t~at contaminated soil eXi$, the ND or Draft EIR should identify how any required investigation and/or remediation will be conducted, and which government agency will provide appropriate regulatory oversight. . ....... . DISC provides guidance for the Preliminary Endangerment Asse'5sment (PEA) preparation and cleanup oversight through the VoluntalY Cleanup Program (VCP). For additional infolTI1ation on the VCP or to meet/discuss this matter further, please contact Ms_ Rania A. Zabaneh. Project Manager at (714) 484-5479. 4-6 Sincerely, ~ Halssam Y. Salloum, P.E. Unit Chief Southern California Cleanup Operations Branch Cypress Office o o o 4-1 4-2 4-3 4-4 i RESPONSES TO COMMENTS LETTER #4 Department of Toxic Substances Control As the site is unoccupied and undeveloped vacant land, it is unlikely that current or historic uses have caused any residual contamination at the site. The project site is a completely engineered development pad, and with the mitigation measures proposed in Section 4 of the Initial Study, there is no known potential for contamination from the onsite release of any hazardous wastes/substances. Although the groundwater in the vicinity of the project site is known to be contaminated with solvents from historic military operations in the area, no known or potentially contaminated sites occur within the project area that could pose a threat to human health or the environment. Several mitigation measures require best management practices to be implemented in controlling runoff or pollution from the project site. If any contaminants are introduced by the proposed development or found at the site, 1hen the standard point of contact is with the San Bernardino County Fire Department's Hazardous Materials Division, which maintains the records and oversees local remediation efforts. If the Division requires additional assistance, it is assumed that they will contact either the Regional Water Board or the Fire Department for additional follow-up as prescribed by State law. Each jurisdiction has its own Initial Study Environmental Checklist and the City's fonn does not contain the questions identified in this comment. Responses to these questions are as follows: a. The City's Preliminary Project Description Fonn requires an applicant to verify before submitting an application for Site Plan Review, that the site is not on the "identified Hazardous wastes sites" list from the State Office of Planning and Research pursuant to Government Code Section 65962.5. As the site was not included on that list, no significant hazard to the public or environment is forecast to occur if the project is developed as proposed. b. The nearest airport is more than five miles distant (San Bernardino International Airport) and no potential hazards are associated with the presence of this facility. c. The nearest airport, including private airstrip, is more than five miles distant (San Bernardino International Airport) and no potential hazards are associated with the presence of this facility. d. The proposed project does not involve any physical changes to roadways that could . interfere with emergency access or to access on adjacent properties. The traffic study verifies that adequate access can be maintained to the project site with mitigation. o o o 4-5 4-6 e. The surrounding property is either developed or graded and no wildland vegetation exists near the property that could expose the site to a wildland fire hazard. Your comment is noted and will be fOIwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail I project to be developed. The procedures for responding to any suspected soil contamination are required to be incorporated into the Storm Water Pollution Prevention Plan (SWPPP) that must be prepared as part of best management practices for the construction NPDES permit. Please refer to response to comments in the Regional Board's comment letter, comment letter #3, responses 3-2 and 3-4, which further address this issue. Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail I project to be developed. o I. o o I 5-1 5-2 5-3 LETTER 115 . 11 April 2001 ~)@@rnnw@l{)\ wU APR' 2 ZUni \!:0 CTTY 0;: S~N aE'lNAnOrnO OEVELO?M!N7 SERVICeS O;?ARTMENT Development Services City Of San Bernardino 300 North 'D' Street San Bernardino, c.t>... 92418 ----- ------- Posl-it" Fax Nole T. -,. 00,0<;>'. --IDm Phone # 7671 t F Re: DP II 01-05 Comments Relating to Initial Study. Fs.,C To whom it may concern: My name is Stewart D. Cumming. I am a resident of the city of San Bernardino residing at 4377 North Crist)' Avenue in the Cirnarron Ranch development. I have Lived in the . northwest end of the city for the last 10 years and have personal knowledge of the area being considered for this project. I have for the last 10 years \raveled through the proj~ area as it is one of OO\Y 2 main arterial$ from which access to business':;S in me city such. as grocery stores, banks, retail shopping etc. can be had. I am an elected member of the Northwest Redevelopment Project Area Committee. As a member oftbe aforementioned committee I chair the Planning and Development sulH:ommitt.ee and in the course of my duties I have thoroughly re"iewed the proposed Initial Study and the associated traffic study for this project In the course of conducting normal daily activities I travel on or tIuough most or all of the streets and intersections in the IS multiple times and have a personal knowledge of lhe conditions existing there. The IS i.s, as presen.tty -proposed, not in cotllp1.ilmJ:e with:CEQA requirements. Following is a list of the IS deficiencies. 5-4 1.) The IS does not incorporate 3 mitig:uion monitoring/reporting plan as required by Sec. 21081.6 CCR. 2:) 'The lS fails to acknow1edge or ad.dress that a main arterial affected by this project is currently being expanded or that it crosses a major rail artery that is within the Alameda Corridor East. 3.) CEQA requires that a lead agency consult Vvith transportation pl"nn;n~ agencies when a project of area "ide significance is being considered and that that consultation be the same as that would be required of a responsible agency. Nowhere does the initial study reflect any input from SANBAG (the regiooal tranSpOrtalion pJ.nni"g agency) or the Rail Transit Authority (BNSF). 4.) SA.NBAG stUdies reflect a possible grov,th in rail traffic over the nen 10 to 20 ye<m of U1> to '200%. in ~llver;ati.Oll. v;ith ootpOrate relations at BNSF I was 5-5 o o o 5-5 cant. 5-6 5-7 5-8 5-9 5-10 informed that their train traffic through the project area has increased from 50 to 75 trains per day over the last 5 years v.ith continued growth projected. 5.) The grade crossing at ~ion Blvd. And University Pkv..yJSt.ate St is not identified by SAi'1BAG as one of the priority crossings for improvement related to the AJameda Corridor East proJeCt yet the propos:d project will significantly impact this crossing. 6.) The City and the project proponent have failed. to address tile cumulative impact$ of the follo\ving projel:ts currently p1aDned and/or underway in the immediate project area; the installation of3 additional] mile plus long sidiD~ along the BNSF right ofvray just to the north and south of University Pkwy. @Cajon Blvd. currently under coostnIction, the current and future expansion planned at CaI State San lkmardino, the increased ttafflc from CUP 00-25 recently approved by the City. Sec. 21083 CCR of CEQA requires that these cumulative impacts be addressed as wel1 as the potential for impact from future projects in the area.. 7.) The draft dOCUInetlts circulated for this project fail to reflect the independent judgement of the City as lead agency and instead rely on proponents judgement. 8.) As to the related traffic study prepared by the project proponent for this project, r requested in writing from Mr. AnwerWagdy city traffic engineer copies of the most recent city counts for the 8 intersections addressed in the study. Mr. Wagdy was unable to provide any data for 5 of the 8 intersections or data that could be conelated tQ aw1y to these intersections. The i:atmections laclUng data included University Pkwy.@ 1215 NB tamps, 1215 SB ramps, and Hallmark Pkwy. all of . these intetSections are main routes into the project. Sec. 21082.1(c)(1) CCR requires that a lead agency independendy review projectTepOrts or declarations and in light of the met that there is no data for the previously mentioned intersections this could not have been done. Additionally, when the city counts from June 15 and 16 1999 at the intersections of Cajon Blvd. and Kendall Dr. with University Pkwy were compared with the stUdy's figures the city's] yr old figures are 15 to ZOOIo higher than the prop<>nents counts. This discrepancy is a significant tlaw in. the proponent's study and calls into questions all related conclusions based on their counts. Lastly the discrepancies in counts not being addressed in the project documents further supports the reasonable conclusion that the city has fulled to exercise independent review and judgement with regard to the project 9.) As a resident of the area I have personal knowledge of the. near impossible conditions that already exist at University Pkwy and Cajon Blvd that include the inability to make a left turn from SB Cajon onto EB University in a r=ooable 3Il1.ount of lime, delays at the same intersection resulting from train traffic ofup to IS min. or more and the resultant backup of traffic associated. with these delays. In light of the aforementioned facts and conclusions based on fact the IS is not adequate as prepared. 1bis leaves US with. only twO possible remedies move to an EIR or incorporate further mitigation to alleviate these problems. I would suggest that the latter ~y is the m~ appropriate aM that fue fcl\Q"i:ng be done. The e':tisting mitigation m= for th= project be advanced to .coincide v,ith project opening and that additionally the traffic signal at Cajon and University be modified to include left 5-11 o o o 5-11 cent. 5-12 = C"/des coIl1rOlled by arrow. That tile grade crossing at University and Cajon be made a priority project for improvement That a lv.lMR.P be incorporated into the proje...""t documents. That as a pm of the MlvlRP the city be required to maintain current data on affected intersections. These measures would seem to be the easiest and most effective w;r.y of mitigating significant impacts for the present time. In conclusion, I do not feel that the project pro~llent should be responsible fer me cost involved .,,,ith incorporating the mitigation measures other than tor the cost of the signal at Hallmarl: and ilimnett P1.-wys as all other improvements would be necessary as a result of the areas growth even without the project. Respectfully submitted, ~~. Stewart D. Cumrnin~ o o o RESPONSES TO COMMENTS LETTER #5 Stewart D. Cumming 5-1 Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail I project to be developed. 5-2 Section 21081.6 CCR does not require that an Initial Study contain a mitigation monitoring and reporting program (MMRP). This code section requires a MMRP to be adopted when the public agency makes its decision. A MMRP has been prepared and will is available for adoption by the City when it makes a decision on the proposed project. 5-3 Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail I project to be developed. On April 4, 2001, the San Bernardino Association of Governments (SANBAG) Board of Directors approved a grade separation at the intersection of Cajon Boulevard and University Parkway to be funded in part by Assembly Bill 2928. As the grade separation project was not approved until after the Initial Study was distributed, this information was not included in the Initial Study. If the road is being expanded, it should enhance traffic flow when it is completed. The point in referencing the Alameda Corridor East is not clear. 5-4 The proposed project is not a project of area wide significance as defined by CEQA. Section 15206 identifies project of areawide significance as being a proposed shopping center employing more than 1,000 persons or encompassing more than 500,000 square feet of floor space. The proposed project is about 30% of this threshold and therefore is not a project of areawide significance, which would require consultation with regional agencies, such as SANBAG. 5-5 Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail I project to be developed. 5-6 SANBAG has recently identified the intersection at CajonlUniversity Parkway as a priority location for the construction of a grade separation facility. The Traffic Study prepared for the project does not, however, identify that project will result in significant impacts at this intersection. Rail traffic has the right-of-way and will continue to operate without any impacts from traffic generated by this project. Project related traffic using University Parkway, State Street or Cajon Boulevard will either wait for trains to pass or will use alternative routes, including HallmarklIndustrial Parkway or the freeway to Highland Avenue, one mile south of the project site where a rail overpass exists. o o o 'I 5-7 There is no evidence that the proposed project will make a significant incremental contribution to traffic impacts at the Cajon Boulevard/University Parkway intersection. The Initial Study in Section 16 analyzes whether the project will have impacts that are individually limited, but cumulatively considerable. "Cumulatively considerable" means that the incremental effect of the project is considerable when viewed in connection with the effects of past projects, effects of other current projects, and the effects of probable future projects. According to a representative of The Burlington Northern and Santa Fe Railway Company (BNSF), the rail sidings under construction adjacent to University Parkway at Cajon Boulevard are intended to store railway cars. Traffic from the retail project is not forecast to have any significant effect on the intersection, so any additional train cars stored adjacent to the main railroad tracks would not change this conclusion. Therefore, BNSF sidings will not contribute to cumulative impacts of the proposed project. Furthennore, rail traffic has the right-of-way and will continue to operate within any impacts from traffic generated by this project.. Project-related traffic using University Parkway, State Street or Cajon Boulevard will either wait for trains to pass or will use alternative routes, including HallmarklIndustrial Parkway or the freeway to Highland Avenue, about one mile south of the project site where a rail overpass exists. Regarding the projected expansion of students planned at California State University San Bernardino, a public relations officer for the University estimates total enrollment by 20 I 0 will be 25,000 students, compared to slightly less than 15,000 at present. This growth was considered and included in the traffic study. To accommodate this increase, the City and California State University are proposing, for Caltrans consideration, a new entrance to the University between Palm Avenue and University Parkway, which is estimated for completion in 2007 to 2008. CUP 00-25 is a self-storage facility located on the south side of University Parkway south of Ostrem's Way. According to the traffic section of the Initial Study, the storage facility will contribute little or no demand for service or roadway capacity that would be subject to cumulative impact. 5-8 Although much of the documentation was prepared by the applicant's consultants, the City Staff has independently reviewed all of the infonnation and at the City Development Review CommittedlEnvironmental Review Committee authorized release of the Initial Study and proposed Negative Declaration based on an independent review and vote on this matter. 5-9 As indicated in response number 5-8, the City's traffic engineer directed the preparation of the Traffic Study. First, the City engineer identified the appropriate procedure and methodology for the preparation of the traffic study and was involved in its preparation from start to finish. The City traffic engineer indicated that the East Valley Traffic Model would detennine the future traffic volume; he specified the methodology to be used in the . analysis and that 201 0 serve as the target year for analysis of future traffic. The traffic engineer also reviewed the draft Traffic Study and made comments regarding the methodology which were incorporated into the final study. The Traffic Study data were o o o '1 based on actual traffic counts compiled by a professional consultant and intelpreted in accordance with the methodology prescribed by the City. The fact that the traffic counts at the Cajon/University Parkway intersection were 15% to 20% higher in 1999 than they are today does not reflect a significant flaw in the traffic counts. According to the City's traffic engineer, there are many reasons for increases and fluctuations in traffic, and the fact that the intersection contained 20% more traffic one day in 1999 than it did one day in 2001, does not mean that the 2001 traffic counts are inaccurate. The City traffic engineer accepts the current traffic counts, with its reduction in volume, without disputing the accuracy of the traffic counts compiled by the County in 1999. 5-10 As discussed above in response number 5-6, the Cajon/University Parkway intersection will be a tier-one priority grade separation project and the City traffic engineer has indicated that construction is estimated to begin in 2006. In the meantime, the occurrence of delays related to rail operations at the Cajon/University intersection are a result of rail operations that area drivers realize occur in the area. Several means of avoiding these delays are possible with only minor changes in route. For example, access to 1-215 can be assured by traveling one mile south to Highland A venue where over passes assure east-west access. Similarly, if one is traveling north, an undelpass exists beneath the railroad tracks to access 1-215 or other area roadways. There is no factual basis to indicate that the traffic attempting to access the proposed project will cause significant adverse impacts to existing traffic flow, which is already disrupted by train traffic. CEQA specifically requires the existing physical condition to be examined, and the existing condition is that traffic on University Parkway is already subject to delays due to trains. If train traffic increases before the grade separation has been completed, alternative routes will have to be used, the best of which is Highland Avenue and the crosstown freeway. 5-11 Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail 1 project to be developed. 5-12 Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail I project to be developed. o o o LETTER //6 i< I.=: ...::;.. '-'=!..: \:J i..5/ U i UU API;> 1 _:~l ~ GP.AY 0A't1S, GQo.-em:x' STATCcF<:.wPcR.'llA.-eusu<ESS, tlUN! rAnoN ~ l1OJS\NG "Ge\C'f DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPOR'iA nON DISTRICT a 46-1 W FoUllh Stree1, S" Floor MS 726 San Ileman:lino, CA 92401.1400 PHONE (90S) 3S3-6327 FAA (909) S83-889O . ClT"'( CF &AM ~=tt~ARC:l,O O!VElO'MENT SERVICES OEPAATMENT April 12, 2001 08.SBd-215-PM 11.857 +1- ._~ -- Ms. Valerie C. Ross 'Develoj)menfCervices Department City 01 San Bernardino 300 N. OD" Street San Bernardino, CA 92418 Post-it" F,ax Note..,...... 7lj71 1)0<. 1:01 .. page< TQ '-^ . co./c~t. , Co. phot\O& F'ftCflei F",,' F"" Dear Ms. Ross: Notice of Intent to adopt a Mitigated Negative Declaration for the proposed San Bernardino Retailt (City of San Bernardino Retail Shopping Complex); Development Permit II No.01-0S Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the Initial Study for the propasec' Mitigated Negative Declaration dated March 13, 2001. .,' The proposed pmjecl consis1s of the development ot approximately 155,917 square feet of commercial retail store with ancillary gasoline safes. The project's site is located northwest ot the University Parkway and Haflrnarl< Par1<way Intersection. The site abuts the. Interstate 215 Freeway t(J the northeast. . LAfter ~ re~e~ of the Initial Study, our off'~ has the follOV'ling comments; . Submit for our review copies of the latest proposed Site Plan and Street improvement plans, when avaUable. [. Submit copies of latest proposed Grading and Drainage improvement plans (including hydraulic calculations) for our review, when available. c. 6-1 6-2 6-3 Submit copies of the latest proposed Irrigation and landscape improvement plans. Specifically for areas that could have a significant effect on or near the Interstate 2'5 Freeway and its facilities, when available. ~.......-- -. -."-.. ....-.. ---, -. "!I o o o Ms. Valerie C. Ross Apn112,2001 Page 2 of 2 Any proposed improvements within the State's right-of-way shall be per Caltrans' Standards and Specifications and will require an Encroachment Pennil Our Encroachment Pennit office can be reached as follows: 6-4 Office of Permits Cardomia Department of Transportation 464 West Forth Street, 61h Roor, MS M San Bernardino, CA 92401 - 1400 Phone No. (909) 383-4526 Should you have any questions regarding the above comments, please contact Canos Dillon, Development Reviewer at (909) 383-4808. Sincerely, ~ LlNDA GRIMES, Chief Office of Forecasting! IGRlCEOA Review c: Frank Haider. Encroachment Permits, MS M Syed Raza: Freeway Operation, MS 714 Patty Romo: Hydraulics, MS 1161 o o o 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-4 RESPONSES TO COMMENTS LETTER #6 Department of Transportation Region 8 Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail 1 project to be developed. A copy of the Site Plan and street improvement plans will be provided to Caltrans when available. Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail 1 project to be developed. A copy of the grading and drainage improvement plans, including hydraulic calculations, will be provided to Caltrans when available. Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail 1 project to be developed. A copy of the irrigation and landscape plans, including the area near or adjacent to the Interstate 215 Freeway and its facilities, will be provided to Caltrans when available. If any of the proposed improvements within the State's right-of-way are proposed, the City will require them to meet Caltrans' Standards and Specifications. Ifrequired, an Encroachment Permit will be acquired by the applicant prior to encroaching within the State's right-of-way. o o o , LETTER 1/7 FmE DEP..urrME.'IT LAlUl:Y It. PI:rl::t:R. FlIZ CIIID' 200 East ThiId Street. San BeIlIaromo . CA 9241 Q.ol889 909.384.5286. Fax: 909.384.5281 www.ci.saD-bernrdino.ca.us ~ April 17 , 2001 To: Valerie Ross From: Geri Franske, Plans Checker RE: WalmartlDPIIOI-05 There were some concerns expressed in regard to Fire Department access to the proposed Walmart on Hallmark Parkway and University because of the railroad tracks running along Cajon. 7-1 The main fire station for this location is Station 225 located at 1640 Kendall Drive. The response time would be unimpeded by the r.Wroad tracks. The secondary dispatch would be from 282 W. 401b Street or 2121 N. Medical Center Drive. The stations and dispatch have a very good working relationsbip and are very aware of the railroad and freeway obstructions. . . In addition AMR generally stages in the proximity of University and 1-15.. It is possible that when this project is complete, it would add a Kstaging" location for AMR. Hopefully this will clarify any concerns about this issue. . EMERGE."!CY OnRmoss . Fms l'RIl....llZ't"IIDN . DISASlllR l'REPt.REDNEss . TlwNING o o o 7-1 RESPONSES TO COMMENTS LETTER #7 City of San Bernardino Fire Department Your comment is noted and will be forwarded to the City decision-makers for consideration before a commitment is made to allow the North San Bernardino Retail 1 project to be developed. o o o V J.- GRESHAM, SAVAGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP A REGISTERED LIMITED LIABILITY PARTNERSHIP LAWYERS. FOUNDED 1910 FOR THE FIRM: Alicen Clark Wong 600 NORTH ARROWHEAD A VENUE, SUITE 300 SAN BERNARDINO, CALIFORNIA 92401-1148 (909) B84-2171 . FACSIMILE (909) 888-2120 WILLIAM GUTHRIE (1886-}9-17) DoNALD w. JORDAN (1907-1989) JOHN B. loNEkGAN {RETIRED 1976) April 25, 200 I HAND DELIVERED Mr. Anwar Wagdy Traffic Engineer City of San Bernardino Development Services/Public Works 300 North "D" Street San Bernardino, CA 92418-000 I Re: North San Bernardino Retail Project Traffic Observations Due to Train Delay Cajon Blvd./University Parkway/State Street Dear Anwar: I am enclosing the above-referenced summary prepared by Kevin Fincher at LSA Associates, Inc. (LSA) interpreting traffic count data and train delays at the above-referenced intersection. During the P.M. peak period (between 4:00 p.m. and 6:00 p.m. on Friday, April 20, 200 I), eight trains crossed University Parkway. The average delay for a vehicle was two minutes thirty-six seconds per train. The P.M. peak period includes seventy-five traffic signal cycles, sixteen of which were effected by trains. When the average train delay was included in the LOS calculation, the intersection remained LOS B, becoming LOS C only at the westbound left and though movement from Cajon Boulevard to University Parkway/State Street. Based on this interpretation, even the worse case turning movement still permits traffic at the intersection to operate within County LOS standards. 1 apologize for the late submission of this information. Could we meet at 8:45 a.m. tomorrow (before the D/ERC at 9:00 a.m). to discuss this information? Please advise whether you will be available at that time. Very truly yours, AU-. ~ Alicen Wong Clark, of GRESHAM, SA V AGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP RIVERSIDE OfFICE. 3403 TENTH STREET, SUITE 518, RIVERSIDE, CA 92501 . (909) 684-2171 . FACSIMILE (909) 684.2150 VICTORVILLE OFFICE -14350 CIVIC DRIVE, SUITE 120, VICTORVILLE, CA 92392. (760) 243-2889. FACSIMILE (760) 243-0467 o o o GRES:IAM, SAVAGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP Mark A. Ostoich April 25, 2001 Page 2 ACW:cac Enclosure cc: Valerie Ross Y oun Kim N:\WS36-001\LtrsIWagdy,A-02 'It. v I (/V' , ATTACHMENT 5 City Of Sail Bemardillo (O\VelOYlIlellt services ~yartmCllt Application for Appeal ,~POI~()L- APPEAL FROM A DECISION OF THE (check one) o Development Services Director; till Development/Environmental Review Committee; or . o Planning Commission Case number(s): ~,<;IIE1..pP IfJE~T Ie. tt.1It,T 1/ Aio. 0/- 0') Project address: JJw C.D~AJt'!L ..r Iffe "'~TH"U.. Ot..Vb. t/.. 1114c..t..."u.~ It:w"'. F'teI4JJIt.S L. //0114>00/1.. j)tl. 111'5 A S"t4Al gt5t.Jl1IILlJAAlO ~ q q 2. "o~ Appellant's name: k A"f"H L~I":~J Appellant's address: IIf" -f Gr. Appellant's phone: ~7<:)- 5'&O'f Contact person's name: R (lVrtfDtJtl uJ. J OM,.) ~o,..) Cnact person's address: 1 U> 7({' c:; Co t4 lM,tV 0 sec..o ,- etlu:.c..WI.. 04 C.4 '1'2. 0:; "TO I . Contact person's phone: C:;Oc.- qq:z. c:;; Pursuant to Section 19.52.100 of the Development Code, an appeal must be filed on a City application form within 15 days following the final date of action, accompanied by the appropriate appeal filing fee. Appeals are normally scheduled for a determination by the Planning Commission or Mayor and Common Council within 30 days of the filing date of the appeal. You will be notified, in writing, of the specific date and time of the appeal hearing. OFFICE USE ONLY Date appeal file Received by: / o 5/1/01 , REQUIRED INFORJ'\1A TION FOR AN APPEAL Cecific action being appealed and the date of that action:-il P f /l(),)a~ of;: ~ Ii: IJI::"'OPIlf~ /J€t../IH ,r "'" APLII-;1.(. ~Oj)' (:.. , Specific grounds for the appeal: r it/lie. rc" -!5LIWI-fTIAJi(- IA>FL"'5".o':'~ T"p T~"U:;:, e. Allt ~ I{ Ac.. ,.rfJ JJOIt;,t:; I I . ) Action sought })c:-.vIAl.- DF- P/lD,)I!!:c..r API1UIlI4t... o Additional information: Signature of appellant: o . Date:..J!14r ~ olDj) I 2 5/1 ItJ I Ha~ 29 01 03:23p Poll~ Johnson 9095069725 p.l 'UI~~~~~~:l~t~~- ...I____~TT ~C~~ENT 6 "."It Ow",. w. .'oho~". "-"'1. A'CP ~...rIT.So,ac.tI",('li.~I. o o ~J7h6c.':EInll"u~' "T'em~....lo.C^U2uOO . H-,naU: EH<1",aC.t'Hnnt.cooln CT'Sed.lM<".k"''O''lpUYl''rv~.(.uln . "~lCPI1.J'JU&H: OOO.t)()U'9r~r;. .i;. . OJfIc.'U: oot)-GOO'fl9:t:i ;. May 29,2001 Ms. Valerie C. Ross, Principal Planner City of San Bernardinu Development Services Department 300 N. "0" St. San Bernardino, CA 9240 I , RE: Appeal of DPII No. 01-05 Upon review of the Initial Study and other documents for the above referenced project it appears that thc traffic mitigation is improperly being dcfcrred. While the project does result in individually significant traffic impacts, mitigation for these impacts merely consists of payment offces prior to occupancy. The mcre payment offces does not adequately mitigate traffic improvemcnts. It is thc construction of the physical improvcmcnts that provides the mitigation for traflic impacts. It would be appropriatc to change the timing ofthc mitigation and the Mitigation Monitoring and Compliance program to require that the physical improvements be completed prior to occupancy of the project. This would result in the complete mitigation of traffic impacts. It would appear that thc Northwest Redevelopment PAC in their review of the project also felt that the timing of the mitigation was inappropriate and physical improvements should be required prior to occupancy. Unless the physical improvements are made prior to the opening of the store there will be significant traffic impacts and the Ncgative Declaration would be inappropriate. My client requests that the City require that thcse improvemcnts be in place prior to thc impact occurring so that there is no inappropriatc deterral of mitigation. Sincerely, {!JII. JR. R'!Imond\W. Jphnson, Esq. AICP ( I BEST BEST & KRIEGER LLP A CAL.II'"ORNIA LIMITED LIABILITY PARTlolERSHIP INCLUDING PROI'"ESSIONAl,. CORPORATIONS O ARntUR L. L.1TT\..r.WOATIl" WILLIAM R. DlEwaLl't:" AICI-lA"D T. ANDERSON" ,JOHN D. WAHl,.IN" .JOHN E. BROWN MICHAEL T RIDDELL" ....'CH...EL GRANT" I'""ANeIS'" BAUM" GEORGE M _ REYES. WILLIA... W. "LOVD. ,JR. GREGORY L. 1'1...,,01([ KENO...LL H M..cV[y CLARK H, ALSOP OAVlo,J. ERWIN" MICHACl.. oJ. ANDEl-SON" DOUGLAS $. I"HILI..IPS' GRI!:GORY K. WILKINSON GENE TANAKA VICTOR L Wall'" DANIEL E. OUVI[l'~ HOWAAD 8 GOLDS S~"'Hf:N p _ OUTseN ,JOHN It ROTTSCHAI!:"[A """"TIN A. MVELL.ER .... MICHAEL SUMMEROUR SCOT'!' C. $MITl1 ......ct< 8. CLARKE,,J1Il I!AIAN M LEWIS' BRAOLEY [. NEU"U.O PETER M. BA"'......CK ..U:,.,.R[Y II. DUNN STEVEN C. DEBAUN' [AIC L. OAANEP' O[NNIS M COT... PH W,'_ PEARCE ROBERT W H"'RGAEAVES C. MICHAEL. COW["TT BRUCE W, BEACi'I ",RI,.ENE pAATER MARK A EASTER MICi'lEI,.I,.E OUEI,.I,.ETTE KEVIN K. R...NOOl,.pi'I CYNTHIA M. GERM"'NO MARGUERITE S STIl...NO KYI,.E...., SNOW ......MES B. GIU>IN KIM'" BYRENS OE"'N OERI,.ETH SONI... RUBIO C....RVAI,.i'lO "'Oi'lN O. PINKNEY plERO C. 0....1,.......1'10.... OWIGi'lT M. MONTOOMERY RICH....I'IO T, EOGER rR...NKLlN C. ...0...."'5 WI...LI....M WOOD MERAII,.I,. WI...LI....M 0 O"'HLlNO,"'A .... pI'lOF'ESSIONAL CORpORATION By HAND Hon. Planning Commissioners City of San Bernardino 300 N. "D" St. San Bernardino, CA 9240 I o LAWYERS BERNIE I.. WII,.I,.I...MSON G, HENAY WEI,.I,.ES 0....'0'10.... H....NCOCK H...y...EY E PETERSON ROGEI'I K, CR...wrOAO SH....WN 0 ......GERTY .......MES p. MORRIS KEVIN T COI,.I,.INS 0....'0'10 W, NEWM"'N ",[NNlr[R T. BUCKMAN 104....1'11... [. GI,.[SS GL[N W, pAIC[ MARYMICH"'[I,. MCI,.EOO ......MES R, TOUCHSTON[ STEVEN M. ....NO[RSON ROI!IERT I.. P"'TTERSON ......M.E 1,., R....YMONO p....UI,.... C P DC SOUS'" I,.YSA M. S.......TZ""...N MARCO.... M"'RTINEZ ...OHN r. W"'LSH ...u'rAY r, r[RRE OORIN[ ......WAENCE.HUGHES ....I,.ISON D. AI,.P[RT KAISH"'N S. CHOpR... ......""ES C. TURNEY "'ICH"'E... D. 001,.10.... K....REN "'. rREEM....N June 5, 200 I Re: Appeal ofDPII No. 01-05 Hon. Planning Commissioners: ...OHN 0 HIOGINBOTl'1"'''' "'..........Tl'1V SUBR..."'...NI....N USI "'ESHREKV CAAIG M "''''1'151'1'''1,.1,. ...ErrAEV S. e....I,.I,.INGER 104 TH[I'IES'" TO",[NnNO THERES'" E. ....NTONUCCI "'EI,.ISS.... w, WOO E. SEAN "'RTl'1ER TIlANG T TIlAN C....A"'EN "'...RnNEZ DC OS"'S'" TIl....CU: PH"'''' ......SON C. GI,.ESS WII,.I,......"'... PAlEST O...NIEl.. S. I'IOSER-r.o M"'RV BETH COI!IUAN LlNOS[V..... COTT...", O...NIE......E E, GERI!I[R CHR1SnN...... HENRV EI,.IS[.... CHENG KRlsnN C. V"'RNER T"'M B TIl",N OE...N....SII,.I,.I"'...N R"VMONO SEST (1111111 I Qi5?1 ......"'[S N. KRI[OEAIIQI3,IQ?!ll EUOENt B[ST II eQ3'1 Qll I I EXHIBIT 3 3?50 UNIVERSITY "'VENUE PO eox loze RIVERSIDE, C"'l,.lrOI'lNI... lilZ50Z'loze TEl..EPHONE IQOQl eee'l 450 TEI..[COpIEAS llilOQI eee-30e3 811Z.48' Z BBKL"'W COM or COUNSEL CHRISTOPHEA .... C,",RpENTER "'IC......EI.. 0, ",,,,RAIS' "'NNE T THO"'....S DON...I,.O r. ZI"'MER" CHRlsnNA I,. OVER 0, SRI.o,N REIDER KIAK W S""TH DIN'" O. H...ARIS W"'RREN S. DIVEN ROBERT'" H"'NN'" O....NI[I,. G, STEVENSON ornCES IN lNOI...N WEI,.I,.S 1?801 sell ze I I ONT....AIO IQOQI QllGleSe4 SAN OU:GO Ie I QI 5ZS' I 300 OA"'NGE I? I 41 Q3Q.SQ40 Best Best & Krieger LLP has been retained to assist Ms. Kathleen Franks with her appeal of the above-referenced development permit. This letter is intended to supplement the letter submitted on Ms. Frank's behalf on May 29,2001. We apologize for not getting this letter to you sooner, but we did not receive the agenda packet we had requested until this morning. We have had only a brief opportunity to review the Initial Study and Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program proposed for the project. However, our preliminary review has revealed the following defects:_ . . o The Initial Study makes no effort to analyze the project's impacts on agricultural resources, nor has the City explained why it is deviating from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines on this point. The Initial Study's Land Use and Planning Analysis does not analyze whether the project will physically divide an established community or conflict with an applicable habitat conservation plan or natural community conservation plan, nor has the City explained why it is deviating from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines on this point. o o o LAW OFFICES OF BEST BEST 1). KRIEGER LLP Hon. Planning Commissioners June 5, 2001 Page 2 . There is no evidence whatsoever to support the supposition in the Initial Study's Population and Housing analysis that the 241 jobs expected to be generated by the project will be filled by local residents as opposed to commuters. . The Initial Study concedes that the project will generate "small" additional demand for housing, parks, and related services, but inconsistently concludes that the project will not have significant growth-inducing impacts, despite its creation of241 new jobs in the area. This conclusion cannot be supported. . The Initial Study's Earth Resources analysis fails to analyze whether the project will expose people or structures to: potential substantial adverse effects, including risk of loss, injury or death resulting from rupture of a known fault; strong seismic ground- shaking; or seismic-related ground failure. Again, the City's deviation from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines is not explained, but risk of strong seismic activity in the project site area is great due to the project's location 1 mile southwest of the San Andreas fault's Alquist-Priolo zone and Yo mile northeast of the Glen HelenILoma Linda fault special study zone. . Although the project site is concededly composed of alluvial sediments and located within a groundwater basin, the Initial Study's Water analysis concludes that the construction of the project will not decrease groundwater recharge. There is no evidence to support this conclusion. Moreover, this conclusion directly contradict's the Initial Study's conclusion that the development of the project and construction of impervious structures on site will increase drainage water runoff. . The Initial Study's Water analysis fails to analyze whether the project will violate any water quality standards or waste discharge requirements. Again, the City does not explain its deviation from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines. . Mitigation Measure 4.c.4 does not state the performance standards which will be required, and, therefore, improperly defers mitigation of the potential contamination that could result from the project site's anticipated development of a gas station and automotive work bays. . The Initial Study's Water analysis fails to analyze the project's potential impacts to groundwater quality. . The Initial Study's Air Quality analysis fails to analyze: whether the project will conflict with or obstruct implementation of the applicable air quality plan; whether the project will violate any air quality standard or contribute substantially to an existing or projected air quality violation; and whether the project will result in a cumulatively considerable net increase of any criteria for which the project region is in non- attainment under an applicable federal or state ambient air quality standard (including o o o LAW OFFICES OF BEST BEST & KRIEGER LLP Hon. Planning Commissioners June 5, 2001 Page 3 releasing emissions which exceed quantitative thresholds for ozone precursors). Again, the City has failed to explain why it has deviated from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines. Furthermore, had these topics been analyzed, the City would have been forced to conclude that the project would have potentially significant air quality impacts because the project will violate SCAQMD's air quality standards, and the South Coast Basin is currently in non-attainment for carbon monoxide and particulate matter. . The Initial Study's Air Quality analysis improperly assumes that the vehicle trips generated to the project site will be two miles or less, despite evidence that the nearest comparable large-box retailers are located 6- 7 miles away from the project site. This improper baseline taints the City's Air Quality analysis and results in an incorrect determination that the project will not cause a local violation of the state or federal carbon dioxide standards. The analysis should be redone using a more realistic baseline, e.g., vehicle trips to the site will be 3-3 Y, miles. . The Initial Study's Air Quality analysis improperly defers analysis and mitigation of health risks from the project's proposed operation of a gas station: the project proponent is not required to analyze these risks until some time "prior to initiating operations. " . The Initial Study's Air Quality analysis improperly limits its analysis of odor- generation to potential sensitive receptors in the project area and therefore improperly concludes that the project will not have potentially significant odor impacts. In fact, the project includes restaurants, with resulting grease traps, and a large trash compactor, yet there is no mitigation provided for the potentially offensive odors created by these facilities. Again, the City fails to explain why it has deviated from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines. . The Initial Study's Transportation analysis fails to analyze whether the project will: cause an increase in traffic that is substantial in relation to the existing traffic load and capacity of the street system, substantially increase hazards due to a design feature or incompatible uses, or exceed, either individually or cumulatively, a level of service standard established by the County congestion management agency for the designated roads or highways. Again, the City fails to explain why it has deviated from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines. . The Initial Study's Biological Resources analysis fails to analyze whether the project will have potentially significant impacts on any candidate, sensitive, or special status species, on migratory fish or wildlife movement, on federally protected wetlands, or on a sensitive natural community. Again, the City fails to explain why it has deviated from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines. o o o LAW OFFICES OF BEST BEST & KRIEGER LLP Hon. Planning Commissioners June 5, 200 I Page 4 . The Initial Study's Hazards analysis fails to analyze whether the project will emit hazardous emissions or handle acutely hazardous materials, substances, or waste within 1/4 mile of an existing or proposed school. Again, the City fails to explain why it has deviated from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines. . The Initial Study's Noise analysis fails to analyze whether the project will result in: exposure of persons to or generation of noise levels in excess of standards established in the local General Plan or noise ordinance or other applicable standard, exposure of persons to or generation of excessive groundborne vibration or ground borne noise, or substantial permanent, temporary or periodic increase in ambient noise levels in the project vicinity above levels existing without the project. Again, the City fails to explain why it has deviated from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines. . The Initial Study's Public Services analysis improperly concludes that the project will have no impact on public facilities, even though the project will result in increased traffic upon, and increased wear of, local roads. The Initial Study's Utilities and Service Systems' analysis fails to analyze whether the project will: require or result in the construction of new storm water drainage facilities or the expansion of existing facilities, construction of which could cause significant environmental effects; be served by a landfill with sufficient permitted capacity to accommodate the project's solid waste disposal needs; or comply with federal, state, and local statutes and regulations related to solid waste. It is evident that the project will require construction of storm water runoff facilities, but the impacts of those facilities have not been analyzed. It is unclear what landfill will serve the project and how much capacity is available. Likewise, it is unclear whether the proposed retention of trash on site in a large compactor complies with all applicable solid waste regulations. Finally, the City has again failed to explain why it has deviated from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines in this section of its analysis. . The Initial Study's Aesthetics analysis fails to analyze whether the project will create a new source of substantial light or glare which would adversely affect day or nighttime views in the area. The project will require extensive lighting for its large (>700 spaces) parking lot, but the City has not analyzed the potential environmental impact of this light. Instead, the City improperly limited its analysis to determining whether the project would create" significant light or glare that could impact sensitive receptors." Once again, the City has failed to explain why it deviated from Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines on this issue. . The Initial Study's Mandatory Findings of Significance analysis is woefully inadequate. There is no evidence to explain or support the City's findings that: the project has the potential to achieve short-term, to the disadvantage oflong-term, environmental goals o o o LAW OFFICES OF BEST BEST & KRIEGER LLP Hon. Planning Commissioners June 5, 2001 Page 5 but can be mitigated to below a level of significance; the project's impacts are cumulatively considerable but can be mitigated to below a level of significance; and the project has environmental effects which will cause substantial adverse effects on human beings, either directly or indirectly, but can be mitigated to below a level of significance. Most notably,. none of the mitigation required to reduce these impacts to a level of insignificance is identified. Furthermore, the City has utterly failed to provide any list of the cumulatively considerable projects it took into consideration in reaching its conclusion. Unfortunately, time and space constraints preclude identification of additional defects in the Initial Study and Mitigation Monitoring and Reporting Program. However, given all the problems noted above, the appellant respectfully suggests that the Planning Commission should deny this project. We thank you for this opportunity to comment on the proposed development permit. If you have any questions about any of the issues raised in this letter, please feel free to contact me at (909) 826-8268. Sincerely, dn;:1;:~n ~ for BEST BEST & KRIEGER LLP o o o \ EXHIBIT 4 TOM DODSON & ASSOCIATES 2150 N. ARROWHEAD AVENUE SAN BERNARDINO, CA 92405 TEL (909) 882-3612 . FAX (909) 882-7015 E-MAIL tda@tstonramp.com ~ ~~}i ....-,. MEMORANDUM June 4, 2001 From: Tom Dodson To: City of San Bernardino Planning Commission Subj: Discussion of issues raised in the appeal of Development Permit II No. 01-05 The grounds for appeal of Development Permit II No. 01-05 were identified as follows: impacts, to traffic, air quality, noise, blighting influence. Let's examine the record for facts and findings for each of these issues: Noise: What are the facts according to the Initial Study and administrative record? I. The proposed project is a retail commercial store which is not a noise sensitive use. 2. The project site is located in a very high noise environment located on the southwest side of Interstate 2 I 5. According to the City Geneml Plan, Table 37, the Ld' noise contour at the property boundary (100 feet from the freeway) is estimated to be 80 dB (A). 3. The adjacent land uses are industrial and commercial uses with the freeway between the project site and the nearest residences, i.e., sensitive receptors. 4. No mitigation was required for construction and operations at this site because of the high noise background condition and the fact that the freeway would overwhelm any noise from the construction and operation of the proposed retail commercial store at the nearest residential areas. 5. No comments were received from any party during the public review period regarding a potential for significant noise impacts from constructing and operating the proposed commercial retail store. What was thc finding made through the DRCIERC review process? The Initial Study concluded that the proposed project would not significantly impact any sensitive noise uses, either by exposing new sensitive uses to significant noise levels, or by generating high noise levels that could significantly impact sensitive uses. o o o Have any facts or other information been submitted to contradict the facts summarized above or to substantiate a different finding? No. None of the facts provided or referenced in the City's review process for Development Permit II No. 01-05 have been shown to be incorrect and no substantiated data have been submitted that would contradict the finding regarding noise. Traffic: What are the facts according to the Initial Study and administrative record? 1. A traffic study was prepared by LSA Associates, Inc. for the proposed project that examined forecast conditions for the years 2003 and 20 I O. Specific assumptions included in the traffic study were approved by the City Traffic Engineer. Nine intersections were selected for analysis in the Traffic Study, see attached map. Trip generation by the project was forecast to be 11,123 trips; however, 2,744 trips were assumed to be pass-by trips; therefore, the study assigned 8,379 net new trips forecast to be generated by the proposed retail commercial center. The P.M. peak hour traffic volume was identified as 837 trips, with 629 trips being net trip generation. Based on these assumptions, it was determined that in 2003 with project traffic, all but two intersections would operate with acceptable (adequate) levels of service. Two mitigation measures were identified to improve 2003 project traffic impacts on the circulation system to acceptable levels of traffic flow during peak hour. These measures are: a) Hallmark Parkway/Gannett Parkway (Project Access), Signalization; b) Hallmark parkway/South Project Access, restrict access to right-inlright-out only. In addition, the Conditions of Approval for Development Permit II No. 01-05 require the following mitigation measure: 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. (b) Hallmark ParkwaylUniversity Parkway. Modify intersection to permit unrestricted westbound right turns on University Parkway at Hallmark Parkway. The design is subject to approval by the City traffic Engineer. 7. Based on the above assumptions, it was determined that in 2010 with project traffic, all but three intersections would operate within acceptable levels of service. One additional mitigation measure was identified to improve the 2010 project traffic impacts on the circulation system to acceptable levels oftraffic flow during peak hour. This measure reads: (c) 1-215 southbound rampslUniversity Parkway: Addition of a separate eastbound right turn lane on University Parkway at the 1-215 southbound on ramp as proposed on the Wal-Mart Store #3276 University Parkway Striping Plan. Again, the MMRP requires that prior to occupancy the developer shall provide funding to signalize Hallmark Parkway/Gannet Parkway and provide a bond or funding for the southbound on ramp at 1-21S/University Parkway. The Conditions of Approval reflect the 2 o o o ~ 8. developer's intent that all traffic mitigation measures (whether required in 2003 or 201 0) be completed prior to occupancy. With implementation of these measures, the City DRC/ERC concluded that the proposed retail project would not cause significant circulation system impacts. Extensive comments were received from a private citizen regarding concerns with traffic flow at the University Parkway/I-215 interchange; potentially significant delays for emergency vehicles accessing the project site; and concerns about greater delays at the University Parkway intersection with the railroad tracks that parallel Cajon Boulevard.. These issues were addressed in responses to comments and at the April 26, 200 I DRCIERC. Fundamentally, the City Traffic Engineer, City Fire Department and the applicant's traffic consultant concurred in concluding that the project's impacts would not be significant for any of these three issues. What was the finding made through the DRCIERC review process? After extensive discussion of the above issues, the City Public Works Department Engineers expressed full confidence in the factual content of the data before the City and voted to issue the project a Negative Declaration with mitigation measures. This finding was consistent with the recommendations in the Initial Study, which based on the data in the Traffic Study, concluded that the proposed project could be implemented without causing short-term or long-term project specific or cumulative impacts to the area circulation system. Have any facts or other information been submitted to contradict the facts summarized above or to substantiate a different finding? No. The appellant has submitted a letter (May 29,2001) indicating that the traffic mitigation is being deferred, but no data have been presented that any of the Traffic Study analysis, facts, or findings are incorrect. The letter's statement that traffic mitigation is being deferred is clearly incorrect for the following reason. The MMRP and conditions of approval require all circulation improvements for the 2003 date to be in place prior to issuance of occupancy permits. Further, the City condition (7c) goes further and requires the 1-215 and University Parkway improvement to be in place prior to occupancy and this was identified as a year 2010 mitigation measure. For the remaining 20 1 0 mitigation measure, the MMRP requires that the project's proportional or fair share funding be made available to the City prior to occupancy. Therefore, none of the traffic mitigation measures have been deferred, and, in fact, one measure has been brought forward and will be implemented before occupancy, instead of before the year 2010. Air Qualitv: What are the facts according to the Initial Study and administrative record? 1. An Air Quality Study was prepared by Parsons Engineering Science, Inc. that examined short-term construction and long-term operational emissions from the proposed retail 3 o o o 2. commercial center. The potential construction emission were quantified on Table 8 of the Air Quality Study. The construction emissions were determined fall below the SCAQMD significance thresholds. Regardless, mitigation measures were included in the Initial Study to ensure that no locally significant fugitive dust impacts would occur during construction During operations, ongoing emissions were determined to exceed the threshold of significance for carbon monoxide (CO) emissions. A CO hotspot evaluation was conducted to determine whether the project could cause or contribute to a violation of the CO ambient air quality standard. Under worst-case conditions, no hotspot violation of the CO standard would result from implementing the proposed project, including future cumulative traffic growth. . No comments were received from any party during the public review period regarding the air quality analysis in the Parson's study or regarding the potential for significant air quality impacts from constructing and operating the proposed commercial retail store. 3. 4. What was the finding made through the DRCIERC review process? The Initial Study concluded that the proposed project would not significantly impact air quality since it would not cause or contribute to any direct violation of any ambient air quality standard. However, a detailed discussion was presented in the Initial Study regarding a local jurisdiction's authority (in this case the City of San Bernardino) to make findings that emissions are not significant, even though one of the quantitative thresholds established by SCAQMD was exceeded. The SCAQMD CEQA Air Quality Handbook states: "the District recommends that these thresholds be used by lead agencies in making a determination of significance. However, the final determination of whether or not a project is significant is within the purview of the lead agency pursuant to Section 15064(b) ofthe CEQA Guidelines." Simple stated, the City had factual data which demonstrated that the CO emissions would not cause a violation of the CO ambient air quality standard and based on the type of job generating value and on vehicle miles traveled reductions that cold be produced by the proposed project, the DRCIERC concurred with the findings and rationale in the Initial Study that the proposed project would not cause or contribute to significant air quality impacts. Have any facts or other information been submitted to contradict the facts summarized above or to substantiate a different finding? No. None of the facts provided or referenced in the City's review process for Development Permit II No. 01-05 have been shown to be incorrect and no substantiated data have been submitted that would contradict the finding regarding air quality. BIi!!ht: What are the facts according to the Initial Study and administrative record? I. The potential for a blighting influence from the proposed project was not identified as a 4 o o o 2. potential impact of the proposed project because there are no major big box retail operations within about three to four miles of the project site. The proposed project will not complete directly with the anchor grocery store located about one mile from the project site on the east side oflnterstate 15. No factual basis for conflict with existing retail commercial operation was identified and no physical changes to the environment from blight, i.e., closure and deterioration of existing commercial facilities. The adjacent uses are industrial, other types of retail commercial and lodging operations. As the-vast majority of the operations that might compete with the retail commercial center are operated by existing national chains (Shell, Jack in the Box, M9bil, Texaco, Chevron, McDonald's, there was no major competitive advantage identified with approval and implementation of the proposed project. No comments were received from any party during the public review period regarding a potential for significant blighting impacts from constructing and operating the proposed commercial retail center. 3. What was the finding made through the DRCIERC review process? The Initial Study contained very little discussion of blighting except in the project description. The Initial Study concluded that the proposed project would not significantly impact any resources issue, excluding socioeconomic issues unless it can be shown that significant physical changes in the environment will result from implementing a proposed project. No factual basis was identified to substantiate a potential for significant blight that could significantly impact existing businesses. Have any facts or other information been submitted to contradict the facts summarized above or to substantiate a different finding? No. None of the findings or assumptions provided or referenced in the City's review process for Development Permit II No. 0 I-OS have been shown to be incorrect and no substantiated data have been submitted that would support a finding of significant blight being cause by approval and implementation of the proposed project. Based on the summary of facts and findings presented above, the issues raised in the appeal do not rise to a level that would justify overturning the approval of Development Permit II No. 01-05 by DRC/ERe 7h9h Tom Dodson Attachment 5 , ( Northpark Blvd. sa ~ en &: .'. LEGEND: ~~~~ Project Site o Inter.;ections 10 be analyzed PI} 2/00(1lLFOJOJ Figure 3 ~)s ^ I o~ 1,200' 2.400' N San Bernardino Wa/man Analysis Intersection Locations '0 ,0 \,0 (cIElR? 'IITDFIIIEIIJ) (C(Q) IFY EXHIBIT 6 PLANNING COMMISSION MEETING OF THE CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO TRANSCRIPT OF PROCEEDINGS APPEAL NO. 01-02 DATE AND TIME: LOCATION: JOB NO.: TUESDAY, JUNE 5, 2001 7:42 P.M. TO 9:10 P.M. CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNCIL CHAMBERS CITY HALL 300 NORTH "0" STREET SAN BERNARDINO, CA 92418 10908DO REPORTED BY: DAWN M. DAVILA, C.S.R., R.P.R. (C.S.R. NO. 8383) y ollfl8er Qepo~ &rvices 6m Mapolia Avenue Rivenide. CA 92S06 (909) 276-1333 Fax (909) 276-17Sg o c:> :3 9 10 ! ~ 12 1 ~ P D ~ ~ RAN C E S 2 3 SFF B~RNFRDINO P~FNING COMMISSiON: 4 C.~OL A. T~R~SE~R, C~~I~~~ ~ NE=~ JERRY, CO~~ISSIONER c .~rREDO P. ~NCISO, COMMISSIONER 7 K~NNETH DURR, COMMISSIONER ~ ~ JOE ~~IREZ, COMMISSIONER EVELYN J. LOCKETT, COMMISSIONER ERNEST F. GFRCIA, COMMISSIONER MIKE SAUER3RUN, CO~~ISSIONER LINDA DORTCH, SECRET.~Y 14 S~AFF MEMBERS: 24 () 25 15 16 17 : p 19 20 21 22 23 ~~ERIE ROSS, PRINCI?F~ PL~NER JOE BEL~~DI, SENIOR P~FNER RAYMOND CASEY, CITY ENGINEER JF~~S ?UNK, DIRECTOR - DEVELOP~~NT SERVICES DEPARTMENT HENRY EMPENO, JR., DEPUTY CITY ATTORNEY YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 2 o 10 , , 12 o 13 :'4 1; . -~ 16 17 18 19 . .:. REPRESENTATIVES FOR THE APP~IC.~~T WF~-M?RT: 2 G~ESHAM, SAVAGE, NO~~ & TI~DEN, LL2 3 BY: M?RK A. OSTOICH 500 NORTH ARROWHEAD AVENUE, SUITE 300 J S~~ 3ERN~3DINO, C.~::ORNIA 92401-1148 o (909) 884-2l71 7 8 9 TOM DODSON, DODSON & ASSOCIATES 2150 NORT~ ARROWH~~ AVENUE SAN BERN~RDINO, CALFORNIA 92405 (909) 882-3612 ~~?R~SENTA!IVES :OR T~E APP~LLfu~T K~~~L2EN F?ANKS: BEST, BEST & KRIEGER ~L? BY: JENNIFER T. BUCKMAN 3750 UNIVERSITY AVEW0E, SUITE 400 RIVERSIDE, CALIFORNIA 92502-1028 (909) 686-1450 20 MEMBERS OF T~E ?UBLIC: 21 SETTY .~DERSON, COUNCILWO~p~ OF THE SIXTH WARD 22 23 24 o 25 YOu~GER REPORTING SERVICES 3 o .0 10 1.1 i? 1 -:: -~ 2.4 . S;).:..:l.K~~S 2 ?1l...GE: NlI.ME 3 ~ CHA:~~~ ~HR;.SHER ~ ~ J MS. ~OSS -;), 65 6 9 MS. 3UC!<]JfJ.JJ MR. EMPSNO 10 8 9 ::'2, 38 CCMM. JURR COMM. SAUERBRUN 12, 68 MR. OSTOICH 27 MR. DODSON 29 MR. r-UNK 59 MS. .Zl.NDERSON 63 MR. CASEY 67 65, 69 69 15. COMM. DERRY 16 COMM. LOCKETT 17 18 :'9 20 21 22 23 24 o 25 YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 4 o o o 1 - ~;) 1 TU~SJAY, JUN~ 5, 2001 S~~ 3~~N;3~:NO, 0~ 2 .) 4 C~;:RM~~ T~RP.SE~R: i:2:n ..... ~.....,1""'.e;: 1 --~~' .....- Numbe :: Ne::: 01-02. o MS. ROSS: "PDe N"'moe- Ol-u~_? i.c; 2.'"" .'"'".. al :~,. _ _ ___. =.ccea~ ~ - v_ I ~je 0eve~opment and ~nvi~~nrnen~al Review Comm:::2e's 3 appr;)val cf Development ?er~it Type :I, Number 01-05. 9 This development permit was approved to establish a 10 155,917 square foot Wal-Mart retail store with ancillary 11 gasoline sales on 14.5 acres. The project site is 12 located on MacArthur Boulevard and Ha11~ark ?arkwav. ~ ":( ~~ ::'s in the UBP-2, University Business Park specific l~ plan land use district. A little bit of background on this: The 16 development permit application was submitted in early 17 February. With the application, we received a draft :3 initial study that was prepared by Tom Dodson & 19 Associates. And included with the initial study was the 20 traffic analysis that was prepared by LSA. 21 I reviewed the initial study for compliance of 22 the California Environmental Quality Act requirements. 23 Public Works Staff reviewed the traffic analysis to make 24 sure that it met -- it adequately addressed potential 25 impacts from this project. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 5 o o o l4 15 1 r _0 1 1 Mr. Dodson was asked to prepare rev:s::~s :0 ~ :je i~itial study, which he completed. At that pc:~: 3 the project was scheduled for review by the DE~C. We 4 reviewed it first on March 1st. !he committee ~embers ~ ~eques~ed some changes :0 ~~e :ni:ial s:udy :0 :eflec: 6 -~e' r ~oncar~~ =s ~ell -s concerns -~a- wera r-'--~ _.J. __ "- ___.1..1.___, __ "., _ =. ...... L.J.':' L _'- _~_;:,c::....... ~.. ~y ~ tJ members of the public who attended the mee::.ng. We went back to DERC on March 8th, 200l. In addition to reviewing the sit:e plans, we considered t:he 9 10 revised initial study, based on the Development and 11 Env:ronmental Review Committee's independent review and ,/ analysis of t:he initial study and the information 1.3 contained therein. It: was recommended that a mitigat:ed negative declaration be prepared and circulated for public review. We continued the project to allow for the 17 required 20-day review period. After the meeting, 18 Planning Staff and the Applicant determined that since 19 CaItrans would be a responsible agency because of 20 proposed improvements at the intersection there, that a 21 30-day public review period was required, as per CEQA 22 requirements. The initial study was sent to the state 23 clearing house for distribution to potentially affected 24 25 agencies. It was also advertised in the paper -- in the Sun Newspaper on March 13th, that the City proposed to YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 6 o o o 10 , 1 12 13 1 ~dopt ~he mitigated negative decla=ation, ana iden:::iei 2 ~~a~ the public ~2view period would be held f~8m Mc=:~ 3 14th th=ough Ap=il 12th. 4 At the conclusion 0: the oublic ......0........ .....c. ~'-'--,""" , .=eview ~ ~ cc~ents ~ere ~2ceived ==om one me~be= of :he ~~C~:: -..........; '::'..1..... 6 some responsible agencies. We orepared ~espcnses :0 :je C8mmen~s, dis~=:buted ~hose to the DE~C. And on 3 ....DY'~ 1 ?6-~ af+-eY' Y'~vi,=.wi~g .-.. _..:..._ _ \...., i-............. __ J.. the =esponses to comments 9 and the mitiga~ion monito=ing and =epor~ing prog=am, the Development and Environmental Review Committee adopted -",.., ;~~ -.....::lod n ....i~o. , r.....;...~on ~ne, i-igation ~_,e m_~-,-ga~_ ..ega~_v_ aec-,-a_",~~ , ~.1 m_L_ _. monitoring and =epo=ting program, and approved Development Pe=mit TVDe II, Numbe= 01-05, based on the 14 findings of fact in the Development Code subject to 15 conditions of app=oval and standard requirements. P~d ~c the conditions included some design revisions to ~he 17 plan's si~e planning elevations and landscape plan. 18 After that, an appeal was filed by 19 Miss Franks. That appeal identified perceived irnpac~s, 20 but there was no disc~ssion of what the potential 21 imDacts to ~raffic, air quality, noise, or blighting 22 influence would be. 23 We received a letter from Raymond Johnson, an 24 attorney representing Miss Franks. P~d he questioned 25 the traffic mitigation measures. He believed that it YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 7 o o o l was irnD~coer :0= us, :~e Ci~y, :0 defer the t~af::c 2 mi~iga(ion ~mDravemen~s. ~oweve=, the tr~ffic-rela:2d 1 ~~ -0 De ~~molo~~d cr~n~ ..,J mi-;:igat.:.on measures a::-e requi.r-........:. L ' I....,\.) _ --I....... ~ __v_ 4 ~o issuance of a ce=:i:~ca~e or occupa~cy :0= :~e ~ . .", DL.:l...:..-::.::;.g. tJ Now, -::~e one a~-ODrion ~_o -n-- .....8\.1..........1..._.. ....: QL =:-eewav was :::-J.e I J::-~amp i~p~ov~men1:s 1:hat wer~ n01: identified or .3 =~-'('iD--a,..; -0 "0 ~e--ss-r'l u,.,r' , ?010 -s ~er -;..,e _,,~____ c__.... _ ~_"....-' c~_ ..L.__ _ _ a "., _ L... 9 Eowever, even though the numbers -Y'-.::..... ......... d 1._:::1_.l...lL. =>....U y. 10 supported probably not needing these improvements until , - . , 2010, ?~blic Works believed that they should be done 12 ~rior to thac. So in meeting with the Applicant, the 13 Applicant agre~d, when ?ublic Works required the project 14 proponent or the Applicant 1:0 comple1:e this improvement 15 also concurrent with c:he other t~affic-related 16 improvements, all of them prior to issuance of a 17 certi:icate of occupancy. 13 A le1:ter was receiv~d 1:onighc: from the law firm 19 20 of 3est, Best & Krieger. I have partially gone through __ and haven't completed reading , ~ ~L . i3ased on what I 21 have read and [he previous aC1:ions of City Staff, the 22 Development and ~nvironmen[al Review Committee, I 23 believe that the adoption of the mitigated nega1:ive 24 declarac:ion and mitigation monitoring and reporting ?- _0 program, . and approval of Development Permit Type II, YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES a 0 , , 2 3 4 5 0 10 . , o 1 "1 ~~ ~4 -, Numbe~ 01-05, we~e consisten: with Califo~nia ~nvi~onmental Quality ACt itself, and in addition, ......~Q 1....__ requiremen(s of t~e City's General Plan and development code. ~~d Sta=='s recommendation is t~a: the ?lan~~~g Commiss:~~ uphold Lhe ~evelopme~[ and ~~vi~onrnen:a: ~evi2w Commit:ee's approval ,...,: .....'.,,.... v_ L...C pr8]ec\:. 3 Tha: conc~~des my oresen:a:ion. 9 C~~I~~~ TH~~SH~R; .~lY questions of Staff at , . ~? :nis pOlnL. (No audijle response.) CHF.=~p~ ~SR~SHER: ~s the appeal applicant here? Give us vour name and add~ess :or the record, 15 please. .:.0 -..., -' MS. BUCKMF~; Good evenlng, your Honors. My name 1S Jenni=er 3ucY~an. I'm with the law firm of 18 Best, Best & ~rieger, 3750 University Avenue, Suite 400, 19 ~iverside, Cal~fo~nia. 20 I'm here tonight on behalf of the Appellant in 21 this matter, Kathleen rranks. .~d as Staff has already 22 indicated, we did submit a five-page letter (0 the ?- -j Council this afternoon. I apologize for not getting 24 that (0 you earlier. The agenda packet was mailed to I o 25 on May 31s: and received on Monday, yesterday. And v YOu~GER REPORTING SERVICES o o o 1 we=e just =2tained on the case, actually~ yeste=day and received the packet then from the previous co~nsel. 2 3 I would just point out that based on all the 4 issues =aised in t~e letter, I bel:2ve a fair argument 5 can be made that ther2 a=e potentially significant 6 2nvironmental impacts relating to this project 7 necessitating the preparation of an environmental impact 8 =eport as opposed to the mitigated negative declaration 9 that has been presented. 10 .And I'm available to answer any questions you 11 may have regarding the issues raised in the letter or 12 the issues =aised by prior counsel. 13 CHAIRMAN THRASHER: Does anyone have any 14 questions at this time? 1 " -~. , r ~D Mr. Empeno. MR. EMPENO: Madam Chai=man, if I may, I would 17 like to ask Ms. Buckman a couple of questions. 18 The first question I would lik2 to ask is who 19 do you represent? Are you representing the Appellant 20 Kathleen F=anks? 21 MS. BUCKMAN: The Appellant Kathleen Franks. I 22 unde=stood the Chai= to request the Appellant to come 23 fo=ward. 24 25 CHAIRMAN THRASHER: Yes. MR. EMPSNO: Your letter says you're assisting, YCUNGER RE?ORTING SERVICES 10 o o o 10 . 1 :2 J.3 1 1 :sn'[ clea~ whether vou'~e ac:ually ~ep=esen::~g ,md 2 he~ or re?=2se~ting a third party :~ this ~aL~e=. , . ~-....":C 3 [hat's why I asked the quest:on. ~ MS. 3UC!0t.AN: ~e ~r~ ~~or~sen~i~c ~. ----- -......- .... .~--_.... J Kat~leen F~anks, to the ex[en[ I ca~ a~swer ~h~~ o ques[:::m. of course, -no _1....... it delves ::::0 3ecause, ---~~"'ev-cl;~n- or;'J;'cr>c wh;.-h <'m SP~~ I,'CU :::"-'-"-'-~.... _..:..-... l,.. .. -- ---'-':J......, .....-. - --'- _ :3 understand. 9 MR. SMPENO: Well, I think this bcdy has a right to find out who the Appellant is and if there is any other parties that are expressing an i~[eres: in this appeal. I think [hose parties should be :dentified, and this Commission has a right to find the 14 identity of [hose other parties. : ::. .v MS. BUCKMAN: The Appellant has been 16 identified. '''' .:., ~~. EMPENO: chere aren't any ot~er Appellants, 18 then? 19 20 ? _1 22 MS. BUCKMAN: Not that I'm aware of. MR. EMPENO: If I can ask Miss 3uckman, lS Miss Franks here? MS. BUCKMP~: I don't believe she is. 23 Although, frankly, I haven't met her. As I say, we were 24 25 retained yesterday. MR. EMPENO: I don't have any o[her questions YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 11 o o o righL now. Thank you. ? C~~IRM~~ TBRP.SP.S~: All r:gnL. Thank yc~. j Commissioner Durr, did you have _ quesL:on? ~ COMM. DURR: Yes. = Jen~:fe~1 when you say you believe -'.;;:- -;......... ,-.._ _ '-.;.~c c L~aL you disagree w::h :he env:ronmen:al :mpac:, - ""...- L....c,- 7 is a a'~o-~~r ~mo-c- ~.~a-.~ wha-~ is -:- ..._,-aL~_~. _ a L _~. _ V~" .....e1; ~':'TO .....1.-,-..... -no cr~ _.......... U ___II..... l....c.~ L. .............. 3 i~ :je ~epo~~, what do you base tha~ on? 9 MS. 3UC~~F: Basically, all the issues :hat 10 are identified in the letter. There are a number of l1 areas that have nOL been analyzed Lhat are covered in 12 Appendix G of the State CEQA Guidelines. The :nitial l3 studv form that Lhe City is using apparently devla:es 14 from Append:x G in significant respects, and the bases 15 for those deviations are nOL explained, as set forth in :"6 my letter. 17 !.8 COMM. DURR: Thank you. CHJI.IRMAN THRP.SHE?: Does anyone else have any 19 questions? 20 Commissioner Sauerbrun. 21 COMM. Sll.UER3RUN: I guess this should be to 22 Staff. Aren't we allowed some latitude for Appendix G, 23 to make decisions on that? I mean, it's not cut and 24 dry? 25 MR. EMPENO: Can we do this: I would like to YOu~GER REPORTING SERVICES 12 o o o 10 11 1 ask ;:1 j CI t~e test:mcp.y can be provided to ':'""~o ':".l... 2 Cc~mission from both sides, and then Staff can ar:s ~..Je.: ~. ~ h - one- ml~n- h C1-ve 2bo~-_ an'.1 ~ tDe ques<.-iop.s t~at t. e commis::>i . _ . . ~:.L . -- ~ of these issues. J COMM. SAUE;BRUN: That's fine. , c I think -- wny can'~ y:~ C~_I~~~ !~~~SHSR: "7 that auestion now? _ ~ean, why shou:c we ~c7e ~~ ~V ans~,,,,;e.: Q wait for an answer? ~: a commiss:oner comes up w::~ a 9 question, I don't think we should have because. .~ "Co Wall.., we can ask questions +- +-. a<.- any <.-lme. ~R. SMPSNO: Well, first of all, I wonderec :: 12 t~ere is any other speakers here on behalf of the 1 - -j !\DDe'1-n~ ~...~_ ....._0. L. ~,d then, secondly, I think that the 14 ~esDondent should be allowed an opportunity to respond. 15 C~~I~~ THRASHER: .~,d they will. But I feel 16 if any commissioner has any question at any time, they 17 have a right to ask a question and not wait until 18 everything has been presented. 19 20 MS. BUCKMAN: I would like to -- I'm sorry. CnAI~~~ THRF.SHER: So I'm going to -- cap. 21 Co~~issioner Sauerbrun's question please be answered. 22 MR. EMPENO: Well, I don't know about Ms. Ross, 23 but frankly, I don't have an answer to Mr. Sauerbrun's 24 question right now. And that's why I would like to ask 25 the ResDondent if they have any information. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 13 o o o 10 11 12 13 1 CHAI~~~ ~~RASHER: If that was you~ ~~ascn ? MR. S~PSNC: We juSt got th~s doc~me~t jus: a 3 few minutes ago. 4 C~~:~~ ~~~~3ESR: -- that's a good reason. ~ gut to ~ell us the: we can': ask ques~:ons u~t~~ ~~e 6 ene, ~hat's nc: a gaoe 7 MR. ~~?SNC: 'or.:y asked, Madam Chairman. 8 'Thank vou. 9 C~.I~Ju~ 'I'~RASEER: All right. MS. BUC~_~: May I address Commission S;:lne~D. r;'n I ~ .......l'cS~i ,...,.,...? __ _ _~ ~ ~~_ ~_vl~. . C~_:?~~~ ~ERF.SE~R: Go ahead, Ms. Buckman. MS. 3UC~~~: Public agencies are allowed 14 latitude i~ de:er~~~i~g what thresholds of significance 15 they can use for a~y particular project; that's true. 16 :1owever, to the e~::ent tha.t public agencies deviate from 17 the criteria set forth in Appendix G, typically they are 18 required -- not "required,n but typically they explain 19 20 the :0:: .' ,-ne deviations; why those topics that reasons - ~Q ::1__ recomme~ded for coverage in ll.ppendi:: G are not being 21 covered in your i~itial study. That hasn't been done 22 here for a variety of topics. 23 So while it is discretionary with the public 24 agency to set its own thresholds of significance, you r _0 can look to Appendix G for some guidance on the topics YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 14 o o I '0 I :~a: should be covered. 2 caMM. SAUERBRUN: So there is nothing soesifi: 3 ~h ~ could ~u~ 'lour Fi~ger ^n -h-~ ~,a~'you ,,~_ ___" ~..J.~"c~ t~eylve devia:ed 4 from that you have questions about? 'mean, ycu refer 5 - 'l "'Appe~Q' i.~ r Lv.... _ .J. _..... \,,; _~'om ~he C-QA ^U'~A"~O~ _ ~.i.J. .:.... I..: .;.......____.~..........., t"at :he~e :!..S a ciev:at:ion - ~, from -- but -her~ ~s ~o-~~~a l.~L .. '- _ .L l......____ -pe-' =, - -:.,-- ~. c___\... .....::::..... -, , you could tel~ this 3cdy what i: is that you'=e conf~sed .3 9 "0" oU7 r.;"_p~. r,or o""pi.=':n':ng -nc.i,... Q"ov';~";,,,';'on .:............m? _ .... _ _..H.. .... .......\... _....._....:.... '-.1..........._ ..... _.....'-"_ .. __v.. i:l-~U-11V .....l.. L c:..l....... _ I MS. BUCKMAl\l: h . -. . . . : e SpeCl!lC aev:atlOns 10 from Appendix G are set forth in my letter practically 12. - ~ .lL 13 14 verbatim. First and foremost, as vou can see in my ='r-- ~o'nr -n.oro is no e==or-s r~ an-'v-o -";".;..;:'1... t..J ..l.... '-I L __......... .... ..:....1.. L ,-u l. a__~..... '[he prsjec~'s impacts on ag~icul:ur31 =esources wha:soeve~. caMM. SAUER5RUN: T'm s",rrv .... l. v___, I was looking at 15. the traffic study mainly. That was my main concern. 16 3u: that's fine. I can -~ like I said, we jus: received 17 this ourselves, so I haven't had a chance -- I was 1.3 lOOking at the traffic study_ 19 20 ?" _1 MS. BUCKMAN: .~d I apologize for that. I den't know i: this is -nO 0 ki nc o~ noti co '"0''' -"meT'~ L.__ .._L _J. -....-_............__L...L that is subject to Government Code Section 65090 or 22 65091. But the notice that -- the packet that was 23 24 25 mailed to the Appellant was not mailed to her until May 31st. caMM. SAUERBRUN: Very good. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 15 o o o 1 M. Ch. LaCam ~a.:.:-man, 2..: ~ may make a sugges::o~. 2 CH.Zl..IRJv1JlB T::PJI.S.HE:R: Yes. 3 COMM. SAUERBRUN: It seems to me that like -- J. h- all ~~.~ -nc i~'s ~USt been crouGh: :orth si~ce we ,eve __~; ~_ = . _ _ . ~ ton~g~~, t~at maybe we should move ~h~s to the ~ex~ o meeting and have Sta:: nave a chance to review i: and - , :he City A::or~ey have a chance :0 =eview it. H ~ C~.IRMAN THPJI.SHER: Well, Miss 3uckman, why 9 con't vou take the time, since we just gOt the letter, 10 and you go down each point. And tell us what your , . objections are or what you're trying to put across, your ~? =2asons for this appeal. 13 :'4 15. 1 ~ .0 17 ;'8 MS. BUC~Jl~: Certainly. :lrSt, as I me~tioned, the initial study does not analyze the project's impacts on agricultural resources, which is one of the topics that is covered by Zl. d. G . .ppen lX . Second, the land use and planning analysis that 19 is contained in the initial study does not analyze 20 specifically whether the project will physically divide 21 an established community or conflict with an applicable 22 habitat conservation plan or natural community 23 conservation plan. ~~d those are both topics that are 24 recommended for consideration under Appendix G of the 25 State CEQA Guidelines. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 16 o o o 1 Th~=d, Lhe :nitial -- and I'm en page 2 c: ~y ? le-:::e= :lOW. 3 Third, the initial study noes DOt contain any 4 ev:dence ~o suppor~ :ts suppos:::on ~~a~ ~he 241 jobs e::oec~ec :c be c=ea~ed as a =esul: of :his prcjec~ wili 6 be f:~~ed by local =esidents as opposed to cc~~ute=s. , ."-..'1d obviotlsly, whe::e these pec~.:.e a::e coming f::om to 3 ,'cv-1.. ...~ ....h..: S net.T .....V"......~ec~ ,/IJ _.'\. d.... 1-.1.':'_ ....,.. ::-'_"';~ I.. is gc:~g [0 have an impacL on 9 the t::affic analysis and othe:: aspects of the initial lO study. 11 Third, the initial study indicates that the :2 project will generate additional demand for housing, - ~ ~.) ~-r'K- --d rcl--cd servi~cs ~a_.:;" ::::'.:..1. ___C\",,- _\.......... . In othe:: words, it 14 indicates that these new jobs that are going to be 1 " _::J created as a result of the project will, in fact, cause 16 people to move here. However, the initial study 17 indicates that the project will not have significant :8 growth inducing impacts. That's inconsistent, and it 19 can't be supported by the conclusions that are reached 20 in other portions 0: the initial study. 21 Okay. ~ifth, some of the topics that are 22 covered in lI.ppendi:{ G of the State C=:QA Guidelines are 23 whether the project will expose people or structures to 24 ?" _::J potential substantial adverse effeCtS, including risk of loss, injury or death resulting from rupture of a known YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 17 o o o 1 :oul[; s:~ong seismi~ ground-shaKlng or seismic-~e~o:e~ 2 g~ound :oi1ure. 3 The ini:ia1 study has not analy:ed those ~:sks 4 ."i -n >/'J_ ....... to :his project. .:\~"1d agair., l:.::3.-:'s :-espec:. - ~ i:lco~s:s:e!1t. with P-.ppendix G 0: the St.ate ("";"Qi: ......- -- c Gui::ieli:les. .:i:lT".C. _~t's ..........Y"-ic.,l-r'y 'mpoV"-~nt"" .:~ ~.;'.e _ _ t--a_l...- ...._c. - ~.. _ ____..... _.. ..... case c: t~~S o=oject. whe=e the i~itial sLudy 3emi:s ~hat :::e S p~ojec: is loca~ed one mile southwest 0: the San .~dreas 9 faul: and one half mile northeast of the Glen Helen/Lorna 10 Linda fault special study zone. :1 So the~e is probably a subs:antial -- at least 12 t.here lS enough evidence in the reco=d to support a !alr 1 - .j 2.4 15 - r ',", .v argument that there is a substantial ~isk of strong seismic ground shaking at the project site. Sixth, the project site is concededly composed o~ alluvial sediments, and the project site is located 17 wi~hin a groundwate~ basin. The initial study concedes 18 these points. However, th~ water analysis concludes :9 that the construction of the project will not decrease 20 groundwater recharge, despite the construction of 21 impervious surfaces on the site. 22 This conclusion runs directly contrary to the 23 initial study's conclusion that the de7elopment of the 24 project and construction of impervious structures on the 25 site will increase d~ainage water runoff. And the YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 18 o o o "'I 1 i~i~ial s~udv concludes that ~he si:e, as 1: c~==e~:_v 2 e::ists, is i:npe!"-Jious to groundwater oe.::colation. ':'::e!"e ~ is no evidence Nhatsoeve.:: to support that: conclusio~. <1 Ne,""', -~e '~'-',,1 s-"o'v"s w--=>~ ---1..,,'5 ~="" ~_ 1.-:1 _.........L...l......._ 1.-.... _ C1"..,-_ Ol..&.c. y...._ _.....__... ~ to analv:e whethe.:: the p!"oject will violate any wate.:: o ~ua~::v s:andards O~ was~e d:scha=ae recui~emenLs. - - .... . ~ . _--.J.'1C again, ~ha~ type 0: ~nalysis is called for in :3 ~ d. ~ - . S~. rmQ~ r. . '01; ~ppen lX u o~ tne ~ate ~~ ~ ~Ulc~~_nes. 9 1 think !':n up to number 8, and that is the 10 Mitigation Measu!"e 4.c.4 does not state the perfo!"mance 1: standa.::ds which would oe .::equired. ~~d 1n that sense, ~2 i: imorooerly de:ers mitigation or potential 13 conLamination that CQuld =esult from the site's 14 anticipated development of a gas station and automotive 15 work bays. 16 Those uses of the projects that are anticipated - - i: - . carry with them potential risks to groundwater and soil 18 l~ there is any kind of leak or spill of the chemicals 19 that a!"e used on site, o!" the oil. A~d the mitigation 20 measu.::e does not state what -- exactly what the property 21 owner will be requi.::ed to do in the event of a spill; it 22 just says that a plan shall be developed to deal with 23 the spill. 24 Nine, the initial study's water analysis fails ?:; -~ to analyze the project's potential impacts to YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 19 o o o '<::i , ~ groundwa~er qual~~y, even though the in~tial s:ucv ? a~~i:s that this is -- th~s projec~ is be~ng develcDed 3 In a groundwater basin area. ~ Ten ~ne ;n;~l.-l s-udv"s -'r ~u~lit\/ -n- vs's ul L.~.I...... _B_I."..::1_ '-... c__ ~ .....__ _ C.I. ol .;. - ~o a--"/-e .ne-her -he ~r"~ec~ will .-on:c,,--- ..i~;., _3.:":"5 _ ~.c.~:..:....... W _ L 1....._ L.. ~_vJ ~ L. .....__ '... _....____'- IV_ L..~ Q O~ obS:::'JCI ;~Dl-~en--~'on 0: ~ne -P01';'---D. Ie -ir _"'1. _:=...l___..L::::l.L.":" l.. \-".1. 0... _.....:::. _'- c:.~_ ~u, - 1 ~ ':"'" ~ . ~ c......:...__! 7 plan. Tha: will be the air quality plan adop~ed by the 3 South Coast Air Quali:y Management District. Whether 9 the project will violate any air quality s~andard or 10 contribute substantially to an existing or projected alr 1 ' ~l -U-1'r\/ v'r1--ion -nd whe-her -c.he I..i 0.__...._ .........J..aL......, a '-_ project wi II resul t 12 ~n a cumulatively considerable ne~ increase of any 13 c=iteria for which the projec~ ~egion is in 14 non-attair~en: under an applicable federal or state 15 a~ient air quality standard. 16 In this area, we are subject to the South Coast 17 Alr Quality Management District and its plans. The 18 Scu~h Coast Air Quali~y Management District is in 19 non-attainmen~ for both carbon dioxide and particulate 2~ :nat:er. 30th of ~hose are a direct result of vehicular 21 traffic. They're both related to the amount of traffic 22 that is generated and the way that the air circulates in 23 t:his area. 24 So the analysis that has been neglected here 25 and which is called for in Appendi:{ G of the State CEQA YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 20 o o o 1 Guidelines would reveal some real au-1i-.V .....V"--~iClrT'lS _ 0.__1.._ :7-'-'''-'-~''1.. ai.r 2 =esul~i~g ==8ffi tn:s projec~ and :rom t~e - _. . :.ra:::: ~na: 2..: 3 is projected 'co ge!1er:;.te. .Zl.nd,in fac;:, tl"1.e i:-,: :i:;.2. ~ study i:self :~dicates that the ~rOJ. "'c- ~- '-... no: be w::l.2. ~ ~eeting :~e South C~as;:'s air emissions tl"1.reshclds. 3U1: o :he ini::'=.2- goes on to say that ;:he C:.ty ....I""\~ r"1Q -~ "::V_~.J t:::'!""11Q.'. .....1..- :! ~ ~c adopI a d~:fe=e~~ ~hr2shold. 8 Next, regarding the air quality analYs:s, is 9 the fact enat the air quality analysis assumes that 10 vehicle trips generated to the project site wi" be two 11 miles or less. F~d tha;: assumption is used as a 12 predicaIe:.o :ind ~hat the emissions lirn:~a~ions wi.ll - ~ , . -~ no:. be e:{ceeded. 1 4 ~ - However, the evidence also shows tha'c the 15. nearest comparable large box retailers are going 1:0 be 16 loca;:ed six to seven miles away from the project site. 17 So the use of this baseline of two miles or less 1S 13 1mproper. The baseline should be three or 19 three-and-a-hal: miles, which would be 1:he point at 20 which people would star'c to go to this projec'c instead 21 of one of 1:he other compe'cing large bo:{ re'cailers. 22 Next, the ini'cial study's air quality analysis 23 defers analysis of mitiga1:ion of health risks from the 24 project's proposed operation of a gas station in that 25 the project proponent is not required to analyze these YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 21 o o o 1 ~isks ~hrough a health s~udy un~il some time Gown the 2 road. 3 ~he ;",',"ial S'-UO.'1'S _.....1......_ '- _. air ~~ali~y analysis Next, 4 limi~s '-s ~-a;vsis of odo~ ceno~--'~r. ~'... .....!l. _... _ _ -..i ....._~L_'-"'. -~ ...,o-=-n-~;::. _"-' ~ L__._....___ :; se~s:::ve ~eceptars in t~e ?rcjec: a~e~. ~:: 8t:,e:- 6 - . . -. . 0: S:g~l:lcance :nan words, you set . .' . ., . a ~lgne~ tnresnc~c I what is called for under ll.ooendi:;; G of ::"'.e State CSQP. " v 3uidelines. is going to include ;.:o.o.e..... .....',.,i S ""~o":'o,-.t- u W,-v _, L....I._ ::-'_ ;...........1.. 9 res~aurants which will have grease traps. And it's 10 going to .include a large trash compactor in lieu of 11 dc.mosters. 12 There is no mitigation provided for ~he ::'3 potentially offensive odors that could be released from 14 any of these facilities, and the City has no~ explained 15. why it's not going with the lower threshold that has 16 been established and suggested by Appendix G of the 17 Sta~e CEQA Guidelines. 18 Nex~, we come to transpor~ation. In 19 transportation, the initial study's analysis fails to 20 analyze whether the project will cause an increase in 21 traffic that is substantial in relation to the existing 22 traffic load and capacity of the street system, 23 substantially increase hazards due to a design feature 24 or incompatible uses, or exceed, either individually or 25 cumulatively, a level of service standard established by YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 22 o o o , , the County's congestive management agency fo::: Co...::: 2 designaLed ~oads 0= highways. 1 ~ ~hese, agai~, are ~he :j=esholcs tha: a=e 4 suggested by }l.ppendi:: G of the State C:::QP. Guidelines; :J and it:'s ::.c-;: e:{plained why ~he :::ghe:r r~ -., .......-...." is adopti::g c :hresholds that ~ould be easier :c= :~e Droiec: :Q s_:p -; ;~nde.!:'. 8 Rega:::ding the biological :::esou:::ces, the 9 analysis fails to analyze whethe::: the project will have 10 potentially significant impacts on any candidate, 11 sensitive, 0::: specia~ status species. ~he initial study 12 is limited to endangered or threatened soecies where the , . -~ guidelines call for a broade::: net than that to be looked 14 at. 15 The initial study also fails to analyze whether 16 the project will have impacts on migrato:::y fish or 17 wildlife movement, on federally protected wetlands, or 18 on any sensitive natural community. .~~d again, those 19 are all called for by .ll.ppendix G of the guidelines. 20 '1'h t ; 4 .,e op o~ page', we come to the haza1:'cis 21 analysis. The hazards analysis fails to analyze whether 22 the project will emit hazardous emissions or handle 23 acutely hazardous materials,. substances, or waste within 24 one-quarter mile of an existing or proposed school. 25 I don't know the area around the site well YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 23 o o o - ,,>noucn i:) t. ~11 ~d -", ~_ ___ you whethe= or no: :he=e :s a schoo: L :::at area, but the City has set a different th=esho:d 3 ~gain f~om what would be required -- O~ suggestec, _ oJ shou:d sav, under Appendix G 0: the State CSQP.. :J Guidel::.r,es. 6 N ,~ ~ne no -e an-1'1-'S ~_.he _i-.,_it_;~_l ~~"'QY. l e.{~, ,; .1 i" .c_.,,':'.. _ ,,_~ 7 does not analyze whethe= the project will result in 8 exposu=e of persons :0 generation of noise levels in 9 excess of standards established, exposure of persons to 10 or generation of excessive groundborne vibration or 11 ;rJundborne noise, or substantial permanent, temporary, 12 or periodic inc=ease in ambient noise levels in the 1 1 ~~ project vicinity above levels existing without the 10J project. 15 Again, In this area, the City has set a 16 diffe=ent threshold of significance. It's not explained 17 why they are adopting a higher threshold than what is 18 called for or suggested by Appendix G in the ::'9 guidelines. 20 -1 L_ Next, the public se=vices analysis concludes that the project will have no impact on public 22 facilities. Yet the initial study identifies roads as a 23 public facility, and also indicates that there will be 24 an inc=ease in traffic as a result of the project. So 25 even though the project will result in increased tra YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES o o o 2 upon, and necessarily increased wear 0: local raaes, :~e initial s~udy reaches ~he erroneous conclusion that the 3 project would have no impact on these public facilities. ~ Ne"~ tn~ 1.ni-:-i....1 c:......'dv's 1.,....~ '1 ~-~.=.c: .... ..,.'-, .... .. ___0._ .....\,..1..4 _ ..J.,-___l._""... and se:--,l:.,:e ;) systems analysis f",ils 'Grcject ~o -n-'v~o ~n. -~hep p.no '- Co c._ _ ... '-" .-~ 1::.... _ '-.__ O ..~11 roa'~~rc ~r res"l~ ~n the cons~=uc:icn 0: ~ew s~o=~ w___ _... .u._...._ v_ _ U. I... 7 wa~er dra:.nage facil~ties or the e}:pansicn of e:{isting 8 facilities, construction of which could cause 9 significant environment",l effects; be served by a 10 landfill with sufficient permitted capacity to ~1 accommodate the project's solid waste disposal needs; or 12 compiy with federal, state, and local s~atutes and .L.5 regulations related to solid waste. 14 ~otably, there is no analysis whatsoever of 15 where the trash from this project is going to go in 16 terms of a landfill. And although the initial study 17 does indicate that storm water drainage facilities will 18 be required as a part of the project, there is no 19 indication of what environmental impacts construction of 20 p~ose reaul.red :-C;l;-;oS may h-vo ,-.:..1. _ _ _ a __ _ __ L _ __ ~ ! a ,-. So again, the 21 deviation is from Appendix G in the suggested topics for 22 consideration in the initial study. F~d as a result, 23 there are holes in the City's analysis. 24 Next, the initial study's aesthetics analysis 25 fails to analyze whether the project will create a new YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 25 o o o 1 source of substantial light or glare which woule 2 nighttime views in the area. adversely af:ec: day ~~ ~- 3 The project is going to require extensive '; . ; -,-~gnt_ng, 4 because it's gOt a very large parking lot :: more t~an 700 spaces. I bel~eve :he :otal ~s 703. But the ~~:v o has not analyzed the potential environmental impact of this light:. 3 ~nstead, you've adopted a threshold which 9 limits the analysis to whether the project would create 10 significant light or glare that could impact sensitive " 1 .1._ :-ecep'Cors. So again, you're deviating from Appendix G 12 by establishing a higher threshold, limiting the 13 analysis as to the effects of the proJect on sensitive 14 receptors rather than the effects on the public as 1 - _J indicated in Appendix G. &~d there is no explanation 16 :or this deviation. 17 Finally, we come to the initial study's 13 ~andatory :indings of significance analysis. .~d ~n 19 that section, there is no evidence to explain or support 20 ?1 -~ 22 23 24 25 the City's findings regarding the potentially significant but limited to below a level of significant impact, those three impacts that are identified with that category. None of the mitigation required to reduce those impacts to a level of insignificance is identified. .lIJ1d YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 26 o o o 1 regarding especially the cumulative impac~s, ~nere :s DC 2 effor~ made ~o iden~ify wha~ cumulatively considerab:e 3 being considered wiLh -,-.., -.,..,.... l.v 1-...._.::1 ;:;rej ec~s respec'C - VA c.__ -1 Ovo"er- ~ - j '- '-.. '" ~ 3c tiat's basically a sammary or mv ~e::e=. ~ o CE;.:~~ T~~~SEER: All v1. Nn. - _ ~..L. Thank yo!.:, I Miss nuckma~. S 9 just in~errupt a memen:. Can - , . ~ m gOlng to ; .= _.L ~he air conditioner is on. It 1S Staff check to see 10 really getting warm. 11 Does anyone have any ques~ions of Miss 3uckman l~ ~t :iis time? ::"3 14 1 - _J 16 (No audible response.) -"...12. vi gn' ~ _.... l.. Thank you, Miss Buckman. MS. BUCKMAN: Thank you, your Honors. C~~I~_~ TH~~SH~R: Now, Mr. Mark Ostoich. 17 Give us yeur name and address for the record, please. 18 MR. OSTOICE: Thank vou. Mark Ostoich, 19 O-s-t-o-i-c-h, fer the benefit of the court reporter. 20 Gresham, Savage, Nolan & Tilden, 600 Nor~h Arrowhead 21 Avenue, San Bernardino, California. 22 Thank you very much for giving us the 23 epportunity to respond to Miss Buckman's allegations 24 here this evening. Mos~ of her comments, as you can ?- _J see, are addressed to technical aspects of the initial YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 27 o o o S~UGY, wh~c~ was prepared bv Dodson & Associa~es a~G 2 independently reviewed by :he City of San 3ernardino. 3 WOe --me -h'S eveninC -- ~om Dodson is here wi:~ 1_0. '_.._ ......~_.:. .. ~ ~e, and ~'m go:ng ~o br:ng him down here in J~St a ~c~ent to address seme of :hose :~ems. 3u~ we came t~:s ~ even:~g pre~ared to give you a ~resen~a~:on :~ =2spo~se t8 the ~a~erial that was :iled by Ms. ?ranks' or:g:na~ Q u .~d Tom will do :ha: " . - h a:: ~orney, "aymonc vO..nson. 9 brieflv. 10 Bu~ while Miss Buckman was making her 11 presen:a~ion, ~om and : also reviewed her let~er and 12 be~ieve t:hat: we can respond in plain language for you 13 chis evening ~o each and everv one of her allegations. 14 _~d: think we can do it in a way WhlCh will dispose of 15 1 ~ _0 17 them. I'd like to have the opportunity to do that, and I would also like you to please bear with us. I know i~'s a long evening, and it is hot. i wasn't sure 13 whether it was the air-conditioning army blood pressure 1 Cl ~~ 20 ~ , L~ 22 ,,- Lj 24 25 chat was making me hot back t:here. But please bear with us. We'll try -:0 be brief, but we do want to respond to her allegations in a clear, concise manner. ,'I.nd I would like 1:0 ask Tom 1:0 come down now to do that. And then, of course, both Tom and I will be available to answer any questions that you do have. CHAIRMAN THRASHER: Thank you. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 28 0 1 ? 3 4 5 0 M=. Tom Jodsor.. Give us you= name and add=ess for the record. MR. DODSON: Yes, ma'am. I: I may, jus~ give ~e ~ ~cme~L :0 ge( myse~: se~ up ~e~=. C~~~?~1L~ T~PASn~R: 3u~e. Take vou= ~irne. M~. JODSON: I can stand. I gOt an :n"urv here =l~S:- ......::::.....Qr.-i.v ~ \,..0. ... _ __ '-'-....1.,..__ . 8 9 Good evening to you a~l. My name is Tom Dodson. I'm at 2150 North Arrowhead Avenue in the 10 City of San Be=nardino. I have the dubious task of I1 trying:o unravel all the things you just heard in a 12 -Cl - ~ ~j mar.ne= that will hopefully make some sense. I have two parts of the p=esen:ation that I would like to make to 14 you tonight. The fi=st part add=esses the issues that 15 were raised on appeal, and I would like to take those 16 lssues and address them very quickly. 17 ~cpefully, you have a letter f=om me or a 18 memorandum from me to the ?lanning Commission, which 19 goes over the appeal issues and discusses some of them. 20 Some of these issues also, by the way, will address or 21 focus on the same topics that were just raised in the 22 letter before you. My goal is to show you where -- by 23 asking a few questions and by presenting you some 24 o r _J information, where the data is that was used. Joe, that's delightful. Thank vou, sir. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 29 o o o 1 Can you hear me okay? 2 CP~.~~~~~ ~~~.SHER: ~es. 3 ~R. DODSON: Let's beg~n wl~h talk~ng about the 4 appeal :ssues. We have four appeal issues ~ha~ were . ..........----,-. .::Ii,.... cu:::.~ ": ;~! a.nd :-a.lsec, 3.:10 -;:~ey rrJe:-e :1oise, '-_:=':::"'-f __.... _ ....__'-~ - o :"',1; ......n. t ~ -....'ues ......._-~ - -,;:,,::, . ~e~ me just do a Gu:ck sumrna=y 0: :he 7 ~a:erials ~~at ~Ive crenared for you. ~ ." ~he ~ay I approach this lS trying to sit in 9 your shoes. Wha~ would I actually want to know? F~d 10 that is: What was the information that was available to. ~1 :~e decis:on makers, in this case the 2RC/DRC ,? members? Did anybody raise any ~ssues that conflicted ~3 w:-;:j the :onc~usions t~at were reached? F~d to give you 14 a final conclusion that was reached by the ERC/DRC staff _1') 1 _ peop e. ::'6 Let's talk, just for a moment, about the noise :7 s:~uation. One of ~he comments that was made in the 18 le~ter from 3es:, 3est & Krieger and their attorney 19 related to noise. Well, in fact, there is a very good 20 21 ~? L_ 23 reason wny there wasn't a detailed discussion of the noise issue, and that's presented to you in the memorandum that I've provided. ~irst off, this project is located directly 24 adjacent to the I-215 Freeway. The noise levels on this 25 property range between about 75 and 80 decibels, YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 30 o o o i accordi~g ~o the City's general plan, which is 2 referenced in the material that we have -- that :'ve 3 submitted i~ to the City Staff. The adjacent uses are 4 :.ndus'[:::-:.a.].. or corrnnercial uses that: are e~~pcsed :c: the ~ same leve: of noise; and as a result, the whole area has o ::c ser:.Sl::'7e ~oise r"''"cotr-''''s ... -- '-'-''-. ~- . :1cise -- The nea.reS"L pardon me sensitive noise receptors are l~ca:ed about 8 a half m:le awav but - , ~"'ev' .,..'" L..1 _ _..... on the other a :;uarter to 9 side of the freeway. 10 Therefore, there is a freeway between this , - , ; ......-......-i-.~-..... ...........Qi ='j d ~c___~u~~_ ?c_c~_ 0_ _an that is generati~g 75 to 80 12 dec:bels, which is much higher than this project will 1 - _.5 ever generate, even during construction. When you have 1~ something that's i~tervening that creates a noise level 15 so loud, then it can't be the source of a conflict with 16 any sensitive noise land uses. That's the conclusion 17 tha~ was reached by the Staff; that's the information 1 :) _u that's presented to you as. the facts that were contained 19 ~n the initial study. 20 What was the finding that the DRC made? The 21 initial study concluded the proposed project would not 22 significantly impact any sensitive noise uses, either by 23 exposing new sensitive uses or by generating high noise 24 levels that would affect existing sensitive noise uses. 25 ~~d the point here is, is that we have a large YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 31 o o o 1:3 .!. bcx commercial retail opera:icn that is suitable for 2 this noise level, and it is an acceptable noise level 3 for i~ to be installed in. Therefore, you have no 4 conflict between the proposed use and the existing higr. ~ ~o~se envi=onment. Q Were any fac~s p~esen(ed anywhe=e, -no ,-....... even. ::1 ~r~~~n~~~ion -hiS .t-' ~.....'=_l'-_...._ ,-..1,..- evening by the young lady from Sese, 3 Sest & Krieger, that contradict that? No, those are the 9 basic facts. They're the facts that we relied upon in 10 making the judgment and that the ERC/DRC relied upon in making their judgement about the noise issue. 12 . ~e:'s go :0 the next issue, . . n . wn!.c4.0 1.S traffic. Again, what are the facts and what's in the :4 administrative ~ecord? There was a detailed traffic 15 study that was prepared. It did specifically consider 16 cumulative impacts in two characteristics. 17 i C ~" 19 One, it identified projects that were being develcped in the area right now. I believe there is two of those, and I don't remember their names. It also put 20 a cumulative background road factor into the traffic 21 analysis to look at the traffic that was forecast out 22 through the year 2010. 23 There were nine intersections that were 24 evaluated in the traffic study. The trip generation for 25 this project was identified to be 11,123 trips. But of YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 32 o o o 24 25 ~~ose, a cer~ain proportion are considered :0 be ~ass-~y ? trips; trips that would already be on the roads go:~g :~ 3 the adjacent uses. Keep in mind, for those of you who 4 ~now ~his site, and remember ~hat ~he project J description i~ the i~itia: s~~dy ve~y c~9arlv :e~ls vou 6 what the adjacent uses are. -; The adjacent uses consist of :ndus:rial uses, 3 and to the ncr~h and :0 ~he West, commercial uses, 9 including a variety of gasoline stations, fast food 10 marke~s, motels and so on, that are adjacent to ': university Parkway which is on the south, and of course 12 the freeway forms the eastern boundary for ~he . , -~ par~icular project site. :'4 We've talked abou~ in here I talk about the L~ P.M. peak traffic issues. And ~hen one of the issues 1 ' _0 raised in the letter by Mr. Johnson was his concern that ~~Q ~ir;r~a~ion measu~~s ~..J...... ..u_ __-:! L_ .I. ......... were not going ~o be implemented , P -~ in a timely manner. ~~d his comment was that ~hey 19 appeared to be being deferred. 20 What you've heard ~his evening from Valerie's ? 1 -~ presentation is tha~, in fac~, not only is the 22 mitigation no~ being deferred, it's ac~ually been 23 brought forward and is being implemented now, because the mitigation for the year 2010 is going to be implemented by the Applicant. And the mi~iga~ion YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 33 0 1 ") .. ~ ~ ~ - ~ 0 moni~o~ing plan specifically ~e~~i~es these ~easu~es :0 be :~plemen~ed prior to. occupancy, whic~ means :0 ~he ~ime tha~ the projec~ can gene~ate any t~aII:C a~ all. So the measures that have been identified to ~~duce t~e lmpac~s -0" non-,,'~~''=i-an- .... ...... .... _'::.~~.:..._L.: ........ a:1a these lev'elf ~re ~~e cumula~:ve impac~s, a=e goi~g t8 be :~ place ~e:ore ~he p=:Jec~ begi~s. o o ~he bottom line, we had a lot of discussion 9 about traffic issues at the ERC/DRC. This was both on 10 the pa~t of ce~~ain parties that were interested in the 11 proj ect, and also on the pa~t or the Starr, in I . 10 , - .:..L partic~la~, the ~ublic Works Staff. The conclusion Nas is that ~he study was acc~ra:e; it could be :4 relied upon in that the conclusion tha~ there we~e no ~~. significant impacts was accurate and defensible. :6 , , ..:.. I F~r quality. What are the facts regarding air /"'T -.,;.... ~uc:...:.......,-y in ~nis ~a~-icular Sl.~u--ion? ...... '-~..- t" - '-..... ......... I- a l-..... . Well, we did an :9 analysis, and we found tha: when you looked at the data, :9 that, in fact, we had one single pollutant that exceeded 20 the South Coast's threshold. That's the ca~bon 21 ~onoxide. All the o~hers ~hat were related to 22 r -j construction o~ operation we~e below the th~eshold. Now we had a carbon mono:dde that was slightly 24 above the threshold. And one or the issues that was o ?- _:J discussed earlier in the presentation by Best, Best & YOUNG2R REPORTING S2RVIC2S 34 o C'. ,. o 20 1 Yr1.0ger's -~~or~ev ;s ~ha~ ~_ _ ..... :::. l. \.,.. ..... ~_ _ ~ 1..... L., wel]", we're ~;.,anci,..,'" '-.... ... "'" ......_~ :~e 2 ~hresholds ~hat are used by Sou[h Coast. 1::'5 not tie 3 fact. 4 South Coast specifically says, "Look, we've d S l~S 3u- 'n r~ali~.v -~~ '0C~1 5 def:ne ~hese 'Lhre ho~"':. L,.:...... _'C _..... L , '......1.C ....'-' .::.- 6 Jurisdiction, the local -- the entity tha~'s making decisions C~ s pne c~-r~r~ ~n-~r'l PO ~a~e on the orole '-I i~: ......__.........'-.... .'__1.....: \.,.. w...... . " 8 the final judgment about what is and isn't a significan[ 9 impact." 10 There was also a misstatement by the young lady 11 regarding the fact [hat there are CO violations, carbon 12 monoxide violations, in the South Coast air basin. 13 She's correct. 3ut our area 1S a subarea tha[ is not in 14 violation and is in attainment for carbon monoxide. .~d 15 that is specifically noted in the reports that we've 16 presented to you. 1 .., -' What we did then was to say, Okay, since carbon 18 monoxide is a very localized pollutant .situation, it's 19 not a situation where you're adding to ozone, or not a situation where you're adding to particulates. It is a 21 gas that is highly localized. We did a detailed model 22 that came up and said, we're not going [0 exceed the 23 threshold of this particular locale now or in the 24 25 future. Based upon that information, a decision was made that this isn't going to cause a significant YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 35 o o o acverse impac~ 8n a'~ quali~y. 2 Th2.t information is all i:l eit:J.er t:J.e te:c OI ~ j ~nll'~~~' ~~Lua.v. or '!l ~~e t ev~ _.. '-_............. _ _....... ,-.l... .... '- OI the air pollution the ~ ~he deLailed :echnical air pc~lution s:udy tha~ was ~ ~. rov-l.c.pd. ~he~c;:o~c -g-i.., ~.ne c~nc1""ion was :h2.t ~ ~ _ _' ___ ~_, '" ",_,., L. ~ ____. c oy tje JRC/~~C, tjat this project would not h2.ve -':t:n':=':c"n.l... ,::l":V' :::'-:1 ....:.._- .......Ll.. --- quality impacts. ~~c the cata that I've 8 presented to you, ~ think, verifies t:J.at. 9 The last issue is the blighting issue. And 10 fundamentally, this issue wasn't raised at all during : "1 I mean, there was not a single :je review process. 12 comment that carne in that talked about blight. We 13 discussed that a little bit in the project description, 14 talking about other project locations. ~~d one of the 15 key concerns that was raised was, Well, what are the 16 nearby stores? Are they going to be directly affected? 17 Well, if you look at the !learby.stores, there 18 is _ grocery store, and then there is a series of 19 national chains. Now, these national chains are already 20 competing all the time with the large box retailers, and 21 they do just fine. They're large companies; these are 22 not small, local companies that are going to be 23 impacted. 24 25 Based upon this information and what I've presented to you here, we don't believe that there is YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 36 0 1 ~. .<: 3 4 ::J 6 10 ~ rhe_ra wi_l_l be a o'nvsi--" h~' ~h- any subs~an:i.::.:ion ~ha"C __ _ _ ~ .. _.....co..;.. 0__,:!..'- that f...Jill occur. Lec: me e:-:olain somec:hina ;:0 vou. - -' C::'Q"- - .. doesn't ~equi~e you to add~ess socioeconomic issues. Ycu're nOL recu:~ed :0 address ~hem di=ecL~Y. Yout~e only ~equi=ed ;:0 add~ess c:hose economic issues whe~ a socioeconomic issue wil~ =esu~;: in a physical change :n 7 I c:he enVl=onme~: c:ha~ can be documenc:ed or demons;:rac:ed 3 c= subs;:an;:iated. 9 Wha;: we have done in ;:he mac:erials that we've p~esented to you is to show that we don't believe there , , is any substanc:ia:ing da;:a thac: would demonsc:rac:e thac: 12 c:his p~oject has any possibility of creating blight. o 13 . j 1 " Now, if I may, it's inte~es;:ing when you sit up c:he~e as mo~e o~ less the judge and the jury on making 15 decisions, you're going to hear a diametrically contrary 16 point or view about the information in this document 17 18 ::"9 20 than you just hea~d from the attorney. I. want you to cleanse your mind fo:: a mome~c:, because .~ will help. lc.. One of the things that happens at times is that somebody has a point they want to make so much, that 21 they ignore what's really in a document. What I would 22 like to do is take you through what's in your document ?- -j 24 o 25 in front of you to be able to do this. Now, I know it's a little bit onerous to be going through all these issues again, but you have to realize that a le;:ter like YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 37 o 0, o , .J. we received from 3es~, 3est & Krieger is rea~_y 2 establishi~g a foundation for litigation. And one of 3 the things ~hat I do and I teach CSQA classes as a 4 practi:ioner, not as an attorney, by the wav. :; ~ Cne of the things that we need ~c do is we need 6 LO make sure Lha~ as you're balancing out the :acts in front of you this evening, is :0 give vou t~e c:Jr.\peting 7 8 facts that were -- contrary to those that were prese~ted 9 to you so you can do the weighing. You are the ultimate 10 judges here this evening. ~~d what I'm going to try and :1 do is point out to you where certai~ things occurred. 12 Le~'s start with the point of issue about 13 .A.ppendix G. ll.ppendix G is the new State CSQF. n I'm ". J .l... 50===-Y. 15 COMM. DURR: I'm sorry. If I'm going to follow 16 you, could you kind of go page by page? 17 MR. DODSON: I sure will. You bet. - . ~ m going 18 to go page by page, and also by issue. But I wanted to 19 start out with the .A.ppendi:{ G issue, because it's a 20 broader scope question. 21 Svery jurisdiction has the ability to establish 22 its own initial study checklist form. The City of 23 San Bernardino focused the checklist form on the major 24 25 issues of concern to it. Now, let's take the agricultural issue here for just a moment, because it's YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 38 o o o l 1 one that's a no-brainer. We don't have any a............; ...,,1 -1~.....0 '::--"-'......-.-......-'- ? left in this .~. , Ana so ~ne ques~lon was not inc~~ded c:~y. 3 on the checklist form for the City, because there is 4 none. ::J Now, one can sav, well, we didn't adcress that 6 issue direc~~y because we didn'~ have tha~ ques~~on C~ .., G~r lis:. We did~'t do :hat; that's a correc: S statement. But at the same time, if you look at twO 9 things in your document -- let's start off right on the 10 front pages now, and this will be page 1. And you will 11 see that there, on those twO oaaes, are a list of what 12 this site is. It says, "What is the site we're dealing 13 wi:h?" Folks, this is a graded, comoac:ed pad. It is 14 an engineered pad already; it's compacted. That means, 15. fundamentally, if you just use logic, it doesn't act as 16 an area that receives and recharges water, simply 17 because it can't. It sheds that water because it's been 18 compacted to 95 percent or greater to make sure the 19 water runs off. 20 Now, that's stated in here, and on top of that 21 are stated the specific uses. So let's take these in 22 order of the questions raised. The firSt was 23 agricultural, and why didn't we tell why we were 24 25 deviating? Because it wasn't necessary. We've already identified that this site, both based upon zoning and YOu~GER REPORTING SERVICES 39 o o o 1 1 land use, as it is cu~~e~~ly ~ight now, i~'s desi;~a~eG 2 for comme~cial; and thefac~ tha~ it's a ;~aded pad, it 3 is not being used for agricultu~al pu~poses. It's ve~v 4 clearly stated what ~his site is used for and what it's J ~n~e~ded :0=. o ~ow, do we have to go back ane stew and answer I _ question like that? Not ~ea~ly, because ~he ja~a is Q self-evident he~e. It says ~his is not being used for 9 agricultural; this is a pad for comme~cial development. 10 The next question in here is that we don't :1 analy:e whether the project will physically divide a 12 community. Well, it's very clear, when you look at the :3 project description in the maps, tha~ this can't divide 14 anything, because i~'s sitting next to the major divide~ 15. of the co~munity. It's on one side. It's adjacent to 16 the freeway; the freeway is the dividing component. And 17 ~his sits ~ext t8 t~at f=eeway; it sits next to 18 indust~ial uses on the north, west, and commercial uses 19 on the south. It is not dividing any community at all. 20 It is simply addressing -- it is simply an in:ill 21 commercial project, and that's all it is. .~id that's 22 what's stated in your initial study. It's very clearly 23 stated. 24 25 There is no evidence whatsoever ~o support the supposition ln the initial study abou~ ~he population YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 40 o o o 10 11 1 ~ _L 2.3 , ~.nat _?4.'_, J.obs a=e ex~ected to be gene==:ed bv.' nousing .,. t"" 2 the project and will be. filled by local =esiden:s as 3 opposed to commuters, 4 Well, in fact, there is a high probability, = based upon the type of units -- I mean, the type of Q ?=sjec: this is. ~hat fo= the type of jobs, you're nct - , goi~g to have people commuting f=om Orange County to . w '-orne ..,o_rk 2-,_ ::: -o--i, -ommerci:::1 f-Ci1i"''' ~n. -~ ~-VS v '- trV __ __ _.....'-::::1__ \..... .- ........._ _::::1 ....___} L.. c'- ~a... 9 7-and-a-half to $10 an hour. They can't afford to d,....i.....o ........v....... It just doesn't happen. So there is a basis for making that conclusion that it's more reasonable to assume that the population Will be -- the population that will work here will come 14 f=om the local community. 15 In addition to that IS the point that this is a 16 community of almost 200,000 people, and 241 jobs here :7 and the people that might be associated with it are not 18 going to be significant when you place it in that 1 a -~ overall context. :t is nc big deal to have 200 and 20 so-on people. Because in this particular situation, 200 21 jobs is minor when you look at the Inland Empire with a 22 million jobs and ove=, as most of us know exist in this 23 24 25 a-o- __Co now. Going on to the next one, is that it will -- a small additional demand to housing inconsistently YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 41 o o o 1 concluces ~jat the p~oject will not have sign~:~ca~: 2 growth inducing impacts. 3 There is a ~eason it won't have significant . . .., ".,' .. -i--I-- m-v be ~ growt:n l:1Cuc::.ng lmpacts. _ne p09U.l.ation L._"at.. . a_ J rela~ec ~o it is sma~: ~ela~ive tQ the overa:l o population of tne a~ea. There is no exte:1sion 0: 7 se~vices, and there is no :ea9 frog devel09ment 8 associated with this 9rojeCt. Those things are stated 9 in this project, that this is not growth inducing 10 because it is an infill development; it 9rovides jobs 11 he~e for 'ac::>' oe"o'''' _ ........... v...l..__. l2 Then we go into the next one about the :L3 significant adverse effect of faults. I'm going to use 14 this one as 9robably one of the very, very best 15 examples. Let's go to page 8 in your initial study, if 16 you would. 17 If you look at item 3.d, we talk. about the fact 13 that there are major faults. We talk about the fact 19 that there is major seismic events that can occu~. And 20 we've deter~ined, based upon the initial study, that 21 there is an undetermined fault location just north of 22 the site. We reference figure 47 in the general plan. 23 Then we indicate that the mitigation outlined 24 1n 3.d.l can reduce the issue of on-site faults, rupture 25 and related geologic conditions to a non-significant YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 42 o o o 1 impact. reduce Do~=>n-'-l _ I.... ~~... 1-":"'':<'_ seismic-~e~a:~c It says to 2 g~ound shaking impac~s to less ~han significant, we have 3 a mitigation measure. ~hen the claim in he~e is t~at, 4 well, even though you may have identified it, that you ~ haven't shown that you've gOt a standa~d to mitigate o to. That is not co~~ect. ~his mitigation measu~e specifically says this 8 study that is going to be done will specific -- pa~don 9 me -- identify specific safety-based performance 10 standards that must be met to ensu~e that structures 11 that will be occupied will be able to withstand seismic 12 and unstable earth hazards, and ensure that the unstable , < -~ earth conditions that may exist at the site do not cause 14 any significant hazards for future human occupants of 15 the structures. 16 For a person familiar with the geotechnical 17 terminology, there are two types of designs that you 18 design to: a safety based design and a functional based 19 design. We design our hospitals to be functional after 20 an earthquake, because we know they're going to be 21 needed, and we put a lot into them. But for a structure 22 like this, it doesn't have to be needed after an 23 earthquake. We design it to a safety based standard, 24 which is a standard that says it protects human health 25 and safety of all those people who are in the YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 43 o o o , .., l.~ 2.4 1 - -~ 1 r _0 1 s"Cruct:ures. 2 There is a saeci::c oerformance sLa~da=d ~ha~'s ~ identified here t:o protec"C those people. The discussio~ 4 in here about: not: menticni~g these issues, ~ot: J describing these issues, and TIO"C defini~g t:he impact:s 6 and not: est:ablishing Derfcr~ance sta~darcs :s incorrect:. i Just: fla"C wrong. a Let's go t:o "Che next: issue about alluvial 9 sediments and locat:ed within a aroundwat:er basin, 10 concludes that the construction project will not reduce 1 ! ~~~'nc'w-~e~ ~Q~ha~ge ~ _ '-' u.. Co _ _ _............. _ . Well, on that: par"Cicular issue, , .d. h. . . nna: we sa: lS L~ ~s s~~e lS already graded and "'! ~ comDact:ed. I"C already sheds all the wa"Cer that: falls on it. It: doesn't act as a recharge area. If you put a structure on it:, make impervious surfaces, it's still going to all run off more. or less ~7 t:he same as i"C does now. :t's not going to change -- 18 19 just: so minimally, you couldn't: even hardly measure it ,= veu --ere s--nd'ng ~hQra and looking at;~ o~ i= you ~_ _ w '-a.....:.... I-J...___.... .i. __ .__ _'-, __.:.. 20 had a Wier (phonetic) to measure it. 30ttom line, it:'s 21 not: going to affect: recharge, because the site can't 22 funct:ion as a recharge. ~~d that: is specifically stated 23 in this document:. 24 ?- ~:J Going to the next item, it fails to analyze whether the project will violate any water quality YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 44 o o o 1 s':anda.rds. Well, a2.SC:"'la~;2 firs: -- or was;:e 1""'-.... .........:....... " L It does ac~ually add.ress ;:ha;: issue. requi.rements. ~ ?i=s~ of:, all L~e was~e discha=ge =equi=eme~~s a=e j '1 th C -y ~na. ~;"e on1," ".'-s-" "';is~;"-~ae" . CC!'l::=o.L.-ed by . e i L_. _-..... l...~i ~_j {VC 1..... '-0...... \""..1.0._ _ ...... " ~ :....'''m -;.,' S :30'-; 1 i,.y ',vi 11 __....Il ,-..._ .... _____~_ ___ ~o ~e -~ -he ~-~~-~r" ~~we"" ..... -..... I...~...... ~a,;..._ ._....._:1 -''- - . o :~e sa~i:a=y sewe~, :he CiIV has speci::c s:anca=js :~a: 7 sav you can discha.rge these ki~d of thi~gs intJ the Q - -an;--~y sewe.... ~ J..._,_.:::.__ _0 T_ ,ou evceoc . "e~ ~_."en... "-'e'~~ ~o_':~,c cO .::~. -. -' :::, -", -., .. - - ': . - - 9 cut you off, and you can't discha.rge anymo.re. 10 Rega.rding s':orm wate.r .runoff, if you go to page , -: vou will see three mitigatiJn measures on -chis - -, 12 ~age -- or on this page and the previous page, that 1 -:; sne~':i--l1V s~a~o "3ero 's wha~ vou ~~o ao'na -0 do ~ ...-..l..__I..-C___ I.,.. L...., .. ........... L.. _ ____ _ _........ _ to '.,j. n...."-/on- su....:a-o ,.'--"r ~nn~am'n-tion -;.,-- could - "0 ead :;-__v__ '- _-'- '-~ ~a~__ ~'"'.~ ._, a _ _ ~.la~ "'.:._ 1 15 to groundwater contamination." And the way we're going 16 to do that is we're going"to control that runoff by 17 put':ing in specific types of controls on the runoff 13 itself that extract the pollutants. Specific standards 19 are identified. 20 In one of the cornmen~s in here, i~ points ou;: 21 that it doesn't identify how we're going to deal with 22 spills because we didn't es;:ablish a standa.rd for spills 23 regarding haza.rds. If you look at the bot;:om of the 24 page, read the language in the next-to-the-last sentence 25 which says, "The Plan shall also define how such spills YOUNGSR REPORTING SERVICES 45 o o o will be remediated in compliance with applicable S~~~~ 2 and local regula~ions regarding cleanup and disposal of 3 the contaminant released." 4 Now, when you're writing a generic conc:~:o~ J like this, you don't want :0 list every single pollu:~nt 6 :~ ~he world ~hat can come or:. What vou wan: to do :5 ..., , vou want to say here is a standard you have to meet, 8 and we're meeting the standards; ~hat whatever that 9 contaminant is, it will be cleaned up to the point th~t 10 it meets 'all the current regulatory standards, state and ,~ federal laws. That's an exact performance standard that 12 can be utilized and ensure that water quality is not 13 degraded. l4 Further, these standards are even more 15. stringent than the standards that come from the City 16 that has its own set of requirements that are 17 mandatory. !hey're not just mitigation measures; 18 they're required. :ou can't discharge off the property 19 pollutants that will exceed certain thresholds, because 20 ::le City lS ~~S:Jons'bl'" if you do that. _ '- _ .I.. _ _ I'm pointing over to Ray for this situation, because he's the gentleman that's in charge ~- ma ki ng v.L 21 22 23 sure everybody lives up to that obligation. Bottom 24 line, we did identify standards; we are protecting ?; -~ surface water quality. By protecting surface water YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 46 o '0 o 1 1 quality, we're protecting groundwater quality. ~ L Moving on to the next item. We've been :~r:ugn 3 mitigation me~sure 4.c.4 and the potential impacts en j. -~~unc'w""-~r """"1;::1 i-v Now let's talk a:OOU~ ai::::- G.ua::.:",v'. \:f-...J CL.__ ~u.____I..._. J Whe:je= ~he projec~ will conflic~ w::~ a~ O :;DD_'_i("'ar_~e -- '~p''''men--t'on ~-F "n "DP.L".-"c' 1", "i~ _ ~ _ _ ':''''.';'_. ~c:':' V~ _ _. _ ___ __ ___ ..., ~et's "0 ~o -ir 'j .1... c__ w:'.:::: au- l' -.V _ C_J.. 1..._ d:scussion, ,....l~-'~-., pl"n ~1..4c:._-""J _-.......1.. 8 , ~ ~ - -' .:1.......10 if is on page -- let me get there page 9 you'll go to the nex~-to-the-last paragraph that begins 10 "This project fully conforms." 11 Now, we've gone through a detailed discussion 12 of why this project will mitigate emissions, laid OUt 13 14 why it will, and how that will be accomplished; acain, v~~v ev~1iri~ ~'-'g-~ion me-sur~s ........... "'...~__........ '- ~l.L..... __ CI........ 0. _...... . ,~d then it says, 15 "This project fully conforms and implements the 1 r _0 P~' nc' ~l'" conc"'pt- (i nr-i 11 _..............L.~ '- '-.:::. ......1.. ..i........... redevelopment, better 17 jobs/housing, reduction in vehicle miles traveled) 18 contained in the Air Quality Management Plan and SCAG's 19 Regional Comprehensive Plan and Guide." 20 21 It specifically said it's going to conform with that. That issue was not not addressed pardon the 22 double-negative -- meaning it was. 23 Whether the project will have a cumulatively 24 considerable net increase. This document clearly 25 concludes it will not have a cumulatively significant YOUNGER REPOR7ING SERVICES 47 o o o "1 1 2 increase. The mention about nox emissions. We're below 3 the nox emissions th~eshold totally. So from air 4 quality standpoint in the handbook, we get a pass. 5 Regarding carbon monoxide, I've al:eady shared with you 6 on that issue wha~ the circumstances ar'e. This portion 7 of the South Coas~ Air Basin is not -- pardon me, is in 8 a~tainmen~ for CO. It's only the portions In downtown 9 10 Los Angeles in the coast that are having a problem. And in this particular case regarding carbon monoxide, we did a detailed model to see if we'd cause a 1 ' ~.L l2 violation. We don't. And that included the cumulative 13 background for that area and cumulative traffic for that 14 area. So we know that we won't be creating a CO hotspot 15 or violating a CO requirement. 16 Okay. We've talked -- the initial study's air 17 quality analysis assumed that the net vehicle miles will 18 be two miles, and it was based upon, they've indicated 19 In here, the big box retailers are six to seven miles 20 away. Well,-let I 5 do two things. One, most of you know 21 where Home Depot is; it's less than two miles from this 22 site. The Target store at Sterling and Highland is less 23 than five miles from this site. These are the 24 facilities that we picked as being comparable facilities 25 that could do it. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 48 o o o Two comparable s~ores to t~is are - 1~--~.:::. c. ______ bi~ ? T~ev'~e the ~e==es~ =21atives of :his :urther. 3 facility. ~~d they're loca:ed, as you k~ow, in Colton 4 a: the Washington offr~mp, ~nd in the City of jSan 3er~arji~c, but at ~ighl~nd Avenue where :he 30 o crosses. 3ot:om line, the consult:ant Ielt ]us:i:ied in ., usi~g the numter of two miles for :he :rips, based upon 8 %nowing where these locations were; and t:hey were 9 specifically evaluated and identified. '.1.0 M '~h ' d d ov::.ng ~o t..e next lssue regar ing 0 or 11 ;e~e~ation -- pardon me, rega=ding the gas s~a~ion. Let 12 me take you :0 a section tha: deals wit:h t:hat:, and we 13 ~eed to go to "Hazards" which is on page -- oh, I'm 14 sorry. I:'s not "Hazards." It's on page 17, which is 1 - _:J in the air quality notes. 16 If you know that there is a specific s:andard 17 that is going to apply to a project that .cannot be 13 avoided, that: is no longer a requirement to mitigate 19 that particular issue, Secause the regulatory process 20 itself imposes a solution. What is laid out in this ~1 L_ paragraph is the fact: :ha~ South Coast will not allow 22 ~~y permits for a gasoli~e station unless, first, ~' l..ne 23 public health risk assessment is completed and a 24 determination is made that it will not n "not" create 25 any health hazards. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 49 o o o ., , .I. The~efore, i: doesn't mat:er whethe~ we ?~t _ 2 ~i:igation measure in he~e or discuss this iss~e any 3 :u~tner. The whole fact is they can't build tnat gas 4 station without complying and reducing their emissions J to a level that meets the South Coast rules and ~egs. 6 I''ie iden~i:ied :he specific =eaulcI:ons, 7 ~~les 46: and -63, and :he district's 1400 series which 8 eStablish :he threshold :haL is used tha: cannot be 9 exceeded; and that is protective of human health. 10 nO~1''''' _^L. issue is odors. This is sitting next The II to a freeway wir~ a hundred-thousand-plus ~.....i"",S I---::J per 12 da'l. Now, it's on the same side as th~ee othe~ gasoline , ~ .;..j stations, three other fast food marke~s -- or fast food :4 operations. There are no sensitive receptors for odors 15 in this particular area. People are coming here because 16 they'~e there :0 get gas, and they know what gasoline ", ~, smells like, and/or to geL food, whatever. I'm talking 18 about fast food. 19 So you have your nearest residence :hat could 20 be exposed, sensitive noise ~eceptors, over a half 21 mile -- quarter mile away. I'm sorry. Quarter mile 22 away across the freeway. You've got an intervening 23 source of odors that's going to wipe out everything 24 else. ~~d that's the reason that we concluded that ?- _::I there is no sensitive receptors in the vicinity of this YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 50 o o o '! , ~ ;'h....~Ic:: __..0 _ .... why there will ~~ ..v be imoac"C. project; ~ . ___no 2 is specifically st~ted in this do c:.:.'"::er: t. 3 ~. ~~_::'~.... -1 . :....~1S -0 -n-~v-~ ~ne ~~c:~~l,-- anc:_ysls ~c:~_ ~ c: c:___~ wheLhe~ ~ -~Q prn~oc~ wil_' c~llse an i~c=ease :~ :~af::c I~at is .......-... ~ -.....J '-.... -- ........- = subs:~~:ial:n rela::on ~o ~~e e~::s::~g t~a~~:c load a~d 6 capacity of :he s~=eet. 7 Bologna. :eu've get a 40-~age, SO-page ~ra:::c 8 s~udy that says that's not going ~J happen. ~L: said :..t 9 could happen if we didn't impose some mitigation 10 measures, but it's not going to happen because we're 11 going to implement those mitigation measures. ~~d it 12 specifically says we will not cause a subs~antial :;'3 14 :ncrease in traffic in relation to. It also savs we're not going to create any 1~ hazards that are going to be design features that are 16 incompatible. s~d it also says that cumulative levels 17 of services will not be exceeded. :8 Now this scope goes back to the concept of 19 Appendix G where the term used here is by the County. 20 This is another situation where the guidelines are very -1 "'- specific. :ou're supposed to use your thresholds, your 22 City guidelines as a basis for making judgements, not 23 24 25 the ('oun~v's .... .I.. \,.. _ . They don't apply. Now, yes, the language In the guidelines, this Appendix G, reads that way; but it's not intended to be YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 51 o o o 1 applicable to every jurisdic~ior-. :n ~~:s oa~~::~la= 2 case, ~he answe~ :0 this question is IO~ the s::ua~icn 3 ~ha~ i~ is, this fully complieswit~ the City's 4 S--na'-~~~ Ana -hero 'S no- a ~'~co ~~ ~~,~ i~ her? :_.o.~ c_.......... ...ll';....;. ..........:.. i... ~~..............- -'-""'- ~ - J :hat says i: doesn'~ even a=clv :0 :he COUnti'S ~ o s:.anaa~as. 7 We don': know that, because ~~."'v ~~~n'- ~y~s~~- -" -_ .......-......... '- t;-'--- -.;;:;..... 3 those and we don't have them :n Iront of us. But ~he 9 measure you should be using and which vour 2RC/DRC was, 10 the fact that this fully complied with and met the level ~l of se=vice requirements -- cumulative level of service 12 requiremen~s for these particular nine intersections :"3 '!""t,.....- ,-..0. '_ were evaluated. 14 Moving on to the biological resources issues. 15. Because we didn't list the fact that we hadn't addressed 1 ~ _0 ocher sensitive species. Well, let's look a~ what the 17 biological analysis says real Quick, and let's get down 18 ~o the real issue. It's not loca~ed in your biological 19 resources overlav, that's number one, in ~he general 20 plan. .~d it's been previously complete, compacted and 21 graded, and it's currently plowed. 22 There is no native vegetation on the site. 23 Now, if you have a site tha~'s been totally converted to 24 urban use, it's been compacted, graded, it's being plowed, and it doesn't have any native plants on it, 25 YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 52 o o o ~ 1 i~'s more than obvious that it can': have any im~acts on ~ ~ any sensitive biological issues. I:'s very, very clea~, 3 ~nd:t should be. 4 The next issue is failu=e to analy:e ~ossible ~ ~ emlt of ha:arcous emissions. In fact, we did look at Q the r.aza=dous emissions, as : told you. !hey were 7 limited to gasoline operatio~s. The res: of the 3 facility was nc~ associated with ~hat par:isular lssue. 9 .~d mo=e important, in the section that dealt lO with the mitigation measures in section 4, we included a 11 requirement that the business plan be completed to deal l2 with any hazardous materials and waste, that there be 13 programs to prevent those f=om being released. 14 Those are specific prog=ams that the city fire 15 department and the county fire department implement. 16 ~~d we've got a specific set of guidelines that say this 17 will not occur; and if it does, we've got the means in :3 place to be able to take care of it. 19 The noise analysis fails to analyze whether the 20 project will result in exposure of persons to generation 21 in excess of established standards in the general plan. 22 Folks, this project, as I said, is in an area 23 :hat probably has noise levels at the property boundary 24 on the east side, which is adjacent to the freeway, of 25 80 decibels, 75 decibels out to the edge of the property YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 53 o o o - 1 on the west side. It's a high ~oise environmen~. ~~is 2 lS a perfect use for this envi~onment. 3 That's what the noise analysis says. It says 4 ~here are no sensi~ive noise ~eceptors ~~a~ ca~ De ::; ~ "~~~r~"'d '0'/ .~iS p~o"e'-~ ~ec="=e ~~"'~~ "r", none ......__................._ _ l......_ J.. _: '-'-I ...; .............. -. '--_ ....__ ~~J. the o a~ea. ,;nd because there is an inte~vening major noise sou=ce, :ncerstate ?" - -~~, 'oe-'-'e'en .'nis "no' rhe "--r,,,s. . ~V"\I ~J. '- __ __ ...... ..'=0_ __ '- 8 se~si~ive ~eceptors. 9 Public service analysis concludes that the 10 project will have no impact on public facilities. Well, in fact, what the oublic services analysis says and 12 ~et's go to that section real Quick -- is that, yes, we , < -~ will make a small demand on fi~e, we will make a small :4 demand on medical aid, and we will make a small demand 15 on police protection. 16 We won't have any impact on schools of any 17 significance, pa~k and recreation facilities; and we may :3 have an impact on solid waste disposal. And guess what, :9 we've got a mitigation measu~e in here that deals with 20 the specific-conce~n of the City. .~d we've identified 21 where ~he waste is going. 22 The waste will be going to one of three 23 facilities: Colton, San Mateo, and Mid Valley Land 24 rill. And those facilities comply with the regulations, 25 and they have that capacity. And we've referenced the YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 54 o o o '1 1 CounLY of San Bernardino's 1995 integrated waste 2 management plan to verify that. 3 Regarding the maintenance of roads, strangely " ~ enough, -'n's pro]''''cr 's --k;ng -"'ay on'" r~ad L.L 1 ..... '-' '-..:.. ....0. _~::"if'I '- -v I because 5 Gannet Parkway, if my memory is ~orrec~, will be 6 eliminated as a road. And the roads that they're go~ng 7 , '1" 1 d to oe Ut~_l:lng are a_rea y existing roacs. So there is 3 no incremental addition to roads that people -ro ao'ng 0.___ ... .......... 9 to have to be maintained, because everything else will 10 be maintained by the project. 11 ULilities and service systems fail to analyze 12 whether the projecL will result in construction of new 1.3 storm water drains. It's not going to. It SLates in 14 here that it's not going to nappen. .~d the reason it 15 won't is because iL's going to discharge directly 16 it's already discharging the same amount of water or 17 almost equivalent, because it's a compacted site. And ::"8 it's going to be dischargin'g it directly into the 19 drainage system that's adjacent to the property. And we 20 specifically state that. )' -~ One step further, we state that this particular 22 system is capable of handling the runoff, because this 23 project is not going to increase the runoff by any 24 25 significant degree. We've talked about landfills. It's evident YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 55 o o o ""I 1 that the project will reaui~e sto~m ~unoff faci:it:es. 2 P~oposed retention of trash on si~e will comply w::~ all 3 applicable solid waste regul3tions. Those a~e al~eadv 4 specifically addressed in he~e ~bout solid waste ~ regula~icns; ~he City has already requ:=ed them. o "nc aaa"n ,- ~v~'~.~s ~r.'.v we'vp c'ev-_.~-,-~ri .t"'.... 'f ~.l., ~\- 1;:;.":-,,,:,,-":'.:.- 'fV _ _ ___ 7 :=om I mean, it says we den't explain why we deviated 8 :~om F-.ppendiz G. Again, you don't have to e:-:plain it. 9 You've just got to make sure that the issues a~e 10 addressed and fully evaluated. 11 Now why didn't we say that the~e was a 12 significant impact due to light? Because there is a :3 major set of lights on the streets that already ezist; 14 the su~rounding properties are all lit, and you'~e next 15 to a freeway. And the lighting is all away from 16 sensitive light receivers, which are on the other side 17 0: the Froowa'v --'-- -' which is where the homes are. '!'hat was 18 the basis for the conclusion, and it's specifically 19 sta~ed as the basis. 20 21 If you look a~ the discussion on light and glare in section 13 on page 13.c. It's within an -- no 22 surrounding light sensitive uses other than ensuring, as 23 part of the development review process, which has 24 25 already gone forward, that no glare affects the adjacent freeway. 'The proposed project is not forecast to cause YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 56 o o o 10 , , -nIl 11gh. "nd g'a, l~P-C.S We'vf> a_l_~f>c:;C'y _irie.".:-.'-_~_'~c' ::. _ ::..:. : _ ':':-e' "'.:: : . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ? (hose oarticular issues. 3 Now we go down to the discussion of woefu2.':'y 4 i~adequate discussion of t~e mandatory findi~gs a: . . _. s2..;;n:':2.cance. :;'i~S~ OF~ T'ne cone -hr~ucn', ;on'" snow",," ___ L' __, _ v... L.1.....v _.. _._..... __ o you ~haL in :his par~icula= document, we have ~ddressec , ~ll these issues. ~here '-S no~hing hanging out. ~here 8 ~ere no issues that the SRC/JRC felt had not jeen fully 9 addressed. There are no i~pacts that were identified :hat could not je mitigated below a significan: impact, and 12 :hat's wha:'s s~ated in the summary section at the , ~ ..;..j back. ~~d it was pointed out that :here were no 14 cumulatively considerable, because we evaluated 15 cumulative air quality, cumulative traffic. We've 16 evaluated the cumulative issues where there was a 17 potential for impact. 13 ~~d '-n here we talk about none of the 19 reauired -- mitigation requi:-ed to reduce these impacts 20 to a level of significance is identified. We don't have 21 to go back and discuss those. If you'll look a~ ~he 22 bottom of the last two pages, the specific mitigation r -j 24 25 measures that are referenced in the text where we talked about mandatory findings are specifically listed again, aside from the fact they've already been listed in the YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 57 0 . 2 3 4 - 0 '1 main -::e:':~. ,lilld it says, "Measures are identi:ied tJ ~i::.gate potentially signi:icant impacts :or the fo~lowing =esou~ce issues: ea~~h resou=ces; water ~~s"""P""'-o::::' ;::l~"'" c,,:::.l":'-:-v' -.....;::l,...s~o~,..a-;on/,-.;.....,..l'j~-,;Oll. _~ v'-__........., ___ .\,..0......__...._, 1-__.... t-" _'- '-_ _...._'-'.............L....., ~a=ar::is; ane sol:d waste." P._T1d again, L:hose a!'2 l:s:ec. :~ed:a:ely a:~e=~a~ds, just like you'=e supposed tC do 3 ~~ he "~1,,, ~o ~ommull'c--~ ~U1iv ~-.." _ _........;.._ _ "- l ...... :=.'.-..... .:.. ~_...' 9 Anyway, you've had too much of this, I know, 10 this evening. But there are two dif:erent views. 11 12 o 1 - _J Somebody did _ superficial analysis of this without referring to any of the re:erence materials. Thev did~'~ =eal~y read ~he material, as is very clear when l~ you look at the dat3 that I've reference L:O you, that 15 clearly shows that we've addressed the specific issues 16 that have been raised. .:.. / It's probably self-serving on my part, and I 18 don't want tJ take you down that oath, but in my 19 opi~ion, you have su::icient infor~ation in here. And 20 there has been no substantial evidence presented to you 21 tonight to say that the conclusions that were made ?~ _L within this initial s~udy are not accurate and are 23 not -- and are based upon lots of facts, more facts than o 24 r _J most documents are. I'll leave that to Valerie and the sum-up that YOL~GER REPORTING SERVICES 58 o o ,0 " she dces; DU~ in mv cp:~icn, vou :olks have a ~o~e __.I'::'.. , , -a'O,.u--o Q'oc"~e~- .::1 -'-i c.........' ~HL ..1...... _:md" you don I -: ha.ve a bas::.s fo~ :~:s j appea~ to be going forwa~d based upon ~oise impacts, 4 ~sgecially whe~ you've got a high noise e~vi=o~~en~ -, ,,_'_.....~.~c'y,. -.",.-.::~I"'" ':""P"l.-~s w'nil......n ;:.....0. -~~~-~\. "'T'Ii......;,...,..;:-~Q' _ -=::. '-_.::....__,_ ..:.....H_..... .... I J. _ .I. ___'- "-_-..........__.! HL_ __~'----'- ~ a.nd w'ell :n: ~igated bef':>re begin -'..,,0. 1...:..,- project v.lill even operation. :; ::,..; ..... w"hi.c:;. 1'- c:: "'c:_ shown you why i,. :!:: 've f"V'.- , ... -,. ~u.c.~..:.._:!, 9 net significant. It's below all the th~esholds but 10 one. We did an ai~ quality model to ~easure that last l2 :3 :':..J one a~d found it wasn't significant. F~d blight: In this particu:a~ case the ~djacent uses a=e not aoi~a to exoer:ence blicht, ""'... - ... ~p_~~use ~L.r.,er~ ~:~ ~-r'on-' cn-ln ~pe~--lons ..; __ . _ ___ ..c:.':' c:::' 'c:'. v. _::lc.' capable 0: 15 competing with this project. .0 I'll answer any questions you have. And thank l: yeu :~r all '~he time. , . ~U CE~:~_~ :HRASH~R: Does anyone have any ::'9 questions of M~. Dodson? 20 (No audible response.) 2: 22 23 24 25 CF~I~~ TH~~SHER: Thank you, Mr. Dodson. ~~. FL~K: Madam Chairman, Members. C~I~n~ THRP.SHER: Yes, Mr. Funk. MR. FUNK: Yes, I'm James Funk, the development services director. .~d at least four of my staff and YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 59 o o o .... 1 six people in this room have heard this , , mat:erlaJ. -~~ - -'- 2 ~bout the ~hird time and had to have ~ead i~ and 3 reviewed it, it seems like, O~ mO~e than cne occasio~. ~ = would like to sum up th~ee points with ~~a~ .....~ -....."".....-..... 3u'C ~ the jobs, :he ~~affic, and t~e ai= qua:i:y. r o They were issues well-discussed. One thing 7 :ha~ we asked Wal-Ma~t and thei~ atto~ney is would they ~ S"'~ ~ go"_' o_r '0 ~e~~"'n- fi~s---'~e h'~~s fo_~ oJ _ _ _::l..... ,::, _'-..... '- _....._ l.. __..LL ....:...;...... _ 9 San Bernardino residents. They said they would be happy 10 to work with us on that issue. And that is in -- I l' jelieve in the public record; and the attorney for 12 Wal-Mart can verify that. 13 So we were sa~isfied that a high percentage of 14 ~ ; ro.oc:: ...--.............. , hire employees of this facility, our :ne 15 residents, were going to get an ,excellent opportunity at 16 first-time hires for those positions. 17 Now, with regard to air quality and traffic, 13 always amusing. In one respect, this project is a 19 mitigation with regard to the auality of air, you can 20 look at it like that, and t~affic and energy 21 conservation. Secause at the north end of this city, 22 there is a deficiency of this type of retail use. And 23 people at the nor~h end of the city have to travel south 24 a considerable distance to get to this type of a facility to shop. It's much needed. 25 YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 60 o o i; o - ?ict:u:re t:~is: sc.::\.G is projening by :he '.;~~:r ? 2025, that the City of San 3erna:rdino alone will have 3 300,000 people. Now, with or without this Wal-Mart 4 p:roject, those people a:re likely to a:r:rive __ :":J[ 8: J :hem a:re going to be in the no:rthe:rn por:ion of t~e o ~~mmun'-" -.......... u~ J.~..;..l..J. :;laced r'h....- ......... r ; .: N ..C.L dC.ppeds .-~ .....~.:~ ':;:.c":1":-'J .:S....l- .....:..1.__ _..... ....__"-.1 _ 1.. '- at that location? The oppo:rtunity for :his pl~cemen~ of Q 'J ~n-~ ;-Cl"'-V l'S "k~'y '0 be gone. _;,..0._ _ct ___\-_ __ '-.... _ T-'S "0- go'na -~ ........ l.. L ...:................. 9 be near the 215 Freeway, and it's not: going to be as 10 accessible to the population. What happens if it is p:roperly placed? ~~d :2 this lS something that was discussed and wasn't felt .- , - ..!..j was necessary to pUt in. But:f a facility is properly 14 placed, that actually reduces the distance that people 15 have to travel, reduces the time that people have to 16 t:ravel to get to that needed facility, and saves energy, 1 ~ . I 1 Q -v 19 20 21 ?~ _L as well as wea:r and tea:r. And :reduces accidents, and actually can have an impact on benefiting the air quality of the region. There were, at the time of these reviews, at least four people that identified themselves in the audience and specifically acknowledged themselves, and I 23 concurred that they were, experts in t:raffic, because 24 three of them were our employees, that agreed with the 25 findings.' .~d individually, each of them were recorded, YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 61 o o o , l I believe, as saying and ag=eeing with :his ? envi=onmental impact report with =egard to :=af=is a~c 3 the othe= extensive discussions that ocsu=red with 4 =egard ~o L~is envi=onmental ! should say J environmenLal documen(. 6 So I would just iike to SQ~ up by sayi~g that _ 7 realize a: the present time, along with Wal-Ma=t, :his 8 is not an ",Zl," site at the p=esent time; it's conside.:ed 9 a "a" site. But within five years, with or without 10 Wal-Ma.:t, Wal-Mart is considering this to be an "A" site ~1 because of the population ~hat is projected to and most 12 likely to occu.: around this a.:ea. 13 Now, t~at population is going to show up at 14 that site. Are we going to have them d=ive considerably 15 farther south to get to this type of facility, adding to 16 the .:ates of traffic and energy consumption and air 17 quality problems? I see this as -- in one respect, 18 could be conside=ed mitigation to some of those issues 19 that I think were so tho=oughly and so adequately 20 add.:essed by the consultant Ior the project. 21 Thank you. 22 CHA,_TRM, ,~" THD~SHER'. ~hank M ~ nK . U".J.' _ ""'" .< you, ..:. cU ' . 23 Betty .~de.:son, Councilman for the City of 24 San Be.:nardino. Give us your name and address for the 25 record, please. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 62 0 1 2 3 , ::; - 0 o o 10 , , MS. ~~DERSON: Thank you. l-'m Be--'I ~~~"'.so~ .... ... ~ _-:....~"-"'- - .., and _ ~es:de at ~665 Magnolia Avenue in San Berna~dino. .~ld this is an opportunity that I've neve~ had befJre, :8 be O~ ~~:s e~d 0: t~e spec~=urn. ~~d :'ve ~eve~ addressed chis CJmmissicn, bu: it's really ~~ce tJ be .....,.::::......~ ......- '-' I'~e been dcwn here, but I've never addressed Y8U. 3 We~l, I would like ~o say I'm he=e as c 9 ~ep~esen:ative of the 30,000-plus constituents tha: I'm ",l"'ct"'~ ~o ~"'prQsert ___'- -...'-..4 L _...... __ '- .J.. .~d this is a project that I have :~te~est i~, because it means someth:ng fo~ my 2.2 C8r:Sl.l:uen:s. I: means jobs; it rnea~s a tax base :0= ~y ::'4 .... ......0- ::::l_....c. M\" ....,.............. uj :;'_-:::0. has long been neglec:ed ; r C'''''ii.",1'oDmen~ __.... ..........J.. _ L .. L. _:;""1d " ' -::n2.5 :'5 oppor;:un.:ty fo~ development to come to an 15 our area. ^ , 10 ~~d, you know, I came tonight because I was ~7 i~te=ested in meeti~g ~athleen Frank. Kathlee~ is ~ot a 1 0 - - constituent of the Sixth Wa~d; she does not live in my ::'9 a~ea. ~~d I wanted to meet her :0 find out jus: the 20 basis, wny she's i~:e=ested i~ depriving people who need 21 jobs. ~~d this will be an opportunity for them to geL 22 Jobs, not to have it. P~d I was interested in knowing 23 why she has such a great in:erest in the Sixth Ward in 24 25 the City of San Bernardino. What is this issue about? It's something that YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 63 o o o 16 ~ 1 I, as a Cou~c:lpe~son, shcu~d be awa=e ~: the=e 's~c~ 2 a neglec~ed =eason why i~ should not ~e there, t~at ~ 3 should be concerned myself. 3ut. ~ have been -- I've 4 hea=d :h~s j:sse~~~tion ana :~lS dissection 2~C :~ese -:8mrne!1l:.S aDOU: Wa:-~a=~ co~ing to the .3i:~:~ ..-. '- wa:::., ane 6 Nonde::ed, W~a: am = miss~~g? 3ecause :~e peo91e i~ my wa=i ~re in ~eed of ]ocs. , .. :nat a..:...!.. 242. "fie -"n' - "'a'.' 1..-........ ... __ :! 9 will carne f=cm ou= wa=~, but if we have a hund=ed people 9 in the Six~h Ward who will have the oppo=tunity for an 10 entry-level job -- and as was stated before, peoDle from ,~ Orange Coun:y ~=e not going ~o drive au: here to apply ,_/ . _ :or tnese jobs. 13 So my people need this oppor:unity, and we need 1 ~ :he ta;, base and we need the development in our area. 15' If this is going to happen, no one is going to try and develop anything In the Sixth Ward. If we're going to 17 have outside influence -- which I will call this outside 13 influence, because Kathleen, I have neve~ met her. 19 She's Dever come to meet me to tell me how interested or 20 what development she would like to see and help me get ?1 22 for the Six:h Ward. I have not had that opportunity. 3ut I want to tell you tonigh: that I am here 23 representing 30,000-plus people who are in need of such 24 a development, and I, myself, as a leader and as a 25 person who is in charge of development and bringing jobs YOL~GER REPORTING SERVICES 64 o o o 10 , ~ .i.j '- 1. d h l~n -no sa-~-v' -nd -~e r"'-sons fny_ ou_r ?_'~~~~~_n.~~ an ,ea~ c.' c:' :"",_, c:.. c;, _~C: _v - ._~ -- -_ 2 to the City of San 3e.::-,a.:dino. ll.nd I tl':ank you ve::v ~ muc~ for listening ~o me. I had a lot of no~es he::e, 4 but I missed them. : ~hank you. 6 C~~I~_~ ~E~.SESR: !hank you, Mrs. ,~~de::son. ., a:-.yol'.e else in a"c" ~ncQ .., -'n;"g -0 u ..:...... .... 'w,,:,,:;,~ _~. l. Is tje.!:e ....."'0 1......... 8 speak on this i[em? 9 (No audible response.) CHP.IRMll~ TERP.SHER: Seeing none, Commissioners, l' :::0 vou have questions? Discussion? :2 (No audible response.) CHAIRMF~ !E~~SHER: Are you ready to make a 14 Ttc"C.ion? 15 , - -'0 :7 :3 :9 MR. DERRY: I would like to make a -- MS. ROSS: May I comment also, please, CHll,I~~~ ~~RP.SHER: Yes, Ms. Ross. MS. ROSS: -- befo::e any mo~ion is made? I also read the letter that was received 20 tonight from Best, 3es";: & K::ieger. Appendix G of CEQll. 21 ~hat is ::eferred to throughout this letter is the 22 envi.:onmental impact's checklist. I think Mr. Dodson 23 mentioned that. 24 CSQA provides it as an example for 25 jurisdictions to use. To try and create this on your YOUNGER REPORTING SERV!CES 65 o 10 o - own wOI12.d be extremely difficult. This is an e;;~:np_e. 2 We are not reauired to follow it to ~he le~ter of the 3 2.aw or ~he way it's written exactly in C~QA. ~ C Qn -Iso orov'des 'us :;ne' ~V~_~'I o-L~e= ::: ., :::. _.:. - -- . '.. , "'~' -' -=1 "'b"'-' "'0 modi-=v -:J."- J..J.r~S"""'_CL2.0n Lne _.....e.:....:.. J.....-'-1 .... -......_ L........... c::.eck2.:s: as o ~eeded ~o sui: the Ci:y of San 3e~na=d~nc. We did r' :n21:. Q .~ Appendi;{ G in CEQA does not contain any 9 specified thresholds, as Miss Buckman inferred 10 throughout her letter. You have in front of you the 11 ',.,it" -1 -tuC'y ~~.L_ .:..::1._;::' _ , which includes the City's version of 12 .:::"ppendi;( G along wi ~h an explanation. There are no l.j specified thresholds in CEQA. SO I believe tha~ the l~ lc....~Qr ___L_........... is misleading when it s~ates tha~ we, the City, 1 " -::> varied from those thresholds. 16 When the City created its initial study, and 17 it's on page 32 in particular, we have a list of 18 references. Those references are what we used 19 throughout the initial study; and they are documents on 20 file in the Developmen~ Services Departmen~ and/or maps 21 on file in the same location. !hose documen~s and those 22 maps provide a lot of the background information, like 23 the Alquist-Priolo earthquake faults zones map, for 24 e;{ample. That's on file in our department; it's also ?- _J part of our general plan. That's referred to here. YOUNGE~ REPORTING SERVICES 66 0 l " .!. 3 4 = ~ 0 ; 8 9 10 o o - 'N'e t_~_iea' ~~ i~co~~or--~ L....... _.~ _~ ....CoL_, by !."eference, as :rlar'.j" or t~e bacKq~ound documen~s as we could to make tn:s documenI more readab~e fc~ you and memiJe~s 0: ~he , , ' PUDJ..IC who possib~y don't ~eview Q~ ~ead ini-:ial sIudies en a dai:v basis. All of the :~:or~ation is there, either ~~~~~-1\1 ~QYQ in~l"c'ea' DV ~Q ~~Qnca nd/or on ,~" .....____........__ .~'-_....., ....._ 1..,.._1..> . _ _.....:~_....... __, OJ. .... fi.:....... .:...... au::" :.e:Je..r::nen'C.. I would like to stress one more .' ;..:.me, Develooment Services Department believes that we properly met the requirements of CEQA in the preparation of the mitigated negative declaration, the mitigation ~~ monitori~g and repor~ing program; and we believe that 13 the Development and Snvironmental Review Committee's 14 approval of the project should stand. 15 Thank you. 16 '..7 :3 :9 20 21 CHP,I~MAN THRASHER: Thank you, Miss Ross. Mr. Casey, did you wish to speak? MR. CASEY: T__F T . H .I. may, your .onor, very quickly. - -ius. - J ~ have two poin~s I want to clarify. Ray Casey, City Eng:neer. Number one, there is a specific threshold 22 adopted In our congestion management program that's also 23 adopted by others in the county pursuant to or in 24 25 association with Sandbag, the regional transportation agency which sets the threshold for retail uses like YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 67 o o o . .L this. In te=ms of the impac~s above that threshold 2 CMP level of ~raffic st~dy or rp - ~ ' .:..l...-., 3.~C would require a 3 less under that threshold would simply adhere to our 4 guidelines. Tha~ ~hres~old :~= ~he =etail use :5 a ~ thcusand t~ips at peak hou=, ~~d we a=e be:cw that, Cl , . . . - sho - -or ~~l'S ~-r~i~"I~~ i-Jr:.:C:l IS whv -- the -...h.:-e .:. ~....:. ~ l,.... ,7'c.- 1.._.........._....._ I h'.-n ,- 'hy -n'e pr.~""'-- adhe_~ps:-o the Ci:v.'s project., W _,-,d ...:::. W L... ~ ---J __L.:.... _..... 8 traffic study policies versus the regional traffic study 9 requirements. 10 Another point I would like to make very quickly , ' :s to follow on to the discussion that Mr. Dodson had 12 relative to the att~inment of carbon monoxide. One 13 ::'4 1 - _J , - .LO point that I don't think he touched on was, ln fact, this region is experiencing a decrease an overall decrease, in carbon monoxide over time. So I wanted to just clarify those two issues. ::'7 I don't know that they were touched on. 18 19 C~~I~~ THRF.SHER: :hank you, Mr. Casey. Is there anyone else in the audience wishing to 20 speak? 21 (No audible response.) 22 CHF.I~~ THRF.SHER: Seeing none -- Commissioner 23 Sauerbrun. 24 ~; L~ COMM. SAUERBRUN: I would like to make a motion that the Commission uphold the DERC Committee YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 68 o I, o o 10 adoption of ~he mitigated negative declaration a~d 2 mi~igated monitoring reporting program, and appro,al ~- v_ 3 the Development Permit II, Number 01-05, ~ased or. the 4 -- , "",. '194JA6" findings 0: :acc In t"e eevelopment coca _ .._.u U, -'0' "ocr ro t""e cone'i-'ons 0= "PC~O"-' '''c1''e''nc ~U...t'-'-'- J.. _.l..._ _....._~_,,:::._,_.J._....._..... ~ 6 """0-.';';1"'\ ..... -' ';.;....e ola olo'l'J--i.......r.S __\/_s_vns '_0 L.!1e s........ ~..L. i1, '-_'- O'L_......... I .:.ancscapl:-.g 7 "",' -. .....,S ::-,";"0.1_ I -no -t-nea~~ ro~'-'r-~en-~ 0..1. . ::::J :::.~ . .......:. _......"i'-_-t:~lL . L__. 8 9 MR. DERRY: Second. MS. LOCKETT: Second. C~~I~~~ TP.~~SHER: We have a motion and a j 1 second. ..D..2.1 in :avor? 1 ~ .1.'<: , , -~ 14 1 ~ . --' 16 " ...1 , - .~ _v 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 (-'I.yes. ) CP~.I~~~ T~~.SHER: Opposed? (None. ) CHAI~~ TH~~SHER: Unanimous. MS. ROSS: I'm sorry. Who made the second? CS;IRMP~ THRF.SHER: Commissioner ~ockett. MS. ~OSS: Thank you. (The Motion carried by the following vote: Ayes: Chairman Thrasher. Commissioner Derry. Commissioner Enciso. Commissioner Curro Commissioner Ramirez. Commissioner ~ockett. Commissioner Garcia. Commissioner Sauerbrun. Nays: None. Absent: None.) YOL~GER REPORTING SERVICES 69 o o o 25 ,16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 - 1 (2nd of proceedings on Appeal No. 01-02, 2 9:10 p.m.) 3 4 J Q ~ I 3 9 10 , , ~ ? ~- 1 -; -~ 1.4 15 YOUNGER REPORTING SERVIC~S 01 2 3 REPORTER'S CERTIFICATE 4 5 6 THE UNDERSIGNED SHORTHAND REPORTER DOES HEREBY 7 DECLARE: 8 9 THAT THE FOREGOING WAS TAKEN BEFORE ME AT THE 10 TIME AND PLACE THEREIN SET FORTH AND WAS RECORDED 11 STENOGRAPHICALLY BY ME AND WAS THEREAFTER TRANSCRIBED, 12 SAID TRANSCRIPT BEING A TRUE COPY OF MY SHORTHAND NOTES o 13 THEREOF. 14 IN WITNESS WHEREOF, I HAVE SUBSCRIBED MY NAME 15 THIS DATE: ~ II, a..OO/ 16 17 18 19 (/!dMc~ C7daL CERTIFICATE NUMBER 8383 20 21 22 23 24 o 25 YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 71 6-5-01, Planning Commission Meeting o -$- $10(1] 41:9 -63 (II 50:7 -0- 01'02[41 J:5 5:5,6 70:1 01-05(415:87:139:1 69:3 -1- o 1 [II 39:10 10 III 4:7 10908DDII11:I3 11[11 45:1 I 11,123[11 3~:25 12121 4:8,9 12th(ll 7:3 13l1J 56:21 I3.CIl156:21 13th III 6:~5 14.5 [II 5:11 140011150:7 14th1l17:3 155,917 II] 5:10 16 III 4/:8 1665 (II 63:~ 17 III 49:14 19.44.060 (I[ 69:4 1995 (II 55:1 Ist(ll6A -2- 2111 17:1 20'day III 6:17 200 (21 41:]9.~0 200,000 III 41:16 2001 ['I 1:65:16:8 20 10141 8:8.11 32:2~ 33::4 2025111 61:~ 21512[ 54:761:9 2150 (21 3:9 ~9:9 241141 17:441:1.1664:7 26th (II 7:8 27 III 4:10 29(114:11 o -3- 3.d (II 4~:17 3.d.1 (II 42:24 30 (I] 49:5 30,000'plus [21 63:9 6'L:!3 30'day (I] 6:21 300(211:113:4 300,000 (II 61:3 3 1st (21 9:25 15:24 ' 32 [II 66:17 3750 [2] 3:169:18 138 (II -1:8 -4- 14 (21 23:2053:1') , 14.c.4 [21 19:10 47:3 40-pagerll 51:7 1400 (21 3:169:18 1461 (1150:7 147 (II -12:22 i -5- I, , . I t'" (41 (:0 4:4..:0 ): i50'page(l] 51:7 i59111 4:1~ i I -6- 600 (21 3:4 ~7:20 163 [II -1:13 65[21 4:5.15 : 65090 (II 15:21 :65091 (II [5:22 : 67111 4:14 168 (II 4:9 1686-1450 (I) 3:18 .69(214:15,16 1 i -7- I 17'and'a-half(1141:9 170 (II 60:8 1700 (II 26:5 ! 703 (II 26:5 !75131 30:2531:1) 53:25 , 17:42[1J 1:7 i -g- i8(21 19:942:15 I 180131 30:2531:11 53:25 1838312\ (:167\:19 !882'3612(113:ll 1884-2171 (II 3:6 i 8tb (II 6:8 -9- 9 (II 4:6 909 ('I 3:6.11.18 92401-11481113:5 92405 [II 3:10 92418(111:12 92502-1028 (113:17 95 (II 39:18 '9:10(211:770:2 -A- - Multi-Page"" S 1 0 - attorney City of San Bernardino lability (II 38:21 'aftcmOOn(l1 9:23 'answer (101 10:10 11:5 able (41 37:2343:11 53:18 afterwards [IJ 58:7 !3:2,~.3,23 23:24 40:6 158:8 agam 1161 18:4 19:723:3 '2:209:16 above[J) 24:13 34:24 23:1824:3.1525:20 16:11 ans:w~red(11 13::1 68:1 32:1336;537:2547:13 anticIpated III S:S Absent (II 69:25 56:6,857:2458:6 19:14,16 acceptable (I] 32:2 agen~ieS(41 6:~4 7:6 I Anyway [II 58:9 accessible (I] 61:10 [4:IJ,16 lapologIZCl21 9:23 15:19 accidents (II 61:17 agenc~ 141 6:1914:2-1 appeal (IS] 1:55:4,6,0 ,. 13:16/:25 I 7:18.199:1111:1: 16:11 accomm?date(l] ,::11 agenda(l] 9:24 29:15,19 30:-IA 59:3 70:1 aceom~hshe~(I] -li:13lago(l] 14:3 1 appeared (II 33:19 accordmg(l] JI:I iagreed(21 8:13 61:24 Appellant['1 3:13 9:2U a~curate('1 34:13,15 I agreeing [II 6~:1 10:19,21.2211:10,15 ...g,"I"I I"'j'" 1 ...,.. ~ ._- agricultural16] 15:13 J. .) )._J acknowledged [I] 116:15 38:2S 39:23 -10:3,9 Appellan. tS111 !1:17 61:21 agriculture (I] 39:1 I Appendix (321 12:12,j.j acrcs(1l 5:11 lahc d 141'" 1::::2214:17.20.2515:5 luctf41 5:219:239:15 . a (11 :... 15:10 16:1i.2~ 17:22 18:5 H:14 aId [II 54:1-1 I 19:8 2U:2S 22:7.16 23:4 actions (II 8:21 alT(4'] 7:2120:4.6,7,8,9 23:1924:4.1825:2126:11 acutclY[l1 23:23 20:1O.15,17,18,2221:l.5 26:1S 38:13.13,)9 51:19 dd' 11:8.9.2222:327:930:5 51:2556:865:2066:8.12 a mg[31 35:19,20 62:15 3~:)6;16 3S:J2 36:1.3,4./ applicable ('1 16:21 addition (41 6:99:2 41:4,0,7,18 -18:3,7,16 20:6,1446:1 47:6.6 5~:1 I 41:1555:8 49:1557:1558:559:8,10 56:3 I additional (21 17:12 ~0:5,17.J~ ~I:I~ 62:16 applicant(1) 3:16:18 41 :25 au-condItIonIng {lJ 8:12.13.149: 12 33:25 address I"] 9:14 1-1:10 28:18 I' t' , 16 1- LFREDO app Ica Ion (21 0: ,/ 27:1728:529:1.16,20 ,A , [I) 2:6 lapply 14) 49:1751:23 37:3";.5 39:5 45:2 62:.:~4 allegatIons PI 27:23 52:564:11 addressed(12] 5:24 28:13,21. approach III 30:8 27:2547:2152:1556:4 II 16 '9'1 a ow (21 0: .:- ro I . 8 _ I' 56:10 57:6,9 58:15 62:20 II d ", app va (7] 0: ,: 0 6' 5 6 a owe 1'1 L:_.13:14 8:259:667:1-169:2,5 dJdre:' 14:13 d '971' a sses (II 29:14 II' I approve 121 0: :- a uVla [21 18:16 -14:8 A 'I "38 addressing (I I 40:20 I __ pn 121 " , a most (2] 41:16 >>:17 area '0" 16" 01,' adequate (II 59:2 I (261 - ,J, ,_J u,' a one (II 61:2 23:2524:2,1526:231:5 adequately (2( 5:24 alon,," l2J 62:7 66: 12 3~:18 35:13 39:16 -II :23 62:19 dh I Alquist-Priolo [I) 42:6 H 14 48: 13,1-1 50: 15 ia ereltl 68:3 66:23 53:~2 54:6 62:12 63:\3 lad?eres(1) 68:7 !alwaYS[1160:18 63:13,15.1964:14 adJacent(1l1 30:~4 31:3 lambl'ent( '0"1' '4'12 areas [II I~:I] 33 . , - 10 40 I' '3 '4 . 2] . , - . , :J,O-, , : '0 :- .. aTj,'l1mcnt [21 10'4 18:1' 55:J9 56:24 59:13 amount (2) 20:21 :::d6 I' ..' . dmi" a s' .018 amve[11 01:4 a D1stratlVe(l1 mu mg[11 0 : I . I' '2'14 analys.is [401 5"0" I Arrowhead \" J:4,9 J" .__J 27:~29:9 ,adnnts(,] 18:720:2 6:1216:1817:918:18 I ,'d " 19'47"'0'4'4'1'8" last e(II,7:.5 adopt(21 -'1 '1'7 ",_..,.. - ",7 d d i. _. 21:22.232.2:3.4.1923:9 aspects PI 17:927:25 a'608Pt6:'''~S~.?:1O 20:7 23:21.21 24:6.2025:5.14 assessment (1) 49:23 ..;.. 1.__._.) 25:23.24 ~6:9.13.18 32:21 .... ,_ adopting [21 23:5 24:17 34:18 -18:17 51:3 52:1 7 ass'st~ng [I] 10:_' adoption (2] 8:2369:1 53:1954:3.9,1 I 58:1 I a~~,~c.13a~ed ('I 41:17 I adverse (31 17:2436:1 analyzc(2ol 15:1216:15 ,'.' .' I -12:13 I 16:19 19:5,2520:521:25 ASSOCIates ('I J:8 ):19 '2"0 '"'9 15 '124'7 '8'1 adversely (II '6" ..- .J"._, - , I , ','- 25:5,~5 40:1144:2451:3 association [II 67:24 advertIsed (I) 0:24 5J-'4 19 <"11 '1 I- . " J.. assume(lj. : " aesthetlcSll] 25:24 analyzcdp] 12:1118:3 assumed ('I 48:17 affect ('I 26:2 3 I :24 26:6 , I 9 44:21 ancillary!11 "10 assumes."] - : fr .. assumptton(l] '1'11 a "e.eted ('I 6:2336:16 Anderson \6] 3:21 4:13. - , '4:0 6"'- 6"1 I 6<'6 attamment ['I 35:14 . .,_J J,. J, 48'8 68' P affects (II ,6:24 Andreas (II 18:8 " - afford (II 41:9 An 'eles , 48'9 attended(l] 6:7 g I J, attorney [101 2:20 7:24 YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES - RIVERSIDE - (909) 276-1333 Index Page 1 Multi-Page"" attorney-clicnt - convertcd City of San Bcrnardino 6-5-01, Planning Commission Meeting 16:7 18:8 30: 18 35:1 b!ol~gic~! ~I 23:8 52:141 2::~ 37:2,38:3.1! 65:"0 commg [31 17:7 50:15 50:24 37:1738:460:7,1 I )2:11.18.,:_ 6),_4 66:,,4,8,\) 67,10 64:5 concludcs 1'1 9:8 18:18 attorney,c1ient(1) 11:7 bit (41 5:1536:13 37:24 l'c~rtainl41 33:134:10 COMM(l414:8,9.15,16 19:114:1042:144:10 audible ("] 9:1117:13 49:1 ,8:1146:19 12:4.17,21 13:5 15:2.14 4;:1554:9 59:::065:9,12 68:21 b!ig~t!"1 ~O:~ 36:12 37:1 ICerta~nlY(l1 16:13 15:1516:338:1568:24 I conclusion (121 7:4 audlcncc[3) 61::: 65:7 .>?:L :9:1-.1.) icerttflcate(418:4.17 comment PI 33:1836:1:1 18:22.2319:3 25:2 30:1~ 68:19 bhghtmg[21 7:2136:9 I 71:3,19 65:16 II 31:1634:12.14 36:5 41:11 , bl d I h comments (71 7:5,;,8 56:18 automotive (II 19:14 00 (1118:18 C ain(1) 59:14 I . 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tooL!! 15:1 10:16 li':22 create (51 25::526:9 ..y:.::~ 51:14 ci5:2:5 created PI 17:5,1566:16 crcatcslIJ 31:14 creating [21 37:1248:14 criteria PI 14:17 '::0:13 crosses [II -19:6 cumulative 11 II 27:1 J2:l6.20 34:6 48:I:!.l3 51:1652:1157:15.15,16 cumulatively [6J 20:12 :2:2527:2 -t7:23.25 5i:14 current [II -16:10 cut [21 12:23 45:9 -D- o 01111:11 daily [II 67:5 data 171 29:2434:1836:7 37:11 40:752:458:14 DATEI21!:671:15 DAVILA [II 1:15 DAWN [II I'" deal [41'19:22 -11:19 -15:2] 53:11 dealing [I) 39:] 2 dcals [21 49:]254:]9 dcalt ['J 53:9 death [I] 17:25 decibels [41 30:2531:12 53:25.25 decision 121 30:11 35:24 decisions PI 12:23 35:1 37:15 declaration [7] 6:147:1 7:11 8:24 10:8 67:J I 69:1 DECLARE [II 71:7 dccrease [3J 18:1968:14 6S:15 dcfcnsible[11 34:15 dcfcr( II 8: I I deferred [21 33:19,22 36:1637:439:655:15,18. 64:11 I ERNEST III ,:10 defers [21 19:122J:23 67:6 dry [II 12:24 ,erroncouslIl,5:2 deficiency [II 60:22 director 121 2: IS 59:25 dubious [lJ 29: 10 [espeCiallY [21 C7: I 59:-1 define [II 45:25 disagrcc[1I 12:6 due[2[ 22:2356:12 cstablish[41 5:938:21 defined [11 35:5 discharge [71 19:645:1 dumpsters [II 22:1 I ,-15:2250:8 defining [II 44:5 45:3.7,9 46:IS 55:15 during 121 31:1336:10 !estabhshed['J [6:2[ degraded III 46:13 discharges [II 45:4 Durr 171 2:7 4:8 [2:3.4,17 I ,2: Ib61.::5h24:9 53:21 discharging [21 55:16 38:1569:21 ,esta IS IOgPI 26:12 degree[lJ 55:24 55:IS 3S:244:6 delightful [II 29:25 discretionary [II [4:23 -E- evaluated [61 ;2:2-149:9 delves [II 11:6 discuss [21 50:257:21 52:1356:10 57:1-1.16 demand['J 17:1241:25 discusscd[3134:25 E[412:1.l4:J.1 I EVELYN III ,:9 I 5~:13.I..U..l 36:1301:12 carJY[l15:16 cvcningfl21 9:10 2i;'::~ dcmonstratC(1) 37:11 discusses [II :19:19 carth131 ..l):12.13 58:4 I '::S:3.6.1J.17 29:S 32;7 I demonstrated JlI 37:7 discussion[llJ 7:20 carthquakel31 43:20,23 1 33:20 3S:7.10 58:10 'depanment[7I,:19 30:20 34:S 44:3 47:7.11 66:23 leventPI [9:21 .53:15.1566:20.2467:7.9 56:::!:O 57:3A 65:1168:11 easJer[l) 23:6 IcvcntsI11..l:::Il.) Depot[114S:21 discussions[1J 62:3 east [II 53:24 IcverybodYI'146:23 depriving PI 63:20 disposal[31 ,5:1146:2 eastem[1J 33:12 evidence [71 1':418:12 DEPUTY [II ,:20 54:IS economIc [II 37:5 ~9:3 ,1:1426:1940:24 DERC[41 6:3,S 7:7 6S:25 dispose[lJ ,S:14 edge[l[ 53:25 '~:20 __ ,_ Derry[sJ 2:54:1565:15 dissectionll164:4 fr t 4"1' eVldentpl )):_, e ICC [II _, > 69:S,20 disscrtationJlJ 64:4 effcctS[41 17:2425:9 exact[1146:11 describing [II 44:5 distancc[2[ 60:2461:14 26:13,14 cxactlY[21 19:2066:3 description [31 33:5 distributcd [lJ 7:7 effort [II 27:2 example [31 65:2466:1 36:!340:13 distribution Jll 6:23 effons IIJ 15:12 66:24 dC~lgn(MI 7:16..~:::23 _ distriCt(4) 5:14 20:8.17 eithcT[4) 22:2431:22 examPdles(l142:15 4..l:~S.18.l9.19._.) ::11:1) 20:18 36:267:5 excce (4) 22:2435:2:2 designated [21 23:240:1 district's [I] 50:7 elected [II 63:10 45:S 46:19 deslg,nsllJ 43:17 divl'de[31 16','_0 '0',11 ele a(ons -'17 '9'6 exceeded[41 ,1:13 34:19 ., .V.] fll I. 0.. 50:951:17 desplle [II IS:20 40:13 I d 6 e ,mmate [lJ 55: excellent [lJ 60:15 detailcd[6J 30:2032:14 divider [II 40:14 emtsSlOnS['121:5.12 ' 35:21 36:447:1148:11 dividing 121 40:16.19 23:2247:12 4S:2,3 50:4 lexccptlOn III 8:6 dctertOlnatlon JlI 49:24 document [121 14:2 53:5,6 lexeess [21 24:953:21 dctcnmned [21 6:J 8 37:16.21.22 39:9 44:23 emit {21 ::3:22 53:5 lexcessive III 14:10 42:20 47:24 51:2 57:6 59:2 62:5 Empcno (l4J 2:20 ..:7 lexist fJ1 41 :22 43:1.3 dctennining[l114:14 67:3 10:15,16,2511:9.17.20 56:13 develoPJll64:16 documented[l) 37:7 11:2512:2513:11.22 14:2,existenCeJlI 65:J developed 131 19:22 doeumcnts [4J 58:24 14:7. existing I'J 20:10 22:2J 20:232:1S 66:19.2167:2 Emplre[l141:2J 23:2424:13 25:7 31:24 Id~~elopment[311 ~}8 'Dodson [171 3:8.84:11 employccsl2160:J4 32:451:555:7 ):,,8.9.166:107:10..> 5:]S 6:1 28:l.J 29:1.3.6.9 61:2-1 exists [I) 19:2 7:14 8:22.25 9:3.5 IS:23 30:3 3S:17 59:19.21 65:22 Enciso [21 2:669:2J expansIOn [II 25:7 19:14 40:9 42:7,10 56:23 d6S:1 J end IS) 14:660:21.2363:4 expected 121 17:541:] 59:::::463:13.1464:14.10 I oesn'tt91 37:339:15 70'1 '. 64:24.1566:1067:9.13 -U:IO 43:21 44:14 45:11 . 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listlsl 39:7,11 J6:5 52:1< ,mapS(3) 40:1366'20.22 66:17 'IMarch (4) 6.4,8,25 7:2 listcd (3) 57:24,2558:6 ,Mark P) 3:327:16.18 l~stcning [II 65:3 II markets [2~ 33:10 50: 13 ht[l156:14 Matcol'I,4:23 litigation (II 38:2 matcrial [4/ 28:731:2 IJivc[l163:18 I 58:13?0:1 hivcs (II 46:23 ;~atc'!,als [~I 23:2330:7 1.J7:9 :u-:12 )8:12 [LLP[2J 3:2.14 mattcfl4) 9:21 )1:2 r load [21 2~:12 51:5 ' 20:20 50: I II local 1.01 )7:625:J.I2 may (151 9:25 10:11.16 35:5.636:1241:2.J4 1.t:1O 15:24 16:1 25:20 42:1146:2 29:337:1342:4.0:4.13 I locale ['I 35:23 54:1765:1667:18 localized [21 35:18.21 mcan 161 12:23 13:7 15:4 locatcd[.) 5:12 18:8.16 36:1 141:556:7 21:1630:2331:744:9 meanlng(l) 47:22 49:351:18 means [6) 34:239:14 location 141 1:842:21 53:1763:1l.J2.12 61:766:21 mcasurc(llJ 19:10,20 locations (2) 36:1449:8 43:3,744:18,2047:350:2 Lockett(5) 2:94:1669:9 52:954:1959:10 69:17,22 measures [Il) 7:25 8:3 JogiC(l139:I5 33:1734:1.445:1146:17 longefll) 49:18 :7:1: ~1:IO.lI 53:10 ~7:1.J .)8:2 look (15] 14:2532:21 35:41 d' I - 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", '~, ~,' recharges 111 39:16 REPRESENTATIVES 69',6 _O:II.IS _J:I,S,9,__ __:3 d . 30:534:16.1736:1.7 rccommen atIOn{ll [213:LJ3. right[l2111:10.1312:1.2 44:2546:12,2547:1.1.4.4 9:4 representlOg [6' 7:14 13:17,2414:927:6.14 47:7,7.18 4S:4,17 49:15 recommended [31 6:13 10:19 11:1.1.4 64:13 32:IS 39:9 40:1 57:15 5S:5 59:8.10 60:5 14:1016:14 requcstlll 10:12 risk [31 17:2418:13 49:23 60:17,1961:1962:17 reCOrd[11 9:14 IS:12 6-5-01, Planning Commission Meeting Multi-Page Th< o o o YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES - RIVERSIDE - (909) 276-1333 projcct's - Secing City of San Bcrnardino -S- S [31 2:1 4:J.! safety 141 43:18,23,25 65:1 safcly'bascd [II 43:9 sales [II 5: II San [221 1:3.8.122:33:5 3:10 5:J 18:8 :7:21 ~S:2 19:10 38:23 ~9:5 5~:~3 55:J 60:961:162:2463:2 63:14 65:.2 66:6 Sandbag [II 67:24 sanitary 131 45:5.6,S satisfied (II 60:13 Sauerbrun (121 2: II 4:9 12:10.21 13:5 15:2.14.25 16:368:13.1469:13 Saucrbrun'sl31 13:21 13:23 14:11 Savagc 121 3:2 27:20 savcs (II 61:16 'saYS(2IJ 10:2519:2235:4 39:1240:843:1.7.24 45:2547:14 51:8.11,14 51:16 52:5.J7 54:3.3.11 56:7 58:2 SCAG(l161:1 ISCAG'S(l147:18 scheduled [11 6:3 school [21 23:24 24: I schools [II 54:16 scope [21 38:20 5l:lS second 1>1 16:IS 69:8,9 69:11.16 secondly (II 13:13 SECRETARY [II 2:12 section ['I 15:21 26: 19 49:1253:9.10 54:12 56:21 57:12 sediments [21 IS:1644:9 see ['I 15:11 27:9,15 39:1 I 45:11 48:11 62:17 64:20 Seeing [21 65:106S:22 Index Page 7 6-5-0 I, Planning Commission Meeting Multi-Page'" 42:2243:1344:12.21 ~8:21.23 52:22.23 55:17 56:262:8.9.10,1469:6 site's (11 19:13 sits [21 40:17,17 sitting (2) 40:14 50:10 situation [9) 30:1; 34:17 35:18.19,2041:2046:21 51 :20 52:2 44:245:2246:7,11 49:16 69:7 standards 1161 19:6,11 24:9 43.10 44:6 45:1.6.18 46:8,10,14.15.2452:4.6 53:21 standing (I) 44:19 standpoint (I) 48:4 start (4) 21:2038:12,19 39:9 o selsnuc 141 18:1.I442:19 43:11 scismic-relatcd (2) 18:1 43:1 sclf'evidcnt (I) 40:8 sclf-scrving (II 58:17 SENIOR[I) 2:16 SCnSC(2) 19:1129:12 sensitive (201 22:523:1 J 23:1826:10,13 31:6.7.16 SIX [31 21:1648:1960:1 31:22,23,2450:14,20.25 Sixth[HI 3:21 18:15 statC(21) 6::2 12:12 52:1653:254:4,856:16 63:18,2364:5,9,16,21 16:2517:2218:519:8.10 56:22 I. hi 19:2020:14.25 22:i.17 S Ig t Y [11 34:23 23:424:4 :5:12 38:13 scntlll 6::::: 1 sip (11 23:6 45:13 46:1.10 55:20,21 scntcncc III 45:24 small (6) 36:2: 41 :25 statcmcnt (I) 39:8 scncs (2) 36:1850:7 42:554:13,13,14 statcs 121 55:13 66:14 scrvcd(l) 25:9 smells (II 50:17 station 1>1 19:1421::4 SCrvlCC(6) :::::2525:4 50-0D[1141:20 49:11.1250:4 52: 11.11 54:9 55:11 socioeconomic [21 37:3 stations (2) 33:9 50:13 sCfV1CeSl9j 2:181i:1J J~:6 statuS{I) 23:11 24:2042:751:1754:11 J 1917 59:2566:2067:9 SOl. 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Staff's [I) 9:4 SUBSCRIBED SltC[341 5:116:97:17 0 [1/ 18:14.15.16.21.1519:1 stand[21 _9:667:14 71:14 19:1921:10,1623:2533:4 standard[131 7:1520:9 substanccs[l) 23:23 33:1339:12.12,2540:4 20:1522:2543:5,23,24 substantial (') 17::4 o o ~ scismic - traffic-rclatcd City of San Bcrnardino 18:11.I322::1 24:11 16:llthcmsclvesl21 61:21.:2 51:5,12 5~:20 ,THEREAFTERIIJ substantially (2) 10:10 71.11 22:23 Therefore (41 31: 10 3:::3 substantiatcd [I) 37:8 36:5 50: I substantiating (I) thercinl21 6:1371.10 37:11 THEREOF[I) 71:13 substantiation [II 37:1 thcy'vcPI 15:348:18 such (4J 45:2563:2364:1 57:25 64:13 third(SI 11:2 17:I.J.11 sufficicnt 12) 15:10 60:1 58:19 thoroughly [I) 61:19 suggested (5) :::1623:4 thousand (IJ 68:5 14:3.18 25:21 h Thras Cf[391 1:4 4:4 5:4 suggestion [I) 16:1 9:9.12 IO:13.~4 1::~.IS suit[l) 66:6 13:6,15,2014:1.4.9,1: suitable {II 32:1 16:2.827:6.16 2S:2S 29:5 Suite PJ 3:4.169:18 30:2 59:1S.21.23 02:22 65:6,10,13.1767:1008:18 sum [21 60:4 62:6 68:21 69:10,13.15,17,:0 sum-up III 58:15 thrcatened II) 23:11 summary (3) 17:530:6 threelHI 11:1816:12 57:12 45:1150:12.13 54:22 60:4 Sun (II 6:15 61:24 supcrficial (I) 58:1) thrcc'and-a-half(l) support ['1 17:418:12 21:19 19:316:1940:24 threshold [201 11:712:6 suPportcd(2) 8:10 17:19 12:1514:1,16,1726:8,12 "'4'''0 .,... '4 ...5..,.... 48" supposed 121 51 :21 58:7 :.- ._-~- .,: ._J ~ .J , . 00:8 67:_1._) 68:1.~.4.6 sUPf,osltton 12) 17:4 thresholds [131 14:14,24 40,_, 'I" -3'3 6 '5" <46'19 surfaccp) 45:14 46:25 51:~t59:9 t6:9~j-3,15 46"5 ,- through['1 7:38:19 :1:1 surfaces (2) 18:2144:16 32:2237:22.2447:2.11 surrounding 121 56:14 57:5 56:11 throughout 131 65:11 SystCffiP) 22:2255:19 66:10.19 55:22 TIA (II 68:2 systcms (2) :5:555:11 Tildcn (2) 3:227:20 timely I') 33:18 timcs [I) 37:19 TOm(91 3:85:1828:3.8 28:J 1.22.23 29:J.9 tonightlH) 8:189:1016:5 :9:1458:21 63:1664:12 65:10 too (I) 58:9 top 121 23:20 39::0 topics IXI 14:J9.22.25 16:16,:317:2125:11 29:21 total III 16:5 totally [21 48:3 52:13 touchcd [21 68: 13.1 7 traffic [421 5:20.23 7:2J 7:258:1.915:15.1817:9 20:21.2121:222:21.22 24:14.1530:532:12,14 32:20.21.24 33:J5 34:3.9 48:1351:3,4,5,7.13 57:15 59:560:5,17,1061:23 62:2,16 68:2,8,8 traffic.rclated 121 8:1 8:15 -T- T(I) 3:15 taking [I) 55:4 Targctlll 48:12 task [II 19:)0 tax 121 63:J2 64:14 teach (I) 38:3 tear (I) 61:17 technical [21 27:25 36:4 tclls [I) 33:5 temporary (II 24:11 Tcn (II 10:4 term(l) 51:19 terminology [I) 43:17 terms [21 15:1668:1 testimony (I) 13:1 text (4) 36:2,3 57:23 58:1 thank (23) 11:1.2.17 14:8 27:6.14.15,18,22 18:15 29:2559:16.21 62:21.22 63:165:2,5,667:15,16 '68:1869:18 YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES - RIVERSIDE - (909) 276-1333 Index Page 8 o o '0 transportation [31 ee:18,1967:24 Valerief21 e:15 58:25 transportation/circulation Valerie's (II 33:20 (1158:5 ValleYl1154:23 traps [I I 22:9 varied III 66: 1 5 trash [31 22:1Il 25:J5 56:2 variety [21 14:2233:9 travel 131 60:23 61:15.16 vegetation [I) 52:2~ traveledllJ 47:17 Ivehi~le[31 el:1047:17 tned[l167:1 148:1, trip III J2:2~ vehicuJarrlJ 20:20 tripS171 21:10 3::~5 33:2 verbatimpJ 15:11 33:2 ':9:7 50:11 6&:5 verifies {II 36:8 true 121 14:1571:1e verify [21 55:260:J2 try [41 e8:2U 38:1Il 04:15 VerSIOn III 66:11 65:':5 versus (II 68:8 trying [31 16:1129:11 vibration III 24:10 30:8 vicinity PI 24:JJ 50:25 TUESDAY [21 1:65:J vlewllJ 37:16 two ["I el:lO,J7 29:12 views [21 26:258:10 3e:16,18 39:8,1143:17 48:18,eO,21 49:1.757:22 vioJate[31 19:520:9 58:10 07:19 6~:16 44:25 type [101 5:87:138:25 vioJating(l148:15 1~:741.5,5,660:22,24 violation[31 2U:1135:14 zone(ll 18:10 62: 15 48: 12 zones [I) 66:23 types 121 43:1745:17 violationS{21 35:11.J2/Z0ning[l) 39:25 typically 121 14:17.18 vote III 69:19 -U- -W- 6-5-01, Planning Commission Meeting TRANSCRlBED [II 71:11 TRANSCRlPTl21 1:4 71:12 utilized [II 46:12 utilizing [I I 55:7 -V- , Multi-Page '" TRANSCRlBED - zoning City of San Bernardino UBP-2IlJ 5:13 wait[31 13:8,9,17 ultimatcll138:9 Wal-Martl91 3:15:10 Unanimous (II 69:15 60:7.1261:362:7,10.10 under"1 16:2420:J4 64:5 ::2:723:: l.t.; 68:3 ward 19) 3:2J 63:18.23 UNDERSIGNED (II 64:5,7,8.9.16,21 71:6 warm [II 27:10 understand (I) 11:8 Washington [II 49:4 understood III 10:22 wastell51 19:623:23 undetermined (I) 42:21 25:11.1345:1.3.4 53:12 . 54:18.21.2255:156:3.4- units [II 41:5 58:6 University 141 3:165:13 watef[20! J8:18.25 19:4 ~:IS 33:1 I 19:5.2425:7,1739:16,17 unless PI 49:22 39:J9 44:J3.25 45:JO.J4 unravel II] 29:11 46:12.25.25 55:13.J6 58:4 unstable [21 43:1:,12 Wearl2) 25:161:17 up 1101 13:8 19:929:4 weighing PI 38:9 35:2237:13 46:9,23 60:4 well-discussed [I) 60:6 62:6,13 west [31 33:8 40:IS 54:1 uphold [21 9:568:25 wetlands [II 23:17 urban PI 52:24 whatsoever [41 15:13 used [101 19:1921:11 19:325:1440:24 :9:2435:240:3,4,850:S WHEREOF IlJ 7):14 )1:J966:18 h J '1-'03 W 0 C(21 .) :)) : uses {1'1 19:1622:2431:3 . 31:4.16.22,23,24 33:3,6,7 ~ler~IJ 44:20 33:7,S 39:21 40:IS,18 Wlldhfe P) 23:17 56:2259:1367::5 wipe [II 50:23 usmgp! 12:13 49:7 52:9 wish[11 67:17 utilities [21 25:455:11 wishing 121 65:768.:19 within (61 18:J723:23. 44:956:21 58:::!2 62:9 without (5) 24:13 50:4 58:1 161:362:9 withstand PI 43:1 I WITNESS [II 71:14 woefully [I I 57:3 wondered (21 13:1 I 64:6 words (21 17:13 e2:6 Works [41 5:238:11.13 34:12 world [II 46:6 writing PI 46:4 written III 66:3 wrong [II 44:i -Y- year [31 32:22 33:24 61:J years [I I 62:9 yesterday P[ 9:25 10:1 11:24 Yet PI 24:2: young [21 32:735:10 -z- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES - RIVERSIDE - (909) 276-1333 Index Page 9 I GRESHAM, SAVAGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP A REGISTERED LIMITED LIABILITY PARTNERSHIP LAWYERS. FOUNDED 1910 FOR TilE FIRM J..hnC.Nolan 600 N. ARROWHEAD A VENUE, SUITE 300 SAN BERNARDINO, CALIFORNIA 92401.1148 (909) 884-2171 . FACSIMILE (909) 888-2120 WILLIAM GlITHRlE (1886-1941) OONALDW. JORDAN (1907-1989) JOHN B. LONERGAN (RETlllED 1976) July 6, 2001 Mayor Judith Valles Members of the Common Council of San Bernardino City of San Bernardino - City Hall 300 North "D" Street San Bernardino, CA 92418 Re: Appeal Relating to Development Permit II No. 01-05 Hearing: July 9, 2001 Honorable Mayor and Council Members: The purpose of this letter is to express, on behalf of our client, W AL-MART STORES, INC., its concern that the referenced appeal may be motivated by business competition rather than the result of good faith environmental concerns. The California Environmental Quality Act ("CEQA") sets out that it is the policy of the State to provide a high quality environment (Public Resources Code, section 21000) and a method to insure that such environmental quality is provided. CEQA is not, however, to be used as a business "weapon" by someone opposed to a project applicant. Indeed, last year, the California Court of Appeals, in the case of Waste Mana\;!ement of Alameda County v, County of Alameda (2000) 79 Cal.App.4th 1223, concluded that, if a project opponent was objecting to the project because of business or competitive reasons, then that objector did not have "standing" to pursue the objections. According to the Appeals Court, CEQA objections are to be advanced, in good faith, by someone who would likely suffer environmental detriment if the project were approved, The instant project is located near the intersection of the 215 Freeway at University Parkway in the Sixth Ward. Interestingly, however, the first person to object to it was Kathleen Franks, who resides on 1974 East Lynwood Drive, in the Fourth Ward. In a telephone conversation with Mark Boen, one of the current owners of the project property, Ms. Franks acknowledged that she had been requested by the United Food and Commercial Workers Union ("UFCW") to object to the Project. W AL-MART sales associates are not affiliated with the UFCW; however, the UFCW, of course, would like to expand its membership to include the sales associates. In furtherance of UFCW's desire to have W AL-MART agree to UFCW's representation of its sales associates, UFCW has interposed environmental objections at various locations where W AL-MART is contemplating building stores hoping to delay, or frustrate, those projects. Riverside Office' 3403 Tenth Street, Suite 518, Riverside, CA 92501 . (909) 684.2171 . Facsimile (909) 684-2150 Victorville Office' 14350 Civic Drive, Suite 120, Victorville, CA 92392. (760) 243-2889. Facsimile (760) 243-0467 7-9-01 =ff3J- J GRESHAM, SAVAGE, NOLAN & TILDEN. LLP John C. Nolan Mayor Judith Valles Members of the Common Council of San Bernardino July 6, 2001 Page 2 Interestingly, Ms. Franks is no longer the official opponent to this Project. Instead, that position is now occupied by Carol Gold. Ms. Gold, who resides in the Fifth Ward, has been observed on the premises ofUFCW's facility in Bloomington and is now represented by Andrew Kahn, an attorney whose offices are in San Francisco. Mr. Kahn has been involved as an attorney opposing other W AL-MART projects, including most recently, a lawsuit against the W AL-MART in Palmdale, which involved the UFCW as one of the parties in the settlement. Although Ms, Gold has not acknowledged that she is acting on behalf of the UFCW, the Union's Attorney is representing her, so at the very least, we believe she is having her legal advice and fees supplied by the UFCW, The proposed W AL-MART store in North San Bernardino, like every other project, is one that should be evaluated on its own environmental merits. Because CEQA is not a tool to advance business objectives, we urge you to determine for yourself, whether you believe Ms. Gold's environmental objections are being advanced in good faith. We strongly believe that the presentation that will be made at the hearing of July 9, 2001 will clearly indicate that this Project is in compliance with CEQA. Very truly yours, C .?1~#et .oJ J C. Nolan of GRESHAM, SA V AGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP JCN:tdg cc: James F. Penman, Esq. - City Attorney Mark A. Ostoich, Esq, 07/05/01 16:33 FAX 19099821516 ~02 ~ PR.OWESTER.N DEVELOPMENT COMPANY ..m July 5, 2001 , Mark Ostoich Gresham, Savage, Nolan & Tilden, LLP 600 N. Arrowhead Avenuc, Suite 300 San Bernardino, CA 92401-1148 Re: University Business Park/Wal-Mart/Appeal Dear Mark: PnTfinRnt tn ynm rr:IJIIf'.~1 tnrlRY. ynn hRrl RRKI',n mr. tn mmnoriRlizr. R tr:Jr.phonr. convCTsation T hall with the original appcllant Kathleen Flanks on June II, 200!. On June 11, 2001, at approximately 11 :30 a.m., I placed a call to Kathleen Franks to see if! ,could dise\l3s her eofteems lIftd CftCllU1'agc a ftIcctiftg with Dctty A.Il.dcraon QIId myoolf. Whon Specifically questioning her pertaining to some of the issues she raised in her appeal presented by Jennifer Buchman ofDest, Best and Krieger at the Planning Commission Meeting, she shared with me that she had no knowledge about any of the specific issues. When discussing with her the many benefits Wal,Mart and other related business and services to f91l~' "''9~IO i'M\;dc tc tho OOftlft'dlftity, Dko quisldy diDoloooo that hGl' offorto "~ro not dirootod against the development ofthe site, the City or the land ownership, but directly against Wal-Mart since they did not hire union workers. She shared that as a resident of San Bernardino, she had been asked to assist the union and cooperate in blocking Wal-Marl's efforls to establish this store. The conversation was terminated shortly thereafter. I hope this information will assist the Mayor and City Council Members to clearly recognize that the original appellant, Kathleen Franks, was nothing more than a representative of the United Food and COInmerical Workers Union. Kathleen Franks was not personally concerned regarding the suitability of the Wal-Mart Store being constructed in the University Business Park. Her only objection was that Wal-Mart will not hire union workers. In can be of any further assistance, please do not hesitate to call. Sincerely, ~~ Mark Boen President 7-9-0( #31- S.nl b':lllSR - 05-Jul-81 12Ie5~" frol"l 94f.95538a76~ ~.Ij1. 2 LSA aT.'1. OJ'J'IQEI; .:nEILIY 'T. &IOIIW02411' ,T. COLLUU ~IVI"IIDZ ..c.QICUM 1.'A "'-UOCIA.T"., Ufe. OHI I... put., ,VIT.. S99 ......un. OALnoalflA !lU..,,4f. 94,.sn.O'" TIL ,..,.sn,107. U:V; July 5, 2001 A1iccn Wong Oresham, Savage, Nolan & Tnd~n. LLP 600 N. Arrowhead A venue, Suite 300 San Bernardino, California 9240l-1 148 Subject: Noise Analysis for North San Bernardino Wal-Mart Dear Alicen; As requested, LSA Associates, Inc. (LSA) h~ rcvi..-d the City of San Bemardino's Initial Study alllllys!s of potential noise impacts associated with the construction and operation of the North San Bernardino Wal-Mart, located on Hallmark Parkway west ofInterstate 215 (1,215), in the City of San Bernardino, California. Based upon our review of this proposed project, we concur with the conclusions of the City's Initial Study that the potential noise impacts will be less than significant. Our analysis, wbich verifies the City's conclusions, is contained herein. SENSITIVE LAND USES IN 'flU; PROJECf VICINITY ThC1'\l arc existing sensilive ~identialland uses 400 feet to the northeast, 1,350 feet to the southwest, and 3,500 to the northwest. The closest resiclcnces to the northeast are located on the opposite .ide of the 1.215, The primary source of noise in the vicinity of the project site is noise generated by traffic on the ].215. The City's General Plan, pages 14-11 to 14-12, concludes that noise levels along the I- 215 range from 77 to 80 dBA in 1979, with the projected increases in traffic raising the noise levels to 80-81 dBA in future years. THRESHOLD OF SIGNIFICANCE A projcel will normally have a significant effect 00 the ct\vironmcot related to noise if it will SUbstantially increase the ambient noise levels for adjoining areas or conflict with a.dnrted environmental plans and goals of the community where It is located. The applicable Daise standards governing the project site arc the criteria in the City of San Bernardino Noise Element of the General Plan. 7/l/01 ((P:\GVS033\rev~cd Nolse,wpd>) .."........u.q. 1I"V'U())lWaN'U.L IDlINalS PIU01'4 ~ 1- 9- 0 ( -#3"L. , S.nl b~llSA - e~-Jul-el 121e6~~ r,..ol"l 949S53S876t ~ao;l. :s teA. "UOCIATas, INC. City of San Bernardino Nolsll GllldeUnes The City of Son Bernardino adopted a Noise Element (December, 1993) in its General Plan. One of the general goals of the San Bernardino City NoiS(; Element is to develop an4 adopt specific policies and an effective implementation program to abate an4 avoid excessive noi,c exposures in the City by requiring that effective noise mitigation measures be incorporated into tbe design ofnew noise generating an4 new noise sensitive land uses. Specific policies have been adopted by the City to accomplish the goals of the Noise Element, including the following: I. Areas \\ithin San Bernardino City shall be designated as "noise-impacted" if exposed to existing or projected future exterior noise levels from mobile or stationary sources exceeding the sbmdatds listed in Tables A and B. Table A: Hourly Noise Levell'erfonnance Standa"'. Locally Rccu1atcd Soan:a 1 LIIl. - 10 p.... I 10 p.m. - 7 a.m. Land Use Catq:ory Leq L..u I Leq L,.g -- .-. - . ... ..... .-... Residential or other noise sensitive receivers 55 75 45 65 Soww: City of San Bernardino, Noiae Elemant, 1993. Table B: InteriorlExterlor Noise Level Standards - Mobile Noise Soun:es CNEL or L.. Land Use Categories Land Uaea Intenor Exterior Residential Single and multiflllllily, <Iuplox, mobile homC$ 45 60' ,,- . .... 'M' _... Commercial Hotel. mOle!, transient lodging 4S 60' -..-- Commercial retail, bank, IBstauraDl SO nI. .. - Office building, re,.1U'Ch and development, I 45 65 profe"ional offices .. ._.~._- Arnpbilhe81er, concert hal~ audltorlum. movie !healer 4S nl. Institutional Hospital, nursing !>orne, school cla$srooms. chun;h, 45 ~S - Ilbrary ..,- --. .... Open Space Park nle 65 Soul'te: City of San Bernardino. Noise EI.m""~ 1993, All exterior nol..level orup 10 65 dBA CNEL (orT,..) will be allowed provided eKterior noise levels have been substantially mitigated througb a reasonable application of the best available noise reduction technology and interior noise exposure does not exceed 45 dBA CNEL (or L",) with win<lows and doors closed. Requiring that windows and doors remain closed to achieve an acceptable interior noise level will necessitate the use ohir conditioning or mechanical ve1\tlladon, 71SIOI((P:\GVSOJ3\r<vI..d Noi...wpdll 2 S.nt b~llSA 05-Jul-81 12106~~ r~o~ '495538076t ~a'iII~ 41" 7 LIlA. .A..,ocU.TII, 1H(I. 2. The City shall enforce me State Noise Insulation Standard. (California Code ofRegulalions, Title 24) and Chapter 35 of me Uniform Building Code (UBC), 3. Sub<livlsion approval adjacent to any developed/occupied noise sensitive land uses shall r~uire mat me developer submit a construction related noise mitigation plan to the City for review and approval prior to issuance of a grading pennit. The plan must depict tbe localion of CIllLStructlon equipment and how tbe noise from this equipment wlll be mitigated during construction of this project, tiu'ougb the use of such methods as the following: . Temporary noise attenuation fences . Preferential location of equipment . Use of cummt technology and noise suppression llquipmcnt The operation or URe between the hours of ten p.m and seven a,m. of any pile driver, steam shove~ pneumatic hammer, derrick, steam or electric hoist, power driven saw, or any other tool or apparatus the use of which is attended by loud and excessive noise is prohibited, except with the approval of the Mayor and Common Council. IMPACTS Implementation of the proposed projecl would result in short-tenn construction and long-tonn operational noise impaots. The following focuses on the jnCNaJe in noise associated with the conslruction of the propollCd project and the on-site operational noise source impacts. Construction Activities Two types of short-term noise impacts would occur during project construction. The first is the increase in traffic flow on (ooal streets associated with the transport of workers, equipment, and materials to and ftom tile project site, The pieces of heavy equipment for demolition, grading, and consltuctioJ\ will be moved to the site and remain for the duration of each construction phase. The increase in traffic flow (In tlte surrounding roads due to constructiOll traffic is expected to be small. The associated increase in long-tenn traffic noise will not be perceptible. However, there will be short-tenn, intermittent high noise levels asSQciated with truck pass by from the project site, The second type of short-term Doise impact is related to the noise generated by heavy equipment operating on the project site. Construction is completed in discrete steps, each of which has its own mix of equipment and, consequently, its own noise characteristics, These various sequential phases would change me character of the noise generated on me site and, therefore, the noise levels surrounding the site as construction progresses. Despite the variety in the type and size of construction equipment, similarities in the dominant noise sources and panerns of operation allow construction related noi.e r~s to be categorized by work phase, Tabl. C lists typical construction equipment noise levels recommended for noise impact assessments, based on a distance of 50 feet between me equipment and a noise receptor. 7/5/0\ ((P:\OYSOlJ'l<vild Nolse,wpd)) 3 S.nl b':lILSA - 05-Jul-01 12Ie7~~ ~a9. 51' 7 fro" 9495538076~ LSA AUOOU.TU, UIC. Table C: Maximum CODltrlletloD Equipment NoillC Levels Range of Sound Levelo S'l""'~ SoUlld Meuured Levek fnr Anal}'lis Type of Equipment (dBA at 50 feet) (dBA at 50 feet) Pile Drivers, 12,000 to 18,000 ft.lblblow 81 to 96 93 .. .-.--. .. _w"_',' Rock Drills 83 to 99 96 ....- .. .. .. Jack Hammers 75 to 85 82 ," ..... '.. -.,- Pneumatic Tools 78 to 88 85 .. ' ..,- ,., --' Pumps 68 to 80 77 , ,.. ,.., - -----. - Dozers 85 to 90 88 .-. .-.-- ....... _.-.- ,- TTllCtors 170082 80 ----... ,., ... Front-End Loaders 86 to 90 88 .... - .. - HYdraulic Backhoe 81 to 90 86 ... .. -..- ..-.--- .. , - Hydraulic Excavators 81 to 90 86 ".--'-'-- .., ,-- Graders 79 to 119 86 ...~.. ----- ,- Air Compressors 76 to 86 86 .., .... - Tl\ICks 81 to 87 i 86 Source: Noise Control for Building.' and Mallufaclurllli Pllllts, BoI~ Beranek & Newl1lMI. 1987, Typical noise levels range up to 91 dBA L",.. at SO reetduring the noisiest COl)struction phases, The ~it. preparation phase, which includes excavation and grading: of the site, tends to generate the highest noise levels, because tj1e noisiest construction equipment is earthmoving equipment. Earthmoving equipment includes excavating machinery such as backfillers, bulldoZCT'S, draglines, and flQnt loaders. Earthmoving and compacting equipment includes compactors, scrapers, and graders, Typical operating cycles for these types of construction equipment may involve one or two minutes ofMI power opeJlllion followed by three to four minutes at lower power settings. Cons1roction of the proposed project is expected to require the use of earthmovers, bulldozers, and water lI!ld pickup trucks, Noise typically associ~ted with the use of construction equipment is estimated between 79 and 89 dBA at a distance of 50 feel rrum the construction effort for the grading phllSe. Thi> equipment would be u8ed on the project .ite. AJ; seen in Table C, the maximum noi.e level generated hy each earthmover on the proposed project site Is assumed to be 88 dBA at 50 feet from the earthmover. Each bulldozer would also generate 88 dBA at 50 feet. The mllXimum noise level generated by water and pickup trucks is "Pl'roximately 86 dBA ~t 50 feet from these vehicles. Each doubling of the sound sources with equal strength increases the noise level by 3 dBA, 71SI01<(1':I(:VSOJJ_ NolJc.wpd)) 4 Sent. b':tILSR . e~-Jul-01 12Ie7~~ fl"'ol"l 94'5538076-)> ~a'il. 6/ 7 LU. ASSOC.ATII, IRe. Assuming tbat eacb piece of constrUCtion equipment operate. a. an individual noise source, the worst case compo.ite noise level durin& this phase of construotion would be 91 dBA T '"'.. at a distance of SO feet from an active con~ln1ction area. The nearesl sensitive receptors to the project sites are localed al a distance of approximately 400 feet, and may be subjected 10 short-term noise reaching 73 dBA L.,.. generated by constnlction activities. The other rcsidcnliallocations In the general vicinity of the proposed projecl are at a distance of 1,350 feet and 3,500 feet; tbe constrUCtion noise levels at these locations would be 62 dBA L.... and 54 dBA L,..., respectively. Construction related noise impacts of the proposed project would not eltceed the maximum noise level permitted for locally regulated sources, and the impact would be less than significant However, to minimize the impact of the constnlction noise on existing buildings on the project site and residences adjacent to the project area, compliance with lb. City's Noise Control Ordinance would be reqllired. During construction, the project shall implement the following measures: . The operation or use of any pile "river, steam shovel, pneumatic hammer. derrick, steam or electric hoist, power driven saw, or any other tool or apparatus, the use of which Is attended by loud and excessive Daise shall be restricted to tho hours between seven a.m. and ten p.m., except with the approval of the Mayor and Common Council. Lonl-Term No;'" Impa~ The long-Ienn noise impacts at the project site would be associated primarily with stationary or mobile equipment used within the proposed project ;lle, Proposed nn,site commercial uses an: expected to generale little or very low noise levels excepl at individual loading docks, where loading/unloading activities would generate moderale noise levels. Traek Delivery "nil LoolillnglUnloading. The on-site noise generating activities olosest to an)' off. site sensitive uses would be from the loading/unloading activities associated with the retail store. There will be a loading dock at the northwest comer of the retail store, approximately 400 feet from the nearest residences. Based on noise readings from loading and unloading activities for other siInillll' projects, a noi.e level of 75 dBA Lmu at 50 feet was used in this analysis. The noise attenualion of loading/unloading activities, provided by distance divergence at 400 feet, i. approximately 18 dBA compan:d to the level at 50 feet. Therefore, resideuces to the northeast would be exposed to Ioadlng/unloadinlt noise levels of up to 57 dBA Lmu. The other residential locations in the general vicinity of the proposed project are at a distance of 1 ,350 feet and 3,500 feet; lhe loading/unloading noise levels at these locations would be up to 46 dBA Lmu and 38 dBA Lm.., respectively, These noise levels are much lower than the City's ~riot noise standard of 75 dBA J...,." during tbe day (7 a,m. to 10 p,m.) or 65 dBA L,.." during the night (10 p,m, to 7 a.m.). Therefore, it is not anticipated that noise associated with the truck delivery and loading/unloading activities will have any significant impact on the residences adjacent to the projecI site. Parking Lot Activiti.., Representative parking activities, such as customer conversing or dOOf Closing, would genel'llte intermittent, maximum noise level. of approximately 60 dBA L.... at SO feet. 7/S/OI<<P:IGVS033\n,vu.d Nouc.wpd>> 5 . S@nl b':lILSA . . e~-Jul-01 12Iea~" f~o" '49~~3ee76~ ~a'i1. 7/ 7 lou. .IIOOJ4TSI, tWI;:. The Jloise attenuation of parkin; lot activities, provided by distance divergCl\ce at 400 feet, i. approximately 18 dBA compared to the level at SO feel TherefDr", residences to the northeast would be exposed to parking lot activity noise level. of up to 42 dBA L..... This level of noise is much lower than that of the traffic on tbe area roads, including the 1-21 S, or the loading/unloading of trucks. Therefore, it is not anticipated that noise associated with the parking lot activities will have any significant impact on the residences adjacent to the project site. Traffie Nolle. The proposed project will generate additional traffic trips within the ~iect vicinity. However, these trips would add a small, less than significant amount of noise along roadway links in the project vicinity. CONCLUSION Construction of the proposed project would not result in any significant Inorease in long-term stationary or mobile noise in the sUll'Oundlng areas, Construction activities are localized noise sources and would affect only land uses immediately adjacent to the project site with direct line of sight. None oftbe pO$$jble stationary noise sources on the project site will have the potential to affect nearby sensitive land useS. If you have any questions please contact me or Tony Chung at (949) 553-0666, :lrc Keith Lay Assistant Project Engineer 7"'01 ((~:\OVS03J...bed NOlsc,w,<j" 6 VAN BLARCOM LEIBOLD MCCLENDON & MANN VAN Ik-lRCOM LEIBOLD ,\ICClENDON & MANN -. JOHN G, McClENDO:-.l ~T10R."lr \ r.",."",~" c....,.. ,~,~., TUl RO''I1l .\l\\:'IO\: . in"" ,. c . . ':. lI:\i'.\H'\ -\\T'\UJ-' () Tn il"UillJ(i700'FU,-7..J' . ,k.\'\(;I..C....urOR.'1.\92Rfill . ] .h3lJ.7111 Juhn(J,"nQAmm A PROFESSIONAL CORPORATION The Royer Mansion 307 East Chapman Avenue Orange, California 92866 E-mail: lawfirm@CEQA.com CALIFORNIA ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY ACT ("CEQA") MATERIALS [presented by the appellant to the City of San Bernardino Common Council on July 9, 2001, in connection with the appeal ofthe City Planning Commission's adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration prepared for Development Permit II No. 01-05] ~.._4,.' .., .~ 1. . ' " ~I 9. ':l tl(J / g.l'-i~ n~3 C::-~--~1 _~~l~il:_~~~' C~',t ":. >... "i :'~:{y' ,...! ',)':':H ~......;i .-..;": 1- 9-0; -:#32 - NOTICE RECENT COURT DECISION INV ALIDA TES CEQA GUIDELINES SECTIONS COMMUNITIES FOR A BETTER ENVIRONMENT V CALIFORNIA RESOURCES AGENCY [Sacramento County Superior Court Case No. 00CS00300] A recent court ruling has held that certain State CEQA Guidelines are invalid. Even though the ruling was by a superior court, the California Resources A!!encv has stated that public a!!encies and oroiect prooonents should not relv on the invalidated sections (see attached CEOA Uodate notice from the A!!ency's website) and has indicated that it intends to revise and amend the affected sections to comport with the iud!!e's ruling. Subdivision (h) ofCEQA Guidelines Section 15064 (see copy attached) directs the lead agency to determine that an environmental impact caused by a project is not a significant environmental effect if the impact is consistent with a standard applicable to that effect, provided the standard applies to the jurisdiction where the project is located and the standard was adopted by means of a public review process and for the purpose of environmental protection. This provision was held to violate CEQA because it could lead an agency to abrogate the "fair argument" standard for purposes of determining whether to prepare an EIR or a negative declaration. The provision directs the agency to consider merely whether the project complies with the standard, and whether the standard is "appropriate." Under the "fair argument" standard, however, the agency must consider whether a fair argument exists that the project may have a significant environmental effect, notwithstanding compliance with the standard - a broader inquiry than the one called for by Subdivision (h). CEQA Guidelines Section 15130 (a)(4) and Section 15064(i)(4) were also invalidated. These section authorize the lead agency to determine that the project's contribution to a cumulatively significant impact is "de minim us" and therefore insignificant if conditions would be essentially the same regardless of whether the agency approved the project. The court ruled: "the de minimus approach is contrary to established case law holding that a contribution by a proposed project to an existing cumulative impact may be cumulatively considerable even if it is relatively minor and could be characterized as insignificant." Finally, CEQA Guidelines Section 15064(i)(3) was invalidated. This section authorizes agencies to find that a project's incremental contribution is not cumulatively considerable if the project complies with the requirements of a previously approved plan or mitigation program designed to address the cumulative condition. The court held that this section contravenes CEQA case law holding that a project may have significant cumulative effects even ifit complies with significance thresholds in an approved plan or mitigation program. CEQA Update Page 1 of2 ~90W~~~~ENCY CAUp'ofRNYJ\ ~~ RESOURCLS HOMEPACE . CALIFORNIA HOMEP...C( . COVDtNOR'S 1I0MlP.I CEaA UPDATE:.. June, 2001 !-egal Decision: In Communities for a Better Environment...e.Lal. v. California Resources AgencY (Sacramento Superior Court: Case No. OOCS 00300), the petitioners challenged certain sections of the CEOA Guidelines that were revised in 1998. Following a hearing held on April 13, 2001, Judge Ronald B. Robie issued a decision invalidating the following Guideline sections: 15064(h); 15130(b)(1)(B)(2); 15130(a)(4); 15064(i)(4); 15152(f)(2) to the extent that it incorporates 15064(i)(3) and (i)(4); 15152(f)(3)(c); 15064(i)(3); 15378(b)(5). The parties have until July 30, 2001 to appeal Judge Robie's decision. The Resources Agency advises that the invalidated sections should not be relied upon, Instead, agencies and project proponents should utilize the CEOA statute and the interpreting cases. CE1JA Guidelines Review Process UJ)date: Unrelated to the lawsuit, the Resources Agency began its statutorily mandated biennial CEOA Guidelines review process in March 2000. The rule making process is divided into two parts, one for technical changes and one for substantive changes. Technical changes became effective February 1, 2001. Based upon the ongoing review of the substantive changes, the Secretary for Resources has decided to initiate rule making proceedings to propose amendments to the CEOA Guidelines. The Resources Agency has identified several substantive issues to be considered in this rulemaking. In order to encourage greater public participation and to allow for careful consideration of each revision, the Resources Agency has separated the substantive process into two phases. All of the sections invalidated by Judge Robie's decision are addressed during the first phase. The Resources Agency is in the process of finalizing the proposed draft language for the first phase amendments and plans to have the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking to the Office of Administrative Law in the fall. Public hearings on the revisions will follow. The rulemaking process for the second phase amendments will begin early in 2002. In the meantime, the Resources Agency anticipates sCheduling several informal hltp://resources.ca.gov/CBE_notice.html 7/7/01 CEQA Update Page 2 of2 pre-rulemaking workshops in Sacramento in the coming months. The Resources Agency looks forward to your comments and suggestions, If you have any questions, please contact Assistant Counsel, Nathan Goedde at nCithan,goedde@lresources.ca,gov. http://resources.ca.gov/CBE_notice.html 7/7/01 "I TITLE 14, CALIFORNIA CODE OF REGULATIONS, SECTION 15064 [Determining the Significance of the Environmental Effects Caused by a Project] (a) Determining whether a project may have a significant effect plays a critical role in the CEQA process, (I) If there is substantial evidence, in light of the whole record before a lead agency, that a project may have a significant effect on the environment, the agency shall prepare a draft ElK (2) When a final EIR identifies one or more significant effects, the Lead Agency and each Responsible Agency shall make a finding under Section 15091 for each significant effect and may need to make a statement of overriding considerations under Section 15093 for the project. (b) The determination of whether a project may have a significant effect on the environment calls for careful judgment on the part of the public agency involved, based to the extent possible on scientific and factual data, An ironclad definition of significant effect is not always possible because the significance of an activity may vary with the setting, For example, an activity which may not be significant in an urban area may be significant in a rural area. ( c) In determining whether an effect will be adverse or beneficial, the Lead Agency shall consider the views held by members of the public in all areas affected as expressed in the whole record before the lead agency, Before requiring the preparation of an EIR, the Lead Agency must still determine whether environmental change itself might be substantial. (d) In evaluating the significance of the environmental effect of a project, the Lead Agency shall consider direct physical changes in the environment which may be caused by the project and reasonably foreseeable indirect physical changes in the environment which may be caused by the project. (I) A direct physical change in the environment is a physical change in the environment which is caused by and immediately related to the project. Examples of direct physical changes in the environment are the dust, noise, and traffic of heavy equipment that would result from construction of a sewage treatment plant and possible odors from operation of the plant. (2) An indirect physical change in the environment is a physical change in the environment which is not immediately related to the project, but which is caused indirectly by the project. If a direct physical change in the environment in turn causes another change in the environment, then the other change is an indirect physical change in the environment. For example, the construction of a new sewage treatment plant may facilitate population growth in the service area due to the increase in sewage treatment capacity and may lead to an increase in air pollution, (3) An indirect physical change is to be considered only if that change is a reasonably foreseeable impact which may be caused by the project, A change which is speculative or unlikely to occur is not reasonably foreseeable, (e) Economic and social changes resulting from a project shall not be treated as significant effects on the environment. Economic or social changes may be used, however, to determine that a physical change shall be regarded as a significant effect on the environment. Where a physical change is caused by economic or social effects of a project, the physical change may be regarded as a significant effect in the same manner as any other physical change resulting from the project. Alternatively, economic and social effects of a physical change may be used to determine that the physical change is a significant effect on the environment. If the physical change causes adverse economic or social effects on people, those adverse effects may be used as a factor in determining whether the physical change is significant. For example, if a project would cause overcrowding of a public facility and the overcrowding causes an adverse effect on people, the overcrowding would be regarded as a significant effect. (I) The decision as to whether a project may have one or more significant effects shall be based on substantial evidence in the record of the lead agency, -1- (I) If the lead agency determines there is substantial evidence in the record that the project may have a significant effect on the environment, the lead agency shall prepare an EIR (Friends ofB Street v, City of Hayward (1980) 106 Cal.App.3d 988). Said another way, if a lead agency is presented with a fair argument that a project may have a significant effect on the environment, the lead agency shall prepare an EIR even though it may also be presented with other substantial evidence that the project will not have a significant effect (No Oil, Inc. v. City of Los Angeles (1974) 13 Ca1.3d 68), (2) If the lead agency determines there is substantial evidence in the record that the project may have a significant effect on the environment but the lead agency determines that revisions in the project plans or proposals made by, or agreed to by, the applicant would avoid the effects or mitigate the effects to a point where clearly no significant effect on the environment would occur and there is no substantial evidence in light of the whole record before the public agency that the project, as revised, may have a significant effect on the environment then a mitigated negative declaration shall be prepared, (3) If the lead agency determines there is no substantial evidence that the project may have a significant effect on the environment, the lead agency shall prepare a negative declaration (Friends of B Street v. City of Hayward (1980) 106 Cal.App. 3d 988), (4) The existence of public controversy over the environmental effects of a project will not require preparation of an EIR if there is no substantial evidence before the agency that the project may have a significant effect on the environment. (5) Argument, speculation, unsubstantiated opinion or narrative, or evidence that is clearly inaccurate or erroneous, or evidence that is not credible, shall not constitute substantial evidence. Substantial evidence shall include facts, reasonable assumptions predicated upon facts, and expert opinion support by facts. (6) Evidence of economic and social impacts that do not contribute to or are not caused by physical changes in the environment is not substantial evidence that the project may have a significant effect on the environment. (7) The provisions of sections 15162, 15163, and 15164 apply when the project being analyzed is a change to, or further approval for, a project for which an EIR or negative declaration was previously certified or adopted (e.g. a tentative subdivision, conditional use permit). Under case law, the fair argument standard does not apply to determinations of significance pursuant to sections 15162, 15163, and 15164, (g) After application of the principles set forth above in Section 15064fllig}, and in marginal cases where it is not clear whether there is substantial evidence that a project may have a significant effect on the environment, the lead agency shall be guided by the following principle: If there is disagreement among expert opinion supported by facts over the significance of an effect on the environment, the Lead Agency shall treat the effect as significant and shall prepare an ElR, (h)(I)(A) Except as otherwise required by Section 15065, a change in the environment is not a significant effect if the change complies with a standard that meets the definition in subsection illlffl(3), (B) If there is a conflict between standards, the lead agency shall determine which standard is appropriate for purposes of this subsection based upon substantial evidence in light of the whole record, (C) Notwithstanding subsection illlffl( I )(A), if the lead agency determines on the basis of substantial evidence in light of the whole record that a standard is inappropriate to determine the significance ofan effect for a particular project, the lead agency shall determine whether the effect may be significant as otherwise required by this section, Section 15065, and the Guidelines. (2) In the absence of a standard that satisfies subsection illlffl( 1 )fAlta}, the lead agency shall determine whether the effect may be significant as otherwise required by this section, Section 15065, and the Guidelines, ,2- '1 (3) For the purposes of this subsection a "standard" means a standard of general application that is all of the following: (A) a quantitative, qualitative orperfonnance requirement found in a statute, ordinance, resolution, rule, regulation, order, or other standard of general application; (B) adopted for the purpose of environmental protection; (C) adopted by a public agency through a public review process to implement, interpret, or make specific the law enforced or administered by the public agency; (D) one that governs the same environmental effect which the change in the environment is impacting; and, (E) one that governs within the jurisdiction where the project is located. (4) This definition includes thresholds of significance adopted by lead agencies which meet the requirements of this subsection. (i)(l) When assessing whether a cumulative effect requires an EIR, the lead agency shall consider whether the cumulative impact is significant and whether the effects of the project are cumulatively considerable. An EIR must be prepared if the cumulative impact may be significant and the project's incremental effect, though individually limited, is cumulatively considerable. "Cumulatively considerable" means that the incremental effects of an individual project are considerable when viewed in connection with the effects of past projects, the effects of other current projects, and the effects of probable future projects. "Probable future projects" are defined in Section 15130, (2) A lead agency may determine in an initial study that a project's contribution to a significant cumulative impact will be rendered less than cumulatively considerable and thus is not significant. When a project might contribute to a significant cumulative impact, but the contribution will be rendered less than cumulatively considerable through mitigation measures set forth in a mitigated negative declaration, the initial study shall briefly indicate and explain how the contribution has been rendered less than cumulatively considerable. (3) A lead agency may determine that a project's incremental contribution to a cumulative effect is not cumulatively considerable if the project will comply with the requirements in a previously approved plan or mitigation program which provides specific requirements that will avoid or substantially lessen the cumulative problem (e,g, water quality control plan, air quality plan, integrated waste management plan) within the geographic area in which the project is located, Such plans or programs must be specified in law or adopted by the public agency with jurisdiction over the affected resources through a public review process to implement, interpret, or make specific the law enforced or administered by the public agency. ' (4) A lead agency may determine that the incremental impacts of a project are not cumulatively considerable when they are so small that they make only a de minimis contribution to a significant cumulative impact caused by other projects that would exist in the absence of the proposed project. Such de minimus incremental impacts, by themselves, do not trigger the obligation to prepare an EIR. A de minimus contribution means that the environmental conditions would essentially be the same whether or not the proposed project is implemented, (5) The mere existence of significant cumulative impacts caused by other projects alone shall not constitute substantial evidence that the proposed project's incremental effects are cumulatively considerable, Note: Authority cited: Sections 21083 and 21087, Public Resources Code, Reference: Sections 21003, 21065, 21068,21080,21082,21082.1,21082,2,21083 and 21100; No Oil, Inc. v. City of Los Angeles (1974) 13 CaL3d 68, -3- "q INTRODUCTION The 6th Edition ofITE's (Institute ofTransportation Engineers) Trip Generation, published in 1997, is the subject of empirical analysis in the May, 1999, Case Study published by the ITE Journal on the Web (the "Case Study"). BACKGROUND In response to very few reported studies for the Free Standing Discount Store land use category ("FSDS") (including supercenters and warehouse clubs such as Wal Mart) in the 6th Edition of Trip Generation, the Case Study performed its own analysis of 18 stores in Maryland. The Case Study analyzed the correlation between several independent variables and their efficacy in predicting true trip generation - utilizing both single variable and multivariate statistical models. The Case Study then provides a comparison between true and estimated trip generation values and values obtained by using current ITE data for FSDS, CONCLUSION The significant number of trips generated by Wal Mart (FSDS) stores is not accurately predicted by the equations for FSDS obtained from Trip Generation (6th Edition). Figure 2 of the Case Study illustrates that ITE trip generation values for a 90,000 to 160,000 square feet FSDS (the proposed Wal Mart is 155,900 square feet) are underestimated between 25% and 50%. Based upon the proposed Wal Mart square footage alone, ITE values would result in a trip generation estimate that is approximately 28% below true values, predicted single variable values, and predicted multivariable values as set forth in the Case Study. More important. given the AADT 000.000+ vehicles) for the immediatelv adiacent 1-215 freewav and the artificiallv narrowed (I Y, mile radius) DODulation derived for the oroiect's traffic studv, the Deak hour trios for the Wal Mart will easilvexceed 1.000. therebv requiring comoliance with the Congestion Management Plan standards. ADDITIONAL STATISTICAL INFORMATION Of the independent variables chosen by the Case Study (size of store, parking, annual average daily traffic of adjacent streets, nurnber of employees, population of the market area, population density, catchment area), size had the highest correlation with trips. Accordingly, size was used for the single variable analysis. Based on a 95% level of significance, size was determined to be the only statistically significant variable. Additionally, however, the multivariate analysis resulted in a slightly higher correlation coefficient than that obtained by the single variable analysis of size. In plain english, while not supported statistically, the multvariable analysis predicted true trip generation slightly better than the use of size alone as a variable. Regardless, these two approaches are very similar and equally illustrate the shortcomings of the current ITE formulas used in Trip Generation. Of the 18 stores analyzed by the Case Study, Table I shows that five were between 155,000 and 156,500 square feet, with corresponding trips I between 820 and 900. Figure 2 shows that the ITE trip value for a 155,000 square feet FSDS is approximately 650. This number is significantlv lower than the actual numbers for the FSDS as demonstrated bv the Case Studv. I"Trips", as used herein, means p.m. Peak Hour Trips (ins and outs). .' Trip Generation Characteristics of Free- Standing Discount Stores: A Case Study THE RETAIL CHAIN THE INST1TVTt:: OFTMNSPORTA. ,ion F.n~in..m UTE)' "crnd)' published CHOSEN fOR THIS STUDY ,h..;,dwlirion of Trip G<nmri.,,1 0,(;1 fcolO 750 new studies wer(: 1dded to th~ WAS FAIRLY DISTINCT IN ...i,,;ng dJ,:!I",.. for. co",hined ro,,] of mOl'C thiln 3,750 individ\l1l trip sene-c;,l- URMS of ANNUAL SALES, tion,\ludiCS, LJ,,,, colkctiOll.nd ""ini"'" annl).,;s dfom resuhed in ,h. .ddi,;on of EXPANSION OF EXISTING 19 newbnd u,..', A review of ehe dati for the rree-Stand. STORES, SIGNIFICANT ing D;<<ol1nt Store (FSDS) in the ITE lnilJ'11111 indic3(CS ch:a for some [illl~ peri- INCREASE IN NEW STORES ad" ,he nUI1lhcr of$ludi", reponed i. very slllall-a, fe"" 15 thu:c. In rho.;c C;\se~. no AND VARIETY OF reg,<,'ione<\u.lionsarcdevdopcd, The ITE m.nl1,,1 eb"ir.e,\ Jll FSDS " MERCHANDISE SOLD. . Ii-cc-mnding ;[Ore wi,h otT.meet p,rk- ing. These stores offer a v;tricry of cus. THE AUTHORS PRESENT tomel "rvices. ccncr,lizcd c:uhicril1G .nd :I \..id~ flngc of proJucu. The)' C)'piCilUy THE COLLECTED 'AND ,,,,in,,in long Sto'e hout> ".en d,ll" · .....eek. The ~HO~S inclulli!d in [h~ nudy :r.rc ANALYZED DATA FIl.OM of"n ,he only c,ne.; on the ,ice. bu, ,her ;Ilso C1I1 be t~.IIUld in lll11w:II oper:uiol1 18 MAIl.YLAND STORES. wi,h , rd..cd N un <<bred g,,,dcn (<Iller or s;:'f't"icc ccnr<:r. 'fbe JIl:mu:\l further i111lS~ (rJ[CS rku (he FSDS :\r~ somctimo f('lund ,\$ SCp:LC,HC p~,ds within a rcl:til ccompte:( ~\'i[h their own dedic.ucd parkin~. B"scd on dl~ ITE dcfinidoll,ln: rc{ail ,h:J.in c!,OSl"n for [hr:: smd)' l113,Y be c1as$i- fied as fSDS. This is consistent with :l Stud)' by TRC Rarll10nd Key" AlSoc;- :1((:1 (RKA).2 These ~(on:~ offer .t v.;dc: v.uiccy of r1ll.~rch,1I1disc. maint:tin ions 510f( hours :\nd :1.(( norm:t1ly op:::n sevell d:lrs ~ week. A UH\'cy of sites j;, Mar)'. bnd. USA, ,how, Ih.. ,hey ore "orm,lI)' the ollly sell!''! 1( the BY MAIlDI K. JHA AND DAVID I. LOVELL ,ire. ,nd ,h.y h.". their own i.!dic:uc:d. p.1Jkiog. A sinsle rc:cail ch:.in w:s cho~'=J1 for the: purposc~ of rhi, C:h: stud)' hCC:~ll)e d. sigl1ific<\nt amO\IIH or informJ- tion wJ..~ n.::\Jily Olvaib.blc for thn~ stores J.nd beeJuse lI1C focu.\ on one ;;miC\lbr retailer shuuld help (cd\lc~ d,t;'efF~cr 011 1tI10U;NOl ON THI \>In I MAT "" nip selll;~fJtion of vOlri~)U5 dissilllibrirics bcrwccll competing rct:tilcrs. BACKGROUND INFORMATION In th~ p1.~( dcc:\dc. cht: numbel' of neW reuil slOteS in the United $1;1((:5 Ius ~rown f~pidl)'. These stol'es COlu he: c1ilssi.. fied into ;H )C~[ dut:e different tilt::- gorics: din:ount ~torc:s. S\lpcrccntcrs aud mClllbcrship witfchouse clubs_ The growth trcl\d for the p:lrticlllar rct:lil ch:;.in in thi~ stud)" can b~ seen ill Figlu'e 1. While !>ii'C 1:13Y be: considen.-d:1$ one ('If th<:: f..cwrs: tll1t dif(cn.:nti;lte bel\vCcn the Cl,)l1ycntiun..l dhcounr score:!: :lnd the S\lperccnt('rs, the biggest dirfcrencc bct.....ccn them, is the n..ridt:~ of mcrchi\l1- di<< they ,ell. The ,upereente..' ,dl r." more \";tri~ries of mcrch;lI)disc I h:m the di~count srore~. Tll~ ~torcS (h<lt wefe l\scd in ,he p,""nr "udy "-ould .ll be eon,id. cn:d di~eount s(On.:5 31\d w~~rc. vcry simibr in n:l(ur<:, C\'~1l d10llgh [h~ir .~iz.cs !'';In!;cd from 92,000 ''1''.He fe<< (''1- ft,) '0 156,500 'q, [t, Such il si~llitici\lH Srowrh of FSDS j~ of intelest t('J ciry. fount)' :md stale tr&lffic cngincen hcc;!us:e of the signific:ant arnOullt or tfil.f}1c scncr:ul"ll br tl\l,~_~c stor'.~J ".."ieh furdle! (:lX'CS t.he: :J.bilil)' of c:;.;i~(ing j'('I;1ds alht lItrc:l.:[S to serve: If:lffic. The .~igllifie~nt. number of rrips gt~ncr- atcd br such stor(.~ may l10t be: accllt;l[c1y predicted by the eqllation' for FSDS uh[lincd from 1;.ip (."lJJ(T(l/iQlI. III {hI.: cmn.:r.t study. :\ !i::p:l~;l(C n.:gr~!i!iiol1 ~qll"- (iOll h:l-i been dcvdtlpcd fe)" this rl't;lil fnn<:hiic USillg :le(llal data from 18 ...[on~S in ~hrfl.nd, LITERATURE REVIEW In rt:eclH ,,'c;lrsl thcl'c hJ\'~ heen sc:vt.'ci,1 studies n:g:a.rding tril' gcncr:ltion f~)C some blld lIH'S for which .ldcqu.\le dJ[,1 ~re not :lYJilJble in lh.: ITE m:mm.l. D:\u. ct :tP tl",'clopcd trip !;ent"f3tion models for multil!~e hiGhway conlltlcl"ci-,\1 85 qnl7n 'rl r nRRqqR 'ON X\!-1 ~IIUS nl~I~N~"! U,.! In:~n ~nl RRRI-12-d~S UD~ lQCll ~ 15D~ . .' -. :1 Icoe ___,--I ~tO --- t or-.----~~ -~l 1981 1918 17" uta 19t1 19'1 1n1 19n un 19n 1191 YtllSf E'p'I~.~0!G!-: .:~s~up~u..i:.~. -~..~~i~"'~~. ~~'~!G,'SllOI~lcca,.:II.l;' ~ul1lb,jO~~:"J~ 1101.: I. 1,'J. II"'..! I"" ~.,..... ......, ","<",...114 '" ...,..lC."~. T\....~.lft. ...."'"', ,r ,r:......c "....r. '" I'" klr.~ It..:" \In, figure 1. Relngnt dol a IDllhe nlG~er. devdopmCll'~' Patel e' ,1.4 pro,'ided trip generation chlracrcrjnks of economy nlord,. A simil" ",,<ly w,IS done by Slipp ~nlt HumtncrJ~ \l,,'hich provided :'l nip ~ener:\tion r;lte upd:Ltc: for public high school.., The ""dy reported th" ,he sm:tllllumbc-r of ~{lIdics in the ITE. "})11. u2l a~!iociat,d with public high schools, in e.{lnjunnion with their ::l.gt', warr:\Iucd further study in the :Ira. The stuel)' b)' PC)'lc:hn.lueG in...estigated tht:: trip gfnera- tion ch~lr;!.c:tcriHics of shopping c.en[crs. Tho study w;u done for the lTE l1\,"u,1 :md inycstig:\tcd lhf following: . The relationship bet\olo'cl'n [rip gener- alion alllt :\ (on,bin:\[ion of sc....cr3\ in,1cpem:lc'}t ''';lri3blc.~; . Th~ definicion :md cb.ssificJ.don of shopping een,.r, ",cd b)' IT!:; . The dTt:ccs of [he :\[!C of the d;IU in lhe ITE trip ~C\lC;.riOIl &J.t:tbase; ,nd . Th: rclntiomhip bet'r\'ccn p15s-Ly (rips :-tnd a combin-:\tjCln of several indc:pc:ndcll[ v3.rbhlcs. Tho: ronclusions of [h;: 5luJy wcn~ sllInm>1ril.cd :I.S rollows: . Addi,;on,1 d", ,ho"ld b. collee"d In further .<I',nd the 1TE daraba;e; . Con,idemrinn sho"ld be givon to collc:~[ing d1t3. fl)l" :ldditional inde- pendent v,rjabl<< for bo,h rr p gen. 86 entiou 2nd p;Usrb}' [rips; :ll1d . Considcl'ltiol1 should be sh'en [0 ,ppIying [h. methodology ,nd pro' cedures devclop~d for [hi~ :In;lly~is to other 12ml uses lh:J.( In].y benefit from lHultiV';uhble 2n3Iv)i~, RKA condul:ccd 2. ~[udy for fi\'\~ retail stures loc:ued throughout New Jersey, USA, to derc:utline nip gr.::nerc[ion .lntl p:l$s.b)" information. The Pe)'rebrune "udy de,r1y indi- cltC'd a m:ed to upd:1te the r1'l: tl:UJb3.se i\lld th3l infoufl3[ion 01\ other significanc v;tri:thlcs tnun be: explorfd. Th~ sixth edi- tion of [he ITE lO~nual certaillly pro\'idc~ better informa.tion on sever:l! nc..... b.nd us\.'s ;'lnd has 2 richer J:atchuc. Ilowc:n:r, [he:: dJ.tab.ls~ for some hod lues is still poor, including FSDS. STUDY OBJECTIVE This !itudy invesrir.:ucs (he trip Sc(lc.r~ ;lCion ch;uJecerhti,~ of :l. major ret.1il c1lJin. which may [,II in II" ''''r-ory of FSOS, The ohjmi,'<< of this stud)' e," be ~umm:tritcJ :15 follows: . Di~cuss thc rorrchajon belwe:en se". ('r;ll indepeml(IH \':Hi:Lbles usinG :tC[llll d;uJ from exis[illg norc.li; . AnCllyte rhe dlie>ey of ,,,,,.d inde. pendent pl"cdi,mu of uip &ener:'t~ dOLl by escimating [he: coefficient of detcrmil1lciol1, }<2, for sill~1c \,,;lTl. ~lblc rcgl'e..~~jO(l; . Develop a sr.pu:nc: 1n1llriv""iiHC regrcs}ion modd o:.nc.l compJrc in....jch rhe best singl~-\..1I"i~b!c modelj ;ll\d . Provide :l l'omp:tri~cm between the: [fue :\1\0. csti&uJt\:d v:1.lucs ;!'l1l1 \';tlu~s obr:ained ur usin:; [he ITE. lbu. fUr FSDS. The f"Unwinb il'ldcpe:l1dcnr vari,lbks \,,'::'.C chosen flu the swd)'; .liilC of the score: (~q. fc,). parking. ilnl'lll;!.1 :\....c,..ragc .bil)' m(fie (A;\DT) of [h. ,dj,et'll[ snec[, number of l'llIplo)'cc~. population of [he m:uket lreJ. popubtion dcnsity (pOpllbrion/llni[ Stl\.l:\n: 1l1i1e) OInd die c;llchment are;\ (!"qll;lrc. milc.~). C:ttch~ n1el'lt an::1 \loOtS c1cfinct{ :1..' the ~UC;J of [h~ rt"gion from .....hich ~hoppcrs would nor. II'l:1.tly be: :J.tt1~lc.[cd co :\ p;,rdcubr nore, c.iidnutcd qUJIi(;][h'c1y using ~\ circk of hrgc: enough radius to capture the emireLY of the nC'..;Hby CilY or rnunicip:LI- it)'. Admit[edly, [his proc.e~!i t~ 5uhjt."\:t [0 gross frror. but morc aCC\Ir::lte: estim;lrcs ~olllJ no[ be pOisihle wilho.uc ,he us~ of \ien.i1c~.:l Burkel n..st'arch. jnclLl\1ing per. h:liU ~urvr.:ys of exisling (H p'lICn[ial p:tUons. The pop1.:l:ition density was comp\.1'::e::d by dividing [hc popubdon of [he markt:[ are:\ hy the c:l.Cchment :lrC:1, STUDY METHODOlOGY The 1tud)' WilS done usillg da[J obu.inffi from 18 srorc~ in Muybnd. for ;1n r:5DS, H'PMJ.[C [imc periods \oJ::re <J11:a. I)'led for WCd\O;l)'S illld wc~kclHls in the ITE m:U'lUll. Sep:l.r.ll~ rcgre~~ion Illodd~ were dc:vclopc:,{ for tWO indC"peIHh'.llt \'arilbh.'~: gross nDOr ;;.n::\ ((;r:A) of r!H: store: ;1nd n1.ll'"bcr of cmp!oyecs.. I Il)\\'~ c...cr, the numb:r of srudies rfponcd lI~il'lg the number of cmpIOrl'~'i is "'t:1Y limi[cd..-as fe:w ~5 (hn:C". The: PC)"l.cbl"ull~ swdy imlic.;.tc~ due for !lhnpping cc"~cr ucvclrJpmems. the 1\'cr;lgc: wcekd~y c\'eninr: f'cilk hom i~ the mo~t cridc:ll time pcriCld. The 53me Jrgu- m.,l[ m,y be ""lid for ,50S, ""sliming simihr trip.making (endencics. Tho= stuJ)' further illl.l:ttratcs du[ for sboppiflg (cnt~rSI GFA do::s not necc~!'i.lriJy c;\pbiu ;111 of lhe v;lfiJbili()' in Hip g(:l1eratinn ute, Thereforl::, Cl,nsidcr~Him'l $hould be Slvcn [0 collee[il1f; Jddirion:11 data for 1lf JCURHAl OK lHl '(IU I MAll 999 on/m 'J r nQpQQp 'm) YH" ~IIU~ nl~r"N~~ U~ In:vn ~nr hhhl-'?-~~~ " \'ariou" in"tcpcncknc vJ.ri3.bles suc.:h as adj:\c:cnc strcet crAffic, popubtion. hous:~ [",)Id income, ~hor?ing oppNcunities ~nd otl\cr socioeconomic vAriables, Datil Col/ett;!", The following dw were obtJincd for thcall;\I~is: . Trips in and ouc of d\c :store during the p.Ol. p"'~lk hour of che 3dj<lccl\t street on :\0 ;l\'cng~ weekday; . Site "f ,he "orc, in 'q, f,. (GFA); . P.uking sp2ce5 :wJibblc at cJeh store; . p.l1l. pcak hom uaffic of the ddj;t~ cem ~ucec based 011 AA DT; . Nlln\bcr of employees working in e:tch score:; . The popul:\tion of [he: m~Hkcr .uca.; 2nd . The c:Hclllnenc :\TC2 for [he swrc. An in.(pc.::ccion of the m~'nchl)' cranie v:uiation1 n:Aecced tln,c)uly W;l$ the: pe:\k cf:lflic mond" Addition;\lly, the g:trJcn cenccU rh:tt wcre VJ.IC of the HOfCS .....l.':l"C norm;!.lly opell ani)' during spring :lI\d ~ummer monchs. 11,ereforc. che monch (If July ....'3..\ cho~cll fl,)r the 311J.ly~i~. While July is (he highest rrip'nl2king month. it i; noC che highot rccail ~ho? ping month. A monthly fJetor for tlte retilil ~hoppins v:ariation is noC I'ro....ided for ,h, r-SOS (Land Use Cod, 815) in ,h, ITE nlJnuJI. For shopping centers (L,nd Use Cod, 820). howe"<<. · mOllthly rcr1il shopping \'Jriilfi(ln is ~'ro~ \'id,J in the Inanu,l. rhis V;ui3tion 1l1:\)' be used for the discount 5tord since rhe ,,"dcncy for rct,i1 ,hopping nur b. lhe s:Ulle for both' shoppjub CCl'ltt.fS ilnd di5~ COUllt $(o[es. Thus even though the ",Jlr,is included d,,, for July. i1Pl'ropri- ate f.t<:m{S nl:lY be used co transbtc che: trip~nl:lkin~ ce:lldency for other months using the \'3rtHion t;\!;.Ic. The trip' in 2nd our were obtained by actu:J.l COUlltS at e;lich of the sites uuring July 1997, A1,hough in m<'S< ems ,he rtn,il fWllehisc W1S the only score ;'1( che site:, in some. C;lSC5 chere wctC other scores in (he: vicinity. However, C'ver)' effort .....;1~ made: LO CO\lllt onl)' the uame chu used the reuil scorc:'s p;uking I(lt and W;tS d~. tin<<! 'peeific21l)' for ,he rmilcr. In .ddi. tion. in so",e c.~eS there. were muhiplc accesS :1l1d egrcs; points:. 111 chose case~, (he tr~rnC W:lS cmmn:d ;'It c:\eh ;1CCl'~S poi'l\( :md th,,~n coml.Jincd LO giv~ the: loull'lumber of in :md out [rips, 111ft> r- 11l1tion on MDT .....;!.s obCilim:d from die file. of ,he l'vhr)'bnd S':He Hieh""a)' Auministr;llion (SHA).7 lnforttl:ldon nn che poputl1ion of che Ol:\\'kxt J.rc-.l .....:1.; obc;.incd by di~cl1s~iclll wirh loc~11 :lU[h(')r~ ides. The cOlllp!ctC: d~ca for the 5C0f1:~ i.~ ,hown in T,bl. \. S!tJtirrkall1na&',:;il Afu:r colkctinG the d:lC;I, ~[:ttisckj,l \lnJ.l)"sC's were l'cl'forn)ed, wllich included .i11 cxarninJclOn of the cond:uio~ tn:m.j,;. ,lnd single and n\uhjv:ni"te rq;res~jons. Tht possihle r<;;rmioll modd, 'p~,licable to the pl'e~Cl1{ sLudy 111:1)' br: Iincolr, loga- rithmic. invcrlOC', lim:u.log:trithmic, or log;lI'ichmic.lin~.\r. For 3. singlc-varil.blc l"C'gfc$!iion, the deci!iion of wl,ich c.:"p!;tn:t- tOry v;l.ri;lblc to me w:u b:lsed on m:\Xi. Inizing the co~mcieut of determination 1l2. which is e'1l1i\"i\I~l\t to IIlJXin1i7.ing, tile eOHebtion (in ;].b~olucc v;\ll1t:) bC(Y.'C'Cl\ the illdepc:nckl\t :J!lrt d"-p('.ndcnt "Jrii'lblcli. Dcpilrrun:s from J. ~triccly lin~;H model \I,'ouh.11u\'c bc:cl1 con.~id<.'n.-d onl" if they \ TripI \ Trips T.I.!lrlp.. ' Sin r~-' \ Ii.) ,(oul) intt~IS hq, II.! POlk..! AlDT E"'~'I'" f, I 320 3~0 \ 670 95.000 4)0 21.000 20U 3 435 ,llS &~o I ~~.01)0 !l~O 20,000 215 I 137 443 sso 1j6,500 (,00 33,)7; 2.\0 1 400 310 780 110,000 550 8.000 207 I, 10S 415 820 I ~~,OOO ~OO ~3.0~0 215 4 3)0 320 650 91,000 600 7,000 liD 2' 195 305 I 600 110,000 %U 20,000 215 1 3GO 510 7UO 9~,OUO (.00 31:115 l~O 3 120 4~0 .70 155,000 SOO 18,000 2l~ 4 389 414 5U) 120,000 300 29.1~0 2\0 1 368 310 638 9~,OOO .00 21.B~0 190 l~ 410 .\;0 900 155,OnO 760 6,250 2~O 3 420 41U 8'.0 145,000 700 7.979 103 2 337 4(,2 8-19 92,OUO ~IO 26,;!7S In l2 l09 311 1.40 110,000 4.S0 29,775 211 35 330 370 7~0 124,300 625 lO,OOO I 12-1 30 .~65 l3S 700 110,OUO ~OO 7.UOO 210 22 480 440 920 l-~S,aOo 600 42,OUO 240 .:'i0 II. 2 5 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 H 1 ~ 16 117 IS L-, It[ lOUR~Al OH tilE YIEt I ru11i19 Table 1. Key dala lor the retail slares in Maryland. pol.n.. ;,000 0.000 ;,000 -.000 ~,"OO J.OOO 0,000 0,000 5,000 O,noo ,noo 5,000 0,000 ,000 ,000 ,000 ,!lOa ,UOO I P'p. (Olthmen,t dEnsity or.. Radius (p.p,f,,,,) (.q. ",0,,) (","os) ],27 ':'6 153.94 7 63,(.(' 31'1,16 10 35"i 706,56 15 18,72 907,92 17 143.21 314,16 10 19.~)l 1.256,64 20 32,1'- (.15,75 14 ;\)0,1 ~07 .92 1'1 (j,;.GG 70("S6 15 259,.~ 15;.9,1 7 41~(.3 78.54 5 18'),00 201.0[. R 31,13 (,15,75 14 -1:;;.63 ,~i2.39 11 6;,91 530,93 n 9~.4') 314,16 t<) 11.1;4 ,530,93 13 157,19 2j4.1i 9 .__--1 87 r."" II..'" .. ,n('}0nnc '('\~I VU J UITlle nTJT",r:U 1.1~ ?n~bn 'Jnl ~~~l-I?-A'J<; " otf.::rcd sit;l\ific;:111t improvt'111Cnt in the R'l ...:ducs. No such improvcmcnu .....cre noted; hence ("Inly strictly lin~~a.in~p:1f:l- meters m.odels arC' included he-re. The correlation m;urix indicates the ,dative significan,"c of dle indcp(t'ldcot vorbhks, a,' shown in Tobie 2. Th' fir>, column of this ,":lah: shows dlC c,)f[cb. ciOIl cocrrlcicnu between the dcpcnd<:tH v1Ci,bl. (srip' gcneC1[ed) ,nd each of ,he Table 2. Correlation motrix obtained Irom the regression analysis. Pop'" Pop. (aI",,",", Tr'fs Siu P..king !ACT EmP/'JM I,~... &!oftsilJ ,,,a Rl Trips 1.00 Si~ 0,75 1.00 056 r~..kinr. 0,33 0,10 \,00 0,11 ,\ADT 0,16 0.17 .0,31 1.00 OOl Emplop:e 0.57 0,85 0,22 0,27 1.00 U,32 PlJ~lub.tiun o,n 0,27 .0.06 0,52 0.40 LOU 005 rOi" d':lljiry -0.02 -U,12 O,O~ 0,20 0,03 0,51 I.UO 0.00 C.'Uchmc:'Ir J,n:l .0,2-1 -u,21 O.O~ .0,35 -0.41 -0.4; -0,71 I.UO 0,06 Tobie 3. Results 01 regression analysis. "1)'i1c ofRc~r('Jsio~: Si'ig1:= V~iiilhlc Rr,uuioR Slalislitf HZ Stand.HJ l"rror O\.J~CfYJtiOIU 0.56 68,87 15 ll\lcrcc}>c Size (otllicienlS 406,66 2.?6E-3 Standard trror 82,85 6561'.-4 !-SIal 4,91 4,52 p."luo u,ooa 16 0.00035 J&1Illtin! .8tgrmiM E'Illllrirm: T. 406.66 ... (1.96 y. lO')} (Si:u) Type of ~t.esc~.uiOl,l: Mu'tiv;H.br..: R.grenionSlalisliu r- Sr.lIllbroJ F.unr OI,,$(:r\',1tiOIH u.64 78.6e 18 CoeHitienl1 Slondord tHor Htat IUl<;rr.cr' ail.?5 366,20 2.38 Si'L( 0,0049 0.0019 2.60 l'~rk;n!; O,OU,O 0,1785 0,0'\ MDl' 0,0002 0.00 19 0,11 EOlpltl}''';c .3,2136 2,3005 .1.40 I'up\lb~io\' 0,0007 0,00)4 0.21 l'",p, t!~n1jry -0,1059 0,38;1 .0,27 C:lrdllllCIH Ja';'l _0,0970 0,1261 .0,77 p,ya!lIe 0,04 0.03 U,97 0,92 0,19 0,84 0.79 0.46 ROII/ting Jlrg~r'.I!;"m f:fJ/llfriofJ: r., ~71.'J5 ... (4.lJ ^ IO'])(Siz.-) T (7,0:0; lO'J)(ftukir.t)'" (2,0 X IO,1)(AAVn -1J.2)(Empl'J"';) . (7.1 X 10"')(f'J',t-.,i,,,) -11,1 X 10,I)(V",ilj)- (9,7 X lO,Z)(C.,rdJ1lll'fJJl 88 intltepcrulclH ....;ui:il.blc:~_ The squ:uc:s (If the~c concl:llion coefficienr.; i1r~ l"h~ }?2 ,,:\Iuc~ ,Iu[ WUllld ha....e resulted (l'om ~in- ~k.V;Hi:1blc r~~rcs~ioll~ on e<lel. of these: vari:lblcs; hence ,he v.ui:ablr.: 'with tbe; hi~hest corre:Lnian coefficient (in absolute ....;I\UI:) is [he best choite for 1- ~in};le pn:dictoc, in the )cllse of nl.1"ilniz.- ing [he Rl "Iue, Became size 11;15 the: hit~H:'$t concb.. don with trips, it \\""l' used :I,~ [h~ indc:- pendent vJ.ri:\blc for the: single: \'Jfi<1ulc:: an;,Iysis. The m,Jltiv:J.ri;ltc lq;n:s~i('ln w;.u pcrformed mins; the indcpcndl"..nt \';.16.. ,bks: si'"" parkin:.;, AADT of th, ,dj:t, CC:JH snett, elllplo)'ec, papl1hdtJl\1 catchmellt a:\'" :\l1d ~'1oplli;!rion dcmity. The t-stUislic and P-v:dtu,'s we rc: olnlincd for t:.lch of the il\depcnc.lcllt v"ri:blc~ in order co :1~5CSS rheir siljnifi.. C;lIlCC, The rcsuk~ of these rcgi'cssjolU arc shown in ",ble 3, The "uc and predicted v:\lucs for single: and 11111lrh,'.uhltc ICbCCS" sion :1S well :I~ the sin~lc v;lciable: r<:grc:s- ~ion \.ISinS ITE. values: ;lfC shown in Fi;urc 2, NOlt: th"'t beco\tlSe: figure 2 ill; a line plot, muhiplt: sires wirll the s:\me sile are eOluidl,,'rcd !iepilr:atcl)' on tne: :tbsds_~:\, RESUlTS AND DISCUSSION The correbtion nUU'j" indie:ues Lhat (he si7,e of the store Ius :\ \'<.:ry hi!;h (.or. "b,ion (-075) "ith ,he nllmber of trips g.,;:ner;l(e:d, The nl:~t hi~hcn co He- b.tion is observed between UUI\1U(I' of employees ,"d ,rip' (-0,57) ;md rhen bctw('e:n pHking and rrip:- (-0.33), Ikei\lI.it. there:: iii ;l, vcr)' hiGh ('.orrcbtion Oh5Cr'it.d bet.....een number of c:mployees .nd ,i" (.O,8~), Ihi; slIggem thnc the l1umber of r:llIployct:~ is jl('lt a ~I'lod sup. plcmr:I1D.1 predictor of trip5, as corroho- r:m:J by the: llluhin.ri:1tc: an;11rsis. 'I'he other \'.riablcs have 11~~ligiulc imp:J.ct on uip-nulil\t; tt'l1dency, Th~ rnuldvari:\tc an;tl)'sis rcs\.llu in '" Rl "dlle of 0,64. '['his i, ,lightly higher ,h,,,, [hot ob':tined by , single "Jri3hlc ;Il,;!'lpis for sile:. The t-n:~t "ho,,"' [hot [he oull hYl'otlI<.,is em be rcjeered for the size ;H [he 95 p..l'cl'nt In'd (If ,.ibnifi::lI'lec, Thl'rl"(o:'e, !iize i~ siglliflCJnr:rhis is lis" obvious by look- in:; 3.t the: P.....illue. which, when ,mL- 'f,elCd flom 1.0, richh ,he high"" bd In JOURHAl O~ lH( WEB I MAl 19" an/en '~ I nQ~qq~ 'mJ ~H ~ HIIUo; (1111 ~N1rl Url f'11:t>n 1(11. 6861-1?,-,11S '""1 ~- , -- . of $i(:.nitlc1nc~ 1t which dle null hypothe.~is (:tn ~:lfcl)' be rcjc(rc:d. Th~ ,~ ${adsdcS Jnd p-values for the other vui. abl., ,ho'" ,hat ,he nllll h)'po,hcsi, C..3.nnor b~ rejected at the 95 percent kvel of ,i~nificance fot ,h.,. v>liabl.s, Si7< is ,h:refoc. ,he only ,,,,,isdeally signific;\11[ ....;lrial,le char contrihutes to the trip.nu,king tendency. A comparison or pl'cdicreJ ...:llllCS for the: singl;: and nluhi\'ari;ue rc:grc!sions rcvc:1h Iinle significant difference br:twccn {he mode I.... :!.s SllbScSCC'll by [he only .~ligh( improven\cnc in R2 (FiGure 2), Addi,ioll,lIy. Figllre 2 ,how, dl>t in f!1(lS[ (but noe itlll (:m:s, muldvui.:l.cc .:millysis i~ a bew,:r predictor chan single v>li,ble .nalysis. Qu.li,a,inly. ,his OblCr\':lCion is consiS{CIH with [he ~Iigh[ improvcm<.:nt in the R2 value oFFered by the: rllultivarhcc motlel. The: plot of (fUt "al\lo" pr..,Jicced ducs and [he lTF. val, uc:..~ for $illCIc vI1riablc lee-cession jndi~ <"es ,h" th. lTE data c1ead! \.lndercnit1l:HCi [h~ trips (Fj~urc 2). CONCLUSIONS Ihsl.:d 01\ che swdy, [h~ r\')llowins con~ c1l1Sioll!i ma)' be drawn: 1. For the FSDS .hwcsrig:HCd in thii study, SilC is the most signiHcanc trip prc~ dictor. which :1ecollnts for 56 percenr of the: \'~lfi:1ncC in trip-l11:tking tcndt'[1cy, In ~lcr. the :)ignific:l!lce testS show th:tt size is rhe only HJtistiolly signifICant \';uiable in thc i.lIlalysiJ. 2. The ocher v;HiJblcs lh:1t somcwhat (;(lnnlbuc~ to the ccip.m:'iking rCl1dcncy ~rc:: number of l.:l1lplop.:cs and p:.rking. lIow:\'cr. bcC:llUC numher Qf employees is highly corrr:becd to the site. it ofTc::rs little aJdition:t1 c:xphnarion for ...:uianc<:, The cfFcc.;t of p:trking is much Ie..,s thiln si1.e, whetl considered scpariltely. and offers lilcle: mi'lrginal improvemcnt, "".he:ll ehe t......O :l.rc conliiderc:tl jointl)". 3. The AA DT. population, popula. tioll densit)' Jnd {he C2tchmem aralud the: ,'\,;rr least imp:l.ct on the: trip-m~king (CnJellCY :Ind. lhcrc:rore, may b~ ignol.ed in thc'lI'ip gener:ltion ;lnJlysis. 4. 1'h: pn..Jictcd ,.,)11I:~ for rnulriviui:.Hc ;'lI1J!Y'i.~ Jrc t,.!o,cr to thl:: true \'JJucs dun tho: predicted \'";I.h.:c:~ for sinSlc vari:lblC :m:llysi~. Thc."r~forcl die muhi";\fi:uc an~l)'. III JOlIllHAl ON THr wn I "''''T In, r.'" "...., . I T""",.,,,,.., ~ I 1&0 1- a - . '" d . .___t.": ----. . . :_-- .-----..--. . ~------. . -. . . . 1e0 e 100 .. '" . ,.:! 100 ~ " ,oD ... ... -- .- --------- --- ~~---- . '" 'QClCC: lOCOOQ HCono 110000 lJ~~I)~ , lmoo l5OCUO 160iJOQ ~iu t;" fl.) L~. l.Iut - :~r.~il;.4 ISl;,g" iY~k1Mtl'~'_i'D"';;'l ... ,,,Ji;lrJ l-"'~hi.;,;.,~, Rr'!I';::i'~I- ....jof':~I.U F1iun 2. PI,' o( If"', predi(ltd and In valves. ----. si~ Si....cs:l hetter fit of the: d3tJ. IfinfonnO\~ tion on other \'O\rb.bk.-s suc.h ;u cmplo}"c;c$, p:ukinS 3nd population i~ known. a m\llti~ ,.,rbt< ."alysi.. should be: performed. O,h. crwise a single ,.ariablc J.ClJlysis fur size mitY he pc:rfUnncd. with Il[d~ slcriucc in stacistiClII)" J~rensible accuracy. 5. The ,qulCion d,velop.d in ,he IT!: milll",1 for FSDS is no', ~uod predictor of [tips fot FSDS, Th. ITE ,qu..ion nor. m;dly llnden:scimltcs.the number of new trips geI1Cr;1tL-J. 6. The: dJU used in lhis swJy may be: addo.! '0 ,b, 11'11 d""lme fur FSDS, · Re:fi.-ratal \. 1'1'1:. TrIp CrMrtHil1l/, 6dltd. \X::I~hi:,,;zroll D,C" USA. 1997, 2. RKA. Tri! GrMfJri,m Swd; N....... Jcncy ',);':J.""bn Slorc~. O:.:~\:mt>cr 19c.J5. 3. D.m21 T.K., S. D:ur.\ :ulll P. N:\nll;I~'~. 1~C:lli. .'Trip GC'Il::rHinn Moc\ch for f.-tu:tiusc Hi~h""':.r C"mrrll:rcbl Oc~c1OJ'mcllu." ITE. }UlIrr.4I(Fcbru:lry 1998): 24-30. 4. l';l.[d. M.I., F.]. \'(fcl:J'n:J.I~11 :md A. Ch:lttcr- jee. "Trip Gcn~r.uiVI1 (.huJ.clI:rhricl ofEc.nnOlRY Motd~: ITEjuurfllll(M:J.1199tl): 21-26. 5. Slirp, I~R.M.. :lI1d J.r... H\lmrr.cr. -Trip Gtl\cr:lfinn R.tfc Upduc rcr Public Hi~h $",oo!,: I1'EJO"".IUO"' 19%): 34-40, 6. l'qrl:hulIlC'1 J.C. NTcip (:em:n(iQI1 eli;u. ~([:rj:Hi,s of .showing Cr.:IHCH." ITE jOltlff/rl/ U"", 199(.): 46-50, 7. ~hrybnJ O..:p.mmI.'IH Clrrr:1iurom.:ilJn. rrllffi~ Tr..//{I! 19:15. St;\:::- Highw;.I.)'^Jminhir:t. fion, 1'.195. .......,...........,............................,... MANDl K. IHA, RE.. is If 1irllu/,fJrrAtif1n E"~~lIur fur ,!It Sf/A in [ldll!",tlrt. "M. H( "lrn iill.'(lr:.j"ttolrwdl,!; Ph.fJ. i"I~JlJJP""T"",lt'l" t'1I~(i'l(m.nf lit t"~ U",1- '.'c.",sil)' fI! /.{rlf/'II1I1I. Cnlltf( J~frk.p,tt !'nU! If B.E. ill mn.)frlfti~tfl cllgi- I!r~rjIl3frQ'" U!girm,d 1:.".r:illl.(TilIJ [,,(/'';..'<:. D/lr. ~f{(lp"f. [lIdi". tl'lJ (1!l1\1.S. ;lIlilr..";'t:lljcfI{ ",:~i1!".,jjjtl;'rJ'" Old DrJ,jlil,;nlJ U"iWfiil); f,'/JT- fJ!{., V:.. Ui..f.IILUffllA.;:r.cilf{r.\follhulJ/17r.:. DAVID J. LOVELL iI4I1A!i;!MJIt/',Tlj..S!(Jr bl rlJC [)r/,.tI/PIurt:"r Ch.il r,,!illan'fll (/{ Ihe Ulihm'i/] fJ/Altt?,!"ntJ. Col/~~(r J'",.J... Ilr I..,,/dl (I H.,1. ill )fIlffhc"l1If1sh.1 fum fori/fwd Sttflr U"i:'f.',.-it) t>lId a', M,S. .1",1 If Pb.D.;1I d~,if p/tilJuri,,;:!rol'/ ,II{ Unii'miJJ ofC'n!ifimla. {:,:rtdq Lf);N!l it .l~ II,(.indrrr( Me",trr of ITE 89 ',..,11 \JU I II' "'("0 11.,." II""JJ 'IJ cn...,n "In I ~C'C'T 17__J"JC GENTR Y V. CITY OF MURRIETA (1995) 36 Cal.AppAth 1359, 1414-1418 [4'" District, Division 2] "1. Effects on Traffic, Gentry's contention that EA No, 34807 failed to consider cumulative traffic effects is factually unfounded. A cumulative effects analysis requires consideration of "reasonably foreseeable probable future projects, if any," (Citizens Assn, for Sensible Development of Bishop Area v, County ofInyo, supra, 172 Cal.App.3d at p. 168,217 Cal.Rptr. 893.) The traffic impact report upon which EA No. 34807 was based, however, specifically compared existing traffic to the traffic that would result not only from the Project, but also from other projects planned in the vicinity, It also compared existing traffic to the traffic that would result from full buildout of the area pursuant to the Community Plan, This necessarily included "even projects anticipated beyond the near future." (Id,) Gentry's further contention that EA No, 34807 and the traffic report upon which it was based considered only impacts on urban roads and ignored impacts on the "rural road system" is likewise factually unfounded. She indicates that by "urban" roads, she means those one mile or more away from the Project. The traffic report, however, considered not only the Project's impact on existing intersections (which appear to be a mile or more from the Project, giving rise to Gentry's contention), but also on existing roads in the immediate vicinity of the Project. We find no substantial evidence that the traffic report failed to consider any relevant road. Finally, Gentry contends that there was evidence that the Project as mitigated would still have significant adverse effects on the rural road system, Under the Guidelines, "[a] project will normally have a significant effect on the environment if it will ... [c ]ause an increase in traffic which is substantial in relation to the existing traffic load and capacity of the street system." (Guidelines, appen, G, subd. (I ).) The traffic report showed that the Project would degrade levels of service at three nearby intersections, and would increase traffic on Los Alamos Road by at least 73 percent. Gentry claims there is evidence that the Project would increase traffic on Los Alamos Road by more than 100 percent, which she contends is, in itself, a significant environmental effect. We believe this figure is, ifanything, too low; there was evidence that the increase could be as great as 129 percent. [FN29] FN29. Gentry calculates as follows: First, for existing traffic volume, in place ofthe 2,200 ADT's given in the County's traffic report she uses 1,244 ADT's, which she derives from a different traffic report, done in 1992. She points out that the figure in the County's report appears to apply to a different stretch of Los Alamos Road than the one closest to the Project. Next, for the traffic volume the Project would add, she uses a figure of 1,980 additional ADT's for the Project as a whole, which she purports to derive from the traffic report, then multiplies by 70 percent, the percentage of total trips which the traffic report found would involve Los Alamos Road, She anives at 1,380 additional ADT's. This is an increase of a little more than 100 percent. Her figure of 1,244 ADT's for existing traffic volume is fairly arguable from the evidence, as is her figure of70% for trips involving Los Alamos Road. The traffic report, however, found that the Project would generate not 1,980 additional ADT's, but 2,300. When multiplied by 70 percent, this gives 1,610 ADT's on Los Alamos Road, an increase of 129 percent. These were matters of fair argument, supported by substantial evidence in the record; indeed, respondents do not contend othelWise. Their central contention is that the Project's effects on traffic were consistent with the Community Plan, and therefore had already been considered in the Plan ElR. As we have held in parts V,B. and V.c., ante, however, the City did not take advantage of any of the "piggy-backing" provisions ofCEQA--an SElR, tiering, or section 21083.3--that would have permitted it to rely on the Plan EIR. Moreover, it did not comply with the procedural requirements applicable under either tiering or section 21083.3, In the absence of some form of "piggy-backing," the Project's effects on traffic could be "significant" even though they were consistent with the Community Plan, "When assessing whether an EIR is required ..., the local agency is required to compare the newly authorized land use with the actually existing conditions; comparison of potential impacts ... with potential impacts under the existing general plan is insufficient." (Christward Ministry v, Superior Court, supra, 184 CaLApp.3d at p, 190,228 CaLRptr, 868; accord City of Antioch v. City Council (I 986) 187 CaLApp.3d 1325, 1332,232 CaLRptr, 507 ["conformity with the general plan for the area... does not insulate a project from the EIR requirement, where it may be fairly argued that the project will generate significant environmental effects"]; City of Carmel-by-the-Sea v, Board of Supervisors, supra, 183 CaLApp.3d at pp, 246-247, 227 CaLRptr. 899 [effects of rezoning had to be judged against existing conditions, not against conditions permitted under land use plan]; Environmental Planning & Information Council v. County of ElDora do (I 982) I3 I CaLApp.3d 350, 354, 182 CaLRptr, 317 ["CEQA nowhere calls for evaluation ofthe impacts of a proposed project on an existing general plan; it concerns itself with the impacts of the project on the environment, defined as the existing physical conditions in the affected area"]; cf. Benton v, Board of Supervisors, supra, 226 CaLApp.3d at p. 1477, lb. 10,277 Cal.Rptr. 481 [rule that project's effects must be measured against existing conditions rather than against conditions permitted under existing plans does not apply where issue is whether to prepare an SEIR].) Certainly a project's impacts may be significant if they are greater than those deemed acceptable in a general plan, (Oro Fino Gold Mining Corp, v, County of El Dorado, supra, 225 CaLApp.3d at pp. 881-882, 274 CaLRptr. 720 [lead agency's finding that project would have significant noise effects was supported by substantial evidence that project would generate more noise than maximum permitted under general plan].) We do not agree, however, that a project's effects cannot be significant as long as they are not greater than those deemed acceptable in a general plan, Respondents contend that the City was entitled to evaluate the significance of the Project's traffic impacts against "legislatively adopted standards of service," by which they mean the Community Plan. In support ofthis proposition, they cite Citizen Action to Serve All Students v. Thornley, supra, 222 Cal.App.3d 748,272 CaLRptr, 83 and Schaeffer Land Trust v. San Jose City Council, supra, 215 CaLApp,3d 612, 263 CaLRptr, 813. We do not agree, however, that the Community Plan constituted such a "standard ofservice." In each ofthe cases upon which respondents rely, the lead agency used predetermined engineering standards to judge the significance of a traffic impact. (Citizen Action to Serve All Students v, Thornley, supra, 222 CaLApp.3d at p, 756, 272 CaLRptr. 83 [10 percent increase in delay at intersection would be significant]; Schaeffer Land Trust v, San Jose City Council, supra, 215 CaLApp.3d at p, 623, 263 CaLRptr, 813 [reduction ofIevel of service below D, or, if existing level of service was E or F, increase in traffic volume of I percent or more, would be significant],) The Community Plan, by contrast, did not purport to be a ruler against which the significance of a traffic impact could be measured, To the contrary: it provided for traffic levels which were, as the Plan EIR concluded, both significant and not susceptible to reasonably feasible mitigation. The traffic report and EA No. 34807, which relied on it, concluded that the traffic impact of the Project, as mitigated, would not be significant because it would be no greater than the impacts already contemplated in the Plan EIR as a result of the Community Plan. This was a non sequitur. This very defect in the initial study, together with the substantial evidence in the record that the Project's traffic impact might be even greater than the initial study found, gives rise to a fair argument that the Project, even as mitigated, would have a significant impact on traffic. We conclude that the County abused its discretion in adopting a negative declaration for the Project despite the existence in the record of substantial evidence supporting a fair argument that the Project, even as mitigated, would have significant adverse environmental effects on traffic, The City further abused its discretion by adding mitigation conditions 31-32, 122, and 125, to the extent that they related to traffic effects, without recirculating its proposed negative declaration." 2 EXPERIENCE: '<::i PROFESSIONAL RESUME OF JOHN G. McCLENDON John G. McClendon bas extensive experience in the preparation and review of legally defensible Environmental Impact Reports, Negative Declarations, project exemptions, and other environmental documents for public agencies to assure compliance with CEQA and State and local CEQA guidelines. John is also an experienced CEQA litigator at both the trial court and appellate court level, baving successfully argued four CEQA cases before the California Court of Appeal in the last five years. Earlier this year, John successfully defended the City of Orange in a CEQA lawsuit challenging the expansion of a private high schooL Last fall, John obtained a favorable decision for the City of Lake Elsinore in a higb-profile CEQA lawsuit against the Riverside County Local Agency Formation Commission, In 1991-92, he was extensively involved, at both the trial and appellate level, in a CEQA lawsuit filed against the City of Anaheim regarding the Arrowhead Pond. In 1993-94, be was extensively involved in the successful settlement of a CEQA lawsuit filed against Anaheim by a neighboring city. I EMPLOYMENT: Van Blarcom, Leibold, McClendon & Mann, p,e. Orange, California 1994 to Present Stradling, Yocca, Carlson & Rauth, P.e. Newport Beach, California 1990 to 1994 PUBLIC OFFICES: Assistant City Attorney, City of Lake Elsinore (I 997-present) Deputy City Attorney, City of La Quinta (1990-94) Deputy City Attorney, City of Lancaster (1990-91) Deputy City Attorney (interim), City of Norco (1990,91) Assistant City Attorney (interim), City of San Juan Capistrano (1991-92) Assistant General Counsel, Coastal Municipal Water District (I 994-present) Assistant General Counsel, Capistrano Beach Water District (1994,1995) General Counsel to the City of Lake Elsinore Redevelopment Agency (1997 -present) and the Redevelopment Agency of the City of Santa Clarita (2001). Special Legal Counsel to the Cities of Anaheim, Orange (I 995-present), and Sierra Madre (200 I). Special Legal Counsel to the Redevelopment Agencies of the Cities of Anaheim (I 990-present), Calimesa (2000-present) Dana Point (1991), La Puente (1990-91), La Quinta (I 990, 94), Ontario (1990-1999), Orange (I 996-present), Pasadena (1990-91), San Juan Capistrano (1991-94), Victorville (1990- 91), West Covina (1992-94), and Yucaipa (1992-93). PROFESSIONAL: Co-instructor of the California Redevelopment Association's November 4-5, 1998, "Introduction to Redevelopment" seminar for staff and officials of the City of Long Beach. Taught "The Powers of Redevelopment" course at the California Redevelopment Association's October 4-5, 2000, Redevelopment Institute in Marina del Rey. A member of the State Bar's Environmental Law Section, he has presented continuing education courses on CEQA to other attorneys, including two seminars that were approved for MCLE credit. 2 EDUCATION: PUBLICATIONS: ADMITTED TO PRACTICE: AFFILIATIONS: University of Southern California Law Center Los Angeles, California Juris Doctorate, May, 1989 Editorial Board Member (1987-88), Harvard Journal of Law & Public Policy University of California at Irvine B.A. Degree, cum laude, 1986 Fuller Theological Seminary, Pasadena, California M.Div. Program, 1976-77 Westmont College, Santa Barbara, California B.A. Degree, 1976 (with Ronald A. Van Blarcom) "Stay Tuned for the Next Exciting Episode of "We 'Gotch'-Ya" or, "Don't Make Us LAF(CO)"" California Water Law and Policy Reporter, August, 1994. "Don't Let Tigard Scare You! Cities Can Shoulder the Burden Placed Upon Them by This NewU.S, Supreme Court Decision" Western City, October, 1994. Book Review: DISCLOSING TILT: Law. Belief. and Criticism by David S. Caudill Antithesis, March! April, 1990. Book Review: LIABILITY: The Lel!:al Revolution and its Conseauences by Peter W. Huber Antithesis, JanlFeb, 1990. All Courts of the State of California, 1989 United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, 1989 United States District Court for the Central District of California, 1989 State Bar of California (Public Law Section and Environmental Law Section) 3 REPRESENTATIVE LIST OF CLIENTS / PROJECTS City of Anaheim / Anaheim Redevelooment Al!encv CEQA litigation: . The Pond / Phoenix Club Relocation; . City of Fullerton v, Anaheim Redevelopment Agency re: Anaheim Commercial/Industrial Redevelopment Plan adoption CEQAlNEPA and environmental compliance on: . Anaheim Plaza redevelopment project; . Brookhurst Commercial Corridor Redevelop- ment Plan; . CommerciallIndustrial Redevelopment Plan; . City of Fullerton's General Plan Update; . Jeffrey-Lynne housing project; . Kaufman & Broad "Area 5" housing project; . Northeast Area Specific Plan No. 94-1; . South Anaheim Boulevard Overlay Zone; . West Anaheim Commercial Corridors Redevelopment Plan Banninl! Bench Community ofInterest Association CEQA litigation: Banning Bench Community of Interest Association v. City of Banning (Lorna Linda University property) Banning Heil!hts Mutual Water Companv General Counsel Cherry Vallev Environmental Planninl! Grouo CEQA litigation: . CVEPG v. San Gorgonio Pass Water Agency re: State Water Project Importation Project; . CVEPG v. All Persons Interested (Riverside County LAFCO and City of Cali mesa) re: Sphere ofInfluence and Annexation; . CVEPG v. City of Cali mesa re: Pre,Annexa, tion and Development Agreement City of HuntiOlrton Beach CEQA / PUC proceedings re: Bolsa Chica wetlands City of Lake Elsinore and Redevelopment Agencv City Attorney / Agency General Counsel CEQA litigation: . Sphere ofInfluence / Annexation-two matters CEQA and entitlement work on over 12,000 homes 4 REPRESENT A T/VE LIST OF CLIENTS / PROJECTS (continued) - City of La Ouinta and Redevelooment Aeency CEQA litigation - Redevelopment Project Area City of Lancaster CEQA litigation - State Prison site Lee v, City of LomCJoc - CEQA litigation: represented Real Party in Interest McDowell v, County of Riverside- CEQA litigation: represented Real Party in Interest subdivider City of Ontario / Ontario Redevelooment Aeencv Major projects include: . Ontario Mills [1990-1999]; . Ontario Auto Center; . Ontario Convention Center; . Ontario Plaza redevelopment; . Edwards Ontario West City of Ora nee / Oranee Redevelooment Aeencv CEQA litigation: . Jobe v. City of Oranf!e [real party in interest was Lutheran High School of Orange County] Recent projects include: . Chapman University expansion; . Main & La Veta redevelopment project; . Merger of Redevelopment Project Areas; . Stadium Promenade/Century 25 Theatres Ontario Convention Center Corooration General Counsel, 1998 City of Riverside Redevelopment Al!encv Agency Special Counsel CEQAlNEPA on affordable housing matters Southland Comoanies Recent proj ects: . El'Paseo/Edwards Theatres 20 (City of South Gate) . Jurupa Valley Spectrum/Edwards Theatres 14 (Riverside County) 5 07/05/01 111U 14:12 FAX 1 415 626 2860 D.,G. .&.8.. o A V I 5 , COWELL L L P Reply to: & BOW E . 'Counselors"and Attorneys at Law ~OO? . - it;. ...~ ":. .\ .,. ..."1,'..,.....-.: l00V"'8.Aft"...,2Oth"~ :By fax 909-384-5080 San FrmKD. c~rilorni~ 91102 i 415.625.1880 i ,,,415""'" ,Valerie Ross ,Principal Planner B.lnys.Jeaison(CA)!. f d' J Tho ; C~ ty 0 San Bernar ~no . IfIiSBowfn(CA.NV) I '''''''U''''''''''..ICA,N'/) :San Bernardino CA 92418 Ridwlrd G. McCr~ken leA, NV) w. tmoid Hobbeny lCA. NV) , '''''''''An''''''''''''{CA.N'/) IRE: Appeal of Development Permit II No. 01-05 (July 9th And,owI.Koh.lCA,NV,A2) ,Council hearing) JchnlDavts-.Jf.((AJ , FIomu E. Culp leA, NY) : MidlielT.Andenon(CA,NV.oc.MAl I Dear Ms. Ross: TirnothySran(CA,NV,DQ' KristinL.Milrtirl(~ ~ , Enclosed please find additional information ""IiPP'"::;;;:; ! supporting our appeal for you to distribute to the ",,,""""'(TM) Council, an expert opinion from retail management jconsultant Peter Whelan. It supports our claim that this ;Un.M'.tDt1 't '11 l-k 1 bl' ht h '1 I1SS;'th'......w.,,"..., proJec w~ ~ e y ~g ot er reta~ stores. W"""glon,oe,lIOO5 : The enclosed opinion refers to a study by Wharton 202.2232'" IProfessor Edward Shils: by overnight mail you will receive Fu:202.223.86S1 :six copies of that study, along with six copies of another ....,..,...ophy~ i study of WalMart's impact by DC Professors Boarnet & JenniferMatisroC,NY.UD) 1 d' 1 h f ' Crane. These stu ~es are too engt y to ax. i Under separate cover you will be faxed an expert , ;_...tt~"_1l~:opinion letter on this subject from William Lathrop, a8elConSt1~4tt1f100f: _"'....."". ihopefully by the end of today. "",227,'120 ! Thank you for your consideration. F.u611.1Z1.5767 , , Mid\iel T. Andeoon ItA. NV, DC. MAl ! i Rob8tP.CoweI\(l!111.198&1) ~ , I ~\\~ ..... ".;lMa......1. 1630S.C0Im"lI:'te5trrel,SulteA.1 j fax cc: lasVt(las.NeY~.n102 . 702.38&.5107 i fa.. 102.386.9848 ....0 July 5, 2001 John McClendon Carol Gold Sincerely, ~~ Attorney for Carol Gold +32- 7-9-01 ""I 07/05/01 TIIU 14:13 FAX 1 415 626 2860 D.C, & I), ~003 PETER M, WHELAN 9479 ViCtoria Lane Windsor, CA 95492 May 7, 1999 Clerk of the Bowd Board of Supervisors COUNTY OF RIVERSIDE 4080 Lemon Street, 14'" Floor P.O. Box 1147 River;lde, CA 92502-1147 Re:' Appeal of Penny Newman re: Wal-MBrt Warehouse, Plot Plan No, 15861 (FfA 99-4), Environmental Anesl!ITIllIlt No, 37602 Honorable Board MembC<'t: I am a m3Jlagement advisor/consultant whn is very 6uniliar with general merclwJdise ilnd fuod retailing including the unique procurement, warehousing and distn'bution characteristics associated therewith, In addition, I have e'Xtensi~ly studied the economic, social and environment impact ofWal-Mart's corpor!tc phil~sophy and retail ~tratcgy in numerous conununities within California, Attached is a brief summary of my professional experiences, skills, and quaWlcations, It is my undersianding WaI-Man is proposing to build Il dismbution center in Riverside' CoWlty, I have been aslced for my opinion on the econnmic impact such a development will have and the environmental impact associated therewith. Construction of a Wal-Mart distnbution center in Riverside County win act as a catalyst to dl:VClopment ofWal,Mart stores in Southern California and activate its move into the gro<<ry business through its Supercenter format. This in turn will create disruptive and possibly costly changes to traffic; patterns in many wmmunities. ' Wal-Mart's plans were summarized by its quefExealtive Officer David D. Glass at the June 7, 1996 IIUIlI8l stockholden' meeting. In cfucussina Wal-Mart'5 future el<Jlansion plana, Mr. Glua said: "We're going to dominate Nonh AmerieL" Wharton Business School Professor Edward Shib conducted discussions with retailers in California, city pllUlJ'l~. San Diego City Council member! and San Diego city financial officials, These are micwed in hill 1997 report, "MC83Uring the Economic and Sm:iolo2ical Impact of the Mega-Retail Discount Chains on Small EnterPrise in Urban, Suburban and Rural Communities." Professor Shits concluded Wal-Mart'. 18 39\td 013 S3X08 11\110'1 91~~ElEBLeL 6S:6e 6661/el/Se 07/05/01 TIIU ]4:14 FAX I 415 626 2860 !J.C. & lJ, 1i!I004 Page 2 May 7, 1999 obj~ive miiht be to build over 500 stores In CllIifomia alone. Compare this to the latest dati &om Wal-Mart: there are onlyl00 WIlI.Man stores in the 61lte. All are discount stORI, none are Supcreenton. The cloSCIt Wal-Mart distribution center. are ~rrently located in Portervil1c, CalifornIa and New Mexico, which allows the company to competently service general merchandise stores In California. However, the loeation of tile.. distribution centers precludes the company from introducing the Supercenter fonnat in Southern California because of the complel( tum-arouncl sehedule required to service a grocery operation with the larger lRlmw of deliveries requited and the expanded variety and perishability of the product mix. However, with a distnoution center located in Riverside County, Wal-Man is likely to lllIpOnentially expand in Southern California, panicularly with Supercenters, The eaent to which it would do SO is evident by the fact Wal-Mart hu not introduced this format in California. while it has installed 441 Supercent~ in the fest of the counlly.' Jonathllll Laing, in a May, 1996 article in Barron's, confumed the growth plans ofWaI-Mart by reporting projections by Wal-Mart CEO David Olaas that by the year 2000, the grocay business to be Cl\ioyed by Wal-Man's new Supercenten "will blow past the $24 billion business volume ofKrogcr, the dominant supemwket chain." Wal-Man tends to 10Cllte its new stores on undeveloped land,often on the outskirts of existing towns/cities rather than in already-urbanized areas, This encourages conversion of agriculluralland near the new Wal.Mart to non-agricultural uses, Development of new Wal-Man storts and eutl)' of existing Wal-Mart stores into the grocery busineu has frequently had a dev2Statins impact on the economic, social and environmental characteristics ofsUlTounding communities, Its huge discount stores especially impact the traditional depllrUnent storland the ''Main Street" retailer, but also have begun to transform fonnerly-prosperous retail malls into rCllUeu of city ghettos, On visits to California, New York, Dlinois and Pennsylvania, Professor Shils and his italf'witnessed what I also have seen: t.... inC1'e8Jling decay of smaller stores and their environment in rna1ls when hit with competition &om discount mCjlaslofCs, Typically, these malls might have had a nonna!-,izod discount store (60,000 square feet) 8.!1 an anchor. A major rival such u Wal-Mart would then construct a Supercenter (125,000 to 200,000 square feet) perhaps ol\&ohalf mile aWllY from the older mall, with a new parkIng area and an invitation for new stores to open in the area. Aite:!' 6 'These Supen:eoters im:ludc 72 ill Texas, 33 in Florida, and 3D in Missouri (Source: Wal.Mm lIIIIW&! report to .bu.::botders lOr cnd of FY 1991, a\'llilablo at wwwwalnwt com), Florida also has 102 regular WaI-Mart discount stores, ml Texas has 169. WaI-Mart has much ~ OOl1$ity in _ which are far smaller1han Califumla in Ilze Ill4 popullliOD: for CXlIlIlple, Missouri has 79 WaI.Mart disCOllllt ~. aIIl130 SUp=atlers, Kentucky has 4.5 diSCOUDt store. and 23 Supen:e.atenl. IIDd Georgia has 62 discount stores and 25 Supcrccntcrs. ' ~9 39'<1d :)13 S3XOS lIIIW 91~~8E8L9L 65:69, 6661/0t/50 07/05/01 1'1111 14: 14 FAX 1 415 626 2860 D,C, & 8. ~005 Page 3 May 7, 1999 month. to a year, the smaller discounter surrenders, and the store becomes vacant. Traflic density in the older mall begins 10 die a.s shoppers go to the newer and larger mega-retail dil!COunt store. Within a year, e:vety second or third retail store is cJosoci. These stom than take on a pttoized boarded-up appearance. Graffiti, iron griDs and unsightly siaus then appear, and what 5 to 10 yean earlier was a handsome mall now resembles an urban ghetto. Strip IItOres within a rmle or two DCa new Wal-Man llrO likewise endangered. Owners of florist shops, apparel storea, pet food stores, automotive storea, pharmacies and others typically ended their interview with Shils' researchers with a statement like: "No matter how effectively I can compete, If the store next door becomes vacant, traffic denaity diminishes, and my store will have to clolO as well as the one next door." These retailers eoopente in securing new tenants for the Vacan! stores, but it is largely a losing light. In some of the huge maUs visited. as much a.s a 33% vacancy rate was observed within 6 month. to 1 year of the arrival of a big box discount .tore nearby, Not only are small and medium-sized retailers being hammered by WaJ-Man and the like, but even larger dillCOWlt chains are fa1ling by the wayside, a.s attested to the bankruptcy applications ofCaldor and Brad1ees. Charming Shoppes, with over 1,400 retail storet, is reported to be in real trouble, while sno', has closed all storcs. Analysts trace the tmid to a redrawing of battle lines, The expansion into nearly wecy market of the so-called Big Three -- WaI-Man Stores, K-Man Corp. and Dayton Hudson Corp.'s TIfIICl chain - has pitied diKOUnter against discounter in a competition that (avon Jize, "The 5lllaller chains are getting caught in a battle between the Big.," says Linda KristillllSCll, a New York retail analyst with Wertheim Schroder, A diSlentina opinion by 3 Arkansas Supreme Court Justices in the 1995 Conway Wal-Mart predatory pricing case included these remarks, which tueclnctly state the problem and a basic reason for concern - the corporate philosophy: We also find tllat tho Chancellor could have found an intent to injure competitors from the eviden\:41 in the record and panieularly from the testimony otDavid Glass, Pre~ent of WaI-Mart Stores, Inc., who used language such as "aggressive. " "do whatever it takes. " "/rI/J the competition's momentum" and "war zones. .. Senior retail analyst Walter Loeb of Loeb and Associates IlaYs the larger firms such as Will-Mart are gaining Increasing control over the competitive environment and suppliers, When Wal,Mart'is growing at 18.20% a year, with the economy Irowing only about 3%, somebody is aiving up business. Retaill!ll'l responding to Shils' qlU:stlonnairc saw the reduc:tion in the number of wholesalers and middlemen willini to sell to small retailers as atTecting their business negatively. Ovw 50% saw the direct selling 10 mega-retail discounl chains by suppliers as being "negative" or 'very negative." E8 38\;1d :l13 53Xoa lII;'W 91~~8E8L8L 65:60 6661/91/58 07/05/01 TIIU 14:15 FAX 1 415 626 2860 D.C, & B, 141006 Paae 4 May 7, 1999 WaI-Mart's recant ventUre into groceI}' depar1mlBlU through its SUplll'ceruers creates devutatlng competition f~r the small grocer and more traditional supermarket. The ability of WaI-Mart to buy direct from food processors and supplien provides better margin, than arc available to small retailers. Further, wholesalers are di...ppearing, since the giant disc:ount chains III'll buyina "direct" where possible, In a separate study of the impact of mega-discount retailers, the National Trust for Historic Preservation notes that the scale, location and desi~ of these new stores create major problems in both subuman and rural communities, These include: displacing mining businesses, especially indepcndcntly-owned small buainclles who contnllUte significantly to local civil life, by building stores vastly out of scale with a town's ability to aboom them. . setting the stage for higher property and state income taxes by creating developments that are costly to SaYI and require new roads, water and sewer Ilnes, police protection and other public services. . causing the wute or abandonment of previous public and private InveJtmentJ in cxi:ltina buildinp, streeu, parks and otha community wets. homogenizing America by building stores that have no reluion to their surroundings. New or expanded WaI-Mart stores in Southern California would si&nlf!cantly injure existing department stores and gen~ merchandise, drug, toy and grocery slores, and lilcely cause a number to dose or otherwise beaJme run-down in appearance. In my experience, once a department, genenJ merchandise, drug, toy or grocery store closes, h usually i$ vel}' difficult to find an new tenant for it. II becomes a lingering ll)'1l8Ore. The lad:: ofa l'lllldy market fur closed stores is ilIumlled by Wal-Mart'. own problems in this regard: for 111 least several months WaI.Mart's websile has been advmising for sale or lease over 300 of Its own stores which are aIllllIIlIy clo!ed. IfWaI-Man i. allowed to build the proposed distribution center, my experience and research lead me to believe this will cause Wal-Mart to introduea Supercenters into Califomil., This will not only destroy a healthy segment of the currently-viable smaD and medium- s~ SJVCCrY retailers and eliminate the jobs linked thereto, but would ultimately result in the loss of many bigh-pl.ylngjob s now fuund in chain supermarkets. WaI-Mart's increasing push into the food industry is motivated by the drive to increue total retail sales. According to company statement.. total retail sales should increase some 30% due to the synergies established at combination store.. Furthennore, it has been suggested thaI WaI-Mart will use food as a loss ~~ 39'ttd ::>13 S3XOS lI'ttW '31ll8E8L~L 65:6~ 6661/8t/58 07/05/01 1'1111 14:16 FAX 1 415 626 2860 D.C, & 8, 1i!I007 Paie 5 May 7, 1999 leader in order to increase store traffic. The impact of Supereente13 on the food indusuy will parallel the e1fect WaI.MaJt has had on the traditional retail industry described above. Supc:lIlllllket. worlc: on very thin margins, The I:QI11bination ofWaI-Man'. cheaper labor and low prices will haw murderous impact on traditional food slores, large or small. Company-paid health benefits IIId retirement plans now preVJ.lent in supermarkets might disappear, WaI.Mart provides heahh benefit. to a far smaner JCjlI1ent of its workforce than mo.t supermarket chains. The abift in health bencf!t costs will go directly to the taxpayer, while laid-off supermarket workers are likely to IleCk benefits ftom federal, local, and statllJovemments. Thank you for the opportunity to provide the Board with my observations and inlighu into the CCOIIIlmic, social and environmental impacts ofthc development oca Wal-Mart distribution center in Riverside County. Sincerely, ~ J11 jJ~ Peter M Whelan ~R '19\1d ::>13 53XOg lI\1W 9t~Z:8E8LeL 5S:6e 666r/et/Se UUUS/UI TItU 14:10 FAX I 415 026 2M60 D.C, & 8. 1aI008 P.:2 7-17-1998 :2,18PM FRa-t OFF I DE DEPOT 941 1 707 54:2 2338 ',--" Peter M. Whelan '--' 84711 VICtoria Lane I Windsor. CA 1154&2 I (707) 838-82117 OBJECrlVE: Fully utilize proven leadership skills, business acumen and management expertise to make a positive contribution to a customer responsive, progressive business. STRENGTHS: Enthusiastic, people-oriented, hands-on, professional manager with: (I Broad experience in P&L administration and capital allocation strategies. (> Goal-oriented, with consistent success in profitably "growing" a business and controlling expenses. (> First-hand knowledge of issues, opportunities and challenges facing business today. (I Solid and successful track record in the development and execution of diverse business strategies. (I Extensive experience in motivating and directing people to strengthen/improve organizational performance. (I Innate ability to quickly recognize potential roadblocks and promptly resolving the Issue(s) to ensure attainment of business objective(s). SUMMARY OF EXPERIENCE Provi&o Corp.. San Rafael, California - General Manager with lotal P&L responsibility for Warehouse Store Division of this large Northern California food distributor/retailer, The profit center was a ground-up project, and the units were operated both corporately and under a definitive licensing agreement. Responsibilities included: (> Establishment of division's goals and objectives. (I Development, Implementation and administration of businesslfinancial plan, including ancillary support programs. (> Organizational design. recruitment, training and leadership. (> Chairman of Licensee Committee, whose primary function was to monitor group performance and prudently fine-tune, strengthen and broaden markellng programs. (> Site selection, lease negotiations, design of store spec package, supervision of construction activity and facility management. (> Member of Provigo Corp. Executive and Finance Committees. The Executive Committee established overall company priorities/strategy, while the Finance Committee determined capital strateg(/allocatlons. McLanejPaclfic Inc., Merced. California _ President of this California start-up corporation. The parent company is headquartered i,n Texas and is a major supplier of products and services to the convenience store and food service segment of the food market. Primary responsibilities basically mirrored those of my prior position, as the business was also a start-up project requiring a focused, aggressively executed commercial strategy. Colonial/Grand Union, Paramus, New Jersey. Regional Vice President with tolal P&l responsibility for various conventional and warehouse store divisions. Red Owl Food Stores, Hopkins, Minnesota, Vice President of Retail Operations, with total P&L responsibility for multidivislon, multifo(maned stores. ' EDUCATION: Graduate, Michigan State Universily's School of Business and was President of Food Dist~ibution Program. PROFESSIONALClVlC AC11V1T1ES: Director of several retail food companies Director of San Mateo County Cancer Society Director of several state Food Councils. , Jul 06 01 10:56a UFCW LOCAL 1167 9098775986 UFCW LOCAL 1167, AFL-CIO-CLC UNITED r-OOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS UNION 855 WCSI San 8ernardino Avenue Insurance 1',0, Box 1167, Bloomington. CA 92316-0030 Food & M"'tt - (909) 877-1110 Business Office - (909) 877-5000 Drug & General Sales - (909) 877-2331 Bill Saunol. President BiIIl..atluup, Secretary-Treasurer July 6, 200] Common Council cia Valerie Ross, Senior Planner City of San Bernardino Re: Appeal of Carol Gold of Development Penn it II 01-05 (hearing 7/9) Honorable Councilmembers, I have been in the grocery business for 30 years, in the last 20 within the Inland Empire. I follow trade publications in the retail business and observe and hear about retail conditions in other parts of the country, In my professional opinion a new Wal-Mart Supercenter at the State College Business Park will cause other stores to close and become run-down in appearance. The Council has already seen this problem when Ralphs shut down a store several years ago, Other tenants in the same shopping center also closed, and new tenants were hard to find, the vacancies lasting for years. When stores sit vacant, they often become eyesores, especially from graffiti and lack of maintenance and landscaping. Those new tenants which can be found often do not keep up their stores as well as previous ones, All of this brings down property value.s in the area, Here, the Ralphs store about one mile cast of the proposed Wal-Mart is already struggling, which we see from it having reduced staffing to minimal levels, It will likely close if a Wal-Mart Supercenter opens here, This Ralphs might close even from just a conventional Wal,Mart because of the overlap in general sales, which provide grocery stores with a higher profit margin than grocery items and make up about a third of all sales in grocery stores. Wal,Mart's impact stems from its enormous size and from its refusal to compete fairly: Ralphs pays a living wage and provides its entire workforce with fanlily health benefits and pensions; Wal-Mart pays less and as of its last report to the Labor Department, it provides health benefits to less than one,third of its workforce (most are either ineligible or cannot afTord the premium charged them, so they end up receiving medical care from public facilities attaxpaycr expense), Wal-Mart's size and ability to charge less than its competitors mean it also has a devastating imp"et on non-grocery rctailers, who have sometimes reacted to Wal-Mart by closing, hnt even without closing, usually have reacted by spending less on upkeep and thcreby blighting the area. I have attached a list of retailers at particular risk here of becoming blighted other than the Ralphs. Please obtain an Environmental Impact Rcport to look at this problem, ~, BIll Lathrop, President UFCW Local 1167 #32- 7_1-0/ @~ . Jul 06 01 10:56a UFCW LOCAL 1167 Store Al bcrtsons Rite Aid Stater Bros Stater Bros Radio Shack University Town Center Cleaners #6501 #5711 #36 #107 Address 140 W, 40th S1. 949 Kendall Dr. 16\ East 40th S1. 977 Kendall Dr 4434 N. University Parkway 4434 N. University Parkway - 9098775986 p.3 City San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino . --- - - - .- .......- '.. . Pacific Retail Partners July 6, 2001 Honorable Mayor Valles and Members of the Conunoo Council City of San Bernardino 300 North "D" Street San Bernardino, CA 92418-0001 Re: Fiscal Impacts of the PropoSt:d Retail Store Development at University Park-way and Ga.'IJ1ett Drive, City of San Bernardino Dear Mayor Valles and Members of the Conunon COWIcil: The purpose of this letter is to identify and evaluate the fiscal impacts of developing a retail store in the northwestern area of me City of San Bernardino, I have sixteen-years of experience analyzing and selling commercial real estate and I specialize in community shopping centers, Before working in real estate, I worked as a tinancial analyst for Hughes Aircraft lIIld I have a B.A in Business Administration with an emphasis in Economics. Primary Market Area This analysis identifies the primll1)' market area for the proposed WaI-Mart store, The primary market 3lW. is the geographic area which defines the customer base, The size of the primary market area varies depending, in part, on the type of merchandise and the size of the store, For example, some stores, such as Outlet Malls and large auto dealerships draw a large percentage of customers from long distances with more of a regional mllIket draw, The size of the primary market area is also defined, in part, by the average distance people will travel to shop for general retail mercha.:ldise in II convenient location. In this case, the primary and extended market areas are initially shown as concentric circles around the proposed store site with distances of 1.5 miles and 3,0 miles (see the attached map mllIked Exhibit "A"), However, population densities and physical barriers must be taken into account because they determine what store location is convenient. Demographic data confirms that an estimated 22,833 people reside ",ithin the 1.5 mile radius of the proposed WaI-Man. In addition to local residents, there are currently an estimated 16,600 students, faculty and staff at the California State University at San Bernardino, and that number is anticipated to increase by approximately 40% by the end of the decade to an estimated 23,000 people, The geographic area around the proposed WaI-Mart contains physical barriers which influence customer convenience, Customers living to the west of Lytle Creek wash and to the south east of Shandin Hills would frod it inconvenient to shop at the proposed WaI-Mart, For C.otor.~do, 1..,~.l.Jk~,hr-:r~C:::~::..'. :=~. I:l~tl:fb \::),.;l:-;'::~, TcL.'~"", ~""'>"")' ;':.1.,'( ":'''>~ ~" 7-9-0( I. .\./Ot".lngc C.)unt...: ;,,) i 1 .';;[,,:d-:h;.tk:::- Rd. ",.:c,,:, .!,)~. L,H\.t! H~.l"::-:. '..::\ ",~,..;;.; . Td. ~.;.:. 15: .~... ':'1 . ;:~l:' .~., ~ In!:lnd Empir~: ;~~'1 (~.l:'1~'()l". ~:(::....t :,r. S,~:~-: V.", l\l':~:.;.(.~e;: l;.\ .)..!~<- . To::;: '~I"\~ .:. 1;"';_: : . r.1" :( " . ..-.' '1. ,. -~"l these reasons, the primary market area extends from the proposed Wal-Mart site an average of I. 5 miles. DemOl!raDhic Population Data We have gathered demographic data, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit "Bu, to detemtine the number of residents in the area ~urrounding the Gannett Parkway and University Parkway intersection (the site of the proposed WaI-Mart), According to the data an estimated 2,219 people live within a one-half mile radius from the site, 12,317 people live within a I-mile radius from the site, 22,833 people live within a 1.5 mile radius from the site, and 77,462 people live within a 3 mile radius from the site. By the year 2006, the population is projected to increase by 5%, California State Universitv San Bernardino The proposed Wal-Mart is located in a developing area within the City which has already undergone, and is anticipated to continue to undergo, increased residential growth, In addition to the residential growth, California State University San Bernardino is anticipating an increase from the current 16,600 combined student, faculty and staff population to approximately 23,000 by the end of the decade, This significant increase in student enrollment over the next eight years is necessary to match the growing educational needs in the City and the State. The University Business Park Specific Plan, within which the WaI-Mart is proposed for development, was approved by the City with these growth factors in mind, Geogr.whic Location Two factors that determine customer choices among various retail options include the location of convenient or competing stores and value, Assuming that the customers perceive two competing retailers as offering similar values, then location will be the deciding factor. Physical barriers, natural and man.made, can alter a store's primary market area, There are several existing physical barriers within the 3-mile radius of the proposed WaI-Man which reduce the size of the primary market area to less than 3 miles and show that the customer base is not located within a well defined concentric circle, The first is the Lytle Creek floodway to the west of the proposed site and the second i,s Shandin Hills, 1bese two natural barriers are located within the 3-mile radius of the proposed Wal-Mart and reduce the primary market area as described beiow, Lytle Creek Generally, there are no residents in the Lytle Creek wash area west of the site, and the residents located directly to the west of the wash in the northern part of the City of Rialto would have to traverse the wash area to shop at the proposed Wal-Mart, Because crossing the wash area takes more time and effort, residents living to the west of Lytle Creek will probably continue to shop in Riaho or areas to the west and south. Because of the impact of the wash area on customer convenience, tm wash area reduces to approximately 1.5 miles the western half of the primary market area for the proposed Wal-Mart, The area within the western half of the 1,5- mile radius includes portions ofMuscoy. Shandin Hills The primary market area for the proposed Wal-Man is also reduced by a natural physical barrier on the east side: the Shandin Hills, The Shandin Hills divide the University area from northern San Bernardino, acting as an obstacle which restricts travel from the south, This reduces the primary market area east of the ]-215 to slightly more than I mile. Within the 1.5- mile radius are residents living to the northwest of the Shandin Hills who may (or may not) choose to shop at the proposed Wal-Mart. Establishment of a New Market Place This will be the flJ'St Wal-Mart (mId the first major general merchandize store) in the northwestern area of the City of San Bernardino, and the only such store in the UniversitylMuscoy area, As a result, it ",i1I aeate a new marketplace for northwestern San Bernardino residents. There is another existing Wal-Mart in the City located at the cross-town highway (Highway 30) at the intersection of Highland Avenue, However, this store is located approximately 10 miles away and services residents in the northeastern part of the City, The proposed Wal-Mart will also serve some regional customers who commute on 1-215, who will see the store from the freeway and interrupt a trip to another destination to shop, In their traffic analysis for this proposed project, the City of San Bemardino traffic engineers concluded that approximately 27% of the vehicles travelling to the new Wal-Mart will already be travelling on the 1-215 freeway and will stop and shop as a diversion, The remaining 73 percent of the trips will use surface streets, and will originate from within the area surrounding the store, This 73 percent of projected trips will originate from within the primary market area, so the development of the proposed Wal-Mart will provide a convenient location for residents in the northeastern portion of the City to purchase general merchandize, Field Audit Data We performed a field audit of existing retailers in the primary market area (the 1.5 mile radius surrounding the proposed WaI-Mart) to identify the supply and distribution of retail space in the northwestern area of the City of San Bernardino, The field audit includes all existing retailers, including small retail centers containing "Mom and Pop" businesses, which typically include restaurants, a bar or liquor store, dry cleaners, Laundromat. small grocery and convenience stores, fast food restaurants and other services providers. The majority of these stores are small neighborhood stores, providing convenient shopping and services to nearby residents, Although we have included these stores in the field audit for purposes of completeness, they do not directly compete with Wal,Mart due to their convenience orientation, and due to the high concentration of service businesses, such as hair salons, insurance providers, dry cleaners, tanning salon, florist and restaurants. These types of restaurants-services are not provided by WaI-Man, I 2 3 --- FIELD AUDIT OF RETAIL ANCHORS IN WAL-MART PRIMARY MARKET AREA Sau Bernardino, California Home ImDrovement Highland Lumber Best Wood Products Home Depot NWC Highland and Medical Center NWC Highland and Macy SEC Muscupiabe and 21" Street Grocery Stores 4 5 6 7 Stater Brothen; Albertson's Ralphs Marshall's Market SEC Kendall and 40lh NWC Wall and 401h 4434 University Parkway SWC "En Street and Marshall Convenience Stores 8 Chevron Food Mart NWC University Parkway and 1-215 9 Circle K University Parkway and 1-215 10 Shell Food Mart NEC Hallmark Parkway and University Parkway 11 AM/PM NWC Hallmark Parkway and University Park-way 12 Shop and Go Market 3512 Cajon Boulevard 13 Harold's Market 2790 State Street 14 7 - 11 1395 Kendall Drive 15 Jimmy's Mkt/Liquor 2926 Duffy 16 FoodJMea1 MId Darby and DuftY (VACANT) 17 MJs Mkt and Gas Darby and Macy 18 Victoria Market 2392 Augdon 19 Carniceria MId 2397 First Street Droll Stores 20 21 Rite Aid Walgreen's SEC Kendall and 40'" NEC Wall and 40th Auto Parts 22 Kragen SEC Kendall and 40lh 23 Auto Zone NWC Kragen and 401h 24 Venado Tires Cajon Boulevard and State Street 25 Rodriguez Tire Darby and State Street 26 &ano Lube and Tune 1685 Kendall Drive 27 Acosta's Body Repair 3280 Cajon Boulevard . ......... "-'-''-' "j ,-,_r,. ,r.....,. ,.............,...... I"',l....,.......... .;:J.;...-=.; ~...::> ,.:;...."-' ~," 28 29 Phillipes Tire Shop Empire Auto Body Cajon Bouiev2l'd 3930 Cajon Boulevard Restaurant.. 30 Peking Inn 4434 University Parkway 31 Papa John's Pizza 4434 University Parkway 32 Donut Shop 4434 University Parkway 33 Hoagie Yogi 4434 University Parkway 34 Dahlia's Pizza 1689 Kendall Drive 35 Inland Kabob 1689 Kendall Drive 36 Thai Place 1689 Kendall Drive 37 Rainbow Wok 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 38 Domy'sSub 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 39 Tommy's Btrrger #10 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 40 El Rancho Bar &. Grill 3920 Cajon Boulevard (VACANT) Video Stores 41 Hollywood Video 4235 University Parkway 42 Video World 4434University Parkway VACA.'<T Service Provider 43 State Farm Insurance 4434 University Parkway 44 Dry Cleaners 4434 University Parkway 45 Mail Mart 4434 University Parkway 46 Hair Cuts 4434 University Parkway 47 Bamer Shop 2775 State Street 48 Inland Valley Roofing2760 State Street (previously U-Haul) 49 Copy Plus 1689 "D" Kendall Drive 50 Tanning Salon 1689 Kendall Drive 51 Florist 1689 Kendall Drive 52 Hairstylist 1689 Kendall Drive 53 Farmer's Insurance 1331-1357 Kendall Drive (V ACAl'.i) 54 Miracle Hair Design 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 55 S Pro Check Cash 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 56 Hair Salon 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 57 Nail Salon 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 58 El Dorado Cleaners 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 59 Campus Copy &. Print 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 60 Family Karate Studio 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 61 C &. J Lawn Care Cajon Boulevard 62 Suzette Hair Salon Blake and Macy ............... - ._~". . r--........ r ...._....;- ..._ r....... ......_..... Electronics/Computers 63 Bank 64 Radio Shack Downey Savings Small Stores 65 66 67 68 69 70 7] 72 73 74 75 Motel Varjas Feed & Supply University Book Exchange Super $,99 Plus Schwin Bicycles Sister's Precious Piece Satellite Dish Smoke Shop Plus Kendall Drive Feed Media Furniture Rebel Feed Store Calif. Casual Sport 76 77 Palms Motel Cajon Motel - .,;..0,-,.,:,. "-_..... ,""-'.... "-.0 Liauor Stores 78 Norms Liquor Store 4434 University Park-way 4434 University Parl....,-ay 3170 State Street ] 689 Kendall Drive 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 1331-1357 Kendall Drive 2340 Kendall Drive 3030 Cajon Blvd, rv ACANf) Cajon Boulevard near State Street 3940 Cajon Boulevard 3424 Cajon Boulevard 3436 Cajon Boulevard (VACANT) 3795 Duffy Street T)-pe of Retail Stores Witbin the 1.5 Mile Radius Primary Market Area The large retail establishments located in the primary market area fall into two categories, large major chain competitors and smaller convenience stores, The smaller and convenience stores generally do not compete with Wal-Mart because they offer a' different type of merchandize in a small scale and with a service oriented atmosphere. Between the specialized merchandize and the convenience of the location, these stores cater to a local clientele and do not compete with WaI-Mart, The demographic data confirms that the number of residents living within the 1.5 mile radius will support the operation of the proposed Wal-Mart and Dr, Ross Moran, Director of Institutional Research at California University at San Bernardino, projects combined enrollment, faculty and staffwill inl:fea5e by more than 50% to an estimated 23,000 people at the University by 2009-2010. These California State University students and. staff will study and work within the 1.5 mile primary market area of the proposed Wa\-Mart, Wal-Mart MerchlWdize Categories Compared to Sto~ in the Primary Market Area Typical Wal-Mart products include merchandize from the following categories: . Apparel and accessories . Building materials and garden supplies . Packaged food . Automotive supplie,; and service . Furniture and home furnishings . Food service . Drugs . Miscellaneous retail items Comparison to Merchandize Sold By Existing Retailers in Primary Market Area Neill:hborhood Convenience Centers Wal-Mart's potential entry into the market place wil! not havc an impact on smaller neighborhood stores and convenience centers because these types of stores operate on a smaller scale, offer a unique merchandise type which is not available from larger stores, and provide convenient neighborhood locations. GrOCery Stores There are four grocery stores operating within the market area, including an independent store, Marshall's Market, which operates out of a store of a similar scale to a grocery store chains. At this time, other than packaged food, Wal-Mart does not sell groceries in California, and no firm plan now exists regardil'.g a change in that concept Therefore, the proposed Wal-Mart will not compete with grocery stores fur grocery sales, Even if a change were to occur in the future, the expanding population of the area would eliminate the possibility of there being too many large grocery facilities. General Merchandize The sales generated by a typical Wal.Mart are grouped into major categories for comparison with the types of merchandize offered by retail anchors in the primary market area, Wal-Mart's largest sales are generated in apparel and accessories, with expected sales of approximately $9,44 million. Other key categories in order of importance include furniturelhome fashions/appliances ($3.98 million); household/personal supplies ($3,90 million); and garden (S2,24 million). Aooarel and Accessories At the present time, there are no retailers in the Plimary market area that offer the same type of merchandize and on the same scale as the Wal-Mart, However, there is adequate population to support a Wal-Man in the northwestern area of the City, According to the demographic data and infurmation from the California State University, the existing population within the 1.5 mile average primary market area is 22,833 plus an additional 16,600 people (students and staff) currently enrolled and working at California Stale University. San Bernardino, Household and Personal Supplies Wal-Man's household and personal supplies category may compete with a percentage of the merchandize offered at the two drug stores in the northeastern San Bernardino. However, the drug stores are located close to California State University at San Bernardino; and, are located on the opposite side of the 1-215 freeway from the proposed Wal-Man. Common sense suggests that people choose the most convenient retail location which provides the setVices t111:y require. In this case, different pharmacies offer different levels of customer service. The two drug stores on the east side of the 1-215 offer full- service pharmacies, In this case residential and University customers are located on the same side of the 1-215 freeway as the existing pharmacies and the level of service otrered at those locations differs from the level of service offered at the proposed Wal-Mart. Based on location. the existing drug stores are arguably more convenient than the proposed Wal,Mart in terms of proximity to the residents on the east side of the 1-215, , Automotive Repair Auto repair sClVices are a quasi-retail use that predominates on the west side: of Lytle Creek in north Fontana, The proposed Wal-Mart wilI Dot compete with these stores because there is no current plan for a Tire, Lube and Express facility at the proposed Wal- Mart, This' will eliminate the potential for competition with the existing tire stores and auto service centers. If, at a later time, this concept were to change, the increasing population of the area would avoid any danger of over-samration, Wal-Mart does sell convenience automotive items but on a scale that does not compete ~..ith the inventory offered at the existing auto pans store, SumDl.8.ry and Conclusions 1, The demographic data identifies an estimated 22,833 people reside within the 1,5 mile radius which represents the primary market area for the proposed Wal-Man, In addition, there are currently approximately 16,600 combined students, faculty and staff at the California State University, San Bernardino, and that number is ~xpected to increase to 23,000 by the year 2009-10, This represents an increase of approximately 40% of the students and staff in the next decade, The combined total of residents, students and staff amounts to 39,433 people within the 1.5 mile primary market area for the proposed Wal,Mart. This data confirms that the population (resident and student) within the 1.5 mile radius of the proposed Wal-Mart is sufficient to support the Wal-Mart in that k>cation. 2. The development and occupaucy of the proposed Wal-Mart store represents a significant net fiscal benefit for the City General Fund operating budget, The development of a store approximately 155,900 square feet store in si.o.e on approximately 14.5 acres will generate approximately $300,000 per year in sales tax revenue for the City General Fund. Please call me if you have any questions or request clarification regarding the information contained in this letter. Sinca-ely, EXHIBIT "A" " '- , - ~ ~ Symbol. Explan.lltion ~---t'_h Scho : [!J c-cou. .......... O@ o ~!'__h::;.: , . ' : _I : 'I "_ . Intercity Hwy, "--_"_hoO Interstate Hwy, Celifornie State Route Fire ~ Potie, Hasp Freewey Golfl Park ':"~I".1-':; Arterie' Street W77){ STREET ADDRESSES 1 I ~....~:---:..: : . . ....-...... NlJ1ID Fore::. . Othsr Build;; o , I o I 1 I 2 - EXHIBIT "8" - ~ - Man JuJ 02, 200 1 CUSTOM SUMMARY REPORT POP-FACfS: FULL DEMOGRAPHIC DATA PREPARED FOR Paoilio R.ctai.I Partners HALLMARK PKWY AT GANNEn PKWY Hallmari: &; Gannett (962093608) SAN BERNARDINO, CA 92407 COORD: 34,1647 -117,3358 .50 MILE 1.00 MILE 1.50 MILE 3.00 MILE DESCRIPTION RADIUS RADIUS RADIUS RADIUS POPULATION 2006 PROJECTION 2,309 13.136 24,544 81,508 2001 ESTIMATE Z,219 12,317 22,833 77,462 1m ceNSUS 1,917 10,128 18,196 65,623 1980 CENSUS 724 4,531 8,628 43,411 OROWTIll980 . 1990 164.63% 123.52% 110.90% 5l.1M'. HOUSEHOLDS 2006 PROJECTION 868 4,287 7,923 26,603 2001 ESTIMATE 83S 4,038 7,372 25,228 1990 CENSUS 732 3,394 5,933 21,465 1980 CENSUS 220 1,390 2,636 14,716 OROWTIlI980-lm 233.10% 144.09'10 12S.09"'" 45,86% 2001 ESTIMATED POPULATION BY RACE 2.219 12,317 22,833 77,462 WHITE 53,31% 53.17% SO,21 % 51.74% BLACK 18.69% 16,58% 16,27% 18,93% ASIAN ANI> PACI1'IC ISLANDER. 8.10% S.27% 5.17% 4.\4'10 OnmR RACES 19,91'10 24.98% 28.35% 25.19% 2001 ESTIMATEDPOYOLAnON 2.219 12.317 22,833 77,462 HISPANIC ORIGIN 35.75% 43,1'7"'" 46.25% 42,5'7"/0 OCCUPIED UN1TS 740 3,382 5,893 21.523 OWNER OCCUPIED 27,93% 50,62% 49.81'10 61.09% RENTER OCCUPIED 72.07% 49.38% 50,19% 38.91% 1 m A VERAOE PERSONS PER HH 2.61 2,96 3.01 3,00 ZOOI EST HOUSEHOLDS BY INCOME 835 4,038 7,372 25,228 SI 50,000 OR MORl! 0.01% 0,70% 1.07% 1.080/. $100,000 TO $149.999 0,89% 1.76% 1.78% 2.93% $ 75,000 TO $ 99,999 4.23'10 5,69"10 5,20'10 7,07% $ 50,000 TO $ 74,999 24,63% 24,75% 22,50% 21.37% $ 35,000 TO $ 49,999 22,Z8'10 23,S'7"I. 23.19% 20,06% , S 25,000 TO S 34,999 17,58% 15,02% 14.58% 14.27% $ 15,000 TO $ 24,999 16,95% IS,07% 16.82% 16,56% $ 5,000 TO $ 15,000 1UO% 11.16% 11.64% 13.63% UNDER $ 5,000 1.93% 2,29% 3.22% 3.03% 2001 EST. AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME $39,676 $43,595 $42,924 $43,851 2001 EST, MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME S36,364 $39,124 $37,417 $36,880 2001 EST. PER CAPITA INCOME $14,959 $14,331 $13,996 $14,451 WWW.SITEREPORT8.COM e2OO1 CLARITAS INC. 1 800 ~ 5973 6'd 0L<:;l 817<:; 606 lI~~3~ OI~IO~d ~O~~ ~dLS'0L 100<:;-L0 - EXHIBIT "e" From: Sent: To: Subject: ~ TIm CSUSB_Enrl_EsCCVC &Main.ll.ls Ross Moran [rmoran@csusb,edu] Thursday, July 05,2001 4:38 PM ROSS _ V A@cLsan-bernardino,ca,us North S8 Retail Projects ~ CSUSB_Enrl_EsCCVC &Main.ll.ls Attached are projected Fulltime Equivalent and Headcount enrollments for CSUSB, main campus and Coachella Valley Campus through 2010, This is subject to change and renegotiation with the CSU system office. Ross T. Moran, Ph.D. <rmoran@csllsb.edu> Director of Institutional Research California State university, San Bernardino http://ir,csusb.edu Phone: (909) 880-5052 Fax: (909)880-7069 Realizing that we have a moving target, here is the current best guess for the FTES and HC by College Year (which includes summers): College Year 2001,2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007.2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 Total 12,300 12,915 13,530 14,145 14,760 15,426 16,143 16,860 17,618 FTES CVC 440 475 510 545 580 615 650 685 720 Main 11,860 12,440 13,020 13,600 14,180 14,811 15,493 16,175 16,898 Total 15,806 16,596 17 ,386 18,176 18,967 19,822 20,744 21,665 22,639 Headcount CVC 872 941 1,010 1,080 1,149 1,218 1,288 1,357 1,426 Main' 15,108 15,843 16,578 17,313 18,047 18,848 19,714 20,580 21,498 . Assumes that 20% of CVC students enroll at the Main Campus as well as CVC, HC:FTES Ratios Total 1.285 CVC 1.981 - kEtEP -rH/~ DrJC()~E/ZJr CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO Development Services Department - Planning Division Interoffice Memorandum f<ECr:I'j' ') f~i j '( ',:: i'j, 0 001 JUL -5 AlO:51 TO: Mayor and Common Council Valerie C. Rj!fPrinCipal Planner FROM: SUBJECT: Appeal of Development Permit II No, 01-05 - Wal-Mart Project DATE: July 6, 2001 COPIES: James Penman, City Attorney; Fred Wilson, City Administrator; Rachel Clark, City Clerk; James Funk Director, Development Services Attached are copies of The Impact of Big Box Grocers on Southern California and The Shils Report related to the appeal of the Planning Commission's approval of the Wal- Mart project, item No, 32 on the July 9, 2001 Council Agenda. Since only five sets were received and The Shils Report is copyrighted, distribution was as follows: . Mayor* . Council Office* . City Attorney . Project Applicant . Planning * After the meeting, I would appreciate it if you could provide a copy to the City Clerk to keep with the official record. -r/.A-%~o~~~~: -P~~ef .,tL- S' A;k ~ &c. -~--e Or U 11':.( ~ r' . ~ ~ a.--l. 1YJ~ t7~ ~po 7- 9- 01 -If 3.2. SJIWOUO:l3 UI 'S'8 "V'S 'l;l:lj;lP;lOD ;)!UP.I:l1^-J :Jl8pOSSY 'pu:Js:JlI L661 'L ,(lP.nJq;)::! YS'I^-J 'YS 'liOqJS -V P-PU!I;)J/I! .IoJaa~!o aJ8pOSSY E!UP.hIASUU;ld JO "1!Sl;lh!Un 100q:lS UO)JP.4A\ ;)ql l;)JU;l:) Ill!-ffi;lU:l1d;lllU3 UO)JP.4A\ Snl!J;lW3 10J:);lJ!0 s;)!pnJS 1P-!Jn;)U;)ld;)1IU3 JO 10SS;lJOJd snl!l;)W3101"P-l 'M ;);310;)D '1^-J"11 "0'[ ''Q'qd 'sI!lIS 'S PlP.MP3 .I0pa.l!U ApnlS S:ilI~INIlWWOJ 'lVllIlH aNV NV9HIlHIlS 'NV9HIl NI :ilSrndH:iI~N:iI 'l'lVWS NO SNIVHJ ~NIlOJSla 'lIV~:ilH -V~:ilW :ilH~ ~O ~JV dWI 'lVJI~O~OIJOS aNV JIWONOJ:iI :ilH~ ~NrnIlSV:ilW .LlIOd311 S'lIHS 3H.L r--t\ 'r I1J 1997 by Edward B. 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As a proponent inllnderstanding the plight of small business which traditionally represents an overwhelming proportion of national economic activity and currently as one who observes the trend in corporate downsizing where more and more jobs are vanishing at an alarming rate, 1 decided to lIndertake a stlldy of what impact the mega-discollnt retail chains are having on communities, both economically and sociologically, In the Spring of 1994, I began to raise funds for a national sllrvey of this problem, concentrating in the states of California, Illinois, New York and Pennsylvania, I needed fllnds for clerical help, computerization, travel, printing and research assistance. In addition to the lIse of a considerable amollnt of my own financial resources, I was aided by my family (my wife, Mrs. Shirley R. Shils and my sister, Mrs. Charles Marshak of Atlantic City, New Jersey); by the United Food and Commercial Workers; by the Knitted Ollterwear Manllfactllrers' Association of Pennsylvania and the Fashion Apparel Manllfactllrers Association of Pennsylvania and other individllaIs. The study was launched in the Spring of 1994, when 6,000 qllestionnaires were sent to retailers in four states: California; Pennsylvania, Illinois and New York. There was a 9% retllrn, with these returns providing both quantitative data (see Chapter Ill) and qllalitative narrative data (see Chapter IV). Also, I traveled frequently to the four states and interviewed sllrviving retailers on the "Main Street," and in the sllburban or rllral malls and the strip centers, My recommendations, in part, apply to city, state and the federal governments with respect to their present practice of providing "public fllnds" or "corporate welfare" to help finance capital outlays and debt service for the infrastructure construction of "Big Boxes" cllrrently being erected throughollt the United States, Many of the development packages provide that a new "Big Box" will be able to retain all sales taxes collected for a given number of years in order to help finance the construction and debt costs of the new facility, When this happens the local government and the school districts which depend on sales and real estate tax revenues find themselves in desperate financial condition since the small retailers which have been displaced are not providing revenlles throllgh and sales tax to the schools and property and real estate taxes to the commllnity. Congress shollld not only review the "corporate welfare" benefits not so broadly lInderstood and in addition shollld review whether or not a more rigorolls enforcement of the Sherman, Clayton, Robinson- Patman and Federal Trade Commission Acts would or would not be applicable with respect to determine the existence of possible predatory behavior on the part of the mega-retail discount chains and other overwhelming retail conglomerates, The study and interviews with small and medium sized retailers confirms the fact that intense price competition has closed and is closing hllndreds, if not thousands of small retailers? Ironically, it is now affecting the large discount chains themselves? Bradlees, Ames, Jamesway, Hills, Caldor and Boston Stores are in or near bankruptcy. Kmart reeled from a string of quarterly losses. Wal-Mart, the behemoth of retail recently reported for the first time, a decline in earnings, Charming Shoppes has been in serious financial difficulty. Where will it all end? Finally, Congress and state governments need to examine the effect mega-discount chains have on small bllsiness. A comparative analysis needs to be explored concerning those cities which acqllire the new "Big Boxes" and the economic fallollt which occllrs to the losing city. What happens to the consllmer in a town or medium sized city, which lost all of its "Main Street" retailers lIpon the arrival of a neighboring "Big Box," when the mega-retail discollnt chain decides to close because of the now weakened buying power of iv A L66! 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's,lI11o^'looM 'S,A;)UUad 'SJE;)S sp.LJ,ns SU!Il'l' I!CI;)lllMOll~-II;)M pUC salOIS IU;)lII11~d;)p 'SlallEl;)lllEUIS AlIllUOIllpllJl sa!WOUO;)3111~nll pUll ullq,mqns 'ullq.lIl UO SU!llq;) luno;)s!u I!IlJ;JlI-llj!aw JO plldwI aq.L S'3HO.LS V~'3W 3H.L ....0 NOISV ANI '3H.L ~NIAIAlInS I 1I3.LdYH:) Edward 0, Wells reported on a study by Kenneth Stone, Professor of Economics at Iowa State University and a Wal-Mart guru, that the revenlles generaled by major discollnt chains sllch as WaI-Mart (or Kmart) and others, have actllally been revenues lost by local merchants, His hypothesis appears based on the assumption that these areas consisted of static populations where the retail market had largely remained unchanged, When major discounters enter, therefore, sales tend to be taken from those originally destined for local stores, This is actllally a shifting of market shares, and not necessarily newly generated sales through an increase in the market or its demography, In fact, between 1980 and 1990, total retail sales increased only 8% while total retail space soared by 40%2 This re-allocating of sales from one area to another has been extreme enough to be detrimental to local economies, And sales were not the only area affected: jobs as well shifted and not even jobs with as mllch to offer were the result. FlIrther concern arises as Wal-Mart and Kmart move aggressively into the food indllstry with their "Supercenter" facilities, Both chains have developed 100,000 - 200,000 square foot "Boxes" which sell a fllllline of food as well as general merchandise, Additionally, Kenneth Stone's early studies found that towns olltside of Wal-Marts had lost sales on an average of25% becallse of the attracting of consumers to these new centers,' More recent data on retail square footage shows that the United States is in a condition of being '''over-stored' with 19 sqllare feet of retail space per capita compared with just half that level a decade ago,'" The following chapters in this stlldy are concerned as mllch with the "desocialization" of traditional family communities, sometime ethnic, religious, racial, bllle or white collar, or socialized by national origin or with the economic impact of the mega-discollnt chain on the small retailer. As the retailers fail to survive, so do the neighborhoods fail, with resultant urban crime, drugs, gangs and blight, The writer's interest in the impact of the giant retail discollnters lIpon small retailers was arollsed because of his long-time exposure as a professor teaching the values of small business entreprenellrship and as well as an expert in a number of trade associations in the dental, sweater, women's apparel and carpet retail industries' small bllsinesses, FlIrther, in 1973, as Chairman of the Department of Management at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, the writer founded and became the fOllnding Director of the Wharton Entrepreneurial Center, which became a prototype for hundreds of such centers at colleges and universities throughout the world, The writer is no longer associated with the center except as one who holds Director- Emeritus rank, The center and its teaching program in Entreprenellrial Studies were designed to explore the entreprenellrial spirit in America's YOllth and to instill in both lIndergradllate and gradllate stlldents both special skills and an intense desire to create and grow small bllsinesses in America, The concern is not only with the establishment of small retail bllsinesses, but also with depriving the creative entreprenellr of developing new products and getting shelf space, FlIrther thirteen Small BlIsiness Development Centers (SBDe's) were set up in colleges and lIniversities throllghout Pennsylvania, Stlldents and faclllty assisted small entrepreneurs, many of them retailers to sharpen their skills to be more competitive, This program was funded in part by the V,S, Small BlIsiness Administration (SBA) and SBDC's became a model for other states and lIniversities, It was apparent in 1973, that for America's largest corporations to compete globally, they wOllld '''What Happened to Main Street," Historic Preservation, MayiJune 1996, p, M4, 'Edward 0, Welles, "When Wal-Mart Comes to Town," Inc" July 1993, pp, 76-88, 'Jonathan R, Laing, "Super-Saviors," Barron's, 6 May 1996, p,I7, 2 E 'f 'd ',661 ludy ';lJ!JJO :1l1!IU!'d 11l'llIUJ'AOD sn <ro 'uollllllLJSl!M 'AOR'OAPV .10 OJ~JO '1I0!)p'11S!U!llIPY ssaUlsng lIelllS sn 'ss,u!sng lIelllS lnoqy spe~L 'Plql, 'L661 A1cnucr fZ pa"'.IA '1lI1LJ'SpeJfZlqllls/Aojl'osnOLJ''''''''''/rdllLJ :ssaJpPY '.llsq."" ap'M Pl10M OOlllllllllO:) sS.U1sng IIRlIIS S'A!IR1U'S'Jd.lIJO ;lsnOH sn \,SpC~ ssalllsng lIelllS.., % I Z JO Sa!I!AlpE l!el;)J U! p;)ilRillla SJa~JOM 61 Z'LLL'61 ;)J;)M aJ;)ll1 'S;)lelS p;)lll1n all1 10.1 f661 ", "SlIJ;lllRd SS;)lI!snll AlunoJ" uo lJod;)J IRUOIIEU e ul 'Jal!ElaJ IIEUlS 0'11 aAp.s 1I0!leU a411Ell1 aAlleJaduII 51 11 'sllIaUl4S!l'lelsa I!CI;)J "! sJa~Jo^, 1I011l!W OZ ISOUlIE Ao\dUl' 1I11S IIRUlS pllR ;)llJRI sJI1allaJdaJ1Ua ;)sa4.L 'P;),(Oldw;)-JI;)S;)q OllllRM II!IS 04M (RlldE' pal!llIll 'II!^' as041 speJllR 1I'1S 1l1l11!RlaJ SS;)I;)4jJ;)A;)U :S;)JOIS ilU!PURIS ;);)JJ JO slIEUI P;)pow-Ino 'slIRW d!JIS ,,'Sla;)JIS lIIcl^J" 1l1l!'llp;)P plIR paJaURq pllR ';)lalosqo U! 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M;)lI IE!llIRlsqns lIa;)q se4 ;)J;)41 'sJe;),( fZ Ised ;)LJlllll!lno 'llUIJnpeJnllRllI pue a"AJ;)S ';)les;)[04^' 'l!el;)J :s;)ssaUlsnq ^';)U "MOJil" 01 pue salelS P;)I!Ufl a'll U! ssalllsnq IIEUlS aARS 01 P;);)U R S! II!IS pUR se^, ;)Jal(.1 'p;)l,adxa SR paJJnJJo SRt] S14.1 'SUO!lRU J;)410 01 sqO! .10 spllRsn041 jO sU;)lllodx;) ;)'U;)LJ pllR 'SJJR1S J!a41 aZIS-lI^,Op of the entire non-agricultural work force of 94,807,076, Of the total of 19,777,219 retail employees, 6,953,455 or 35% worked for small retailers with less than 19 employees, For small retailers with 29 to 49 employees, there were 4,825,666 retail employees, In other words 11,778,000 retail employees worked for firms with under 50 employees; or 60% of the total. Despite the developing dominance of the mega-retail discount chains, retailers who are relatively large have a combined total retail employment of only 40% or abollt 8 million jobs in the category of 50 employees and greater. To insure the dominance of "small business" in retail activities the COllnty Dalton report of the U,S, Department of Commerce for 1993 showed a grand total of 1 ,551 ,51 0 retail estabIishments--large and small, The ultimate possible impact of more and more powerflll mega-retail discount chains will be to displace tens ofthollsands of small business entities and make millions of retail employees "redundant," something that alltomation failed to accomplish, In the job category of 0-10 employees, there were 1.317,122 retail establishments or 85% of the total. The SBA also lauded the new job creation of small businesses as follows: "During the entire 1976-1990 period, small finns provided 53 percent of total employment and 65 percent of net new jobs, From 1989-1991, the latest Censlls data available prodllced under contract for SBA, indicated that small firms with 0-4 employees created 95 percent of the new jobs. Of the 2,6 million new jobs created, 1,5 million came from expansions of new small firms with 0-4 employees which moved into the 5-19 firm size category, The remaining jobs came from births of new small firms,'" While small retailers struggle to stay in business against major odds both with national competitors who buy direct with mass purchasing and resllltant discollnts, small and large manllfacturers appear to be giving liP, The U ,S, employment sector showing the greatest decrease is the manllfactllring sector. Joblessness in this sector has to be made lip in service or retail indllstries, In 1985, there were 19.2 million manufactllringjobs in the United States, By 1995, this had dropped to 18,2 million, a loss of one million jobs dllring a time in which pop"lation had grown by 22 million and the civilian work force by 18 million,' Small manufacturers have been put out ofbllsiness as the US free trade policy encollraged imports first from Japan, then later from Taiwan, Hong Kong, India, Pakistan, SOllth Korea, China, Singapore and numerous other nations, This policy also negatively affected the American small retailers who did not have the ability to contract for mass pllrchases from overseas, low-labor cost areas as did major retail chains and mega-retail discollnt chains (as evidenced by the media's preoccllpation with Kathy Lee Gifford and Michael Jordan and their association, no matter how remote, problems with child labor in manllfaclllring plants where products with their names on them are prodllced), Small businesses appeared to be most successful in the past 22 years in creating jobs in service and "Op, cit., U,S, House of Representatives Small Business Committee WWWebsite, 'Special Report of the U,S, Department of Commerce from Office of the Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Planning. 4 , '61 'd ';JlI!Ul "Ii" 'dOol XCILJ1IM P;)zlplsqns ;)JR U;)l1O OLJM pllR sloolps Jllqnd lR~lIUO!lS;lllum AIlMllll!4 'uo!lnllod 01 alllqlllllm ual10 OYM 'slI!R4:') luno:)sl ml:JFR~;JUI :;np)o 1I0PBJdJ-!IOJd d4l1iU!JJalap)0 sadOllll! 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Opposing the giant mega-retail chains with their huge financial resources is often cost prohibitive for neighborhood groups, A desire to survive requires new marketing strategies to be formed and implemented by local and regional store owners, Many of these strategies have been selected by hundreds of respondents fOllnd in the tables and charts in Chapter III ofthis study, This portrait of the "free" retail market is not a happy picture, However, one can say, "The cities of the United States are tuming into ghettos, so what's the difference?" Things are expected to be better in suburbia, in rural areas and in America's small towns located in New England, the So lith, the Midwest and the Far West. However, urban decay, stimulated in part by the movement into "Main Street" avenlles and to the suburban and rural malls, has now spread throughout America in almost every state and region and has created cemetery-like sprawls in towns and malls, once pleasant and inviting to local citizens and travelers, Earlier entrance of the mega-discollnt chains into mid-town America (the small towns) struck a cheery note with promises of jobs and services by the new retail discollnt "giants," However soon the "Main Streets" of these towns were decimated, by repeated small store closings, lInable to compete with the new American retail "giants," Moreover the effect on the remaining retailers by the "moving Ollt" of a mega- discount store after several years, becomes particlllarly destructive to the sllrvival of the remaining small retailers in malls formerly dominated by a retail "giant." The free wheeling race between mega-retail discollnt chains sllch as Wal-Mart, Target, Kmart and others is best exemplified by Wal-Mart's planning strategy promlllgated by its Chairman at the JlIne 7, 1996 annual stockholders' meeting, In discussing Wal-Mar:t:s future growth and expansion plans, David 0, Glass, Chief Executive Officer, said: "We're going to dominate North America,"" (Emphasis added,) Obviously, conquering the retail market in North America is Wal-Mart's agenda and this is further evidenced by the strategy of placing urban stores in a manner which creates a 10 mile radills and rural stores with a 35 mile radius, In a 1993 New York Times article quoting Kenneth Stone, a noted academician who has become an expert on WaI-Mart, he said: "What happens is that Wal-Mart has a saturation strategy, They come in with stores 60 miles apart and then they are 10 to 12 miles apart, Abollt three years after a Wal-Mart opens, stores near it begin to close,"" ~ =-=-------- What chance could a smaller, less aggressive enterprise, sllccessflll in the "Main Street" tradition, have against a multi-billion dollar company proudly advocating dominance, The chances for a free market on a level playing field is disappearing year by year, month by month, "Louise Lee, "WaI-Mart Says It's Comfortable With Estimate," The Wall Street Journal, 10 JlIne 1996, p, A3, "Louis Uchitelle, "Do Chains Cost Jobs?," The New York Times, 3 October 1993, p, C I, 6 L '8l-n 'dd '17661 AJllnJqo"j I Z 'OUlZO:3V/V Y";)"'PUOJ[J ,:moJny lSR3 AIS!Od spaIN LJloUlo409 S,'~JY 'OIl!AUOlllog :Sl";\\ ;)411SUlC~y SpUCIS 40lLJM 'pOJIS UIBl^J 041 01 nOA o~e.l OM" 'LJonOUlJO)\ AJJOD" 'v 'd '(1'661 :ploeld o~el) 41M01[) olQlsuOdsoll JOJ SluoplSall 'eOJC AN 'P!oeId o~el U110~JeIN 04101 ooueJlug s,IlRIoIJ-IRM uo 1l0doll(1 MIP;)dSOJd III ;)llRJlnO P;)'!OA o'l^' ;)Idood AIUO ;l41101l ;)J;)^, SRSlIqJV 'EJOJnv lSR3 .10 suaz!l!' aLJ.1 ",:CJOJl1V IS1l3 .10 J;)PEJELJO ,uolSl4 oLJI ;)UlllUap"n pllll swalqOJd '!JJllJl alRaJ' 'SJ;lI!Rj;)J IR'Oj alIWJ;)p"n PlnoM JalllnO'Slp RIllLJI PlllJJR aJE ;)M" 'ilU!UlIllld alq!Sllodsa"M JOj SJ;)ilCII!A ;)41jO lllapls;)Jd pllC Joss'JOJd Mlll R 'JjOil;)l!d J;)I;)d s;)lonb 'au!zuSVjiV'IaaMpuv.J[[ 1II ;)p!llll 17661 R 1I1 'll,noulJa)f AJJ;)D 'UOISEAlII UE SC P;)M;)IA Aa'lI1El(^, UJOJJ ajll jO AR^, 11;)41 p;)loJd Ol141l!J 01 APC;)J ;)J;)M A;)4.1 'sdnOJ1l1S;)IOJd lllllZ!"RilJO lIRllaq AI;)IR!P;)UJUII SlI'Zll1;) 'J;)lll;)' lI^,OlllMOp IRlIOlllpRJI S,lI^,OI a'll UlOJJ AR^,R ;)111II a;)JRJS R )fJlld IR!llsnpll! lIR1C ;)'llds I!Rj;)JJO l;)aJ aJRnbs 000'[9Z 41!M IIcUJIIP.I;)J aJOc 8'Lv C p;)sodOJd 'SCSlIC~JV 'RJOJl1V lS1l3 "! 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S,J;)IIJM ;)l(.L 1:fJ entrance of behemoth retailers into their "Main Street" cllItllres, Towns throughout the nation have expressed their discord with the invasion of these "Big Boxes," the large warehollse-Iike structures which threaten the sllrvival of the small retailers, Commllnity groups have developed conferences and seminars throllghollt the United States on how to confront the almost daily arrival of these mega-stores, Often citizen groups, by petitioning their elected officials have prevented the major retail discount chains from beginning warehollse-like shopping sites, However, closer analysis of the retail industry, its strategies, and the trends that perpetuate the indllstry's growth sllggest that the inevitable will occllr; lInless small. less leveraged retailers and "Mom-and-Pop" stores can create new strategies to survive against the new competition, Enlightened overnmentaIIeadershi ,both local and national should provide SllppOrt and encollragement for small business leadershi to execllte sllrvivaI strategies, Tle menc Y WI reqllire a alance o arge and small retail businesses in order to provide millions of well paid positions necessary to provide goods and services in a growing national economy, As the history of retailing in America was studied, the writer noted that from the traditional small size retail chain there emerged the department stores, These examples of grandeur were generally fOllnd in mllnicipalities with sllbstantial populations, sllch as the large city, Later, as retail discollnt chains came into existence, the department store had hard sailing, and despite the development of branch stores in sllburban areas, the record of the department stores sllffered along with the small retailer. Employment in the department stores also became downsized as personnel costs were cut in the face of competition from the Kmarts, Wal-Marts, Targets and J,C, Penney's, Althollgh discollnt retail chains were first noticed in the 1950's, America watched one crealive and fantastically managed company develop from a five-and-ten store into a company with $82 billion in sales in fiscal 1995 and fiscal 1996 sales over $93 billion and projected sales over $105 billion in fiscal 1997, (Most of these major retailers have fiscal years ending January 31 st or very close to Ihat date), Wal-Mart Stores, Inc" this formidable retail chain in one year opened 147 new Wal-Marts, and 163 Sam's CllIbs in the United States alone," Althollgh Wal-Mart was not the first in the market, it inflllenced the marketing and planning of its competitors and exercised a major impact lIpon the growth of the entire discount retail chain business, According to Edward 0, Welles, "From 1960 to 1985, annllal sales by discount stores in the United States exploded from $2 billion to $68 billion, with Wal-Mart responsible for igniting mllch of that growth."16 Discollnt retail chain stores, sllch as Kmarts and WaI-Marts have recognized the need for sites which supply a variety of brands and products at a reasonable vallie, Wal-Mart achieved success by first providing prodllcts that "were lip to 15% cheaper than those available in 'Mom-and-Pop' stores," according to the Harvard Business Review," Its competitors also followed with similar marketing strategies, Large discollnt retail chains and similar mega-stores have continlled to grow and expand in the United States, In addition, barriers of entry have developed, preventing increased competition, Their strategies and decisions have been able to influence the entire nation's economy, basically becallse of their "Op, cit., Sylvia Lewis, pp, 14-19, '"Op, cit., Edward 0, Welles, pp, 76-88, I7"The Evolution of Wal-Mart: Savvy Expansion and Leadership," Harvard Business Review, May/June 1993, pp, 82-83, 8 6 'aIlS qaMMM aalllwwoJ ssoUlsns IIRwS SOAI1ElU;)S;lJdo~ .10 asnOH Sfl "11J 'dO", 'Pl%, / ,,'IMlUds I13J11J" SU II;)M su "lIuqJnqns" lnq ,.',MIUds ueqJl1" lOll SUM pgSS;lUl!M SCM IR4M ,.-I^,RJds URqJO" SR sllIallldolaAap ;)Sa41 S;)q!DSap ::>0 'lI01l3U!4S11M "! 1I011CAJaS;)Jd JIJOISlH 10.1 ISI1J.L IElI0I1EN '4.1 'OU;)4il lIcqJl1 lIR S;)jqUl;)saJ ^,Oll 'aplSAJIlInO' ;)l(1 '111M AlIOUlJR4 III IIRUI ;)UlOSpllRl( R SR^, JalpE;) SJllaA lIal 01 ;)A!J ICLJM pUll JRaddc "'41 SlIlllS A1l41l!SlIl1 'SII!Jll UOJ! 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'SJ;)I!ElaJ IR'OI IIRlIIS a'll JaAO pallEA;)Jd PR4 pUR RaJC Jllln~!IlRd R U! ;)J01S C pa4sIIqRIsa lJRW-IRM a'lIo 'sn4.1 'SJ;)lllnO"!p ICA!J OMlll!"ll11"W OIl(llnOU;) allJRI Sl1M uO!ll1lndod J;)WOISn, a'll 'aJOIS ;)UO lloddns Plno, SlIO!lE'OIIlRl^J-I"M IRU!ll!JO ;)4111;)4M" 'SJ;)U10ISn, pUE SJ;)!lddns l(loq uo ;)llEJaA;)11l1l01Is These mega-retail discount chains, in their race for demographic and marketing sllpremacy in each region, after influencing the closing of small retailers in the area, then compete over the leftover consllmer "bones," Ultimately, one major chain opening in an adjacent area destroys the competition, leaving the formerly sllccessful mall appearing like a giant, desolate unkept cemetery, Factors determining consumer buying clearly favor large retailers, since they have been able to maintain the consllmers' needs for low prices and convenience by having "one-stop shopping," In addition, these giants with stronger leverage have been able to maintain lower prices because of lower costs, Price competition still remains in the indllstry, despite the nllmerOllS closings of the small retailer, bllt the large discollnters among themselves continue to fight price wars, A recent example was Dallas, Texas where Wal- Mart, Kmart and Target competed head-on with energetic promotions while maintaining costs so low that products were priced so competitively that the differences were lIsllally within pennies,'" As the price wars go on between the large and small retailer and indeed among the major discollnters themselves, not only do retail jobs disappear, bllt also the traditional harmony of the rllral and sllburban areas is invaded and the resllIts are lIgly both from an economic and a sociological point of view, One recalls a powerflll Latin phrase by Plalltlls, which when translated is "The soldiers laid waste to the town," This is certainly an apt description of the continlling decimation of the "Main Streets" of historic towns, cities and yes, rllral malls, Were one fortllnate enough to be alive in the United States, say in the year 2100, he or she and fellow survivors would wonder what call sed the entreprenellrs of the late twentieth century to beqlleath to sllbsequent generations, these rapidly developing monstrolls national "cemeteries," formerly grandiose malls and attractive "Main Streets," With present prospects facing developers these days in the United States, these destroyed and abandoned malls will be with LIS for many generations, since the financial challenge for their correction seems impossible to meet. During travels on this stlldy, the staff also visited many formerly prosperolls "strip centers," These were generally the work of small developers and attracted the bOlltiqlle or lIniqlle retailer, also traditionally found in the old "Main Street" stores, Strip stores within a mile or two of a new SlIpercenter, constructed by a major discollnt chain appeared likewise to be endangered by the newest major competition, Even when a florist, indicated to ollr interviewers that becallse of her long experience, "superior knowledge" and the fact that her store Pllrchased merchandise more frequently than did the SlIpercenters, that she wOllld sllrvive; nevertheless she evidenced concern abollt the vacancies on her left or right. Interviews with cOllrageolls owners of florist shops, apparel stores, pet food stores, automotive stores, pharmacies and others all ended with a typically sad statement: "No matter how effectively I can compete, ifthe store next door becomes vacant, traffic density diminishes, and my store will have to close as well as the one next door."21 These cOllrageous retailers cooperate in securing new tenants for the vacant stores, but it is a sad and losing fight. In some ofthe hllge malls visited, as mllch as a 33% vacancy rate within six months to one year of a new "mega box" being completed in the 2O"Discounter Price Wars Descend on Dallas as WaI-Mart Looks to Stay on Top," Discount Store News, 5 December 1994, pp, 78, 21 Personal interview made in Kankee, Illinois in May 29, 1994, 10 It 'PIOS ;)'1 Ol SMI~LJs J1;)41110 llUl41AUC M1l4 Ol ;)lqU;)q 01 J;)pJO U! llRl^J-I"MJo AJR!P!sqns R 'sqn1::> S,UIP.S IR dOLJs lI~ljo "1;) 'Sla~JRLU IRaUI 'sJ;)6OJllIlEUls AlIRW 'llI;);)S ARWI! sc ;)illlcJIS 'SJ;)I!ClaJ IIcWS JO SJ;)ICS;)IOlIM OIIl;)S OlllOllClIllolll JO ;)UIII Oll pC4 pUC S,Aallll;)d '::>'f pUC SlJEl^J-I"M 'SI;)llJll.1 'Slod;)o ;)UlOH 'SlJEUl)! ;)lll 01 p~Jlp 1l1llllas aJa^, SJ~llddns JOfRUI ;)snllJOq 1l1l!Jll;)ddRS!P ;)J;)^, sJaIRs;lIOlIM IR41 sJal!R)dJ .10 SJll;)J illl!SRaDlI! a'll paMol(s Ja^,slIc al(.L ~1II0Jj Anq 01 SJal!claJ JOj ;)IqCI!CAC lI!lS sJaIcsaIoLJM ;)JV :UJaouoo Sill! p;)sod SUO!IS;)nb ;)lll.lo ;)UO 'SllI;)pllodsaJ al(l Aq paA;)AUO' UlSIUllldo aJ;)41 SR^, AI;)JCJ :p;)ss;)Jdx;) UlS!Ullss;)d ;)W;)JIXa SCM ;)J;)41 AIICJ;)U;)Q i.A'ldnJ~lIRq OIU' 011 JO ;)lRPll1bll Alqlssod Aa41 Plno^, JO M!AJI1S Aa41 PlnoM 'po04JOq4:11~1I Jlalll Olll! llU!AOLU J;)IIP.I~J 11InmS!p-ull;)LU ;)l(IJO 1I011ljadLUOJ ;)l(1 Ja411laM Plno, A;)41 Jal(laLJ^' 01 sc slllapllods;)J ;)41.10 slI0I1Cpadx;) ;)LJlllodn pascq aq Plno^, SISCO;)JOj as;)41 J;)A;)MOH 'S;)nUM;)J XCI ;)IClS pllR IRool puu IU;)WAOldul;) Al!UnUlWOJ 1I0 PRdUl! aAlpallo, a'll ;)IRUIIIS;) 01 JapJO "! 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As retail giants rllle the marketplace, they have the buying power to negotiate the lowest prices with their sllppliers, In a sense, suppliers become part of a "partnering" network in which their principal capacity is contracted for by the major retail discollnt chains, "It all adds lip to a power shift to a privileged circle of merchants," state Zellner and Benedict." Suppliers and manufacturers work diligently to secure the right to sllpply the large bulk retailers, in hopes that the low profit margins in the bllsiness can be countered by larger sales volumes, The retail "giants" in the discount field have been able to develop a barrier to entry for other less intlllential retailers, reslllting in a reduction in competition, Manufactllrers and sllppliers to the chains, in hope of selling more, unfortllnately have not realized the unceasing barrage of demands from retailers, who want everything from discollnts for new-store openings to penalties for shipment errors, to an increasing vol lime of reqllests for free samples, As the retailers gain more leverage, they become more demanding in the manllfactllring of specific goods, deciding on colors, and sizes, how mllch to ship, when to ship and where to "drop ship," Althollgh low prices do benefit consumers, sllppliers and manllfactllrers are being sqlleezed to be leaner and more tlexible with respect to chain retailers' demands, In addition, smaller sllppliers are less likely to have the ability to accommodate, increasing the likelihood of being removed from the market. Chains utilize interactive information systems (EDI) in a most dominant way throllgh "partnering" with sllppliers and manllfacturers, Regional wholesalers are less likely to possess sophisticated bllsiness and information systems reqllired to meet the needs of the mega-retail discollnt chains, hence wholesalers are apt to disappear and harm the remaining small retailers, While the allthor believes in a free market and is a devoted supporter of the free entreprenellrial system, the "free" market means different things to different people, Inasmllch as the principal method of the mega-discount retail chains in competing with the smaller retail store and the traditional department store is pricing; this pricing pressure could very well include possibilities of predatory pricing, as defined in both state and federal laws, Concern over the likelihood of predatory pricing as defined by the Robinson-Patman Act as well as variolls state laws will be reviewed in Chapter V, The economic and social impact made by the mega-retail discollnt chains needs to be measured by a large variety of criteria, (nthe next decade the nation, state, cities, towns and villages will be able to see whether the promises made by the mega-discount retailers have materialized, Did the mllnicipality make mistakes injlldgement by encollraging the free entries of these giant discollnt retailers into the areas? Did the promised additional employment take place? How long were these jobs viable? Were there sllbseqllent redllctions in personnel in the chains? Did the new chain discounter close and move away? What was the impact on the viability of the "Main Street" stores? Was polllltion increasing by the presence of the "Big Box?" Did traffic congestion increase highways ablllling on Pllblic schools? Were the chains subsidized by tax abatements, right to retain sales taxes to payoff the new bllilding and given other incentives not available to the small retailer? Did the surviving "Main Street" retailer learn new techniqlles in marketing, inventory control, and other modern business practices in order to sllrvive? In the economic jllngle where "sllrvival of the fittest" can almost be analogous to economic and social viability, prey might still remain alive by developing skills that protect it from predators, Equally important as a contributor to the lack of social and economic planning is the real estate developer. The developer, often in concert with the mega-retail discollnt chain, comes lip with ideas for new "Wendy Zellner and Marte Benedict, "Clollt! More and More Retail Giants Rule the Marketplace," Business Week, 21 December 1992, pp, 66-73, 12 €I TI 'd '17661 JoqOlJO VZ ',(HaaM Sall!:J s,uOllvN ,:d04S~JOM ,SO!U!l:) UMOIUMOa, pauuBld C UO pUB ,SUM01UMOa S,BO!lOWY .10 LJll!qa~ OLJl :ollUOI\B4:l OLJl :1u!ldOJJY, UOIIRJ!lqnd ,SO!I!:lJO on:1Eo1ICUO!ICN ;)LJI UO 1I0!ICWJOJUI P01CIO~ Sopnpu( :punoqo~ 01 SO!llOICJ1S OA!)CAOUUI :1U!Sn SUMOIUMOa S,ROIJOWY.. 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S;)UlI11E 'pllE :a'l'1 ;)lll plle SJalll;):) J;)^'Od 'SIIRUI :SllIaUldol;)A;)P alRIsa Ical ,! indicate that the loss to the City was over $5 million, this aside from the cost to the State of Pennsylvania for road construction, etc, The vacated mega-retail discollnt firm shollld retain a continlling financial responsibility for specific plans sllch as converting the newly vacated warehollse-Iike stores into another more acceptable form of shopping area, Plans should be made by the lIrban authority ahead of time on the disposing or recycling of the vacated strllctllres, Kenneth Stone, previollsly mentioned, a specialist in retail trade and Wal-Mart activities, has realized that "the only hope small merchants had [is] to niche arollnd them,"" By specializing inllniqlle prodllcts, local merchants can separate themselves from the uSllal discollnt prodllcts sold in retail chains, Local merchants need to prevent themselves from entering in a perfectly competitive situation, competing solely on price and marginal cost. The low pricing strategies mllst be left to the mega-discount retail chains, The small retailers, to survive, must create their own image and differentiate themselves as lInique, rather than "me-too," There is a very slim chance that lIniqlle boutiqlle type retailers, not depending on price rivalry bllt on service and prodllct differentiation might sllrvive in the presence of the major discount "Big Box." With lIniqlle, individllalistic strategies and by maintaining less inventory, the sllrviving smaller retailers mllsttake advantage of flexibility in rapidly changing inventories; an advantage not generally available to the large corporate retailers with more complicated sllPplier-retailer distribution methods, In later chapters, this stlldy will attempt to balance and explore the experiences of the many commllnities who battled the entry of the mega-retail discollnt chains as compared to those states and communities who offered tax abatements, bllilding sllbsidies, redllction of sales taxes to defray costs of capital olltlay and debt service and variolls types of what recently has been described as state and federal "Corporate Welfare," One state that has refllsed to accept the large "mega-boxes" has been Vermont. The state has maintained a "keep Vermont green" force which has kept Wal-Mart and other major chains from easy entry, The state has made enollgh noise that the anti-sprawl National Trust for Historic Preservation placed the entire state on its JlIne 1993 "America's J I Most Endangered Historic Places" List which is prepared annually," More recently, Vermont has modified its anti-Wal-Mart position by permitting their entrance by capping the size of the building, The National Trllst for Historic Preservation has led the fight to prevent "SlIperstore Sprawl." In a major book released in May, 1994 the Trustlallnched an attack on the latest phase in America's retail race, The Trllst does not appear to oppose job creation, It is against job forecasts that do not materialize and is against negative impacts on the environment; increased traffic congestion and the sapping of the viability of traditional businesses which lead to weakening civic vitality, The following statement is taken from the "Preface" of the recent Trllst Pllblication entitled, How SlIoerstore Sprawl Can Harm Communities........" "( I) The American retailing indllstry entered a new phase at some point dllring the last decade, Whereas the sixties and seventies had witnessed an proliferation of regional "Op, cit., Edward 0, Welles, 25Constance E. Beaumont, How Suoerstore Sorawl Can Harm Communities. . . And What Citizens Can Do About It, (Washington: National Trust for Historic Preservation, 1994), p, v, "Ibid" pp, I-ii, 14 ,1 '1I'd"PI%, :"saxos" ladns alllJo UOISP.AlI! ;)41 ilu!,uJ Sa!I!"nUlWO' AUlllll ;)4l 01 ailu;)lIlll(' 11Ill)JodUlI Allmb;) UP. s;)sod OSIP. Isnl.1 ;)l(.1 a,,' pa~sp. aq Plnol(s IP.lII SUO!IS;)nb alll ;)S;)41 ~U!'Il;)M i,S;)ll!"nUllllO' 1P.,ol pllP. IUaUlllOJ!AU;) al(l 01 al3UlIIllp 4,nUl os In041!^' pap!AoJd ;)'1 sl!J;)lIaq ;)l(1.I0 ;)U10S PlnOJ "0 i.sall AIllInUlUlo, palla~p.aM pllP. 'S;)P!S AJIlInO' P;)I!odsap 'SU^,OlllMOp PC;)P JO pal!"!ds!p 'UO!lnllOd "iP. ';),u;)p";)d;)p ;)I!qowolnll 'uo!lsalluo, '!JjP.1I :sllll!Jq 1^,P.lds ;)LJI IIll pllP. l^,llJds UEqll1 alOUI .10 1I0!lllaD ;)LJI 4llnoll(1 AI"O P;)h;)!4'll aq SaJOISladns al(l Aq P;)p!AOJd sl!Jall;)q l;)UII1SUO, a'll LIP.' 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'pllllll"a410 ;)lllllO (tl" ,,'pa;)pUl II;)^' AJ;)A os llUlOp puP. pllP.UI;)P 1;)~JP.UI10fp.UI P.1l1ll1l!J ;)JC Aa4.1 'wal(l spnp.lddc ISnJ.1 IUlIO!IP.N ;)4l 'S;)Sllq XP.l lu,oI lIa411l1laJls pllC 'sqof alp.aD 'sa'!ld alquploJJP. l;)AII;)P SaJOIS1;)dns IUnO"!p ;)41 IP.41 lU;)IXa ;)41 0.1 ';)IP.l;)lI;)ll A;)41 s;)nU;)A;)J XllI S;)lllS pllll S;)XP.l All;)doJd IUEM SIU;)WUJaAOil Ill,ol ';)P!AOld A;)l(1 sqof ;)41 P;);)U puP. lllll^, aldo;)d ';)SIMJOlIIO p;);););)ns IOU Plno, SlIO!Ip.Jado ;)Sa41 'P;);)Pllj 's;)'lld ^,011P. spnpold pooll :llIllM SlIll'llalllV AlIP.W llU!41;)WOS illl!J;)A!I;)P ;)lE SalOISJ;)dns ;)Sa41 Ill'll lP.;)p S! II 'PllP.4 ;)1I0 aliI uO (Z)" ,,'SAllM41l!4lOrP.UlJO S;)1l1lll4'l;)11II ;)41 JP.;)lI saJolsJadns luno",p llu!IMUJds 1II 4lMOJl3 p,dEJ P. lI;);)S ;)AP.4 S;)llaU\lI puP. sallllll!a allll ;)41 'sqll1qns ;)LJI III SIIP.UI 1l1lldd04s ,. .". "And communities have choices, They can encourage or discollrage certain types of development. If a community doesn't want superstore sprawl, it can take steps to prevent it, If a community wants a superstore, it faces a whole host of other qllestions relating to whether the store comes in on the commllnity's terms, Where should the store be located? How big should it be? How mllch new retail space can the local economy absorb without sllffering the negative fiscal and economic impacts created by a commercial glut? Can the store be designed to help preserve the commllnity's livability and attractiveness? How can the store minimize negative environmental, cllltural, scenic, fiscal and economic effects? Above all, what is the long-term impact of the decision?"" One of the major recommendations of the 1995 White HOllse Conference on Small BlIsiness was designed to a reverse the financial plight of the declining "Main Street" establishments, The recommendation follows: "139, Congress should legislate the creation of a Small BlIsiness Relief FlInd to economically assist small bllsinesses that are displaced by the establishment of a big business in their localities where the big bllsiness will contribllte an annllal fee for the fund."29 This author will attempt to analyze, in sllcceeding chapters, the responses to the challenges posed to both the mega-retail discollnt chains and the commllnities they wish to enter. "Ibid" p, iii, ""Final Recommendations From the 1995 White House Conference on Small Business," Foundation for a New Centurv, (Washington: 1995), p, 25, 16 L1 'XI-A 'dd '(17661 'uo!leAJOsaJd IC'UOjSlH JOj lSnJl. leuO!IRN :uolllu!LJseM) '1\ lnoqy 00 lIR:) SUOZI11J lELJM pUY' , , '"!l!unUlwo:) WJCH UU:) IMeJos olOlsloans MOH 'jUOWnco8 '3 OJUC1SUO:)I ,'S;)II!UnWllIOJ WJRH Ull::> IMEJdS aJolsJadns ^,oH UOIIll'!lqnd 17661 s,11I0lllnR;)8 ;)'lIR1SlIO::> U! paq!los;)p lS;)q SI pOIJ;)d S!41. 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Women had a range of popular priced merchandise to the exclusive designer lines, Personnel served the cllstomer almost on a one-to-one basis, Soon department stores chains sllch as Federated, Filene's and Hechingers followed, These stores were so designed that they complemented the smaller stores in the large cities as well as the stores on the typical "Main Street" in the smaller towns and urban areas, The small retailer was not pressured by serious discount price competition and for the most part, large and small retailers dwelled in harmony, Also the first half of the 20th Century saw the rise of three major retail giants: j,c. Penney, Montgomery Ward and Sears, Roebuck, These stores rapidly developed into mature chains rivaling each other on price and product, and in a sense were the forerunners of the cllrrent mega-retail discollnt chains, Also during the period such chains that harmonized withollt creating chaos on "Main Street." were Woolworth's, Grant's, S,S, Kresge, Mattingly's, etc, They were earlier referred to as "Five-and-Dime" stores, but evolved into more sophisticated types of merchandisers, Their prices were generally lower than in the department stores, However, they seemed to harmonize with the rest of "Main Street," and the competitive environment had little in common with today's competitive "attack and destroy" environment, 1966 - 1995 The Rise ofthe Retail Chains The 1960's were impacted competition-wise in retail by the entry of chains who wOllId become the ultimate discounters; i,e" S,S, Kresge's, Kmart, Dayton-HlIdson's Target, Wal-Mart, Woolworth's, "Woolco" among others, These stores began to emphasize discollnting, broader inventories and advertised and promoted unusual values, All experienced steady growth from the sixties to the eighties, While Wal-Mart had a strong start in the Midwest, it opened only about 500 stores in the sixties and seventies, These discounters had vigorous rivalries over price competition, bllt more on a regional basis than national one, Sears continued to maintain a very strong national position, In the early eighties Wal-Mart was still best known in the small towns and cities in the Midwest. In the 1970's, there were a nllmber of specialized or "category" retailers who entered the retail market. They inclllded Toys "R" Us, Walgreen's Drugs and Home Depot. Rise ofthe Wholesale "Clubs" in the 1970's In the 1970's, the wholesale clubs began to make an impact. The first was the Price CllIb Wholesalers in 1976, Then, in 1983 the Costco Wholesale Corporation opened, The two were later to merge in 1993, 18 61 'ZI '8 'dd "JUI 'saJOIS Il"W-I"M '966Illoao"llI"nuuv, ISO' J;)410 PU" (103) SW;)ISAS UO!IRUlJOJ"' aA!pRJallll papnpu! oSIR "llll!JaulJRd" 'slIIe4' 11Ino"lp I!ElaJ-cllalll a'll Aq p;)llIas;)Jd;)J SJ;)SR4'JI1d sselll a'll 41!M ":1UU;)lI11ud,, lIRll;)q aSU;)S IE!'lIeu!J-uou e 1I! 04^' 'SJa!lddns J!;)41 'Ill^' ;)Ju;)nlllll asol 01 URil;)q SJalIP.laJ 11I;)plladaplll (ellOlI!pRJl ;)41 'llll!SR4"nd SSRUI Aq palll;)s;)JdaJ J;)Mod jjUlAnq ;)iln'l ;)41.10 aSnR';)S 'lllllS!lJaApR pue 1I0110UlOJd 'llll!S1puR4"aw aAISS;)Jdlll! pllU SaUI11JnpoJd ;)P!M 's;),ud ^'Ol 'llll!'1JRd aaJJ p;)JaJJo SI;)llnO JaJnpRJnllRUI pllR SJalllnoJS!p 'SJal!ClaJ-cllalll a'll 'SE;)Je lIMOIU^,Op IRJ1U;)' ;)41"! ilU!~Jcd ;)A!slIadx;) pUR P;)j;)UIS;)J a'll 01 paJedUlo, 'aldwR aJe (paddol'l'Rlq) sa'Rds 1l1l!~JRd 'sUlu4' lllnO"!p l!el;)J-cll;)W J;)410 pllR sllel^J-IRM 'SIlRUI)j ;)lll Aq pal,nJlsUOJ SJallla,,;)dns pllR "sax08 1118" ;)41 Je;)lI dnl;)S ua;)q ;)AE4 se;)JR 1l1ll~JRd a;)J"j ,:I;)aJ1S "!cl^J" lIRqJn (CUOll'pRJl aLJI .10 J;)I;)uIIJad ;)111 aplslno se;)JE "! suolleJ;)do 1I1P.4' l!elaJ-Rll;)UI pUR SIIRUI .10 jUawdo(;)A;)p aliI pUC SARMllil!lJ paAoJdUl! .10 aSnR';)q SJCaA OZ: lSRd ;)41 iluunp SJ;)1II0ISn, llU!"IP.I;)J "! paddu,!pUR4 AI;)JaAaS lI;);)q aAe4 SllleLpJ;)UI ,,la;)JIS 1IIP.l^J" i'lU!I!llJalllllUOlllP1Ul. uo SAllMqlllH ~JdDS pUll Jl!qowoJDV aqJ JO plldwI Jql. 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P;)I!1II!I ;)JR oLJ^' sJal!El;)J J;)II11WS ;)IEllI!l!jj;)I .10 sJaqUlnu allJul Sd'4SJ;)qUl;)llI J!a41111 apnplll AIIU;)JJI1' "sqn!:)" a'll savings and benefit items for the major mega-discollnt retailers, Significant market share formerly possessed by small retailers collectively began to be lost to the mega-discount retailers, Aside from the history of improved highways and the mobility of shoppers and the desire for a one- stop shopping location, WaI-Mart, Super Kmart and others employ a current strategy of "destination" stores, The "enveloping" area is a strategy to locate within a 5 mile radills in urban areas and 25 mile radius in rural areas, The objective ofthese stores is to attract customers directly and purposely to their location as a "one- stop," sole destination, The ability of the traditional retailer to survive is seriously threatened lInless there is reasonable zoning regllIation by state and local governments to protect the traditional "Main Street." A later chapter in this stlldy will describe the history of the Fair Trade legislation in the United States with the Sherman Act going on to the Federal Trade Commission Act, the Clayton Act and the Robinson- Patman Act. These pro-competitive acts will be discussed as to whether the "enveloping" theory is an intrusion in a free and fair market and what needs to be done to counteract it. Mobility in driving to the "Big Box" to or from work has become a way of life for many conSllmers, Also driving to the "Big Box" at night or on Sundays when the small retailers might be closed fllrther directs sales away from "Main Street," The Rise and Increased Impact of the Meea-Discount Retailers on the Small Retailer (as well as the "Bie Box" Approach) Starting in 1962 no one could have foreseen the startling developments in retailing to take place during the next 30 years, In 1995, combined sales of Kmart, Target and Wal-Mart were over $150 billion, Discllssions of these major discount retail chains follow: (1) Wal-Mart Wal-Mart has had the most meteoric growth during the past] 5 years growing from abollt 275 stores in 1980 to 2,157 stores in January 1995, with] 60 more scheduled to be built by Janllary ] 996,3 Actllally in 1995, 117 new stores were bllilt giving them a totalnllmber of stores of 2.330 in January] 996, In ] 990, Wal-Mart became the Number] retailer passing both Sears and Kmart that year. Wal-Mart was the initiator of the concept of SlIpercenters, It first introdllced this concept which includes groceries, special services and food courts in ] 988. It was planning almost 150 SlIpercenters, of which 80 were to be bllilt in 1993.' As of Janllary 1996, ] 54 Supercenters were operated by Wal-Mart, Their high quality management, modern business systems and inspired executive leadership helped total operations reach a sales volume of approximately $93 billion in fiscal 1996 with double-digit increases in growth expected during the next decade, 3Keith Morris (WaI-Mart spokesperson) cited by Steve Lopez, "An old store closes; a small town suffers," The Philadelphia Inquirer, 23 July 1995, P A-I2, 'Ibid, 20 lZ '[V 'd 'L661 AJRnJqo"j V '/OUJnor 1""JIS 110M "~.L "'WJI,,j MON UI SU!RLJ:) IUOWOAOJdw\-OWOH :1U!U!qlllo:) JOp!suo:) ucqcM pURllCUI)I" 'J;)UJOS lloqO<I, UO!lRZ!lIRllJO;)l II J;)ldR4:) 10.1 pam "UI 's;)alPuJ8 'l;)lllnO"!p IRuolllal Ul;)ISR;)LJllON R ',661 UI uO!l~aJo.ld A~Jdn.l"ullg S"!J3aS U!IlLJ:) U~3JSll;)LJpoN IllUO!:I31111 'sa3lplug (v) '1I0!II!q ,'['1:$ .10 S;)IES IRI1lIllR p;)lsod lalllR.L '9661 '[ A1Rnlq;)"j P;)Pll;) JEaA IR"!J ;)41 JO"j 'Sl;)IUaOl;)dns JO!EUll;)410 ;)41111 SPlIn!pRlllElJodwl MOU ;)JR 4'l4M S;)J;)RUlJE4d IIU1S1I1 01 slIImp llnlp-uou ;)41.10 lSJ!J a'll illlOlllU ;)l;)M A;)LJ.1 '1;);).1 ;)JEnbs 000','1:1 SR alllRI SR lI;)UO alR A'4.1 'S;)lOIS "sPUEl lE;)J!)" a'll illl!IU;)lJ 'SS;)lI!snq "x08 11m" ;)41 UI oSIR "lallJR.L ''1:961 UI S;)JOIS snld 00, Iualll1' SII .10 lSJ!J ;)LJl p;)lI;)do uospnH-1I01AUo '1I0!lUJodlO:) uOSpnH-1I01AUo a'll U10JJ P;)A!J;)P SRM "!R4::> l~llJU.1 all.1 U!IlLJ:l J3ii~1l.L ;)LJ.L (f) 'AJaAO,alIP.lOllUU!J S,lJRUI)!lI! pap!c ;)AU4 "1I1 A1!J04InV slJods pUR dnOl!) slapJ08 ;)41 "'lII 'X1Jl^J ;)'!.l.lOJJo lllds 10 lias 01 SuolpRlaLJlln"j 'P;)SOI' ;)'1 PlnoM SlJRUI)! 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JUW)l (Z) protection in the bankruptcy court saying some suppliers refused to ship merchandise because they feared the struggling retailer would be unable to pay them, Since the filing, they have closed 12 stores and in August 1996, Bradlee's received approval to close an additional 14 stores which will leave them with 124 stores in operation, Filing for Chapter ] I protection, Bradlees became the hardest hit of Northeastern regional discounters, These retailers have felt the pinch as the national mega-retail discollnt chains became stronger factors in their regional markets, In addition to the strong entry ofWal-Mart, Kmart slashed prices in the Brad]ees' area and consumers grew more and more price conscious in their bllying, "They have a Kmart in basically every one of their backyards, Wal-Mart has moved into their territory in a very big way," said KlIrt Barnard, Pllblisher of Barnard's Retail Marketing Report, Bradlees opened 16 stores in the greater Philadelphia area in ]985 and ]986, It's 17th area store, at Franklin Mills in Northeast Philadelphia, opened in ]994, In all, there were 136 Bradlees stores in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states, The company annollnced that its stores wOllld continlle normal operations, and that employees' wages, salaries and benefits would not be interrupted, Bradlees also announced the resignation of its President, Samuel Mandell, as well as two key vice presidents, Peter Thorner, vice chairman, was then named to succeed Mandell as President and Chief Operating Officer. Analysts agree that the worries of suppliers and factors - who pay sllppliers lip front and collect from the retailer -triggered the Bradlees bankruptcy filing, "]f not for the factors pulling the plug, the company seemed to be in decent shape," said Jack Hersch, a bankruptcy analyst with Donaldson, LlIfkin & Jenrette Securities Corp, "This is the sort of thing that's selfflllfilling," according to KlIrt Barnard, of Barnard's Retail Marketing: The Bradlees debacle illllstrates the point that jobs are being lost and firms are going Ollt ofbllsiness- -not only the small retailers but also the regional chains all are threatened by the formidable financial and buying powers of the mega-retail discount chains, Recently Kmart's decision to close nllmerolls stores and to shake up its management, as well as sharp declines in profits indicate that no firm, large or small, is immllne to the results of the feverish desire by mega-retail discount chains to cover every acre in America with a "Big Box," Ultimately as stores get older and populations shift, the nation is left with lIrban and rllral sprawl, boarded up stores and terrain that looks like the "bombed out" area in Italy after the Battle of Cassino in World War II, Rise of Specialty Chains: Home Improvement: Dru~s: Tovs: etc. (1) Home Depot, Inc. Home Depot, Inc, competes with many products that appear in Supercenters and more specifically with Kmart's Builders' Sqllare, Today, Home Depot is the largest and most powerflll player in home improvement retail activities, Their sales in fiscal ]995 were over $15 billion, Their staff appears to be much more highly professional than that generally found in most of the mega-retail discollnt chains, hardware retailers and lumberyards, Home Depot has approximately 300 stores and plans to bllild a great many more. Its average square foot building runs in excess of 100,000 square feet and many of the newer 22 EZ 'tV 'd '17661 Illdy II '/VuJnOr laaJIS 1IDM a'l.L ,,'sURld llnl0-uopdllosOJd JOJ olodwoJ 01 UUI"j SOIROJJ dnOJD OpRJ.L ,(JRW1RLJd" ';)AnOllR.1 os,(13, 'A pUR Al SJaldR4;) U! I!Rlap mIR;)Jllll! p;)ssn,.!p aq I1!M UO!IEl3!I!1 S!4.1 'laAal lJno::> aW;)Jdns ;)IRIS ;)41 IR J;)lIl1!^, ;)41 1l1l!wOJ;)q AIIRnlll;)A;) llRl^J-IEi\\. 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S!4.1 "JI;)SJnOA I! op" uo S!S1l4dwa JOfRUI E 41!M 'AIIlIIlISUO' SMOJlll;)~JRlII IUaW;)AoJdw! ;)W04 ;)'l.L 'l;)aJ ;)JRnbs 000'0, I JMO JO UOIjR'!J!SSEI' "xos l3!S" a'll 1I1 ;)'1 01 JR;)ddR sallo (3) Tovs "R" Us, IDe, Toys "R" Us, Inc, went public in 1979 and has had phenomenal growth, opening abollt 100 stores in 1993, There are now over 1,000 stores in the chain principally selling children's toys, Sales volume soared to over $9 billion in 1995, The chain has diversified its prodllctline and several hundred of the newer stores now sell children's clothing as well as children's books, In fact, separate facilities known as Kids "R" Us are often built directly adjacent to the toy store, This firm is exporting its merchandising philosophy internationally having opened up abollt 175 locations in Asia and ElIrope in the past few years, The phenomenal growth of Toys "R" Us has stimlllated an FTC investigation of the toy indllstry and according to a recent article in The Wall Street Journal, the FTC is accusing Toys "R" Us, Inc, of illegally boosting prices by pressuring manufacturers into harming other discount retailers' ability to compete, The impact of this anti-trust action should provide precedent for a similar review by the FTC of other alleged influences by mega-retail discollnt chains on the pricing practices of suppliers and manllfacturers, See further discllssion of the Toys "R" Us case in Chapter VII-A on Predatory Pricing, The Principal Advantages that Mega-Retail Discount Chains Possess as Compared to the Small Retailers The chains have many advantages and services that are difficult for the small retailers to match, with their limited capital, smaller staffs and other limited resources, The strengths of these mega-retail discount chains may be observed by viewing the following characteristics: (I) Lower prices, reslllting in great part, from direct mass purchasing of the manlltactllrers' or sllppIiers' products, This is the epitome of direct buying, It ultimately leads to the elimination of the small wholesaler and the consolidation of national wholesalers who traditionally sllpplied the small retailer, Small wholesalers have been forced Ollt ofbllsiness or have been Pllrchased by national wholesalers, There appears to be a gradllal disappearance in America of the middleman fllnction, Low prices for good prodllcts create vallie in the minds of the shoppers, This is a strong point, indeed, In the short term, the customer wins with lower prices but in the long term, they will lose, While the obvious advantage in the short rlln is lower prices, this market control can lead toward monopolistic practices, ifunreglllated, Plltting the conSllmer at risk and eliminating price advantages, QlIality and selection will decrease because there will be only a few large corporations controlling selection and price, (2) Aggressive pricing policies in which small retailers lack sophistication and information, The major discollnters quickly alter prices by lowering or raising them as the circllmstances dictate, (3) Strong promotion and advertising blldgets managed by professionals that can plltthe small retailer out of the game, (4) A tremendous line of products, which, ofcollrse, widens consllmerchoices, 24 sz 'JaWOISn, a'll 01 Ap.lap a'lI;)4 pUU 'SJapJO;)J pUP. 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SAllM41l14 JOfllW 01 asol' ;)111 4'!4M SUO!IP.'OI aso04J SU!P.4' lllno,S1p I!Ul;)l-p.llaUl ;)4.1 'S;)II!I!'P.J 1l1l!'1"p.d a;)lJ pllll SS;)JJll .10 asp.;)-:lI!qoUlolnp. .10 ;)Sn (9) "'SS;)UM;)U,, s;)Ip.!JaJddp. 04M JaddoLJs ;)41.10 plllUl ;)LJ1"! AIISOlJnJ S;)IP.;)lJ 'AlIllllJalll! puP. AlIlllll;)IXa 410'1 'lIll!S;)P aAISS;)JllllV 'SJ;)lu;);)Jadns aA!lllU!llp.llI! pUIl1l1l!1l1l;)1IP.4' 1l1llPlll1q pllll sallo M;)U llU!ilJEllI;) puP. 1l1l1111AOll;)1 'salOIs PIo illllsop 1I! SlU;)llIIS;)AlI! 11IllISUO:) (,) r r The Suoermarket Chains (Kro~er) versus Kmart and Wal-Mart On May 26,1994, newspaper readers in Buffalo, New York were told that Wal-Mart planned to locate its first New York State discollnt store and SlIpercenter in Springville, New York, going head to head with Erie COllnty's dominant supermarket chain, Tops Friendly Market,' Banking on their sllccessful experiences with SlIpercenter concepts in the Midwest. Wal-Mart appeared ready to apply the same sllccessflll concepts in the Northeast according to newsman Rick Stauffer, who reported his interview with Don Spindel, a retail analyst with the national brokerage firm, A,G, Edwards & Son, in St. Louis, who stated: "People on average, shop for food two to four times per week, They (Wal- Mart) use food to drive their general merchandise bllsiness, and, lInIike a regular supermarket. Wal-Mart does not have to make money on food--butthey do, '" In the same article, Wal-Mart spokesperson Betsy Reithermeyer said: "Most of Ollr SlIpercenters will be in relocated or expanded in existing Wal-Marts,"" Stauffer also interviewed Janet J, Mangano, a retail analyst employed at BlIrnham Secllrities in New York City who added: "It (the Supercenter) is the most profitable store they have and when a SlIpercenter replaces a regular WaI-Mart, it does much better (from a sales standpoint),"" The Buffalo News also reported that from 1988 to 1994, Wal-Mart had opened 79 sllch SlIpercenters and that the company announced in Janllary 1994, that 65 additional SlIpercenters would be opened dllring the year," Actually in 1994, one new Supercenter was opened and 37 Wal-Marts were relocated or expanded to Supercenters, In 1995, 6 new Supercenters were opened and 69 were relocated or expanded to SlIpercenters, In their 1995 Annual Report, Wal-Mart annollnced their plan to accelerate SlIpercenter growth, opening 90 to 100 in each year, 1996 and 1997," The major concern these Supercenters, both those of WaI-Mart and Kmart, bring to the traditional grocery chain is the use of an entire industry, food, as a "loss leader." David Rogers, a sllpermarket consultant with DSR Marketing Systems (Deerfield, IL) stated: "The danger for sllpermarkets is that Wal- Mart is tuming their business virtually into a loss leader."" Rogers questions how traditional sllpermarkets can compete with Wal-Mart which can sell groceries at close to cost and recoup on general merchandise with higher margins, Wal-Mart's "dominance" strategy certainly applies to the food industry, At the Annllal 'Rick Stauffer, "Wal-Mart plans superstore with groceries in Springville." Buffalo News, 26 May 1994, p, A-16, 'Ibid, "Ibid, "Ibid, "Ibid, 12Annllal ReDort 1995, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc" p, 4, "Zina Moukheiber, "The great Wal-Mart massacre, part II," Forbes, 22 January 1996, p, 45, 26 LZ 'z 'd "P!qI" 'l'd"P!%, '17661 AP.I^.I '11l;)141 "''1 Oll aJp. 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In the same 1994 study, PaineWebber stlldy described several major disadvantages that Kmart wOllld have with Supercenters, PaineWebber stated: "Kmart's well-known corporate problems give it a negative image among consumers as well as developers,"'" The PaineWebber study also reported that Kmart's decision to use third party food wholesalers saved much needed capital by lowering overhead, but put Super Kmart at a sllbstantial disadvantage in fulfilling Supercenters' low price positioning, If Kmart continlles lIsing third party wholesalers, it will put them at a sllbstantial disadvantage to Wal-Mart and Target, The author of this study does not accept the premise that Wal-Mart will have similar problems as did Kmart in executing the SlIpercenter program, Wal-Mart's national management and store management appears quite strong, Wal-Mart, unlike several major sllpermarket chains, is unconstrained by corporate problems and appears to be going with 100% self-distribution thus minimizing overhead, Most supermarket chains self-procllre and self-distribllte, Apparently, when Kmart opened new SlIper Kmart's, lItilization of olltside food wholesalers strained Kmart's staff resOllrces in opening new locations, with intense travel reqllired as well as essential staff training reqllirements, A major advantage for Wal-Mart's Supercenters, generally is its lower labor costs as compared to both the lInionized and non-unionized supermarkets, WaI-Mart is presently non-lInion, Kroger, the dominant sllpermarket chain, is unionized, bllt, nevertheless, it, lInlike many sllpermarkets, continlles to be strongly managed, effective and highly profitable, The excellent management of Kroger is illllstrated by a PaineWebber sllrvey done dllring March, 1994 in Rosenberg, Texas, where Kroger's lInion labor gap would be wide relative to other regions, Nevertheless, Kroger came within 4% of the SlIper Kmart's pricing which was enollgh to neutralize price as a shopper issue, This, despite the fact that Kroger was lInionized, The total pricing on a 46 item "market basket" was $83,]9 or ]04 indexed to Super Kmart, where the price was $80,04 indexed at 100,'" Kroger, among all supermarket operators has experienced the heaviest overlap with Supercenters and, normally, wOllld be expected to be most vulnerable becallse of its mature (seniority) unionized labor force, Kroger is the largest and most powerflll U,S, sllpermarket chain and retains lInllsllal flexibility to subsidize tough competitive regions with easier ones, Further, PaineWebber reported in March] 994, that; "In total, Kroger's reslllts have not been substantially impacted by Supercenter competition,"" Kroger combats low price SlIpercenters in the following manner:" "Ibid" p, 7, "Ibid" p, 8, "Ibid" p, 9, "Ibid, 28 6Z i.SJE;)A ;)A!J IXall ;)41111 ;)JI1l"d lU;)WAOldllla Iml;)J sn a'll plltl ssallSS;)lqof JOjllRalll S!LJIIII^, lR4M 'SlIIP.4~ 1;)~JRlIIJ;)dns ;)JI1IRW 'S;)SR' ;)U10S III pllU IRlIOlil;)J ;)41J0 ;)nJI aq II!M lilli'll alllRS ;)lllltl41 SJR;)ddc II ^,OUnSlI!R4J I!RI;)J-tlil;)U1 a41J0 J;)Mod aliI Aq P;)U;)IR;)Jlll lI;)aq SUlI JalmlaJ IIRUlS aliI MOll IlllIn 'SlSOO In, AI;)IEnbapR pllE SlIIalSAS 10JIUO' AJOlllMlIl aAoJdlll! 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IR,!ilOIO!'OS pUR J!WOUOJ;) ;)4l ;)JI1SE;)W 01 pall!WJ;)I;)P l;)lpJCaS;)J ;)41 '(661 J;)qopO UI S3:SS3NISml T1VWS a3:~::>3:........V....O '::>~3 'A~rIUlVU""Olld '~N3:WAO'IdW3 'S3~VM O~ ~::>3:dS:nI HUM 3:~V~S )llIOA M3N aNY SIONrI'II 'VINlIO....rIV::> 'VINVA'IASNN3d NI S1I3'IIV~3:1I 'I'IVWS NO SNIVH::> ~N[lo::>sm 'IVNOU VN 3:~lIV'I ....0 'IV AIIDIV 3H~ ....0 ~::>V dWI ~NmN3d 3H~ III 1I3J.dVH:J Supplies; Auto Equipment and Supplies; Jewelry; Books; Professional Activities sllch as Pharmacy; Optometry; etc, These categories and the statistical responses will be found in Tables and Charts 13A and 13B of this chapter, as well as in Question] 5 of Appendix I, Statistical sampling was based on mailings to approximately 20% to 40% of the lIniverse in the various communities, Copies of the completed qllestionnaires from each state studied are available in the research files, Not only did the researchers compllte opinions from retailers by computerization of the retllrns from fOllr states; but also the staff visited and interviewed retailers in each state, as well as visiting malls, strip shopping centers and major retailers and discollnt chains, Data was compiled from the hundreds of interviews which are lIseflll in the presenting of overall opinions by the staff with respect to how small retailers see their future in view of the potential impact of the arrival of mega-retail discount chains, Table 1 Summary ofthe Response Rates for All Four States Table ], which follows, shows that the staff mailed Ollt 60]4 questionnaires to prospective retail respondents in Pennsylvania, California, Illinois and New York, Of this total, 570 were returned in completed good order or 9.4 percent. Additionally, 32] were returned by the U,S, Post Office indicating that the addressees were no longer at the designated address, In a side stlldy, the staff learned that the usual reasons generally for the retllrns were liquidation, bankruptcy or moving to an area away from a threatening mega-retail discollnt chain, Since Dalton and the other directories are lIpdated annually, it can be presllmed that there is a dynamic loss of small retail business firms, owing in great part to the arrival and price competition of the invading mega- discollnt chains, Tabular data in Chapter III describes the fears and apprehensions of the respondents by means of quantitative data, Chapter IV will describe their fears and concerns in a narrative way detailing specific qllotes made by the respondents, A]though it is early in this chapter to reveal the data, the writer points out that concerns and fears of small retailers in America about their inability to sllrvive are almost lIniform in the fOllr states sllrveyed, Completely usable returns, as indicated in Table] were ]4% for New York State; ] 1% for Pennsylvania; ]0% for California and 7% for Illinois, A retum of approximately] 0% on a mailing of over 6,000 questionnaires provides sllbstantial data to measure the small retailers' discouraging view of the prospective impact of the mega-discount retail chain upon chances for a business to survive and grow in a healthy fashion, 32 EE eaN a~e11a6u!::1 sapnpUI .... aa~eue)t pue SaU!eld sao '06e:>!4:J sapnpul ... esaV>J el!V>J pue els!^ eln4:J 'ap!sueaJQ 'heMad '06a!0 ues sapnpul .. eal'" 6uIPunollnS pue U!4dlapel'4d sapnpul . %6 OL9 1>'~09 IS1V.10.L %I>'~ ~9 091>' ....)t~OA M3N %L EI>'~ EB6~ mSIONlll1 %O~ 9Bl ~EBl ..VIN~O::lITV:::> %~~ OB 09L .VIN\f^lASNN3d 39\f.LN3:::>~3d ~3a~0 0311VII\I 0009 NI 03~3811\1nN a3N~n.L3~ 31~ 3SNOdS3~:l0 A~"INWnS ~ 318"1 Table and Chart 2A and Table and Chart 2B Distribution of Types of Business Entities From Pennsylvania, California, Illinois and New York Table and Chart 2A, which follow, show clearly that the 570 completed responses came primarily from sole proprietorships, Nationally, there were 465 returns or 86% of all retllrns who were identified as "sole proprietors," This was a response to Question 1 in the qllestionnaires provided as Appendix I, Seven percent were franchisers; 3% were regional chain units, Three percent represented national chain lInits and 1% retail concessionaires, In using Dalton's Directories, it was impossible to know in advance whether a given location might turn out to be a chain unit. Table and Chart 2B, which also follow, show graphically that the retllrns from Pennsylvania, California, Illinois and New York that were sole proprietorships (the essence of small bllsiness) represented between 80% and 91 % of the respondents from four states, Typically, these were family-operated businesses, with children and other relatives working for decent wages (not near minimllm wages), YOllng persons were able to save monies to prepare for college careers and enriched lifetimes, Table and Chart 3A and Table and Chart 3B Number of Years Respondents Have Been in Business Contrary to the general impression that business "tllrn-over" among small retailers is freqllent and excessive, it appears that the responding retailers who, in the main, consider their companies threatened by the arrival of mega-retail chains in their areas, have been in bllsiness a long time and are "solid" bllsiness citizens in their communities, regllIarly paying property, income and sales taxes to the state, cOllnty, city, town and school district, They do not receive tax abatements or governmental sllbsidies, "corporate welfare" of the sort often enjoyed by many of the retail chains who build the "Big Boxes" which eventllally lead to the destrllction of the traditional "Main Street," bringing on urban, sllburban and often rural sprawl. Table and Chart 3A which follow, provide an impressive national pictllre of longevity, Sixty-two percent of the respondents have been in business for more than 10 years, In fact, 33% of the respondents have been in business more than 20 years, The data also discloses the fact that, all in all, 82% of the respondents have been in bllsiness for more than 5 years, As their bllsinesses begin to close on accollnt of inability, in great part, to meet the price competition ofthe mega-chains; an observer can begin to see social as well as economic destruction in cities, towns, villages and in sllburban areas, Small retail bllsinesses have always served as cornerstones in the neighborhood enclave, Once the grocery store, candy store, bookstore, shoe store and pharmacy close along with the loss of jobs; then social disintegration occurs and ghettoization appears with all the usual costs of crime, violence, drugs, welfare and lInemployment. With it arrives the conseqllent bitterness leading to racial, religiolls and ethnic disharmony as the unemployed strllggle for the fewer remaining job opportllnities, Table and Chart 3B provides a more visllal presentation of the differences in bllsiness longevity among the respondents in each ofthe fOllr states under stlldy, In Pennsylvania, 58% of the respondents were in business over 20 years, Illinois was in second place, with 40% over 20 years, while New York State was in third position with 30%; and California was in fourth place with only 22% ofthe respondents in bllsiness over 20 years, 34 SE 3~IVNOISS30NOO 'IV13~ lVNOl.lVN -liNn NIVH::J sS3NIsna .:10 S3dAJ. lVNO't)3~ -J.INn NIVHO 33SIHONV'tl.:l dIHSHOJ.3IHdOHd 310S S31111N3 SS3NIsna ~O S3dAl:lO NOlln81~.lSla ~ , . . o " . 00' . os, ooz 0" . 00' os, oot os, '. 00' . . Zi'!1 oe LS 6E~ eez 1\1101 %~r~ 3~I\lNOISS3::JNO::J 11\113~ " e ~ 0 ~ t %pn: H ~ Z 6 S 1\INOI1\lN 'liNn NI\lH::J %LL'Z SI t 0 S 9 l\1N0183~ 'liNn NI\lH::J "loon 6E ~ Z E~ EZ 33SIH::JN\flj~ %6L"SB S9t EL ES III eu dIHS~013I~dO~d 310S 1\1101 1\1101 \ld AN 11 \I::J ~O% (I NOI1S3no) S31111N3 SS3NIsns ~O S3dAl ~O NOllnSI~lSla S31iliN3 SS3NISnS :10 S3dAi:lO NOlinSIHiSIO lVNOliVN 'rf7. UIVHO aNV 31SV.1 ~ TABLE AND CHART 2B NATIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF TYPES OF BUSINESS ENTITIES BY STATE BREAKDOWN DISTRIBUTION OF TYPES OF BUSINESS ENTITIES (QUESTION 1) %OF CA IL NY PA TOTAL TOTAL SOLE PROPRIETORSHIP 228 111 53 73 465 85,79% FRANCHISEE 23 13 2 1 39 7.20% CHAIN UNIT, REGIONAL 6 5 0 4 15 2.77% CHAIN UNIT- NATIONAL 5 9 2 1 17 3,14% RETAIL CONCESSIONAIRE 4 1 0 1 6 1.11% TOTAL 266 139 57 80 542 DISTRIBUTION OF TYPES OF BUSINESS ENTITIES 250 50 OCA OIL ONY OPA 200 w . ~ ~'50 ~ . o > u z ~ ~ .'00 o SOlE PROPRIETORSHIP FRANCHISEE CHAIN UNIT- REGIONAL CHAIN UNIT- NATIONAl RETAIL CONCESSIONAIRE TYPE OF BUSINESS 36 LE Sl:lV3A Oll:l3AO Sl:lV3AOZ-o. Sl:lV3A Sl:l\f3Am-S Sl:lV3AS-Z Sl:lV3A(;-O NOll.nan:l1SIQ SS3NISna NI S~V3^ 9E9 EL 99 ~v~ 99Z 1\7'101 %99'ZE 9U ZV U L9 69 SH\7'3A OZ H3AO %6Z'6Z L9~ 9~ OZ 91' vL SH\7'3A OZ-O ~ %9L"6 ~ 90~ 9 Z~ 9Z 1'9 SH\7'3A 0~-9 %9Z'E ~ ~L 9 9 6 61' SH\7'3A 9-Z %1'0'9 LZ E Z Z OZ SH\7'3A ZoO 1\7'101 1\7'101 \7'd AN 11 \7'';) =10% (e: NOI.LS3nol SS3NISna NI SHV3A ve .L}:IVH::l ONV 318V.L . oz " '" ~ ~ m D C " m z n ~ 0 ~ 00' ~ . . 0 z . m OZ, '" '" DO' T .,. TABLE AND CHART 3B YEARS IN BUSINESS (QUESTION 2) CA IL NY PA 0-2 YEARS 7,52% 1.42% 3,57% 4,11% 2-5 YEARS 18.42% 6,38% 8,93% 10,96% 5-10 YEARS 24,06% 17,73% 21.43% 6,85% 10-20 YEARS 27,82% 34,04% 35,71% 20,55% OVER 20 YEARS 22,18% 40.43% 30,36% 57,53% TOTAL 100,00% 100,00% 100,00% 100,00% PERCENTAGE BREAKDOWN OF YEARS IN BUSINESS 60.00% 50.00% -40.00% w ~ iii 30.00% Iii ~ 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 0-2 YEARS 2-5 YEARS S-10YEARS YEARS 1G-20YEARS OVER 20 YEARS 38 6f 'a'lI;)IS!X;) ss;)u!snq p;)nU!IUO' J!a41Jo AI!I!qP.l^ a'll 01 pads;)J 'II!^' "IIP.^' a'll uo 1l1l!IPM" a'll aas 04M sass;)lI!snq 1!P.I;)lI1ElIIS .10 SUJa'lIO' pllP. sJp.aJ ;)4lLJslJlaqwa AI Jald114:) "! pllnoJ aq 01 SI1I;)U1U10' a^lpa!qns ;)111 'P.lllP a^!Ip.I!IIIP.nb 01 P;)IlMlIOJ lI;);)q aAp.4 8, pUP. V, SIlP.4:) pllP. S;)lqu.1 U! sllns;)J a'll ;)I'4M. 'lIIP.lp lllnOJS!p-llllaUl P. Aq 1I0!lP.,ol S,llap"ods;)J ;)l(lJO P.;)JP. Ip.J;)lIail ;)41 UI aAOUl E Inoqll SIU;)p"odsaJ a4lJo s"o!"!do pllU sa^lpadsJad 'S;)pnl!llP. ;)411!J!la 01 P;)lIll!S;)P SEM 4;)JllaS;)J ;)41 'I x!pu;)ddy "! V 1I0ljs;)no U10J] pa^lJ~p SEM 1I0!IS;)nb S!4l 01 asuodsaJ 1I111I11P all.1 UO!l1l30'] ssau!sna JU3S3~d s,Ju3puods311 allJ ~1l3N pauado U!llq:) Jun03S!O I!IlJ311-Il'ilaW ;)'ilU'] II ]! 1I11113H 3!WOU033 uo p3JJ3 paJlldp!luv as ~Illl:) pUll 31qll,L pUll VS ~Illl:) pUll alqll,L 'I xlplladdV 1II E 1I011S;)no UIOJJ p;)^lJap SI P.1P.p ;)LJ.1 'Sll;)p"ods;)J S,C!lIRAIASUlIad JOJ %EE pllC SllI;)puods;)J ~JOA ^,aN ;)41.10 %9E :sll;)p"ods;)J S101ll111 a41Jo %817 :AJOllalp., 1;);).1 aJEnbs 000',-000'1 a4111! ;)J;)M Sll;)p"ods;)J P.!"JoJ!lc::> ;)41]0 %617 Inoqv 'SUI;l11 AJOlllaAlI! allJp.I]o allp.JOls p;)J!nb;)J SP.;)JP. J!al(l ;)Snll,aq 'la;)J aJllnbs 000', .10 ssa,xa UI a:1p.looJ plll( spnpoJd 11l;)U1a^oJdtll! aUlOlI pllP. JaqulI1l"! AllclnJ!IlCd 'SJaI'll1aJ aUlos 'laaJ aJp.nbs 000', pllP. 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"S;)X08 il!8" JI;)41 dOl aMp SlI!ELJ' lunOJSlp 1!p.laJ-p.llaUl ;)4l SP. 1I0!1P.'OIS!P '!tlIOllOJ;) pUll Ill!'OS A)!unWWO' lnoqll UaU!JM lI;);)q SP.l( 4~nl^J 3Z!S Ssau!sna 11l3!SAlld "JUII:) 'I x!puaddV U! Z UO!IS;)nb 01 SJaMSlIp. WOJJ P;)I!dlllO' SP.M "SS;)lIIsnq 1I1 SJp.aA" 1I0 P.IP.p ;)l(.1 'SJp.aA, UP.LJl ssal ss;)u!snq "! ;)J;)^, %8 AluO 'P.;)JP. 01l11J1LJ:) alII JOJ SIOllllI1 'III^' "41 ;)JEdlllO::> 'SJE;)A, 1I1141 SS;)I ss;)u!snq U! ;)J;)M SllI;)puods;)J ;)4lJo %9Z 'P.;)Jll oila!o UES a41uI 'oil;)!o UllS pUP. CS;)l^J P.J!W 'AP.MOd '1!lSIA P.In4:) ';)p!SUlla,o Sl1 SlIO!lE'OIIl!UJO]!IP.::> lIJal(lnos 4,ns "! SlIO!lp.lndod ilU!pllEdxa WOJJ ;)J;)M sluap"ods;)J S,l1Il1JoJ!lll:) 'Al!Illuosllas ;)JOW 4l!M '1I0!1l;)J "sa~p.l J;)ilu!"j" a'll U10J] awp., s;)suodsaJ s,~JOA M;)N 'Sl1;)JP. UP.l!IOdoJl;)W Oilll~!4:) pUP. P.ll(dl;)Pl1I14d '4111! sllIaWUOJ!hlla IP.JJJ;)U1WO, J;)PIO 1II0JJ ;)U1E' SIOlllIII PUE l1!Ull^IASUlIad JOJ UIEP ;)41.10 'l,nl^J 1 - CHART 4 II PHYSICAL BUSINESS SIZE (QUESTION 3) CALIFORNIA AREA PER SQUARE FEET "- Ow 150 i11~H ::!'" "- 0,500 SQ,FT, . 501- 1000 SQ,FT, 1001, 5000 SQ,FT, 5001- 10,000 SQ,FT, 10,001, 50,000 SQ,FT, 50,001, 100,000 SQ,FT. OVER 100,000 AREA, SQUARE FEET ILLINOIS AREA PER SQUARE FEET "- Ow ;~t >-", I Uz Zo w,,- :J", - - Ow 20 . ::!'" 0 "- 0,500 501- 1001- 5001, 10,001, 50,001, OVER SQ,FT, 1000 5000 10,000 50,000 100,000 100,000 SQ,FT, SQ,FT, SQ,FT, SQ,FT. SQ,FT, AREA, SQUARE FEET NEW YORK AREA PER SQUARE FEET "- Ow >-", Uz Zo w,,- :J", Ow ::!'" "- 150 ~."'" 100 50 . o ' ,,- I~ '00' f 0,500 501, SQ,FT, 1000 SQ,FT, 1001, 5000 SQ,FT, 5001, 10,000 SQ,FT, 10,001, 50,000 SQ,FT, 50,001- 100,000 SQ,FT, OVER 100,000 AREA, SQUARE FEET PENNSYLVANIA AREA PER SQUARE FEET "- Ow 30 >-", ~ : 11II I I Uz 20 Zo w,,- 10 :J", Ow 0 ::!'" 0,500 501, 1001, 5001, 10,001- 50,001, OVER "- SQ,FT, 1000 5000 10,000 50,000 100,000 100,000 SQ,FT, SQ,FT, SQ,FT. SQ,FT, SQ,FT, AREA, SQUARE FEET 40 Iv 3AI1ISOd Al:l3A J.:l3:l:f3 l03.:l.:l30N 3AIlvtl3N 3N1VEl3N Al:l3A 3AllJSOd HllV3H OIWONO::>:!I NO .1::>3::1::13 C3l. VdIOIJ.N'I/ %00'00 ~ v€9 9L 99 6€~ v9C: 111101 %90'C: ~~ ~ € 0 L 3^111S0d A~3^ %66'9 C:€ c: L L 9~ 3^111S0d %O~'6~ C:O~ ~~ O~ M: Lv 1::>3~~3 ON 'M9'6€ '"C: ~€ OC: L9 €O~ 3^111183N %€€'€€ 8H ~€ 9~ ~v ~6 3^111183N A~3^ 111101 111101 lid AN 11 II::> ~O% (t NOI1S3nol H11V3H Olll\lON003 NO ~03~~3 a3~ VdIOI~NV VS UI"HO aN" 318\#1 " os, os, os, 0" TABLE AND CHART 5B --- ANTICIPATED EFFECT ON ECONOMIC HEALTH (QUESTION 4) CA IL NY PA VERY NEGATIVE 34.47% 29,50% 27,27% 40,79% NEGATIVE 39,02% 41,01% 36,36% 40,79% NO EFFECT 17,80% 24.46% 18,18% 14.47% POSITIVE 6,06% 5,04% 12,73% 2,63% VERY POSITIVE 2,65% 0,00% 5.45% 1,32% ANTICIPATED EFFECT ON ECONOMIC HEALTH BY PERCENTAGE BREAKDOWN "00% 40.00% 3500% 30,00% 25,00% 20,00% 15.00'10 1000% 500% 000% VERY NEGATlVE NO NEGATlVE EFFECT EFFECT POSITIVE VERY POSITIVE 42 .eA "" DNY DPA tV 'SISEq alp.IS Aq alp.IS P. 1I0 AI J;)ldp.4::> III pllno] aq 01 P;)!pnIS Salp.IS JnoJ ;)41"! sJal!elaJ 1IP.U1s Aq SIU;)U1U1m ;)Aljp.JJell pllP. a^,parqns a'llllaLJl pllP. 1\1 J;)ldcLJ:) U! 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'MolloJ 4"'l^' V, llP.4::> pUP. ;)Iqel 1I1 s;)slIods;)J ;)lll Table and Chart 6A and Table and Chart 6B Responding Firms by Size Of Employment The response to this national attitude survey, with respect to Table and Chart 6A which follow, concerned the impact of the mega-retail discollnt chains on the destiny and flltllre health of the very small retail businesses, These small businesses generally have less than 20 employees, The answers were derived from responses to QlIestion 5 in Appendix I, Fifty-two percent of the national respondents employed 5 persons or less, Seventy-four percent of the respondents had 10 employees or less, Only 26% of the respondents had more than 10 employees, Chart 6A shows that 402 employers, representing 74% of the total responses of 540 firms responding to this questionnaire were in the classification of "1 0 employees or less," Table and Chart6B which follow provides a more graphic review of the size of firms reporting in the fOllr states stlldied; i,e" California, Illinois, New York and Pennsylvania, Almost 60% of the respondents in California and New York had "5 employees or less"; with Illinois showing the average return to be somewhat larger with more retllrns in the "6-] 0" category than the other three states, Pennsylvania's returns were abollt 50% in the "0-5" category while their retllrns in the "6-10" category were also greater than California and New York, The explanation as to why small retailers in Illinois and Pennsylvania had more employees on the average than California and New York can be clarified somewhat by once again reviewing Table and Chart 3B which showed an overwhelming preponderance of older firms in Pennsylvania (Philadelphia area), and Illinois (Chicago) compared to SOllthern California (San Diego area) and lIpper New York State, (the Finger Lakes area, with Syracuse, AlIbllrn and Geneva, etc,) For example, 57% of the respondents from Pennsylvania (the Philadelphia area) were in bllsiness over 20 years; and the same was trlle in Illinois with 40% of the returns, Compare this to SOllthern California with only 22% of the firms older than 20 years, and lIpper New York State with 30% in this category, Table and Chart 7 A and Table and Chart 7B Pending Impact on Respondent Employment by Virtue of a National Retail Discount Chain Opening Near the Respondent's Location QlIestion 6 in Appendix I provided the responses presented in Table and Chart 7 A by respondents of estimates of losses or gains in employment by virtlle of having a new mega-discollnt retailer selling similar products in their area, This type of 'I"est ion reqllires more than an edllcated glless - - it reqllires some seriolls qllantitative modeling, Hence, it's not sllrprising that 37% of the respondents were not able to report an opinion as to a gain or loss in employment. However, again the writer views this indecision as being "negative." Certainly they do not see the arrival of a "Big Box" mega-retail discollnt chain store as being "positive," Only 4% ofthe respondents saw their employment rising as a result ofa new "chain" neighbor; while 59% predicted seriolls losses in employment after a mega-chainllnit moved in selling similar prodllCtS, 44 OOl~3^O OOl-~m Sv OO~'9L. S33A01dW3 :10 ~3SWnN og-~v Ov-~C O~-9 ,1> Ot-~l Ol-~~ SL.-~S S33AOldW3 .:10 ~38...nN OVS 6L 99 6B~ L9e: lVlO.1 %L9'~ 6 e: 0 9 e: 31d03d OOe: lB^O %B6'O 9 ~ 0 e: e: 31d03d OOe:-~O~ %vL"o v ~ ~ 0 1: 31d03d 00 ~ -9L %8L'1: 9~ 1: 1: 9 9 31d03d 9L-~9 %8v'~ 8 B 0 1: B 31d03d 09-~v %VO(:: ~~ ~ 0 V 9 31d03d ov-~B %1:9'B 6~ V 1: V 6 31d03d OB- ~ 1: %W1:~ L9 L 8 Le: 9e: 31d03d Oe:-~ ~ %69'1:1: 1:1:~ 8~ O~ 8B 99 31d03d 0~-9 %98' ~9 081: OV e:B 1:9 99~ 31d03d 9-0 1....10.1 lVlO.1 ...d AN 11 "'::J .:10% (S NOI.LS3nO) S33AOldll\l3 .:10 ~3Bll\lnN V9 .L~VHO aNV 318Vl o 0' 00' ~ ~ 2i <: m z 0 ~ 0" 0 ~ ~ m .. ~ 0 z .. m 00' 0" 00' I I I .JII TABLE AND CHART 6B NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES (QUESTION 5) CA IL NY PA 0-5 PEOPLE 6-10 PEOPLE 20,97% 27.34% 18,18% 22,78% 11-20 PEOPLE 9,36% 19.42% 14,55% 8,86% 21-30 PEOPLE 3,37% 2,88% 3,64% 5,06% 31-40 PEOPLE 2,25% 2,88% 0,00% 1,27% 41-50 PEOPLE 1,12% 1.44% 0,00% 3,80% 51-75 PEOPLE 2,25% 3,60% 3,64% 2,53% 76-100 PEOPLE 0,75% 0,00% 1,82% 1,27% 101-200 PEOPLE 0,75% 1.44% 0,00% 1,27% OVER 200 PEOPLE 0,75% 3,60% 0,00% 2,53% NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES BY STATE PERCENTAGE BREAKDOWN 60.00% .CA n ONY DPA 50.00% ~ 40,00% 1! ffi 30.00% Ii w 20.00% ~ 10.00% 0.00% ~ " ~ o ~ ~ ~ 8 ~ ~ NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES 46 Lv lO~3 . ~ 0 " . . ~ . . <I ~ " ~ " ~ . " ~ 0 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ " m IN3WA01dW31YIOl NO 1::>3::1::13 C31YdlOllNY %OO~ 9\:9 %Ot"9~ 66 17~ ~Z L L9 3HOV1l HO %09- %L6'Z 9~ \: \: 0 O~ '109\:- %917'17 17Z L \: \: ~~ %O\:- '10\:~'9 \:\: 9 O~ Z 9~ %9Z- %~S'L Z17 \: 17~ \: ZZ %OZ- %06'\: ~Z \: 9 Z O~ '109~- 'M~'6 617 9 17~ L OZ %O~- %6\:'9 6Z 9 9 \: 9~ %9- 'Io9\:'L\: ~OZ LZ Z9 9Z 96 %0 %O\:'~ L 0 ~ Z V %9+ %617'~ 9 0 Z ~ 9 %O~+ %L\:'O Z ~ ~ 0 0 '109~+ %6~'O ~ 0 ~ 0 0 %OZ+ %99'0 \: 0 ~ 0 Z %9Z+ %00'0 0 0 0 0 0 %OB+ %00'0 0 0 0 0 0 '109\:+ %99'0 \: Z 0 0 ~ 3HOV1l HO %09+ 1\f.10.1 l\f.10.1 \fd AN 11 \f'J .:lO% (9 NOI.LS3nol .1N3WAOldW31V.l0.1 NO .103:1:13 C3.1'9'dI0I.1N'9' YL .L~YHO ONY 31SY.L '" ~ " m o OO~ ~ o ~ o ~ " ~ O!H ~ Z . m '" '" TABLE AND CHART 7B ANTICIPATED EFFECT ON TOTAL EMPLOYMENT (QUESTION 6) CA +50% OR MORE 0,37% +35% 0,00% +30% 0,00% +25% 0,74% +20% 0,00% +15% 0,00% +10% 1.86% +5% 1.49% 0% 35,69% -5% 5.58% -10% 7.43% -15% 3,72% -20% 8,18% -25% 5,95% -30% 4,09% -35% 3,72% -50% OR MORE 21,19% IL 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 1,79% 3,57% 46,43% 5,36% 12,50% 3,57% 5,36% 3,57% 5,36% 0,00% 12,50% NY 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,74% 0,74% 0,74% 1,48% 0,74% 38,52% 4.44% 10,37% 4,44% 10,37% 7.41% 2,22% 2,22% 15,56% PA 2,56% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 1,28% 0,00% 0,00% 34,62% 6.41% 10,26% 3,85% 3,85% 6,41% 8,97% 3,85% 17,95% ANTICIPATED EFFECT ON TOTAL EMPLOYMENT BY STATE PERCENTAGE BREAKDOWN 50.00% 45.00% 4ll00% 35.00% w 30,00% 0 ~ ~ 25.00% u ffi ~ 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5,00% 0,00% w ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ , ~ ~ ~ 0 " " . 2 . . . . ~ 0 ~ . EFFECT 48 OCA OIL ONY D'A 617 slInsaJ allllS JI10J ;)4.1 'S;)ss;)lI!snq IIcUlS AIlp.IIU;)SSa aJp. Slll;)pllodsaJ aliI IE'll 11Iap!Ad SI II lIm:1V 'SlIOIIll'OIIU;)JJn, JI;)'l1 JllaU SJal!P.I;)J 11InoJS!p-p.ilaw ]0 S;)!JIU;) a^!I!I;)dlllO' ^,;)1I ;)'ll Aq alllnloA S;)IES 1I0 plldlll! "a^'llsod" JO "MIIEll;)U" a'll alp.InJI"' wa41 ;)h1l4 01 J;)pJO 1I1 SIU;)p"odS;)J U10JJ P.IP.p ;)UII110^ sal"S aJn,;)s 01 AJP.SS;)';)lI sc^' II 'I x!pu;)ddV "! L 1I0!ls;)n6 01 SJa^,slIp. a^!lEI!IUEnb UIOJJ P;)^IJ;)P SCM ;)J;)II P.IP.O sJu3puodS311 A:q papod311 Sll aWRloA salllS IllnuuV 88 .~llq;) pUll 3lqll.L pUll V8 pllq;) pUll 3lqll.L 'SP.;)JE Ip.JnJ pUll ullqJnqns 'UllqJl1l1! spoOlpoq'lil!;)lI a41JO A)!I!qP.1S IC!JOS ;)lll SlIalE;)Jlll aJnpnJ1S 1!p.laJ SS;)lI!snq 1IP.U1s ;)4lJO ilU!";)~llaM ';)w!lllnJ JO aUl!I-llp.d Jalll!;) ailallo' p"aUll 01 Al!UnllOddo ;)41 a^c4 0) SJ;)I!p.laJ IIEWS Aq P;)AOldw;) 41noA I",ol J;)LJ)O pllll SJ;)qUl;)U1 AI!U1ll] ,sJalm);)J ;)41 JOJ s;)!)!"n)Joddo ;),npaJ pllP. AJ!I!q1ljS IP.IOOS P004Joq4il!;)u p;)nllllUO' JOJ sa'lIlllp ;)41 a,!pnr;)Jd "Japun 011" IP.'l1 SaJOIS I!P.I;)J 'a'lIaH 'S;)J01S U!P.40-cll;)w-J;)dns ;)41.10 AUEUI Aq p;)JaJJo Salp.J Apn04 llInlll!UIllI Jp.au ;)lIlUP.'l1 sallp.^, Ja'lillll AI1"111lp.lsqns illl!uJp.a .10 AI!lIn)Joddo ;)41 sJaqUl;)lII AI!lIIcJ J;)llunoA J;)]Jo SWJ!J JI;)lI.L 'slal!p.laJ II"UlS as a'll Aq paAoldUla ;)JP. 04M SJ;)qUl;)U1 A!!lIIP.]]O ;)lllllll;)oJ;)d 11lIlup.Isqns C SI aJa'lIIp.41 aUII1SSp. UP.;) ;)1I0 :"saaAoldllla 0 I 1IP.'l1 SS;)I" 'II!^' s;)ssall!snq IIcWS AlIll,!dAJ ;)JC SJ;)!!"I;)J lP.41 P;)SOpSlP 89 pUP. V9 SIlP.4::> pUC S;)lqc.1 ;)'UlS 'S;);)AOldUl;) Uml;)J 01 AIII!qE Jla'll )no AIICOI1SCJp II'^' SUlCII' -p.ilaUl Aq SP004Joq4l3!au J!a41 Olll! AJIlI;) palCldUl;)IUOO lClll 'E!"ll^IASlIll;)d pllC ~JOA M;)N 's'oUlIII 'EllIJOJ'lc::> :S;))1ljS JI10J 1I"1l! sJa!!"I;)J II"WS U10JJ AJJO^, pllE lIJ;),1I0' 1l1l0J1S aq 01 SJp.;)ddc ;)J;)41 'AJCllIllInS "I ""luaUla'iipnf,, B ;;"l)fBUI 01 AJ!llqP.]O ~'P.I P. AllJllllllJd SP.M "p;)JJa OU" JOJ aloA P. ;)^a!l;)q SJ041nll '4) 'lIIP.ilV ,.-paJJd OU" paplpOld SlIJnl;)J S!OUlIII ;)4lJo %917 pUll ~JOA M;)N JOJ ,'p;)]Jd Oll" p;)llod;)J lua;)Jad alllll-AllILJ.1 'llIUJoJ!IP.::> 10.1 llnsaJ JP.II UIIS C SE^, lua;)J;)d XIS-All!4.1 :,'p;)JJ;) OU" palp.d!;)IllIP. Sll;)p"ods;)J mllp.^IASlIll;)d alll]O llla;)Jad a^!J-Alllll.L ';)JOW JO %0, llUIIP.UII1S;) %91 'lll^, sassol 'lor pap!paJd SllIapllodsaJ ;)41]0 %L, '~JOA M;)N "1 'ssOI 'lor ;)JOUl JO %0, E Inoqll p;)uJaollo, %81 4)IM 'sasso I 'lor p;)p!pOld sluapllods;)J P.!lIP.AIASlIU;)d ;)41.10 IU;);)J;)d OMI-AIXIS ';)JOU' JO %0,.10 ssol qor%f1 P. 41!M S;)SSOI qorpaplp;)Jd S)l;)p"odsaJ S101l!1II a4lJo lua;)J;)d 141l!;)-AJJO"j 'S;)SSOI 'lor "! aJOlll JO %0, 1l1l!ZIICI1SI^ S;)SsolllllIPIP;)ld ;)SOlIl .10 %IZ 41!M 'lllalllAOldw;) U! S;)SSOI snO!J;)S P;)p!p;)Jd Slu;)p"odS;)J EIllJOJ!IC:) ;)LJ1]0 11I;);)J;)d A1X!S 'sqor J!a41 ;)SOI PlnOM %0, UP.'l1 ;)JOW1C41 S;)SSOIllUIP!p;)Jd as04lJo %81 'II!^' 'luaUlAoldUla "! sasol P;)IP.UI!IS;) Slll;)pllodsaJ P.!lICAIASlIlI;)d a'lIJo 11I;);)J;)d OMI-AIX!S 'IU;)llIAOIdw;) U! SU!"ll 01 SP. illl!pllodsaJ %, 01 %17 AI"O 'll!^' 'pa;)pll! '1P.!^!Jl ;)'1 Plno^, saS!JdJ;)lll;) J!;)41 U! 11I;)U1AOldw;) U! slI!"ll ;)411P.4111!P.ll;)' almb aJaM C!UE^IASlIlI;)d pUP. ~JOA MaN 'SIOll!1II 'llIl1JO]!IP.J ";)'! 'S;)llllS JI10J IIV' 'Salp.IS Aq U^,Op~E;)Jq IU;)p"Odsal P. ^,OlIS 'MOllO] 'IJl4M 8L llllli::> pUll 'lqP..L 'Joq'llllall a^')lladlllOO C 1l1ll1ll0JOq 1IIP.4J ^,;)1I E .10 ;)nll!^ Aq )U;)U1AOldw;) "! SI!J;)lI;)q ^,P.S %17 AIUO palP.J1pll! SV 'sassol plp;)Jd 01 alqp.lIn ;)J;)^, lnq 'lIIP.ll Oll MP.S %Lf ;)1!4M 'llI;)WAOIdw;) "! S;)SSOI p;)p!paJd SllI;)puodSOJ liP. .10 11Ia;)Jad XIS-Al;)lIIN ialllllP.lll] 'saaAOldw;) J!;)4lJO %,r 01 %, WOJJ llU!SOI S;)JI1IU;)^ !!P.I;)J JI;)41 MCS SllIapllOds;)l ;)4) JO lU;);)Jad AllOd 'IP.A!^JI1S 10.1 ;)IUP.q ;)41 1l1l!Jnp S;);)AOIdw;) JI;)LJI .10 ;)JOUl JO %0, llu!SOI p,plpaJd SUlJ!J lu;)puods;)J ;)41.10 IU;);)J;)d u;)aI4il!3 'slIo!lI!do M!lcllau 1l1l0JIS 1I1 p;)llnsaJ uOIIs;)nb a4.L TABLE AND CHART SA ANNUAL SALES VOLUME (QUESTION 7) % TOTAL 8,02% 8,97% 20,61% 19,85% 19,66% 14,12% 4,96% 3,82% 100,00% CA 23 24 65 62 46 30 11 4 265 IL 5 12 21 26 33 21 9 11 138 NY 4 8 9 1 10 8 1 2 43 PA 10 3 13 15 14 15 5 3 78 TOTAL 42 47 108 104 103 74 26 20 524 $0 - $50,000 $50,001 - $100,000 $100,001 - $250,000 $250,001 - $500,000 $500,001 - $1,000,000 $1,000,001 - $3,000,000 $3,000,001 - $10,000,000 OVER $10,000,000 TOTAL ANNUAL SALES VOLUME 120 -______ 100 80 60 40 20 o g g ~ g, 0 8 8 g 0 0 0 ~ g g i 0 . 0 0 :;i ~ 8 0 8 . g 8 w 0 ~ ~ 0 0 g 0 0 :;i SALES DOLLARS o o !i 50 1, %00'; %OOO~ . m " 0 m Z ;;: 0 %OO'g~ m VdO ANO 11. VO. %00-0;;: %99-': %~v9 %\:Z6~ %96'H %€<:m %L9'9 ~ '1099'€ '10<:9'<:~ 'old ----..---.-----,------.------ %oo'gZ 39VIN3:JH3d 31V18 AS 3NmO^ S31\fS lVnNNV %99., %€€'<: %09'9 ~ '109<:'€<: %€€'<: %€6'O<: %09'9 ~ %O€'6 AN %L6'L %<:9'9 '10<:<:'9~ '1o>6'€<: %179'9~ '10<:<:'9~ %OL'9 '10<:9'€ II %W~ OOO'OOO'O~$ ~3^O %9~'17 OOO'OOO'O~$ - ~OO'OOO'€$ %<:0 ~ OOO'OOO'€$ - ~OO'OOO' ~$ %9€D 000'000' ~$ - ~00'009$ %W€<: 000'009$ - ~00'09<:$ %€9'17<: 000'09<:$ - ~OO'OO~$ %90'6 OOO'OO~$ - ~00'09$ %99'9 000'09$ - 0$ V''J (1. NOI.LS3nOI 31Nn10^ S3''lfS ''lfnNN'If 88 .L~'lfH::> aNY 318V.L 1 - disclosed in Table and Chart 8A show 77% of the respondents with sales volumes of $1 ,000,000 or less, Fourteen percent of the respondents report volllme of $1,000,000 to $3,000,000, Five percent reported volumes of $3,000,000 to $10,000,000, Only 4% reported volllmes of $1 0,000,000 or over. Approximately 20% are found in the category of $250,000 to $500,000; and finally abollt 20% are fOllnd in the category $500,000 to $1,000,000, Only 38% had sales vol limes of$250,000 or less, Table and Chart 8B which follow, reveals a vast majority of the respondent firms; namely 77%, report sales volumes in the 70% categories from $0 to $1,000,000, California has 83% of its retllrns in this category; Pennsylvania, 71%; New York State, 74% and Illinois, 69%, In the $1,000,000 to $3,000,000 category, Pennsylvania led with 19,2%; New York, 18,6%; Illinois 15,2%; and California 11.3%, Illinois had 8% of its respondents with over $10,000,000 compared to an average of only 2% to 4% in the other three states, Table and Chart 9A and Table and Chart 9B Anticipated Effect on Sales Volume by Entry Into The Respondents' Location By a Mega-Retail Discount Chain Selling Competitive Products Generally Sold By The Small Retailers The data in this analysis was secllred by virtlle to answers to qllestion 8 in Appendix I, Table and chart 9A provide a dramatic visllalization of the pessimistic views of Ihe sllrvey respondents with respect to diminished sales to be expected by incoming competition of the mega-retail discount chains, Seventy-nine percent of the respondents nationally anticipate drastic redllctions in sales volllme, while only 14% anticipate no changes in sales vol lime, Nineteen percent anticipate a drastic redllction in sales vol lime of 50% or more, Only 6% see the possibility of increasing volllme by having a sllperstore in the neighborhood, Again, the writer believes that the 14% voting "no effect" are certainly not "positive" votes abOlll having a new giant neighbor. They simply don't have strong numbers to rely on - - bllt we can assllme that they are more pessimistic than optimistic abollttheir company's flltllre, otherwise they wOllld have reported in a more positive frame of mind, Furthermore, "no effect" means no anticipated growth - which ultimately has a regressive effect. Table and Chart 9B which follow, clearly show the opinion of respondents by states, Eighty-three percent of Pennsylvania's respondents see volllme falling sharply, In California, it is 79%; New York, it is 80% and in Illinois, it is 78%, States showing greatest concern are California with 21 % of the respondents expecting sales to drop by 50% or more and Pennsylvania with 20% of the respondents expecting a redllction in sales of 50% or more, New York followed with 16% of the respondents predicting a loss in sales of 50% or more; while Illinois was the lowest with only 15% estimating sales to drop by 50% or more, As indicated, Charts 9A and 9B are 'Illite dramatic showing strong pessimism for retaining sales vol lime, As is noted later, lower volumes means redllced profits and redllced employment. 52 ES ~ 0 " . . . . . . . 0 ~ ~ " " ~ ~ . " . . 0 . m . . . . . . 0 " 0 S ~ ~ 8 " 0 " 0 . 0 " . " " ~ " " 0 ~ ~ 0 . 0 ~ " . . . . m 3WmO^ 531\15 NO .103:1:13 Q3J.\1dIOUN\t %OO'OO~ LC. %66'a~ ZO~ .~ O~ OZ L. 31010V'llolO %0.- %OL'9 9C 9 . P ~Z %g€- %9L'8 LP . . ~ ~ 9Z %OE- %OQ"O~ a. . . H ~C %9Z- %.n~ Z9 C~ 9 H 9Z %Oc;- %W'a CP 6 L . ZZ %g~- %L.'a 9P P L H a~ %O~- %9~.9 CC . . Z~ ~ ~ %5- %.~'P~ 9L ~ ~ L ~Z LC .L::>3cJcJ3 ON %an 6 ~ Z ~ . %5+ %86'Z 9~ 0 Z P O~ %m+ %9.'0 C ~ 0 0 Z %S~+ %LC'O Z 0 0 ~ ~ %OZ+ %LC'O Z ~ 0 ~ 0 %SZ+ %6~'O ~ 0 0 ~ 0 %OE+ %00'0 0 0 0 0 0 %SC+ %6~'O ~ 0 0 0 ~ 3~OVII ~o %09+ lV'.L0.L 111.LO.L lid AN 11 II::> % (8 NOI1S3nol 31Nn10^ S31VS NO .1::>3:1:13 03.1 Vdl::>I.1NV '0'6 HI'o'H:l ON'o' 318'0'1 TABLE AND CHART 9B ANTICIPATED EFFECT ON SALES VOLUME (QUESTION 8) +50% OR MORE +35% +30% +25% +20% +15% +10% +5% NO EFFECT -5% -10% -15% -20% ~25% -30% ,35% -50% OR MORE CA 0.37% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.37% 0.75% 3.73% 1,87% 13,81% 4.10% 6.72% 8.21% 9.70% 11.57% 9,70% 7,84% 21,27% IL 0,00% 0,00% 0,76% 0.76% 0,76% 0.00% 3.03% 0.76% 15,91% 9.09% 12.88% 3.79% 12,88% 12.88% 8,33% 3,03% 15,15% NY 0.00% 0.00% 0,00% 0.00% 0,00% 0,00% 3,28% 3,28% 11.48% 8,20% 11.48% 11.48% 9.84% 8.20% 8,20% 8,20% 16,39% PA 0,00% 0,00% 0.00% 1.32% 0,00% 1.32% 0.00% 1.32% 14.47% 6.58% 5.26% 11.84% 17.11% 6.58% 6,58% 7,89% 19,74% ~- ANTICIPATED EFFECT ON SALES VOLUME BY STATE BREAKDOWN PERCENTAGES "'- 15.00'llo 1000% 5.00% o- w ~ . ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ t ~ ~ ~ w " . " 0 " " " " 0 . . . . . . " " 0 0 ~ ~ PERCENTAGE CHANGE 54 OCA n 0", meA ., ;)41 APCI!U1IS 'SI!Jold "! UJnlU^'Op dAlp~dsOld P. p;))JodaJ U!"P.AIAsulad 1lI01J sllIapllodsal ;)111 .10 11I;);)lad OMI-A141l13 'Sl!JoJd 1I1 slIo!pnp;)J 11Iall!1II1111 illll)Jodal S;)II'JOfp.U1 1P.!llIlllsqns pa^,Olls Salp.IS JI10J IIY '%91-%, [ AlaIUUI!xOJddp. "a'! :salp.1S JI10J aliI iluouIP. lllalSISlIOJ SI "P;)]];) OU" ;)l(.1 'ApnlS ;)LJllll S;)IP.1S Aq P.IP.p aLJIlI^,op s~uaJq 80 IllllllJ pllP. alqc.1 'llI;)llIAOldUl;) p;),npal pllP. S;)Ip.s pa,np;)l 01 illl!IP.Jdl SUOIls;)nb lOud 1I0 Suo!p!paJd 01 p;)ludlllO' lIa4^' 11l;)ISlSlIO' ;)l!nb S! sl!JoJd p;),npaJ 1I0 Illllp ;)4.1 'pa;)pll! 'dA!IIlAlaSlIo, al!nb aJ;)M SlIO!IIlP;)dx;) dAlIISod 'l(.L ';)AUJIl 011ll1l4' luno,S1p 1!p.laJ-p.il;)U1 a'll ;)l;)M Al!l!qP.l!JOld "! aSIl;)J;)lI! UP. MP.S S1II1!J aliI .10 %8 AI"O 'IJdM SP. sasso I SnO!laS ^,US;)lOJ AlIEl^J 'AII"!IUElsqns P;)JaMol;)q Plno^, sl!JoJd lP.41 P;);)lllAlIO' APP.;)I' aJaM slllapllodsaJ ;)41 aJ;)H 'llIaw;)llpnfu ;)~p.w 01 SPIl] IUlIJ;)IX;) .10101 C 1l1l!J!nb;)1 suollsanb 10410 01 pOlp.dUlo, lIuWS alll1b aJa^, 1I011sanb S!LJl 01 (%9Ilnoqu) Sla^,SlIC "paJJ;) Oll.. aLJ.L '%0, liE'll ;)lOUl Aq p;),np;)J SI!JOJd 1!a41 aas PlnoM A;)411P.41 paA;)!laq SUlJ!J al(lJo %ve 'PP.J "1 'AI!I!qP.l!JOJd "! suO!pnpal snou;)s P;)ludl~IIUIl pa!pnlS salEIS lnoJ ;)41 U! palP.,ol sllIapllods;)J a4lJo 11Ia;)l;)d X!S-Alll;)Aas :^,OIlOJ l('ll(^' 801 pllP. YO 1 SIlP.ll::> pllP. salqu.1 Aq pasolJS!P pllC 1 Xlpll;)ddy 1I1 6 UOI1S;)nO 01 S;)SUOdSal 'Ill U10JJ P'A!J;)P SI aJall passnJS!p P.1P.p al(.1 a.l01S U!llq;) lUno3S!O I!lll311-1l~3W y JO UO!l1l30'] ~P'l.1 .lllaN IllhP~y 3ql ~aUy SW~!.i ~!aq.1 JO ^,!I!qllmo~d aq.1 uo pIldWI 3'1.1 aH PlnoM, 3A3!PH SlU3puodsall a'll P!U lllqM, HOI pll'l;) pUll alqll.1 pUll VOl pllq;) pUll 3Jqll.1 "';)duJSPUP.I,, ssau!snq ;)41 U101J Jp.;)ddcs!p 01 lnoqp. slcaddc pllll AUlOUO';) l;)~llllll ;)alJ pMlIP.I"q JI10 JO IIp.d IUlllallll UP. lI;);)q SP.II aUl!1 illlol P. 10.1 lal!p.l;)l IIclIIS a4.L 'sassall!snq IIE);)J IIclIIS .10 ApnlS S!41 Aq P;)I";)A;)J sS;)lI~p.aM 1l1l1^,011l ;llllJo asnp.,aq IIp.d lp.allllll p;)paJJp. 'AlIIollo,a [P.10l ;)41.10 l3l1!Z!S lIMOp sno!1;)s E 01 ~ooI pUll P;)UUnIS ;)'1 Pln04s S;)IIlIS pal!"n ;)l(IJO lllalllll;)s illl!~lIp.q a'll pllP. Sa!I!1041nll IP.IlI;)WlIl;)AOll ;)41 410'1 IP.41 JIl;)ddp. PlnoM II 'SIl;)JIl up.qJn JO Jaqull1l1 P;lIIUI!1 Il pUP. S;lIP.1S JI10J 1IP.l(1 Ja41P.l S;)!IP snOJ;)lIInu pllP. S;)IIllS 0, iluOWIl P;)IIlIOd1!JIX;) slInsOl ;)S;)41 aJaM 'ssala4)JaA;)u :%17'6 JO 1I111);)1 OL!; P. pllP. Silll!I!EUI 1710'9.10 ;)ldlllcS I1!NI P. PE4 ApnlS ;)41 Ill'll ;)nll S! 11 al!'IM JJP.IS '1;)lP.;)S;)l ;)41 Aq U1a41 01 paSS;)lppp. slIollsanb a'll II" 01 p;)ds;)J 41!M Slu;)p"ods;)J ;)41 ,('1 lIJ;)~UO' lI1!ldAO M04s 01 ;)lI!qlllO' ssol aUlnIoA sal"s "! P.IP.p a'll pUll ssol qofuo 1l1EP ;)414108 'P.;)JP. ;)411l! ilU!A!JJIl S;)JOIS IunoJS!p I!UI;)J -ull;)WlIodn P;)SP.q ;)lIInloA saI"s uo PlldUl! pap!p;)Jd a'll uo 86 pUll Y6 S;)lq1!.1 01 paJp.dlllo,;)q U;)'lI Alllll S14.1 'Sll;)P"Ods;)l a4lJo awnloA S;)Ip.s Ip.nuup. a'll uo )JodaJ 88 pUP. Y8 s)JP.4::> pUll s3IqP..1 'AIICUO!I!PPY 'UO!IC~OI S,101;)!ldoJd ;)41 lP.;)lIllUIAOlll slIIE4' 11InoJS!p 1!p.laJ -Ellaw .10 a'lIaU!WUII a41110 pascq lllawAoldUla U! sassol JO slI!uil palp.dl;)!llIU ;)41 M04s 8L pllP. Y L SIlP.4:J pUP. salq1!.1 a114^' 'saaAoldUl;) JO l;)qlllnu pUP. U11!J .10 az!s ;)41 ^,04s 89 pUP. Y9 sllc4:J pllE S;)I'lE.L ';)ldlll1!x;) JO"j 'llIIod SIlII OI1!IP.p ;)41111 UM04s A'U;)ISIS"OJ S! ala4.L lU3W,(Oldw3 p3HMO'] pUll smo~d ~3MO'] 01 S3SS0'] awnlOA S311lS Ol sso'] qor JO d!'1sUO!11l1311 TABLE AND CHART 10A ANTICIPATED EFFECT ON PROFITABILITY (QUESTION 9) % CA IL NY PA TOTAL TOTAL +50% OR MORE 1 0 0 0 1 0,18% +35% 0 1 0 0 1 0,18% +30% 0 0 0 0 0 0,00% +25% 0 0 0 1 1 0,18% +20% 0 1 0 0 1 0,18% +15% 1 1 0 0 2 0,36% +10% 6 10 3 0 19 3.44% +5% 7 10 1 1 19 3,44% NO EFFECT 41 25 9 12 87 15,73% -5% 17 9 7 5 38 6,87% -10% 24 25 4 6 59 10,67% -15% 11 7 4 8 30 5.42% -20% 22 8 4 13 47 8,50% -25% 23 11 6 5 45 8,14% -30% 23 12 2 4 41 7.41% -35% 18 8 2 4 32 5,79% -50% OR MORE 73 26 13 18 130 23,51% TOTAL 267 154 55 77 553 100% ANTICIPATED EFFECT ON PROFITABILITY 140 120 w ~ 100 o ~ o ~ 80 ~ o ~ 60 w ~ ~ 40 ~ 20 ~ "- "- "- "- "- "- "- ... "- "- "- "- "- "- "- w Ow ~ g ~ 0 ~ 0 ~ " '" ~ ~ 0 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ N \' " " . w .., .., .., 0 "-0 . . . ~ ~ " iil" w ~ . 0 0 Z "- 0 '" PERCENTAGE CHANGE 56 LS 3gN'lt'HO 3DYJ.N30H3d Z e ~In m ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ . . " m " N me 0 " 0 ~ ~ ~ '" ~ ~ ~ . ~~ . e~ ~ ~ me ~ ~ %000 %OO.S %OO.O~ ~ m ~ %OO'S~ m z " . Q m %QO"OZ %OO-sO?: %OO"O€ S3E)V1N3:;>Y3d NMoml'W3HB 3J.'I/.18 AS AJ.I1IBV11:!OHd NO .L::>3:!:!3 03J.VdIOIJ.NV %8\:'\:l %6~'9 %6~'9 %61'9 %88'9 ~ %6\:'m %6L'L %61'9 %89'9 ~ %O\:'~ %00'0 %00'0 %00'0 %O\:'~ %00'0 %00'0 %00'0 'lid %17fr\:l %179'\: %179'\: % ~6'O ~ %Ll'L %Ll'L %Ll'L %\:L"l ~ %9\:'9~ %l8'~ %917'9 %00'0 %00'0 %00'0 %00'0 %00'0 %00'0 AN %88'9 ~ %6~'9 %6L"L %17~'L %6~'9 %99'17 %\:zm %178'9 %\:Z'9~ %617'9 %617'9 %99'0 %99'0 %00'0 %00'0 %99'0 %00'0 11 %17\:'Ll %17L"9 %W8 %W8 %17Z'8 %Z~'17 %66'8 %L\:'9 %9\:'9~ %Z9'Z %9Z'Z %L\:'O %00'0 %00'0 %00'0 %00'0 %L\:'O 'II'J 3HOV>J HO %09- %9\:- %O\:- %9Z- %OZ- %9~- %O~- 0/,9- 1'J3~~3 ON %9+ %O~+ %9~+ %OZ+ %9Z+ %Of:+ %9E:+ 3HOV>J HO %09+ (6 NOI.LS3nol A.L1l18V.LI.:lO~d NO .L::>3.:l.:l3 03.LVdl::>I.LNV ao~ UI"H:l ON" 31a".L T ~ downtllrn in profits reported in California was 79%; in New York, 76% and in Illinois, 69%, Twenty-seven percent of the California respondents expected a downtllrn of 50% or more, with New York showing 24%; Pennsylvania, 23% and Illinois only 17%, Table and Chart I1A and Table and Chart I1B Rise of the Mega-Retail Discount Chains Has Adversely Affected the Ease with Which Small Retailers were Formerly Able to Buy from Wholesalers QlIestion lOin Appendix I asked the following qllestions: 'There appears to be a trend on the part ofthe large, national discount retail chains to bllY directly from manufacturers, As a reslllt, middlemen or intermediate distributors seem to be disappearing, How will this affect YOllr purchasing practices?" The summary results as noted in Tables and Charts II A and II B for the fOllr states collectively were as follows: How are Retailers Affected by the Reduction in the Number of Wholesalers? Description Respondents Very Positive 2.48% Positive 3.44% No Effect 43,70% Negative 26,34% Very Negative 24,05% 100,00% [t shollld be kept in mind that 50% of the respondents reported that the continuing redllction in the unavailability of wholesalers wOllld affect their bllsiness flltures adversely, Twenty-six percent saw it as "negative" while an additional 24% viewed it as "very negative," Only 6% of the respondents saw it as "positive" or "very positive," Perhaps this small number of respondents (31) for the fOllr states believe that their lIniqlle prodllct lines wOllld continlle to permit them to buy "direct" from manufacturers or sllppliers, Forty-follr percent voted "no effect." This vote often reflects the small retailer's lack of knowledge of what is happening in the national market. Chapter IV will qllote verbatim the disenchantment of the small retailers who are aggravated by the fact that the giant mega-retail discollnt chains are generally bllying "direct" from sllppliers and manllfactllrers, In a number of regions in the United States, small grocers are bllying products from Sam's CllIbs, 58 6, 3NlV~3N ^~3^ 3^I.l'V~3N .l:)VdWI 1:J3::1.::13 ON 31\1.1lS0d 31\1.llS0d ACl3^ S301~OYHd ONISVHO},lnd NO ~OVdWI %OO~ vl9 OL 99 B€~ 09l %90'vl 9l~ Ol l~ 9€ B9 3^,-1\f83N A~J3A %v€'9l B€~ 6~ €~ 017 99 3AIl.\f83N %OL"€V 6ll Ll vl 69 6~ ~ l.::J3olol30N %vv€ B~ € 9 l B 3AIl.ISOd %Bv'l €~ ~ l ~ 6 3AIl.ISOd AlBA l\f1.Ol. l\f1.Ol. \fd AN 11 \f::J % (O~ NOI.LS3nt>) S301.l0'inld ~NISVHO~nd NO .lOVdll\l1 'VH HI'VH~ ON'V 318'V.L o os ~ ~ l'l co ON m z Q 0 ~ ~ m OS, '" -. 0 z '" m 00' OS, T I TABLE AND CHART 11B IMPACT ON PURCHASING PRACTICES (QUESTION 10) CA IL NY PA VERY POSITIVE 3.46% 0,72% 3,57% 1.43% POSITIVE 3,08% 1.45% 8,93% 4,29% NO EFFECT 45,77% 42,75% 42,86% 38,57% NEGATIVE 25,38% 28,99% 23,21% 27,14% VERY NEGATIVE 22,31% 26,09% 21.43% 28,57% IMPACT ON PURCHASING PRACTICES BY STATE BREAKDOWN PERCENTAGES 50.00% 45.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 000% 40.00% 35.00% w ~ 30.00% z w " '" w ~ >-~ "'~ ~~ ~ w > " in o ~ ~ " w ~ ~ w o z ~ " <l w z >-~ "'~ ~ffi z IMPACT 60 r .CA .Il ONY mPA 19 '18 'd '(661 ;)lInf L '/vumoflaoJJS 110M o~L ,:OldoOd OJol^J 01 S:1U1LJ.1 01Ol^J 08 0.1 ,('.1 SIl"W)I Jadns 'SOJJOJOJ!) llUlPPY.. 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'o'lso::>/sqnl::> ;):J!Jd "Wal-Mart still is in the process of experimenting with the supercenter concept," said Don Spindel, a retail analyst who follows the Bentonville, Arkansas, retailer for A,G, Edwards & Son in St. LOllis, 'They know they have been very sllccessful in the Midwest, bllt they want to put a few stores in the Northeast to see how they do, It sOllnds like the Springville area is ideal."2 Under the sllpercenter concept, Spindel said, Wal-Mart lIses to food to entice people to its adjacent discollnt store, '" People on average shop for food two to fOllr times per week,' the analyst said, 'They (Wal-Mart) lIse food to drive their general merchandise business, And, lInlike a regular sllpermarket, Wal-Mart does not have to make money on food-- bllt they do' ."3 Wal-Mart certainly is convinced the sllpercenter concept is a winner, "'(think the SlIpercenter is the wave of the fllture for Wal-Mart'," said Janet J, Mangano, a retail analyst for BlIrnham Secllrities in New York City, 'It's the most profitable store they have and when a Supercenter replaces a regular Wal-Mart, it does mllch better (from a sales standpoint)','" Table 12 How Does Small Retail Business Generally Promote Its Products and Its Business? Part of the problem encollntered by small retail bllsinesses in their competition with the major retail discount chains is the lack of financial ability to devote sllbstantial slims in their blldgets for promotion, Table 12, which follows, is derived from the answers to QlIestion II in Appendix I: "What methods do YOllllse to promote YOllr business?" "Please check off the methods that YOll rely on most." A review of the question shows there can be more than one response giving a total over 100%, National data for the four states studied follows: A-I6, 'Rick Stauffer, "WaI-Mart plans superstore with groceries in Springville," Buffalo News, 26 May 1994, p, 'Ibid, 'Ibid, 62 C9 II!^' A;)41 ';)AIMnS 01 J;)pJO 1I1 IUlII 'PP.J a'll .10 aJp.^,p. aq lSllUl Aa4.1 'smOlI '1JOM IClIO!llpllJI 1l1l!d;);)'1I1!IS aJll S;)SS~lI!snq 1I1lUlS ;)SalJlllllJI swaas I! 'sasuodsaJ ;)lJIJO S!SAIp.uC uodn (cl ''1a;)^, ;)lJlJo AUP lS;)lSnq alII SP. 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P;)p!AOJd 1I0!lSanb S!4.1 's;)ssall!snq J!;)41 aloUloJd 01 paz!l!I" 1I0!Ip.lndod ;)IdwES a'll SP041;)1II lP.LJM 01 SE Eapl liE lall 01 uOllsanb SIlll P;)~Sll JJP.1S lJ'JP.;)S;)J aLJ.1 X.L Olpllll S;)lIIZllllP.W sJadcds^';)N IClIO!lP.N SJadlldsM;)N 1P.'O'l S;)llP.d MOlla A/~008 ;)U04dala.L ilu!I;)'1JElIIala.1 AIIUlIOSJ;)d SP.AlIll::> S;)Jn4'OJ8/SI;)UP.;)'l/SJ;)AI"j S<J3!Oq;) ~<JMSUY 3\Q!SSOd %91'(1 %vL"61 %178'11 %(9'Z %1 ['L9 %Z('I, %68'L %IZ'6 %Z€' 1 , poql<JW q3113 ilU!J;}<J\3S 3\dwBS}0 % f[ 3\Qll.L - II UO!lsaoO SOOH.L3W NOI.LOWOlld SS3NISaa ZI <JlqB.L Ii have to compete with the hOllrs that the large mega-retail discollnt chains follow; namely making themselves available day or night to meet the needs of the local consllmer market. Table 13, Table and Chart 13A and Table and Chart 138 A National Summary of Those Products Sold by Small Retailers Which Parallel Products Available in the Mega-Retail Discount Chains Question IS in Table 13 identifies the variety of trades, prodllcts and services of which the sample population is composed ninety-two percent of the respondents returning their data and provided detailed breakdowns of what they sold, Table 13, and Tables and Charts 13A and 138 provide a national total of the data received from the four states and reveal that 570 of the completed retllrns, which represented 9.4% of the mailing were trllly representative of retail business, This qllestion allowed the sllrveyors to analyze the heterogeneolls nature of the variety ofbllsinesses evidenced in the respondent retllrns, When the sample was selected, great efforts were made to make sllre there would be no heavy concentration of mailings to a particlllar sector of retail activities, This was done to keep the reslllts as lInbiased and objective as possible within the retail industry as a whole, Table 13 and Tables and Charts 13A and 138 shows the heterogenolls nature of the responding retail firms, As in the case of the mega-retail chains, smaller retailers also sell more than one prodllctline, For example, a retailer might sell women's, men's and children's apparel. Another retailer might sell sports products as well as electronics, i,e" video/equipment and alldio/stereo, QlIestion 15 was designed to procure where possible retail sales in every product line which might be fOllnd in a mega-retail chain, Hence the nllmber of responses by categories far outweighed the nllmber of respondents, Table 13 provides prodllct analyses for all four states as a whole, while Table 13A and Chart I3A provides a breakdown of the 570 respondent retailers in each of the fOllr states under stlldy, Table I3A showed total choices amounting to 1341 selections of retail activity by the 570 respondents in the fOllr state study, As might be expected, Table 13A shows heavy concentrations in "food prodllcts," 18%; "home improvement products," 15%; "other prodllcts," mainly jewelry and related items, II %; "other services," such as Optometry, photography, 9%, and combined apparel, men's, women's and children's, 12%, The nature of these categories are such that the respondents in these bllsinesses may have more seriolls concerns about survival than the other categories, The subjective answers in Chapter IV which follow indicate concern and fear of the pnce competition from such chains such as Kmart, Wal-Mart, Home Depot, Target and Sam's CllIbs, As noted in Table 13A, the retum from food prodllct retailers overall was 18%, However, in Table 138, the return from New York was 22%; from California, 19%; from Pennsylvania, 17%; and from Illinois, 13%, With respect to home improvements and bllilding supplies; Pennsylvania showed a retllrn of28%; Illinois 17%, California II % and New York only 9% for an overall average of 15%, 64 1'9101 9Z ~ Cl3Hl0 T6 E>NIN'9318 AClO 0" SNOTv'S ClIVH T ON3^ 000::1 lSV::I T SS380Cld 0.10Hd T ACl.13V1101dO TZ' :S381^Cl3S Cl3H.10 1'9101 8l>~ Cl3Hl0 19 S3il3ClVE>188T' SE>'v'VII/S>l008 Bl S>l8018/S3H8.1VM D ACl13M3r 88 :S18nOOCld Cl3H.10 1'9!01 "1T S311ddnS (iT" S3Clll 'fT" SlCl'v'd 01n'v' Ol ^Cl3S 81NVH83V11 Ll :S381^Cl3S/dln03 01nV 1'9!01 l>OZ SN30ClVE>/NM'v'18T' S.13NI8V8rH811>l 9T" .18313/E>NI.1HE>11 6T' E>N18V11nld 9T SMOONIMlSClOOO 6T' NOllV1nSNI 9 E>NI::IOOCl "9 E>NICl001::1 9l S3ICl3d'v'ClO (iT" E>NI.13dClV86T' Cl3dVd11VM "9 S.1NIVd 9T SlOOl D Cl38V11nl 'fT" :S3l1ddnS 0lIn8/^OCldVIII3V110H Atl0831.V8 ,9 1'9.101 09 OOCld Cl3d'v'd IT" N3H811>l T S38NVI1ddVVIIS T OOCld E>NIN'v'318 "6 SN3NI1/H1V8 T 3Cln!INCln::l TZ' :S18nOOCld 811S3V1100 1'9.101 Z9 S81.13V11S088T" OOCld 3N318AH 9T S8nClO 'XCl 'fT" S8nClO 810 Ol :A1OV38 ONV Hl1'v'3H 1'9101 08 S311ddns A!Cl'v'd IT" 8NlddVClM .1::118 8T" SOClV8 8NI.133Cl8 W AClVNOI.1V1S vl :S18nOOCld Cl3d'v'd 1'9101 l>1: Cl3H!O "6 dln03/S3>l18 (iT" dln03 HSI::I/1NnH "9 dln0381.131H.1V"6 S18nOOCld SlClOdS 1'9!01 91: S8ICl8V::I/8NIM3S T Sl::1'v'Cl8/S1Cl'v'T S31880H T SAO.1 D S3V11V8 OClV08 "9 :S31880H ONV S3V11V8 1'9!01 Z8 dln03 Cl3Hl0 Ol S3V11V89T dln03/Cl31ndVll088T' 03Cl3.1S/0Ion'v'D dln03/0301^ IT" :S8INOCl.18313 Atl0831.'v'8 A~Vll\lll\lnS 'VNOll VN U 318'0'1. 1'9101 ~l>Z S310NV8/S>l8VNS lv S38VCl3^38 99 Cl3Hl0 178 ACll1nOd/S.1 V3V11 W 38nOOCld Ol SOOO"j N3Z0Cl::l 6l S318VHSICl3d-NON 6l :S.18nOOCld 000::1 1'9101 91: SlVVIIINV 11'v'VIIS T 811'v'nOVlHSI::I T SA01/S3l1ddns (iT" OOO::l6T' :S.13d 1'9101 l>1: S.18nOOCld 000::1 T S.18nOOCld 3ClV8 T 3Clnl1NCln::l T S30HS "6 8NIH10189T :N3ClOlIH8/.1NV::INI 1'9101 ZL S31ClOSS388V 8T" S30HS 81.131H1V T S30HS lvnSV8 T S30HS SS3ClO T 31Cl38NI1 T 81.131Hl'v'''9 lVnSV8 D 13ClVddV >lClOM "9 13ClVddV SS3ClO IT" :380ClOClVM S,N3V110M 1'9101 SS S31ClOSS388V 0" S30HS 81.131H.1 V T S30HS lvnS'v'8 T S30HS SS3ClO T SlN3V11Cl'v'8Cl30Nn '"IT Cl'v'3M 81.131Hl V 9 Cl'v'3M 1'v'nSV8 6T' S.1lnS/SS3ClO "6 :380ClOClVM S,N3V11 Atl0831. '11'8 I ..., TABLE AND CHART 13A COMPREHENSIVE RESULTS OF INDUSTRY BREAKDOWN (QUESTION 15) % CA IL NY PA TOTAL TOTAL MEN'S WARDROBE 40 4 4 7 55 4,10% WOMEN'S WARDROBE 60 5 5 2 72 5,37% INFANT/CHILDREN 22 4 0 8 34 2,54% PETS 21 0 0 15 36 2,68% FOOD PRODUCTS 153 25 14 49 241 17,97% ELECTRONICS 50 13 4 15 82 6,11% . GAMES AND HOBBIES 24 4 0 8 36 2,68% SPORTS PRODUCTS 27 4 1 2 34 2,54% PAPER PRODUCTS 54 8 1 17 80 5,97% HEALTH AND BEAUTY 36 7 2 17 62 4,62% DOMESTIC PRODUCTS 30 5 1 24 60 4.47% HOME IMPROVl BUILD, SUPPL. 86 31 6 81 204 15,21% AUTO EQUIP/SERVICES 39 19 8 5 71 5.29% . OTHER PRODUCTS 83 28 10 27 148 11,04% OTHER SERVICES 74 29 8 15 126 9.40% TOTAL 186 . 799 64 292 1341 100% NATIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF INDUSTRY RESPONSES . 250 50 200 w o z o B; 150 ~ . o ~ z ~ 100 ~ . . w w 0 0 ~ . . " t; 0 0 W 0 . . . 0 ~ C C C 0 ~ . 0 . -' " ~ . 0 . 0 . Z . < . 0 C < 0 Z z 8 I . W W . ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ I INDUSTRY 66 L9 ^~USnaNI " ~~ ~ ~ .~ ~ 0 ~~ 0 0 ,~ ~ .. . . m ~ 0 .Z ~ 0 . Vde AND ". VO. S3~'lf.lN30ij3d NMOC>lV3ij8 3J."J.8 AS S3SNOdS3~ Al:USnCNI ::10 NOIJ.nSn:11SIC 1VNQI.lVN 17~SO'O SZ60 0 ~L>D"O 17LLZ'O ZZ80'O Z8S0'O Z8S0'O 8900"0 17LZO'O 17~SO'O 8L9~ '0 17~SO'O 17LZO'O 8900'0 17ZO'O 'Vd SZ~'O (;9S ~ '0 SZ~'O 8(;60'0 9S~00 (;~CO'O 9S ~O'O 9S >D"O o SZ90'O 88~Z'O o o ~BLO'O SZ90'O AN 6SS ~ '0 SOS ~ '0 ZZO ~ '0 L99 ~ '0 69Z0'O 9L(;O'O (;170'0 S~ZO'O S ~ZO'O 6690'0 VVC~'O o S~ZO'O 69Z0'O S ~ZO'O 11 (;60'0 S3:J1^~3S ~3HIO 17(WO Sl:JnaO~d ~3HlO 6VO-O S3:J1^~3S/dln03 Oln'V BO~'O 'lddns 'Olln8/^O~dV'J13V'JOH B(;O'O Sl:JnaO~d :J11S3V'Joa S170'O ..un'V38 aN'V Hll\t3H B90'O Sl:JnaO~d ~3d'Vd 17(;0'0 Sl:JnaO~d Sl~OdS (;0'0 S31880H aN'V S3V'J'V8 (;90'0 S:JINO~1:J313 ~6 ~ '0 Sl:JnaO~d aoo~ 9Z0'O S13d BZO'O N3~0lIH:J/IN'V~NI SLO'O 380~a~'VM S,N3V'JOM SO'O 380~a~'VM S,N3V'J 'V:J (9~ NOI1S3no) NMOC>lV3H8 AHolSnCNI ::10 Sol lnS3H 3^ISN3H3HdIl\lOO 8t~ UI\fHO ON\f 318\fl SO'O .0 , m . n la-a ~ ~ m '0 Sl'O '0 r In apparel with an overall response of 12%, California's combined total for men's, women's and children's was 15%; New York was second with 14%; Illinois was third with 7% and Pennsylvania lagged with 5%, The nature of the area often dictated the characteristics of the responses, For example, Philadelphia and Chicago which are 'Illite metropolitan and urban; and less inclined to bllY fashionable "casual wear" appropriate to the warmer climate of the sllbllrban and rural San Diego area, The Finger Lakes region of New Yark State was more rural than the Pennsylvania and Illinois experiences, Retail Product Catel:ories Selected by Respondents from the Four States The retail prodllct returns from each of the fOllr states are categorized by product into sllbdivisions, There is quite a differentiation between the prodllct mix in one state compared to another, as might be expected based on climate, environment, age of the average residents and style of life, Table 13A covers 799 selections from SOllthern California (San Diego, Mira Mesa, Poway, Chllla Vista and Oceanside, Table 13A covers 186 selections from Illinois which includes Chicago, Kanakee and Des Plaines areas. Table 13A covers 64 selections from the Finger Lakes region of New York State inclllding such areas as Geneva, AlIbllrn and Syracllse, Table 13A includes 292 selections from the metropolitan area of Greater Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (South Philadelphia, Center City, Society Hill" Northeast Philadelphia, Northwest Philadelphia and West Philadelphia), California's response unlike the other three states stlldied, were nllmerolls in apparel categories, Most of the retail stores selling men's and women's apparel classified as "casual wear" are fOllnd in the California retllrns, There were few retllrns in these categories from Illinois, New York and Pennsylvania, California, Illinois and Pennsylvania are 'Illite representative on Home Improvement and bllilding sllpplies, New York and Pennsylvania showed a substantial percentage of food retail responses, California and Pennsylvania were strong on pets and pet sllpplies, California was strong in the sports products areas, California and Pennsylvania also had nllmerous returns in jewelry, watches and related prodllcts, Where Do the Customers Come From? The Rise of Multi-Discount Retail Chains has Benefitted Immensely by the Infrastructure Changes Provided by the Taxpayer (Ouestion 16) Data received from all four states studied showed the influence that automobiles have on shopping habits, The retail responses showed that their cllstomers came from difTerenttowns and cOllnties depending on convenient highway facilities and parking availability, Obviously the dependence on the alltomobile tends to favor the mega-retail discollnt chains, The mega-discount chains and "Big Boxes" have capitalized highways and alltomobiles to shift the retail center of gravity away from the smaller retailers in the neighborhoods, the enclaves and the traditional "Main Street." The mega centers have huge parking lots, while it has become more and more costly to park in the central city withollt being "ticketed," Obviollsly, the "Big Boxes" have benefitted from tremendolls 68 69 ';)JC4S la~JCUI JOJ SUIP.4' 11InmS!p IlP.laJ-llil;)U1 a'll 41!M AlaAISS;)lllllP. ;)I;)dwo, Olllll!IIIM S! pllll ";)luP.q,, ;)4111l II'IS S! Jau^,o ssalllsnq ;)411U41 salllJlPU! s!LJI,,~aull pnpold Pllcdx3" JO "aJlAl;)S J;)lIn"j ;)PIAOJd" ,:AIII'qlSl^ ;)sp.al'lII" ,:SJnOH ~101\\ aSp.;)lJlII" Sll 4,ns S;)J!04' palP.JlpUI Sll;)P"OdS;)l ;)'I1J! 'aldulP.xa JO"j 'S;)lilaIUJ1S aA1111;)dwOJ aA!ssaJii1ie pue IB^!^JnS pale1lsuornap sa::J!oY::J "a^!l!sOd" ";a^!slIajap,, JO "aA!l!Sod" SB ~sasllodsaJ .10 1I0!lP.J!J!ssP.p 1P.1I11P.1I P. P;)AJ;)SqO JJP.1S ;)41 'saJ!04' la^,SlIll SP. lI;)A!il ;)l;)M lP.41 SaA!IElIJ;)IIP. a41JO ';)nsSI S!LJ1411M IP.;)P 01 M04 p.ap! 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SlllalllllJaAolllp.'OI pllP. alp.ls 'Ip.J;)paJ .10 )Jp.d ;)41110 SIU;)lIIIS;)AlI! r - TABLE AND CHART 14A COMPETITIVE STRATEGIES AND AL TERNA TIVES (QUESTION 17) % CA IL NY PA TOTAL TOTAL RAISE PRICES 8 13 3 3 27 1.52% LOWER PRICES 108 50 19 30 207 11,62% INCREASE WORK HOURS 52 41 15 22 130 7.30% DECREASE WORK HOURS 10 4 0 6 20 1,12% INCREASE STAFF 16 10 2 2 30 1.68% DECREASE STAFF 79 32 11 22 144 8,08% INCREASE VISIBILITY 127 77 25 33 262 14,70% PROVIDE FULLER SERVICES 154 93 27 33 307 17,23% EXPAND PROD, L1NE/SERV, 85 40 10 16 151 8.47% NARROW PROD, L1NE/SERV, 65 48 21 26 160 8.98% CONSOLIDATE BUSINESS 13 13 3 3 32 1.80% LIQUIDATE BUSINESS 38 9 5 9 61 3.42% BANKRUPTCY 18 6 1 4 29 1.63% MOVE BUSINESS 39 17 9 14 79 4.43% SELL BUSINESS 60 23 11 20 114 6.40% MERGE BUSINESS 14 9 2 4 29 1,63% TOTAL 886 485 164 247 1782 100% COMPETlTVE STRATEGIES AND ALTERNATIVES '"' " '00 "" . . z o . C ,"" . ~ ~ ~ 150 I '"" ~ Ii: ~ ~ j . . ~ . . . z ~ . ~ . j . . ~ . "" """ ". ". lL s::musnOHI ~ ~ 0 < . . ~ 0 ~ 0 . C C ~ Z . C ~ Z ~ m ~ 0 ,~ < S3~'tfJ.N3~~3d NMOO>llf3H8 3.L'tfJ.S AB S3^U\l'NH311\1' ONV S31931'InJ1S 3^UU3dW03 %l9'~ %ZZ'~ %9B'~ %BS'~ SS3NISnS 3~l,j3VIJ %O~'8 %~L'9 %VrV %LL'9 SS3NISnS 113S %L9"S %6t.S %~S'E %01;,v SS3NISnS 3^OVIJ %Z9'~ %~g'O %VZ'~ %EO'Z: A:J.ldnl,j)!N\lS %179"( %SO'E %9B'~ %6ZV' SS3NISnS 3.l\lOlnOll %~Z'~ %t:B'~ '1099'~ %Lt0 SS3NISnS 3.l\lOIlOSNO:J %t:g'O~ %09 TI %06"6 %vC"L '^l,j3S/3NI1 'OOl,jd MOl,jl,j\lN %BP'9 %O~'9 %9Z"S %69'6 '^l,j3SI3NIl 'OOl,jd ON\ldX3 %9E'E ~ %9v"g~ %9~'61 %9E'LI S3:J1^l,j3S l,j311nj 301^Ol,jd %9t:'E~ %vZ'S~ %99'S1 %EE'v~ A.1IlISISI^ 3S\I3l,j:JNI 'M6'9 %~L"9 %09'9 '10~6'9 jj\l.lS 3S\l3l,j:J30 %~g'O %ZZ'~ %90'(; %~B'~ jj\l.lS 3S\I3l,j:JNI %Ev'Z %00'0 %~9'O %E~'~ Sl,jnOH )!l,jOM 3S\l3l,j:J30 %16'9 %S~'6 %Sv'S %L9'S Sl,jnOH )!l,jOM 3S\I3l,j:JNI %S~'Z~ %6S'~1 %~Em %6~'U S3:JIl,jd l,j3M01 %~Z'~ %E9'~ %89"(: %06"0 S3:JIl,jd 3SI\flol \ld AN 11 \I:J (H NOllS3nO) S3AI.l'v'N~3.l1'v' ON'v' S31~3.l'1nl.lS 3AI.lI.13dWOO 81>~ l~'lfH:> ON'lf 318'lfl I Data Provides National Results of A Fra2mented Nature Into Both "Positive" (More Optimistic) and "Defensive" (More Pessimistic) -- Ouestion 17 "Positive" Stratel!ies % or Total Responses on Each Alternative Stratel!v Increase Work Hours Increase Staff Increase Visibility Provide Fuller Service Expand Product Line/Services Consolidate BlIsiness Move Business 7.30% 1,68% 14,70% 17.23% 8.47% 1,80% 4.42% 55,60% "Defensive" Strategies % or Total Responses on Each Alternative Strate\;!v Raise prices Lower prices Decrease work hours Decrease staff Narrow Product level/services Liquidate bllsiness BankrllPtcy Sell business Merge bllsiness 1,52% 11,62% 1.12% 8,08% 8,98% 3.42% 1,63% 6.40% 1.63% 44.40% TOTAL 100 % The respondents to Question 17 nlllnbered 479 firms on QlIestion 17 or 84% of the 570 total respondents, The 479 firms answering the strategy qllestion selected a total of 1782 alternative choices, Fifty-six percent were "positive" strategies, while 44% were "defensive" strategies, The major aggressive "positive" strategies were as follows: "Provide Fuller Service," 17%; "Increase Visibility," 15%; "Expand Prodllct Line and Services," 8%; and "Increase Work HOllrs," 7%, Obviously, in view of the mega-retail discollnt chains being open day and night to accommodate the mobile shopper; increasing staff and the work hOllrs wOllld be a forward move for the small retailer. Since the mega-discollnt chain's large "Boxes" limit salesperson cllstomer contacts; "Providing Fuller Service" creates a retail uniqlleness to bring cllstomers into the store, "Increased Visibility" means plltting more money into advertising sllch as hand OlltS and radio advertising, "Expanding the Product Line and Services" is to create customer interest and provide an innovative sollltion to the present inability to compete on price alone, "Positive" selections, as stated previously, represented 56% of the choices, According to the allthor's classifications, 44% of the choices were "defensive," negative or mildly negative, Twelve percent of the choices were to "lower prices," In view of "direct" mass purchasing by chains from sllppliers and manllfactllrers, can a small retailer meet these lower prices? Obviously not, 72 ..., fL '9661 ;)unr 'AOAJI1S S0I1S!lelS luow,(0Idw31UOJJn::> 'SJIISIIC1S loqcl.Jo neoJl1g 'SJ11SI1P.1S JoqP.1Jo lUOWJJcdaa 'S 'n, 'SlIlP.4' lllno,S1p 11E1;)J-ellaUl ;)41 Aq AIMlllladUlo, pa,p.J lIa4^' ICA!AJI1S JOJ sa'lIell' JI''lllnoqc 0I1slUllssad aJa^, AIUlJOJ!"n ISOllllP. '( 1 x!plladdy ;);)s) 'aJ!ellllO!IS;)nb SI!'lS a'll 1I1 slIo!ls;)nb ISOlll 01 SllIapllodsaJ lP.41 aleJlpll! ;)lelS ~JOA MaN pllP. S!Oll!11I 'UllIJOJ'IE:) 'P.!UEAIASlIU;)d 'salEIS JI10j 1II sllnsa~ (1) SNOIsn'"DNO;:) aNY AlIVWWilS 'P.!UP.AIASlIU;)d pue ~JOA ^,aN 's lOll !II I 'P.!"JoJ!IP.:) 1II SJ;)IIEI;)J IIp.ms ;)41.10 SPll!U1 ;)41 1I1 am!l SILJl Ie lIIS1l11lSSOd lp.aJil ;)'1 01 sJE;)dde ;)Ja41 lIeJaAO 'J!ISlllllSs;)d 01 O!IS!U1!ldo U10JJ illl!llup.J 'llU!~eUlUOIS!'ap palllamllP.JJJo AI!IP.llll'IOd ;)41 palU;)iplll S;)lqP.I pllP. s)Jel(' illl!pa,aJd ;)41 "! C1Cp aLJI IIY '%0, AI"O aJ;)^, S;)OIOlp S,C!"CAIASllad ;)1'4^' :%9, 'voA ^';)N :%" 'P.!"JoJ!IP.::> ,:;)AI1ISod" sc SlIO!P;)I;)S aliI .10 %09 PP.4 S!OUlIII ':1l1!llll1b 01 J;)SOp aJC SJa410 al!l(M 'IEAIAJns JOJ 1'l:1!J 01 ApCaJ Jp.,ddp. S;)lEIS JnoJ a41Jo 4,ea "! SJ;)I!p.laJ amos JaAaMOH ,:;)A!SlI;)J;)P" %17'1717 pllC aA!I!sod" %9'" SP. Salp.IS JI10J 1II0JJ sasuods;)J a411l1l!41l!aM SlIo!palas pa^,oLJs YV 1 ;)lqP.IlIl S"AIP.lIP. 1P.1I0!IP.ll J;)!(lca "Y Z'OS 0'001 S'vt S'SS 0'001 O'Ot 0'09 0'001 0'001 Z'St ~UPIBW uo!spa(l "3A!SU3J3(1,, 8'617 8'vS ~UPIBW UO!SpaO "aA!l!SOd" % ll!UllAIASuuad % '1~oA ,"ON % S!ou!lIl % "!U~OJ!lll:) ~O!AllqoH "OA!SUOJaO.. pUll "oA!l!sod.. JO A.tllllllllns 171 O(qllJ, '%Z ,,'ssau!snq ;)llJ;)U1" pllP. %Z ,,'A'ldnJ~lIp.q.. :%[ ,:ss;)lI!snq ;)l(l ;)ICPll1bll.. :%9 ,,'SS;)lIlsnq II;)S,. :%6 ,,';)1I!1 pnpOJd MOJJP'lI" :%8 "jJP.IS ;)sca",p" 'aJ;)^, pa'UEApp. salll'lp.J1S ;)AISlI;)Jap :1l11llp.JnOJSlp J;)lIlO ;%17 .10 1I0!pnp;)J C '1661 "! [90'8 01 L861 U! ,ZV'8 UIOJJ J;)qulI1u "! paJnpaJ aJaM SllIaUlllSllqp.lsa ss;)lI"nq l!el;)J 'polJad ;)U1P.S alljlllllJno '%61.10 1I0!pnp;)J P. - 001'L8 01 p;)ddoJp PP.4 ;)lltiJaAC AIl(lllOW S!lll ',661 AS '41110Ul allUJaAe UP.lI! P.l4dlapP.I!4d 1I1 saaAoldUl;) I!ElaJ 008'[01 ;)J;)^, ;)J;)41 'L86IUI 'P.lLJdI;)PP.I!4d UI lU;)U1AOldlll' 1IP.I;)J "! p;)J;)juno'lI;) SSOI aLJI Aq P;)l('lEU, ;)JU pllP. 1l1l!nU!IUOJ aJp. SPU;)JI as;)l(.L '%OZJO 1I0!pnp;)J U 'LI81 01 p;)ddOJp PE4 S!41 ,661 Aq :,6I'Z paJ;)qUlnll L861 "! P.l4dlapel'4d "! sluaulllsllqP.IS;) ssau!snq alusal04^' .10 J;)qulI1u ;)4.1 '%L[Jo 1I0!pnp;)J U - 17661 U! ooz'a 01 L861"1 OOZ'vv U10Jj paddoJp sJaIES;)104^' Aq P;)AoldUla sJa~Jo^, .10 J;)qUlnll AI41uOW ;)ilP.J;)AU ;)41 p.aJE P.!4dlapP.lllld ;)4Il11 'alP.Jlsnll! 0.1 'SJallddns pllP. SlIlE4' 11InO'S1p-p.1l;)U1 uaa^'laq "llll!Jau)JEd" P;)J!P .10 asnp.,aq '1"!J4S olllnil;)q SUl( sJalp.salol(M .10 Jaqwnll a'll aJlI!s AIJp.ln;)i)Jp.d 'j - (2) Over 6,000 qllestionnaires were mailed out to small retailers in fOllr states, The 9.4% completed retllrns provides substantial information and meaningflll validity with respect to the fears of small retailers and their concerns and expectations with respect to a possibility of a viable and profitable firm sllrvival. (3) The statistical reslllts would have been well over 10% had it not been for the 321 or 5% of the questionnaires that were returned unopened becallse the intended recipients had already gone Ollt of business, This was shocking information since the Dalton directory lIsed in the survey is published annllally for each region, The staff visited malls in Illinois; New York and California and noted that in dozens of cases, the addressees whose questionnaire had been returned by the United States Post Office, had signs on boarded up properties stating, "Ollt of Business," These retailers had suffered to a great extent, because normal sized "anchor" stores in the mall had closed down unable to compete with the super "Boxes" bllilt by some of the mega-retail discollnt chains in the area, (4) President Bill Clinton in an address at the 1995 White HOllse Conference on Small BlIsiness on June 12,1995, stated that while more new small bllsinesses had sprung up in 1993 and 1994 than in any previolls year since World War II; that, nevertheless, he was concerned abollttheir ability to stay alive, He expressed concern abollt the high rate of failures and bankruptcies among small bllsiness, Contribllting to the increasing failllre statistics among small retailers has been their inability to compete with the mega-retail discollnt chains, (5) As to the new starts in small bllsiness allllded to by President Clinton, the enormolls downsizing (millions) of employees working for America's large corporations has contribllted to the desire of the redllndant employee to become self-employed, Retail employment at near minimllm wage cannot satisfy the family reqllirements of the former corporate employee; hence a desire for self-employment. Retail employment in most of the major chains canllsually lead to a wage near the federal minimllm or slightly above it. Many of these chains reqllire that the hourly rate employee payor contribllte to his/her own health benefits, Thus, the opportllnities in retail ownership appear rosy compared to a low minimllm wage job: bllt the competition of the mega-discollnt chains makes survival and profit making speclllative, indeed, (6) As might have been expected, 86% of the returns were identified as "sole proprietors," (7) Surprisingly, 62% of the respondents had been in bllsiness for more than 10 years, Closing a business like this is trallmatic and has terrible social impact on the family and the commllnity, Eighty-two percent of the respondents were in bllsiness at least 5 years, (8) To prove that the respondents were in fact "small business," the typical retail respondent occupied only between 1,000 and 5,000 sqllare feet of retail space, Think of the average retailer's inability to stock inventory to compete with the national chains who have stores with 45,000, 90,000 and even 160,000 sqllare feet. (9) When the respondents were qlleried as to what the anticipated effect upon the firms's economic health might be if a mega-retail chain were to locate nearby, the answers were overwhelming "negative" and "very negative," Forty percent anticipated the results as "negative" and an additional 33% answered "very negative," ThllS, 73% viewed their flltures in a most despondent, negative manner. Even the 19% voting "no effect" were certainly not "positive," bllt it si possible that in many cases, they decided not to answer the qllestion positively or affirmatively becallse of a lack of hard data to make a judgement. (10) To fllrther validate the fact that opinions came from small bllsinesses, it appeared that 74% of the firms employed 10 employees or less, Only 26% of the firms had more than 10 employees, These 74 ~L 'AJl;)U10IdO) "Sa'!AJas J;)410" %6 '("'1;) 'AJla^,aD "J;)lJIO" % II :,.IaJp.ddE" %1: 1 :"llI;)llI;)AOJdUlI ;)lIIolJ" %, I :"spnpoJd pooJ" aJp. %81 :dp.';)J 0.1 'pnpoJd 4'1!a illl!llas SlLl;)pllods;)J .10 ;)llcIlI;);)Jad ;)LJI pa^,04s Yf! ;)lqEl 'uo os PU1! sallddns pllP. ,,!uE4,aUl Olnp. "! J;)410U1! :pooJ "! J;)lJlOUC claJp.dd1! 1II ;)zll1!!,ads ILJlllUl ;)UO 'S;)lIIl pnpoJd pup. AJOlllaAU! 'spllP.Jq lP.lI01IP.l1 01 padsaJ 'III^' P;)I!U1!1 SI JaA;)^,04 ;)JOIS 'l'E3 'SlIlP.4'JO[P.1lI J;)41O AlICUI pllP. l;)llJ1!.1 ')JP.l^J-I1!M ')JP.W)! Aq PloS spnpoJd ;)lJl .10 lSOUl lias SJalm)dJ lIP.llIS (61) 'AEp Jad SJI10ll 171: pll1! ~;);)M Jad SA1!p L lI;)do ;)JE sasp., AlIP.llIl11 04^' 'SlI!E4' lunoJS!p 1'1!laJ -p.1l;)U1 a'll 'Ill^' ;)ladUlo, 01 ;)lq1!un ;)JC pll1! 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(21) A major question addressed to the small retailers related to strategies they might apply in competing more effectively with the major discount chains, While the staff received an 84% response rate; it was lower than the answers to other qllestions, The respondents appear fragmented in their choices; frustrated, confused and pessimistic, (22) Fifty-six percent selected alternative strategies that cOllld be defined as somewhat "positive"; sllch as "increase staff," "increase visibility," "provide fuller service" and "expand product lines," Forty-follr percent of the choices were "defensive" strategies; "going from raising or lowering prices." "decreasing staff," "liquidating or selling the business" or "going into bankrllptcy," There was not a great deal of difference among the fOllr states as to "positive" strategies, Illinois was the most positive with 60%; New York with 56%; California 55% and Pennsylvania with 50%, (23) The staff believe that the profile of small retail business as portrayed in Chapter III shows consistency and validity; not only nationally bllt among the fOllr states stlldied, Surprisingly, respondents generally have been in bllsiness longer than might be the popular notion, Small retailers show concern abollt their future viability, and evidence fear of job loss, liquidation and bankrllPtcy; they become less competitive when compared to the mega-retail discount chains, 76 LL "SSZ-I odd '(t661 'uOIletoossy IUOWO~"U"f'IJ u"o!Jowy :,(IIJ ~JOA "'ON) (IU"!!) \!"101l OYI]O ",oP"YS OYI U! 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II 'IIl!IUaSSO pUll InJdl04 410'1 0'1 PlnoM "aAIAlns 01 Sa!ilal"lIS uo.1" 1!041 '1IlI!dllo amlUM pu" ooua!lodxo luawoilllullw alllnbopll U"41 olow'lllM ssoulsnq MOU 11 )JlllS OIUOSIlOl 11 01041 oloM 'l0401Y pUll 10IAIl.1 Aq palsoililns SAIlM 041w >follq dllus 01 dl4s10p"al 10 ]J"IS 'soomOSOl IIlIOUUU~ 041 aAIll( IOU op Aldw!s SW1~ HllwS asol(.1 'UO!llluillllS pUll oml"'J 1"'101 JO ailllls IUOllno a'lllll IUOlllO[dulI 01 OlqlssodulI ISOlll[1l sa!ilolllllS palsoililns a'll spu~ Inq--ilu!u"Olll[pM s" >flOM SnO!lOS SI41 sozllIilooOl 1041n" a4.1 'lOl(OlY pu" 10lAIl.1 Aq pOl041nll 'SI.lOJ1[-IVAi. olfl ISU!vJ3/t' dfl '>fooq a'll 01 asuodsol " SI laldll40 S!4IJo I )Jlld i.S3I~3.LVH.LS .LN3W3~VNVW aNV ~NI.L3)1HVW a3.LVadll ~NIZnI.Lll AU NOI.LI.L3dWO:J NIVH;) 3AIAHllS SH113N3Hd3H.LN3 'lIV.L3H 'l'lVWS NV;) I .LHV d 'I ~ The writer has visited many strip centers, "Main Streets" and malls, in a number of states and has interviewed a number of valiant survivors, In Part II of this chapter, the reader will certainly recognize their discouragement and disillusionment about the end of their "American Dream," Taylor and Archer, while truly attempting to encourage small retailers to survive; nevertheless do recognize and observe the present devastation going on in malls, strip malls and the former "Main Streets" of Middle America. Furthermore, it is easy to see observers are shocked by the decline and elimination of most small retail stores in the ethnic and minority enclaves of our very large cities, in the East, Midwest and the West. The elimination of small retail store in the neighborhoods results in job loss and contributes to the ultimate conversion of a formerly socially stable neighborhood into a ghetto, beset by violence, crime, drugs and an underground economy. This view is clearly expressed in the following quote from Taylor and Archer's opening statement in their book: "'Main Street' Is Chanllim!" "'Bowman's Hardware is closing!' The rumor had spread like wildfire through the small Georgia town just weeks ago, Now the store building stands quietly empty, The auction is over and the owner is gone." "The 'for sale or rent' sign dominates the right-side display window, A hand-lettered poster board is taped up in the left hand window, Its message expresses the bitterness of the former store owner and the area's other failed merchants, It reads: YOU WANTED W AL-MART. SOON THEY'LL BE ALL YOU GOT. GOOD LUCK THEN!" "Bowman's is the eighth 'Main Street' business to close since Wal-Mart came to town, The owners are quick to blame the giant retailer for the failures, However, signs 'of neglect. apathy, and decline were evident on 'Main Street' long before the discounter located at the edge of town," "Bowman's had been the only full-line hardware store in town, Its closing is a blow to the remaining independent owners, For the first time in seventy-three years the big corner store is empty," "'Main Street' is changing.'" While it is true that all of the troubles of the small retailer can not be attributed to mega-retail discount chains; nevertheless, the pricing power of these chains makes recovery on the part of the small retailer well nigh impossible. A lack of foresight on the part of local governmental authority in failing to back downtown improvements; to make parking readily available; to control traffic congestion; and to provide fiscal stability have all contributed to the plight of the small retailer in America, 'Ibid., p. I. 80 18 'IZ'd"p!% 'P'% 'p''l[, 'Z'd"PI% 'sla410 JO ssaoons 041 ApnlS 'Z 'SlalllOlsno 0l(1 ll'"AJS!IIlS uo AlolOldUloo snood '1" :01" SldOOOld osa4.1 'su"'40 lunoos'p-"llolllIU")JodulI 10410 pu" )J"f'IJ-I"M 'll"UI)! 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S!41 'as"q lawOlsno S!4 dn a>fllwI"41 slawl"J AI!Wllj a'll a>f!1 'llu!AII" sallllullw qqllNoW AluO Ill'll sllladdll II MON ;slauMo aA~Jo sa!I!UI"J a'll palloddns alOIS S!41 'sawlI snoladsold OlOWlII '1"'11 lapllal a'llllal la'lolY pu" JOIA".1 [".U!B'iJR un) gUIOS ;;:'lAB4 1I,0M u041 pu" 'JJO P!"d I! aA"4 uoos 11,1 Ins" 'sn Plol a4 ,,'sauIII 4llnol al" oso'll pu" 'ssau!snq 'lllnol " SI S14.1" 'llUlA"S SIl alolS alllMplllH unoss!w 'uolual.1 "Jo qqllNoW >fo"r 'lW palonb la'ply pu" 101A".1 'alnl a'll u"41 la41"1 UO!ldaoxa a'll al" "sapllllw" asa41 'aouo!ladxa s,lal!lM slllluodn pasllS '''UOZ!lY pu" !mOSS!W 'AaSlar MaN U! saoUIlISU! 1"^!Ams InJssaoons IlllaAaS pal!O la401Y pu" 101A".1 '(S!OU!1I1 pu" allllS >fJOA MaN '1l!1Il0J!IIl:) ''''U''AIAsuuad U! pa!pnlS slall"lalJo spolpun4JO sal"J a41Jo I"o!d~ AlaA puy ApnlS Iuallno S!'llJO Sl041nll a414014M) lllllSOIO alllMpl"H S,U"UIMOS a'll llUlq!lOSap la~1V 3, Gather and analyze management information regularly, 4, Sharpen marketing skills, 5, Increase the customer's perception of value, 6, Position the business uniquely, 7, EIim inate waste, 8, Find something to improve every day, 9, Embrace change with a positive attitude, 10, Pull the trigger and start the battle,'" Their work appears to be more appropriate in helping a retailer in planning a new venture, starting a new business, or selecting a new location, The book provides sound business advice for all retailers, large and small, of every type and description, However, the "generic" type of advice so generously offered cannot help most of the nation's small retailers who are under-capitalized; possibly deep in debt, unable to afford sophisticated information systems, costly advertising and promotion, and who are presently located in what appears to be "disadvantaged," "ghetto-like" locations, Here, the formerly lovely "Main Street" is loaded with vacant real estate, The historic neighborhood enclaves in large cities now exhibit abandoned stores and residential decline. Even malls constructed within the past five or ten years now suffer vacancies and reduced traffic as the "Big Boxes" of Target, Kmart or Wal-Mart open, perhaps a half mile to three miles from the former bustling commercial center. The responses to our study show hopelessness, frustration and inability to respond to Taylor and Archer's ten strategies for survival, albeit, the advice is good, At a certain point the small retailer becomes a dying breed, unless the nation and Congress realizes what the impact of these failures will be on communities, joblessness and social disorganization, Generally, wages in the mega.retail discount chains do not match the earnings of employees who worked in family-owned small businesses. Not only has the economic impact of the mega-chains been negative; but also the sociological impact, as communities lose their small stores, the lllega-stores will become socially unstable influences, resulting in increases in violence, crime and joblessness, 'Ibid, 82 E8 asnOlll,(S umqny eAauaa (UO!:'I"3 S""ll'J ~,,:'IU!.!I) ,,~O A M"N '(I sau!llld sao oa>fll>fu")l oil"o!q:) S!OU!III 'J 1l!4dPPIlI!qd ll!UllAIASou"d 'II Ilsaw 1l1lW ,(IlMOd 1l1S!A IlInq:) op!sullaoo oilo!o UIlS B!U~OJ!lllJ 'V 'slaUMO ssaulsnq IIllwS a'll JO Sluawwoo OA!lllilou oql s" lIaM SIl aAI)!Sod a'll 10J laaJ " lail 01 lap"al a'll 10J 10pJO U! paluasald alll sasuodsal IIY 'allllS 4o"a U!lJI!M uOlilal 10 ,(110 pUll al"IS ,('1 paz!ullillO uoaq aAIl4 ,(a4.1 'sasuodsol as041 alll SMolloJ 1"4M 'Sa!I!UnWlllOo 1'041 pu" sossaUlsnq l!a'll JO ol"IS lualmo a'll UO suolUldo 10 sllap! ssaldxa 01 JO SJaMSUIl aA!llll!IU"nb 1!a41 U1llldxa 'sluawwoo la4llnJ a>f"UI 01 ,(1!UnllOddo u" Iuapuodsal 40"a palaJJo s,(aAlns aq.1 :S3.LV.LS t ~NIMO'l'l01l 3H.L NI S.LN3<INOdS3H WOH1I "S3.L0110" 3AI.LVHHVN II .LHV d " PART II - A CALIFORNIA [San Diego Area] Sl . LUfle-ae-e/Bags: "Our store primarily deals with bags and luggage, One block away there is another luggage store, None of them are (including ours) large stores, Yet, there is enough competition to really drive the retail price down, even between two small stores. We can imagine what it will be like if a national chain store is placed near our store. This reminds us ofa game ofMonopoly@! But perhaps this is an inevitable trend everyone wants to make the most 'bang' for the most buck, So, it is only natural there will be the predominance of nation wide chain-stores in which they may bypass wholesalers and purchase goods directly from manufacturers, We are aware of the diminishing wholesalers (from L.A,), We sense economy of scale at work everywhere, but in a more overt form." S27 - Men's and Women's Resort Wear: "The wording of your questionnaire makes an accurate answer difficult. We operate specialty resort wear stores in resorts, A large store opening Y, mile away would have no impact but an operation across the street would, Also a large discount store would not offer similar products, It is highly unlikely a discount operation would want to pay $60-$100 per square foot rent and could discount the upscale merchandise we offer." S26 - Books and Magazines: "Information regarding publishers and other suppliers offering preferential terms for 'mega stores' would be helpful." "Research regarding possible trade violations by mega stores helpful. Also their influence on making 'best sellers' simply by their purchases - what is their influence on a book's success?" "Cultural influence of chain/mega stores purchase pattern (de facto censorship) - less profitability of some books - also their negative impact on small publishers - (high purchase and high return)," S25 - Security EqniDment: "In our experience, the large mega-retailers carry the low end of product lines which appeal to 'do-it- yourselfers' and handymen. Therefore we have shifted our emphasis to commercial customers and the Navy, The large retailers buy directly from the manufacturer and eliminate the distributors, We can not compete under those circumstances, If we do not have distributors to supply us with merchandise, and we can not buy from the manufacturers, that doesn't hold much ofa future for small businesses," S22 - Men's Casual Wear: "I am located in Seaport Village, which is tourist/convention orientated, This may not suit your survey objective, as many of our customers wouldn't have the option of visiting a discounter because of time restraints or wouldn't want to, as they would feel they could do that in their hometown, I currently make a strong effort not to carry same labels available in the discount stores you named, Many manufacturers use a different label for discounters - same goods, or they manufacture a lighter weight garment (less quality) same look," S20 - "Other": "It seems a little late in the game to be trying to come to terms with the destructive aspects of mega stores, Perhaps some time should be spent anticipating the impact of electronic shopping and other emerging 84 ,S ,,'ao!ld JOJ ,(1!lBnb ,(lIllal IOU ',(I!lBnb MOl" JO alll SUlal1 la410 pllll ilUl41010 'UOl)lppll UI 'sqor ail"M Ull1llllUlW alaM lUaUl,(oldllla 10J sa!llUn)Joddo ,(luO 041 pUll pasop alaM 51"a,( 10J uOlllllado UI lIaaq Pll4 l\ollIM sassalllsns 'BlImpuI ula41nos UI UMoIII"wS " UMOp In4s ,(Iololdwoo SOlOIS IUnOOS!p lal\IO pu" )JIlW-I"M uaas ,(1I"uoslad aAell I.. :1"~Baav - SIS "'sl,,ilIO pu" 000"'101 'sod,d 'sollal"illo ilullloS ISluooo"qol " ,(11l"UlIld w" I ',(pnlS mo,( 10J 1'lillSlII SI41 aAIl4 Pln04s no,( II0J I ',(pnlS illlllSIXO mo,( 10J OI"P!P"IlO l"oP' u" aq lOll ,("UI I 'SUlOOl lal04 00,'[ ,('1 papunolms w" I pu" >fIIlMpl"Oq 041UMOP SI lalua:) 1I0!IUOAUO:) '0 's o'l.1 'SIS!mOI olqlllawnuul 41!M uOII"ool AJllwlJd 11 aA"'11 'lI"w JOoplno u" U! 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Snacks: "We are a small coffee vending (retail) operation which enjoys a good location in the business district and long standing track record, Our 'edge' on the market is quality and service and very low overhead, The disadvantage is that we rent our locations; and, if a large company comes into the area, they could well afford to offer our landlord a deal they couldn't refuse or one that we couldn't match, If we did pay the 'increased market rent' one of our largest advantages would be lost (low overhead)," CALIFORNIA [Oceanside Areal 07 - Electric Equinment!Kitchen Equipment: "The large retail stores have nothing but a negative effect on the small business, especially in California, There is only so much business to go around and the increase in the number of stores only means that each one's slice of the economic pie is only that much smaller." 02 - Picture Frames: "Thank you for the opportunity to be included in this survey. As a young small business man I feel that some of the large chain stores do a greater deal of bad than good, If the United States wants to become an unfriendly discount warehouse then so be it. But being a 'service' business I don't believe that is what's happening, I honestly feel that someone forgot the most important thing about being a small business - 'the customer.' Without service to the customer it is just a matter of time before all the big stores are gone and the smaller 'Mom-and-Pop' shops come back (I hope)." 021 - Specialty Shop: "We are a specialty business with very little competition from large chain business, We provide products and customer service on use of products not found in large chain stores," 0105 - Snorts Products: "Large discounters will move in with lower prices, Independents will be forced out and then when competition's gone, prices will go up again until the cycle starts again, Service is the only way the small guy can compete, We have just liquidated due to discount competition!" 0101 - Bikes/Equipment: "I will close my business by July I, 1994, No tax concessions were offered to bring my business into town or to keep it in town, Many products which were sold in my store and made available from the manufacturer solely for' independent' stores now have appeared in the discount stores via gray market trading, My customers were always quick to tell me about the great deals they got." "The American public will always pay in the long run for the services they get and expect and perhaps service and quality are after-thoughts soon forgotten, Many cities have over built re: shopping malls, especially those anchored by discounts firms, only to have the mall become a picture of blight when it cannot be filled with small tenants or the discount firm packs up and leaves," 099 - Nutrition Store: "Mega-chain stores buy or discount wholesale, because of high volume then sell or discounts to attract consumers, Smaller margin of profit is offset by higher sales volumes, Tax breaks and other incentives from all levels of government (local, state, federal) favor big business unfairly to the detriment of the small business who gets no break even though small businesses are the national economy's backbone. If this trend 86 LS unl,(a4.1 :allsoddo a411snf op ,(lI"np" ,(a41 'SlaUO!I!p"ld la410 W01J PIl4 aA1ll1 I Indlll UI01J 'ssalal()JaAau :,(wouooa a'lI dla4 pUll as"q X"I a'll 01 ppll pu" sqof alOWOld 01 ssoJold ,(041 aI!4M 'sa!u"dwoo asa'I.1" :A.llaWOldo - 9LO ,,'paplAOld ,(lalBnbapll lOll aA"4 SlOI'"100S!p/slal"'laljBilalll 0'111"'11 il'lIlllalllos u!llil" ',(I>fo!nb slolndwoo l!lldal os11l aM, 'amlnJ a41111 aladwoo 01 SI1 MOil" pu" alqlll~old sn daa~ 11'M snooJ S!411"41 (iadol() aAa!laq I 's>flOMlau illllllllllU!lllll pUll illlllllllSUI 'ilu!lIas SI ssalllsnq lno JO )J"d aill"l V" ,,'aOIAJOS uo w04111laq 01 ,,^!lIS 01 anll!IUOO II!M aM Ins 'aolld UO SlalunOOSlp/SlaIIBIOljBilawISU!"il" aladwoo 01 alq!ssodlll! 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Prices that they charge for similar products that I have, are at times below my cost or at a level that I cannot compete with, There are only so many tax dollars, By adding another store, how can the tax revenue be increased? This is the big lie of the discount chain stores" 073 . Shoe Store: "I have two views about national discounters, I) Our town already has I Target, 2 Kmarts, 2 Long's and now we are getting a Wal-Mart, All of these retailers sell 'some' similar products to mine and they get them much cheaper than 1 do - thus this is bad for my business, 2) Our town is in terrible need of businesses who can bring employment opportunities and tax dollars to us. 1 personally would rather see more upscale larger retailers come," 068 - Food Products: "The big question is what are local merchants and centers doing to compete with the national discount centers, For example, uplifting stores and malls that are looking so worn and are not as attractive to shop in as are new stores," 063 - Audio Stereo: "It is my opinion that the U,S, Government PX's are engaged in unfair business practices which present the most adverse impact on my business, They sell the same product at an average mark up of 20%, They do not charge sales taxes and in addition they now offer financing, I feel this has been a major impact causing about a 40% decline in business for the last 3 years, I feel the Exchange and PX should be limited to selling necessary items such as food only, not luxury items such as car stereos and electronics. We as business people and taxpayers are financing the government to operate at a loss and extending the time ofrecession." 061 . Furniture: "I am a sales representative in the home furnishings field, [also offer warranty services as an addition to the products I sell. I currently sell to Price\Costco, so I can't say it would be bad for me personally for their expansion, However, the other large discount chain retailers do take away from my customer base on a retail level." 059 - Computer Equipment/Electronic Equipment: "We are a family business in existence for over 20 years, Two locations (I - Escondido; 1 - Oceanside), When we opened typewriter shops, we sold typewriters, Now Price Club, Sam's, Wal-Mart. Kmart, Silo, Circuit City, Sears, Montgomery Wards, all sell typewriters, word processors, etc, They sell at prices less than we can purchase from the manufacturer as a dealer. As a dealer we have quotas to meet in order to stay a dealer and be able to buy machines, supplies and parts, We are now a service oriented business." 058 - Ootometry: "I am personally against retailers such as Wal-Mart, etc, They do not offer good jobs to the local public and do take away from jobs provided by the smaller business, Thus, their promise to add the 'so called' revenues to the city coffers is untrue, since these big retailers put many others out of business, Then the profits leave the local areas and go to the big corporate guys," 056 - Paper Products: "In 'general' there is already too much retail space now available and the giants are killing off the small retailers, While some of us hope to grow big enough to compete, most of us will not survive, Community planners and local and state governments put too much emphasis on tax revenue and not enough on quality of life, and plan too much commercial and not enough desirable housing, which leads to too many instant 88 68 ,,'aW!1 lllq Ino iluisol ssalllsnq lI"wS a41'11!M llu!UUllld olq!suodsall! 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We can offer more for less on a service and personal level. They, on the other hand, can purchase certain goods at a substantial saving usually under my price. They buy direct; we cannot. How can we compete?! The government thinks that these companies are small business, They are wrong - we are!" 037. Lawn and Garden: "When Home Depot opened its doors several years ago, my sales dropped 15-20%, With a slow economy, people assume Home Depot and Home Base are cheaper, therefore my sales have continued to drop," "On a positive note, many customers are returning to the service that we provide, The 'circus' atmosphere is costing them sales as well. Thank you for asking our opinions," 034 - General Store: "Predatory pricing by large retailing chains should be controlled," 030 - Florist: "No one said it would be easy to compete in any venue," 027 - Photo Processina:: "We already have a tough time surviving in Oceanside, The city's business has decreased, Businesses in my center have moved or gone out of business, accounting for a 40% vacancy in the center." "Selling my firm is probably out of the question because of Oceanside's reputation for poor business as of late. Wish me luck!" 026 - Doors/Windows/Kitchen Cabinets: "If the manufacturer sells direct to the large chains, then why not sell direct to the small businesses?" 039 - Home Improvement/Lawn & Garden: "I love the big guys - they sell the cheap products that break down, and I repair, or replace with quality products, " 024 - Furniture: "Give small business same breaks that are offered to large chains, particularly tax breaks," 023. Auto Equipment and Services: "There is no question that big chains, who have such buying power, are putting small and medium size business out of business, I did not know that anyone out there cared about small businesses going out, These big stores carry everything, The Price Club even has a travel agency inside, I think this is absolutely disgusting," 020 - Women's Work Apparel: "Uniform sales are generally a more service oriented and group sales type of retailing, It requires a more knowledgeable type of selling and marketing. I would only expect a moderate decrease in sales. Most uniform locations require male/female garments in all sizes. ranges and colors, National discount retailers do not have the space nor qualified personnel to handle our type of products," 90 16 "j lI-eUl X-el ~lp lOll lS~!ld a'lIU! puoS illladd" ISIlI 04101 UMOa iMOl 411lap uo alll ,dod-PUIl-WOW, iSS3NISOS ,10 .100 3~Y 3M . ssau!snq mo JO aJOw ,(UIl osol aMJ! 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ClO - Ice Cream: "Large businesses can afford lower prices by allocating or prorating profit margins among several different products, Economy of scale," C8 - Office Products: "I do not like the City helping major stores open with tax breaks/land deals, etc., when the effect is to put many small business people out of business. Unless they are bringing new buyers into the city, they are only moving sales tax dollars from one place in their city to another." C4 - PaRer Products: "A large competitor that handled the same or similar services would put me out of business," C2 - Jewelry: "It is necessary to stop irresponsible opening of new businesses in the areas already filled up with similar businesses." C58 - JeweIrv: "I) Restrict to some areas all national discount retailer stores, 2) If local government waives taxes five or more years, than obligate the mega-retailer to stay five extra years after the five years waiver, 3) Tax extra for the number of stores they have, 4) Obligate manufacturers to give same prices to small business, 5) Waive some taxes to small business, 6) Lower Workman's Compensation insurance to small business, 7) Special loans to small business at lower rates," C55 - Reupholsterer of Furniture: "Small business can compete with large business providing government entities do not tax and or regulate us to death and offer incentives to large business that are not available to small. Small business worst problems include above and excessive insurance premiums, especially Workman's COlllpensation, health care cost of employees, unions, Small business is only surviving now because it gives better service and quality and is accepting less payor rewards for its efforts," C51 - Kitchen Products: "Fedco, llliJitary base are 'not for profit.' It's very hard to compete with this type operation, I think if they are not for profit, they should not be allowed to sell the same products I do. People will often come in and see products I sell (and stock) then once they have all the information on the product they will go to a warehouse club or military base and purchase it cheaper." C48 - Food Products: "I have found that the large mega store customers have a negative impact because their business is one stop shopping. After an hour in Wal-Mart, etc. the last thing you want is to stop some place else for ice cream, etc." C47 - Sewin~ Fabrics: "Chula Vista, CA is unique, The Mexican border is five minutes south, San Diego proper is ten minutes north, There are now 3 and very soon 4 Klllart stores within 8 minutes of my store, There are 3 Home Depot centers, I Home Base, 2 Targets, 3 Major Malls, I Office Depot as well as a multitude of other strip shopping centers, , , all within 8- I 0 minutes, Drive for 20 minutes and easily triple these figures," "Originally, these mega stores offered depth and low prices, , , very cOlllpetitive prices, Price/Costco has zero profit prices, , , (net) margin. They are selling at cost only, , , deriving their 'profit' from quick selling 92 '1 .} ~6 ,,'ollqnd 04101 P010JJO Alal"l pu" au!w SIl 'Ions SOlOIS IIllws 01 sao!ld pal"llU! 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Inq 'ol"oS lI"wS 's"al" POlllll!lq oso'lI 01 oJ!1 Mau .llU!A!ll pu" S"Ol" UMOIUMOP 041 U! dn llu!ddod 01" 'ssallsal 041 pu" llunoA 041 :'a'! sa!l!w"J ssou!snq Mau Aq unl AII"lauoll sassau!snq pOI"lal uaal 'sasno'l aaJJoo s" l(ons sluaulllsllqlllsa adAI uOII"lauall-Mou AU"W wualUI a'll UI :aJON.. ,,')JIlUIS lall ' , , 10040S 01 >follq oQ 'aM Isnw os pUll ploMaloJ llU!AOW SI Allololllloa.1 'saUIII a'II'II!M allu"4:) :laMSU" AluO.. ,,'alq!lllla W. lua4M ISlxa IOU A"W 4014M umlllold Alunoas ImooS " 01 alllal pUll Sl.aA 0, lay. ssal4)JoM II pu~ 01 AluO '01 palllwwoo um I 11141 ssalllsnq " 10J aJ!1 AW 1111 >flOM 01 al"4 PlnoM (" "i,ssolllOld SI S!l(.1 'al"IS10IU! a'lI l"OU s)Jl>fslno a'll 01 p,,^oUllaalls ,U!"W, pu" pau!loap sanl"A A)Jadold 'UMOljO )J"d ,1II"W, ol(llnoq" pOI"laJ!lold sull!s AOU"O"A 10 dn papl"oq pu" AIUO A.M-OUO awoooq S"l( ,10al1S U!"W, lI"U1s 041 olo'lM (Oja"'1{O SSlld SIUlllQ :y:) '''>fam3 'a'!) Sa!I!UnWWOO lI"wS 10l(10 OAJasqL, pu" 101" laA"llI 'spunJol olss"'1 ou 'AloAllap ~omb pu" 'punol" do 'Is u!"'sao!ld MOl '4ldap 'uo!palas lalll 'pooll AlaA SIll (001 aw) 10UlllSUOO a'lllod" "i,auoll w" I lau" ISOO AW MOlaq lias 1I'ls A04111!M 'l!"J AlaA IOU S,I! 'AI,,^Ij!ladwo:) il4lllalJ Alld IsnUlII!IS I pu. ' , , ISOO al.sol04M AW MOlaq ISOO 11 I" op I s" spnpold aw"s 041 silas qnlJ aoud 'lallddns llal(1 UI01J suual A"P +06-09 pu" aUIllloA 1II r C37. Food Products: "At the present time it seems to me we have more stores than customers, With more stores all we do is keep dividing business" C36 - Men and Women's Clothinl!: "We are owned by a corporation (Me[ville) so I don't know if I should even be releasing these figures, The reason I am is that I am an entrepreneur and currently opening a small business of my own, The hardest thing about this whole business venture is lack of support, Communities need to get together and work together in order to keep the money flowing, I am interested in any ideas on how to pull people together. Please contact me!" C34 - Food Products: "How can a small business compete when my purchasing of some products are more expensive than their retail prices?" C30 - Variety Store: "I feel that the slllall business lllanagers must somehow lllake cities that give your Wal-Marts & Kmarts non- tax status for years should be held accountable, as the cities lose revenue whenever the small businesses are forced to close due to the excessive competition, Also one should check-out the methods that Kmarts and Wal-Marts use to keep their cost down as far as employee wages & benefits. Do they give their employees the total package that my company offers?" C28 - Pine and Cigarette Shop: "Predatory pricing also affects manufacturers in a negative way, Suppose you manufactured a great quality washing machine and had agreements with lots of independent stores to sell and service your product at reasonable prices. A big discounter moves in and demands that you sell him your product. He discounts the hell out of it, probably offers no service, All of your independent outlets drop your product. Now the discounter wants to buy more but at large discounts, The manufacturer has no choice but to discount to the discounter. He cheapens his product in materials and by possibly moving production to another country, I firmly believe that manufacturers have the right to decide who they will and will not sell to, After all they may have generations invested in their product's good name, We see some of the collective items that we sell and have a lot of our money invested in, being discounted by Costco/Price Club," C25 - Men's Clothing: "If the present trend continues of the mega-stores, numerous small merchants will not be able to survive with such competition; as is already evidenced in many areas, Bankruptcies are and will continue to be a common OCCurrence amongst small business." "The 'impact' is and will continue to be devastating, It is the strangulation of the small business segment in generaL" "After 32 years in my business, never have I been lllore discouraged by trends in the large corporate invasion and the ultimate break up of small business," C22 - Health and Beauty: "It is a difficult environment for small business. Unfair pricing from manufacturers is a major concern. Contract lock outs is another. Changes in those may help lead to a more level playing field," 94 ,6 ,,'saolJd laMOI S,JlIlW-I"M Aq JlUlI uaaq aA1l'1 10lUaO mo ut SIUBlplalll a'lIjo l"laAaS 'JlIlW-IIlM 01 saaAOldllla IlllaAaS Isol I 'ssalllsnq 40unl AW llU!AOldulllu"m"lsol O'lllUOnbalj saoAoldUla S,Jl"W-I"M" ,,'asolO 01 paoJOj alaM sossaulsnq Iuoo"fp" l"loAaS 'sl"aA OMI 10AO IU"OIlA uoaq s"4 'lalua:) llutdd04S Alluno:) pUll UMO.1 A"MOd jO ssau,snq JOflllU puZ a'll _ aI'S 1"41 os ssau!snqjo Ino alolS llnla s,lluOl pa010j II 'Ilal" mo U! padla4 pUll )Jn4 Sill( IIlA\JJIl S,JlIlW-IIlM" :spnpo~d poo.'l - fo'Z:d ,.-ssau!snq lno aAOW 01 llU!A"4 - d04S UO!I"IIIlISUI lalllqeo I",olalllwoo 11 01 paonpal uaaq aA,aM 'Ia>fl"w S''lIU! aladwoo I,U"O OM 'OUlllIOA 1!04lJO asnllooq SIUnOOS!p lllq I" lUa41 01 llU!lIas alll 51a!lddns lno 'sd04S Ilal" l(IIM P"lluooqns 4lln0141 10 1001!P la'll'o spnpold pal"lal SS"lllll" lI"ISlII pUll aplAold Aa'l.1 'awoou! sSlllll lno Isollnq 1111 aA"l( aM dn pouado as"s awoH pu" lodaa allloH 041 aoutS '>fJOM aSllo I",olawwoo pUll spnpold SSlllll jO aU!llInj "ap!AOld oM 'A1ISnput UO!pnlISUOO 0'11 U\ 01" OM" :~oqll'1/s"!Iddns aUlPl!ng 'lu"w"Ao~ulIII "woH - 9z:d ,,'aladwoo Plnoo I 'pallp Anq 01 alq" oSI" alaM IJI 'AJOP"j WOlj pallp Anq 01 Al!Ilqll Sl! aq PlnoM asolo lllllAOlU lal"'lal allllll " 41'M aas I lIIalqold Isalll"l al(.1" :~oqll'1/slnd olny - LZd ,,'aladwoo ollsnr paSIUIO.ldlllOO aq IOU 111M AI!lllnb AW - sl,,!oads lajjO laAOU II!M I 'lOP1"4 >flOM 01 aA"4 I os 'I! plOjj" I,UIlO ), 'lad"d 1"001 mo UI Spll >fO!IS 'InjlOloo Ino puas pUll OI"JOOOP 01 Sla>food daap AlaA aAIll( 01 U1aas slu"mlllsal lIIBlIJ '1114110 S, aOllld Mau S!41lnjlapUOM M04 aUlI",llIIa'll aA"l( 01 AIUO slawolsno AW jO AU"W aSllald 01 plBlI 001 >flOM OpAIl4 I '40nol ,u"wn4, a'll 10 AI!lmOSlad InOl(I!M oAa!laq [ pu" pOIBJodojlauMo IOU al" Aa'l.1 'Aql"OU sasn041unooslp 10410 MOj 11 pu" lodaa awoH 'qnIJ aO!ld l"au pal"ool al" pu" SlowOIsno 01 soolOllo jO AlalJ"A "lOjjO 01 4llnouo pau~uoo al" Aa'l.1 'Ilal" alenbs al!w , " U! pauado OA"'I Slu"m"ISOl Mau [I l"aA ISllj al(l U[ 'S41uowluaoal UI palnolds aA"4 11141 SIUllln"lsal U!"'IO ,lallno a!>fooo, IBJaAas jO p"dlll! 04111aj aA"4 l.. :IUlunlllS"lI "a!M"S nn.'l - Zd ,,'sla410 AUIlW pu" '\slJPwoldo a'll 'puauj \UI SI s" 'alal( IIlA\JJ" s,)JIlW-IIlM Aq pauallla141 S! u"'40 alOIS llnlp 11 10j 40al AOIlUIJ"l(d" SIl qors,la\4lln"P AW 'laAaMoH 'slala~l"w-"llaw WOlj alluolI"40 " 10j Ilnol.Jj!P S! Ilal" s'4.1 'ssou!snq sal"s AII",oads 11 SI ssa,"snq AW" :salllS AI(Bpads - I'd ,,'(llul>fllads AlIlluo!sSajOld) ,llu!lIl.Jlnj, ssol SI pUll 'awlI alOUI sa>flllualJo 1"'11 - slalndwoo ,>funr,jO slaqUlnu llutSllaloul aO!AJas 01 paoJOj uaaq aA"4 I '1Insol" sV 'auolll aoud uo uOIsloap as"l(omd lla41 aSllq 'slapolll pu" spUlllq uaaMlaq saoualO]J!p 1"0!U4oal a'll PU"lslopun IOU op 04M 'slas"'lomd 'spnpold JO!lajUI '111M aOllld>flOM a'll SpOOl} saJOIS 1!"lal-llllaw U! PI OS luaUld!nba lalndlllOO jO spUlllq 10d"a40 a4.1" :IU"WO!nbil ~olndwo:) - Ld ,,'UO!ldo 10410 awos 10 llUII"ptnb'l 'llutllas llU!plllllal Suo!s!oap awos a~llw 01 paoJOj aq 111M I 'uoos aAOldw! I,UOP sllU!'lljI 'ola'sloluud-uaalos 'a'! 'SUO!I"lado Olllllllll 41!M Inq 'Slol!lllal allllll a'll 41!M AluO IOU aladwoo olllnoYJ!p alOW llu!uall S! 1(" :~lloM.lllnsll::> s,uowoM. pUll s,u"W - Old [B"~y ABMod] VINHO.'lI'IV:J r ~ P20 . Flowers/Gifts: "In Poway and surrounding areas, there are too many businesses competing for the same thing, I) Why does the city allow similar business to open? 2) Population remains same and grocery stores increased from 2 stores to 6 stores in 10 years," PI8 - "Other": "Cities should strongly weight the needs of the small business owners, who are solid establishments over the prospects of luring a national chain mega store," P33 . Toys/Games: "We no longer carry a large variety of nationally advertised merchandise, We no longer carry bicycles, only on special order. Wal-Mart opened 2 years ago," P48 - Liquor: "Comments below will be hard to change in my geographic area (I 0 mile radius), Rancho Bernardo is the best place to own a small business (retail), Why? Because it is a very small business area compared to population," "Poway in comparison is the worst place to own a business because the business area is much too large compared to the population, The City of Poway derives its income from retail dealers. The more small businesses (retail) the more income for the city of Poway." P46 - Retail Auto Sales: "We are a franchised new car dealership, In general, a mega-chain outlet will not harm our business, However, they do provide a threat to our low end automotive service business, We can compete given our name recognition with the factory, An independent garage would have a more difficult time surviving," P40: Art: "Although I am in Poway, my business does not depend on this community for business, [have an art business that deals with a wide range of clients and quality of art work. However, I am impacted by these mega stores because they attract the client with a limited budget and there is no way I can compete with the buying power they have in purchasing low cost art and framing which they then transfer to their pricing. Often a poster framed is sold for less than it costs me wholesale," P37 - Pet Food/Supplies: "I am a small pet store. There is a Petco pet supply store that has been almost directly across the street from us for a number of years, Recently (May '93) a Pet Supply Warehouse opened down the street, several blocks away. As they came in with the aspect of lower prices, Petco dropped theirs (particularly the pet food, which is already a low profit margin), To maintain my customers I had to lower my prices as well. I experienced a 30% drop in sales from a very good year in \991. The recession hit us in 1992, and the Pet Supply Warehouse opened in \993; we are hoping for some recovery," "Further, a Wal-Mart and Home Depot opened in or near our community, also Price Club, Theoretically they should bring more business to our community, but Wal-Mart also sells fish and the supplies I carry, Customer service, however remains our real asset as well as the need to keep our prices competitive, if at all possible," 96 L6 "ipJOJJIl I,U"O I 40!lIM AII"nUUIl 000'017$ _ OOO'OZ$ W01] I" u, Anq 01 SalOIS allUbal 40!4M >fllllllM"'IS SIl 'IOns 'slII"lllOJd laJJo Aall.1 'sw"lllold alOIS 1!lllal II"WS-!IUIl lap!SUOo I III '1M U! pallllllua alll saulsnpuI MIl4S Alluaulwold ISOW "a" 'SII!WIOdl"O JOf"ul IlllaAas 'al!1 OIWlllao pu" pOOM 'IAU!A 'slodlllO llu'lllllal U! pallllllua WIl I 4014M 1II ssau!snq lluuooLJ a'lluI" :iJUpOoI.i/au!lad~IlJ - 91W ,,'aJOw Alld II!M 10UlllSUOO a'll pua a41uI '''OlJalllV alPp'w a'llJo UOISOla UIl lllllsn"o SI 'ola '1lllldllo pal,w!lun 'II!M ppOM a41Jo ,slodaa OlllOH, 041 Aq so!,,,,dwoo lI"wS uo 10llduII a'I.1" :)ad~"J - 8W ,..lias SOlOIS AII,,!oods IUaUld!nbo AI!IBnb 041 01 dn OlnSIlOW I, uop 1"41luowdmba JO sOllll All"O 'Allsnplll IUawd!nba ssauI~ a41U! ISllall" 'Slull401aw SS"U1 'l"loualluI" :luawd,nb:>I ssaul!il . LW ,,'luaWAOldwaun 1I0 aq II!M oldood AUIlW 'uooS 'UO!I!ladwoo pUll SISOO pu" salnJ AU"U1 OOI-lno paoJOJ llulaq S! ssa,"snq lI"wS" :llaUo!lIlIS/luawd,nb:>I ~alndwo:) - ZW ,"II 10J as!uloldUlOO pu" aoud laMol " uo alllas II!M lawnsuoo S.AllpOI >fu'41 I 'au!1 pnpold al(IJo awos 10J AluO S! II JI 'laMol AlIllnsn SIll 'laAaM04 :aolJd aWlls a'll III pasIl401nd Aa'lIJ! UOAa alodwoo 01 olq!ssodw! aq PlnoM II 'oO"ld >fOOl I! alallM AUIl wa41 JOJ slolnq!llSIP alOW ou aq PlnoM ala4IU!"'P 10f1lW" 01 lias 01 OlaM laJUlO"JnU"lII AW JI 'asllq laWOlsno awnloA IIllwS AlaA 11 SI II 'lllll aOlJd 11l1l0P 4lll'l " 41!M lonpold POZII,,!oads IBUOIIBlI "JOJ 10lnqulslp" w" I" :a~nl!U~n,ol - OfW [BO~V ..saw B~'W] VINHO.U'IV:J ,JIIUlOU"UI.J AJlunwwoo a'll JlnLIIIl41 slall"jal ll!q a'll oll"ap " aA!ll 01 IOU Inpl"o AlaA 0'1 Pln04s Sa!IIUnWWoo laaJ I" :iJU!'110\J s,uawoM - OSd ,,'lapun oll sassalllsnq lI"wS 0<:-0 [ 'suado 1"41 auo AlaM 10,1 'lalIeIOl IunOOSlp l"UOIIIlU a'll'lllM oladwoo 01 ssalllsnq II"U'S a'll 10J alqlssodulI S! II" :luawd!no:>I ~alnowo:) - ZSd ,"S>fU!lP lJos pUll aonpold 4S01J 1II wa411111M aladllloo I,U"O aM 'laAaMOH 'salOIS U!"'P lllq W01J paJJa ou SI ala'll 'OS 'Sa!lIUnOO IS"a-P!w la410 pu" UIlIS'U"lIllJV 'U"IS!>flld 'U1puI 10J Alu",w SI ssalllsnq mo" :spnpo~d pOO,ol - Sfd ,"S>f"alq ou loll l"'\l sassalllsnq llu!IS!Xa llu!llnOlapun U! wa41 llu,p!" laMol AIIU"O~!ull!s aq u"o ,Iual, 1!al(II"1I1 Os parold " OIUI llllloll SISOO 40nUl SIl aAIl410u op SU!Il'lo-llllaw a'll aou!s OS 'ola 'Sp"Ol 'allBll"'lp 'SlaMas 10J saaJ IInJ A"d 01 aA"4 sladolaAap 1Ill0lawwoo la410 IIV 'onuaAal XIlI sal"s a411all 01 51al!"lal lllq a'\l 01 40nw Os A"M" aA!ll sail!:)" :llIOWOldO - Zfd ,,'(ola ,'oll"ull!s, 'sax"l) ullwssalllsnq l"npIA!pu, a'll 01 s>f"alq aAID" :O~OIS iln~a . 9fd r "Home Depot is our largest competitor locally in flooring. However, customer perception that Home Depot has better prices (not true) is being discovered, Further, HOME DEPOT does not provide the personal helpfulness, as well as professional installation, that I do," M19 . General: "We are a family owned corporation, I have been in retail several years and experienced a decline in business when large chain stores carried the same'!Jroduct line (western wear) at lower prices, It seems customers are willing to give up service and product knowledge for a lower price," M25 . Athletic Equipment: "Unfortunately, at this time the superstores appear to be the future in retailing. In order for small businesses to survive, they must be extremely specialized in their field of profession and offer services that can't be offered by the discount retail giants. Small business can no longer rely on the basic retail sales, but must pursue special services and orders that will enable them to be successful. The impact of the discount superstore will be devastating to most small business that compete directly with the superstores who can not differentiate their business from others." M26 . Floorine/Counters: "Their size (chains) lets them buy for less, They pay their help less money, consequently workmanship is poor. Too late for customer, they have already signed contract. These large companies know exactly how to stop people from backing out. Even when the product quality is bad," M32 - Carpetinl.'/Flooring: "These types of clubs are hazardous to my business because of the margins they work on, We combat them by smart selling and service they can't match," M31 - Home ImprovementJDomestic Products: "We are a very service oriented business specializing in designing and coordinating living spaces. Our main mega chain competition would be Home Depot. We cannot buy as well as well although we also buy from manufacturers - therefore we must impress our clients with our oersonal care and talents as designers," PART II - B PENNSYLVANIA [Philadelphia Area] 4N - Pharmacist: "Part of the biggest problem in our Industry today is multi-tier pricing by Drug Manufacturers, They sell to different classes of trade at different levels, If they have one standard price for everyone with volume discounts available to everyone it would place competition on a level playing field, Discriminatory pricing must be eliminated, Once the price factors are gone, then the consumer will look for service and this is where we as small businesses can prevaiL" UN - Furniture Importer: "Personally, I resent mega-chains who receive significant tax-breaks. They usually provide no relief to the community's economic dilemma. CARREFOUR was a primary example, Soon after their 5-year tax break, they took their profits home, Although I shopped there, I was not impressed with their company and usually went elsewhere for more knowledgeable salespeople, If mega-companies want a parcel of land, they should not be catered to; rather, provide a good communitv economic plan, I am confident that small towns don't 98 66 :SHlaM.ar - sn ,,'llllllunOOSlp pu" llu!oud lallaq SalOIS U!"40 al(l ll',!lOJJO Aq AOldnl>fu"q ul sassou!snq lalIllws a'll Ind saJOIS U!1l40 a'll llUldla4 alll sJOlnq!llSIP pu" Slalnp"Jnu"w Ill'll 10aJ I" :~ad"dll" M. - SO 1 ,,'an leA onb!un 11 s"411l41 aO!AJas 100dJo OW!l 11 1II pUll AI!lO!ld 11 aOIAJas Ida>f SIl4 laUMO ssaulsnq IIllws al(.1" :UOIllS ~!llH . Sf ,:al"U114ll!U " sl"ool a'll JOJ IM"ll lllll>fIlUl 'SA"Mp"Ol llllllslxa uo UIellS snolJas " Ind SIl4 MOll pas"oJOu! a'll 01a4M SPo04JOql(ll!ou 10410 uaas M"4 I 'o~Jlllllnoq" Ulaouoo "s114lln041 ssalllsnq-uou '10410 AW 'JOplll:) 41!M S!41 uaas AP"Oll" aA,1 'AOUOUl aw OA"S II'M saloIs OSOl(1 >fU141 I 'lawnsuoo 11 s" 'puIl4 la410 a'll uo 'a401ll1uolOJJ!P 11 llu!l"aJO 'sap!llllnsnun Iual pu" 1I0s oSI" OM 'OOIAJas laUlOlsno SI alllllUeApll 10rllW lno 'aA!!Ij~dUlOO A"IS olldwallll u" U! sasll'lomd ,PiA P!)!, palooloS 41!M sl"lual aalJ aa141Jo UO!IOWOld 11 paJl"IS Isnf aA"4 aM 'ISOO lno III SOap!A asa41IIas ualjo Aa4.1 'Mol AlaA alll salllS lno 'SOap!A s,ualpl'40 a>fll 'lias su"'40 lallllll pu" aM 410'1 11141 SUllY a41UO '%OZ: 01 pallldwoo %to - saJOIS mo JO aA~ II" JO allll 4JMOlllISOMOIS a'll S"'I ('IS 4117 's L I ,) lalsnq>foolS 11 Isalllau alOIS Oap!A mo 'ssalllsnq lno uo P"4 aA"4 'aldwllxa 10J 'SA:) pUll lalsnq>foolS 11141 paJ]" a'll uaas Apllall" ~Allll aM" :a~oIS oap!A - SI ,,'puljxa aUloooq 01 ssalllsnq AI'UlIlJ IIIlUls 041 asn"o II'M "!'ldlaplll!4d a>f!l AI!O" llU!I"lll~U1 salOIS asa'llJo Ilnsal a'l.1 'alqlssod Sl asdlllloo 1"10.1 i,auoll alll aM J! uaddll'l II'M 1"4M 'luaw,uaAoll a'll pUll AI!:) a'll llu!Jloddns JO uaplnq al(l AllllO olljal aldoad JO aJOo a'll al" Aa41 'sassau!snq as a'll U! pa>fJOM aA"'1 04M 'aldoad ss"p alPp!w 'aldoad ssolllsnq POUMO -AI!W"d 'AlasuowUI' aldoad ssaUlsnq IIIlUls a'll pal!IlJ aA"'IluaWUlaAolll"lapaJ O'll pu" U1alsAs Illllal al(.1" :luawaAo~dwI owoH/~aqwn'l - ~;lS ,,'AIlP llUlsslld 4o"a '111M sasu UO!I"lISnJJJO laAol a'll pUll as!'IOu"lJ 10r"U1 "Jo lallpnq llUISIJlaApll a'll "^"4 I, usaop AlsnOlAqo ssau!snq IIllwS Y 'llll!SIJlaAp" 1II Aauow JO I"ap I"olll 11 puads 01 S! aAlllladwoo lII"Wal UIlO I AIlM AluO a'll pu" "al" AUI UI ,laluao-"llaw, '14 toZ" pauado Apuaoal S,O)!NI)! 'ssau!snq alll"l JO plldw! a'll II oJ II!IS aAIl4 I Inq 'ssau!snq aO!AJas 11 AI!lllWpd S! ssau!snq AW" :lu3Wd!nb3: a3!IJO - NIt "jssau!snq U! SlllOA [Z laljll [6/1 [/Z I SlOOp mo pasol:)" :ua.aM.Or - NOZ ,,' AII"alll ssau!snq AW Jln4 pUll po0410q4ll!au aletpaWwl AW JO ap!SlnO 14llu II!nq uaaq Alluaoal OA"4 11llll SU!lllp Alaoolll JOrllw a'll 'Alq"llIapun Ins 'Mol sa Ills a'll pUll 41114 Sl UO!I!ladwoo a'll 'op I SIl spnpOJd l"I!W!S lIas 001 Aa41 osnlloas " :la)JJ"W - N61 "i,aw 10J JJo lallaq aq II!M UMOI a'll llu!A"al 10 AOldnl>fu"q >fU!l(1 nOA I,Uoa 'ouo llulSOI a'll U1.I MOU>f [asnlloas 'aladwoo 01 alq" aq II!M 10lluOj OU I 'sassaulsnq Mau dn uado pu" UMOI 01 awoo salOls-u"'40 alOW J! 'Ill'll JO dOl uo 'alOlS U!1ll10 a'll 01 slawOlsno awos llu!SOI w" 10 ISO I Apllallll I 1"41 SUllaWII 'SlA , JOJ paS"alOU! IOU aA"4 sal"s ssaUlsllq AW 'Allualln:) 'JlasAw a>f!1 lal!lllal lI"wS a'll IOU Inq 'laWOlsno a'll ssassll PlnOlls I! 'alOIS U!1l40 ll!q 0'11 llUIlIOdO" :a~llM.p~llH . Nn i s>f"alq XIlI ou 'aJO]"la41 - wa41lu"M "Currently have Wal-Mart for anchor store in our S, Jersey location, Has definitely shown to have negative affect on our business volume," 17S - Market: "I think it is very bad for the government to allow these types of businesses to come into areas and operate, Too much burden has already been put on small business without the giant companies coming in and putting a lot of small businesses out." "Small business is the heart of this country employing the majority of the workers, They keep getting knocked down by taxes and now these types of business practices," 21S . Jeweler: "I believe that if you offer good service & quality you will have very little to lose to a discount store," 24S - Clothing-: "My company also manufactures men's neckwear, vests, and robe/boxer short sets which we sell to retailers, Large discount operations have a deleterious effect on our business on two fronts, They tend to drive small retailers out of business (our main customer base); and, two, they are ruinous to our bottom line by their very nature of being a mass discounter. In other words, it is not profitable business with them, They source the world looking for cheap labor which makes me non-competitive," 26S . ElectricaI/Home Imnrovement: "Our main concern is Home Depot, not that we can't compete; but, when a Home Depot comes into an area, we believe that they lower prices below cost to get their foot in the door because consumers are creatures of habit. Then we've heard that when they put everybody out of business they raise their prices," 27S- Auto: "The area of South Philadelphia is heavily saturated with auto repair shops and would be hurt economically with the addition of discount service facilities coming into the area, This would cause a number of shops that are on the verge of closing to do so causing more people on the unemployment lines, The economy is very fragile in this area and should not be subjected to anymore mega-chain business openings until the economy becomes more stable," 29S . Hair Salons: "The large chains should NOT be given any type of tax deferments because the responsibility of paying the taxes and/or increases will again fall upon the small businesses who cannot afford it and who will be forced to close." "With the economy the way it is people want to pay cheaper prices for almost everything even if the community in the main loses jobs. These large chains can do nothing, but hurt small businesses, [f a new business wants to be in an area, then the government and the community should decide whether that chain will help or harm the community," 33S - Jeweler: "Jewelry business is rather personal/individual - consequently, some of your questions were not relative to our particular company, Ours is an 80 year old business and lots of our sales are by word of mouth, our proven honesty, and our employees who continue to enjoy their positions working for a small family type of business," 100 101 ,.-aW!1 a'll alSIlM A4M 'Pla~ lllllA"ld UaAaun u" 41!M Inq 'A"IS 01 01a4 aq OIIU"M aM 'pua a'll 01 (alaldllloo) aOIAlas pu" ISalO)ll! UO!paI"S pnpold 'Isalallll AIlunwwoo 11 OAIl'l op aM 'lOJ spooll a'll SAn 'I AlIIldlllOO lall"ws a4111l4M 10J 'sas"o awos UI 'lias A04.1 'Sp(lOM 1111 JO Isaq al(l aA"4 Aa41 'Iodaa aUloH 'a'l SIIp010 X"I aAlaOOl Aa'll J! MON 'lawnsuoo a'lI 01 1I0S ua41 pu" lampllJnu"w a'll 41!M AIIoal!p Illap salll"dwoo alllos allllll asa41 AII"o!dA.1 'do'lS lallllws a'll 10J alqllllllAIl IOU sl~auaq XIlI pall!1lll1l aA"4 Aa41 'aplllll!"lal a'll OIU! palallla 5[1!"'IO I!lllal-llllaw Olll"l aOlllS" :s"!IddnS u"q~mll:lU!qwnld - 98 H:) [1l"~V o:lIl~!qJ] SIONI'nI :J - II .LHVd ,,'A1Isnplll mo UI adA4 pasn"o S"l( pu" 10aJJa aAIIllllau " P"l( Sill( 0110"1 JO OdAI SIl(.1 'p"q >foolll!M spnpold lllllWIS awos '111M llllllllap sassalllsnq lall"ws IUlII os pall"q-Mol pu" Ino palllulS al" sa!!!IUap' pnpOJd As"a 1"41 SIlO!AqO al!nb sill 'spnpOJd lllllolJd U! pll'l aAIl'l 111ll(1 aOllapljlloo aWlls a'll ssaldxa UIlO I 1"41 AilS 10UUIl0 I 'Ia>flllw 1l!l(dlap"I'4d a'lIU! lodaa aUloH JO llu!uado 11Iaoal a'll aOll!S 'sJlodwl alII O!WlllaO JO Pla~ a'll U! pal"lal aldoad ISOUI 41!M 'wl"lll 10J asnllo S! UOII"O!.J"!luap! pnpold uo p"dwl a4.1 'Pla~ AW U! Ulaouoo 40nw pasn"o aA"4 'pauO!IUaW sa!u"dwoo "llaw asol(1 SIl 'Ions sa!,mdwo:)" :"I!JjIU"W"Ao~dwI "wOH - S6t ,,'Ola saou"!ldd" 's,A.1 10J 1II llulJq Aa41 SlawOIsno a'll alll 101111111 SlaIUnOOS!p daap a'll SlaUIOIsno 0'1111141 aAa!laq I 'Au"dwoo mo uo p"dulI alllll AlaA a^"4I1!M ISOUl 'aloJala4.1 '14ll!1 11101100 saop Jl"W-IIlM AI"O '1II lllllwoo SI"UO!I"U a4lJo 1111 JO InO" :Ill~!ldO . Stt (17661 AIlW) ,,'dn lllllSOIO um I MOll 'SlllaA aJOw Z paA!AmS aA"4 1 ilOJ w041 llU!Anq S"M 111141 saoud I" (sUO!I"OOI SnO!l"A lla41 01 ,poddllls dOlp, pUll sallllu"nb lallllll14llnoq Aa41 asnllooq) s>fooq lias Plnoo laMo.1 i%,[ JO SIno aO!ld Aq AIlMIl paooM alaM alaluallo l"Aol AW s" AIMols dOJp 01 paJl"IS sal"s AW '(AIlMIl 10aJ OO[ Inoq") la,uoo a'll punol" pauado s>fooS laMo.1 alln4 11 '1101" AWU! alOIS>fooq ,Mau, AIUO 0l(1 s" Sl"OA 'i,Z lalJV 'OlOIS>fooq Iuopuadaplllllllws" LIMO I" :,,~ols>tooH - SIt ,,'ssou!snq UI dOlp allllll 11 aq 01 aA"'l PlnoM II 'In 'I :laAO Jl"IS 01 SUOllllool la410 JOJ >fool ua'll PlnoM I 'saI"s ssolll pu" I~old lI"laAO "! dOlp" aas aMJI 'soo!ld lallaq pu" 'aO!A10S l"uOSlad '>flOM AJ!lBnb as!JlaApll 01 All PlnoM aM '>flOM a'll op IOU Plnoo OM JI 'lII slllap alols AlloMar AW >flOM lapJO I",oads 10 l!lldOl a'll op 01 wa41 l(1!M >flOM pllllUOO OIU! lalua 01 All PlnoM 1 'Ilal" lno OIUI paAow AUlldwoo alll"l 11 JI.. :~"IOMOr - S8E ,,'U! Ind Aa41 u"41 AllUnwwoo 11 JO Ino OlOW llul>f1l1 10J UMOU>f alll SU!"40 IUnOOS!p IIBI01-"llow 10fllW a'll 1"41 aAO!loq I ,,'llU!O!ld AlOlllpald"Jo SW!llp JO asn"oaq ssau!snqJo Ino salOIS llnlp llUIA'lP Alpallall" 10J 's"su"vv 'al"IS aUlol( lla41Jo s)Jnoo 111001 a41U! sa!ollwl"'ld oal'll OII!nS Mill 11 ISOIISnrJl"W-I"M" :ISpBw~"qd - SLE ,,'anU!IUOO UO'l!)adwoo a411al pUll aWlls a'll Pla~ llu!A"ld a'll a>fllwISnr" ,,'llllOlM 01" sl"ap allllsa I"al pu" S>f"alq X"I a411aoJ op I '"alll u" llU!lalUa UI01J 101!"IOl AU" dOls oll"uOIlnlllsuooun SI I' laaJ I., :"~OIS 10d - SSE 'i I CH85 - Women's Casual Clothing: "We started in Des Plaines in 1897 and have never had any special favors or help from our city fathers, Our money has stayed here in town and we have helped hundreds of local people earn a living, Why an established discount retailer has to have help is beyond me, If they can't stand on their own two feet, they should be told to move on. Their profit goes to headquarters, ours pays taxes for the town," CH77 - Stationery: "Events that have hurt our business in the office supply industry are: (a) Predatory pricing and 'loss leaders' items and (b) Manufacturers giving better prices to upstart superstores based on the size of the total business versus actual stationery sales, Then superstores use this to gain market share," CH73 - Health and Beauty/Rx Drul!s: "My situation is unique in that I have an ethical pharmacy which is surviving only because I value the quality of my workplace more than I value a large paycheck, Consumers aren't aware of the fact that small businesses are quickly disappearing, The service and personal service given will be a thing ofthe past unless something is done, It will be like the 'service stations' and no one will even miss having a service attendant pump their gas for them because they weren't from that generation." CH72 - Paint/Walloaocr: "I'm hopeful that the independent dealer will survive. It takes a lot of people, sales and profit to keep these big chain stores going, Let them fight each other! In the interim, we will continue to offer above par service, and product knowledge with the thought of out living the big store image," CH71 - Optometry: "Tax breaks are given to mass retailers to move into an area, I get no tax breaks - totally unfair." CH68 - Office Supplies: "We have Super Kmart, Wal-Mart and Eagle about 3 blocks apart in Elk Grove, What's the point?? Woodfield is 5 minutes from them and now Office Max is 5 minutes from there, It's not fun anymore, 50% or more of office supply dealers have gone out in Chicago area," CH67 - Snacks. Sodas. Cil!arettes: "Low select prices on select items such as sodas hurts the vending business," CH62 - General: "Don't give tax breaks!" CH61 . Restaurant Equipment: "Redevelopment, industrial revenue bonds and tax abatements should only be used for manufacturing or distribution businesses; not retail. Jobs are not created, only transferred by retail." CH59 - Food: "The large chains run so many 'loss leaders' that it is almost impossible to survive, much less grow your business, They sell many items well below my cost." CH47 - Eqnipment Rental: "Simplify government regulation and paperwork both nationally and locally to allow more time to focus on 102 1:01 1"4M llUlAlaOlad JO alq"d"o IOU S! uoslad alllllaAIl 0'1.1 ')J"a'l SI! JO "OpawV lllllqqOl alll salOIS U"''1O alll"l" :,(~IlW~Il'ld - llH:) ,,'saJOIS llnJp P004JOq'lll!au pu" salOIS alllMplBlII"OOI W01J SUlaouoo uaas aA"4 Inq slal"'lal-"llaUl Aq papaJJIl AII"al IOU pu" All I !O"J l!lldal ApOq Oln" UIl alll aM" :ApolI Olnv - ZlH:J ,,'( al"lsa 1"01 pu" sOllls) sax"llIll JO alll4s IInJ 1!a41 A"d pUll PloS swal! uo I~OJd" a>fllwlsllW slal!lllal allllll OS I! a>f"ulls"aIIY" :,,~a'lIO.. - tlH:) ,,'Sun!I!O sS"lo puooas a>f!1 sn sl"allluaUlulaAollloA 'laAoldwa JOr"w 11 S! ssau!snq lI"wS 'Spuallluallno osa'll dOls 01 papaall SI ssaUlsnq lI"wS JO IiaMs pllnolll Y 'sl~old mo U"'11 la4ll!4 MOll SI ssau!snq lI"ws uo lIapmq XIlI a4.1 'ssoUlsnq lllq pu" luowulaAoll mo 410'1 Aq lallu"p aAlllll UI S! walsAs S!l(.1 'walsAs aSlldlalua aalJ 041 pu" wopaalJ uo papllnoJ SIlM Allunoo SIlI.1" :sPlld OIIlV - 61H:J ,,'paA01Isap lall'lloq salU"dwoo lI"wS pUll u"walPPlw a'll aloJala'l.1 'aladwoo I,U"O OS11l 'Au"dlllOO AW s" 'Ions 'lolnq!lIS'P 1!a4.1 'aladwoo I,UIlO II lIS Aa41 'SI walqOld al(.1 'ssaUlsnq pauMo AIIW"J luapuadapl\l 'lall"ws oSI" Inq 'U!"40 l"'lal IUnOOS!p 11l1l0!IIlU 041'lllM AluO IOU SI pal!p Anq 01 puall a'lI 'lolnquls,p" sv" :(~Olnq!~IS!P 11) ~!~paI3ll'lU!I'l;'l!'l - OZH:) ,,'Sall!llqlsuodsal AI!UnUlUIOo a'llJo P"ol AA"a4 " AllllO 01 anUIIlIOO pu" aoud IInJ Alld SA"MIIl aM 'ssau!snq IIllwS 01 pala]Jo 10Aau S! SI4.1 'AIllInwwoo 11 Ollll awoo 01 SaA!IUaOU! pu" s>fllalq XIlI allllll W!llpal AII"lauall pu" JOJ ~SIl Slas'pU"'101aw allllll asa'll S! IUI"ldllloo JOf"w" :SPIlPO~d POOil' ZfH:) ,,'SlOUMO 1!a41 Aq pall"u"ws!W al" 1 "'Ial III saSSOu!snq IIIlWS AU"W '11" sl~auaq '10!4M sooud MOl III SOJOIS pa>foOIS lIaM aAlplllllll la]JO SlaIUnOOS!p alll"l asa41 'pllll'l la410 a41UO 'lIaM s" )J"W-I"M 'sa!JladOld pasllal lla41UO llUlOl""!J al"l MOl pasn Jl"W)! 'Alllllnllal sluau,aOnpu! 1,,001J0 allIlIU,,^p" a>f"1 O'lM sa!u"dwoo P04S!lqlllsa IOU 'AIUO saSsau!snq dn-JlIlIS OIUaA!ll aq PlnOlls SO!Ulldwoo alll"l 01 suolssaouoo x".1" :"~a'lIO,, - SfH:) ,,'AI!UnWWOO 40"a uo 'wlal llllOI 'p"dw! aAII,sod " aAIl4 PlnoM anuaAal X"I pu" IUOWAOldllla wlal lluOI 'ssau!snq lI"wS pa4s!lq"lso llU!ISIXO 01 olqlll!IlAIl ap"w alaM SaA!IUaOU! xlll olq!l"dwoo JI 'dn -MOil OJ al"nbap" 10 'llU!II!q 'AIU"ll"MJO allpolMoU>f ou 41!M aO'AJas ssal llU!AlaOal slawOIsno uaaq S"4 alllp 01 Ilnsal a4.1 'ssau!snq lno uo pa]Ja llU!pOla UIl P"4 aAIl4 slal!"lal allllll a'l.1 'sap''laA aO!AlaS pu" 51aA!lp lno iliA aOIAlas pUll spnpold lno aA!aOal SlaWOIsno mo JO Al!lOr"W 0'1.1 'Iuawd!nbo I"o!paw amOlI ap!AOld aM" :luollld!llb3 l"~!paw - 9fH:) ,,'SAIlP asa41 aladwoo olllnom!P AlaA S! H '1110141 AWlI! ssaussalad04Jo llu!laaJ 11 \101 S!4.1 'paalllll 10A"W a4.1 'slal",pl allllll asa41 aA!ll sl"pmo papaI" lno 1"41 suo!ssaouoo pUll s>fllalq a411all laAaU PlnoM 'lallMO ssou!snq lI"wS 11 Sll '( 'slall ,qnlJ S,WIlS, 1"41 ,s>fllalq XllI, a41lnoq" JOA"W lno 41!M Alluaoal a>fods Isnr I" :sPllpo~d pooil - 8fH:J ,,'lno sassau!snq lI"wS llUIAlJp Sl XIlI AJladold IIl!OlaWWOo a'l.1" :luOWO!"D3 oap!A - OtH:J ,,'sallllldwoo la>food daap lallllll 41!M Pla~ llU!Allld a411aAoI 01 llu!4IAUY 'ssau!snq llu!dolaAOp a'lI , i t 'T ., they will be missing when all the small business people of America are gone, Their children will not find their first jobs, the little leagues and churches and bowling leagues will not have sponsors, Our country is losing its soul - corporate America is like a bad virus!" CH9 - Greetinl! Cards. Stationerv: "My business distributes greeting cards, etc, to non-chain accounts, Our business has been strongly affected in addition to our customers, A significant number of 'Mom-and-Pop' locations have fallen by the wayside, unable to compete. In addition, the number of party outlets has also diminished our sales as well, Our highest year in sales occurred in \991." CH8 . Software: "I certainly agree with what you are surveying, however my answers and survey are probably meaningless as I am in the proprietary software market and the companies you speak of have little or no impact on me other than to possibly pull some of my business if they sell some of the supplies I need," CH91 . Auto Equipment: "Big retailers have definitely decreased our sales in tires and exhaust parts and shocks, Difficult to compete with Kmart prices on above items - also tires sold at Sam's Club in area," CH96 - Party Sunnlies: "The larger discount houses hurt the small retailer. Consumers do not understand that their claims to have lower prices are not alwavs true, They can afford T,Y, and radio advertising while we can only rely on reputation and service, Grocery stores are getting out of hand; they should sell groceries and leave the greeting cards, gift items, flowers to the small retailer. I feel soon there will be no room for the small retailer because of rent, taxes and discount stores," CH98 - Lawn/Gardens: "We handle premium lines of mechanical equipment that have traditionally been marketed through certified independent dealer networks, outlets created by manufacturers to assure the availability of professional expertise in the sales, service and maintenance of their product lines, This 'value added' support cost is rarely provided by mass merchants and thus this savings in their cost of sales plus their buying power, provides them with their retail price advantage, In the long run its the consumer who will suffer overtime as mass merchants force out 'value added' dealers, This type of product eventually needs service, Few manufacturers of top end products provide for service only dealerships, Sales have always been and still are the prime requisites of a dealer franchise, As sales through 'value added' dealers diminish and those dealers become competition victims to the low prices of mass merchants, then sources of professional service and maintenance will become a problem for custolllers, and too late we will understand that the lowest price was not the best price in the long run," CH97 - Jewelry: "I think the large corporations will dominate our economy, The true craftsmen will sell out or go bankrupt, The jobs created in the large corporate stores are low wage and often part-time, There are not as many management positions in the large corporate stores, The youth in America are not studying the right subjects to compete in our global economy, Technology is also taking jobs away, What took the U,S, 50 years to learn up to World War II now takes less than 5 years to learn, I think the strongest entrepreneurs will survive, Many less motivated people will work at Kmart and spend their checks hoping to win LOTTO or gamble at the Casinos! Plus, big firms take over other firms and then they scale down help, etc, - laying off many people." 104 .01 , ,,'Ssau!snq a'll lllllllas palaplSUOO "^"4 PlnoM aM '1!"lal uo al"lluaouoo AlalOS 01 panlllluoo pu" SSOu!snq Mau" paJlIlIS IOU P"4 aMJI 'sallalloo pu" 'sI0040S 4ll!4 'sloOlloS op"lll OO[ laAO JO spaau a'll saAlas pu" silas '10!4M ssoulsnq umal spooll lllllJlods" padol"^oP M"4 aM 'sn 10J AlalllUnJlod 'OlOIS AIIIl!Oads 041 - sn papnla s"'1 a'101llI"'11 A\luao01l 'spnpold ,spooll llu!Jlods pua 4ll!'l a'll Anq IOU Plnoo slal"'lal allllll ual(M ssalllsnq a'll '" Olllll " S"M ala4.1 'spnpold AI!lenb pUll aO!AJas l(llno141 S! saAIAlllS ssau!snq l!"IOl lllO AIlM AluO a4.1 'SlalllOlsno alll"s 041 10J aladwoo lalllll.1 pu" 'as!puIl401aw S,)! 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IIllwS 01 alqlll!"AIl IOU slampllJnu"w W01J al4lll!IlA" al" Sl'lllOOSlp JOr"W ([ pu" :laMOI'lonUl 01" salOIs allJBI 01 aoud as"40md (l ~,SJap"al ssol, "Sll sl"lual asn salOIs alllllj (I :suos"alJO laqulllu" 10J 'IOU Sl II MON 'ssau!snq auol" pU"IS " s" alq"l~old S"M ssalllsnq Illlual oaplA a'llua'lM aWII " S"M ala4.1" :saw"9/luowd,nfl3: OOP!A - 817)1 ~ ,,'SU!1l40 SIlWIS!14:) pUll 's,la"40IW 's,>fullld a>f!1 sn paJJ" PlnoM 11141 SU!Il'lo Illuolllal pu" Illuo'l"U al" ala'll 'loAaMoH 'uOII"lado 1!lllal d04S ljllljlslJolJ lllO OlulllJlad IOU op palS!1 aA1l4 nOA spnpold" :SlJll~J pUll SI~Y/1S'~OI;l - 05)1 1 ,,'UO!I"W10JlII I"UO'IIPP" llUIA!OOal 01 Pl"M10J >fOOl pu" ApnlS lnOA UI palSOlalU! AlaA W" I '1I1lW al"nbs PlaY4JlON a'lllII sluau,al"qll XIlI l(lln0141 sluawallllbal Slol"'lal-llllaw paA!"M Sill( IuaWU1,,^olll"001 lno 'X~ AlllJOdwal olq!ssod 11 aq AIUO PlnoM sao!ld laMol 01 'aldwllxa u" sv '1Ino!JJ!p AlaA aq PlnoM SUO!lnIOS a'll az!UllOOal 01 pUll 'paJJa pu" asn"o a'll aU!UUalap 01 pUll walqOld a'll aUlwlalap 01 alq" llu!as 'sl"aA lls"l a'lllll AIP!d"l Ilalll lno lluualua slal!lllal-"llalll Pll4 a^"4 aM 'Pla~ Sl41111 aoua!ladxa slllaA Z[ laAO '11!M ssau!snq OO!Alas/l!"dal aAIIOWOln" u" al" aM" :sa3!~aS/luaWU!nD3: oJny - IS)I ~ , . . [Ba~y aO>JB>Jull)l] SIONI'I'lI , . i , I ., K39 - Health and Beauty: "We have already experienced Super Kmart, Wal-Mart and soon Target. When I purchase products for my business I have been forced to look harder at price and quality, Consumers right now are only concerned with price; they are not looking for quality, When in a discussion with clients we try to point out the value of personalized service and that the mega-retailer really doesn't care, as to what will happen if they spend all their money there in terms of jobs, families, communities, etc," K - 38 Food: "In our local area (Kankakee, Bradley, Bourbonais) TlF[Tax Incentive Funding] Money has been used by Bradley & Bourbonais to develop large retai I areas in the last 10 years, They used the Tl F money to develop farm ground (not blighted areas as originally proposed), During this time they have raped the tax base of the City of Kankakee, Many Kankakee business have moved from Kankakee to Bradley and Bourbonais," "Now that retail business has left Kankakee, Bradley and Bourbonais and county officials have decided to end TlF money for retail business, Kankakee has lost the weapon (used against them) to recoup retail business, T[F money was misused here and a warning should go out to other communities." K37 . Games. Hobbies. Books: "I live in Bourbonais, IL and have my radio controlled hobby business in Bradley, IL. When we started seven years ago, we had no help from the village as far as tax incentives; in fact never gave it a thought to inquire, We have worked hard to keep our business intact, but find our taxes going higher each year both personally and business-wise to maintain these large retailers that come in under the TlF Programs and then leave in seven years or less, We little people are getting the shaft." K33 - Optometrv: "We need to get rid ofthe one hour labs that draw people, They don't do the service that they say and prices are high, We need to get back to the old ways, Ifwe have to have them I would try to limit only one per town, In so many towns there just too many of them," Kl5 -Doors and Windows: "The tax abatements provided chains are an unfair practice; I know that helps mega chain competition, This alone allows thelll to reduce prices to hurt other small businesses," "A free market to all, giving large and small businesses the same local advantages in taxes, land, etc, is most important to the survival of the small retailer." Kl4 - Electronic Equioment: "I have experienced several times in my career what happens when a major chain leaves. The buildings are left vacant. Their restrictions to buyers because of competition are contributing to why these large buildings are left empty. In our area TIF increments have led stores to move a mile or two at most to be in another town and receive tax breaks, I have also got to see local schools and police forces suffer through problems because no tax money comes from TlF." Kll - Audio Stereo Equipment: "With a lower overhead I have been able to compete favorably with the large discounters; however, if one moves close to me I may lose a handful of customers but the increase in traffic would also increase new customers.~' . 106 LOl "illuOI" alllllnllS 01 OA"4 aM al!4M 'UO!I"lOdlOO 1!a41 W01J 'Ola 'spunJJo Uo!snJU! u" lollu"o Aal(1 41uOUl MOls" aA"4 Aa4lJ! lIlJOSU! 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I! pu" "al" mo 1II salOIS IUnOOS!p u"'40 lnoJ aA"4 aM" :IR..wd!R03 ilu!qs!iI/llu!IURH - tDI ,,'UMOI a'll Jloddns I,UOP Inq UMOI U! llUIAII" 0>f"U1 OIIU"M Aa4.1 'w041uo I~old " sa>fllw 1"001 ApOqOU os 'slapl!nq UMOI-Jo-Ino 41'M SOlOIS lla41 PI!nq Aal(.1 'saJOIS lall"ws asop pUll lIMOI 01 UMOI W01J MOW Aa4.1 'S>fllalq XlllJO oll"IU"APIl lllll>flll al" SOlOIS u"'40 ll!q a'I.1" :..~nl!U~nil - 5DI ,,,lOlOas OOIAlas a'll U! wa41 10J >flOM 1Il0lsA4d plll4 a'll op aM pu" Aauow As"a a'll a>f"w Aa'l.1 'slu,,!ll a'll 10J >flOM aO!A10S op ollsnf sn llU!Allal 'alq!ssod aJ!I JO A"M U"O!lawy a'll op"w 04M IU"401awlI"wS a'll W01J AIlMIl sal"s a'll II" a>f"1 OIIU"M 04M Slu,,!ll a'll dla4 luawulaAolll"lapaJ pu" al"IS '111001 a>fll s>foolll" :u"p~tl~ pUtl UMIl'1 - 9DI ,,'AI!lllnb Inoq" paulJoJlI!lIn alll 04M slawOIsno pUll pnpold a'll JO alU)"U a'll JO asn"oaq aladwoo 10llU"0 slal!"lal lI"wS 'llU!O!ld MOl SI41 01 ana 'UO!IIlU a'll SSOlO" Slunooo" l!"lal alll"lllllaAas Isol aAIl4 aM 'saopd al"sal04M Isowl" I" wa4111as pu" saOlnos la410 W01J sao'ls aou"p ap"w Ald"a40 UI l'lllnolq MIl4 Jl"W-IIlM pu" AIlM>fO!d 111001 'ssau!snq l!"lal 1"001 lI"wS AlaA " aAml OM OSIY 'SO'pnlS aoullp pu" salOIS l!"lal 01 ap!MUO!IBlI llllldd!4S 'S004S aoullp JO lamp"Jnu"U1I1"U1S "al" aM" :s..oqS ..~Utla s.ua~PI!q:) - LDI " .slIo!ltuodlO:) l"UO!IIlU a'll a>f!lun IOU s>fullq 1"001111 JlasAUlI! aoullu~ 01 OAIl4 I 'Iapoulal 01 Aauow paau I JI 's>f"alq XIlI oUlall I 'paJJa OIU! awoo s>f"alq X"I lla41 aloJaq uaAa all"IU"AP"S!P " III aw sInd S!4.1 'salOIS u""IO "llaw a>fll SOll"M wnw!ulwlOU 'llu!A!lllIoOap" a>fllwI"4t saaAoldLUo mOJ sAoldwa 1"'\1 ssalllsnq aO'AJas" aA"l( I,. :"~!~"S Itl~!Utlq~"W Olnv - 8DI ,,:~m!l';')~p la410uIl aoua!ladxa Alq"qOld II!M aM pu" Alnr U! llu!uodo aq II!M lalll".1 Y 'sallls pu" O~J"ll lawOlsno 1II os"aJOap allll~ap" paO'lOU aA"4 aM pUll dIJlS ssau!snq mo l"au 1766 [ Al"nJqad III pouado )JIlU')! ladns Y" :pooil - ODl i K7 - Home Improvement/Buildinl! SnDDlies: "There should be some kind of truth in advertising when quoting such as 50%, 60% or 70% off. or 'Special Sale,' But what was the original price?" K4 - Foods: "There should be government regulations that super or big business locations be limited to certain areas, because most or almost all of those big businesses get a tax break from the state or city that they go to, Small businesses don't get that privilege," Kl - Gift Shop: "We try not to carry the same products you find in discount stores, Our gift shop carries the finer crystal, bronze, pewter and other specialty items, The Rai lroad Shop, located on the second level, also carries items not found in discount stores," K61 - Water Conditioninl!: "We have to meet a customer on service and personalized greetings since we do not have the buying power to attain the 'best' price as the large chains do. We are able to meet an individual customer's needs personally; they are not just a number." K58 - Jewelrv: "I mainly feel that mass merchandisers serve large numbers of people but lack quality merchandise in our field, We, on the other hand, have to present a quality picture or image to attract those who are more discerning. This includes educating the market we go after, while still maintaining an edge on fair competitive prices, We belong to trade groups that help us compete. The Kmarts, Wal-Marts, etc. don't seem to help the communities they do business in," K62 - Home Improvement Supplies: "I, Reduce trading area to 3 mile radius, 2, Advertising locally, 3, Chains steal employees to hurt your effectiveness, 4, Chains steal employees to hurt traditional experience, 5, Chains then release employees after two years to reduce their payroll after competition has been knocked out," PART II - D NEW YORK (Finger Lakes Region (Geneva, Auburn, Syracuse)] NY48 - Athletic Wear. Tovs. Athletic Equipment: "Geneva is an area in need of development, and Geneva already has Kmart and Wal-Mart, The damage from their development was not major at best, There wasn't much available that they created too much competition for. The area that needs to be reviewed here is the definition of what we have in small businesses and then attempt to attract businesses that are needed and wanted by the people, Geneva is too much duplication which is so counterproductive, Same old-same old doesn't sell." NY 44 - Office Products: "We operate an office products business, At the present time we are still not greatly affected by the new Wal-Mart store, What the greatest influence is the prices published by discount stores operating out of Syracuse and Rochester and the 'Paper Cutter' (Fays Drugs) in Auburn and the catalogue they distribute, My concern is the fact the discount stores sell, at the same or lower prices what I pay for the sallle merchandise, The manufacturer offers these products at prices that are not available to me because of a 108 601 saop II SIl lluol SIl 'sasn04IUnOOS!p allllll Aq palaJJO sao!ld IunOOS!p a'll saWOOlaM o!lqnd UIlO!laWV a41!"aJ I" :u~aAll~ - LAN ,,'allpaIMOU>f pUll aO!AlaS OP!AOld 01 S! op 01 llu!41lsaq 0'1.1 'saaAoldwa 1111 pOl~ pu" salllS ssolll %,[ Isol aM 'sl"aA OMIISlld a4IU!41!M "al" mo OIUl aAOW Jl"W-I"M 11 P"4 OAIllI aM" :luawaAo~dwI awoH - 01AN ,:llU!A!AmS al" aM 'auoll pUll awoo aAell sassalllsnq Iuapuadapu! alOW 10 uazop 11 al!4M 'Ola 's,AUUaa 'AIlMqnS 's.ApuaM 'S,AqlV S! alo'll MON 'Ap"allll ala4 alaM llu!)! lallms pu" spl"uoaow 'ollll 51"aA snld Z I pauado aM ua4M 'Sa40!MPUIlS pu" sP"IIlS 'sqns s! 41lluallS mo" ,:ssau!snq a4lJo 41llu01IS a41uo sJloJJa mOA ol"lluaouoo pu" U! >fllaM al" nOA IIll(1 S"Ol" a'll aonpa~ 'sluUlll a41ISU!"ll" dn al" Aa41ua4M ApoqAlaAa 01 llU!'IlAlaAa aq 10UU"0 ssaUlsnq lI"U1s AlIlllouoD" "'UO!I,,nl!S l"npIA!pUI a'll uo llu!puadap uo pUll uo oll Plnoo IS!I a'll pUll ',UaA!lap 'sao!AJos Illuoslad llU!laJJo 'llu!z!lll!oads s" 'IOns sassau>f"aM 1!a41 01 llu!ISnfpll Aq uO!I!lodwoo U!"40 allllll aA!AJnS u"o sassau!snq IIIlUls papu!U1 uado ISOW" : POO;! - SZAN ".lawnsuo~ ,1!UlaJ, a4110ll alR 111'11 sla>flllwlII llu!z!lllpads Aq slalndwoo llu!lIas lal!lllal allllllJo luaw401l010UO a'll 01 papuodsal aA1l'1 aM" :luawd!nb3: ~alndwoJ - 6ZAN ,,'III!UlJad 10UII!M Slawnsuoo a'll '>follq llu!oll ou S! ala4.1 'AlllUO!lnloAal S! pollull'lo sll4 "O!laWV UI llu!I!lllal A"M a'll >fUIlII I ,'>flOM ssnos!p SAIlMI" I, uop sa!\!w"J 1!a41 pu" SUO!I"OeA pUIl]JO SA"P lall SIUOllld ,SpUa!lJ Alii 1111 Inq 'ssalllsnq UMO mOA llU!UMO 41!M U10paalJ aJOw aA"'l nOA AilS no A, SA"S Plo lllaA ,I AW 'Au"dwoo allllll "JOJ lllll>flOM JJo lallaq 0'1 PlnoM Aa41UalPI!40 mo Plol aA"4 aM 'auoAull uo sl41 4s'M IOU PlnoM I 'sn 10J >fJOM 01 wa41 JO AU" MOil" 10UII!M I 'ualPI!40 mOJ lno al"onpa vI 4llnoua lluOllsll1 ssolllsnq lno O>fIlUlUIlO I adOlI AIUO I" :uauo!l"IS pUll o~nl!u~n;! - tfAN ,,'AIlunWlIIOO al!IUa a'll 10J papaau AII"I!A os S! 40!4M os"q XIlI a4111!M os 'sllladd"s!p ,laallS U!IlW, sv '''OIJOUlV UMOI IIllwS U! .laallS U!IlW, AOllsap 01 anU!IUOO II!M pUll llU!A01ISap alll 51al!1l101-llllaw pu" sIIIlW lallno AlOp"d" :IB1SUJ pUll ~aAI!S - 9fAN ,;aA!^lnS II!M saaAoldwa aO!AlaS alq"allpaIMou>f pUll aO!AlaS ap!AOld UIlO 11141 salOIS Aluo 'sao!ld MOl pu" laMod llU!Allq 1!a'l141!M salOIs Illlaw asa41 Aq UMOp pasolo 0'1 II!M SUO!llllado ,dOd-PUIl-WOW, al" 40!'IM saJ01S AU"lII 00.1" :uIa",ar - LfAN ,,-Ino UIlW ssau!snq IIllwS a'll llU!OlOJ S! al"IS >flO A MaN 'ap"w llu!aq SI~Old a41JO UO!pnpal al(l asnlloaq 'sallal"ll!o pu" laaqJO sal"s a'll llu!puaJo Alsnouas >full(1 aw llUl>fIlW 'lIlOA S!41 dn IuaM os11l sasuao!l laas 'pasllaJOu! s"4 XIlll0400lV pUll ollalllll!:) '%008 dn auoll a^"4 SI!Wlad l"ull:) 'palqnop aAIl4 saXIlI Alunoo pUll 100'loS 'walqOld a'llJo Jllld AluO s.lll411nq 'aoloJ >flOM AW aonpal pu" PloS spooll JO sao!ld 041 aonpal 'AloluaAlII AW laMol 01 aUl paoloJ OAIl4 saJOlS al"salo'lM" :sa"ddns llUPBW - OtAN ,,'alllnloA lI"laAo 10MoI'pnUl T i i . not affect them personally, My business is a small 'blue collar' tavern, I pay $2,140 every three years for a state license to sell on premise liquor and beer and off premise beer. Large food and discount stores (i,e, Newmans, P&C, Fays Drugs) pay $75 per year for a license to sell off-premise beer. These large stores use beer as a 'loss leader' to get the public in the door. They sell my only product to take out for less than I can purchase it wholesale, In my opinion, N,Y, State requires license fees for the money only," NY6 - Restaurant: "It is extremely difficult at the present time to compete with larger competing restaurants, especially franchises, because in a tourist area, it's the franchises that are the first draw, Taxes and insurance and Workman's Compensation costs continue to rise, Suppliers continue to raise their prices and yet if we do, everyone becomes upset and stays away, It's basically a 'no-win' situation," NY5 - Auto Supplies/Service: "The way things are right now, if a chain came here in Geneva it would probably force us out of business," NY4- Men's Wardrobe: "We are a better men's specialty store, Chances are, a customer who wants a better quality in men's wear will come to us or a similar type store, I feel a Wal-Mart type store hurts a store like us by taking away traffic from our 'Main Street.' We lose window shoppers who might stroll in just looking, and possibly make a major purchase, The mega-chains compete with so many types of stores (hardware, electronics, etc,) that people will tend to go there first before checking 'Main Street'," NY2 - Jewelry: "The Geneva market was already affected by introduction ofKmart, Wal-Mart (2 locations), Wegmans and Tops (Superstore), Market surveys for this area do not support this amount of retail space and now three major outlet strip plazas of over 150 stores are planned for Geneva development within 12 months," NYl - Men's Casual Clothina:: "One of the biggest negative impacts is the reduced downtown traffic caused by these mega stores, It is hard to draw customers to a downtown location, These chain stores, by being situated on the out-skirt of the city further erode customer traffic, A positive impact is that you have to become a better merchant in order to compete, You cannot remain stagnant." NY54 - Bikes/Eouipment: "It's a free enterprise society so they have every right, but these 'mega stores' are putting us small guys out of business and ruining downtowns," NY55 - Bar and Grill: "I don't understand why I was sent this survey, My business is a floundering bar and grill, In the nine years that I've owned it, I have seen business dwindle to nearly nothing because of laws, rules and regulations and the economy," NY57 - Lumber: "We currently have Builders Square locations in Syracuse and Rochester. Although they are approximately 40 miles from us we still realize their impact. Home Depot is currently building and/or planning stores within both of those market areas, To further complicate our rural market, the Depot is developing a strategy to penetrate the rural/smaller market areas, It goes without saying that it is tough as hell out here and getting worse, We are doing everything possible to survive, Our business plan is not designed for 3 to 5 years, it is based on daily survival. Without help, I believe most independents will not survive," no III 'tV 'd '[661Isnilny [Z '/oumo{Jaa./IS 110M elf.L ,:llno:J S"SU"~JY U! 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The conclusions at law warranting the decision against Wal-Mart follow:' "Conclusions of Law" "Act 253 of 1937, 'The Unfair Trade Practices Act,' Ark, Code Ann, ~~-75-201 through -75-2 11, ('the Act') specifically sets out the legislative intent of 'the Act':" "The General Assembly declares that the purpose of this subsection is to , , , foster and encourage competition by prohibiting unfair and discriminatory prices by which fair and honest competition is destroyed or prevented," "The Arkansas Supreme Court recognized 'the Act's' purpose in Beam Brothers v, Monsanto [1976- I Trade Cases '1[60,720],259 Ark, 233, 532 S,W, 2d 175 (1976):" "This subsection (of the Act) is intended for the primary benefit of the public by protecting dealers, especially small dealers, from unfair competition by large dealers," "The purpose of 'the Act' is not to protect small business from large business, downtown from malls, or to guarantee any business a share of the market, but to encourage 'fair and honest competition.' The protection afforded by 'the Act' is from 'unfair competition'." "'The Act' makes it unlawful for a business to sell, or advertise for sale 'any article or product' at less than the 'cost thereof,' 'Cost' in this instance is defined as:" ", , , all costs of doing business incurred in the conduct of the business and must include without limitation the following items of expense: labor, which includes salaries of the executives and officers, rent, interest on borrowed capital, depreciation, selling cost, maintenance of equipment, delivery cost, credit losses, all types of licenses, taxes, insurance, and advertising, Ark, Code Ann, ~4,75.209(2)(b)(3)" "The prohibition against sales below costs does not apply to the sale below cost of seasonal, damaged, deteriorated and perishable items; good faith closing business sales; and court ordered sales." "Wal-Mart contends that the court should look at 'market-basket' cost rather than single product or article cost. While the Court can find no Arkansas judicial decision construing this issue the Court finds that Ark, Code Ann, ~4,75,209 is clear -- 'the Act' applies to 'any article or product' and not 'market-basket' or 'overall product line' cost." "The burden of proof is on Plaintiffs to establish three essential elements: that Conway Wal- Mart sold, offered to sell or advertised to sell products (I) at less than the cost to Conway Wal-Mart, (2) for the purpose of injuring competitors, and (3) for the purpose of destroying 4Wal-MartStoresv, American Drues/nc, 319Ark,214, 891 S,W,2d(Ark 1995), 112 En ,,'paIU"lD SI SISOO pU" sollllw"p olqall JOJ Isanbal ,SJJIIlIIllld" ,,00',6Z'OZ llnla AI!W"d" ,,00'L9([[ llnla la>fIlS" "OO'LOV'Z17$ llnla U"O!lawv.. ,,:SMOIIOJ s" sallllw"p Spl"MIl Jlno:) a'll pUll palU"lD SI sollllwllp JOJ Isanbal s,SJJ'IUIBld.. ,,'pOIU"lD S! ,PV saolpBJd ap"l.1 l!BJU[1, a'll Aq pau~ap s" ISOO MOlaq llu!1I0S 1II01J Jl"W-I"M A"MUO:) 1II0rua Ollsanbal ,SJJIIU!"ld.. ,pZmuva PW P"fON.. ,,'UOII!IOdwoo ssal pu" OlOlll'lllM SIO>fllllll la'llo pUll saul I pnpold IU"Aalol a'll JO saolJd AIuno:) lau>flnlld uaaMlaq saoud 1II AIUllds,p a4.1" '9 ,,'SJJIIUIBld llu!pnpu! 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JO Joold la'llo aq Isnw ala4.1 'auol" sallls pu" llUIS!JlaAp" ISOO MOlaq U101J pallaJU! aq 10UUIl0 uOlllladwoo AOllsap pu" SlOllladwoo amrUI 01 asodlnd 1"41 spu~ )Jno:) a'I.1" ,'JOv a'll, U! Ino las suolldwoxa al(l U1411M II"J IOU op sa Ills ISOO MOlaq asa4.1 'S!Sllq l"lnllal" uo (.ssaUlsnq llu!op JO ISOO, a4Iuo'llllOP!SUOO OIU! llul>f1l1 In0411M) SISOO pal!nbo" 10 aO!OAUI MOlaq spnpold Alnllaq pUll 4111la4 pUll 1"01Inoo,,wl"4d PloS pu" paS!JlaAp" Jl"W-I"M AIlMUO:) 1"41 llla(O S! aouop'AO a4.1" ",( 1)(") 60Z',L-17~ 'uuv apo:) '>flV 'uOII!ladwoo " .... "Plaintiffs' request for attorney's fees is denied due to the lack of statutory authority for such allowance," Wal-Mart immediately announced that it would appeal Judge Reynold's predatory-pricing decision to the Arkansas Supreme Court, Wal-Mart subsequently appealed the decision and had it reversed by the Arkansas Supreme Court; but not without dissent.' In Chapter VI on Predatory Pricing, the writer will discuss in more detail some of the data, expressed by the lower court as well as the majority and minority views ofthe Supreme Court in the appeals case won by Wal-Mart, The tendency to litigate continued to grow when a large number of independent drug store owner/operators, from the traditional proprietorships to small chains, decided that pricing differentials were not fair and decided to take legal action not against the large chains, but against drug manufacturers and wholesalers, The issue in what was to become a class action suit was whether the price differences for prescription drugs at the retail level were based upon economies of scale present in large drug chains and generally justifiable, The small drug stores saw the enemy as the drug manufacturers, and not always the retail chains, The proposed class action suit wanted the manufacturers to prove not only how they can justify selling at lower prices to higher volume customers, but additionally how they could justify selling at lower prices to lower volume customers, such as buying groups who purchase drugs for hospitals, HMO's, nursing hOllles and clinics, However, there were a number of these lawsuits involving price discrimination in pharmaceuticals, one of which included large and small drugstore chains that challenged primarily the high discounts offered to HMOs and buying groups, The plaintiffs (pharmacists), numbering in the hundreds, filed a class action suit in federal court in Chicago in November, 1994' against at least thirty drug manufacturers and wholesalers, The suit was an antitrust suit, alleging specific violations of the Sherman Antitrust Act and the Clayton Act. The suit related to pricing, variable discounts, combinations and conspiracy in unreasonable restraint of trade and concerted action, Later in this text, the author will detail various cases and precedents which might have relevance with respect to protecting the nation's small retailers against possible monopolization, predatory pricing, restraint of trade and various antitrust activities by the nation's major retail chains as well as the mega-retail discount giants, Nowhere in this text will the author recommend company versus company litigation, but he hopes to make his observations available to Congress, State Legislators and federal and state regulatory agencies with the recommendation that fair trade practice laws be reviewed and where more surveillance is necessary to protect the small retai ler, that it be done, '[bid, 'No, 94-C-6398 (N,D, III. 1994), 114 .11 '81-9[ 'dd '(17661 :U01~U!4S"M) ao!.IJO lo~pn8 ["UO!SSal~uoJ ,:,(O!lOd ,(lna-~U!II"AlaIUnO;) pu" ilu!dwnp!lUV 's'n spajjV .1.1 VD ",oH", 'P!4!s '[ 'd '1766 [ Isnilnv I [ '(,(I'oa .JDaM S, uawoM) MMM ,:s:au!Je~4 asnoH u! 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Cases and Material on Antitrust Fundamentals, 3rd ed, (St. Paul: West Publishing Company, 1979), pp, 11- [6, "15 U,S,C, I, 26 Stat. 209, "[bid, 13 [5 U,S,C 2, 26 5tat.209, 1426 Stat. 209, Sec, 1,2, and 7, "Op, Cit" Scherer and Ross, pp.449-472 for a discussion of the history of predatory pricing and other related jurisprudence under the Sherman Act, and pp, 508-516 for a discussion of antitrust policies toward price discrimination. "Not all economists are satisfied that the courts have kept completely up to date with the econolllics literature on predatory pricing, See Alvin K, Klevorick, "The Current State of the Law and Economics of Predatory Pricing," American Economic Association Pavers and Proceedin~s (1993), pp, 162-167, 116 L11 '1 fL 'I"IS 8f :gz ',Z '::rs'n ,I" 'tfL 'I"IS 8f 'IZ '::rs'n ,[" 'OfL '1IlIS 8f '(")f I '::rs'n S1" ,,', SUO!l!PUOJ pu" ,aou"ISWnOl!O l"I!W!S AII"'lu"I'qns lopun, sln"4 10)J04S U"41 Jajjuol JOj au![ ow"s 041UO Ja",ol 010'" l"41 sal"l pu" UO!I"U!WIJOS!P ["UOS10d ISU!"jj" Sl"q ["pods'll!'" ',al"l P"Oll!"J U! 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However, the criminal provision of the Robinson-Patman Act has not been used in decades and is unlikely to be used, "A key issue relates to the phrase emphasized above: 'or to injure, destroy, or prevent competition.' Does 'competition' refer to competitors of the firm engaging in price discrimination or to the vigor of competition between and among the price-discriminating firm and its competitors? The former could make almost all price discrimination illegal. depending on the standard of injury, The latter is a much more demanding standard, If the price-discriminating firm takes away 10 percent of the market, each competitor is injured, Yet the loss does not affect the vigor of competition between and among the competitors and the price-discriminating firm,"27 "The courts have decided this question differently depending on the relation of the injured firms to the participants in the low-price sale, The injured firms might be competitors of the price-discriminating firm, competitors of the firm receiving the lower price, or competitors of the customers of the firm receiving the lower price, Injury to the first of 23[5 U,S,c. [5(a), 38 Stat. 731. "[5 U,S,c. 24, 38 Stat. 736, "15 U .s.C, [3, 2 [ (a); 49 Stat. [526, 1527; and Op, cit., Scherer and Ross, p, 509, "IS U,S,C, 13(a), 49 Stat. [526, 270p, cit., Congressional Budget Office Study, p, 18, 118 611 't661lsnllnv I 'VJ '005l0u"ld u"S -"'''11'' s,(ouJOuV pu" SJolosuno;) :a",08 '8 lIa"'O;) 'SIA"G U101,l U1npu"loUlOW" 'P!Qhi: 'bS3 'plOAIV 'w aIJOfl"W pUll 'bS3 'U4")! 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OOUap!AO alllpdoldd" JI AIUO Inq 'sul"lIo l"'lal 10r"W JO )J"d a'lluo Sa!I!Alp" oAlllladwoo-'IU" aqlJosald 01 sOlouoll" 1"luaulluaAolll"lapaJ 10J "1I01qUlll u" OplAOld op uOII"laldlalul 11041 pu" Isnllllu" uo sallll"ls a'lll"'ll lapllal olll 01 snolAqo sawooaq I[ 'sOSAIIlllll pu" s)Jodal aO~JO lallpns IBlIO!SSallluo:) llUIMa!Aal JO Ilnsal 11 S" laldlll(o SIlII U! la!lllla paz!llllllUlllS salUlllls ISnll!llIll aliI JO llullIllalll Iuallno pUll oIJolsll1 a4lJo uOII"loldlaIU! pu" S!SAI"UIl la4JlnJ 11 'asuas " U! 'SI 10l1lnll a'll 01 wnpullJOwaw llu!MOIIOJ oll.1 'SUlll40 Iunooslp Imlal-"llow a'll Aq 10lA"'laq JO sadAlum)Jao Isu!"ll" luoUlaoloJ"o Iuanbasqns 01 AoullAalal alqlssod 1!a41 pu" salUl"ls AJOIlllnllal SnOIJ"A alllJo llulu"aUl aliI OI"ISOl 01 Aldul!s Inq 'sll"'40 Imlal Isu!llllll uOIIllllII!1 JO adAI AU" puawwooal 01 pa>fs" IOU alaM sAauJOllll llu!lInsuoo 0'1.1 "SAaU~Onv JUllJIDSUO:J S!H pUll ~OqJDV oqJ Aq saJDJllJS JSD~mUV oqJJo Ma!AoH V ",,'ilU!OIJd AlOI"pald JO sas"o U! AluO Illllall! Sl lluldwnp 01 llol"ull o!ISaWOp a'll S! l"'II"011IlU!WIJOSIP aOIJdJo )JOS al(l 'sn4.1 'pV ullulJa'lS a'll lapun sasllo llU!O!ld AJOI"pald 10J aSOl(1 '11'M l"OIIUap! AII"lluossa MOU 01" Aa411"411U10d a'll 01 paAloAa aA"'1 Alnrlll 'Ions lllllAOld JOJ sPl"PU"IS aliI 'sl"aA a'lI laAO ,,'UOllljadwoo JO JOlllA a'll 01 AmrUl" lI"aw 01 ,,1I011!!odwoo 01 Amflll" palaldlallll '\1I1l1allall aA"4 sJlnoo a'll 'AmrUl 'Ions JO sas"o ul 'sas"o ll,,!dulIlp pUll llu!oIJd A10lllpald U! anssl III SI 1"41 AlnrUl JO )Jos al(l SI--Wl~ llu!l"ullIIlJos!p-aolJd a'lI JO slollladwoo--sdnolll asalll " " MEMORANDUM The Basics of Federal Laws on Monopolization and Predatory Pricing To: Dr, Edward B, Shils From: Davis, Cowell & Bowe Counselors and Attorneys at Law 100 Van Ness Avenue San Francisco, CA 94102 Date: August I, 1994 This memorandum sets out a brief overview of basic federal antitrust law on monopolization and predatory pricing, I. Basic Definition of Monopolization Section 2 of the Sherman Act makes it a crime to monopolize or attempt to monopolize commerce, See 15 U,S,c. ~2, Unlawful monopolization is typically defined as the possession of monopoly power plus some element of deliberateness, i,e" conduct intended to acquire, use or preserve that power. As was stated by the Supreme Court: The offense of monopoly under Section 2 of the Shennan Act has two elements: ( I) the possession of monopoly power in the relevant market and (2) the willful acquisition or maintenance of that power, as distinguished from growth or development as a consequence of a superior product, business acumen, or historic accident. See us. v, Grinnell, 384 U,S, 563, 570-71 (1966) [emphasis supplied]. The principal dilemllla faced in making the analysis is that the same conduct used to obtain and/or maintain monopoly power (e,g.. low pricing, customer discrimination, integrating into different markets, introducing new products) are also often seen as generally beneficial competitive strategies which ought to be encouraged, See, u" Matsushita Elee, lnd. Co, v, Zenith Radio COrD., 475 U,S, 574, 594 (1986), A, The Relevant Market Monopoly power has been generally defined as "the power to control prices or to exclude competition," See American Tobacco Co, v, Us., 328 U,S, 78 I (1946), The power to exclude competition may derive from any number of unfair practices that make it difficult for existing competitors to survive or to enter the market, such as predatory pricing, In order to determine whether monopoly power exists (or is dangerously likely), first the relevant market in which to evaluate this power must be defined, See Walker Process Equivment v, Food Mach. & Chern, COrD., 382 U,S, 172, 177 (1965) ["without a definition ofthat market there is no way to measure ability to lessen or destroy competition,"]. The notion of the relevant market is usually defined in terms of two aspects: The products or services involved ("the relevant product market") and the geographic area involved ("the relevant geographic market"), See Brown Shoe Co, v, Us., 370 U,S, 294, 324 (1962), The question of what constitutes the relevant market is one of fact, typically involving complicated concepts from neoclassical economic theory 120 III SI II lIlln0411V 'allllls la~l"U1 JO suualUI pau~ap AIIIlI1SI1 SI Jlasll laMod Alodouow JO aoualSlxa a'l.1 a~Bqs la"~BW '11 'SM"llsnlIIIU" JO sasodmd 041 llllllOU'Old 10J Al"ssaoau "1I0BOldd,, lenp"J 'oll"wll"ld" "salnlllSUOO UOII!uljap 11 lions 1"1I1 panlllll aq Plnoo II 'lsaM 10 IsaM41nos 'S[1I"lnl-!lIIaS alllU! 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'sasodlnd 110111 10J asn AI!pllal A"W slaAnq 1"41 saAII"ulallll la>fl"w alll ala'\! 0104[M] , , , laMod AlodoUOlll SI alalll 'IO>fl"W a41U! olqllll1lA" Salnl!lsqns In0411M 'IS0101UI auo Aq pallOllllOO SI pnpold " ua4M :pal"IS Jlno:) a'l.1 '(alll'lS %OZ u"41 ssal" P"4luod np) IIl!lalllw llu!ll">fo"d alq!xaLJ JO (al"lIs %,L "P"4Iuod np) aUIl4dollao S"M P>fl"wluIlAalal a'll la41a4M S"M uOIlsonb 041 ala4M '(9,61) LL[ S[1 1,[ "0;) '? ,,,nomoN ap luod np 13 '~ Sfl Ulla>fl"Ullu"Aolal a4lJo UO!IOU a'll passnoslp Jlno:) awaldns aliI 'apls pl1pold 041uO sa~!~as ~o spnpo~d ~oJ la"~llw lUBAo,allll 's)Jadxa JO salll"q pu" 'T , typically conceded that direct proofthrough use of reconstructed supply and demand curves is best, it is (or should be) recognized that such proof is virtually impossible to establish accurately since data simply does not exist in the form necessary to match the constraints of necessary neoclassical economic assumptions, Therefore, the notion of market share is used, Although there is no hard and fast rule as to what market share establishes monopoly power, a market share in excess of 70% has almost always been deemed sufficient to support the inference, while a market share of less than 40% virtually precludes a finding of the existence of monopoly power. Market share is not the only determination of the use of market power. Other factors to be considered include consideration of whether market share declines or increases over time, the extent to which the alleged monopolizer is forced to lower prices in response to the pricing practices of competitors, the extent to which new competitors are able to enter the market, the degree of product innovation, and so on, A defendant may have a huge market share but avoid liability by successfully arguing the one or more of these other pro-competitive conditions exists, Again, this analysis would involve a costly battle of experts, Of course, proofoflllonopoly power is not by itself enough to show an antitrust violation, One must also demonstrate deliberate or intentional anti-competitive conduct. To persuade a governlllent agency to investigate, evidence of such deliberateness would be important. II, Predatory Pricing A demonstration of predatory pricing practices may be one way to establish the deliberateness prong of the test. Predatory pricing has been defined as "pricing below an appropriate measure of cost for the purpose of eliminating competitors in the short run and reducing competition in the long run," See Carrdll, Inc, v, Monfort of Cola.. Inc" 479 U,S, 104, 117(1986), One of the complaints frequently heard about the "Big Box" warehouse stores is that they aggressively price in order to put the local competition out of business, As the above discussion implies, however, one should bear in mind that aggressive pricing is not tJer se unlawful under the Sherman Act. It is important to show use and abuse of monopoly power in the relevant market, In addition to Section 2 of the Sherman Act, the Robinson-Patman Act regulates pricing policies, Section 2(a) of the Clayton Act as alllended by the Robinson-Patman Act provides: It shall be unlawful for any person engaged in commerce, in the course of such commerce, either directly or indirectly, to discriminate in price between different purchasers of commodities of like grade and quality, , , where the effect of such discrimination may be substantially to lessen competition or tend to create a monopoly in any line of commerce, or to injure, destroy or prevent competition with any person who either grants or knowingly receives benefit of such discrimination, or with customers of either of them, See 15 U ,S,c. S I3(a), Actions for predatory pricing have often involved claims under both provisions, In 1993, the Supreme Court issued its decision entitled Brook Group Ltd. v, Brown and Williamson Tobacco Corp" 113 S,Ct, 2578, 61 L,W, 4699 (1993), which substantially undermines the availability ofa predatory pricing action based on federal law, either under the Sherman Act or the Robinson-Patman Act, The Supreme Court indicated that the appropriate legal analysis in a predatory pricing case is substantially the same whether the action is brought under the Sherman Act or the Robinson-Patman Act. 122 €ZI 'SIUnOOS!p a'll 10J SUO!I"O~!ISnf paAOlddll SnOlleA llU!AOld Aq papuaJap 0'1 UIlO UOIPIl a'l.1 'AmplA 01 UIBIlIIllW 01 As"a UI01J l"J S! I! 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This "meeting the competition" defense is an absolute defense to other prohibited price discrilllination, See Standard Oil Co, v, FTC, 340 U,S, 231,251 (1951), Section 2(a) of the Act permits price differentials that make "due allowance in cost of manufacture, sale or delivery resulting from the differing methods or quantities" in which goods are sold, Thus, there is the so-called "cost justification defense" under which the seller shows that the actual cost savings in dealing with one buyer is equal to or greater than the price reduction offered, based upon the factors enumerated in the statute, See Morton Salt Co" 334 U,S, 37, 48 (1948), Pricing differentials are also allowed when they represent functional discounts, that is, when the buyer assumes all the risk, investment and cost involved in connection with actually perform ing a certain function related to the sale, See Texaco, lnc, v, Hasbrouck, i 10 S,Ct, 2535, 58 L.W, 4807, 4811 (1990), In part because the price discrimination action depends upon actual injury to a specific buyer, it makes less sense to seek government investigation of such issues, IV, Other Issues Apart from predatory pricing, one might argue for an investigation to determine whether "leveraging," that is, the use of monopoly power in one market to gain an advantage in another lllarket, has been used in violation of Section 2 of the Sherman Act. This notion stems from remarks lllade by the Supreme Court that monopoly power cannot be used "to beget monopoly," See U.S, v, Grifjith. 334 U,S, 100, 108 (1948), The notion of illegal "leveraging," however, is an extremely controversial one, The question is whether one violates the Sherman Act when it uses monopoly power in one market to achieve a competitive advantage in another, even though there is no attempt to monopolize the second market. TJ>e Second Circuit has said that such a violation exists so long as an actual abuse of monopoly power is shown, See Berkev Photo, lnc, v, Eastman Kodak Co" 603 F,2d 263, 275 (2d Cir. 1979), Using this notion, one might argue that "Big Box" warehouse stores violate Section 2 in unfairly "leveraging" monopoly power enjoyed in the Southern U,S, market to gain advantage in the Western U,S, market. However, apart from the difficulties in establishing the existence of monopoly power in the Southern U,S" or the "abuse" of such power to leverage into the Western market, the Ninth Circuit has made such an argument much more difficult by expressly rejecting the leveraging notion, After noting that antitrust laws tolerate monopolies arising from efficiencies, the Court of Appeals in Alaska Airlines v, Us., 948 F,2d 536 (9th Cir, 1991) stated: [T]he elements of the established actions for "monopolization" and "attempted" monopolization" are vital to differentiate between efficient and natural monopolies on the one hand, and unlawful monopolies on the other. Berkev Photo's monopoly leveraging doctrine fails to differentiate properly among monopolies, The anti-competitive dangers that implicate the Sherman Act are not present when a monopolist has a lawful monopoly in one market and uses its power to gain a competitive advantage in the second market. By definition, the monopolist has failed to gain, or attempt to gain, a monopoly in the second market, Thus, such activity fails to meet the second element n~cessary to establish a violation of Section 2, (948 F,2d at 548), 124 SZI 'sasodlnd pll" salollod pal"ls S,AlI"dwoo a'll W01J Alpallp alOW pallaJ"1 aq Plnoo 'I014M 'UOlllladwoo a'll amrlll OIIUalll! UIl P"4 Au"dwoo a'll M04s 01 papaau AluO sJj!IU!llld a'll 'pllalsul '('IJlOJ os pu" Sla>fl"UI IUIlAal"lJO S!SAlllllll Jladx~ pal"olldwoo llUlAIOAU!) UOIllladwoo 01 Alnrlll 10 laMod AIOdollOUl MO'ls tou paou sJJIIU!"ld a'll 11141 paU!Wlalap allpnr a'll (Jlno:) Alaollll'l:) laMol a'll U1) 'OS"O SIlSUIl>flV a'lIU! 'AlIllllld 'UllllllWI~Old A'lll"a'l " sumllll"W lI"laAo lal'lllal a4lJ! uaAa pnpold llllno!Jllld" 01 s" W!"IO Isoo-Mol"q-sal"s M"I al"IS " UI 10Aooal ""O JJllumld paAoullll" u" 11141 su"aw 40mldd" la~s"q la>fl"w 04lJo lIOIpara~ '(([661) I to[ PZ'lld~ '1":) ,Z '4117 'ddV 'I":) "a.loJ tJltJa IS.l!.'! 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Idoolloo llu!ll"lOAaI a4lJo AI!I'qll!A panU!IUOO a4.1 'palllaouoo al" (UOlllu!'lS"M 'uollalO '''P''AaN 'o'l"PI '!!"M"H 'U1U10JII":) '''UOZIJV '''>fs''IV) sal"IS ulalsaM a'll UI Sa!I'Alp" s" l"J s" poparal SI ldaouo~ llu!lllllaAal a'll 'SnLl.1 .~ ~ A REVIEW I, Many states (24) according to the research division of the Library of Congress had state "Below- Cost Sales Statutes," This list included Oklahoma, where Wal-Mart was sued, and additionally such large states as California, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and others (See Chapter VI for more details), 2, As a result of the case of American Drufls lnc, v, Waf-Mart Stores lnc" where at least in the lower court the plaintiffs won, there has been engendered an increased interest in the law of predatory pricing, generally with concurrent interest in state below-cost pricing statutes, 3, The reader should understand from the Congressional Budget materials as well as the legal analysis provided the author by the law firm of Davis, Cowell & Bowe of San Francisco, California, that while predatory pricing comes under the purview of the Sherman, Clayton, Federal Trade Commission and Robinson-Patman Acts at the federal level; that nevertheless it should not be construed that any "below cost sales," at least at the federal level are not necessarily to be interpreted in the same way as would be the case of litigating in the twenty-four state jurisdictions having "below-cost" pricing statutes, 4, Nevertheless, the Wal-Mart opinions, both at the Chancery level (when Wal-Mart lost) and at the Arkansas Supreme Court level (when Wal-Mart won) do create interest in the subject of predatory pricing and should stimulate the Federal Trade Commission and possibly the U,S, Justice Department to review appropriate federal regulatory statutes which might result in greater protection for the small retailer. 5, Further, most states have enacted "baby" Sherman Acts which track the federal statute, and the below-costs sales provisions, themselves are often contained in the more general pricing statutes that are similar to the federal Robinson-Patman price discrimination law--either of which may be used advantageously to challenge truly predatory pricing behavior. 6, Chapter V also mentioned that a group of retailers took a different tack on pricing differentials by suing both manufacturers and wholesalers, The author's study shows that more and more of the chain's ability to lower prices is due to the massive discounts available to them for large volume purchases, Not only are these unit prices not available to small retailers, but wholesalers, who used to sell the small retailer are disappearing as the chains buy "direct" from the manufacturer. 7, In August 1994, the House Small Business Committee met and listened to witnesses who were concerned about the survival of the small retailer in the face of the growing power of the mega-retail discount chains, Although the 1995 and 1996 Small Business Committees of both the House and Senate have continued this type of public hearing, the outcomes or results are minimal with practically no legislation passed to protect the small business, 8, In order to open the question in public forums and elsewhere as to which regulatory statutes available at the federal level might pertain to the behavior and growing power of chain stores, materials obtained from the U,S, Congressional Budget Office were included in this chapter. Their interpretative comments and analyses of the Robinson-Patman Act were particularly valuable, CBO describes "how in the 20's and 30's, large chain retail stores rose to prominence," The market power of some of these chains enabled them to negotiate lower prices from manufacturers than the traditional small independent retailer could obtain, For that and other reasons, the small retailers found it difficult to compete, leading to pressuring Congress to do something to help them, The pressure and dissatisfaction with the lack of success of the Clayton Act to prevent price discrimination led to the passage in 1936 of the Robinson-Patman Act." '''Op, cit., Congressional Budget Office Study, p, [7, 126 LZl 'plq[, 'Pl% 'ZY 'd 'S66{ISn~ny tZ '/tlumof' paJIS ll"M olf.l ,:0~1"4J llU!OlJd AJOI"POld SO!uoG Ins 'ISO;) "'olas ~lIIl1as SI!Wpy )J"W-I"^,,, '"lla)JO 'loS, '[661 'Z[ JoqopO POI!! 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SBSUIDJ~V aql. I ~HVd - ~NI:JIHd AHO~V<I3Hd IA H3.LdVH:J 1- The second element to be considered under state laws is whether there was an "intent" to injure competition, and whether in fact the result of such malice was to injure the competition, The third element was "recoupment." Were the prices ultimately raised, once the competition was put out of business? At issue in the case was whether Wal-Mart, which had built the nation's largest retail chain with its everyday-low-price strategy, went beyond the legally recognized retail practice of promotional pricing and intended to destroy its competition, Although Chancery Court, Judge Reynolds said there was not any direct evidence tying Wal-Mart's pricing policies to such a plot, he did say circumstantial evidence existed, "The court finds that purpose to injure competitors and destroy competition cannot be interred from below-cost advertising and sales alone, There must be other proof,'" the judge wrote, citing Wal-Mart's policy of allowing store managers to unilaterally cut prices on goods below that of local competitors as part of the evidence, Attorneys for Wal-Mart in the Chancery Court also argued that "federal antitrust law should pre- empt the Arkansas law, , , and seek not to protect businesses from the workings of the market, but to protect the retailer from the failure of the market.'" This was not the first time that Wal-Mart had been in litigation involving pricing, In 1986, it was found to have violated an Oklahoma state law that required retailers to sell products at least 6,75% above cost, unless the store is having a sale or matching a competitors price, Wal-Mart settled out of court during an appeal and agreed to raise prices at all of its stores in the state, 7 Wal-Mart became the number one major retail discount chain by obviously offering value and the lower prices possible, Pricing is the essential advantage that the mega-stores have over the small retailers who have few options to buy direct and who are attempting to buy merchandise from a reduced number of regional wholesalers, Even the major wholesalers have begun to consolidate their operations as was the case in June 1994, when the number two and number three United States food wholesalers, Fleming Company, Inc, and Scrivners, Inc" began discussions to merge, The contemplated merger would have resulted in combined total sales of$I9 billion, making Fleming the nation's largest food distributor. Fleming's rival is Supervalue with $16 billion in sales, The trend towards consolidation continued to threaten the ability of the small retailer to survive, In October 1992, Supervalue had acquired Wetterau, Inc, of St. Louis for $1,1 billion, While the continued consolidation of wholesaler and distribution into fewer hands raised possible antitrust concerns; nevertheless the argument employed by the mega-retailers is that distributors would cut their own duplicative operations and hopefully provide cost savings to consumers,' 'Joanna Ramey, "Judge finds Wal-Mart guilty in pricing suit," Supermarket News, 18 October 1993, p, 4, 'Op, cil., Ortega, 24 August 1993, p, A2, 'Bob Ortega, "Suit Over Wal-Mart's Pricing Practices Goes to Trial Today in Arkansas Court," The Wall Street Journal, 23 August [993, p, A3, '''Rival food suppliers agree to major merger," The Philadelphia Inquirer, I June 1994, p, Cl, 128 6Zl TY 'd '(661 Isnllny [Z '"ll'llO ")10 'dO" ,SJOllladwoo 'SA sooIJd UMO SII lllllA"ldslp JO ao!p"ld S,Jl"W-I"M paZIO!I!lO UlllllllO'W JO OI"IS al(l 'l"aA SI41 A(1"3 'Allal"llS llu!la>fl"W S,)J"W-I"M uo >f0"1l1l IS1~ a'II10U S"M SIlI.1" "'u,,llOIS S,)JIlW-I"M allu"40 01 AI!1041nll Illllal ou SIl4 II 'sanSS! llU'S!)JaApll '1I'llnllUO Imams ssaUlsns lallas a'll '111M S>fJOM n sdnOllllSalalU! o!lqnd pu" llUlSIJlMp" UI01J slaqwaw OL -- S~YN a'I.1" ,,'oul PIJOM UO!S!A pu" saJOIS lalll".1 lllllpnpu! 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Ino llU!llnO 'AllOal!p Ula'll '111M I"ap PlnoM II Slollddns JOr"w Plol lal!lllal a'll 'aldw"xa 10J '1661 uI 'alq!ssod s" Ism 'lonul s" UII1I 01 AlaAlssalllllll paAolll s"4 'sllam ullqln OIU! saAOW I! s" slal!llpl alll"l la410 W01J UO!I!ladwoo pas"aloul llulo"J 'Au"dwoo a'll puV 'sla!lddns U101J Ism alq!ssod IsaMol a'll I" spooll pu"wop 01 all"laAol 041 II saA,ll ([6, Isnllnv) 'sqnlo asn04alllM pu" salOIS 00['(; Ill'll aJOwnaz!s la04s S,JlIlW-I"M" :AlpOl'P Slalllp"JnU""1 '111M I"ap 01 SpualU! JlIlW-I"M 11141 Ino palulod apl)J" fvuJnof' 100J1S IIvAI. 11 1I1 "llOllO U1S '1 .,I prices, The signs sometimes compared items of different sizes and were not fair comparisons, state officials charged," "The old slogan has been in use since 1988," "Retail consultant Alan Millstein says it may have worked for Wal-Mart in its early years, when it frequented smaller markets and easily beat competitor's prices, 'Now they are well into the most competitive metro markets, It's much more difficult for them to make that claim and have it be true,' he says,"1O In a related matter, but in a governmental involvement in Michigan, Wal-Mart agreed to modify its pricing rules after negotiations with Michigan's Attorney General." "Wal-Mart Stores agreed not to use unfair or deceptive practices in comparative price advertising at it Wal-Mart and Sam's Club stores in Michigan," "The agreement with the Michigan state attorney general's office came as response to a complaint filed by Kmart Corp" Troy, Mich,; Target Stores, Minneapolis, and Meijer Inc" Grand Rapids, Mich," "The three retailers claimed Wal-Mart's comparisons were misleading, In signing the agreement, Wal-Mart did not admit to any violations," "Wal-Mart agreed to identify the date on which comparisons were made; not to lower an item's price solely to achieve a favorable price comparison; not to use market-basket comparisons unless the Wal-Mart employees responsible for pricing do not know which items have been selected for the survey; and not to compare multiple-item package prices with individual item prices when the multiple package is not available to others in the market. " The growing power of the mega-retail discount chains is in part a matter of mass purchasing at discounts from manufacturers and major wholesalers, which provide merchandise at very low costs to consumers; often below costs as "loss leaders," Also, the reduced overhead per store as the corporations grow in accelerated fashion and introduce formidable powers to confront City Councils, zoning boards, etc, to accomplish their real estate objectives is contributing to their power. Scholars such as Kenneth Stone, Professor of Economics at Iowa State University, a Wal-Mart analytical observer and Thomas Muller, a Fairfax, Virginia economist and the author of a report on the impact that three proposed Wal-Mart stores would have on Northeastern Vermont communities, both previously mentioned, might have a somewhat similar point of view on the major impact resulting from the growth of the Kmarts and Wal-Marts on small retailers, "Main Street" and community stability, The writer will point out Muller's testimony before the House Small Business Committee in 1994 at a later point in this chapter. Seven years ago, Kenneth Stone, began to study the Wal-Mart phenomenon IOEllen Neuborne, "Wal-Mart modifies its slogan," USA Today, 26 May 1994, p, 28, ""Wal-Mart agrees to pricing ruling; will not use unfair or deceptive practices at Michigan stores," Supermarket News, 28 March 1994, p, 7, 130 I, --' In 'Plql" 'z:,'d 'Z66[ [!ldV OZ: 'aUl1.L ,,',(o,,ll'l NO.llVi\\. 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OUOIS MON 'UO!IUallll AU" pllld pll'l Sl"1040S Mad 'lOpnllU! alln4 a'll Aq Ino paMoII04 llulaq SUMOI AU"U1 JO aJ!IIIl!OlaWWOo a'll palOU a4 lalJ" al"IS sl4 UI TIf '" (Wal-Mart) against "them" (downtown merchants) attitude, and the modest involvement in public affairs and charities by store officers are building resentment."" Wal-Mart's Successful Appeals from the Faulkner County Chancery Court, Opinion Delivered by Judge Robert L, Brown of the Arkansas Supreme Court on Januarv 9. 1995 judge David L. Reynolds' earlier decision in the case of American Druf!s Inc, v, Waf-Mart Stores, filed on October 12, 199316 was reversed and dism issed by the Arkansas Supreme Court on January 9, 1995," This appeal is classic in that hundreds of lawyers in various states in which mega-retail discount chains are located are reviewing the majority and minority opinions to determine whether additional state litigation on various predatory pricing and selling below cost cases are worth exploring; and whether any of the data provided in both the majority and dissenting opinions might throw light on whether similar predatory pricing cases may be in the purview and plans by either the U,S, Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission, "Appellant Wal-Mart Stores, lnc, appealed from an order of the Chancery enjoining it from engaging in below-cost sales and assessing damages against it for violation of the Arkansas Unfair Practices Act, Wal-Mart argued on appeal: (I) that the Chancery Court erred as a matter of law in finding that it sold products below cost for the purpose of injuring competitors and destroying competition; (2) that the Chancery Court erred in considering individual articles to determine cost and profit rather than the entire product lines, or "market basket"; and (3) that the Chancery Court's interpretation of the Arkansas Unfair Trade Practices Act violated the Arkansas Constitution and the United States Constitution."18 The Supreme Court of Arkansas agreed with Wal-Mart, on their first point and hence reversed the Chancery Court order and dismissed the case," The Chancery Court had earlier ascertained certain findings among others in coming to its decision against Wal-Mart,20 These findings should be kept in mind when reviewing the successful appeal later in this chapter. "That Wal-Mart determined the 'every day price' for its products at its headquarters in Bentonville, that store managers could not raise the price for a product above that set price, "Ibid, lOOp, Cit" American Druf!s Inc, et, ai, v, Waf-Mart Stores Inc, ~pO, 382, Faulkner County, Arkansas Chancery Court, (October 12, [993), "Wal-Mart Stores v, American Druf!s, Inc, No, 94-235; 3 [9 Arkansas 2 [4; 891 S,W, 2nd 30; [995 Arkansas (January 9, 1995), "Ibid" p, I. "Ibid, 2OIbid" pp, 3-6, 132 EEl 'sal"s ISOO MOlaq JO Aouanbalj pu" laqulllu a4.1 'I :uo!l!ladwoo llU!A01ISap pUll SlOI!ladwoo llulJnfu! 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ISOO MOlaq JO sal"s W01J sassollasJJo PlnoM 40!4M Swal! la410 JO sOllls lapualluo Plnoo )J"W-IIlM 'O~JBlI llu'llllauail ,('1 1"l(.1" ,,:, o~Jllll as"alOUI 01 alOIS " QIlII SlaWOIsno JO loqumu alBllol)Jodoldslp 11 pBlllll, 01 pUll 'aollldlo>fl"lIIl"ool a41111 dlllslap"al ,aoud-Mo(, U"'IUI"W 01 'SJollladwoo JO sao!ld 1!lllal .lllaq JO laaw, 01 S"M pl"llal S!41 U! AOllod pal"IS S,Jl"W-I"M 1"l(.1.. ,,:ISOO UOII!S!nbo" S,JlIlW-IIlM MOloq al"s 10J SWal! lenp'A!pu! paSIJlaAp" P"l( aJOIS al(l 1"'1.1" ,,:llBl^J -111M AIlMUO:) a'll I" palJnooo P"4 S!411"41 pu" 'sla>flllw OA!I!ladwoo Al'llllll 1II spnpold as04lJo aUlos lluu!nboll JO ISOO s,)JIlW-IIlM MOlaq AlluonbalJ S"M aO!ld palaMol a411"l(.1" ,,:swal! IllnplA'pu!JO Jl"W-IIlM OIISOO a'll 01 plllllal In041!M "alll la>fl"w al(IU! slOI!ladwoo Aq palllll40 saoud llU!JOI!UOW lalJll sao!ld laMO( Plnoo slallllllllw alols IIl411nq 'r ~ 2, The extent of below costs sales, 3, WaI-Mart's stated pricing policy - "meet or beat the competition without regard to cost." 4, Wal-Mart's stated purpose of below cost sales - to attract a disproportionate number of customers to W al- Mart, 5, The in-store price comparison of products sold by competitors, including Plaintiffs, 6, The disparity in prices between Faulkner County prices of the relevant product-lines and other markets with more and less competition, The Chancery Court then granted the injunction against below-cost sales, The chancellor also assessed treble damages as a penalty, Majority Opinion of the Court Hearing the Wal-Mart Successful Appeal Several items stand out in the Supreme Court's opinion: "It is clear that mere proof of below-cost sales is not sufficient to prove a violation of the Act, The Chancery Court agreed with this but found an intent to destroy competition based on the extent, frequency, and number of those sales, Despite this finding, the Chancery Court failed to present details ofWal-Mart's practice regarding specific articles which led to the (alleged) violation, The individual items sold below cost, the frequency of those sales, the duration of those sales, and the extent of such sales were not revealed in the Chancery Court's opinion, And that is a critical point in this case," "We discern no proof in the record of this case that Wal-Mart specifically intended to destroy competition with regard to anyone article like Crest Toothpaste or Bayer Aspirin or Dilantin by selling below cost for a sustained period oftime, What is evidenced is that Wal-Mart regularly would sell varying items below cost as loss leaders to entice people into its store and increase traffic, The loss-leader items would change on a regular basis, That strategy of selling below the competitors' price and even below W ai-Mart' s own cost, which Wal-Mart admits to, is markedly different from a sustained effort to destroy competition in one article by selling below cost over a prolonged period oftime, Our statute does not make loss leaders illegal, and for that reason the Chancery Court erred in inferring a purpose to destroy competition from a loss-leader strategy," "We observe further that if the Chancery Court's statutory interpretation was correct, any business using the loss-leader approach to attract customers on a regular basis would be in violation of the Act. That kind of expansive interpretation runs directly counter to our oft- stated policy of strict construction of penal statutes in favor of those upon whom the burden will fall. Our statute plainly does not contemplate a prima facie case of predation based on loss-leader sales, and we are not willing to invalidate, and indeed render illegal, the technique of using loss-leader products or services without a clear directive from the General Assembly that is now the public policy ofthe State of Arkansas," 134 ,€I :SUO!ISanb pu" sanSS! S,IU"lIaddll a'll SlaMSU" Uo!u!do llu!IUOSSIP a4.1 'suollsanb llU!MOIIOJ a'll llU!S!1l1 Aq uo!sloap s)Jnoo 10MOI a'll pal"addll IUlllladd" 04.1 SPU09 'd 'Wlq~1l9 pUllIP9 UOSlllM. 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'ISOO MOloq llu!llas s" 'Ions '10" I"llalll 10 AJOIllpald l"lno!)Jlld" UI poll"llua s"4 Iu"puapp" 1"l\1 ll,,!pu~ " 'ssala'IJlaAaN" ...as-e~ lSnJl!lUB LIB 1I! lllalll! ~y!~~ds all!Wldlap 01 sooualaJUI uo oou"llal " AAllal\ 001 '111M swalqOld IIlUO!I!PPIl paZ!UllOOal os11l s"'1 Jlno:) awaldns 041lPI a'll Ins 'SI!W!I SI! 01 as"o 1"!lu"ISWnOl!O" 40lalls saoualaJul alqnop 1"41 uO!lsanb ou s, ola'l.1 'paz!UllOOal Sell sllladdv JO )Jno:) l!nOl!:) l\I'lll!3 041 s" 'aoualaJul alqnop " saAloAu! 1"4.1 'ISOO MOlaq sal"s W01J UO!I!ladwoo JO uOlpnllSOp InJosodmd 'AIPuOOOS 'pUll IUaIU! AlOI"pald o~loads 'IS1~ 'llulJJoJlII U! lallu"p 10UIIS!P 11 oSI" S! ola'I.1" ,,'UO!I!ladmoo aO!ld aA!SSalllllll mOlJ llU!llnsal sOO!ld MOl 041 W01J I~auaq AlIlllauall Slawnsuoo asnlloaq 'AJOIllpald s" sao,p"ld 'Ions llUlloq"IS!UI U! lallu"p I"al " SI ala'\I 'poapul 'pu"wop la~lllw 1II ,umuMop 11 01 JO 'uo!llpdUloo Mau 01 llu!puodsal aq Aldw!s A"wll 'lllllolJd A10I"pOld UI lllllll"llua Alu"ssaoau IOU S! U!lllllW I~old Sll saonpal AIIIl!IU"lsqns 10 sao!ld Sl! SIno Ill'll Wl~ V 'llllloud AJOI"pald W01J llu!oud aA!I!ladwoo A14ll!4 llUI4SlOllu!ISIP S! 'aSlnoo JO 'Allnom!P al\.1" ,,:IOV u"wla'IS a'll JO IxalUOO al\llII OMI a'll llu!4s!nllu!IS'P U! Allno~J!p 041 possnos!p Sell sllloddV JO )Jno:) 110011:) 4141113 a4.1 'sulllaq llu!O!ld Alolllpald pUll spua lllllO!ld aAII!ladwoo ala'lM IUlod 11 Sl al041 'Alpall!lIIpV" "I ,. 1. The lower court's standard of review, "We (the dissenters) review Chancery cases de Novo and will not reverse a finding of fact. unless it is clearly erroneous, We consider the evidence in the light most favorable to the appellee (the pharmacists), The burden is upon the appellant to show the findings are erroneous. " 2, Did the lower court's rulinl,: suooort an inference of intent to destroy comoetition? "For its first point of error, Appellant argues that the Chancellor used an improper legal standard to find the inference of intent to destroy competition, The analysis advanced by Appellant required Appellees to establish two factors (a) conduct inconsistent with a lawful purpose; and (b) knowing conduct that creates a dangerous probability of achieving a monopoly, Appellant stated the Appellees did not establish these two factors, and any inference of unlawful purpose by the Trial Court is, therefore, improper and legally erroneous. " "Appellees responded to this argument by stating that the Chancellor not only used the proper standard but evaluated the evidence and reached the only permissible conclusion, The evidence showed that up to thirty percent (30%) ofWal-Mart's pharmaceutical sales were below cost; that Wal-Mart posted negative profit margins on their most competitive items in over one-half of the period under examination; and that many of the prices were below invoice or replacement cost without consideration of the additional factors mandated by Arkansas Code Ann," 3, Did the Chancerv Court fail to employ the proper standard? "Appellant's contention is unpersuasive on two points, First Appellant fails to identify the legal standard used and how the legal standard was improperly applied, Appellant also failed to articulate the alleged "proper legal standard" for this Court to use when interpreting the Arkansas Act, Second, Appellant provides this Court with a potential fralllework for analysis but provides no authority or source for this framework, If Appellant does not like the statute as it is written, its remedy is in the legislature not the courts, However this question, , , is not a matter to be addressed by the court but is within the province of the legislature, " This is a matter which must be left to the sound discretion of the General Assembly," 4, Was there intent to destrov competition? "Appellant's second argument concerns the inference of intent to destroy competition and that the enumerated factors identified by the Chancellor could not possibly support an unlawful inference, The burden is upon the appellant to show that the findings are erroneous, Despite their analysis of each factor, Appellants fail to articulate a legal basis to reverse the findings and conclusions of the Chancellor." 5, Was the Chancery Court's interpretation of the Arkansas Act inconsistent with legislative intent? "Appellant argues that the interpretation of the Arkansas Act given by the Chancellor is 136 LEI >fOOIS-IUlOf 'uOII"JOdJOO 'W1IJ 'd!4S1aUJllld 'uoslad AU" 10J InJM"lun aq IIll'ls l) (I) ("),, ,,:saIIlIS 401llM '(I) (11) 60Z-9L-17@llu!I"10!AJoAII!nll )JIlW-IIlM punoJ JOl\aoumlJ a'l.1 'Iulod SI41UO paloldlalU! uaaq IOU s"4 pV s"su">flV a'I.1" " .p~lln';):)o aA1l4 ISOO MOlaq sal"s J! alllwlalap 01 >flllw4ouaq a'll sawooaq lonpold 11 JO ISOO aO!OAU! a'll '40"01dd" wall lenp'A!pul a'll lapu[1 'palmooo aA"4 ISOO MOlaq sallls JI aUlUlJalap 01 uos!l"dwoo ISOO ,10npOld alllu!s, 11 Idop" 01 Jlno:) S!41 ollm (Sllnla U"O!lawV) soalloddv" ,,'wal! ISOO MOlaq pallal\" a'lIJo as"'1omd a'll punolms 1"41 saOIAJas JO dnOlll alo'lM " pu" 'lllllUO!I'PUOO 1'" '101 llU!>fl"d a'll 'alOIS a'lI JO ola'ldsowI" a'll 'pnpold a'll apnlou! 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JO aouaplAa alo"J "U1ud, alaM sal"s ISOO MOlaq 1"41 UO!S!AOld" paJlaslII aml"ls!llal a'II'lol4M UI ,( 1661 al'IO!W) ('I) 80L -,L-t "UUV apo:) SIlSUIl>flV 'pV salllS allallllll:) l!1lJU[1 a'll allo AO'I.1 'lualUl M!I"ls!llal 41!M IualSISUOOlll r ..... company, or other association engaged in business within this state to sell, offer for sale, or advertise for sale any article or product, or service or output of a service trade, at less than the cost thereof to the vendor, or to give, offer to give, or advertise the intent to give away any article or product, or service or output of a service trade, for the purpose of injuring competitors and destroying competition," "The first rule in considering the meaning of a statute is to construe it just as it reads, giving the words their ordinary and usually accepted meaning in common language," "When a statute is clear, it is given its plain meaning and we do not search for legislative intent, That intent must be gathered from the plain meaning of the language used," "A literal reading of Arkansas Code Ann, @ 4-75-209 supports the Trial Court's use of a 'single product' cost comparison to determine if Appellant has engaged in below cost sales in violation of the Arkansas Act. The language of @ 4-75-209 refers to any article or product' and does not include consideration of the atmosphere of the store, the parking lot, air conditioning, and a whole group of services that surround the purchase of an item, We should reject Appellant's market basket approach for establishing the price benchmarks," 7, Does the Arkansas Act violate the Arkansas Constitution? "Appellant argues that the Chancery Trial Court's construction of the Arkansas Act bears no rational relation to legislative purpose and violates the Arkansas Constitution, Article 2. Section 2, which states:" "All men are created equally free and independent. and have certain inherent and inalienable rights, amongst which are those of enjoying and defending life and liberty; of acquiring, possessing and protecting property and reputation, and of pursuing their own happiness, To secure these rights governments are instituted among men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed," "Appellant cites Union Carbide & Carbon Cornoration v, White River Distributors, lne" 224 Ark, 558,275 S,W, 2d 455 (1955) in which this Court ruled that the Arkansas Fair Trade Act was unconstitutional, as it established minimum prices, This Court said that 'the right to sell is a valuable property [that] cannot be denied.' Id, At 561, Appellant also cites Noble v, Davis, 204 Ark, 156. 161 S,W, 2d 189 (1942), in which a statute establishing minimum prices, commissions and hours of operations for barbers failed a constitutional challenge, Appellant states that this Court found that 'statute had no rational relation to the public safety, health or welfare.' Id, At 152-63, The same result should attain here, Appellant states 'that these cases establish that the Arkansas Constitution recognizes that each person has a right to sell his property and services at the price at which he chooses, That right should not be abridged except upon a compelling showing of public harm' ," "We review challenges to the constitutionality of statutes under the principle that statutes are presumed to be constitutional." "The burden of proving a statute unconstitutional is upon the party challenging it." 138 60 ". ,;}sodJnd JO aAlpafqo ,ssallluo:) 01 alolllsqo u" SIl SPU"IS M"I allllS a'll [Ill'll] pu" :alq!ssodw! 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Concluding Comments in the Dissent "We would hold that the Appellant has failed to prove that the Chancellor used an improper legal standard with respect to the inference of intent to injure competitors and to destroy or substantially lessen competition, We also find that the Chancellor could have found an intent to injure competitors from the evidence in the record and particularly from the testimony of David Glass, President of Wal-Mart Stores, Inc" who used language such as 'aggressive,' 'do whatever it takes,' 'kill the competition's momentum,' and 'war zones.' Appellant failed to establish that the Arkansas Act violates rights guaranteed by the Arkansas Constitution, Article 2, Section 2, Appellant also failed to establish that the Arkansas Act was preempted by federal law," "For the foregoing reasons, I would affirm the trial judge's decision, Opinion written by Walter Niblock, Special justice and Special Justices A, Watson Bell and Barbara P, Bonds join." Author's Comment The Supreme Court, despite the strongly worded dissenting opinion reversed the Chancery Court's victory for American Drugs Inc" dismissed the original plaintiff's case and awarded in favor of Wal-Mart, the Appellant, The author has provided great detail in the dissenting opinion because of references to the predatory pricing features of the Robinson-Patman Act; particularly with respect to the several different approaches to calculating below cost sales on (a) the "market-basket" approach or (b) the "single product" approach, The majority opinion in the Supreme Court reversal also acknowledged that: "Admittedly, there is a point where competitive pricing ends and predatory pricing begins," Further, justice Robert L. Brown's lllajority decision in favor ofWal-Mart also pointed out that the Eighth U,S, Circuit Court of Appeals had discussed the difficulty in distinguishing the two in the context of the Sherman Act; i,e, "Competitive pricing" vs, "Predatory pricing," Moreover, while a finding that a defendant has engaged in selling below cost is not the equivalent of finding specific predatory intent; nevertheless, it could be a basis from which such intent might be inferred, 140 1171 '1-;) 'd '9661 ,("!AI EZ 'JoJmbu/ n!lfdlopnJ1~d 0~1 ,,'s,("S ;).1d 'SaJOIS l"Alll sa!llns sn ,11, s,(O.1" 'xld'l jOu"C, 'lllll>f11ll-4llnOI" SIl paplllllal S"M u"wllllu!8 'sW 'sa!l!A!)O" ISnJI!IUIl JO spads" IBJaAas uo saullapmll u"lllla~ a'll llu!uopu"qll JO olllaA a'll uo 0'1 01 pawaas luawJllldap la4 pu" a4S 'luawJllldaa aOllSnr 041 U! sa!l!A!p" ISnll!llI" a'll 1II oouop~uoo Mau aplAold PlnoM u"w"lllllS auuv Illlauaa ,(auJOllV IUIlIS!SSV 11141 pal"addll I! ua4M pasllald poapu, SIlM 111'1 ISnll-!IU" JJ!IU!llld a4.1 ,,,'UO!I!ladwo:) JO nllams s,:).1d a'll JO 10pal!p 'lallS 'r WIl!II!M P!IlS ,'SAOI 10J aA"4 PlnoM as!M10410 Aa'll Ull41 alOW Alld 01 Slawnsuoo paoloJ, pu" UO!I!ladUloo Ino Ino 1"41 sluawallullll" Ollll sla>f"w AOI la410 pu" olqS"H 'lallllW oOJOJ 01 Inolo SI! pasn 5"4 s[1 ~ SAO.1" ,,'uOII'ladwoo llU!qlno Aqala41 'sqnlJ aO!ld pu" s, w"S s" 'Ions 'saloIs asn04al"M paoud-MoII" PIOS llUlaq W01J SAOI a41ldo>f 11141 sl"ap OIUO sla>f"U1 AOI JOrllW llUlAllnq" '10 ul1l'lo a'll pasnoo" s"'l :).1,1 04.1 'salOIS UMO SI! 10J SAOI l"lndod ISOW a'll llUlAJaSOl pUll 4lll'l saolJd ,sJOlljadwoo daa>f 01 laMod SII lllllsn Aq UO!I"IO!A ISnll!IUIl JO S[1 "~,, SAO.1 llu!snooll :).1,1 a'll Aq UOIIllsnOOIl Iuaoal 0'11 41!M pallull'lo slll.1 '(Molaq passnos!p aSllo s[1 "~,, SAO.1 a41U! 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OA"l( SJlnOO IlllapaJ a4.1 S3AUVNH3~'lV 'lVH3<I3....1t 3~V~S...0 NOSIHVdWO:J V SV 'l'l3M. SV ''lV3ddV ~HVW-'lV M. SVSNV)lHV 3H~ II ~HVd - ~NDIHd AHO~V<I3Hd IIA H3.LdVH:J " ..., pragmatic chief of the antitrust division of the Justice Department.' However, Ms, Bingaman suddenly resigned effective November 1996, and for the present it doesn't appear that enforcement policies with regards to the Justice Department are not likely to change in the near future, Had Ms, Bingaman remained she would have been strong company for Robert Pitofsky, a leading antitrust scholar and author of several papers in the early 1990's, which called for the re-invigoration of antitrust law, Pitofsky has been confirmed by the U,S, Senate as Chairman of the Federal Trade Commission,' Antitrust lawyers say that Mr, Pitofsky, a former Federal Trade Commission Commissioner and the agency's former Director of the Bureau of Consumer Protection, should be regarded as a powerful chairman, In his writings, Mr. Pitofsky, a former Law Dean at Georgetown University Law Center, has called Federal Trade Commission enforcement of the Robinson-Patman Act, which prohibits price discrimination, as "exceedingly modest, during the Republican years," Mr, Pitofsky was formerly of Counsel to the Washington, DC firm, Arnold and Porter.4 It is this author's belief that predatory pricing lllay soon be reviewed in the near future by such an aggressive appointee as Mr. Pitofsky, Recently, Charles P, Kocoras, U,S, District Judge for the Northern District of Illinois has had before him a class action involving manufacturers of brand name prescription drugs,' This case, which was referred to in Chapter Y, has become very complicated due to the inability to have all plaintiffs agree to be part of the certified class, while others are involved in pending actions as individual plaintiffs, Specifically, the individual plaintiffs argued that the class notice must disclose the following: A, "That the class actions allege only violations of the Sherman Antitrust Act." B, "That there are also pending individual actions alleging price discrimination in violation of the Robinson-Patman Act, as well as violation of the Sherman Act," and C, "That the Robinson-Patman Act claim is not being pursued in the class action and would have to be pursued, if at all, in an individual action," Judge Kocoras, dismissed the individual plaintiffs motions and granted the class plaintiffs proposed motion, "as the best notice practicable under the circumstances,"" (F,R, Civ, p 23(c)(2)) It may be observed that small drug stores see the enemy as the drug manufacturer, rather than the big retail chains, They may have a compelling case against the manufacturers, In an antitrust case the manufacturers may have to prove not only how they can justify selling at lower prices to higher volullle customers, but, even more difficult, is how they can justify selling at lower prices to lower volume customers -- HMO's, hospitals, etc, Legal victories may come too late or even after-the-fact for many sole proprietor 'Karen Donovan, "Move Over, Ms, Bingalllan; New Trustbuster is in D,C.." The Nationa/ Law Journa/, 24 April 1995, see, B, p, I, 'Ibid, 4Ibid" p, 2, 1.. re: Brand Name Preseriotion DruQS Antitrust LitiQation, 94 C 897, MDL 997, [995 U,S, Dist. 446, 142 f171 " 'd 'z 'd,,'1o (17661 :UOI"UI4S"M) AO!lod AlnO oU!I!,,^laIUnO;) pU"lsnl.1-lluV 's'n SPOjjV .1.1VD "'OH 'oo!jjO 10"pnS l"UOISS01"UO;), 'zu-, [L ~~ I" 4)JOj las 01" "U1oIJd A10I"POldjO spods" sno!l"^ (8L61 "0;) pu" U"'OlS Ollln :~loA "'ON) uO!l"o!looV 1!a4.1 pu" SO[Opu!ldjO S!SAI"UV uV :"'''lISnJI!IUV 'Jauln.1'd'O pu" "poalV 'dL 'la'lJlnJ aJOldxa 01 :).1,1 a'll pu" ssallluo:) 10J al!'lM4JloM 110M OUO pu" 'pafqns IlnoW!P 11 SI SI41 '1111 1I! IIV 'pnpuoo Alol"pald JO aAI11l0!Pll! AIIJ"ssaoau IOU pu" llU!S!JlaAp" JO W10J " S! "lap"al SSOI" 11 SIl ISOO MOlaq llu'IIas 'p"J UI 'lllllolJd AlOI"pald 1II lllllll"llua alaM Aa41 ssalun AII"UO!IUOIU! 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SIlM aO!ld Illllal a'll 11141 Wl~ a'll 10J al"OlO PlnoM alnl :)A V 1104.1 'sllllsMll1 llllloIJd AJOl1lpOld JOJ alnl (:)A V) "SISOO alq"!l"A alllllaA"" 1!a41 '111M punOlll Mau a>folq 100lIOS M"1 Pl"AJ"H 0l(11" slaqwaUl AJlnollJ IlllaAas 'S,OL61 allll a411111"41 alOu 01 llU!ISalaIU! S! II 'salnds!p llU!O!ld AlOI"pald 1II salollall" al"ls UIl'lI la411l1 sapuallll IlllapaJ asn 01 SJJIIU"'ld JO AI!I'qIlU! a'll saAJasqo auo ua4M SIl '1onws"uI 'salOIs llnlp 1 - Congressional Research Service. Library of Congress Report on Predatory Pricing and State Below Cost Statutes' After reviewing the Chancery Court opinion favoring the plaintiffs, in American Drufls, lnc, v, Waf- Mart Stores, Inc,lO, and before the eventual reversal in Wal-Mart's favor upon appeal to the Arkansas Supreme Court, the Congressional Research Service(CRS) researched the question of predatory pricing on "the basis for predatory action," Were the standards different on a state basis versus a federal basis? CRS made the distinction very clear between the state objective and the federal objective in the following statement: "That difference in emphasis -- between 'competition' (the Wal-Mart court) and 'competitors' (the other courts cited) reflects precisely the distinction usually made between the federal concept of predatory pricing and state below-cost sales statutes, Whereas the federal antitrust laws are directed at competition and maintaining a competitive marketplace, the state statutes, which are variously denominated as Unfair Sales Acts or Unfair Practices Acts, were for the most part enacted during the Depression in an attempt to stem the tide of small business failures, Federal courts that have construed state law claims have often done so by emphasizing the federal considerations,"" "As for example, the Wisconsin Unfair Sales Act was enacted in 1939 to prevent large retailers from selling below cost, an 'act of unfair competition' which was seen as one of the primary causes of small business failures, ' , [It] is very similar to most unfair sales acts passed in the 1930's,"" The federal courts when involved in state pricing statistics still emphasize federal consideration, Note the court's statement in the Seventh U,S, Circuit in 1989: "Competition is a ruthless process, A firm that reduces costs and expands sa.les injures rivals -- sometimes fatally, ", These injuries to rivals are by-products of vigorous competition, and the antitrust laws are not balm for rivals' wounds,"" j,E, Rubin, Esq, ofthe Library of Congress research staff also points out the rationalization behind the state and federal interpretations of predatory pricing: "Another way to differentiate between the federal and state unfair competition emphasis is 'Janice E, Rubin, Predatorv Pricin, and State Below-Cost Pricin~ Statutes: Brief Discussion, (Congressiona[ Research Service: Washington, 24 January 1994), pp, CRS [-9, IOArkansas Chancery Court, Faulkner County, No, E-92-[ [58 (October 11, [993) Antitrust & Trade Re~ulation Report (ATRR) 541 (10-21-93), \lOp, cit., Rubin, p, CRS 2, "[bid, ])Indiana Grocerv. Inc, v, SUDer Valu Stores, 864 F, 2nd [409, 1413 (7th Cir. [989) and Ball Memoria/ NosD/tal Inc, v, Mulual NosD/lallnsurance Inc" 784 F, 2nd 1325, 1328, 144 ,171 '(L861) ~96 '6,6 'Ma!<loll MV7 mu,/Of!/vJ ,L ,:ollllnd 041 PU"IS"d ,(llllua:J V :SIO~l"W 7/1 slajjlaw 'UO!IBZ![odouoW" '"poalV'd WOlj jju!lonb ',[t[ I" puz ,I 1798 '([I alou) M.JOJ!) vumpu/oz 'Plq[", '(9861) 68, 'tL, 's'n ,Lt ''OJoJ O!PtJlI 'fJlUoZ'<l PI7 'OJ /vu/snpu/ Jupa/:3 VJllfsn"/vw,, 'P!q\u 'plq[" '( Sll;)'d "Pi'll" 'Z Sll;) 'd 'U!qnll "I!O 'dO" ",,,'AlOlllpald pllJ 1II S! aO!ld MOl polluall"40 11 Ill'll poo'l'la>f'l a'll saonpal padsold AlaA IIl411nq 'InJssaoonsun aq UOII"pald 11'M Aluo IOU '[IS!IOdouowjlol"pald pallall" a'll 10J UO!I!ladwoo llu!l"alO 10 lllllU!IlIU!"lII sn41] SlllOOO [)a>fl"UI 041 01] AlIUa 10 aA!AJnS sl"AUJI" "i,aAIAms (S)lollladwoo 04111'M i,dnoool 101"pald a'll 1111\\" 61,:u!"lll"UO'I!Ppll owos ISaAl"4 01 pu" sasso I S,lOI"POld a'll dnooal 01 '1llnoua lluol 10J 10MOd Alodouow :3U/U!tJJU!tJLU uo spuadap allla'los AlOI"pald AU" JO ssooons 0'1.1" 81,,'aA!I!ladwoo ssallUawU01!AUa 041 llu!>f"w U! spoooons I! ua4M sl~old la4ll!4 4llno141 sanuaAal Isol dnmal 01 Sl 'aSlllOO JO 'IUOIU! 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'(uOII"Z!IOdouow paldwanll JO) uOII"zllodouollllsumll" uOIllq!401d a'll U! papnpu! S! 40!4M 'llu!olJd Alolllpald JO Idaouoo l"lapaJ a'll 1"41 aZlUllooal 01 ~ It is obvious that pricing on the part of several mega-retail discount chains has contributed to the failures, bankruptcies and disappearance of many competing "Main Street" stores, as well as, the increasing vacancy and abandonment rate in many formerly prosperous and attractive malls and strip centers, It is certainly not the competition of the small retailer that is putting the other small retailers out of business, It is the formidable buying and pricing power of the mega-chains -- that often creates a situation where a legitimate retailer, losing his wholesale resource, has to buy at the lowest price at a warehouse club -- generally associated with a mega-retail discount chain, Can it be inferred that the "Main Street" failures result from the growing power of the mega-chains, Is this power a form of monopolization? Rubin in the CRS Study raises an umbrella over predatory conduct which might fit into the federal jurisdictions, i,e", Sherman, Clayton and/or Robinson-Patman Acts, Rubin states: "The fact that predatory pricing at the federal level is subsumed under the 'monopolization' rubric has one other significant consequence -- inasmuch as there is no 'no fault' monopolization, and legitimately realized monopoly positions are not punished, market participants must specifically intend that their behavior injure competitors, Intent will not be lightly inferred, and pricing policy is extremely unlikely to produce such an inference in the absence of other, strong evidence, Many state below-cost pricing statutes permit the inference that advertisements to sell below cost, or sales -- even one -. below cost, constitute evidence of an intent to injure competitors or destroy competition,"" Although the court in the lower Arkansas Wal-Mart Chancery Court case stated that it could not infer either a purpose to injure competitors or to destroy competition from the fact that the defendant store 'engaged in below cost advertising and sales,' it did infer such intent from, inter alia, the fact that there was a "disparity in prices between Faulkner County prices of the relevant product lines and other markets with more and less competition,"" Price variation which is dependent upon market competition is generally considered evidence that markets are functioning properly, Similarly, no inference of harlll (injury) flows from even a proven violation ofthe Robinson-Patman Act, the federal statute that is specifically addressed to price, and which prohibits price discrimination,2J Pavne v, Chrvsler cited in Footnote 22 held that the Robinson-Patman Act did not allow for automatic damages upon proofofa violation: A plaintiff must prove the violation damaged him, It appears that were a company prosecuted under the Sherman Act, that monopoly and pricing would be directed against "competition"; but under Robinson-Patman, it might involve damage to the "individua[ competitor." Should Complaints Against Predatory Pricing Be Filed under State Laws or Federal Laws? Rubin provides a balanced analysis as to the way to go: "Just as there were studies to indicate that state Fair Trade (resale price maintenance) laws "Op, cit" Rubin, p, CRS 4, "American Druf!s lnc, (note [0), 65 A TRR at 542, 2J1. Truett Pavne Co, v, Chrvs/er Motor Cora" 451 U,S, 557, 561-3 (I98[), 146 Ltl , [ 'd '[66 [ laqwald.S 8 "OU/ ',{l'va sSoUlsng SJo/saAu/ ,.'uOI~U!4S"M. 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Predatory pricing was certainly on the minds of the delegates at the 1995 White House Conference on Small Business when one of the top recommendations addressed this very issue, Small businesspeople were particularly concerned with the large retailers' ability to demand favorable pricing from manufacturers and service providers, They call for stronger laws action by the President in this area, Their recommendation follows: 141. "Small business cannot compete with large businesses who use their economic power to extract unfair competitive pricing from manufacturers and service providers, Antitrust laws should be strengthened and enforced to prohibit abuses including unfair vertical integration, tying of pricing and product purchases, and predatory pricing tactics, The President should appoint a presidential commission on competition to study the enforcement and impact of the federal antitrust laws ensuring the survival and diversity of small businesses."32 Finally, in the predatory pricing area, the Supreme Court has steadfastly refused to resolve the debate "[bid, '"Ibid, "[bid, 30 Alvin K. Klevorick, "The Current State of Law and Economics of Predatory Pricing," American Economic Review (Princeton: American Economic Association, 1993), p. 162. 31 Richard A, Posner, "The Chicago School of Antitrust Analyses," University a/Pennsylvania Law Review (1979), pp, 925, 928, J2"Final Recommendations From the [995 White House Conference on Small Business," Foundation for a New Centurv, (Washington: 1995), p, 26, 148 6171 '("llz '[I ';)sn ,Iel ',17 '::rs'n '[Ll 'L8,Z I" '(n 'IOU) UOfWrJllJlM W UM,<MfJ" '(L96 [) ,89 's'n 98f '^UVOWOJ ilUl~UVfJ /v/uaUl/uoJ 'A AutJawoJ aId IjvJn" '8L,Z I" "plq[" '((661) ['U L8,Z '8L,Z '1;) 's SI [ 'U01/VJOOJOJ movqo.L uoswrJllJ1M W UM,OJfJ 'A P17 onOJ[) O>fOOJfJ rr 01 SIlM U"WI"d-UOSU!qo~ 'aouaH ,,'9[61 U! 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There is some legal thought that price discrimination is unlawful as Robinson-Patman makes price discrimination unlawful as between different purchasers of same commodity (i,e, chain X has one price in Atlanta and a lower price for the same product in Atlantic City) , , ' does this justify the charge of "discrimination!"? Under the Robinson-Patman Act, the illegality is a purpose to "injure, destroy or prevent competition, Do the failures of hundreds of small businesses in the United States warrant a review under Robinson-Patman? Are we discussing a "competitor's" failure or "'competitionsm failure? How much of a market. say in groceries or home improvements, must a discount chain have to be reviewed by FTC and Robinson-Patman? First, the plaintiff must establish that the company is pricing below average variable cost, and second, that the company has a reasonable prospect to recoup the investment below cost prices, It's tougher, therefore, for a private litigant to bring and prove predatory action under the federal law, but a government agency has the staff and resources to make these complex investigations possible, On the other hand, there are legal theorists who believe Robinson-Patman does not require a market share floor as a monopolization charge does, and the predatory pricing issues apply only to charges by a seller that its competitor has harmed the plaintiff by discriminating among the competitors' customers, The issue here is who is the consumer that is being discriminated against. Is it the mega- retail discount chain that is discriminating against buyers in one location or another? Or, is it the manufacturer or food distributors that is discriminating against such competing chains as Wal-Mart, Target, Kmart or other smaller retailers, 4, In persuading any government agency to investigate antitrust implications of '''Big Box" warehouse operations, a market definition is very important (see advice from Davis, Cowell & Bowe) in Chapter V, A more narrow market definition is easier to support a monopoly power presumption, Certainly a market share of 60% or 70% should be a strong indicator that the market is no longer free for small retailer viability, particularly when large chains buy "direct" from manufacturers and small retailers are unable to do so, Can a new businesses enter the market strongly under the influence of a mega-retail discount chain? Could he survive? Could he buy merchandise from a wholesaler or manufacturer? 5, Chapter V also pointed out that aggressive pricing was not necessarily indicative of monopoly power. It is the abuse of power that should be reviewed, 6, In Chapter V, the author reviewed the Brook GrouD LId. cases and the Suprellle Court indicated that whether a claim alleges predatory pricing under Section 2 of the Shennan Act or price discrimination under Robinson-Patman, the essential prerequisites to recover remain the same, This is correct where the discrimination charge is brought by the seller's competitor rather than its customer. 7, Manufacturers can also be targets of pricing suits, Increasingly there have been charges that pricing arrangements between manufacturers and distributors have been unchallenged, For example, while vertical price fixing has not been a significant problem in the grocery 150 1,1 , '[[ '::J's'n ,[" '6('d '(17661 ',(lnr) 'JolloSJfoofj uVJuoIUV,,'IIllS"'''llsnll!lUV s,vav JO "'a!AlaAa uv,,,, '8[-,1 'dd ',661 40J"W DZ 'ssoUlsnfj SVSUU1fJV ,,'SUOIPV \lU!OIJd ladoldw[ a\lollV slsPIlUll"4d al"IS" ',(""'P"Ol.1 101,{,L6[ JO pasudwoo 'd!4S1aqwaw SI! 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'Swal! pooJ 01 pl"llal 41!M A1ISnpU! over 4,500 separate members operating general interest bookstores across the country, The vast majority of ABA's members were independently owned businesses operating individual bookstores, As they have done for generations, these bookstores provide books and services to meet the needs of the general reading public in communities where they were located, Many of these independent bookstores offer broad or specialized selection and services that are not generally available in larger chains of bookstores, According to American Booksellers: "The ability of these bookstores to compete had been increasingly harmed by unlawfully favorable deals, prices, and promotional allowances that certain book publishers, including defendants, had given to a limited number of large chains of bookstores and discount outlets in the country, By depriving independent bookstores of discounts and promotions made available to large chains and discount outlets, defendants damaged independent bookstores and threatened their capacity to compete in the marketplace, These threats to independent bookstores in turn threatened the richness and selection of reading material that was available to the American reading public, Through the complaint, plaintiff ABA sought to obtain for its members the level playing field required by antitrust laws of the United States."42 Specifically mentioned in the lawsuit were major retail book chains as well as warehouse clubs: "The two largest chains of retail bookstores in the country are Walden book/Borders and Barnes & Noble, which together operate over 2,000 retail bookstores under various trade names (collectively referred to herein as 'the Chains'),"" "The two largest chains of discount outlets known as 'membership warehouse clubs' or 'buying clubs' are Price Club/Costco and Sam's Club (collectively referred to herein as 'the Buying Clubs'),"" The complaint also alleged among other things, that the defendants routinely made payments to bookstore chains so that the chains would advertise the defendants' books; would place the defendants' books in favorable places within the stores; and would aggressively promote the sale of defendants' books, without making such payments proportionally available to all booksellers," The complaint also alleged that the defendants sold certain books to "warehouse buying clubs" or their suppliers at wholesale discounts far beyond those offered to retail bookstores, The discriminatory discount granted by defendants enabled warehouse clubs to sell the books to the public at prices lower than the lowest wholesale prices defendants offered to retail bookstores,4" 420p, cit., American Bookseller, "Ibid, "Ibid, "Ibid" p, 40, "Ibid, 152 (,1 'P!ql" 'HZ 'd ',661 4OJ"W 81 'U01/n/llfUOJ putJ IrmAnor P/uPIIV "'1.1 ,,'~U!la~l"W 'Il ~U!I!"lOllUO" '4snoll SIJ4J8> 'P!q[" llUIO!ld Alol"pald pallllo-oS JO lall1llal IUalllaAOldwl aw04 Isallllll S,UO'IIlU a'll pasnoo" aA"4 SJOIIIOdllloo - ISIla41nos a'll UI UOIj"U1WOP SII saS"alOU! pUll - sla>fl"w Mau Slalua I! sV 'llU!O!ld l!"Jun JO paslloo" uaoq s"410daa awoH pasllq-1l1ullllV aW!IIS1~ a'll IOU s,lI" '4sno~ S!14:) 'lal!lM a'll 01 llUlplOOOV ""'UO!p,, U! llU!O!ld AlOlllpald s,lllnq '14lllj " OIU! loll OIIU"M I, uop I" 'AllouuoJ pawl1lp "sao!ld 0'11 allnoll Aa'll 'Ia>fl"w 041101lUOO A041 ua4M" (/:llouuo:J :3u/lonb '1SVO?! 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IOU saop pUll UllwI"d-UOSU!qo~ lapun S! aSllo slallos>fooS a'll Alpall!WPIl al'4M designed to put them out of business,"'o On the other hand, Home Depot defended its pricing practices, saying its policy was to compete based on price, "It's not a very complicated policy," said Home Depot spokesman, Jerry Shields, "We have the lowest prices in every market we do business in, Or we'll beat someone's prices if it comes to our attention, We're not saying you won't find a lower price; we'll just have to adjust our prices,"" Shields also said that prices may also vary between markets because of fluctuations in transportation and other overhead costs, Roush further stated in his article that in November 1994, Home Depot was accused of violating Utah's Unfair Trade Practice Act. Standard Plumbing company Inc" which operated [4 stores, filed two suits alleging that Home Depot was selling supplies below its cost. Roush further reported that Home Depot quickly settled the lawsuit in an out-of-court agreement in which it admitted no wrongdoing, And, according to Roush, the chain agreed to stop selling plumbing supplies in Utah below its invoice price," The At/anta Journa/ also quoted Kenneth Smith, an analyst from Interstate/Johnson Lane, who had conducted a study in 1994 comparing prices of35 products at a Home Depot in Atlanta with those at a store in Greensboro, NC, where it competed head-to-head with Lowe's, another chain, Smith, pointed out that in Atlanta, the 35 items totaled $625,37, or were 9,7% higher than the $568,96 they cost in Greensboro, "They don't have uniform prices," said Kenneth Smith, He believed that it was not Home Depot's intention to kill competitors; however, he was convinced that Home Depot could buy in a lot bigger volume than the small firms," Big Customers' Late Bills Choke Small Suppliers Previous comments by the author in this study indicated that small retailers were having trouble buying from national or regional wholesalers and manufacturers because of the mass discounts offered to the mega-chains by both large and small suppliers, If, as reported, wholesalers and manufacturers were in fact being paid later than traditionally, it would contribute to having a negative impact upon the small retailer, Eventually there will be less suppliers available to sell to small retailers, A Dun and Bradstreet Corporation Survey" released in 1994 indicated trends portraying continued weaknesses in the bill paying capacity of small retailers, Dun and Bradstreet has been tracking such behavior for over four years, The survey canvassed mostly small suppliers -- recipients oflate payments and the firms that can least afford delays, Lawrence Winters, a Dun and Bradstreet assistant vice president, stated that some large companies were routinely paying their bills as much as 90 days after receiving invoices routinely due in 30 days, "Ibid, "Ibid, "Ibid, "Ibid, "Michael Selz, "Big Customers' Late Bills Choke Small Suppliers," The Wall Street Journal, 22 June [994, p, BI. 154 ,,1 'P!qI6~ 'P!QI" 't6/tll6-[9[ # 'I":) '[00-[6 [6Zt,Z # xapu[ AjUno:) 'AN SV[ Ilno:) owaJOns) pu" 17661 10qlllaAoN or '(lING) P./ooolI sMaN tf/!tJG ,,')Jno:),(q ,O[q"uopsuooun, pOlnll P"lIUO:) as"'1omd S,Il"W-["M"" 'P!q[" 'plq[" l"mpOOOld a'll la41a'lM aU!Wlalap olllaM s" paulw"xa aq Isnw ssaoold UO!IIlUUOJ pUllum a'll 'sJOpuaA Sl! 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Merchandise involved in the action was ordered from June through October 1990, and later refused for various reasons including late deliveries and failure of the merchandise to conform with specifications, (Kenneth A. Schulman of Kreindler & Relkin represents the plaintiff.) The author of this study has not yet seen the results of the trial ordered by Judge Shainswit. Obviously Wal-Mart may have had strong reasons for refusing shipment of the merchandise from Cass, such as lateness in delivery or lack of conformity to requisite specifications, Nevertheless, the Judge in the pre- trial activity in the Cass v, Wal-Mart case was concerned about whether or not unequal bargaining power may be sufficiently present to bar enforcement ofa cancellation clause for "unconscionability," In this case the buyer is possibly one of the largest corporations in the United States in terms of volume and number of employees, Wal-Mart's motion for summary judgement was denied by the court (1, Shainswit), Wal-Mart appealed almost imlllediately to the appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court, On June 6, 1995, the five judge panel unanimously affirmed the lower court's decision in denying the defendant's motion for summary judgement discussing the complaint, the case will therefore go back to trial. In the Au~ust 1994. V.S, House of Representatives Small Business Committee Public Hearings. the Committee Lashed out at the Mega-Discount Super Store for Hurtin~ Small Businesses and Entire Communities with Predatorv Pricin~. {!nfair Labor Practices and Market Saturation -=., In Joyce Barrett's article on August II, 1994, in Women's Wear Daily', she reported on the first Congressional probe of the retailing phenomenon that was changing local markets nationwide, The mega- stores were derided of everything from crushing local competition to altering the traditional product distribution chain, As the largest retailer in the nation, according to Barrett, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc, drew most of the criticism, although Rep, John LaFalce (D" NY), Chairman of the House Small Business Committee, said he had hoped the discussion would not target specific retailers, Wal-Mart's actual volume for 1995 was $8 J billion, but currently it projected to be over $106 billion in 1996, Representative LaFalce said he aimed to explore three ways of protecting small business from the super-chains: v. /. Increase publicity about expansion of the mega-stores, Curb federal money, such as industrial revenue bonds, that goes toward retail development. W[bid, 6'Joyce Barrett, "Discount Superstores Take Heavy Pounding in House Hearings," Women's Wear Daily, II August 1994, pp, [, 8, 156 LSl 'Plql" '1I0Jl"8 "110 'dO" '8'd "p'q[" 10040S a'll JO slaqUlaw 'anlllla'l alII!! JO 40"00 a'll S! alOIS al1lMP1"4 a'll JO laUMO a4.1" ,,'O!'lSlaptial papaau 40nw JO SOII!UnWWOo JUO U!"lp OS11l Inq 'punol" sal!U1 10J saloIs II"WS Ino ad!M AluO 10UII!M 41!lllllaw S1411"41 ams 10aJ sn JO AU"W 'I~auaq" aq II!M Jl"W-IIlM IOU JO 1041a4M laAO pap!A!p S! uo!u!do pu" 's>foau 1!a41UO 41"01'1 104 a'll llu!laaJ 1111 al" sUllqlV 'IS pUll Alnqsu40r 'IS 'UOIS!\I!M 'sanU!IUOO sOlp"l aA!SSalllll" s,JlIlW-I"M Inoqll AJa!xu" a4.1" :IUOWla A 'uolsl\lIM UI awo'l la4 U101J Uall!lM 10llal " U! 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IS!SSIl OIUO!p" 10J paau a'llUO AJ!o!lqnd ap!AOld 01 pu" SllU!11la4 O'll P104 01 Idaoxo SOUO Iuanbasqns 10 aall!lIlWOO s,aol"d"'l Aq ua>flll alaM SUO!pll olq!llullI ou Alal"unJlOJu[1 'Slull'lolaw la\lllws JO asuadxa a'll III llu!woo SIlM IUawdol"Aap alolsladns 1"41 paulaouoo S"M 04 P!"S Inq 'llu!I!"lal JO asmoo Iuaoal a'll paJJIl 01 alllll op u"o IUawlllaAoll IBlapaJ a'll Ill'll pallpaIMou>fo" aOllld"1 z9paolOJua alll pUll 4llnoua 'lllnol alll SMIlI llu!>fu"q pUll ISnJI!IU" l"lapaJ 1"41 alnsuI . , ~ boards, supporters oflocal arts, etc, live here and have their businesses here, Wal-Mart will not replace these local leaders,"" These are the effects that can not be put into numbers; but are at the basis of the concern raised in many communities when a large corporate chain is entering the market. Jonathan Laing, in a May 1996 article in Barron's, confirmed the growth strategy of Wal-Mart by reporting on CEO David Glass's predictions for the future, Laing accepts Glass's projections that by the year 2000, the grocery business to be enjoyed by Wal-Mart's new Supercenters will blow past the $24 Billion business volume of the Kroger supermarket chain, By adding groceries to the stores and often using the lower prices to entice shoppers, the overall business of the Kmarts and Wal-Marts are increased, Laing goes on to say: "The synergy of the supercenter concept is best grasped by a simple calculus, By merely adding 35% - 40% to the floor s ace of a tra itional discount store to create a supercenter, sa es essentially double once the supercenter reaches maturity in four to Ive years, ro I s won't rise quite as sharply because of the inclusion of lower-profit food items, Maybe they'll jump only 80%, Nonetheless, the supercenters will yield a higher return on investment than most ofWal-Mart's existing discount stores and provide a substantial boost to sales and earnings down the road,"" This is indeed substantial growth, both in sales and profits, Examples ofthis are evident from Muller where he cites expansion already occurring in New York State, Muller pointed to Wal-Mart's expansion in upstate New York as an example of its growth potential. A few years ago there were essentially no Wal-Marts in the region, As of 1993, there were 28 Wal-Marts and 14 Sam's Clubs, Because the economy of the region is not growing or growing slowly, virtually all sales represent losses to existing merchants, Also, the evolution of Wal-Mart supercenters means that its new stores, with about 175,000 or more square feet of retail space, will be equal to more than 100 typical small businesses.67 In fairness, it should be mentioned that there were only few proponents of the mega-retail discount chain present at the La Falce committee hearings, Morrison Cain, Vice President of the International Mass Retail Association, was the sole voice testifying in defense of the burgeoning mass industry, After the hearings, in a telephone interview from Kmart's Troy, Michigan headquarters, Don Morford, Director of Employee Benefits, said he could understand smaller retailers complaining that the bigger stores hurt their business, He noted, however, that smaller retailers liked the increased traffic the big stores generate, Cain said the mass stores provide greater choices for consumers, employment and income growth and an improved economy, Mass retailers can offer the low prices that have made them famous because, early on, they embraced technological advances in distribution and logistics, such as checkout scanning, sophisticated inventory processing systems, direct store-to-warehouse and store-to-vendor communications and Just-In-Time delivery, "Personal letter from the Honorable Jean Ankeny, Vermont State Senator, dated [ May [995, "Jonathan R, Laing, "Super Savior," Barron's, 6 May 1996, p, [9, "Op, cit., Barrett, pp [, 8, 158 6.1 'Pl%" 'plqI" U! ollu"40 IUIlO~!UllIS 11 SIUaSaldal "^'IIl!11lI1 S!l\.1 'sonssl pal"lal pUll lllllO!ld AJOI"pold JO suo'l"ll'lsaAUI aA!SSOlllll" A(l!IlJ awos llu!pnpuoo uaaq OA"4 ).1,1 a'll pu" UOISIA!a Isnll!luV a'll '110'1 'laMMoH 'SM"IISnll!IU" la410 41!M paJJa SI! llu!l!ouOOal JO Allno~J!p a'll JO asn"oaq PV UllwIlld-UOSU!qo~ a'll asn 01 lUlllonlal 0'1 01 sllladdll UOIS!A!a ISnJI'IUV a'll 'oslV 'Aoua'o~IP O!wouooa JO suo!lsanb 41!M AluO Alladold palllaouoo alll SM"IISnll!IU" a'll 11141 AI!l"w!ld 'SO!wouooa ,.Io040S OllIlO!'l:)" JO suossal O!Sllq awos paz!IIlUlaIU! aAIl4 sapuall" 'lloq 11141 S! 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IS0101U! l"lno!Jl"d 41!M -- ISBOO IsaM OIISBOO Is"a W01J "wwal!P Sl41 paAaAlnS s"4 ApnlS S!4IJo 1041n" a4.1 "i,ao!ld 1"4M I" sqor" 'S! paAlosol aq IsnwI"'11 uOIlsanb 0'1.1 'luawdolaAapal Allunlllwoo 01 papal!p aq 01 pasoddns alll pUll SaA!IIl!I!UI l"lapaJ pu" al"IS '111001 JO slonpold al" sllmlllold "ol"JloM al"lodJOo" 'llul>fllads AII"lauaD ,,'alllJlaM al"lodJoo" s" pauualuaaq s"4 sl4.1 'sassalllsnq lI"wS 01 alq"I"'A" IOU AII"lauall alll IIl411uawallllmooua JO sadAI 10410 pu" IUlou"u~ 'sa!P!sqns 'saAlluooUI X"I palllUuad uayo alll SUO!llllOdlOO S,1l0!laWV 11141 SluawallllS alll 'TO 'uolllu!4S"M JO Ino SMau a'll aJOw pu" alOW 3HV"''l3M. 3~VHOdHO:J 'lIV~3H IlIA H3.LdVH:J l i , ~ California's Experience with Respect to Incentives Provided Developers and Mega-Retail Discount Chains ("Big Boxes" and Redevelopment) California, a state which characteristically is one of first to start new initiatives has had considerable experience in offering a "candy store" of incentives for the mega-retail discount chains, Redevelopment agencies in California gained substantial strength and influence during the 1980's, Their power was created because Proposition 13 (Jarvis Amendment) in California froze property values, thereby, making it exceedingly difficult for municipalities to generate revenues, Due to this short-fall, redevelopment agencies became the new economic engine, The original intent was simply the revitalization of areas blighted by economic and social decay, Cities and local townships were literally coming apart at the seams; redevelopment was the thread used for resurgence, needed repair and necessary economic stimulus, Historically, the last couple of decades have witnessed a myriad of cities and townships designating large sections of real estate into redevelopment zones, Some of these locations had little chance of recovery without the proper financial incentives needed to "push-start" their dying economies, The redevelopment agencies were established to ameliorate this problem; however, either through clever design or total disregard for original intent, large portions of redevelopment zones are now simply raw land, This contamination of original intent, having positive value on the one hand, exacerbated the problem relating to urban blight and economic decay, As interest increased. the criteria for Redevelopment Agencies' (RDA's) zones gave little concern to proximity or economic merit within the parameters of any given municipality, Simply stated, RDA zones were spread throughout entire communities and, in many cities created several redevelopment sites, This resulted in an interesting paradox, competition now existed not only between cities but within the same cities, The most salient aspect of the paradox was the competition created within separate RDA's in a given city, The developers, seeing an absolute "win-win" formula, took on Darwinian characteristics in their demands and "natural selection" became rule of thumb, The least attractive zones (economically and downtown areas) were now in direct competition with raw land with all its inherent adyantages, Original intent was now a document for historians and considered innocuous by modern municipal standards, Underdeveloped land being more attractive due to economic realties and propinquity to freeways, throughways, interstates, et. ai, were now the major objective, Social decay and blighted downtown sections constituted an anathema to new construction, The very structure ofRDA'S was going through a complete metamorphosis; what would finally spin out would be complete absolute change and direction, Downtowns were left to cascade into an economic "black hole" paradigm; like most major cities throughout America, economically blighted sections were a secondary consideration while raw land attained primacy, Small downtown emporiums were becoming an endangered species! All would agree this was never a redevelopment objective, Revitalization In the past few decades, the destruction of our downtown urban areas across America have unquestionably become one of the major concerns of modern society, It has bred social disorganization, crime, violence, poverty, and rates of illegitimacy to unbelievable proportions, By not addressing these problems in earnest, one can expect that in the next several years, America will become a cauldron of racial fervor, discontent, anger and hatred, Many pundits believe the process has already started, Our 16th President, Abraham Lincoln, stated, "We cannot live for long in a house divided," 162 E91 '6861 'L laqwoooa '''IU10j!l'':) 'SOloiluV sOl 'Aoua~v IUaUldo[OAOa AI!UnwUlo:) "!U10j!l":) 0411" p[a4 SilUll"OH 'luawuloAoD 1"001 uo aOll!WWO;) OllluOS a4ljo oUll"oH UIlJalU[ 041 U101j 1l0aOll Al"wwns ,:S,066 [ 041 10j "puailv OAII"IS!ilal 041 ilUIPund :.,U10J'I":) iluldolaAapoll,,[ 'DIV'd '9661 ounr OZ ',<OUJ'l y./oJ. 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SaA!IUoOU! O!wollooa pu" XIlIll!"JlaO llulI"alo AS 'lalll"a paquosop '(sluaul)saAuI palalllll.1 0!WOU003 - S,U3) Sllal" palallllll AI\1l0!U10UOOa a>f!1 sldaouoo paolllqwa aA"4 wnJpads 1Il0llllod a41Jo sap!s 410'1 uo Slllnp!A!pU! paual4ll!lua U!IlJlOO 1"41I'1ll!14 ullqlnJo UOIllullooal a414llno141 SIll , AlIS!4dos alnd S! al"IS alllJlaM 04lJo uOII"lsaJIlI"w "S! l'Ill!lq AI!O laUU! 1"41 >fU!41 01 'laAoalow 'POAIOAU! AIIU"IS!P 'SUUlO!I!lod Aq apls" pa'lsnd Aldw!s S! A"oap ullqlnJo uO!lIlZ!I"uo!lnl!ISu! a41Jo WOlqOld a'll 'aq A"W uos"al a'lpaAal"'1M ,..... , Cadillac, Chevrolet, Honda and Toyota) on a single block within redevelopment zones and getting enormous financial consideration as the "carrot" to finalize the deal. Ostensibly this was okay in the beginning; however, once the dealership's incentives ran out, or came close to expiration, dealers began renegotiating with the municipalities to extend the deal (RDA can "rollover" any deal for approximately 60 years without interference), Furthermore, while negotiating with one city to extend the contract, some dealerships actually negotiated with other cities for the same economic package, thereby, putting enormous economic leverage on both cities to capitulate to demands, To State Senator Bergeson's credit, she saw this for what it was- a blatant tax shelter structured for perpetuity benefiting no one except the avarice of a few, The economic dynamism relating to this type of behavior is interesting, The question is: how does a municipality regain the economic and moral authority within its own RDA agency - if the pre-existing tenant can renegotiate a new contract once the economic incentives expire? This could become a Pandora's Box with societal implications which are profound and which require detailed examination, Tax Incentives A major component ofRDA projects are their abilities to orchestrate the distribution of taxes, This is a very effective tool and in many instances can be used to ameliorate economic and social dislocation, An important application that tax incentives have within agencies is their ability to use tax dollars to lure new business into communities. The original objective was a mutually ideal investment in which both parties (city and corporate partners) create prosperity for community and business, Tax incentives grant cities a considerable ability to negotiate or structure very attractive deals in order to entice future partners, Incorporated into redevelopment agencies are a series of powerful inducements which coalesce into a catalyst to promote business, Their power is unprecedented with taxes and condemnation topping the list. It is apparent that because ofthis power, many restrictions have been established ostensibly to monitor and maintain control over the agencies: However, the attempts at constraint through legal measures have been weak and reluctant. According to testimony at the Bergeson Hearings, most agencies proceed with impunity and quite a few knowledgeable critics allege that these RDA's frankly, disregarded the rules with little concern since they are rarely challenged, The lllega-retail discount chains, such as Kmart and Wal.Mart and others, have also been the recipients of generous treatments, both with respect to tax incentives and other financial benefits or tax abatements in California, as well as in other states studied by the author; such as Illinois and New York (see respondent comments in Chapter IV), Schools and Tax Distribution and Redistribution Within Redevelopment Agencies there is a little known fact that had a "Leviathan impact" on how schools received needed tax dollars, The RDA has had almost complete power to circumvent the normal distributions of taxes, It could actually stop the tax dollars generated by sales revenues within a city from ever going back to the schools, The school's only recourse is "pass-through" agreements or lawsuits, If the school fails to challenge the RDA within 60 days of approval it has theoretically lost revenues forever. By way of "pass-through" agreements, school districts can negotiate with redevelopment agencies for the right to obtain revenues for any new commercial enterprise, In California, a school district may be mandated a certain percentage of income through commercial development based on the square footage or 164 .91 'Pl% 'plq[, 'I[ 'd"P!% 'P!q[, MOil OJ lI!M SU!"40 IUnOOS!p I!lllal-IlJlaw pUll sladolaAap uaaMlaq sluau,aalJl" o~!oads JO laqumu V L,,-AIP!dlll JlUIM01Jl pUll JlU!M01Jl S! IuawdolaAapal U! a>fIlIS I"OS~ ,Sa!IUnOo a'll s" (40nwsIl1ll) P(10M a'll 41!M 14JlIJ IOU S! 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SluaUlaalJlIl "4Jlno141-ss"d,, ladold aA!aOal 01 pal"'J MIl'l sI0040S II" JO %06-08 Is"al I" :,salpnls va~ uosaJllas 041U! paluawnoop uaaq SIl4 SIl 's,08 A(1lla a'll aou!s pUll 'ssaoold al!IUa S'41 )JIlM'I1 01 anUMIl IIlJlal 11 SIl4 AouaJlIl luawdolaAapal 11 'S!41 al!dsaa 'UO!PnJISUOO Mau pu" SO!la1411l 'sl,,,dal 10040S 's>fooq 'sla40llal Mau 10J sI0040S 01 OI4IlI!IlAIl ale sa!uow popaau 'd!'lsUO!IIlIOl S!41 Il!A 'I~old pallllnolllo a'll shortly, However, it does appear to infonned observers that RDA's have legally been open to direct monies to developers, who in turn are then legally able to redistribute such funds to reimburse these national firms for capital outlay and construction, Such finns as Super Kmarts, Target, Costco, Sam's Clubs, Price Clubs, and Wal-Mart have been the recipients of RDA funds, Short-falls in school revenues take place where a mega-retail discount chain receives an RDA agreement which penn its it to retain sales taxes to pay for construction and debt service, If as a result of the new mega-retail chain activities in the area, the "Main Street" stores have their business volume decline, or they go out of business altogether, then their former collection of sales taxes is reduced substantially as is revenues to the schools, One example is an RDA deal between the City Council ofChula Vista, California and Wal-Mart, reported on August 26, 1994,8 The Wal-Mart was proposed to open in late 1995, "Wal-Mart Offered $1.9 Million Deal. ChuIa Vista" "Wal-Mart would get $1,9 million over 15 years from the city as an inducement to build a store in a proposed shopping center at the northwest intersection of Fifth A venue and C Street under a plan approved by the City Council, this week, The money would come from sales taxes the city collects from Wal-Mart and other stores in the 2 I-acre shopping center, planned by Chula Vista Center Associates, said Community Development Director Salomone, As part of the deal, the developer would build a $1.2 million bridge over the Sweetwater River to connect the shopping center to Broadway, The developer would also install traffic signals at Fifth Avenue and C Street and on Fourth Avenue and Dixieline Lumber Co, The store is projected to open in late 1995,'" Subsequently, the award of $1,9 million was disallowed by the appeal of several citizens to the Superior Court of the County of San Diego, (See discussion later in this chapter.) Typical RDA Deals Which are Pending or Have Been Finally Consummated with Developers and Mega-Retail Discount Chains in Recent Years in California The following RDA "packages" are entirely legal but are typical of advantages that are provided in California to large retail firms and developers and which are generally not available to small businesses, The information has been voluntarily provided by a prominent California law firm,'O Summary of California Taxpayer Aid to Box Store Development (The author does not take responsibility for the complete details of the narrated "packages," but believes that essentially they do describe a picture of what has been made available by the RDA's to '''Wal-Mart offered $[,9 million deal," The San Diego Union-Tribune, 26 August [994, p, B2, 'Ibid, IOMemorandum from Davis, Cowell and Bowe, Attorneys at Law, San Francisco, California, dated 8 September [995, 166 L91 UOIIIIW 6$ pu" $ uaaMlaq OllunOWIl 01 pal"w!ISa alaM 51aA!IlM XIlI 04.1 'slllaA, laAO sluawA"d X"IUI JJo la>floM lad 0'61 $ aO!ls 01 alqll SIlM AUlldwoo 041 auoz as!ldlalU3 s,all!AlaJlod U! llu!IIlOOI AS 'laaJ alenbs UOIII!W JO llu!Pllllq " U! sla>floM OO[ AOldwo 01 AII"!I!U! lalua:) asnol(al"M 11 II!nq Jl"W-I"M '1661 UI "!U10JII":) OIl'AlaJlod CZf'f~/ ~ 'PU"I JO llU!OU"u!.Jal JO allls W01J spoaoold ,Jau.. 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JOJ asn 01 laUMO W01J UO!II!W ['9$ Inoqll MOllOq 01 Aouallv IUouldolaAapa~ "!UloJ!I":) '"z"ld ulla4"UV ('SlllaA Iuaoal 1II sum40 pu" sladolaAap over the period," ChuIa Vista, California Redevelopment Agency buys land for $8,50 per square foot (cap $4,98 million) and to sell to a major chain for $6,50 per square foot (cap $3,8 million), Agency to assist the chain in getting a community facilities district forllled which would use the taxes received for $9 million worth of infrastructure improvements in the area, Impact on Small Businesses by These Pending Real Estate Packal!es Arranged by RDA's in California A number of the nation's largest corporations, both retail and non-retail with annual gross revenues of almost $100 billion and upward are in effect being subsidized by municipalities, school districts and taxpayers with the employment of millions in redevelopment funds to build their stores in California and in other states with similar programs, What chance does the small retailer have for survival? Has he or she been given the opportunity to improve their downtown facilities with a similar use of funds? This is certainly "corporate welfare" at the retail level. Return to the Bergeson Committee Report of 1989 At the Bergeson Hearing on Redevelopment, Mr. Chris Norby of Fullington, California, Co- Chairman of the Municipal Agenda for Redevelopment Reform in his comments which follow, made clear his disillusionment with the abuses in redevelopment powers, He also made certain constructive recommendations which should be enacted, Statement of Chris Norby" I. "Purpose of Redevelopment is to alleviate serious urban blight and originally a good one, In doing so, however, the Legislature granted to cities extraordinary powers that have now become subject to such widespread abuse that they must be curtailed," II, Redevelooment Powers Abused: A, "Eminent Domain: Property rights are abused when CitIes condemn the property of one private interest for the benefit of another. " B, "Tax Increment Financing: In theory the tax increment is created by redevelopment efforts themselves, In reality, most of it is due to inflation and development that would have occurred even "Deborah Yu, "Wal-Mart center rises in Porterville," Visalea Times-Delta, 6 March] 99 [, p, D [, "Op, cit" Bergeson Hearings, p, A-72, 168 691 '€L-V'd "PI%, alll Sp!lIS!P IUawdolaAapOl Ill'll aJUs aq 01 aUaAlalU! Plno'ls allllS a4.1 :spa!old luawoolMapa~ 1111 JO Ino-asll4d paolod" 'V ,,:UO!pll JO saSlnoo alq!ssod" ,:pau~ap A(l"ap alll -- U!IlWal ISnwI! J! n luawdolaAapal 10J salnl a'll os Sa!I!O 1111 10J pp~ JlU!A"ld laAal 11 aJOlsal Ismu amlllls!Jl", a4.1 'sasnqll UMO 1!a411011UOO 01 papodxa aq 10UU"0 Sa!l!o l"np!A!pllI 'I! 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SO!I!O sInd IUaUldolaAapa~ 'alqlldllo IOU 0111 Aa41 40!4M 10J suo!spap luawdol"Aap pu" O!WOUOOO a>fllwlsnw JJ"IS pUll sllouno:) AI!:) 'luawdoloAaP al"Aud JO Jlll'laq uo AJlodOJd al!nbo" pUll az!P!sqns 01 slaMod ISM sa!!!o SaA!Jl luowdolaAapa~ :t1U!>fIlW-UO!S!Oaa paM"ld" ':) ,,'Jlllq a'll JlU!PI04 yal Sl pun ,I Illlauao allllS 04.1 'S)O!lIS!P IIl!oads pUll 10040S 'sa!IUnOO a'll 01 pa!uap S! pUll sJOafold luawdolaAapal OIU! >follq palauunJ S! luaWalOU! XIlI S!4lJo IIV 'luawdolaAapalln041!M speedily phased out and no new ones be created," B, "Limits on Land Acquisitions: The Legislature should prohibit cities from becoming land acquisition agents for private developers, The power to condemn property for private development should be ended, as well as land 'write-downs' at public expense." C, "Sales Tax Aooortionment: Sales tax to city government should be apportioned on a per-capita basis, rather than on how much is actually raised in specific cities, This would end ruinous inner-city competition for sales tax dollars," It is obvious from Norby's remarks at the Bergeson public hearings that the unchecked powers in development have become subject to widespread abuse and that favoring certain projects has created an anti- competitive environment "granting favors to select businesses at the expense of others enjoying no such benefits," Further, that "redevelopment does not increase statewide economic activity, but only shifts it around, It becomes, as Norby states "a shell game," It is also clear from the foregoing discussion that when Redevelopment Agencies divert property (and other tax revenues) from school districts and community college districts, the state must ultimately replace the diverted revenue, The Bergeson Report made a strong statement on Competition for Business," "We have found situations in which cities are using their redevelopment agency's funds (and other revenues such as sales tax) for subsidies to influence the location of businesses that serve a regional market but generate significant local revenues, Auto dealers and warehouse type retailers such as Price Club are typical beneficiaries of these subsidies because ofthe large amounts of local sales tax revenues that they generate, We doubt that these subsidies provide any net economic benefit to the state because they merely change the location of businesses within a region, sometimes to the detriment of neighboring communities." Statement at the Bergeson Hearings by Los Angeles County (Testimony of Amanda Susskind and Diane Shamhart)15 While the County has supported numerous redevelopment projects over the years, speakers frolll Los Angeles evidenced frustration that present redevelopment attitudes had ignored the original purpose of the statutes, namely to redevelop "blighted areas," so that the blighted area would have a healthier economic base, Instead, "blight" and the dying "Main Street" have been ignored and developers are creating a new kind of sprawl outside the traditional business areas, "[bid" p, A-74, "[bid" pp, A-50 - 53, 170 J ILl ',661 'I t 401"W pOll! 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X"I wnUIIX"UI S,I! 10 '1!U1!1 sluawaJOU! xIlII"nuu" 'I!UIII Iqap papuoq SI! l"au 'pafOJd a41Jo pua a'll sa401l01dd" lOaf old luawdol"Mpal" laAaua4M" ",,'Spuall lllllqJnISlp" 1II1lJlao MilS llU!l"a'l 6861 'L laqulooaa a'll I" uOII"llolap salalluv SOl a'l.1 spua~.L ilu!q~nJs!o expressed by witnesses in the Bergeson Hearings of 1989, when the purpose of RDA activities was fully explored, Also fully presented is the final judgment which gives a fairly full account of the results, The petitioners not only wanted an injunction against Wal-Mart's building a new store on the particular site in question; but also wanted the $1,9 million subsidy to Wal-Mart reviewed as being possibly in conflict with the California AB 1290 statute, codified as Health and Safety Code ~33426,5, Details of the suit and final judgment follow: 172 ELI :a5elle ("B~euo,~,~ad" ~a~~eu,e~aq) B~~,~u,eld-B~auo,~,~ed ~Ba~a~uI u, Ba,~~ed lea~ , ';)NI 'SSSI~d~S~S g~X !O;)NI 'XNYdWO;) ~NSWdo~s~a NI~~VD !d,qB~au~~ed pa~ ,UI,~ e,u~o~,le;) e ' 'd' ~ 'SS.LVI;)OSSV ~S~NS;) NMO~ V~SIA V~nH;) !;)NI 'SS~O.LS .L~~-~VM 'B~uepua~aa-B~uapuodBa~ [5'9ZtEES apo;) ^~a~es ~ q~leeH Ole;) !5801 'e9Z5SS OO~d OA,;) apo;) Ole;)] !^~,oedeo le,o,~~o ~,aq~ u, '~oa~aq~ B~aqmaUI aq~ pue V~SIA ~;) 40 X~I;) SH~ 40 ~I;)NOO;) X~I;) !V~SIA V~nH;) 40 X~I;) 40 X;)NSDV ~SWdO~aASaS~ 4SI~S~ X~O~VHV~;)Sa aNY SAI~;)NnrNI ~04 .LNIV~dWO;) :S.LYaNYK 40 ~I~M ~04 NOI~I~Sd aSaNSWY ~S~I4 'A 'B~~,~u,eld-B~auo,~,~ad 5Z5t89 oON SSY:J !SS~YZNOD X~NSH !xszoa X~~YM ODSla NYS 40 X.LNnO:J YINH04I~:J 40 ~~no:J ~OI~SdnS B~~,~u,eld-B~euo,~,~ad ~o~ B^aU~o~~y 00ZL-6EZ (619) 101Z6 e,u~o~,le:J '05a,a ues OOEZ# ~ae~~s a 009 H~IWS ~ aNIAS~ '~YaSO~ 'nOID~OSD ~au,a~s u~a4 0881-9Z9 (5H) Z01t6 e,u~o~,le:J 'ooB,oue~4 ues ~0014 q~OZ 'anuaAY BBaN ueA 001 SMOg ~ ~~aMO;) 'SIAya 8985E1# P~oAIY 'W a,~o~~ew 9LL6Z1# uqex '~ ~a~puy 1. Petitioners are residents and taxpayers of the City of Chula Vista. On November 15, 1994, the Redevelopment Agency of the City of Chu1a Vista approved a government subsidy of $1.9 million to Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. for putting up a new store. This subsidy will violate the Legislature's recent enactment designed to prevent redevelopment agencies from giving away tax dollars to new retail developments, AB 1290, now codified at Health & Safety Code S33426.5. This provides that an agency may not give away tax dollars to retail projects of more than 5 acres on land not previously developed for urban uses (with exceptions not applicable here). Respondents' financial assistance to the Wal-Mart project violates AB 1290. Accordingly, the court must prevent the loss to taxpayers and the community. JURISDICTION 2. Procedure mandate) . This court has jurisdiction under California Code of Civil sections 526a (taxpayers' suits), and/or 1085 (writ of GENERAL ALLEGATIONS 3. Respondent-Defendant Redevelopment Agency for the City of Chula Vista (hereafter "the Agency") is a redevelopment agency governed by the California Redevelopment Law, contained in Cal. Health and Safety Code S33000 et sea. The agency's members are the members of Respondent- Defendant City Council of the City of Chula Vista, who are sued in their official capacity (hereafter collectively "respondents") . 4. Vista. Petitioners are residents and taxpayers of the City of Chula 5. Petitioners will be affected by the tax subsidy and by the construction and operation of a Wal-Mart store in their city, including effects on traffic, air quality and environmental values. 6. On or about August 23, 1994, Respondents voted to authorize their staff to enter into a Disposition and Development Agreement ("DDA") with Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. And Chula Vista Town Center Associates, L.P., concerning construction of a Wal-Mart store in Chula Vista. (A "true and correct" copy of the DDA was attached to the filing as Exhibit A.) 7. Section 2 of the DDA provided that the DDA was not effective until the City Council and Agency later decided to approve the construction project via plan amendments and conditional use permit. This entailed complying with the California Environmental Quality Act, which gave Respon~ents discretion to disapprove the project. 8. Prior to Respondents' vote representatives urged Respondents not to on August 23, Petitioners' offer this project a subsidy, 174 SL1 aq o~ pa~~,wp~ a~aM qO,qM '~uamuo~,Aua aq~ UO s~oa~~a pa~~6,~,mun s~, o~ anp ~oa~o~d aq~ aAo~dd~ O~ ~OU s~uapuodsaH 6u,6~n Aq Ap,sqns aq~ ~su,~6~ Apama~ aA,~~~~S,U,wp~ u~ pans~nd Alam,~ lasunoo ,s~auo,~,~ad .vl 'asua~ap suo,~~~,m,1 ~o a~n~~~s ~ 6u,~~ass~ mo~~ s~uapuodsaH sdo~sa Al~~,nba ~a~~al ,s~uapuodsaH .El .~a~~al ,s~uapuodsaH uo 6u,Ala~ os u, Alq~uos~a~ pa~o~ lasunoo ,s~auo,~,~ad .~1 .11~ ~~ p~eM~o~ 06 PlnoM paz,p,sqns aq o~ ~oa~o~d aq~ ~aq~aqM s6u,~eaq o,lqnd ~a~~e pap,oap p~q s~uapuodsaH 1,~un un~ o~ u,6aq ~ou PlnoM Ap,SqnS aq~ o~ a6ualleqo Aue uo suo,~e~,m,1 ~o a~n~~~s aq~ ~eq~ 6u,Aa,laq u, ~a~~al ,s~uapuodsaH uo pa,la~ lasunoo ,s~auo,~,~ad .11 (';) ~,q,qx:!! se paqoe~~e seM ~a~~al s,q~ ~o Adoo "~oa~~oo pue an~~" '<() u~o suol~oa~qo hUE ssa~dxa o~ A~,un~~oddo Iln~ uaA,6 a~e suos~ad pa~sa~a~u, lIe ~eq~ ~ap~o u, (a~,sap os nOA ~, nOA pue) uoqewoW .~w o~ pap~eM~o~ pue paqs,lqnd aq os Ie II,M s.6u,paaoo~d asaq~ ~o ao,~oN . sq~uom Ma~ ~xau aq~ U,q~,M uo,~e~ap,suoo ~o~ Aoua.6'<(/A~,O aq~ o~ pa~uasa~d aq o~ Ala~,1 a~e 'HI:!! leu,~ aq~ ~o uo,~eo,~,~~ao .6u,pnlou, '~oa~o~d ~~eW-leM aq~ ~o~ s~,m~ad asn pU~l pa~,nba~ aq~ ~o ~som ~eq~ .6u,pue~s~apun Am s, ~I .~oa~o~d pasodo~d aq~ o~ ~oadsa~ q~,M aAeq Aem nOA ~eq~ su~aouoo leo,~oe~d pue le.6al lIe pu~ Aue ~uasa~d o~ anu,~uoo o~ A~~ed pa~sa~a~u, ~aq~o Aue pue 'uoqewoW .~w 'noA a.6e~nooua aM . . . '~oa~o~d ~~eW-leM pasodo~d aq~ ~o~ s~uamal~,~ua pasodo~d aq~ ~o ~aq~o Aue ~o HI:!! leu,~ aq~ 'sasooqo os ~, ~, 'aAo~ddes,p o~ uo,~a~os,p ~uapuadapu, pue I1n~ s~, A~,;) aq~ ~o~ su,e~a~ Alssa~dxa E.~ uo,~oas .paAo~dde uaaq aAeq s~uamal~,~ua pa~,nDa~ ~aq~o lIe pue A~,;) aq~ Aq pa,~,~~ao uaaq seq HI:!! leu,~ e 'pa~aldmoo uaaq seq Ma,Aa~ '<(O:!!;) A~essaoau lIe 1,~un pu~ ssalun 'aoue~s,sse Aue ap,Ao~d o~ uo,~e.6,lqo ou aAeq 11,M Aoua.6'<( aq~ pu~ aA,~oa~~a Alle.6al aq ~ou 11,M '<(aa aq~ ~eq~ ap,Ao~d Al~ealo suo,s,Ao~d asaq~" :.6u,~e~s ''<(aa aq~ ~o E.~ q.6no~q~ 1.~ uo,~oas o~ lasunoo ,s~auo,~,~ad ~o uo,~ua~~e aq~ .6u,~oa~,p ~oeq a~o~ lasunoo ,s~uapuodsaH 'v661 'L ~aqma~das uo .01 .S ~,q,qx:!! se o~a~aq paqoe~~e Al~ua~edde seM a~nsotoua pue ~a~~at STq~ ~o Adoo u~oa~~oo pue an~~" ~ ".a~et OO~ 5ulns a~e Aaq~ PlO~ .6u,aq ~o ~s,~ aq~ o~ s~ua,lo Am asodxa ~ou 11,M I asneoaq ~aMsue sno,~,padxa ue" .6u,~sanba~ pue Alda~ ~dmo~d e .6u,.6~n 'Ap,sqns aq~ ~su,e.6e Auom,~sa~ o,lqnd ~o Adoo e .6u,soloua lasunoo ,s~uapuodsaH o~ ~a~~al e pa,dooala~ lasunoo ,s~auo,~,~ad 'v661 '~ ~aqma~das UO .6 .06~1 S'<( uo 6u,Ala~ I. significant. (A true and correct copy of the letter sent by petitioners' counsel as Exhibit D.) 15. Respondents did not certify the environmental impact report or approve the necessary plan amendments until November 15, 1994. 16. Prior to November 15, 1994, Respondents had not committed themselves to extending a subsidy to retail development at this site. 17. The statute of limitations on petitioners bringing this action was tolled until November 15, 1994. 18. Real Parties in Interest Chula Vista Town Center Associates, Gatlin Development Co., Inc. And KRB Enterprises, Inc. Are the owners of an unimproved parcel of approximately 12.94 acres of property at the northwest quadrant of Fifth and C Streets in their City of Chula Vista, County of San Diego, State of California which was formerly owned by Metropolitan Shopping Square Ltd. And others ("Metropolitan property") . 19. property. The Wal-Mart development requires use of the Metropolitan 20. Prior to the filing of this action, there were never any improvements on the Metropolitan property. 21. Immediately adjacent to the Metropolitan property is an unimproved parcel of approximately 17.22 acres owned in the past by Dixieline Lumber Company ("Dixieline property"), but now owned by the Real Parties-In-Interest other than Wal-Mart. 22. property. The Wal-Mart development requires use of the Dixieline 23. Prior to the filing of this action, there were never any improvements on the Dixieline property. FIRST CAUSE OF ACTION: VIOLATION OF CAL. HEALTH & SAFETY CODE ~33426.5 24. through 23 Petitioners reallege of the foregoing. as though fully set forth paragraphs 1 25. In 1993, the California Legislature enacted A.B. 1290, legislation intended to restrict financial support for certain redevelopment projects by redevelopment agencies. That statute became effective January 1, 1994, and was codJ.fied at California Health and Safety Code 533426.5. This provides, in relevant part: 176 LLI oa~~,~do~dde s~auo,~,~ad Aq saa~ SAaU~O~~e ~O A~aAOOa~ sa~em ~uamao~o~ua a~~A,~d ~O uap~nq alqe~ap,suoo aq~ pue ~,~auaq o,lqnd ~o uo,~eu,qmoo s,q~ . alqe~ap,suoo a~e uo,~oe s,q~ .6u,ns~nd ~o s~soo aq~ 0 san leA leos,~ ~oa~o~d o~ pue ~ ,~auaq o,lqnd ~o Mel e ao~o~ua o~ q~oq ~aas Aaq~ ~eq~ u, 'a.6~el ~e o,lqnd aq~ uodn ~,~aueq ~ueo,~,u6,s e .6u,~~a~uoo a~~ s~auo,~,~ad 'e~aq anss, ~e sMel aq~ ao~o~ua o~ .6u,~aas uI ovE .a~aq ~a,la~ aA,~oun~u, ~o aou~nss, aq~ ~oAe~ ~sa~a~u, o,lqnd aq~ pue sd,qsp~eq ~o aou~l~q aq~ .EE .a~~lnoleo o~ alq,ssodm, ~o ~lno,~~,p a~e sassol A~e,unoed ,s~auo,~,~ad .sanU~Aa~ o,lqnd ~o ssol aq~ Aq pasneo sa,~n~u, alq,.6ue~u, aq~ ~o~ aloqM s~auo,~,~ad a~em Plnoo sa.6emep ~o p~eMe ON . ~E .A~np ~eq~ 6u,~elo,A a~e s~uepuodsaH olE .S'9~vEE5 apo;) A~a~es pue q~leaH q~,M Aldmoo o~ A~np A~o~epuem e ~apun e~e s~uapuodsaH 'OE .S'9~vEE5 apo;) A~a~es ~ q~leaH sa~elo,A ...aa aq~ u, puno~ ~~eW-leM o~ aoue~s,sse ~oa~,p aq~ .6~ 'asn ueq~n ~o~ padolaAap uaaq Alsno,Aa~d ~ou seq qO,qM a~om ~o sa~oe aA,~ ~o puel ~o lao~ed auo ~s~al ~e apnlou, II,M ~oa~o~d aq~ 08~ OAoua.6... aq~ mo~~ se,p,sqns u, uo,ll,m 601$ Ala~em,xo~dde aA,aoa~ o~ ~~eW-leM ~o~ sap,Ao~d ...aa aq~ .L~ 'S'9~vEE5 apo;) A~a~es ~ q~leaH ~o .6u,ueam aq~ U,q~,M Aoua.6... aq~ mo~~ aoue~s,ss~ ~oa~,p ~o~ sep,Ao~d ...aa eq~ ~o E.E uo,~oes .9~ u"peQOt9Aap aq o~ PUB! aq~ sa~lnoa~ ~eq~ .^~~ado~a tea~ DU14oa~~e 84ueU9AOO DU1u194uOO ~uamaa~oe ue ~o aseal e 'O~ pa~,m,1 ~ou ~nq 'ou,pnlou, opuel aq~ u, ~sa~a~u, ue ~o ~o puel aq~ ~o aseqo~na aq~ ~o~ '~uamaa~oe alqeao~o~ua ue o~u, pa~a~ua seq ~o puel aq~ SUMO ~aq~ ,a Aouaoe aq~ 'uo,~oas s,q~ sppe ~eq~ ~o~ aq~ ~o a~ep aA,~oa~~a aq~ o~ ~o,~a 'ssalun ~o 1~,~~snpu, ~o .6u,~n~oe~nuem 'la~oq 'ao,~~o s, ~uamdolaAap aq~ ~o asn pa~~,~ed led,ou,~d aq~ ssalun 'apo;) uo,~exe~ pue enuaAaH aq~ ~o ~ UO,S,A,a ~o (OO~L uo,~oas q~,M .6u,ouammoo) SOl ~~ed o~ ~uens~nd xe~ asn ~o seles a~e~auao 'paaolaAap uaqM oll,M ~eq~ pue asn ueq~n ~o~ paaolaAap Alsno,Aa~a uaaq ~ou seq qO,qM e~om ~o se~oe aA,~ ~o puel ~o lao~ea e uo s, ~o eq 11,M ~eq~ ~uemaolaAap ... (1) (q) . . . :04 aouE481sse 4~a~lP ~o m~o~ hue aplAo~a ~ou lleqs Aouao~ ue 'A~~ed s,q~ ~o uo,s,Ao~d ~aq~o Aue ~o 'SvvEE pue 'EEvEE 'OEvEE '16EEE suo,~oas ~o suo,s,Ao~d aq~ .6u,pue~sq~,M~ON" 35. There is currently a live dispute between Petitioners and Respondents, in that Petitioners claim that the Agency's subsidy of the Wal-Mart project violates the Health and Safety Code, while Respondents and real parties in interest contend the subsidy is lawful. WHEREFORE, Petitioners pray: 1. For a temporary restraining order and/or preliminary injunction during the pendency of this action barring Respondents-Defendants from providing any direct assistance towards a development on the subj ect properties of a store selling taxable items, absent the recipient (s) providing sufficient security to reimburse such assistance if it is subsequently found unlawful. 3. For a judicial declaration that Respondents' financial assistance to a development at this site of a store selling taxable items is void, invalid and unenforceable as violative of Health & Safety Code 533426.5. 4. For a writ of mandate and/or permanent injunction compelling Respondents not to provide any financial assistance to any development of this land of a store selling taxable item. 5. For Petitioners' reasonable attorneys' fees, pursuant to Cal. Code Civ. Pro. 51021.5. 6. For costs of suit herein; / / / / / / / / / 7. For such other and further relief as the Court deems just and proper. Dated: March 27, 1995 DAVIS, COWELL & BOWE By: Andrew J. Kahn #129776 Marjorie M. Alvord #135868 Attorneys for Petitioners-Plaintiffs 178 6LI S661 '8 ~aqmeoaa pa~ep .6u,ln~ e panss, pue sa,~~ed lle mo~~ aouap,Aa pue s~uamn6~e eq~ pa~ap,suoo ~~no;) aq~ 'uo,~~,ooss... ,s~a~q.6,~a~,~ e~s,A elnq;) aq~ mo~~ ~a,~q sno,me ue pa~ap,suoo ~~no;) aq~ . ~~no;) aq~ Aq pa~~,~ad seM .6u,~a,~q leuo,~,ppe am,~ qO,qM ~e 'S661 'E ~aqmaAoN uo ~~no;) aq~ Aq p~eaq seM ~uamn6~e le~o .s~uapuodsaH Aq pa~sanDa~ seM ~uamn.6~e le~o .anss, Plnoqs a~epuem ~o ~,~M A~o~dma~ad e ~eq~ .6u,~oa~,p ~oAe~ ,s~auo,~,~ad u, .6u,ln~ o,uoqdala~ e panss, pue 'sa,~~ed lIe mo~~ aouap,Aa pue s~uamn.6~e aq~ pa~ap,suoo ~~no;) aq~ .~~noo pal~,~ue aAoqe aq~ ~o LE ~uam~~edaa 'uapeH .~ p~eqo,H alqe~ouoH aq~ ~o moo~~~no;) aq~ u, 'S661 'O~ ~aqo~oo uo s~aded aq~ uo .6u,~eaq ~o~ Al~eln.6a~ uo ameo asneo slQ4 'a4epuem ~o 41~M e ~o aouenssl ~O~ paAom 6ulAeq s~auol~~~ad ~sa~a~uI u, se,~~ed leaH ";)NI 'S:!!SIHdH:!!~N:!! SHX !.;)NI 'AN'<idWO;) ~N:!!WdO~:!!A:!!a NI~~~~ !d,qs~au~~ed pa~,m,~ e,u~o~,le;) e '.d.~ 'Sa~"'I;)OSS'" H:!!~N:!!;) NMO~ "'~SIA ...~nH;) !;)NI 'S:!!HO~S ~H'<iW-~"'M 's~uepua~aa-s~uepuodsaH [s'nVEE S ~ H 'S801 'E98 'e9ZS d;);)] :!!~"'aN'<iW ~o ~IHM XHO~dW:!!H:!!d HO~ NOI~OW ,SH:!!NOI~I~:!!d ~NI~N'<iH~ H:!!aHO pue SH:!!NOI~I~:!!d HO~ ~N:!!w~anr ~"'NI~ !A~,oedeo le,o,~~o ~~aq~ ul 'loa~aq~ 8~aqwam eq~ pue "'~SIA ...~nH;) ~o X~I;) :!!H~ ~o ~I;)NnO;) X~I;) !"'~SIA ...~nH;) ~o X~I;) ~o X;)N:!!~'" ~N:!!WdO~:!!A:!!a:!!H 'A 's~~,~u,eld-s~auo,~,~ad S~SV89 .ON :!!S"';) !S:!!~"'ZNO~ XHN:!!H !X:!!ZOS X~~"'M O~:!!Ia N'<iS ~o X~NnO;) "'INHO~I~"';) ~o ~HnO;) HOIH:!!dns I confirming its ruling on October 20, 1995 that: 1. A peremptory writ of mandate shall issue to prevent Respondents from financially assisting Real Party in Interest Wal-Mart. Such assistance is prohibited by California Health and Safety Code section 333426.5(b) (1). This statute is applicable and no exemption applies. 2. Petitioners are taxpayers with standing to bring this action. 3. Petitioners did not personally need to exhaust any available administrative remedies because there were no administrative procedures in place to address claims of illegal subsidy under H & S 333426.5. There is nothing requiring findings on any subj ect in the statutes concerning Disposition and Development Agreements (H & S 334433), let alone findi~gs on whether the Disposition and Development Agreement is extending direct assistance to a retail development on land not previously developed for urban use. Since there was no administrative procedure to address claims of illegal subsidy under H & S 33426.5, there was no exhaustion requirement. 4. Even if there were administrative procedures in place to address claims of illegal subsidy under H & S 33426.5, Petitioners could rely on the efforts of William McMahon (McMahon) before the Agency since a public interest claim was involved. Friends of Mammoth v. Board S~Dervisors County of Mono (1972) 8 Ca1.3d 247. 5. The sixty (60) day statute of limitations in California Cod of Civil Procedure section 860 et sea was also equitably tolled as McMahon, a member of the public, pursued a remedy in front of the City Council by arguing the whole project should be denied for failure to comply with CEQA concerns. 6. Even if no equitable tolling exists based on the efforts before the City Council, Respondents are estopped from arguing the statute of limitations in light of the letter from the Chula Vista City Attorney to Petitioners' counsel dated September 7, 1994. Estoppel requires knowledge of the facts by the party to be estopped, intent his conduct be acted upon, or so act that the party asserting the estoppel has a right to believe it was so intended. The other party must be ignorant of the true facts, and must rely on the conduct to his detriment. Strona v. City of Santa Cruz (1975) 15 Cal.3d 720, 725. The letter reasonably implies Petitioners would not be precluded by CCP 863 while the City Council considered the CEQA issues prior to authorizing the whole project. 7. The Semi-Exclusive Negotiating and Covenants Agreement (SENA) between Respondents and Real Party in Interest did not "grandfather" this project for purposes of H & S 33426.5 (b) (1). The SENA did not grant the City an interest in these parcels and it did not require their 180 I8T a.6pn~ ~~no;) ~o,~adns uapeH .~ p~eqo,H .UOH :pa~ea 'u,a~aq s~soo ~,aq~ ~aAooa~ 11~qs s~auo,~,~ad ~eq~ .~ (~uam.6pn~ o~ ... ~,q,qx:!!) 'v661 '~sn.6n... pa~ep 'd'~ 'se~e,ooss... ~a~ua;) UMO~ e~s,A ~lnq;) pue .OUI 'sa~o~s ~~eW-leM 'e~s,A elnq;) ~o A~,;) aq~ ~o Aoue6... ~uemdolaAapaH uaaM~aq pue Aq ~uamae~6... ~uamdOlaAaa pue uo,~,sods,a u, paq,~osep se ~~eW-leM o~ aoue~s,sse le,oueu,~ 6U,p,AO~d mo~~ ~uapuodsaH 6u,~uaAa~d anss, a~epuem ~o ~,~M A~o~dma~ed e ~eq~ .1 a:!!:!!H;):!!a aN'<i a:!!~an~a'<i 'a:!!H:!!aHO SI ~I 'asn ueq~n ~o~ padolaAap Alsno,Aa~d ~ou sa~oe (S) aA,~ ~aAO lao~ed e o~ 0.6 Al~ado~dm, PlnoM aoue~s,sse le,oueu,~ aq~ .~uamdolaAap Submitted By: Dated: DAVIS, COWELL & BOWE By Andrew Kahn, Attorney for Petitioners APPROVED AS TO FORM AND CONFORMITY WITH COURT'S RULING, Dated: BRUCE M. BOOGAARD Attorney for Redevelopment Agency of the City of Chula Vista and City Council of the City of Chula Vista Dated: GRESHAM, VARNER, SAVAGE, NOLAN & TILDEN By: John Mart Town C. Nolan, Attorneys for Wal- Stores, Inc.; Chula Vista Center Associates, L.P. 182 E8I pUll ll1UJ0111ll::> lIIqj!M SgJllqS jg'lJllW llU!PUlldxg OJ pgll!WW03 Uggq gAllq 'sullld ssgu,snq J!gqj qllnoJqj 'SUltlq3 JOfllW JgqjO pUll jJllW)! 'jJllJAJ-lllM SJllgA IllJgAgS jSlld gllj llu!Jnp jllqj SnO!Aqo SgW03gq l] .sqof llU!jllaJ3 OJ pgdSgJ qj!M lllllqjjqll!J gqj llu!Op gq AllW Agqj gAg!lgq AldwlS pUll g3UllU!J 3!lqnd pUll gjllJOdJ03 U! pgU!llJjUn gJll UglJo Slll!3!Jlo pgpglg 'JMOgJOJAJ .SgnUMgJ gmjnl JOl Aj!unjJoddo J!gqj 111'1 pUll Illgp Jgugq II gjll!jOllgU PlnOM Sg!j!3 llU!Joqqll!gU gqj P!llJlll gJgM SlllP!JJO .Jllgl S! 'AljUgJllddll 'JgMSUll gldwlS gq.l i,j! op Agqj P!P AqM .SJllgA 01:-0 I JOl Aj!::> gqj JOl pgjllJgUgll gnUMgJ Ill!jUlljsqns AUll ggS JOU AllW ~JOUISI3 g'lll110 Aj!::> gq.l .gU!1 AjJgAOd gqj MOI~q gq OJ Jll~ddll SllU!UJll~ ~llllJgAll ~s~q.l .Jll~A II 000'8$-000'9$ UggMjgq Alld jllqj sqof JOl Sgjllq~J Xllj SglllS pUll SjUgwgAOJdw! gJnJ3nJjSllJ1U! U! 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AUllW U! pgjSllM spunl jSllA gAllS OJ pgjn3gXg SUO!P~JJ03 pUll pgZAlllUll ~q OJ pggU Agqj pUll SWllJllOJd "AjgpOs jll~JD" gSgqlJO UO!jllJjS!U!WPll gqjUI SgSSg3Xg gJll gJgqj 'gSJn03 10 .p~~u ItlUOSJ~d 10 uO'j!ullo~~J II pUll 'AjJgAOd jSUlllllll jqll!J II S! pIll 10 ~dAj S!qj U! PMIOAU! SljllqM jnq :s~!P!sqns llulsnoq 3!lqnd pUll P!ll3'P~JAJ 'SdWlljS pool 'SJ~qjOUljugpugdgp OJ P!ll :g3UlljS!SSll 3!lqnd 10 SJllgq 3!lqnd llU!AlldXllj gqj UgqM gUO Jll!IIUllll II S! "gjlljS ~JllllgM" UUgj ~q.l i,:!UPfllW 3q, U! 3'Il'S 3.111JI3M. 3'Il.lod.lo:J V 1 ~ particularly, Southern California. These decisions have been arrived at through careful planning and analysis. Through their analysis, real estate and construction costs have been a major consideration. as well as the demographic planning. In a sense, professionals on the staffs of these mega-retail discount chains have been doing their jobs well; while City Council personnel, RDA officials and other public sector personnel have not been able to cope with the ever increasing sophisticated challenges of public and private finance. As a result: the expected job creation often fails to materialize; sales taxes are lost to schools; traffic congestion, pollution and other environmental problems occur; and projects get renewed with final termination many years later than visualized in the original projects. The Bergeson Hearings of ] 989 have not been followed up with conscientiousness by public officials and RDA personnel. What About Meeting the Needs of Already Established Stores? In February ]995, incentives offered by Chula Vista, California to Wal-Mart were challenged by an important competitor -- Target. The San Diego Union story stated: "'Target Stores say this City (Chula Vista) is offering big incentives to lure its competitor, Wal-Mart, to town while overlooking the needs here of Target' s two established stores. Some ofthe incentives could hurt Target's store on Fourth Avenue which stands to lose business by having Wal-Mart open next door,' Mark Johnson, a Target administrator stated to City officials."'" Community Development Director, Chris Salomone responded by saying: ~ "Target has a point. If the roles were reversed and Target were coming to town. we would help them. Chula Vista is eager to attract Wal-Mart as a source of sales and property taxes while Target, as an established business, already pays such taxes and, therefore. gets less a!lention from the Cltv. It is not f;:tir and thp.re.'", no pre.tense that it's fair," Salomone said. "We're all in the competitive mode to generate business."19 However, as pointed out previously, new business is not "generated," a shift in retail dollars merely occurs from the small "Main Street" retailers in many communities to a single "Big Box" mega-store in one "lucky" community. ]n fact, Mark Johnson, of Target, also stated that 25-30% of Target's business would be ]OSt.2O According to the articles, the development package was to have included an almost $2.0 million dollar give away in sales tax rebates that could last for fifteen years, to simply build a bridge connecting Wal-Mart with Broadway." Previously discussed in this chapter was the fact that Chula Vista was being sued because the public "Ray Huard, "Wal-Mart incentives criticized by Target," The San Diego Union-Tribune, 23 February 1995, p. 8\ "Ibid. 2Olbid. " Bozek et. at (note] 7). 184 S8I 'plq!" 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IRlIOIl'peJl 04lJO llUlsop plle SOI~ldnJ'I"eq JO SOles UI OUlpOp e Aq ISOI oq II'M sqO!Jlell-OllO plle OliO le41 'lJeW-leM se 40ns 'AllllOeJ lIIR40 lllnOOSlp-ell.w MOll e "! p04s!lqelso qof OWl I !Jed ^'O^O JOJ lelll pOlJod.J seM I! ,:lIlMOJD O(q!slIodsoll JOJ SlllOplSOll" 'SlIOZ!IP (eool1o dnoJll e Aq Apms '1m ^ MON 'Ppeld o'lel e "I i,sqof II sl ;'Al!unWWO;) :J4J OJ ilU!.IH SU!1I4;) Jun03S!0 1!1IJ:J'H-1I~:JW :J4J 00 J1I4A\. '17661 UI possed Mel MOll e - 06Zl8V JO 1I0!leI0!^ "! pope sell Al!~ J!041 pOAOlloq r -....I based on the subsidy package, Disney would not have paid a single dime in salary to its employees for 10 years; at the $3,700 level, Disney would have been freed of labor cost for approximately 16 years. The article continued, "Virginia taxpayers were actually looking at a much bigger subsidy package for Disney. There would have been massive 'hidden costs' of a poverty level work force, including Medicaid, unemployment compensation, food stamps and earned income tax credit."'" In the Disney example, in retrospect, if the employment created were truly full-time and paid $30,000 per year with benefits, a salient economic argument could have been made for strong subsidies. The economic dynamism for Disney, community and employees would have existed and been beneficial in a myriad of applications. However, subsidies for low paying, high turnover employees are a losing proposition and the taxpayers realized it. The billions of dollars given away to financially sound, healthy corporations in terms of subsidies, both nationally and state by state are staggering. The comments by respondents in Chapter IV from businesses in Illinois and New York support the California view. Small business respondents resist the use of state and federal funds to remove traffic from the traditional downtown area and to subsidize the "Big Boxes" on the interstate highways. Relatively few taxpayers know they are subsidizing some of the wealthiest corporations in America, but the competitive small retailer is very well informed about these inequities. The Role of Redevelopment Law in "Box Store" EXDansion Commercial development has received millions of dollars in taxpayer subsidies from redevelopment agencies in California and in such states as Illinois, New York and in some instances in Pennsylvania. Typically these redevelopment agencies are set up by an individual city and influenced by members of its City Council. While intended to cure urban "blight," these agencies have often been set up in growing areas - hence the subsidies offered may not have been necessary to attract business to locate there. Moreover, these agencies often have simply attracted businesses which by their nature strip clients and customers from other businesses nearby, such as retail stores and hotels. These subsidies are generally obtained by means of "tax-increment" financing n meaning that the agency is allowed to step in and siphon off the taxes from an area which heretofore would have been paid to the City, County, School District and State. This gives the agency the funds to buy land and then sell or rent it at a discount to developers and end-users. To illustrate the concerns about "corporate welfare," the following case discussion is set forth. RelJus v. Cifv of Baldwin Park. California (1977)27 A major legal precedent for instructing Redevelopment Agencies that they should stay away trom "commercialism" and concentrate on eliminating "urban blight" was the case of Ref!us Y. City of Baldwin Park California in 1977. Kmart was involved in this case. "Ibid. "Ref!us Y. 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'~l!nb~~ 01 p~sn u~41 S! 4~!4M A~UOW 'S~nll~^~l X~I ~lnlnj p~lnss~ jO 41llll~11S ~41 UO splloq llu!nss! Aq A~1I0W llll!MOllOq ~1~ldUl~luo~ s~w~4~s 4~ns "4~!" II lllll'f!"IS jO ~d04 ~41 II! ~~l~ P~fOld ~III 1I!41!M 11I~wdOI~AaP 1~I~l~WWO~ ~zlp!sqns 01 ~'f~lsqnlll ~ s~ ~sn 1I~41 1I~~ I! 4~!LJM S~nll~^~l x~1 llll!pll~d s~mld~~ A~u~ll~ IU~wdop^~P~l ~ 'I~M~lI~l u~qm jO Sl~MOd Al~1I!P10~1IX~ ~lllllu!AOldw~SIllI AS "~SOOI p~ulnl ~q A~W uOII~ln~~ds ~^IIII~dwo~ 'p~ILJll!lq 1I~1111~4Iel p~dOI~^~pl~plln AI~l~W Sl 1~41 ~~l~ p~rold ~ III 11I~U1dOI~AaP sS~lI!snq pu~ '1~!~l~WWO~ '1~!"ISnpll! ~loUlold 01 ~~I^~P I~~S!] ~ S~ p~sn ~l~ S~~l~ lmqm jO Sl~MOd Al~lIIplO~lIX~ ~lll 1I~4A\" ,,,A~1I0Ul s,~ldo~d 1~410 111!M jJ~d 1II ~~lIRl1!] u~~ A~41 4~!4M 1I011~ln~~ds '~s!"d"~llI~ ~IBAlld p~ln~ 01 sldw~U~ "!~4111! S~IIII~d!~llInW lI~~Mj~q 1I0!l!I~dwo~ ~^!I~ln~~ds Sl~ISOj Sl~MOd IU~U1dol~^~P~l jO ~sn p~pIlIS~llIn 'pllO~~S" ,"llI~WlIl~^oll le~ol jO ISO~ ~41 jO ~1~4s ~1~1I0!jJOdOlds!p e llU!Alle~ Aq AIllInlllwo~ ~LJI jO 1I011~~S 1~4101l~ jO jlI~wdop^~p jO Ism ~41 az!P!sqns 01 'e~l~ P~fOld ~41 ~P!SlnO 'f"~d lI!MPles III pu~ 'P!"ISIP 1004~s ~41 'AIlIno~ ~41111 ~s041 01 ~Idw~x~ 10j 'AI!lInllIWO~ ~41jO 1I0!l~~s ~1I0 III Sl~A~dx~lllll!ll~dwo~ 10j UO!I~~!]!lsnr PlloS ou S! ~1~lJlI4llllq jO ~~U~P!^~ In0411M 'IS1!] '~sn~~~q 'P~z!"04In~ ~q U~~ lu~wdol~^~P~l ~lOj~q pllnoj ~q ISnUlI4ll!)q 'M~I ~411~pUn" "mu,op!v:J Jfm,J UlM.p!V[[ jO ND "A snAaN UI jJno~ ~1~lIadd~ ~!U10j!I~;) ~ Aq II~M p~ZIl~WUInS SI Sl~MOd 11~4ljo ~snq~ ,s~l~u~ll~ ~11.L "Sl~A~dx~1 pu~ S~I~IS 'S~!I!~ 'SPIlISlp s1004~s jO SI~SS~ ~~l~~S ~41 ~^"~SUO~ 01 pll~ S~lOIS Iml~l pu~ SUO!I!P~ll ,,1~~lIS U!~l^I" M~S 01 p~~npll! ~q IsnUlIS~l~llIl I~I~!~OS pll~ AI!unWWO~ ~lOW pll~ ~lOl^l "1~ld~4~ ~41 U! l~!Jl~~ p~q!"~S~P 'SllU!"~~H UOS~lll~S 6861 ~LJljo M~!^~l ~ Aq Ino ~U10q S~M S~ sl~I~!11o ~I~IS pu~ AI!~ pu~ s,VO"M Aq p~loull! u~~q AI~lll~1 ~^e4 ~s~~ S!41 U! 4jJOj I~S S~ld!~U!ld pll~ Sld~~~ld ~LJ.L strategy assumes the absence of effective counter-measurers by rival communities targeted for displacement."'" In summary, the author concludes that there is little in the redevelopment law to stop agencies from currently abusing their powers. First, as a practical matter, there appears to be no one to enforce these California laws. The tax burden these agencies (RDNs) redistribute to other taxpayers does not hit anyone taxpayer hard enough to justify him or her spending tens of thousands on litigation to challenge the subsidy. Apparently, state administrative agencies fail to monitor what the local redevelopment agencies are doing. City attorneys are not aggressive in telling the city council which employs them that they may be acting either unlawfully or immorally in grabbing added revenues. Second, the agencies succeeded in convincing the California Legislature to impose a short statute of limitations (60 days) on many redevelopment law claims by citizens -- meaning that by the time most citizens learned about what the agency was up to and hired counsel competent to deal with the matter, it was too late. Third, the standards governing these agencies have historically been loose. Courts generally have applied their usual rules of complete deference to "legislative" decisions and extreme deference to "administrative" decisions. Comments from Illinois. New York and Pennsylvania Previous chapters indicated both quantitative and narrative comments from Illinois, New York State and Pennsylvania as well as California. California has been treated in great detail and the subsidy program there with its apparent abuse became quite clear. A word about other states in the survey follows: Illinois Chapter IV described many critical comments from small retailers about Illinois' subsidy program for the major chains. Apparently this resentment has reached the governor's office and the following statement by Jim Edgar, Governor of Illinois in 1993, admits damage to resident retailers by favoring the incoming "giants." In a State Government News article entitled, "Are Economic Development Incentives Smart?"20 he summarizes his concern about oversupport of the "giants" and undersupport of the small businesses in Illinois: "State leaders have no greater charge than to promote and preserve the economic security of those they serve and the generations that will follow; yet, I am convinced that we can meet that responsibility more responsibly and more effectively by calling a truce to the bidding wars that became the centerpiece of economic development efforts in the 1980's." "The battles have been intense and well-publicized. State after state has tried to outdo its competitors in wooing new commerce by fashioning glittery giveaways that feature tax 28Ibid. "Jim Edgar, "Are Economic Development Incentives Smart?," State Government News. 14 March 1993. p. 14. 188 681 '61: 'd '(P661 '~lIId :o~~O!qJ) OJOIS APU~J oJOW oN ',(O~01 ;loJDo( aJ!nbaJ PlnoM I1!q a'll 'SlSO~ JUIIOP Iunpu aplsas 'slaAal ,(Iuno~ puu 'ailuIIIA 'uMOI 'All~ 'aluls aqllu 'aq PlnoM amllpuadxa lUaWuJaAoil Jaqlo AUU su ',(lImlllm uo palJodOJ aq anuaAaJ XUl auoilJoj U! ilu!llnsaJ WUJiloJd qJua lmll paJ!nbaJ Aldw!s q~!qM (sMOIIOj lxal) il'S aluuas alulS ~JO A MaN illllpuad U lno palulod uuila~ ,:Iuap llIUld-Olnu qS!AUI U uo uaAa ~uaJq JaAa PlnoM aluls aql JaqlaqM pauo!lsanb luql ~IUl a~uaJajuoJ U a>fuw Ol paJup p~q aq asnUJaq lSlwouo~a aluls U paJIj AllJuwwns JOUJaAoil auo 'P~~pU[ 'p~rqns ~'lllnoqu AlI~nOl ~lmb u~uo ~JU A~lIl puu 's~nlnA U~PP!q ~s~'lllnoqu MOU~ op SJOAUW puu SJOUJ~Aoillns" ,:~J~lI~ U ~lOJM lu~wllJaAoil ~'ll j! su ~ums ~'ll SI SJ~AudxUl OllSO~ ~'ll 'JaAaMOH 'uOIluauu am!1 pUJUU Aaql 'uO!lUmp ,SJUaA AUUW J~AO uOlluauu J!lqnd WOJj apUj Aa'll asnu~~q puu 'S>f~~'l~ lU~WUJaAoill'lil!JlnO jO WJOj ~lIl U! pmd lOU ~JU ,(~'ll ~snu~~s 'S~!P!sqns ls~ilJUI ~'lll~il uauo SUO!lUJOdJOJ luql Sl!P~JJ pUU Slu~waluqu jO ,saml!puadxa XUl, uapP!'l aqllll S! l! lU'll aaJilu AIIUJ~uail SlS!WOUO~a alulS" o,:MOIIOj Slu!od s,uuila~ ('UOIlU!~OSSV SJ~JljjO aJuuu!::! lU~WUJ~AOD J~qw~w-OOO'PI ~'ll ,(q P~qs!lqnd SUM 'JUlluawUJ~AoD) 'sAuMuaAlil J!aqljo l~udw! 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Al!l!qmA J!wouoJa s,aluls U aJuuqua Ol as!woJd lU'll spafoJd puu sa!J!lod 'JaAoaJow 'AUMU sal!UI Maj U alu~ol Ol sa!P!sqns aUlospuu'l aAla~aJ sJOl!ladUlo~ su -- pallJadwl 'laA aSJOM puu -- papalilau uaaq aAU'l sapuJap JOj Sa~IAJaS lUaWUJaAOil IUllA lJoddns padla'l aAu'l puu AUlOUOJa s,aluls U paJalsloq aAmlluql sassau!sns i,lSOJ lU'lM lU lns" "Jjou!ds puu paJlp qloq 'sqor Mau jO UO!lUaJ~ Ol -- sa!JOlS ssaJ~ns OllU!od uu~ sn jO IIV 'sluawamllu Ja'110 puu s>fuaJq an evaluation of the expenditure's effectiveness, and whether or not the program has caused jobs to shift from one part of the state to another, resulting in dislocation, The Senate Bill in New York which began to list requirements for the behavior of subsidy recipients follows: New York Senate Assemblv Bill A. 6068-A. 1993-1994 Session" "~163-B Recoupment of Financial Incentives to Certain Businesses," "J, , , , Each contract, agreement or understanding by which a person, firm, partnership, company, association or corporation within the State receives an award, grant, loan, tax abatement or other business incentive from the state, any of its political subdivisions, or any department, bureau, board, commission, authority, or other agency or instrumentality of the State or its political subdivisions. , , shall contain the following provisions:" "(a) A stated period of time within which the terms of the contract, agreement or understanding are to be fully executed and completed," "(b) A stated purpose and the amount of the award, grant, loan, tax abatement or other business incentive." "(c) Where applicable, the number of persons to be trained pursuant to the terms of the contract, agreement or understanding," "(d) Where applicable, the number of jobs to be created or retained pursuant to the terms of the contract, agreement or understanding," "(e) Where applicable, the extent of the operations or facilities to be developed pursuant to the terms of the contract, agreement or understanding." "(f) Notice to the recipient that the full amount of the award, grant, loan, tax abatement or other business incentive awarded shall be payable with interest, upon a finding that the recipient has not executed or completed the stated purpose of the project within the stated time period," The New York Econom ic Development Zone Law passed in 1990 further provides restrictions on the behavior of recipients, "Section 959; Responsibilities of the Commissioner."J2 "The Commissioner shall:" "(I)(a) ." promulgate regulations governing (I) criteria of eligibility for economic "Ibid., pp, 64-65. "New York Economic Develooment Zone Law, 1990 c, 264, Section 959. 190 161 '(661 'Alqwassy U!UUAIASUUOd '(,61 'oN 1I!8 osnoH ~!UOAIASUuod" 'uolssas P6-(661 'y 8909 'y '1I!8 Alqwassy al~IS '1JO ^ ",aN" ,:glqll~~JOjU~ ~JU SPUJlUO~ jO SlIO!s!AOJd SIl ~lqll~~Jojlla Alluilal aq Ilu'ls as!UloJd Lpns AUY 'SUO!lUJOI alUlS-U! 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'" :UO!lU~Ij!lJg~ap jO glUP aA!pajp alll aq Ilu'ls UO!lu~lj!lJaJ ilU!~OAaJ JOj spunoJil ilu!ll1l!lSUOJ lUaAa lsa!1JUa a'll aq Ol paUIWJalap awp a'll (V) - . . ~IOJlUO~ Sl! puoAaq aJgM 'l~I'lM 10 alud!J!lUU IOU Plnm ssau!snq 'lJns 'l~I'lM SUOll!PUO~ JO sa~UUlSWnJJ!~ ~IUlOUO~g Ol anp lOU SUM aml!Uj 'l~ns lU'll 'JaAgMOlI ~pap!AoJd auoz luaUldolaAap ~!wouo~a a'll UI lUgWAOldwa jO ssol U IUaMJd JO luawAoldUla Mau alUaJ~ Ol palmj su'l as!JdJalUa ssau!snq a'll (C) ~UOllu~lj!lJa~ JOj UO!lU~!lddu Sll U! paU!UlUO~ SUOIlUjuasgJdaJ al(l 'll!M g~UUpJOJJU U! AIlUlluulsqns Al!JI~Uj Sl! gluJado JO glUlll'qu'laJ 'puudxa 'pnJlsuo~ Ol pal!Uj su'l as!JdJalUa ssau!snq a'll (Z) , . , lU'll ilu!pulj U uodn ' , , slljauaq JOj saS!JdJalUa ssau!snq jO UO!lu~lj!lJa~ a'll a>foAaJ Ol su os . , , (A!) , . . lIO!lUuil!sgp auoz lugwdolaMp i ~ "(3) If an applicant has had operations within this Commonwealth within the past ten years, it shall be required to prepare a preferential hiring list and offer new jobs to former employees wishing to relocate and to assist financially in their relocation within a radius of 500 miles." "(5)(ii) There shall be no discrimination in hiring based on previous union membership." "(6) Wage rates and minimum job levels shall be negotiated in advance and shall be enforced,." As described earlier there are varying types of corporate welfare found in the sates under study. One unique example took place in Philadelphia where mega-retail discount chains such as Home Depot, Sam's Clubs and Wal-Mart wanted to open their "Big Box" stores on land abutting the Delaware River, to create a "Power Center," An influential interstate government authority, the Delaware River Port Authority (DRPA), with jurisdiction over bridges, piers, marine and related facilities was involved. This authority in 1993 was requested by real estate developers to consider financing the purchase of water front land for the mega-retail discount chains to build upon, The land was to be purchased by the DRP A rezoned and sold for development. The land in question is now occupied by Home Depot and Wal-Mart. The unique characteristics of this form of corporate welfare is that the package was created by a port authority and not a local municipality, A New Civil War is Brewinl: According to Greg LeRoy, author of No More Candv Store": "Whether or not the federal government ought to practice industrial policy is a much-debated issue, Industrial policy critics often characterize the debate as whether or not government can or should 'pick winners and losers'." LeRoy states further: "The fact is, however, the federal government's laissez-faire attitude towards the ruinous civil war over jobs is actively contributing to the problem of capital mobility and thereby producing lots of 'losers' ," "The biggest job subsidy programs such as Industrial Revenue Bonds (enabled under the federal tax code) and Community Development Block Grants (Department of Housing and Urban Development) and other Department of Commerce titles, have no anti-relocation rules at all." "Only two current federal job subsidy programs have anti-relocation regulations: the Job Training Partnership Act (JTPA), (Department of Labor) and the Public Works title of the Economic Development." "In any case, states routinely evade the JTP A and EDA anti-relocation rules by simply substituting state funds for the training and infrastructure purposes served by the federal funds, " "Gp. cit., LeRoy, p. 17. 192 r--. ..... E61 ',t'd"P!%f sp-pp 'dd '9661 I!Jdy 8 '''lUll ,:saIBIS aql uaaMlas JBM uiM-ON V" 'PIBMuaaJ!) uqof" salUlS Ja'110 jO :lsuadxa a'lllu apuw aq lOU Plno'ls Awouooa luool sli lljauaq Ol Al!lud!~!unw JO aluls IlmpIA!pU! Ull jO SlJOjJ3 :ssaulsns pUll sqor JOj UO!l!l:lOlllOJ :llUlS-Ol-alulS 'tt" 'aluuq Apoolq a'lHo (ssau!snq lIuWS paouldslp a'll) SWIPIA a'll puu "JUM I!A!O" S!'ll uo salu~oApU puu SJaUMO ssaulsnq lIuWS ~s~'lUo UJ:l~UO~ :llll pal'lilll'lil!'l Suo!lllpuaWUlO~:lJ aS~'ll jO OMl 'S~lUlS pal!Un :l'll jO aJUjlaM O!WOUOO:l puu IUpoS a'll U! 'llMOJil :lloWOJd puu Ala!OOS puu Awouooa a'll ui UO!l!sod J!a'll paloJd 'Awouo~a a'll Ja'llJnj PlnoM llaj Aa'll 'lJi'IM SUO!lUpUaWWooaJ lUUlJodw! lSOW 09 :l'll p:lIj!lU:lpl S:llllilalap 'ssau!sns lIuwS uo aouaJajuoJ asnoH al!'lM. ,661 a'lllY AIIUlI aql B!Of sassan!sng lIuwS L(,:sailpald qof J!a'll pU!'laq PUUlS puu sasAluuu lljauaq-lso~ allj Ol paJlI1b:lJ aq Plno'ls sllpuaq XUl aAlaO:lJ lll'll sa!uudwoo J:l'll:lqM ap!oap OllUaWlJudaa aJJawwoJ a'll SlUUM 'IUJOOWaa OO!xaW MaN U 'uuwuilu!S jPf JOluuas 'paUJaOUOo UMOJil oSlu sUll uoli!U!'lSUM. 'sqof pas!woJd 00,' I jO 000' I UU'll J:lMaj paJaA!lap l! Jauu saul(J!Y lsaM'llJoN Ol P!U U! UO!IIIW 01:9$ >f~uq paluOS UlOS:lUU!W 'sa!P!sqns XUl AudaJ Ol slailJUl qof laaw Oll!Uj lU'll suo!luJodJOJ :lJ!nbaJ lU'll sluawaaJilu ,~OUqMUp, palUaJ~ suq 'aldwuxa JOj 'lnO!p:lUuoJ" 'pUU'l jO lno Alalaldwoo ilu!uail UJOJj sl'lillj asa'll daa~ Ol SIOJlUO~ ilu!'lsllqulsa :lJU sluauluJaAoil :lWOS 'J:l!(Jua p:lUOIlUaw SUM sy 'AJlSnpU! JOj ilU!ladwo~ salUlS iluowu sluap JalUnOO pUU sluap jO SMau a'll UI AI!UP punoj aq uuo saldwux3 'saA!lua~u! asa'll Ja,yo lOU Ol P!UJjU lI!lS aJU S:lllllS puu sall'o 'JaAaMoH ",:Imba AllmlJlA aJU SJOPUj Ja'110 ssalun pudulI alUl1 aAu'l Ol AI:l~!I aJU SAUMUaAlD '%f lSOW lU dn a>fuw saxullu~ol puu alllls - sluawAud asual :l>f!1 sasu:ldx:l p:lXljjO dOl UO :lWOO lU'll sailJulIo - SlSOO alqu!JUA S,WJIj U'" 'Ja~uUlI~ap a'll AI:lJUJ aJU s>fU:lJq xul 'alUlsa luaJ jO aJ!Jd puu SJaWOlSn~ Ol AllWIXOJd 'JoquI jO lsm puu 1I!>fs aJU uOlloalas :ll!S JOj U!Jal!JJ IU:lJ a'lllu'll S! awuil SaAllUaOUl a'llU! laJJaS am!l AlJiP a'll" :SJa>fuw Iuap luaJ a'lllou aJU uo saladwo~ aUOAJaAa lU'll s>fU:lJq XUl a'lllu'll 'Al!SJaA!Un UUU!PUllU SJlUjjU IUlUaWUOJIAUa puu ollqnd jO JossajoJd U 'U1qn~ AHUS Aq AJOa'll U SUOIluaw ap!lJu a'll 'AJlsnpUl ami Ol salUlS pUll sa!l!O Aq :lpllW SIU:lP SnO!JUA ilu!q!JOsap alo!lJu aUJ!.L lUaJaJ U U! apuw S! uO!lusnJou JUI!W!S Y ,:mM I!A!O snou!nJ" U su AO~a'1 Aq paqiJosap Allnjl'lillJ Sl salUlS puu sall!unwwo~ iluowu UO!l!ladwoo SI'll ,:sa!p!sqns AUMUUnJ dOlS uuo slUaw'lsiund :llUlS aA!ss:lJililu snld salnJ IUJ:lP:lj pUOJq 'lOIJIS AluO 'aJOjaJa'll 'aw!l a'llllu sdo'ls AUMUUnJ az!p!sqns pajp U! sa!plsqns IUJapaj lmp suuaw :lwllilll:l'ls :llll snld uO!lulnilaJ alU!! 'JUM I!A!J sqof a'll ilu!uaqu puu ilu!p!u S! lUaWUJaAOil sn a'll 'A:lUOW IUJapaj 'lllM Jaqlo 'loua lsumilu salUlS AUld Ol sa!uudwo~ ilUlMOllu AS" ,:sluuJilIUJapaj Iunuuu illq JOj lnq lSlxa AlluaJ lOU Plnoo SWUJiloJd aluls palUlnilaJ-uou a'lljO AUUW puu 'alquailumjOJalul JO ,alq!ilunj, SI AauoUl a'll 'SlUllJilIUJ:lpaj uodn AI'Allaq AlaJ slailpnq alUlS asnu~aq 'aUluil ,lIa'ls, U lIu S,l! lOS" or municipalities and at the peril of the strength of the entire economy. It should be the interest of the Congress to benefit the economic security of all the citizens of the United States by working to provide the resources to expand the economy nationwide, Therefore, Congress should ban the direct or indirect utilization offederal funds of any kind, including subsidies; grants bonds or tax exempt financing that funds, in whole or in part. any special tax, infrastructure improvement and/or financing incentive by any state or municipality to lure existing jobs and businesses from one location to another."'" "139, Small Business Relief Fund: Congress should legislate the creation of a Small Business Relief Fund to economically assist small businesses that are displaced by the establishment ofa big business in their localities where the big business will contribute an annual fee for the fund,"" Interestingly neither of these recommendations were in the leading recommendations of the two previous White House Conferences on Small Business in 1980 and 1986. This speaks to the growing concern of small businesses about the impact of mega-retail discount chains and the 'corporate welfare' they receive, Unfortunately, no action has been taken by the Administration or Congress on either recommendation at this time. Recommendations to Con~ress for Federal Legislation to Combat and Restrict "Big Box" Abuses The following recommendations, hopefully would restrict "Big Box" abuses by mega-retail discount chains, developers and Redevelopment Authorities operating under existing state redevelopment laws, by taking away state and local tax giveaways; and provide a vehicle for Congressional Hearings, The idea is to attach strings to federal monies given states and localities: for example, such strings are often attached to highway monies. This would make sense here because these "Big Box" stores create additional burdens on federal highways, as they are often built in areas accessible only by federal highways, The legislation would say that highway money would be reduced to any state which allowed these stores to go up in anv of the following circumstances: (1) if the development received state or local tax incentives; (2) ifit was within x miles ofa federal highway; (3) ifthe developer/retailer did not pay the government for the full social costs of building such a store (not just for repairing highways more often, but also cleanup of air pollution) (a study to determine those costs should be required); or (4) if a required "small business impact report" showed existing small businesses would be J'''Final 60 Recommendations From the 1995 White House Conference on Small Business," Foundation for a New CenturY, (Washington: 1995), p. 21, "Ibid" p, 25. 194 .61 'anuaAaJ jO saJJnOS Mall a~UJqwa Ol Jailua aq Plno'ls l!~ljap IllJapaj a'll ilUl~npaJ jO JOAUj UI aso'll 'AIIUlI!d 'luawdolaAap "xos illS" JOj saA9ua~u! 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'u!uily 'SJal!UlaJ ilu!ls!xa a'll WOJj (sqofpuu) sanllaAaJ XUljO aluls JO UMOl ilUIJoqLJillall Jla'll qOJ Ol AluO :saJOlS lUnO~S!p I!UlaJ-uilaw asa'll U!M OI.S>fuaJq xUUo WJOj a'll UI aJOW puu aJOUl AUMU saAlillpua SU Ja'110 'lJua ilu!Z!luqlUuu~ WOJj salll~ puu saluls a'll dOlS UU~ OLJM aldoad AluO a'll aJU ssaJiluoJ puu sal~uailu IUJapaj aql :S!'ll S! ~!ilOI JnO 'az!s u!ulJa~ U JaAO sa!l!I!JUj 'll!M aso'll uodn 10 SJlllIOP UOIII!q x JaAO aUlmu! uu 'll!M SJal!UlaJ Ol AIUO Alddu Alq!ssod Plno~ U09uls!ilal a'll 'sluawlJJMoilIU~OI puu alUlS jO 1I10 aliluuM "saxoS il!S" asa'll sAUMUaA!il XUllu~oI JO alUlS AUU uo XUl Alluuad JO aSI~xa uu asodw! Ol aq lLJil!w uapl a'll 'sasnqu "xos il!S" puu sladolaAap 'A~uailu luawdolaAapaJ aLJl l!ulJn~ Ol Jap!suoJ Ol a~uld lumlUU U S! II :sa!JlSnpUl umlJaJ jO Sa!l!A!pU a'll plJlSaJ JO dla'l 'P!U 'l~!'lM SUO!s!AOJd 'lllM palllj S! apoJ anuaAa~ IUlIJalUI alll aJU!S 'Ja'llJnd '(asa'lUo UO!lUU!qwo~ AUU JO) Py lU!UJlsall ilu!~UUU!d XUl :Py luawdolMapJMO I!Ula~ :Py lnA!AJnS ssau!sns lIuwS :aq Plno~ Sall!l JOj suapI 'AllUU~ljlUills paJnfu! 196 L61 JO alU!1 4l!M allllM JaMol 'lJnlll U lU pmd aJU SJa>fJOM illl!~mos lno asa'll 'S>fJOMlaU ilUl~mos lno LIMO J!~'lj palJUlS Mllll MOU SUO!lllJodJOJ 'sdilllM PIO J!dllljO %L(:O AIUOjO dilllJdAll uu lU suo!l!sod Mall punoj SJd~JOM a'lljO %U SJ~AO~S!P auo 'SjjOAUlluanbasqns pUU JaAOa~Ul alllso'l S,O~S!quN sPlouAa~ r~ illllApnlS U1IU'll 'Mom'll Aq pallJ SI aldwuxd aWaJlXa uy i,papal1o~ dJll SaXllj illll'lSllIlUllp U~'lM asu~pp U~M JO ~JU~ '1llua'l 'SMIAJaS Im~os jO s~~udnb~slIo~ d'll aJU lll'lM 'JaAoaJOW i,illl!A!1 jO pmpuuls J!dl[llI! suo!pnpaJ J!lSUJp 'lJns ilU!'lUl dJU sqofluawa~UldaJ llu!pulj aldoadjo %(9 ua'lM SJ!Wllll,(P ~!wouoJa a'll aJU IU'lM. 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AUW SJUaA lUa~aJ U! pdlUdJJ aAuLJ Ol SUI!UI~ UOllUJlSlUlWpy UOlUllJ allllU'll sqor "Mau" a'lUo AUUW 'sadAoldwa ssul~ alPP!w Jaddn puu alPplwjO SpUUSnOlnjO SlIaljO SlIlUd JaaJUJ aln papajju ApSJMpU MU'l suuld puu SUO!PU asa'll 'suo!luJodJo~ JOfUUI Aq paAoldwa salilalUJ1S ilUIZ!SlIMOP IUUJljlUills dq Ol sanu!lUO~ aJaLJl 'ssala'llJaAdu 'luawAoldwa jO Al!l!qUls a'll puu lUawAOldUla uo MalA Jlls!w1ldo uu sU'l UO!lUJlS!U!WPU UOlU!IJ papala AIMau a'll al''lM. 'A~llod dpUJl UU~!JdWY su lIaM su II YO puu Y ldYN Aq luaWAoldwd uU~!Jawy uo alup Ol pudw! dA!lUilau a'll puu ilUIZISUMOP dlUJodJo~ lIllM paldnoJ aJU sdssol asa'll uallM UJa~UO~ snouas SdlUaJJ JOpas ImlaJ IUUOlllpllJl aLJl UI ssol qor palJadx3 S3.L V.LS mUINI1 3H.L.iO 3MI1.L:JId .LN3WAO'ldW3 3H.L XI M3.LdVHJ no health benefits.' In the past, full time employees working for major corporations had health care benefits and pension funds, by out sourcing, corporations free up these costs, thereby, improving earnings per share and stock prices, A number of the mega-retail discount chains as well fail to provide the usual health and other fringe benefit packages provided by the displaced "Main Street" retailers, The societal implications of America with a large percentage of its workforce going part-time is unthinkable in its impact. Ultimately these costs for family security will have to be faced by the general taxpaying public, Wages Ravi Batra, author of The Myth of Free Trade, stated that the watershed year for the American standard ofliving was 1973, It was the year when real wages started its long decline, family poverty rates increased and rising inequality between rich and poor materialized. Batra clearly stated that "economists concede that GNP and per capita income are not ideal measures of national prosperity,'" The President's Economic Report for 1992, for instance, makes the statement that growth in real GNP or GDP cannot assure an increase in the level of living, This is especially true when applied to real wages, A truer measurement, Mr. Batra states, is the weekly earnings paradigm which is applicable to production and non-supervisory workers, who according to the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, constitute 80% of all employees, Therefore the GDP and per capita figures fall flat or distort the real picture, These statistics exclude executives, managers and professionals such as lawyers, doctors, etc, According to Batra's calculations, real wages increased by 15% between 1950-55; 7% between 1955-60; and only 6% between 1970-73. Since 1973, real wages have fallen steadily, More importantly, this decline has impacted at least 80% of the work force even before increases in Social Security and taxes are calculated into the equation, Thus take home pay is seriously impacted in an adverse way thus requiring families to have multiple wage earners. During the period between 1975-1995, the inflation rate rose 183%, while blue collar and white collar workers earnings across all private industry increased a mere 142%. Average salaries in 1995 were $20,559 dollars. This average earnings unfortunately will buy $3,500 less than could have been purchased in 1975, Real wages for most workers in America are falling rapidly.' The change in lesser buying power is not bringing the Third World closer to our standard ofliving but in fact is reducing our standard of living in the direction of Second and Third World levels. Extensive competition among underdeveloped countries guarantees future cheap labor markets, Many of these Second and Third World nations disregard constructive environmental regulations and utilize child and prison labor, as well as paying wages which can be as low as $ 1.00 per day, As the quality jobs continue to decline at such giants as Ford, General Motors, Chrysler and AT&T, new jobs are being created by the tens of thousands by mega-retail discount chains. However, when you do a comparative analysis on the employment picture (GM vs. Wal-Mart), the facts become obvious and startling, In a three week series in The Philadelphia Inquirer on "The American Dream," which ran in September 1996, a clear picture of the future of American jobs was presented. From 1978 to 1995, the big 'Lester C. Thurow, The Future ofCaoitalism, (New York: William Morrow and Company, 1996), pp, 28- 29. 'Ravi Batra, Mvth of Free Trade, (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1993), pp. 24 - 32. 'Ibid" pp. 24 - 32, 51. 198 661 '01: - 61 Y 'dd '9661 Joqwaldas 8 '"a"!nbul V/ljdl"pVl!ljd alj.L ,,'sqof U~O!Jowy ;lu!ISOJ OJV sap!lod 's'n MOH - I wed - "w~aJa aql alOlS OLJ1\\ ,"O!JawV'" 'alaalS 'S sawer pu~ ualJes "1 Pleuoa, luanwu a'll al!'lM '%,P Ol %6( WOJj pasuaJJu! AJOilalUJ JOod a'll 'llu!suaJ~u! uaaq aAU'l Alal~os jO sluawllas JalllO OMl 'ilUl>fU!JlIS uaaq su'l ssup ~IPP'W ~LJl al''lM. 'AJoil~le~ lU'll UI seM %Lt AIUO €66[ Aq - ssep alPp'w p~J~P!SUO~ SUM uOllulndod a41jo %L> 'oilu SJUaA 9Z lsnf'OL61 uI '~~UUu Japun S! 'SlS!IUUJnof JaJmbUI a'll Ol ilu!pJOJJU 'UJ!JaWV U! ssul~ aIPp'w a'll 'Ma!A jO lUlod %08 a'lllJoddns saop J~!Jlua p~UOllU~w saIJas ","mbu[ VI'IdlapvJ1'1d a'll UI al~llJu peal a'll 'u~IJawy U! ps PUIW e ~Ulwmaq S! paluaD UOlld~oJ~d JO uo!ss~Jdw! ~'ll 'lUUA~I~JJ! S! lOU JO Innpuj aJU suap! asa'll Ja'lla'lM. 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Moreover, the top] % of households controlled over 1/3 of the nation's net worth, and the next 9% holds 36,8%, Summarizing these statistics, 10% of the population controls over two-thirds of the wealth, while 90% holds the remaining one-third.' The following quotation from a recent article in The Wall Street Journal, "Retail's Shrinking Middle," confirms through consumer behavior what the Inquirer stated earlier in its series: "Traditionally, the 'middle' was the power position in America business, They perfected the 'one-size fits all' business model, offering moderate service, prices and information to customers who had fairly similar demands.'" The major theme of the article points out that over the past 10 years consumers are moving to both extremes, Businesses such as Price Club, Wal-Mart, Sam's, Dell Computer and discount brokerage firms have flourished, satisfying consumers looking for no frills at low cost. At the other extreme, companies like Saks' 5th Avenue and Nordstroms thrive satisfying the affluent consumers for whom cost is not an issue. It is the middle ofthe road corporations like J, C. Penneys, Broadway (now bankrupt), Sears, and Montgomery Ward which have stagnated. The success of the mega-retail discount chains, such as is a direct manifestation of the "shrinking middle," Thurow states in his book, The Future of Capitalism, that "When the distribution of income is altered, who sells what to whom quickly adjusts, Marketing and production shift to focus on the groups that have been gaining purchasing power,'" The others simply lose market share and eventually fade away. In Mr. Thurow's opinion, the shifts have been occurring due to fewer numbers of customers with middle class incomes, It would follow that the success ofthe mega-retail discount chains might possibly contribute to the destruction of the middle class. In Thurow's example, stores like Sears, J,c. Penney's et. al. were locked into a fixed formula concentrating on middle class buyers; thus they exhibited an inability to adapt either upward or downward which created economic problems and hardship for those companies, Thurow hypothesized that in the future such mega-retail discount chains as Target, Kmart and Wal-Mart might have problems because their market is the bottom 60% offamilies. With real earnings now falling for these families, their purchasing power will also decline,' Trade Policy In the Inquirer series on "The American Dream," it was noted that from 1980- J 995 the United States has compiled a perfect record - 16 straight deficits in 16 years, It is without equal, , , the worst performance in the world, During the same period Germany achieved a $658 billion dollar surplus while Japan's surplus exceeded $1 trillion dollars, Reiterating an earlier figure, the American trade balance with Mexico prior to NAFT A acceptance was a surplus of $ 1,7 billion, Since the agreement incorporating lower tariffs with less restrictions, the surplus has turned red to the tune of$15.4 billion, China's trade deficit was a mere $1.6 'Ibid, 'David 1. Morrison, "Retail's Shrinking Middle," The Wall Street Journal, 21 October 1996, p. A22. 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How does the American worker compete? In the last twenty years attributable to Amcrican tradc policy, millions of manufacturing jobs havc vanishcd, In 1970 along the Mexican border there were sixty-five employers (Maguiladoras) with 22,000 workers; in 1991 more than 1,700 employers hired over 500,000 workers. The incorporation ofNAFT A in 1994 was supposed to produce new jobs and to be a gatcway to the future with the vehicle being free trade,ll) An October 1996 article in Us. News and World Report reported upon earlier showed that the trade balance with Mexico before NAFTA was a positive $1.7 billion and afterNAFTA, a negative $15.4 billion with a negative trade balance continuing at one billion per month, Imports from Mexico before NAFTA were $40 billion; after the agreement $61.7 billion." While the United States Trade Office estimates that NAFT A has cost only 44,000 jobs, the number appears to be ridiculously low based on the writer's own experiences with reports from American corporations going to Mexico after downsizing in the United States. According to the article, the average starting hourly wage in Mexico is 69t compared to an average hourly wage in similar plants in the United States of$15 or even the minimum wage of$4.35. Two contradictory schools of thought have developed in America over the last 25 years, One school of thought continues to argue for free trade, globalization, NAFTA, GATT and the World Trade Organization, while the opposing school of thought cites a decline in real wages, downsizing by corporations, greed, elimination of manufacturing jobs and the eventual extinction of the middle class, With a disappearing middle class there will be a widening gap between two separate distinctive societies (the very rich and the very poor), What complicates the debate is a political process that has been completely polarized due to inherent differences in political philosophy, In today' s pol itical arena, ideas are no longer analyzed but destroyed, along with its messenger. These politicians and statesmen who warned of the dangers ofNAFT A, GAIT and the loss of American jobs have been accused of backward thinking and put in the historical position of advocating a Hawley-Smoot manifest picture going back to the Great Depression, Republicans and Democrats alike often respond by killing the message with the messenger. The J 996 presidential campaign never again revisited or brought to light the argument of how contemporary trade policies affect the American worker. Furthermore, with political contributions coming from abroad by the millions, both parties seem to view any discourse on the subject pure sophistry. Concessions The nation is not only losing jobs because of "free trade policies" which certainly do not result in a level playing field but also lose the prospective economic dividends which come from innovation and entrepreneurship, Helene Cooper, a staff reporter for The Wall Street Journal stated that: "for the first time U,S. defense related subcontractors can quantify how much money they are losing when foreign governments demand trade concessions and technology transfers in exchange for contracts." The United States Department of Commerce reported: "U.S, defense contractors have entered into 49 offset transactions valued lODan McGraw, "Happily Ever NAFTA," U. S. News & World Report, 24 October 1996, pp. 46 - 49. "Ibid, 202 L WI: '1,'d"P!%, '1:V'd '9661 A~W I Z 'l"UJnor P"JIS /lvM "If.L ,:PUOJqV slRoa ,lasJJO, Aq unH SWJ!d asuaJaa 's'n" 'Jadoo:) OUajaH" Olll UO silu!Jq OPUJl OOJj lU pO'lJunUllUowooJilus!p AUU lU'll S! llu!qJl1ls!P oJOW 'auop S! 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SJUIIOP jO SUO!II!q ilu!AIOAU! palaldwo~ uaaq pU'l sluoP jO suazop lU'll PUj a'll Ol uOlluallU l'lilnoJq IlJU,mOr '"""'S liD Ai "If.L '9661 jO A1!W uI Z1,:SJUlIOP uOIl1!q Z$ IU economic spin masters who attempt to distort the issues and destroy the messenger. Moreover, if in fact free trade is diminishing the middle class and jobs being created are just above the poverty line, what are the societal implications? Hypothetically, what if American corporations become fond of exploiting cheap labor worldwide? Would the next step be domestically? Many believe this is already happening and to some degree statistical data agrees, The corporate response will be rather predictable, , , it will go something like this: "As a corporation we can no longer compete successfully in a global economy when domestic wages are 30-60% an hour higher." The Free Trade Economist (a powerful special interest group) and companies will contrive the argument by postulating and clearly demonstrating how through free trade the global standard of living is rising, in fact they are (as Adam Smith "Invisible Hand" states) actually humanitarian in their efforts. American Corporations are entitled to make billions in profits for shareholders, but if capital is going overseas for the building of new facilities, and jobs are being created for foreign workers, while the American middle is shrinking, we have a serious national problem, Up to this time there is a scarcity of reliable positive data showing that America will gain in jobs by NAFT A and GATT, Free trade as it exists is of the sort that leaves American producers operating on an unlevel playing field. What are the real ramifications of free trade and what sector of society is truly the winner? What is the future of small business when multi nationals have all the advantages economically? This is not a contest between political philosophies, but a pragmatic decision about the future, Let's NOT continue to posture, spin, and destroy; for once let's examine the issues. Economists are constantly discredited for theories that crumbled in the face of reality. To go down a path led by dogmatism with individuals that have no accountability for their decisions is a prescription for disaster, 204 ,oz 'a~uuJuaddu a~ll-wnls 11 MULJ SlIllW ~'ll pUll 9ljjllJil 'll!M P~P1l01 ~JU S~JOlS p~sop 'papJuoq ~'ll '~U~M awo~~q Sll'l MOll ~illUJl ~'ll 'alUJ A~UU~llA %Ov Ol %OE U ~q PlnOJ MOU aJa'll 'lSJOM a'll JOj AIIUJ!PUJ pailuu'l~ su'l SJUaA aAIj lsud UI a~uuJuaddu alll 'SIIUW asa'll jO AUUW uI 'SJaWOlSn~ 'lllM ilUlIlsnq puu snoJadsoJd 'l'lillJq 'Ullal~ aJaM oilll SJUaA 0 I JO , 'l~I'lM slIuW P~l!S!A oSlu JO'llnll a'll 'SU!U'l~ luuolluU puu luuo!ilaJ Ja'110 pUll saddo'lS ilu!wJu'l::> lU p~lJodaJ uaaq oSlu OAU'l sW~lqOJd 'laaJlS lIuM. uo palou uaaq OAU'l 'l~''lM sassol sno!Jas palJodaJ AllU~~~J Sll'l lJUW)( 'JaAoaJOW 'SJUaA Maj lSlld a'll U1'll!M A~ldnJ>fullq p~JUp~p ilU!All'l 'lloq 'JOPluJ pUll sa~lpuJ8 su 'l~ns su!u'l~ IUUo!il~J jO AlpadsOJd a'll uaA~ Sl~~jjU Allulllu~A~ puu poo'lJOq'lil!au a'lljO JaMod ilu!su'l~Jnd ~'ll sa~np~J sassau!snq adAl AI!WUj lIuWS UI sqof jO ~~ul Y 'spoo'lJoq'lillau puu OAupua a'll U''llIM lsol u~aq ~AU'l sqor pUll :SJ~'110 puu lailJul 'lJulU)! 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UlUP S!'ll 'SJalUnOJS!p SSUW a'll jO pudw! a'll aA!AJnS Ol sJal!UlaJ lIuWS JOj ~~uu'l~ a'll lnoqu luawuo!snll!S!P puu ssaupus 'maJJo ampld U p~lUas~Jd su'l Ulllp puu AIIU~9S91llS pnAluull u~aq Mll'l SUJnl~J ~J!Uuuolls~nb a'll 'SU!U'l~ luno~s'p I!UlaJ-uilaw a'll jO SUlllil alqup!wJOj a'll jO a~uj a'll U! IUA!Ams JOj sa!il~lllJlS uo SMa!A J!a'll ilu!>fsu SJ~l!Ul~J lIuWS Ol saJ!uuuo!lsanb 000'9 AlalllW!xOJddu lno lU~S su'l aH 'APIllS S!'ll Ol SJUaA aaJ'lllsOwlu palOMp su'l JalPM a'll SNOI.L VaN3WWO:J3H aNY SNOISIl'DNO:J X 1I3.LdVH:J T How Could This Hannen? Suppose a Kmart or a Target was an anchor store opening in the mall 5- I 0 years before. The square footage of the store ranged from 30,000 to 60,000 feet. Suppose several years later a Supercenter, such as Wal-Mart, with perhaps 200,000 plus square feet were to be constructed one-half mile away, soon, the auto traffic in the older mall lessened. The Target or Kmart with only 45,000 sq. feet closed and surrendered. The anchor store then remained vacant and the decline of the mall accelerated, Throughout the United States, formerly prosperous malls or strip centers have given up. The areas have become desolate and look abandoned and the customers depart for the newest supercenters and their parking areas, The Potential Negative Impact Considering the Multiplier Effect on a Regional Economy Previously mentioned and described in this study is the new phenomena of the "Power Center" which has been gaining momentum in the mid 1990's. The Power Centers have been described as "Big Box" farms where there are a half-dozen or more mega-stores and smaller superstores set around vast (upwards of 1200 spaces) parking lots with total retailing space nearing one-half million square feet. The effect of the centers multiplies that of the single mega- or super-store, These stores and centers draw customers from a radius of 10- to 15- miles in major metropolitan areas and even larger areas in rural ones, By increasing their drawing range, these mega-retail discount chains are also increasing their negative impact on "Main Street" retailers as well as the smaller retail discount chains that during the past year have been plummeting into bankruptcy or dissolution, In California, we have begun to see another approach, Wal-Mart, who has received opposition in some communities to building new structures has begun to renovate empty mall department stores or attach their new buildings to an existing mall. They are easily able to accomplish this since the community infrastructure is already in place - parking, roadways, water, and sewers, Their economic argument is that they will enhance the traffic to the mall; hence increasing overall business and the local GDP. But how is this constructive result possible when Wal-Mart provides direct competition to at least 50% ofthe small businesses already in the mall. Look at the example of the Huntington Beach mall (stores listed below in Table 15) where there are 31 relatively small stores in addition to three larger ones (anchors). Table 15 Huntington Beach Mall Spencer Gifts Wet Seal Music1and Great Earth Lechters Sunglass Hut GNC Mon Ami Claires See's Candy Burlington Coat Factory Hudson Goodman Jewelers Diamond Jewelers Learhers Cloth Kinney Shoes KayBee Toys Walden Books GTE - Phones 206 wz 'L661 A.,"nuur (z paMalA 'UIILJ'SI'~JjZ!qws/Ao>l'asno'l' MMMrdULJ :ssalpPY 'OIlS qaM aplM PIJoM aall!Wwo:) ssaUlsns lI~wS saAIl~IUaSaJda~Jo asnoH 's'n ,,'SPUd ssaulsns lI~wS", 'qor 1'lll:lJ IlluO!l!PUJl U jO ssoI :lLJl JOj alusu:ldwo~ Allnj lOU uu~ qor "xos il!8" U Aq paluJauall JaMod llu!Anq JO pall:l Ja!1d!llnw :I'll 'slljau:lq IInj 'll!M aW!l-lInj lOU S! qof "!Il'l~ lUnO~S!p IIUlaJ-uilaw ailUJMU uu 'passn~s!p uaaq SU'lll su 'JMaMO'l :uaJu a'll Ol sqofilU!Jq lI!M.lJUW)! JO lJUW -filM. sllLJ~ns U!Il'l~ lUnO~S!p I!Ul:lJ-uilaw M:lU :I'lllll'll :lnJl Sl H 'dODjO plldw! :lA!lUilau u:lq PlnoM. :lJ:llIl 'ilu!uado s,u!u'l~ lUnO~S!p I!UlaJ-uil:lw UjO llnsaJ U su :lsol~ Ol aJ:lM S:lJOlS s,lIuW :I'lljO %O>j! 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Zll M. ao'lS ssaJd JllallllV ~JUWIIUH ~JU'lS O!PU~ lUUAJS :luu'l :lIAlSJIUH s!ila~ There will be a net effect on regional GDP from the competition presented by this mega-retail discount chain and it believed that it will be negative for the reasons presented above, The "new" jobs created by the mega-retail discount chain will not compensate for the jobs lost from the traditional retailers who will close from direct competition, Added to this is the effect on the non-competitive mall stores and the surrounding restaurants and businesses to the maiL Superstore Sprawl and Its Potential Harm The 1994 publication of the National Trust for Historic Preservation, entitled How Superstore Sprawl Can Harm Communities....., (and what citizens can do about it) describes the fact that rosy promises of increased revenues for cities, more jobs, affordable prices and good products don't always arrive as promised, Were it true, there would not be the hundreds of citizen groups throughout the nation attempting to hang on to the "land we love," Gene Davidson, a resident of Berea, Ohio wrote the following in a letter to the National Trust for Historic Preservation: "I believe that the 'land that we love' is literally vanishing before our eyes, The present new construction rate of Wal-Mart, Super Kmarts, Meijers, and others of 'superstore' breed guarantees others an inevitable destruction of much of what we hold dear. Add to the new construction starts of the superstores all of the franchise operations, such as Sub-Way, McDonalds, Taco Bell, etc" and you can project ten years down the road an intolerable situation, This country would eventually be virtually unrecognizable from what we knew as the United States just one generation ago,'" While the sixties and seventies were replete with new regional shopping malls in the suburbs, the eighties and nineties ushered in the "Big Boxes" ofWal-Mart and Kmart, Home Depot and other sprawling discount stores located near the intersections of major highways, The new discount stores were in many cases funded by redevelopment funds that were denied to "Main Street" merchants struggling to survive the exodus from downtown. The economic vitality of the downtown oozed out as the highway interchanges were the place to go. As the downtown businesses closed, there was a desecration of civic and cultural life affecting families, education, crime and violence, The new mega-store required municipal and state investments in roads, water and sewer lines, police and fire protection and other governmental services, As one travels through the towns and cities of America, it is easy to note negative change with abandoned buildings, unsightly parks, declining majesty of public buildings and general malaise, Interviews with surviving owners of retail stores disclose a hopelessness, They say "the traffic is gone"; the "future is bleak" n_ "I may have to close," In the four states the author visited, he saw numerous instances of community groups fighting 'Constance E, Beaumont, How Superstore Sorawl Can Harm Communities...., with a Preface by Richard Mae (Washington: National Trust for Historic Preservation, 1994), pp. I-iii. 208 60Z 'ZV 'd '9661 AJUl1JqOj '/I1wnor laaJI!> IJl1M "11.1 ..',aJE4:) aiS Jau\, Ja)JEnO 41P JO~ UOIII!II\I OLP$)O SSOl SlSOd )JEW)!" 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'aj!1 jO AllM J!a'll U! sailuu'lo M!p~dsOJd alUl1luAa Ol Sa!llUnWWOo Ol "lIuO dn-a~~M" U SUM lJodaJ s,lsnJl alll 'IMUJds uuqJnjo sasu'ld aA!pnJlSap a'lljO aJUMU aJOW uOlluU a'll a'IuUI Ol p~lUUM Aa'll ,:paJailuupua" SU lUowJaAjo alUls alll palUull!Sap uOlluAJasaJd olJolslH JOj IsnJlluUOIlUN aLJl 'spudwl Olwouooa puu l"oslj '~lUaJS 'IUJI1llnJ a'll su lIaM su waWUOJ!AUa a'll uodn loudw! aAlluilau a'lllnoqu pauJaouoo aJaM Aa'll 'palUlI!Ullla SUM JalmlaJ lIuWS ~'lll!lUn lnlillu!OJawwo~ ~snu~ AluO lnq n la>fJUW JawnSllOo a'lUo az!s a'll Ol ppu lOU PlnoM SaJOlS U!U'lO Mau a'll p~Jllaj Aa'll 's~iluu'lJ ilu!uoz IUO!ilOIl! pau!wJad IULJl ilU!UUUld UMOluMOP jO ~oul U paJOldap A~'ll 'sjjU!SSOJJ 100'lOS P~jjU PlnoM lU'll uOllsailuoJ OIjJUJl puu 1I0!lnllod U! asuaJJu! a'll paJuaj Aa'll 'SlIIUlp puu sJadOlaAap Ol p~J~jjO spunj (yall) sailu~oud IUlouuulj a'll palUaSaJ Aa'll uauo 'IMUJds JaluaoJadns A 1994 study co-authored by David T, Kresge of Dun and Bradstreet Information Services and retail consultant Gary A, Wright of Denver stated: "Despite predictions that small retailers are doomed, specialty stores are thriving in some important niches, says a new study of retailing, In those retail sectors where personal service, location or expertise are valued such as the women's fashion, accessories and gifts, smaller retailers are doing very well, said co-authors Kresge and Wright.'" The study discounts predictions that at least half of all retailers in business in 1990 will be gone by 2000, In the same Philadelphia Inquirer article the opposite position was taken by a Wall Street investment expert following the retail chain picture: "Senior retail analyst Walter Loeb of Loeb and Associates says the larger firms such as Wal-Mart are gaining increasing sway, with enormous control over pricing, the competitive environment and suppliers," "When Wal-Mart is growing at 18-20 percent a year with the (economy) growing only about 3 percent, somebody is giving up business," he added,'" The study discussed in the article recommended personalized service as means by which small retailers could survive, On the other hand, the authors warned that powerful chains such as Home Depot were also offering personalized service, The future of the small retailer is growing desperate, despite recommendations about personalized service, unique product differentiation, and a move from the destroyed "Main Street" of America to more appropriate locations, How can those small retailers, with less than a million in sales, finance a lease termination and the expense of a move to a more desirable location? The proof ofthe pudding that the major discounters will sooner or later eliminate most of the small retailers is the fact that even the medium size firms are in trouble. In their study, Kresge and Wright state that medium size firms with sales from $20 to $50 million annually could suffer the most (in the next century,) "They neither have the buying power of large firms nor the personalized approach ofthe small firms,'" The bankruptcy of Bradlees and Caldor are perfect illustrations of which way the wind is blowing, Someday a Wal-Mart may possibly have the entire retail market. As Mr. Loeb says, "if Wal-Mart grows at 20% a year and the economy only at 3%, somebody's giving up business." Ifwe examine the "Main Street" malls and the strip centers we can note the devastation of former 'Jennifer Loven, "Kmart to close I I 0 stores, cut 6,000 workers," The Philadelphia Inquirer, 9 September 1994, p, Cl. 'Ibid, 'Ibid, 210 m: 'f 'd ',66 [ aunr 9 '~aaM ssaUlmg ,:s,p,dS pal,lluepUtI uu uuwalPPIW alllllu1'Ie]l\[" 'Jall!lIJS AJ'lIJ~Z, 'plqJ, '9, 'd ',661 Ae]l\[ 1:1: 'uodfJH PIJOM W S"taN sn ,:i,ue]l\[ a[PP!W aquo lIleao" 'JaZIUao uesns, lI8noJ'll Sl!JoJd SlIJO pmll U AI'l8noJ sa>fUw 'JaIUSaIO'lM pooJ uO!ll!q t I $ U 'dJUUlSU! JOj "soJ ilu!wald 'Ja,ijo SJamplljnUUW a'lllu'll aSlpuu'l~JaUllUnO~slp uo dn ilUl~~OIS Aq AauoUl J!~lIUo 'l~nul a)juw -- sJaIusalo'lM ApulnJ!lJud -- ssau!snq AJaJoJil d'll U! sJaAuld il!q a'll 'UO!l!SUU1l ASll~ uu aq l, UOM II 'JdA~MOH 'AUP 'l~l1a PI os Allunpu S,IU'lM uo pasuq saAla'ls JO lUaW'lS!UaldaJ SnOnU!lUm U AllunluaM pUU SUO!lOWOJd aJOlS puu lU~WlJOSSll aSlpuu'l~Jaw Mlpajja aJOW uuaw PlnoM '(~:)3) asuodsall JalllnSUOJ lUa!~!JJ3 paqqnp 'awalps aljl 'SJQ!lddns J!~lIlLJl!M S)jU!I "SSQP~dud" pJeMOl ilU!AOW Aq 'JeaA e UO!II!q O€$ UUlIl ~JOW JO lUQ~J~d II Aq -- sa~pd pun -- SlSO~ J!a41ln~ Plno~ sJa~OJ8lu'll8u!pnIJUOJ Apnls U pasualaJ "JUI SalU!JOSSY uowluS lJn)! 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JaZlUQO uusns 'u!eilu aJUO su!ilaq apA~ awus a'll puu 'Aluno~ JO UMOl JalllOUU JOj aAuaI lI!M AQlIl UOOS i,QlqU!A "SdXOS il!S" alll daa)j Ol JaMod ilU!SUlI~Jnd aLJl ap!AoJd Ol WOJj awo~ sqof a'llll!M aJalli\\ 'Ual SJOA!AJnS InjJaMOd OMl JO QUO AIUO aq AUW aJQ41 a~uQ'l pun Al!unWWO~ U U! puuwap 'l~nw OS AluO s,aJa'll 'SJaI!UlQJ snoJadsoJd such forward buying, The big discount deals would be cut sharply under ECR. And even if ECR eventually brings Wal-Mart-Iike efficiency, nobody wants to give up today's profits first. That's a major reason why progress toward this much needed streamlining has been slow, Yes, the middleman is an endangered species because of the EDI hookups between manufacturers and large discounters, But here again, the small retailers may become a thing ofthe past, lacking funds and information to survive. Retailing in Transition tI In a study several years ago, the following forecast was provided: "By the end of this decade, more than half of to day's retailers will be out of business." They explained: "there is too much retail space for the market, too much "copy cat" sameness among retailers, and far too much leverage on the books, These conditions leave no room for marginal performers," They further predicted: "that by the end of the century, some lines of trade will virtually be 'owned' by only four or five major players."" It now appears that this prediction made in ] 990, is being corroborated by the retailing change of power in the mid-nineties. In the retail discount field such performers as Wal-Mart, Kmart and Home Depot. among other discount chain leaders, have set the pace which ultimately will eliminate thousands of smaller retailers in drug stores, family clothing, general merchandising, hardware and lumber stores. According to studies by consultants, G,A, Wright, Inc. of Denver Colorado, there at first glance "does appear to be evidence to support the contention that the retail industry is 'consolidating.' The largest firms are in fact controlling a larger and larger share of the industry, Large retail firms (those with sales over $]00 million) increased their share of industry employment from 35% in 1985 to 39% in 1989 and to 45% in ] 993,"" "In ]985, small firms (sales under $ I million) employed 2 I % more workers than the large firms; but by ] 993 the small firms employed 22% fewer workers than the large firms."" ".....it does indeed appear that the (retail) industry is increasingly falling under the control ofa relatively small number of very large firms,"" As an example of the domination of the large retail firms, The Wright report cited that employment growth in retail women's clothing and apparel in large firms increased by 18,000 employees between ]989 and 1993, while small firms cut employment by 19,000 and medium size firms cut by ] 6,000 employees, The only light at the end of the tunnel was shown by small retailers in women's apparel with concentration "RetailinQ 2000, cited by Gary A. Wright and David T. Kresge, RetailinQ In Transition (G. A. Wright, Inc, and Dun and Bradstreet Information Services: 1994), p. 1. "Gary A, Wright and David T, Kresge, RetailinQ In Transition, (G, A, Wright, Inc, and Dun and Bradstreet Information Services: 1994), pp. 25, 31. "Ibid., pp, 25-26, "Ibid., pp. 39-40, 212 HZ '1178-18 '1:f 'dd "P!ql" a'll 'SSUIJ salus UO!II!W 001$ aLJl U! 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AUM Ill!lUlllsqns U U! alq!ssodulI AIIU31lSIIUaJ 1uaddu sassa33ns paz!lupads a'll ,:slaaJlS U!UW" ilU!AP alll uo saJuanuu! a>f!I-oua'lil a'll UOA!D 'SaJ!AJaS Paz!Iu!~ads ilU!P!AOJd U! sapuJ!w wJOjJad UU3 SWJIj lIuWS ssalun ''llMOJil puu salus U! pual J!a'll pualxa Ol anu!lu0311!M lodaa awoH puu sn "~,, AOl 'lJUW-IuM. a~11 SU!u'l3lUnOJs!p l'UlaJ ailJUIlU'll Jllal~ S! H 'laJuddu paz!lmJads puu sa!JOSSa33u ilu!lIas uo \1 ....,. national retail discount chains by year 2000 and employment. beyond will have a major negative impact on retail The Wright study examined the closure or termination rate of retailers during the nineties. They provide great concern with the following: "Ifthe company closure rate for the industry of2.9% per year for the first four years of the 90's were extrapolated to the year 2000, it would yield a closure rate of29% for the 10-year period of the 90's, It is important to note that this is not 29% of the retail companies that start the decade, since many of the closures are likely to be businesses that were start-ups during the 90's," "The major group of companies with the greatest closure rate is apparel stores. The 90's is experiencing a 5.4% per year closure rate in this group that compares to an 8,0% rate for the 80's. Extrapolating the 5.4% rate to the year 2000 would yield a 54,0% closure rate for the decade. Again, this is not 54% of those starting the decade,"" Not only are the small and medium sized retailers being hammered by the major retail discount chains but the medium sized discount chains are falling by the wayside as attested to the bankruptcy applications of Caldor and Bradlees, and now even the giant Kmart appears to be suffering. Charm ing Shoppes with over 1400 retail stores is reported to be in real trouble, while Silo's has closed all stores, In retailing, analysts say, discount is no longer synonymous with success, 'The days are gone when a discounter could be unique or alone in any market," says Allan L, Pennington, a Chicago retail consultant with McMillan/Doolittle. "It's become a difficult business to be in." Analysts trace the trend to a redrawing of battle lines, Until recently, discounters of every stripe sought to steal customers from full-price independent, mass merchants such as J,c. Penney Co. and department stores such as R.H. Macy & Co. But the expansion into nearly every market of the so-called Big Three -- Wal-Mart Stores, Inc" Kmart Corp. and Dayton Hudson Corp's Target chain -- has pitted discounter agamst discounter in a competition that favors size, Wal-Mart and Target, in, particular are thriving, 'The smaller chains are getting caught in a battle between the Bigs." says Linda Kristiansen, a New York retail analyst with Wertheim Schroder," The Role of the National Trust for Historic Preservation The author has endeavored to assess the contributions of the mega-retail discount chains as well as the negative implications of their unprecedented growth. It's important at this time as the writer comes to the end of his study to once again review the role "Ibid" pp. 36-37. "Kevin Helliker, "Discount Chains are Squeezed by Competition," The Wall Street Journal, 13 April 1994, sec. B, p. I. 214 "'- SlZ 'P!QI" 'luown~o8 "lp 'dO" i,palUJOI aq OJOlS a'll Plno'ls oJa'lM. 'SWJal sap!unwwoJ oLJl uo U! 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How much new retail space can the local economy absorb without suffering fiscal and economic impacts created by a commercial glut? Can the store be designed to help preserve the communities livability and attractiveness? How can the store minimize negative environmental, cultural, scenic, fiscal and economic effects? Above all, what is the long term impact of the decision?"" Supercenters and Comparative Labor Costs Earlier in this study, Paine Webber was quoted as having a negative opinion of "one stop" shopping. They apparently did not care for alternative advertising and promotion with an additional example from Kmart's ads as "We've got juice, jumper cables and jeans" and "Shop here for carrots and car mats," Paine Webber may have mistakenly believed that only a small minority of Supercenter customers would "shop both sides of the store," PaineWebber earlier suspected that Kmart would have financial and management problems which have come to the fore prior to the completion of this study, As the writer indicated in Chapter II. PaineWebber had stated: "Kmart's well-known corporate problems give it a negative image among consumers as well as developers,"lO As of late 1995, Kmart's per share price on the New York Stock Exchange appeared to be dropping sharply while Wal-Mart's securities prices appeared to be relatively stable. The Paine Webber study also reported that Kmart's decision to use third party food wholesalers saved much needed capital, but put Super Kmart at a substantial disadvantage in fulfilling the Supercenters' low price position ing, Furthermore, this author indicated in Chapter II that he did not accept the premise that Wal-Mart would have similar problems to Kmart's in executing the supercenter program. Wal-Mart's national management and store management appears quite strong, Wal-Mart, unlike several major supermarket chains, is unconstrained by corporate problems and appears to be going with 100% self-distribution. Most supermarket chains self-procure and self-distribute, Apparently, when Kmart opened new Super Kmarts, utilization of outside food wholesalers strained Kmart's staff resources in opening new locations with the intense travel required as well as essential staff training requirements. A major advantage for Wal-Mart's Supercenter, generally, is its lower labor costs as compared to both the unionized and non-unionized supermarkets, Wal-Mart is presently non-union, Kroger. the dominant supermarket chain, is unionized; nevertheless, it, unlike many supermarkets, continues to be strongly managed, effective and highly profitable, Wal-Mart's low labor costs, high productivity and control of its managerial and inventory processes have weakened not only Kmart, but many regional discount chains / well as supermarkets, This writer believes, however. that Wal-Mart's capitalization and managerial expertise, plus its mass purchasing, advertising and promotion budget will prove it to be a formidable rival for Kroger and other "Ibid, lOPaine Webber, Food RetailinQ Industry: SUDercenters are no biQ threat, May 1994, p. 7. 216 LIZ SJaluaJJ~dns JO lupualOd aLJl ilupunlMa uaaq sU'llJUW-luM. 'JliaA U SJUIIOP uOIII'q Of$ ilUlpaaJxa salUS LJl!M . UJ!J~WY U! 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SU!UlI:) la~JuwJadns ') \~1 \Y ...., at both ends of the spectrum from a 109,000 square foot center in Arkansas to a 220,000 square foot center in Tennessee, A 136,000 square foot model has all the same departments as a larger Supercenter, but it is laid out in a smaller box and has a more compressed variety, Wal-Mart officials told Supermarket News, "the decision to grow with a smaller size prototype is a clear indication that Wal-Mart plans to expand Supercenters into smaller towns of 10,000 to 12,000 people where there is less population density and less competition,"" In the near future Wal-Mart will probably enter the food business in California and several other states and what may be at stake will be the additional loss of many quality high paying jobs now found in supennarkets, Wal-Mart's increasing assimilation into the food industry is apparently motivated by the drive to increase total retail sales. According to company statements, total retail sales should increase some 30% ~to the synergies established at combination stores. Furthermore, it has been suggested that Wal-Mart , ht use food as a loss leader in order to increase store traffic, There will be a positive transfer effect i'n th ale of general merchandise by having more visitors to the store, particularly if the sales of food are in the "loss leader" category, The impact that this will have on the food industry will parallel the effect it has had on the traditional retail industry. The problems created for em 10 ees within the traditional fQQd industty could be nothing short of catastrop IC, Supermarkets work on very thin margins, and their shrinking market share resultmg trom the combmatlOn of cheap labor and low prices will have murderous impact on the traditional food stores, large or small, The fallout could be compared to that of GM, Chrysler and Ford; not in overall job loss, but in weekly earnings, while company paid health benefits and retirement plans now prevalent in supermarkets might disappear. The shift in health benefits costs will go directly to the taxpayer while desperate worker who can't get jobs and retirees WIthout pensIOn tunds may be adversely Impacted - and may have to be taken care of by federal, local and state governments. With a Social Security system already in jeopardy, increased drains will only shorten its lifespan, The elderly will certainly become more dependent on government subsidies as the shrinking "middle" will be further demonstrated. The Supercenter's impact on the food industry will not be transparent to the causal observer. The entry of mega-retail discount chains like Wal-Mart, Kmart and Target into the food business is to increase their retail sales possibly by as much as an estimated 30% - in the case of Wal-Mart. However, there will be a further negative impact upon the local. state and federal economies as jobs go from full time to part-time and as wages drop and fringe benefits disappear. Effects on the Community The Midwest Center for Labor Research(MCLR) studied the tax revenues now generated at existing supermarkets in San Jose, California which might well be lost if three super stores (combination retail/food) were to locate in the city. According to the MCLR: "The presence of three such non-union super stores would take away work from supermarket workers already employed throughout the city, The grocery sections of the new super stores would employ the equivalent of three hundred sixty supermarket workers, Their presence would result in a decline in the hours of work of existing supermarket workers. (MCLR) examined three areas of impact: (1) The higher wages of existing supermarket workers, almost all of whom are unionized, and the wages of other workers whose jobs are supported by the 'multiplier effect,' which result in increased consumption "Elliot Zweibach, "Wal-Mart's concentrated solution," Supermarket News, I April 1996, p. 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S!'ll Ol alqulnqpuu luawAoldwa .Ia'lil!H (Z) :uaJu a'll U! , .....,. additional 33% answered "very negative," Thus 73% viewed their future in a most despondent, negative manner. The respondents generally mixed pessimism with facts, Fifty-eight percent of the respondents visualized serious losses in employment were a major chain to move into the area selling similar products. Forty percent of the respondents saw their retail venture losing 5% to 35% of their employees. Eighteen percent visualized losing more than 50% of their employees, Only 4% saw a gain in employment. Thirty- seven percent anticipated "no effect." The author believes that the "no effect" data stemmed from a lack of hard data on the part of the respondents -- but in no way expressed optimism about the future, The respondents were then asked to rate the negative or positive impact on sales volume by the imminent competition of a mega-retail discount chain, Eighty percent of the respondents anticipated "sharp" to "drastic" reductions in sales volume; while only 14% saw "no effect." Only 6% saw a rise by virtue of a new competitive entry of a major retail discount chain, Data appeared consistent as to the expected reduction in sales volume as well as serious estimates of future profitability, Twenty-four percent of the respondents visualized profits dropping by more than 50%, In fact, 76% anticipated serious reductions in profitability as a result of the imminent competition of the mega-retail discount chains. Only 8% saw an increase in profitability, with these estimates being mostly conservative i,e., 10% or less. Sixteen percent saw "no effect." Respondent retailers saw the reduction in the number of wholesalers, or those middlemen willing to sell to small retailers, as affecting their business negatively. Over 50% saw the direct selling to mega- retail discount chains by suppliers as being "negative" of "very negative." Kmart's and Wal-Mart's recent ventures into the Super Kmarts and Supercenters' food and grocery departments are creating new competition for the small grocer and the more traditional supermarket. Small retailers see these ventures as further threatening the survival of countless small food retailers, Many of whom (lacking wholesale resources) are now buying from Sam's Clubs or other clubs, Small retailers anxious to survive do not have the relative financial ability to compete with the mega- discount chains in advertising, promotion, public relations or radio and television, They rely on the small business techniques replete with flyers, leaflets, brochures, using the yellow pages of the telephone book and the local newspaper. This, despite the fact that many proponents for the mega-retail discount chain movement believe that small retailers can survive by employing specialization, improved marketing, utilization of information and computerized systems and other MBA driven techniques, The average "Main Street" retailer in general fails to have these resources or capabilities, Small retailers sell most of the products sold by Kmart, Wal-Mart, Target and many other major chains. Each store, however, was limited with respect to national brands, inventory and product lines; one might specialize in apparel; another in food; another in auto mechanics and supplies and so on, In his 1993 study, Kenneth E, Stone, Professor of Economics at Iowa State University, stated that "businesses that sell the same goods as Wal-Mart sells tend to experience some reduction in sales after Wal- Mart opens,"" The study used sales tax data to document changes in trade area size in 32 Iowa towns with populations between 5,000 and 300,000 over a five year period, "Kenneth E. Stone, "Executive Summary - The Impact of Wal-Mart Stores on Other Business and Strategies for Co-existing," Iowa State University, 1993. 220 lZZ '1:661 LJJJ~V11 'hllSJaAlUn ~lRlS UMol ,,'lU:}WU01!AU3 ~U!S!PUI!4~J~1^I. ssuJ^J e u! ~UPS!Xg-oJ 10j S;}!:3gll.UlS" 'gUOlS "3 ljl;}UUg)ln 'AOldnJ>fuuq puu 1I0!lUp!nb!1 'ssol qof jO aJUap!Aa puu Al!l!qU!A aJl1lnj J!aLJl lnoqu UJaJum snopas pa"\O'ls 'alo'lM aLJl uo 'SJal!UlaJ lIuwS 'SJUaA 0 I lIU'll aJOW JOj ssau!snq UI uaaq ilU!AU'l UOIlJodOJd ~ilJlll U 'lllM UOilOU JUlndod a'll aq l'lillw UU'l1 Jailuol ssau!snq U! lIaaq AlIllJauail MUll sluapuodsaJ 'Alilu!s!JdJns 'pa!pnlS sallllS Jnoj a'll iluowu su oSlu lnq AIIUUOilllu AluO lOll 'Al!P!IM pUll AJUalS!SUO~ paMo'ls III Jaldu'lJ UI paAuJlJod su ssall!snq l'UlaJ lIuWS jO amOJd a'lllu'lllllapljuo~ Sl JO'llnu a'll '%0, 'll!M U!UMIASUuad puu %" U!UJOj!IUJ :%9, 'll!M ~JOA MaN :%09 'll!M a^!l!sod lSOW a'll SUM SIOUIIII 'sa!ilalUJlS "aAlllsod" Ol su ,saluls mOj aLJl iluowu a~uaJajjlp jO Iuap luaJil U lOU SUM aJa'll ,:AJldnJ~uuq OlU! ilu!oil" JO "ssau!snq a'll ilU!lIaS JO ilUllup!nb!l" :,JjUlS ilUlsuaJ~ap" :"saoIJd iluIJaMOI JO ilulsmJ" WOJj ilUloil 'salilalUJlS "aAISUajap" aJaM sa~!oLJ~ a'll jO lUao.lad JI10j-AlJOd ,:sau!I pnpoJd puudxa" pUll "aO!AJaS Jallnj ap!AoJd" :"Al!l!q!S!A aSU~JOll!" :,JjUlS asuaJOUI,. 01 SU 'lJns :"aA!llsod" lU'lMawos SU pauljap aq PlnOJ lU'll Sa!ilalUJlS aA!lUUJalIU papalas luaJJad xlS-AlJId 'UO!lSanb S!'ll JaMSUU Ol MO'l uo ilU!lUJlUaJUOO alqnOJl ilU!AULJ pUU Olls!w!ssad 'pasnjUOJ 'palllJlSl1Jj SU lIaM su sao!o'lo J!a'll UI paluawiluJj Juaddu slUapuodsaJ a'll 'suOIlsanb Jal/IO Ol SJaMSUU a'll UUl/l JaMoI SllM l! 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'palUlS aH ,:~!d l!ulaJ" az!s paxlj U U! ilu!lInsaJ 'lIollulndod OlllllS" U 'll!M alUlS U paq!JJsap auolS l ! ...." The State of Mind of the Small Retailer in America: His Fears and Concerns about Survival As was indicated in Chapters 11 and Ill, there was approximately a 10% return of questionnaires mailed to Pennsylvania, California, New York and Illinois. The research staff had categorized these responses which provide comments and suggestions on how to cope and prepare for the survival of the small retailer. The categories were grouped by state returns and indicated the types of product lines or services provided by the respondents, Chapter IV revealed the depths of fear and discouragement of the small retailers who were desperately concerned with their chances of survival in the face of mega-retail discount chain competition of other powerful retail chains, The narrative comments and quotes in Chapter IV have been compiled from retailers responding to the 6,000 questionnaires sent by the author in 1994 to firms in Pennsylvania, California, New York, and Illinois, They represented all of the subjective responses to the completed questionnaires returned which were about 10% of the original addressees, Part I of Chapter IV was a response to the excellent book authored by Taylor and Archer." Our staff recognizes this serious work as well meaning -- but finds the "Ten Suggested Strategies to Survive" almost impossible to implement atthe current stage offrustration, retail failure and stagnation. These small firms simply do not have the financial resources, staff or leadership to snap back in the ways suggested by Taylor and Archer. Were there a reason to start a new business with more than adequate management experience and venture capital, their "Ten Strategies to Survive" would be both helpful and essential, It is possible that some individual retailers might survive in the face of "Big Boxes" by following Taylor and Archer's "Ten Commandments" or strategies, However, for the most part, the dying breed of "Main Street" merchants require external and enormous help from their local, state and federal governments as well as specialized agencies such as zoning boards, planning commissions and community development authorities who are prepared to provide incentives and subsidies to small retailers currently available to the mega-retail discount chains who generally build their "Big Boxes" on former agricultural or industrial land, For example, a mega- retail discount chain store is given the right to retain sales taxes collected for a given number of years in order to help finance construction of and debt service for the "Big Box." As small retailers close, the sales taxes they formerly collected are no longer available to local government. These entrepreneurial subsidies and dozens of other incentives as well as tax abatements are not generally available to the small retail merchant. Taylor and Archer are among those writers and journalists who attribute the failure of the traditional "Main Street" retailer to other causes than the price competition ofthe mega-retail discount chains. Taylor and Archer authored a provocative and interesting volume which appears well meaning in identifying ten survival strategies to enable the small retailer to compete more effectively with a giant Wal-Mart or other mega-chain retailers. Their book, published in 1994, Up Against The Wal-Marts (How Your Business Can Prosper in the Shadow of the Retail Giants, was first cited in Chapter IV, One cannot argue with time honored principles taught at the nation's illustrious business schools, i.e., Wharton, Harvard, Stanford - but these schools prescriptions are far away from the financial constraints of small businesses. Those principles being such as "satisfy your customers"; "study the success of others"; "Don Taylor and J. S, Archer, Uo A~ainst the Wal-Marts (How Your Business Can Prosoer in the Shade of the Retail Giants), (New York: American Management Association, 1994), pp. 1-258. 222 El1: JUI'WIS aJU 'l~I'lM salnlUlS ilUl~ud IUJ:lu:lil :lJOW UI p:lU!UlUO~ U:lUO aJU as:l'll 'SUO!SlAOJd salus lso~-Molaq :llll puu :lll1lUlS IUJap:lj a'll ~~UJl 'l~!'lM sPy uuwJa'lS "Aquq" P:lPUU:l :lAU'l S~lUlS lSOW 'Ja'llmd 'J:llmlaJ lIuws aLJl JOj UOIP:llOJd J:llU~Jil u1llnsaJ l'lil!w 'l~I'lM salnluls AJOlUlnil:lJ IUJapaj alU!JdoJddu MaIA:lJ OllUawlJud:lO a~llsnr 's'n alll Alq!ssod puu UOISSIWUlOJ :lPuJlluJapad :l'll alulnw!lS PlnoLJs puu ilUl~!Jd AJOlUpaJd jO parqns a'll 01 lSaJallll alUaJ~ P!P aSUJ lJnoJ aW:lJdns a'll U! uo!u!do ilU!luaSs!p a'll puu UO!S!~:lp AJ!JOrUW :llll 'llOS 'IM:lllJnoJ ~w:lJdns susumpv :l'lIIUIU:lddu Sl! UOM lJuW-luM. 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IUlUaWaJJu! jO pO'llaw :lsalmduf 'uazm)] a'll 'aldwuxa JOj ,:AUP AJ:lAa aAoJdwl Ol ilu!'llawos pUIj" :"alsuM aluu!w!la" ~,.Aianblun ssau!snq mOA UO!l!sod" :"anluA jO UOlld:lJJad SJaWOlsnJ a'll aSUaJ~U1" :"SlI'>fS ilupa>fJuw JnOA U:ldJu'lS" :"AIJUlnil:lJ UOIlUWJOjUI lU:lw:liluuuw aZAluuu puu Ja'lluil" ~ ~ to the federal Robinson-Patman price discrimination law -- either of which may be used advantageously to challenge truly predatory pricing behavior. Chapter V, also mentioned that a group of retailers took a different tack on pricing differentials by suing both manufacturers and wholesalers. This study shows that more and more of the chain's ability to lower prices is due to the massive discounts available to them for large volume purchases. Not only are these unit prices not available to small retailers, but wholesalers, who used to sell the small retailer are disappearing, as the chains buy "direct" from the manufacturer. In August 1994, the House Small Business Committee met and listened to witnesses who were concerned about the survival of the small retailer in the face of growing power of the mega-retail discount chains, Should not the 1995 and 1996 Small Business Committee of both the House and Senate continue this type of public hearing? Materials from the U ,S, Congressional Budget Office (CBO) were included in Chapter V for the purpose of opening the question (in public forums) as to which regulatory statutes are available at the federal level that might pertain to the behavior and growing power of chain stores. Their interpretative comments and analyses of the Robinson-Patman Act were particularly valuable, CBO describes "how in the 20's and 30's, large chain retail stores rose to prominence, The market power of some of these chains enabled them to negotiate lower prices from manufacturers than could be obtained by the traditional small independent retailer. For that and other reasons, the small retailer found it difficult to compete, leading to pressure on Congress to do something to help them, The dissatisfaction with the lack of success of the Clayton Act in preventing price discrimination, led to the passage in 1936 of the Robinson-Patman Act." There appears to be many similarities in the retail market today as was noted by CBO for the period ofthe 20's and 30's, Then it was the large chain that threatened the small retailer; today it is the mega-retail discount chain. Predatory Pricing and What Was Learned from the Majority and Dissenting Opinions in Wal- Mart's Victorious Appeal to the Arkansas Supreme Court Chapter VI analyzed in some detail Wal-Mart's arguments to set aside the Chancery Court's decision against it. Wal-Mart believed that there was no rational basis for the Arkansas Court to have ruled against the company. Further, in the appeal, Wal-Mart believed the Arkansas Act was preempted by federal law by the Robinson-Patman Amendments to the Clayton Act which specifically addressed the weapon of predatory pricing by monopolies. The discussions in Chapter V and Chapter VI do suggest that it would be appropriate for the Small Business Committees of the House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate to hold hearings on the growing power of the mega-retail discount chains, The Court's concluding comment in the dissent is reproduced here: "We would hold that the Appellant has failed to prove that the Chancellor used an improper legal standard with respect to the inference of intent to injure competitors and to destroy or substantially lessen competition, We also find that the Chancellor could have found an intent to injure competitors from the evidence in the record and particularly from the testimony of David Glass, President ofWal-Mart Stores, Inc. who used language such as 224 >Zz '8 'I 'dd 'P661 )sn~n\f II '(,!,va .maM s, uawoM) MMM ,:s>lu!J~aLJ osnoH U! >lu!punod ^A~OLJ a~m SOJo)sJadns )unoos!o" 'naJJ~8 a'AOr" '(,661 '6 AJ~nu~r pa!!]) SESUqJ\f ,661 :O( pU1: 'M:S 168 :PI1: S~SU~~JY 6([ :~[1:-P6 'ON "Ju/ sAnJa UDJ!JawV'. 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Lafalce acknowledged that the federal government can do little to affect the recent course of retailing, but said he was concerned that superstore development was coming at the expense of smaller merchants, At the hearings, which were commented on in Chapter VII, there was a litany of complaints about the superstores,30 Thomas Muller, a Fairfax, V A, economist and the author of a report on the impact that three proposed Wal-Mart stores would have on northeastern Vermont communities, said Wal-Mart charged hi~her prices in communities where it has eliminated the competition. Also, Wal-Mart and other mega- stores don't increase the dollar volume of sales, but instead redistribute sales, Further he pointed out that the claim that Wal-Mart creates 'obs also is wrong, Muller added that in communities with a Wal-Mart the resu t could be fewer retail jobs, He also said that full-time jobs in the mega-retail were often based on a 28-hour work week, instead of the usual 40 hours, He also observed that based on its current marketing strategy, Wal-Mart could open another 5,000 stores within the next 10 to 15 years, Muller further estimated: "",that Wal-Mart had reached 'optimum penetration levels' in Arkansas, Mississippi and Oklahoma, and now appears to be targeting urban and rural areas in other states, The new Wal-Mart approach for areas close to saturation, as well as others. is to revamp the older stores as supercenters," Muller said, "These combine the general merchandise store with a full-line grocery store, using the checkout counters,"" Muller continued, "The experience ofWal-Mart has been that these superstores have increased per-square-foot general merchandise sales, With its superstores Wal-Mart sales could easily double, even in states where current stores are close to saturation. In a few years, given that current trends will continue, \t~e corporate entity may have a substantial share of all retail trade in the United States,"32 - The author recommends that the current Committees on Small Business in both the U.S, House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate continue to hold hearings on the applicability of such regulatory statutes as the Sherman, Clayton, Federal Trade Commission and Robinson-Patman Acts upon these mega-retail discount chains and their effect on the weakening condition of small retailers in the United States, due in part to the ever increasing power of the chains to procure the lowest of prices from manufacturers and suppliers, While predatory pricing might have to be viewed differently in the federal area compared to state litigation, nevertheless the increasing power of the chains requires federal review in terms of applicable statutes and regulations designated to protect small business and to provide free market opportunities. Further, the opportunities of the large chains to secure "corporate welfare" in terms of financial assistance for building their huge stores should be re-examined by Congress, since many of the grants are basically part offederal funding, 3OIbid, "lbid, J2Ibid. 226 L LZZ ':lJOWlU:lWUJaAOillllJ:lpaj a'll SlSOJ AIU!UlJaJ 'l~!lIM ~IJJUJlIUUOll!PpU ilu!ppu 'SAUM'lil!'l :lll1lSJalU! Juau puudX:l Ol PU:ll A~'ll 'lU:lUldo[:lA~p :lJOlS "xos illS" JOj lUaWUJMOil IUJapaj a'll Ol SlSO~ IUlUap!~u! :lJU aJa'lllu'll SnO!Aqo oSIu S! H 'lUallllJudaa AJnSUaJl sn a'll puu ssaJ8uoJ lSaJalU! AIU!UlJaJ Plno'ls S1'll 'S:lXUl :lWOJU! U! 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P!.IJs"lI pUll JllqwO;) OJ UOllIlIS!:!"'} 1Il.l"P"~ .IoJ ss,,~lIuo;) OJ SUOHIlPU"WWO;J;JlI- "".IIlJI"M "JIl.lod.lo;)" OJ pU3 uy The mega-retail discount chains generally don't provide health insurance to employees, adding these people to the governments' burden, These chains are quite profitable, so an excise tax would not put them out of business, Further, the environmentalists and preservationists should see the need to reduce the tax incentives for "Big Box" development. Finally, those in favor of reducing the federal deficit should be eager to embrace new sources of revenue, Greg LeRoy, previously cited in Chapter VII, made it very clear that the state and federal governments have been wasting large sums on "corporate welfare" for enormously powerful and rich retail corporations, Whether it is a tax abatement or the right to retain sales tax revenues to pay for capital outlay or debt service; these are funds, which based upon earlier objectives, should have been applied in great part to rehabilitation of the "Main Streets" of the United States, Further, as Greg LeRoy pointed out, the grants help build structures which are often abandoned while the companies receiving the financial assistance move elsewhere, The Need to Combat Urban Sprawl (The Work of the National Trust for Historic Preservation) It is clear that the cities and towns of America, are gradually succumbing to urban sprawl. Moreover as described in many places in this study, the same type of sprawl is taking place in malls and strip centers away from the downtown areas, All of the abandonments of stores that were a delight to see ten years ago have taken place in great part due to the restless mobility of such competing giants as Kmart, Target, Wal- Mart and other mega-retail discount chains, as they feverishly move from area to area building larger and larger superboxes in a desire to kill off their competition, Soon the nation will appear to be scenes of desecrated malls looking like ravaged cemeteries, abandoned, looted, boarded up and loaded with graffiti. Can better planning on national, state and local levels help with respect to zoning and involving the community and their citizenry? The following long term strategy for combating sprawl may be found in the work of the National Trust for Historic Preservation released in 1994," "One of the best long term strategies for combating sprawl is to revitalize the downtown, the community's traditional center of commercial, cultural. and social activity, Making downtown "the place to be" helps to attract businesses, shoppers, and appropriate development to 'Main Street'." "Sometimes a downtown's problems seem overwhelming to local citizens, By flooding the community with more commercial space than can reasonably be supported and by diluting the downtown's economic vitality, sprawl can add to those problems, Yet downtown's problems are not insurmountable, Rebuilding the historic commercial district's economic strength simply requires persistence, collaboration, and a clear vision of what you hope to achieve." "Op cit., Beaumont, with chap, 13, "Starting a Downtown Revitalization Program" written by Kennedy Smith, pp. 85-86. 228 6ZZ 'Plql" ,:SlJOjj3 ilU!Z!lUl!AaJ Sl! pUll UMOlUMOP ~'lllnoqll S3pllJll jO salJas U ajlJM Ol JadudsMau luool a'll ~sy 'SJaLJlo puu sassau!snq IUJOI 'sassulJ 100'los 'sdnOJil J!A!J Ol S!'ll MOLJS puu 'SUMOluMOP J!~'ll ilUlZllUllMJ U! pllq MU'l s31llUnwmo~ Ja'110 sassaoons a'll ilU!lUJlSnll! MO'ls ap!ls U J3'llailol lnd 'ilU!l33W AjlUnmmo~ U PloH 'SJ3PU31 AjlUnwwo~ 'lllM >flul 'anss! afjl azp!lqnc!" :3sn U1l0 S3Il!unwwo~ spo'llam uo a~IApu ilUIMOIIOj a'll sJajjo puu IMUJds aJOlSJadns ilU!luqwOJ UI Sa!ilalUJlS InjSS30JnS uo slInd 'UO!lUAJaS3Jd O!JOlSlH JOj lsnJlluuOIlUN a'll 'uollUO!lqnd Jla'll uI ;,paJ.llllS l39 no,\. Plnoqs MOH 'S3!l!unWWO:J sll3llsn.ll UO!lIlA.l3S3~d 3!-,OlS!H Illno!lIlN aql ",..sa~uaJajUOO puu aJ!AJas JaalunloA 'sd!'lsJaqwaw 'aouapuodsaJJoo 'lilnoJlIl 'sWUJiloJd UOllllz!lullAaJ IUloJawwo~ pasuq-uo!luAJasaJd luuolluU puu aluls 'IUJOI JaLJlO 'll!M UOIlU!lljjU puu UO!lllwJOjUI ilu!Ju'ls 'PUlUOO ilUloiluO '0 I 'UOIlllZIIUlIMJ IUI~JawUlo~ p3suq-uOllMJaSaJd U! sassaoons lIuJaAo puu IUnp!AlpUI jO pJOJ3J >fJUJl ilu!AloAa uy '6 'S33U!llIWOO puu sJopaJlp jO pJuoq 3A!pajja puu M!PU uy '8 'sJaalunloA paU!U1WOO jO Sall!A!PU 3'll alUU!pJOO~ Ol S! uo!punj AJuw!Jd 3SO'lM 'jjlllS luuOIssajoJd 'paulUJl 'L 'sa'101l0Jddu Mau AJl puu S~S!J a>fUl Ol ssauilUlII'M. '9 'silu!pl!nq IUIJJawUloo J!JOlS!'l S,P!JlS!P a'll aAJ3saJd OllU3Wl!WllIOO U puu Jlllla UOlluAJasaJd ~IJOlS!lI ilUOJlS V " 'lJoddns puu lUaUlaAloAU! AllUnWwOJ pasuq-puOJ8 'v 'SJopas aluAlJd puu ollqnd 'lloq WOJj lJoddns iluOJlS '( 'sall!A!PU luamdolaAap ~Iwouooa puu UOIlllZ!uuilJO 'UOIlOWOJd 'uillsap palUU!pJOOJ puu aA!sua'laJdUloJ 'l '(lOUlS!P IU!JJawwoo pOO'lJOq'lilI3U U JO UMOlUMOp 1l J3'llla) P!JlS!P IUloJawwoo IUUOIllpUJl JO OIJOlS!'l U uo snJoj Juap V 'I S3!lS!~apllnq:J asaql3AIlH AIIIlnsIl I1!M. wll~:lo~d UO!lIlZ!lllllA3l:1 UMOlUMOa InJssa33ns V ,:l!SIA puu 'aAII 'au!p 'ssau!snq pnpuoo 'dolls Ol aJuld ilull!~xa Ull 'UMOlUMOP a>fuw puu Al!llll!A J!wouo~a S,UMOlUMOP a'll3JOlSaJ uu~ Al!unwwo~ U 'ailuu'lo IUlUaWaJ~U1 'aAlllsod Inoqu ilulJq AllunpuJil lU'll sdals alquM!'l~u 'JalluWS OlU! UMOp S~SUl ailJuI ilu!>fuaJq ua'll 'sw3lqoJd JOrUW S,UMOluMOP a'll ilU!AjllUapl A8" I L I "Recruit oarticioants. The downtown program must involve groups and individuals throughout the community in order to be successful. Main Street revitalization requires the cooperation and commitment of a broad-based coalition of public and private sector groups: Business; civic groups; local government; financial institutions; the chamber of commerce; consumers; and many others. It also involves mobilizing a large number of volunteers to implement activities." "Form an orflanization. Sometimes an existing organization or institution can take on the downtown revitalization initiative, It is usually more effective, though. to create a new organization that focuses exclusively on the revitalization process and that is unhampered by an existing reputation or by the expectations and particular interest of existing members. The new organization should include broad-based community representation," "Identify barriers to downtown develooment. Ultimately, it should be as easy for a new business to locate downtown as it is to locate out on the strip. Examine your community's planning and land-use policies, financial programs, building codes, and other tools to see if there are regulatory or financial incentives that encourage sprawl instead of downtown development. List other problems affecting the downtown as well." "Develoo a realistic, incremental work olan, Articulate what the community wants the downtown to achieve. Develop a written mission statement and three or four major goals. Then identify some high-priority, but achievable activities the organization can do to meet these goals, In the early years try to include highly visible physical improvements and promotional events, Remember that you can't tackle all the downtown's problems in one year. Some of the problems may take years to overcome. Take one step at a time." "Measure vour orof!ress, Keep track of the amount of money invested in physical improvements and of the number of new jobs created and new businesses that open. Track the downtown's vacancy rate, Count the number of people who take part in prcJmotional activities. Ask downtown businesses to let you know if their sales are increasing, Publicize the progress the downtown revitalization is achieving" "Be oersistent, Downtown revitalization doesn't happen overnight. It's a gradual, incremental process, As your organization succeeds in mobilizing resources to tackle small problems, it will strengthen its capacity to confront bigger challenges,"J' Key Actions in Fighting Sprawl The National Trust for Historic Preservation advises community groups as follows; "Don't let anyone tell you that sprawl is inevitable...The biggest enemy is a sense of hopelessness."" Small businesses must stress the idea that fighting sprawl or rebuilding the "Main Street" is anti- competitive, The superstores spend a great deal of money to secure rezoning, win referenda and influence "Ibid, "Ibid., p, 36. 230 Ifl 'L( 'd "PIqI,[ ,:SJ~PU~I JIAp pUU ssaUlsnq Iu~ol Allupadsa 'Al!unwmm a'lljO slUamilas lUaJajjlp 'l~uaJ Ol ~JoM. 'uolllsod JnOA JOj lJoddns J!lqnd pUOJq PI!nq 'IIU MOqy " [ 'SSOJ~U ailussaw JnOA ilu!Uail jO SAUM Ja'110 pUU 'SJa>f~!lS Jadwnq 'spu JadudsMau 'slods OIpUJ JOj Aud Ol Aauow as!u~ '171 'll JOj SUOSuaJ a'll puu uOlllsod JnOA llulzlJumums ApualJ sJalll JUIIUIIS alnqulslO '(I 'SUO!l!pd alulnJJ!:) 'n 'p~Jap!SUO~ aJU SPudw! uua/-fjuo/ ams a~uw 'spudw! Ja'110 puu JIjJUJl 'IUlU~UIllOJ!AUa '~Iwouo~a 'IU~SIj alquqoJd s,luawdOIMap a'll aZAluuu 01 II~uno~ AllJ a'll ~sy '1 [ 'silu!Jua'l J!lqnd lU lno ~uads puu lno uml '0 I 'MOU~ 0) paau Aa'll SlJUj Ol uOlluauu J!a'll MUJO 'sJ~pual uo!u!do puu SIU!~ljjO Iu~ol LJllM laaw '6 'Apua Jadud lu~ol a'll U! saJald uo!u!do puu JOl!pa ~lll Ol sJaual ~luJ~uaD '8 'sa!ilalUJlS U1paw puu ilUlz!uuilJO SlOOJ-sSUJil dOlaAao 'L ''l~JuasaJ IlljaJu~ LJllM uOlllsod mOA dn ~Juq puu lUawdolaAap pasodOJd a'll uo UOll!sod p~UOsu~J-lIaM u dOlaAao '9 'Al11lqlsuodsaJ aluilalap PUI1 ~~UIWWO~ 11 az!uuilJO " 'SalllJolJd las AllnJaJUJ 'lilIlOJ'll saAIParqo JnOA ~U1'll '17 'sau!lpu~P aW!l apnlJu! puu ssaJoJd Ma!A~J lUawdolaAap a'llJo UU'lJ MOll u ~>fUW 'f 'sMul lu~ol puu alUlS 'luJapaj lUUAal~J 'll!M sa1ldwm luawdolaAap pasodoJd alIljllnO PU!d 'Z 'll aZAluuu puu lusodOJd s,JadolaAap a'lUo AdOJ U U!UlqO '[" ,,:SMOIIOj su :lJ1l ~nss! S!'ll uo ap!nD qnIJ UJJ~IS a'll WOJj ua~ul aJ~M 'P!'lM luomnuas Aq pasodoJd SUOlPU Aa)l '~Jnlnj UMO Sl! U! lSMU! Ol UO!S!~~P U a~uw AlaA!paIlO~ Ol su'l ss~u!snq lIumS 'SUO!SJJ~p Iu~ol CONCLUSION The author concludes this extensive review of the impact of the mega-retail discount chains on the economics and sociology of urban, suburban, "rurban" and rural areas with strong concern for the future of Young Americans, Where will they work? Where will they live? Will we live in an economy of hopelessness or one of opportunities and entrepreneurial growth? While intelligent government policy is creative; nevertheless, the spirit of entrepreneurship should be enacted into our enterprises. from a private as well as a public point of view, 232 m: XIGN:IddV 234 ,EZ 'lJ 'bs 000'001 J;lAO - 'lJ 'bs OOO'OOl-lQO'O!>- 'lJ 'bs OOO'O!>-lQO'Ol - 'lJ 'bs OOO'Ol-lQO!>- 'lJ 'bs OOO!>-lQOl - 'lJ 'bs OOOl-lQ!>- 'lJ 'bs OO!>-O - . Al!]!q1! JnOA jO lS;lq ;lql 01 ;ll1!U1!)S;l ;lJl1!J;lA1! U1! ;l)[1!U1 01 AJl 'uO!)1!J;ldO ;lUO U1!ql ;lJOUI ;lA1!q nOA JI 's;l!dm:lo UO!l1!J;ldO JnOA laaJ a.llmbs Jad llaJIl q:lnUl MOq ;ll1!U1!lS;l ;ls1!aId ('0 'SJA OZ U1!ql aJOUI- 'SJA OZ-Ol - 'SJA Ol-!>- 'SJA !>-Z- 'SJA Z-O - i,uo!)1!Jado U! ua;lq SS;lU!Snq JnOA S1!q SJ1!;lA AU1!U1 MOH (' Z) ;lJ!1!UO!SS;l:lUOJ 1!1!1;l~ 11!UO!)1!N - l!Ufl U!1!qJ I1!UO!Jl;l~ -l!Ufl U!1!qJ- ;l;lS!q:lU1!Jd SS;lU!Sng P;lUMO-AI!U11!d JO 'dlqSJ;lU1J1!d 'd!qSJOl;lpdOJd ;lIoS - ('S/SS;lU!Snq JnOA sa!J!lu;lp! lS;lq 11!ql MO!aq AJoJla)1!:l aql JJo )[;);lq:l ;lS1!;lId) i,lU;lUItJS!Iq1!lS;l JnOA S! SS;lU!Snq jO U1JoJ/;ldAll1!qA\. (' II 'UOllUJadoo:l JI10A uo spu:ldap AIiluOJlS APIllS slllllo ssa:l:lns alll 'JaUUaJalll uoos AJ:lA JO .,661 'L 1 aune Aq S:lJ!uuuo!lsanb paqs!u!l aql aA!aJaJ Ol a:>f!l PlnoM aM. '~Iq!ssod SI! uoos su sn Ol AIP~J!P t! Hl!w PUI! :ldOI:lAUa p:lSS:lJppl!-:lJd PUI! p:ldWl!lS-:lJd 'p:lsopua aliI U! I! :l~Uld ':lJ!uuuo!lsanb aql pataldwo:l :lAUlI nOA U:lqA\. . Al!I!qu JI10A jO lsaq :lql Ol U1:lql J:lMSUU puu AIIl1JaJI!:l UOIlS:lnb q:lua pl!aJ asu:lld 'alaIdwo:l Ol S;JlnulW OZ-SI :l:>fUl PInoqs AaAJnS SIlIl 's:lIllUnwwo:l UlUJ01HuJ UJalllnOS pal:lapS 'sno!JuA jO sa!WOUO:la :llll uo aAuq mM 'Jl:llOdaa awoH 'sqnIJ S,WUS 'a:lud 'laJlJUl 'lJUW-!uA\. 'lJUW-)! su lI:lns SJ:lHUlaJ lUnOJS!p [UUOIlUU 'ailJUlluql pudw! p:lp:lfOJd alp ilu!JI1su:lW ql!M paUJaJuoJ APIllS lI:lJl!asaJ I! Ul p:lsn :lq IIIM SUO!lSanb ilUlMOIIOl alll SS:tlNISflH TIVWS NO 1I3'IIV.LIDI .LNflOJSIG 'IVNOI.LVN '3DlIV'I 3H.L .ilO .LJVdWI 3H.L DNIlIflSV3W - A3AlUlS 'lVNlOOJ.IJ.J. V- ~ ~ (4,) If a large, national discount retail chain that sells similar products/services opened near your present business location, what would you estimate its ultimate impact to be on the economic health of your business? Very Positive (helpful) Positive Neutral or No Effect Negative Very Negative (not helpful) (5.) Please indicate the number of employees that you currently employ: _ 0 - 5 people 6 - 10 11 - 20 21 - 30 31 - 40 41 - 50 51 - 75 76 - 100 101 - 200 over 200 (6.) If a large, national discount retail chain that sells similar products/services opened near your present business location, what would you estimate the percentage effect to be on your TOTAL EMPLOYMENT after the national discount retail chain's arrival: Increase(up to %) +0% +5% +10% +15% +20 % +25% +30% +35% +50 % more than 50% Decrease(up to %) -0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% -50 % more than 50% (7,) Please estimate your current annual SALES VOLUME: $0 - $50,000 $50,001 - $100,000 $101,000 - $250,000 $250,001 - $500,000 $500,001 - $1,000,000 $1,000,001 - $3,000,000 $3,000,001 - $10,000,000 over $10,000,000 236 LfZ (IIlJdjaq 10u) aApuilaN AlaA - aApuilaN - l::lajj:;I oN 10 IUllnaN aAlllsod (JIlJdjaq) aA!l!SOd AlaA - i,Sa::llPUld lIUIsllq;)Jnd mOA pajjU S!l]lll!M MOH 'ilupuaddus!p aq 01 waas slolnqplsIP alulpaWlalUl 10 uawaIPp!w 'llnsalU sv 'Slalm::lUjnUUW WOlj AIl::laJIP Anq 01 sUluq::ll!ulallUnO::lS!p IUUO!lUU 'aillUI aql JO )lud aql uo pUallll aq 01 sluaddu alal].L ('OJ) %05; UUl]l alOW % 05;- %5;[- %0[- %5;Z- %OZ- %5;j- %01- %5;- %0- (% 0) dn)asllaJ::laa %05; UUl]l alOW % 05;+ %5;E+ %0[+ %5;Z+ % OZ+ %5;1+ %01+ %5;+ %0+ (% 0) dn)asllaJ::lUI i,IUAIllU S, U!lll]::l 1!1l1allunO::lslP jUUOPUU al]llaljll A.LI'lIHV.LI.iOHd mOA uo aq 01 paJJ:l ailU1Ua::llad al]l a)1lwpsa nOA PlnoM 11lqM 'UOIlU::lOI ssauIsnq luasald mOA luau pauado Sa::llAlas/spnpOld 11ll!wls sIlas lllql U!1ll]::lI!1l1allUnO::lslP 11lUOIlUU 'aillUjU JI ('6) %05; uul]l alOW % 05;- %5;[- %0[- %5;Z- %OZ- %5;j- %01- %5;- %0- (% 0) dn)asllaJ::laa % 05; UUl]l alOW % 05;+ %5;E+ %0[+ %5;Z+ % OZ+ %5;1+ %01+ %5;+ %0+ (% 0) dn)asll;U::lUI i.[UAplll S,Ulllq::ll!ulallunO::lslP IUuopuU aqllalJll 3J\l1l'lOA S3'lVS mOA uo aq 01 paJJ:l aillllUa::llad al]l aluwllsa nOA PlnoM lUlIM 'UOpU::lO( ssau!snq luasald mOA luau pauado Sa::llAlas/spnpOld lUl!wls sIlas lUl]l U!ul]::l1!1l1allUnO::lslP IuuoI1UU 'aillulu jl ('8) 1 (11.) What methods do you use to promote your business? Please check off the methods that you rely on the most: flyers/leaflets/brochures canvas personally telemarketing _ telephone book/yellow pages _ local newspapers _ national newspapers magazines radio T,V, (12,) Please rate the days of the week as to which are your busiest and which are your slowest. Circle your responses. o = closed on that day 1 to 3 = degrees of slow - 1 being the slowest 4 = moderately busy 5 to 7 = degrees of busy - 7 being the busiest DAY SLOWEST BUSIEST SUNDAY 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 MONDAY 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 TUESDAY 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 WEDNESDAY 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 THURSDAY 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 FRIDAY 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 SATURDAY 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 (13,) Please chart your store hours, Identify whether the hour is A,M, or P.M, SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT OPEN CLOSE (14,) Please provide the following information on an average basis. Approximate to the best of your knowledge: a.) Average number of customers appearing in business daily /DAY b,) Average number of customers appearing in business monthly - /MONTH c,) Estimated total number of customers per year /YEAR 238 ..... ~ % -oC SlIIlS/SS,UIa -X- :;lIdUItlXg: , % 00 I Utlqll;lltl;lli! ;lq lOU Plnoqs JJo ~::l;lq::l nOA ltlql SUI;ll! ;lip IItl jO ItllOl ;li!tllU;l::ll;ld ;lql ';l::l!Al;lS/lps nOA ltlql SUI;ll! lItl Ol ;lAptlI;lJ SU!tllU!tlUI AlOi!;lltl::l ltlql ltlql S3'1VS '1V.LO.L jO ;li!tllU;l::ll;ld ;lip jO ;lltlUIllS;l Utl lnd ;lStl;lld 'jJo ~::l;lq::l nOA ltllp SUI;ll! ;lql ;lP!S;l1I 'noA Ol u!tll1;ld q::l!qM MOI;lq UI01J S;lPOi!;lltl::l ;lip jJo ~::l;lq::l ;lStl;lld 'noA p;ljjtl I1!M II MOq PUtll;ll!tll;ll-tli!;lUI jO ;ldAl S!ql PUtl SS;lU!Snq IImIls u;l;lMl;lq SlS!X;l UOP!pdUIO::l JO PU!~ ltlqM SS;lSStl Ol lUtlM ;l M 'u!mj::> I!tll;ll luno::lS!P ]1lliOptlU ';li!ltll tl U! PloS AlltlUIlOU S;l::l!Al;ls/spnpOld JO lS!I pltlpUtllS tl S! MOI;l1I (' ~n (16,) Please fill in the following lines with those geographic areas or neighborhoods where your customers primarily come from. (Your numbers should add up to 100%): For example: New York Illinois :1!2%. Seneca Falls :1!2%. Des Plaines ~ Geneva 2.Q%. Streamwood N%. Waterloo ill%. Schaumberg ~ Elk Grove Village % of Customer Base Geographic Area 100% Total Customer Base (17,) What methods would you employ in order to compete more effectively with a large retail discount chain that sells similar products/services; or, what decisions would you make to alter, survive or terminate your business? Please check off your alternatives from the list below, It is permissible to check off more than one, _ raise prices _ lower prices _ increase working hours _ decrease working hours increase staff decrease staff _ increase visibility with better marketing, advertising, and/or promotions _ provide a fuller, more personalized service expand product lines/services _ narrow your product line/services to a more specialized market _ consolidate business (if you currently have more than one operation) liquidate business _ bankruptcy, chapter 11 or chapter 7 move business to a more geographically desirable location sell business _ merge business or take on a partner 240 IPZ ** P661 'L 1 :iNnf Ag <l}<lldUlo;) <lSC<lld** LW J.NO::> SS3NISIUI .'10 :rnfU VNms J.::>VJ.NO::> SS3NISIUI.'I0 3WVN (-) -1I3HWJ1.N XV.'I (-)-1I3HWI1N 3NOHd SS:rnO<IV ANVdWO::> .'10 3WVN :SS::lu!snq nuws jO IUA!AJns ::llj1 ::llOSSU 01 UOPUIS!il::l1 IUJ::lP::lj puu ::lIUlS ::lAp:J::lJJO:J JOj SUOPUPU::lwwo:J::lJ loo puu J::ldud lj:JJU::lS::lJ loo U1 sn dI::llj ,(urn Jndul sS::lu!snq loo,( ::lJ::lljM ::lSpU ,(uw UOISU:J:JO uu ::l:JU!S ::lJmllJ ::llj1 U! no,( I:JU1UO:J 01 ::lIqu ilupq U! 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I Y 'd 'L66l AJmJqad V '/VUJnOr laaJIS /JVA1 alfJ. ,:WJld MaN UI sUlUq:) IUaWaAoJdwl-aWOH illllUlqwo:) Japlsuo:) uuquM. pUU lJUUI)j" 'lJaqo~ 'JauJa8 'ZY 'd '9661 AJunJqad '/vumor laaJIS /lvA1 alfJ. ,:ailJuq:) ill8 JaUY JalJllnO qlv JOd UO!II!W OZv$jO ssol slsod lJUllI)j" 'lJaqo~ 'JauJa8 'v661 'uo!lUAJaSaJd J!JOlS!H JOd lsnJlIUUO!lUN :uolilu!qsuM. 'lllnoqy 00 uu:) sun9':) lllqM. puy , , , , sa9lUnUlUlo:) WJUH uU:) IMUJaS aJOlSJadns MOH '3 a~uulsuO:) 'luownua8 ,( (66 I 'JalsnqJS 7i? UOUIIS :~JO A MaN) 'apUJl aaJ.-I jO qlAW 'IAU~ 'UJlUS '8l0 ',Z(I ~~ PZ'd v8L ':JuJ a:JuvJnsuJ /vI!amH /vnmW .~ ':JuJ lVI!IiSOH /O.uolllaw /lV[[ '87i? I 'dd :(v66Ilsnilny II) !Cl!VU JvaA1 s, uallloA1 ,:silu!JuaH asnoH U! ilu!punOd AAuaH a~ul SaJOlSJadns lUnO~S!O" 'aJAOr 'UaJJU8 '9661 Jaqwaldas 6 puu 8 'JaJ!nbuJ v!lfdlapol!IfJ alfJ. ,:Z 7i? 1 SlJUd - i,wuaJO aql alolS 0'lM. :uJuaw\>,,, '8 sawuf 'a,aalS pUU '1 PIUUOO 'Uallu8 '(,661 AJunJqad ,Z) 'uopuaJul:) U! aluJ01 OllllsodoJd S,lodaO awoH jO S!SAluuy 'Alq!suas uopuaJulJ ilu!dolaAapa~ JOj SUUIlIOlillllllY '((661 Jaqopo I I) 8, I I-Z6-3 'oN :Aluno:) Jau~lnu.-I 'lJno:) AJa~uuq:) SUSUU~JY '8L61 'Auudwo:) 7i? UMOJ8 'aIU!1 :~JOA MaN 'MU1lSnJl!luy TO 'JallJnl puu 'd 'llpaaJY 'v661 'UOIlUlJOSSY luawailmmw lIU~lJaulY :~JO A MaN '(IUUlD llUla"M allUo MOpUqS alIllll aAIAJns UU:) ssau!sn8 JnOA MOHJ SlJUW-IUM. a'lllSUIUBY dn 'uoo 'JOIAUl pUU ilU!IIUWS auuuaf 'Ja'lJJY '((661 Jaqopo I Z) I VS (~~l y) lJoda~ u091llnila~ apuJl 7i? ISnJl!lUY '~UI 'SaJOlS lJUW-lllM. '9661 lJoaa~ Iunuuy '~UI 'SaJOlS lJUW-IuM. ',66IlJoda~ IUI1lIUY '6( 'd '(v661 AI nO Ja/laSJjoo[[ UV:J!JalUY ,:l!nsMu1lSnJl!luy s, Y8\>' jO MalAJaAO uy" AHdVll~OI'UIIH , - Congressional Budget Office. "How GATT Affects U.S. Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Policy." (Antitrust Law): pp, 16-18, Cooper, Helene. "U.S. Defense Firms Hurt by 'Offset' Deals Abroad." The Wall Street Journal, 21 May 1996, p. A2. Daily News Record. (30 November 1994). Dalal, Meenakshi; AI-Khatib, Jamal; DaCosta, Maria N.: Decker, Ronald, "Why do Small Towns Lose Retail Business? An Empirical Investigation," Mid-Atlantic Journal of Business, Seton Hall University; Stillman School of Business, (1994): 241. Davis, Cowell & Bowe, Attorneys at Law. San Francisco, Memorandum of 1 August 1994. Davis, Cowell & Bowe, Attorneys at Law, San Francisco, Memorandum of 8 September 1995, Dentzer, Susan, "Death of the Middle Man?" US News & World Report, 3 May 1996: p, 56. Department of City Planning, Comorehensive Retail Strate~v for New York Citv. 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Fairchild Wires Service, 16 August 1994. 15 U.S,C, ~~ 13, 21a, 15 U,S,C, ~~ 1,26 15 U.S,C, ~~ 45,38, 244 ,I>Z 'SZ -9(; 'dd '1>66 [ AJUnJqad I Z 'oUlZOZOW JfoaMpUOJ[J ,:uJoJnv lSU3 Als'ad Slaaw qloulalla8 s. '~JY 'all'Auolua8 :SlUM. aqllsUluilV sp"UlS q~'lIM. 'paJlS lImw alll Ol nOA a~ul ~M." 'AJ.JaD ''1~noulJa)l '17-8 'il 1-8 'dd ',661 Jaqopo 6 'louJnof looJIS lloM olfJ. ,:pazaanbs laD lsu~'1lJON ~ql uI SU!uq:) lUnO~S!a" 'sso~ 'JaqJ~)1 '(1861) (-19, 'L" SS 's'n 9,17 '0,10;) JOIOW JaFiUlf~) '~ '0,) ou~od tpnJd l' '(6861 'J!:) qlL) (IPI '60PI~~ PZ '.-11798 'saJolsnJDA Joons'~ ':JU[ '~Jo:JOJ90UDlPU[ '18 'd ',661 AJUnJqad fZ 'uolufl oZala uoS alfJ. ,:lailJul Aq pazIJ!llJ~ s~AllUa~lI! lJUW-luM." 'AU~ 'PJUI1H '17661 AJUmmr 81 'ssaJiluo:)jo AJUJq!1 aql :uolilUlqsuM. 'sSaJ;3uo:) JOj lJoda~ ~~!AJas q~Ju~sa~ IUlIOISSaJouo:) ,:salllunwwo:) IUJn~ pUll SUMollluUlS uo pajJ3 slI puu AJISnpulllUla~ lllnO~S!a alll" "d'r '~J~qUJOH '1 L -69 'dd '17661 JaqUla~~a , '.I'MaN aJOIS' luno:JS!a ,:OOOZ Aq UO!Il!8 001$ Ol qW!I:) Ol salUS 'qlMOJD Ol Aa)lll!lS SaJOlS lllnOJS!a" '~lad 'AasIH '18 'd 'v6611!Jdy fl 'lou.mof looJIS lloM olfJ. ,:uO!I!ladulo:) Aq pazaanbs aJU Sll!UlIJ luno~sla :ilUlI!UP~" 'lI!A~)1 'Ja~llIaH ',17-1717 'dd '966111Jdy 8 'awU ,:salUlS a'llllaaMla8 JUM. lI!M.-oN y" 'Ullor 'PluMlIaaJD 'g-9,'dd 'f661 'I JaqwaAoN [ 'aw!J. ,:luM. a'lnsu!uily dn aJ,Aa'll" 'UOJS U1UOJjlldoS 'AJOilaJD '0 I Y 'd '9661 aunr OZ '.,awlJ. JfJo,{ "'.aN alfJ. ,:puuIWJUd lsaq~!~ S,U1UJOjl[u:) dn alqqoD sqJnqns su ilu!pllnoS sll~8 UlJulY" 'AaJu::J'ilJaqploD ',661 Jaqopo 91 'IJodalf ssaulmfI Jalnalf alfJ. ,:alUJnJJUlIllIO!lUlnJads II JaldmIJ SAUS lJUUI)I" 'ussllaW'ailJoaD 'lJ'd '9661 AllW fZ 'JaJ!nbu[ O!lfdJOpol!lfd alfJ. ,:SAUS :)ld 'saJOlS I~AI~ sa!lIn8 sn ,~, SAOL 'llauur 'XI.-I '(,661 :1I0lilu!qsuM.) 'AJnlU~:) MaN U JOj uOllupunod ,:ssau!sn8 lIuwS uo a~u~Jajuo:) asnoH al!qM. ,661 aql mOJd SUOJlupu~wwma~ IUU!d" '(I ~ ':)'S'n " 8(117 ~~ ':)'S'n ,I 8f 'ZI ~~ ':)'sn" 8f ''v ~~ ':)'S'n ,I I I I I I I I I , i !JlIIIJ , ..... Klevorick, Alvin K. "The Current State of the Law and Economics of Predatory Pricing," American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings (May, 1993), Koretz, Gene, "Those Plucky Corner Stores." Business Week, 5 December 1994, p, 26, Laing, Jonathan R, "Super-Saviors." Barron's, 6 May 1996, p. 17, LeRoy, Greg, "State Subsidies for Real Jobs." St, Louis Post-Dispatch, 2 December 1994. LeRoy, Greg, No More Candv Store, (Chicago, 1994), Lewis, Sylvia. "When Wal-Mart Says 'Uncle'." Planning, (August. 1994), pp. 14-19. Liebeck, Laura, "Venture Fending Off Target and Wal-Mart Threat in Chicago," Discount Store News, 19 September 1994, pp, 29-35, Loven, Jennifer. "Kmart to close I I 0 stores, cut 6,000 workers." The Philadelphia Inquirer. 9 September 1994, p. C I. Lopez, Steve. "An old store closes; a small town suffers." The Philadelphia Inquirer, 23 July 1995, pp, A12, Matsushita Electric Industrial Co. Ltd. v. Zenith Rodeo Corn, 475 U.S. ~~ 574, 589 (1986). McGraw, Dan. "Happily Ever NAFT A." Us. News & World Report, 24 October 1996, pp. 46-49, "Monopolization, Mergers & Markets," California Law Review, (1987). Morgan, James, "Adventures in the Food Chain." The Atlantic, (June, 1992), pp,30-40. Morrison, David J. "Retail Shrinking Middle," The Wall Street Journal, 2 I October 1996, p. A22, Moukheiber, Zina, "The great Wal-Mart massacre, part II." Forbes, 22 January 221996, p, 45, Muller, Thomas, "Economics, Fiscal and Land Use Impacts or Proposed Wal-Mart Store on Faulkner County Communities." Vermont Natural Resource Journal, (June, 1994). National Trust for Historic Preservation, The Effects of SuDer store Sprawl on Communities. A Proposal to the Henry M. Jackson Foundation. (27 September 1994). Neuborne, Ellen. "Wal-Mart Modifies its Slogan." USA Today, 26 May 1994. New York State Assemblv Bill, At 6068. (1993-94 session), New York Supreme Court IAS County Index #25429191-001, Cal #161-September 14, 1994. New York Economic Deve/onment Zone Law. c, 264 ~ 959. 246 IJ "..- - LtZ '(0661 'Auudwo:) U!lU!W uOlq1lnoH :uols08) 'pa pJ( 'aJuuWJOjJad J!WOUOJ3 puu ampnJlS la~JUW IU!JlSnpuI 'P!AUO 'sso~ puu 'W'd 'J~Jalps UZ, 11/ 0, 'dd '(17661 'AUW) '"u!zo'iJof/v IUnO:JS!G ,:UMOlUMOO 00 SJallmmS!O" 'AUr '!IOJUSUUJS 't66llsnilny 9l 'aunq!.l.L UOlUn OlialG uoS '6-1 'dd '17661 AJUl1lmr 17Z 'a:JM.las 1f:J.loasall/ouo!.,.,a.l'iJuo:J 'UO!S!A!O M1I1uu:J!JaUlY 'A~UJOUY ~A!lUIS!il~l "3'r 'lIIqn~ '81 'd ',661 q~J~W 81 'UOllnJ!lSUO:J puo /tJu.lnoj' tJIUtJ/W alf.L 'SIJLJ:) 'llsno~ 'dJlaztJD o.l'iJo!N ,:OOO'ZI Ol suadO lJUW-IUM." 'AUI\f 'saAa~ '(17661 :P!:Juld a>ful) 'qlMOJD alq!suodsa~ JOj SlUap!Sa~ 'uaJU AN 'Pl~uld a~ull11la>fJUW aql Ol a:JuuJlu3 S,lJUW-luM. uo lJoda~ '(U61) (86 'Z86 '896 ~~ P( 'ddy 'Iu:) OL 'Jf.ltJJ U!M.P/ofl jO At!,) 'A milall '(6861 JaqwaJao Ll 'luawuJaAoD IUJOl uo aau!wwo:) ~luuas ~lIljO llU!JU~H ulIJalul aql WOJj lJoda~ AJUWWns ,:s,0661 alll JOJ upuail\f Mllulslilal aql ilu!PUnd ~U!UJOj!lu:) ilUldolaA~pa~" U(I 'd '1766! JaqoPO 17Z 'rClJf"aM sa!lfJ s, UO!JtJN ,:doqs>fJoM. ,s:J!UII:) UMOlUMOO, pauuuld U uo puu ,SUMOlUMOO s,u:J!JalllY jO LJlJlqa~ aql :ailualluq:) ~ql ilu!lda:J:JY, UO!lu:J!Jqnd S~!l!:)jO anilualluuO!lllN aql uo UO!lUWJOjUI palula~ sapnpuI ~punoqa~ Ol salilalUJlS aA!lMouul ilu!sn SUMOlUMOO s,u:J!JaUI\f" 'UJp3 'aJlJd '8-,Z6 'dd :(6L61) 'M.aMall M.07 O!UOA/rCsuuaJ /0 rCjtS.laAtUn ,:sasAluu\f jSnJllluy jO 100lPS oiluJll1J a'll.. 'Y pJU'IJI~ 'J~USOd '(17661 'I aunO '.l".l!nbuJ O!lfdJdpoJ!lfJ "1f.L '(17661 J~qwaldas 6) '.la.l!nbuJ VllfdJdpoJ!lfJ alf.L '17661 AUW 6Z uo SlollllII 'aa>fuuu)f UI apuUI MalAJalUlluuosJad 'I Y 'd '(661 JaqUl~~ao IZ 'JOu.lnoj' lda.lIS !loM alf.L ,:sJauu!M. a'll ~:J!d Ol JapJllH puu J~PJllH s,1[ SPU!d AJlsnpuI AOl" 'qd~sor 'uJlaJad ,( (661) (s61 'oN l/!fl asnoH muoA/MUU"J I I I I I J 1 '(<;661 'Ipdy) 'S~JOlSUaaw aqljO UO!SMUI llu!A!AJns '~!AI!S 'uud '(17661 AUW 17Z) ':lU!I!Ul~~ pood '~lluuq:) llu!lU~ 'JaqqaM. aUlud 'Z-Y 'd '(661lsnilny tZ '/tJu.lnoj' lda.lIS /JOM "1f.L ,:ailJuq:) ilu!J!Jd AJOlUpaJd sa!uao ln8 'lSO:) MOla8 ilu!ll~S Sl!WPY lJUW-luM." 'q08 'uilalJO Schiller, Zachary, "Clout! More and More Retail Giants Rule the Marketplace." Business Week,21 December 1992, pp, 66-69, 72-73. Schiller, Zachary, "Making the Middleman an Endangered Species," Business Week, 6 June 1994, p, 3, Schmeltzer, John, "Town takes on Wal-Mart -- and Coexists," Chicago Tribune, 14 June 1993, p, I. Schmich, Mary T, "Way of Life Dies with Wal-Mart in Small Towns," Chicago Tribune, 20 May 1990,p,1. Sedy, Hugh, "The Two Sides ofWal-Mart," Time, 20 April 1992, p. 52. "Small Business Facts." U,S, House of Representatives Small Business Committee World Wide Website, Address: http://www.house.gov/smbiz/facts.htm. viewed 23 January 1997, Special Report of the U,S. Department of Commerce from the Office of the Under Secretary. Stein, Robert S, "National Issue," Investors Business Daily, 8 September 1993, p, 1, Stone, Kenneth E, "Executive Summary: The Impact of Wal-mart Stores on Other Business and Strategies for Co-existing," Iowa State University, 1993, Stone, Kenneth E, "Strategies for Co-existing in a Mass Merchandising Environment." Iowa State University, March 1992. Supermarket News, 18 October 1993, p, 69. Swoboda, Frank. "Discount Wars Force Kmart Makeover." Inc, (July, 1993), p. AI. Thompson, George C. and Brady, Gerald p, Text. Cases and Material on Antitrust Fundamentals. 3rd ed. (St. Paul: West Publishing Company, 1979). Thurow, Lester C. The Future ofCapitalisl11. (New York: William Morrow and Company, 1996). Treadway, Tyler. "State Pharmacists Allege Improper Pricing Actions." Arkansas Business, 20 March 1995, pp, 15-18, 29 CFR Part 2509,59 Federal Register 32,606 (June 23,1994). U,S, District Court, N, District Illinois, Eastern Division; Hon, Charles p, Kucoras, Case #94. c. 6398, Uchitelle, Louis, '''Good' Jobs in Hard Times." The New York Times, section 3, 3 October 1993, pp, I &6, Ukens, Carol. "Small vs. Large." Drug Topics, 5 September 1994, p, 14, Utah Pie Comvanv v, Continental Bankin'{ Comvanv, 386 U.S. ~ 685 (1967), 248 .,,. 61>Z 'I 'd '9661 I!Jdy I '.\'MaN la,!JOUlJadns ,:uo!lnlos palUJlUa~uo~ S,lJUW-IuM." 'lO!1I3 'lpuqlaMZ '(L -99 'dd 'Z661 Jaqllla~aa IZ ',!aaM .~saU1snEf ,:a~uldta~JuW aql aln~ sluUID 1!llla~ aJOW pUU aJOW jlllOIJ" 'alJUW 'Plpaua8 pUU ApuaM 'JaUllaz 'I'd '(661 Alnr, 'aunq!JJ. o:8o:J!f{:J ,:sqJnqns aql UI awus a8l0NpajJ3lJuW-luM." 'P!Aua'ilunOA 'I f-,Z 'dd '17661 "JUI 'llliluM. 'Y'D 'sa~!AJas laaJlSpuJ8 puu uuna 'uo!l!SUUJlul ~U!I!Ula~ 'l P!AUa 'ailsaJ)! puu 'y AJUD 'l'liluM. '17W 'd '9661 aunr/Auw 'UOllo,uasaJd :J!JOIS!H ,:laaJlS lllUW Ol pauadduH lU'IM." '88-9L 'dd '((661 'Alnr) ".1U/ ,:uMol 01 sawo:) lJUW-IuM. uaqM." '0 PJUMp3 'sail aM 'L-a 7111-0 'dd ',661 Jaqopo L 1 'JaJ!nbu/ o!f{d/apo!!f{d af{J. ,:aJnlnj s, U!uq~ uo Iqnop SlSUJ SaJOlS oi'S jO ilUISOIJ" 'llUsnS 'JauJuM. ':JU/ aJotS /Jop{-!o M puo VlS!A o/nf{:J jO NIe) af{J.jo !!:Juno:J <\I!:J :oIS!A o/nf{:Jjo <\ID.lo ~:JuaiJV luaUlao/a~apall .~ sa/OzuoD ,uuaH puo JfazoEf ~lInM '1>661 almr ZZ 'louJno, laaJIS 110M af{J. '17661 I!Jdy II 'louJno, paJtfN/oM af{J. 'Y 'd '(66Ilsnilny fZ '/ouJno, ldaJIS IInM af{J. 'paJM!lap uOIlIIdo :,661 '6 AJUnUUr :'~JY ,661 :Of PZ 'M. 's 168 :1>[ Z '~JY 6 [f 'SUSUU~JY jO lJno:) awaJdns ',(Z-1>6 'oN ':Ju/ mnJG uO:J!JaUlV '~ SaJOIS IJnw-/oM ',L-(L 'dd "(17661 'JaqwaJaa) 'sMaN aJOIS luno.JS!G ,:OilUJIlIJ UI ilu!lUI1lIS SJOllladlllo:) spuas pUlM. llUl S,lJ~W-luM." '0 lJ 711 I:) 'dd ',661 Jaqmaldas fZ 'JaJ!nbu/ o!f{d/apO!!f{d af{J. ,:ilu!ddoqS uuqJn U! lsaAuI Ol UUld MaN" 'w auur 'uailJa8 uOA J"''''', '- .~~: ".,--- '- f'J~ " ',,- JOINT REGULAR MEETING MAYOR AND COMMON COUNCIL AND THE COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT COMMISSION OF THE CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO PUBLIC HEARING TRANSCRIPT OF PROCEEDINGS DEVELOPMENT PERMIT TYPE II NO, 01-05 APPEAL OF APPROVAL DATE AND TIME: MONDAY, JULY 9, 2001 11:05 A,M, TO 12:30 P,M, LOCATION: CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNCIL CHAMBERS CITY HALL 300 NORTH "D" STREET SAN BERNARDINO, CA 92418 JOB NO,: 10970MR REPORTED BY: MARIA L, RENO, C,S,R, (C,S.R. NO, 11367) (Q) IRillCGr Ilf;J AlL Y olID8er Report.ir18 &rvices 6m Ma,nolia Av....e Riverside, CA 92S06 (909) 276-1333 PaX (909) 276-1788 1 REPRESENTATIVES FOR THE APPLICANT WAL-MART: 3 GRESHAM, SAVAGE, NOLAN & TILDEN, LLP BY: JOHN NOLAN, PENELOPE ALEXANDER-KELLEY 600 NORTH ARROWHEAD AVENUE, SUITE 300 SAN BERNARDINO, CALIFORNIA 92401-1148 (909) 884-2171 '- 2 4 5 TOM DODSON, DODSON & ASSOCIATES 2150 NORTH ARROWHEAD AVENUE 6 SAN BERNARDINO, CALIFORNIA 92405 (909) 882-3612 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 .... 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 .\o;~ YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 2 1 S PEA K E R S ,,-.. '- 2 NAME PAGE 3 MEMBERS OF COUNCIL: 4 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES Throughout 5 FRANK E, SCHNETZ 4 6 GORDON McGINNIS 42 7 SUSAN LIEN 50 8 ESTHER ESTRADA 49 9 II JOE II V,C, SUAREZ, JR, 46 10 BETTY DEAN ANDERSEN 40 11 WENDY J, McCAMMACK 47 12 13 OTHERS: C 14 MR, FUNK 4 15 MS, ROSS 9, 46, 51 16 MR. NOLAN 13, 37 17 MR, DODSON 19 18 MR, BOEN 21 19 MR, McCLENDON 24 20 MR, HALL 36 21 MR, EMPENO 40 22 MR, CASEY 52 23 MR, MOSELEY 55 24 25 -- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 3 1 MONDAY, JULY 9, 2001 SAN BERNARDINO, CALIFORNIA -- '-' 2 3 4 5 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: No, 32. This is a public 6 hearing to be heard at 11:00 a,m, It's a little after 7 11:00, It concerns Development Permit Type II No, 8 01-05, It's the appeal of approval of 155,917 square 9 foot commercial use located northwest of University 10 Parkway and Hallmark Parkway in the University Business 11 Park land use district. 12 The hearing is now open, Mr. Funk, would you 13 like to proceed with this item? r- '- 14 MR, SCHNETZ: Mayor, 15 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Yes. 16 MR, SCHNETZ: I need to abstain on this particular 17 issue, My company manages one of the neighboring 18 shopping centers, and I was reviewing some of this 19 material and that shopping center is mentioned numerous 20 times as far as the different consultants that would be 21 affected by this development, I'd like to abstain, so 22 I'm not swayed one way or the other. 23 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: So noted, Thank you. 24 Mr. Funk, 25 MR, FUNK: Madam Mayor, members of the Council, '-' YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 4 .- 1 I'd like to give a little overview of this particular ~ 2 case, a little perspective, ,- '- i .......... 3 The Development Environmental Review Committee 4 reviewed the proposed project, including pounds of 5 documents and including a 50-page traffic study, The 6 DERC adopted a Mitigated Negative Declaration for the 7 project. The review process included traffic experts 8 from both the public and private sectors, including our 9 own staff, our own city engineer, our traffic engineer, 10 our senior engineer, who are very familiar with traffic 11 and traffic situations in this community, and have 12 reviewed dozens, if not hundreds, of issues and traffic 13 reports for various projects in our city, 14 The action was appealed to the Planning 15 Commission by a person living in the southern portion 16 of the city, The Planning Commission was unanimous 17 after reviewing the information that was delivered a 18 few hours before the Planning Commission case, and 19 reviewed item by item for a considerable time at the 20 Planning Commission. They were unanimous in their 21 confirmation of the adequacy of the Mitigated Negative 22 Declaration on this project, 23 Yet, we have another appeal by a new person 24 and a new attorney group of this particular project, 25 The appeal came in about ten days ago, and we received YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 5 1 a batch of materials Friday, and just a few moments ago r ~ 2 some additional documents about an hour ago with regard 3 to the appeal and traffic, Up until that time, we had 4 just two statements basically for the appeal, 5 One was a simple statement on the appeal 6 document that said, "An EIR is required for the 7 project," and also "The traffic study underestimates 8 traffic impact, and some mitigation will not be 9 sufficient," It referenced "ITE Engineers published a 10 study showing prior estimates of trip generation rates 11 significantly underestimate impact of such stores." 12 Now, there are going to be experts that are 13 going to be addressing that issue in a few minutes, but C 14 I'd like to point out to you and put in perspective 15 what it means to place a store anywhere in a community; 16 what it means when you call with regard to an impact of 17 a particular facility on the road systems, 18 You're going to be hearing from the experts, 19 but please keep in mind that the proposed Wal-Mart in 20 this particular case is in the north end of the city, 21 in an area that is deficient in this type of service 22 and can certainly benefit from a facility such as a 23 Wal-Mart, It abuts the freeway, It's abutting an 24 arterial highway, It's surrounded by commercial and 25 industrial uses, 99 percent of the people, goods and ,- '-' YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 6 1 services moving in California use roads for all or a - "- 2 part of a trip, so to decrease the potential for 3 traffic congestion and increase the efficiency of 4 roadways most strategies use four techniques, four 5 approaches, 6 You either build more roads; you use 7 technology to better manage traffic flow, such as 8 synchronization, which you approved earlier today on 9 some of our arterials at signalized intersections; or 10 you commit additional resources to ensure that those 11 facilities are adequately maintained and repaired, 12 which you did earlier this morning on the other 13 arterials and other streets in this community; or the ,- '- 14 fourth typically is to provide alternatives for 15 driving, so that more people can have additional travel 16 choices, and you're participating in that in your 17 involvement with Metrolink, in your bus system 18 supports, But a fifth approach, one not found in 19 traffic manuals, is simply a place where people want to 20 go, place these places closer to where they live. This 21 is what is happening in the case of the Wal-Mart in the 22 north end of the city, 23 Now people will be able to travel from areas 24 north of the city and in the northern portion of the 25 city, travel to an area that is closer to their home .- '- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 7 1 instead of having to travel to the south, travel - , 2 farther down the 215 or arterial to facility ......... get to a 3 such as Wal-Mart which offers these types of goods, 4 these types of services. 5 What happens is when you wisely place a 6 shopping facility or a service closer to where the 7 residents are living and need it, you cut the length of 8 the trip and you cut the time of the trip, and you make 9 more efficient the travel on the roadways that we have 10 in our community, 11 I'm going to imagine in advance that you're 12 going to hear some criticisms of the study with regard 13 to the trips that are going to be generated because of ,- ~ 14 the placement. And I say the wise placement of this 15 facility, where else you have a Wal-Mart but adjacent 16 to the freeway on the arterial highway and not abutting 17 residential, but surrounded by commercial and 18 industrial, I can't think of a better location for it, 19 You're going to hear some criticisms of what 20 our people reviewed, and they thoroughly reviewed it, 21 And I feel very confident in their review, and I'm 22 supportive of and recommend supporting the Mitigated 23 Negative Declaration, 24 You're going to hear some criticisms, Please 25 keep in mind that if you are going to place a facility, .- '- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 8 1 place it where people can use it, cut down the length - '- 2 of trip and the distance. That will save gas, That 3 saves energy. That saves pollution, and that saves 4 wear and tear on the freeways and arterials, 5 Valerie Ross is going to take you into the 6 details of this appeal along with experts that are 7 lined up on both sides of this audience, Thank you, 8 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Ms, Ross will give us a 9 brief chronology of the process and recommendations, 10 MS, ROSS: Thank you, Mayor, James Funk hit a lot 11 of the key points, but there a few other things I 12 wanted to make you aware of, 13 As you know, this is a request to establish a - ~ 14 155,000 square foot general retail merchandise store, 15 It has ancillary gasoline stations -- or gasoline 16 station with it, 17 If you've been to the Wal-Mart store on 18 Highland Avenue, it contain 154,000 square feet, In 19 that store, between about 550 and 600 square feet 20 contain prepackaged food items; and that's the chips 21 and dip and cookies and also the sodas and ice cream. 22 That amount represents less than 1 percent of 23 floor area of that existing Wal-Mart on Highland, and 24 it is staff's understanding that this Wal-Mart will be 25 basically similar to that one, The proposal does not ",...... '- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 9 1 include grocery sales, like a grocery store, or food - .~ 2 sales in there, 3 The project is located in the University 4 Business Park Specific Plan, The Specific Plan 5 specifically accommodates retail commercial uses in 6 this location, Mr. Funk mentioned the environmental 7 process, Tom Dodson of Tom Dodson & Associates 8 prepared an additional study to address potential 9 impacts both from the construction of the project and 10 the operation of the proposed Wal-Mart, 11 Included in the initial study was a traffic 12 study prepared by LSA, Planning and Public Works staff 13 reviewed the initial study and the traffic study prior ,,-- ~ 14 to distribution to the Development and Environmental 15 Review Committee, At their meeting, the DERC also 16 independently reviewed the initial study and 17 recommended that a Mitigated Negative Declaration be 18 prepared. 19 I would like to note at this point, also, that 20 the City's checklist that we use when we prepare an 21 initial study has been modified to fit the City of San 22 Bernardino as is permitted in the California 23 Environmental Quality Act. 24 There are no thresholds in CEQA that we met or 25 exceeded with this project, and we are subject to the .._.. ~ YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 10 .- 1 County's congestion management plan, And we were below ~ 2 the threshold for the preparation of the traffic impact ,- '- -- '- 3 analysis, However, we did a complete initial study for 4 this project, 5 The notice of intent to adopt the Mitigated 6 Negative Declaration was published in the paper and 7 sent to the state clearinghouse for review and 8 distribution, On this particular project, CalTrans is 9 a responsible agency because the project is adjacent to 10 a freeway offramp that necessitated a 30-day public 11 review period, We did receive responses from CalTrans, 12 and those are included in your backup, along with the 13 other comments and responses we received. 14 And the DERC considered all of the comments 15 and all of the responses to those comments and the 16 Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program prior to 17 adopting the Mitigated Negative Declaration -- adopting 18 the Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting program and then 19 improving the development permit. 20 As Mr, Funk mentioned, this was appealed at 21 the Planning Commission. The Planning Commission 22 upheld the DERC's approval, and then it was 23 subsequently appealed to you, which is what you are 24 considering today. 25 Several documents have been received Thursday YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 11 ~ ~, 1 and today since the staff report packet went out, Some -- ~ 2 of the documents pertain to grocery stores, which I do 3 not believe are applicable in this situation because we 4 are not talking about grocery stores, 5 One report, the Shils report, which we only 6 received a limited number of those; however, I did have 7 the opportunity to review that report, and it deals 8 with the impact of big box retail on urban and suburban 9 areas, 10 I found the report very interesting, somewhat 11 biased, and I'm not sure of its relevancy to the City 12 of San Bernardino or this project and this site in 13 particular. - '- 14 In conclusion, our recommendation still 15 stands, We believe that the mayor and council should 16 deny the appeal and uphold the Planning Commission's 17 adoption of the Mitigated Negative Declaration 18 Mitigation Monitoring/Reporting Program and approval of 19 Development Permit Type II No, 0105, And as Mr. Funk 20 mentioned, Ray Casey, our city engineer or I will be 21 happy to answer any questions, Thank you, 22 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Ms. Ross, We're 23 going to have several speakers on this, I'll ask for 24 all the speakers and then open it up for questions on 25 that if that meets with your approval, Thank you. Our ........ YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 12 'n 1 next speaker is Mr, John Nolan. "".-, '......., 2 MR, NOLAN: Good morning. Thank you, Madam Mayor, 3 members of the council, My name is John Nolan. I'm 4 with the law firm of Gresham, Savage, Nolan & Tilden 5 here in town, We're here on behalf of the applicant, 6 I think it's important to point out again that 7 you are hearing this matter as the third public body 8 that is to review it. It has been approved twice 9 before, and it is here exclusively as a matter of an 10 appeal, The project is in an area that is already 11 zoned for its use, It is consistent with the general 12 plan, and indeed, it is consistent with the University 13 Business Park's Specific Plan, The property itself is .- ~ 14 already in a graded condition. It is not something 15 that is far out in the distance from the city, and is 16 not something that has not been contemplated or planned 17 for over the years, The interesting thing also to bear 18 in mind, as was brought up briefly in the earlier 19 presentation, the current appellant is the second 20 appellant on this matter; and we will be hearing 21 apparently from the fourth succeeding set of attorneys 22 that have represented this matter. 23 It's interesting to note that neither of the 24 appellants are residents of the ward in which the 25 property is situated, The circumstances are such that - YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 13 - 1 we believe that the City, its environmental staff, its ~ 2 planning staff, has certainly done their homework in a - "-' ~,,-... , --- 3 complete fashion, and that there has been very 4 significant effort done and accomplished to conform to 5 the requirements of CEQA, 6 The things that I find that are of interest 7 are that the material that has been recently submitted 8 in opposition to the project first involves a letter 9 dated May of 1999 from a gentleman relative to a 10 Wal-Mart warehouse in Riverside County, Although 11 interesting, certainly that letter, simply because of 12 its age and also because of its lack of direction or 13 application to this proposal, is inappropriate, 14 The Shils report that was referred to is also 15 interesting, If you will note at page four of the 16 preface, he indicates that substantial funding for that 17 report was provided by the very same union which has 18 appeared to present some material to this body today, 19 and from whom you have a letter of opposition. 20 The other things that are of interest and of 21 import are the fact that what is occurring here, as was 22 touched upon earlier, is that Wal-Mart is going into an 23 expanding area, There have been various studies over 24 time; we believe quite biased, But there have been 25 various studies that talk about the potential of large YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 14 1 retailers removing business from existing people. Most - ~ 2 of those stories allude to circumstances in the smaller 3 towns in the Midwest, and in particular where you have 4 a movement of the entire shopping trade out to the 5 outskirts of town. 6 What you have here, and as is specifically set 7 out, is that this is an area, perhaps the best area as 8 far as growth is concerned, of the City of San 9 Bernardino, and Wal-Mart is simply going out there to 10 conform to the desires and wishes of that population 11 and to provide them with the service that they want and 12 that they are now traveling further to obtain. 13 The circumstances also are such that we - ~ 14 believe that everything that is presented here by the 15 applicant has shown quite completely that the issues of 16 traffic, the issues of noise, the issues of air 17 quality, have been addressed, 18 They are all below the threshold. There is 19 absolutely nothing that would indicate in the least as 20 need for any further environmental review, The 21 interesting thing too to refer to the letter that was 22 submitted recently, the 1999 letter relating to the 23 Riverside County warehouse, there were all sorts of 24 dire predictions in that letter as to what would occur 25 if, indeed, that warehouse were allowed to go forward, ~ YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 15 1 Well, that warehouse has gone forward. It ,-. '- 2 does exist, and certainly the dire results that were 3 opined about have not occurred. The object of CEQA is 4 simply to ask that the public agency here, this body, 5 review and involve itself with a dispassionate, good 6 faith review of true environmental impacts, It is not 7 something that requires or indeed even authorizes the 8 public body to engage in speculation, 9 Much of what has been presented thus far in 10 opposition to this project has talked about speculation 11 and is not supported by fact. It is equally 12 interesting to note that this morning as I came into 13 Council Chambers, I was handed some information from - .~ 14 the attorney who, I believe, will be speaking to you 15 later who represents the opponent, And it talks about 16 several things, 17 One, it talks about a recent action in a 18 Sacramento court regarding some of the CEQA guidelines, 19 Well, I'm familiar with that activity, and it is a 20 trial court action, It is not anything that in any 21 regard is binding upon anyone, and, in my 22 understanding, has not yet been finalized in any 23 respect, 24 Additionally there is an article presented, an 25 article that has been presented previously in other - '-' YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 16 - 1 situations from the Journal of the Institute of Traffic .~ 2 Engineers by two gentlemen saying that the methodology :,.- 3 used for traffic counts is flawed and that there should 4 be changes regarding the method of counting for 5 freestanding discount retailers, The way to best 6 describe that to you is to ask you to look at the 7 bottom of the first page of that copy of the article; 8 and you will see that it, like the letter involving the 9 Riverside warehouse, is dated May 1999, Two years ago, 10 The Institute of Traffic Engineers has not modified, 11 has not adopted that concept, and that article is 12 simply those two gentlemen's opinion as to what should 13 be done, What was done here by the City's traffic ~ 14 experts and by independent traffic experts was in .- ...... 15 complete conformity with the accepted methodology of 16 the traffic engineers. 17 The other thing that is seemingly being 18 presented is that somehow, simply by being Wal-Mart, 19 there is going to be, by definition, a bad impact and 20 that there is going to be something that we all need 21 fear, I don't think that that is the situation at all, 22 What is actually presented by the opponents is 23 basically a concept of lack of their belief in the 24 unionization of Wal-Mart, Certainly we could spend 25 days here discussing the merits and demerits of YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 17 1 unionization and which unions are more appropriate than ,,- ~ 2 others, That is, of course, not our duty here, That 3 is not something that is even appropriate for review. 4 CEQA is not to be used as a sword to kill 5 projects where there is some effort to destroy or to 6 diminish competition, CEQA is simply to ensure that 7 there has been appropriate environmental compliance, 8 What has occurred here is that everything that 9 CEQA requires has been complied with and that what is 10 appropriate, we suggest, for the Council to do is 11 exactly what the Planning Commission did, and that is 12 to deny the appeal and approve the project, 13 The circumstances are such that this meets all ..,- ~. 14 of the requirements, and we submit that you should 15 approve it, I thank you for your consideration, and I 16 certainly am more than willing to stand by and answer 17 questions as they may development, 18 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Mr, Nolan. Yes, 19 Ms, Clark, 20 THE CLERK: Mayor, I didn't have the opportunity 21 to administer the oath to Mr, Nolan, so I wondered if I 22 might be able to administer it to him after the fact, 23 as well as any others that might want to testify on 24 this issue, 25 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you for that reminder, - - YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 18 1 Ms, Clark, Proceed, -- , \"..... 2 THE CLERK: Is there anyone else here who is going 3 to testify on this item? If so, would you please stand 4 up and raise your right hand, please, 5 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Is there a Mr, Boen here? 6 Okay Jose, come forward. You will identify yourselves. 7 THE CLERK: Do you solemnly affirm that the 8 testimony you're about to give before this body will be 9 the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth? 10 AUDIENCE MEMBERS: I do, 11 MR, NOLAN: And the testimony I just gave, 12 THE CLERK: Thank you, 13 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Ms. Clark, .- '-' 14 Mr, Nolan, Next speaker is Mr, Tom Dodson, 15 MR, DODSON: Madam Mayor, and members of Council, 16 I'm Tom Dodson, and I have prepared for you a document 17 that has been used, relying upon some technical studies 18 that were also provided to me by LSA and by a firm 19 called Parsons which did the air quality study. I've 20 had a chance to quickly peruse the materials that came 21 in this morning, And I don't want to spend a lot of 22 time on it, but I would like to point out a couple of 23 things, 24 What I see in this particular situation is 25 that there's been a lot of hurry-up to try and create a ....,1- '-' YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 19 .- 1 combination of doubt and what is called in CEQA .~ 2 parlance or terminology a fair argument that there - 3 might be an adverse impact, 4 One of the consequences of doing that is that 5 everybody tries to lay a set of facts, and you're 6 looking at differing facts to weigh in your mind what 7 is correct in a situation, I'd like to give you a 8 couple of thoughts to keep in mind, 9 One is that the basic traffic data has not 10 been questioned. Some of it, the information you 11 received in this most recent package, was simply a 12 re-evaluation looking at some specific issues, Also, 13 there's been no questioning of the basic air quality ~ 14 data that was used and generated for this particular ,- --. 15 project. 16 This is a bit of an unusual project, There 17 was an extra effort spent to look at and determine 18 whether the traffic circumstances would cause a 19 localized carbon monoxide hot spot, The acronym for 20 that is CO hot spot. It's been very clearly 21 demonstrated that this project, based upon the traffic 22 generated, again not questioned at all in terms of 23 traffic impact, will not cause a CO hot spot, There's 24 two reasons for that, 25 One, the amount of traffic is not sufficient YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 20 1 to cause it; and No, 2, more important than anything - ~ 2 else, is the carbon monoxide concentrations that are 3 the background are going down throughout this region 4 and have been for the last ten years. In a previous 5 set of comments it was claimed the southcoast air basin 6 was in violation of carbon monoxide standards. In 7 fact, the basin is divided in several components, and 8 the only portions of the basin that are in violation 9 are the coastal portion and downtown Los Angeles 10 portion, San Bernardino and the eastern position of 11 the southcoast air basin are not in violation of CO 12 standards, In fact, the CO quality is actually pretty 13 good here, Keep that in mind as you go forward, I'll .'- ~ 14 be available to answer questions. You'll have some 15 other technical people. If you have any questions now, 16 I'll answer them, And again, I'll be available as we 17 go along. 18 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Mr. Dodson, We 19 have the other speaker, Mr, Mark Boen, He has already 20 responded to the oath. 21 MR, BOEN: Mayor, Council members, I'm Mark Boen. 22 I'm with Pro Western Development Company. I have been 23 involved with the project since 1990 when we purchased 24 the remaining 89 acres from O'Donnell and the Union 25 Pacific, I've also been involved with the disposition ,- \ '-' YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 21 1 or the sale of the property to San Bernardino Sun, V'. - ~ 2 ARCO, Farm Credit, Shearson Lehman (phonetic) and most 3 recently was Dome Products out in the park, 4 I first became aware of an appeal at the 5 Planning Commission level, I was contacted, It was 6 interesting because I had been involved with 7 development for 20 years, Usually when you have an 8 appeal, it's some issue you have with a community 9 member. And if you sit down and meet with them and 10 discuss it with the different staff members, usually 11 it's pretty easy to satisfy their concerns, 12 On this appeal, it was interesting because I 13 had heard some rumors about the appeal kind of being a ,- ~ 14 misdirected appeal, and there were some suspicions at 15 the time on the 5th, so I came just basically to hear 16 what the appellant had to say, 17 It was interesting that the appellant, 18 Kathleen Franks, did not appear, but instead sent a 19 representative from Best, Best & Krieger on her behalf, 20 After listening to what Council Member Betty Andersen 21 had said at the Planning Commission meeting stating, 22 "If somebody has a real concern, why don't they step 23 forward and come to me and let's talk about what the 24 issues are," I thought about that a few evenings and 25 took it upon myself to call Kathleen Franks just to see .- "- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 22 1 what the concerns are and to see if I could schedule a ,.- ~ 2 meeting with Betty Andersen myself and sit down and 3 find out what these issues are. 4 Upon reaching Kathleen Franks at her home, we 5 talked a few minutes; talked about the benefits of the 6 project as we would see it, the City, the members in 7 the community, the university, which I've kept very 8 close with, and the development of the park. It was 9 kind of interesting and we discussed or started 10 discussing some of the issues, so I specifically 11 started talking about issues, Immediately she stopped 12 me in the conversation. She says, "I am not aware of 13 any of the issues, I don't know what you're talking ,,.-.. ~ 14 about on these specific issues, I have nothing against 15 you as a person, against the development of the project 16 as it applies to the land you own. I have nothing 17 against the City, Specifically what I've been directed 18 to do, and I've been engaged to do, is to block the 19 Wal-Mart project because the Wal-Mart people it's not a 20 policy to hire union employees," 21 So I further discussed that a little bit more 22 and kind of clarified it again, I said, "Basically you 23 have no problems with us. You have no problem with the 24 City?" She says, "No, I only have a problem with 25 Wal-Mart because they do not hire union employees." - '-" YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 23 1 And then the conversation went on for a few minutes - '- 2 more, and she was very uncomfortable. 'We terminated 3 the conversation, and that's basically what transpired, 4 And I memorialized that into a letter to - - I think 5 it's been distributed in your package dated July 5th. - 6 I just wanted to have that on the record 7 because I think that's pretty germane in this 8 situation, If you have any questions, I'd be happy to 9 answer those, 10 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Mr, Boen, Thank 11 you very much, Is there anyone else in the audience 12 that wishes to address this body? I've run out of 13 slips, Would you step forward and identify yourself, ~ 14 and he has taken the oath, r- ....... 15 MR, MC CLENDON: Thank you, Madam Mayor and 16 members of the Council, My name is John McClendon, and 17 I'm with the firm McNamara, Van Blarcom, McClendon and 18 Leibold, We're known in the internet age as the CEQA c./.... 19 dot com law firm, We represent primarily government 20 bodies such as yourself, water districts, redevelopment 21 agencies and occasionally private developers, 22 In making sure that our public agency clients 23 prepare environmental documents that comply with CEQA, 24 the State's CEQA guidelines, NEPA and other state and 25 fed laws, I've heard a little bit of dirt kicking YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 24 1 going on, and read some, on the appellants here, I - '- 2 also refer to CEQA McCarthyism, Guilt by association. 3 I want you to know that I'm not here to represent 4 anything other than the issue of does this Mitigated 5 Negative Declaration comply with the requirements set 6 for in CEQA and the state CEQA guidelines, I've been 7 doing this for about a dozen years, So far no public 8 agency client of mine, city or county, that has used me 9 to prepare CEQA documentation has had that 10 documentation successfully challenged in court, 11 Moreover, to date, I have never lost a CEQA 12 case on a CEQA issue before either a trial court or 13 court of appeal. I'm not bragging on myself on that. ..- \.r 14 What I am saying is what I do is I don't take a case 15 unless there's a valid CEQA issue in it, 16 I'm not looking at CEQA, which I believe this 17 is subverting it by using it for ulterior motives, I 18 will look over a case, as I did here, If there's a 19 legitimate problem with it from the standpoint of CEQA, 20 only then will I consider accepting it, 21 As I see this, and perhaps I am so used to the 22 role of sitting where your city attorney is in doing 23 this, Let me just give a key synopsis of where the hot 24 spots are here, 25 Some of the cities I represent and do this for "- ~ YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 25 1 are the City of Anaheim for the last ten years. I've -- '- 2 done it for Ontario, Orange County, currently City of 3 Sierra Madre, We're at the city attorney's in Lake 4 Elsinore, I handle CEQA there. 5 One of the things that first struck me on 6 this, it said on the cover of the initial study that it 7 was prepared for the law firm of the developer. I know 8 we had this in Anaheim some years back. It caused huge 9 heartburn when we discovered that the Planning 10 Commission was just letting initial studies be prepared 11 directly by the project applicant and brought forward. 12 I had huge problems with that, There's a CEQA statute 13 21082,1 which talks about CEQA documentation being - '- 14 prepared either by or under contract with the City. So 15 we changed that. I just have a question here that I'll 16 layout here, I don't know the answer, and that's: 17 Was this actually prepared in accordance with the 18 statutory requirement? 19 Secondly, since the other side has brought in 20 all of the prior objections from the other meetings, I 21 want to incorporate by reference in the appeal that my 22 client presents those objections that were made, the 23 objections made by the Frank expert of Best, Best & 24 Krieger, Cummings and others in the lower tribunals 25 here, Primarily, as I understand those objections, - '- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 26 ,'-' 1 there were objections focusing on the issue of ~ 2 thresholds of significance, As luck would have it, or ,- 3 bad luck would have it, what I see as kind of a 4 misfortune here, as in the case that the attorney for 5 the proponent mentioned, is a couple of months ago in a 6 trial court challenging the Resources Agency, the State 7 Resources Agency, which promulgates the CEQA guidelines 8 the trial court judge invalidated certain specific 9 sections of the guidelines. You have that in my 10 materials. The resources agency has basically come 11 forward and said those were promulgated during the 12 prior Wilson administration, We're the Davis 13 administration, We're now recommending -- and you can ~ 14 see that in the paper -- we are recommending the public - '- 15 agencies don't rely on those guideline provisions, and 16 we are also in the process of revising them, 17 So there's a red flag currently out there that 18 was not out there at the time, I believe, at the 19 Planning Commission, which makes it pretty clear that 20 the Resources Agency is going to respond to this issue 21 on how much leeway we give public agencies on setting 22 thresholds of significance. And it's going to be 23 something less than like the queen in Alice in 24 Wonderland. A threshold is whatever I say the 25 threshold is. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 27 .- 1 At any rate, I want to say that I think the ~ 2 Resources Agency's admission on this is both admirable ~- 3 and validates the objections below, An example of this 4 would be how carbon monoxide was dealt with, What I 5 would call that, as a CEQA practitioner, it was fudged, 6 I mean, the document admits it goes over the 5CAQMD. 7 threshold, But not to worry; there's other thresholds 8 out there and we can use those, And I think it goes on 9 for two to three pages of listing all the good things 10 in this project, such as increased employment, all 11 these other things like that, It reads very much like 12 what's called a statement of overriding considerations 13 that you make in an EIR when you cannot mitigate an ~ 14 impact below level significance. That's fine in an - '- 15 EIR, It's not appropriate in this document, So that's 16 one that's out there, 17 I want to get in now to the issues, which I 18 believe if I were sitting where your city attorney is 19 sitting, These are the ones that any time I have a 20 public agency client that's doing a Negative 21 Declaration -- or an initial study followed with a 22 Mitigated Negative Declaration, And frankly, I was 23 holding my breath, Because the way the standard works 24 is the presumption, the deference goes to the 25 challenger on a Mitigated Negative Declaration or a YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 28 - 1 Mitigated Declaration. All the challenger has to do is ~ 2 present a fair argument supported by substantial - l ~- ~, 3 evidence in order to trigger the evidence for an EIR to 4 be prepared, 5 On the other hand, by doing the Environmental 6 Impact Report the deference goes to the City. So the 7 City is allowed to pick and choose which expert it's 8 going to agree with and which expert it's going to 9 disagree with. The point of doing a Mitigated Negative 10 Declaration, the CEQA guidelines do not allow the 11 public agency to exercise that discretion, I'll get to 12 that in a moment, 13 15064F or the CEQA guidelines says, "The 15 significant effects shall be based on substantial 16 evidence in the record of the lead agency, If the lead 17 agency determines there is substantial evidence in the 18 record that the project may have a significant effect 19 on the environment, the lead agency shall prepare an 20 EIR, Said another way, if the lead agency is presented 21 with a fair argument that a project may have a 22 significant effect on the environment, the lead agency 23 shall prepare an EIR even though it may also be 24 presented with other substantial evidence the project 25 will have not a significant effect." YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 29 - 1 Now, you're still kind of in this test of what ~ 2 constitutes a substantial argument, and is it more than .- 3 speculation or that kind of thing, And you go down to 4 subdivision G which says, "In marginal cases where it 5 is not clear whether there is substantial evidence that 6 a project may have a significant effect on the 7 environment the lead agency should be guided by the 8 following principle: If there is disagreement among 9 expert opinion, supported by facts over the 10 significance of an effect on the environment, the lead 11 agency shall treat the effect as significant and shall 12 prepare an EIR," It uses the word shall twice. The 13 CEQA guidelines 15504A say, "Must or shall identifies a v ~ 14 mandatory element which all public agencies are - ~ 15 required to follow," 16 So in this case, if you have expert opinion 17 supported by facts, even though they can marshal -- you 18 know, like Elijah and the prophets of Baal, hundreds of 19 counter-experts, it doesn't matter. You have that 20 expert disagreeing and you have to go to the next step 21 of producing the EIR. 22 You have that in two situations here, First, 23 you have it in the situation on the issue of blight, I 24 know you have received a lot of materials, and frankly, 25 I have not had a chance to fully digest, However, the YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 30 1 experts I see here have a clear disagreement between on '-- 2 the one hand, Ills this going to cause blight? Is this 3 going to cause an environmental impact of hollowing out 4 other commercial areas of the city given the fact that 5 those commercial areas have a perhaps 100 and sub-lOa 6 dollar per square foot annual sales off of their floor 7 area, and Wal-Mart has a multiple of that, 8 In other words, will~uilding 150,000 of / (,./", - .-.~~ 9 retail at Wal-Mart reduce by 400,000 or more retail at ~ 10 smaller levels of retail, As a city attorney at Lake 11 Elsinore, when Wal-Mart went in, we lost our Kmart. 12 And we're sitting there in a world of hurt having to 13 subsidize it at 90,000 a year for 20 years, and it's i~ \""... 14 gone, 15 Here the second issue, and this is the biggest 16 key issue of all, is this issue of a traffic study, 17 This is a very technical study, It was prepared by two 18 traffic engineers, one a college professor, And the 19 traffic engineers in this study went and looked at the 20 standard ITE manual that is used for predicting traffic 21 impacts on development. 22 What they concluded was it dramatically,,":under (,.,/ 23 the 1997 manual which is used by traffic engineers, 24 dramatically under-counts freestanding box retailers 25 such as Wal-mart, Best Buy, Target and these others by - '- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 31 1 as much as 28 to 50 percent, If you want to follow <- ~ 2 with me on the chart that's in there, and I'll admit 3 this analysis and all of this is extremely complicated, 4 but they have a table one of data where they said 5 there's only about three studies that have been done by 6 ITE, and here we've done a full-on study of 18 big box 7 stores. You can see, of the 18, you have square 8 footages ranging from the 95s to the 155,000s, Your 9 trip generations on these are in the mid-800s to over 10 900 peak hour trip generation, Now, you move over and 11 you go to this AADT; that's average annual daily 12 traffic. You can see that number never gets higher 13 than about 42,000. Well, your own data indicates that - ~ 14 your AADT here is the 1-215 Freeway, That's why 15 Wal-Mart goes against the freeway, and that's 100,000 16 vehicles a day, Furthermore, what the -- you know, 17 computer say, "Garbage in garbage out." When you start 18 with bad data and bad assumptions, you end up with bad 19 results, 20 The traffic study artificially narrows the 21 radius for the draw for the store to a mile and a half 22 to come up with am extremely low population, In fact, 23 if it was something other than a mile and a half, as we 24 should more properly suggest given there's an 25 interstate freeway that runs along the front door of .- ....... YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 32 1 the store, you would have a population that would ,_. ~ 2 triple to quadruple what the population is being 3 claimed to be in this situation. So you're already at 4 say, 900 peak trips based upon this empirical data done 5 on the Wal-Mart-type big box stores by these traffic 6 engineers. You've got AADTs of a third to a quarter of 7 what you're going to have out here. You've got 8 population that's going -- out here, it's going to be 9 three to four times what you have here, and yet the 10 numbers are being -- I don't know what else to call it 11 except cooked. To come out below the trigger of a 12 thousand, peak hour thousand, which would trigger, as 13 you know, a congestion management plan. ,- ......... 14 Let me give you a little personal experience I 15 have on this. I worked in siting for the City of 16 Anaheim in siting the Wal-Mart at Anaheim Plaza in the 17 mid-'90s. We did that with an environment impact 18 report. We did the traffic analysis. We did a heck of 19 a lot of on-site mitigation work for infrastructure. 20 As it turned out, once the Wal-Mart went in, similar in 21 size, slightly smaller than this one here, we realized 22 we had just completely blown over our traffic model. 23 And we were trying to figure out why was it we'd blown 24 over the model, so we did a postmortem. The staff did. 25 In the postmortem, we identified two things. - "-' YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 33 lOne, our model had not adequately taken into account - ~ 2 that, just as this Wal-Mart is next to the I-215 3 Freeway, that one was next to the I-5 Freeway. That 4 skewed the model. The other thing, which I find 5 fascinating, that this study -- this was not one of the 6 variables that these two engineers and professor and 7 engineer studied. A variable completely left out was 8 the variable of median household income. 9 For example, I'm familiar with the Wal-Marts 10 in Orange County. The Wal-Mart in Brea in a more 11 affluent area does relatively poorly compared to the 12 Wal-Marts in Anaheim and Orange and other less affluent 13 areas. So consequently what really is another - '- 14 variable, I think, that needs to be looked at in any 15 model is the variable of what is the impact of the 16 median household income on the draw. 17 But the bottom line here on all of this is 18 your traffic model here is at least 50 percent to 19 perhaps double, given the limitation on the area that 20 is being proposed as the market area, which was 21 artificially constrained. 22 You can see in this there's nothing even 23 approaching, you know, one and a half mile radius on 24 the one in Maryland. The population here is three 25 times the size -- two to three times the size here. ,- "'- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 34 1 Your median household income -- when a big bunch of - "'- 2 your people are starving students and underpaid 3 professors by their own admission -- there's a lot of 4 Wal-Mart shopping there. 5 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Mr. McClendon, would you 6 please try to summarize your statement, please. 7 MR. MC CLENDON: So at any the rate, what I'm 8 saying is -- what I hope I've just shown you is this is 9 an example of what is a fair argument. Now, again, 10 they can bring a whole host of people up here to say 11 I'm wrong. I disagree with the data. I disagree with 12 the model. Point is, I have established under 15064 13 that expert opinion's supported by facts, and the .- '- 14 proper role for the City at this point is to back up 15 and do an EIR. 16 I'll conclude by saying this: In my years of 17 doing this, I'm enough of an idealist to always hope 18 that a public agency will do the right thing. 19 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you. 20 MR. MC CLENDON: However, I'm enough of a realist 21 to know that when a staff gets together with an 22 applicant -- and we're talking about sales tax revenue, 23 the mother's milk of city government -- it's really 24 hard to stop that train and it comes down hard. So 25 just a free word of advice from my own experience here, - ......... YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 35 1 and I say this perhaps to your city attorney. - '- 2 My experience has been you get as a condition 3 of approval that they will defend, indemnify and hold 4 the City harmless if there's litigation. However, it's 5 been my experience that you can have some bruising 6 litigation. The project applicant will defend the 7 City. In the end, the City loses. The documents under 8 which that condition was set in place is also 9 invalidated in association with the project, so 10 consequently what happens is, and I've seen it happen 11 more than once, the project applicant, when you come to 12 the project applicant and say, "You know, the City just 13 got hit by the judge for 150,000 in litigation cost, .- '- 14 these attorneys fees. Make good on it." They say, 15 "Under what?" So I would just urge you at the very 16 least, if you're going to plow ahead here and follow 17 staff and follow the applicant's representation, get 18 something more than that so you're protecting yourself. 19 That concludes my comments. 20 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you. I suspect that 21 Mr. Empeno has been taking copious notes because 22 ultimately we're going to refer to him. 23 Is there anyone else that wishes to speak to 24 this item? 25 MR. HALL: I'm James T. Hall. I'm with the .-. "-- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 36 1 Northwest Pact, and I've been involved with the ,..- '- 2 Building and Planning Committee. We have looked at the 3 various problems that seem to be part of the Wal-Mart 4 development, but we see that the City planning people 5 have worked around those problems and have come up with 6 solutions. We on the pact are people who live in the 7 sixth ward and work in the sixth ward, own property in 8 the sixth ward. We look forward to this development, 9 and we encourage that you deny the appeal and that you 10 go ahead and approve this development. Thank you very 11 much. 12 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Mr. Hall. 13 Is there anyone else that wishes to speak to - ......... 14 this item? 15 MR. NOLAN: May I respond to that? 16 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Yes, Mr. Nolan. And then 17 I'11 ask Mr. Casey or Mr. Ross to come to the lecterns 18 for any questions we may have. 19 Yes, Mr. Nolan? 20 MR. NOLAN: I found the comments of the counsel 21 for the appellant interesting. I, like him, have 22 practiced in the CEQA area for a number of years. I've 23 practiced in that area since 1986. I've practiced in 24 the practice of law for 32 years, so I think I have 25 some experience that I can bring to the table here. - '- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 37 1 Unlike him, I have lost cases. I don't like - ......... 2 to lose cases. And as a result, when I have a choice, 3 as I have here, to make recommendations to a client, 4 and if I think that that client is in a dangerous 5 circumstance, I'm not going to put myself out there and 6 say, "Oh, go ahead and take your best shot" if I think 7 that it's going to end up with mud on my face. 8 My circumstance here is that the situation has 9 not risen in any respect to a fair argument. Recall 10 what was said to you. The fair argument is if there is 11 disagreement between experts supported by substantial 12 evidence. You have here, first of all, you have two 13 people. I don't care that they are college professors ,,- ......... 14 or that they are members of MENSA or whatever they are 15 that have a disagreement with the traffic engineers' 16 methodology. 17 The fact is, that is a disagreement within 18 that organization. It is not a disagreement as to this 19 specific site. Insofar as the blighting is concerned, 20 there has been no presentation made to this body or to 21 the Planning Commission or to planning staff regarding 22 blighting for this project. 23 They have these big generalized concepts of 24 blighting. "Wal-Mart kills" basically is what their 25 mantra is. The circumstance is that Wal-Mart brings to i'_ ~ YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 38 - 1 a city a number of substantial benefits. It serves the '......... 2 population. In this instance you will have generated -,............ 3 $300,000 in sales tax every year. You will have a 4 benefit of increased property taxes. The circumstance 5 is there is no conflict of experts here. We now 6 apparently have counsel as his own self-proclaimed 7 expert as far as traffic generation. 8 In addition to what is said in the article, he 9 then brings his own experience to the floor, and 10 certainly he is not qualified as an expert. The 11 circumstances are that there has never been anything 12 that has been presented to you, has been presented to 13 this City, that rises to the nature of being a fair ~ 14 argument. And the circumstances are that in order to .,- '- 15 get a fair argument, it has to be more than opinion and 16 speculation and generalization. It has to be specific. 17 You look at the traffic critique that was 18 presented today by appellant, and all that does is it 19 doesn't present facts. It just takes facts and reaches 20 different evaluations. That is not a fair argument. 21 This city deserves this facility. It should have it. 22 And I also found it very interesting. Counsel 23 got up; he introduced himself. I didn't hear who's 24 paying his bill. Who he represents. I think that's 25 interesting. Thank you. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 39 1 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Mr. Nolan. - "-' 2 Is there anyone else in the audience that 3 wishes to present information to this body? Seeing 4 none, any question from members of the Council or we 5 may close the public hearing and then have questions. 6 Mr. Empeno, what do you recommend? 7 MR. EMPENO: Mayor, my suggestion is that you 8 return to City staff whether it is a city engineer, 9 Mr. Casey or planning, Valerie Ross to see if they have 10 any comments that they want to make prior to closing 11 the public hearing. 12 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you. Ms. Andersen, 13 you wanted to question. Mr. Casey is at the lectern. ,- '- 14 MS. ANDERSEN: Thank you, Mayor. I really wanted 15 to speak to this issue. And I'd like to speak to it 16 from a different angle than the legal verbiage that we 17 have heard. I find it very interesting what I have 18 listened to, and I'd like to not discuss -- I want to 19 approach it that I'm not going to discuss any of the 20 alphabet CEQA, EIR or any of the others. 21 I want to step outside the box and discuss it 22 from the viewpoint of the constituents and the people 23 who live in the sixth ward. I've been a resident of 24 the city of San Bernardino 40-plus years. And all of 25 this time I've lived in the same house in the same - ....... YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 40 1 area. And no one in the 41-plus years that I've lived ~~ ,-. 2 have come to seek development in the sixth ward. 3 Now we have a developer who has come to 4 provide service to the constituents and the people 5 living there that they have not ever had. Now I am 6 really -- I'm amazed at the fact that the two people 7 who have protested against this, Ms. Kathleen Franks 8 and now Ms. Carol Gold, who do not live in the sixth 9 ward. who live in a ward where they have access to 10 retail businesses of this type. We do not. So I can't 11 understand how they are protecting and they're 12 providing any service to us by keeping the citizens in 13 the area where I live and my constituents from having /,."... '- 14 the same ability to have shopping access in a very 15 short distance that they have in the rest of the city 16 of San Bernardino. 17 We are experiencing a new climate here by 18 having Wal-Mart to come in and want to establish a 19 business in the sixth ward of the city of San 20 Bernardino. It will give equal access to this area of 21 the city to have shopping that is reasonable and 22 within - - you've already stated that when you go in the 23 economic level of people, you'll have a great advantage 24 and a great number of people shopping there. This will 25 be the case in the sixth ward. It will meet the needs - ~ YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 41 - 1 and the finances of those persons living in the sixth "'- 2 ward. .",- "-' - '- 3 And I think that, you know, I don't see any of 4 these peoples coming to me. We need a bank on our side 5 of town. Come and as far away from San Francisco and 6 bring me a bank; bring me some way to get a bank. It 7 is not fair to our people in the city and the area that 8 I live for you to come here as far away as San 9 Francisco and Lake Elsinore to stop the people of the 10 sixth ward from having easy access to shopping that 11 would be convenient. Thank you, Mayor. 12 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Ms. Andersen. 13 Any more comments? Mr. McGinnis. 14 MR. MC GINNIS: I have to say that I am pretty 15 much in a quandary over it. I don't think that enough 16 consideration probably has been taken in. Because I 17 can see -- I worked this area outdoors for over 20 18 years, and I've seen a lot of buildings, and I've seen 19 every Wal-Mart in the area come in, and a lot of them 20 are in the areas that Pacific Bell services. And I've 21 been able to notice some good things and I've been able 22 to notice some bad things happened to them. 23 I know that the Wal-Mart in Colton went in. 24 It was very popular. The Kmart across the street 25 eventually closed. The shopping supermarket, it was a YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 42 1 huge supermarket, just attached to the same building ,,- '- 2 around the corner I mean around the parking space 3 from them closed up. They have two very large 4 buildings there that are now vacant having the 5 Wal-Marts in. And I'm not trying to say -- I mean, I 6 like competition. I like the businesses being able to 7 come in and offer value. 8 At the same time the City of Colton, and like 9 another mentioned, is paying for that Kmart building 10 because they also at that time sponsored that Kmart to 11 come into their city. And I think there still -- you 12 know, they're in debt trying to put something -- 13 nothing else has been able to move into that Kmart - '- 14 building. 15 I've seen something similar happen to Rialto 16 on South Riverside Avenue. The Marshall's center 17 across the street went completely vacant. And the 18 other businesses that are in that little strip mall, I 19 think the only thing left there now is a Chinese 20 restaurant. 21 There's another Wal-Mart out in the city. I 22 mean out in San Bernardino, out near the city of 23 Highland. I don't see the same thing happening there. 24 Now there's a Wal-Mart off of the 10 Freeway and 25 California Street, but I don't know the conditions of - - YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 43 1 what goes on around there. There's another one in .-. ........ 2 Fontana off of Mango and Foothill. There was a 3 supermarket on the corner there. It went vacant. I 4 think now they're trying a Spanish market there now. 5 There is some collateral damage that happens 6 when a Wal-Mart comes in. I think there should be 7 given more weight and more consideration. And I agree 8 with Ms. Andersen; there is a clientele. I would 9 rather see a Wal-Mart put in on Mount Vernon or see a 10 Wal-Mart put on Medical Center Drive or put in on 11 Highland Avenue or put in, you know, on Baseline in 12 your ward. There is a great need. 13 MS. ANDERSEN: No acreage. ~~" '- 14 MR. MC GINNIS: They can consolidate acreage. We 15 can help them consolidate acreage. The fact is, there 16 is a need for what Wal-Mart provides. One of the 17 things happens though in some cases, not every case, 18 because I can see some Wal-Marts do fine and don't hurt 19 some businesses around them, but I don't know if the 20 experiment for this is right for the area. Not just 21 the sixth ward, but the fifth ward over there that has 22 struggling businesses that are going on over there that 23 can possibly be hurt by it. 24 And I think we also had one other CEQA problem 25 up in that area that has cost the City a lot of - ........ YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 44 1 turmoil. And then I don't think there's anything wrong -- '- 2 with making sure that we're completely covered as far 3 as whether or not we should be or shouldn't be or if 4 that's the perfect spot for Wal-Mart to be developed in 5 our city. And there are a great number of them 6 already. I mean, I can count 1-2-3-4-5-6 Wal-Marts 7 that are local. 8 And I guess now they're going to come up like 9 McDonalds and be on every corner. I don't know if 10 that's good for every city to have as many of these 11 things as we could possibly have. There's certainly 12 great needs for Wal-Marts. Great needs for malls. But 13 if we had malls across the street from malls, we're - '- 14 going to wind up with some of them having to close as 15 they continue to fight with each other over the right 16 to get enough customers in those particular areas. 17 I don't think there's anything wrong with us 18 taking more time to consider whether or not this is the 19 most advantageous thing here we should do for our city. 20 Thank you. 21 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you. Just for 22 clarification before I call on Mr. Suarez and 23 Ms. McCammack, Ms. Ross, you indicated in your 24 testimony that some of the findings, at least that's 25 how I understood it, would be that less than 1 percent - YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 45 -,,- 1 of the proposed floor area would be for food. Is that '- 2 what you said? - 3 MS. ROSS: That is correct. 4 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: And that also, based on the 5 information that you received, there was no indication 6 of any grocery sales being planned? 7 MS. ROSS: That is correct. That was an issue 8 that was raised at the Development Review Committee 9 level, and the representatives at that time said 10 they're not proposing a grocery store at this time at 11 this location. It's a general merchandise store only. 12 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: At this time, at this 13 location. Thank you. Mr. Suarez, you wish to make a ~ 14 comment. ~- "'- 15 MR. SUAREZ: Thank you. You took care of one of 16 the questions I was going to ask from Valerie: If 17 there was any planning later on to make it into one of 18 these super mega stores that they keep talking about; 19 but apparently not from what you answered. Am I 20 correct on that, Valerie? 21 MS. ROSS: That is correct. And I have a 22 condition of approval that we put on the project that 23 says something to the effect any changes in use will 24 require filing a new development permit application. 25 MR. SUAREZ: Thank you. And I was listening to YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 46 1 Mr. McGinnis and his comments. He makes a lot of -, ,-. 2 sense, but the economy is what dictates whether stores 3 open or close. I'm sure that Wal-Mart has done all of 4 their studies to see if they can make money. They're 5 not going to build something that they can't make 6 money, and they have invested heavily into those 7 studies. Just like I'm sure Monkey Wards did in the 8 past when they built their stores, but eventually 9 business has to cycle. The people say, "Hey, we don't 10 need a Montgomery Wards." So guess what? Boom. We 11 don't need a JC Penney. We don't need a Mills over in 12 Ontario. So the economy is dictated by a different 13 monster altogether. And whether the lawyers agree and - '- 14 bring in all of this other stuff, it's the people that 15 dictate their wants and dislikes. So having said that, 16 thank you very much for listening to me. 17 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Mr. Suarez. 18 Ms. McCammack. 19 MS. MC CAMMACK: Based on the request for this 20 body to make, which is to close the public hearing and 21 to adopt a Mitigated Negative Declaration for this 22 particular project, I think the key question that I 23 formulated in listening to all of the proponents and 24 opponents of this project. 25 The one key factor that I got out of all of it _. - YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 47 ,- 1 was from Mr. McClendon who, true, did not state to us '- 2 who he was representing, which I also found ,- 3 interesting. I spent the first 10 minutes trying to 4 figure out who was paying his bill. I'm still not sure 5 I figured that out. 6 I can say his statement regarding the code 7 regarding 15064-F was that even if there is a 8 disagreement, it must be, and I underlined supported by 9 fact, which were your words precisely. I've made a 10 whole bunch of notes. I can see other council members 11 have also, and I have yet to hear the fact that 12 distinguishes between what our staff has given us and 13 what the opponents, or the appellants should call them, ......... 14 have listed in their documentation. - - 15 It's based on information in Maryland. It's 16 based on information in other states. It's not based 17 on information regarding this site, regarding this 18 piece of acreage regarding the retail locations around 19 it. And I was actually appalled at one of the 20 documents that said that if this store were to go in, 21 that the brand-new Stater Brothers on 40th Street would 22 become blighted. That appalled me. And to use that 23 kind of intimidation on this body, I was insulted. 24 I don't believe Stater Brothers would have 25 done what they did to help 40th Street revitalize YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 48 ,....., 1 itself and spend all the money they did knowing full ~ 2 well that this project was coming down the pike 3 expecting to be blighted because of a Wal-Mart going - ~ .- ........ 4 in. I am prepared to close the public hearing. I 5 didn't see any hands, Mayor. I'm not sure. 6 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: We have a motion to close 7 the public hearing. Do I have a second? 8 MS. ANDERSEN: Second. 9 MS. MC CAMMACK: And adopt the Mitigated Negative 10 Declaration. 11 MS. ANDERSEN: Second. 12 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: We have a second. And now 13 discussion. Ms. Estrada. 14 MS. ESTRADA: Mayor, I think the thing that is so 15 startling is that usually when we have an appeal or 16 public hearing on any planning issue, if there is no 17 community consent, we get to hear it in chambers, and 18 we get phone calls and letters. I have not received 19 anything even though it's not about my district, but we 20 all vote for the issues, anything that shows that kind 21 of opposition from the community itself. I'm surprised 22 also that the area that is being discussed by the 23 opponents stretches all the way almost from E Street 24 all the way to the university. That's an enormous 25 area, I mean, to try to include in this issue. YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 49 "....""'" 1 So I think when we have the residents and ~ 2 business people from those areas come out and express -, 3 their opinions, and then, you know, we listen very 4 attentively and we consider it in our vote. But at 5 this point in time, I just can't see how I could vote 6 against this if the community that it's going to go in 7 wants it and it meets all the legal requirements as set 8 by our city. Thank you. 9 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Ms. Lien. Then I'm going to 10 ask for Mr. Empeno's opinion. Be ready. 11 MS. LIEN: I found the arguments very good. I 12 compliment you all since I spent a lot of my time with 13 CEQA as well. Make no mistake. A Wal-Mart will have '- 14 an impact on shift in sales in the economy. We all ,- ~ 15 know that. The question is whether at this point in 16 time we should derail the Negative Dec and require an 17 EIR. 18 And while I personally, you know, may feel 19 that Wal-Marts have so much impact that they should 20 have EIRs, the question nonetheless is whether I think 21 this Negative Declaration has been done thoroughly and 22 at this point I have any reason to doubt that this 23 appeal should be granted. I don't have that doubt 24 right now. I do think that there will be challenges, 25 and actually I personally kind of applaud them, but YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 50 ,- 1 that's not the point here. The point is whether we are '- 2 going to impact our city over our personal - '- - '- 3 philosophical feelings over what Wal-Marts do. 4 I've got to admit I really enjoyed being in 5 Europe last year and recognizing how the Europeans 6 really understand the economies of scale really destroy 7 communities. But it's a fact. We're a different 8 society. We have our free ways. We have our way of 9 life. It's what our people at this point are choosing. 10 I think when the history books are written, it won't be 11 all so pretty. But nonetheless, I mean, I've heard 12 some arguments, but not enough to convince me that we 13 should grant this appeal. 14 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you. We do have a 15 motion to close and to adopt the recommendation, the 16 recommended motion. 17 UNIDENTIFIED VOICE: Mayor, you want to hear from 18 Valerie? 19 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Yes. Ms. Ross. 20 MS. ROSS: Mr. McClendon had several comments 21 related to fair argument, and he referenced different 22 sections of CEQA. A fair argument does not equal 23 opinion or speculation. A fair argument has to be 24 supported by substantial documentation in the file. We 25 have no specific data that contradicts the factual YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 51 ,.."'...... '- -, ~ "'- 1 information in the initial study. And one last point 2 that he made was that we the initial study was 3 prepared by an outsider, if you will. That is correct, 4 and that was noted on the initial study. We are not 5 trying to hide that. 6 The cover of the initial study also notes that 7 it was independently reviewed and analyzed by the City 8 of San Bernardino and Development and Environmental 9 Review Committee before they made their determination 10 on that. We believe that this initial study is in 11 compliance with the requirements of CEQA. And if I 12 may, I'd asked Ray to provide a summary on that traffic 13 to confirm what I just told you. Thank you. 14 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Ms. Ross. 15 Mr. Casey. 16 MR. CASEY: Madam Mayor, Members of the Council. 17 I would probably restrict my comments primarily to the 18 letter we received this morning dated July 9th, that 19 dealt with traffic issues. 20 First of all, I'd like to restate something 21 that others have said. Of course, this was 22 independently reviewed and approved by City staff. 23 Certainly it has showed there were impacts from this 24 proposal and certainly as a result of the approval 25 process, mitigation was derived to offset those YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 52 1 impacts. Those included local improvements and also a _. '- 2 regional traffic system fee, which is meant to mitigate 3 regional-type impacts. In this particular case, it was 4 in excess of $190,000. And as you know from your CIP 5 or from the Capital Improvement Program budget approval 6 this morning, we have included some funding in that 7 budget for regional projects in this area including the 8 loop ramp and, of course, at the University I-215, of 9 course, a grade separation. That's University Cajon. 10 That project, as you know, is fully funded. The local 11 improvements associated with this project that this 12 project is required to do would be traffic signals at 13 the intersection at the main entrance at Hallmark and .- '- 14 Gannett, Hallmark University intersection improvements 15 and I-215 southbound ramp at University improvements, j,-" 16 and those are some. 17 In addition, I wanted to touch on a couple of 18 technical issues that were addressed in this letter; 19 more technical issues, one of which has to do with 20 queuing at a number of locations that was addressed 21 here. And that analysis or evaluation of the traffic 22 study analysis, if you will, does not include with and 23 without the project. We took a quick look at those 24 numbers, and there's little difference in most cases 25 between with project and without project. There is -.......- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 53 -- 1 some increases, of course, in some places; but the "'- 2 areas that have the substantive queuing issues that _. 3 were brought up in the letter are at westbound 4 University northbound ramp, also eastbound University 5 at Hallmark and at westbound University between the 6 ramps, and those have -- the first one is actually a 7 decrease with the project over without the project 8 because of signal improvements and interconnection plan 9 and also any others who have increases, although not 10 real significant increases. There are a couple of 11 other things in the letter itself. It talks about 12 queuing space required for vehicles. It talks about 13 four vehicles for 265 feet. We think that's more like ~ 14 10 or 11. "',,~.."" 15 One pretty important issue, I guess, in terms 16 of emergency access. It doesn't. It talks about 17 emergency access issues associated with the main access 18 to I-215 main line as it describes it. But, of course, 19 there are other alternative access points for emergency 20 vehicles, and they're obviously very familiar with the V' 21 other off ramps: Industrial Parkway access, access ~.2' from the southbound State Street, so not all of the ( 23 the emergency access vehicles have alternatives is the 24 point. I'd be happy to answer any questions. 25 Certainly technical staff is here if you have any YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 54 1 questions relative to the traffic issues I have not .- - 2 answered. 3 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you, Mr. Casey. If 4 there are no other questions, no comments, I will call 5 for the previous question. 6 Would you come forward, please. And then I 7 apologize; I have a meeting that started at 12:30, and 8 I'm late to it, so I might have to leave. 9 MR. MOSELEY: My name is H. W. Moseley (phonetic). 10 I live at 3249 North California Street, San Bernardino. 11 I'm the last house on California on the east side of 12 the street. I've been living here in San Bernardino 13 for about 40 years. ;"...-", '- 14 THE CLERK: Excuse me, Mr. Moseley. Were you 15 administered the oath earlier? 16 MR. MOSELEY: No, I'm no expert. 17 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Mr. Moseley, did you wish to 18 speak on this item? 19 MR. MOSELEY: Yes. 20 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: I'm sorry. That didn't 21 indicate on here. 22 MR. MOSELEY: Yes. 23 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Would you please raise your 24 right hand, Mr. Moseley. This is a public hearing. 25 THE CLERK: Do you solemnly affirm the testimony '''''-"' YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 55 1 you're about to give before this body will be the - '~ 2 truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth? 3 MR. MOSELEY: I do. Since I've lived on this side 4 of town now, or the west side, for 16 years - - I bought 5 a house here not too long ago, and we don't have 6 anything in the area really. Everything like 7 Ms. Andersen was saying is on the other side of the 8 freeway. Stater Brothers is about the closest one, L_/ 9 Ralphs Market. Here we have a chance to have a 10 Wal-Mart. And right now I got to go all the way to 11 Colton to shop at Wal-Mart. I shop at Wal-Mart quite a 12 bit because they've got some darned good bargains. 13 Ralphs, which is not too far form me, I don't shop ,~ ',- 14 there too much because they're high. I go over to 15 Stater Brothers. But I go where I can get the best 16 bargains. 17 We need Wal-Mart over there. It gives us a 18 chance, poor people like I am, to have a place where we 19 can save some money and get some decent items. Because 20 they carry a few grocery items, though I don't see how 21 that's going to impact Ralph's and Stater Brothers like 22 some of these people have stated, some of these 23 attorneys. That's not going to impact us, because I 24 know when -- I think Alpha Beta had a store over on 25 Muscott and Baseline. It didn't go over. You know "- YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 56 1 why? Because they jacked up the prices too high, so -- ~ 2 people went across the bridge and went to Stater 3 Brothers. And that's why that store failed, because I 4 know I walked in there several times. Their prices was 5 way too high. I said, "Oh, forget that." I went to 6 Stater Brothers or Food 4 Less. Food 4 Less is way 7 downtown, but that's where I went. People shop where 8 they can get the best items; and not only best items, 9 but reasonable items that fit their pocketbook. I wish 10 you'd take that into interests because we need a store 11 like Wal-Mart. It just really fits in our -- well, we 12 need it in our area. Forget about all this traffic and 13 environmental stuff. I mean, people will go where you '- 14 can get the best bargains, and we need it. And I'm 15 tickled to death that they want to come over our way 16 because nobody else does. So I hope that they do come 17 in, and I hope you approve it. 18 MAYOR JUDITH VALLES: Thank you for your time. I 19 will now call for the previous question. So ordered. 20 We will now recess until 2:00 p.m. at which time we 21 will take up the remaining items on today's agenda. 22 (The hearing was concluded at 12:30 p.m.) 23 -- 000-- 24 25 - YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 57 - -' -- 1 2 REPORTER'S CERTIFICATE 3 4 STATE OF CALIFORNIA) ) 55. 5 COUNTY OF RIVERSIDE) 6 7 I, MARIA L. RENO, a certified shorthand reporter 8 for the State of California, do hereby certify: 9 That the said hearing was taken down by me in 10 stenotype at the time and place therein stated and 11 thereafter reduced to typewriting under my direction 12 and that the hearing transcript is a true and correct 13 record of the proceedings here held. 14 I further certify that I am not of counselor 15 attorney of any of the parties hereto or in any way 16 interested in the event of this cause and that I am not 17 related to any of the parties thereto . 18 Dated this 12th day o~ /.11 . 1....._,. ! 19 i 20 MARIA L. RENO cerqified Shorthand Reporter License No. 11367 21 22 23 24 25 YOUNGER REPORTING SERVICES 58